2 Welcome Letter Dear Delegates, Welcome to the 32nd Annual North American Model United Nations (NAMUN) 2017 at the University of Toronto! On behalf of all the staff at NAMUN, we welcome you to the Integrated Simulation of the conference. In this committee, delegates will be racing against the clock to find concrete solutions for the war in Afghanistan, which continues to this day. Be you a government official, a politician, a warlord, a civilian leader or a military general, delegates will be trying to rid the country of its insurgency and build a functioning democracy (or not). You will be undertaking new projects, setting new policies, and interacting with the other committees in order to accomplish your goals. This is a Crisis, and anything can happen. Allow me to introduce myself. My name is Ilya Bañares, and I am currently studying Social Sciences here at the University of Toronto. I have been doing Model United Nations for four years now, and have been delegate, chair, and Secretary General. I was previously based in Asia, and can’t wait to see MUN in action in North America. With that, the committee staff and I welcome you to NAMUN 2017 and wish you an amazing experience at the University of Toronto! Best regards, Ilya Bañares Chair, Global War on Terror: Afghan Cabinet and Advisors North American Model United Nations [email protected] Introduction The conflict in Afghanistan is largely regarded as one of the most persistent and most important issues in recent history. For as long as most people can remember, the country has been in a state of constant belligerence, both within its borders between various tribal groups, and with countries outside its frontiers such as Britain, the then-United Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR, also known as the Soviet Union), and the United States. The perpetual state of conflict in the region has had many terrible effects: thousands of civilians have been killed and many more injured as a result of the wars waged in their territory, countless populations have been displaced, and multiple human rights violations have allegedly been committed by all sides. Why is the region such a hotbed for conflict? The answer lies in part in its geography: Afghanistan is strategically placed at the center of Asia, on the crossroads from Eastern and Southern Asia to what is considered the Middle East. However, there is also another reason for the region’s tumultuousness: its largest and fastest growing industry is the illegal drugs trade, specifically in the form of opiates. It is publicly known that the Taliban, other terrorist groups, and allegedly even the government profits from the large industry. The committee begins in early March of 2003, with the United States on the brink of invading Iraq, which could have severe repercussions on the entire Middle East area, including Afghanistan. A storm is brewing anew in the region, and we hope that you, as a nation and its advisors, will be able to manage the numerous crises that are yet to come. Definitions War on Terror Term used by former United States President George W. Bush to denote the military campaign of Western nations against terrorism, especially after the events of September 11, 2001 when Al-Qaeda bombed the World Trade Center in New York City1. Its focus is primarily against terrorist groups and political regimes that support them. For the purposes of this committee it refers to any and all attempts, including political, military, economic and social, to weaken, displace, destroy and combat Al-Qaeda and the Taliban. Terrorism According to the CIA World Factbook, terrorism is defined as “premeditated, politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents.” According to Security Council resolution 1566, terrorism is defined as “criminal acts, including against civilians, committed with the intent to cause death or serious bodily injury, or taking of hostages, with the purpose to provoke a state of terror in the general public or in a group of persons or particular persons, intimidate a population or compel a government or an international organization to do or to abstain from doing any act, and all other acts which constitute offences within the scope of and as defined in the international conventions and protocols relating to terrorism, are under no circumstances justifiable by considerations of a political, philosophical, ideological, racial, ethnic, religious or other similar nature.” Insurgency According to the United States Department of Defense, the term refers to, “an organized resistance movement that uses subversion, sabotage, and armed conflict to achieve its aims. Insurgencies normally seek to overthrow the existing social order and reallocate power within the country.” Groups significantly less powerful than the target government