BMA response to the House of Lords Select Committee inquiry into the Long-Term Sustainability of the NHS About the BMA The British Medical Association (BMA) is a professional association and independent trade union, representing doctors and medical students from all branches of medicine across the UK and supporting them to deliver the highest standards of patient care. We have a membership of over 168,000, which continues to grow each year. Executive Summary The NHS is facing a funding crisis which can only be solved through increasing investment based on a realistic assessment of what is needed to meet the health needs of current and future generations. We have identified current challenges facing the NHS and explored how these can be addressed through additional investment and measures that can be used to promote long-term sustainability. • • • • • • • The BMA is committed to an NHS which is publicly provided, publicly delivered and free at the point of need. Healthcare funding is a basic function of government and the NHS must continue to be funded directly through general taxation. The NHS offers the UK population financial protection from the potentially catastrophic costs of ill health. By comparison, in the US, medical debt is the largest cause of personal bankruptcy 1. By removing patients’ concerns over their ability to pay, doctors can better focus on their clinical needs, eliminating an unhelpful distraction in the doctor-patient relationship. Current funding levels are the biggest single threat to the sustainability of the NHS. There are four main areas of concern that should be urgently addressed – the crisis in general practice, hospital deficits, cuts of public health and inadequate levels of social care funding. More attention must be paid to the serious and ongoing problems in recruiting and retaining all grades of doctors and the impact this has had on already stretched services. Effective workforce planning must be undertaken to ensure the right number of healthcare workers are employed with the right skills and in the right places. A cross-government action plan is required setting out short, medium and long-term actions to help create a more preventative service. This should be complemented with measures to mitigate the negative effects of austerity and welfare reform on health, including a ‘health in all policies’ approach. Increasing health literacy, particularly from an early age, is key to achieving public health prevention measures and promoting better awareness of self-care. This will also help to reduce pressure on overstretched health services and support the sustainability of the NHS by preventing ill-health in the long-term. Technological advances can support the redesign and delivery of healthcare to manage increased demand on the NHS, but only if they are one part of a broader strategy of investment. C. LaMontagne, NerdWallet Health Study: Medical debt crisis worsening despite health care policy advances, NerdWallet, 2014, http://www.nerdwallet.com/blog/health/2014/10/08/medic al-bills-debt-crisis/ 1 BMA response to the House of Lords Select Committee inquiry into the Long-Term Sustainability of the NHS Introduction The BMA welcomes this opportunity to submit written evidence to the House of Lords Committee on the Long-Term Sustainability of the NHS and supports the aim of the Committee to explore the future delivery of healthcare in England. This is a timely inquiry given that the NHS is currently facing unprecedented demand across almost all services, an ageing population coupled with increasingly complex patient illnesses and a drastic funding shortfall. We believe that fundamentally, the NHS is facing a funding crisis which can only be solved through increasing investment based on a realistic assessment of what is needed to adequately meet the health needs of current and future generations. In this response we identify current challenges facing the NHS and explore how these can be addressed through additional investment and measures that can be used to promote long-term sustainability, such as integration, increased recruitment and retention of the workforce and use of technology. 1. The future healthcare system 1.1. Taking into account medical innovation, demographic changes, and changes in the frequency of long-term conditions, how must the health and care systems change to cope by 2030? It is of critical importance to maintain and build upon the NHS’s fundamental principles of equality by ensuring that the NHS continues to be free at the point of use. It is also crucial that government explores new ways of delivering healthcare, such as those highlighted in the Five Year Forward View, alongside ensuring that adequate resource is available to meet the health and social care needs of the population. 1.2 Self-care will play an important role in helping to reduce pressure on overstretched primary care and emergency departments during periods of increased demand and will support the sustainability of the NHS by preventing ill-health in the long-term. It is crucial that patients’ knowledge of self-care, and more widely their understanding of how to make healthy choices to promote overall wellbeing, are communicated and learnt from an early age. 2. Resource issues, including funding, productivity, demand management and resource use 2.1 To what extent is the current funding envelope for the NHS realistic? Does the wider societal value of the healthcare system exceed its monetary cost? The wider societal value of a healthcare system which is free at the point of use exceeds its monetary cost. On an individual and basic level, the NHS offers the UK population financial protection from the potentially catastrophic costs of ill health. By comparison, in the US, medical debt is the largest cause of personal bankruptcy2. By removing patients’ concerns over their ability to pay, doctors can better focus on the clinical needs of their patients, eliminating what would otherwise be an unhelpful distraction in the doctor-patient relationship 3. 