Decadal evolution of the coastal temperature from satellite and in situ data sets : case of the English Channel by Francis Gohin and Bertrand Saulquin, Ifremer Brest DYNECO/PELAGOS Why a SST climatology ? A request of the community of biologists in the context of the global change (the GMES spirit) A huge effort in coastal operational oceanography A support from different European projects (MarCoast/ESA, ECOOP/FP6) The SST climatologies available Faugères et al. (SAF) CASEY (NODC) SST mid-September ! " # # ! % % & '0& '( % )* % $ $ && +* 0 & ' + & ,-. /' 067 7.8-66* (1 2100 " 3 " 3 % 4& % 4& 5 5 % % 9 78:(( ! " Parameters P0, P1 of the seasonal curves derived from AVHRR data (1986-2005). P0, mean sst. P1, warming slope. ! " Parameters P2, P3, parameters of the first of the first harmonic of the seasonal curves P2, first harmonic amplitude P3, first harmonic phase ! " Parameters P4, P5, parameters of the second harmonic of the seasonal curves P4, second harmonic amplitude P5, second harmonic phase ! " Total variance of the satellite SST residuals over the period 1986-2005. The kriging method # $ % Firstly, the space-time covariance is estimated γ(∆ ∆x,∆ ∆t) = 1/2E[SST(x+∆ ∆x,t+∆ ∆t) - SST(x,t)]2 ! #$ #$ #$ #$ Secondly, SST is estimated by kriging on a 5km and weekly grid ; #$ #$ #$ ! #$ The Kriging Matrix The interpolator is linear & ' = No bias : α α λα (α λα = Optimal ; minimization of Var[Y*(x) – Y(x)] Inversion of the kriging matrix (covariance matrix) % % The variograms % % ! &'# ( )* + /0#( #( , #+ #+ ) ! #$ . ! ! ! 32 #(#2 #($ 32 #( 1 + #2 #($ 4 R/S versus In situ SST ) + * " * * The kriging applied to the coastal stations : The coastal gradient ) , - . ," . 0& & & ROSCOFF The cross-shore effect at Roscoff 4 )) # # 5 # #2 62 The temporal variability : The Marel buoy, La Carosse, in the plume of the river Seine X Mineral SPM X Chlorophyll 7# # ( !& + & ' !& +9 <9 = " ' The 19031927 mean SST 9°5 10° 10°5 11° 5 From Atlas de Temperature de Salinité de l’Eau de Surface ICES 1933, Kopenhagen 11°5 12° 12°5 (SST of the English Channel estimated by Lumby) ( !& > +9 <9 = " ' 10°5 The 19031927 mean SST 11° 12° 12°5 13°5 13° 13° 12°5 13° From Atlas de Temperature de Salinité de l’Eau de Surface ICES 1933, Kopenhagen (SST of the English Channel estimated by Lumby) 2 %& ! #( ( #2 2 5 ### 2+ 8 #+ # #( # 2 6 (( 2 # )) * 1 " * . " *1 / -234& ,+ 1 * " *3 " ,/ 0. 5 *1 35
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