Features fires: Yellowstone A decade later Ecological lessons learnedin the wake of the conflagration A top a ridge in Yellowstone has already yielded up a sparse forest National Park in 1984, a freak summer wind-perhaps a tornado or a downburst from a thunderstorm-leveled an ancient lodgepole pine forest, piling up a head-high maze of logs. In the notorious summer of 1988, when wildfires burned one-third of the park, a fire front swept across the same ridge, incinerating everything under four inches in diameter and charring the rest. The result was a scene so desolate that a network television crew chose it as the backdrop to declare Yellowstone's "legacy in ashes." A few years later, the park service built a wooden boardwalk across the blackened ground at that site atop the Solfatara Plateau above the Grand Canyon of the Yellowstone River. At the end of the walk, an interpretive sign tells of the blowdown and the subsequent wildfires and proclaims: "After two consecutive deforestations, this site can still reseed with grasses and shrubs, but it may remain a meadow for decades." That sign went up against the advice of Don Despain, then a park service biologist and one of the architects of Yellowstone's "natural fire" policy, which mandates fighting fires only when they threaten lives or property. According to Despain, the sign reflects the stillpervasive myth that forest fires often "sterilize" soils. Today, however, Despain, who is now with the US Geological Survey (USGS), can wear an I-told-you-so smile as he points out the sign to visitors. That's because only a decade after the fires, the charred ground beyond the sign by Yvonne Baskin February 1999 of knee- to shoulder-height pines. "The soil was not sterilized by this hottest of fires, and it hasn't become a meadow," Despain told a group of journalists and researchers who visited the site last May. "It's just a temporarily less dense lodgepole pine forest." In fact, Yellowstone's forests are regenerating even more rapidly than Despain and other fire ecologists had expected. And this rapid rebound from the ashes exemplifies the recovery that biologists are seeing throughout the park as they take advantage of a once-in-a-lifetime opportunityno comparable wildfires have swept the region since the early 1700s-to study the impact of this immense force of nature on a near-pristine Western landscape. (For early reviews of the ecological consequences of the fire, see BioScience 39: 678-722.) As they began their tenth summer of postfire field work, many of these researchers gathered to review their findings at a symposium at Montana State University in Bozeman commemorating the 125th anniversary of Yellowstone National Park. "The recovery is certainly proceeding much faster than I would have predicted," concluded Norman Christensen, of Duke University, after the symposium. The lodgepole and Douglas-fir forests are largely replacing themselves, as are the grasslands and sagebrush on the park's northern range. The elk and bison herds were only briefly and minimally affected. In the streams, the cast of invertebrate characters and the physical features have changed, but that hasn't bothered the fish. Furthermore, invading weeds have gained little ground in the burned areas. Effects on landscape diversity Not only have the park's major ecosystems retained their identity-forest as forest, grassland as grasslandbut the fire did not turn the once-patchy landscape into monotonous stretches of forest and range. Christensen noted that, before the fire, it might have been plausible to assume that such a massive disturbance would have a homogenizing effect, "resetting the clock" by knocking vast areas back to a uniform stage in plant succession. But because both the burn intensities and the responses of the vegetation varied, the fire actually reset different patches to different stages, and the post-fire landscape is as patchy and highly variable as the pre-fire landscape. Monica Turner, of the University of Wisconsin-Madison, and colleagues have been documenting the dramatic mosaic of burn severities across the Yellowstone landscape, from unburned patches to areas swept by all-consuming crown fires, and tracking the complex patterns of succession the fires set in motion. One of the most enduring legacies of these differences in fire severity is the extreme variation in the initial density of lodgepole pine regrowth. Lodgepole pine forests, which cover nearly 60 percent of the park, represent the postcard image of the Yellowstone landscape. Despite their dominance, the pines do not create uniform and monotonous stands. After the fire, in fact, ecologists Jay Anderson, of Idaho State University, and William Romme, of Fort Lewis College, in Durango, Colorado, found that the density of new pine seedlings varied by as much as four orders of magnitude at different sites. 