Greening farm subsidies The next step in removing perverse farm subsidies Greening farm subsidies When a government policy is damaging both the environment and the economy, it should be obvious that such a policy needs reform. This is the case with many agricultural subsidies. However, governments around the world have so far failed to tackle this problem, even though the harm farm support does to an economy has long been recognised. Now there is growing recognition of the environmental cost of farm subsidies. This has led to an emerging alliance of interests keen to see comprehensive reform. 2003 To this end, the Rural Industries Research and Development Corporation and the World Wide Fund for Nature (www.wwf.org.au) have asked the Centre for International Economics (www.thecie.com.au) to asses why perverse agricultural subsidies persist and how they can be removed. This study has been published by RIRDC as part of its Global Competitiveness R&D Program. Additional copies of this publication may be obtained from RIRDC by visiting their website (www.rirdc.gov.au). CENTRE FOR INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS RURAL INDUSTRIES RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT CORPORATION RIRDC Publication No. 03/040 Greening farm subsidies The next step in removing perverse farm subsidies 2003 Greening farm subsidies The next step in removing perverse farm subsidies 2003 Prepared by John Humphreys, Martin van Bueren and Andrew Stoeckel Centre for International Economics RIRDC Publication No. 03/040 © Rural Industries Research and Development Corporation 2003 This publication is copyright. However, RIRDC encourages wide dissemination of its research, providing the Corporation is clearly acknowledged. For any inquiries concerning reproduction, contact RIRDC’s Publications Manager. ISBN 0 642 58608 X ISSN 1440-6845 RIRDC Publication No. 03/040 RIRDC Project No. CIE-16A Published by Rural Industries Research and Development Corporation Level 1, AMA House, 42 Macquarie Street Barton ACT 2600 PO Box 4776 Kingston ACT 2604 Telephone Facsimile Email Internet (+61 2) 6272 4819 (+61 2) 6272 5877 [email protected] www.rirdc.gov.au Prepared by Centre for International Economics Cnr Marcus Clarke Street & Edinburgh Avenue Canberra ACT 2601 GPO Box 2203 Canberra ACT 2601 Telephone Facsimile Email Internet (+61 2) 6248 6699 (+61 2) 6247 7484 [email protected] www.TheCIE.com.au Cover design by Mirrabooka Marketing & Design, Canberra Printed in Australia by Canprint Communications Pty Ltd, Canberra FOREWORD W hen countries are striving to achieve economic and environmental goals politicians often have to make difficult decisions involving trade-offs. However, no such trade-offs are required when the decision is made to remove perverse agricultural subsidies. Their removal serves the interests of both economic development and the environment. This publication presents a study of this ‘win–win’ reform. Agricultural subsidies and their effect on economic efficiency have long been of interest to RIRDC. This study is part of RIRDC’s Global Competitiveness Research and Development Program, which aims to identify important impediments to the development of a globally competitive Australian agricultural sector and support research that will lead to strategies for removing these impediments. In the case of perverse subsidies — subsidies that have negative effects on both the economy and the environment — the interests of RIRDC dovetail with the interests of the World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF). WWF is committed to sustainable development and preserving our natural resources. Many agricultural subsidies result in overproduction and inappropriate use of resources. Removing such subsidies would provide a dividend to our environment. iii FOREWORD This publication, prepared by the Centre for International Economics (CIE) on behalf of RIRDC and WWF, discusses perverse agricultural subsidies and how they can be addressed. As outlined in a previous RIRDC publication, Solving the Problem: A Look at the Political Economy of Agricultural Reform, reforming agricultural subsidies means solving a political problem as there are powerful political forces that resist the required reform. This book highlights the environmental benefits from reform and attempts to draw out the coalition of interests between groups promoting economic development and those dedicated to protecting the environment. Not only are the common interests of these groups highlighted in this study, but a way forward that could see meaningful change is articulated. Simon Hearn Managing Director Rural Industries Research and Development Corporation Ray Nias Director of Conservation World Wide Fund for Nature iv CONTENTS Foreword iii Acknowledgments vii Summary ix 1 Why examine perverse subsidies? Win–win reforms Roadblocks to reform How to move forward 2 How concerned should we be? The nature and scale of subsidies Environmentally harmful subsidies The economic cost of subsidies The benefits from curbing perverse subsidies 3 Case studies of perverse subsidies Better farming and environment without the cost of subsidies Underpricing water to everyone’s detriment Supporting sugar at the expense of the Florida Everglades Pigging out on pig subsidies 4 Do subsidies have a role to play? To alleviate poverty To ensure adequate food supplies To encourage industry To level the playing field To address market failure To maintain the multifunctionality of agriculture 1 1 6 7 10 10 20 24 29 32 32 35 39 41 43 43 45 48 49 50 53 v CONTENTS 5 How can we distinguish the good from the bad? Testing the subsidy Assessing the subsidy 6 What alternatives are there to subsidies? Improve the targeting of subsidies Use alternative policy instruments Promote economic growth and development 7 The next step Establish an organisation for reform Establish a framework for assessing subsidies Implement reform and address adjustment issues 57 57 60 63 64 66 71 74 75 76 79 Boxes, charts and tables 1 Identifying the subsidy 2 Estimated active agricultural support in perspective 3 Percentage PSEs for the OECD, the United States and the European Union 4 Percentage PSE for New Zealand, Australia and Canada 5 The mix of highly distorting and less distorting subsidies in OECD countries, 2001 6 Economic benefit from free trade in agriculture 7 The switch between sheep and private forests in New Zealand 8 Increasing water price for Australian rice farmers 9 Testing the subsidy’s relevance and identifying its impacts 10 Identifying the positive and negative impacts 11 Analysing the subsidy’s costs and benefits 12 Environmental Kuznets curve 13 Decision framework at a glance vi 11 16 18 18 19 29 34 39 58 59 61 72 77 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS T he authors wish to acknowledge the helpful comments from Warwick Moss (WWF), Jeff Davis (RIRDC), Ivan Roberts (Australian Bureau for Agricultural and Resource Economics), Hannah Parris (Environment Australia) and George Mina and David Morgan (Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade). In addition, this book would not have come together without the help provided by Kirsten Oliver and Judy Fenelon. vii SUMMARY E ach year about US$600 billion is given as subsidies to farmers around the world. Most of these subsidies are provided by governments in rich economies, particularly the United States, the European Union and Japan. About 80 per cent of these subsidies are perverse. Not only do they damage the environment, they also harm the economies of those giving the subsidies as well as the economies of other countries. Agricultural subsidies have become so big that they have ‘poisoned’ international trade talks. Agriculture is the sticking point in the World Trade Organization’s Doha round of trade talks, and the impasse that has developed midway through the talks threatens to jeopardise progress towards a more effective international trading order. The environmental damage caused by agricultural subsidies includes water pollution from excess nutrient run-off, acidification of poorly buffered natural habitats, loss of biodiversity, and soil erosion. From prawn fishers in the Gulf of Mexico to rice farmers in Indonesia, the environmental damage caused by perverse agricultural subsidies is extensive, pervasive and widely reported. The economic harm these subsidies cause to rich and poor countries alike is also just as pervasive and just as widely documented. Equally as well reported are those rare cases where agricultural subsidies have been removed — to the benefit of both the environment and economies. ix SUMMARY So why do these subsidies prevail? Why, in an era of sensitivity to the environment and the rising political strength of the green movement, do governments knowingly encourage damage to the environment and harm economic growth? What is missing is good public governance and scrutiny of these subsidies. Good governance by policy makers dictates that farm policies be evaluated for their benefits and costs — environmental, social and economic — and these appraisals be conducted in an open and transparent way by an independent body. This is rarely done. The nature of each subsidy, its objectives and the reasons for its introduction need to be understood. In short, what is required is a process by which the subsidies that do so much harm to both the environment and economies are separated from those whose benefits exceed their costs. The framework and elements of such a process are spelt out in this study. Agricultural subsidies are either good or bad: either the benefits exceed the costs (broadly measured), or they do not. Negotiating over bad subsidies will not make them good. If a subsidy has net benefits, it can be retained. If it is harmful to the economy and the environment, it should be abandoned. If green organisations around the world could convince governments to pursue the principles of good governance and subject agricultural subsidies to an independent systematic review process such as that outlined here, the result would be fewer harmful subsidies and consequently healthier environments and more prosperous economies — a win–win situation. x 1 WHY EXAMINE PERVERSE SUBSIDIES? T he issue of agricultural subsidies is large and complex — large to the tune of up to US$600 billion a year worldwide1, and complex because of the many and varied effects that these subsidies have on economies, societies and the environment. It is the environmental and economic effects that are the focus of this study. A report by the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) estimates that up to 80 per cent of agricultural subsidies are ‘perverse’ 2 — they are damaging to both the economy and the environment. Updating the IISD study with 2001 data3, we estimate that around US$460 billion is spent every year on agricultural (excluding water and fisheries) subsidies that encourage environmental damage. Win–win reforms With so many perverse agricultural subsidies in the world, there is potential for ‘win–win’ reforms, where the removal 1 Based on CIE calculations detailed in chapter 2 of this book. 2 N Myers and J Kent, Perverse Subsidies: Tax $s Undercutting Our Economies and Environments Alike, International Institute for Sustainable Development, Canada, 1998. 3 Since 1998 the percentage of ‘highly distorting’ subsidies has declined from 80 per cent to 77.6 per cent cacording to the OECD (Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, Agricultural Policies in OECD Countries: Monitoring and Evaluation, CD-ROM, Paris, 2002). 1 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES of subsidies results in gains for both the environment and the economy. This potential has not gone unnoticed by the environmental movement. In the United States a consortium of groups concerned about the environment and public governance has initiated a program called ‘Green Scissors’. Green Scissors includes groups such as Friends of the Earth, Taxpayers for Common Sense and the Wilderness Society, among many others. In the introduction to its 2002 report, Green Scissors declares that: As a defender of American taxpayers and the environment, the Green Scissors Campaign is standing up to polluting interests and fighting to cut wasteful and environmentallyharmful spending.4 Over the past five years, virtually every major international environmental non-government organisation has contributed to the literature on perverse subsidies. Examples include publications by the Earth Council, Resources for the Future, Greenpeace International, IISD, Worldwatch Institute, WWF and the International Union for Conservation of Nature.5 In addition to the many environmental nongovernment organisations, the OECD, the United Nations, 4 Green Scissors Campaign, Green Scissors 2002: Cutting Wasteful and Environmentally Harmful Spending, San Francisco, 2002, p. 1. 5 See, for example, A De Moor and P Calamai, Subsidizing Unsustainable Development: Undermining the Earth with Public Funds, Earth Council, San Jose, Costa Rica, 1997, C Fischer and M Toman, Environmentally- and EconomicallyDamaging Subsidies: Concepts and Illustrations, RFF Climate Issue Brief #14, Internet Edition, Resources for the Future, Washington, DC, 1998, http://www.rff.org/issue_briefs/PDF_files/ccbrf14_rev.pdf, Accessed 14 February 2003, and RP Steenblik, Subsidy reform: doing more to help the environment by spending less on activities that harm it, Paper presented at International Union for the Conservation of Nature’s (IUCN) 50th Anniversary, Fontainebleau, France, November 1998. The WWF’s campaign on fishing is chronicled in its website <http://panda.org/stopoverfishing>. 2 1 WHYexamineSUBSIDIES? the World Bank, the World Trade Organization and many economists and policy analysts have undertaken research into the problem of perverse agricultural subsidies. This research has identified many examples of perverse subsidies. 6 § In Europe, Japan and Korea in 2001 governments provided over US$7.3 billion in support to pig farmers7, which contributes to water pollution in those countries and distorts trade and production. § In the United States the government provides price support to sugar farmers so that the US price of sugar is more than double the world price. This has resulted in increased sugar production and consequently higher phosphorous levels in the Florida Everglades, leading to a reduction in biodiversity. § In New Zealand farm subsidies were encouraging farmers to use marginal lands, use too much fertiliser and pursue inefficient production methods. When subsidies were removed, fertiliser use decreased, trees were replanted on marginal lands and efficiency improved so much that farmers are now making more money using fewer natural resources. § In Indonesia pesticide subsidies encouraged the use of pesticides. This resulted in the killing of the natural predator of the brown rice plant hopper. In two years, the bug ruined some US$1.5 billion worth of rice.8 § In the European Union subsidies have contributed up to 73 per cent of cattle farming incomes9, which has 6 References for some of the following examples can be found later in this book where they are discussed in greater detail. 7 OECD, Agricultural Policies in OECD Countries: Monitoring and Evaluation, CDROM, Paris, 2002. 8 De Moor and Calamai, p. 27. 9 OECD, Agricultural Policies in OECD Countries: Monitoring and Evaluation 2003, Paris, 2003, p. 36. 3 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES encouraged more intensive livestock production. The most cost-effective additional food source for the animals was often meat-based supplements 10, and so intensified farming resulted in carnivore cows. As cows fed on other cows, bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) or ‘mad cow’ disease quickly spread. § In the United States farmers receive considerable subsidies to grow corn, but not to grow alfalfa (which requires the use of less nitrogenous fertiliser). So more corn is produced. The water pollution from corn producers in the Midwest is being held responsible in large part for the ‘dead zone’ in the Gulf of Mexico — an expanse of water completely devoid of life to about 3 metres below the water’s surface due to toxic green– blue algae.11 § In Myanmar the government effectively subsidises farming by transferring land ownership to people who put land to productive use. This has encouraged forest clearing.12 § Worldwide the total value of water subsidies is estimated to exceed US$200 billion a year. Water is underpriced and so it is wasted. This results in higher levels of water pollution, erosion and salinity. On a global scale the current wastage of water may prove unsustainable in the future as an increasing population demands more water. § When Icelandic fishers did not pay for the fish they caught they were effectively receiving a subsidy. That subsidy resulted in overfishing and consequently to a 10 It should be noted that the price of grains was inflated due to grain subsidies, which increased the relative cost-effectiveness of meat-based food sources — another perverse outcome from a subsidy. 11 The Economist, ‘The dead zone’, 24 August 2002, p. 28. 12 TR Young, Examples of Various Kinds of Incentives and Disincentives, IUCN Environmental Law Center, Bonn, 2001. 