11/20/2008 MPhil Social and Developmental Psychology 1: Test Construction Professor John Rust University of Cambridge Outline • • • • • • What is psychometrics? The history of psychometrics Break How to find a test How to construct a test How to evaluate a test 2 1 11/20/2008 What is psychometrics? • “The science of psychological assessment” • Much assessment is “high stakes” • • • • • • Recruitment and staff development Licensing and chartering (eg Accountants, Surgeons) School and University examinations Psychiatric and ‘special needs’ diagnosis Credit ratings Career guidance Types of assessment • • • • • • • First impressions Application forms and references Objective tests (on or off line) Projective tests Interviews Essays and examinations Biodata 4 2 11/20/2008 The Psychometric Principles Maximizing the quality of assessment • Reliability • Validity • Standardisation • Equivalence 5 Reliability unreliable reliable 3 11/20/2008 Validity Quite reliable - but invalid Standardisation • Norm referenced • Criterion referenced • Self referenced (Ipsative) 4 11/20/2008 Equivalence History of psychometrics • • • • • The ancient world Emergence of the medical model Psychophysics Intelligence and evolution Modern psychometrics 5 11/20/2008 The ancient world • • • • • Chan dynasty (C. 1,000 BC) Chinese Examination system (C. 300 BC) Paper (Battle of Talas, AD 751) Jesuits (C. 1600 AD), Padua, Paris Indian Civil Service 19th Century The Medical Model • Paupers and the workhouse – http://www.mdx.ac.uk/WWW/STUDY/4_13_Ta.htm#London • Lunatic asylums: Illness vs Handicap • Institutional care for 'idiots and imbeciles' • Seguin Form Board and other diagnostics 6 11/20/2008 Psychophysics • • • • Wundt and the Leipzig Laboratory Galton and Anthropometrics James McKeen Cattell in Cambridge Alfred Binet Galton’s Anthropometric Laboratory 14 7 11/20/2008 Venn’s 1886 Cambridge study • Eyesight, strength (pull and squeeze), head size and shape etc. N = 1,450 students. • 'intellectual characteristics‘ assessed by college tutors: 'first-class man‘,'remaining honours men‘ & 'poll-men'. • “There does not seem to be the slightest difference between one class of our students and another” (Venn, 1889). Cattell’s psychometric laboratory 8 11/20/2008 Jim Watson and Jensen’s argument • In his controversial paper, Jensen argued: – IQ test scores of races differ – Twin studies show that IQ is at least 50% inherited – the 1970s ‘head start’ programme was doomed to failure as race differences were inherited. • The counter arguments then: – Kamin claimed twin studies were flawed – The Burt controversy • Jensen argument taken up by Eysenck in his book “Race and Intelligence” Race and IQ today • Charles Murray and Richard Herrnstein (1994) “The Bell Curve: Intelligence and class structure in American life”. • American Enterprise Institute, Pioneer Fund, Heritage Foundation, Eugenics Society 9 11/20/2008 The Flynn Effect “What is intelligence?”(2007) Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children WISC 1949 Average at WISC Rate of change p.a. 100 WISC-R 1974 107.63 0.311 WISC-III 1991 113.00 0.322 WISC-IV 2003 117.63 0.363 The Flynn effect: Paradox 4 • The identical twins paradox: Twin studies show that genes dominate individual differences in IQ and that environmental effects are feeble. IQ gains are so great as to signal the existence of environmental factors of enormous potency. How can environment be both so feeble and so potent? • At a given time, genetic differences between individuals (within a cohort) are dominant but only because they have hitched powerful environmental factors to their star. Trends over time (between cohorts) liberate environmental factors from the sway of genes and once unleashed, they can have a powerful cumulative effect. • www.thepsychometricscentre.co.uk/publications/beyonetheflynneffect 10 11/20/2008 The Flynn effect: Paradox 2 • • The intelligence paradox: If huge IQ gains are intelligence gains, why are we not stuck by the extraordinary subtlety of our children's conversation? Why do we not have to make allowances for the limitations of our parents? A difference of some 18 points in the average IQ over two generations ought to be highly visible. Asking whether IQ gains are intelligence gains is the wrong question because it implies all or nothing cognitive progress. The 20th century has seen some cognitive skills make great gains, while others have been in the doldrums. To assess cognitive trends, we must dissect "intelligence" into solving mathematical problems, interpreting the great works of literature, finding on-the-spot solutions, assimilating the scientific world view, critical acumen, and wisdom. The Flynn effect: Paradox 3 • • The MR paradox: In 1900, the average IQ scored against current norms was somewhere between 50 and 70. If IQ gains are in any sense real, we are driven to the absurd conclusion that a majority of our ancestors were mentally retarded. Our ancestors in 1900 were not mentally retarded. Their intelligence was anchored in everyday reality. We differ from them in that we can use abstractions and logic and the hypothetical to attack the formal problems that arise when science liberates thought from concrete referents. Since 1950, we have become more ingenious in going beyond previously learned rules to solve problems on the spot. 11 11/20/2008 The stances • The man of science defending freedom of expression • “I’m not saying they (Black, Romany, Hutu, Scheduled Caste, Irish etc) are inferior.