G Model AAP-2600; No. of Pages 11 ARTICLE IN PRESS Accident Analysis and Prevention xxx (2011) xxx–xxx Contents lists available at SciVerse ScienceDirect Accident Analysis and Prevention journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/aap A prospective cohort study on minor accidents involving commuter cyclists in Belgium Bas de Geus a , Grégory Vandenbulcke b , Luc Int Panis c,d , Isabelle Thomas b , Bart Degraeuwe c , Elke Cumps a , Joris Aertsens c , Rudi Torfs c , Romain Meeusen a,∗ a Department of Human Physiology & Sports Medicine, Faculteit LK, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Belgium C.O.R.E. and Department of Geography, Université catholique de Louvain (UCL), Belgium c Flemish Institute for Technological Research (VITO), Boeretang 200, 2400 Mol, Belgium d Transportation Research Institute (IMOB), University of Hasselt, Belgium b a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 10 May 2011 Received in revised form 14 September 2011 Accepted 27 September 2011 Keywords: Utilitarian cycling Incidence Incidence rate Prospective study Exposure SHAPES a b s t r a c t The purpose of this study is to gain insight into bicycle accidents. Bicycle accident data and weekly exposure data were prospectively collected for one year to calculate the incidence rate (IR) of bicycle accidents. An accident was included if it occurred during utilitarian cycling, resulting in an acute injury with corporal damage. If an accident occurred, a detailed questionnaire was filled out to collect detailed information about its circumstances and consequences. A sample of 1087 regular (≥2 cycling trips to work a week) adult (40 ± 10 years) cyclists was analyzed. Over the 1-year follow-up period, 20,107 weeks were covered, accumulating 1,474,978 cycled kilometers. Sixty-two participants were involved in 70 bicycle accidents, of which 68 were classified as ‘minor’. The overall IR for the 70 accidents was 0.324 per 1000 trips (95% CI 0.248–0.400), 0.896 per 1000 h (95% CI 0.686–1.106) and 0.047 per 1000 km (95% CI 0.036–0.059) of exposure. Brussels-capital region is the region with the highest IR (0.086; 95% CI 0.054–0.118), with a significantly (P < 0.05) higher IR compared to Flanders (0.037; 95% CI 0.025–0.050). Injuries were mainly caused by ‘slipping’ (35%) or ‘collision with a car’ (19%). The accidents caused abrasions (42%) and bruises (27%) to the lower (45%) and upper limbs (41%). Police, hospital emergency department or insurance companies were involved in only 7%, 10% and 30% of the cases, respectively. It is noteworthy that 37% of the participants indicated that they could have avoided the accident. In order to decrease the number of accidents, measures should be taken to keep cycling surfaces clean and decrease the number of obstacles on bicycle infrastructure. Roads and intersections need to be built so that the collisions between cars and bicycles are decreased to a minimum. Car drivers and cyclists should pay more attention towards each other. Underreporting of minor bicycle accidents in Belgium is confirmed, and is higher than expected. Reliable accident statistics, taking into account exposure, are needed to decide which road safety measures are the most effective. The ‘safety in numbers’ principle is also applicable for minor bicycle accidents. © 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. 1. Introduction Cycling is recognized as an excellent way of being physically active and maintaining good health (Oja et al., 1998, 2011; Hendriksen et al., 2000; de Geus et al., 2008, 2009). Furthermore, increased active transport (walking and cycling) could have a substantial role in meeting targets for urban air quality, ∗ Corresponding author at: Department of Human Physiology & Sports Medicine, Faculteit LK, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, B-1050 Brussels, Belgium. Tel.: +32 2 6292222; fax: +32 2 6292876. E-mail address: [email protected] (R. Meeusen). greenhouse-gas emissions, and could result in major public-health benefits (Int Panis et al., 2004; Woodcock et al., 2007). While cycling brings many personal, environmental and societal benefits, important barriers to cycling exist. These include fear of crime/vandalism, bad weather, social pressure, hills and slopes and long commuting distances (e.g. Pucher et al., 1999; Rietveld and Daniel, 2004; Gatersleben and Appleton, 2007; Parkin et al., 2008). Other important barrier to cycling are concerns about traffic safety, with women fearing accidents more than men (Vuori et al., 1994; Byrnes et al., 1999; Garrard et al., 2008; Tin Tin et al., 2010), lack of adequate infrastructure (Pucher et al., 1999; Parkin et al., 2007; Vandenbulcke et al., 2009) and exposure to air pollution (Int Panis et al., 2010; Jacobs et al., 2010). The balance between risks and 0001-4575/$ – see front matter © 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.aap.2011.09.045 Please cite this article in press as: de Geus, B., et al., A prospective cohort study on minor accidents involving commuter cyclists in Belgium. Accid. Anal. Prev. (2011), doi:10.1016/j.aap.2011.09.045 G Model AAP-2600; No. of Pages 11 ARTICLE IN PRESS B. de Geus et al. / Accident Analysis and Prevention xxx (2011) xxx–xxx 2 benefits is a topic of ongoing debate (de Hartog et al., 2010; Int Panis, 2011). The modern traffic system is primarily designed for motorized vehicles and often fails to make provision for other road users. Pedestrians and cyclists incur higher crash risks than motorists (in particular car drivers) in terms of accidents per distance covered (Pucher and Dijkstra, 2000; van Boggelen et al., 2005; BRSI, 2009; Elvik, 2009; Tin Tin et al., 2010). In Norway, the risk of injury, expressed as fatalities per kilometer while cycling is about 7.5 times higher than for car drivers (Pucher and Dijkstra, 2000; Elvik, 2009). In the Netherlands, for all age groups, about 5.5 times more fatal injuries are recorded per kilometer travelled by bicycle than by car (CBS, 2008). A study in Portland (US) (Hoffman et al., 2010) reported that nearly one in five bicycle commuters will experience an event leading to injury in any given year, regardless of gender, age, body mass index (BMI), or cycling skill level. Most statistics on bicycle accidents result from retrospective surveys (Jacobson, 2003). A weakness of a retrospective study design is the selection and recall bias, resulting in the fact that especially the most serious injuries will be remembered or registered. It is well known that most road accident statistics strongly underestimate the total number of cycling accidents meaning that only the ‘tip of the iceberg’ is investigated (Dhillon et al., 2001; De Mol and Lammar, 2006; Hoffman et al., 2010), particularly when there is no hospitalization and the cyclist is the only party involved (Veisten et al., 2007; Vandenbulcke et al., 2009). A comparison of hospital admissions related to cycling accidents and police registrations of such accidents show that the latter register only 50% of the total number of cycling accidents