4 1 WHYexamineSUBSIDIES? dwindling stock of sea life. Since introducing a system that puts a value on fish catches (effectively abolishing the subsidy), fish exploitation has declined and economic efficiency has improved.13 § In Tunisia subsidies have promoted the intensification of livestock production (primarily of sheep and goats) and have kept livestock numbers above the appropriate carrying capacity of the land. This overstocking has led to a deterioration of Tunisia’s rangelands, which make up nearly 20 per cent of the country’s total land area.14 § In China fertiliser subsidies have contributed to increased fertiliser use, which has been held responsible for half of the local groundwater stocks being contaminated above the tolerance level. 15 § In the Netherlands subsidies support its large dairy herd16, which is the main agricultural cause of nitrate and phosphate-based water pollution and ammoniabased acidification of poorly buffered natural habitats. § In the United Kingdom subsidies contribute to more intensive agriculture, which has negatively affected several species of upland birds and ground-nesting birds.17 13 B Runolfsson and R Arnason, ‘Evolution and performance of the Icelandic ITQ system’, Icelandic Economic Papers (University of Iceland), February 1996, http://www.hi.is/~bthru/iceitq1.html, Accessed 17 February 2003, and B Runolfsson, ‘Fencing the oceans: a rights-based approach to privatising fisheries’, Policy (Centre for Independent Studies of Sydney), Autumn 1998, http://www.cis.org.au/Policy/autumn98/aut9804.htm , Accessed 17 February 2003. 14 Z Partow, and S Mink, ‘Tunisia: livestock policies and environmental impacts during economic adjustment’, in W Cruz, M Munasinghe and JJ Warford (eds), The Greening of Economic Policy Reform, World Bank, Washington, DC, 1997, pp. 165–88. 15 Myers and Kent, p. 44. 16 D Abler, A synthesis of country reports on jointness between commodity and non-commodity outputs in OECD agriculture, Paper prepared for the OECD Workshop on Multifunctionality, Paris, 2–3 July 2001. 17 Abler, p. 20. 5 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES § In North America pesticide use, which is subsidised by government, is considered to be a factor in the decline in the populations of honeybees and other pollinators. 18 Roadblocks to reform Despite efforts to expose the environmental and financial costs of subsidies, agricultural subsidies remain as high as ever, with 30 per cent of farm revenue in OECD countries coming from government subsidies.19 Even in Germany, where a member of the Green Party is now Minister for Consumer Protection, Nutrition and Agriculture, there is little momentum towards reform. There are a variety of reasons for the persistence of subsidies. § Industries that enjoy support are reluctant to give it up. § Views on the role of government in particular sectors are entrenched — for example, the public financing of irrigation and drainage. § Subsidies themselves create a pool of money that recipients can use to influence the political process that channels money to them in the first place. § Bureaucracy itself can be an obstacle. Government departments and agencies have vested interests in maintaining industrial support programs. § Countries are unwilling to be the ‘first mover’ in dismantling subsidies, as they believe this could put them at risk of being uncompetitive with countries that opt to maintain support programs. § People working in subsidised industries can become ‘trapped’ because they have specialised skills and cannot be readily re-employed in other industries. The low mobility of the affected labour force itself becomes a 18 Abler, p. 20. 19 OECD, Agricultural Policies in OECD Countries, 2002, p. 163. 6 1 WHYexamineSUBSIDIES? barrier to reform, making structural adjustment painful and politically unpopular. § People may have an inherent opposition to change and a fear of the unknown consequences of reform. Over time it is common for a complex web of subsidy programs to develop, often with one subsidy being used to compensate producers or consumers for the disadvantages caused by another subsidy applied elsewhere. Instead of addressing the cause of the problem, policy makers often use band-aid solutions such as more subsidies or costly clean-ups. How to move forward In all but a handful of countries, progress towards agricultural subsidy reform has been modest. Despite overwhelming evidence of the effects of perverse subsidies, they are not being removed. The problem is political — the lack of an appropriate organisation armed with a transparent framework and a mandate to review and reform agricultural subsidies. For countries to reap the benefits of agricultural subsidy reform, good institutions (the organisation, framework and mandate) need to be established to impose discipline on governments. Their mandate should be to review all agricultural subsidies with a view to abolish bad subsidies for economic and environmental gain. Their framework should help to systematically identify bad subsidies, identify alternative ways to achieve social goals, and identify mechanisms for smoothly dismantling bad subsidies. This study proposes a way forward in establishing such institutions and thereby improving public governance. In so doing, it provides ammunition for green groups and others 7 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES who are interested in fighting against perverse agricultural subsidies. We start out by defining the various forms of subsidy given to agriculture and diagnose how they ultimately damage the environment and distort economic activity. A compelling case is made for addressing perverse subsidies and taking steps to remove them. We examine a number of cases where subsidies are causing significant environmental, economic and social costs — for the benefit of a privileged few. We also note some situations where the removal of agricultural subsidies has led to better environmental and economic outcomes. The report then summarises the various reasons advanced for maintaining agricultural subsidies. We consider how robust these reasons are, pointing out weaknesses in some of the arguments. Not all subsidies are perverse, and we explore the circumstances where there may be a role for subsidies. To determine whether a subsidy is good or bad requires some sort of ‘benefits test’. Subsidies can be put through a screening process that assesses their benefits and their costs and allows us to identify subsidies that should be reformed or removed. If a subsidy is in place for a good reason and passes the benefits test, it could be maintained. For that to be so, however, yet another hurdle has to be cleared. While there may be a good reason for maintaining a subsidy — say, to meet an environmental objective — it is possible that an alternative policy could achieve that objective at a lower cost. We explore several alternatives that can be pursued to achieve environmental, social and economic objectives without the problems associated with subsidies. 8 1 WHYexamineSUBSIDIES? We conclude the report by discussing the institutional arrangements required to address and progress agricultural subsidy reform. The key to achieving lasting reform is to introduce political discipline and good public governance. This can be achieved by having a dedicated organisation with a mandate for reform and a transparent framework. This is likely only if there is a degree of political pressure from interest groups and the community. 9 2 HOW CONCERNED SHOULD WE BE? A gricultural subsidies transfer wealth from one or more groups in society to farmers. These transfers are through either direct intervention by governments or less transparent, indirect means. In many instances, transfers are a result of well-intended policies to assist an ailing rural economy. However, subsidies mostly induce unwanted side effects. These effects include environmental damage, economic inefficiencies and ongoing burdens on the taxpayer and/or the consumer. Often these costs are not explicit and are therefore poorly understood by governments. This chapter outlines the various types of subsidy and highlights the estimated cost of global agricultural support. The case for eliminating perverse subsidies is then made. The costs of these subsidies, which cause both economic and environmental harm, are too large to ignore. And the benefits of tackling this problem are demonstrably real, as highlighted in examples of the environmental and economic benefits resulting from perverse subsidies being removed. The nature and scale of subsidies The most obvious forms of agricultural subsidy are those that involve direct monetary payments by governments to farmers. However, there are many other forms of subsidy, 10 2 How CONCERNEDshould we be ? some of which are quite subtle, but nevertheless important to consider because of the costs they impose. To measure a subsidy, it is necessary to have a benchmark — the situation in an undistorted market. A subsidy changes incentives and causes people to do things differently from what they would do in an undistorted market. Chart 1 shows the process for identifying subsidies, which is a necessary precursor to any attempt at evaluating them. The nature of subsidies enables them to be categorised into two broad groups: active and passive. Active subsidies result from direct government intervention. Passive subsidies arise from the failure of governments to price resources correctly. An example of a passive subsidy to farmers is the 1 Identifying the subsidy What are the benchmarks? § Prices in a competitive world market should equal the cost of production Is the industry being subsidised? § Distorted product price § Reduced input costs No Analysis complete Yes What is the nature of the subsidy? § Active — government intentionally Passive transfers funds to producers § Passive — government fails to price natural resources correctly Explore ways to price resources correctly Active What type of subsidy is it? § Provides direct financial support § Increases farm revenue § Decreases farm costs 11 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES pricing of irrigation water below the cost of supply — a common occurrence in many countries. Active agricultural subsidies An active agricultural subsidy is any form of government intervention that directly supports agricultural producers. In OECD countries total ‘active’ support to agriculture in 2001 amounted to US$311 billion, 1.3 per cent of OECD gross domestic product (GDP).20 Together with subsidies in developing countries, the total may be more than US$350 billion.21 There are three broad types of active subsidy — direct financial transfers and tax concessions that boost farmers’ incomes, government intervention that increases farm revenue (the income received from product sales) and government intervention that reduces production costs. Direct financial transfers The most transparent support for farmers is direct government transfers. Such transfers include direct payments as well as preferential taxation treatment. Direct payments to farmers in OECD countries in 2001 amounted to US$85 billion. 22 These forms of subsidy are frequently linked to the level of farm output or to the amount of inputs used. From an environmental perspective, subsidies linked to production have the most potential to result in environmental degradation through overproduction. In OECD countries 20 OECD, Agricultural Policies in OECD Countries, 2002, p. 176. 21 Myers and Kent, p. 43, point out the difficulty in determining the exact level of support in developing countries, but suggest a realistic ‘guesstimate’ of at least US$50 billion. 22 OECD, Agricultural Policies in OECD Countries, 2002, p. 158. 12 2 How CONCERNEDshould we be ? payments based on outputs or inputs used amounted to nearly US$34 billion (40 per cent of direct financial transfers) in 2001. Subsidies based on area planted or animal numbers maintained totalled US$29 billion (34 per cent of direct financial transfers) in OECD countries. Subsidies are also linked to farm processes. Support has been provided to farmers on the condition that they do not farm or that they destroy their crop. For example, in Wales one farmer was paid by the European Union to grow flax, harvest it and then destroy it. One year, when the farmer destroyed his crop before harvesting it, the European Union took him to court where the case was described as ‘scarcely believable’.23 The least distorting subsidies are those based on input constraints or on historical entitlement. In OECD countries in 2001 these amounted to US$19 billion (22 per cent of direct financial transfers). Government intervention that increases farm revenue Governments can boost farm revenue by increasing the price of commodities sold or by helping farmers to sell more product into a sheltered market. Commodity prices can be boosted artificially by installing a price floor. This can be achieved by directly controlling price or by manipulating supply. Another course of action is to reduce competition by imposing import tariffs and other non-tariff barriers on goods produced in other countries. Doing so increases the price of those goods in the domestic market. In 2001 price support for farmers in OECD countries amounted to US$145 billion. 24 23 C Pye-Smith, The Subsidy Scandal: How Your Government Wastes Your Money to Wreck Your Environment, Earthscan Publications, London, 2002. 24 OECD, Agricultural Policies in OECD Countries, 2002, p. 158. 13 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES Policies that assist farmers to sell more output include government procurement programs and regulations that offer producers an increased level of market power. For example, sales tax exemptions on certain farm commodities can be used to encourage consumers to purchase more farm output. Alternatively, a government may use more direct regulations that force consumers to purchase certain goods or technology, or the government itself may purchase certain goods or technology. For example, in Tanzania the government gave preference to local lime producers when purchasing raw materials to be used in constructing a new airport runway. The increased demand for lime led to increased lime production. As the lime was created by burning coral, the increased production led to increased stress on coral reefs in coastal waters off Tanzania. 25 Government intervention that decreases farm costs A more subtle way for a government to subsidise farmers is to decrease their costs. Supplying public infrastructure or other services at no cost to users, or at below cost, is one common example. Other support mechanisms include preferential loans, research and development subsidies, subsidised inputs and exemptions from environmental standards that apply to other industries. Examples are fertiliser and pesticide subsidies, which are especially common in the developing world. As already noted, in China fertiliser subsidies have resulted in increased fertiliser use, which has been held responsible for half of the local groundwater being contaminated above the tolerance level. 25 Young, p. 12. 14 2 How CONCERNEDshould we be ? Passive agricultural subsidies Because passive subsidies are caused by an absence of government measures, they are often difficult to observe and even harder to quantify. Myers and Kent estimate that passive agricultural subsidies, excluding water subsidies, could be in the order of US$250 billion a year.26 A passive subsidy results in a producer not facing the full cost of production. This is generally because a producer is allowed to do something that affects other people, but is not forced to pay for the cost of that effect. In economic terms, such an effect is referred to as an ‘externality’. A common example of an externality is the pollution of a publicly owned lake by producers. If the producers do not have to pay to clean up the pollution, they do not count the cost of pollution in their production costs. Consequently, from society’s point of view, they produce too much. The cost of their pollution paid for by other people (the government or the community) is a passive subsidy to the producers. To remove this subsidy, the government should try to ensure producers pay for the costs they impose on society. This could be achieved by introducing private ownership of the lake, by charging the producers a fee for polluting the lake or by requiring them to pay for the clean-up of the pollution. All of these methods force producers to consider the cost of pollution when they make their production decisions. The largest passive subsidy for farmers arises from their use of water. Worldwide passive water subsidies have been estimated at US$175 billion a year.27 (More details on water subsidies can be found in chapter 3.) 26 Myers and Kent, p. xvii. 27 Myers and Kent, p. xvii. 15 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES While it is important to consider passive subsidies, this report focuses on active subsidies — the result of conscious policy decisions by government. Scale of agricultural subsidies worldwide Subsidies are expensive. We estimate that active and passive agricultural subsidies combined amount to US$600 billion a year. This includes active subsidies of US$106 billion from the European Union, US$79 billion from Japan and Korea and US$95 billion from the United States. 