THE INDIAN HIGH SCHOOL DUBAI MODEL UNITED NATIONS 2017 BACKGROUND GUIDE UNITED NATIONS GENERAL ASSEMBLY 4 (SPECIAL POLITICAL AND DECOLONIZATION – SPECPOL) INTRODUCTION TO COMMITTEE - SPECPOL (GENERAL ASSEMBLY 4) The Special Political and Decolonization Committee, commonly abbreviated as SPECPOL, is the Fourth Committee of the General Assembly of the United Nations. Until the late 1970s, the First Committee of the General Assembly was called the Political and Security Committee (POLISEC). In the late 1970s, POLISEC was renamed to Disarmament and Security Committee (DISEC), and an unnumbered committee was added to the GA, the Special Political Committee. It looked into matters that DISEC did not handle, such as decolonization. Later, in 1993, the Special Political Committee was merged with the Decolonization Committee, the then Fourth Committee of the GA. This new committee was called the Special Political and Decolonization Committee (SPECPOL), and was made the new Fourth Committee of the General Assembly, in accordance with GA resolution 47/233. SPECPOL looks into issues regarding decolonization, peacekeeping, mine action, Palestinian refugees and human rights, outer space, public information, atomic radiation and University for Peace. SPECPOL not only looks into issues that DISEC does not address, but also explores them in a wider aspect. SPECPOL has passed many resolutions regarding the aforementioned topics. SPECPOL consists of all 193 members of the United Nations, and meets at the same time as the rest of the General Assembly. Sessions commence regularly, just as other GA committees, with the main session beginning in September and lasting till December. Sometimes, the main session is prolonged till January if all issues have not been dealt with. Agendas of SPECPOL, just as any other General Assembly committee, are decided up to seven months in advance of the session. 60 days before the opening session, the agenda is slightly modified, to be more specific and accurate. It is now called the provisional agenda. The first committee session is where the final agenda is decided upon. Voting in SPECPOL is similar compared to other General Assembly Committees. A draft resolution must attain two-thirds majority of all. AGENDA 1 THE SITUATION IN KASHMIR 1.1 Introduction The Kashmir conflict is a dispute over the territory of Kashmir. The dispute is between India and Pakistan. India claims the entire region that was once a princely state. It currently controls about 43% of the territory, including most of Jammu, the Kashmir Valley, Ladakh, and the Siachen Glacier. India's claims are disputed by Pakistan, which controls about 37% of Kashmir, including Azad Kashmir and the northern areas of Gilgit and Baltistan. Pakistan says there should be a referendum in Kashmir on whether the people want to join India or Pakistan, or become independent. 1.2 History The conflict started during the Partition of India (1947–48). The partition of the Indian subcontinent along religious lines led to the formation of India and Pakistan. However, there remained the crisis of over 650 states, run by princes, existing within the two newly independent countries. In theory, these princely states had the option of deciding which country to join, or of remaining sovereign. On October 20, 1947, tribesmen backed by Pakistan invaded Kashmir. The Maharaja of Jammu & Kashmir initially fought back but on 27 October appealed for aid to the Governor-General Louis Mountbatten, who agreed on the condition that the ruler accedes to India. Once the papers of accession to India were signed, Indian soldiers entered Kashmir with orders to stop any further occupation, but they were not allowed to expel anyone from the state. India took the matter to the United Nations. The UN resolution asked Pakistan to vacate the areas it has occupied and asked India to assist the U.N. Plebiscite Commission to organize a plebiscite to determine the will of the people. Pakistan refused to vacate the occupied areas. In 1947-8 India and Pakistan fought their first war over Jammu and Kashmir. Under United Nations' supervision, they agreed to a ceasefire along a line which left one-third of the state comprising what Pakistan calls Azad Jammu and Kashmir, and the Northern Areas administered by Pakistan and two-thirds, Jammu, Ladakh and the Kashmir Valley, controlled by India. In 1972, under the terms of the Simla agreement, the ceasefire line was renamed the Line of Control. India referred the dispute to the United Nations on 1 January. In a resolution dated August 13, 1948, the UN asked Pakistan to remove its troops, after which India was also to withdraw the bulk of its forces. Although India claims that the entire state is part of India, it has been prepared to accept the Line of Control as the international border, with some possible modifications. Both the US and the UK have also favored turning the Line of Control into an internationally-recognized frontier. But Pakistan has consistently refused to accept the Line of Control as the border since the predominantly Muslim Kashmir Valley would remain as part of India. Formalizing the status quo also does not take account of the aspirations of those Kashmiris who have been fighting since 1989 for independence for the whole or part of the state. 1.3 The Water Dispute Another reason behind the dispute over Kashmir is water. Many rivers start in Kashmir. Some of them are tributaries of the Indus River basin, such as the Jhelum and Chenab River. These flow into Pakistan and are used for irrigation there. Other rivers like the Ravi, Beas River and the Sutlej flow into northern India. 1.4 Violence in Indian Administered Kashmir Although in recent years violence in Indian-administered Kashmir has abated, the causes of the insurgency have not gone away. Put simply, many people in the territory - especially in the Muslim-majority Kashmir valley - do not want it to be governed by India. They would prefer to be either independent or part of Pakistan. The population of the Indian-administered state of Jammu and Kashmir is over 60% Muslim, making it the only state within India where Muslims are in the majority. The sense of alienation from Delhi is especially to be found among young people in the Kashmir valley, a problem which has been made worse by high unemployment and what many see as heavy-handed tactics from Indian paramilitary forces in stifling their protests. 1.5 Recent Changes For much of the 1990s, separatist militancy and cross-border firing between the Indian and Pakistani armies left a death toll running into tens of thousands and a population traumatized by fighting and fear. While relations in general warmed from 2000 onwards, tension again resurfaced with the Mumbai attacks of November 2008 in which gunmen from Pakistan killed 165 people. But there have been indications over the past decade, highlighting changes such as: In 2003, the two countries agreed to a ceasefire across the Line of Control (LoC) that divides Indian and Pakistani-administered Kashmir In 2006, Pakistan said it stopped all funding for militant operations in Kashmir, ignoring protests by some of the more influential groups. In February 2010 India announced an amnesty for fighters from Indian-administered Kashmir, saying they could return from Pakistani territory. Early in 2012, Islamabad cut by half the administrative funds it issues to groups that still maintain offices in Pakistaniadministered Kashmir. At the same time, it offered a cash rehabilitation package to former fighters to abandon militancy. One thing that has not changed, however, is the Line of Control (LoC) which divides Kashmir on an almost two-to-one basis: Indian-administered Kashmir to the east and south (population about nine million), known by India as Jammu and Kashmir state; and Pakistani-administered Kashmir to the north and west (population about three million), which is labeled by Pakistan as "Azad" (Free) Kashmir. China also controls a small portion of Kashmir. 