in Europe (De Mol and Lammar, 2006) and only 10% in the US (Stutts et al., 1990; Pucher and Dijkstra, 2000). Several authors have estimated that in Belgium only about 15% of the cycling accidents are officially reported (Doom and Derweduwen, 2005; De Mol and Lammar, 2006; BRSI, 2006). A shortcoming of the current literature and another weakness specific to retrospective study designs is that no precise recording of exposure data (bicycle usage, i.e. travel time, distance, frequency) is available nor is it possible to record such data precisely (Aultman-Hall and Hall, 1998). Yet the recording of exposure data is essential for the calculation of the incidence rate (IR). Data on the numerator (accidents) and denominator (exposure) recorded separately are inadequate to determine an IR, making comparisons between countries or regions within one country difficult (Jacobsen, 2003). For the implementation of safety measures and the assessment of injury costs, a complete and accurate recording of minor and major accidents and the recording of the cycling exposure is essential. So far, only Aertsens et al. (2010) and Hoffman et al. (2010) have published results of a cohort study of minor bicycle accidents and detailed exposure data simultaneously. The purpose of this study was therefore to record bicycle accidents, and to gain insight into exposure data during one year, using a prospective study design. The combination of accident and exposure data allows us to calculate the incidence rate of bicycle accidents. 2. Methodology 2.1. Study design This study is part of the SHAPES project (Systematic analysis of Health risks and physical Activity associated with cycling PoliciES) which is at the crossroads of health, transport and air pollution research. The aim of the SHAPES project is to analyze the benefits and risks (voluntary and involuntary) of cycling and to advise policy makers in order to facilitate the implementation of integrated policies related to cycling for transport. Within the SHAPES project exposure to traffic exhaust and accidents during cycling were considered as risks. For this part of the SHAPES project, an online data registration system was developed to get insight into bicycle accidents and factors related to their occurrence in regular commuter cyclists in Belgium. Exposure (bicycle usage) was recorded simultaneously in a prospective way. For this study only utilitarian cycling was taken into account. Utilitarian cycling was defined as commuting to or from work or cycling for other transport purposes. ‘Sports-related’ cycling, e.g. cycling for competition or cycling that is not done in traffic, was excluded. This web- and e-mail-based data collection system was incorporated into the website of the SHAPES project: www.shapes-ssd.be. Access to the online data collection system was not restricted, so that anyone could access the website and participate so long as the inclusion and exclusion criteria were met. The following inclusion criteria were checked: (1) age between 18 and 65 years; (2) having a paid job based outside the home; (3) cycling to work at least 2 times a week in the preceding year; (4) living in Belgium. After entering their e-mail address, an automatically generated e-mail was sent to the tentative participant. In this first e-mail, information related to the purpose of the study was given. The main dataset for this study was collected between March 10th 2008 and March 16th 2009. Those who fulfilled the inclusion criteria received a second automatically generated e-mail with a request to fill out the General Questionnaire (GQ). Together with this e-mail they also received the first weekly travel diary (TD). The last question of the TD asked whether an accident had occurred during the past 7 days. If an accident occurred, the participant got access to the Prospective Questionnaire (PQ). 2.2. Study area Belgium is a small and highly urbanized European country covering approximately 30,000 km2 and has approximately 11 million inhabitants. At the European level (EU 15), Belgium is ranked fourth, with a bicycle share of 2.42% (in traveller-km/person/yr), compared to Germany: 2.47%; Denmark: 5.48%; the Netherlands: 6.66% (EU, 2003; Rietveld and Daniel, 2004; Vandenbulcke et al., 2011). Belgium is subdivided into three institutional regions: the Brussels-capital region (BCR, central – officially Dutch-French bilingual), the Flemish region (north, Dutch-speaking) and the Walloon region (south, French-speaking). Although Belgium is divided into three institutional regions, traffic legislation is the same, including the mandatory use of lights and reflectors. The use of bicycle helmet or other protective measurements for commuting purposes is non-mandatory. Nevertheless, the regions have a certain freedom to adopt different flanking policies. In Flanders traffic calming measures are more frequent, traffic speeds and speed limits for motorized traffic on secondary roads are lower and more bicycle infrastructure is available (Vandenbulcke et al., 2009). The BCR (more than one million inhabitants) is a particular region as it consists of a single condensed urbanized built-up area. Data from the Belgian ‘National household survey’ showed a clear-cut north-south division in terms of bicycle use, infrastructure, pro-bicycle policies, flat vs. hilly terrain, and attitude towards cycling (for details, see Vandenbulcke et al., 2009, 2011). In Flanders, 12% of all trips to work are made by bicycle, compared to 2% in Wallonia and 1% in BCR (NIS, 2001). For commuting to work this seems to stay the same in Flanders throughout the years, as indicated by data collected in 2007–2008 (OVG, 2008). For BCR and Wallonia a relative increase in commuting trips by bicycle from 1.2% to 1.5% of all home-work trips was estimated between 2005 Please cite this article in press as: de Geus, B., et al., A prospective cohort study on minor accidents involving commuter cyclists in Belgium. Accid. Anal. Prev. (2011), doi:10.1016/j.aap.2011.09.045 G Model AAP-2600; No. of Pages 11 ARTICLE IN PRESS B. de Geus et al. / Accident Analysis and Prevention xxx (2011) xxx–xxx and 2008 (FOD, 2010). A report from Pro Velo shows a 294% increase in the number of cyclists between 2000 and 2008 in BCR (Pro Velo, 2010). 