Vol. 25, No. 6 Printed in Great Britain International Journal of Epidemiology © International Epidemiological Association 1996 Geographical Distribution of Endomyocardial Fibrosis in South Kerala V RAMAN KUTTY, SARA ABRAHAM AND C C KARTHA* Kutty V R (Achutha Menon Centre for Health Science Studies, Sree Chitra Tirunal Institute for Medical Sciences and Technology, Trivandrum 695 011, India), Abraham S and Kartha C C. Geographical distribution of endomyocardial fibrosis in south Kerala. International Journal of Epidemiology! 996; 25: 1202-1207. Background. Endomyocardial fibrosis (EMF) is a chronic heart disease confined to a few geographically specific locations within 15° of the equator. Several aetiological hypotheses exist, among them filarial infection, eosinophilia, and toxic effect of the monazite element cerium from the soil. This study attempts to find out whether the pattern of distribution of EMF in south Kerala in India is consistent with the geochemical hypothesis. Methods. From hospital records we identified all patients from south Kerala who had a confirmed diagnosis of EMF during the period 1978-1994. Our controls were patients from the southern districts diagnosed to have rheumatic heart disease (RHD) during the same period. We traced their residence address to the administrative subunit of taluk, and plotted the distribution of patients with EMF and RHD for each taluk in south Kerala. The taluks were then grouped into areas of high (>4/100 000), medium (2.01-4/100 000), and low (S2/100 000) density in each case. Results. We identified an area of high density of EMF comprising four taluks near the coastline situated within the districts of Alapuzha, Kollam, and Pathanamthitta. Two coastal taluks in Kollam and Alapuzha districts are known areas of deposits of monazite elements in the state. Geographical distribution is not related to prevalence of filariasis and eosinophilia. Conclusion. Coexistence of high density of occurrence of EMF and deposits of monazite elements support the geochemical hypothesis. Keywords: cardiomyopathy, endomyocardial fibrosis, environment, cerium, epidemiology Endomyocardial fibrosis (EMF) is a restrictive cardiomyopathy characterized by dense fibrous plaques of the mural endocardium in either one or both of the ventricles of the heart. The disease affects mainly children and young adults who belong to the poorer sections of society and who suffer from varying degrees of malnutrition. EMF has an insidious onset and patients generally present with features of either left-sided or right-sided cardiac failure.1 This malady was first identified in Africa.2 Within two decades of recognition, identical lesions were reported from Brazil, Colombia and Venezuela in South America, Uganda, Tanzania, Nigeria and Ivory Coast in Africa, Sri Lanka and southern India in Asia.3 All reports came from regions within 15° of the equator. In addition to the equatorial preference, local variations in the distribution of EMF have been noted in Africa.4 In Nigeria, it is endemic in the southwest, but rare in the hot, dry north. In Uganda, there is a preponderance of patients from Rwanda, Burundi and Ankole in the southwest. In India its prevalence is highest in Kerala with very few cases reported from northern India.5'6 Though the pattern of global distribution of the disease is well established, there is no clue as to why the disease is mostly limited to these areas. Whether the variation in incidence is related to environmental factors is yet to be elucidated. The tropical distribution and the predilection to affect the young and the poor prompted investigators to advance causative theories related to malnutrition or infectious processes. Aetiological factors considered important in the past include consumption of large quantities of plantains, deficiency of Vitamin E, lymphatic obstruction and a tropical immunologic syndrome. None of these have been confirmed.7'8 Major current hypotheses about causation of the disease are filarial infection, parasitic eosinophilia and geochemical factors, specifically, the influence of rare earth element cerium in the monazite soil.9'10 Since Kerala is the one state in India from where most of the cases of EMF have been reported, we decided to Achutha Menon Centre for Health Science Studies and * Division of Cellular and Molecular Cardiology, Sree Chitra Tirunal Institute for Medical Sciences and Technology, Trivandrum 695 011, India. 