1.6 Current Division of Kashmir One of the origins of the conflict is that with the Boundary Award of 1947, many of the Pakistani irrigation systems can be controlled from India. Pakistan has been afraid that India could stop the flow of rivers that start in Indian-controlled Kashmir and flow into Pakistan. This would harm the agrarian economy of Pakistan. The Indus Waters Treaty signed in 1960 resolved most of these disputes over the sharing of water. The treaty has not been fully followed: India has since constructed dams which limit the flow of water to the Pakistani side. Republic of India controls the state of Jammu and Kashmir. It is made of the Jammu region, the Kashmir valley, and Ladakh. Pakistan refers to this as Indian occupied Kashmir or Indian controlled Kashmir. 1. The territories known as Northern Areas and Azad Jammu and Kashmir are administered by Pakistan. Islamabad calls them Pakistan-administered Kashmir. India refers to this as Pakistan-occupied Kashmir. 2. The region called Aksai Chin is controlled by China. China also controls a territory it received from Pakistan, called Trans-Karakoram Tract. The legality of this swap is disputed by India. 3. The Siachen Glacier is currently a disputed territory; India controls the glacier, Pakistan the valley below. 4. The Trans-Karakoram Tract is an area Pakistan gave to China in the year 1963. Pakistan says the area was uninhabited, so there is no question of conflict. India claims this area as part of its state Jammu and Kashmir. Kashmir has been a flashpoint between India and Pakistan for more than 60 years. Currently a boundary - the Line of Control - divides the region in two, with one part military occupied by India and one administered by Pakistan. India would like to formalize this status quo and make it the accepted international boundary. But Pakistan and Kashmiri activists reject this plan because they both want greater control over the region. 1.6.1 Trans Karakoram Tract The Trans-Karakoram Tract is an area of nearly 5,800 km² that, India claims, was transferred by a border agreement from the Pakistani-administered Northern Areas to China in 1963 with the stipulation that the settlement was subject to the final solution of the Kashmir dispute. Pakistan says that it was a no-man's un-demarcated border land; hence no question arises of its being transferred. The transfer is disputed by India which claims the Tract as part of Jammu and Kashmir State. 1.6.2 Aksai Chin Aksai Chin is one of the two main disputed border areas between China and India, the other being a part of Arunachal Pradesh. It is administered by China as part of Hotan County, but is also claimed by India as a part of the Ladakh region of the state of Jammu and Kashmir. In 1962, China and India fought a brief war over Aksai Chin and Arunachal Pradesh, but in 1993 and 1996, the two countries signed agreements to respect the Line of Actual Control. 1.7 Chinese Interests China had never accepted the British-negotiated boundary agreements in northeastern Kashmir. This remained the case following the communist takeover in China in 1949, although the new government did ask India—without success—to open negotiations regarding the border. After Chinese authority was established in Tibet and reasserted in Xinjiang, Chinese forces penetrated into the northeastern parts of Ladakh. This was done mainly because it allowed them to build a military road through the Aksai Chin plateau area to provide better communication between Xinjiang and western Tibet; it also gave the Chinese control of passes in the region between India and Tibet. India’s belated discovery of this road led to border clashes between the two countries that culminated in the Sino-Indian war of October 1962. China has occupied the northeastern part of Ladakh since the conflict. India refused to negotiate with China on the alignment of the Ladakh boundary in this area, and the incident contributed significantly to a diplomatic rift between the two countries that began to heal only in the late 1980s. In the following decades, China worked to improve its relations with India, but there has been no resolution to the disputed Ladakh frontier. 1.7.1 Sino- Indian War In 1962, troops from the People's Republic of China and India clashed in territory claimed by both. China won a swift victory in the war; resulting in Chinese annexation of the region they call Aksai Chin and which has continued since then. Trans-Karakoram was demarcated as the Line of Control (LOC) between China and Pakistan, although some of the territory on the Chinese side is claimed by India to be part of Kashmir. The line that separates India from China in this region is known as the "Line of Actual Control" 1.8 How dangerous is the Kashmir dispute? From potentially being one of the most dangerous disputes in the world - which in the worstcase scenario, hints that it could trigger a nuclear conflict - the recent warming of relations between Delhi and Islamabad has led to less threatening behavior over the Kashmir dispute. In 1998 India and Pakistan both declared themselves to be nuclear powers with a string of nuclear tests. In 2002 there was a huge deployment of troops on both sides of the border as India reacted to an armed attack on the national parliament in Delhi the previous December. India said the attack was carried out by Pakistani-based militants assisted by the Pakistan government - a charge always denied by Pakistan. 1.8.1 Religion and Socio-Economic Factors Ethnicity and religion are critical identity markers in Kashmir. Geographically, the area commonly referred to as Kashmir actually encompasses five provinces, which are divided by the Line of Control between India and Pakistan. Demographic variables in each of these provinces have played into the broader conflict, especially in the three provinces on the Indian side of the Line of Control: the Kashmir Valley, Jammu, and Ladakh. In the Kashmir Valley, which includes the regional capital of Srinagar, Muslims predominate, making up 95 percent of the approximately 6 million residents. In contrast, in the Jammu region, Hindus are in the majority, with 67 percent of the population of about 5 million. Muslims are the second largest group, with 30 percent of the population. Muslims are divided in terms of ethnicity, particularly between those living in Jammu and Kashmir. This has resulted in internal fragmentation that complicates negotiation efforts. The third Indian-controlled region, Ladakh, is experiencing population shifts but until recently had a slight Tibetan Buddhist majority (50 percent) and a significant population of Shi’a Muslims (46 percent). This