September 1946 LIQUID ASSETS AND EXPENDITURE PLANS OF FARM OPERATORS1 Liquid assets held by farm spending units are a significant potential source of funds for the purchase of consumer and producer goods as well as for investment in farm lands. According to the "Balance Sheet of Agriculture" reproduced elsewhere in this BULLETIN, these holdings of deposits, currency, and United States savings bonds amounted to about 19 billion dollars at the beginning of 1946, after having increased fourfold during the war years. Certain useful information about the liquid asset holdings and spending plans of an important group of farmers, namely, farm operators, is provided by the national survey of liquid assets conducted for the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System by the Division of Program Surveys of the Bureau of Agricultural Economics. Farm operators make up about half of the 9 to 10 million farm spending units. The term includes (1) all fulltime operators who maintain a farm all year and have no other major occupation, and (2) all parttime operators who receive at least 50 per cent of their annual gross cash incomes from farming. It does not include farm laborers, retired farmers, and spending units not engaged in farming but living on farms with their families.2 Checking accounts and savings bonds are the types of liquid assets most frequently held by farm operators.3 The position of the farm operator as a producer as well as a consumer has made for more widespread use of the checking account by the farm operator than by the population as a whole. Farm operators not only plan to buy consumer durable goods and houses in 1946 but in addition plan to purchase a sizeable quantity of farm machinery and to build and repair farm buildings. In so doing, they plan to use their liquid assets to a greater extent than does the rest of the United States population. 1 Prepared by Duncan McC. Holthausen of the Board's Division of Research and Statistics from a special report for farm operators based on the national liquid asset survey data. The results of the survey were summarized in the June, July, and August 1946 issues of the BULLETIN. Mr. George Katona and Mrs. Eleanor Maccoby of the Division of Program Surveys, Bureau of Agricultural Economics, were primarily responsible for the conduct of the studies. 2 A spending unit is denned as all persons living in the same dwelling unit and belonging to the same family who pool their incomes to meet their major expenses. 8 Currency holdings were not included among holdings of liquid assets, because of the difficulty in obtaining accurate reports of such holdings. See BULLETIN for June 1946, pp. 574-75. SEPTEMBER 1946 Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis HOLDINGS OF LIQUID ASSETS Three-fourths of all farm operators held some type of liquid asset at the beginning of 1946. As is indicated by Table 1, more than one-half of the group held Government bonds, about the same proportion had checking accounts, and only one-sixth held savings accounts. For the population as a whole no more than one-third of all spending units use checking accounts. Reflecting the possible use of checking accounts by farmers for savings and the nonavailability of savings accounts in certain farm areas, the data indicate that the farm operator makes less use of the savings account than does the population as a whole. No very significant difference is apparent in the proportion of all people or farm operators that held Government bonds at the beginning of the year. Practically no difference between farm operators and the population at large was revealed by the total amount of liquid assets held by individual spending units in the respective groups. In both instances about three in ten spending units held $1 to $499 in liquid assets, another three in ten held between $500 and $1,999, and not quite two in ten had more than $2,000 in liquid assets. In addition, little difference between these two groups of liquid asset holders was reflected by the average amount TABLE 1 PERCENTAGE OF FARM OPERATORS AND OF U. S. POPULATION HOLDING VARIOUS T Y P E S OF LIQUID ASSETS, EARLY Type of liquid asset U. S. discount bonds Other Government bonds Savings accounts Checking accounts Any one type of asset 1946 * T2 Farm operators U. S. population1 57 3 17 57 78 63 3 39 34 76 !A11 spending units in the U. S. population, including farm operators. of any one type of asset held. Farm operators with checking accounts carried an average deposit of the same amount as all people with checking accounts. This similarity was also observed in the case of savings deposits. Farm operators with savings bonds generally held somewhat smaller 11 965 September 1946 LIQUID ASSETS AND EXPENDITURES PLANS OF FARM OPERATORS amounts than the rest of the population with savings bonds. PROBABLE USE OF LIQUID ASSETS Farm operators expressed greater willingness than the total population to use their liquid assets in 1946. This difference can be largely attributed to the prospective use of checking accounts by farmers and probably reflects a seasonal influence, since farmers' cash balances are generally high early in the year and are drawn down for operating purposes during the crop production period. When asked whether they intended to reduce the balance of their checking accounts by a large amount, about 45 per cent of the farm operators as compared to about 30 per cent of all people indicated they would or would probably do so. In the case of Government bonds, there is no such marked difference for the immediate future. About one in ten of the farm operators and also of the population as a whole expected to use some Government bonds for various purposes in the current year. When asked during the interview period about prospective use of Government bonds in the next five years, a significant difference was revealed in the attitudes of farm operators and the total population. Half of the total population indicated that they would not be willing to use their Government bonds for the purchase of houses, farms, or investment in businesses or real estate; only one-third of the farm operators indicated that they would not be willing to use their bonds for these purposes. In general, it appears that farmers regard liquid assets as less permanent holdings than do all other people. plans. In their plans for purchasing cars and other consumer durable goods, farm operators show no differences from the population as a whole. Farm machinery purchases and the repair and construction of farm buildings were most frequently mentioned in the farm operators' spending plans for production purposes. The purchase of farm land was next in importance. In terms of the approximate dollar amounts that would be spent by farm operators for the various purposes listed in Table 2, the purchase of farm land is the largest item, accounting for roughly two-fifths of the estimated total of contemplated expenditures. Farm machinery and all consumer durable goods each account for about one-fifth of total prospective expenditures. In the case of farm land, the bulk of purchases would be financed by mortgage credit; for consumer durables, farm machinery, and farm building repairs, farm operators would draw largely from current income for payment. It is very probable that the expenditure plans of many farm operators will not be realized during 1946 because of the shortages in supplies of certain types of farm equipment and construction materials. Nevertheless, it is clear that farm operators, in comparison with the rest of the population, plan to make relatively more extensive expenditures and at the same time to use more of their liquid assets. This is primarily because their potential expenditures reflect outlays for both production and consumption purposes. TABLE 2 EXPENDITURE DURABLE EXPENDITURE PLANS OF FARM OPERATORS, 1946 During the interview period in the first quarter of 1946, farm operators expressed plans for very sizeable outlays in the current year for automobiles and other consumer durable goods, farm machinery, repair and construction of farm buildings and houses, and farm land. Table 2 indicates the proportion of farm operators with definite and tentative plans for these various types of expenditures. About 6 per cent^of the farm operators had definite plans to buy automobiles; 3 per cent had tentative plans. For other consumer durables, 22 per cent had definite purchase plans and 7 per cent tentative 966 Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PLANS GOODS, OF FARM FARM FARM OPERATORS MACHINERY LAND, FOR CONSUMER AND BUILDINGS, AND 1946 Percentage of spending units Type of expenditure Automobiles Other consumer durables Farm machinery Farm buildings: Repairs New construction Houses: Repairs New construction Farm land 1 With definite expenditure plans With tentative expenditure plans 1 6 22 20 3 7 7 18 7 15 1 6 2 2 2 1 Those who say they would probably buy or build. FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN
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