conduct insurgencies, and rely on unconventional and guerilla tactics. “Text of George Bush’s Speech.” The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2001/sep/21/september11.usa13 1 Mujahideen The term refers to persons engaged in jihad. Mujahideen are often engaged in a guerrilla-type of insurgency consisting of radical Islamists. It also commonly refers to the forces that fought against the Soviets during their campaign in Afghanistan. International Security Assistance Force Also known as the ISAF, this organization was created by United Nations Security Council Resolution 1386 and led by the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) with the goals of fighting the Taliban and Islamist insurgencies in the country, and helping to rebuild the Afghan government and armed forces. Taliban An Islamic fundamentalist group that is currently waging an insurgency in Afghanistan. The group is known for its strict interpretation of Islamic Sharia law, which has led to its often brutal treatment of Afghan civilians. The organization ruled most of the country from 1996 until 2001. Historical Background The Islamic Republic of Afghanistan is a state located within the Greater Middle East and has been known as the “Graveyard of Empires2” for good reason. In its many years of existence, countless attempts have been made to gain control of the area due to its strategic location, but to date none have succeeded. Efforts include those of Alexander the Great, the British Empire, and the Soviet Union, all of which failed. The country was recognized as a state in 1919, and has had a turbulent history since then. Notable events in the country’s history include the Soviet-backed coup, which was followed by a civil war between tribal warlords, governmental control by the terrorist organization Taliban, and Western involvement. The situation in Afghanistan remains unstable to this day. Map of Afghanistan. Source: CIA World Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in 1979 Afghanistan underwent two regime changes within five years, highlighting the country’s political instability. In 1973 Mohammed Daud seized power from the King, Milton Bearden. "Afghanistan, Graveyard of Empires." Foreign Affairs. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/afghanistan/2001-11-01/afghanistan-graveyard-empires. 2 Mohamed Zahir Shah, who was abroad at the time, and succeeded in a bloodless coup. However, he only remained in power for five years. On 27 April 1978 the Soviet supported People’s Democratic Party of Afghanistan (PDPA) overthrew the government in an operation known as the Saur Revolution, so called because of the name of the month in the Persian language. The coup faced intense opposition, both from domestic groups as well as foreign nations, such as the United States and the United Kingdom. In December 1979, the Soviet Union invaded the country in order to secure the communist and pro-Soviet government3. This action only intensified the opposition, with Mujahideen groups gaining the support of other outside governments such as the United States and Pakistan. This took the form of supplying weapons and providing training and intelligence to the groups. Guerilla groups4 continued opposing the Communist-backed rule and the Soviet invasion until 1988, when Afghanistan, Pakistan, the United States and the Soviet Union signed a peace deal. The USSR left the country in 1989. Fighting continued on though, and the PDPA government collapsed in 1992. Civil War Without Soviet ground support the PDPA government struggled to maintain control of the country while fighting the Mujahideen insurgency. Until 1991 they received aid from the USSR5, but with the collapse of the USSR in that year Afghanistan no longer received any sort of help. Following these events, the PDPA government fell in 1992. After the fall of the communist government, the different tribes in Afghanistan came together and decided on the Peshawar Accord, a peace agreement and a deal to share powers under a new government called the Islamic State of Afghanistan. The agreement did not end the fighting though, as many rebel groups violated or refused to Robert O. Freedman. "Soviet Policy Towards The Middle East Since The Invasion Of Afghanistan." Journal of International Affairs 34, no. 2 (1980): 283-310. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/24356893. 4 Pierre Allan, and Albert A. Stahel. "Tribal Guerrilla Warfare against a Colonial Power: Analyzing the War in Afghanistan." The Journal of Conflict Resolution 27, no. 4 (1983): 590-617. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/173887. 5 Fred Halliday, and Zahir Tanin. "The Communist Regime in Afghanistan 1978-1992: Institutions and Conflicts." Europe-Asia Studies 50, no. 8 (1998): 1357-380. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/153920. 