28 In terms of their cost per person, the biggest offenders are Switzerland and Norway (table 2). The governments of 2 Estimated active agricultural support in perspective Total, per person and as a percentage of GDP Australia Canada Czech Republic European Union Hungary Iceland Japan Korea Mexico New Zealand Norway Poland Slovak Republic Switzerland Turkey United States Total As proportion of GDP Per person US$m % US$ 1 177 5 154 689 105 624 708 124 59 126 19 736 7 892 143 2 385 1 797 186 4 672 6 287 95 259 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.4 4.7 1.3 0.3 1.4 1.0 0.9 1.9 4.3 0.9 61 168 67 281 72 439 467 417 81 37 531 47 34 650 94 346 Source: OECD, Agricultural Policies in OECD Countries: Monitoring and Evaluation, Paris, 2002, pp. 176–7. 28 OECD, Agricultural Policies in OECD Countries, 2002, p. 176. 16 2 How CONCERNEDshould we be ? both of these countries spend more than US$500 per person on agricultural support, while the total value of production per person in places such as Nigeria remains around US$250 a year. Another way to express the scale of subsidies is in terms of the percentage producer support estimate (PSE).29 This measure is defined as the value of subsidies given to farmers as a percentage of the total value of farm product. In OECD countries on average the percentage PSE for all commodities is 31 per cent.30 In Iceland, Japan, Korea, Norway and Switzerland the percentage PSE is around or above 60 per cent. Historical trends in the use of agricultural subsidies Agricultural subsidies have been a significant part of most developed economies since the early part of the 20th century. In the early stages of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) primary products were generally exempt from the rules regarding subsidies. So agricultural production remained distorted and trade tensions rose. The Uruguay round of trade talks (1986 to 1993) was a serious attempt to tackle the issue of agricultural subsidies. However, despite concluding with specific disciplines on domestic support for agriculture, the results have been mixed. Encouragingly, countries converted non-tariff barriers to tariff barriers and decreased export subsidies. However, since 1988 there appears to have been little progress in reducing domestic support levels. 29 The authors are aware of the problems associated with using percentage PSEs to show the size of the distortion. The size of the distortion should be measured as the difference between the levels of support between different industries. 30 OECD, Agricultural Policies in OECD Countries, 2002, p. 161. 17 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES Between 1989 and 2001 there was effectively no reduction in the percentage PSEs for the OECD as a whole, the United States and the European Union, with support falling until the mid-1990s and then rising again (chart 3). However, the percentage PSEs for New Zealand, Australia and Canada indicate some successful reform, most notably in New Zealand (chart 4). 3 60 50 40 European Union 30 OECD 20 10 United States 0 19 86 19 87 19 88 19 89 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 Producer support estimate (%) . Percentage PSEs for the OECD, the United States and the European Union Data source: OECD, Agricultural Policies in OECD Countries: Monitoring and Evaluation, CD-ROM, Paris, 2002. . 4 Percentage PSE for New Zealand, Australia and Canada Producer support estimate (%) 19 86 19 87 19 88 19 89 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 40 Canada 30 20 10 Australia New Zealand 0 Data source: OECD, Agricultural Policies in OECD Countries: Monitoring and Evaluation, CD-ROM, Paris, 2002. 18 2 How CONCERNEDshould we be ? Not visible in aggregate subsidy measurements is the shift towards less distorting subsidies. While such a shift is a promising start, it has been small. In most OECD economies, percentage PSEs split between ‘highly distorting’ subsidies and ‘less distorting’ subsidies show a dominance of highly distorting subsidies (chart 5). The OECD defines highly distorting subsidies as output subsidies, direct input subsidies and price support. Unfortunately, these subsidies are the most popular, making up 77 per cent of total value of agricultural subsidies in OECD countries in 2001. It should be noted that less distorting subsidies continue to distort behaviour and many lead to perverse environmental outcomes. Some less distorting subsidies are still linked to production, but to a lesser extent. The line between highly distorting and less distorting subsidies is a blurred one. For example, while a subsidy based on beef production is classified as highly distorting, a subsidy based on the number of cows kept is not. The real difference between such subsidies is marginal. Subsidies based on area planted The mix of highly distorting and less distorting subsidies in OECD countries, 2001 70 60 50 Less distorting Highly distorting 40 30 20 10 0 Au st r C alia an a C da ze ch E H U un I c gry el an Ja d pa Ko n r M ea ex ic o N NZ or w P ay ol Sl a n ov d ak Sw ia is Tu s rk ey U SA O EC D Producer support estimate (%) . 5 Data source: OECD, Agricultural Policies in OECD Countries: Monitoring and Evaluation, Paris, 2002, p. 158. 19 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES or animal numbers amount to 13 per cent of the value of subsidies in OECD countries. Over the past 15 years the European Union has reduced its reliance on highly distorting subsidies from over 95 per cent to around 70 per cent.31 However, 25 per cent of EU subsidies are based on current area planted and animal numbers, which are considered less distorting. Consequently, despite its reforms the link between EU subsidies and its production levels remains strong. While the European Union’s progress in moving away from highly distorting subsidies has been slow and mixed, some countries continue to argue in favour of ‘coupled’ (highly distorting) subsidies as the only way to achieve some political goals. For instance, Norway, where subsidies make up over 65 per cent of total farmers’ income, argues that there is a risk ‘that attempts to disassociate the public good … from the agricultural production itself will have a negative effect on the quality of the landscape’.32 Environmentally harmful subsidies Distortions caused by agricultural subsidies often have environmental consequences. As described earlier, when both the economic and environmental consequences of a subsidy are negative, that subsidy is considered perverse. But not all environmental consequences of subsidies are negative — as will be seen later. However, as subsidies shift resources away from their optimal use, they often do cause unintentional damage to the environment. The most distorting subsidies — those that are directly linked to production levels — encourage unsustainable 31 OECD, Agricultural Policies in OECD Countries, CD-ROM, 2002. 32 O Flaten, Norwegian Comments to Session 6 on Policy Measures, OECD Posted Paper, 2001, http://www1.oecd. org/agr/mf, Accessed 17 February 2003. 20 2 How CONCERNEDshould we be ? production methods and the wasteful use of scarce resources. But all subsidies — whether linked to production or not — improve the financial viability of farming and so indirectly encourage farm production. While all subsidies have the potential to be perverse, price support is the most common form of subsidy, and its effects are often perverse — as is apparent in the case of US sugar subsides featured in the next chapter. In some instances, subsidies (including many subsidies considered less distorting) encourage overproduction and/or greater intensification of farming, which leads to environmental damage. Consider the impact of support given to pigmeat producers in OECD countries, also featured in the next chapter. As noted in chapter 1 other examples of the environmental costs of more intensive farming can be found in the Netherlands, Tunisia and the United Kingdom. And there are many other examples covering most agricultural industries. 33 The significant consequences of subsidies influencing production are also realised through quite subtle ways — recall their link to the spread of ‘mad cow’ disease in Europe and the ‘dead zone’ in the Gulf of Mexico. Agricultural subsidies that are linked to production not only lead to increased production, but also encourage farmers to intensify their use of inputs. Farming inputs such as fertiliser and pesticides can often have a negative environmental outcome, an example being the loss of pollinators in North America. Agricultural support given in the form of exemptions from strict environmental standards applied to other sectors has an explicit link to the environment. A good example of this 33 W Martin and LA Winters (eds), The Uruguay Round and the Developing Economies, World Bank Discussion Paper 307, World Bank, Washington, DC, 1995. 21 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES has been highlighted by the World Resources Institute in the differences between regulations for point source pollution and non-point source pollution. Point source pollutants, generally factory discharges, are heavily regulated. However, regulation for non-point source pollutants, generally from farms, is much lighter. Indeed, the World Resources Institute notes that ‘abatement programs for non-point source pollution occur mainly through subsidy programs’.34 Instead of introducing environmental regulations, the government gives farmers more money.35 The report of the institute goes on to reveal that agriculture is the biggest source of pollutants for rivers and lakes in the United States. Perhaps the largest effect of subsidies on the environment is due to the link between subsidies and waste. As described in the next section, subsidies distort economic behaviour and restrict agricultural trade. This leads to waste, as more inputs are used than would be the case in an undistorted market to produce the same amount of output. Using estimates produced by Frankel and Romer, it is reasonable to assume that a 1 per cent increase in trade will result in a 2 per cent decrease in waste.36 If subsidies were removed and international agricultural trade increased by 5 per cent, waste could go down by as much as 10 per cent. 34 P Faeth, Fertile Ground: Nutrient Trading’s Potential to Cost-Effectively Improve Water Quality, World Resources Institute, Washington, DC, 2000, p. 10. 35 It can be argued that non-point source pollutants are exempt from strict regulation because of the difficulty in enforcement. This is a reasonable defence of the subsidy. However, the point of this discussion is to show the size and types of agricultural subsidy, not to defend them. 36 JA Frankel and D Romer (‘Does trade cause growth?’, American Economic Review, vol. 89, no. 3, 1999, pp. 379–99) use an innovative technique to show the causal link between trade and income per person. A Stoeckel, KK Tang and W McKibbin (Productivity, Risk and the Gains from Trade Liberalisation, Pelham Paper no. 9, Melbourne Business School, 1999) used this information to assume a 1:2 ratio between trade and labour productivity. We have taken labour productivity to be a measure of waste in production. 22 2 How CONCERNEDshould we be ? That is, the same level of output could be produced with 10 per cent less inputs. In a world with a rapidly growing population and limited natural resources, reducing waste should be an important priority to ensure that development is sustainable. All subsidies to farmers, whether linked to production or not, result in higher land prices and subsequently make environmental preserves and national parks more expensive. New Zealand provides an example of the impact of subsidies on land values, as will be seen later. In addition to the direct links between subsidies and environmental degradation, there are indirect links. § Agricultural subsidies divert public expenditure from potentially valuable environmental programs. More generally, subsidies can be a significant fiscal drain on a country’s economy, thereby hampering the development of new technologies for dealing with environmental problems. § Subsidies create a distorted market instead of a competitive one. Competitive markets tend to stimulate innovation, and often environmental improvements depend on technological change. § Domestic subsidies in developed countries can have adverse impacts on the environmental performance of developing countries. Overproduction caused by subsidies in the developed world has to be disposed of, and this may result in excess product being ‘dumped’ in developing countries, undermining their economies and destabilising their agricultural export markets. In turn, this often robs developing countries of the very tools with which they can improve their environmental performance. § Subsidies make most people poorer, which may inhibit their ability to better manage their environment. 23 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES § Sometimes the cost of environmental degradation is hidden because control regimes are in place to manage the impacts. However, such regimes are costly and society may be better off removing the cause of the problem (that is, the subsidy) than addressing the symptoms. In this chapter so far, we have focused on the negative environmental impacts of subsidies. This is not to say that some subsidies do not have a role to play in encouraging environmental improvement. Indeed, many countries are now using agri-environmental support programs that provide assistance to farmers who ‘do the right thing’ and look after the environment. These types of policy are discussed further in chapter 4. The economic cost of subsidies The distorting effects of subsidies on the economy are well known. While the budgetary cost of subsidies is their most visible cost, their economic consequences go much deeper. Domestic economic effects of subsidies Subsidies change the price signals in an economy. Prices are important in a market economy as they provide information and create incentives. In an undistorted market, if a product becomes scarcer the price will rise and people will generally purchase less of it. A well-functioning price system will ensure that producers produce what consumers want and that products will be made using as few resources as possible. However, if the government changes the relative prices of different products, resources (land, labour and capital) may not be used in the activities most valued by society. 24 2 How CONCERNEDshould we be ? Resources will be used inefficiently and producers may produce the wrong things. In short — there will be waste. Distorted use of labour and capital By subsidising agriculture and artificially increasing the profit from farming, governments are encouraging people to pursue farming instead of being involved in other industries. Some people may well be better at building houses or teaching, but the artificially high farming profits attract them to agriculture. The same is true for capital. People will invest in farming instead of more productive pursuits if farm returns are made to look higher because of subsidies. Increased land prices Because subsidies artificially make farming more profitable, land prices increase. By distorting input prices, producers use an inefficient mix of inputs. Farmers may choose to farm more intensively, and alternative uses for farmland (for example, retaining forests for biodiversity, recreational or aesthetic reasons) become more expensive than they would otherwise be. The artificial inflation of land prices can be seen in France, where support has been capitalised into land values. The OECD reports that land prices in regions with subsidised irrigation have increased at more than double the national average increase. 37 Also, when subsidies were removed in New Zealand, land prices initially fell by 40 per cent. After the reforms, much ‘marginal’ land was returned to forestry and many farmers diversified into ecotourism, which had become relatively more profitable (see chapter 3 for more detail). 37 OECD, Improving the Environment Through Reducing Subsidies – Part III: Case Subsidies, OECD, Paris, 1999. 25 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES Europeans note that their direct payments to the beef sector provide ‘incentive towards intensification’ 38 and their support through prices and product-specific payments ‘may discourage farmers from more environmentally friendly production methods’.39 Distorted food prices Subsidies also lead to changes in output prices. If the price of a product is kept artificially high, consumers may switch to alternative products. If they are not able to, they will have less money to spend on other products or to save. In the case of agricultural subsidies, this can be particularly hard on the poor, who use a significant portion of their income on buying food. In 1996 it was estimated that food subsidies add US$617 in Japan to the average consumer’s food bill each year, US$767 in Norway and nearly US$1000 in Switzerland.40 It is estimated that consumers in the United States pay around US$500 million a year in higher prices for their peanuts because of the government peanut program.41 Increased tax burden Taxes must be raised to fund subsidy programs and this is another burden on a country’s economy. Tax effectively decreases the size of the market economy and replaces it with government spending. However, it is not a direct exchange, as the market economy shrinks by around 38 Commission of the European Communities, Communication from the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament: Mid-Term Review of the Common Agricultural Policy, COM(2002) 394, Brussels, 10 July 2002, p. 16. 