2.2 A successful healthcare system can have a positive impact on economic growth in the long-term, by creating a healthier, better educated, and more productive labour force. In particular, improved health of children is linked to better cognitive function, which in turn improves their life chances. C. LaMontagne, NerdWallet Health Study: Medical debt crisis worsening despite health care policy advances, NerdWallet, 2014, http://www.nerdwallet.com/blog/health/2014/10/08/medic al-bills-debt-crisis/ 3 Porter & AL-Zaidy, A health service (re)designed to help doctors give the best possible care to their patients. In The Health of the Nation: Averting the demise of universal healthcare. Civitas 2016. 2 Page 2 of 13 Improved health can also play a key role in reducing instances of long term sickness leave 4. Given these wider societal benefits, the government should fund the NHS adequately. However, recent trends such as A&E closures and increases in NHS waiting times 5 are early signs of inadequate resources 6. 2.3 Although the Westminster Government has recently made a commitment to invest £4.5 billion to deliver on commitments in the Five Year Forward View, this still falls short of what is actually needed7. Much of this funding has been made available through cuts in other areas including public health, education and training, capital spend and national bodies such as the NICE (National Institute for Health and Care Excellence). Spending in these areas is being cut by more than £3 billion over the next five years. Furthermore, this does not take into account funding for commitments for seven day services. The result of this will be a 6.7% reduction in health spending as a proportion of GDP by 2020/21, creating a significant funding gap that will make it more difficult to provide high quality, safe, sustainable health services. 2.4 We believe that current funding levels are the biggest single threat to the sustainability of the NHS and would draw the Committee’s attention to four key areas of concern: • • • • General practice is in crisis: The proportion of NHS funding spent on general practice has fallen from 10.4% in 2005/6 to 7.4% in 2014/15, leaving practices receiving an average of only £141 per patient to deliver a year of general practice care. This approach is contrary to evidence that shows that investment in general practice reduces secondary care costs and is therefore crucial to NHS sustainability8. To address this crisis there needs to be a sustained, year-on-year increase in the proportion of NHS funding going to general practice on a recurrent, equitable basis for practices. Hospitals are in deficit: The aggregate NHS provider and commissioner deficit increased from £554 million in 2014/15 to £1.85 billion in 2015/16. In the provider sector alone deficits stood at £2.45 billion at the end of 2015/16.To try to cut the combined provider deficit to around £250 million in 2016/17, the DH (Department of Health) has made available £1.8 billion via the STF (Sustainability and Transformation Fund) 9. As the STF can only be spent once, if most of the funds are used to plug deficits there will be little money being left over for the transformational change and long-term investment that the NHS needs to ensure its sustainability 10. Cuts in public health spending will increase future costs: Recent cuts to public health budgets will damage the health of the public and the NHS’s long-term sustainability 11. The BMA has concerns about the Government’s overall commitment to prevention in public health as demonstrated by the limitations of its recent obesity plan (which are considered in more detail later in this response). A lack of social care funding is increasing costs for the NHS: Between 2009/10 and 2014/15, funding for the provision of adult social care fell in real terms by an average of 2.2% a year, Suhrcke M, McKee M, Stuckler D, Sauto Arce R, Tsolova S, Mortensen J: The contribution of health to the economy in the European Union. Public health 2006, 120:994–1001. 5 Quality Watch, NHS Waiting Times, November 2015, http://www.qualitywatch.org.uk/news/%E2%80%98gradual-decline%E2%80%99nhs-waiting-times-unlikely-improve-soon-other-areas-care-quality-show-more 6 NHS England & NHS Improvement (2016) Strengthening financial stability and performance in 2016/17 7 BMA NHS funding and efficiency savings, pp. 4-5, https://www.bma.org.uk/collective-voice/influence/key-negotiations/nhs-funding/nhsfunding-and-efficiency-savings 8 Spend to save: The economic case for improving access to general practice A report for the Royal College of General Practitioners, p.5, http://www.rcgp.org.uk/~/media/Files/PPF/2014-RCGP-Spend-to-Save-Deloitte-report.ashx 9 NHS England & NHS Improvement (2016) Strengthening financial stability and performance in 2016/17. 10 Nuffield Trust (2016) Feeling the crunch. 11 BMA Annual Representative Meeting 2016 4 Page 3 of 13 leading to a 25% reduction in the number of people receiving publicly funded social care 12. One of the main consequences of this is delayed discharge of older patients out of hospital into more appropriate care settings. The RCP (Royal College of Physicians) has reported that the number of patients in hospital because of delays being discharged has risen by 80% over the last five years 13. 14. This results in worse patient outcomes and problems further down the line as older people can, for example, quickly lose mobility and the ability to do everyday tasks, as a consequence of being in hospital. It has been reported that in healthy older adults 10 days bed rest leads to a 14% reduction in leg and hip muscle strength and a 12% reduction in aerobic capacity 15. Not only is this bad for the patients stuck in hospital, it means that people who do need hospital care cannot be admitted due to bed shortages, and is also wasteful of NHS resources. The gross cost to the NHS of bed days occupied by older patients no longer in need of acute treatment has been estimated at £820 million 16. 