Geophys. J . Int. (1997)131, F9-Fl3 F A S T - T R A C K PAPER Interplay between subduction and continental convergence: a threedimensional dynamic model for the Central Mediterranean A. M. Negredo,' R. Sabadini' and C. Giunchi2 ' Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra, Universita di Milano, via L. Cicognara 7,20129 Milano, Italy, E-mail: [email protected] Dipartement des Sciences de la Matiere, Ecole Normale Superieure de Lyon, 46 All& d'Italie, 69364 Lyon Cedex 07,France Accepted 1997 July 25.Received 1997 July 24;in original form 1997 June 10 SUMMARY The Mediterranean region is attracting considerable attention due to the complexities of its tectonic setting, which is considered, worldwide, a unique natural laboratory for studying the occurrence of extensional tectonics in a general context of continental convergence. The Tyrrhenian-Apennine system is controlled by the west-dipping subduction of the Adria-Ionian lithosphere and by the near north-south convergence between the African and Eurasian plates. We provide the first 3-D dynamic model of the Central Mediterranean that quantifies the effects of subduction and convergence on surface deformation, in simplified geometry. The axis of the model extends from Sicily to the Alps along the subduction hinge line. A convergence rate of 1 cm yr-' parallel to the subduction hinge has been applied to the Tyrrhenian block, in agreement with global plate-motion models. Density contrasts within the slab cause the gravitational sinking and roll-back of the slab in the southern Tyrrhenian domain. Modelling results show a gradual decrease of hinge retreat from south to north, with values ranging between 8 and 2 mm yr-', indicating that the arcuate geometry of the hinge line along the Italian peninsula is ultimately controlled by the interplay between subduction and convergence. The pattern of vertical velocity along directions perpendicular to the hinge, with subsidence in the foredeeps and uplift at the eastern border of the Tyrrhenian domain, is maintained along the whole Italian peninsula, with higher values in the southern areas. Key words: central Mediterranean, continental convergence, extension, model, subduction. INTRODUCTION The goal of our work is to quantify the effects of convergence between the African and Eurasian blocks and subduction in the southern Tyrrhenian on surface deformation by means of 3-D dynamic models. In particular, we want to check if the arcuate shape of the subduction hinge line could result from a higher roll-back velocity of the slab under the southern Tyrrhenian than under the northern sector of the Tyrrhenian domain, and if vertical motions inferred from neotectonics are consistent with the tectonic mechanisms under investigation. The rate of north-northwestwards motion of the African Plate is about 1 cmyr-I (DeMets et al. 1990). Continental convergence caused the formation of the Sicilian ApennineMaghrebian thrust belt and is responsible for a seismicity 0 1997 RAS pattern with compressive axes parallel to the convergence velocity, from western Sicily to Gibraltar (Anderson & Jackson 1987; Rebai, Philip & Taboada 1992; Pondrelli, Morelli & Boschi 1995). The opening since Tortonian times of the Tyrrhenian Sea (Fig. 1) in a compressional setting has been explained by a mechanism of back-arc extension related to the southward and eastward migration of the subduction zone (Malinverno & Ryan 1986). 2-D subduction models have been applied to the southern Tyrrhenian Sea (Giunchi et al. 1996), while the combined effects of convergence and subduction have been investigated by Bassi, Sabadini & Rebai (1997) by means of 2-D models in the horizontal plane, where the effects of subduction have been parametrized by suction forces applied at plate boundaries. In the present analyses, the 3-D effects of subduction and the tectonic forces acting at plate boundaries are taken into account in a self-consistent fashion, although in a simplified geometry. F9 F10 A . M . Negredo, R. Sabadini and C. Giunchi Crust Asthenosphere Lithosphere Transition layer Lower mantle Figure 1. The modelled area, in light grey, is superimposed on the tectonic map of the Central Mediterranean. The circles on the upper part of the figure denote zero displacement of the lithosphere perpendicular to the boundary. The arrow at the southern boundary of the Tyrrhenian domain denotes the velocity applied to this boundary to simulate the motion of the African plate. The modelled subduction hinge, in dark grey, is simplified with respect to the real one, in black, which is characterized by an arcuate shape. The two thick dotted lines perpendicular to the modelled subduction hinge indicate the two transects, in the north and in the south, along which the horizontal and vertical velocities are evaluated. The geometry and boundary conditions of the 3-D model are portrayed in the lower pannel. V, denotes the convergence velocity applied to the southern boundary, while the springs represent the restoring force imposed at the surface. 