3 participate in the accord. There was very little government involvement, as the continued fighting disabled the application of the new constitution. In 1994 the Taliban gained prominence with their successful takeover of southern Afghanistan. Later, in 1996 the terrorist group was able to gain control of the capital city of Kabul and established the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan6. Map of territories held by the Northern Alliance (red) and the Taliban (beige). The striped area refers to isolated pockets of lands held by the Northern Alliance. Taliban control of the government In 1996 the Taliban took control of the government, effectively eliminating the Islamic State of Afghanistan and replacing it with a regime that strictly interpreted Sharia law, in a system akin to Saudi Arabia. While the “Islamic State of Afghanistan” still "U.N. Security Council: Resolution 1267 (1999) (On The Situation In Afghanistan)." International Legal Materials 39, no. 1 (2000): 235-37. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/20693974. 6 operated, it no longer held the same swath of territory now under the Taliban. It became known as the Northern Alliance. Pakistan, under the leadership of then Chief of Army Staff and future President Pervez Musharraf, and terrorist group Al-Qaeda both supported the Taliban with economic and military aid7, such as food supplies and arms, in order to defeat the Northern Alliance. During this time, only three countries recognized the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan: Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates, and it was not recognized by the United Nations. A few days before the September 11 attacks in New York City, suicide attackers in northern Afghanistan assassinated the head of the Northern Alliance, Ahmad Shah Massoud8. After 9/ 11, the United States government under President George W. Bush immediately suspected Osama bin Laden and demanded that the Taliban give him up. When the group refused, the United States launched Operation Enduring Freedom, officially starting American military involvement on the ground in the country9. United States-led intervention in Afghanistan When the 9/11 attacks occurred the Taliban refused to hand over Osama bin Laden on the grounds that the United States did not present enough evidence to show the link between bin Laden and the attacks. At this point the United States and the United Kingdom decided to invade Afghanistan under Operation Enduring Freedom. The United States initially sent in a group of Special Forces who coordinated operations with fighters from the Northern Alliance, and later reinforced the operations with other ground troops. The initial invasion only included the United States and the United Kingdom. Other countries such as Canada, France, the Philippines, and Poland joined the mission later as coalition military involvement continued. Nasreen Akhtar. "Pakistan, Afghanistan, And The Taliban." International Journal on World Peace 25, no. 4 (2008): 49-73. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/20752859. 8 Thomas Harding. "Blast Survivor Tells of Massoud Assassination." The Telegraph. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/afghanistan/1360632/Blast-survivor-tells-of-Massoudassassination.html. 9 Brian Collins. "Operation Enduring Freedom and the Future of NATO." Georgetown Journal of International Affairs 3, no. 2 (2002): 51-56. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/43134050. 7 North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) As the war raged on, international involvement in Afghanistan grew even larger. In December 2001 the United Nations Security Council passed Resolution 1386, creating the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) in Afghanistan10, to be led by the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). The ISAF was created with the goal of helping the national military of Afghanistan combat the Taliban, and assisting with the democratization and rebuilding of the country. The operation was initially limited to Kabul and the areas around it, but its mandate grew gradually as the war went on. Naomi Weinberger. "Civil-Military Coordination in Peacebuilding. The Challenge in Afghanistan."Journal of International Affairs 55, no. 2 (2002): 245-74. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/24358170. 