2.5 What funding models would best ensure financial stability and sustainability without compromising the quality of care? What financial system would help determine where money might be best spent? The BMA believes that public funding must be used prudently and effectively. Previous attempts to introduce new funding models in the NHS have lacked adequate scrutiny and effective risk assessment. An example of this is the introduction of PFI (Private Finance Initiatives), which have become a drain on the public purse, creating an enormous burden of debt. The Government must undertake evaluation and learn from past experience and international comparators when instigating new funding methods in the NHS. This will avoid further instances of individual hospitals and CCGs becoming overrun by debt, compromising the care they are able to provide to patients. 2.6 What is the scope for changes to current funding streams such as a hypothecated health tax, sin taxes, inheritance and property taxes, new voluntary local taxes, and expansion on co-payments (with agreed exceptions)? The BMA is committed to an NHS which is publicly provided, publicly delivered and free at the point of need. We strongly believe that healthcare funding is a basic function of government and the NHS must continue to be funded directly through general taxation. 2.7 We have supported some initiatives to increase the amount of funding available for public spending generally, for example the proposed Tobin Tax of 0.05% on the banking sector, which could have raised as estimated £20 billion. We also support taxation of some products and services which are proven to have negative health impacts on the population, as direct economic disincentives. We consider that it is appropriate to increase tax on tobacco, to introduce a minimum alcohol pricing of 50p per unit of alcohol sold 17and we welcome the Government’s proposed soft drinks sugar levy. Measures such as these could help to boost public finances overall, which could then result in greater funding being made available to health and care services. 2.8 However, we have concerns regarding the ability of recent schemes, such as the social care precept (see Annex 1), to raise the funding that is needed to meet patient need. It is therefore crucial that these schemes are evaluated to ensure that they are effective and proportionate. Lafond S, Charlesworth A, Roberts A (2016). A perfect storm: an impossible climate for NHS providers’ finances? The Health Foundation. Underfunded, underdoctored, overstretched - the NHS in 2016, p.2 https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B59chPQfmIt1Y3RSSkN4OGZqam1BdzRGSHNCLWtIcWY4dVRZ/view 14 National Audit Office (2016) Discharging older patients from hospital 15 Monitor (2015) Moving healthcare closer to home: literature review of clinical impacts. 16BMA, minimum alcohol pricing briefing, https://www.bma.org.uk/collective-voice/policy-and-research/public-and-populationhealth/alcohol/minimum-unit-pricing 12 13RCP: Page 4 of 13 2.9 We have previously argued that it should be easier to share health and social care budgets where professionals have identified that it would be beneficial for patients and service users, either through existing mechanisms, or by creating new ways to pool budgets. However, these benefits will only materialise if high levels of trust exist between the relevant local partners and enough time is allowed for integration to be embedded18. We believe a national framework is needed to set out how the NHS, public health and social care will be funded, commissioned and organised in the future to meet the needs of the population. 2.10 Should the scope of what is free at the point of use be more tightly drawn? For instance, could certain procedures be removed from the NHS or made available on a means-tested basis, or could continuing care be made means-tested with a Dilnot-style cap? The BMA firmly rejects any proposal of a means-tested monthly levy to pay for the NHS or to charge for GP and hospital appointments19. User charges have been shown to limit access to healthcare on the basis of wealth, undermining the very principles which lie at the heart of the NHS and quality of service. Specifically studies show that more disadvantaged patients are likely to wait longer to seek medical care if a cost is involved, which ultimately can impact upon their recovery 20. 3. Workforce issues and planning 3.1 What are the options for increasing supply, for instance through changing entry systems, overseas recruitment, internal development and progression? The BMA does not support unlimited immigration for doctors but believes that employers must have the capacity to recruit and retain overseas doctors where other solutions to staffing have been unsuccessful and where a clear workforce need exists. The immigration system must remain flexible enough to recruit doctors from outside the UK should the resident workforce be unable to produce suitable applicants to fill specialist or generalist vacant roles, or if an individual has particular skills and knowledge not readily available in the UK. 3.2 What effect will the UK leaving the European Union have on the continued supply of healthcare workers from overseas? In 2014, 10,242 doctors (6.6% of the UK medical workforce) received their primary medical qualification in another European Economic Area (EEA) country 21 . These doctors have become essential members of the UK’s medical workforce and the NHS is dependent on them to provide a high quality, reliable and safe service to patients. It is vital that the Government offers EU nationals working in health and social care the right to remain in the UK. To help achieve this the BMA has joined the Cavendish Coalition, a newly formed coalition of 