E XC E L L E N C E • R E S P E C T • PA N - A F R I C A N I S M • I N T E G R I T Y AIMS SOUTH AFRICA AIMS-SOUTH AFRICA INDEPENDENT EXTERNAL EVALUATION November 2012 Submitted by Transformational Development Results (TDR) International Dr. Dorothy Nyambi, Dr. Helen Scott, Dr. Belinda Ketel, Ms. Rolene Guilland AIMS-South Africa External Evaluation 13-04-01 2:26 PM Page 2 i INDEPENDENT EXTERNAL EVALUATION REPORT Commissioned by: AIMS Next Einstein Initiative November 2012 This report was produced with the support of a grant from Canada’s International Development Research Centre. AIMS-South Africa External Evaluation 13-04-01 2:26 PM Page 3 ii TABLE OF CONTENTS Acronyms and Glossary iii List of Figures and Tables vi Preface and Acknowledgements vii Foreword viii Executive Summary ix 1.0 Overview of AIMS 2 2.0 Evaluation – Scope and Methodology 5 3.0 Evaluation Findings 14 4.0 Evaluation Conclusions 38 5.0 Key Recommendations 42 6.0 Key Lessons Learned 44 7.0 General Conclusions 45 8.0 Annexes 1 - Constituted Program Logic Model and Theory of Change 2 - AIMS-SA Organizational Chart 3 - Evaluation Matrix 4 - List of Key Informants and FGD Categories 5 - List of Documents Reviewed 6 - Alumni Survey 7 - AIMS-SA Comparative Analysis 8 - Evaluation Terms of Reference 9 – Evaluation Team - Biodata AIMS-South Africa External Evaluation 13-04-03 8:58 AM Page 4 iii ACRONYMS & GLOSSARY ACRONYMS ACE Advanced Certificate in Education AIMS-NEI African Institute for Mathematical Sciences - Next Einstein Initiative AIMS-SA African Institute for Mathematical Sciences – South Africa AIMSSEC African Institute for Mathematical Sciences School Enrichment Centre CEA Cost Effective Analysis ICT Information Communication Technologies MT Mathematical Thinking NEPAD New Partnership for Africa’s Development NQF National Qualification Framework OECD Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development OECD-DAC Development Assistance Committee (DAC) PGD Postgraduate diploma SPSS Statistical Package for the Social Sciences UNESCO United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization GLOSSARY OF TERMS AIMS network AIMS entity AIMS centre Attribution Baseline Benchmark Bias The AIMS Network consists of all AIMS centres and charities working to develop the Africa wide network of AIMS. This includes AIMS-NEI organizations in South Africa and the UK. An AIMS entity is any organisation within the AIMS network. An AIMS centre is a research, education, outreach or combined centre within the AIMS network. The ascription of a causal link between observed (or expected to be observed) changes and a specific intervention. Note: Attribution refers to that which is to be credited for the observed changes or results achieved. It represents the extent to which observed development effects can be attributed to a specific intervention or to the performance of one or more partner, taking account of other interventions, (anticipated or unanticipated) confounding factors, or external influences. An analysis describing the situation prior to a development intervention, against which progress can be assessed or comparisons made Reference point or standard against which performance or achievements can be assessed. Note: A benchmark refers to the performance that has been achieved in the recent past by other comparable organizations, or what can be reasonably inferred to have been achieved in the circumstances. Refers to statistical bias. Inaccurate representation that produces systematic error in the evaluation finding. Bias may result in overestimating or underestimating certain characteristics of the population. It may result from incomplete information or invalid data collection methods and may be intentional or unintentional. AIMS-South Africa External Evaluation 13-04-03 8:58 AM Page 5 iv GLOSSARY OF TERMS continued Counterfactual The situation or condition which hypothetically may prevail for individuals, organizations, or groups was there no development intervention. Effectiveness The extent to which the development intervention’s objectives were (Efficacy) achieved, or are expected to be achieved, taking into account their relative importance. Also used as an aggregate measure of (or judgment about) the merit or worth of an activity, i.e. the extent to which an intervention has attained, or is expected to attain, its major relevant objectives efficiently in a sustainable fashion and with a positive institutional development impact. Efficiency A measure of how economically resources/inputs (funds, expertise, time, etc.) are converted into results Evaluation Question that needs to be answered by evaluators. There are three main types Question of evaluation questions: descriptive (what happened?), causal (to what extent are outcomes due to the intervention?) and normative (is the effect satisfactory?). An evaluation generally has several questions. External Factors Factors which are embedded in the context of the intervention and which hinder or amplify the intended changes while being independent from the intervention itself. External factors are also called contextual, exogenous or confounding factors. External Validity Quality of an evaluation method which makes it possible to obtain findings that can be generalised to other groups, areas, periods, etc. External validity is fully achieved when the evaluation team can make it clear that a similar intervention implemented in another context would have the same effects under given conditions. External validity is also sought when the evaluation aims at identifying and validating good practice. Impact Positive and negative, primary and secondary long-term effects produced by a development intervention, directly or indirectly, intended or unintended. Often applied to changes in the welfare of people (e.g. poverty reduction). Indicator Quantitative or qualitative factor or variable that provides a simple and reliable means to measure achievement, to reflect the changes connected to an intervention, or to help assess the performance of a development actor. Input The financial, human, and material resources used for the development intervention Internal Validity This is the quality of an evaluation method which, as far as possible, limits biases imputable to data collection and analysis. Internal validity is fully achieved when the evaluation team provides indisputable arguments showing that the findings derive from collected facts and statements. Judgement The judgement criterion (also called reasoned assessment criterion) specifies Criteria an aspect of the evaluated intervention that will allow its merits or worth to be assessed in order to answer the evaluation questions, The judgement criterion gives a clear indication of what is positive or negative. Logic model Management tool used to improve the design of interventions, most often at the project level. It involves identifying strategic elements (inputs, outputs, outcomes, impact) and their causal relationships, indicators, and the assumptions or risks that may influence success and failure. It thus facilitates planning, execution and evaluation of a development intervention. Related term: results based management, results chain. AIMS-South Africa External Evaluation 13-04-03 8:58 AM Page 6 v GLOSSARY OF TERMS continued Outcome Output Relevance Sustainability Theory of Change Triangulation The likely or achieved short-term and medium-term effects of an intervention’s outputs. Related terms: result, outputs, impacts, effect. The products, capital goods and services which result from a development intervention; may also include changes resulting from the intervention which are relevant to the achievement of outcomes. The extent to which the objectives of a development intervention are consistent with beneficiaries’ requirements, country needs, global priorities and partners’ and donors’ policies. The continuation of benefits from a development intervention after major development assistance has been completed. The probability of continued longterm benefits. The theory of change reflects the underlying process and pathways through which the hoped for change (in knowledge, behaviour, attitudes or practices, at the individual, institutional, community or other level) is expected to occur. A theory of change includes the assumptions (often supported by research) that stakeholders use to explain the process of change. The use of three or more theories, sources or types of information, or types of analysis to verify and substantiate an assessment. Note: by combining multiple data- sources, methods, analyses or theories, evaluators seek to overcome the bias that comes from single informants, single- methods, single observer or single theory studies. AIMS-South Africa External Evaluation 13-04-03 8:58 AM Page 7 vi LIST OF FIGURES AND TABLES FIGURES Figure 1 Figure 2 Figure 3 Figure 4 Figure 5 Figure 6 Figure 7 Figure 8 Figure 9 Figure 9.1 Figure 10 Figure 11 Figure 12 Figure 13 Figure 14 Figure 15 Figure 16 Figure 17 Figure 18 Figure 19 AIMS-SA programs Alumni Year of admission by gender Alumni: Where are they now (as of November 2011)? Evaluation data collection streams Gender of alumni respondents Current age of alumni respondents by gender Alumni respondents’ year of study by gender Alumni respondent’s country of origin Alumni respondent’s current country of residence/ study/employment AIMS-SA Independent External Evaluation frameworks Alumni: How important were the following factors in the decision to study at AIMS-SA? Alumni: Academic qualifications at time of admission Alumni: How did you hear about AIMS-SA? Role and purpose of AIMS as identified by the alumni, before arriving, after graduation and currently Comparison between Gross, Adjusted and Effective Cost per PGD Student Alumni: How AIMS influenced current career/ education (Alumni) Case studies of AIMS -SA alumni Alumni: Career goal prior to attending AIMS-SA Alumni: Career immediately after completing AIMS-SA Integrated programs at AIMS-SA TABLES Table 1 Table 2 Table 3 Table 4 Table 5 Table 6 Table 7 Table 8 Descriptive characteristics of alumni survey respondents PGD Financials vs. Outputs (# of students graduated) Research Centre Financials vs. Outputs AIMSSEC Financials vs. Outputs Alumni’s career focus before and after attending AIMS-SA How valuable were the following features of the AIMS-SA program to the alumni? How challenging or difficult were the following features of the AIMS-SA program to the alumni? How much AIMS-SA influenced major career choices, post - AIMS? AIMS-South Africa External Evaluation 13-04-03 8:58 AM Page 8 vii PREFACE AND ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This independent external evaluation of the African Institute for Mathematical Sciences in South Africa (AIMS-SA) is part of the Monitoring and Evaluation plan submitted by AIMS-NEI to IDRC in July 2011. The evaluation was commissioned by AIMS-NEI and it seeks to address both learning and accountability as the AIMS-NEI rolls out its growth plan to replicate centres of excellence for mathematical sciences, similar to AIMS-SA across Africa. The evaluation is intended to identify the results achieved to date, contribute to lesson learning for enhanced performance of AIMSSA and inform the development of future centre-specific strategies for AIMS-SA and other new centres within the AIMS network. The evaluation was carried out by a team of independent evaluators (Canada and South Africa) led by Dr. Dorothy Nyambi, in collaboration with Dr. Helen Scott, Dr. Belinda Ketel and Ms. Rolene Guilland. The evaluation process included multiple consultations with key stakeholders, a participatory analysis of the evaluation Terms of Reference with AIMS-NEI and AIMS-SA, culminating in the development of the evaluation plan. A one week evaluation inception mission took place at AIMS-SA Muizenberg premises in December 2011, led by Dr. Nyambi. Adhering to the evaluation Terms of Reference, this report has been structured to capture the key findings based on a triangulation process from data obtained. External and internal validly of the data have been built in through the development of an evaluation logic model and causeeffect analysis at all levels feasible. Key external factors have been identified, indirect evidence by proxy is limited and a feasible theory of change for AIMS-SA is superimposed alongside the evaluation logic model for the purpose of this evaluation only. The section on evaluation findings commences with an analysis of the evaluation questions, triangulation of the findings based on the three pillars of the evaluation and a special highlight of the findings in each section focusing on, and analyzing, the results obtained from the alumni. The strongest evidence of results beyond outputs was received under effectiveness (outcome) of AIMS-SA during this evaluation. In the absence of a counterfactual case or control group, conclusions related to the impact of AIMS-SA’s intervention and the change that could result from it at the individual, sector or continental level, have been reported as contributions to impact rather than attribution. The evaluation findings are the results of the efforts of multiple stakeholders. TDR would like to acknowledge the contribution made by the active and positive co-operation of AIMS-SA staff, AIMS alumni and the AIMS-NEI secretariat. Additionally, the TDR evaluation team extends its sincere appreciation and thank you to all participants who through face-to-face, telephone interviews and online surveys contributed to the content of this report. Dr. Dorothy Nyambi Team Leader, AIMS-SA Independent External Evaluation Executive Director, TDR International AIMS-South Africa External Evaluation 13-04-03 8:58 AM Page 9 viii FOREWORD The evaluation of an institution often evokes feelings of anticipation, slight uncertainty, and determination to present the organization showcasing its successes and allowing it to be scrutinized and criticized. This is followed by thoughtful examination, reflection of the recommendations and satisfaction at the confirmation of achievement. The success of the evaluation is strongly dependent on lesson-learning and implementation of changes where appropriate, as the organization moves forward accountable to its mission and those who support it. The present evaluation of the African Institute for Mathematical Sciences in Muizenberg, South Africa, experienced all of the above, particularly as this was the second international evaluation of our institute in one year. The first evaluation, which was of our Research Centre, Academic Programme and Institution, was commissioned by our Council and the South African National Research Foundation in compliance with regulations for funding we receive from the Department of Science and Technology. This independent evaluation was conducted by a distinguished panel of scientists and we were thrilled with its positive report and the recommendations made. In view of this, prior to the present evaluation, informative discussions were held so as to help inform the panel and the terms of reference for the present evaluation. The terms of reference for this evaluation are far broader than those of the earlier one. Strong emphasis has been placed on the evaluation of our "product", the AIMS alumni, and also on the make up of AIMS-South Africa, the institution, procedures in place, effectiveness and efficiencies, in relation to its replication in other parts of Africa through the AIMS Next Einstein Initiative. We are very pleased with the evaluation report we have received, and grateful for the effort that was made to provide us with a useful document, which positively confirms the AIMS effort. We are most pleased by the detailed information obtained from our alumni and other stakeholders. This positive report on the effect AIMS has had and is having in the lives of our alumni, and their subsequent opportunities and achievements, echoes our mission and belief in building and growing science in Africa by equipping talented young Africans to do this themselves. A number of helpful recommendations have been made, some of which were already part of our planned work, and are already being implemented or addressed. Others help us, pointing to improvements we need to consider and implement. The success of an evaluation is strongly influenced by the spirit in which it is received, both internally and externally. We are confident that this will be very positive, and hope that in addition to the value to AIMS-South Africa, the effort of all involved, our staff, those interviewed and the evaluation panel, led by Dr. Nyambi, will contribute by setting a standard of best practice in the AIMS-NEI organization. Barry Green Director & Professor of Mathematics African Institute for Mathematical Sciences AIMS-South Africa External Evaluation 13-04-03 8:58 AM Page 10 ix EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1.0 BACKGROUND AIMS-South Africa (AIMS-SA) opened its doors in 2003 and is currently in its ninth year of operations. As the AIMS-SA model moves to the next phase - replication across Africa through the AIMS Next Einstein Initiative (AIMS-NEI), it is both timely and responsible for an independent evaluation to be undertaken. Prior to this, an independent evaluation of AIMS-SA’s Academic Programme, Research Centre and Schools Enrichment Programme, was commissioned by the South African National Research Foundation and AIMS Council and conducted by independent academic experts1 in April 2011. This independent external evaluation has thus attempted to objectively assess the AIMS model, using a comprehensive multi-pronged analysis of AIMS-SA. Furthermore, the evaluation has sought to address the relevance, efficiency, effectiveness, impact and sustainability of AIMS-SA on the continuum towards attaining its goal: Respond to the development challenges of Africa through an increase in the number of African graduates in mathematical sciences. For the purpose of this evaluation, the evaluation team, in consultation with AIMS-SA, developed an assumed logic model and possible theory of change for AIMS-SA. These two tools were key in framing the analysis of the findings, as well as futures recommendations. Data collection for this evaluation was undertaken from December 1, 2011 – January 31, 2012. 2.0 KEY EVALUATION QUESTIONS 1. Is the AIMS-SA model a relevant and critical point on the change continuum towards addressing the development challenges of Africa? 2. What is the correlation between the AIMS experience and what the alumni are doing today or what they are planning to do? 3.0 EVALUATION METHODOLOGY This evaluation used a mixed methods approach working with both quantitative and qualitative data. In the absence of an existing theory of change, the evaluation team in consultation with AIMSSA agreed on a presumed theory of change and program logic model (Annex 1) which contributed to incorporating a theory-based lens to this evaluation. The data collection methods used were essential to gain the necessary level of detail, and to enable triangulation across methods, withinmethods and across a time period. The different types of data collection included: 1. Review of AIMS-SA project documents (secondary data review) 2. Focus groups and key informant semi-structured interviews 3. Alumni Survey ( Response rate = 57%; 204 respondents out of 360 Alumni) Data was analyzed using appropriate qualitative approaches (segments of data were grouped into codes that reflect the evaluation’s goals, theoretical orientation and the two key evaluation questions) and quantitative approaches (descriptive analysis of survey responses, using SPSS). Multiple team data analysis sessions facilitated the identification of patterns, recurring relationships and enhanced well-reasoned, conceptually congruent interpretations. 1 Prof David Bekolle, University of Yaoundé 1, Cameroon Prof Gerhard Frey, University Duisburg-Essen, Germany Prof David Gross, Kavli Institute for Theoretical Physics (2004 Nobel Prize in Physics),USA Prof Sunil Maharaj, University of KwaZulu-Natal (Convenor), South Africa. AIMS-South Africa External Evaluation 13-04-03 8:58 AM Page 11 x 4.0 FINDINGS RELEVANCE This evaluation found AIMS-SA to be a relevant institution to target population (African men and women and the African continent). Relevance was strong in all three data sources utilized and applicable to the PGD, the Research Center and the schools outreach program (AIMSSEC). Respondents specifically highlighted AIMS’ relevance as its contribution in the development of African researchers who will contribute to the development of Africa. Relevance was also described by most respondents in relation to developing the skills of Africans in mathematical sciences. This was supported by the alumni survey in which 89% of respondents reported that AIMS-SA had increased their awareness of the application of mathematical science skills in finding solutions for Africa’s developmental challenges. Despite not having an AIMS-SA-specific center strategy or framework at the time of the evaluation, the review of secondary data found strong linkages and alignment between AIMS-SA, NEPAD and UNESCO demonstrating relevance at a continental and global level. EFFICIENCY Whilst the mandate of this evaluation was not to directly review the financial component of AIMSSA, the efficiency component of the evaluation was ascertained through a synthesis of the AIMSSA self-evaluation and a basic cost benefit analysis. 1. The AIMS-SA model, through its partnership with Stellenbosch University, is being run with a high degree of efficiency. 2. Shared services and resources with local and international partner universities, use of volunteer international lecturers and multiple layers of costs efficiencies across multiple layers of the center all contribute to cost effectiveness. 3. The efficiency based on the return on investment for each student who has received an AIMSSA education is complex with the return spread over time and cannot be derived by doing only a quantitative financial analysis. 4. Strong documented evidence of efficiency was also found within the AIMSSEC program. 5. It was also evident through this evaluation that the PGD, the Research Centre and the AIMSSEC program, despite being a part of AIMS-SA, functioned relatively independently in areas where increases in efficiencies could be achieved (e.g. resource mobilization and coordination for overall results achieved). AIMS-South Africa External Evaluation 13-04-03 8:58 AM Page 12 xi EFFECTIVENESS 1. Effectiveness of AIMS-SA as demonstrated by its success in achieving planned outputs, outcomes and goals was analysed against the logic model developed for the purpose of this evaluation. Effectiveness was analysed at the level of each component of AIMS-SA i.e. the PGD, the Research center and AIMSSEC. With respect to the PGD and the research center, effectiveness was reported mainly at the individual level (alumni survey, focus groups and interviews). 2. Both AIMSSEC and the PDG programme, have sstrong evidence of their effectiveness. AIMSSEC has in place a well-developed and structured assessment process associated with the project for teachers and their learners. The PGD has well developed assessment structure that commences with the evaluation and approval of courses through to the assessment of their delivery and the knowledge acquired by the learners. 3. The role of AIMS-SA in helping facilitate the creation of the South African Centre for Epidemiological Modelling (SACEMA) together with other stakeholders is a strong indication of the effectiveness of a young organisation like AIMS-SA’s in its ability to be effective in an area of high relevance not only to South Africa, but to the African continent and the global health sector. 4. Alumni reported a significant contribution by AIMS to their current careers or educational paths. 5. AIMS-SA’s active participant in several national, continental and global networks is a good indicator of its effectiveness. 6. AIMS-SA’s effectiveness in conveying and contributing to instilling in its students an increased understanding of Africa’s challenges was very high. 7. AIMS-SA has been very effective in producing young African men and women who have enhanced their academic qualifications with Masters and PhDs (89% of respondents in alumni survey) in a wide range of areas. 8. Research outputs (publications) and the growth of the Research Centre demonstrate evidence of focusing on areas that will contribute in addressing some of Africa’s challenges. SUSTAINABILITY AIMS–SA is a culturally and contextually appropriate model for Africa. The student diversity and integration opportunities, approach and teaching methodology all provided evidence of trends that would contribute to the long term sustainability of AIMS-SA. AIMS-SA receives significant administrative support from the University of Stellenbosch, some of which is monetized and the majority as a contribution in-kind. This relationship is unique in its set up, cost model and processes and should be further analyzed if a similar model is considered for another AIMS Centre. With respect the Academic Program, Research and Outreach there is strong evidence of the sustainability of the curriculum, teaching methodology, results of the outreach program and research outputs. All (100%) of AIMS-SA operational budget is covered by the government of South Africa. Sustainability with respect to funding for other areas of AIMS-SA’s programs is yet to be attained. AIMS-South Africa External Evaluation 13-04-03 8:58 AM Page 13 xii IMPACT There is strong evidence of the contribution towards impact at the individual level for AIMS-SA Alumni. This is harnessed mainly in the outcome Alumni have experienced or are involved in post-AIMS. The alumni survey reported strong contribution and in some cases attribution of current success of Alumni to AIMS-SA. However, with just eight years of existence, the absence of a counterfactual scenario or control group as part of this evaluation, the results from the analysis of the findings have been classified as contributions towards impact. Evidence continues to be built that will further demonstrate AIMS-SA’s contribution towards impact within the Mathematical Sciences sector and in addressing Africa’s development challenges. 5.0 CONCLUSIONS 1. AIMS-South Africa, in less than ten years, has been very effective in contributing towards the development of higher education and the production of students who have proceeded to obtain higher academic qualification. This has contributed in increasing the number of African men and women with research skills needed in all areas (academia, public sector, civil society and the private sector) across Africa. 2. AIMS-South Africa has been able to position itself, through the content of its program, its alumni and outreach at the continental level, as a relevant and effective player seeking to contribute to addressing Africa’s development challenges. 3. There is a strong request for the post-graduate diploma to be converted to a full Master’s program (from analysis of data received from Alumni, and semi structured interviews especially within the subgroup of those involved in the academic and research areas). 4. Funders interviewed were cautiously optimistic about the sustainability of AIMS, but all believed in the mandate of AIMS, describing this as the main reason for their ongoing support. They expressed the need for AIMS to provide evidence of its results (outcome and impact). 5. There is evidence of sustainability in the outputs and outcomes of AIMS-South Africa’s interventions, and currently about 60 per cent of AIMS-South Africa’s operational budget is funded by the Government of South Africa. 6. Each Unit at AIMS-SA (PGD, Research and AIMSSEC) is currently documenting objectives per functional area. They are however in the process of developing an overarching results framework that will include the integration of data and results across departments towards common macro indicators (outcome and impact) for AIMS-SA 7. The contribution of AIMS-South Africa to the career paths and research focus of the students is highly attributed to AIMS-South Africa, as per the alumni survey component of this evaluation. 8. AIMS-South Africa has contributed in improving the access and quality of education for African university graduates and supports them to pursue further post-graduate studies. 9. There is a significant direct correlation made by AIMS Alumni between their education at AIMS and their current careers or educational focus. 10. AIMS-South Africa, through the activities of AIMSSEC, contributes significantly in improving access and quality of education for mathematics teachers and improved outcomes in mathematics for their learners in two provinces of South Africa. 