Chi-Square Goodness of Fit Test 1. The biologist Gregor Mendel wished to cross round yellow pea plants with wrinkled green pea plants, thereby obtaining plants bearing peas in one of four categories. Mendel’s theory claimed that the expected frequencies of these characteristics are in the proportion 9 round yellow (RY): 3 round green (RG): 3 wrinkled yellow (WY): 1 wrinkled green (WG). When Mendel actually crossed a random sample of round yellow pea plants and wrinkled green pea plants he obtained the data shown in the accompanying table. Category Round yellow Round green Wrinkled yellow Wrinkled green Total Frequency 315 108 101 32 556 Do the data differ significantly from what Mendel predicted? P: We are interested in the distribution of pea plant category of all crossbred round yellow pea plants and wrinkled green pea plants. H: H0: The proportions of pea plants are as follows: round yellow 9/16 (or 0.5625), round green 3/16 (or 0.1875), wrinkled yellow 3/16 (or 0.1875), wrinkled green 1/16 (or 0.0625). Ha: At least two of these proportions are incorrect. A: Random – Mendel used a random sample Independent – We can assume there are at least 5,560 pea plants in the world Large Counts – All the expected numbers are at least 5: Round yellow = 556 • 9/16 = 312.75 Round green = 556 • 3/16 = 104.25 Wrinkled yellow = 556 • 3/16 = 104.25 Wrinkled green = 556 • 1/16 = 34.75 N: We will perform a Chi-Square Goodness of Fit Test. T: 𝜒2 = (315 312.75) 2 (108 104.25) 2 (101 104.25) 2 (32 34.75) 2 = .4700 312.75 104.25 104.25 34.75 df = 4 – 1 = 3 O: P-value > .25 using the table OR P-value = 𝜒 2 cdf(.47,100000,3) = .9254 M: Because the P-value is not significant at the 5% level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis. S: There is not strong evidence to conclude that Mendel’s theory is incorrect. 2. Biologists wish to mate two random fruit flies having genetic makeup RrCc, indicating that it has one dominant gene (R) and one recessive gene (r) for eye color, along with one dominant (C) and one recessive (c) gene for wing type. Each offspring will receive one gene for each of the two traits from both parents. The following table (Punnett square) shows the possible combinations of genes received by the offspring. RC RRCC RRCc RrCC RrCc RC Rc rC rc Rc RRCc RRcc RrCc Rrcc rC RrCC RrCc rrCC rrCc rc RrCc Rrcc rrCc rrcc Any offspring receiving an R gene will have red eyes, and any offspring receiving a C gene will have straight wings. So based on this Punnett square, the biologists predict a ratio of 9 red-eyed, straight wing: 3 redeyed, curly wing: 3 white-eyed, straight wing: 1 white-eyed, curly wing offspring. In order to test their hypothesis about the distribution of offspring, the biologists mate the fruit flies. Of 200 offspring, 101 had red eyes and straight wings, 41 had red eyes and curly wings, 48 had white eyes and straight wings, and 10 had white eyes and curly wings. Do these data differ significantly from what the biologists have predicted? Follow PHANTOMS. P: We are interested in the distribution of genetic makeup of all offspring of two RrCc fruit flies. H: H0: The proportions of fruit flies are as follows: red-eyed, straight wing 9/16 (or 0.5625), red-eyed, curly wing 3/16 (or 0.1875), white-eyed, straight wing 3/16 (or 0.1875), white-eyed, curly wing 1/16 (or 0.0625). Ha: At least two of these proportions are incorrect. A: Random – Two random fruit flies were used Independent – We can assume there are at least 2,000 fruit flies in the world Large Counts – All the expected numbers are at least 5: Red-eyed, straight wing = 200 • 9/16 = 112.5 Red-eyed, curly wing = 200 • 3/16 = 37.5 White-eyed, straight wing = 200 • 3/16 = 37.5 White-eyed, curly wing = 200 • 1/16 = 12.5 N: We will perform a Chi-Square Goodness of Fit Test. T: 𝜒2 = (101 112.5) 2 (41 37.5) 2 (48 37.5) 2 (10 12.5) 2 = 4.94 112.5 37.5 37.5 12.5 df = 4 – 1 = 3 OR P-value = 𝜒 2 cdf(4.94,100000,3) = .1762 O: P-value is between .15 and .20 using table M: Because the P-value is not significant at the 5% level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis. S: There is not strong evidence to conclude that the distribution of genetic makeup is incorrect.
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