region is much less densely populated than Jammu and the Kashmir Valley, with only 250,000 residents. Population estimates vary for the two Pakistani provinces: approximately 900,000 people lived in Gilgit-Baltistan at the last census in 1998, whereas Azad Kashmir has approximately 3.2 million residents according to the Pakistani government. The Pakistani side of the Line of Control, in contrast to the Indian-controlled territory, is almost exclusively Muslim (99 percent of residents). However, this apparent homogeneity masks important religious differences among Muslims, especially within Gilgit-Baltistan. Here, the Shi’a majority regularly clashes with a Sunni minority that is closely aligned with the Pakistani military and central government in Islamabad. Kashmir’s economy is still struggling to recover from the devastating earthquake of late 2005, which struck primarily Pakistanicontrolled Kashmir. This has had an important impact in the realm of education. Educational infrastructure was already lacking there, and the 2005 earthquake reduced much of it to rubble. Indian and other international observers have expressed concern that radical Islamists have stepped into this social service vacuum in Pakistani-administered Kashmir, and that extremist Madrasas are training the next generation of Islamic militants. Such schools have been the cause of civil conflict in Gilgit-Baltistan, with local Shi’as rejecting the narrowly constructed Sunni curricula that are imposed on their children. Such objections touched off deadly riots on multiple occasions during the past decade. Kashmir’s ethnic and religious diversity, once the hallmark of its local pluralism, has become the stage for a wider set of adversarial contests between India and Pakistan. Many locals, regardless of their faith tradition, have been caught in the middle—victims of national militaries, insurgents, or both. Over time, however, wider trends toward religious nationalism and heavy-handed actions by the Indian government have driven many members of religious communities to align themselves with one side or the other, eroding trust and contact across religious lines. In conclusion, the Kashmir dispute is infused by notions of religious identity, but at its heart is not a war for or against a faith. Rather, it is a geopolitical contest between national governments that is rooted in national interests, notions of security, and the regional dynamics of ethnic and religious nationalism and militancy. 1.8.2 The Humanitarian Crisis and Political Chaos Kashmir conflict is raked up at regular intervals by international observers, leftist academia and separatists. Amidst a plethora of voices speaking for their cause, the issue faced by the residents of valley remains lost somewhere. Suppressed by ultra-nationalist voices on either sides of the border, the day-to-day atrocities suffered by Kashmir remains neglected. A hostile border condition resulting from a volatile relation between the two loggerhead neighbors’, leads to the death of dozens monthly. In the recent years Indian authorities have claimed more than 125 instances of ceasefire violation whereas as Pakistan has countered the claim by citing 70 cases of unprovoked firings by India. The contentious point of Kashmir infuriates the establishment in New Delhi and Islamabad. Both sides are quick to highlight the cruelties afflicted by the opposing regimes in their side of occupation. Pakistan continues to slam India at global forums for imposing the infamous Armed Forces Special Powers Act (AFSPA) in the valley since the past 25 years. The allegations of Pakistan earned some credibility following the 2015 report of Amnesty International which said “India fails its own constitution, when it comes to Kashmir”. However, New Delhi has enough material to retaliate the charges by pointing out the adverse condition prevailing in Pakistan Occupied Kashmir (PoK). The infamous Sino-Pak boundary agreement in 1963 passed over hundreds of kilometers of land in PoK to China. Further, number of people has been tried under the sedition law in PoK as compared to Jammu and Kashmir. At the 28th Geneva Convention, when Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif was busy building up allegations of aggression against India, activists from PoK and Giglit-Baltistan were protesting at the sidelines of the event. The United Kashmir People’s National Party (UKPNP) has alleged more than 200 activists from the region being booked under the stringent provisions of sedition, and around 12 of them have been imprisoned for life. New Delhi has refrained to crackdown in such a nefarious manner on the leaders of Hurriyat. The Kashmir conflict has turned into an instrument of political gamble. Unfortunately, both the parties dealing with situation lack direction, seriousness and impulse to resolve the crisis. Since 1989, over 50,000 people are claimed to have died during the conflict. Data released in 2011 by Jammu and Kashmir government stated that, in the last 21 years, 43,460 people have been killed in the Kashmir insurgency. Of these, 21,323 are militants, 13,226 civilians killed by militants, 3,642 civilians killed by security forces, and 5,369 policemen killed by militants, according to the Jammu and Kashmir government data. In its report of September 2006, Human Rights Watch stated that, “Indian security forces claim they are fighting to protect Kashmiris from militants and Islamic extremists, while militants claim they are fighting for Kashmiri independence and to defend Muslim Kashmiris from an abusive Indian army. In reality, both sides have committed widespread and numerous human rights abuses and violations of international humanitarian law (or the laws of war).” Human Rights Watch also blamed Pakistan for supporting militants in Kashmir, in same 2006 report it says, "There is considerable evidence that over many years Pakistan has provided Kashmiri militants with training, weapons, funding and sanctuary.” Pakistan remains accountable for abuses committed by militants that it has armed and trained. The violence was condemned and labeled as ethnic cleansing in a 2006 resolution passed by the United States Congress. It stated that the Islamic terrorists infiltrated the region in 1989 and began an ethnic cleansing campaign to convert Kashmir into a Muslim state. According to the same resolution, since then nearly 400,000 Pandits were either murdered or forced to leave their ancestral homes. According to a Hindu American Foundation report, the rights and religious freedom of Kashmiri Hindus have been severely curtailed since 1989, when there was an organized and systematic campaign by Islamist militants to cleanse Hindus from Kashmir. Less than 4,000 Kashmiri Hindus remain in the valley, reportedly living with daily threats of violence and terrorism. 