11. There exists evidence of AIMS-South Africa’s contribution towards impact on Africa’s development challenges through the work, career and research focus of some Alumni. AIMS-South Africa External Evaluation 13-04-03 8:58 AM Page 14 xiii 6.0 RECOMMENDATIONS 1. Strengthen the integration the three programs: AIMSSEC, Academic (PGD) and Research to demonstrate their complementarity in achieving strong consolidated results for AIMS-SA. 2. Develop a strategic and operational plan with a logic model based on a clear theory of change for AIMS-SA which will facilitate and enhance the measurement of success, learning and overall accountability. 3. Build on the existing progress for the admission of female students into the PGD program and strengthen the gender equity model within AIMS-SA. This broader and comprehensive approach would enable the development and implementation of internal good practices that complement and enhance current efforts. Additionally, it would guarantee the same opportunities of access to and success at AIMS-SA for men and women at all levels. 4. Expand the on-going evaluation and monitoring system that is tied to the strategic plan and logic model for the entire institution (academic, research and outreach). Enhance measurements and metrics with increased use of Information Communication Technology (ICT) to improve efficiency in information, data management and reach in all areas of AIMS-SA. 5. Strategically involve African lecturers and scientists to build capacity in Africa and increase the sustainability and replicability of the AIMS model across Africa. Invest, strengthen and expand the co-lecturer program. 6. Increase collaboration and strengthen partnerships with similar institutions across Africa to increase reach and impact. 7. Consider developing and incorporating in the curriculum some modules on Africa’s development challenges, business and employability skills. 8. In addition to universities, explore and forge partnerships with the public, private and civil society sector entities for increased awareness on the role of mathematical sciences, and the creation of opportunities and linkages for alumni contribution and/or employment. 9. Strengthen and broaden outreach as a core pillar and fundamental basis for developing Mathematical Sciences in Africa. Involve Alumni strategically to contribute in building a strong community of practice for mathematical sciences in Africa. 10. Consider undertaking a detailed assessment of what it will take to convert the current PGD program into a full master’s program. This will increase AIMS–SA’s relevance at multiple levels, its effectiveness and efficiency, and increased ability for its graduates to enter and contribute to the labour market earlier than may currently be the case. 2 1.0 OVERVIEW OF AIMS The African Institute for Mathematical Sciences South Africa (AIMS-SA) is a centre for education, outreach and research in Cape Town, South Africa. AIMS-SA was established in 2003 as a partnership project of the following six universities: Cambridge, Cape Town, Oxford, Paris Sud XI, Stellenbosch, and Western Cape. The goals of AIMS - SA are: To promote mathematics and science in Africa To recruit and train talented students and teachers To build capacity for African initiatives in education, research, and technology Science and technology are powerful forces for progress in global society and the global economy. For Africa to benefit fully from these forces it must build a strong indigenous capacity in both. Mathematics underpins most of modern life - information and communication technology, genetics, medicine, finance, demographics and planning. Without mathematical training Africans will be unable to access the full power of new technologies to solve their countries' problems. Through its graduate program and public outreach activities, AIMS influences choices at school and university level, drawing bright young Africans into mathematical and scientific careers. Africa's greatest resource is its people. There can be no more effective investment in Africa's future than in education which empowers talented young people to contribute to their countries' development. 1.2 AIMS-SA PROGRAMS The African Institute for Mathematical Sciences (AIMS-SA), in Cape Town, South Africa is an innovative post-graduate centre for education, research and outreach which has achieved global recognition since opening in 2003 (See Figure 1). AIMS-SA offers a number of educational programs highlighted by its ten-month postgraduate Diploma in Mathematical Sciences, which provides an intensive and broad education to approximately fifty top African students each year, preparing them for leadership careers in academia, governance and industry. EXTERNAL EVALUATION 1.1 WHY AIMS? FIGURE 1. AIMS-SA PROGRAMS AIMS -SA Academic Postgraduate Diploma Research Collaborative Honours Degree AIMSSEC Mathematical Thinking, Problem Solving and Technology in Teaching and Learning Advanced Certificate in Education 1.2.1 ACADEMIC PROGRAMS Postgraduate Diploma Program AIMS-SA offers an intensive postgraduate course over 10 months leading to a postgraduate Diploma in the Mathematical Sciences, formally accredited by the Universities of Cape Town, Stellenbosch, and the Western Cape. Collaborative Honours Degree Program In 2009, Stellenbosch University introduced an Honours course in Mathematics with focus in Biomathematics. This course is offered in partnership with AIMS-SA. 1.2.2 AIMSSEC - SCHOOLS ENRICHMENT CENTRE Mathematical Thinking, Problem Solving and Technology in Teaching and Learning Mathematics This is an intensive 10 day residential course where participants receive classroom materials designed for the South African curriculum and engage in a three month assignment to apply their new skills. Advanced Certificate in Education The Advance Certificate Education (ACE) program leads to a National Qualification Framework (NQF) level 6 qualifications offered by AIMSSEC in partnership with Fort Hare and Stellenbosch Universities and accredited by these universities. The program extends knowledge and understanding of mathematics and educational issues and develops skills to support evaluation and enquiry into areas of professional practice. EXTERNAL EVALUATION AIMSSEC was established in 2003 with the following objectives: (i) extension of educational opportunities for disadvantaged communities in South Africa, (ii) the introduction of new skills to the teaching of mathematics, and (iii) raising standards of mathematics education in disadvantaged communities. These objectives are achieved through the following interventions: 4 1.2.3 RESEARCH CENTRE The mission of the Research Centre at AIMS-SA is to conduct and foster outstanding research and learning in the mathematical sciences, thus contributing to the next generation of Pan-African leaders in many spheres and the advancement of African science and academia within a multicultural environment. The AIMS-SA research center focuses in the following key areas: Bio-mathematics, Financial mathematics, Cosmology and astrophysics, and mathematical foundations and scientific computation. FOCUS ON ALUMNI Since 2003 -2011, 360 students from 31 African countries have graduated from AIMS-SA Thirty per cent (30%) of graduates have been women (Figure 2). Over ninety-five per cent (95%) have gone on to Master’s or PhD degrees at universities in Africa and abroad (Figure 3). Over 75 per cent (75%) currently remain in Africa. There is evidence of AIMS South Africa graduates contributing in strengthening African universities, research centres, government and industry across Africa. AIMS-NEI has developed a database to track the alumni, with current information based on geographic location, academic progress and current employment. Currently, 262 students have completed or are completing Masters Degrees and 153 students have completed or are completing PhD degrees. 8% of AIMS South Africa graduates are pursuing careers in the private or social sectors. 60 50 40 Females 30 Males 20 10 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 *Data source: AIMS South Africa Annual access database INCLUDES ALUMNI DATA AS OF NOV, 2011 EXTERNAL EVALUATION FIGURE 2 YEAR OF ADMISSION BY GENDER FIGURE 3: WHERE ARE THE AIMS ALUMNI? (AS OF NOVEMBER 2011) 14% 5% 5% 48% Masters PhD PostDoc/Reseacher Teacher/Lecturer 28% Industry *Data source: AIMS South Africa access database INCLUDES ALUMNI DATA AS OF NOVEMBER 2011 2011 2.0 EVALUATION - SCOPE AND METHODOLOGY Furthermore, this evaluation builds on previous evaluation3 work done at AIMS-SA and will contribute in establishing the relevance, efficiency, effectiveness, sustainability and impact of AIMS-SA on the continuum towards attaining its goal to respond to the development challenges of Africa through Mathematical Sciences. This evaluation was undertaken between December 1st, 2011 and January 31st, 2012 using a mixed methods approach and worked with both quantitative and qualitative data. In the absence of an existing theory of change, the evaluation team in consultation with AIMS-SA agreed on a presumed theory of change and program logic (Annex 1) which allowed for the incorporation of a theory- lens to this evaluation. The data collection Stufflebeam, D. L. (1983). The CIPP model for program evaluation. In G. F. Madaus, M. Scriven, & D. L. Stufflebeam (Eds.), Evaluation models (Chapter 7, pp. 117-141). Boston: Kluwer-Nijhoff. 3 AIMS-SA Self Evaluation report, 2003-2010 (focus 2008 – 2010) Review of AIMS and Research Centre – International review panel report (July, 31, 2011) 2 EXTERNAL EVALUATION AIMS-SA opened its doors in 2003 and is currently in its ninth year of operations. As the AIMS-SA model moves to the next phase - replication across Africa through the AIMS Next Einstein Initiative (AIMS-NEI), it is both timely and responsible for an independent evaluation to be undertaken. This evaluation, adopted the CIPP (Context, Input, Process, Product) Integrated Evaluation Model (Stufflebeam, 1983)2, which provides a systematic way of looking at multiple points of the AIMS-SA model along its continuum of change. This multidimensional and multifaceted approach emphasized different aspects of the evaluation, and provided ‘richer’ evaluation data that will inform a wide range of constituencies. The evaluation covers the period between September 2003 – June 2011 inclusive. 6 methods used were essential to gain the necessary level of detail, and to enable triangulation across methods, within-methods and across a time period. The different types of data collection included: Review of AIMS project documents, Focus groups and semi-structured interviews, and Alumni survey Data was analyzed using appropriate qualitative approaches (segments of data were grouped into codes that reflect the evaluation’s goals, theoretical orientation and the two key evaluation questions) and quantitative approaches (descriptive analysis of survey responses, using SPSS, Version 18.0). Multiple team data analysis sessions facilitated the identification of patterns, recurring relationships and enhanced well-reasoned, conceptually congruent interpretations. 2.1 KEY OUTCOME EVALUATION QUESTIONS What is the correlation between the AIMS-SA experience and what the alumni or researcher or teacher in the outreach component is doing today or what he / she is planning to do? 1. Do the alumni relate / make the link about what they are doing as an opportunity to contribute towards Africa’s development? 2. Do the researchers make the link between their areas of focus and research outputs to the needs of mathematical sciences and development challenges of Africa? 3. Did the alumni’s passage through AIMS-SA contribute in creating the thinking or platform that has driven them to pursue advance knowledge to be able to contribute to Africa’s development challenges? 4. Do the alumni know and understand Africa’s development challenges and do they see their possible role in contributing to the solutions? 5. Are the teachers in the outreach program making the link between the work they do, AIMS-SA and the importance of mathematics for children in Africa? EXTERNAL EVALUATION Is the AIMS model a relevant and critical point on the change continuum towards addressing the development challenges of Africa? 1. Do the students understand the role of mathematical sciences in everyday solutions and innovations? 2. Is there coherence between the alumni’s expectation of AIMS and the mandate of AIMS? 3. If yes, where are the current alumni on the change pathway towards attaining this goal? 4. If no, why and what needs to be done to correct or enhance this trajectory? 5. Are the research and outreach components of AIMS-SA independent, interdependent, complementary or mutually exclusive to the expected results / outcome of the PGD component? 6. What is the role of outreach and research in helping AIMS-SA progress along this continuum of change? 6. Is AIMS-SA making a link and demonstrating the synergy in results due to the complementarity between the academic, outreach and research components of the institutions? The evaluation assessed the following: 1. Overall AIMS model design and implementation; 2. Individual components of the AIMS-SA model – PGD, Research and Outreach (AIMSSEC); and 3. AIMS-SA Alumni outcome in relation to immediate next steps (academia, industry,) and overall progress post AIMS-SA towards addressing Africa’s development challenges. In doing so, the evaluation exercise was guided by five core evaluative areas addressing: a) The RELEVANCE of AIMS-SA in addressing the development challenges in Africa identified in the business plan; b) The EFFICIENCY of the model measured both in terms of administrative costs and timeliness of execution; including basic cost benefit analysis beyond the individual output at the student level, but incorporating the greater benefit to the individual student and those immediately around them. c) The EFFECTIVENESS of AIMS-SA as a whole, with particular attention devoted to outcomes at the medium and long term levels. d) The SUSTAINABILITY of results and the contribution of AIMS-SA to the development of individual students, specific sector(s) and addressing the development challenges of Africa. e) The IMPACT of AIMS-SA in changing the attitudes of key stakeholders, locally and internationally towards mathematical sciences. 3. EVALUATION METHODOLOGY In order to cross check information and findings, this evaluation was conducted using a mixed methods approach. The different data collection methods were essential to gain the necessary level of detail, and to enable triangulation across methods, within-methods and across a time period. “Triangulation is generally considered to be one of the best ways to enhance validity and reliability in qualitative research methods.” Babbie and Mouton (2001:275). The different types of data collection are described below (Figure 4). EXTERNAL EVALUATION 2.2.1 DATA COLLECTION METHODS 8 FIGURE 4. EVALUATION DATA COLLEC TION STREAMS Evaluation AIMS–SA has evolved since 2003 and presents a wide range of documents, in terms of the nature, detail and scope. Secondary data collection and analysis was undertaken with care and diligence and provided the evaluation team with a cost effective way of obtaining a broad understanding of the evaluation questions. This data also contributed in the design of the primary data collection tools and served as a baseline for comparing and triangulating the findings from the two other data sources. A detailed definition of the purpose for the secondary data was established and data sources within this category grouped to facilitate trend analysis and cross tabulations with other data sources. Specific types of secondary data that were included in this evaluation include, but are not limited to the documents described in Figure 4 and are described in greater detail in Annex 5. The purpose of the secondary data analysis was to highlight important aspects of the evolution of AIMS-SA (since 2003) that were relevant in providing evidence of AIMS–SA’s contribution towards Africa’s’ challenges and any impact it has had, at the level of the Alumni. Best practices, key lessons, details around the model of delivery were drawn and served as complementary evidence during the triangulation process with primary data. Key Informant Semi-structured Interviews and Focus Group Discussions Purposive sampling was utilized for the semi structured interviews following a comprehensive stakeholder mapping. This ensured that key informants were selected from each main category based on their knowledge and relationship to AIMS-SA. This allowed EXTERNAL EVALUATION Review of Secondary data - AIMS-SA Project Documents for the provision of in-depth specialized information whilst maintaining a greater scope for discussion and learning about the AIMS-SA, opinions and views of the respondents. Data in this category was collected through face to face meetings, telephone interviews and electronic e-mail responses. Focus group discussions were carried out with two groups of AIMSSEC beneficiaries, AIMS PGD tutors and researchers. This allowed for immediate crosschecking and obtaining information from multiple respondents. The various semi-structured interviews and focus groups with selected respondents were from the categories of stakeholders identified in Figure 4. A more complete list of interviewees and focus group participants can be found in Annex 4. Alumni Survey An online survey (Annex 6) to collect information about the Postgraduate Diploma Program was developed by the evaluation team, in consultation with AIMS-SA and AIMSNEI staff. The survey was distributed to 360 AIMS-SA Alumni by email. The questions were divided into three major areas – pre AIMS-SA, experience while attending AIMS-SA and Post AIMS-SA. The questions targeted: motivation to attend AIMS, knowledge change about mathematical science and Africa’s development challenges, and increased understanding, impression of mathematics and science impact on Africa’s development challenge. The questionnaire incorporated a quantitative component in most of the questions (in the form categorized and likert scale responses) as well as allowing for qualitative responses (comments and open ended questions). The survey was administered over a four week period from December 2012 to January 2013. Two BlackBerries, donated by Research In Motion, were offered as prizes, one for a male and one for a female, in order to increase the response rate. EXTERNAL EVALUATION The response rate to the online survey was acceptable, given the short time frame. 204 out of the 360 (56.4%) alumni completed the questionnaire. As shown in Table 1 and Figures 5, 6 and 7, below, almost three quarters (72%) of the respondents were males between the age of 25-34 years (80%); half (52.0%) graduated in or before to 2007 and 28% of respondents were female. Approximately half of the respondents (52%) graduated between 2003 and 2007 (referred to as early graduates). 10 TABLE 1. DESCRIPTIVE CHARACTERISTICS OF ALUMNI SURVEY RESPONDENTS Variable Males Females Age 18 -24 25 – 34 35 – 44 Total n (%) 9 (4) 117 (57) 21 (10) 147 (72) n (%) 7 (3) 47 (23) 3 (2) 57 (28) Gender Male Female Total - - Early Grads (2003 2007) n (%) 0 (0) 87 (43) 19 (9) 106 (52) Late Grads (2008PRESENT) n (%) 16 (8) 77 (38) 5 (3) 98 (48) n (%) 84 (41.2) 22 (10.8) 106 (52.0) n (%) 63 (30.9) 35 (17.2) 98 (48.0) Total N (%) 16 (7) 164 (80) 24 (12) 204 (100) N 147 (72) 57 (28) 204 (100.0) FIGURE 6. CURRENT AGE OF ALUMNI RESPONDENTS BY GENDER FIGURE 5. GENDER OF ALUMNI RESPONDENTS 200 150 28% Females 100 Males 72% Male 50 0 Female 18 -24 25 - 34 35 - 44 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Female Male 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 EXTERNAL EVALUATION FIGURE 7. ALUMNI RESPONDENTS YEAR OF STUDY BY GENDER Figures 8 and Figure 9 below, show the country of origin for each alumni respondent and where they are currently residing, studying or employed. FIGURE 8. ALUMNI RESPONDENT’S COUNTRY OF ORIGIN # of alumni 1 to 5 6 to 10 11 to 15 16 to 20 20 plus # of alumni 1 to 5 6 to 10 11 to 15 16 to 20 20 plus EXTERNAL EVALUATION FIGURE 9. ALUMNI RESPONDENT’S CURRENT COUNTRY OF RESIDENCE/ STUDY/EMPLOYMENT 12 2.2.2 DATA ANALYSIS Analysis of the qualitative data involved grouping data into codes that reflect the evaluation’s goals, theoretical orientation and the two main evaluation questions. The alumni survey data were cleaned and coded appropriately. Descriptive analysis of survey responses were conducted using SPSS Version 18.0. Multiple team data analysis sessions facilitated the identification of patterns, recurring relationships and enhanced wellreasoned, conceptually congruent interpretations. The analyses were guided by the Independent External Evaluation Terms of Reference (Annex 8) and data under each evaluation area analyzed and triangulated per analysis framework below. FIGURE 9.1. AIMS-SA INDEPENDENT EXTERNAL EVALUATION FRAMEWORK Insider’s point of view - Alumni - AIMS Staff - AIMS Board - Advisory Committee - Academic Partners Understanding Convergence Outsider’s point of view Scientists, Private sector, employers, university’s admitting, similar institutions in Africa and around the world, NEPAD Analysis to assess change, relevance, reach, outcome, sustainability and possible impact. Incorporated into the triangulation4 process, was a judgement criterion for each evaluation area (Relevance, Effectiveness, Efficiency, Impact and Sustainability) in analyzing the findings to avoid subjectivity. Each judgement criteria, informed the nature of the questions asked, how data was collected and ultimately how the analysis was done. 2.2.3 LIMITATIONS OF THE EVALUATION METHODOLOGY 1. Many criticisms have been made of attempts to assess the effectiveness of education programs, the most common being that the real impact can only be assessed by in-classroom observation of the teacher and longitudinal studies of the graduates5. This evaluation relied heavily on secondary data review in lieu of direct in classroom observation. For the AIMSSEC program, evaluators had the 4 Triangulation was done for the data, between evaluators and across methods used for data collection ( secondary data review, alumni survey, semi-structured interviews and focus group discussions) 5 http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/55/30/38006910.pdf Quality Assurance in Tertiary Education: current practices in OECD countries and a literature review on potential effects EXTERNAL EVALUATION The AIMS-SA Evaluation Matrix can be found in Annex 3. opportunity to attend a training / workshop event for teachers. However, with time constraints, limited resources and other feasibility issues, it was neither possible, nor practical to extend the data collection design into the classroom or to follow the graduates longitudinally, as this study has not yet been set. As such, this evaluation relied heavily on existing documentation and interviews to draw conclusions on relevance, effectiveness (outcomes), efficiency, sustainability and impact. 2. Due to time constraints, following the alumni survey and some semi structured interviews, some key questions arising from the responses were not further explored through focus group discussions or in-depth interviews. 3. It was also not possible to assess or comment on the quality of the internal selfevaluation of AIMS-SA, nor the independent assessment of the AIMS-SA academic program, but rather a synthesis of relevant sections of these reports were incorporated in the interpretation of this evaluation’s findings. To that end, interpretations of the present evaluation are limited (or strengthened) by the methods of the existing evaluations. 4. The wide range of documents reviewed presented a significant level of inconsistencies with respect to definitions, interpretations, and use of key results terminologies. This posed a challenge in creating adequate groups for review of some key documents. 5. One quarter (25%) of the interviews were conducted via telephone or email. An in-person interview may have permitted the evaluator more latitude to probe more deeply and/ or more accurately interpret the information provided. 7. In seeking to establish proof of impact, this evaluation was limited. The AIMSSA program was not set up with a control group in place, nor was there possibility to identify a control group. However, and even though limited, the option of the counterfactual case for all students who have attended AIMS-SA, was explored in the Alumni survey with the question: ‘If you did not come to AIMS-SA or have the opportunity, what would have been your next action’? EXTERNAL EVALUATION 6. With respect to the alumni survey, there would have been value to further exploration of the responses obtained through focus groups (in person or online). 14 3.0 EVALUATION FINDINGS 3.2 RELEVANCE From the secondary data review and semi-structured interviews across all three AIMS-SA programs (the postgraduate Diploma, the Research Centre and AIMSSEC) evidence was consistently obtained that demonstrated the strong relevance of AIMS-SA in responding to a felt and identified need in Africa’s tertiary education system and to the target population - Africa. Key findings to substantiate this are: i. AIMS-SA has contributed in the development of African researchers who are currently contributing to Africa’s development. Alumni in the academic field are transferring knowledge and skills to younger generations through university and high school classrooms. ii. The outreach component of AIMS-SA is addressing and meeting an identified gap in the South African education system - strengthening the capacity of teachers in under privileged areas of the Western and Eastern Cape Provinces in South Africa. iii. AIMS-SA has developed the skills of Africans in mathematical sciences allowing them to see the realm of possibilities with respect to their ability to contribute to Africa’s development. This was supported by the alumni survey responses, in which 89% of respondents reported that AIMS-SA increased their awareness about how to use mathematical science skills to address and seek solutions for development challenges. Further to the above, the relevance of AIMS was described in relation to the “AIMS is an inspiring environment filled with hope, interdisciplinary nature of the AIMS- enthusiasm, and eagerness to take up opportunities, to SA PGD program. The content of the network with other mathematicians internationally and program addresses a very specific gap in Africa, and to become part of the international for the students. Specifically, the scientific community. AIMS students enjoy an enriching, rewarding and refreshing experience…” structure of the program creates an opportunity for the students to gain a good perspective on a range of advanced topics before deciding on an area of specialisation. This is in line with the panel of academic experts who concluded in the 2011 review of AIMS-SA academic and research programmes: “The academic programme consists of modules based on relevant material, which are of scientific depth on topical themes”. EXTERNAL EVALUATION 1. Does AIMS-SA answer and/or respond to the needs of the target population? 2. Relevance within the South African and African university systems? 3. Is the model design appropriate to the specific context in Africa? 4. Are the mechanisms and approaches used in coherence with the priorities of Africa as defined by Africa’s New Partnership for Development (NEPAD?) 5. Are the mechanisms and approaches of AIMS-SA in accordance with standards set by the UNESCO’s World Declaration for Higher Education in the 21st Century? FOCUS ON ALUMNI - RELEVANCE Figure 11 shows the role and purpose of AIMS-SA as identified by the alumni before arriving, after graduation and currently. It is notable that alumni’s views of the role of AIMS-SA as building capacity for Africa increased throughout their studies, but that alumni felt that it could still be higher after they graduated. Understanding student’s motivation to attend AIMS-SA paints a picture of the perceptions of AIMS-SA in the broader academic community. Main reasons for attending: scholarship, programs & international opportunities (Fig 10). Most AIMS-SA Alumni began the programme with an Honours or general degree (n=158, 77%). Twenty percent (n=42) already had a Master’s degree (Fig. 11). Early graduates heard about AIMS from a professor; more recent graduates heard about AIMS from alumni (Fig. 12). 