93 University of California Press is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve, and extend access to BioScience ® www.jstor.org Blackenedtrunks, or snags, dominate a lodgepole pine forest near Swan Lake Flat in Yellowstone National Park in August 1989 (left), approximately 1 year after wildfires burnedone-third of the park. On the tenth anniversaryof the fires, in May 1998 (right), the burned snags were still standing but a dense crop of lodgepole seedlings was replacing the burned trees. Photos: Jay Anderson. In September 1988 (left), shortly after fire swept through this Douglas-fir stand north of Tower Junction in Yellowstone National Park,the ground looked like "the bottom of a barbeque pit," according to ecologist Jay Anderson, of Idaho State University.Butby the following July (right),a lush carpetof forbs had sproutedfrom the roots and seeds that had survived in the soil. Photos: Jay Anderson. 94 These variations reflect not only how hot the fire burned but also the soil type, elevation, patch size, and, most important, levels of a trait called is, production of serotiny-that closed cones-at different sites. And high levels of serotiny, in turn, appear to be a legacy of past fires. A lodgepole pine bears only one of two types of cones: cones that open and drop their seeds at maturity or serotinous cones, which remain closed and hanging in the canopy, sometimes for decades, until a forest fire cracks the resin bonds on their scales and allows them to open, releasing seeds into what Romme calls a "perfect post-fire nursery bed." Surveys by Anderson, Romme, and colleagues found that the proportion of serotinous trees in pine stands in their Yellowstone study sites ranged from 0 to 48 percent. And frequent fires select for serotiny: Lower-elevation stands that burn more frequently tend to produce a higher proportion of serotinous trees, Anderson pointed out. After the 1988 fires, these highserotiny sites also produced the highest densities of seedling regrowth because levels of serotiny, along with fire severity, determine the seed supply available after a burn, Anderson said. In fact, he and his colleagues found that seedling densities increased exponentially with the proportion of serotinous trees in the pre-fire stands. Anderson's group counted anywhere from 80 seedlings per hectare at highelevation sites where no serotinous trees had endured severe crown fires to "doghair" thickets of 1.9 million seedlings per hectare in a low-elevation stand where half the trees were serotinous. Seedling densities also ranged from 4 to 24 times higher in moderately burned sites than in severely burned crown-fire sites. Despite these findings, Anderson noted that only a "modest proportion" of trees need be serotinous to ensure that an existing forest is replaced, even after a severe fire. In fact, Anderson's group found that even on the most severely burned BioScienceVol. 49 No. 2 high-elevation lodgepole pine sites, within 5-6 years enough seedlings had sprouted from seeds produced by the earliest recruits to replace the stand that had burned. (Density in these stands will still not equal that in lowerelevation stands because of differences in soil types and other conditions.) If differences such as tree density persist in Yellowstone's regenerating plant community, then they are likely to produce lasting variations in ecosystem processes such as nitrogen cycling and plant productivity, Turner said, providing a long-term signature of fire-created landscape diversity. In another Yellowstone ecosystem-the Douglas-fir forests that dominate only a small percentage of the landscape-recovery from the fire has been slower than in the pine stands. One such site is a muchphotographed hot burn that occurred near a road pullout a mile northeast of Tower Junction. Symposium organizer Linda Wallace, of the University of Oklahoma, arrived there shortly after the fires to find a soda bottle that had been left sitting atop a metal trash can. The fire had blazed so hot that the bottle had melted to the can. Despain recalled that walking through the area left him black to his knees, "like walking through the bottom of a barbecue pit." If any site in the park looked sterilized, it was that one, Anderson agreed. Yet that and other Douglas-fir stands, like the pine forests, have defied 1980s notions about hot fires sterilizing the soil. Indeed, by the following July, that charred fir forest was a flower garden, so dense and photogenic with a carpet of deep pink fireweed and yellow heartleaf arnica that pictures of it appeared in