0 1997 RAS, G J I 131, F9-Fl3 MODEL DESCRIPTION In this preliminary 3-D analysis, we have neglected the arcuate geometry of the hinge line (black line in Fig. l), this geometry being one of the outcomes expected from our study: we want to understand, on quantitative grounds, if the combined effects of subduction and convergence could deform the hinge line into an arcuate shape consistent with the observed pattern. As indicated in Fig. 1, we have rectified the hinge from the southern border of the Calabrian Arc to the Alps, which makes the modelled hinge line (grey line in Fig. 1) roughly parallel to the direction of convergence of 17” west between the African and Eurasian blocks derived from global plate-motion models (DeMets et al. 1990). In this analysis we thus consider a simplified geometry in order to emphasize the interplay between subduction and convergence; complexities due to more sophisticated geometries are left for detailed analyses which are underway at present. Model predictions are compared with the general trends of observed subsidence and uplift patterns in the foredeeps and in the Apenninic chain and with the horizontal deformation pattern inferred from geological studies. To model the dynamic effects of convergence and subduction we have used the finite-element code MARC, with a 3-D mesh consisting of about 9000 elements. Fig. 1 illustrates the model geometry and the boundary conditions. The depth of the model is 1800 km, while the horizontal extension is 2700 km. We have assumed a linear viscoelastic Maxwell rheology, with viscosities of loz4Pa s for the crust, 5 x 10” P a s for the lithospheric mantle, loz1Pa s for the asthenosphere and transition layer, and 3 x 10” Pa s for the lower mantle (Whittaker, Bott & Waghorn 1992; Spada, Ricard & Sabadini 1992). The elastic structure is based on the PREM reference model (Dziewonski & Anderson 1981). We have chosen the Maxwell viscoelastic rheology because it reproduces the long-term viscous properties of the lithosphere and, at the same time, its plate-like behaviour well on short timescales. In the southern part of the model we have assumed a 500 km deep slab with a lateral extension of 250 km and a dip angle of 70°, in agreement with tomographic images (Spakman 1990; Wortel & Spakman 1992; Selvaggi & Chiarabba 1995). In this area (indicated by white triangles in Fig. l ) , we have adopted the same slab geometry and density structure as Giunchi et al. (1996). The density anomalies within the slab, due to phase transformations of a subducting oceanic plate, are based on the petrological model of Irifune & Ringwood (1987), and reach a maximum value of 4 0 0 k g m - 3 at 400km. In the remaining part of the model, the interaction between the Adriatic and the Tyrrhenian domain occurs via the underthrusting of the Adriatic lithosphere, which reaches a depth of 90 km, in agreement with the maximum seismicity depth (Selvaggi & Amato 1992) (black triangles in Fig. 1, lower panel). No density anomalies within the down-bending Adriatic Plate have been considered in this area. The bottom of the model is fixed in the vertical direction. The buoyant restoring force is applied at the top of the model, and is assumed to be proportional to the vertical displacement and to the density contrast at the surface (Williams & Richardson 1991). The density contrasts in the slab and the convergence velocity are activated at time t = O and maintained at a constant value thereafter, following the same scheme as Whittaker et al. (1992). The unlocked subduction fault, based 0 1997 RAS, G J I 131, F9-Fl3 on the method of slippery nodes, allows for the gravitational sinking and roll-back of the slab. At the northern, western and eastern boundaries. the displacement of the lithosphere in the direction normal to the boundary is made to vanish. At the northern boundary, this condition accounts for the notion that convergence is considered with respect to a fixed northern Europe. The boundary conditions in the west and east account for the finiteness of the Mediterranean domain. In the southern boundary we have applied a velocity of 1 cm yr-’ to the Tyrrhenian block i n the direction parallel to the subduction hinge to simulate the motion of the African Plate. Since it is not clear whether this convergence velocity affects the Adria domain or whether the motion of this microplate is independent of the motion of Africa, convergence is applied solely at the southern boundary, from the hinge line to the left side of the model, in agreement with global plate-motion models and with the style of seismicity from western Sicily to Gibraltar (DeMets ei al. 1990; Pondrelli et a/. 