10 Issues The numerous wars, revolts and invasions in the region have led the area of Afghanistan and Central Asia as a whole to become very unstable. Standards of living in the area are very low compared to other conflict hotspots in the world, and as a result this and the fighting millions of Afghans endure intense hardship and suffering. The government is not able to control certain regions, with the Taliban resurging and gaining control in some towns, leading to some of the country’s cultural heritage being destroyed. The foundation of the state remains shaky and vulnerable to corruption, especially with the large influence of the opium drug trade in the country. Standards of living and consequences of the war on the Afghan population The war in Afghanistan has had a profound effect on the Afghan population. Since the beginning of the war in 2001 close to a four thousand people have died11, with around a quarter of those being civilians and the rest being a mix of foreign military personnel, Afghan soldiers and police and local militants. The high number of deaths related to the war has led to many Afghan protests. Democratically elected President Hamid Karzai has spoken out against the deaths of the many Afghan civilians due to the war, with particular attention paid to casualties related to Coalition airstrikes and operations. Furthermore, the terrible infrastructure in Afghanistan has made life difficult for many Afghans. In their country ravaged by war for many years, basic infrastructure such as hospitals and health providers, schools, and transportation has been severely lacking12. Resurgence of the Taliban The Taliban government in Afghanistan fell in 2001 when the United States and other countries invaded the country. Coalition efforts severely damaged Taliban organizations and institutions. While they were defeated for the time being, the group has been increasing their activity recently. The ISAF has been building up its operations in a Marc W. Herold. "»Collateral Damage«?: Civilians and the US Air War in Afghanistan." Sicherheit Und Frieden (S F) / Security and Peace 20, no. 1 (2002): 18-26. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/24230935. 12 Maryann Cusimano Love. "Morality Matters: Ethics and Power Politics in the War on Terrorism."Georgetown Journal of International Affairs 3, no. 2 (2002): 7-15. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/43134045. 11 bid to secure democracy. However, many local tribes have been supporting the Taliban resurgence due to widespread anti-Western sentiment. ISAF air strikes have caused many deaths, and the forces’ anti-opium drive ruined many livelihoods, and embittering significant parts of the rural the populace. Since 2002, the Taliban has been feeding off of the discontent to rebuild operations13. Destruction of cultural property Afghanistan is a transition point between the East and the West, between countries such as China and India and places like Spain and Portugal. As such, they represent a very important part of human history. Throughout archaeological excavations in the area it has been found that there are a multitude of historical artifacts in Afghanistan, dating back many centuries. However, the cultural heritage has not been spared by the horrors of the war14. During the civil war many historic sites in and around Kabul were destroyed when the capital city was heavily shelled. According to Mr. Abdul Wasey Feroozi, Director General of the National Institute of Archaeology at the Ministry of Culture and Information of Afghanistan, “over 70% of the Kabul National Museum and 100% of the objects were stolen and looted, and their buildings were damaged and burned down. Illegal excavations and extensive clandestine digging started at most historical sites and thousands of valuable items were transported to other countries, notably through Pakistan, to the international markets.” "Afghans Avert Assassination Plot." CNN. http://www.cnn.com/2002/WORLD/asiapcf/central/07/29/afghan.attempt/. 14 Christian Manhart. "The Afghan Cultural Heritage Crisis: UNESCO's Response to the Destruction of Statues in Afghanistan." American Journal of Archaeology 105, no. 3 (2001): 387-88. 13 Destroyed Kabul Museum Political instability After the fall of the Taliban in 2001 and the invasion of the United States the central government lacks control over the entire country15. Many areas are governed by local tribes and protected by self-governed armed militias. During the Bonn Agreement of 2001 Hamid Karzai was chosen as the interim leader of the new state, garnering the backing of the United States and other Western countries. At the time of the conference, Karzai was in exile in Pakistan, but with the support of the United States returned as the head of the transitional administration. The following year a grand assembly, called a “Loye Jirga”, was convened which formally elected Karzai as interim leader, vesting him with power until the scheduled 2004 democratic elections. Initially, Karzai held little to no influence outside of the capital Kabul, due to the influence of the local tribe leaders. However, during the formative years of his presidency Karzai made alliances with them in order to garner support for his regime16. Alexander Thier, and Jarat Chopra. "The Road Ahead: Political and Institutional Reconstruction in Afghanistan." Third World Quarterly 23, no. 5 (2002): 893-907. