Preliminary estimate of the route charges cost

Enlarged Committee for Route Charges
CER-106-2016-3565
ITEM 2
28.6.16
INFORMATION PAPER
INITIAL ESTIMATES OF THE ROUTE CHARGES COST-BASES AND UNIT RATES
CRCO Overview – Estimated figures – June 2016
- Submitted by the Agency -
States' and users' representatives will find attached the CRCO Overview on en route charges,
service units and unit rates. The overview covers the period 2011-2019.
CRCO Overview – Estimated figures
June 2016
The CRCO overview on en-route charges, service units and unit rates covers the period 2011-2019.
Forecast data are the estimated figures that Member States are presenting at the 106th Session of the
enlarged Committee on 29-30 June 2016, in accordance with the EUROCONTROL Principles.
It should be noted that the actual 2015 figures of Germany are not yet available. Therefore the
determined 2015 costs of Germany were used in this Overview for the consolidation.
1.
Traffic overview
Traffic is expressed in terms of total service units (chargeable plus exempted). Data are actual until
2015. Forecast data are based on the Reporting Tables of States submitted in June 2016:
Table 1a and Table 1b present, for the 38 States constituting CRCO11, the current States’ forecast
(June 2016) the STATFOR’s long term forecasts dated February 2016.
−
−
For States having adopted the determined cost method, the service units correspond to the
determined service units as reported for RP2;
For States having adopted the full cost recovery method the forecast service units are those
used for the calculation of the preliminary unit rates for 2017-2019;
CRCO11 - Total service units (in m illions)
Forecast June 2016 - States Data
11A
12A
123
STATFOR February 2016 Forecast
14A
15A
16F
17F
18F
19F
124
131
137
138
140
144
148
5.7% -1.3%
2.1%
5.8%
4.2%
0.5%
1.8%
3.1%
2.8%
123
% SUF February/States Forecast June 2016
13A
122
122
124
131
137
141
145
149
154
5.7% -1.3%
2.1%
5.8%
4.2%
3.1%
2.8%
2.9%
2.9%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
2.6%
3.6%
3.4%
3.4%
0.0%
Table 1a: Total Service Units –2011 States
Table 1b presents the same figures but separately for the determined and the full cost recovery
States. For 2016-2019, the STATFOR’s forecasts are above the determined States’ forecasts by 4.6
% and below by 4.6 % for the full costs recovery States’ forecasts.
CRCO11 - Total service units
12A
13A
14A
15A
16F
17F
18F
19F
Forecast 2016 - Determined Service Units
106.7
108.5
113.3
118.9
118.6
120.7
122.9
125.3
STATFOR February 2016 Forecast -(Determined Costs States)
106.7
108.5
113.3
118.9
122.8
125.8
129.1
132.4
% SUF February/ Determined Costs States Forecast June 2016
5.6%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
3.5%
4.3%
5.0%
Forecast June 2016 - Full Costs Recovery
14.9
15.6
18.1
18.0
19.0
19.3
21.4
23.1
STATFOR February 2016 Forecast - Full Costs Rec. States
14.9
15.6
18.1
18.0
18.3
19.2
20.2
21.2
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
-3.5%
-0.4%
-5.9%
-8.5%
% SUF February/Full Costs States Forecast June 2016
Table 1b: Total Service Units –2011 States
STATFOR May 2016 Forecast
In May 2016 STATFOR published updated forecast for 2016 (142 MTSU) and 2017 (146 MTSU), very
close to the February 2016 forecast as reported above.
The year 2016: The total en-route service units in the participating EUROCONTROL Member States
(CRCO14) are expected to grow by 3.6% (±1 percentage point - pp) in 2016 compared to 2015 and
reach 142.6 million This is an upwards revision by 0.5pp compared to the 3.1% growth expected in the
February 2016 forecast.
This upward revision mainly concerns Western and North-Eastern European countries, such as
France, United Kingdom, Germany, the Czech Republic or Slovakia, whose forecasts have sometimes
been revised by more than 1 pp upwards. One exception to it is Belgium, whose 2016 forecast growth
has been revised down to 2.1% (-1.7 pp compared to the February 2016 forecast), as a consequence
of the terrorist attacks at Brussels airport.
2
A general downwards revision is observed along the Adriatic coast (i.e. Italy, Croatia, Bosnia and
Albania) as well as in FYROM and Greece following the recent weaker traffic from/to Turkey and
Egypt and the re-rerouting of flows towards Serbia-Montenegro-KFOR and Bulgaria whose forecasts
have been revised upwards.
En-route service units are also expected to be lower in Finland and Sweden because of their weaker
trends, whereas the Norwegian forecast is now more optimistic with a revision 1.6pp upwards.
The growth rates in Spain, Canary Islands and Portugal are expected to be strong, and have been
revised upwards to values over 6% in 2016 with expected additional traffic linked to their
attractiveness as a holiday destination following the decline of touristic North-African destinations.
The year 2017: Growth of service units in 2017 is expected to be slightly lower (-0.1pp) compared to
what was expected in the February 2016 forecast and the CRCO14 area is expected to see a rate of
2.7% (+/- 1.5pp) compared to 2016 to reach 146.5 million TSU”.