1995). The velocity fields from the numerical models are sampled along two transects perpendicular to the modelled subduction hinge in the northern and southern sectors of the Italian peninsula (thick dotted lines, Fig. 1, top panel). The northern profile is located 400 km to the south of the Alps and crosses the Northern Apennines, while the southern profile crosses the modelled Calabrian arc. The accuracy of the 3-D solution has been verified. prohibiting sideways flow and comparing the results with 2-D models. After a time interval of about 250 kyr, dynamic equilibrium between the restoring force and the forces associated with the density contrasts and convergence is attained and the unrealistic initial stress distribution due to instantaneous loading has vanished and reached steady-state values; horizontal and vertical velocities are then sampled at the surface, providing us with valid estimates for 105-106 yr, during which the geometric configuration does not change significantly. The comparison between the model-predicted velocity at the surface and that inferred from geological indicators must thus be taken with caution, not only because of the simplified geometry and rheology, but also because of the timescale of the geological observations, which is much longer than the timescale of validity of our modelling. MODELLING RESULTS Fig. 2 shows the components of (a) the horizontal velocity perpendicular to the subduction hinge and (b) the vertical velocity along the two profiles portrayed in Fig. 1. Hereinafter, the term ‘horizontal velocity’ must be understood as the component perpendicular to the subduction hinge; the velocities are sampled at the surface of the model, with the horizontal scale increasing from west to east. The hinge line (at 1660 km) corresponds to a velocity discontinuity due to the decoupling between the Tyrrhenian and the Adria-Ionian domains. Positive values of horizontal velocity denote an eastward motion. The hinge-retreat velocity, which is calculated as the difference, at the hinge line, between the horizontal velocities of the Tyrrhenian and Adria-Ionian domains, is 8 mm yr-’ in the southern profile and 2 mm yr-I in the northern profile (Fig. la). The decrease from south to north, caused by the different depth and density structure of the Ionian subduction with respect to the Adriatic Plate, is consistent with geological indications (Patacca, Sartori & A . M . Negredo, R. Sabadini and C. Giunchi F12 8'""'"'"'"""'''~""' Southern Profile E 6.____ Northern Profile E v h L (a) - P .- - - ....-...--... --.... -.._ 0 .-N 8 r . -20 w 300 600 900 1200 1500 1800 2100 2400 2700 Distance (km) E Calabrian Arc (b) Adriatic foredeep 0 w 300 600 900 1200 1500 1800 2100 2400 2700 Distance (km) E Figure 2. (a) Horizontal component of the velocity perpendicular to the subduction hinge and (b) vertical component, in mm yr-' for the southern (solid line) and northern (dashed line) profiles. The discontinuity at 1660 km corresponds to the hinge line, with the distance measured from the left boundary of the model. foredeep is induced by the sinking of the slab in the mantle, while in the Adriatic foredeep it is due to overthrusting of the Tyrrhenian block. The flexural response to this subsidence causes the uplift of peripheral bulges at 1400 and 1900 km. The pattern of vertical motions is the same for both profiles, but with higher values for both subsidence and uplift in the southern profile due to the slab pull, in agreement with the neotectonic map of Italy (Ambrosetti et al. 1987). Along the two profiles, the pattern of the vertical velocity is consistent with the pattern of the topography at subduction zones (Giunchi et al. 1996; Gurnis et al. 1996). Geological observations indicate a lower limit for the sedimentation rate during the Pliocene of 1 mm yr-I in the Apulian foredeep (Royden, Patacca & Scandone 1987) and a maximum value of 0.7 mm yr-' during the Quaternary in the Adriatic foredeep (Kruse & Royden 1994). Modelling results show a decrease of the subsidence rate from 1.5 mm yr-' in the southern profile to 0.3 mm yr-' in the northern profile and are, therefore, consistent with the observed variations from south to north. The uplift rate at the outer arc of the overriding plate reaches a maximum in the southern profile, in agreement with the high uplift rate of 0.9-1.1 mm yr-' measured in the Calabrian arc by Westaway (1993). Fig. 3 shows the variations of the horizontal and vertical velocities of the Tyrrhenian and AdriaIonian domains along the subduction hinge line. In order to evaluate the effects of convergence we also show the results obtained when only subduction is considered (V,= 0). Convergence accounts for 50 per cent of the calculated