National Geographic and other magazines. Today a thick stand of knee-high firs seems to be restoring that forest to its original density, Anderson said. Even the hottest fire seldom affects more than the top inch of soil, he said, leaving seeds, bulbs, roots, and rhizomes below that depth to resprout. Contrary to pre-fire expectations, February 1999 dispersal of seeds from surrounding unburned forest has not played an important role in recovery to date, Turner noted, although half of the crown fire patches lie within 50 meters of a "green edge" in the burn mosaic, meaning that there are potential seed sources nearby. Like the pines and firs, most herbaceous plants in the burned forests came from resprouting survivors and the seeds they produced, she said. Legacy in the soil Whereas tree seedlings are the most visible legacy of the fire, the thousands of fire-blackened trunks, or snags, that tower above the new young pines indicate to researchers that the fire has also set in motion long-term changes in nutrient cycling and soil processes. Some snags may stand for a century or more, but many thousands of others have already toppled to the ground, creating what foresters refer to as coarse woody debris. Botanist Daniel Tinker, of the University of Wyoming-Laramie, said that colleagues often refer to him in jest as a "morticulture" specialist because of his focus on dead wood. Yet coarse woody debris is "so full of bugs, fungi, and nesting birds that it could be livelier than living trees," he said. Rotting logs, which can take a century to fully decay, are also important for soil structure and nutrient cycling, Tinker pointed out, raising the question of the long-term consequences of logging practices that virtually eliminate most of this debris. The millions of rotting snags in Yellowstone-criticized by some politicians and timber industry officials as a waste that should be salvaged-are actually providing a crucial ecological benchmark by which to judge and compare the soil in sites of repeated clear-cuts, Tinker said. The impact on elk Sagebrush and grasslands on Yellowstone's northern range comprise only a small percentage of the park, yet they supply critical winter forage for elk and bison herds. Indeed, the northern range hosts a wildlife spectacle unique to North America that has earned it the designation "America's Serengeti." Wallace and others noted that the grasslands have already recovered to pre-fire conditions, although it may take 20-30 years more to recover mature sagebrush. Wallace was surprised to find that although the fires burned onefourth of the winter range, they took only a temporary and insignificant toll on large mammals, especially elk and bison. Extensive surveys carried out on foot and horseback and by helicopter right after the fires found that the blazes had killed less than 1 percent of the park's large mammals, but a significant elk die-off occurred during the following winter. However, two different models-an ecosystem model used by Wallace and colleagues to study animal survivorship and a model of landscape carrying capacity developed by Colorado State University ecologist Michael Coughenour-put most of the blame not on the loss of forage grasses to fire but on the severity of the 1988-1989 winter. Coughenour found that the ecological carrying capacity for elkthe number of animals the food supply could support-dropped by 80 percent in the winter following the fire. However, his model attributed most of that decline to the weatherboth summer drought and heavy winter snowpack on the northern range. The fire had a multiplier effect, reducing carrying capacity by an extra 12 percent over the weather effects alone, Coughenour said. His model also predicted slight declines in elk carrying capacity in the two succeeding winters, but after that, increased grass in the burned areas was expected to support slightly higher elk numbers for several decades. Documenting the actual impacts of the fire on the elk herds is difficult because of confounding factors, such 95 as the higher numbers of elk killed by hunters when the harsh winter and forage loss caused more elk to venture outside the park, Coughenour said. Still, he concluded, "the impact of the fire pales beside the impact of the drought and the heavy winter snowpack. The system and the animals have endured similar things [fires and severe weather] in the past and they seem quite resilient in the face of these periodic largescale disturbances." Aspens struggle to rebound Elk themselves are getting much of the blame for heading off what many had expected would be a post-fire renaissance of aspen in the park. For 60 years, biologists and park officials have been concerned about a very