Average annual growth of service units between 2015-2017 (STATFOR May 2016)
Source : STATFOR May 2016 Forecast
2.
Average unit rates charged to users– 2011-2019
The average unit rates as shown in Chart 2 are calculated by dividing the “total charges” by “total
service units”. Data until 2015 are actual (Source: Annual reports on the operation of the route
charges system). The 2016 figures correspond to the service unit forecasts reported in June 2016 and
to the average adjusted unit rates for 2016, assuming that exchange rates will remain at the April
levels until the end of December 2016. Data for 2016-2019 are the preliminary figures presented at the
106th Session of the enlarged Committee. In the calculation of the average unit rate of the year 2015
the applied unit rates have been taken into account in the calculation. The applied unit rate (€ 90.15)
of Germany in 2015 has been used in this calculation.
3
Average national charge per service unit (€)
All States
70.0
60.0
57.6
57.6
57.4
57.2
58.6
11A
12A
13A
14A
15A
56.5
55.0
55.8
55.0
16F
17F
18F
19F
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
Chart 2: Average national charge per service unit
The average unit rate of 2015 was calculated by the approved/applied unit rates of Germany, BelgiumLuxembourg and France which were revised in the current reporting tables. The average unit rate of
2015 (€58.6) is peak due to these higher unit rates.
In the RP1 period the average unit rate is €57.4 and the average unit rate charged to users will be
€ 56.2 in 2015-2019 (RP2).
National charges (billed plus exempted), total service units and unit rate figures as reported in June
2016 are detailed in Table 2 (for all States and separately for States applying the determined cost
method and States applying the full cost recovery method).
Sum m ary June 2016
11A
12A
13A
14A
15A
16F
17F
18F
19F
National charges (M€) - Billed and exem pted
7,102
6,998
7,128
7,561
8,064
7,811
7,745
8,104
8,207
6.8%
-1.5%
1.8%
6.1%
6.7%
-3.1%
-0.8%
4.6%
1.3%
6,599
6,501
6,577
6,893
7,464
7,249
7,131
7,372
7,403
6.5%
-1.5%
1.2%
4.8%
8.3%
-2.9%
-1.6%
3.4%
0.4%
503
497
551
668
600
562
614
732
803
10.5%
-1.1%
10.8%
21.2%
-10.2%
-6.4%
9.3%
19.2%
9.8%
States applying the determined cost method
States applying the full cost recovery method
Total SU (in m illion)
States applying the determined cost method
States applying the full cost recovery method
Average unit rate (in €)
States applying the determined cost method
States applying the full cost recovery method
123
122
124
132
138
138
141
145
149
5.5%
-1.3%
2.1%
6.4%
4.2%
0.5%
1.8%
3.1%
2.8%
108
107
109
113
119
119
121
123
125
5.2%
-1.6%
1.7%
4.4%
5.0%
-0.3%
1.8%
1.9%
1.9%
15
15
16
19
19
20
20
22
24
7.7%
0.4%
5.2%
20.4%
-0.3%
5.4%
1.8%
10.5%
7.6%
57.6
57.6
57.4
57.2
58.6
56.5
55.0
55.8
55.0
1.2%
-0.1%
-0.3%
-0.3%
2.4%
-3.6%
-2.6%
1.5%
-1.5%
60.9
60.9
60.6
60.8
62.8
61.1
59.1
60.0
59.1
1.2%
0.1%
-0.5%
0.4%
3.2%
-2.6%
-3.4%
1.5%
-1.5%
34.0
33.5
35.2
35.5
32.0
28.4
30.5
32.9
33.5
2.6%
-1.5%
5.3%
0.7%
-9.8%
-11.2%
7.4%
7.9%
2.0%
Table 2: National Charges-Billed and Exempted – All States –June 2016
For States applying the determined cost method, the average unit rate is decreasing every year from
the peak of € 62.8 in 2015 to € 59.1 in 2019.
For States applying the full cost recovery method, the average unit rate of charge increased between
2012 and 2014. It is decreasing by 9.8% in 2015 and by 11.2 % in 2016. The average unit rate will
increase by 7.4% in 2017 and thereafter.
4
3.
Variations in unit rates, service units and costs per State between 2016 and 2017
3.(a) Variations in the unit rates
In the following Table 3, the variations in States’ unit rates expressed in national currencies between
2016 and 2017. For this purpose, the 2016 unit rates have been converted into euro at the April 2016
exchange rate. The exchange rate variations are presented in the following page. The 2016 figures
correspond to the service unit forecasts reported in November 2015 (for Moldova the figures reported
in the revised reporting tables). The average inflation in the EUROCONTROL area is a weighted
average of inflation rates (average weighted by route charge amounts in euro). In Table 3 forecast
charges are expressed in million euro and total service units in millions. Unit rates are expressed in
euro.
Com parison 2016 and 2017 based on € rates at April 2016 exchange rates
2016 FIN (XR April 2016)
TSU * Rates
2017 PRE (XR April 2016)
TSU
Rates
TSU * Rates
TSU
Rates
Variations 2017/2016
Costs
Inflation rate
TSU
Rates
2016
2017
Austria
204.471
2.777
73.63
207.224
2.850
72.71
1.3%
2.6%
-1.2%
1.7%
1.7%
Belgium-Lux.