39 Commission of the European Communities, p. 8. 40 Myers and Kent, p. 37. 41 Pye-Smith, p. 78. 26 2 How CONCERNEDshould we be ? $1.20–1.40 for each $1 the government has to spend.42 Taxes are costly to administer and collect and can often lead to changes in relative prices, which further distorts the way resources are used. Rent-seeking behaviour Subsidies also cause rent-seeking behaviour — another distortion. Government subsidies give people and businesses an alternative way to make money. They can make money by producing for the market or by accessing government subsidies. So people dedicate time and money to both activities. With more subsidies comes more lobbying, which in turn leads to more subsidies. The time and money spent lobbying the government for subsidies are wasted. Total economic effect The combined effect of the above distortions is generally a net loss to the economy. While one particular area or industry may benefit from a subsidy, the cost of that subsidy to the rest of the economy will outweigh that benefit. As already noted, subsidies are particularly distorting and inefficient when they are linked to output or the use of inputs. For example, by underpricing water horticulture is practiced in arid regions at great cost. And subsidies on 42 In Canada, B Fortin and G Larcroix (‘Labour supply, tax evasion and the marginal cost of public funds: an empirical study’, Journal of Public Economics, vol. 55, 1994, pp. 407–31) estimate the ‘excess burden’ of a dollar tax to be between 39 and 53 cents. In New Zealand, W Diewert and D Lawrence (‘Excess burden of taxation in New Zealand’, Economic Record, vol. 71, 1995, pp. 121–31) estimate the cost to be 18 cents. In the United States, DW Jorgenson and K-Y Yun (The Excess Burden Of Taxation in the US, Discussion Paper No. 1528, Harvard Institute of Economic Research, November 1990) estimate 38 cents. In Australia, HF Campbell and KA Bond (‘The cost of public funds in Australia’, Economic Record, vol. 73, no. 220, 1997, pp. 22–34) estimate between 19 and 24 cents. 27 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES product prices caused ‘butter mountains’ and ‘milk lakes’ in Europe in the 1970s and 1980s. According to the OECD43 the overwhelming majority of agricultural subsidies are inefficient because most provide support to producers indirectly through their inputs and outputs rather than directly in the form of income. However, even direct income support will have many of the economic negatives described above. Sometimes agricultural subsidies are defended as a measure to assist the poor. However, in practice they do not tend to provide that assistance. Not only can subsidies hurt the poor by requiring higher taxes and increasing prices, but a large proportion of the support generally goes to the wealthier farmers. Chapter 4 considers this issue in further detail. International economic effects of subsidies While agricultural subsidies are generally introduced with domestic considerations in mind, they play a significant role in distorting international trade. Subsidies act as a form of ‘protection’ from competition. Protection helps producers who are less efficient, at the expense of producers who are more efficient. This is harmful to all countries concerned, but is particularly deleterious for agricultural producers in developing countries. Compared with developed countries, developing countries are often more reliant on their agricultural industries for national welfare. For example, agriculture makes up 2.2 per cent of France’s economy and employs 3.5 per cent of its 43 OECD, Agricultural Policies in OECD Countries, 2002. 28 2 How CONCERNEDshould we be ? workforce, while it makes up 35 per cent of the Bangladesh economy and employs 60 per cent of its workforce.44 It makes sense for many developing countries to specialise in agriculture at their stage of development as they can often produce farm products at a lower cost than can developed economies. They can export their surplus produce and import foreign goods to increase their standard of living. However, these gains from trade are currently being restricted, as agricultural subsidies around the world curtail agricultural trade. Using a global trading model, the International Monetary Fund showed that all countries win from the removal of agricultural subsidies (table 6). It 6 Economic benefit from free trade in agriculture Change in GDP % United States Australia, New Zealand and Canada Japan and South Korea European Union China South Asia East Asia and the ASEAN group Brazil Rest of Latin America North Africa and Middle East Sub-Sahara Africa 0.10 1.11 0.56 0.41 0.42 0.20 0.17 0.72 0.54 1.24 0.81 Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook: Trade and Finance, Washington, DC, September 2002, p. 85. 44 Centre for International Economics 2003, The Political Economy of Beef Liberalisation: A Collection of International Papers, A study prepared for the Five Nations Beef Group as part of the Magellan Project, Canberra, 2003, and Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Bangladesh, Country, Economy and Regional Information, Commonwealth of Australia, Canberra, 2002, http://www.dfat.gov.au/geo/bangladesh/bangladesh_country_brief.html, Accessed 14 February 2003. 29 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES estimated that GDP could be 1.24 per cent higher in North Africa and the Middle East, 0.81 per cent higher in SubSahara Africa and 0.41 per cent higher in the European Union. Agricultural subsidies hurt the nation that imposes them, and they hurt all agricultural trading partners, including some of the poorest countries on earth. The benefits from curbing perverse subsidies Until the Uruguay round of the GATT, interest in reforming subsidies at the multilateral level was driven mainly by concerns about trade and competition. Furthermore, governments and multilateral institutions largely dominated policy development and the setting of priorities. Nowadays, people both inside and outside of government are taking a keener interest in the effects that subsidies can have on the environment. There is good reason for non-government environmental organisations to be involved in the debate on subsidies. With up to 80 per cent of all agricultural subsidies being perverse, there are potentially enormous gains to be made for the environment — and the global economy — from removing these subsidies. The benefits are not just wishful thinking, as several countries have successfully dismantled support mechanisms and experienced win–win results for the economy and the environment. The best example is New Zealand, where reform was undertaken quickly and comprehensively and has resulted in improved efficiency, afforestation and greater environmental care (see chapter 3). Indonesia is another country that has benefited from removing a perverse subsidy. Since withdrawing the subsidy 30 2 How CONCERNEDshould we be ? for pesticides, their use has fallen, the population of the natural predator of the brown rice plant hopper has increased and rice production has grown.45 At the same time, Indonesia has saved US$100 million a year through not providing subsidy payments. Bangladesh offers another example. It has reduced fertiliser subsidies, which has resulted in a 4 per cent saving in their national budget.46 Tunisia has also benefited from reducing the levels of its agricultural subsidies, which had led to excessive environmental damage by its grazing industry. Despite the sizeable benefits from dismantling perverse subsidies, globally reforms have been slow — even nonexistent in some countries. We suggest that this is because of a lack of good public governance. In later chapters, we propose a way to tackle this problem, but first we look at several high-profile cases of perverse subsidies before exploring the reasons given for maintaining subsidies. 45 De Moor and Calamai, p, 27. 46 RN Stavins, Experience with Market-Based Environmental Policy Instruments, Discussion Paper No. 00-09, Resources for the Future, Washington, DC, 2000. 31 3 CASE STUDIES OF PERVERSE SUBSIDIES N o matter how strong the abstract case against perverse agricultural subsidies might be, nothing beats real world experience to drive home the nature of subsidies and their effects. There are many examples of perverse subsidies in the world today. Unfortunately, there are too few examples of countries that have removed perverse subsidies and have reaped the economic and environmental benefits. The four examples in this chapter are some of the high profile cases studies of perverse subsidies. The examples of worldwide water subsidies, pig subsidies in Europe, Japan and Korea and sugar subsidies in the United States show the results of perverse subsidies. The first example — New Zealand farming — shows the benefits that can be gained by removing perverse subsidies. Better farming and environment without the cost of subsidies New Zealand provides a good news story. By the early 1980s agricultural support in that country had increased to 40 per cent of the gross income of sheep and beef farmers. Farm subsidies accounted for 14 per cent of the government budget and 6 per cent of gross national product. Then the government decided to reform the farm sector, removing minimum prices for wool, beef, sheepmeat and 32 3 CaseSTUDIES dairy products, and phasing out land development loans, fertiliser and irrigation subsidies and subsidised credit. The percentage PSE fell from 20 per cent in 1986 to 2 per cent by 1991 and is now less than 1 per cent. The remaining subsidy is directed towards research and development. The removal of subsidies coincided with the appreciation of the New Zealand dollar, falling commodity prices, increasing farm costs, as well as high inflation and high interest rates. Official predictions were that 10 per cent of farms would fail and many feared the destruction of traditional family farming in the long term. The reality has been quite different. While farmland prices initially did drop and 1 per cent of farms faced forced sales, the initial adjustment was smaller than anticipated and the long-term outcomes have exceeded expectations. Economic outcomes Since 1986 the size of the agricultural sector (in constant dollar terms) has increased by 40 per cent. Farming output as a percentage of GDP has increased since subsidies were removed as economic growth in the agricultural sector has outpaced growth in the New Zealand economy as a whole. The return on capital in agriculture is similar to that in other developed countries and farmers have been able to maintain a good standard of living. The number of full-time farm workers has increased and the meat industry has moved from being one of the least efficient in the world to the second most efficient. Before subsidies were removed, agricultural productivity increased by 1 per cent a year. Since 1986 it has averaged 5.9 per cent a year. Sheep farming provides an excellent example of what has been achieved in terms of productivity. Lamb carcass weights have risen by 13 per cent since 1986 and while sheep numbers have decreased by 29 per cent lamb production has increased by 35 per cent. 33 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES Environmental outcomes The removal of agricultural subsidies in New Zealand has led to a ‘win–win’ outcome, with both economic and environmental benefits. The improved economic efficiency has led to growth in output and a decline in sheep numbers. This decline (chart 7) has resulted in less pressure on the land. The removal of subsidies has also resulted in a reduction in the use of inputs. Most especially, the use of fertiliser has declined and there was a halt to land clearing and overstocking, which had been responsible for widespread soil erosion. Stock raising has been shifted to more appropriate lands, and previously cleared hills have been replanted with trees. In 1984 the total area of private planted forest area was 500 000 hectares. By 2001, there were 1.7 million hectares (chart 7). Many farmers have diversified into rural tourism and now have a keener interest in environmental issues. The switch between sheep and private forests in New Zealand 70 1800 Area of private forests 80 1600 Number of sheep 1400 60 1200 50 1000 40 800 30 600 20 400 10 200 00 20 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 19 90 19 88 19 19 19 0 86 0 Private forest area (000 ha) 90 84 Sheep numbers (million head) . . 7 Data source: Meat & Wool Innovation, Sheep & wool: New Zealand and its wool, http://www.mwi.co.nz/sheep_wool/NzandWool.html, Accessed 14 March 2003. 34 3 CaseSTUDIES Conclusions Following the removal of perverse agricultural subsidies New Zealand has realised better economic outcomes, a better managed environment and a strong rural community. The Federated Farmers of New Zealand (Inc) explain how ‘subsidies restricted innovation, diversification and productivity by corrupting market signals and new ideas’, which led to a ‘wasteful use of resources, with a consequently negative impact upon the environment’. 47 The removal of the agricultural subsidies has allowed farming industries to better respond to market signals and has reduced the impact of farming on the environment. Instead of leading to the ruin of the agricultural sector, the lack of subsidies has enabled farming to grow from strength to strength. As the Federated Farmers of New Zealand says, farmers ‘have prospered and are determined never again to be dependent upon government handouts’. 48 Underpricing water to everyone’s detriment Water subsidies are a major part of the agricultural subsidies story. While water is an industry itself, it is also a major input to the agricultural sector, agriculture being the largest single customer of water supplies. Worldwide, agriculture accounts for 65 per cent of the total volume of water used (90 per cent in many developing countries), which is understandable when you consider that, on average, to produce a tonne of grain requires 1000 tonnes of water, and to produce a tonne of beef requires 47 Federated Farmers of New Zealand (Inc), Life After Subsidies: The New Zealand Farming Experience – 15 Years Later, Wellington, 2002, p. 4. 48 Federated Farmers of New Zealand (Inc), p. 1. 35 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES 100 000 tonnes of water.49 This water is heavily subsidised. In 1996 only one country in the world, Israel, had its water price at higher than one quarter of the marginal cost of supply.50 In the United States the annual irrigation subsidy from underpricing has been estimated at between US$2 billion and US$2.5 billion.51 Worldwide the total cost of water subsidies, including passive subsidies, is estimated to exceed $200 billion a year.52 This subsidisation means that water resources are not being used in the best way and in the best places, and water supplies are being overused and insufficiently protected. This is leading to significant environmental problems. The low cost of water provides little incentive to use efficient irrigation schemes. In Israel, where water costs are relatively high, farmers typically use ‘drip irrigation’, which cuts water losses by half.53 Inefficient irrigation schemes contribute to problems of salinity, which affects 25 per cent of irrigated land in China and the United States and 21 per cent in Pakistan. 54 The low cost of water decreases the costs involved in polluting that water and so effectively encourages water pollution. Increased pumping of underpriced groundwater can lead to land subsidence and water-logged soil, increasing erosion. 49 Myers and Kent, p. 101. 50 Myers and Kent, p. 103. 51 A De Moor, Perverse Incentives: Subsidies and Sustainable Development – Key Issues and Reform Strategies, Earth Council, 1997, http://www.ecouncil.ac.cr/rio/ focus/report/english/subsidies/ , Accessed 3 February 2003, p. 14. 52 Myers and Kent, p. xvii. 53 Myers and Kent, p. 113. 54 De Moor, p. 13. 36 3 CaseSTUDIES In addition to these direct effects — pollution, erosion and salinity — there is the longer term issue of water availability. The United Nations, the WWF and the Worldwatch Institute, among others, suggest that future water scarcity may reach crisis levels. While sceptics, such as Bjorn Lomborg, question whether there will be a crisis, they generally agree that water management needs to be improved.55 Basically, the world has 12 500 cubic kilometres of fresh water a year available. Currently worldwide about half of that is withdrawn and around a fifth is used.56 The problem is that, with the population of the world increasing and people getting richer, the demand for water will increase while the supply is relatively fixed (desalination of sea water notwithstanding). One part of the solution to this problem is to improve water management. And the most important step in encouraging sustainable water use is to remove the current water subsidies so that consumers (most especially farmers) face the real cost of their actions. Recent reforms in Australia represent a shift in the right direction. As in many countries, Australia’s water supplies were substantially under government control and significantly subsidised. This resulted in ‘a continuance of low value water use, wastage and a denial of access to high value users’. 