hingeretreat velocity in the southern part of the model and causes S Scandone 1990; Cipollari & Cosentino 1994) and agrees well with the actual shape of the hinge line, as shown in Fig. 1. Our results clearly indicate that subduction is the necessary ingredient to produce the arcuate geometry of the hinge line (Malinverno & Ryan 1986; Doglioni 1991). The deep and heavy slab in the southern part of the modelled area enhances the sinking of the Ionian lithosphere and the overthrusting of the Tyrrhenian block. Furthermore, slab pull produces a westward motion of the Ionian domain (southern profile), whereas lateral extrusion due to convergence causes an eastward motion of the Adriatic domain (northern profile). The low value of hinge-retreat velocity in the Northern Appenines is consistent with the low rate of seismic strain release in this area (Pondrelli et al. 1995). In the southern Tyrrhenian, we obtain roll-back velocities lower than those inferred for standard continent-ocean interaction, where the domain is much larger than ours and where the free-boundary conditions at the edges of the plates allow for large relative velocities (Gurnis, Eloy & Zhong 1996). The roll-back velocity predicted from the model should be regarded as a lower bound due to the plate-like behaviour of the viscoelastic lithosphere; a viscous model, or more sophisticated non-linear rheologies (Spadini, Cloetingh & Bertotti 1995), would speed up the velocity of hinge retreat. Malinverno & Ryan (1986) estimated an average velocity of hinge retreat in the Tyrrhenian of 2 cm yr-' for the last 20 Myr, about a factor of two higher than ours. Bearing in mind the intrinsic limitations of our modelling, such as the simplified geometry and rheology, this difference suggests a progressive reduction of roll-back velocity. However, this result should be compared with ongoing GPS measurements. Vertical velocities are shown in Fig. 2( b). Subsidence in the Apulian N -L 8 P ............ Tyrrhenian, V, € 6 E v - .$ 4 0 - = 0 cmlyr Adna-lonian, V, = 0 cm/ Adria-lonian V = 1 cm/ 5 -2 ca F o .-8 z -2 I 0 200 400 600 800 1000 Distance (km) S 1200 N 1 h L ,x E E - 0 .20 0 a, > - -1 .- r 5 -2 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 Distance (km) Figure 3. (a) Horizontal component of the velocity perpendicular to the subduction hinge and (b) vertical component, in mm yr-' along the hinge line showing a comparison of the results obtained when both convergence and subduction are considered (V,= 1 cm yr-') and when only subduction is modelled (Ii,=Ocmyr-'). The grey area indicates the zone of deepest subduction. 0 1997 RAS, G J I 131, F9-Fl3 Subduction and convergence lateral escape an d overthrusting of the Tyrrhenian block onto the Adriatic domain, a n d outward extrusion of this domain. Convergence is also shown t o have a noticeable effect on the vertical velocity (Fig. 3b). Lateral extrusion of the Tyrrhenian block o n t o the Adria-Ionian domain causes a n increase of the uplift rate a t the border of the overriding plate and, as a flexural response, extra subsidence in the Apulian a n d Adriatic foredeeps. CONCLUSIONS O u r 3-D study sheds light on the effects of convergence and subduction on the patterns of horizontal a n d vertical motion in the Tyrrhenian an d Adria-Ionian domains. T h e most striking result is the decrease in the hinge-retreat velocity from south to north, with values ranging between 8 a n d 2 m m yr-l. This result supports the intuitive guess by Malinverno & Ryan (1986) that the arcuate shape of the subduction hinge line results from a faster roll-back velocity of the subducted Ionian lithosphere t h an that of the northern areas, and agrees well with recent results obtained from analogical models (Faccenna e t al. 1996). O u r findings seem t o indicate a decrease in rollback velocity with respect to that in the geological past. Th e pattern of vertical velocity along the direction perpendicular to the subduction hinge line, with subsidence in the foredeeps a nd uplift in the border of the overriding plate, is maintained along the whole Italian peninsula, in agreement with the neotectonic m a p of Italy (Ambrosetti e t al. 1987). T h e decrease in the subsidence rate from the Apulian t o the Adriatic foredeep a nd the maximum uplift rate in the Calabrian a r c are also in agreement with neotectonics. Convergence accounts for 50 per cent of the hinge migration velocity in the Calabrian Arc and for the overthrusting of the Tyrrhenian block o n t o the Adriatic plate in the central a n d northern sectors of the Italian peninsula. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This work was financially supported by the EU grant ‘Geodynamic modelling of the Western Mediterranean’ no. CHRX-CT94-0607. 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