77% of alumni (n = 157) were in other studies at the time of applying to AIMS. The major focus of study of alumni at the time of applying to AIMS was math (n=136, 64%) and physics (n=66, 32%) FIGURE 10. HOW IMPORTANT WERE THE FOLLOWING FACTORS IN YOUR DECISION TO STUDY AT AIMS-SA? 180 140 120 Somewhat Important 100 80 Neutral 60 40 Important 20 0 Very Important EXTERNAL EVALUATION NUMBER OF ALUMNI 160 Not at all Important 16 FIGURE 11. ACADEMIC QUALIFICATIONS AT TIME OF ADMISSION Honors Degree 88 (43%) Undergraduate Degree 70 (34%) Master’s Degree 42 (20%) Post Graduate Diploma 4 (2%) FIGURE 12. HOW DID YOU HEAR ABOUT AIMS-SA? Colleague Friends/Family Ads Alumni Internet Professor 0 20 40 Percentage of Alumni Late Grads (2008-2011) Early Grads (2003-2007) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Before arriving When you graduated What should it be Among the 103 (49%) alumni who applied to other institutions at the time of applying to AIMS, the following were the top five listed: International Centre for Theoretical Physics, ITALY University College, London, UK, African University of Science and Technology, NIGERIA Makerere University, UGANDA and University of Twente. NETHERLANDS EXTERNAL EVALUATION Percentage FIGURE 13. ROLE AND PURPOSE OF AIMS AS IDENTIFIED BY THE ALUMNI, BEFORE ARRIVING, IMMEDIATELY AFTER GRADUATION AND CURRENTLY FOCUS ON ALUMNI - RELEVANCE Alumni were asked “How do you think mathematics can be applied to solving Africa’s developmental challenges?” (See Annex 4 for full survey). The responses were varied, but indicate the perception of relevance from the alumni’s point of view, and innovative thoughts from the Alumni on how they plan to use their skills, talents and training. “We need to take as example how other countries in Europe and America have developed through teaching their people mathematical and science skills. All of everyday life is about mathematics and science, which are powerful ingredients for any developmental process.” “Health: To this, I will say that Africa needs more health research centres where modelling of the spread of diseases such as malaria, tuberculosis, cancer, HIV-AIDS etc. will be performed, monitored as well as provide solutions to the disease spreads and the cure itself. Education: He who is educated is not given a fish but is rather taught how to fish. Mathematics, which I will say, is the basis of creation must be well introduced especially at the basic level of education. Since at AIMS, students are exposed to the teachings of well renowned lecturers who are on top in their research fields, I believe establishing more AIMS centres will pave the way for students as well as teachers to be introduced to different methodologies and approaches to mathematical sciences so they can improve upon their education as well passing on that which they have received to other students.” “I see Mathematics as a foundation to many other areas and aspects of life and with the indepth concepts of computing AIMS exposes its students to interdisciplinary fields are readily accessible to persons who major in Mathematics. Hence modelling of major setbacks in Africa like: HIV/ Aids and exposing our leaders to practical and simulated records of what is happening in Africa will go a long way to bring about sustainable approaches to handling matters.” EXTERNAL EVALUATION “My main arguments concern the challenge of Education: learning or teaching Mathematics doesn't require big facilities compare to other sciences. So it can be a good starting point. Also, people with a background in Mathematics are likely to be able to adapt to almost every scientific area. Poverty and the insecurity may not be directly linked to Mathematics; but still an educated population [whatsoever the field is] may contribute in solving its challenges.” 18 An additional and very specific area of the outputs of AIMS-SA, for which relevance was sought, is its outreach program (AIMSSEC). Review of documents, interviews with the AIMSSEC staff, and focus group discussions with AIMSSEC alumni and current teachers, all yielded significant evidence to confirm the relevance of AIMSSEC: 1. AIMSSEC is addressing the critical need for maths education within the South African education system at the most basic levels. This program is already producing evidence6 that shows learners in classrooms whose teachers are part of the AIMSSEC program, have stronger skills in maths and science thus increasing their chances of getting to the gates of Maths and science education at the tertiary level. 2. Respondents reported the value add of the ACE course and the Mathematical Thinking (MT) course. Both courses form all three data sources acknowledged AIMSSEC provided teachers with knowledge and tools that are immediately applicable . “AIMS intends to foster quality education and research in the mathematical sciences within Africa, by Africans and for the benefit of Africans, it must make sure the build interest and knowledge at the most basic level – AIMSSEC is helping us as teachers to contribute to the future of Africa.” AIMS-SA’s focus on setting high level standards for education – elements such as providing opportunities for higher learning; to educate highly qualified graduates; to advance, create and disseminate knowledge through research, to support and expand the understanding of different cultures; and particularly to contribute to the development of education through the training of teachers were in line with the mandates and objectives of UNESCO and NEPAD. The interviews, alumni survey and focus group discussions, all confirmed the relevance of AIMS-SA as meeting an identified gap in Africa’s tertiary education system; the role of mathematical sciences in addressing some of Africa’s challenges through the areas of work, research and involvement by AIMS-SA graduates and an outreach program, which 6 University of Fort Hare African Institute for Mathematical Sciences Schools Enrichment Centre (AIMSSEC) Advanced Certificate in Education (ACE) Programme Evaluation. Kelello Consulting (in collaboration with Jill Adler and colleagues) July 2011 EXTERNAL EVALUATION At the continental and global levels, documents reviewed and interviews with key informants in the academic sphere (within and outside of the AIMS network), all reported alignment and relevance of AIMS-SA with respect to UNESCO’s declaration for higher education and vision for the 20th century and NEPAD’s Africa’s Science and Technology Consolidated Plan of Action through AIMS-SA’s affiliation with the African Observatory for Science, Technology and Innovation (AOSTI). despite being limited in scope (two provinces) is very relevant to the teachers, learners and the mathematical sciences community in South Africa. 3.3 EFFICIENCY 1. Can the results achieved be considered adequate for the budget spent? 2. Was the allocation of resources among different aspects of the AIMS SA model (training, equipment provision, awareness raising, tool development, human resources etc.) appropriate to achieve results? 3. Is the design of the AIMS-SA model appropriate given its objectives? 4. How clear and consistent is the causal chain? How well do the different components of the AIMS model link with the overall goal? 5. To what extent is AIMS-SA innovative? Does it leverage the most interaction and synergy with other related areas of work and other areas where AIMS plays a role (e.g. AMI-NET)? 6. Is the management structure efficient for the achievement of expected outcomes? 7. Is the provision of administrative support via a third party (Stellenbosch University) cost effective and efficient? The findings in this evaluation area derived from a review of all AIMS-SA’s annual audited financial statements7. Each year’s financial statements showed that the income obtained was almost spent entirely, which demonstrate no “savings” or “back-up” funds and no “profit” is being made. This is efficient in terms of the purpose of AIMS-SA especially in light of its income being mostly derived from funders/donors who expect only funds needed have been requested. The main cost drivers in the AIMS-SA budget from inception to date have consistently been staff salaries, cost associated with the delivery of the program and provision of full scholarships (travel expenses, building maintenance/refurbishments, and catering) to the students whilst they are at AIMS, bursaries, post AIMS-SA. Whilst a value or return on investment could be assigned to some cost drivers, it is much more complex to do so for the scholarships especially with 86 % of alumni respondents stating (Figure 10) the main reason for attending AIMS-SA was the availability of a full 7 Source: AIMS-SA annual reports (2003 – 2010) EXTERNAL EVALUATION Cost-Effectiveness Analysis (CEA) for this evaluation involved the calculation of the ratio of cost to a non- monetary benefit or outcome, in this case cost per student/graduate. This was due to the inability to monetize all benefits of an AIMS education for students and to allow for the combination of appropriate measures of outcomes with costs , such that similar programs within the same domain can be compared in the future for effectiveness and results. Additionally, the CEA offered an opportunity to side-step the uncertainties related to valuing different aspects of the benefits of a tertiary education program by looking at the ratio of benefits to costs without reducing them to only monetary units. 20 scholarship – contributed significantly towards access. Finally, a review of the audited financial statements noted the auditors’ conclusions ‘no inefficiencies where found’. A three pronged cost benefit analysis of the AIMS-SA program was undertaken as a key element in defining its efficiency. This was done using data available from respondents and secondary data reviewed for this evaluation from the AIMS-SA finance manager. The costs per student figures were assessed retrospectively based on the cost structure as outlined in the current AIMS-SA budget. 1. Gross (Actual) costs per student: Used the variable applicable cost derived from the annual reports. This cost does not include indirect and capital costs. Cost per student in this domain was derived by dividing the total number of students over 8 years. 2. An adjusted8 analysis (Adjusted cost per student) used costs as outlined in the annual report audited financials (Direct instructional and administrative program and indirect personnel costs only), excluding: facilities, equipment, supplies, and telecommunications expenses. 3. Normative (Effective) costs per student An innovative way of calculating costs per student based the calculation on normative costs 9 . Under this approach, optimal staff/student ratios and other standardized efficiency measures were used to calculate what costs per student ought to be, rather than what they are on an actual or adjusted basis. It also took into account key assumptions related to immediate social return on education and the complex multidimensional aspects10 of an individual’s education that are hard to quantify. This analysis was done, based on the assumption each student within the African context on the average, is part of a household of six to ten (six being the lower and conservative estimate for a medium sized African household) 11 and in this analysis, the evaluation considered the effective cost by using a social benefit factor “N” multiplying effect of training one graduate (Effective cost per student) 2010 annual budget. year 2004 _______________________ # of students year 2004 N= number immediate direct beneficiaries per student (Immediate social return) Alicia C. Dowd Laura M. Ventimiglia: A Cost Estimate of Standards-Based Remediation in a Community College Developmental Education Program 9 Jamil Salmi and Arthur M. Hauptman: Innovations in Tertiary Education Financing: A Comparative Evaluation of Allocation Mechanisms. The World Bank – September 2006 10World Bank: Can Cost-Benefit Analysis Guide Education Policy in Developing Countries? Emmanuel Jimenez Harry Anthony Patrinos 11Ayaga A. Bawah, University of Pennsylvania, Population Studies Center, 3718 Locust Walk, Philadelphia, PA 19104 Living standards, Household size and Childhood Survival in Africa 8 EXTERNAL EVALUATION 2010 Within this normative approach, no benchmarking against similar institutions (in and/or out of Africa) was undertaken during this evaluation. This was due to the difficulty and time required to obtain financial data and appropriate breakdown of direct and indirect costs from similar institutions. A review of the trend in the number of students graduating annually from AIMS-SA appears low at the macro analytical level12 , considering a total (applicable costs) budget in 2010 of R 8.3 million (See Figure 14). However, considering an adjusted calculation and furthermore an effective (normative) cost benefit calculation, demonstrates the effectiveness of the AIMS-SA PGD program and the return on investment much greater than represented by a gross analysis only. Estimated Cost per student 1. Gross average cost per student: 2. Adjusted average cost per student: 3. Effective (Normative) cost per student: Estimated Average: R125, 730 R88,010 R20,955 R78, 232 Table 2. PGD Financials vs. Outputs (#of students graduated) TOTAL BUDGET OF AIMS (variable applicable costs) 2003 29 R 1,534,899.11 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 35 40 44 50 47 48 53 Total 346 Gross Cost per Student Adjusted Cost per Student Normative (Effective) Cost per Student R 4,258,132.55 R 5,293,302.48 R 4,800,272.46 R 6,181,625.00 R 6,666,049.92 R 6,465,980.62 R 8,302,302.05 R 105,855.11 R 121,660.93 R 132,332.56 R 109,097.10 R 123,632.50 R 141,830.85 R 134,707.93 R 156,647.21 R 74,098.58 R 85,162.65 R 92,632.79 R 76,367.97 R 86,542.75 R 99,281.59 R 94,295.55 R 109,653.05 R 17,642.52 R 20,276.82 R 22,055.43 R 18,182.85 R 20,605.42 R 23,638.47 R 22,451.32 R 26,107.87 R 43,502,564.19 R 125,729.95 R 20,954.99 R 88,010.97 Cost effectiveness analysis: Comparison of the relative costs of achieving a given result or output by different means (employed where benefits are difficult to determine or benefits occur much later and after the intervention has taken place). 12 EXTERNAL EVALUATION No. of YEAR PGD students 22 Following below, are tabulated findings for the costs against outputs for the Research Centre and AIMSSEC components of AIMS-SA. Table 3. Research Centre Financials vs. Outputs Not Not Not Not Gross Budget available available available available 2007 2008 Not available R 3 600 000 2009 R 5 830 262 2010 R 6 604 273 OUTPUTS 2 visiting Researchers, 8 fellows, 2 Masters students 2 visiting researchers, 1 Masters student 6 visiting academics, 1 summer school & research workshop of 72 participants, & 5 researchers on short term visits 3 post doc fellows, 1 researcher, 1 honorary research fellow appointed for 2 years to assist Director, 3 Masters students, 9 research fellows, various public lectures, seminars and workshops, 1 x summer school of 64 delegates 2 resident researchers appointed on 3 year contracts, part-time senior researcher appointed, 2 part-time researchers appointed, Honorary research fellow appointed (50% funded), 15 visiting researchers (mostly African), 7 Masters & 1 Doctoral student, 5 post-doc fellows, 14 publications listed (not clear if they are all from the research centre??) EXTERNAL EVALUATION YEAR 2003 2004 2005 2006 Table 4. AIMSSEC Financials vs. Outputs YEAR 2003 2004 2005 2006 Gross Budget Not available Not available R 124 581 R 145 863 2007 2008 R382 748 R 223 531 2009 R 167 689 2010 R 308 897 OUTPUTS Not available 147 teachers attended courses, 15 teachers attended programme in UK, 2000 school books distributed 285 teachers & subject advisors on courses, 2 residential course, nr of students not provided in annual report 560 maths teachers in total in last 6 years (quoted from annual report – stats for 2009 not provided) 682 teachers in total attended the Mathematical Thinking course to date (since 2005)l ACE course 45 first year, 33 second year students (teachers), 1 special workshop; contract signed with Eastern Cape government to train 276 teachers over next 4 years (funding agreed) Overall and across all areas, the evaluation found the results achieved are adequate for the financial investments. The AIMSSEC logic model is well defined and documented. The Research Center and the PGD components did not have documented logic models, but there was evidence of a clear logic in the process and actions of both the PGD program and the Research Centre. As part of the review of secondary data, a comparative analysis of the AIMS-SA program against other similar African learning institutions was undertaken. It allowed for some comparison of efficiency and effectiveness. The teaching and learning approach and methodology applied by AIMS-SA is different to that of a typical/traditional University program in Africa. With the comparative advantage analysis, the evaluation was not able to compare financial figures directly, as organizations contacted did not have publicly available audited financials and were not ready to share their financial information. None of the institutions compared against AIMS-SA had the same three components as AIMS-SA (academic, research and outreach). Based on the data that was available an inconclusive but broad statement can be made classifying AIMS-SA as effective in the delivery of a student centred, problem solving model in line with innovative teaching methods key for outcome based tertiary education13. See Annex 7 for a detailed comparative analysis of AIMS-SA against other similar institutions in Africa http://www.che.ac.za/documents/d000173/submissions/24_Fester_12-May06.pdf Academic Freedom under outcome based Education and Training in South African higher education institutions 13 EXTERNAL EVALUATION Whilst the mandate of this evaluation was not to directly review the financial component of AIMS SA, in reviewing the model for efficiency, it was necessary to undertake a basic cost effectiveness analysis: Total program costs / Total units of (output) outcome achieved. 24 Triangulation analysis of the evaluation questions with respect to efficiency, data collected and methodology applied to test for efficiency, all indicated AIMS-SA is an efficient model. AIMS SA as represented in the organogram (Annex 2) is adequately staffed to successfully achieve its mission. Of important note, was the absence of AIMSSEC within the official organizational structure of AIMS-SA. Efficiency could be greater and enhanced through increased integration of all components of AIMS-SA at the structural, operational and programmatic levels. 3.4 EFFECTIVENESS The document review and respondents interviewed provided evidence of effectiveness of the current operational model of AIMS-SA. AIMS-SA is achieving its objectives and expected outcomes to admit and train talented African men and young men in mathematical sciences, problem solving and thinking skills. However, this evaluation also noted the effectiveness of AIMS-SA was mainly reported as the PGD program and did not include the research outputs or the achievements of the AIMSSEC program under a consolidated report of overall effectiveness. 1. AIMS-SA was reported as being effective in capacity building of young African men and women at the personal and individual level by alumni. 2. AIMS-SA was reported as being effective in contributing towards Africa’s capacity in human capital that can address its development challenges using mathematical sciences by a cross section of respondents including alumni. 3. AIMS-SA was reported as being effective in enabling students to successfully build on their AIMS education by pursuing further qualification in a wide range of academic areas. 4. The AIMS-SA PDG has a positive impact on the Master’s and PhD programs in SA Universities, increasing the number of graduate students, and contributing to the research culture, a skill that was identified across the board by all EXTERNAL EVALUATION 1. Which outcomes (intended and none intended) can be identified? 2. To what extent did AIMS-SA contribute to achieve the expected results? 3. To what extent did the AIMS-SA team implement all initially planned activities? 4. How did the AIMS-SA team adjust the project and its methodology to the constraints faced during its implementation, if necessary to achieve expected results? 5. Were the methodologies, curriculum and tools appropriate to meet the model’s objective? 6. Does AIMS-SA collect and document necessary data and information to assess progress against project document? 7. Is AIMS -SA addressing the needs of all target groups? 8. How well has AIMS-SA addressed and achieved any cross cutting themes e.g. gender (to what extent has gender equality has been mainstreamed in the AIMS SA model?) 9. How well has AIMS-SA contributed to Africa’s development challenges? respondents as greatly needed in Africa in a wide range of areas beyond the academic field. Further evidence attesting to the effectiveness of AIMS-SA in achieving a learning process and learning environment that is integrated and inclusive for the African context is represented by the following key statements from respondents and information from documents that were reviewed: 1. 90% of Alumni understand and value of scientific knowledge and its importance for the development of Africa, 2. The annual reports specifically referred to a “strong record of achievement” and provide details of number of students graduated, number of graduates moving on to Master’s and Doctoral programs. 3. Research outputs (publications) and the growth of the Research Centre14 is a clear and tangible demonstration of effectiveness. 4. AIMSSEC is described as “comprehensive and inclusive.” 5. AIMSSEC provided evidence of teachers leading school learners through maths curriculum without having had formal studies in maths. This is especially important given the need for teachers in more rural areas of the country. The school learners do not find maths interesting, tend not to study well for the exams and most fail or pass with very weak scores. This affects the learner’s ability to study further after school, gain access to tertiary level education in maths and sciences, as well “Often one hears these young scientists at AIMS say that this is the first time they can easily and simply approach a professor, as their ability find and discuss science and anything else with him/ her as equals.” to employment. FOCUS ON ALUMNI – EFFECTIVENESS (outcome) Sixty three (30%) of alumni indicated that their career focus changed during their studies at AIMS-SA. For the most part, these changes were in areas of specialization in a particular field (e.g. analytical physics to experimental physics) (Table 5). Most (n= 186, 91%) reported that their AIMS-SA experience influenced their current career choice, in a variety of ways. Increasing their knowledge about mathematical sciences was ranked the highest (Figure 15). Alumni were asked to rate, on a scale from not at all valuable to very valuable, a variety of features of the AIMS-SA program. As shown in Table 6, safety, mathematical science skills, problem solving skills and relationships with other students were most likely to be reported as ‘very valuable.’ AIMS-SA The alumni were also asked(AIMS-SA to rateInternal the features that were most challenging. Research Centre Strategy Documents) Developing math science skills and problem solving skills were rated as the most difficult. That being said, most alumni reported that they did not find any of the features challenging. This suggests that the program is delivered very effectively (Table 7). 14 EXTERNAL EVALUATION “I am playing a very important role as a young African scientist and I have much to do about our challenges. I have to use all the math sciences to address Africa’s challenges.” AIMS-SA GRADUATE, CLASS OF 2008 26 TABLE 5. ALUMNI’S CAREER FOCUS BEFORE AND AFTER ATTENDING AIMS-SA FOCUS OF STUDY Academia Further Studies Math Before n (%) 51 (25.0) After n (%) 48 (23.5) 43 (21.1) 37 (18.1) 33 (16.2) 28 (13.7) Applied Math 26 (12.7) 26 (12.7) 19 (9.3) 25 (12.3) Computers 8 (3.9) 10 (4.9) Teaching Applied Physics Physics 8 (3.9) 5 (2.5) 6 (2.9) 11 (5.4) 6 (2.9) 8 (3.9) Epidemiology 3 (1.5) 5 (2.5) Unknown 1 (0.5) 1 (0.5) Research FIGURE 15. HOW AIMS-SA INFLUENCED CURRENT CAREER/ EDUCATION (Alumni) 0 0 88 120 131 134 139 167 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 WHAT ARE THE TOP THREE THINGS AIMS-SA COULD DO TO CONTRIBUTE TO ALUMNI CAREERS? 1. Employment o Offer internships o Link curriculum with employment opportunities o Focus on career development for employment 2. Offer a Master’s level program 3. Alumni o Link students with alumni during their year of study o Offer and/or assist in finding scholarships for post AIMS-SA graduates o Host alumni meetings and stay connected with alumni o Host conferences on applying mathematics to Africa’s development challenges EXTERNAL EVALUATION Entrepreneurship Assist in getting into graduate programs… Funding for further education Networking New areas of specializatoin Assist in getting into graduate programs in… Knoweldge TABLE 7. HOW CHALLENGING OR DIFFICULT WERE THE FOLLOWING FEATURES OF THE AIMS-SA PROGRAM TO THE ALUMNI? Item Not at Somewhat Very all Neutral Difficult Difficult Difficult Difficult Learning English 53% 14% 22% 9% 1% Curriculum 14% 30% 43% 12% 1% Teaching Methods 34% 25% 36% 4% 0% Math/ Science Skills 32% 31% 23% 12% 2% Problem Solving Skills 26% 35% 22% 16% 1% Accommodation/ Facilities 57% 12% 21% 8% 2% Safety 86% 3% 10% 1% 0% Networking w/ other students 76% 9% 11% 3% 0% Relationships w/ lecturers 80% 8% 10% 2% 0% and tutors Funding 61% 16% 18% 3% 2% Admin Support 83% 4% 12% 1% 0% While AIMS-SA does not intentionally address Africa’s development challenges in any of the modules taught, its effectiveness in this area is demonstrated by cases of alumni who have moved unto careers and study areas with the potential of having a significant contribution towards Africa’s challenges. (Figure 16). EXTERNAL EVALUATION TABLE 6. HOW VALUABLE WERE THE FOLLOWING FEATURES OF THE AIMS-SA PROGRAM TO THE ALUMNI? Not at all Somewhat Very Neutral Valuable Valuable Valuable Valuable Learning English 2% 5% 7% 12% 22% Curriculum 0% 1% 5% 21% 22% Teaching Methodology 1% 1% 4% 15% 29% Learning Style 1% 0% 3% 18% 27% Stipend 1% 4% 10% 19% 16% Administration Support 0% 0% 3% 14% 31% Accommodation / 1% 0% 5% 16% 26% Facilities Safety 1% 0% 0% 8% 40% Networking w/ 0% 2% 4% 16% 26% Professionals Relationships w/ other 0% 0% 3% 13% 32% students Relationships w/ 1% 0% 4% 16% 28% lecturers and tutors Mathematical Science 1% 0% 2% 13% 33% Skills Problem Solving Skills 0% 1% 2% 15% 31% Communication Skills 1% 1% 3% 17% 27% Career Counseling 2% 2% 15% 16% 13% Mentorship 2% 2% 11% 20% 14% 28 Evidence of effectiveness from Alumni Furthermore, the relationship or connection between AIMS Alumni, the Outputs of the Research Centre and the outcome of outreach activities are not currently tracked with common indicators or in their relationship and ability to contribute towards Africa’s development challenges. The alumni survey confirmed most alumni were aware that addressing Africa’s developmental challenges was a key component of AIMS-SA’s mandate, most were pursuing applied research careers post-AIMS-SA and hoped to return if the infrastructure was in place for them to use their knowledge and expertise. 