57 That is, environmental and economic costs were high. 55 B Lomborg, The Skeptical Environmentalist: Measuring the Real State of the World, Cambridge University Press, 2001. 56 Lomborg, p. 150. 57 J Tisdell, J Ward and T Grudzinski, The Development of Water Reform in Australia, Cooperative Research Centre for Catchment Hydrology, 2002, http://www.catchment.crc.org.au/pdfs/technical200205.pdf, p. 76. 37 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES In 1994 the Council of Australian Governments endorsed a framework of initiatives for the water industry. This included pricing reform based on the principles of full cost recovery and making subsidies transparent. The resulting marketbased system, which relies on a regime of transferable water property rights, is leading to better water management. The environmental benefit of such reform is clear, with ‘sufficient price signals [promoting] the conservation of water, reducing over-use and resultant impacts of salination, water-logging and environmental degradation’.58 The economic benefits followed also, as those producers that valued water more highly were able to purchase water credits from low value users, and so the input was used more efficiently. One example of this improvement can be seen in the activities of the Australian rice industry. It is one of the largest users of water in Australia, using more water per hectare than the industries producing cotton, grapes, other fruit, sugar, vegetables and other grains. During the 1990s several reforms affected the use of water by rice farmers, including increases in the price of water. For rice farmers in the Murray River region, prices moved from around A$6 a megalitre in 1992 to over A$15 a megalitre by 1996 (chart 8). The increases in the price of water have made a difference. From 1991 to 2001 water use on Australian rice farms dropped from 15 megalitres a hectare to 11 megalitres a hectare, as rice farmers responded to prices that better reflect the true cost of water. 58 Tisdell, Ward and Grudzinski, p. 77. 38 3 8 CaseSTUDIES Water price for rice farmers ($/ML) . Increasing water price for Australian rice farmersa 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 a Murray River region only. Source: NSW Agriculture, Farm enterprise budget: irrigated Murray summer crop gross margins – rice, http://www.agric.nsw.gov.au/reader/925, Accessed 14 February 2003. Supporting sugar at the expense of the Florida Everglades One of the most obvious examples of perverse subsidies is the price support given to sugar producers in the United States. This support ensures that US consumers pay at least twice the world prices for sugar products, with one report putting the cost to consumers at US$1.9 billion a year.59 In addition to price support the US government offers special loans and in 2000 it paid sugar producers over US$400 million of taxpayers’ money for forfeited and surplus sugar. The US sugar support program is achieving its first goal — of maintaining a sugar industry that is larger than it would otherwise be. Since the introduction of the current program in 1981 the area under cultivation has increased from 180 000 acres to 500 000 acres in 2002.60 However, the 59 Pye-Smith, p. 63. 60 Pye-Smith, p. 63. 39 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES support is going primarily to rich farmers, is distorting the economy, and costing consumers and taxpayers many millions of dollars. The largest 33 sugar growers receive over US$1 million each in benefits each year. 61 The subsidy distorts the economy by providing the wrong price signals. One consequence of this is that confectionary manufacturers moved to Canada where they can purchase sugar at international prices. 62 In addition to the domestic economic effects, the expansion of US sugar production has come partly at the expense of foreign sugar producers, often in poorer Caribbean and South American countries. However, these economic costs are only part of the bigger picture. Environmental groups have been up in arms over the effect that the sugar industry is having in Florida, where the sugar farmers divert water from the Florida Everglades and return it with increased phosphorous levels. The water coming off the cane fields contains around 100 parts per billion of phosphorous, which is up to 10 times more than the preferred level. This has serious consequences for the periphyton (a mix of algae and bacteria) that is the basis for life in the Everglades: The microscopic organisms that feed on the periphyton are food for fish and amphibians, and these in turn sustain the rich bird life, not to mention alligators, snakes, and other creatures. 63 In places where phosphorous levels are highest, the water birds and most other creatures have disappeared. The sugar industry claims to be cleaning up after itself. However, huge amounts (US$8–11 billion) of taxpayers’ 61 Pye-Smith, p. 76. 62 Myers and Kent, p. 38. 63 Pye-Smith, p. 69. 40 3 CaseSTUDIES money have been, or are about to be, dedicated to ‘fixing’ some of the problems attributed to the sugar industry. In its own defence, the US sugar industry points to sugar subsidies in Europe and Japan. Indeed, sugar retails in France at a price 74 per cent higher than in the United States, and in Japan the price is 167 per cent higher. 64 However, the fact that somebody else is doing worse is cold comfort to US consumers or the Florida Everglades. Whatever the sins of other countries, if subsidies are leading to negative economic and environmental outcomes — as the US sugar subsidies are — they should be removed. Pigging out on pig subsidies Support for the pigmeat industries in OECD countries as a group is significant (percentage PSE of 16 in 2001), although not as high as that for beef (percentage PSE of 36) and sheepmeat (percentage PSE of 55).65 This OECD figure for pigmeat masks much higher levels of support in some OECD nations, especially Japan and Switzerland (percentage PSE of more than 40 per cent), but also Korea, Norway and the European Union (percentage PSE of 20 per cent or more).66 The OECD claims: This pattern of support for pigmeat, in terms of the level and composition, influences production patterns and places greater pressure on the environment than if they were not in place. 67 64 Pye-Smith, p. 75. 65 OECD, Agricultural Policies in OECD Countries, 2002, pp. 162–3. 66 OECD, Agricultural Policies in OECD Countries, 2002. 67 OECD, Agriculture, Trade and Environment Linkages in the Pig Sector: Summary and Conclusions, Joint Working Party on Agriculture and the Environment, COM/AGR/CO/ENV/EPOC(2002)93, Paris, 2002, p. 6. 41 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES Pig production is linked to the environment through water pollution. This pollution arises from the nutrients in pig manure, principally nitrogen and phosphate. It is estimated that a sow in Europe excretes 32 kg of nitrogen a year.68 Not all countries have the same level of risk regarding the nitrogen balance of their water, with some of the highest risk countries being Japan, Switzerland, Korea, Norway and many nations in the European Union. The OECD notes that the ‘countries where the potential risk of nitrogen water pollution is the highest are also those with the highest level of support to pig producers’.69 There would be pressure on the environment from pig farming even without agricultural subsidies. However, the subsidies contribute to poor decisions about location and production levels, which ultimately increase the pressure on the environment. It should be noted that pig production is closely linked to the cereal industry, which is also a recipient of subsidies. Reforms that have reduced cereal prices in the European Union have lowered input costs for pigmeat producers, encouraging even more production. This highlights the links between subsidies and how subsidising one industry can affect other industries. 68 European Environment Agency, Emission Inventory Guidebook, 3rd edn, ch. 10 (Agriculture), European Environment Agency, 2002, http://reports.eea. eu.int/EMEPCORINAIR3/en/tab_content_RLR, Accessed 27 January 2003. 69 OECD, Agriculture, Trade and Environment Linkages in the Pig Sector, p. 6. 42 4 DO SUBSIDIES HAVE A ROLE TO PLAY? A gricultural subsidies are introduced for a variety of reasons, some of which may be well founded. However, most are not. In many instances subsidies are designed to benefit specific groups of people who lobby hard to obtain or retain support. In many cases the subsidies prevail long after the original objective has become redundant or outdated. In this chapter some of the common reasons given to justify subsidies are assessed. This assessment assists us in differentiating between good and bad subsidies in the following chapter. To alleviate poverty It is common for developing countries to subsidise their agricultural input or output prices as a means of boosting farm incomes and alleviating poverty. Subsidies are also used to buffer against sharp losses in currency purchasing power and to compensate rural industries for high taxes imposed on them.70 This rationale is equally true for developed countries. While poverty, income instability and income inequality are important social issues to address, it is unlikely that agricultural subsidies are the best way to do this. Initially, it should be understood that farmers in developed countries 70 De Moor and Calamai, p. 25. 43 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES are generally not poorer than the average citizen. The OECD notes that in the Netherlands, Denmark, France, Finland and Belgium the incomes of farm households were significantly above the national average (in the Netherlands, some 2.5 times the average). In most other OECD countries, farm household incomes are roughly comparable with average household incomes, Portugal being the major exception (where farm household incomes are less than half the average household income).71 Even if it is accepted that farmers need special income support, only around 20–25 per cent of agricultural subsidies actually reach the farmer, with much of the benefit going to non-farming land owners and input suppliers.72 Further, of the money that does reach the farmers, in many instances the subsidies do not go to the poor farmers for whom they are intended. For instance, in Canada, Japan, the European Union and the United States, over 60 per cent of total support goes to the largest 25 per cent of farms.73 During 1999, only 21 per cent of India’s kerosene subsidies reached the poorest 30 per cent of households.74 Steenblik cites evidence to support the proverbial 80:20 rule 75 — that is, 80 per cent of agricultural support goes to the wealthiest 20 per cent of farmers. 71 S Tangermann, Agricultural policy reform: why wait?, Presentation to the Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, Canberra, 6 March 2003. 72 Tangermann. 73 Tangermann. 74 S Gupta, M Verhoeven, R Gillingham, C Schiller, A Mansoor and JP Cordoba, Equity and Efficiency in the Reform of Price Subsidies: A Guide for Policymakers, International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC, 2000, http://www.imf.org/ external/pubs/ft/equity/index.htm , Accessed 20 November 2002. 75 RP Steenblik, Previous multilateral efforts to discipline subsidies to natural resource based industries, Paper prepared for the Fisheries Development and Co-operation Task Force of the Pacific Economic Co-operation Council workshop ‘The Impact of Government Financial Transfers on Fisheries Management, Resource Sustainability and International Trade’, Manila, 17–19 August 1998. 44 4 Subsidies’ ROLE? The real problem with using agricultural subsidies to solve poverty is that the policy instrument (agricultural subsidies) and the policy objective (reduced poverty) are not directly related. It is more efficient and effective to introduce policies directly related to the policy objective — direct income support, for example. It makes little sense to provide subsidies on the basis of inputs used or production levels, if the policy’s objective is to reduce poverty. Welfare payments should be made on the basis of income and/or wealth, not fertiliser use or litres of milk produced. By doing that, the policy instrument (the transfer of money to poor people) is linked directly to the policy objective of reducing poverty. Direct income support measures are more effective at dealing with poverty, and will not produce the same level of distortions and inefficiencies as agricultural subsidies do. It is acknowledged that the removal of subsidies from an industry that has become dependent on financial support can cause hardship. Making the transition from dependence on, to independence from, subsidies can be frightening for workers employed in a supported industry. It is important that policy makers and the general public understand not only the potential long-run benefits of subsidy reform, but also about ways to make the transition to a more sustainable future less painful. To ensure adequate food supplies Food security has been used as an argument for retaining subsidies for agriculture. Some countries believe that selfsufficiency is needed to ensure that their citizens will have physical and economic access to adequate food supplies. In a recent report food security was raised as an ongoing 45 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES concern by four OECD countries — Japan, Korea, Norway and the Netherlands. 76 Self-sufficiency means that food needs are met from domestic supplies as far as possible, with as few imports as possible. Food security in crisis situations It is important from a viewpoint of national security to have contingency plans for unlikely events such as a lack of foreign food supplies. This can occur because of war, sanctions, climate change or ecological crises. However, this does not necessarily imply that self-sufficiency needs to be maintained in perpetuity, and it is likely that such a policy would be counterproductive. It would divert resources away from more valuable industries, decreasing national wealth and future industrial capacity. A cheaper alternative to self-sufficiency is self-reliance, where a country maintains a capacity to grow food, but does not rely on that capacity when better options are available, such as trade. Self-reliance requires a country to be able to shift resources into agriculture if that becomes necessary to meet food requirements. Alternatively, or perhaps in addition, a country could maintain food reserves to be used if foreign supplies were stopped. Maintaining or encouraging trading relationships rather than resorting to self-sufficiency can build mutual interdependence and cooperation, and help to foster social, cultural and economic ties between nations. Being reliant on other countries for food is a force for peace. Countries with vested interests in the peaceful productive advancement of other countries are less likely to turn to aggression when disputes arise. 76 Abler, p. 4. 46 4 Subsidies’ ROLE? Food security outside crisis situations The larger a market, the less impact any single supply shock has. For example, if Korea relied solely on domestically produced beef and adverse weather conditions reduced local beef supplies by 50 per cent the impact on food availability and price would be significant. However, if Korea had some domestic beef production but traded freely on the international market, adverse weather conditions in Korea would have little impact on the worldwide availability or price of beef. Its food security would be better maintained by being a part of the international community and thereby pooling the risk of food supply. Further, trade liberalisation increases growth and production, increasing potential food supplies. In its comprehensive review of food security issues, Australia’s Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade reported that ‘broad-based trade liberalisation is an important vehicle for economic growth’, which ‘makes a major contribution to food security’. 77 The impossibility of total self-sufficiency The discussion so far on self-sufficiency has assumed that it is a viable option. While it is possible for a nation to become more self-sufficient, total self-sufficiency in the modern world is no longer a viable option. To have a totally self-sufficient agricultural sector, a country would have to be self-sufficient in all of the sector’s inputs such as fertiliser, seed stock, tractors, oil and stock feed. Further, to be self-sufficient in tractors a country would have to be self-sufficient in rubber, engines and steel. In reality, in the modern world of trade nobody is totally selfsufficient. 77 Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Food Security & Trade: A Future Perspective, AGPS, Canberra, 1996, p. x. 47 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES For example, Japan subsidises its corn syrup industry, which uses 3 million tons of corn a year imported from the United States. 