visible decline in both aspen stands and riparian willows. Elk browse on both species during the winter, and the decline of these trees and shrubs has helped to fuel an impassioned debate among ecologists, wildlife biologists, range scientists, and various park critics over whether the park has too many elk. Other researchers have suggested that the decline of aspen is a legacy of past fire-suppression policies rather than elk, because aspen grow as clones that may cover many acres, and fire stimulates the sprouting of new shoots from the roots. Romme reported that aspen have been resprouting vigorously from roots in the park's burned stands. Also, in higher-elevation burned forests, where aspen clones were not present before, aspen have sprouted from seed-quite an unusual event, Romme said. The source of the seeds is unknown because aspen seeds can remain viable in the soil for only a few weeks. Despite these encouraging events, researchers are not seeing the abundant regeneration of fullheight trees that Romme and others had predicted, perhaps because elk nibble down the shoots each winter. However, Romme is not ready to pin the blame for the loss of aspen 96 entirely on elk. Even in earlier decades, when the park actively culled elk, those that remained still browsed the aspen. Most of the mature aspen now found on the northern range grew to full size in the late 1800s under a unique convergence of ecological conditions that has not occurred since, Romme noted. At that time, poaching and market-hunting of elk and trapping of beaver had probably knocked down the numbers of those aspen eaters, and wolves were plentiful to help in ungulate control. Moreover, the climate was wetter and fire frequency was low, meaning that the aspen shoots that did sprout after a fire had a better chance to "escape" to full height before the next fire. The park is now taking a waitand-see approach to elk numbers to find out whether recently reintroduced wolves will thin the herds, Romme said. Meanwhile, the park's aspen clones are still sending up shoots, and Romme and others will be watching to see if any of them, or the new seedlings growing at higher elevations, survive to maturity. The scene in streams When watersheds burn, changes in streams are often dramatic, thanks to treefall, debris and sediment flows, bank erosion, loss of plant cover, changes in water temperature, and shifts in the aquatic food web. The streams in Yellowstone were no exception. The fires have led to continuing, often dramatic physical changes in the park's streams, sending new gravel and piles of tree trunks into some sections, for instance, or deepening others, according to studies by G. Wayne Minshall and colleagues at Idaho State University's Stream Ecology Center. And the remodeling is still in process. The composition of the aquatic insect community that feeds the also park's trout populations changed dramatically as water conditions and food resources in streams in the burned areas changed. Ten years later, the invertebrate community still hasn't returned to its prefire composition. Aquatic ecologist Timothy Mihuc, of the Illinois Natural History Survey, has followed the changes in Cache Creek, a stream in the northeast corner of the park, since the drainage burned. As expected, he said, after the riparian vegetation burned, the amount of litter falling into the stream declined dramatically. Once-shaded reaches emerged into full sunlight, increasing algae production in some places. This shift in food sources provided an advantage to insects that eat food colproduced in-stream-so-called lectors and scrapers, such as mayflies and riffle beetles-over the normally dominant shredders, which feed on fallen litter and detritus. But Mihuc found that the feeding habits of stream invertebrates are "very plastic," and half of the invertebrates in Cache Creek now seem to be functioning as generalists, feeding on both in-stream food and litter. The real survival test was not a question of food preferences, but of whether an invertebrate could survive the harsher physical environment of the post-fire stream. "One mayfly [Paraleptophlebia heteronea] we tested in a feeding experiment grew like gangbusters eating burned detritus, but it didn't increase in the post-fire stream because it requires stable flow and substrate conditions," Mihuc reported. He is still watching to see whether the stream invertebrates will revert to their previous food preferences and whether detritus-feeding shredders will return to dominance. Despite the physical and food web changes in streams, Yellowstone National Park Service biologist Daniel Mahony and USGS biologist Robert Gresswell have detected no negative impacts on fish