2.3. Questionnaires – travel diary The General Questionnaire (GQ) is inspired by the Belgian National household survey on mobility (NIS, 2001) and recent literature (e.g. Kim et al., 2007). In this GQ, traffic-related aspects are questioned, e.g. travel frequency, presence of bicycle paths on the road to work, and postal code associated with the places of residence and work. The GQ was also used to collect self-reported demographic variables: gender, age, height, weight, level of education, job category, perceived health, and living situation. The Prospective Questionnaire (PQ) is inspired by existing national official registration systems for traffic accidents (FPS Economy), recent literature (e.g. Brooks and Fuller, 2007; Richter et al., 2007) and the BLITS® online registration system for sports injuries (Cumps et al., 2007). The PQ is designed to collect detailed information on the (i) context and circumstances of the accident (e.g. purpose of the trip, weather conditions, time of day and visibility, type of road, road conditions, traffic situation), (ii) cause of the accident and injury, (iii) presence and cause of possible physical injuries, (iv) type of injury (e.g. affected body part(s), injury type), (v) protective and preventive measures taken at the time of the accident, (vi) presence of material damage, (vii) medical care, (viii) reporting by police, insurance company, hospital, and (ix) possibility of avoiding the accident. In order to obtain a detailed overview of the exposure, participants filled out travel diaries (TD) of their travel frequency, time spent cycling and distance travelled over the past 7 days. The same TD has been used in other studies (de Geus et al., 2008, 2009). All participants that fulfilled the inclusion criteria received an automatically generated e-mail every week at the same moment (Monday at 2 AM) inviting them to fill out one unique TD. 2.4. Incidence, incidence rate Incidence was defined as the number (N) of injuries during the 1-year follow-up period. Incidence rates (IR) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were calculated as the number of injuries reported per (i) 1000 trips; (ii) 1000 h; and (iii) 1000 km of exposure. Exposure data were limited to trips, hours and kilometers cycled by every participant. The accident and exposure data were assigned to gender and region of the place of residence (Section 3.2). Incidence rates for the various types of road infrastructure, environmental characteristics (urban vs. rural), cause of the accident, and medical consequences could therefore not be calculated (Sections 3.3–3.6). 2.5. Accident and injury definition Inclusion criteria for the registration of an accident and injury were: (i) accident during utilitarian cycling; (ii) acute accident and/or injury; (iii) with corporal damage; (iv) injury more serious than a muscle cramp or bruise. Accidents were categorized as ‘minor’ or ‘major’ bicycle accident according to the definition used by the Belgian National Institute for Statistics. ‘Minor’ is defined as accidents where the person is hospitalized for less than 24 h. ‘Major’ is defined as hospitalization of more than 24 h. 3 3. Results and discussion 3.1. Participants After one year, 1849 persons left their e-mail address on the server (Table A, Appendix). Of these, 646 either did not open the first e-mail or did not meet the inclusion criteria. Only those (N = 1187; 68% men) who filled out more than one TD were retained for the data analyses presented in this paper. Thirty-six percent of those retained for the data analysis lived in the BCR, 49% in Flanders and 15% in Wallonia. Descriptive data of the injured participants are reported in Table B (Appendix) and compared with those participants not involved in an accident (SHAPES participants). Table B also includes data from a representative sample of the Belgian cycling population, collected within the framework of the national socioeconomic census carried out in 2001 by the National Institute for Statistics (NIS, 2001). The SHAPES study population consists of highly educated (88%), middle aged individuals (40 ± 10 years of age), with only 2.4% blue collar workers. Almost 72% of the study population indicated that they live with a partner. They have a mean body mass index of 23.2 (±3.1) and perceive their health as being ‘good’ (49%) to ‘very good’ (43%). No significant differences for demographic variables were found between those not reporting any accident and those who did report one or more accident(s). Significantly (P < 0.05) more participants in the SHAPES study are men, have a higher education and less participants are blue collar workers in comparison with the NIS (2001) data. 3.2. Exposure–incidence–incidence rate 3.2.1. Overall incidence rate For a better understanding of ‘how dangerous’ cycling is and to make the link between health and sustainable travel, exposurebased fatality rates are needed (Christie et al., 2007). Only when we understand the differences in how much people cycle, and then express the number of injuries per unit of exposure, can we measure how ‘safe’ and health-enhancing these activities are, and how specific policies contribute to improved safety. During the 1-year follow-up period a total of 20,107 weeksworth of travel diaries were collected. During this period, the participants cycled 214,644 trips, 78,099 h and 1,474,978 km. A total of 70 bicycle accidents resulting in an acute body injury were reported by 62 participants. One participant sustained three injuries and six participants sustained two injuries. Of the 62 injured participants, 44 were men and 18 were women. The overall incidence rate (IR) in our study is 0.324 per 1000 trips (95% CI 0.248–0.400), 0.896 per 1000 h (95% CI 0.686–1.106) and 0.047 per 1000 km (95% CI 0.036–0.059) of exposure. In other words, 1 accident occurred every 3066 trips, 1116 h or 21,071 km cycled. In one of the few prospective cohort studies (Hoffman et al., 2010), conducted in the Portland (US) metropolitan area, where bicycle accidents and exposure were measured simultaneously, 164 cyclists reported 192 traumatic events and 49 cyclists reported 50 serious traumatic events. In their study, the IR of traumatic events and serious traumatic events was 15.0 (95% CI 13.2–17.5) and 3.9 (95% CI 2.9–5.1) per 100,000 miles commuted, respectively. These results are very similar, as the IR in our study was 7.5 (95% CI 5.8–9.4) per 100,000 miles. As part of the SHAPES study, Vandenbulcke et al. (2009) analyzed the road accident statistics between 2002 and 2005 (annual data from NIS) in a population of cyclists aged between 18 and 65 years, including mostly major accidents (accidents that required hospital treatment) and fatal injuries. Time spent cycling to and from work was used as the denominator. They showed that in Belgium the Please cite this article in press as: de Geus, B., et al., A prospective cohort study on minor accidents involving commuter cyclists in Belgium. Accid. Anal. Prev. (2011), doi:10.1016/j.aap.2011.09.045 G Model AAP-2600; No. of Pages 11 ARTICLE IN PRESS B. de Geus et al. / Accident Analysis and Prevention xxx (2011) xxx–xxx 4 Fig. 1. Incidence rate (95% CI) per 1000 km for the total study period. risk of being seriously injured or killed is 0.069 per 100,000 min cycled compared to 1.493 minor accidents per 100,000 min in this study. This difference in IR is probably due to the severity of the recorded accidents. In an epidemiologic study conducted in New Zealand (Tin Tin et al., 2010), using only on-road cycling accidents leading to deaths and serious injuries (Abbreviated Injury Scale ≥ 3) 0.052 injuries occurred per 100,000 min spent cycling. Nine accidents occurred in the month of June, followed by seven accidents in December, seven in January, seven in February and seven in April. The absolute number of accidents per week and the distance cycled during that same week were used to calculate the IR per week (Fig. 1). Although participants cycled more kilometers during spring (440,830 km), than in winter (295,695 km), the IR was not significantly different between the 4 seasons. The IR in the weeks with snow or icy roads was 0.099 (95% CI 0.053–0.145) and in weeks without snow or icy roads the IR was 0.048 (0.036–0.060). In the study of Hoffman et al. (2010), December and January were the months with the highest IR. Continuous maintenance of the bicycle infrastructure is therefore considered to be one of the most important measures to decrease the number of traumatic events during this period (Hoffman et al., 2010). 