164.179
2.510
65.41
174.150
2.580
67.50
6.1%
2.8%
3.2%
1.2%
1.3%
2.2%
Bulgaria
60.248
2.667
22.59
71.385
2.903
24.59
18.5%
8.8%
8.9%
1.8%
Croatia
85.459
1.783
47.93
83.421
1.808
46.14
-2.4%
1.4%
-3.7%
1.0%
1.5%
Cyprus
47.863
1.426
33.57
49.572
1.457
34.02
3.6%
2.2%
1.3%
1.7%
1.7%
2.0%
Czech Republic
113.312
2.637
42.97
114.141
2.717
42.01
0.7%
3.0%
-2.2%
2.0%
Denmark
97.119
1.571
61.82
96.135
1.589
60.50
-1.0%
1.1%
-2.1%
2.2%
2.2%
Finland
45.659
0.812
56.23
46.502
0.827
56.23
1.8%
1.8%
0.0%
1.7%
1.9%
France
1,295.215
19.177
67.54
1,301.785
19.300
67.45
0.5%
0.6%
-0.1%
0.8%
1.1%
Germany
1,078.378
13.057
82.59
1,013.150
13.122
77.21
-6.0%
0.5%
-6.5%
1.6%
1.7%
155.544
4.318
36.02
131.928
4.405
29.95
-15.2%
2.0% -16.9%
1.1%
1.2%
Greece
82.628
2.364
34.95
84.894
2.414
35.17
2.7%
2.1%
0.6%
3.0%
3.0%
Ireland
Hungary
120.152
4.050
29.67
121.712
4.113
29.59
1.3%
1.6%
-0.3%
1.2%
1.4%
Italy
709.993
8.866
80.08
736.591
9.207
80.00
3.7%
3.9%
-0.1%
1.1%
1.3%
Latvia
22.503
0.824
27.31
23.033
0.844
27.29
2.4%
2.4%
-0.1%
2.3%
2.3%
Lithuania
22.836
0.509
44.90
23.168
0.525
44.14
1.5%
3.2%
-1.7%
2.2%
2.5%
Malta
16.016
0.621
25.79
16.535
0.634
26.08
3.2%
2.1%
1.1%
1.8%
1.7%
Netherlands
189.331
2.826
67.00
188.864
2.846
66.37
-0.2%
0.7%
-0.9%
1.2%
1.4%
Norw ay
96.991
2.368
40.96
112.803
2.439
46.25
16.3%
3.0%
12.9%
1.7%
2.1%
Poland
153.360
4.544
33.75
163.713
4.699
34.84
6.8%
3.4%
3.2%
2.5%
2.5%
Portugal Lisboa
123.871
3.105
39.90
125.264
3.122
40.12
1.1%
0.6%
0.6%
1.5%
1.5%
1.5%
Portugal S.M.
46.837
4.337
10.80
43.836
4.388
9.99
-6.4%
1.2%
-7.5%
1.5%
149.818
4.117
36.39
140.875
4.219
33.39
-6.0%
2.5%
-8.2%
3.0%
2.8%
Slovak Republic
59.160
1.126
52.54
62.312
1.186
52.54
5.3%
5.3%
0.0%
1.4%
1.7%
Slovenia
32.666
0.500
65.38
33.285
0.514
64.73
1.9%
2.9%
-1.0%
2.1%
1.9%
Spain Can.
89.174
1.528
58.36
89.349
1.531
58.36
0.2%
0.2%
0.0%
0.9%
1.0%
Romania
Spain Con.
640.622
8.936
71.69
646.500
9.018
71.69
0.9%
0.9%
0.0%
0.9%
1.0%
Sw eden
207.858
3.303
62.93
210.717
3.341
63.07
1.4%
1.2%
0.2%
2.4%
2.1%
Sw itzerland
152.960
1.470
104.05
155.320
1.491
104.20
1.5%
1.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.5%
United Kingdom
960.333
10.435
92.03
862.409
10.583
81.49
-10.2%
1.4% -11.5%
1.9%
2.0%
Albania (Full Costs)
23.765
0.522
45.52
22.895
0.461
49.63
-3.7% -11.6%
9.0%
2.9%
2.3%
Armenia (Full Costs)
5.206
0.135
38.56
2.532
0.065
38.96
-51.4% -51.9%
1.0%
4.0%
3.4%
74.603
2.018
36.97
74.438
2.173
34.26
-7.3%
4.2%
3.3%
Serbia/Montenegro/KFOR (Full Costs)
-0.2%
7.7%
Bosnia-Herz. (Full Costs)
38.361
0.918
41.79
39.349
0.919
42.84
2.6%
0.1%
2.5%
1.1%
1.1%
FYROM (Full Costs)
14.740
0.282
52.27
14.341
0.274
52.30
-2.7%
-2.8%
0.1%
1.8%
1.6%
Georgia (Full Costs)
19.929
0.841
23.71
19.268
0.838
22.99
-3.3%
-0.3%
-3.0%
5.6%
5.6%
4.565
0.077
59.28
3.955
0.066
59.92
-13.4% -14.3%
1.1%
11.9%
6.6%
384.068
15.003
25.60
437.370
15.352
28.49
13.9%
2.3%
11.3%
6.6%
6.0%
2016 Charging Zones
7,790
138.4
56.30
7,745
140.8
55.00
-0.6%
1.8%
-2.3%
1.7%
1.8%
Determined Costs
7,225
118.6
60.93
7,131
120.7
59.09
-1.3%
1.8%
-3.0%
0.0%
1.4%
565
19.8
28.55
614
20.1
30.48
8.7%
1.8%
6.8%
6.7%
6.1%
Moldova (Full Costs) (*)
Turkey (Full Costs)
Full Cost Recovery
(*) For Moldova the unit rate show n is the revised unit rate. The applicable unit rate w as 59.37 euro (inc.adm.unit rate)
Table 3: Comparison between 2016 and 2017 forecast charges, total service units and unit rates
The forecast national charges (billed plus exempted) and the unit rates, both expressed in national
currencies, show contrasted variations between 2017 and 2016 across the 38 charging zones. In the
year 2017 the unit rate of the ten States (Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Germany, Greece,
Portugal Santa Maria, Romania, United Kingdom, Serbia Montenegro and Georgia) show decrease
more than 2%.