78 More generally, the ‘Japanese agricultural sector is energy-dependent and all but a fraction of Japan’s oil requirements is imported’.79 And there are other examples. The European Union subsidises its beef industry, and feeds the cattle with stockfeed imported from South America. The United States subsidises its sugar producers who use tractors that run on oil imported from the Middle East. The reality of the modern world is that all countries are reliant, to some degree, on other countries. Trading food in the international market increases quality and price stability and results in lower price levels during peace time. National security requires self-reliance, not self-sufficiency. To encourage industry Time and again, governments attempt to guide industry behaviour and ‘support’ businesses that are deemed to have good future prospects, but need help to get started. More often than not, such a policy has proved counterproductive as governments are not good at ‘picking winners’. Support for agricultural industries is no exception. While governments may want to encourage successful businesses, the reality of a market economy is that successful businesses are not the ones that need support. If a business needs support, it is unlikely to be the sort of business that taxpayers should support. Successful businesses require risks 78 H Fukuda, J Dyck and J Stout, Sweetener Policies in Japan, United States Department of Agriculture, SSS-234-01, 2002, http://www.ers.usda.gov/ publications/SSS/sep02/sss23401/sss23401.pdf, Accessed 16 February 2003. 79 ABARE (Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics) 1988, Japanese Agricultural Policies: A Time of Change, Policy Monograph No. 3, AGPS, Canberra, 1988, p. 305. 48 4 Subsidies’ ROLE? to be taken. Governments generally minimise their exposure to risk because of the additional political risk they face if they are seen to be supporting the wrong industry. It is sometimes argued that a business will be successful if only it could be given help to start up. This ‘infant industry’ argument has some merit in theory. However, it suffers three significant problems. § The government is not in a position to judge which infant industries should be supported until after they have succeeded or failed. § Infant industries that receive support often never ‘grow up’, but become dependent on subsidies — ‘corporate welfare’. § All subsidies have to be paid for. A subsidy provided to one business or industry has to be paid for by a tax on someone else and any advantage that is passed to one business or industry is going to make life harder for other businesses or industries. There is one sort of industry support that may be justified — support for research and development (R&D). The potential merits of targeted support for R&D are covered later when market failure is considered. To level the playing field Countries providing subsidies seem to be unwilling to be the first to make a move in dismantling them, as this could put them at risk of being uncompetitive with countries that opt to maintain support programs. In other words, the removal of subsidies by one country may upset the ‘level playing field’ and provide an unfair advantage to farmers in countries that retain support measures. For this reason, most trade reform is pursued in a multilateral framework, where all involved countries commit to 49 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES reducing their support. The issue of agricultural subsidies is central to the current Doha round of the WTO. If liberalisation can be achieved through the WTO, the ‘problem’ with making the first move is overcome. However, irrespective of the outcome of the Doha round, concern about a level playing field is often misplaced. International trade models indicate that reducing domestic farm subsidies benefits a country even if other countries do not do likewise. The International Monetary Fund suggests that the welfare benefits from worldwide liberalisation of farm trade would be US$128 billion a year, US$24 billion of which would go to developing countries.80 More importantly, it shows that only a little over a quarter of the gain to developing countries comes from liberalisation undertaken by high-income countries. The rest comes from their own liberalisation. To address market failure The most convincing argument used to defend the use of agricultural subsidies is that there is an ‘externality’ problem in the market for agricultural products, and government action is required to address this problem. This occurs when the activities of producers result in a benefit or a cost to society that is external to their main business. Such benefits and costs are called externalities. 81 It is important to note that agricultural subsidies are only one way of dealing with a market failure. For instance, instead of offering a subsidy to change the behaviour of farmers, the government could use a tax. 80 International Monetary Fund, p. 85. 81 Externalities occur because the benefits and/or costs of an activity do not accrue to a single person or entity. More information on externalities is available in any microeconomics text, such as E Mansfield, Microeconomics, Norton, New York, 1994. 50 4 Subsidies’ ROLE? If farmers are producing a public benefit, there may be a case for the government to offer a subsidy to encourage them to continue producing the benefit. More often than not agricultural subsidies are an inefficient and ineffective way of inducing farmers to supply public goods. This is especially true when the link between agricultural production and the public good is weak. (Chapter 6 looks at alternative policy instruments that could be used.) We now consider three types of externality — economic, environmental and social — that may need to be addressed. Economic externalities Economic externalities occur when the activities of one person or entity have an economic or financial impact on other groups outside the market process. This is often the case when public infrastructure is created. For example, if a farmer builds a road within a region to a local town and others from within and outside that region can use it, everyone benefits. Because of such positive externalities, governments tend to fund, build and maintain the roads. One example of a public good that may justify a subsidy is R&D. Because not all of the benefits of R&D go to the person or group that invests in the R&D, the market may not produce enough R&D. Consequently, it may be appropriate to subsidise agricultural R&D. An example can be found in Australia. Some agricultural regions are facing increasing levels of salinity, which is damaging the economy and the environment. Research into salinity is partly a public good, as all farmers can take advantage of any reductions in salinity that may result. Hence, the government is involved in funding the National Dryland Salinity Program. In many instances, more R&D would lead to better economic outcomes (as resources are used more efficiently) 51 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES and better environmental outcomes (less harmful ways are discovered to achieve economic objectives). Environmental externalities It is sometimes argued that an undistorted market will not produce enough environmental services, such as fresh air and clean water. In chapter 2 we showed that agricultural subsidies often result in harm to the environment. However, this need not be the case. In some circumstances subsidies can be used to encourage more sustainable farming practices and can result in better environmental outcomes. Views on the effects of agricultural subsidies differ considerably between countries providing high levels of support and countries providing low levels of support. In a recent OECD report82 countries with highly subsidised agricultural sectors, such as Japan, Korea, Norway, Belgium, Greece and the Czech Republic, stress the positive impact that farm production has on biodiversity. However, countries providing low levels of agricultural support, including Australia and New Zealand, stress the negative impact of farming on biodiversity. Interestingly, the message of perverse subsidies is getting through to some countries providing high levels of support, with the United States, France, Finland and the Netherlands all recognising a negative relationship between agriculture and biodiversity. Subsidies that are linked to the level of production are unlikely to produce better environmental outcomes and most agricultural subsidies are linked to production in some way. Even some subsidies not directly linked to production levels can have perverse environmental consequences. This highlights the need to determine what effects agricultural subsidies are really having. 82 Abler, p. 4. 52 4 Subsidies’ ROLE? Social externalities Some groups argue that the agricultural market does not produce enough social benefits, such as countryside amenity, tourist attractions, social diversity, strong rural communities and historical preservation. Concern about such benefits is most common in countries with high levels of agricultural support. In a review of country concerns about non-commodity farm outputs, the OECD noted that only Belgium, Japan, Korea and Norway raised the issue of ‘cultural heritage’. 83 The effect of agricultural subsidies on such social outputs is difficult to assess. In some cases, agricultural subsidies may help to increase the social benefits, but may result in economic and environmental costs. Once again, this highlights the need for a systematic review of all agricultural subsidies to determine how large these benefits and costs are. In other cases, agricultural subsidies may be an ineffective way of achieving social goals. If the link between the social objectives and agricultural production is weak, alternative policies are likely to be more cost effective. To maintain the multifunctionality of agriculture ‘Multifunctionality’ is a relatively new word that has been used when arguing for agricultural support in some countries that heavily subsidise their farming sectors — France, Switzerland and Japan, for example. The argument quite rightly starts by recognising that farming is not simply about farm output. Agricultural producers and rural townships also produce non-commodity outputs. Generally, it is argued that these outputs include environmental externalities, social externalities and food 83 Abler, p. 4. 53 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES security — already discussed. However, the prominence of the multifunctionality argument warrants special attention. Proponents of multifunctionality argue that agricultural subsidies should be provided to farmers to ensure that they continue to produce the many non-commodity benefits. There is a fear in some countries that the removal of subsidies would result in a reduction in these benefits. However, it is often the case that the link between farming and the multifunctional benefit is not strong or clear. For example, it is not obvious how increased pig production in Europe will result in greater biodiversity, aesthetic beauty or social diversity. What is more certain is that subsidies for the pig industry in Europe have distorted prices and decreased efficiency while increasing water pollution in countries that already have high levels of nitrogen in the water (see chapter 3). The problem is the link between the policy objective and the policy instrument. For agricultural subsidies to be a good policy instrument, the non-commodity benefits must correlate with agricultural production. In the language of the OECD, there needs to be a high level of ‘jointness’ between the commodity and non-commodity farm outputs. The OECD produced an analytical framework for multifunctionality 84, which suggests that four questions need to be answered when considering the need for subsidies to maintain non-commodity outputs. § Is there a strong degree of jointness between agricultural commodity production and the non-commodity output? § If there is a strong degree of jointness, is the jointness inherent or can it be altered through changes in farming practices, technologies, or non-agricultural provision of the non-commodity output? 84 OECD 2000, Multifunctionality: Towards an Analytical Framework, COM/AGR/ APM/WP(2000)3/ FINAL, OECD, Paris. 54 4 Subsidies’ ROLE? § Assuming there is a strong degree of jointness, is there a market failure associated with the production of the non-commodity output, or do private markets exist and function well? § If there is a market failure, is government action required or are there non-governmental options? In many instances, the non-commodity benefits of farming can be achieved in a better way. One approach is to ‘decouple’, where possible, the subsidies from agricultural production and decrease the potential for economic and environmental harm (discussed further in chapter 6). Some countries providing high agricultural support insist that production-distorting subsidies are necessary because there is a high degree of jointness between the commodity and non-commodity benefits. 85 For example, in Japan the level of rice production is linked with flood prevention.86 Another example is the cultural value (‘way of life’) of farming and rural communities in France. However, some commentators suggest that the multifunctional effects of subsidies are quite different. Martin Wolf posits that the European Union’s Common Agricultural Policy results in a huge financial cost, a burden on poor consumers, higher land prices, greater farm intensity, environmental damage, lower food quality, greater price volatility and decreased incomes for developing countries. 87 The question remains: how large are the benefits and do they outweigh the potential economic and environmental costs? In France, how much are people willing to trade off 85 Abler. 86 Y Nakashima, Multifunctionality: Applying the OECD Framework, A Review of Literature in Japan, OECD, Paris, 2001. 87 M Wolf, ‘Weeding out farming subsidies’, Financial Times, 5 November 2002, www.ft.com, Accessed 5 November 2002. 55 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES cheaper food, lower taxes and potential environmental benefits in order to maintain the potential multifunctional benefits of farming? To answer such questions, governments need a dedicated and systematic review process that can distinguish between good subsidies and bad subsidies. 56 5 HOW CAN WE DISTINGUISH THE GOOD FROM THE BAD? D iscussions about agricultural subsidies can become confusing. On one hand, many subsidies lead to economic inefficiency and environmental harm (as outlined in chapters 2 and 3). On the other hand, many subsidies are defended on the grounds that they produce benefits for society (as outlined in chapter 4). Honest policy makers have the difficult task of separating the good from the bad, and less scrupulous policy makers can use the confusion to mask alternative political agendas or to favour particular groups. In the end, theory is not sufficient. Theoretically, we can show that farm subsidies lead to more intensive agricultural production and environmental degradation. We can also show that farm subsidies sometimes provide benefits, such as preserving a way of life in farm communities. However, this theory is of limited use without some hard analysis. What is needed is a process to determine whether the benefits of farm subsidies are worth the costs involved. If they are not, they should be removed. Testing the subsidy The first step in reviewing an agricultural subsidy is to define its nature — whether active or passive (as discussed in chapter 2). Then it needs to be put into context and its relevance tested (chart 9). 57 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES It is important to identify why the subsidy was introduced and to determine whether that reason is still relevant. Good analysis is impossible without a clear understanding of the subsidy’s objectives. As noted in chapter 4 agricultural subsidies have been introduced to alleviate poverty, provide for national security, help businesses, provide a level playing field, support multifunctional benefits and fix market failures. If they did achieve all of these objectives, they might well be considered one of the greatest human achievements. However, all too often, agricultural subsidies fail to achieve their stated objectives and actually result in harmful outcomes. And in 9 Testing the subsidy’s relevance and identifying its impacts What is the policy objective of the subsidy? § Environmental, social, economic? Is the objective still relevant? No Remove subsidy Yes Is the objective being achieved? Yes What are the unintended impacts? § Positive or negative? § Economic or environmental? Analyse the benefits and costs 58 No Remove subsidy and explore alternatives 5 DISTINGUISHgood fromBAD? some instances they may be in place to achieve objectives that are no longer relevant. In these cases the subsidy has no benefits and should be removed. If the objective is still relevant and the subsidy is providing some benefit, the subsidy should progress to the next stage of review, when its unintended consequences, which may be negative, are identified. A matrix can be used to systematically record the positive and negative impacts of the subsidy according to whether they are environmental or economic (table 10). For the purposes of this analysis, economic benefits include economic development and poverty alleviation. Some subsidies have negative environmental and negative economic impacts and, as seen earlier, are defined as perverse subsidies. Subsidies with positive economic and positive environmental outcomes are clearly good. One example could be a subsidy for research and development. Subsidies that have ‘mixed’ impacts — economic or environmental benefits, but not both — are more difficult to assess. An objective assessment requires winners and losers to be identified, and the net impact of the subsidy to be closely scrutinised. For instance, people may value a certain environmental outcome at more than $1 million dollars, but less than $100 million dollars. If a subsidy 10 Identifying the positive and negative impacts Positive economic (ü) Negative economic (û) Positive environmental (ü) üü üû Negative environmental (û) ûü û û (perverse) 59 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES provided that environmental outcome at a cost of $1 million88, it would be a good subsidy, but at a cost of $100 million it would be a bad subsidy. The need to make such decisions is unavoidable. In some European countries, subsidies are providing social benefits and environmental costs. Farm communities are being maintained, but farm practices are increasing pollution. What is needed is analysis to show how big the social benefits are and how big the environmental costs are. Not having that information is a real obstacle to reform. If governments were held to high levels of public accountability and made to show both the costs and the benefits of the subsidies they provide, the perverse subsidies could be removed more easily. Assessing the subsidy All potential benefits and costs of an agricultural subsidy — economic, social and environmental — have to be identified before an assessment can be made of whether its benefits exceed its costs. During an assessment the relative sizes of these impacts are determined and the winners and losers from the subsidy identified (chart 11). 