29 health and social care organisations, created to ensure standards of care are maintained as the Britain prepares to withdraw from the EU. 3.3 Currently medical research and the UK's expertise in planning and running health services are effective ways of generating revenue for the NHS and for individual employers. This in turn helps to resource services to patients and contributes to the sustainability of the NHS. The BMA recommends that for this to continue to be the case, following the UK exit from the European Union, there must continue to be a strong welcome for European and international students and trainees and a drive for the UK to go out and share its knowledge and expertise overseas. Williams et al (2013). Trust matters for integrated care? London: Kings Fund and Addicott R (2014). Commissioning and contracting for integrated care. 19 BMA Annual Representative Meeting 2014 20 Rand Corporation, The Health Insurance Experiment, 2006 p.3 http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB9174.html 21 BMA Implications of the European Union referendum result for government policies on ensuring safe staffing levels in the National Health Service and social care services https://www.bma.org.uk//media/files/pdfs/working%20for%20change/policy%20and%20lobbying/pa-briefeureferendumandsafestaffing-19-07-2016.pdf?la=en 18 Page 5 of 13 3.4 What are the retention issues for key groups of healthcare workers and how should these be addressed? The BMA is greatly concerned by the ongoing problems in recruiting and retaining all grades of doctors and the impact this has had on already stretched services. Effective workforce planning must be undertaken to ensure the right number of healthcare workers are employed with the right skills and in the right places. Parts of the NHS currently lack a coherent and properly funded plan to deliver a workforce that will meet the demands of the population. Workforce planning needs to take account of the changing current and projected future demands and therefore needs to also look at training requirements as well as measures to support greater retention of doctors. Governments should retain control of workforce planning and development centrally, to prevent unacceptable regional variations in training quality, the output of training and workforce availability. The lack of robust data relating to the medical workforce across the UK is also a concern. Adequate data is necessary, not only for the effective delivery of current care, but also for sustainable planning, and in understanding the requirements for medical training provision. There needs to be improved availability, quality and accuracy of NHS data collection across the UK, particularly around workforce numbers and vacancies, which are not routinely collected. 3.5 General practice is the foundation stone of the NHS. However, just a year after the Government promised to recruit 5,000 more GPs, a survey by GP magazine Pulse found that around 12% of GP posts are vacant, the highest ever level of unfilled posts 22. The Government should work with doctors to promote the uptake of general practice, increase the number of GPs, and implement the recommendations included in the BMA’s report GP Safe working and locality hubs 23. These include a safe level of appointments per day, appointment times that are sufficient to accommodate patient need, and support and promotion for the rollout and evidence base for locality hubs, which are beginning to be used to pool local primary care resources. 3.6 The BMA also has concerns regarding secondary care recruitment and retention. There are significant gaps in recruitment of some consultants, including psychiatrists 24 , physicians 25 and emergency medicine 26. Some A&E departments have already had to impose temporary closures due to lack of medical staff27. Rota gaps are frequently reported as a problem, with evidence showing that seven out of 10 doctors in training work on a rota with a permanent gap 28. In addition, only 52% of FY (Foundation Year) 2 doctors are now progressing straight to specialty training, a drop of around 20 per cent over the past five years, while the number of FY 2 doctors leaving medicine over the same period increased by nearly 10 per cent 29. 3.7 Following the announcement of the imposition of a national model contract for junior doctors in England, morale amongst junior doctors has collapsed. Such a situation is hugely concerning for the future sustainability of the NHS as it will have a significant impact on retention figures for current and future junior doctors. To ensure the NHS is sustainable, the Government must prioritise improving the recruitment and retention of doctors. Pulse, 29 April 2015, GP vacancy rate at highest ever, with 50% rise in empty posts http://www.pulsetoday.co.uk/your-practice/practicetopics/employment/gp-vacancy-rate-at-highest-ever-with-50-rise-in-empty-posts/20009835.fullarticle 23 GP Safe working and locality hubs, https://www.bma.org.uk/collective-voice/committees/general-practitioners-committee/gpc-currentissues/safe-working-in-general-practice 24 Kings Fund, Workforce planning in the NHS, p. 7 http://www.kingsfund.org.uk/sites/files/kf/field/field_publication_file/Workforceplanning-NHS-Kings-Fund-Apr-15.pdf 25 RCP (2016) Underfunded. Underdoctored. Overstretched. 