The forecast of national charges is slightly decreased in 2017 and forecasted traffic is increasing by
1.8% in 2017, resulting in a unit rate decrease of 2.3% in nominal terms, with an inflation estimated at
1.8%:
5
-
For States applying the determined cost method (30 charging zones representing 92% of the
charges and 86% of the traffic in 2017), the average unit rate is decreasing by 3% in nominal
terms with an inflation estimated at 1.4%.
-
For States applying the full cost method (8 charging zones representing 8% of the charges and
14% of the traffic in 2017), the average unit rate is increasing by 6.8% in nominal terms with an
inflation estimated at 6.1%. Turkey represents the biggest part of the full cost recovery States
(71% of total) and calculates its costs in national currency since 2015. The increase in costs and
unit rates of Turkey should be also taken into account in the evaluation of all full costs recovery
States.
3 (b) Exchange Rate Variations
Table 4 shows the variations in exchange rates between September 2015 (exchange rates used to
establish the 2016 basic rates approved in November 2015) and April 2016 (exchange rates used to
establish the 2017 basic rates –preliminary figures):
-
The exchange rates in three charging zones appreciated by more than 1%. Everything else
being equal, higher amounts in euro should be billed in 2016 as compared to the November
2015 forecasts (basic rates for 2016). For example the adjusted unit rate of Turkey (€ 25.60) by
the April 2016 exchange rate is higher than the basic 2016 unit rate € 24.25 which was
calculated by the September 2015. This increase is due to the appreciation of the exchange
rate.
-
The exchange rates in three charging zones depreciated by more than 1%. Everything else
being equal, lower amounts in euro should be billed in 2016 as compared to the November 2015
forecasts (basic rates for 2016). For example the adjusted unit rate of (United Kingdom € 92.03)
by the April 2016 exchange rate is lower than the basic 2016 unit rate of United Kingdom €
99.50 which was calculated by the September 2015 exchange rate. This decrease is due to the
depreciation of the exchange rate.
Charging Zones
Turkey
2015-09
3.38865
2016-04
3.21095
%
6%
Georgia
2.65212
2.53519
5%
Sw eden
9.39358
9.20672
2%
Hungary
312.836
311.019
1%
Croatia
7.58635
7.49219
1%
139.014
137.948
1%
Albania
United Kingdom
0.732573 0.791981 -8%
Poland
4.21676
4.31062 -2%
Serbia -Montenegro -KFOR
120.033
122.695 -2%
Moldova
21.9768
22.2129 -1%
Armenia
538.070
543.498 -1%
Romania
4.41907
4.46909 -1%
Norw ay
9.30386
9.31237
0%
Bosnia-Herz.
1.94805
1.95635
0%
Denmark
7.45944
7.44164
0%
Czech Republic
27.0743
27.0094
0%
Sw itzerland
1.09162
1.09269
0%
FYROM
61.3136
61.4138
0%
Bulgaria
1.95520
1.95544
0%
Table 4: Exchange rates of September 2015 and April 2016
4.
Calculation of 2017 Unit Rates – Traffic and Adjustments
4.1.
Overview - Traffic
RP1 – (2012 -2014) and RP2 (2015-2019)
During RP1 Period the total actual traffic of the charging zones applying the determined costs method
was average 4.9% below the determined service units. The following Table 5 shows the actual and
determined service units in the RP1 period. The Chart 3 presents, actual and determined service units
during the RP1 period (2012-2014) and RP2 (2015-2019) with the comparison by the STATFOR
February Forecast for determined costs States.