80% of respondents in the alumni survey reported they hoped to contribute to Africa, if not right away, at a later date. There was no documented focus in the curriculum or activities that directly addressed Africa’s development challenges. None the less, AIMS-SA is achieving excellent outcomes in this area of increasing awareness on Africa’s development amongst its students. With additional focus and strategic incorporation of this component into the AIMS-SA program, the potential for higher results would be greatly increased. FIGURE 16. CASE STUDIES OF AIMS-SA ALUMNI Angelina M Lutambi received her B.Sc. at the University of Dar es Salaam. She further pursued a postgraduate diploma in mathematical Sciences at the African Institute for mathematical Sciences in South Africa, and there after received her M.Sc. in at the University of Stellenbosch in South Africa. She is currently pursuing her PhD in epidemiology at the Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, university of Basel in Switzerland and working as a scientist at the Ifakara Health Institute in Tanzania. She is currently developing and simulating mathematical models to investigate the role of mosquito dispersal on malaria transmission and vector control. Tendai Mugwagwa graduated with her PhD in March 2010 in the field of theoretical immunology. Her research focuses on mathematical modelling of data analysis of T lymphocyte dynamics. She is interested in developing mathematical models to interpret experimental data as well as quantify turnover rates of different cell subsets. In her PhD studies at Utrecht University she worked on understanding the mechanisms of T cell homeostasis and trying to answer the simple question: "How long does a T cell live?" Understanding these basic concepts provide a clearer picture of the dynamics of T cells during lymphopenia driven, for example, by HIV infection and T cell dynamics during reconstitution. EXTERNAL EVALUATION Her research combines the use of mathematical models, simulation techniques, and statistical methods to understand the transmission dynamics, control of a range of infectious diseases, and population dynamics. The focus of her research is applied, developing models to explore the impact of interventions to help guide policy. In the past she has worked on a wide range of infectious diseases models, including HIV/AIDS, and Malaria. Evidence of effectiveness of the AIMS-SA model: An alternative perspective that provided evidence of AIMS-SA’s effectiveness, described the uniqueness of the AIMS model or operations below: “The course provided at AIMS-SA would not be possible at high profile international universities, such as Cambridge as the AIMS PGD provides courses from a combination of faculties (cross-departmental). This supported AIMS SA in its uniqueness, innovation and highly effective vehicle for the delivery of these broad skills in mathematical sciences.” The AIMS-SA academic program caters well for a range of standards. Academics involved with AIMS-SA and interviewed during the evaluation, indicated the courses at AIMS-SA are of about the same standard as those in the Oxford MSc by coursework in Computer Science. The essay is of lower standard than the thesis part of an Oxford MSc, presumably because much less time is allocated to it. This has also contributed to weaker training in research for students at AIMS-SA. AIMS-SA effectiveness compared favourably to international academic standards. Another feature of the AIMS-SA PGD is the strength of group interactions. However, respondents 15 also raised concerns linked to the assessment of group work. A further “caution” that was provided by various international respondents from the academic arena focused on the large dependency on group work and strongly recommend an assessment / review in this area. With respect to the short courses that are provided at AIMS-SA, respondents confirmed they are of very high quality (international benchmark) and they provide the students with the opportunity to move directly into areas of specialisation that would otherwise have taken years to approach. AIMS-SA has much greater autonomy as a stand-alone institute (compared to being part of a University). Respondents from all three evaluation steams validated the importance and value of this flexibility and rapid adaption to changes and their environment, making it a highly effective institution. “The goal at AIMS is to create the world’s most innovative postgraduate program and we need to be certain, it is in Africa. Africa is the ideal place in which advance knowledge should be taught. The need is great and the students are very motivated. At AIMS you see all of Africa in one classroom.” 15 Same group of respondents indicated this was no different at other comparative universities in which instance s of controversy about the assessment of group work, would result in exclusion from the course. EXTERNAL EVALUATION 30 Effectiveness related to geographic location Being situated in Africa was significant for all categories of respondents. Lecturers interviewed reported finding their experience at AIMS-SA very rewarding. They associated this sense of value for AIMS-SA to be due to the discussions, meaning/mandate of AIMSSA, history, applicability to the future. Teaching from a diverse range of cross cultural backgrounds increases the richness of the program, an experience more than half of the respondents confirmed contributes to the effectiveness of AIMS-SA and its ability to deliver on its results and goal This contributes to AIMS-SA’s effectiveness as the interest in the international academic sphere continues to be very high, providing significant and strategic international goodwill for AIMS. Respondents reported the ease of recruiting international lecturers, with a data base of over 500 who have volunteered to teach at AIMS-SA over the years. Alumni reported gaining an increased sense and association with Africa through AIMS. Whilst 60% of alumni respondents were currently studying or just recently graduated from AIMS-SA, their response to the open ended questions in the alumni survey indicated their desire and wiliness to serve and contribute in Africa given the right opportunities. Effectiveness of AIMSSEC 1. Accurate program design for the target population of learners (maths teachers) which show a well-developed understanding of their needs and current reality when back at work. 2. A phenomenal toolkit to support teachers after the training component is completed (assessment is still continuing) which enables the teachers to immediately and effectively apply what they have learnt. 3. The results of the school learners which improve almost immediately after the teacher changes his/her teaching methods and tools (this is being tracked currently by another independent evaluation team, commissioned by Zenex 16 currently a major funder for this outreach program). Triangulation analysis done for effectiveness yielded the strongest congruence between questions, data and methodology. In its full combination – PGD, Outreach and Research, AIMS-SA came out as a very effective institution. University of Fort Hare African Institute for Mathematical Sciences Schools Enrichment Centre (AIMSSEC) Advanced Certificate in Education (ACE) Programme Evaluation. PART ONE REPORT: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Kelello Consulting (in collaboration with Jill Adler and colleagues) July 2011Title of preliminary evaluation report 16 EXTERNAL EVALUATION At the level of outreach and AIMSSEC, evidence of effectiveness was reported by teachers in the program and respondents from AIMSSEC staff. Despite being limited in scope to two provinces. AIMSSEC is utilizing ICT and other web based and community based approaches to increase its reach in a very efficient and cost effective manner. Through the focus groups and interviews directly related to AIMSSEC, the evidence that was provided attested to: 3.5 SUSTAINABILITY 1. Is the AIMS-SA model culturally / contextually appropriate for Africa? 2. Is the provision of administrative support by Stellenbosch University sustainable for AIMS-SA and replicable in AIMS centers in other countries? 3. Are the results achieved in the short, medium and long term sustainable? Do the results have positive influence a) on the lives of students, b) on AIMS-SA c) towards the other stakeholders in the sector, national and international level? 4. Are the teaching styles and support to students at AIMS-SA expected to be maintained long term for all batches of students as long as AIMS-SA exists? 5. Are the lectures, curriculum, tools and communication materials developed by AIMS-SA likely to be used for future cohorts of students? Students in other AIMS centers outside of South Africa? 6. How well is AIMS-SA networked with other potential centers and is it fully functional as part of the broader community of practice for mathematical sciences in Africa? 7. Does AIMS-SA have a partnership strategy/ policy/ Guidelines? If yes, to what extent is it contributing towards its sustainability? 8. How active and what is the value added of AIMS-SA‘s current partners? 9. To what extent can the AIMS-SA model be replicated by other countries in Africa? The dimensions of sustainability are multiple and for educational programs even more complex. Knowing sustainability – social, economic, environmental, educational and others - are key success factors for any educational program, the ability of AIMS-SA to demonstrate sustainability at multiple levels was a critical evaluation area reviewed during this exercise. Reviewing what is contributing towards the sustainability of AIMS-SA’s program to date, respondents highlighted the following: Sustainability of the curriculum Greater than 90% of alumni reported a high degree of appreciation and value for their AIMS-SA education. Greater than 80% of respondents attributed their knowledge and career paths in mathematical sciences to AIMS-SA. Lecturers reported a strong and positive dedication of students and their ability to continually seek to learn was very motivating for lecturers who see themselves supporting AIMS-SA for as long as they are needed ( trying to give these students “le meilleur d’eux mêmes”). Respondents lauded the diversity of each class and the trans-African nature of the students. This diversity and integration opportunities, approach and methodology on teaching were reported by key informants and alumni as critical for the sustainability of the AIMS-SA model. EXTERNAL EVALUATION What makes the success and sustainability of the AIMS-SA education is foremost the dedication of all its students and lecturers, as well as its staff of course. 32 Sustainability of the institution Data collected and analyzed from all three streams of this evaluation demonstrates and provided strong evidence of AIMS-SA being a culturally and contextually appropriate model for Africa. AIMS-SA being located in Africa was highly valued by all respondents Networking with other potential centres and the broader academic community, teaching style and student support are sustainable and continue to drive the sustainability of this model “What is important is that all is to be done to make sure that AIMS Alumni will return one day to their home country once they have gained research experience through a PhD and postdoctoral research. This requires better environments for scientific activities and networking on the African continent than what exists today. “ However, about 15% of respondents reported not all AIMS-SA students excelled post AIMS and classified the students as needy and continuing to require assistance after leaving AIMS-SA Also important was the finding from analysis of responses from about 30% of semi interview key informants, that indicated their concern with respect to alumni inability to return to Africa after further education post AIMS due to poor or absent science or industry infrastructure to absorb them. Sustainability of funding AIMS-SA has a wide range of funders both national and international. It has consistently built and diversified its funding base over the past seven years, a good indication of addressing one component of sustainability – through reducing the risk of dependency on any single funder. AIMS-SA needs a sustainable funding model to maintain the model, the ability to attract high quality lecturers and top students from Africa and grow.” Sustainability of partnerships and networks i. AIMS-SA has several partnerships, both operational and strategic. In its creation, it is in partnership with six Universities. This University partnerships allows the AIMS-SA PGD to be issued by the three Universities in the Cape Town EXTERNAL EVALUATION This evaluation also found 72% (34/45) of respondents in the semi – structured interview category, both at AIMS-SA and from the international community consider the current funding model for the PGD program as not sustainable in the long term. ii. iii. iv. v. The University of Stellenbosch in addition to the academic partnership that exists between AIMS-SA and the three Cape Town Universities, provides additional operational support to AIMS-SA as outlined below: Manage all AIMS-SA finances, as in-kind contributions Stellenbosch University formally employs all staff at AIMS-SA Manage all visas for students Most of the AIMS-SA graduates continue at Stellenbosch University and AIMSSA is viewed and valued for its provision of quality graduate African scholars for Stellenbosch University, very clearly a mutually beneficial relationship. One partnership relationship for which no information could be obtained was AMI-Net There were no partnerships documented with similar institutions across Africa Replication of the AIMS-SA model i. ii. iii. In terms of roll out to other African countries, internal AIMS-SA respondents did not provide any significant insights into how this might be able to be modelled or created. What is notable from various respondents that commented on the sustainability of the support relationship with Stellenbosch University, respondents internal to AIMS-SA said it was feasible while 80% of respondents outside of the AIMS network did not think replication without taking into account the context in each country was possible. As of December 2011 when this evaluation was being implemented, a second AIMS Centre had already been opened in Senegal, following the AIMS-SA model with relevant areas adapted for the Senegal context Triangulations of the findings from this data received under sustainability of AIMS-SA as a model and for sustainability of the individual components of AIMS-SA, pointed to ongoing progress towards sustainability. AIMS-SA should continue working in this area by clearly defining the relationship with other University partners. Alumni stated the availability of a full scholarship was the most important reason they attended AIMS – as such ensuring sustainability of the scholarship program will be key to the sustainability of the overall model. 1. To what extent is AIMS-SA improving the access and quality of education in mathematical sciences for African graduates in general and more specific for those pursuing post AIMS opportunities that directly address clearly identified problems in Africa? 2. To what extent does the AIMS-SA course having an impact on the students, lecturers and associated academic personnel? 3. How does the set up (operations / facilities) and governance structure contribute to improved access and quality of mathematical sciences for students at AIMS-SA, undergraduate students, high school students and AIMS-SA graduates? 4. To what extent are Alumni pursuing post AIMS-SA opportunities directly related towards addressing Africa’s development Challenges? 5. To what extent are the outreach efforts of AIMS-SA contributing to an increased application of Mathematical sciences at the high school level, undergraduate level and post AIMS-SA? EXTERNAL EVALUATION 3.7 IMPACT 34 6. To what extent is awareness raising changing the attitudes of key stakeholders, locally and internationally towards mathematical sciences? 7. How has AIMS-SA contributed in strengthening higher education specifically in South Africa and Africa in general? 8. Has there been/is there a high likelihood (trend towards) of an impact in as a result of AIMS-SA? 9. Is AIMS-SA having any negative effects or is likely to have in the future? With the creation of a plausible theory of change linked to the evaluation logic model (Annex 1) for AIMS-SA during this evaluation inception field trip, the evaluation was able to translate responses from a cross section of the respondents, especially alumni into contributions towards impact. The evaluation logic model, helped define the cause-effect – chain which connected the AIMS-SA intervention on one hand and the effected of what it had created being evaluated on the other. As such the outcomes and impact that have been reported will be classified as contribution towards impact based on a contribution analyses It is important to note, the interpretation of the word ‘impact’ varied widely across the different groups of stake holders. All respondents those outside of the AIMS-SA network, especially funders, interpreted impact as defined by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). 90% of respondents, internal to AIMS-SA (excluding alumni), referred to traditional outputs as impact in most instances. This evaluation did not have a control group nor was a full counterfactual scenario examined. The counterfactual scenario was explored with the alumni using the survey question: What would you have done if you did obtain the opportunity to attend AIMS-SA? “Given the dearth of similar opportunities across the continent, I would see AIMS as having a significant impact, measured by the numbers of AIMS-SA graduates, the numbers who go on to complete master’s and doctoral degrees, the numbers who remain in or return to Africa, and the kinds of positions they assume.” “AIMS is making a significant contribution to promoting Mathematical Sciences within South Africa and Africa, training and empowering talented young people to contribute to the development of their home countries, and building research capacity for the benefit of higher education and technology.” “Bringing all these young African scientists together also fosters future networking throughout the continent through what is, as a matter of fact, the large AIMS family.” “There is an acute shortage of mathematicians in Africa and AIMS has great potential to impact positively in the human capacity building in mathematical sciences in Africa to meeting several socio-economic challenges facing Africa. Since its establishment in 2003, AIMS has provided mathematicians who are contributing to the development of Africa. Several of AIMS graduates are teaching on the Universities and research institutions in Africa.” “AIMS has given many highly talented students a new opportunity for developing into successful scientists who work in academia, industry and government in Africa. It EXTERNAL EVALUATION Despite the above discordance with respect to the interpretation of what impact represents, once clarified (OECD definition) respondents across all three evaluation streams (including those internal to AIMS-SA) provided the following range of data on what they perceived as contribution towards impact. Specific quotes that illustrate respondents’ perception of this contribution include: has helped them to look beyond national borders and to realize that many problems they encounter are shared by their colleagues throughout Africa. It has encouraged them not to despair but to look for opportunities and to take on leadership in various directions. AIMS has a database of its Alumni and individual cases of success can been traced there.” “Most of the new staff members start their higher qualifications at AIMS. I think the impact will be very clear in the future. The staff members who have been to AIMS can handle any kind of scientific problems and solve it using the skills developed at AIMS. For instance, in the field of physics, they only lean the basics at the university level., at AIMS they get introduced to the current research as well as the technique, and this is the reason I think AIMS is the best place to start with when doing postgraduate studies and moving towards a career in academia.” Employer A comment from an AIMS funder illustrates their expectation for impact: “Our expectations for AIMS are very high. We hope that they will be cited with training and supporting the best minds in Africa and will have a broad-reaching impact on the prevalence and quality of math and science education in the region” Sustainability of the PGD When asked about AIMS-SA’s contribution to date, the top areas that came across from all three streams of this evaluation are: 1. Promoting visibility of young Africans in Science e.g. at the World Mathematical Biology conference in Germany 2011, the only black woman was an AIMS-SA Alumnus; 2. AIMS-SA is able to connect top scientist to a vibrant small centre in Africa which creates a global presence and enables the students to become visible; 3. Students from many different field are coming through AIMS SA. This diversity and the integration of this diversity is an important contribution. There are many tensions within the different regions of Africa and AIMS-SA’s multinational classroom may have an unintended effect of increased understanding. 4. AIMS-SA serves as the prep ground for future Maters and PhD students. EXTERNAL EVALUATION AIMS-SA was described by 90% of respondents as a ‘vehicle’, through which students pass and it allows them to later on acquire the knowledge and competencies needed to be more effective in their contributions towards Africa’s challenges. 36 TABLE 7. HOW CHALLENGING OR DIFFICULT WERE THE FOLLOWING FEATURES OF THE AIMS-SA PROGRAM TO THE ALUMNI? To a Not at Very Somewh Neutral great all little at extent Apply knowledge and principles 0 (0%) 3 (1%) 35 (17%) 73 (36%) 89 (44%) of mathematical sciences AIMS-SA raised awareness of 3 (1%) 14 (7%) 26 (13%) 54 (26%) 102 (50%) developmental challenges AIMS-SA raised alumni’s understanding of their 2 (1%) 5 (2%) 20 (10%) 99 (49%) 73 (36%) influence on developmental challenges Raise awareness that 0 (0%) 5(2%) 10 (5%) 69 (34%) 115 (56%) mathematical science solve developmental challenges Raise awareness about how to use mathematical science skills 1 (0%) 3 (1%) 14 (7%) 79 (39%) 102 (50%) to solve developmental challenges FIGURE 17. CAREER GOAL PRIOR TO ATTENDING AIMS-SA 2% 5% 6% Teaching at High School 22% Teaching at University Employment 28% Own business Community/ volunteer work Other FIGURE 18. CAREER IMMEDIATELY AFTER COMPLETING AIMS-SA 8% Continue as full time student 24% 26% Employed outside of research 86% Employed as researchers Unemployed EXTERNAL EVALUATION 37% TABLE 8. HOW MUCH AIMS-SA INFLUENCED MAJOR CAREER CHOICES, POST - AIMS? Career choice Did not Pursue this option Further Post graduate studies Independent research University or College Teaching Entrepreneur (self employed Other Employment AIMS-SA Influence Not at all Somewhat Neutral Important Important Important Very Important 5 (2%) 4 (2%) 9 (4%) 9 (4%) 24 (12%) 151 (74%) 74 (36%) 11 (5%) 5 (2%) 26 (13%) 21 ( 10%) 65 (32%) 79 (39%) 13 (6%) 9 (4%) 38 (19%) 24 (12%) 39 (19%) 105 (51%) 29 (14%) 5 (2%) 47 (23%) 7 (3%) 9 (4%) 103 (50%) 23 (11%) 8 (4%) 43 (21%) 12 (6%) 13 (6%) AIMSSEC With respect to AIMSSEC, contribution towards impact at the individual, student and mathematics level was reported. Focus group respondents (AIMSSEC alumni and current tutors) provided descriptive evidence of the impact of AIMSSEC’s intervention being real and immediate. Respondents attributed the teaching methodology used by AIMSSEC, makes a significant difference to how they are able to learn and apply mathematical tools which previously were not understood. Respondents also attributed the provision of ongoing support and the toolkits provided by AIMSSEC as being responsible for their success back in the classroom Multiple reported reasons (communication, e-mails, events, workshops etc.) AIMSSEC alumni felt a great sense of community AIMSSEC, similar to the PGD reported a significant number of outcomes which in the long term (major external factors accounted for), would lead towards the impact the program seeks to achieve ie stronger mathematical sciences students at the elementary and secondary levels, who would eventually constitute the pool at the tertiary level seeking to apply mathematical science skills and knowledge to contributing to Africa’s development challenges through their involvement in a wide range of sectors. Following a detailed triangulation analysis (to eliminate opinions and value judgements), data collected in relation to AIMS-SA’s contribution towards impact on the challenges in Africa, respondent stated AIMS-SA has not yet had direct or immediate impact on Africa’s development challenges. Additionally, in the absence of a control group or a full counterfactual scenario against which to compare, it is not possible for this evaluation to provide conclusive impact statements at the African level with respect to the contributions AIMS-SA has made EXTERNAL EVALUATION “We expect AIMSSEC’s interventions to improve the standard of maths teaching in the Eastern Cape. As a result of the improved quality of teaching, we expect to see an improvement in the results achieved in Maths in secondary schools in the Eastern Cape. Yes, continued intervention will definitely have an impact, albeit small.” 38 4.0 EVALUATION CONCLUSIONS The conclusions for this evaluation have been drawn based on the findings from the individual sections of this report. It has taken in to consideration the following: In order to mitigate bias, the evaluation team did not rely upon a single question, but undertook multiple triangulation analysis of the questions which enabled the evaluators to assess, reduce bias and be able to state the following conclusions based on the findings from the data analysed. Alumni statements and statements from those closely linked to the AIMS network were classified as ‘gross effects’ and the evaluations concluding statements represent the ‘net effect’ following correction for bias through the triangulation analysis process, that distilled the net effects of the information collected from the gross. 1. AIMS-SA, in less than ten years, has been very effective in contributing towards the development of higher education and production of students who have proceeded to obtain higher academic qualifications. This has contributed in increasing the number of African men and women with research skills needed in all areas (academia, public sector, civil society and the private sector) to support Africa’s development with respect to human capital. The research competencies that AIMS alumni have acquired and are acquiring as reflected in the number of PhDs, competencies to undertake research. Research in this case refers not only to scientific research (quantitative and qualitative), but includes applied and translational research 3. There is evidence of the contribution of AIMS-SA to the outcome alumni are experiencing. Alumni career paths and research focus are highly attributed to AIMS-SA by the alumni. AIMS-SA has contributed in improving the access and quality of education for African graduates and supports students to pursue further post-graduate studies. 4. AIMS-SA is an efficient institution and has the resources (Financial and human capital) to achieve the broad goals that is has set for itself. Furthermore, the ability of any educational institution to calculate the effective costs for its program is highly complex and this is no different for AIMS-SA. The variance in cost per student between the three calculations utilized for this evaluation demonstrates the need for ongoing work to assess and determine the best model that is applicable and relevant in the African context within which AIMS-SA is operating 5. AIMS-SA, through the activities of AIMSSEC, contributes significantly to improved access and quality of education for teachers and improved outcome in mathematics for high school students in two provinces of South Africa. EXTERNAL EVALUATION 2. AIMS-SA has been able to position itself - through the content of its program, its alumni and outreach - at the national and continental level, as a relevant and effective player to demonstrate the relevance and application opportunities of mathematical sciences as a tool for addressing the challenges facing Africa. Alumni areas of study and work and the research centre’s focus in the areas of biomathematics and, theoretical physics, cosmology and financial maths all attest to this. 6. While AIMSSEC has demonstrated significant evidence of results at the outcome level through empowering teachers who have contributed in changing the outcome in mathematics skills for their learners, same can be said of AIMS-SA’s PGD on the effect it has had on alumni. The outputs from the research center have been strong, but outcome from the research centre less evident compared to the PGD and the outreach programs. 7. There is a significant, direct correlation between the current experience and outcome for the Alumni and their passage through AIMS-SA. This was reported in all areas of the alumni survey and confirmed in the triangulation process through interviews with current employers and educational institutions that currently have AIMS-SA graduates enrolled in a range of Masters and PhD programs. 8. AIMS-SA has not clearly documented its objectives and targets per year. No clear tracking system is in place that integrates data and no reporting is evident against specific objectives. Reporting is done according to funder requirements and academic requirements. 9. There is a strong desire for the PGD to be converted to a full Master’s program (from analysis of data received from Alumni, and semi structured interviews especially within the subgroup of those involved in the academic and research areas). 10. The three components of AIMS-SA are working independently and description, documentation and reference to AIMS-SA is 90% of the time focused on the PGD program only. This has resulted in a decrease value or appreciation of the synergy that could be produce by the full congruence of the three areas of AIMS-SA 11. Funders interviewed were cautiously optimistic about the sustainability of AIMS-SA but all believed in the mandate of AIMS-SA, which was the main reason for their ongoing support. They expressed the need for AIMS-SA to provide evidence of its results (outcome and impact) 13. There is a need to strategically seek ways of increasing the number of South African students attending AIMS-SA. This will increase the degree of relevance for South Africa as well as contribute in increasing the efficiency metrics for AIMS–SA, a program which already demonstrates high levels of efficiency. 