1.8.3 Environmental Destruction Kashmir once known as "paradise on earth," a home to vast wildlife reserves including some species so rare that they exist only in Kashmir, are now quickly falling victim to the desolation which has encompassed much of this piece of land. Rare species like the Snow Leopard frequently hunted by military officials and poachers for its precious skin and teeth, has now almost become extinct. Similarly, the world famous Kashmiri Otters are now rarely seen in the valley. The massive deployment of Indian armies on the borders of Kashmir has resulted in large scale poaching as the troops living in the border areas indulged in killing rare species like the Ibex, Blue Sheep, Urian, the Big Horned Sheep, Antelope and Snow Leopard. At first, the soldiers were killing the animals for to satisfy hunger but when the poorly paid soldiers realized how valuable the animal furs and skins were in the international markets, they started to slaughter the Kashmiri animals with a much greater zeal. The consequence has been that some of the rare species like the Snow Leopard, Flying Squirrel and Long Tailed Himalayan Marmot have been pushed to being on the verge of extinction. 1.8.4 The Threat of a Nuclear War over Kashmir The heated conflict between Pakistan and India regarding the Kashmir has recently come to the attention of the world. The United Nations had always held that Kashmir should be allowed the right to a plebiscite, but there was no impending reason which would make the United Nations force India to give the Kashmiris this right. In the past year, however, certain happenings have given the rest of the world reason to worry over the outcome of the Kashmir issue. On May 11, 1998, a statement was issued by the Indian government announcing they had successfully carried out three underground nuclear tests at the Pokhran range. Two days later, after carrying out two more underground sub-kiloton tests, the Indian government declared themselves a nuclear state. Days after India tested nuclear weapons, Pakistan followed suit with its own nuclear tests in order to prove they too possessed nuclear capability. The position of national security and survival is present in the Indian and Pakistani viewpoints on nuclear weapons. A potent force propelling the Indian and Pakistani weapons programs is nationalism. This is evident from the national consensus in each country on nuclear 1.8.5 Youth Tribulations in the Conflicted Kashmir Region Youth are uniquely affected by violence and threats to their security. They are vulnerable as both victims and perpetrators of violence. It is often remarked that war would not be possible without youth in any part of the world. However, there is the lack of attention to, and thorough documentation of, the positive contributions of youth in society (Rodgers, 1999). Kashmiri youth reported that the poor governance and political institutions especially dominancy of one community in governance and administration, weak and four hurried political negotiations and transitions, restrictions on social and cultural practices, rigging of elections, widespread and escalating corruption have also been responsible for violent conflict. The deteriorating links between government and citizens, lack of accountability of political leaders and institutions, and increasingly disregarding certain groups in the political sphere, excluding them in consultations, and dismissing their opinions in decision-making have initiated conflict and over the period it sustained and becomes more violent. The media has increasingly politicized on ethnic/political lines (pro or anti government), which reinforced negative attitudes towards other groups. They opined that with the passage of time, there has been decline in status of human rights, particularly along ethnic/political lines. The development programs in the past (inadvertently) favor one community, and ignored the rural poor, which has created a sense of hate and revenge among them and when they noticed an opportunity they joined the armed groups, which has resulted in escalation of violence conflict. Deciding whether to test a nuclear weapon was the promise it had made to the people during the last election process. The majority of Indians wanted to deter not only Pakistan but China as well and thought that a test would help this deterrence. The rapid technological advances by Pakistan in recent years are a symbol of nationalistic pride in a country which has overcome major political, technical, and industrial challenges, to mount a program with a team of dedicated scientists. Pakistan and India are showing the world, as China did in the sixties, how a country with limited technical resources and a narrow industrial base can acquire nuclear weapons and ballistic missile capabilities by riding the wave of nationalism. India refuses to sign the Non-Proliferation Treaty because the five nuclear superpowers are unwilling to commit to any timetable for the elimination of nuclear weapons. In voicing its own opinion, the Kashmir issue could at least end with a result that would appease all three parties. As people continue to suffer through the death and heartache caused by the last fifty years, a peaceful resolution is long overdue and waits to be put into place. 1.9 Involvement of the United Nations In January 1948, the Security Council adopted resolution 39 (1948), establishing the United Nations Commission for India and Pakistan (UNCIP) to investigate and mediate the dispute. In April 1948, by its resolution 47 (1948), the Council decided to enlarge the membership of UNCIP and to recommend various measures including the use of observers to stop the fighting. In July 1949, India and Pakistan signed the Karachi Agreement establishing a ceasefire line to be supervised by the military observers. These observers, under the command of the Military Adviser, formed the nucleus of the United Nations Military Observer Group in India and Pakistan (UNMOGIP). On 30 March 1951, following the termination of UNCIP, the Security Council, by its resolution 91 (1951) decided that UNMOGIP should continue to supervise the ceasefire in Kashmir. UNMOGIP's functions were to observe and report, investigate complaints of ceasefire violations and submit its finding to each party and to the Secretary-General. The United Nations Security Council Resolution 47 was passed by United Nations Security Council under chapter VI of UN Charter. Resolutions passed under Chapter VI of UN charter are considered non binding and have no mandatory enforceability as opposed to the resolutions passed under Chapter VII. On January 24, 1957 the UN Security Council reaffirmed the 1948 resolution. The Security Council, reaffirming its previous resolution to the effect, "that the final disposition of the state of Jammu and Kashmir will be made in accordance with the will of the people expressed through the democratic method of a free and impartial plebiscite conducted under the auspices of United Nations," further declared that any action taken by the Constituent Assembly formed in Kashmir " would not constitute disposition of the state in accordance with the above principles.” In March 2001, the then Secretary-General of the United Nations, Kofi Annan during his visit to India and Pakistan, remarked that Kashmir resolutions are only advisory recommendations and comparing with those on East Timor and Iraq was like comparing apples and oranges, since those resolutions were passed under chapter VII, which make it enforceable by UNSC. In 2003, then Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf said Pakistan was willing to consider alternative bilateral options to resolve the dispute other than solely UN resolutions. In 2010, United States Ambassador to India, Timothy J. Roemer said that Kashmir is an 'internal' issue of India and not to be discussed on international level rather it should be solved by bilateral talks between India and Pakistan. He said, "The (US) President (Barack Obama), I think was very articulate on this issue of Kashmir. This is an internal issue for India." India alleges that Pakistan failed to fulfill the pre-conditions by withdrawing its troops from the Kashmir region as was required under the same U.N. resolution of 13 August 1948 which discussed the plebiscite. 