1202 ENDOMYOCARDIAL FIBROSIS IN KERALA examine the geographical predilections of the disease within Kerala. The objective of the present study is to examine whether the pattern of geographical distribution of EMF in southern Kerala is consistent with the geochemical hypothesis which links the origin of the disease to magnesium deficiency and toxicity to the heart from the monazite element cerium. High levels of cerium in heart tissue of diseased patients and the cardio-toxic effects of cerium in experimental animals have been demonstrated.11"13 This is an attempt to link up the results of the experimental studies with the available epidemiological data. METHODS We used the medical records of the Sree Chitra Tirunal Institute for Medical Sciences and Technology (SCTIMST) hospital for this study. The SCTIMST has a cardiology department to which patients with suspected EMF from Kerala and nearby districts of neighbouring states are referred. Here they undergo detailed investigations such as cardiac catheterization, angiography and two-dimensional echocardiography to confirm the diagnosis. Patients confirmed to have EMF are followed up by the cardiology department. They visit the hospital for periodic reassessment. An EMF registry is run from the hospital, to which all cases of EMF from all over the state should be referred. SCTIMST is also the only institution in the state offering palliative surgery as treatment for the disease. For these reasons, we expect that quite a large proportion of the total number of EMF patients in the state would have been captured by our selection. We used rheumatic heart disease (RHD) patients as a control group for comparison. RHD patients are also referred to the SCTIMST hospital cardiology department from a catchment area fairly similar to that for EMF. Since both these diseases occur in the younger segment of the population, this makes the ideal control group. From a computer selection of all cases of EMF registered at the SCTIMST hospital from 1978 to 1994, we only chose those with a confirmed diagnosis after cardiac catheterization or echocardiography. We further limited our list to those patients whose residence addresses were in the seven southern districts of Kerala state, thereby excluding patients from the seven northern districts and the neighbouring districts of other states. This is because there is a greater chance that these patients may not have been registered at SCTIMST hospital. For controls, we used a similar selection process as for cases, including only the patients from the southern 1203 districts of the state whose diagnosis had been confirmed after catheterization studies, and who had undergone valve replacement surgery for RHD. Some workers have expressed the opinion that EMF could be a variant of the rheumatic process itself.14 In our hospital between 1978 and 1994, 552 autopsies were performed on deaths from heart diseases. Among them, 189 had RHD and 42 had EMF. Both diseases were present in nine patients. By restricting our controls to those RHD patients who had undergone valve replacement surgery, we made sure that the diagnosis of RHD was confirmed by pathological examination of the valve after surgery, and any overlying features suggestive of EMF were excluded. In the period under review, the SCTIMST hospital was the only tertiary level referral centre serving a sizeable section of the poor community, in whom both these diseases are known to occur frequently. We believe that the reasons for non-selection, such as extreme poverty which prevented them from seeking medical attention, early death, misdiagnosis and choice of other centres, would not have differed between cases and controls. Administratively the state is divided into districts. The districts do not follow any natural boundary, so that each district may have coastal, midland and highland areas. Districts include around 2-3 million people, and they are subdivided into taluks of around 0.5 million people. We focused on the taluks as our unit of study. We computed the density of distribution in each taluk as registered patients/100 000 population, for both cases and controls. The population totals were extracted from the 1991 census figures. We divided the taluks into areas of high (>4/100 000), medium (2.01-4/100 000), and low density (0-2/100 000) for both EMF and controls. We compared the distribution pattern of the areas of high density (4/100 000) of cases and controls by giving different colour codes on the map to the taluks. We also examined if this pattern supports any of the known hypotheses of origin of EMF. RESULTS Over a period of 17 years (1978-1994), 340 patients with angiocardiographically and/or echocardiographically confirmed diagnosis of EMF were registered at SCTIMST. Twenty-five of these patients were from outside Kerala; the rest came from the different districts of the state. The density of distribution of EMF and RHD cases (registered cases/100 000 population) in the seven southern districts of the state are shown in Figure 1. The annual registration was around 1.5% of all patients with cardiac problems who attended the outpatient 1204 INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY department. A large number of patients with EMF were under 25 years old (n = 140), females (n = 184) and from a poor socio-economic background (per capita income <Rupees 500, n = 278). The distribution of the disease among different religions was not significantly different from that of the distribution of religions in the state. More than 50% of the subjects are from the districts of Thiruvananthapuram (n = 58), Kollam (n = 62) and Alapuzha (n = 71). Taluks of permanent residence could be identified for 234 