14. AIMS-SA’s contribution towards impact on Africa’s development challenges is still being analysed and it is beyond the scope of this evaluation to clearly report any such impact. In the absence of a control group or the opportunity to have a true counterfactual scenario, reporting on the impact of AIMS-SA at this time is premature and this evaluation has found evidence of strong outcomes and their ability to contribute towards impact. EXTERNAL EVALUATION 12. Whilst there is evidence of sustainability in the outputs and outcomes of AIMS-SA’s interventions, AIMS-SA has to further strengthen its operational sustainability. Currently the government of South Africa contributes about 60% of the overall budget and this a great indicator of AIMS-SA’s ability to become sustainable at the operations level, in the long term 40 15. The return on investment for tertiary education in most cases is long term and this evaluation has reported on individual findings and their contribution, whilst allowing room for a future, detailed impact assessment to be undertaken that will focus heavily on outcomes beyond the intervention. Sub Conclusions under each specific evaluation area. 1. Relevance i. While there is some evidence of awareness of AIMS-SA’s role in addressing Africa’s development challenges, there is no strategic plan or framework that clarifies how the AIMS-SA model is specifically working to do so. As a model design, AIMS-SA is reliant on unique key relationships that have over time created partnerships between various academic institutions, government role players, funders and associated academics. As such, the model may not be easily replicable throughout Africa. iii. NEPAD and the UNESCO’s Declaration focus on setting high level standards in education. Without a strategic plan or formal framework, AIMS’ alignment does not demonstrate purposefulness. iv. AIMS-SA is highly regarded, and thus in a position of influence within the South African and African university systems. Efficiency i. In the absence of a structural and tactical integration between the PGD program, the outreach and research programs, AIMS-SA is yet to fully leverage the opportunity to build on the complementarity offered by the trio and the increased efficiencies this could yield. Continued work and partnerships to increase the efficiency of AIMS-SA, would invariably contribute towards its overall effectiveness. “Each time I have visited there has been some event integrating the PGD program with AIMSSEC. On the other hand integration of the research program with the PGD program, which one might expect to be easier and more natural, appears to be slow to develop. ii. iii. 3. The need to attract (more) South African students to the PGD program. Specifically quoted: “The "cut-and-paste" approach of a second annual intake consisting of South Africans is not nearly enough. The SA taxpayer is partially funding this course and course enrolments should be 80% minimum SA students”; Securing sustainable funding is a an ongoing challenge. The AIMS model is heavily based on external funding as it charges no fees to the students. There is no formally established cost recovery model for any of the components of AIMS-SA at this time. Effectiveness i. The AIMS-SA PGD program has a positive outcome on the Master’s and PhD programs at SA universities. Multiple documents refer to a “strong record of achievement” and provide details of number of students graduated, number of graduates moving on to Master’s and Doctoral programs. EXTERNAL EVALUATION 2. ii. Research outputs (publications) and the growth of the research centre demonstrates evidence of effectiveness. iii. AIMSSEC is providing evidence of results which indicates school learners are improving almost immediately after the teacher change his/her teaching methods and tools. iv. AIMS-SA has not clearly documented its objectives and targets per year at the overarching institutional level, but is beginning to do so at the individual unit and department areas. The tracking system in place is yet to integrate data from the three components of AIMS-SA. Reporting is currently done according to funder and academic requirements. v. Funders noted specifically the importance for AIMS-SA to track and support alumni that are working in Africa as well as create platforms and infrastructure that will encourage graduates to return to Africa. This is aligned with the alumni’s responses to the question, “What are the top three things AIMS-SA could do to contribute to the careers and/ or improve relationships and involvement with alumni moving forward?” Alumni overwhelmingly would like to get into the workforce in Africa if possible. This issue would benefit from further analysis and exploration to help built new opportunities or sub initiatives within the AIMS-SA model, which would respond to this identified need. Sustainability i. AIMS-SA is a culturally and contextually appropriate model for Africa. The diversity and integration opportunities, approach and methodology on teaching are evidence of these. The sustainability in terms of the administrative support received from Stellenbosch University is a valuable component of the AIMS model. This relationship is unique in its set up, cost model and processes. ii. Networking with potential centres and the broader academic community, teaching style and student support are sustainable. iii. Africa's development challenges require robust State funding. There is a need for a strategy for improving the skills base in a country where there is infrastructure and funding at a reasonable level. Without internal strategic partnerships, "AIMS centres" in Africa may not be successful in assisting the development of Africa. Some interviewees felt strongly AIMS-SA graduates’ still need assistance post AIMS as they seek to study for higher degrees. After achieving these, they look for structures within Africa in which they can work. Many of the countries lack adequate science infrastructure to support qualified AIMS-SA graduates. The AIMS-SA alumni need support to create transition from school to work. This was also reflected in the alumni survey, in which about 50% stated job connections and linkages and one of the top three things AIMS-SA could add into the program for improvement. EXTERNAL EVALUATION 4. ii. 42 5. Impact i. ii. AIMS-SA contributes to improving the access and quality of education for African graduates and supports students to pursue further post-graduate studies. However, there is no evidence of a strategy for students post AIMSSA AIMS-SA, through the activities of AIMSSEC, contributes significantly to improved access and quality of education for teachers and high school students in the Eastern and Western Cape Provinces of South Africa. 5.0 KEY RECOMMENDATIONS Based on the findings presented in this report, and the conclusions arrived at based on a detailed triangulation analysis of the findings, the evaluation team recommends the following: RECOMMENDATIONS 1. Fully integrate the three programs: AIMSSEC, Academic (PGD) and Research (Fig 19). This should be considered at a structural, programmatic and results level. The complementarity of the three areas would increase the effectiveness, efficiency and overall synergy of results delivered. FIGURE 19. INTEGREATED PROGRAMS AT AIMS-SA RESEARCH CENTRE AIMS PGD AIMS-SA 2. Develop a strategic and operational plan for AIMS-SA with a logic model based on a clear theory of change. This will enhance the ability of AIM-SA to articulate the impact it seeks to achieve, demonstrated how progress is being made towards attaining the overall goal and enhance its ability to incorporate into its learning and knowledge management cycles clear and deliberate inputs derived from the overall logic and Theory of Change. This process would also contribute to the generation of sound evidence for future reporting on AIMS-SA’s contribution towards impact. 3. Build on the findings of this evaluation to develop a Theory of Change for AIMS-SA that will feed into a broader level Theory of Change for AIMS-NEI. A Theory of Change will serve in defining the key assumptions made by AIMS-SA with respect results expected as well as offer the framework on which to build a strong but EXTERNAL EVALUATION AIMSSEC effective M&E system internally which would serve as the basis for future evaluative exercises. 4. Develop an on-going evaluation and monitoring framework that is tied to a strategic plan and an internally developed logic model. Additionally and as part of the overall monitoring and evaluation, leverage and incorporate Information Communication Technology (ICT) for data collection and analysis for increased efficiency in data and information management. 5. Expand and strengthen outreach. Outreach is fundamental and the lynchpin for any successful tertiary level education program in mathematical sciences in the medium and long term. Broaden current outreach at the community, sector and policy levels. Involve Alumni strategically and purposefully to contribute in building a strong community of practice for mathematical sciences in Africa. As learners and their families at the grassroots level understand and see the value of mathematical science ie the difference it is making at higher levels, there would be increased support at the basic family level for more children to take up studies in fields like mathematical sciences that have not been traditionally valued by many African parents 6. Leverage Alumni interest in outreach and develop a strong participatory plan for their involvement in this component. 7. Alumni identified the need for employment post AIMS and recommend AIMS-SA creates linkages with other sectors other than academia to facilitate transition from AIMS-SA into relevant employment where mathematical science skills and knowledge would be value added. 8. Strengthen and enhance the student selection and admission criteria, with a gender equity model. Within this model, AIMS-SA should consider applying internal good practices with respect to gender in order to guarantee the same opportunities of access to and success in the AIMS-SA program for men and women. 10. Increase purposeful collaboration and strengthen partnerships with similar institutions across Africa to increase reach and impact. Explore the possibility for existing similar institutions adopting the AIMS-SA Model and also use the opportunity to learn what other institutions are doing that may be value added to the AIMS-SA model 11. Consider developing and incorporating in the curriculum some modules that highlight and engage students in Africa’s development issues. 12. Consider undertaking a detailed assessment of what it will take to convert the current PGD program into a full master’s program. This will increase AIMS–SA’s relevance at multiple levels, its effectiveness and efficiency, and increased ability for its graduates to contribute towards impact at the African level. EXTERNAL EVALUATION 9. Strategically involve African lecturers and scientists to build capacity in Africa and increase the sustainability and replicability of the AIMS model across Africa. Review and expand the current co lecturer model which is highly valued as reported by all stakeholders interviewed. 44 13. Seek options of improving cost-effectiveness by increasing its reach to as many students as possible with the allocated funds. A focus on increasing the number of South African Students at AIMS-SA, should not compromise on academic quality, but aim for the highest standard while maintaining the involvement of international expertise. 14. The research center should be fully integrated with the possibility of it managing macro level research topics that would require the involvement of the academic and outreach programs. As suggested by a respondent, a research topic that calls for involvement across all arms of the centre could create the ideal tangible environment to work and bring all round integration at this centre to life. E.G ‘Mathematical Modelling in a Multi-Disciplinary Context' 6.0 KEY LESSONS LEARNED Emerging from this evaluation are some key lessons learned. under three key headings: These are discussed below 2. Reporting of results and achievement of AIMS-SA i. Reporting on the results, outcome and impact of any educational program is a very complex process. The multi-dimensional changes that happen at an individual level would need to be taken into consideration and it is not as simple as taking the financial cost of a program and dividing it by the denominator, in this case the number of graduates. ii. In speaking with the wide range of stake holders during this evaluation process, it was evident such a simplistic approach or interpretation of the value of any education, is not a fair, relevant or contextually appropriate approach. iii. In the absence of control groups or counterfactual scenarios, only the existence of information collected as longitudinal and repeated cross sectional data, would eventually contribute in establishing some of the evidence required on the value and results of a program like AIMS-SA. EXTERNAL EVALUATION 1. The design of the AIMS-SA model i. The AIMS–SA model is a composite of three key areas. AIMS-SA started with the PGD, followed by the outreach program and later on the Research centre. By being the first center, the lesson learned here is the need to coordinate and implement all three components whenever possible from the outset of the creation of a new center. This will enable communication, planning and the reporting of results to be integrated as early as possible in the process. ii. Incorporation of gender once AIMS-SA has in place its gender equity model, should be done at the planning stages to facilitate gender integration within AIMS-SA and throughout the implementation of activities in all three areas. 3. The evaluation i. Harmonizing the definition of terms and interpretations of key words and phrases used prior to the commencement of data collection, would have been useful and reduce the amount of time spent post data collection to standardize these definitions and interpretations prior to undertaking the data analysis. ii. Building in more time to have focus group discussions that derive from a need to unpack some of the responses from the alumni survey, would have been beneficial and enriched the quality of the data utilised in the analysis of the findings for this evaluation. 7.0 GENERAL CONCLUSION 1. AIMS-SA is a multi-donor tertiary education facility located in Muizenberg, South Africa which has succeed in addressing a felt need in the African tertiary education system, elevating the value and need for mathematical sciences and positioning mathematical sciences to demonstrate its relevance and value in addressing some of the development challenges in Africa. 2. AIMS-SA is achieving its goal of building the capacity of Africans in mathematical sciences and doing so in manner that is unique and empowering for the young Africans who have gone through AIMS-SA. As a result of the outputs from the graduates, outreach activities and early outputs from the research center, AIMS-SA continues to position itself in South Africa and across the African continent as a leader in student centered, problem solving and critical thinking environment for students and academics in Africa. 4. There remains, however, important challenges AIMS-SA needs to address related to: a. How it constitutes and reports on its results and contribution towards impact b. Sustaining the AIMS-SA model in the absence of external (International) support in the long term. c. Recognizing and working with others (broader partnerships with civil society, private and public sectors) in addressing the brain exchange vs brain drain challenge. This is a major external factor that will affect AIMS-SA’s ability to attain its overall goal and vision if not addresses and wrestled with alongside others on the continent facing similar challenges. . From a respondent “The development community has failed to realise the role and importance of skilled people - even the Millennium Development Goals do not mention this. This is a major failure in the development community who did not realise the importance of tertiary education and skills and programs like AIMS-SA hope to make that difference by demonstrating the contribution tertiary education can make and is making – education in mathematical sciences for development….” EXTERNAL EVALUATION 3. The relevance of AIMS-SA is clear and strong; it is a highly efficient institution and has produced outputs within the last seven years that speak strongly to its effectiveness. 46 References and Sources: a. The AIMS-SA 2011 review of the Academic and Research programmes. Commissioned by the South African national Research Foundation and the AIMS-SA Council. The International Review Panel members: i. Prof David Bekolle, University of Yaoundé 1, Cameroon ii. Prof Gerhard Frey, University Duisburg-Essen, Germany iii. Prof David Gross, Kavli Institute for Theoretical Physics (2004 Nobel Prize in Physics),USA iv. Prof Sunil Maharaj, University of KwaZulu-Natal (Convenor), South Africa. b. OECD/DAC. “Glossary of Key Terms in Evaluation and Results Based Management”, The DAC Working Party on Aid Evaluation, 2002. Available online at http://www.oecd.org c. The United Nations Development Group (UNDG). “Results Based Management Terminology”, June 2003, Available online at http://www.undg.org d. Scriven, Michael. “Evaluation Thesaurus – Fourth Edition”, Sage Publications, 1991. The World Bank. “Measuring Efficiency and Equity Terms”. Available online at http://www.worldbank.org EXTERNAL EVALUATION e. ANNEXES Annex Description Annex 1 Constituted Program Logic Model and Theory of Change Annex 2 AIMS-SA Organizational Chart Annex 3 Evaluation Matrix Annex 4 List of Key Informants (Semi structured interviews) and FGD Categories Annex 5 List of Documents Reviewed Annex 6 Alumni Survey Annex 7 AIMS-SA Comparative Analysis (against four similar institutions in Africa) Annex 8 Evaluation Terms of Reference Annex 9 Evaluation Team - Biodata i ANNEX 1.0 - Constituted Program logic model and Theory of Change PREAMBLE: In the absence of an existing documented overall logic model and theory of change for AIMS-SA, the evaluation team in consultation with AIMNS-SA staff (Inception mission), came up with a presumed theory of change and logic model which will be used to guide the evaluation process. Proposed Theory of Change: (Domains of Change: Knowledge and skills(innovative academic model); Behavior change communication (Outreach & enabling environment); and Applied /translational research(to make a difference) Behavior Change Communication (Outreach) AIMSSEC KNOWLEDGE & SKILLS ACADEMIC STUDEBNT CENTRED, PROBLLEM SOLVING AND CRITICAL THINKING PGD AIMS-South Africa Increased # Of Graduates, researchers and employees; Community awareness Research addressing Africa’s dev. needs RESEARCH CENTRE (Biomaths, Financial math; pure maths; Cosmology) Africa in which mathematical sciences is recognized, has skilled graduates and plays a key role in addressing the development challenges on the continent This Theory factors in the key assumptions as outlined in the evaluation logic.. Fior each domain of change is a detailed change pathway with identified breakthrough points towards the achievement of impact. For the purpose of this evaluation the evaluation team and AIMS-Staff ii have not gone through a detailed process to fully unpack the theory of change and this would be a key recommendation from this evaluation to AIMS-SA This evaluation is formative, summative and theory based. It is, predicated on the assumption of causality, that results follow from actions in a manner that can usually be predicted and it also recognizes and takes into account side-effects – both intended and unintended. Thus this evaluation is also strongly results based. Assessing impact for any educational program (primary, secondary or tertiary) by measuring changes in the lives of the direct and indirect beneficiaries is a challenging task with several levels of complexity. The nature of the change at the individual level, which is measurable, is it is a more complex and difficult concept to measure beyond the individual. At the level of the individual, other confounding factors that may be responsible for the change need to be recognized and only then would we be able to define the contribution and / or attribution of AIMS-SA towards the outcome outlined in the logic model. Quantitative and qualitative indicators used in the evaluation matrix would need to be reviewed and refined on an ongoing basis and measured by continuous variables over a long period to increase their analytical value. Indicators for societal return on investing in tertiary education and the individual empowerment that result from increased education and qualification are not easy to measure o r t o d e f i n e o bjectively verifiable indicators. In sum, measurement may depend on the extent to which indicators can be quantified and are available for independent inspection, or whether such data can only be accessed through the memory of respondents. Assessing the magnitude of change is also challenging. Measurements before and after the AIMS-SA intervention are desirable. In the absence of this data for AIMSSA, this evaluation will use the best memory recollection afterwards from the alumni. Typically knowledge of before AIMS-SA (or other without AIMS-SA) may be scanty making estimates of the counter-factual uncertain. Other factors may have contributed significantly towards outcome for AIMS -SA graduates (confounding factors) and these would be taken into consideration for all analysis and cross tabulations that will be done for this evaluation . The formal comprehensive measurement of impact is judged to be beyond the scope of this evaluation, partly for reasons of resources, but more importantly because of the measurement and methodological obstacles noted above. Instead, wide ranging and triangulated evaluative evidence plus evidence from prior evaluations will be used to reach judgments about the likelihood or otherwise progress towards positive impact on the development challenges of Africa. iii Situation Outreach to build the interest and understanding around math's sciences in communities Empowering Curriculum Social and assertiveness skill building Decision Making Problem solving Meaningful Transformativ e operational set up Priorities Lecturers Tutors Researchers Staff (Academic, outreach and research) Facilities Scholarships Post AIMS bursaries Teacher training Students Alumni Researchers Univ of Stellenbosch Partners Time Technology Learning environment What we invest Inputs AIMS-SA – Logic Model (IEE) African students do not have the skills and knowledge to take their undergraduat e education to the next level The extent and role of mathematical sciences in Africa's development not leveraged to its full potential Research: building individual research skills and focusing research in areas relevant to Africa’s dev. challenges Activities What we do Capacity building Training Research Outreach Relevant, Engaging and Challenging Educational Model Exposure to masters, research and Career Options Students Researchers Local teachers Lecturers Researchers Mathematical science communities in South Africa, Africa and around the globe African leaders and decision makers at NEPAD Participation Who we reach Outputs Key Assumptions The government of South Africa continues to priorities Math’s and science African countries have the infrastructure and opportunities for Math’s Science grads Continued funding form a variety of sources for scholarships and outreach and research activities Rate of return of the AIMS-SA overtime will contribute towards impact Students capacity built for problem solving, critical thinking and basic research 1-3 yrs Teachers in the E. & W. Cape trained; skills enhanced and motivation increased Short Multiple research outputs delivered in key focus areas iv Improved socio, economic indicators in Africa for which the contribution of mathematical sciences can be demonstrated African men and women capable of contributing to Africa’s development challenges using mathematical sciences through their involvement in a wide range of sectors. 7-10 yrs and beyond Long Template source : Univ. of Wisconsin Extension dept. Outcomes 4-6 yrs Medium Stronger mathematical sciences graduates in Africa with PDG, Maters and PhDs Increased relevant research capacity and opportunities in Africa Increased African girls and boys doing well, enjoying math and sciences with their families and communities valuing the possibilities and contribution mathematical sciences can make in Africa Key External Factors The global economic situation will continue to improve The enabling environment for mathematical sciences and polices in Africa will stay strong African mathematical sciences graduates studying abroad will be motivated to return and work in Africa Evaluation – Is AIMS-SA achieving its set out objectives? Can the objectives be directly linked to impact (societal and environmental change) How far along the change continuum is AIMS-SA? ANNEX 2.O - AIMS-SA Organizational Chart AIMS SA ORG CHART Source: AIMS-SA January 2012 v Key Evaluation Questions 1. Does AIMS South Africa answer and/or respond to the needs of the target population? 2. Relevance within the South African and African university systems? 3. Is the model design appropriate to the specific context in Africa? Indicators Relevance # of respondents who identify and specify the gap AIMS-SA is filling. # of university affiliated respondents who report a positive correlation Level of value that respondents attribute to the knowledge and skills of AIMS graduates Perception of key stakeholders and representatives of NEPAD with respect to the alignment of AIMS goal with specific objectives of NEPAD Existence of a direct linkage between AIMS-SA goal and outcomes in relation to the strategic pillars of the UNESCO declaration (Articles 4 & 5) African policy makers Alumni Source of information Methodology comment Semi-structured interviews Project documents UNESCO AIMS Academic council Review of documents Review of secondary data Document review Semi structured interviews Document review Semi structured interview Project documents Current funders Members of AMS-SA council Employers Other institutions similar to AIMS-SA NEPAD Academic council members Doc review Semi structured interviews Alumni survey Semi structured interviews Review of secondary data ANNEX 3.0 - Evaluation Matrix 4. Are the mechanisms and approaches used in coherence with the priorities of Africa as defined by Africa’s New Partnership for Development (NEPAD?) 5. Are the mechanisms and approaches of AIMS SA in accordance with standards set by the UNESCO’s World Declaration for Higher Education in the 21st Century? 6. Is the design of the project appropriate given its objectives? 7. How clear and consistent is the causal chain? How well do the different components of the AIMS model link with the overall goal? Efficiency Quality of the existing project logic model Degree to which the description with respect to how change has occurred as a results of AIMS SA intervention is clearly articulated Degree to which log frames well used? Level of attention is given to M&E? vi 8. To what extent is AIMS SA innovative? Does it leverage the most interaction and synergy with other related areas of work and other areas where AIMS plays a role (e.g. AMINET)? 9. Can the results achieved be considered adequate for the budget spent? Document Review Evidence of a flexible and participatory is project design? Review of documents Alumni survey Semi structured interviews Focus group discussions Project documents Document review Semi structured key informant interviews Project documents Alumni AIMS SA staff Secondary data review Cost effectiveness analysis Alumni survey Review of MoU between AIMS-SA and the Univ. of Stellenbosch Semi structured interviews Document review Document review Project documents AIMS-SA staff AIMS-SA academic council Semis structured interviews with relevant key informants Alumni survey Project budgets Activity reports Annual report Alumni Audited financials for AIMS-SA academic program, Outreach and Research Degree to which current management structure is set up and aligned for AIMS SA to achieve its goal Adequacy and alignment of structure with respect to Degree of value add of the relationship with Stellenbosch University Alumni Stakeholders outside of AIMS-SA Employers Analysis of results (direct and indirect) as a return against financial and human capital invested Cost breakdown per component of AIMS SA (academic, outreach and Research) 12. Is the provision of administrative support via a third party (Stellenbosch University) cost effective and efficient? 13. Effectiveness Degree to which planned actives were achieved against targets sets 10. Was the allocation of resources among different aspects of the AIMS SA model (training, equipment provision, awareness raising, tool development, human resources etc …) appropriate to achieve results? 