Third Quarter of FY 2015 Investment Results of Employees’ Pension Insurance Benefit Fund (Local Public Service Mutual Aid Associations) Employees’ Pension Insurance (Local Public Service Mutual Aid Associations) Summary of Investment results in FY 2015 3Q ◯ Total investment assets as of the end of the third quarter were 19,812.9 billion yen. ◯ Modified total return for the third quarter (period rate) was + 2.69%, mainly driven by rises in prices of domestic and foreign equities. Realized return (period rate) was + 1.03%. ◯ Investment income for the third quarter was + 528.6 billion yen. Realized income was + 184.2 billion yen. (100 million yen) FY 2014 1Q 2Q Total assets FY 2015 3Q 198,129 4Q Total 198,129 Modified total return (Realized return) 2.69% (1.03%) 2.69% (1.03%) Investment income (Realized income) 5,286 (1,842) 5,286 (1,842) * Pension reserve funds are invested over the long term and their investment results should be judged from the long-term perspectives. Quarterly investment results are published in light of ensuring thorough information disclosure. It should be noted that investment income, which is market value valuation as of the end of each quarter, includes unrealized profits/losses and thus changes depending on market trends. (Note 1) The return and income figures are after excluding investment fees settled during the relevant periods. (Note 2) The return figures are for the relevant periods, and return figures for FY 2015 are for periods after the integration of employee pension schemes in October 2015. 2 Employees’ Pension Insurance (Local Public Service Mutual Aid Associations) Asset Allocation (100 million yen) FY 2014 FY 2015 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Market value Allocation Market value Allocation Market value Allocation Market value Allocation Market value Allocation (Book value) (Book value) (Book value) (Book value) (Book value) ratio ratio ratio ratio ratio Domestic bonds 97,590 49.26% (92,914) Domestic equities 39,734 20.05% (31,783) Foreign bonds 22,151 11.18% (21,205) Foreign equities 29,475 14.88% (21,645) Short-term assets 9,180 (9,181) 4.63% 198,129 100.00% (176,727) Total (Note 1) The sum of figures does not necessarily match the total figure because the above figures are rounded. (Note 2) The allocation ratios of the benchmark portfolio are domestic bond 35% (±15%), domestic equity 25% (±14%), foreign bond15% (±6%), and foreign equity 25% (±12%). Asset allocation ratios for FY 2015 3Q Foreign equities 14.88% Short‐term assets 4.63% Foreign bonds 11.18% 3 Domestic equities 20.05% Domestic bonds 49.26% Employees’ Pension Insurance (Local Public Service Mutual Aid Associations) Investment Return FY 2014 FY 2015 1Q 2Q Modified total return (Realized return) 3Q 4Q Total 2.69% (1.03%) 2.69% (1.03%) Domestic bonds 0.69% 0.69% Domestic equities 9.60% 9.60% -1.33% -1.33% 5.26% 5.26% Foreign bonds Foreign equities (Note 1) The return figures are after excluding investment fees settled during the relevant periods. (Note 2) The return figures are for the relevant periods, and return figures for FY 2015 are for periods after the integration of employee pension schemes in October 2015. 4 Employees’ Pension Insurance (Local Public Service Mutual Aid Associations) Investment Income (100 million yen) FY 2014 FY 2015 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Total Investment income (Realized income) 5,286 (1,842) 5,286 (1,842) Domestic bonds 695 695 3,400 3,400 -287 -287 1,417 1,417 62 62 Domestic equities Foreign bonds Foreign equities Short-term assets (Note 1) (Note 2) (Note 3) The income figures are after excluding investment fees settled during the relevant periods. The sum of figures does not necessarily match the total figure because the above figures are rounded. The income figures are for the relevant periods, and income figures for FY 2015 are for periods after the integration of employee pension schemes in October 2015. 5 Employees’ Pension Insurance (Local Public Service Mutual Aid Associations) Investment Environment in FY 2015 3Q <Market Movements (October to December) > Domestic bond: 10-year JGB yields declined on the back of expectations for additional monetary easing by the BOJ (bond prices rose). Domestic equity: Domestic equity prices were on a rising trend due to rebounds from the significant declines in the second quarter, coupled with expectations for recovery in the global economy and strong corporate earnings, but declined slightly in December, weighed down by concerns about declines in corporate earnings due to the stronger yen. Foreign bond: 10-year US government bond yields increased as the US policy rate was raised (bond prices declined), and 10-year German bund yields increased due to ECB’s additional monetary easing that was below market expectations (bond prices declined). Foreign equity: Foreign equity prices were on a rising trend due to rebounds from the significant declines in the second quarter, coupled with monetary easing in China and Europe, but declined in December, weighted down by, among other factors, further declines in oil prices. ○Reference Indexes Domestic bond Domestic equity Foreign bond Foreign equity Foreign exchange ○Benchmark Returns (10-year JGB yields) (%) End of Sep. FY 2015 0.36 End of Oct. FY 2015 0.31 End of Nov. FY 2015 0.31 End of Dec FY 2015 0.27 1411.16 17388.15 2.04 1558.20 19083.10 2.14 1580.25 19747.47 2.21 1547.30 19033.71 2.27 0.59 0.52 0.47 0.63 16284.70 9660.44 119.78 133.73 17663.54 10850.14 120.72 133.29 17719.92 11382.23 123.25 130.20 17425.03 10743.01 120.24 130.70 (TOPIX, price return) (point) (Nikkei 225 ) (yen) (10-year US government bond yields) (%) (10-year German bund yields) (%) (NY Dow) (dollar) (German DAX) (point) (Dollar/yen) (yen) (Euro/yen) (yen) Oct. to 2015 Domestic bond NOMURA-BPI (Overall) Domestic stock TOPIX (dividend-inclusive) Foreign bond Citigroup World Government Bond Index (ex-Japan, no hedge, in yen) Foreign stock MSCI ACWI (ex-Japan, in yen, dividend-inclusive) Dec. 1.00% 9.83% -1.35% 5.25% Market Index Trends (FY 2015 3Q) 102 115 Domestic equity Foreign bond 101 110 100 105 Domestic bond Foreign equity 99 98 9月末 End Sep 100 10月末 End Oct End Nov 11月末 95 9月末 End Sep 12月末 End Dec 6 10月末 End Oct 11月末 End Nov 12月末 End Dec Employees’ Pension Insurance (Local Public Service Mutual Aid Associations) Reserve Fund Allocation upon Enactment of the Law on Integration of Employees’ Pension Insurance (EPI) Total As of September 30, 2015 As of October 1, 2015 Long-term Benefit Fund (Market value) Employees’ Pension Transitional Long-term Insurance (EPI) Benefit (TLTB) Fund Benefit Fund (Market value) (Market value) 41,178.6 billion yen 20,545.5 billion yen 21,124.1 billion yen (Reference) Funding ratio (estimated government funding ratio) before integration (old EPI) =estimated amount of old EPI reserve funds as of the end of FY 2014 (164.8 trillion yen) / estimated amount of first tier and second-tier old EPI expenditures in FY 2015 (33.7 trillion yen) =4.9 years Estimated allocation of local public service mutual aid associations (EPI Fund) =estimated amount of first-tier and second-tier expenditures in FY2015 (4.2 trillion yen) x estimated government funding ratio (4.9 years) =20,545.5 billion yen 7 Employees’ Pension Insurance (Local Public Service Mutual Aid Associations) Glossary ○ Benchmark portfolio Asset allocation percentages determined by statistical method and considered most eligible (market value basis) ○ Deviation tolerance If the asset mix of a portfolio deviates from the benchmark portfolio, the deviation is to be eliminated by rebalancing assets or by other means. However, rebalancing assets whenever a small deviation arises due to market value fluctuations and similar reasons is not efficient from the trading cost perspective. Therefore, a range in which a deviation from the benchmark is allowed is established, which is called deviation tolerance. ○ Transitional Long-term Benefit (TLTB) Fund The combined funds of the TLTB association reserve funds administered and invested by mutual aid associations and the National Federation of Mutual Aid Associations for Municipal Personnel (collectively “Mutual Aid Associations, etc.”) for benefit payments of the old occupational portion (TLTB) after the integration of employee pension schemes, and the TLTB Adjustment Fund built by the Pension Fund Association for Local Government Officials for the purpose of providing necessary amounts in case of a shortage in TLTB payments by each Mutual Aid Associations, etc. ○ Employees’ Pension Insurance (EPI) Benefit Fund The combined funds of EPI benefit association reserve funds administered and invested by Mutual Aid Associations, etc. for EPI benefit payments, and the EPI Benefit Adjustment Fund built by Pension Fund Association for Local Government Officials for the purpose of providing necessary amounts in case of a shortage in EPI benefit payments by the Mutual Aid Associations, etc. ○ Modified total return This is one of indicators for measuring investment performance. Changes in profits/losses on market value valuation of assets are added to realized income to recognize income at market value, which is then divided by the sum of the average principal amount, accrued income at the previous term-end and unrealized profits/losses at the previous term-end, to obtain the modified total return. Since the calculation is relatively easy, this is used as an indicator for understanding changes in market value of assets to show investment efficiency. (Formula) Modified total return = (trading profit/loss + interest and dividend income + changes in accrued income (accrued income at the term-end – accrued income at the previous term-end) + changes in unrealized profits/losses (unrealized profits/losses at the term-end – unrealized profits/losses at the previous term-end)) / (average principal amount + accrued income at the previous term-end + unrealized profits/losses at the previous term-end) 8 Employees’ Pension Insurance (Local Public Service Mutual Aid Associations) Glossary ○ Government funding ratio In association with the integration of employee pension schemes, it was necessary to assign a portion of mutual aid associations’ pension reserves that match the level of Employees’ Pension Insurance (EPI) to EPI reserves (shared resources) after the integration. Specifically, an amount equivalent to the funding ratio of EPI before integration (the level of reserves measured as a number years’ worth of amount held against annual expenditure of the basic pension and EPI (first tier and second-tier) funded by insurance premiums) was set aside as shared resources. This funding ratio is called the government funding ratio. ○ Investment income This represents market value income, calculated by adding profits/losses on market value valuation of assets to realized income. (Formula) Investment return = trading profit/loss + interest and dividend income + changes in accrued income (accrued income at the term-end – accrued income at the previous term-end) + changes in unrealized profits/losses (unrealized profits/losses at the term-end – unrealized profits/losses at the previous term-end) ○ Long-term Benefit Fund A pension fund administered and invested by Mutual Aid Associations, etc. and the Pension Fund Association for Local Government Officials before integration of employee pension schemes. ○ Benchmark A benchmark means a benchmark indicator against which to compare when assessing investment performance. We use benchmarks that represent market movements (see page 6). ○ Benchmark return This represents changes in benchmarks, i.e., market average returns. 9
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