1.10 Topics to focus on Having revised all the problems and the situation at hand the Executive Board urges delegates to frame a resolution which would provide solutions for: 1. Suggestions for a gradual and peaceful ceasefire between the rival parties and to reach an agreement upon the division of Kashmir; 2. Whether the region of Kashmir should be registered and run under the government of either rival parties, or the territory be declared as an independent state; 3. The question of the citizenship of the residents of the Kashmir region; 4. Immediate actions for the safety of the civilian life and soldiers present in the conflicted region; 5. Reduction of the use of nuclear weapons by both parties; 6. And, to reduce the environmental effects of the war 1.11 Bibliography and Additional Links 1. Anon, (2016). [online] Available at: http://mrsleaversclass.weebly.com/uploads/2/2/9/2/22927178/kashmir_case_study.pdf [Accessed 1 Sep. 2016]. - Case Study 2. Anon, (2016). [online] Available at: http://www.icyrnet.net/UserFiles/File/Publication%20Resources/Research%20Report s/Youth_Case_Study_Paper_FKSUDAN.pdf [Accessed 1 Sep. 2016]. - Case Study 3. BBC News. (2016). Kashmir militants give up fight and head home - BBC News. [online] Available at: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-18270058 [Accessed 1 Sep. 2016]. 4. BBC News. (2016). Q&A: Kashmir dispute - BBC News. [online] Available at: http://www.bbc.com/news/10537286 [Accessed 1 Sep. 2016]. 5. Encyclopedia Britannica. (2016). Kashmir | region, Indian subcontinent. [online] Available at: https://global.britannica.com/place/Kashmir-region-Indiansubcontinent#ref673547 [Accessed 1 Sep. 2016]. 6. In.news.yahoo.com. (2016). China's won't take sides on Kashmir: Chinese media. [online] Available at: https://in.news.yahoo.com/chinas-wont-sides-kashmir-chinesemedia-080004620.html [Accessed 1 Sep. 2016]. 7. India.com. (2015). Kashmir: The irresolvable point of contention between India and Pakistan. [online] Available at: http://www.india.com/news/india/kashmir-theirresolvable-point-of-contention-between-india-and-pakistan-513515/ [Accessed 1 Sep. 2016]. 8. Jong, K., Kam, S., Ford, N., Lokuge, K., Fromm, S., Galen, R., Reilley, B. and Kleber, R. (2008). Conflict in the Indian Kashmir Valley II: psychosocial impact. Conflict and Health, [online] 2(1), p.11. Available at: http://conflictandhealth.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/1752-1505-2-11 [Accessed 1 Sep. 2016]. 9. NDTV.com. (2016). Kashmir Situation: Latest News, Photos, Videos on Kashmir Situation - NDTV.COM. [online] Available at: http://www.ndtv.com/topic/kashmirsituation [Accessed 1 Sep. 2016]. 10. Peacenews.info. (2016). Nuclear war over Kashmir: a real threat | Peace News. [online] Available at: http://peacenews.info/node/5573/nuclear-war-over-kashmirreal-threat [Accessed 1 Sep. 2016]. 11. Telegraph.co.uk. (2016). A brief history of the Kashmir conflict. [online] Available at: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/1399992/A-brief-history-of-the-Kashmirconflict.html [Accessed 1 Sep. 2016]. 12. The Huffington Post. (2010). [online] Available at: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/eric-margolis/kashmir-could-start-anuc_b_731607.html [Accessed 1 Sep. 2016]. 13. Un.org. (2016). UNITED NATIONS INDIA-PAKISTAN OBSERVATION MISSION (UNIPOM) - Background. [online] Available at: http://www.un.org/en/peacekeeping/missions/past/unipombackgr.html [Accessed 1 Sep. 2016]. 14. Web.stanford.edu. (2016). Nuclear Tension Over the Kashmir. [online] Available at: http://web.stanford.edu/class/e297c/war_peace/confrontation/htension.html [Accessed 1 Sep. 2016]. 15. Www1.american.edu. (2016). Case Study. [online] Available at: http://www1.american.edu/ted/ice/kashmiri.htm [Accessed 1 Sep. 2016]. AGENDA 2 THE VALIDITY OF REFERENDUMS IN AREAS OF DISPUTE 2.1 Introduction “The power of the people is so much stronger than the people in power.”- Wael Ghonim The Oxford dictionary defines ‘Referendum’ as “a general vote by the electorate on a single political question which has been referred to them for a direct decision.” It is synonymous with ‘Plebiscite’ or a ‘vote on Ballot Question’ in some countries. However, there are several differences in the way countries define this particular term. For instance, Australia defines 'referendum' as a vote to change the constitution, and 'plebiscite' as a vote that does not affect the constitution. While few countries suggest that ‘plebiscite’ is a type of vote to change the constitution or government of a country. Therefore, the term ‘Referendum’ will be used in the Background Guide hereinafter. Referendums can be divided into two categories based on how legally binding they are: Mandatory or Obligatory referendum: A mandatory or obligatory referendum is a vote of the electorate which is called automatically under circumstances defined in the constitution or in the legislation. The consequences of the vote are usually binding. Therefore, if a proposal passes, the government or appropriate authority is compelled to implement it. Optional or Facultative Referendum: These are votes of the electorate which are called by a formal demand, which may emanate from the executive, from a number of members of the legislature, from a number of citizens or from some other defined agent. The consequences of the vote may or may not be binding. When the validity of referendums is being questioned, the right to self-determination arises. The UN charter gives people the right to self-determination and by virtue of that right they are free to determine their political status. Whereas, this clashes with sovereignty provided to countries that they have the authority to decide the proceedings of the country. It is usually the right given to people versus the right given to the State. Referendums also induce ethnic conflict. Most countries in the world have large disparities in the ethnic distribution of their populations. In the case of most referendums, the majority group tends to dominate and get the result of the referendum in its favor. This has and can in the future as well result into widespread conflicts which leads to several deaths. Referendums also avoid to a certain extent the involvement of the international community in areas of territorial dispute. However, this sometimes results in domination by the more powerful country. Countries argue that if the United Nations takes actions then it would affect the sovereignty and integrity of the nation. Another frequently asked question is how to restore peace and stability in a region where a referendum fails in whichever way. How to solve an end state issue? What should be given more power: sovereignty or self determination in case a referendum fails? 