6
Total Service Units RP1
Tota l Determi ned TSU
Tota l Actua l TSU
Actua l /Determi ned %
2012
2013
2014
111,682
106,652
-4.5%
114,884
108,452
-5.6%
118,499
113,213
-4.5%
Table 5: Total Service Units in RP1 and RP2
50.0
70.0
90.0
110.0
130.0
150.0
2012
2013
2014
TSU Determined SU (Determined
Costs States)
2015
TSU Actual (Determined Costs States)
2016
STATFOR February 2016 Forecast
2017
RP2 Period
2018
2019
Chart 3: Total Service Units –RP1-Comparison States Forecast-Actual
Determined/Forecast and Actual Service Units in 2015
In general the determined service units of the States for the RP2 (2015-2019) are below the
STATFOR Service Unit Forecast dated February 2016 (Chart 3).
In the first actual year of the RP2, in 2015, the total traffic of the charging zones applying the
determined costs method was 2% above the determined service units.
-
For twelve charging zones (Belgium Luxembourg, Germany, France, Switzerland, Portugal,
Austria, Spain Continental, Norway, Denmark, Croatia, Lithuania and Latvia) the difference is
between 2% and 0%;
-
For five charging zones (Netherlands, Ireland, Sweden, Portugal Santa Maria, Hungary) the
difference is between 10% and 2%;
-
For five charging zones (Greece, Malta, Cyprus, Romania and Bulgaria) the actual traffic is
more than 10% above the determined service units.
In 2015 the actual traffic fallen below the determined service units for eight charging zones only, i.e.
United Kingdom, Spain Canary Islands, Italy, Slovenia, Czech Republic, Slovak Republic, Finland and
Poland.
2015 Actual/Determined - Actual TSU
40%
30%
20%
10%
EB
ED
LF
EG
EH
EI
LS
LP
LO
LE
GC
AZ
LG
LM
LI
LC
LH
EN
EK
LJ
LR
LK
ES
LZ
LD
LB
EF
EY
EP
EV
0%
-10%
-20%
Chart 4. a: Comparison between 2015 actual/ determined total service units
7
Full Cost Recovery States
In 2015 the total traffic of the charging zones applying the full cost recovery method was 8% above the
forecast service units used to calculate the 2015 unit rates. The service units of Moldova showed a
huge decrease (43%) in 2015. The figures are shown on Chart 4 for the 2012-2015 period.
30%
20%
10%
2012
0%
-10%
LA
UD
LY
LQ
LW
LU
LT
UG
2013
2014
-20%
2015
-30%
-40%
-50%
Table 4.b: Comparison between 2015 actual/ forecast total service units
4.2.
Overview - Adjustments
Table 6 on the next page shows the carry-overs and bonuses or penalties as well as the revenues
taken into account for the calculation of the 2017 unit rates. Part of the adjustments relate to 2015,
which is the first actual year of Reporting Period 2 for the States applying the determined costs
method. National currency amounts have been converted into euro at April 2016 exchange rates.
8
Charging Zones
National
For./Det.
Costs 2017
Carryovers Bonus or
penalty
Other
revenues
2017
1
2
3
Grand Total
2017
Service
Units 2017
National
Unit Rates
Unit Cost
1/5
Unit Cost
(2+3)/5
4
5
6
7
8
Austria
204,696
2,525
0
207,221
2,850
72.71
71.82
0.89
Belg.-Luxembourg
177,261
-2,909
-191
174,161
2,580
67.50
68.71
-1.20
Bulgaria
91,052
-17,921
-1,753
71,378
2,903
24.59
31.36
-6.78
Croatia
92,288
1,483
-10,343
83,429
1,808
46.14
51.04
-4.90
Cyprus
55,917
-6,343
0
49,573
1,457
34.02
38.37
-4.35
115,739
-1,588
0
114,151
2,717
42.01
42.60
-0.58
-1.74
Czech Republic
Denmark
98,901
-686
-2,077
96,138
1,589
60.50
62.24
Finland
46,064
1,356
-919
46,501
827
56.23
55.70
0.53
France
1,328,677
-26,871
0
1,301,806
19,300
67.45
68.84
-1.39
Germany
1,036,419
-23,296
0
1,013,123
13,122
77.21
78.98
-1.78
155,318
-23,404
0
131,914
4,405
29.95
35.26
-5.31
Hungary
95,277
-6,875
-3,497
84,906
2,414
35.17
39.47
-4.30
Ireland
125,595
-3,898
0
121,697
4,113
29.59
30.53
-0.95
Italy
711,992
24,578
0
736,570
9,207
80.00
77.33
2.67
Latvia
23,902
-678
-195
23,030
844
27.29
28.32
-1.03
Lithuania
24,187
-693
-328
23,166
525
44.14
46.08
-1.95
Malta
20,695
-4,161
0
16,534
634
26.08
32.64
-6.56
Netherlands
187,392
1,803
-332
188,863
2,846
66.37
65.85
0.52
Norway
112,883
-70
0
112,813
2,439
46.25
46.28
-0.03
Poland
165,538
904
-2,707
163,735
4,699
34.84
35.23
-0.38
Portugal Lisboa
121,117
4,510
-375
125,252
3,122
40.12
38.79
1.32
46,010
-2,121
-54
43,835
4,388
9.99
10.49
-0.50
Romania
160,807
-19,699
-246
140,861
4,219
33.39
38.11
-4.73
Slovakia
62,981
-668
0
62,313
1,186
52.54
53.10
-0.56
Slovenia
33,870
-583
33,287
514
64.73
65.87
-1.13
Spain Can.