3.2.2. Incidence rate per region Data from the National Institute for Statistics (NIS, 2009) show that in Flanders the absolute number of fatal accidents decreased from 122 to 76 between 2000 and 2008, whereas in BCR only 3 fatal accidents were recorded during the same period. Major accidents, involving a hospitalization of more than 24 h, stayed approximately the same over time in BCR, Flanders and Wallonia. The number of minor bicycle accidents (hospitalization of less than 24 h) increased between 2000 and 2008, by +125% in BCR, +25% in Flanders and +2% in Wallonia. The large increase in accidents in the BCR could be the result of the large increase in bicycle usage. As mentioned before, a report from Pro Velo shows a 294% increase of the number of cyclists between 2000 and 2008 (Pro Velo, 2010). Data from this study, counting mostly minor accidents, showed a higher incidence in Flanders, followed by BCR and then Wallonia (Table 1). These results could make us wrongly conclude that cycling in Flanders is unsafe compared to BCR and Wallonia. Brussels is the region with the highest IR, with a significantly (P < 0.05) higher IR compared to Flanders. The so called ‘safety in numbers’ principle (Jacobsen, 2003; Robinson, 2005; Elvik, 2009) is based on official statistics, including mostly major and fatal injuries. Therefore, it is not known if the ‘safety in numbers’ effect applies to non-reported accidents, like minor accidents and accidents only involving a single vehicle (Elvik, 2009). Vandenbulcke et al. (2009) have shown that Flanders has the highest incidence of fatal injuries and major accidents, but when exposure was taken into account the risk of a cyclist being seriously injured or killed was lower compared to Wallonia. In Flanders, the risk was spatially homogeneous and lower than the average for the whole of Belgium (0.069 per 100,000 min cycled). In Wallonia, the casualty risks were much more varied: there was a very low casualty risk (equal or close to zero) in the majority of communes (due to the fact that very few if any cyclist was seriously injured or killed). On the other hand, nearly 38% of communes had quite a high casualty risk (0.069–3.716 per 100,000 bicycle-minutes). When looking at the regional level, the results from this study and Vandenbulcke et al. (2009) are complementary, as the present study calculates the incidence rate of minor and major accidents. Both studies indicate that Flanders has the highest bicycle share, the highest incidence, but the lowest IR for minor and major accidents. From the results of this study compared to those presented in Vandenbulcke et al. (2009), it is found that in the BCR the IR of minor accidents is high, but low for major and fatal accidents. The BCR is highly urbanized making on the one hand the interaction between bicycles and cars more frequent (which potentially increases the number of accidents), but on the other hand resulting in slowing down of motorized traffic (which would decrease the severity of the injury if an accident occurs between a bicycle and a car) caused by the large number of hurdles (e.g. traffic lights, pedestrian crossings, congestion). Our results demonstrate that the ‘safety in numbers’ principle is also applicable for minor bicycle accidents. Possible explanations for the ‘safety in numbers’ effect are motorists driving more carefully when they expect to see, and share the road with, proportionally more cyclists (Jacobsen, 2003) or being more likely to be a cyclist themselves which in turn (may) induce a different driving behavior (Vandenbulcke et al., 2009). Table 1 Incidence, exposure and incidence rate per region. Incidence Number of injuries (N) Exposure Frequency (# of trips) Time (h) Distance (km) Incidence rate (95% CI) /1000 trips /1000 h /1000 km Brussels-capital region Flanders Wallonia 28 34 8 64,982 20,153 325,210 116,262 45,190 909,033 22,920 8540 160,873 0.431 (0.271–0.590) 1.389 (0.875–1.904) 0.086 (0.054–0.118) 0.292 (0.194–0.391) 0.752 (0.499–1.005) 0.037 (0.025–0.050) 0.349 (0.107–0.591) 0.937 (0.288–1.586) 0.050 (0.015–0.084) Values in Bold indicate a significant difference (P < 0.05). Note: 511 (2.54%) travel diaries could not be attributed to a specific region. Please cite this article in press as: de Geus, B., et al., A prospective cohort study on minor accidents involving commuter cyclists in Belgium. Accid. Anal. Prev. (2011), doi:10.1016/j.aap.2011.09.045 ARTICLE IN PRESS G Model AAP-2600; No. of Pages 11 B. de Geus et al. / Accident Analysis and Prevention xxx (2011) xxx–xxx Table 2 Incidence, exposure and incidence rate per gender. Incidence Number of injuries (N) Exposure Frequency (# of trips) Time (h) Distance (km) Incidence rate (95% CI) /1000 trips /1000 h /1000 km 5 Table 3 Most cited weather condition and state of the road at the time of the accident. Men Women 44 18 149,346 57,633 1,143,299 60,592 18,891 304,164 0.341 (0.248–0.435) 0.885 (0.642–1.128) 0.045 (0.032–0.057) 0.314 (0.173–0.455) 1.006 (0.554–1.458) 0.062 (0.034–0.091) Note: 509 (2.53%) travel diaries could not be attributed to a specific gender. As Bhatia and Wier (2011) indicate, caution should be taken in the use of ‘safety in numbers’ in transportation policy, planning dialogue and decision making. Assuming a causal chain leads from numbers to more beneficial driver behavior is premature. In a country or city where cycling is not part of everyday transport culture more safety measures should be taken in the first place in order to create a safer environment for cyclists. 