2.2 Responsibility to Protect The paragraphs 138 and 139 of the outcome document of the 2005 world summit introduced the world to Responsibility to Protect (R2P) which reconceptualized Sovereignty. The text of R2P has been provided below: “138. Each individual State has the responsibility to protect its populations from genocide, war crimes, ethnic cleansing and crimes against humanity. This responsibility entails the prevention of such crimes, including their incitement, through appropriate and necessary means. We accept that responsibility and will act in accordance with it. The international community should, as appropriate, encourage and help States to exercise this responsibility and support the United Nations in establishing an early warning capability. 139. The international community, through the United Nations, also has the responsibility to use appropriate diplomatic, humanitarian and other peaceful means, in accordance with Chapters VI and VIII of the Charter, to help protect populations from genocide, war crimes, ethnic cleansing and crimes against humanity. In this context, we are prepared to take collective action, in a timely and decisive manner, through the Security Council, in accordance with the Charter, including Chapter VII, on a case-by-case basis and in cooperation with relevant regional organizations as appropriate, should peaceful means be inadequate and national authorities manifestly fail to protect their populations from genocide, war crimes, ethnic cleansing and crimes against humanity. We stress the need for the General Assembly to continue consideration of the responsibility to protect populations from genocide, war crimes, ethnic cleansing and crimes against humanity and its implications, bearing in mind the principles of the Charter and international law. We also intend to commit ourselves, as necessary and appropriate, to helping States build capacity to protect their populations from genocide, war crimes, ethnic cleansing and crimes against humanity and to assisting those which are under stress before crises and conflicts break out.” Even though R2P prevented to a certain extent ethnic conflicts, it was considered very ambiguous and not legally binding. Larger countries argue that if R2P was made legally binding, the loopholes present in it would lead to rendering it completely useless. However, smaller countries argue that making R2P legally binding is an instrument against the more powerful countries to not allow them to exercise their will on the smaller countries. How are referendums related to R2P? Referendums reflect the conflict between sovereignty and self determination and R2P is probably the only link between these two concepts. 2.2.1 Issues with Responsibility to Protect 2.2.1.1 Legal Status of R2P The R2P is difficult to place under any of the constituents of international law, namely treaty law, customary international law and norms. It can be argued that R2P falls under treaty law as it is well founded in various documents. At the same time, with no definitive treaty or framework, the R2P would appear to most countries as a norm rather than law. To which the committee will also have to ask if it is time to create a definitive framework or treaty governing the R2P. 2.2.1.2 The Problem of Actors With the vague reference to the international community, the R2P does not name who bears the responsibility to protect. One perception would be that it is the UNSC’s job to protect, but as has been seen in many occasions, the UNSC is unable to act due to lack of consensus in theP-5s. Also, there are many instances when other international bodies such as NATO and AU have taken upon them the responsibility to protect. Thus it becomes an important question as to what are the relevant international actors who have the authority to intervene. It is an important question when taken in the context of the sovereignty and self determination debate. Another aspect to this question is that of mixed motives as the actors must not enter with vested interests and must be acting with the appropriate intentions. 2.3 Past, Present and Future of a Hypothetical Referendum Any referendum could be divided into three stages: Past, Present and Future. The Past would include the beginning and escalation of an issue, by whichever means it happens, to an extent to which it becomes imperative to conduct a referendum to solve it. The Present would include the way the referendum is conducted and its verdict. It could also include the disputes that arise while conducting the referendum. The Future would be what happens after a Referendum. If a referendum is successful, there is no need to deliberate on the future aspect. But if the referendum fails in whichever way, it can harm peace and stability in a region, which can also be a grave potential threat to international security. A failed referendum can result to various harmful effects, the two most dangerous of them being end state issue and ethnic conflict. 2.4 End State Issue: Is the Country even capable of conducting a Referendum? Perhaps the most important question in the quest for reconciling sovereignty with the responsibility to protect is the question of the end-state. A military intervention against the state, as is often the case, leaves the government non-existent. In such a scenario, how do the intervening parties create a legitimate state. The end state is important so as to ensure that an intervention does not result in an occupation. In a scenario where an end state occurs, the people of the region neither have the resources nor the knowledge of administrating the State. In such a scenario, is a referendum a viable solution to solve the administration issues? Does the right to self-determination solve the end state? Delegates must address the following questions: Should the intervening State have any role in the stabilizing the end state? How would the end State find its economic resources for its administration until it is stable? How will the internal conflicts that arise in the State after the end state occurs be prevented? Should the end-state issue be addressed by the responsibility to protect? 2.5 Case Studies 2.5.1 Case Study: The situation in Ukraine The Republic of Crimea, officially part of Ukraine, lies on a peninsula stretching out from the south of Ukraine between the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov. It is separated from Russia to the east by the narrow Kerch Strait. Crimea has been ruled over by a multitude of countries and the issue of territorial disputes is not a new one for the Peninsula. Crimea was under the reign of the Ottoman Empire before it was annexed by Russia in 1783. Crimea was a source of tourism and energy resources for the Russian federation for almost two centuries before declaring itself autonomous and changing its name to the Crimean Autonomous Soviet Socialist Republic in 1921. The region saw autonomous rule for almost 25 years before Joseph Stalin abolished the autonomy of the state post the conclusion of the Second World War. Stalin justified this abolition as a result of the large Russian population residing in Crimea which wished to be ‘reconciled with Russia’. This situation is very similar to the one at hand, with President Vladimir Putin playing a role analogous to that of Stalin in 1945. It wasn’t until 1994 that Russia finally recognized Crimea and even pledged