89 The assessors need to be aware of relationships between different subsidies as a subsidy may exist to offset the consequences of another subsidy. The process of assessment should include consultation with all affected parties and be transparent with the results contestable. To assess agricultural subsidies in a transparent and consistent way requires a common decision-making framework. Passing all subsidies through such a framework 88 This cost should include not only the fiscal cost of the subsidy, but all costs associated with the subsidy as outlined in chapter 2. 89 In doing this analysis, it is important to include all flow-on benefits and costs, remembering that the cost of a subsidy is more than simply its fiscal cost. 60 5 DISTINGUISHgood fromBAD? 11 Analysing the subsidy’s costs and benefits How large are the benefits and costs? Who wins and who loses domestically and internationally? Do the costs exceed the benefits? No Yes Remove or reform subsidy § Establish who will lose from subsidy reform § Consider multilateral agreements and adjustment issues § Explore alternative instruments Could the objectives be achieved in a more cost-effective way? Yes No Retain subsidy would be one of the most productive steps that could be taken toward weeding out perverse subsidies. If, as Myers and Kent have suggested, up to 80 per cent of subsidies are perverse, most subsidies could be expected to have costs that outweigh the benefits. Those that do would fail the net benefits test and should then be removed or reformed — to the benefit of the environment as well as the economy. Of course, there is a technical problem in valuing environmental and social benefits and costs, but such estimates are now routinely made.90 So this is not an excuse for avoiding the process of measuring benefits and costs. 90 For more information on methods of valuing environmental and social goods, see J Bennett, M Van Bueren and S Whitten, Estimating society’s willingness to pay to maintain viable rural communities, Paper presented at the 46th Conference of the Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, Canberra, February 2002. 61 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES However, certain characteristics of a subsidy make it more likely to be good or bad, even though there is no straightforward link between the size and type of support, the nature of the industry and the environmental impact. Besides the size of the subsidy, the characteristics to consider include: § the mechanism through which an industry is subsidised (for example, direct payment or price support) § the conditions that must be met for the subsidy to be activated § the input and final product markets the subsidy will affect § whether there are substitute technologies, products or services available with more favourable environmental impacts § the prevailing taxation regime § the regulatory and institutional framework in which the subsidy operates, and § the local and biophysical characteristics of the environment affected. As noted previously, subsidies are more likely to be perverse (bad) if they target inputs such as fertiliser, affect industries that are already polluting or resource intensive, and/or influence production capacity. Even if a subsidy’s benefits exceed its costs, there is another question to answer: is there another policy that could better achieve the desired outcome? That question is addressed in the next chapter. 62 6 WHAT ALTERNATIVES ARE THERE TO SUBSIDIES? A gricultural subsidies are put in place to achieve certain economic, social and/or environmental objectives. But even ‘good’ subsidies may not be the best way to achieve specific policy objectives. Alternative policies need to be considered. There are three types of alternative policy that could be used. The first, already touched on in chapter 4, involves decoupling the subsidy from agricultural production and improving the link between the policy objective and the policy instrument. That is, the government could continue to provide a subsidy, but ensure that the subsidy more directly targets what it wants to achieve. The second alternative is to use a different policy instrument, such as pollution taxes, environmental regulations, education campaigns or property right allocations. The third alternative is to develop an operating environment that is conductive to economic growth. According to some studies, stronger economic growth will do more to improve social and environmental outcomes than will subsidies. 91 91 T Nankivell, Living, Labour and Environmental Standards and the WTO, Staff Working Paper, Productivity Commission, Canberra, 2002. 63 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES Improve the targeting of subsidies Currently, subsidies are used as a broad and cumbersome measure to address worthy goals. While agricultural subsidies may help to achieve certain social objectives, they also have many unintended consequences. Increase transparency The key to improving subsidies is to introduce a transparent decision-making framework for policy makers. If the policy objectives can be clearly identified, specific policies can be formulated to directly address those objectives. For instance, if society wants to encourage farmers to plant attractive trees to improve the aesthetic appeal of rural communities, a subsidy specifically for planting attractive trees should be considered. By clearly identifying the objective, the appropriate policy becomes clear. Such policy transparency is opposed by some. De Jasay attributes much of the opposition to pride, where transparent transfers would make farmers ‘feel they would be reduced to national pensioners, recipients of alms’.92 Some commentators are less generous, suggesting that ‘the policies of protection owe their existence to deceit’. 93 Martin and Winters point out: The switch to non-distorting or de-coupled policies was an anathema to the producers of these crops [peanuts, rice and sugar] because these policies would have exposed the extent of the income transfers and the distribution of the benefits, neither of which would be politically popular. 94 92 A De Jasay, ‘What price pride?: On the hidden costs of economic illiteracy’, Reflections from Europe, Library of Economics and Liberty, 2003, http:// www.econlib.org/ library/ Columns/y2003/Jasaypride.html, Accessed 10 April 2003. 93 A Stoeckel, Solving the Problem: A Look at the Political Economy of Agricultural Reform, RIRDC Publication No. 00/124, Canberra, 2000, p. 26. 94 Martin and Winters, p. 21. 64 6 WhatALTERNATIVES? The European Union is pursuing a policy of decoupling its subsidies from production levels and is substituting less distorting subsidies. In the Mid-Term Review of the Common Agricultural Policy the Commission of the European Communities states that it prefers a ‘decoupled system of payments per farm, based on historical references and conditional upon cross-compliance to environmental, animal welfare and food quality criteria’. 95 Unfortunately the EU reforms to date have been moderate. As noted in chapter 2 most support remains highly distorting and linked to production levels. Further, most of the less distorting subsidies in the Common Agricultural Policy remain linked to production levels and so continue to distort the allocation of resources among competing uses. Instead of maintaining high support and slightly changing its form, the European Union would be better off implementing a systematic, transparent and ongoing review of all of its agricultural subsidies against economic and environmental criteria. This process would help to ensure that the best policy that could be used to achieve objectives was in place. Provide direct income support Social goals such as poverty alleviation and the protection of minority and/or disadvantaged groups are legitimate political objectives. EU policy makers declare that a central goal of their agricultural policy is to maintain ‘a fair standard of living and income stability for the agricultural community’.96 However, it must be questioned whether agricultural subsidies, especially those that result in environmental damage, are the best way of achieving that goal. 95 Commission of the European Communities, p. 3. 96 Commission of the European Communities, p. 2. 65 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES Agricultural subsidies are a costly and inaccurate method of addressing poverty. Many people recognise that often it is the large or wealthy farmers who benefit most from subsidies. A better solution is to directly assist people who are in poverty. This approach is more effective in helping the poor and produces fewer negative side effects. The International Monetary Fund suggests that, when blunt instruments of income assistance such as farm subsidies are removed, ‘measures should then be targeted at smaller, less wealthy producers and those rendered unemployed by reforms’.97 If it is not possible for poverty to be addressed through welfare policies, one option is to means-test recipients of agricultural subsidies to at least ensure that money is not being transferred to those not in need. Use alternative policy instruments Subsidies are a popular form of government intervention because the idea is easy to sell to those people who will receive the subsidy. However, subsidies are not always the most appropriate or effective policy and it may be that taxes or regulations would better enable objectives to be met. Environmental taxes Subsidies encourage certain behaviours and taxes discourage other behaviours. This is one reason why governments tend to subsidise education and tax smoking. The use of taxes and subsidies to solve market failures is generally accepted in economics. If a business or individual is doing too little of a socially good thing, they can be offered a subsidy to do more of it. If a business or 97 Gupta, Verhoeven, Gillingham, Schiller, Mansoor and Cordoba, p. 9. 66 6 WhatALTERNATIVES? individual is doing too much of a socially bad thing, they can be taxed so that they do less of it. If governments are trying to discourage behaviour that leads to pollution, a tax on pollution is likely to be more effective than an agricultural subsidy. The idea that a producer should pay for their environmentally damaging behaviour accords with the ‘polluter pays principle’. 98 A potential solution to damage to public water supplies caused by fertiliser run-off is a pollution tax. The OECD explored such an option for controlling nitrogen emissions in the Netherlands and showed that a pollution tax leads to less pollution and can also lead to better economic outcomes.99 One advantage of a tax over a subsidy is that it does not require a benchmark. A subsidy does require a benchmark, which can result in perverse incentives. For instance, producers have an incentive to perform badly in the base year so that the ‘reform’ targets are easier to achieve. Producers who perform well in the base year are punished with more difficult reform targets.100 Direct regulation The government also has the option of simply regulating business and individual behaviour. This solution does not try to improve the incentives faced by farmers, but simply overrides their incentives by imposing a general rule. 98 D Pearce, A Markandya and EB Barbier, Blueprint for a Green Economy, Earthscan Publications, London, 1989. 99 J Helming and F Brouwer, ‘Environmental effects of changes in taxation and support to agriculture’, Improving the Environment Through Reducing Subsidies Part III: Case Studies, OECD, Paris, 1999, pp. 79–105. 100 M Ribaudo, RD Horan and M Smith, Economics of Water Quality Protection from Nonpoint Sources: Theory and Practice, Agricultural Economic Report No. 782, United States Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC, 1999. 67 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES There are many reasons to believe that regulation may not be the best way to change behaviour. For instance, regulations are necessarily quite cumbersome and do not respond well to changing environments. They can have significant policing and compliance costs. Further, they are generally a one-size-fits-all approach, while taxes and subsidies still allow for some diversity. That said, in some instances direct regulation may be a preferable alternative to subsidies, and it should not be ruled out a priori. One example of successful regulation (though not an agricultural example) is the international action taken on the use of chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) and other ozonedepleting gases. The use of CFCs grew significantly during the 1960s to a peak of over 1200 thousand tons in the late 1980s. This resulted in the ozone layer breaking down, leading to increased eye diseases (cataracts), skin cancer and photoaging (wrinkling and premature aging of skin).101 According to the United Nations the 1987 Montreal Protocol (and its subsequent amendments and adjustments) established ‘legally binding controls on the national production and consumption of ozone-depleting gases’. 102 The United Nations goes on to explain that the Montreal Protocol has led to a reduction in ozone-depleting gases in the atmosphere. By 2050 the buildup of these gases should have been reversed to levels that existed in the 1970s.103 The ozone-depleting gas regulation has proven successful. Not only has the environmental damage been stopped, but it is being reversed. Further, there has been a net economic benefit as the cost of regulation has been lower than the benefits from a smaller ozone problem. However, it is 101 Lomborg, p. 273. 102 DW Fahey, Twenty Questions and Answers About the Ozone Layer, United Nations Environment Programme, Les Diablerets, Switzerland, 2002, p. 28. 103 Fahey, p. 30. 68 6 WhatALTERNATIVES? questionable how well this process can be extended to environmental problems associated with agriculture. Environmental issues related to agriculture are more often local and specific, and broad regulation may not be the best solution. Property rights It can be argued that, instead of the government trying to solve market failures, it should try to remove the market failures. This can be done by extending and clarifying property rights. People who own property have a strong incentive to look after that property and to control and manage its use. Elephants in Zimbabwe (prior to the recent civil unrest in that country) provide a good example of this principle. Poaching in many parts of Africa has caused a serious decline in the number of elephants. However, in Zimbabwe the government effectively handed ownership of elephants to local landowners and community groups under a project called Communal Areas Management Program for Indigenous Resources (CAMPFIRE). The owners of the elephants are able to make money out of the elephants by allowing limited trophy hunts. This means that the owners have a strong incentive to prevent illegal poaching and to protect the elephants. Jacomea Nare from CAMPFIRE claims that ‘[t]he poaching and illegal hunting has stopped completely, because everyone in the community is a policeman now’.104 In one of their fact sheets, CAMPFIRE explains that people have started to set aside land for elephants and villagers have arranged food 104 Quoted in T Rembert, ‘Opening the ivory door: an exercise in democracy pits conservation against animal rights’, E Currents (CAMPFIRE Association of Zimbabwe), vol. ix, no. iv, 1998, http://www.emagazine.com/july-august_ 1998/0798curr_ivory.html, Accessed 14 February 2003. 