99,004
3,867
-13,521
89,349
1,531
58.36
64.67
-6.31
Spain Con.
622,241
59,936
-35,677
646,500
9,018
71.69
69.00
2.69
Sweden
214,008
-2,773
-504
210,731
3,341
63.07
64.06
-0.98
Switzerland
144,507
10,818
0
155,325
1,491
104.20
96.95
7.26
United Kingdom
871,238
-8,762
0
862,476
10,583
81.49
82.32
-0.83
Albania *
22,574
221
0
22,795
459
49.63
49.15
0.48
Armenia *
2,530
0
0
2,530
65
38.96
38.96
0.00
Serbia/Montenegro/KFOR *
80,966
-5,658
-954
74,354
2,171
34.26
37.30
-3.05
Bosnia Herzegovina *
39,472
-145
0
39,327
918
42.84
43.00
-0.16
FYROM *
14,332
-1
0
14,331
274
52.30
52.31
0.00
3,733
221
0
3,955
66
59.92
56.57
3.35
Turkey *
489,045
-54,621
0
434,423
15,250
28.49
32.07
-3.58
Georgia
20,556
-1,357
0
19,199
835
22.99
24.61
-1.62
7,245,576
-42,219
-72,719
7,130,638
120,672
59.09
60.04
-0.95
100%
-0.6%
-1.0%
98.4%
673,207
-61,340
-954
610,913
20,038
30.49
33.60
-0.05
100%
9.1%
-0.1%
90.7%
7,918,783
100%
-103,559
-1.3%
-73,673
-0.9%
7,741,552
97.8%
140,710
55.02
56.28
-1.26
Greece
Portugal Santa Maria
Moldova *
Determined Costs
Full Costs *
All charging zones
* Full FosP MePOod : reduced forecMsP cosPs (excluding exempPions ) - cOMrgeMNle service uniPs
Table 6 – Overview of the 2017 unit rate calculation
In 2016, carryovers and bonuses/penalties represent 0.6 % of the determined costs for the States
applying the determined costs method and 9.1% of the forecast costs for the States applying the full
cost recovery method. Revenues and other amounts deducted to calculate the applied unit rates
represent on average 0.9% (0.1% accounting for one non-EU States only).
4.3.
Detail of adjustments and carry-overs including other revenues in 2017 unit rates
Table 6.1 details the carry-overs and bonuses/penalties as shown in Column 2 of Table 7. For States
applying the determined cost method, references are the row numbers in Reporting Table 2.
9
Charging Zones
Austria
BelgB-IuxemNourg
Bulgaria
1.4 Inflation
adjus.
3.3 and 4.3
Traffic
3.4 and 3.5
Traffic risk
1
2
3
Cost exempt
3.7 Bonus or 3.8 and 4.6
from risk
penalty
carryovers
sharing
4
5
6
Total
Total
adj./National
Costs
7
8
-1,666
-663
4,710
0
143
0
2,525
1%
-859
-140
0
0
-757
-1,154
-2,909
-2%
-20%
-2,732
-1,789
-13,400
0
0
0
-17,921
Croatia
46
-186
0
0
0
1,623
1,483
2%
Cyprus
-2,366
-1,521
-2,456
0
0
0
-6,343
-11%
Czech RepuNlic
-1,975B95
79
0
201
108
0
-1,588
-1%
-2,672
-344
2,123
0
206
0
-686
-1%
Finland
-993
334
963
680
372
0
1,356
3%
France
-258
-1,800
0
-9,929
-2,431
-12,453
-26,871
-2%
Denmark
Germany
Greece
-13,259
-1,368
0
0
-369
-8,299
-23,296
-2%
-3,543
-5,046
-14,816
0
0
0
-23,404
-15%
Hungary
-1,493
-995
-4,387
0
0
0
-6,875
-7%
Ireland
-1,633
-819
-1,801
-868
1,223
0
-3,898
-3%
Italy
-6,231
7,339
9,412
0
9,406
4,651
24,578
3%
Iatvia
-678
1
0
0
0
0
-678
-3%
Iithuania
-708
-7
0
0
21
0
-693
-3%
Malta
-122
625
-4,734
71
0
0
-4,161
-20%
-1,465
-794
-1,221
3,640
-157
1,800
1,803
1%
1
-71
0
0
0
0
-70
0%
Poland
-6,573
1,082
9,057
0
0
-2,662
904
1%
Portugal IisNoa
-1,758
-391
0
6,658
0
0
4,510
4%
-672
-886
-1,756
1,192
0
0
-2,121
-5%
Romania
-7,259
-1,604
-12,968
2,132
0
0
-19,699
-12%
Slovakia
-198
43
0
-365
0
-148
-668
-1%
Slovenia
-998
145
231
0
40
0
-583
-2%
Spain CanB
-1,861
0
2,876
163
0
2,689
3,867
4%
Spain ConB
-11,721
944
30,048
2,996
0
37,669
59,936
10%
-2,316
-1,033
-1,283
1,395
464
0
-2,773
-1%
292
-52
0
0
0
10,577
10,818
7%
United Kingdom
-19,126
1,681
0
2,748
5,935
0
-8,762
-1%
Determined Costs
-94,795
-7,235
598
10,715
14,205
34,293
-42,219
Netherlands
Norw ay
Portugal Santa Maria
Sw eden
Sw itzerland
-1%
Table 6.1 – Detail of carry-overs and bonuses or penalties
4.4.
