Defined Benefit Insights Interest Rates and DB Plans Vanguard Strategic Retirement Consulting | Winter 2012 Evan Inglis, chief actuary Why are interest rates significant for defined benefit plans? A defined benefit plan promises to make payments in the future to its participants. Any promise to make a payment in the future has a value today based on the time value of money. A payment today is worth more than a promise to make a payment next year. A promise to make a pension payment in the future is not that different from a promise by a homeowner to make a mortgage payment, or a promise by a company or a government to make a payment on its bonds. A pension plan sponsor can be viewed as having borrowed current wages from its employees (just like borrowing from investors by issuing a bond). The plan sponsor promises to pay back those borrowed wages in the form of pension payments and the value of those payments today (the “present value”) is calculated with interest rates. What factors impact the level of interest rates? Interest rates change based on multiple factors, including, for example, Federal Reserve decisions and expected inflation. As interest rates change, the present value of a pension-payment promise changes correspondingly. A significant factor is the length of time until the promised payment is made. Usually, the longer the period until the payment needs to be made, the higher the interest rate will be. Another important factor is the level of certainty that the payment will be made. If there is uncertainty about the ability of the borrower (the plan sponsor) to make a payment, then the rate of interest will be higher. A higher interest rate is a way for the borrower to compensate the lender for the lack of certainty about actually getting paid back. Why does the present value go up when interest rates go down? When lower yields are used to calculate a present value, the present value is bigger. To see why, imagine that a friend owes you $100 next year. If you can earn 6% interest in a secure account (savings account, CD, or Treasury bills) then you’d be willing to accept about $94 today instead of the $100 next year. Your friend could also take $94 and put it in such an account and know he or she would have $100 next year to pay you. Thus the $100 promise to pay next year is worth $94 today. However, if the secure account only paid 5%, you’d ask for about $95 today from your friend to settle the promise to you. The interest rate went down from 6% to 5%, which caused the present value of your friend’s promise to increase from $94 to $95. When interest rates go down, present values go up, and vice versa. What kinds of interest rates are used to value pension plan obligations? For most purposes*, interest rates on high-quality corporate bonds are used to measure pension obligations. The basic idea is that pension promises are highly certain to be paid and high-quality corporate bond payments are highly certain to be paid. Since interest rates vary by length of time until the payment is promised, a pension plan must use many different rates to value the payments promised for each different year in the future. Often these many rates are boiled down into a single rate called the “effective discount rate.” Pension promises—otherwise known as “obligations” or “liabilities”—are valued slightly differently depending on the purpose. The two main reasons for calculating the value of pension payments are to determine contribution amounts under PPA rules—that is, the “funding target”—and for accounting purposes—that is, to determine the “Projected Benefit Obligation” or “PBO” (see DB Insights: Corporate pension accounting—The basics). Note that in this DB Insights we do not describe how pension liabilities for government pension plans are calculated (see DB Insights: Government (public) pension plans). Other reasons for using interest rates to value pension payment promises are shown below. Rate PPA 24-month average segment rates Purpose PPA funding target for determining contributions Explanation PPA allows plan sponsors to use an average rate to reduce volatility in their contribution requirements. These rates are presented as three segments: for payments due from 0 to 5 years, for payments due from 5 to 20 years, and for payments further away than 20 years. PPA 30-day average yield curve rates (“spot rates”) PPA funding target for determining contributions An alternative to the 24-month average rates is individual rates for every year along the yield curve. This alternative is normally elected by plans that have adopted liability-driven investment (LDI) strategies because the financial markets value bonds based on spot interest rates (see the DB Insights on liability-driven investment strategies). PPA 30-day average segment rates • etermining underfunding for PBGC D variable-rate premiums • C alculating lump-sum amounts for participant payments • T he variable premium rate is taken from the 30-day average just before the start of the plan year. • T he lump-sum rate is usually set once a year and is selected from one of the five months just before the beginning of the plan year.* 30-year Treasury rate Calculating lump-sum amounts for participants under pre-PPA rules Under pre-PPA rules, 30-year Treasury rates defined the minimum level of the lump-sum amount equivalent to the annuity benefit that a participant earned. This rule is being phased out by 2012 and replaced with the 30-day average segment rates noted above. Accounting: AA corporate bond Calculating the PBO for recognition on the balance sheet and calculation of pension expense for the income statement Usually a single rate is determined by analyzing the individual rates applicable at different points in time (“along the yield curve”) when pension payments are due and converting them into a single equivalent rate. *Plan sponsors may use an average of rates during the five-month period and may select the rate more often than annually, if desired. How Vanguard can help Defined benefit plans can enhance the effectiveness of an employer’s retirement program, but they must be designed thoughtfully and managed carefully. Vanguard can help employers with DB plan design and investment strategies. We offer: Consultative guidance to help you get the most out of the DB plan in your retirement program. Investment products that allow pension plans to implement any investment strategy. • Expert analysis and asset-liability modeling to help you determine appropriate asset allocations. • Professional plan administration through state-of-the-art technology and processes. • • For more information, please contact your Vanguard representative. Vanguard Strategic Retirement Consulting (SRC) is a valuable resource that can help both defined contribution and defined benefit plan sponsors optimize their plan design, develop fiduciary best practices, and achieve regulatory compliance. The strategies developed by SRC consultants are grounded in expert analysis of broadbased data and are informed by Vanguard’s highly respected research teams, including the Vanguard Center for Retirement Research. Connect with Vanguard ® > vanguard.com/dbinsights > 800-523-1036 P.O. Box 2900 Valley Forge, PA 19482-2900 All investments are subject to risk. © 2012 The Vanguard Group, Inc. All rights reserved. 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