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/3993394. 16 Astri Suhrke, Kristian Berg Harpviken, and Arne Strand. "After Bonn: Conflictual Peace Building."Third World Quarterly 23, no. 5 (2002): 875-91. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/3993393. 15 Corruption According to Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) Afghanistan ranks among the lowest countries when it comes to corruption. In fact, in 2002 the country did not even have enough sources for the organization to rank them on the list. Broken by the Taliban and by the terrorist group’s downfall in 2001, the government is still rampant with corruption. Many public services are provided to civilians only after a bribe has been paid, public officials are promoted based on patronage and favoritism, and many military and police budgets are misallocated to serve personal wants. This is causing a loss of confidence in and increasing discontent with the Afghan government, and could contribute to the Taliban gaining support. The role of opium in the war Afghanistan is the world’s largest producer of the illegal drug opium. The south and southwestern regions of the country are known to hold most of the plantations, areas predominantly held by the Taliban17. According to Antonio Maria Costa, the Executive Director of the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC), the illicit trade accounts for around 1.3 billion US dollars generated for producers in 2002 alone. This is largely due to an addiction within the population, which affects thousands of people in 2003. Furthermore, the Afghan economy practically depends on the opium trade. With much arable land and local agricultural trade and transportation infrastructure disrupted due to the fighting, many civilians have had to turn to drug trafficking in order to supplement their income. In fact, whereas the United States government, the Karzai administration, and the international community officially condemn the drug trade and any form of trafficking whatsoever, the opium economy has actually increased during recent years. There is now more production than under the Taliban regime, which used the production and sale of opium as a means to fund its various activities. Ahmed Rashid. "Afghanistan: Ending the Policy Quagmire." Journal of International Affairs 54, no. 2 (2001): 395-410. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/24357737. 17 State of Affairs The Taliban fell only two years ago, and already are regaining power in the south and southwestern areas. They are reaching out to the local tribes disillusioned with the American invasion and convincing them to support the terrorist organization’s resurgence. Bombings and mass attacks on civilian, government and foreign operations are increasingly common, and are causing death rates to soar to higher levels. Hamid Karzai’s interim administration has largely been ineffective to matters of governing and protecting the civil populace. Inside Kabul the Western-backed regime reigns supreme, but outside the capital city power is mostly left to the leaders of tribes and armed militias. The International Security Assistance Force is the real power in Afghanistan, to the strong dislike of many civilians. However, in the weeks leading up to March 20th Karzai has been painting an image of optimism in Afghanistan. Foreign aid in the form of money and humanitarian assistance is pouring in the country from places such as Belgium, and countries like Canada are focusing peacekeeping efforts on Afghanistan to help keep order in the country. The Karzai regime has also signed agreements with the United Nations High Commissioner on Refugees to initiate voluntary repatriation for tens of thousands of Afghan refugees to the country. With the vision of hope in a new Afghanistan, can anything shatter the image? The Karzai administration is weaving an era of peace and rule of law in a country that has been unstable for as long as anyone can remember. However, it is March 2003, and America has been upping its rhetoric against Saddam Hussein. What will American actions towards Iraq mean for Afghanistan? Afghan President Hamid Karzai. Source: The Wall Street Journal Suggested Sources The War in Afghanistan Khalilzad, Zalmay. "The War in Afghanistan." International Journal 41, no. 2 (1986): 271-99. Zalmay Khalilzad was a Professor of Political Science at Columbia University and a senior State Department advisor under President Ronald Reagan. This article, published in the International Journal in 1986, describes the effects of the Soviet intervention in Afghanistan several years after the beginning. Pak-Afghan