… just different” • “Let’s not talk about this” (its too hot!) • If we don’t talk about it – we can’t teach people that it isn’t true What’s in a word? •Intelligence •I.Q. •Ability •Aptitude •Achievement •Competency •Potential 12 11/20/2008 Spearman’s “g” psychophysiological energy Signals in neurones 13 11/20/2008 Brain scan Some antics from before •Intelligence as Giftedness •Gifted by the Gods? (Homer) •Or Gifted by (Mother) Nature? (Plato) •Or the Heavenly Beam? (Jenner) 14 11/20/2008 Homer’s Odyssey 600 BC •“You are an insolent fellow. True it is that the Gods do not grace all men alike in speech, person and understanding. One man may be of weak presence, but heaven has adorned this with such a good conversation that he charms every one who sees him; his honeyed moderation carries his hearers with him so that he is a leader in all assemblies of his fellows, and where-ever he goes he is looked up to. Another may be as handsome as a God, but his good looks are not crowned with discretion. This is your case. No God could make a finer looking fellow than you are – but you are a fool.” (4,233) (Ulysses to Euryalus) Plato’s Republic Book 5 •Socrates asks Glaucon: •“When you spoke of a nature gifted or not gifted in any respect, did you mean to say that one man will acquire a thing hastily, another with difficulty; that a little learning will lead the one to discover a great deal whereas the other, after much study and application, no sooner learns than he forgets; or again, did you mean that the one has a body which is a good servant of his mind, while the body of another is a hindrance to him? Would not these be the sort of differences which distinguish the man gifted by nature from the one who is ungifted?” (7, 359) 15 11/20/2008 Edward Jenner. The Artist, Vol 19 1807 •“For though all men are, as we trust and believe, capable of the divine faculty of reason, …, yet it is not to all that the heavenly beam is disclosed in its splendour.” •“In the first and lowest order I place - •the idiot: the mere vegetative being, totally destitute of intellect.” The Dolt •“In the second rank I shall mention that description of Being just lifted into intellectuality, but too weak and imperfect to acquire judgement; who can perform some of the minor offices of life – can shut a door – blow a fire – express sensations of pain, etc., and, although faintly endowed with perceptions of comparative good, is yet too feeble to discriminate with accuracy. A being of this degree may, with sufficient propriety, be denominated the silly poor creature, the dolt.” 16 11/20/2008 Mediocrity •The third class is best described by the general term of Mediocrity, and includes the large mass of mankind. These crowd our streets, these line our files, these cover our seas. It is with this class that the world is peopled. These are they who move constantly in the beaten path; these support the general order which they do not direct; these uphold the tumult which they do not stir; these echo the censure or the praise of what they are neither capable of criticising or admiring.” Mental Perfection •“… the happy union of all the faculties of the mind, which conduce to promote present and future good; all of the energies of genius, valour, judgement. In this class are found men who, surveying truth in all her loveliness, defend her from assault, and unveil her charms to the world; who rule mankind by their wisdom, and contemplate glory, as the Eagle fixes his view on the Sun, undazzled by the rays that surround it.” 17 11/20/2008 Natural selection: The intellectual hierarchy •Plants, woodlice, fish, reptiles, birds, mammals, anthropoid apes, man •“Savages”, “the lower races”, “the civilized nations” (sic) (Darwin) •Spearman’s “g” •“A sort of psychophysiological energy” •Eysenck “speed of nerve transmission” The degeneration hypothesis • A population is termed dysgenic if it exhibits either enhanced reproduction levels among organisms with seemingly undesirable characteristics, or if it exhibits diminished reproduction among organisms with seemingly desirable characteristics. • The eugenics movement argued that we Humans, by caring for the sick and ‘unfit’ are undergoing dysgenic degeneration, and that scientists should become involved in damage limitation. 18 11/20/2008 Racism in Eugenics •19th century • Charles Darwin – Mankind continues to evolve and the races represent different stages of evolution. Maybe need for eugenic intervention. • Alfred Wallace – Human evolution is complete but is now guided by a higher force (e.g. the emergence of the emancipation of women). No need for eugenics. •21st century – Herrnstein and Murray (The Bell Curve) – The Flynn Effect Charles Darwin (1871) “The Descent of Man” •“The moral sense perhaps affords the best and highest distinction between man and the lower animals” (p 126) • “There is not the least inherent improbability, as it seems to me, in virtuous tendencies being more or less strongly inherited …. Except through the principle of the transmission of moral tendencies we cannot understand the differences believed to exist in this respect between the various races of mankind.’ (p. 124) 19 11/20/2008 Charles Darwin (1871) “The Descent of Man” •The chief causes of the low morality of savages, as judged by our standards are, firstly, the confinement of sympathy to the same tribe. Secondly, powers of reasoning insufficient to recognize the bearing of many virtues, especially the self-regarding virtues, on the general welfare of the tribe. Savages, for instance, fail to trace the multiple evils consequent on a want of temperance, chastity etc. And thirdly, weak power of self command, for this power has not been strengthened through long-continued, perhaps inherited, habit, instruction and religion.” (p119 of 2nd edition, 1888) W. R. Greg, Fraser’s Magazine (1868) •“The careless, squalid, unaspiring Irishman, fed on potatoes, living in a pig-sty, doting on a superstition, multiplies like rabbits or ephemera: - the frugal, foreseeing, self-respecting, ambitious Scot, stern in his morality, spiritual in his faith, sagacious and disciplined in his intelligence, passes his best years in struggle and in celibacy, marries late, and leaves few behind him.” 20 11/20/2008 W. R. Greg Fraser’s Magazine (1868) •“Given a land originally peopled by a thousand Saxons and a thousand Celts – and in a dozen generations five-sixth of the population would be Celts, but five-sixth of the property, of the power, of the intellect, would belong to the one-sixth of the Saxons that remained. In the eternal “struggle for existence” it would be the inferior and less favoured race that had prevailed – and prevailed by virtue not of its good qualities but of its faults.” (P. 353) Terman, 1919 (Manual for the Stanford-Binet Intelligence Test) •Of children with high IQ on his test •“really serious faults are not common among them, they are nearly always socially adaptable, are sought after as playmates and companions, they are leaders far oftener than other children, and not-withstanding their many really superior qualities they are seldom vain or spoiled.” 21 11/20/2008 Terman, 1919 (Manual for the Stanford-Binet Intelligence Test) •“It is safe to predict that in the near future intelligence tests will bring tens of thousands of . . . high-grade defectives under the surveillance and protection of society. This will ultimately result in the curtailing of the reproduction of feeble-mindedness and in the elimination of enormous amounts of crime, pauperism and industrial inefficiency. It is hardly necessary to emphasize that the high-grade cases, of the type now so frequently overlooked, are precisely the ones whose guardianship it is most important for the state to assume.” US Army Examination A > •1917. The Yerkes Committee set up by US army. First group test of intelligence (Army Alpha). The brief: •Adaptable to group use. •Correlated with other measures of IQ. •Measured a wide range of ability •Could be scored objectively with stencils. 22 11/20/2008 Army Alpha and the S.A.T. •In 7 working days they constructed 10 sub-tests with enough items for 10 different forms. Piloted on fewer than 500 subjects •By August 1916, norms obtained on 3,129 soldiers and 372 ‘mental defective’ institutional inmates. r with school achievement= 0.7. •“Examination A”, subsequently “Army Alpha” with the 8 best sub-tests. Administered to millions. •Later in 1920s, 30s the Scholastic Aptitude Test (SAT) developed for University Entry in the US (fairly similar). Applied Eugenics • • • • • • In 1907 the USA was the first country to concertedly undertake compulsory sterilization programs for the purpose of eugenics The principal targets were the mentally retarded and the mentally ill, but also targeted under many state laws were the deaf, the blind, the epileptic and the physically deformed. Native Americans were sterilized against their will in many states, often without their knowledge while they were in a hospital for some other reason (e.g. after giving birth). Some sterilizations also took place in prisons and other penal institutions, targeting criminality Over 65,000 individuals were sterilized in 33 states under state compulsory sterilization programs in the United States. Last carried out in 1981 23 11/20/2008 Eugenics in Germany • • • • • • 1927 The Kaiser Wilhelm Institute of Anthropology, Human Heredity and Eugenics, funded partly by Rockefeller 1934 saw introduction of the “Law for the Prevention of Offspring with Hereditary Defects” 1935, law amended to allow abortion for the "hereditarily ill“ including "social feeblemindedness“ and ‘asocial persons’. 1937, “Commission Number 3”. All local authorities in Germany were to submit a list of all the children of African descent. All such children were medically sterilized 1939, Euthanasia legalised for mental patients (including homosexuals) 1942, Programme extended to Gypsies and Jews Support from German science •Large numbers of academic geneticists and biologists joined the Nazi Party, the highest membership rate of any professional group •“If it should turn out that the mere removal of natural selection causes an increase in the number of existing mutants and the imbalance of the race, then race-care must consider an even more stringent elimination of the ethnically less valuable than is done today, because it would, in this case, literally have to replace all selection factors that operate in the natural environment.” (Konrad Lorenz, 1940) 24 11/20/2008 References •Flynn, J.R. (2007). What is Intelligence? : beyond the Flynn Effect. Cambridge University Press •Dickins, W. & Flynn, J. Heritability Estimates Versus Large Environmental Effects: The IQ Paradox Resolved Psychological Review, 2001, Vol. 108, No. 2, 346–369 25
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