CPI Week 2 Basic Patterns of Political Organisation 20 October 2006 Westminster Model The essence of the Westminster Model is majority rule Great merit is that any other answer - such as unanimity requirement, qualified majority implies some form of minority rule or at least a minority veto Inspired by Britain but Britain no longer a pure example Westminster model characteristics Concentration of executive power: one-party and bare-ma jority cabinets. Fusion of power and cabinet dominance. Asymmetric bicameralism Two-party system. One-dimensional party system. Plurality system of elections. (first past the post) Unitary and centralized government. Unwritten constitution and parliamentary sovereignty. Exclusively representative democracy (nearly excludes referendums) Consensus model Lijphart’s view Some societies are heterogeneous: divided along religious, ideological, linguistic, cultural, ethnic, or racial lines into virtually separate sub-societies with their own political parties, interest groups, and media communication In such societies, majoritarian democracy cannot be adapted flexibly to provide feasible political solutions Majority rule is not only undemocratic but also dangerous, since alienated minorities will lose sense of allegiance to the system Consensus characteristics Executive power-sharing in “grand coalitions” Separation/balance of exec and legislative powers Balanced bicameralism and minority representation Multiparty system Proportional representation Interest group corporatism, cohesive interest groups Federalism and decentralization Strong bicameralism Rigid constitutions Judicial review Institutional variables Executive-parties Federal Unitary Dimension 1 Cabinets 1 Unitary-Federal gov 2. Executive-legislative Relations 2: Uni/bi cameral 3 Party systems 3 Constitutional flexibility? 4 Electoral Systems 4 Judicial Review? 5 Interest groups 5 Central Banks Lijphart: Patterns of Democracy How does performance of democracy depend on its institutional characteristics? Question addressed by Powell and Lijphart. Empirical and theoretical analysis. Lijphart examines 36 countries from 1945-1996. Lijphart describes the institutions in terms of 10 variables. What are they? A given country is thus described in terms of a value for each variable. Some of the values use standard, well established measures such as the Laasko-Taagepera index of the effective number of parties. Other measures developed by Lijphart e.g. degree of judicial review index (1-4), pg 226. Strong judicial review- no j.r. Consider the other measures used to capture the 10 characteristics Lijphart is interested in. Are they appropriate? Are they objective or impressionistic? Proxy variables? Often a variable is unobservable, but a proxy for it can be constructed. But by definition there will be measurement error involved. How to measure level of democracy? If this is the outcome we want to explain? Is Democracy dichotomous? Or is it continuous? Freedom House Scores (www.freedomhouse.org) Rating from 1-7, where 1 is free and 7 is not free. Assesses countries on Political Rights and Civil Liberties Results 1 1. The variables in the first group are empirically correlated with each other. Chapter 14. 2: Likewise with second group of variables 3: The variables in the 2 groups are not correlated with each other. Is this problematic? See Chapter 14. Results 2 Chapter 15. The “so what” issue. Impact of institutional choice on economic growth measured in terms of inflation and GDP. Evidence mixed but consensus democracies do slightly better and considerably better on inflation Maj may do better in terms of economic freedom Differences in outcomes? Impact of institutional form on violence? Dependent variables, number of riots and numbers of deaths from political violence. No statistically significant results. Expectation that consensus democracies are better at controlling violence (Powell 1982). Majoritarian systems not better at governing In fact Lijphart finds few statistically significant variations between two systems in terms of management of economy and in maintaining civil peace. Results 3 Chapter 16 8 indicators of quality of democracy, how appropriate are these? Is this how you would measure democracy? Uses index by Dahl and Vanhanen rather than FH scores. Vanhanen index: composite of degree of party competition and participation in elections. High Belgium and low Botswana (any problems?) Consensus democracies do better on these 2 indexes. Results 3 continued Women’s representation. IS this a good indicator? Consensus democracy 6.7% more women in parliament. Political equality as an indicator of quality of democracy? How to measure this concept? Rich-poor ratio used. And consensus democracies more egalitarian. Electoral Turnout. Consensus does better. Corruption, uses Transparency International scores Finds no relationship. Conclusion: Majoritarian democracies do not out perform consensus democracies Powell (1989 and 2000) Majoritarian Vision and Proportional vision. _______________________________________________ Majoritarian Vision 1. Clarity of Responsibility 2. Identifiability Majorities Government Domination Pol. Making Proportional Vision of democracy. Multiple Party Choices PR Vote Representation Participation in Policy making by all reps. Similar though not equivalent to Lijphart Powell asks which vision best serves as an instrument of democracy? What are the reasons and conditions under which each vision succeeds or fails? Analyses of more than 150 democratic elections show that each vision succeeds fairly well on its own terms. Powell concludes: the proportional influence vision enjoys a clear advantage in creating policy congruence between citizens and their policymakers Predominately Proportional Mixed Predominately Majoritarian Austria Belgium Denmark Finland Germany Italy Netherlands Norway Sweden Switzerland Ireland Japan Spain USA Australia Canada France Greece New Zealand United Kingdom Powell's finding (p 222, figure 9.3) is that the distance between the median voter and the governmental position is somewhat greater in majoritarian systems than in proportional ones. This is not what one should be expect. The majoritarian vision works only fitfully. The simplifications and distortions necessary to create decisive elections frequently exact a heavy cost in distance between the citizen median and the position of the government." www.transparency.org Country ranks Finland (1) N. Zealand (2) Denmark (3) Iceland (4) UK(11) Ireland (17) Chile (20) Barbados (21) France (22) Tunisia (39), Italy (42) Czech Republic and El Salvador (51) Latvia, Slovakia and Brazil (57) Sierra Leone, Moldova (114) Bangladesh and Haiti (145) Methodology. FREEDOM IN THE WORLD 2004 1 1.5 2 3 4 5 USA Austria Belgium Canada Ireland Italy Spain Uruguay Czech Estonia Greece Japan Latvia Lithuania Poland Slovakia S.Africa Israel Ghana Guyana S. Korea Croatia Albania Kenya Bangladesh Colombia Bahrain Belarus Jordan Iran Russia Iraq Yemen Liberia Djibouti U.A.E Zimbab . Afghan. Tonga E. Timor Niger Zambia Nicaragua 6 7 Burma Cuba Sudan Syria Saudi A N. Korea Libya
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