11. Is the management structure efficient for the achievement of expected outcomes? 14. To what extent did the AIMS -South Africa team implement all initially planned activities? 15. To what extent did AIMS -South Africa contribute to achieve the expected results? Level of contribution or attribution for change that AIMSSA can take credit / responsibility for. (Academic, research and outreach) vii 16. How did the AIMS -SA team adjust the project and its methodology to the constraints faced during its implementation, if necessary to achieve expected results? Kind and quality of M & E system in place. Degree of flexibility demonstrated by the AIMS-SA to ensure responsiveness and relevance towards needs (Students, teachers, mathematical science sector, Africa’s development challenges) 18. Does AIMS -SA collect and document necessary data and information to assess progress against project document? 17. Were the methodologies, curriculum and tools appropriate to meet the model’s objective? 19. Is AIMS -SA addressing the needs of all target groups? Quality and effectiveness of AIMS-SA gender equity model Level of needs assessment incorporated in the project design(Academic, research and outreach) 20. How well has AIMS -SA addressed and achieved any cross cutting themes e.g. gender (to what extent has gender equality has been mainstreamed in the AIMS SA model?) Sustainability Level of acceptance of the fully funded scholarship model 21. How well has AIMS -SA contributed to Africa’s development challenges? Is the AIMS-SA model culturally / contextually appropriate for Africa? Monetized value of support Degree to which gender has been mainstreamed into AIMS-SA activities Degree to which change in Africa (Sector, issue) can be directly related to the AIMS-SA intervention Is the provision of administrative support by Academic faculty Outreach program staff Alumni Teachers reached through outreach Semi structured interviews Alumni survey Focus group discussions with teachers in the outreach program Document review Semi structured interviews Review and the AIMS SA independent academic program review (2011) AIMS-SA staff AIMS staff Alumni Teachers in the outreach program Researchers AIMS-SA gender framework and policy Alumni Semi structured interviews with stakeholders outside of AIMS Case studies Document review Semi structured interviews with key informants directly involved with AIMS-SA Semi-structured interviews Focus group discussions NEPAD strategic initiatives Gov’t of SA Science and technology strategy Document review Semi structured interviews Alumni survey Stakeholders out of the AIMS network Alumni AIMS-SA staff viii Stellenbosch University sustainable for AIMSSA and replicable in AIMS centers in other countries? Are the results achieved in the short, medium and long term sustainable? Do the results have positive influence a) on the lives of students, b) on AIMS-SA c) towards the other stakeholders in the sector, national and international level? Are the teaching styles and support to students at AIMS-SA expected to be maintained long term for all batches of students as long as AIMS-SA exists? How well is AIMS-SA networked with other potential centers and is it fully functional as part of the broader community of practice for mathematical sciences in Africa? Does AIMS-SA have a partnership strategy/ policy/ Guidelines? If yes, to what extent is it contributing towards its sustainability? Is the AIMS-SA outreach model sustainable Are the outputs from the research centre sustainable? To what extent can the AIMS-SA model be replicated by other countries in Africa? To what extent is AIMS South Africa improving the access and quality of education in mathematical sciences for African graduates in provided by the University of Stellenbosch # of students who go on to undertake maters and PhD programs # and quality of research outputs that contribute towards Africa’s development challenges # of primary and secondary school teachers reached by the outreach program Value of teaching style as a success factor of AIMS reported by Alumni # of partnerships with similar or complementary institutions that fosters the greater good for mathematical sciences in Africa Partnership strategy and guidelines Degree to which change reported by teachers can be continued after intervention form AIMSSEC ends # and quality of research centre outputs # and quality of research outputs by AIMS alumni # of AIMS-Centres in operation or in planning being modeled after the AIMS-SA model Impact # of students reached though the AIMS SA program University of Stellenbosch staff Alumni Teachers in the Eastern and Western Cape Researchers at AIMSSA Alumni Teachers Outreach program funders Policies Guidelines MoUs Alumni Semi structured interviews Document review Alumni survey Focus group discussion Focus group discussions Semi structured interviews Document review Document review Semi structured interviews Alumni survey Semis structured interviews Alumni survey Semi structured interviews Focus group discussions AIMS-NEI Staff AIMS-NEI documents Alumni survey Stakeholders out of the AIMS network Student application and admission database ix general and more specific for those pursuing post AIMS opportunities that directly address clearly identified problems in Africa? To what extent does the AIMS SA course have an impact on the students, lecturers and associated academic personnel? How does the set up (operations / facilities) and governance structure contribute to improved access and quality of mathematical sciences for students at AIMS SA, undergraduate students, high school students and AIMS SA graduates? Is there a plan / strategy for the students post AIMS? If yes, to what extent is this being achieved? To what extent are Alumni pursuing post AIMS opportunities directly related towards addressing Africa’s development Challenges? To what extent are the outreach efforts of AIMSSA contributing to an increased application of Mathematical sciences at the high school level, undergraduate level and post AIMS? Has there been/is there a high likelihood (trend towards) of an impact in as a result of AIMS SA? Is AIMS SA having any negative effects or is likely to have in the future? % of students whose future course of study is impacted by passage through AIMS-SA and which has pointed then to the need to address Africa’s development challenges Level of change reported by students , lecturers and alumni from involvement with AIMS-SA Level to which the change experienced at AIMS-SA is attributed to the facilities and structure and governance # of post AIMS plan/ strategies in place # of alumni in fields and research areas directly related to Africa’s development challenges Improved grades for high school grades in math’s and science in Eastern and Western Cape rural areas Increased application and interest in Math’s and sciences at the undergraduate level Percentage of alumni , researchers and teachers who report AIMS-SA as being a strong factor in their current outcome TBD Alumni Alumni Plan AIMS-SA staff Alumni Lecturers Tutors Alumni Tutors Lecturers Semi structured interviews Alumni survey Document review Semi structured interviews Alumni survey Semi structured interviews Focus group discussions Alumni survey Semi structured interviews Focus group discussions Researchers Department of Education Alumni Researchers Teachers TBD Alumni survey Focus group discussions University undergraduate admission offices TBD x xi Neil Turok (Founder) Fritz Hahne Neil Turok, Perimeter Institute (Chair) Daya Reddy, University of Cape Town Keith Moffatt, University of Cambridge Barry Green, AIMS, Institute Director Ingrid Rewitzky, Stellenbosch University Respondents Barry Green, Director, AIMS ANNEX 4.0 – KEY INFORMANT INTERVIEWS AND FGDS Sample Group 1. AIMS executive team 2. AIMS Trust Contact details AIMS Main Building office 107 Cell: 082 557 1335 [email protected] Professor of Mathematics Executive Head: Department of Mathematical Sciences Vice-Dean (Teaching): Faculty of Science University of Stellenbosch Private Bag X1 Matieland 7602 South Africa Telephone: +27-21-8083289 Fax: +27-21-8083828 AIMS Main Building office 107 Cell: 082 557 1335 [email protected] [email protected] University of Cambridge Professor BD Reddy Centre for Research in Computational and Applied Mechanics Department of Mathematics & Applied Mathematics University of Cape Town, South Africa tel + 27 21 650 3787 fax + 27 21 685 2281 Executive Director, Perimeter Institute 31 Caroline St. N. Waterloo Ontario, Canada N2L 2Y5 Tel: (519) 569-7600 As above Previous AIMS director 021 808 2583 083 407 9919 [email protected] xii 3. AIMS Advisory Board 4. AIMS Staff 5. AIMSEC Daya Reddy Keith Moffat Kathy Driver, University of Cape Town Edward Lungu, University of Botswana Lynne Teixeira Deborah Wilsnagh Liezel Jones Jan Groenewaldt Frances Aron Barrie Barnard group: Alumni & teaching assistants Edith Ramafalo Nokwana (Squash)Mbusi Joseph Basui Mpumi Kolisile Mavoyo Mbusi Carol Hendricks Nokuzola Fini Chris (teaching assistant) Toni Beardon Focus As above As above [email protected] Professor at UCT Prof Edward Lungu Department of Mathematics, University of Botswana, Private Bag 0022, Gaborone, Botswana [email protected]/lunguliz@g mail.com ++267 355 2132 Villa 2 Administrative and Research Manager 073 500 8163 [email protected] Villa 1 Financial Administrator [email protected] 1 Administrative Officer 074 148 7096 [email protected] Main Building 110 and 111 IT Manager 072 127 1974 [email protected] Main Building 104 PGD English teacher 076 478 5178 [email protected] Villa 4 Academic Manager (AIMSSEC) 082 348 5816 [email protected] Villa 4 Villa 4 AIMSSEC founder 072 308 8186 [email protected] At Stellenbosch High School (on site) during ACE course delivery xiii 6. AIMS Associate Faculty 7. AIMS Masters & Doctoral students 8. AIMS Tutors 9. AIMS other partners (as above) (as above) Senior Professor of Mathematics School of Mathematical Sciences University of KwaZulu-Natal P Bag X01, Scottsville 3209, Pietermaritzburg, SOUTH AFRICA Phone (W): +27 33 260 5649, Phone (H): +27 33 3473 265 Fax: +27 33 260 5648, Cell: 0828725674 Email: [email protected] (as above) Daya Reddy, University of Cape Town, South Africa Jamshid Moori, University of KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa Centre for Cosmology, Particle Physics and Phenomenology (CP3) Institute of Research in Mathematics and Physics Catholic University of Louvain Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium [email protected] Neil Turok, Perimeter Institute for Theoretical Physics, Canada Barry Green, University of Stellenbosch, South Africa Jan Govaerts, Catholic University of Louvain, Belgium UNU-IIST, China [email protected] AIMs main building No response AIMS Research centre Jeff Sanders, UNU-IIST, China Alan Clarke - Masters student Eli Kasai – Masters student Yabebal Fantaye - 2 month visiting PhD student Petja Salmi – Post doc student Emma, Jai, Fadoua, Neina (4 tutors) The South African Centre for Epidemiological Modelling (SACEMA) Dr Alex Welte xiv 10. AIMS Research centre 11. 6 University partners 12. SA Maths Society 13. Other SA Universities 14. AIMS Funders 15. AIMSEC funders 16. Similar organizations to AIMS RMB Stellenbosch University Neil Turok Datatec education & technology trust RIM (Research In Motion) Google Inc. Charitable Giving Fund of Tides Foundation WITS University Cambridge Stellenbosch University of Cape Town SA Mathematical Society Prof Edward Lungu as above Mr Edwim Madisha - RMB [email protected] Prof Ingrid Rewzitsky as above As above Ms Wilna de Villiers - Datatec [email protected] Research In Motion (RIM), Adele Newton, Snr Relations Manager Jay Boren (Google) Position and contact details: Charitable Giving Programs, 650-2142188 [email protected] No response Senior Researcher Hall 6 084 9011 011 [email protected] Prof Keith Moffat as above Prof Ingrid Rewzitsky as above Prof Kathy Driver as above No response No response AMMSI http://www.ammsi.org/admin No response African University of Science and Technology in Abuja (AUSTAbuja) Director of academic programs, Prof. Charles Chidume [email protected] +2348032587376 Bruce Bassett, Senior Researcher Nelson Mandela African Institute of Science and Technology, Tanzania http://www.nm-aist.ac.tz/index.html xv 17. Post AIMS employers African Network of Science and technological institutions http://www.ansti.org/ Prof. George Albert Magoha Chairman ANSTI Governing Council Fields Institute Pacific Institute of Mathematical Sciences African University of Science and Technology (AUST) Nigeria University of Khartoum No response Fields Institute for Mathematical Sciences http://www.fields.utoronto.ca/ Edward Bierstone, Director [email protected] Alison Conway, Manager of Scientific Programs [email protected] The Fields Institute for Research in Mathematical Sciences 222 College Street, Second Floor Toronto, Ontario M5T 3J1 Canada Telephone: (416) 348-9710 Business Fax: (416) 348-9714 Members' Fax: (416) 348-9385 Pacific Institute for Mathematical Sciences http://www.pims.math.ca/ Assistant Director: Dr. Mark J. Gotay PIMS - UBC Site Office University of British Columbia 200 - 1933 West Mall Vancouver, BC, V6T 1Z2 Canada tel: (604) 822-3922 fax: (604) 822-0883 email: [email protected] Prof Edward Lungu (as above) Prof Faris Mohammed [email protected] xvi 18. Pan African AIMS contact persons 19. AIMS Distinguished Research Fellows 20. NEPAD Benin: Prof Jean-Pierre Ezin, IMSP, B.P. 613, Porto-Novo, Benin. Prof Norbert Hounkonnou, International Chair in Mathematical Physics and Applications, 072 BP 50, Cotonou, Benin Botswana: Prof Edward Lungu, Ghana: Prof Francis Allotey, Director: Institute of Mathematical Sciences, P O Box LG 197, Legon-Accra, Ghana 233 21 501380 and 233 21 276178 Sudan: Manar El Sheikh Abdel-Rahman, Dean of Faculty of Mathematical Sciences, University of Khartoum, Sudan mobile: +2499 12415646 Doron Lubinsky Georgia Institute of Technology, USA Philippe Kuhutama Mawoko Coordinator African Science, Technology & Innovation Indicators (ASTII) Initiative NEPAD Agency Professor M. N. Hounkonnou, International Chair in Mathematical Physics and Applications (ICMPA-UNESCO Chair) 072 BP 50 Cotonou, Republic of BENIN Tel:(+229) 21 38 61 28 Fax:(+229) 21 31 31 38 GSM: (+229) 95 06 26 89 or (+229) 93 46 12 31 [email protected] (as above) Director: Institute of Mathematical Sciences, P O Box LG 197, LegonAccra, Ghana 233 21 501380 and 233 21 276178 [email protected] Prof Faris Mohammed (as above) [email protected] No response xvii ANNEX 5.0 - DOCUMENTS REVIEWED Documents 1. All AIMS SA annual reports from 2003 - 2010 2. All MoUs between AIMS and all funders 3. All MoUs between Aims and any other funders 4. All MoUs between AIMS and six founding University partners 5. All audited financial statements 2003 - 2010 6. AIMS-SA Research overview 7. AIMS – SA Research Centre Strategy 8. AIMS-SA PGD overview 9. All student assessments / evaluations done 2003 - 2010 10. Alumni data base 11. Lecturer data base – names address and contact information 12. Tutor data base – name address and contact information 13. Research data base – list of all researchers – contact information, their work, outputs and identification if AIMS graduate 14. List, contact details and MoUs with all partners other than academic with AIMS 15. AIMS Staff contact list 16. AIMS Board bios and contact list 17. AIMS Advisory council bios and contact list 18. AIMS Executive contact list 19. All MoUs between AIMSSEC and funders 20. All reports from AIMSEC to all its funders 21. All reports from AIMS academic program to funders 22. List with contact information of all partners and stakeholders of AIMSSEC who are not funders 23. All application forms for 311 Alumni 24. AIMS-SA 2011 Internal review 25. AIMS-SA 2011 expert panel review 26. AIMS –SA 2003 Evaluation 27. TED videos Neil T 28. TED video Daphne (Alumni) 29. AIMS SA Org chart 30. AIMS NEI Business plan 31. AIMS NEI business plan annex 32. Review of AIMS-SA board and council minutes Location AIMS-SA website AIMS-SA records (LT) Same as above Same as above AIMS-SA (LT and DW) AIMS-SA (LT) AIMS-SA IT department (JG) AIMS-NEI (TC) AIMS – SA (LT) AIMS –SA (LT) AIMS-SA (LT) AIMS-SA (LT) AIMS-SA (DW) AIMS-SA (LT) AIMS-SA (LT) AIMS-Sa (LT) AIMSSEC (LT and BB) AIMSSEC (LT and BB) AIMS-SA (LT) AIMSSEC (LT and BB) AIMS-SA (JG) website website AIMS-SA (BG) You tube You tube AIMS-SA (DW) AIMS-NEI Secretariat (AS) AIMS-NEI Secretariat (AS) AIMS-SA Director (BG) xviii LT BG BB JG TC AS DW Lynne Teixeira Barry Green Barrie Barnard Jan Groenewald Trust Chibawara Arun Sharma Deborah Wilsnagh xix ANNEX 6.O AIMS-SA ALUMNI SURVEY Shaping the Future - AIMS SA Alumni Survey Filled Wednesday, December 07, 2011 - http://app.fluidsurveys.com/s/AIMSSA/b7451b45c6e4ee7c994743f0e332e7557cdc6dbe/ xx Welcome to the African Institute for Mathematical Sciences - South Africa (AIMS SA) Independent Evaluation Alumni Survey! We would like your help shaping the future of AIMS. This is an opportunity for you to tell us about the value of AIMS in your career, challenges you faced, and lessons you learned. Your responses will provide valuable information to guide the direction of the program as we move forward to an exciting new stage – replication across Africa. Thank you, in advance, for completing this survey. This survey is open from December 8th – 20th, 2011 and WILL ONLY TAKE ABOUT 20 MINUTES OF YOUR TIME. Your responses are very important! All alumni who complete this survey will be entered into a draw to win one of two BlackBerrys, donated by Research in Motion. The winners will be announced on December 23rd 2011 via e-mail. This survey and the overall evaluation is being undertaken by an independent external consultant. Your responses will be completely anonymous. No names will be used in reporting and analysis. For more information or technical suppot, please contact Dr. Helen Scott at [email protected] About AIMS SA Alumni In which country do you currently reside? What is your country of birth? What is your gender? How old are you? Do you have a physical or learning disability? About Choosing AIMS SA How did you hear about AIMS SA? Did you have undergraduate colleagues who were also interested in applying to AIMS SA? Prior to attending AIMS SA, what were you doing? Check all that apply. xxi Prior to attending AIMS SA, what was your area of academic focus? Prior to attending AIMS SA, what was your highest academic qualification? Prior to applying to AIMS SA, were you aware of other universities within the region/continent that provide the same/similar curriculum and learning experience as AIMS SA? Please list the top three universities that provide the same/similar curriculum and learning experience as AIMS SA. Variable Response Please list the top three universities that provide the same/similar curriculum and learning experience as AIMS SA. | Please list the top three universities that provide the same/similar curriculum and learning experience as AIMS SA. | Please list the top three universities that provide the same/similar curriculum and learning experience as AIMS SA. | How important were the following factors when you decided to apply to AIMS SA? Variable Response How important were the following factors when you decided to apply to AIMS SA? | Location How important were the following factors when you decided to apply to AIMS SA? | Cost How important were the following factors when you decided to apply to AIMS SA? | Scholarship option How important were the following factors when you decided to apply to AIMS SA? | Courses/programs offered How important were the following factors when you decided to apply to AIMS SA? | Institutional reputation What would have been your next educational or career option if you had not attended AIMS SA? When applying to AIMS SA, did you also apply to other institutions? Please list the top three other institutions where you applied: Variable Response | Institution | Institution xxii | Institution Variable Response | Program (Focus) | Program (Focus) | Program (Focus) What was your motivation for accepting the AIMS SA opportunity? Check all that apply About Being at AIMS SA What year did you start attending AIMS SA? When you first began your studies at AIMS SA, what was your main career goal (what career did you plan to pursue)? Did this career focus shift during your time at AIMS? Please state the career focus which AIMS SA has led you to: How did your experience at AIMS SA influence your current career choice? Check all that apply. What did you understand the role and purpose of AIMS SA to be ... ... before arriving at AIMS SA? ... when you graduated? ... what do you think it should be? To what extent do you think AIMS SA has fulfilled its mandate? How valuable (important) were the following experiences at AIMS SA? Variable Response How valuable (important) were the following experiences at AIMS SA? | Learning English How valuable (important) were the following experiences at AIMS SA? | Curriculum How valuable (important) were the following experiences at AIMS SA? | Teaching methodology How valuable (important) were the following experiences at AIMS SA? | Learning style xxiii How valuable (important) were the following experiences at AIMS SA? | Stipend How valuable (important) were the following experiences at AIMS SA? | Administrative support How valuable (important) were the following experiences at AIMS SA? | Accommodation and facilities (meals, laundry) How valuable (important) were the following experiences at AIMS SA? | Safety xxiv How valuable (important) were the following experiences at AIMS SA, with respect to your current career/studies? Variable Response How valuable (important) were the following experiences at AIMS SA, with respect to your current career/studies? | Networking with professionals How valuable (important) were the following experiences at AIMS SA, with respect to your current career/studies? | Networking with other students How valuable (important) were the following experiences at AIMS SA, with respect to your current career/studies? | Relationship with lecturers and tutors How valuable (important) were the following experiences at AIMS SA, with respect to your current career/studies? | Mathematical science skills How valuable (important) were the following experiences at AIMS SA, with respect to your current career/studies? | Problem solving skills How valuable (important) were the following experiences at AIMS SA, with respect to your current career/studies? | Communication skills How valuable (important) were the following experiences at AIMS SA, with respect to your current career/studies? | Career counselling How valuable (important) were the following experiences at AIMS SA, with respect to your current career/studies? | Mentorship xxv How difficult (challenging) were the following experiences at AIMS SA? Variable Response How difficult (challenging) were the following experiences at AIMS SA? | Learning English How difficult (challenging) were the following experiences at AIMS SA? | Overall curriculum How difficult (challenging) were the following experiences at AIMS SA? | Teaching methodology How difficult (challenging) were the following experiences at AIMS SA? | Learning mathematical science skills How difficult (challenging) were the following experiences at AIMS SA? | Learning problem solving skills How difficult (challenging) were the following factors at AIMS SA? Variable Response How difficult (challenging) were the following factors at AIMS SA? | Accommodation and facilities (meals, laundry) How difficult (challenging) were the following factors at AIMS SA? | Safety How difficult (challenging) were the following factors at AIMS SA? | Networking with other students How difficult (challenging) were the following factors at AIMS SA? | Relationship with lecturers and tutors How difficult (challenging) were the following factors at AIMS SA? | Funding How difficult (challenging) were the following factors at AIMS SA? | Administrative support xxvi What else could have been included in the AIMS program that would be beneficial to you in your current career/ studies? While you were attending AIMS SA, were you aware of the AIMS SEC (School Enrichment) outreach program? How important is the AIMS SA Outreach Program in terms of improving the mathematical science capability of the African continent? While you were attending AIMS SA, were you aware of the AIMS Research Center? How important is the AIMS SA Research Center in terms of improving the mathematical science capability of the African continent? After AIMS SA Immediately after you completed AIMS SA, what did you do? Check all that apply. How many years were you in school after completing AIMS SA? Did your experience at AIMS SA directly influence your decision about what you did immediately after completing AIMS SA? Think about your major career choices since leaving AIMS SA. Please indicate how influential AIMS SA was on your career/academic choices. Variable Response Think about your major career choices since leaving AIMS SA. Please indicate how influential AIMS SA was on your career/academic choices. | Futher Post Gradute Studies Think about your major career choices since leaving AIMS SA. Please indicate how influential AIMS SA was on your career/academic choices. | Employment (University or college - research) Think about your major career choices since leaving AIMS SA. Please indicate how influential AIMS SA was on your career/academic choices. | Employment (University or college - teaching) Think about your major career choices since leaving AIMS SA. Please indicate how influential AIMS SA was on your career/academic choices. | Self Employment Think about your major career choices since leaving AIMS SA. Please indicate how influential AIMS SA was on your career/academic choices. | Other Employment xxvii What is your current career/occupation? Check all that apply. To what extent do you apply the knowledge and principles of mathematical sciences that you learned at AIMS SA in your current position? The Link between Mathematical Science and Africa's Developmental Challenges In your opinion, what are Africa's top three development challenges? Variable Response In your opinion, what are Africa's top three development challenges? | In your opinion, what are Africa's top three development challenges? | In your opinion, what are Africa's top three development challenges? | To what extent ... Variable Response To what extent ... | ... did AIMS SA make you aware of the developmental challenges in Africa? To what extent ... | ... can you influence developmental challenges in Africa? To what extent ... | ... can mathematical sciences solve these developmental challenges in Africa? To what extent ... | ... can you use your mathematical science skills to address developmental challenges in Africa? Please explain or provide examples of how mathematical sciences can be applied to solve these developmental challenges. What role do you see yourself playing, now or in the future, in applying mathematical sciences to address development challenges in Africa? Reflections on the AIMS SA Program Only a few more questions! What differentiates the AIMS SA curriculum and learning environment/experience from other similar programs in Africa? xxviii Knowing what you know now, would you have paid for your AIMS SA qualification yourself? If you had to start over on your education journey, would you still make the same decision to attend AIMS SA? What are the top three things AIMS SA could do to contribute to the careers and/ or improve relationships and involvement with alumni moving forward? Variable Response What are the top three things AIMS SA could do to contribute to the careers and/ or improve relationships and involvement with alumni moving forward? | 1. What are the top three things AIMS SA could do to contribute to the careers and/ or improve relationships and involvement with alumni moving forward? | 2. What are the top three things AIMS SA could do to contribute to the careers and/ or improve relationships and involvement with alumni moving forward? | 3. Would you recommend AIMS SA to other young African men and women? Variable Response Would you recommend AIMS SA to other young African men and women? | Would you recommend AIMS SA to other young African men and women? | Comments: Any additional comments/ recommendations to improve the quality of the AIMS SA education? Thank you for completely this survey! Your name will be entered into a draw to win one of two BlackBerrys, donated by Research In Motion. Please enter your name and contact information below. This personal information will only be used for the purpose of the draw and will not be connected to the responses given in the survey. Thanks! Variable Response | Name: | Phone Number: | Email: | Confirm