26 The Guardian, 10 August, 2016, https://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/aug/10/hospital-a-and-e-crisis-shortage-emergencydoctors 27 Inews, 10 August 2016, https://inews.co.uk/essentials/news/health/emergency-departments-closing-nhs-trusts-deficit/ 28 RCP: Underfunded, underdoctored, overstretched - the NHS in 2016, p.3 https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B59chPQfmIt1Y3RSSkN4OGZqam1BdzRGSHNCLWtIcWY4dVRZ/view 29 2015 F2 career destination report: http://www.foundationprogramme.nhs.uk/download.asp?file=F2_Career_Destination_Report_2015_-_FINAL.pdf) 22 Page 6 of 13 3.8 How can the UK ensure its health and social care workforce is sufficiently and appropriately trained? The BMA has set out a vision for pre- and post-qualification training and development of doctors 30 , which centres on the purpose and goals of medical education, training and development being universally understood and agreed with the profession. Medical education, training and development must be responsive to the population’s health requirements and rooted in an ethos of professional excellence. We also consider that there should be a process of continuous lifelong learning, which in turn is valued and supported by employers and infrastructure. 3.9 The BMA has concerns, which are outlined in our recent response to the Higher Education and Research Public Bill Committee 31, that new fee raising powers contained within the Bill, linking fees to the TEF (Teaching Excellence Framework) could, in the long-term, lead to noticeable differences in tuition fees across providers. We consider that in time this may negatively impact on the number of applications to study medicine, as well as discouraging some of the brightest students from becoming doctors. We recommend that the proposed flexibility of tuition fees based on their rating in the TEF should be reconsidered. 4. Models of service delivery 4.1 What are the practical changes required to provide the population with an integrated National Health and Care Service? The BMA has consistently called for greater integration and collaboration between different parts of the health service, including health and social care, as well as more integrated working across the medical profession and other clinicians. We believe the focus needs to be on delivering joinedup services, rather than encouraging growth of the internal market. 4.2 We recommend that any local service redesign should involve primary, community and secondary care, including mental health, working in collaboration. When appropriate, it will also be important to involve public health, bringing service delivery and prevention closer together. Similarly, integration with social care must be improved. There needs to be a concerted effort to bridge the longstanding divides that exist between sectors. Without this, a successful transformation of the NHS to a genuinely coordinated and integrated health system is unlikely to be achieved. 4.3 Changes that don’t ensure genuine collaboration will create division, particularly if they are perceived to be led by a certain sector or profession. We therefore recommend that any plan to integrate services must be based on collaboration without any group dominating. The process must involve consultation and engagement with all sectors and patient groups from the earliest possible opportunity. Any change must be clinically-led and based on good clinical evidence that care will be improved or at least not compromised. 4.4 How could truly integrated budgets for the NHS and social care work and what changes would be required at national and local levels to make this work smoothly? The experience of our members suggests that cultural and behavioural change in organisations has the biggest impact on integration and other service redesign projects. Rather than merging budgets, the BMA recommends that organisations should be supported to work together, focusing on partnership working. We are concerned that pooled budgets could result in decisions made on health spend becoming rationed, to meet the existing outstanding needs of the care sector. Pre and post qualification training and development of doctors, BMA, 2015, https://www.bma.org.uk/collective-voice/policy-andresearch/education-training-and-workforce/training-and-development-of-doctors 31 BMA response to the Higher Education and Research Public Bill Committee: http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201617/cmpublic/HigherEducationandResearch/memo/HERB28.htm 30 Page 7 of 13 4.5 Overall, we believe that virtual integration should be prioritised over structural integration as evidence has shown structural integration is often insufficient in achieving better coordination and improved patient outcomes 32 . In Northern Ireland, for example, patients share many of the frustrations of patients in England despite integrated health and social care services. Organisations working in partnership, with or without shared budgets, can effectively develop multidisciplinary teams, managed clinical networks and joined-up care pathways. Virtual integration is also much less disruptive. Given the need for stability in the NHS and for stronger relationships to develop between service providers, this is very important. 4.6 We support local areas working together to maximise the benefits for patients in their locality and collaborating to make the most out of common resources. STPs (Sustainability and Transformation Plans) may present an opportunity to create a shared vision and objectives for all organisations within an area, including a single shared set of measures to assess performance. However, it is critical that these plans must not exacerbate the funding crisis in the NHS. In particular, it is important that STPs do not result in health funding being used to prop up depleted social care budgets rather than focusing on the health needs of the local population. The BMA strongly believes that if NHS funding levels are insufficient, the government must look at developing a new funding settlement for health and social care services. 