3.2.3. Incidence rate per gender In our study 44 men and 18 women were involved in an accident. Men cycled more frequently, during a longer time and larger distances compared to women and had more accidents during the 1-year follow-up period (Table 2). Although women have the highest IR per 1000 h and per 1000 km, differences between genders were not statistically significant, probably due to the wide confidence intervals and insufficient power. We conclude that men and women have the same ‘risk’ of having an accident, but also that women cycle less than men. In the study of Tin Tin et al. (2010), men had a higher rate of collision and other injuries compared to women, expressed as the number of injuries per million hours spent cycling. In both studies the gender difference was non-significant as the confidence intervals are wide and often overlap, probably caused by the insufficient study power. In the Hoffman et al. (2010) study, no statistical difference in gender, age, BMI, skill level, or prior traumatic events was found between those commuters who experienced a traumatic or serious traumatic event and those who did not. 3.3. Circumstances of the accident Fifty seven (83%) accidents occurred during a trip to or from work. Wednesday (29%), Monday (21%), and Thursday (21%) are the days with the highest number of accidents. Fifty three percent of the accidents took place during the morning peak hours (06:45–09:15 AM) and 17% during the evening peak hours (17:45–19:15 PM). Kim et al. (2007) also found that morning peak hours (06:00–09:59 AM) are the most dangerous moment of the day to cycle to work. They pointed out that this may be caused by driver behavior. Both motorists and cyclists tend to drive and cycle more aggressively during the busy morning commute and such behavior can increase the likelihood of having an accident (Kim et al., 2007). Other studies found that most crashes did occur in the afternoon or early evening (Thompson and Rivara, 2001; Eid et al., 2007; Loo and Tsui, 2010) or around noon (Rosenkranz and Sheridan, 2003). In the present study, most accidents occurred when it was not raining and the surface of the road was dry (Table 3). In the Hoffman et al. (2010) study, most traumatic events (57%) and serious traumatic events (64%) occurred during daylight on a clear/dry day (40% and 54%, respectively). Poor roadway surface conditions were a factor in 21% of the traumatic events and 20% of the serious traumatic Dry Rain Cold temperature (<0 ◦ C) Dry Wet surface with puddles Glazed frost Weather condition Surface of the road 70.0 17.1 7.1 57.1 17.1 20.0 Values are a % of total. events: tracks on the road, loose gravel, and steel plates were cited most often. In a detailed analysis based on police-reported accidents, using all kinds of accident data (from fatal to possible or no injury) inclement weather conditions (rain, snow, fog) was found to increase the severity of injury (Kim et al., 2007). Although this variable may capture the confounding effects of driver and cyclist behavior, the authors believe this effect is largely due to increased slipperiness which reduces both the vehicle’s and bicycle’s maneuverability and can lead to a more severe accident than if braking and maneuvering were optimal. Reduced visibility can affect perception times which can lead to a more severe accident since drivers and cyclists have less time to maneuver and thereby possibly reduce the force of the crash. Vandenbulcke et al. (2009) demonstrated that it is important to make a distinction between urban and rural environments when analyzing accident statistics. It was shown that for major and fatal accidents, the casualty rates for cyclists are higher in lessurbanized environments, while the reverse is true in urban areas (Vandenbulcke et al., 2009). Participants were asked to report whether the accident had occurred inside or outside the builtup area and if they perceived the traffic density as busy or calm. Fifty-nine percent of the accidents took place inside the built-up area while traffic was perceived as ‘calm’. Another 26% of the accidents occurred inside the built-up area with traffic perceived as busy. Also, the location of the bicycle accidents were allocated to the different commuter zones of the urban regions (i.e. city centre, agglomeration and urban fringe, which are defined on the basis of functional and morphological criteria) (Luyten and Van Hecke, 2007). Overall, most of these accidents occurred in municipalities of the urban agglomeration (41%) and in the city centre (30%), rather than in the suburbs (13%) or outside the urban regions (8%). In this study, a differentiation was made between (i) a ‘bicycle path’ which is separated from traffic (e.g. by a hedge, an open space or barrier), (ii) a ‘bicycle lane’ which is a portion of a roadway designated by striping and signing or (iii) on-road cycling (which may include pavement markings for the preferential but not exclusive use by cyclists). Sixty-nine percent of the participants were cycling on-road, while 21% were on a bicycle lane and 10% on a bicycle path at the time of the accident. Nearly half (49%) of the accidents occurred on a continuing street and 36% at an intersection. Table 4 further divides the type of road (bicycle lane/path) in relation to the place of the accident. The safety while cycling on-road or off-road, on bicycle paths or bicycle lanes has often been a point of debate. In Portland (US), the Table 4 Bicycle path/lane and place of the accident. Bicycle lane Bicycle path Public road without any markings for bicycles Intersection Continuing street Other 1.4 2.9 31.4 8.6 18.6 21.5 0.0 0.0 15.7 Values are a % of total. Please cite this article in press as: de Geus, B., et al., A prospective cohort study on minor accidents involving commuter cyclists in Belgium. Accid. Anal. Prev. (2011), doi:10.1016/j.aap.2011.09.045 G Model AAP-2600; No. of Pages 11 ARTICLE IN PRESS B. de Geus et al. / Accident Analysis and Prevention xxx (2011) xxx–xxx 6 Table 5 Most cited causes of the accident and the injury. Slipping Collision with car Collision with pedestrian Collision with cyclist Collision with road sign Hindrance on the road (constructions) Other Table 6 Type of injury. Accident Injury 32.9 11.4 5.7 4.3 1.4 7.1 22.8 35.7 18.6 4.3 4.3 5.7 1.4 24.3 Values are a % of total. greatest numbers of both traumatic and serious traumatic events occurred on infrastructure, bike lanes/wide shoulders, and residential streets, with motorized vehicles (Hoffman et al., 2010). This pattern may, at least in part, be due to a disproportionate amount of cycling occurring on streets with bike lanes. However, evidence is accumulating that purpose-built bicyclespecific facilities (bike paths) reduce crashes and injuries among cyclists compared to cycling on-road (Pucher, 2001; Reynolds et al., 2009; Dill, 2009). The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD, 1998) reported that bicycle lanes and paths are safer than no bicycle facilities between junctions, but that the risk at junctions is increased with bicycle paths. Increasing the distance between the cyclist riding off-road on a bicycle path and the motorized traffic decreases the visual contact between the cyclist and the car driver, and may increase the accident risk at intersections/junctions. The discussion is even more complex when looking at traffic safety on roundabouts. Studies (Daniels et al., 2008, 2009) conducted in Flanders showed that the conversion of intersections into roundabouts produced a significant increase (+27%) in the number of accidents involving cyclists on or nearby roundabouts. The increase was even higher for accidents involving fatal or serious injuries (+41 to +46%). When inside built-up areas, the construction of roundabouts increased the number of minor accidents by 48% and the number of accidents causing fatal or serious