Email: xxix xxx ANNEX 7.0 – AIMS-SA Comparative Advantage Analysis COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS BETEWWN AIMS-SA AND OTHER SIMILLAR INSTITUTIONS IN AFRICA AIMS-South Africa Institutional mandate: The African Mathematics Millennium Science Initiative (AMMSI) is a distributed network of mathematics research, training and promotion throughout sub-Saharan Africa. It has five Regional Offices located in Botswana, Cameroon, Kenya, Nigeria and Senegal. It is a project established by the Millennium Science Initiative (MSI) and administered by the Science Initiative Group (SIG). The primary goal of the MSI, established in 1999, is to create and AMMSI Institutional mandate: The Nelson Mandela African Institute of Science and Technology in Arusha (NM AISTArusha) is one in a network of Pan-African Institutes of Science and Technology located across the continent. These institutes, which are the proud brainchild of Nelson Mandela, envision to train and develop the next generation of African scientists and engineers with a view to impacting profoundly on the continent’s development through the application NM-AIST Institutional mandate: The African Network of Scientific and Technological Institutions (ANSTI) is an organ of cooperation that embraces African institutions engaged in university-level training and research in the fields of science and technology. The ultimate development objective of ANSTI is to strengthen the region’s capacity for training and research and for establishing services for intensive and purposeful utilization of science, engineering ANSTI Institutional mandate: The African University of Science and Technology (AUST) is the first of the Nelson Mandela Institutions (NMIs). It was established in Abuja, Nigeria, in 2007, as a centre of excellence in science and technology with a focus on African development. Since its inception, the AUST has graduated three batches of PGD and MSc students in five disciplines (computer science and engineering, pure and applied mathematics, theoretical physics, petroleum AUST - Nigeria Institutional mandate: A comparative analysis of AIMS-South Africa to four institutions providing similar qualifications was undertaken as part of the AIMS South Africa independent external evaluation and that can be included as part of the Appraisal Case. The institutions were the African Mathematics Millennium Science Initiative (AMMSI), the Nelson Mandela African Institute of Science and Technology (NM-AIST), the African Network of Scientific and Technological Institutions (ANSTI) and the African University of Science and Technology (AUST). The African Institute for Mathematical Sciences (AIMS) is a centre for education and research in Cape Town, South Africa. AIMS-SA was established in 2003 as a partnership project of the following 6 universities: Cambridge, Cape Town, Oxford, Paris Sud XI, Stellenbosch, and Western Cape. The goals of AIMS are: to promote mathematics and science in Africa; to recruit and train talented students and teachers; to build capacity for African initiatives in education, xxxi research, and technology Admission criteria: The course is open to students of African nationality. A limited number of places (fee paying) are available for students from other parts of the world. Applicants should hold, or anticipate completing by the start date of the nurture world-class science and scientific talent in the developing world by strengthening S&T capacity through integrated programmes of research and training, planned and driven by local scientists. Admission criteria: A student has to be already accepted at a university to then apply for the fellowships & scholarships provided through AMMSI. Criteria for each scholarship are related to academic performance and area of study. Most of science, engineering and technology (SET). The NM AIST-Arusha, which is accredited by Tanzania Commission for Universities (TCU) is being developed into a world class research intensive institution for postgraduate and postdocs studies and research in SET. The training in SET, however, incorporates appreciable doses of relevant humanities and business studies ingredients. Life sciences and bioengineering are being developed to become one of the niche areas of the NM AIST-Arusha, taking advantage of the immense bio-diversity in the region. Admission criteria: NM-AIST admits qualified students primarily from Eastern Africa and SSA generally. The minimum qualifications for one to be eligible for admission to Master’s and PhD degree programmes are as follows: 1. Master’s Degree Admission criteria: Participants in the programme must be from ANSTI member institutions and may not exceed the age limit of 36 years by date of nomination. Applicants may not apply for studies in their home countries. and technology for development. The specific objective is to support the process of human resource capacity building in relevant areas of science and technology. Capacity building requires training and collaboration in research activities. Thus the Network has several activities aimed at providing training and additional experience outside the scholars’ home institution. Admission criteria: The 1st year AUST courses are taught at the Advanced Undergraduate and Graduate Level. This means that for students to be able to follow and benefit from the courses, they should have adequate preparation in Mathematics and the engineering, and materials science and engineering). The AUST is governed by the Boards of the NMI and AUST and advised by an interdisciplinary team of scientists and engineers that are members of the African Scientific Committee (ASC) and the International Scientific Advisory Board (ISAB). xxxii AIMS course, a 4-year scholarships have their university degree in own specific criteria (e.g. mathematics or any for women). science or engineering subject with a significant mathematics component. An applicant's record should demonstrate strong aptitude in mathematics. We advise students with insufficient knowledge of English to follow an English course in their home country before coming to AIMSSouth Africa. One of the goals of AIMS is to recruit a student body representative of Africa's diversity. Each applicant's dossier will be evaluated in the light of the prior educational opportunities available to her or him. The application process is highly competitive and potential applicants must be able to demonstrate both a high degree of motivation and the preparation and ability required to complete the course successfully. Admission decisions will be made separately from programmes: Candidates must be holders of relevant and good Bachelor’s degree with GPA of at least 3.5/5.0 or the equivalent, from recognized institutions. 2. PhD Degree Programmes: Candidates must possess relevant and good Master’s degree awards of at least the equivalent of B+ from recognized Institutions. Candidates for whom English was not their study language at undergraduate level will be required to prove their English proficiency using internationally accepted criteria, e.g., TOEFL Fellowships, which cover fees, subsistence and international travel, are awarded to staff of ANSTI member institutions for postgraduate studies (M.Sc. or Ph.D.) at African universities for staff development Fellowships are awarded to subSaharan African nationals for studies outside the applicants' home countries. The initial award of the fellowships covers one year. Extension is possible up to two years for Master’s courses or more for Ph.D. studies upon successful completion of previous year. Applicants must also meet the following criteria: Applicants must hold a good Bachelor’s degree (at least 2nd class upper division). Applicants must obtain official admission to the host university prior to his/her application for Basic Engineering Sciences prior to starting this programme. Requirements for admission are as follows: An honours B.Sc., degree in Mathematics, Computational Sciences, Engineering or Science from a recognized university with a minimum of Second Class Upper or a GPA of at least 3.5. Candidates from francophone countries should have a “Maitrise” degree mention B and be proficient in English. xxxiii scholarship decisions and without regard to whether or not an applicant has applied for financial aid. Cost to attend: There will be no course fee for African students. Applicants who are selected may apply for bursaries covering tuition and accommodation costs. AIMS strongly encourages those selected to secure support for their airfare from their families, governments or from charitable institutions Nr students & nationalities: 360 students from 32 African countries have graduated from the Postgraduate Diploma programme. AIMS receives many more applications for the programme than the number of places available. For the September 2010 intake, 306 applications were received; 53 students (including 15 women) Cost to attend: N/A – support provided to study elsewhere Nr students & nationalities: Botswana, Cameroon, Kenya, Nigeria and Senegal are the dominant nationalities attending as this is where their regional offices are – there are however a handful of students from other African countries who do obtain support to study in one of these countries. No specific numbers available. Cost to attend: Not available Nr students & nationalities: Not available from website or programme admin office Cost to attend: $11,700 Tuition $ Shared accommodati $ on Meals $ Library Fees $ Sporting $ Facilities Cleaning $ Service Total $ the fellowship. Cost to attend: N/A – support provided to study elsewhere Nr students & nationalities: Not available from website or programme admin office 11,700 500 200 3,500 200 2,300 5,000 Nr students & nationalities: Not available from website or programme admin office xxxiv from 21 countries were selected. Cost per student: Full scholarship Duration of programme: PGD - 10 months Master’s – max 2 years PhD – max 5 years In addition various short courses, conferences and teacher training opportunities are also listed Qualification issued: AIMS-SA does not issue any qualification directly – all qualifications are through partner universities. The dominant qualification at AIMS is an intensive graduate-level course Cost per student: N/A – scholarships are all funded and dependant on cost of local university where student is registered Cost per student: Not available Cost per student: N/A – scholarships are all funded and dependant on cost of local university where learner is studying. Duration of programme: Master’s - max 2 years PhD – max 3 years Qualification issued: No qualifications issued by ANSTI but by host universities where students registered – Master’s and PhD programmes Duration of programme: Duration of programme: Dependant on what Master’s – max 2 years learner is registered for. PhD – max 3 years Majority are Master’s students – 2 years. Qualification issued: No qualification issued by AMMSI – most learners supported through them obtain postgraduate qualifications Qualification issued: Master’s and PhD Specifically: Master’s and PhD in Life Sciences and Bioengineering (LSBE) Master’s and PhD in Mathematics and Cost per student: Not available Full and partial scholarships are available to qualified applicants. Full scholarship covers only tuition, room and board. The university does not provide monthly monetary stipends in addition to scholarships. Students are expected to cover their transportation to the AUST campus in Abuja Duration of programme: Master’s - max 2 years PhD – Max 3 years Qualification issued: MSc in Pure and Applied Mathematics MSc in Computer Science MSc in Theoretical Physics MSc in Materials Science and Engineering xxxv over 10 months leading to a master's-level Postgraduate Diploma (PGD) in Mathematical Sciences. AIMS also provides access to the following qualifications through partnering Universities: Hons in Mathematical Biology Hons in Mathematical Finance PhD in Mathematical Science Current interpretation of impact: Nr of students applied Nr of students selected Geographical spread in Africa of selected students Nr of students completed Nr of students continuing to further postgraduate studies Theory of change: Providing opportunity for African students to study further in Mathematical Sciences – this will create more knowledge, skills and expertise for Africa in mathematical sciences – this will enable more people, communities and Current interpretation of impact: Nr of learners applied Nr of learners supported Nr of learners successfully completing qualification Theory of change: Provide financial support to learners in S&T at various institutions to build research capacity and knowledge base of S&T in Africa. Computational Science and Engineering (MCSE) Master’s and PhD in Information and Communication Science and Engineering (ICSE) Current interpretation of impact: No clarity at this point on how the impact in Africa will be assessed. Interim measures are nr of students registered vs. completed with qualification. No postqualification measures in place. Theory of change: Change theory relates to stimulating, catalysing and promoting economic growth and sustainable development in Africa through the delivery of qualified scientists in various areas of specialisation Current interpretation of impact: No info available – apparent from website that impact is determined by the funding institutions that request info related to nr of students in different degree programmes Theory of change: Change theory relates to the provision of financial support to African students in specific fields of study related to Science and Technology – by having more qualified engineers and scientist MSc in Petroleum Engineering PhDs in all of the above specialisation areas are also available Current interpretation of impact: No definitive answer to this question – suggested progress in this area relates to tracking students post qualification through alumni network Theory of change: Change theory relates to increasing the number of African students who qualify in the field of Science and Technology at postgraduate levels so that more capacity is available in Africa to help solve and alleviate xxxvi countries to deal more effectively with Africa’s development challenges. they presume to have a significant impact on Africa’s development challenges Africa’s development challenges xxxvii Conclusions: AIMS South Africa is the only institute that has attempted to measure its impact through tracking alumni progress post-AIMS. Although this is not an absolute measure of impact, it does provide useful evidence to demonstrate the potential of AIMS graduates and the enabling environment of an AIMS education. Interestingly all the institutes have similar descriptions of their desired impact but AIMS is the only one which uses evidence to document its impact. The monitoring and evaluation system that is being put into place will measure impact well beyond this initial quantitative data. AIMS South Africa is the only institute that provides full scholarships to all African students accepted. None of the other institutions provide such comprehensive support and, crucially, none provide guaranteed support to all admitted students. AIMS South Africa is the only institute that states clearly in its admission criteria that it will consider the geographic spread of the applicants in conjunction with their academic record & language proficiency in making its selection decisions, leading to AIMS South Africa cohorts being truly panAfrican and diverse. The other institutions only refer to academic record and language proficiency. In all cases the theory of change is not clearly documented – assumptions are made in all the cases that increasing the number of graduates in mathematical sciences will lead to Africa being better equipped to deal with its developmental challenges – none indicate how the qualification will eventually lead to this impact. It is consistently stated as an assumption. AIMS South Africa is however the only one to acknowledge the assumption and make comments around why this impact is not easily measurable at this stage. AIMS South Africa is the only institution that specifically runs programmes to target mathematical teacher development (through AIMSSEC) – this is also a qualification (fully accredited in SA). In this case, the impact on Africa’s educational development challenges is measured and observable (more tangible) than any of the other degree programmes at AIMS or the other institutions. Although all the institutes claim to have international status and academic acclaim, AIMS South Africa is the only one that is directly linked through formal partnerships that generate qualifications, to other Universities. AIMS South Africa also has a higher profile in terms of the sheer number of international academics and experts involved in its delivery. The competitive advantage that this provides is the direct access of the students to future post-graduate study and bursary opportunities. This network for the AIMS students to the international academic arena is notable. AIMS’ network is more established and larger than any of the other institutions. xxxviii Note: The Carnegie Mellon Institute will be opening a campus in Rwanda in the fall of 2012, offering a Master of Science in Information Technology. At the time of writing, however, only limited information was available on the programme, beyond stating tuition in the range of $35,000-$40,000 Usd. While the quality of the programme is likely to be of high standard, and the international connections will be similar to the AIMS model, the high tuition cost will prohibit access to the majority of potential students across the continent. xxxix xl Annex 8.0 Independent External Evaluation Terms of Reference TERMS OF REFERENCE Independent evaluation AIMS South Africa I. Background: The African context, Mathematical Sciences and AIMS Mathematical science is foundational to modern technology and its diverse applications. From the internet and communication to financial systems, epidemiology, materials science and the management of energy, water and other natural resources, mathematics and mathematical modeling form the invisible backbone of modern society. Africa urgently needs its own capacity in mathematical science, if it is to successfully develop and thrive. Africa faces some of the world’s toughest development challenges, in improving public health and education, in stimulating economic growth and in establishing good governance. An essential ingredient in developing solutions in Africa is the building of local expertise. Precisely because mathematical science is so foundational to modern science, technology and innovation and because it imparts independent and logical thinking skills of wide applicability, developing a strong mathematical science community is one of the highest-impact, yet lowest-cost investments that can be made in the future of a society. Africa’s greatest resource is its people. There can be no more effective investment in Africa’s future than in education which empowers talented young people to contribute to their country’s and continent’s development. The African Institute for Mathematical Sciences (AIMS), in Cape Town, South Africa is an innovative post-graduate centre for education, research and outreach which has achieved global recognition since opening in 2003. AIMS offers a number of educational programs highlighted by its ten-month postgraduate Diploma in Mathematical Sciences, which provides an intensive and broad education to over 50 top African students each year, and prepares them for leadership careers in academia, governance and industry. AIMS was established in partnership as a partnership project of the following six universities: Cambridge, Cape Town, Oxford, Paris Sud XI, Stellenbosch, and Western Cape. The goals of AIMS are To promote mathematics and science in Africa To recruit and train talented students and teachers To build capacity for African initiatives in education, research, and technology AIMS South Africa offers an intensive graduate-level course over 10 months leading to a master's-level Postgraduate Diploma (PGD) in the Mathematical Sciences. The course provides both a broad overview of cutting-edge sciences and strong mathematical and computing research skills. The course is unique, offering student’s exposure to a range of topics, thereby allowing them to make an informed choice as to their future specialization. There is a strong grounding in end-to-end skills, from problem formulation, estimation, prioritization, and generally applicable mathematical and computing methods, through to clear and concise scientific report writing. Faculties from African Universities have been intimately involved in developing the AIMS course, ensuring it is well integrated with local undergraduate and master’s courses, and with local postgraduate research opportunities. World-leading scientists and educators have volunteered to teach at AIMS centres. Their participation ensures an education of the highest international quality. Tutors (often including PGD alumni) provide teaching and administrative assistance, assistance to foreign language speakers, and continuity across the visiting lecturers.. xli Research is an integral part of the AIMS program and was launched at AIMS South Africa in 2008 AIMS-South Africa opened its research centre in 2008 and it is staffed with a vibrant mix of full-time researchers, visiting researchers, graduate students and invited speakers. These researchers also mix closely with local academics and lecturers visiting for the PGD program. II. Summary AIMS South Africa Title Duration Location Why AIMS? Partners and stakeholders African Institute for Mathematical Sciences South Africa (AIMS SA) (AIMS SA is a centre for postgraduate study in Cape Town, South Africa. Since opening in September 2003, AIMS SA has rapidly gained international recognition as a centre of excellence, which prepares students for research and teaching careers in the quantitative sciences. 2003 – Date Scope of this Evaluation: 2003 - 2010 Muizenberg (Cape Town) South Africa Science and technology are powerful forces for progress in global society and the global economy. For Africa to benefit fully from these forces it must build a strong indigenous capacity in both. Mathematics underpins most of modern life - information and communication technology, genetics, medicine, finance, demographics and planning. Without mathematical training Africans will be unable to access the full power of new technologies to solve their countries' problems. Through its graduate program and public outreach activities, AIMS influences choices at school and university level, drawing bright young Africans into mathematical and scientific careers. Africa's greatest resource is its people. There can be no more effective investment in Africa's future than in education which empowers talented young people to contribute to their countries' development. AIMS SA is a partnership project of the following six universities University of Cambridge University of Cape Town University of Oxford Universite de Paris Sud XI Stellenbosch University University of the Western Cape AIMS SA has also worked collaboratively with the following organizations (among others) The South African Centre for Epidemiological Modeling (SACEMA) The South African Astronomical Observatory (SAAO) The Centre for High Performance Computing (CHPC) The Institute of Mathematical Sciences (IMS), Ghana The Institut de Mathématiques et de Sciences Physiques (IMSP), and the UNESCO International Chair in Mathematical Physics and Applications (CIMPA-UNESCO), xlii Components of the AIMS SA program Goal Objectives Cotonou, Benin African University of Science and Technology in Abuja (AUST-Abuja) Centre for Discrete Mathematics and Theoretical Computer Science (DIMACS) Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR) Cambridge University Press (CUP) Universite de Montreal University of Rome "Tor Vergata" 1. AIMS Post Graduate Diploma 2. AIMS short courses and workshops in various mathematical fields. Courses have been held in the following fields: Epidemiological modeling, Electronic Structure Methods, Financial Mathematics and Biomathematics. 3. AIMS Library Series 4. Research: The AIMS Research Centre hosts resident and visiting researchers, postdoctoral fellows, Master's and PhD students. 5. Post AIMS opportunities – scholarships, Teaching assistantship, employment etc 6. AIMSSEC: The AIMS Schools Enrichment Centre provides professional development courses for South African teachers of Mathematics. (Teacher Training & Outreach) 7. Partnerships 8. Honors Program – AIMS SA offers courses toward the Bsc Honors in Mathematics with focus in Biomathematics (Stellenbosch University) and a Bsc in Mathematical Finance in partnership with the University of Stellenbosch and the University of Cape Town (UCT) 9. Governance - unique governance and accountability model 10. AMI-NET The goal1 of AIMS SA is to develop well-rounded scientists, equipped with tools to build their, confidence, excellent problem-solving competencies, decision making, and policy analysis, capable of creative thinking and genuine innovation. General objectives Establish a Pan-African center for post-graduate training and research providing advanced, broadly applicable mathematical skills to talented students recruited from all over Africa To promote mathematics and science in Africa To recruit and train talented students and teachers To build capacity for African initiatives in education, research, and technology Specific Objectives 1. The Postgraduate Diploma in the Mathematical Sciences is a 10-month program commencing mid-August each year. The curriculum runs over three semesters described below. There is an oral defense of the research project in mid-June, and the year culminates in graduation at the end of June. This course if broken down into the following key areas: 1 Synthesis of information from AIMS SA website xliii i. Skills courses: Designed to provide introductory and foundational material to the students, and are structured to achieve pre-defined outcomes, with little flexibility in their content. All courses are compulsory. ii. Review courses: Fundamentally different in that they include a wide range of topical issues and are more flexibly designed. Review courses are taught from November through March. Students are required to complete two out of the three available review courses in each time slot, a total of 12. The three choices in each time slot will be balanced with respect to focus on mathematics, physics and interdisciplinary topics such as computer science, biomathematics, financial mathematics, and more. The ongoing communication skills and computing classes are compulsory. iii. Essay Phase: During the seven-week-long Essay phase, students work on a research topic with a supervisor, usually from a local university. Students are not expected to do original work to achieve a passing grade. The criterion for an outstanding essay is broadly that it could constitute the early part of a Master’s thesis. E.g. it could be publishable in a journal, or form an outstanding introduction to the field that could be used by other students entering the area. During this phase targeted communication skills and computing classes may continue, at the lecturers' discretion. The purpose of a PGD essay is: to give students the opportunity to work with an expert supervisor on a non-trivial project; to go through the process of independently reviewing, understanding and explaining scientific or mathematical material; to optionally (usually) do experiments — on a computer or otherwise — and report the results; to write a scientific report 2. AIMS SA short courses and workshops in various mathematical fields. Courses have been held in the following fields: Epidemiological modeling, Electronic Structure Methods, Financial Mathematics and Biomathematics. 