to uphold the territorial integrity and sovereignty of Ukraine at the Budapest Memorandum Treaty summit the same year. The following year saw the Ukrainian parliament play a rather tyrannous rule by abolishing the Crimean Constitution which allowed Crimea considerable autonomy while it was still a part of Ukraine. Ukraine also ousted its then-President Yuri Meshkov and deported him from Ukraine in 2011 when he tried to restore the 1992 version of the Crimean Constitution. The referendum conducted by the Russian Federation recently gave voters a choice to restore the same constitution, however, this referendum was denounced by the international community and not recognized by the Ukrainian Parliament, as discussed below. Hence, Crimea has a long history of territorial conflicts and constitutional breaches and recent events can be compared to Crimea’s long-disputed past. In early 2014 Crimea became the focus of the worst East-West crisis since the Cold War, after Ukraine's pro-Moscow president Viktor Yanukovych was driven from power by violent protests in Kiev. Russian-backed forces seized control of the Crimean Peninsula, and the territory, which has a Russian-speaking majority, voted to join Russia in a referendum that Ukraine and the UNGA have deemed illegal. The Republic of Crimea addressed the UN seeking recognition as a sovereign state and called on Russia to integrate it into the Russian Federation. 96.77 percent of the Crimean population voted ‘for’ the integration in a referendum. Crimea was declared an independent sovereign state, the Republic of Crimea, on Monday, the autonomous Ukrainian regional parliament's website stated. The Supreme Council of Crimea unanimously voted to integrate of the region into Russia. Russia has argued that the Crimean independence is legitimate as the unilateral declaration of independence by Kosovo provides legal precedent for such a scenario. The Obama administration and most European governments argue that the referendum violates both the Ukrainian constitution and international law. The Ukrainian constitution requires that any changes to the territory of Ukraine be approved by a referendum of all of the Ukrainian people. The requirement is consistent with general principles of international law, which respects the territorial integrity of states and does not recognize a right of secession by a group or region in a country unless the group or region has been denied a right to "internal self-determination" (i.e., its right to pursue its own political, economic, social, and cultural development) by the central government or has been subject to grave human rights violations by the central government. These factors, which could give rise to a right of remedial secession under international law, are not present in Crimea. Up to now, the UN has come up with two "major" moves on Ukraine: First, there was a vote in the UN Security Council, convened in March at the request of the interim government in Kiev, on the draft resolution condemning the referendum in Crimea that saw it leaving Ukraine and joining Russia. The resolution was - surprise, surprise - vetoed by Russia, with China abstaining and the rest, including Chad, supporting it wholeheartedly. And secondly, the UN General Assembly resolution on March 27 which called on nations not to accept the Crimean referendum and was approved by 100 countries, rejected by 11, with 58 abstaining. 2.5.2 Case Study: Possible Referendum in Kashmir The conflict in Kashmir begins with the partition of India and Pakistan. Kashmir, a princely state with an overwhelming Muslim population, was ruled by a Hindu ruler, Maharaja Hari Singh. He chose to remain neutral and did not join either Pakistan or India. In October 1948, due to Pakistani tribesmen posing a threat, Maharaja Hari Singh asked the Indian army for assistance and signed the instrument of accession. India referred the case to the UN, which asked for a ‘free and fair’ plebiscite in Kashmir after the removal of Pakistani militant forces and the Indian military. However, the plebiscite has not happened as Pakistan claims that part of Kashmir is militarily occupied by India, whereas India claims that the military presence is necessary to prevent militancy. Ever since, India has always claimed Kashmir to be a bilateral issue and refused foreign intervention. Kashmir enjoys a special autonomous status under article 370 of the Indian constitution within the national border of India. Therefore, the election of government officials, political party leaders, and local reformatory measures all occur under the jurisdiction of the semiautonomous state. In addition, the Parliament requires the state government’s concurrence for applying all laws, excluding the ones pertaining to defense, foreign affairs, finance and communications. Being located in the heart of much territorial dispute, it is needless to say that the Kashmiri populous is torn between several different national and psychological fronts, as well as religious identities. Despite Kashmir being a territory of the Indian government, territorial disputes throughout the centuries have resulted in a three-way division of Jammu/Kashmir. The southern-most territory of the region, generally known as Jammu/Kashmir continues to belong to India under legal frames. The eastern territory known as Aksai Chin has belonged to China since 1962. Finally, the northern and western-most territories known as Azad Kashmir and Gilgit-Baltistan have belonged to Pakistan since 1947. Despite Jammu/Kashmir being a legal territory of India, internal division has been occurring for the past decades, characterized by polarized political and religious standpoints of the people within. Violence and unrest is occurring, mainly within the Kashmir valley. The Indian army has been accused of human rights violations in the region, which have often led to violent clashes in the valley. Along with that, both the UN resolutions and the Shimla agreement fail to give the option for an independent Kashmir, whereas upon independence from British colonization, Princely States had full authority to remain independent. Thus the question of international intervention is pressing when it comes to the conflict in Kashmir. The only safe way to truly determine the will of the entirety of Jammu/Kashmir and to have hard facts to move the issue further would be to hold a UN regulated referendum. Through UN monitoring of this process, a safe, fair, and true result could be determined. At this point, the result could be utilized for negotiations between India and Pakistan, determining the next course of action. 