4.7 We also consider that for STPs to be successful it is crucial that there is sufficient public awareness of them and that they have the support of patients and doctors. The BMA is therefore calling for all plans to be made public and for local clinicians to be fully consulted and involved in any planned changes. In addition, a good governance structure must be developed to ensure proper accountability in the long term. 4.8 How can the balance between (a) hospital and community services and (b) mental and physical health and care services be improved? Encouraging and enabling providers to work collaboratively around the needs of patients should help deliver more joined-up services, with an improved balance between hospital and community services. The evidence available suggests that community-based care improves patient access and experience while maintaining a level of quality that is equivalent with services offered in acute settings33. The evidence also suggests that managed care programmes, emphasising preventative healthcare and home treatment, as would likely be found in mature MCPs (Multispecialty Community Providers), would improve quality for patients with long term conditions 34. 4.9 The BMA recognises that payment by results (PbR) systems can create perverse incentives to treat patients within secondary care systems. To address this, it is important that the government makes faster progress towards payments mechanisms that support integrated personalised care, while also recognising and rewarding good outcomes. 4.10 We believe that the overall level of funding available for the NHS must be increased. This would allow for an improved balance between mental and physical health care, as spending on mental health care currently only equates to 11% of the total UK NHS budget. We believe that this would move the NHS closer towards the desired aim of creating parity of esteem between the two. There also needs to be more integration of mental health services with physical health services, through Kings Fund (2010). Clinical and service integration: the route to improved outcomes https://www.kingsfund.org.uk/sites/files/kf/Clinicaland-service-integration-Natasha-Curry-Chris-Ham-22-November-2010.pdf 33 Sibbald B, McDonald R & Roland M (2007). ‘Shifting care from hospitals to the community: a review of the evidence on quality and efficiency’. Journal of Health Services Research & Policy, 12 (2) 34 Singh (2005). Transforming Chronic Care: Evidence about improving care for people with long term conditions. Surrey and Sussex Primary Care Trust Alliance. 32 Page 8 of 13 careful commissioning and delivery that supports integration, such as implementing liaison psychiatry services. Better integration of these services enables patients with common comorbidities of physical and mental health problems to be helped and treated earlier with collaborative, holistic care. 5. Prevention and public engagement 5.1 What are the practical changes required to enable the NHS to shift to a more preventative rather than acute treatment service? What are the key elements of a public health policy that would enhance a population’s health and wellbeing and increase years of good health? We believe that the 2010 Marmot Review 35 sets out a comprehensive method to shift towards a preventative approach to healthcare based on action through the life course. The BMA strongly supports this approach, and believes that a cross-government action plan is required setting out short, medium and long-term actions against each recommendation in the Marmot Review. There is also a need to complement this action with measures to mitigate the negative effects of austerity and welfare reform on health, including a ‘health in all policies’ approach, which would require all policy to take into account the health implications of decisions, and avoid harmful health impacts, in order to improve population health and health equity. 5.2 Prioritising a focus on ill-health prevention activities to address the health risk factors significant to the development of long-term conditions, such as cancer and cardiovascular diseases, will contribute to promoting future sustainability of the NHS. These risk factors include smoking, alcohol misuse and poor nutrition. The BMA believes there is a need to develop a long-term, comprehensive public health strategy aimed at improving health over a generation (ie 25 years). Focusing on the long-term is necessary to deliver sustained behaviour change among a population because of the way in which poorer health outcomes accumulate over time. It would also overcome the inherent weaknesses of existing strategies that are typically short-term, and that can radically change in focus after each parliamentary cycle. Its development, implementation and monitoring should be overseen by a standing Royal Commission on Public Health. 5.3 We recommend that investment in ill-health prevention programmes should be prioritised and proportionate to the burden of disease across the social gradient. There is also a need for the Government to utilise the full range of interventions: clinical; social; behavioural; educational; environmental; fiscal; and legislative, to tackle the main drivers of unhealthy lifestyle risks. BMA policies in relation to tobacco, alcohol and food and non-alcoholic drink products are included as Annex 2. 5.4 In addition, as highlighted at the start of this submission, we also recognise that increasing health literacy, particularly from an early age, is key to achieving public health prevention measures and promoting better awareness of self-care. This is crucial as people with low health literacy report worse physical and mental health, along with a higher prevalence of a number of serious health conditions 36 . This issue is compounded by the number of competing messages associated with commercial marketing. For example, there is a stark contrast between government expenditure on public health communications and the money spent by companies advertising unhealthy food and drink products. According to PHE, while the government’s public health marketing programme Change4Life has an annual budget of £10 million, nearly £150 million was spent on marketing unhealthy food and drink products in 2013. We recommend that to address this, government must explore how to better promote health literacy from childhood and couple this improvement with reviewing existing promotions and advertising for unhealthy food and drink products. Marmot M, Allen J, Goldblatt P et al (2010) Fair society, healthy lives. Strategic review of health inequalities in England post-2010. London: The Marmot Review. 