populations. "Fish populations can recover rapidly when connectivity [between streams] is maintained" so that fish can recolonize, Gresswell said. The best way to minimize the impacts of fire on fish is to "stop spending BioScience Vol. 49 No. 2 money trying to stop fires and spend years during the past 14,000 years. it preventing fragmentation of Thus, there is no evidence of a predictable long-term fire cycle, the two aquatic systems," he added. Can we predict the big fires? How long will it be until Yellowstone faces another conflagration like the one in 1988? The commonly cited presumptionis that Yellowstone has a 200- to 300-year fire cycle tied to forest succession-the time it takes for lodgepole pine forests to mature and age, creatingan excess of woody debrisand setting the stage for 198 8scale fires. But in fact, several lines of evidence have now convinced geographer Cathy Whitlock, of the Universityof Oregon, and other scientists that such a predictable vegetation-driven fire cycle does not exist. Instead, Whitlock said, "climate is the driverof fire in this park." The key is whether the year is wet or dry, she said, althoughif fuel is abundant, the resulting fires will be exacerbated. The summer of 1988, for instance,was the driestin morethan a century,with high temperaturesand extremelyhigh winds producedby a seriesof dry high-pressuresystems. One line of evidence for a climate-fire link comes from studies of charcoal particles in lake-bottom sediments. Whitlock and graduate student SarahMillspaugh have been radiocarbondating charcoal records from several Yellowstone lakes to reconstruct the fire history of the regionin postglacialtimes.Theyhave found that fire frequency tracks the intensity of summer droughts and that mean intervals between major fires have ranged from 50 to 500 February 1999 concluded. Whitlock said that tree ring records of fire history mapped by Romme and Despain mesh well with the fire frequencies indicated in the lake-bottom charcoal records. Further support for the wide variation in fire frequency comes from the work of geologist Grant Meyer, of Middlebury College, in Vermont, who has been examining post-glacial fire history in Yellowstone by searching alluvial fan sediments for ancient debris flows-fast-moving slurries of water, mud, rock, and charcoal that can sweep down bare, newly burned hillsides after a thunderstorm. By extracting charcoal samples from 50 of those ancient flows and dating them using radiocarbon techniques, Meyer has found that the stand-replacing fires that produce such flows were more frequent in warmer, drought-prone periods, such as the Medieval Warm Period (900-1300) than in cooler, wetter periods, such as the Little Ice Age (1550-1850). "Big fires that create sediment and debris flows are being driven by climate," Meyer concluded. What about the possibility that human activities promoted such fires? Romme and Despain believe that the human influence on the timing and intensity of wildfires has been overstated. The 1988 fires sparked intense public debate over the park's fire policy. Since 1972, fires have been fought only when they threaten lives or property, but many park critics blamed the intensity of the 1988 fires on 85 years of suppression efforts before 1972, which allowed fuel to accumulate. Romme contends, however, that suppression efforts were probably ineffective in the high country until the late 1940s, with the advent of slurry bombers and other fire-fighting technology, and so played little role in setting the stage for a major blaze in the forests. The human role in igniting the fires was also probably negligible, Despain believes. In the summer of 1988, there were 249 fire starts, of which 7 were responsible for 95 percent of the area burned, and 3 of those 7 were human-caused. Nevertheless, Despain pointed out, lightning might have done the job if humans had not. On one day that summer, monitoring systems recorded more than 2000 lightning strikes in the park. There is never a dearth of ignition sources, Despain noted, so if conditions are right, fires will start. The right conditions apparently mean drought, which raises a question for the future: Was the record drought of the 1988 summer an anomaly? Whitlock's answer is, "we live in anomalous times." If predictions of global warming prove accurate, both the distribution and character of ecosystems in the park and the frequency and intensity of fires will shift, just as they have since glacial times. The only thing that we can predict with certainty, ChristenLI sen noted, is change. Yvonne Baskin is a freelance science writer based in Bozeman, Montana, and San Diego, California. 97
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