69 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES deliveries for elephants in times of drought.105 The results speak for themselves. Since the introduction of CAMPFIRE in 1989, Zimbabwe’s elephant population has risen from around 37 000 to around 70 000.106 Botswana also allows elephants to be commercially harvested, and has seen a similar increase in elephant numbers.107 This is in stark contrast to Kenya, which has pursued a policy of regulation and ‘collective’ ownership of elephants. Since its ban on hunting, the Kenyan elephant population has fallen from 140 000 to 16 000. Similar decreases have been seen in other countries that have banned hunting, such as Tanzania and Uganda.108 Another example of property rights being used to achieve environmental ends is in the fishing industry in Iceland. By not having to pay for the fish that they caught, Icelandic fishers had been receiving a passive subsidy. That subsidy resulted in overfishing and a dwindling stock of sea life. By replacing this passive subsidy with a property rights system, Iceland has reduced exploitation of its fish stock and seen an improvement in economic efficiency. 109 In these examples, establishing and enforcing private property rights has resulted in better outcomes than direct regulation or subsidies produced. However, property rights may not be a feasible option in all circumstances, especially where such rights are difficult to allocate or enforce. 105 CAMPFIRE (Communal Area Management Programme for Indigenous Resources), Sharing the Land: People and Elephants in Rural Zimbabwe, Fact Sheets No. 7, Zimbabwe, 2003, http:// www.campfire-zimbabwe.org/facts_07.html, Accessed 14 February 2003. 106 Rembert. 107 T Cowen, ‘Public goods and externalities’, The Concise Encyclopedia of Economics, Web edn, Library of Economics and Liberty, 2002, http://www.econlib.org/ library/Enc/PublicGoodsandExternalities.html, Accessed 14 February 2003. 108 Cowen. 109 Runolfsson and Arnason, and Runolfsson. 70 6 WhatALTERNATIVES? Promote economic growth and development One potential method of achieving economic, environmental and social objectives — most often promoted by economists — is through stronger economic growth. In brief, it is argued that economic growth is not in competition with sustainable development, but rather that economic growth is the best way to promote sustainable development. The idea that economic growth is naturally sustainable is sometimes referred to as ‘weak’ sustainability. 110 This view is not widely shared in the environmental movement. For example, Kenneth Lux suggests that sustainable development is impossible until the profit motive is abolished.111 More often it is suggested that the profit motive is useful, but not sufficient for sustainable development. The benefit of economic growth to sustainable development and environmental outcomes rests largely on the idea of the environmental Kuznets curve (see box 12). Some economists argue that economic growth leads to a short-run decrease in environmental quality, followed by better environmental quality in the long run. Such a pattern is detectable in many developed countries. For example, levels of sulphur dioxide and smoke in London increased more than tenfold in the 300 years to the mid-nineteenth century. Since that point, however, the levels have fallen off dramatically and are now lower than at any time since the Middle Ages.112 110 J Pezzey and M Toman, Sustainable Development: Making Sense of “Sustainability”, Issue Brief no. 02–25, Resources for the Future, Washington, DC, 2002, www.rff.org/Johannesburg/Issuebriefs/joburg18.pdf, Accessed 4 April 2003. 111 K Lux, ‘The failure of the profit motive’, Ecological Economics, vol. 44, no. 1, 2002, pp. 1–9. 112 Lomborg, p. 164. 71 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES While there is evidence to suggest the Kuznets curve holds in some cases, there are some pollutants, such as carbon dioxide, that do not seem to follow the rule. That is, pollution levels continue to increase with economic growth. In these instances, some form of intervention may be necessary. Supporters of the economic growth and ‘weak’ sustainability argument suggest that policies introduced to help the environment in the short term may lead to lower economic growth and lower environmental outcomes in the future. They therefore argue that even good subsidies will produce bad outcomes in the end. Such arguments also generally stress the likelihood that governments will be seduced by bad subsidies as they prize political ends more highly than good policy, and so it is safer to simply reject all subsidies. The economic argument of ‘weak’ sustainability is controversial. A paper by Resources for the Future reflects a more common environmentalist position. The authors 12 Environmental Kuznets curve The American economist Simon Kuznets suggested in 1955 that there was an inverted U-shaped relationship between wealth and income inequality. He argued that, as gross national product per person increased, inequality would initially increase to a maximum point and then decrease. This idea has been extended to other phenomena, such as environmental outcomes. Pollution National income There is some empirical evidence to suggest that pollution increases in the early stages of development, but decreases after a certain income level is reached. Such a relationship between national income and the environment has become known as the environmental Kuznets curve. Source: M Gillis, DH Perkins, M Roemer and DR Snodgrass, Development , W.W. Norton & Company, New York, 1996. 72 Economics of 6 WhatALTERNATIVES? suggest that, although the economic analysis is meaningful, ‘government intervention … may well be needed to achieve sustainability’. 113 The nature of subsidies was well illustrated by the United States Environmental Protection Agency in its review of policy instruments available for protecting the environment. Listing the benefits and costs for each instrument, the only benefit listed for subsidies was ‘politically popular’.114 This re-enforces our assertion that the most significant remaining obstacle to the reform of agricultural subsidies is political — the lack of an independent institutional framework to review agricultural subsidies. The next chapter discusses the step that needs to be taken to bring about reform. 113 Pezzey and Toman, p. 4. 114 United States Environmental Protection Agency, The United States Experience with Economic Incentives for Protecting the Environment, EPA-240-R-01-001 Washington, DC, 2001, p. 31. 73 7 THE NEXT STEP T hanks to the research of various groups — from the OECD to WWF — information on perverse subsidies is now more readily available. The analysis is there, but the institutional framework necessary to address the issue of subsidies is not. What is missing in each country is an organisation that can systematically and transparently review agricultural subsidies — identify and analyse their benefits and costs so that the country can choose the right policies to achieve its economic, social and environmental objectives. Such a conclusion echoes the recommendations of an Earth Council report. It suggested that governments need to ensure greater transparency in subsidy policies, develop alternative policies to achieve environmental and economic objectives, and place the burden of proving that subsidies should be maintained on those who prefer the status quo.115 The result of pursuing such a system would be less waste, less environmental damage and governments being able to pursue their countries’ goals at a lower cost. The challenge for green groups and others interested in reforming perverse subsidies is to turn the rhetoric into action by encouraging governments to accept the political discipline of good public governance and due process in reviewing agricultural subsidies. 115 De Moor. 74 7 TheNEXT step Several environmental groups have been lobbying their governments for the removal of damaging subsidies, though reform so far has remained modest. Green Scissors in the United States reports that 24 government programs have been cut since the beginning of its campaign, saving US taxpayers more than US$26 billion. 116 However, agricultural subsidies remain high, with the US percentage PSE higher now than it was 10 years ago. With the noticeable exception of New Zealand, and to a lesser degree Australia, subsidy reform has been slow, often with two steps forward being followed by one step backwards. Governments with no institutional framework in which to assess subsidies are able to avoid making tough decisions, which means the significant gains from reform are not being realised. What is needed is an institutional framework that focuses governments on a systematic review of their agricultural subsidies. Green groups need to pressure governments to accept, establish and support the necessary framework to expose the nature of perverse subsidies and to remove them. What follows are the essential elements of such a framework. Establish an organisation for reform Governments should establish an organisation that is responsible for systematically assessing agricultural subsidies. Such an organisation must be professional, well respected and consistent in its approach. It must conduct its reviews of subsidies through an open and transparent process. The nature of this organisation will depend on the country in which it is located. Some countries may need to create a 116 Green Scissors Campaign, p. 2. 75 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES new organisation, while others may choose to invest additional responsibility in an existing organisation. Whatever is done, it is vital that a politically independent group is entrusted with a mandate for systematically reviewing agricultural subsidies. It is not enough for politicians to have subsidies addressed in an ad hoc way. One example of an independent organisation created to undertake a set of systematic reviews is the National Competition Council, established by the Australian government. This council was given a mandate to review all government legislation to ensure it passed certain criteria that related to competition. Potentially, a similar organisation (National Subsidy Review Board) could be commissioned with the responsibility for reviewing and (if necessary) reforming or removing agricultural subsidies. The exact nature of the organisation is something best determined in consultation with all stakeholders (governments, environmental groups, farmers, etc). The creation of an independent organisation with a mandate to reform agricultural subsidies is only one half of the solution to the problem of persistent perverse subsidies. The other half, of equal importance, is to ensure that the organisation has an appropriate framework with which to consider the subsidies. The framework must assess the economic, environmental and social consequences of agricultural subsidies. Establish a framework for assessing subsidies The previous chapters established what needs to be done to assess agricultural subsidies — from identifying the subsidy through to testing whether it is good and considering alternatives. (For a summary see chart 13.) 76 7 TheNEXT step 13 Decision framework at a glance What are the benchmarks? NATURE Is the industry being subsidised? No Analysis complete Yes What is the nature of the subsidy? Explore ways to price resources correctly Passive Active What type of subsidy is it? RELEVANCE What is the policy objective of the subsidy? Is the objective still relevant? No Dismantle subsidy Yes Is the objective being achieved? No Dismantle subsidy and explore alternatives No Can objectives be achieved in a more cost-effective way? Yes What are the unintended impacts of the subsidy? IMPACTS How large are the benefits and costs? Who wins and who loses domestically and internationally? Do the costs exceed the benefits? ACTION Yes REMOVE OR REFORM SUBSIDY Yes No RETAIN SUBSIDY 77 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES The first part of the decision framework (chart 1) helps to identify the subsidy. The nature of the subsidy needs to be determined — including whether the subsidy is active or passive, exactly what sort of subsidy it is and what it is affecting. At this point it is important to determine how the subsidy is linked to farming practices, if at all. The second part of the framework (chart 9) considers the policy objective, whether a subsidy is the appropriate instrument to achieve that objective and the subsidy’s unintended impacts. It is vital to determine whether the objective is still relevant. If it is, the subsidy should be assessed to see how effectively it is achieving the objective. The final part of the framework (chart 11) explains how a subsidy should be assessed to determine whether it is producing more benefits than costs. To do this, all of the positive and negative impacts — environmental, economic and social — should have been identified. The assessment process should consider how significant each effect is and who the winners and losers from the subsidy are. It should then be possible to determine whether the subsidy passes the net benefits test. If the subsidy does not pass that test, it should be removed and alternative policies should be considered to achieve the policy objective. Even if the subsidy does pass the benefits test, alternative policy instruments should be considered to see whether there is a better way of achieving the objective. If there is no better way and the subsidy is a good one, the subsidy should be retained. Otherwise, the subsidy should be reformed or removed. A clear benefit from this process is that public policy instruments can be better aligned with public policy objectives. Such an assessment framework would be a valuable tool for identifying the appropriate public policy. If used by an independent organisation with a mandate for reform, its value would be significantly magnified. 78 7 TheNEXT step Implement reform and address adjustment issues Once the decision has been made to reform (or remove) an agricultural subsidy, there are several ways to achieve it and adjustment issues must be considered. While subsidy reform will benefit society as a whole, there will be losers from the reform who should not be forgotten. One way to bring about reform is to ‘fast track’ it, as done in New Zealand. Effectively the New Zealand government decided to rip the ‘bandaid’ of subsidies off quickly — providing short-term pain, but ensuring quick adjustment. Despite difficult international conditions at the time, this approach seems to have been effective. 117 However, this may not be a feasible approach in other countries, especially where the farm lobby maintains a strong influence on the government. Another way is to undertake quick reform but offer one-off ‘adjustment’ payments to compensate for the ‘pain’. Another way is to offer a clear and detailed reform agenda over an extended period, which would allow farmers to adjust to the coming changes.118 The correct adjustment arrangements will be specific to each country and to each industry. In considering this issue, the International Monetary Fund concluded that the speed of reform should be dictated by a number of elements119 including: § fiscal considerations (the size of the subsidies and the potential for savings) 117 Federated Farmers of New Zealand. 118 The International Monetary Fund suggests that such a process decreases the probability that the reforms will be unwound (Gupta, Verhoeven, Gillingham, Schiller, Mansoor and Cordoba.). 119 Gupta, Verhoeven, Gillingham, Schiller, Mansoor and Cordoba, ch. 4. 79 GREENINGfarmSUBSIDIES § the availability of social protection instruments and administrative capacity, and § the willingness of governments to act on a technically sound reform package. It is vital that the framework adopted addresses adjustment issues in its design. If agricultural subsidy reform is not managed appropriately, the necessary political support will diminish and the potential economic and environmental gains may not be realised. Achieving a political commitment to reform will be difficult, but the economic and environmental dividends will be worth it. Groups committed to a better environment and/or a stronger economy should unite in demanding that governments around the world pay serious attention to reforming their agricultural subsidies. 80 Greening farm subsidies The next step in removing perverse farm subsidies Greening farm subsidies When a government policy is damaging both the environment and the economy, it should be obvious that such a policy needs reform. This is the case with many agricultural subsidies. However, governments around the world have so far failed to tackle this problem, even though the harm farm support does to an economy has long been recognised. Now there is growing recognition of the environmental cost of farm subsidies. This has led to an emerging alliance of interests keen to see comprehensive reform. 2003 To this end, the Rural Industries Research and Development Corporation and the World Wide Fund for Nature (www.wwf.org.au) have asked the Centre for International Economics (www.thecie.com.au) to asses why perverse agricultural subsidies persist and how they can be removed. This study has been published by RIRDC as part of its Global Competitiveness R&D Program. Additional copies of this publication may be obtained from RIRDC by visiting their website (www.rirdc.gov.au). CENTRE FOR INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS RURAL INDUSTRIES RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT CORPORATION RIRDC Publication No. 03/040 Greening farm subsidies The next step in removing perverse farm subsidies 2003
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