injuries by 77% (Daniels et al., 2008). In a subsequent analysis, it was found that regarding all injury crashes with cyclists, roundabouts with cycle lanes appeared to perform significantly worse compared to mixed traffic, separate cycle paths, and grade-separated cycle paths (Daniels et al., 2009). One should keep in mind that in our study, and most other studies, frequency of cycling on bicycle paths or bicycle lanes or the number of times an intersection is crossed was not measured. Therefore we do not make any statement on what would be the safest or most risky bicycle infrastructure, a point also made by Daniels et al. (2008, 2009) and Hoffman et al. (2010). From the point of view of contact with traffic exhaust, bicycle paths however need to be as far away from the motorized traffic in order to decrease the exposure to air pollution (Int Panis et al., 2010). Number count Abrasion Bruise Muscle torn Bone fracture Sprain Cut Burn Concussion Loss of consciousness at scene In shock Total 57 37 11 8 8 7 5 2 1 1 133 % of total number of injury types 41.6 27.0 8.0 5.8 5.8 5.1 3.6 1.5 0.7 0.7 100 in New Zealand, using mainly on-road accidents resulting in deaths and serious injuries (Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS) ≥ 3). Tin Tin et al. (2010) showed that the most common mechanisms of cycling injuries were non-collision crashes (40% of all cases and 34% of cases with serious injuries). Collisions with a car, pick-up truck or van were the cause of the injury in 26% of all cases and 39% of cases with serious injuries. In the study of Hoffman et al. (2010), 29% of all traumatic events and 48% of all serious traumatic events involved a motorized vehicle. An analysis of the severity of hospitalized patients found that currently the greatest burden is cyclists involved in collisions with motor vehicles (Chong et al., 2010). Thirty-two percent of the cyclists with an Injury Severity Score (ISS) of >8 were involved in a collision with a motor vehicle (Davidson, 2005). Fatal and serious bicycle accident rates rise markedly with higher speed limits of the motorized traffic (Stone and Broughton, 2003; Chong et al., 2010). Therefore, cyclist safety can be improved by reducing bicycle and motor vehicle speed (Garder et al., 1998; Fernandez de Cieza et al., 1999; Koike et al., 2003). The probability of injury to cyclists and pedestrians varies with speed with a clear threshold effect at 32.2 km/h (20 mph) (speed difference between the motor vehicle and the cyclist or pedestrian), which supports the commonly used 30 km/h speed limit in residential neighborhoods (Kim et al., 2007). A study conducted in London showed that the 32.2 km/h zones are effective measures for reducing road injuries and deaths (Grundy et al., 2009). However, Chong et al. (2010) and Hoffman et al. (2010) indicate that injury from collisions between cyclists and pedestrians is not inconsequential. In this study, ‘collision with pedestrians’ was the third most cited cause of accident and injury. Therefore, moving cyclists to shared paths for cyclists and pedestrians needs to be approached with caution. If the infrastructure does not allow a separation between cyclists and pedestrians, the speed limit for shared bicycle–pedestrian pathways should be set at 10 km/h (6.2 mph) for cyclists (Kleinberger et al., 1998; Eppinger et al., 1999, 2000). 3.5. Medical consequences 3.4. Cause of the accident and injury A separate question dealt with the self-perceived cause of the accident and the cause of the injury. For example, a cyclist has to make a maneuver to avoid an opening door (cause of the accident) and then comes into contact with a pedestrian and gets injured (cause of the injury). The two most cited causes of accident and injury were ‘slipping’ (36%) and ‘collision with car’ (19%) (Table 5). According to the participants’ description of the accident, in 7 of the 8 cases, the car hit the cyclist. As shown in Table 5, non-collision events (‘slipping’) were the most frequent causes of accidents and injuries, and collision with a car the second most frequent cause. These results are in accordance with an epidemiologic study (Tin Tin et al., 2010) conducted 3.5.1. Type of the injury In 28 participants (40%) only one type of injury was registered. Most injuries were minor (see Section 3.5.3) but two participants had a concussion, one other lost consciousness and another one was in shock (Table 6). 3.5.2. Injured body parts Of the 70 recorded accidents, 46 involved injuries to more than 1 body part. Of the 179 body parts that were injured, the knee was most frequently hurt (20% of the cases) (Table 7). As in other studies, the lower and upper limbs were the body parts most often injured (Hoffman et al., 2010). Injuries of the head, face, abdomen and spine were likely to be associated with a serious Please cite this article in press as: de Geus, B., et al., A prospective cohort study on minor accidents involving commuter cyclists in Belgium. Accid. Anal. Prev. (2011), doi:10.1016/j.aap.2011.09.045 ARTICLE IN PRESS G Model AAP-2600; No. of Pages 11 B. de Geus et al. / Accident Analysis and Prevention xxx (2011) xxx–xxx Table 7 Injured body parts. Table 8 Reported in official statistics. Number count Hip, knee and leg Shoulder and arm Head and neck Back Trunk (front side) Total 7 81 74 19 4 1 179 % of total number of injury types 45.3 41.3 10.6 2.2 0.6 100 traumatic event (Hoffman et al., 2010). However, compared to other studies which are based on officially reported accidents, including mostly hospital and police report data, head injuries in this study were rare. The most severe injuries seem to be the result of collisions with a motor vehicle. In the study of Tin Tin et al. (2010), the most common injuries in crashes involving a collision with a motor vehicle were traumatic brain injuries (29% of the cases) and open wounds in the head, face or neck (26%). In cycling injuries unrelated to motor vehicle collision, traumatic brain injuries and open wounds in the head, face or neck were present in only 15% and 17%, respectively (Tin Tin et al., 2010). 