Total adjustments and carry overs after the deduction of other revenues (2012-2019)
The following Table 6.2 shows the total adjustments and the other revenues of each State applying
determined costs methodology during the period 2012-2019. The carry overs of the adjustments,
bonus and penalties and other revenues which were presented in the Table 2 of the reporting tables
have been used and converted into euro based on the April 2016 exchange rates. The 2012 amounts
refer to the under/over recoveries coming from the application of the full costs recovery method.
10
Total Adjustments after the Deduction of the hther wevenues
Charging Zones
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Austria
4,961
3,968
19,853
9,273
9,539
2,525
4,710
6,670
Belg.-Luxem bourg
1,254
-9,725
2,794
-578
-8,620
-3,100
-598
-585
-10,167
-11,623
-7,543
-4,148
-28,146
-19,674
-1,753
-27
-6,842
-6,309
-8,860
921
606
Bulgaria
Croatia
Cyprus
Czech Republic
1,351
788
712
-1,214
-5,736
-6,343
0
0
-3,884
-2,095
439
-145
-999
-1,588
201
201
8,387
9,373
7,375
642
-235
-2,763
1,141
804
Finland
-827
-1,191
1,845
-486
63
437
1,078
1,949
France
-26,553
-21,778
9,832
3,449
-1,421
-26,871
-9,929
-9,929
Germ any
-13,447
20,836
42,877
60,172
38,822
-23,296
0
0
0
0
8,674
14,599
4,326
-23,404
0
0
818
-4,333
-2,365
-1,987
-10,965
-10,371
-4,062
-3,330
Denm ark
Greece
Hungary
Ireland
-3,275
-9,344
1,016
364
-1,251
-3,898
0
0
Italy
28,002
36,905
48,049
14,128
16,445
24,578
43,931
37,683
Latvia
-206
-348
-467
-558
-616
-872
0
0
Lithuania
-996
-1,273
-1,557
-331
-507
-1,021
-328
-328
0
3,113
1,127
-4,138
-3,065
-4,161
4
0
Netherlands
10,421
10,785
12,525
1,877
5,219
1,471
29
-1,494
Norw ay
-3,347
-12,854
-10,677
-3,237
-13,904
-70
0
0
Poland
-4,024
-12,498
-10,688
-7,148
-6,118
-1,803
-5,042
-4,679
Portugal Lisboa
-9,482
-6,380
5,922
3,599
6,771
4,135
6,284
6,284
Portugal Santa Maria
-2,002
-5,627
2,188
1,502
2,280
-2,175
1,138
1,138
Rom ania
109
-4,376
-6,779
-6,710
-7,865
-19,946
-246
-246
Slovakia
508
-148
949
4
-2,750
-668
-513
-513
Slovenia
-519
-2,272
-108
820
-504
-583
0
0
Spain Can.
-11,645
-9,889
-6,613
-9,179
-9,577
-9,655
-8,796
-8,277
Spain Con.
-23,769
-27,588
-12,412
16,164
18,549
24,259
28,805
34,495
8,380
11,485
7,296
3,495
-6,586
-3,277
1,395
1,395
Sw itzerland
14,863
15,363
18,242
13,396
9,979
10,818
12,863
14,080
United Kingdom
40,806
64,133
61,692
79,016
92,776
-8,762
2,761
2,769
Malta
Sw eden
6,842,831 7,041,595 7,157,732 7,101,588 7,157,418 7,245,576 7,321,246 7,347,694
Total Determ ined Costs
Total Adjustm ents including other rev.
5,715
33,407
194,197
175,798
89,595
-114,937
73,994
78,665
% Adjustm ents in Total
0.1%
0.5%
2.7%
2.5%
1.3%
-1.6%
1.0%
1.1%
Table 6.2 – Total adjustments after the deduction of other revenues
5.
Evolution and the variation of consolidated national costs 2012-2019 and adjustments
including other revenues
Table 7 (a) and (b) consolidate the determined/forecast national costs and actual costs presented by
Member States at the 106th Session of the enlarged Committee:
-
National costs comprise costs in respect of Air Navigation Service Providers, Meteorological
Service Providers as well as States (including EUROCONTROL) costs ;
-
Costs are gross costs for the year, prior to deductions in respect of exempted flights or other
income and without amounts carried over;
-
All costs have been converted into euro based on the April 2016 exchange rates. Yearly variations
at national level are therefore the same as the national costs expressed in national currency.
-
The determined/forecast and actual total service units are presented on the Table.
11
Determined costs - Perf. Plan RP1 &RP2
All Charging Zones (Determined)
Cost details
1.