3. AIMS Library Series Launched in 2009, the AIMS Library Series, a collaborative effort with Cambridge University Press, is a series of compact, up-to-date self-study guides on fundamental topics in the contemporary application of mathematics. The texts are designed for those who want to learn powerful ideas and techniques in subjects that promise longterm development and applications, and where students and young researchers can hope to make an impact. Prerequisites are kept to a minimum, and each book contains systematic, straightforward examples, and exercises with some solutions. Titles have been specially priced to ensure that they are accessible to students in Sub-Saharan Africa. The series seeks to address the shortage of affordable mathematics textbooks in Africa and is edited by Prof. Alan Beardon. The first three books in the AIMS Library Series have been published. xliv 4. Research: The AIMS Research Centre hosts resident and visiting researchers, postdoctoral fellows, Master's and PhD students. The main features of an AIMS Research Centre are: A strong focus on cutting-edge topics which are most relevant to African development, especially in fields where scientists in Africa have a competitive advantage and can do world-leading research Close involvement with local universities and other research institutions thus widening the pool of available expertise and serving to initiate long-term research programs in the local academic community Collaboration with institutions all over Africa to ensure strong pan-African participation in all the Research Centre's programs, stimulating the growth of panAfrican research networks and partnerships Participation of top international researchers and institutions keen to work with African academics and students on cutting edge projects Close ties with industry by running program associated with particular industrial needs, assisting in capacity building and collaboration on innovative projects The careful selection of cost-effective, high impact, interdisciplinary research program in which a small fast-moving Centre can break new ground more effectively than is possible in larger, less flexible institutions 5. Post AIMS Post-AIMS bursaries, (half-bursaries for study in Africa), are provided contingent on matching funding from the host institutions. About 15 of these are given out annually. Other scholarship schemes available are the DAAD scholarships. Specific scholarship funding also exists and flexible to chose - mainly academic. Research opportunities post AIMS (Master’s and PhD studies) are strategically chosen with a focus in areas specifically relevant to South Africa - Bio Maths (HIV, epidemiology Modeling), Financial mathematics and Astrophysics and cosmology. Teaching Assistantship - Of the three South African University partners – (UWC, UCT and Stellenbosch), UWC offers TA positions to AIMS SA graduates 6. Teacher Training (Outreach): The AIMS School Enrichment Center (AIMSSEC) has been operating in South Africa since 2004. AIMSSEC is the African Institute for Mathematical Sciences Schools Enrichment Program, offering free learning resources for learners of all ages from 5 to 18+ years together with professional development courses for teachers. Specifically, this program consists of: Professional development courses for teachers (Mathematical Thinking Course and ACE Subject Leader Training Program). Advanced Certificate in Education (ACE) course - an innovative two year professional development program involving both residential and distance learning components. The program uses the Internet, Interactive TV and Cell phone technologies to link teachers in rural areas of South Africa. Mathematical Thinking, Problem Solving and Technology in teaching and learning mathematics - a 10-day residential program followed by a 3 month distance learning program. Over 14 sessions, over 682 teachers have completed training through this program the AIMING HIGH Teacher Network to support teachers in continuing professional xlv development 'Science Out Loud' public lecture series run in collaboration with the Cape Town Science Centre Dr. Math - a mobile-based mathematics tutoring program developed by the South African Council for Scientific and Industrial Research, some past and current AIMS SA postgraduate students volunteer their time to answer pupils’ questions. This opportunity provides AIMS students with valuable teaching experience as well as introduce them to an innovative use of technology for educational purposes enrichment classes for local schools free learning resources for learners of all ages from 5 to 18+ years, and videoconference lessons linking schools around the world. 7. Partnerships AIMS SA’s main partnership is between the six universities and additional partnerships on individual project bases. Workshops constitute a key area where partnerships express themselves often. Local universities and research centers are strong and active whilst international Universities have mainly participated at set up with the exception of ‘One for Many’ partner Universities , RIM, UBC, University of Ottawa and Cambridge University Press through the production of low cost books to make them affordable and increase access for students in Africa.. The partnership with Cambridge University press is key for the establishment of the AIMS Library series (written by lectures and costs about $5/ piece to increase affordability) http://www.cambridge.org/za/knowledge/series/series_display/item3936782/ 8. Honors Program - AIMS SA offers two honors courses for students in two partner universities in Cape Town towards the acquisition of their degrees. The Honors in Mathematical Biology is an annual course run in conjunction with Stellenbosch University. The course commences in January each year. It aims to meet the growing demand from molecular biology, systems biology, bioinformatics, ecology, and biomedical science for students and researchers with solid mathematical skills. The course aims to train mathematicians to formulate and analyze precise models for experimental data arising from real-life research problems within the fields of biology and medicine — from predicting the influence of HIV, Aids, malaria, and tuberculosis to the effects of climate change on South Africa. Honors Degree in Mathematical Finance - This honors degree program is run jointly by the University of Cape Town (UCT), Stellenbosch University (SU), and the African Institute for Mathematical Sciences (AIMS). It is designed to provide students with the skills necessary for solving realistic problems in finance. It includes: An understanding of financial instruments, portfolio management, and financial risk management as used by financial institutions today. An understanding of the theoretical foundations of mathematical finance, based on stochastic analysis. Facility with the sophisticated modern models and methods used to price and hedge exotic options, interest rate derivatives and credit derivatives. Competence in programming and numerical problem solving, including Monte Carlo methods, Fourier methods and PDE solvers. xlvi 9. Governance and Accountability AIMS SA is a charitable trust registered in South Africa. The AIMS SA Trust has six members AIMS SA is governed by a Council which includes representatives of each of the six partner universities. The Advisory Board advises on all aspects of the AIMS program, especially its integration with existing courses and research projects in South African and other African universities. The Executive Team, chaired by the Institute's Director, oversees the detailed management and day to day running of the AIMS SA centre. AIMS SA incorporates an innovative governance model combining local and international partners with network-wide guidance, evaluation and support provided by the AIMS-NEI organization. As part of the network of AIMS centres , AIMS SA functions as an independent pan-African centre of excellence. 10. AMI-Net The African Mathematical Institutes Network (AMI-Net) is a proposed network of mathematical sciences centres building capacity in research and teaching across Africa. AMI-Net is governed by a Council of representatives from each African region, with representation from African and international partner organizations. AMI-Net is the founding element of the Mathematical Sciences Platform of the NEPAD Science and Technology Combined Plan of Action. The African Institute for Mathematical Sciences (AIMS) in Cape Town, South Africa, serves as the Secretariat of AMI-Net. AMI-Net focuses on those areas of mathematical science of greatest relevance to African development, in the broadest sense. It serves both to train postgraduate students continuing to applied research in other NEPAD S&T Platforms and to build a critical mass of African researchers in the mathematical sciences. AMI-Net also works to connect these researchers with the global science community, encouraging international exchange and collaborations Expected Results Current and past donors ER1: Not Available ER2: Not Available ER3: Not Available ER4: Not Available ER5: Not Available ER6: Not Available ER 7: Not Available ER 8: Not Available ER 9: Not Available ER 10: Not Available See Annex 1 III. Previous evaluations completed Operating since 2003, AIMS-South Africa has had previous external evaluations, most recently in April 2011. This evaluation report focused on the 2008-2010 period and took the form of a self-evaluation and then review by an external panel. The following aspects were areas of focus: xlvii a. b. c. d. academic programmes research activities (in consultation with the NRF terms of reference), service activities of and community interaction by AIMS, functioning of AIMS as an organisational unit (including the governance, management, efficiency, cost effectiveness, and infrastructure), e. infrastructure and facilities. This report is available online (http://www.aims.ac.za/assets/files/AIMS/News/FinalAIMSReport.pdf) and the general overview was extremely positive. The reviewers said “AIMS has made substantial progress in various activities in the short period since its formation. This is reflected in the number of graduating Diploma students, the production of research publications and the growth in educational outreach activities. The core functions are contained in the AIMS Diploma programme, the AIMS Research Centre and the AIMSSEC school enrichment activity. There is substantial evidence that the associated activities with the core functions are having a strong and meaningful impact and we therefore recommend that they continue to be fully supported, adequately resourced and properly funded into the future.” IV. Purpose, scope and audience of the evaluation: The evaluation will examine the AIMS model through a comprehensive assessment of AIMS SA, with the aim of drawing conclusions and make specific recommendations. The evaluation will also seek to identify wider lessons learned to be considered in the design and implementation of future AIMS Centers and to add to the body of evidence available to the AIMS-NEI in its goal to respond to the development challenges of Africa through Mathematical Sciences. This evaluation will build on previous evaluation work done at AIMS-South Africa and extend it such that the report will provide a wide range of stakeholders (AIMS South Africa, AIMS – NEI, Google, IDRC, Gov’t of South Africa, University of Ottawa…) with sufficient information regarding the relevance, the effectiveness, the efficiency, the impact and the sustainability of the AIMS model. Furthermore, this evaluation will provide AIMS South Africa and AIMS-NEI with practical recommendations for improving existing methodology, tools and approach for the next phase of the AIMS-NEI. The evaluation will cover all aspects of the AIMS model implementation and will include desk-based, online surveys and in-country review / meetings as determined relevant. Specifically, the evaluation will assess the following: I. Overall AIMS model design and implementation; II. Individual components of the AIMS model – Course, research, teacher training, outreach, , short courses and conferences, workshops; and III. AIMS SA Alumni outcome in relation to immediate next steps (academia, industry,) and overall progress post AIMS towards addressing Africa’s development challenges In doing so, the evaluation exercise will be guided by four core evaluative areas addressing: a) The relevance of AIMS SA in addressing the development challenges in Africa identified in the business plan; b) The efficiency of the model measured both in terms of administrative costs and timeliness of execution; including an analysis of the value for money of this model c) The effectiveness of AIMS SA as a whole, with particular attention devoted to outcomes, medium and long term d) The sustainability of results and the contribution of AIMS SA to the development of individual students, specific sector(s) and addressing the development challenges of Africa. xlviii The principal audiences for this evaluation are, AIMS SA, AIMS NEI management, AIMS Donors and supporters, AIMS students past, present and future. Other stakeholders include relevant ministries and agencies in Africa, NEPAD, AU, UNESCO and Universities across Africa The evaluation process will be participatory. The Secretariat and other parties involved in the AIMS network, would use, as appropriate, the evaluation findings and lessons learnt. V. Methodology The evaluation will involve three stages and levels of analysis. Phase I: Desk-based portfolio reviews will analyze the AIMS model and other documentation, using the indicators and key evaluative questions to compare and assess developments and performance over time for the main outcomes. An initial mission to Cape Town to gather input from key management stakeholders, gauge evaluability of the model, and confirm proposed coverage and methodology for the study. Prepare questionnaires for all stakeholder groups Set up online survey Phase II: Two page summary of the evaluation to inform and prepare all stake holders Online survey - AIMS Alumni and other relevant key stake holders Face to face key informant interviews where relevant and feasible Country missions to South Africa will enable detailed interviews of key international and national constituents, development partners and implementing partners. AIMS SA staff working on the project will be consulted. Where necessary and depending on language requirements national consultants will be hired to assist the evaluator. Data collection Data analysis Phase III Immediate post evaluation Presentation to AIMS SA and AIMS NEI Report production and finalization Support to operationalize any major recommendations VI. Key Evaluation Questions: In particular, the consultant will assess the following dimensions (please note the list of questions is indicative): Relevance: a. Does AIMS South Africa answer / respond to the needs of the target population? (2003 – 2010) b. Is the model design appropriate to the specific context in Africa? c. Are the mechanisms and approaches used in coherence with the priorities of Africa as defined by Africa’s New Partnership for Development (NEPAD?) d. Are the mechanisms and approaches of AIMS SA in accordance with standards set by the UNESCO’s World Declaration for Higher Education in the 21st Century?2 e. Can we identify any African countries for which AIMS is a direct or indirect response to a felt need and capacity gap? f. Relevance within the South African and African university systems? Efficiency: a. Can the results achieved be considered adequate for the budget spent? b. Was the allocation of resources among different aspects of the AIMS model (training, equipment provision, 2 http://www.unesco.org/education/educprog/wche/declaration_eng.htm xlix awareness raising, tool development, human resources etc …) appropriate to achieve results? c. Is the design of the project appropriate given its objectives? d. How clear and consistent is the causal chain? How well do the different components of the AIMS model link with the overall goal? e. To what extent is AIMS SA innovative? Does it leverage the most interaction and synergy with other related areas of work and other areas where AIMS plays a role (e.g. AMI-NET)? f. Adequacy and efficiency of resource use: How well does AIMS SA manage its financial and human resources? g. Is the management structure efficient for the achievement of expected outcomes? h. Is the provision of administrative support via a third party (Stellenbosch University ) cost effective and efficient? Effectiveness: a. Which outcomes (intended and none intended) can be identified? b. To what extent did AIMS South Africa contribute to achieve the expected results? c. To what extent did the AIMS South Africa team implement all initially planned activities? d. How did the AIMS SA team adjust the project and its methodology to the constraints faced during its implementation, if necessary to achieve expected results? e. Were the methodologies, curriculum and tools appropriate to meet the Model’s objective? f. Does AIMS SA collect and document necessary data and information to assess progress against project document? g. Is AIMS South Africa addressing the needs of all target groups? h. How well has AIMS SA addressed and achieved any cross cutting themes e.g. gender (to what extent has gender equality has been mainstreamed in the AIMS SA model?) i. How well has AIMS SA contributed to Africa’s development challenges? Impact of AIMS South Africa: a. To what extent is AIMS South Africa improving the access and quality of education in mathematical sciences for African graduates in general and more specific for those pursuing post AIMS opportunities that directly address clearly identified problems in Africa? b. To what extent does the AIMS SA course having an impact on the students, lecturers and associated academic personnel? c. How does the set up (operations / facilities) and governance structure contribute to improved access and quality of mathematical sciences for students at AIMS SA, undergraduate students, high school students and AIMS SA graduates? d. Is there a plan / strategy for the students post AIMS? If yes, to what extent is this being achieved? e. To what extent are Alumni pursuing post AIMS opportunities directly related towards addressing Africa’s development Challenges? f. To what extent are the outreach efforts of AIMS contributing to an increased application of Mathematical sciences at the high school level, undergraduate level and post AIMS? g. To what extent is awareness raising changing the attitudes of key stakeholders, locally and internationally towards mathematical sciences? h. How has AIMS SA contributed in strengthening higher education specifically in South Africa and Africa in general? i. Has there been/is there a high likelihood (trend towards) of an impact in as a result of AIMS SA? j. Is AIMS SA having any negative effects or is likely to have in the future? Sustainability of AIMS SA a. Is the AIMS SA model culturally / contextually appropriate for Africa? l b. Is the provision of administrative support by Stellenbosch University sustainable for AIMS SA and replicable in AIMS centers in other countries? c. Are the results achieved in the short, medium and long term sustainable? Do the results have positive influence a) on the lives of students, b) on AIMS SA c) towards the other stakeholders in the sector, national and international level? d. Are the teaching styles and support to students at AIMS SA expected to be maintained long term for all batches of students as long as AIMS SA exists? e. Are the lectures, curriculum, tools and communication materials developed by AIMS SA likely to be used for future cohorts of students? Students in other AIMS centers outside of South Africa? f. How well is AIMS SA networked with other potential centers and is it fully functional as part of the broader community of practice for mathematical sciences in Africa? g. Does AIMS SA have a partnership strategy/ policy/ Guidelines? If yes, to what extent is it contributing towards its sustainability? h. How active and what is the value added of AIMS SA‘s current partners? To what extent are the following current donors / funders committed to AIMS SA? : The Department of Education, South Africa Department of Science and Technology, South Africa Government of Canada (through AIMS-NEI) Google Inc. Charitable Giving Fund of Tides Foundation RIM (Research In Motion) Paul G Allen Family Foundation The Avery-Tsui Foundation National Research Foundation Fondation Philanthropia Cambridge University Press Vodacom Foundation, South Africa Canon Collins Educational Trust for Southern Africa The Victor Rothschild Memorial Fund Peter Kellner Cynthia and George Mitchell Foundation The London Mathematical Society DAAD The Muizenberg Millenium Education Trust Stellenbosch University Neil Turok j. Does AIMS SA have a fundraising strategy? If yes, are existing donor acquisition tools viable and financially sustainable? k. To what extent can the AIMS SA model be replicated by other countries in Africa? l. Can AIMS SA be promoted to a higher level within the academic framework of South Africa, and if so which components in particular? i. VII. Expected Results of the Evaluation The evaluation will provide a comprehensive assessment of AIMS SA results and approach and taking into accounts the context, business plan whilst building on all previous evaluation reports (most recently in April 2011) and existing monitoring and evaluation tools and reports already in place Practical recommendations will be formulated regarding the AIMS model that will 1. Contribute towards change in Africa via mathematical Sciences, 2. increase the capacity of AIMS SA and students capacities; 3. Identify strengths and weakness of the AIMS SA model and analyze these to improve the implementation of li the 2nd and subsequent phases of the AIMS model and it’s replication across the African continent. Expected Outputs The following deliverables are expected from the evaluator: a. Inception report outlining evaluation method to be used by the evaluator and a final work plan; b. Draft final evaluation report submitted to AIMS-NEI and AIMS SA; c. Final evaluation report submitted to AIMS-NEI and AIMS SA within one week after receiving synthesized comments on the draft. The final version of the report will follow the draft format below and will be no more than 30 pages in length, excluding executive summary and annexes: 1. Title page 2. Table of contents 3. E x e c u t i v e s u m m a r y 4. Acronyms 5. Background and project description 6. Purpose of evaluation 7. Evaluation methodology 8. AIMS SA achievements 9. Findings, conclusions and recommendations. This section’s content should be organized around the ToR questions, and include the findings, conclusions and recommendations for each of the subject areas to be evaluated. 10. Annexes: ToRs, list of meetings and interviews, questionnaires used, and any other relevant documents. The evaluation will take approximately 35 working days over the course of 12-16 weeks. Upon completion of the report, the evaluator will provide a debriefing to AIMS SA and AIMS NEI on the evaluation process, findings, conclusions and recommendations. . lii Annex 1: Current donors 1. The Department of Education, South Africa 2. Department of Science and Technology, South Africa 3. Government of Canada (though AIMS-NEI) 4. Google Inc. Charitable Giving Fund of Tides Foundation 5. RIM (Research In Motion) 6. Paul G Allen Family Foundation 7. The Avery-Tsui Foundation 8. National Research Foundation 9. Fondation Philanthropia 10. Cambridge University Press 11. Vodacom Foundation, South Africa 12. Canon Collins Educational Trust for Southern Africa 13. The Victor Rothschild Memorial Fund 14. Peter Kellner 15. Cynthia and George Mitchell Foundation 16. The London Mathematical Society 17. DAAD 18. The Muizenberg Millenium Education Trust 19. Stellenbosch University 20. Neil Turok Previous donors 1. Jussi Westergren 2. Anglo American Chairman's Funds 3. Arcadia 4. Barclays 5. The Vodafone Group Foundation, UK 6. The Ford Foundation 7. Africa Science Program, Institut des Hautes Etudes Scientifiques, France 8. The Andrew W. Mellon Foundation 9. The Gatsby Charitable Foundation, UK 10. Trinity College, Cambridge 11. PetroSA, South Africa 12. Nokia 13. Isle of Man Overseas Aid Committee 14. Scribblers' Club — Borderless Media Strategies 15. Sheridan Lorenz 16. New Star Asset Management 17. The David and Elaine Potter Charitable Foundation 18. The International Council of Scientific Unions (ICSU), with UNESCO and the US State Department 19. ICIAM 20. Institute of Physics 21. The International Union of Theoretical and Applied Mechanics (IUTAM) 22. Seardel Investment Corporation Limited, South Africa 23. Cheryl Grunbock and Martin King 24. The University of Cambridge Local Examinations Syndicate 25. The Daniel Iagolnitzer Foundation (Fondation De France) liii 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. 38. 39. 40. The Go Open Source Campaign SUN Microsystems Hyper-Interactive Teaching Technology The Ellison Medical Foundation Fred Turok Hand Drum Rhythms, Victoria BC Gagan Garg Prof Jonathan Webb, University of Cape Town (book donation) Prof Brian Abrahamson, Flinders University, Australia (book donation) AIMS Lecturers: Paul Hewson, Jane Hutton, Sergei Pond,Prasenjit Saha Stella Innes, for the donation of the remarkable mathematical research library of her late husband, Evan Innes British Airways, South Africa Office Chicago State University European Mathematical Society Committee for Developing Countries Jonathan Leake, Sunday Times liv ANNEX 9.0 – Evaluation Team Biodata Team Member Expertise and Experience 1. Dr. Dorothy Nyambi , MD, MPH (Team Leader) Senior International Development practioner with standout record of contribution in leading multi sectoral transformative development efforts in 10+ countries worldwide. Over 20 years experience in project planning, design, implementation, monitoring and evaluation. Experience working with evaluations, results and accountability frameworks. Skilled evaluator and applied researcher with experience determining effectiveness and critical gaps of development interventions. Seasoned collaborator within complex intra-organizational relationships involving government, private and public sectors. Significant experience and leadership acquiring and managing funding from USAID, CIDA, the World Bank (International Financial Corporation), UN agencies, ECHO, EU, NORAD, SDC, DFID, foundations, and the private sector. Strong cross-cultural competencies and skills with a high degree of effectiveness working with diverse teams. Work experience in many countries with the majority of her work focusing on evaluation, capacity development, and project / proposal development. Member of AEA, CES, IDEA and AfREA Epidemiologist / Biostatistician – Assistant Professor, University of Toronto. Specialist in advance research methodology and survey methods. Skilled in qualitative and quantitative data analysis of survey data, cost-effectiveness analysis, curriculum, assessment and program development, assisting in preparation of grant applications and publications. Statistical analysis software (SPSS, NVIVO, SAS, HLM, AMOS) Microsoft Office, including Word, Excel, PowerPoint. Video editing programming, including Avid and Adobe Premier. Database programs, including FileMaker Pro and Microsoft Access. Post doctoral fellow and Associate Member, School of Graduate Studies, University of Toronto 2. Dr. Helen Scott , PhD 3. Dr. Belinda Ketel , PhD Experienced management consultant, trainer, facilitator and coach with Doctoral qualifications in Management Development and Organisational Science, and a strong background in all aspects of strategic and business management, monitoring & evaluation, people development, diversity management, performance management, competency assessment, organisational transformation and design. Dr. Ketel is a member of the Institute of Personnel Management (South Africa), the South African Monitoring & Evaluation Association (SAMEA), DEVEX Global and the Pentascope International Academy. Specialist in Monitoring lv and Evaluation, alignment of organisational strategy to M&E policy, indicator design and framework development, as well as various evaluation research projects and processes. Designed numerous accredited courses in the M&E areas of specialisation including a 5-day Introduction to M&E course, a 5-day advanced M&E course, M&E report writing & presentation course, Indicator design and Research methodology for M&E practitioners. 4. Ms Rolene Guiland, MPA, MA Business development and management specialist with significant experience and expertise in planning, designing and managing programs. Over ten years of experience providing applied research, monitoring and evaluation, strategic planning and policy development services for governments, non-profits and international development agencies. Excellent technical competencies in managing evaluation exercises involving multiple stakeholders and complex systems; managing evaluation budgets, consultants and in-country experts specific to the execution of evaluation exercises; developing strategic plans for non-profit agencies, Foundations, corporations and Governments in Canada, USA and the Caribbean; preparing comprehensive project proposals to Government funding agencies including CIDA, USAID and NORAD; developing monitoring and evaluation systems; providing capacity building workshop; conducting research to inform policy planning for governments. Competent qualitative and quantitative research skills; and is proficient in data analysis. Works with SPSS. NVIVO, SATA and SAS. Member of the EEA, AEA, CES and AfrEA lvi AIMS NEI African Institute for Mathematical Sciences NEXT EINSTEIN INITIATIVE
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