36 Rowlands G, Protheroe J, Richardson M et al. Defining and describing the mismatch between population health literacy and numeracy and health system complexity. Submitted for publication. 35 Page 9 of 13 5.5 What are the best ways to engage the public in talking about what they want from a health service? It is important to involve patients and the public in the planning, monitoring and development of health services. Listening, engaging and empowering patients will help deliver services that reflect what patients want and need. NHS England has produced specific guidance for commissioners on how to involve patients and the public in this area which includes some helpful best practice case studies37. Commissioners need to make sure they engage with all parts of their local communities, especially disadvantaged and disenfranchised groups, as their needs are often amongst the most challenging. 5.6 The BMA actively promotes the importance of communication and genuine cooperation with patients, and their families and carers, through its PLG (Patient Liaison Group). Since its launch in 2004 the PLG has produced a number of patient-focused resources on topics ranging from selfcare to toolkits for doctors on patient involvement. It also provides support for doctors, offering communication skills courses and an online toolkit. We believe that this focus on patients should be ingrained into the delivery of health care in the England. 6. Digitisation of services, Big Data and informatics 6.1 How can new technologies be used to ensure the sustainability of the NHS? What is the role of technology such as telecare and telehealth, wearable technologies and genetic and genome medicine in reducing costs and managing demand? Technological advances can support the redesign and delivery of healthcare to manage increased demand on the NHS, but only if they are used as one part of a broader strategy of investment. We consider there is a role for technology to support patients to self-manage conditions, as well as to support clinicians to deliver care more quickly, access improved decision support and communicate more effectively between primary, secondary and social care. For example, Asthma UK reports that trials of smart inhalers to monitor medication adherence are showing evidence of improved asthma control, through both improving self-management and providing clinicians with real time, precision data to inform the development of asthma action plans 38. The BMA is supportive of further work to develop our understanding of the potential benefits and risks associated with these types of innovations. 6.2 However, there is currently limited evidence that emerging technologies such as telemedicine, wearables and apps do in fact reduce costs and manage demand. There is also inconclusive evidence as to whether or not remote consultations reduce the number of in-person consultations or improve clinical outcomes. Research into genome medicine remains at an early stage, so the role it could play in reducing costs and managing demand is still unknown. 6.3 What is the role of ‘Big Data’ in reducing costs and managing demand? The BMA believes that ‘big data’ technologies offer considerable opportunities for research into health, healthcare delivery and public health. We are supportive of uses of data for secondary purposes, with appropriate safeguards and transparent processes in place. Given the scale of datasets used in big data, it is of paramount importance that the public fully understands and supports the use of big data technologies, and all data uses are fully transparent and in line with patient expectations. 6.4 What are the barriers to industrial roll out of new technologies and the use of ‘Big Data’? 37 38 https://www.england.nhs.uk/commissioning/primary-care-comm/involving-the-public/ Asthma UK. 2016. Connected asthma: how technology will transform care. Report. Page 10 of 13 One of the key barriers to large scale roll out of new technologies and big data is the lack of resources and capacity available to do it properly. The NHS is experiencing intense financial and workload pressures, directly caused by continued underinvestment. The government needs to provide significantly increased and ongoing investment if healthcare organisations are to resource and deliver IT programmes that actually achieve the desired outcomes of reduced costs and demand. Any intention to roll out programmes for new technologies needs to ensure that the mistakes of the 2002 – 2011 National Programme for IT are not repeated. For example, additional funding would be needed to successfully implement and embed an IT programme for a range of activities, including training clinical leadership to understand digital opportunities and technologies. In addition, extensive planning and piloting would be needed to develop evidence that the intervention will be clinically beneficial. 6.5 Many of the opportunities offered by advances in technology and informatics require changes to the way information about patients is collected, stored and shared. For the NHS to realise the benefits offered by data sharing between providers and from wearable technologies into patient records, NHS Digital needs to continue its current work of ensuring all systems and third party providers are fully interoperable. 6.6 Fragmented IT development leads to difficulty achieving interoperability, which limits collaboration and undermines the quality of care that can be provided. Local IT systems in the health and social care sector are often outdated and unsupported 39 and present a serious barrier to the successful uptake and embedding of new technologies. There needs to be increased and sustained investment in programmes of regularly updating software and hardware. For example, if clinicians are expected to reduce workload by using telemedicine tools like video consultation, the software used needs to provide adequate resolution and fully integrate with the clinical system. 