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Actual costs RP1&RP2
2018
2019
2012
Detail by nature (in nominal terms)
Sta ff
3,957 4,074 4,147 4,164 4,192 4,248 4,292 4,330
Other opera ti ng cos ts
1,657 1,664 1,691 1,649 1,678 1,702 1,717 1,730
Depreci a ti on
867
934
958
886
918
943
942
928
Cos t of ca pi ta l
378
389
387
390
392
396
389
385
12
-23
-21
-19
-25
-24
Excepti ona l i tems
-16
-19
Tota l cos ts
6,843 7,042 7,158 7,102 7,157 7,268 7,321 7,348
2.9% 1.6% -0.8% 0.8% 1.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Variations (Actual-Determined)
All Charging Zones (Determined)
Cost details
1.
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
2012
2013
Detail by nature (in nominal terms)
Sta ff
-11
Other opera ti ng cos ts
-101
Depreci a ti on
-55
Cos t of ca pi ta l
-3
Excepti ona l i tems
16
Tota l cos ts
-153
2014
-184
-104
-98
-33
48
-371
2015
2014
2015
3,946 3,890 3,896 4,103
1,556 1,560 1,575 1,560
813
836
851
844
375
356
375
383
0
29
-16
15
6,689 6,671 6,680 6,905
-0.3% 0.1% 3.4%
Variations (Actual/Determined) %
Total
Total
2012
-62
-507
-89
-409
-42
-302
-7
-54
3
74
-197 -1,199
-251
-116
-107
-12
8
-478
2013
2013
2014
2015
-0.3% -4.5% -6.0%
-6.1% -6.3% -6.8%
-6.3% -10.5% -11.1%
-0.8% -8.4% -3.1%
-1.5%
-5.4%
-4.8%
-1.7%
-2.2%
-2.8%
-5.3%
-6.7%
Table 7 (a) - Consolidated National Costs and variations (determined costs States)
The Table 7 (a) shows the variations between the actual and determined costs during the RP1 and in
the year 2015 which is first actual year of RP2. It shows that in the RP1 period the determined costs
and service units were established higher than the actual costs and service units. In the 2015 unit rate
this picture changed positively for the traffic and in the year 2015 the traffic were higher than the
determined service units while the total actual costs were 2.8% lower than the determined costs.
Full Costs Recovery States (Actual/Forecast 2012-2015)
Cost details
1.
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
2012
Detail by nature (in nominal terms)
Sta ff
201
Other opera ti ng cos ts
157
Depreci a ti on
53
Cos t of ca pi ta l
49
Excepti ona l i tems
0
Tota l cos ts
460
5.4 Tota l Servi ce Uni ts
Tota l
% n/n-1
14
2013
Cost details
2014
2015
2016
214
163
56
49
0
483
5.1%
237
174
60
47
0
519
7.3%
14
2.3%
17
15
20
7.0% 14.0% 13.8%
All Charging Zones (Full Costs)
1.
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
Actual costs
Planned Costs
All Charging Zones (Full Costs)
230
274
181
224
83
77
52
48
0
0
546
623
5.3% 14.1%
2017
Detail by nature (in nominal terms)
Sta ff
-1
Other opera ti ng cos ts
1
Depreci a ti on
-4
Cos t of ca pi ta l
-3
Excepti ona l i tems
0
Tota l cos ts
-8
2013
-7
-2
-4
-6
0
-18
2014
-16
1
4
0
0
-11
2019
296
347
404
248
288
317
85
99
115
53
63
75
0
0
0
683
797
910
9.5% 16.7% 14.2%
20
22
1.8% 10.5%
Variations (Actual-Forecast)
2012
2018
2015
-2
9
-15
-9
0
-18
Total
Total
-26
9
-19
-19
0
-55
24
7.6%
2012
200
158
49
45
0
452
13
2013
2014
208
162
52
44
0
466
3.0%
2015
221
176
64
47
0
508
9.0%
227
191
67
43
0
529
4.1%
14
17
5.8% 22.4%
19
9.9%
Variations (Actual/Forecast) %
2012
2013
2014
2015
-0.4% -3.2%
0.4% -1.1%
-8.0% -6.3%
-7.0% -11.4%
-6.8% -1.1%
0.7% 5.2%
6.4% -18.5%
-0.6% -17.8%
-1.7%
-2.2%
-3.7%
-3.2%
Table 7 (b) - Consolidated National Costs and variations (Full costs States)
12
Table 7 (b) shows the same variations for the States applying full costs recovery methodology.
The planned costs refer to the national costs of the States presented at the November Sessions of the
Enlarged Committee to calculate N+1 unit rates. It shows that that while the costs were estimated
higher than the actual costs, the traffic increased significantly especially in 2014 and 2015.
The individual tables of the States are presented in Annex 1.
6.
June 2016 reporting exercise
Almost all States met the reporting deadline. New Reporting Tables templates with automatic checks
for determined costs States have been used and all the States have successfully transferred the data
via Common Portal. The States and the Users Associations have received the published reporting
tables at the same time.
7.
Annexes
Annex 1 shows the total determined/forecast national costs and the service units and the variations of
each State. The costs are presented in Millions and the TSU figures are in thousands.
Annex 2 shows the determined costs, forecast total service units, forecast chargeable costs and unit
rates of each State for the 2012-2019 period. All the costs data and the unit rates have been
converted by the April exchange rates to see the variations during the period. The charts show these
variations for these items.
The maps at Annex 3 present the unit rates, and service units.
13