2.5.3 Case Study: Cyprus Dispute The Cyprus dispute or Cyprus issue is the ongoing issue of military invasion and continuing Turkish occupation (since 1974) of the northern third of the island, a situation described and deplored in multiple UN reports and resolutions. Although the Republic of Cyprus is recognized as the sole legitimate state, sovereign over all the island, the north is de facto under the administration of the self-declared Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, which is under Turkish Cypriots and Turkish Armed Forces control. Under the final proposals, the Republic of Cyprus would become the United Cyprus Republic. It would be a loose federation composed of two component states. The northern Turkish Cypriot constituent state would encompass about 28.5% of the island, the southern Greek Cypriot constituent state would be made up of the remaining 71.5%. Each part would have had its own parliament. There would also be a bicameral parliament on the federal level. In the Chamber of Deputies, the Turkish Cypriots would have 25% of the seats. (While no accurate figures are currently available, the split between the two communities at independence in 1960 was approximately 80:20 in favour of the Greek Cypriots.) The Senate would consist of equal parts of members of each ethnic group. Executive power would be vested in a presidential council. The chairmanship of this council would rotate between the communities. Each community would also have the right to veto all legislation. One of the most controversial elements of the plan concerned property. During Turkey's military intervention/invasion in 1974, many Greek Cypriots (who owned 90% of the land and property in the north) were forced to abandon their homes. (A large number of Turkish Cypriots also left their homes.) Since then, the question of restitution of their property has been a central demand of the Greek Cypriot side. However, the Turkish Cypriots argue that the complete return of all Greek Cypriot properties to their original owners would be incompatible with the functioning of a bi-zonal, bi-communal federal settlement. To this extent, they have argued compensation should be offered. The Annan Plan attempted to bridge this divide. In certain areas, such as Morphou (Güzelyurt) and Famagusta (Gazimağusa), which would be returned to Greek Cypriot control, Greek Cypriot refugees would have received back all of their property according to a phased timetable. In other areas, such as Kyrenia (Girne) and the Karpass Peninsula, which would remain under Turkish Cypriot control, they would be given back a proportion of their land (usually one third assuming that it had not been extensively developed) and would receive compensation for the rest. All land and property (that was not used for worship) belonging to businesses and institutions, including the Church the largest property owner on the island, would have been expropriated. While many Greek Cypriots found these provisions unacceptable in themselves, many others resented the fact that the Plan envisaged all compensation claims by a particular community to be met by their own side. This was seen as unfair as Turkey would not be required to contribute any funds towards the compensation. Apart from the property issue, there were many other parts of the plan that sparked controversy. For example, the agreement envisaged the gradual reduction in the number of Greek and Turkish troops on the island. After six years, the number of soldiers from each country would be limited to 6,000. This would fall to 600 after 19 years. Thereafter, the aim would be to try to achieve full demilitarisation, a process that many hoped would be made possible by Turkish accession to the European Union. The agreement also kept in place the Treaty of Guarantee – an integral part of the 1960 constitution that gave Britain, Greece and Turkey a right to intervene militarily in the island's affairs. Many Greek Cypriots were concerned that the continuation of the right of intervention would give Turkey too large a say in the future of the island. However, most Turkish Cypriots felt that a continued Turkish military presence was necessary to ensure their security. Another element of the plan the Greek Cypriots objected to was that it allowed many Turkish citizens who had been brought to the island to remain. (The exact number of these Turkish 'settlers' is highly disputed. Some argue that the figure is as high as 150,000 or as low as 40,000. They are seen as settlers illegally brought to the island in contravention of international law. However, while many accepted Greek Cypriot concerns on this matter, there was a widespread feeling that it would be unrealistic – and legally and morally problematic – to forcibly remove every one of these settlers, especially as many of them had been born and raised on the island.) Under the terms of the plan, the Annan plan would only come into force if accepted by the two communities in simultaneous referendums. These were set for 24 April 2004. In the weeks that followed there was intense campaigning in both communities. However, and in spite of opposition from Rauf Denktaş, who had boycotted the talks in Switzerland, it soon became clear that the Turkish Cypriots would vote in favour of the agreement. Among Greek Cypriots opinion was heavily weighted against the plan. Tassos Papadopoulos, the president of Cyprus, in a speech delivered on 7 April called on Greek Cypriots to reject the plan. His position was supported by the centrist Diko party and the socialists of EDEK as well as other smaller parties. His major coalition partner AKEL, one of the largest parties on the island, chose to reject the plan bowing to the wishes of the majority of the party base. Support for the plan was voiced by Democratic Rally (DISY) leadership, the main right-wing party, despite opposition to the plan from the majority of party followers, and the United Democrats, a small centre-left party led by George Vasiliou, a former president. Glafcos Clerides, now retired from politics, also supported the plan. Prominent members of DISY who did not support the Annan plan split from the party and openly campaigned against it. The Greek Cypriot Church also opposed the plan in line with the views of the majority of public opinion. The United Kingdom (a Guarantor Power) and the United States came out in favour of the plan. Turkey signalled its support for the plan. The Greek Government decided to remain neutral. However, Russia was troubled by an attempt by Britain and the US to introduce a resolution in the UN Security Council supporting the plan and used its veto to block the move. This was done because they believed that the resolution would provide external influence to the internal debate, which they did not view as fair. In the 24 April referendum the Turkish Cypriots endorsed the plan by a margin of almost two to one. However, the Greek Cypriots resoundingly voted against the plan, by a margin of about three to one. This referendum result was very disputable as one-fourth of the population of Cyprus did not receive a result in their favor, which is a large number. 2.6 Topics to focus on 1. Sovereignty and Self-Determination 2. R2P 3. End-State Issue 4. Past, Present and Future of a Referendum 5. Referendums and Ethnic Conflicts 6. Quorum requirements for a valid referendum 7. Intervention of the United Nations when a referendum fails 8. Wars and Referendums 9. Role and stance of your country in the issue 10. Past actions of your country on the issue 11. Long term solutions to the existing issue 2.7 Bibliography and Additional Links 1. BBC News. (2016). Kashmir territories profile - BBC News. [online] Available at: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-south-asia-11693674 [Accessed 16 Aug. 2016]. 2. Csis.org. (2016). The Ukraine Crisis Timeline. [online] Available at: http://csis.org/ukraine/index.htm [Accessed 16 Aug. 2016]. 3. Cyprus Mail. (2014). 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