6.7 Healthcare professionals often do not have access to general IT help and support to resolve technical issues in a timely manner, often meaning that using technology inhibits the safe and efficient delivery of care rather than enhancing it. Relevant bodies should ensure there are adequate dedicated resources made available to provide technical support for IT systems, either through contracts with suppliers and/or a dedicated support service. 6.8 How can healthcare providers be incentivised to take up new technologies? In addition to addressing the barriers described above, healthcare providers would be incentivised to develop and deliver programmes using new technologies if there was a comprehensive, peerreviewed evidence base showing that there are measurable benefits of using new technologies for reducing workload and managing demand. 6.9 Where is investment in technology and informatics most needed? Programmes should focus on improving how healthcare professionals currently work, finding new ways to work more efficiently, with fewer errors. Long-term investment in research and delivery is required to understand what technology is useful for patients and professionals, as well as what technology creates unintended negative consequences. Any large-scale implementation of technology-enabled services also requires significant and long-term funding in change programmes to ensure that technology is embedded within an organisation and used effectively, rather than imposing further workload on clinicians and creating potentially dangerous situations for patients. 6.10 75%of doctors feel that doctors and medical students need more training and education about information, data and technology 40. If IT and new technologies are to be used more within the NHS, National data guardian for health and care. 2016. Review of data security, consent and opt-outs. Report. BMA. 2015. BMA member survey – NHS IT. Survey of ca 500 doctors across all branch of practices, conducted between 13 January and 3 February 2015. 39 40 Page 11 of 13 increased and sustained investment in training will need to be prioritised to ensure that healthcare professionals can use emerging IT competently. For further information, please contact: September, 2016 Gemma Hopkins, Senior Public Affairs Officer T: 020 7383 6287 |E [email protected] Annex 1. Social care precept The social care precept, that enables local authorities to increase Council Tax by up to 2% a year to help fund adult social care, is unlikely to raise the amount needed to cover costs for social care services. The IFS (Institute for Fiscal Studies) has estimated that this mechanism would raise £1.7 billion by 2019/20 if used in full and would also need to cover the cost of the new National Living Wage 41 which is estimated to be £1.4 billion by 2020. 42 Another issue is that the precept will raise the least funding in the areas of greatest need of social care. 43 The BMA is concerned that this will exacerbate existing health inequalities. Annex 2. Summary of BMA policies in relation to tobacco, alcohol and food and non-alcoholic drink products Tobacco • Increase taxation on all tobacco products above the rate of inflation and introduce a minimum consumption tax. • Implement a positive licensing scheme to control and reduce the amount of tobacco legally on sale. • Introduce a requirement for tobacco companies to report on sales data, marketing strategies and lobbying activity • Introduce an annual levy on tobacco companies to provide funding for future tobacco control, applied proportionately according to a company’s market share Alcohol • Introduce a minimum price of at least 50p per unit of alcohol for all alcohol sales. • Ensure duty on alcohol is increase annually above the rate of inflation and that the tax on every alcohol product is proportionate to the volume of alcohol it contains. • Prohibit all alcohol marketing and establish an independent body to provide education about alcohol and regulate product and packaging design. • Reduce licensing hours in on and off licensed premises, including restricting the sale of alcohol in shops to designated areas. Phillips D (2015). Local government and the nations: a devolution revolution? Institute for Fiscal Studies Autumn Statement briefing. Resolution Foundation (2015). Care to pay? Meeting the challenge of paying the National Living Wage in social care. 43 Association of Directors of Adult Social Services (2016). ADASS Budget survey. 41 42 Page 12 of 13 • Implementing mandatory labelling of alcohol products that include an evidence-based health warning specified by an independent regulatory body. Food and non-alcoholic drink products • Introduce a mandatory, standardised approach for displaying nutritional information on all prepackaged food and drink products. • Prohibit the marketing of unhealthy food and drink products that appeals to children and young people. • Review of how the regulation of sales promotions can be strengthened to ensure they favour healthy options and deliver public health benefits • Prohibit retailers from displaying and promoting unhealthy food and drink products at checkouts and in queuing areas. • Provide local authorities with the power to restrict the future number, clustering and concentration of fast-food outlets locally. • Set mandatory targets for manufacturers, retailers and caterers to reduce calorie, fat, saturated fat, salt and added sugar levels in pre-prepared and processed products. • Introduce a tax on all sugar-sweetened beverages, which increases the price by at least 20%. Page 13 of 13
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