3.5.3. Injury severity The International Classification of Diseases (ICD-9-CM) Injury Severity Score (ICISS) was used to measure the severity of injuries. Each lesion was coded with ICD-9-CM and the corresponding exclusive Survival Risk Ratio (SRR) was assigned according to Osler et al. (1996). A given ICD-9s SRR thus represents the likelihood that any individual person will survive that particular ICD-9 injury. The ICISS is defined as the product of all the SRRs for each of the individual person’s injuries and scores range from 0 (death) to 1 (complete recovery). For more details we refer to Osler et al. (1996) and Rutledge et al. (1998). The total number of participants with ICD-codes (SRR < 1) was 7. The total number of ICD-codes was 185 and the sum of ICISS (expected number of deaths) was 0.085. The mean ICISS score was 0.988 ± 0.011, with a maximal score of 0.998 and a minimal score of 0.970. According to the definition of Cryer and Langley (2006), no participant had a ‘serious injury’ defined as an ICISS of ≤0.941 (a probability of death of at least 5.9%). In this study two participants were hospitalized for more than 24 h. One of those two accidents was caused by ‘collision with a car’ and the other one was caused by ‘slipping’. In these two cases the ICISS scores were not higher (0.995 and 0.983) than the ICISS scores of the other participants with an ICD-code. At the time of filling out the questionnaire, 70% reported that the injury would not result in permanent damage. The remaining 30% indicated that it was not yet possible to indicate if the accident had caused permanent damage. No relation was found between the severity and the cause of the accident. This result could be explained by the small number of accidents with the ICISS code (N = 7) or by the fact that mostly minor bicycle accidents were reported in this study. In a detailed crash analysis study using police report data (Richter et al., 2007), it was shown that lower injury severity (MAIS, ISS) occurred for crashes in urban areas and for cyclists who used bicycle lanes, compared with crashes in rural areas and in bicycle traffic lanes. 3.6. Reported accidents in official statistics Table 8 represents the number of accidents that were officially reported by police, hospitals or insurance companies. Only 7.1% of the recorded accidents were reported in official police statistics. From the two participants that were hospitalized for more than Police Hospital Insurance With official record Without official record No police intervention Self-care Ambulant emergencies No medical intervention Yes No All injured participants Injured participants with an ICD-code 7.1 4.3 88.6 47.1 25.7 10.0 17.1 30.0 70.0 40.0 33.3 6.5 0.0 16.7 57.1 0.0 28.6 2.0 % of total within each category. 24 h, only one was reported in an official police report. In a second analysis, we linked the severity of the injury (those with an ICDcode) with police, hospital and insurance data. These results clearly show that as the severity of the injury increases, the likelihood of being reported in official statistics increases. These results confirm that collecting data through police, hospital and insurance companies will underestimate the actual number of accidents. Secondly, more severe accidents are more likely to be reported in official statistics leading to bias in the data. Recorded bicycle accidents in official statistics in Belgium was estimated to represent only about 15% of the total accidents (Doom and Derweduwen, 2005). A case study in Belgium showed that only 20% of the injured cyclists admitted to hospitals were also recorded by the National Institute for Statistics using police report data (De Mol and Lammar, 2006). In Norway, based on police reports, a comparison of the total estimates with the official records revealed that the official statistics reported approximately 12% of the minor and moderate bicycle injuries, 33% of serious injuries, and 71% of severe injuries (Veisten et al., 2007). 3.7. Avoiding the accident To the question “could you have avoided the accident”, 37% of respondents said that they could have avoided the accident. ‘Imprudence’ from the cyclist itself was the cause of accident in 26% of cases. ‘Distraction’ was reported to be responsible for 11% of accidents. Kim et al. (2007) concluded in their study on policereported accident data that cyclist fault is more closely correlated with greater cyclist injury severity than driver fault. Bicycle safety relies on infrastructure, conditions and individual behavior (Rietveld and Daniel, 2004). Risk-taking behavior is a potential confounder in all observational studies of injury and is difficult to measure reliably because of the likelihood that participants will provide socially desirable responses. Cyclists choose risky or non-risky behaviors based on individual values, beliefs and personality traits. Cyclists with different values and beliefs will choose different actions under the same conditions because they appraise the same situation differently. Knowledge of cyclists’ value systems and perceptions of risk is important in designing bicycle safety programs for adult bicycle riders (McCoy, 2002). 4. Impact of minor bicycle accidents In Belgium in 2008, 7132 accidents recorded by official police statistics were classified as “minor accidents” (hospitalization of less than 24 h) (NIS, 2009). Based on our data, we can extrapolate the incidence in our study to Belgium. Because only two accidents required hospitalization for more than 24 h, the following estimation is based on 68 accidents. As only 5.9% of the minor cycling accidents are officially reported, it is estimated that 120,881 victims Please cite this article in press as: de Geus, B., et al., A prospective cohort study on minor accidents involving commuter cyclists in Belgium. Accid. Anal. Prev. (2011), doi:10.1016/j.aap.2011.09.045 G Model AAP-2600; No. of Pages 11 ARTICLE IN PRESS B. de Geus et al. / Accident Analysis and Prevention xxx (2011) xxx–xxx 8 would have suffered from minor bicycle accidents in Belgium in 2008. As part of the SHAPES project, Aertsens et al. (2010) calculated the average cost (material, medical and intangible) of a minor bicycle accident to be D 841 (95% CI D 579–1205) or D 0.125 per kilometer cycled. The inclusion and exclusion criteria for ‘minor bicycle accident’ were somewhat different than the ones used for this part of the SHAPES project. In the Aertsens et al. (2010) study, accidents with only material damage were also included and accidents that required hospitalization of more than 24 h were excluded. 5. Study limitations Some limitations of this study should be noted. Due to the nature of the study, well-skilled cyclists, who cycle a greater distance and time than occasional cyclists, are more likely to be captured in the data. The small number of observations may be the reason why the differences between genders or between the regions were not significant. Yet another limitation of this study is that the study population is self-selected. actions should contain ‘soft’ (communication/education) and ‘hard’ (enforcement) methods and should be used simultaneously (Berg, 2006). Achieving immediacy in the delivery of a road safety campaign message, in terms of proximity to the target behavior, might tend to increase campaign effect in the shorter term, and complement any long-term campaign effects achieved using mass media delivery (Phillips et al., 2011). Special emphasis should be paid to traffic education (Pucher and Dijkstra, 2003; Tin Tin et al., 2010), particularly: (1) for specific age groups for which the accident risk is higher; (2) in specific regions where the accident risk is generally higher due to lower densities and higher speed habits. Examples of measures are: ◦ improving driver training for motorists, in order to make them more mindful/respectful of cyclists; ◦ increasing the (perceived) risk of being punished (following an illegal/dangerous maneuvers or violations of the traffic regulations with respect to cyclists); ◦ informing all road users of the increased risk of accidents during the morning and evening peak hours and during winter months and bad weather conditions in general. 