Drug Trade in Historical Perspective Haq, Ikramul. "Pak-Afghan Drug Trade in Historical Perspective." Asian Survey 36, no. 10 (1996): 945-63 Ikramul Haq is a human rights lawyer and journalist covering drug abuse and trafficking. This article, published in Asian Survey in 1996, addresses the effects of the drug trade in the Pakistan-Afghanistan area and the history behind it. The Taliban: Exporting Extremism Rashid, Ahmed. "The Taliban: Exporting Extremism." Foreign Affairs 78, no. 6 (1999): 22 35. Ahmed Rashid is a journalist who has spent more than twenty years covering the Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Central Asia region for multiple news outlets. His article, published in Foreign Affairs in 1999, concentrates on the divisiveness and radicalization that the terrorist group is creating in the area. Terrorism, Freedom, and Social Justice Brecher, Irving. "Terrorism, Freedom, and Social Justice." International Journal 57, no. 1 (2001): 141-47. Irving Brecher was an Economics Professor at McGill University, and has written on human rights, economic development, and Canadian public policy. His article, published in the International Journal in 2001, focuses on the aftermath of the September 11 attacks in the United States on the war in Afghanistan, with a specific lens on the effects of terrorism and foreign intervention on the local population. Bibliography Bearden, Milton. "Afghanistan, Graveyard of Empires." Foreign Affairs. November 01, 2001. Accessed September 19, 2016. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/afghanistan/2001-11-01/afghanistangraveyard-empires. Freedman, Robert O. "Soviet Policy Towards The Middle East Since The Invasion Of Afghanistan." Journal of International Affairs 34, no. 2 (1980): 283-310. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/24356893. Allan, Pierre, and Albert A. Stahel. "Tribal Guerrilla Warfare against a Colonial Power: Analyzing the War in Afghanistan." The Journal of Conflict Resolution 27, no. 4 (1983): 590-617. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/173887. Halliday, Fred, and Zahir Tanin. "The Communist Regime in Afghanistan 19781992: Institutions and Conflicts." Europe-Asia Studies 50, no. 8 (1998): 1357-380. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/153920. "U.N. Security Council: Resolution 1267 (1999) (On The Situation In Afghanistan)." International Legal Materials 39, no. 1 (2000): 235-37. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/20693974. Manhart, Christian. "The Afghan Cultural Heritage Crisis: UNESCO's Response to the Destruction of Statues in Afghanistan." American Journal of Archaeology 105, no. 3 (2001): 387-88. Akhtar, Nasreen. "Pakistan, Afghanistan, And The Taliban." International Journal on World Peace 25, no. 4 (2008): 49-73. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/20752859. Harding, Thomas. "Blast Survivor Tells of Massoud Assassination." The Telegraph. October 26, 2001. Accessed September 25, 2016. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/afghanistan/1360632/Blast-survivortells-of-Massoud-assassination.html. Collins, Brian. "Operation Enduring Freedom and the Future of NATO." Georgetown Journal of International Affairs 3, no. 2 (2002): 51-56. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/43134050. Weinberger, Naomi. "Civil-Military Coordination in Peacebuilding. The Challenge in Afghanistan."Journal of International Affairs 55, no. 2 (2002): 245-74. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/24358170. Herold, Marc W. "»Collateral Damage«?: Civilians and the US Air War in Afghanistan." Sicherheit Und Frieden (S F) / Security and Peace 20, no. 1 (2002): 18-26. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/24230935. Love, Maryann Cusimano. "Morality Matters: Ethics and Power Politics in the War on Terrorism."Georgetown Journal of International Affairs 3, no. 2 (2002): 7-15. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/43134045. Suhrke, Astri, Kristian Berg Harpviken, and Arne Strand. "After Bonn: Conflictual Peace Building."Third World Quarterly 23, no. 5 (2002): 875-91. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/3993393. Rashid, Ahmed. "Afghanistan: Ending the Policy Quagmire." Journal of International Affairs 54, no. 2 (2001): 395-410. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/24357737. "Afghans Avert Assassination Plot." CNN. July 29, 2002. Accessed October 14, 2016. http://www.cnn.com/2002/WORLD/asiapcf/central/07/29/afghan.attempt/. Thier, Alexander, and Jarat Chopra. "The Road Ahead: Political and Institutional Reconstruction in Afghanistan." Third World Quarterly 23, no. 5 (2002): 893-907. http://www.jstor.org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/stable/3993394.
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