UNIVERSITY OF EAST ANGLIA School of Economics Main Series PG Examination 2015-16 ECONOMIC THEORY 2 ECO-M038 Time allowed: 2 hours Answer BOTH questions in Section A and ONE question in Section B. Section A carries a weight of 60% of the paper. Section B carries a weight of 40% of the paper. Notes are not permitted in this examination. Do not turn over until you are told to do so by the Invigilator. ECO-M038 Module Contact: Dr. Simone Valente, ECO Copyright of the University of East Anglia Version 1 Page 2 SECTION A (Answer BOTH questions in this section) 1 Consider the Solow model without technological progress. Capital per capita π(π‘) obeys the accumulation law πΜ(π‘) = π β π(π‘)πΌ β (πΏ + π) β π(π‘) where π β (0,1) is the saving rate, πΌ β (0,1) is the capital share in production, ο€ β (0,1) is the rate of physical capital depreciation, π is the rate of population growth. Answer the following questions either graphically or by means of a clear mathematical expression, and describe the economic intuition for all your answers. (i) What is the effect of an increase in the population growth rate π on the long-run level of income per capita? (ii) What is the effect of an increase in π on the long-run level of income per capita? (iii) Consider two economies, called "1" and "2", identical in every respect (i.e., technology, population and all parameters are the same) except for the initial endowment of capital: at time zero, country 1 has a lower capital stock than country 2. According to the model, which country exhibits faster growth in income per capita during the transition? 2 A representative consumer maximizes individual present-value utility subject to the wealth constraint πΜ (π‘) = [π(π‘)π(π‘) + π€(π‘)] β (1 β π) β π(π‘) where π(π‘) is the stock of individual wealth, π(π‘) is the market interest rate, π€(π‘) is labour income, π(π‘) is consumption, and π is the constant tax rate on personal income. Answer the following questions: (i) Assuming the logarithmic utility function π’(π(π‘)) = ln π(π‘) and denoting the utility discount rate by π > 0, the solution to this problem yields the utility-maximizing rule for consumption growth: πΜ (π‘) = π(π‘) β (1 β π) β π π(π‘) Discuss the economic intuition for this result, explaining the effects of the interest rate, of the discount rate and of the income tax on the consumption growth rate. ECO-M038 Version 1 Page 3 (ii) Suppose that fiscal authorities implement a tax reform: the proportional tax on income is replaced with a lump-sum tax on households. The proportional tax on income π disappears and each individual pays, instead, a lump sum tax denoted by T. Write the individual wealth constraint taking into account this modification. Does the utilitymaximizing rule for consumption growth change after the tax reform? What is the underlying intuition? TURN OVER ECO-M038 Version 1 Page 4 SECTION B (Answer ONE question from this section) 3 Describe the traditional methodology of growth accounting: how is Total Factor Productivity Growth (TFPG) estimated? Can growth accounting analysis suggest what are the fundamental causes of growth? Discuss the pros and cons of adopting this empirical methodology. 4 Describe the Mincerian approach for modeling aggregate externalities from human capital and for testing the size of these spillovers empirically. What are the main conclusions of this strand of empirical literature? Mention some of the drawbacks of the Mincerian approach. 5 Suppose that financial development and increased competition within the financial sector reduce marginal transaction costs for borrowers. Explain how this phenomenon can potentially increase the level of aggregate output, and discuss under what conditions the same mechanism may even raise the economyβs growth rate in the long run. END OF PAPER ECO-M038 Version 1
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