6. Conclusion and policy recommendations 6.1. Conclusion In this study, a large cohort (N = 1187) of regular (≥2 cycling trips to work/week) commuter cyclists, aged 18–65 years was prospectively followed during a 1-year period, during which exposure and bicycle accidents were registered simultaneously. In total 62 cyclists experienced at least one injury. The registered accidents were classified as ‘minor’ bicycle accidents in 97% of the cases, resulting in abrasions and bruises of the upper and lower limbs. We have demonstrated that a prospective design can provide accurate data on cycling exposure and minor accidents, which allowed the calculation of the incidence rate. Underreporting of minor bicycle accidents in Belgium is confirmed as only 7% of the prospectively recorded bicycle accidents in this study were reported in police statistics. The likelihood of being reported in official statistics increases with increased severity of the injury. The incidence rate of minor bicycle accidents in Belgium is 0.896 per 1000 h (95% CI 0.686–1.106) cycled. There are indications that injury ‘risk’ differs between regions and gender, but when taking exposure into account these differences are no longer significant. The study highlights that exposure has to be taken into account in order to make reliable statements about the effectiveness of safety measures. The ‘safety in numbers’ principle is also applicable for minor bicycle accidents. Cyclists involved in an accident cycle faster and cycle a greater distance per week compared to those not involved in an accident. ‘Slipping’ and ‘collision with a car’ are the most cited causes of accidents. 37% of the cyclists indicate that the accidents could have been avoided. Measures to improve the street environment like traffic calming schemes, continued maintenance of bicycle infrastructure, and speed limits in residential areas may contribute towards more safety for all vulnerable road users. Emphasis should be put on continuous cyclist and driver education through promotional and educational campaigns on road safety. 6.2. Policy recommendations When designing an appropriate policy with the aim of increasing traffic safety, in particular for the vulnerable road users like cyclists, actions should be taken towards cyclists and drivers of motorized vehicles as both parties can be the cause of injury. These For cyclists in particular, more actions towards preventive and protective approaches should be taken. For instance, preventive measures (e.g. lights, reflectors, safety jackets, etc.) should be taken/encouraged to make the cyclists more conspicuous in traffic and to decrease the risk of having an accident. Although this study did not look at the efficiency of helmet use, the authors suggest to take protective measures, such as wearing a helmet, because proper helmet use will decrease the severity of the (head) injuries if a collision occurs. Commuters and schoolchildren (=future commuters) should be instructed on safe cycling practices, in order to encourage them to cycle and to make them more aware of the risks associated to a bicycle accident (e.g. with a lorry). The bicycle network should be kept clean, in general and especially during winter (effective de-icing). Official registration of minor and major bicycle accidents and bicycle use must be improved to permit better targeted actions. Ethical issues The Vrije Universiteit Brussel ethical committee approved the study. Table A Flow chart for the in- and exclusion of the participants and Prospective Questionnaire. Left e-mail on the server Did not respond to the first e-mail Exclusion criteria participants Age? <18 and >65 Paid job outside home? No Cycling frequency? <2×/week Living in Belgium? No Participants filling out GQ Filled out more than 1 TD Inclusion criteria PQ Reported an accident? Yes Correctly reported? Yes Recreational cycling? No Acute accident and/or injury? Yes Corporal? Yes Only bruise or cramp? No 1849 377 23 116 101 29 1203 1187 293 286 234 223 174 70 Values are absolute numbers of (tentative) participants. GQ: General Questionnaire; PQ: Prospective Questionnaire; TD: travel diary. Please cite this article in press as: de Geus, B., et al., A prospective cohort study on minor accidents involving commuter cyclists in Belgium. Accid. Anal. Prev. (2011), doi:10.1016/j.aap.2011.09.045 ARTICLE IN PRESS G Model AAP-2600; No. of Pages 11 B. de Geus et al. / Accident Analysis and Prevention xxx (2011) xxx–xxx 9 Table B Comparison between the whole group of SHAPES participants and the group involved in an accident. NIS (2001) Men + women Age (mean ± SD) 38.8 ? Height (mean ± SD) ? Weight (mean ± SD) BMI# (mean ± SD) ? Education (% of total) 69.3 Lower (primary/secondary) Higher 30.7 (postsecondary education/university) Work situation (% of total)* , § ? Student (with a paid job) 40.8 Employee 23.9 Civil servant 3.7 Freelance Executive 0.7 Worker (blue 28.9 collar) 2.0 Other Perceived health (% of total) – Very good Good – Average – Poor – Living situation (% of total) – Without partner – With partner SHAPES participants (N = 1187) Men (55%) Women (45%) Injured participants (N = 62) Men + women Men (68%) Women (32%) Men + women Men (73%) Women (27%) 37.7 ± 9.7 167.3 ± 6.1 61.8 ± 8.4 37.7 ± 9.43 177.0 ± 9.5 72.0 ± 12.5 38.2 ± 9.0 181.5 ± 7.1 78.0 ± 9.3 36.5 ± 10.6 166.8 ± 5.8 58.1 ± 5.9 39.2 ? ? 38.3 ? ? 39.7 ± 10.2 175.7 ± 10.3 72.1 ± 12.3 40.7 ± 10.3 179.8 ± 6.6 76.9 ± 10.2 ? ? 23.2 ± 3.1 23.8 ± 2.9 72.5 65.3 10.8 13.1 5.8 7.7 7.9 7.1 27.5 34.7 89.2 86.9 94.2 92.3 92.1 92.9 ? ? 1.8 0.9 3.7 3.8 0.0 14.3 31.7 26.7 4.3 1.0 35.3 52.2 20.4 3.0 0.4 20.8 49.5 25.7 5.5 9.1 2.4 48.5 25.7 5.8 11.0 3.1 53.2 26.4 5.1 5.4 1.0 40.4 28.8 3.8 17.3 1.9 28.9 36.8 0.0 23.7 2.6 71.4 7.1 7.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.4 4.9 4.9 5.1 3.8 5.3 0.0 – – – – – – – – 42.6 49.2 6.9 0.3 42.5 50.2 6.9 0.3 44.1 48.5 7.1 0.3 44.2 46.2 9.6 0.0 36.8 55.3 7.9 0.0 64.3 21.4 14.3 0.0 – – – – 27.2 71.8 22.4 77.6 38.3 61.7 36.5 63.5 23.7 76.3 28.6 71.4 22.1 ± 2.8 22.8 ± 2.6 23.6 ± 2.2 20.9 ± 2.3 # BMI: body mass index. NIS (2001) – population of cyclists with a paid job outside their home (18–65 years). * Significant difference between NIS and SHAPES: (Chi2 ) P < 0.05. § Definitions not entirely in accordance with these of the census (NIS, 2001). To be interpreted with caution. –: Definitions not in accordance with these of the Census (NIS, 2001). Cannot be used for comparison. ?: Data not available. Competing interests The authors declare that they have no competing interests with respect to the results discussed in this paper. Acknowledgements This paper is part of the SHAPES project (Systematic analysis of Health risks and physical Activity associated with cycling PoliciES) which is at the crossroads of health, transport and air pollution research. 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