patients with EMF and 267 patients with RHD from the southern districts. The social and demographic characteristics of these subjects are given in Table 1. There were more poor patients (income <1500 Rupees = 98.3%) among those with EMF when compared to patients with RHD (83.1%). There were more females among EMF patients while gender distribution was equal for RHD. Age distribution of patients with EMF and RHD is shown in Table 2. There was a difference in age distribution between genders when we compared patients with EMF and RHD. A greater proportion of males were under 40 years of age among patients with EMF when compared to those with RHD. Seven southern districts of Kerala are shown in Figures 2a and 2b. Taluks with density of distribution >4/100 000 of known cases of EMF and controls are highlighted (Figure 2a). The areas with high density of EMF had low density of RHD and vice versa. Soil maps show that the areas of high density for EMF in the coastal districts of Kollam and Alapuzha overlie a tract containing the known geographical location of monazite deposits15 (Figure 2b). MAP OF KERALA FIGURE 1 Map of Kerala with density of occurrence of endomyocardial fibrosis (EMF) and rheumatic heart disease (RHD) (registered cases/100 000 population) in seven southern districts DISCUSSION The present study is an attempt to find epidemiological support for the geochemical hypothesis of causation of TABLE I Demographic and social characteristics ofpatients with endomyocardial fibrosis (EMF) and rheumatic heart disease (RHD) from seven southern districts of Kerala Characteristic Number Age (mean ± SD) Sex: Male <40 years of age Female <40 years of age Monthly income in Rupees: <500 501-1500 >1500 EMF RHD 234 30.8 ± 12.5 267 33.2 ± 12.1 96(41%) 77 (80.2% of males) 138 (59%) 97 (70.3% of females) 134 (50.2%) 193 (82.5%) 37 (15.8%) 4(1.7%) 162 (60.6%) 60 (22.5%) 45 (16.9%) 90 (67.2% of males) 133 (49.8%) 95 (71.4% of females) 1205 ENDOMYOCARDIAL FIBROSIS IN KERALA TABLE 2 Age distribution of patients with endomyocardial fibrosis (EMF) and rheumatic heart disease (RHD) Age group 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 >40 RHD (n = 267) EMF (n = 234) Males n = 96 Females n = 138 1 (1-0) 1 (1.0) 9 (9.4) 16(16.7) 20 (20.8) 11 (11.5) 8 (8.3) 11(11.5) 19(19.8) 0 0 • 8(5.8) Males n=134 1 (0.7) 1 (0.7) 3 (2.2) 14(10.4) 10 (7.2) 22 (15.9) 18(13.0) 18(13.0) 21 (15.2) 41 (29.7) (a) 10(7.5) 20 (14.9) 22(16.4) 19(14.2) 44 (32.8) Females n=133 0 3 (2.3) 6 (4.5) 14(10.5) 14 (10.5) 13 (9.8) 26(19.5) 19 (14.3) 38 (28.6) (b) District boundary Taluk boundary Area of high prevalence- EMF Area of high prevalence- controls Area with monazite deposits FIGURE 2 Seven southern districts of Kerala with (a) areas of high density of occurrence of endomyocardial fibrosis (EMF) and rheumatic heart disease (RHD), and (b) areas with deposits of monazite EMF. We have attempted to prepare a map showing spatial distribution of cases of EMF since a descriptive epidemiological approach allows for exploration of the interrelation between disease and geochemistry. Such maps are also helpful in planning cross-sectional surveys, case-control studies and intervention studies in cohorts. 16 Kerala lies at a latitude of 8-12° north along the southwestern coast of India, sandwiched between the Arabian Sea and the Western Ghat mountains. The state is geographically divided into three regions: the coastal strip, the mountainous 'high ranges' which are along the Western Ghat mountains on the eastern border, and the midland region between. The mean altitude from sea level varies greatly between regions. The climate is hot and humid with high average rainfall, and the soil is latasolic. The population density is greatest in the coastal strip, followed by the midland region, the mountainous region being the least densely populated. Kollam and Alapuzha districts both have a long coastline broken up by numerous rivers and streams. The beaches in the Karunagappally and Karthigappally 1206 INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY taluks of these districts have deposits of monazite containing 28-30% cerium oxide. Tubers grown in this area have high levels of cerium (unpublished observations). A cluster of four taluks near the coast in the districts of Kollam, Alapuzha and Pathanamthitta constitute an area of high density of occurrence of EMF. There is no such agglomeration to be found for the controls, where the distribution is more uniform with all but one taluk showing moderate or low density. This suggests that referral bias cannot explain the spatial localization of EMF cases. The distribution of EMF is spatially more concentrated compared to the controls which is extremely suggestive of an aetiology with high local specificity. We have seen that EMF is a disease which occurs globally only within a narrow geoclimatic environment. Even within regions, the existence of this disease seems to be highly localized. The taluks with a high density of EMF are all on or near the coastline. Generally, the socio-economic status of most of the households in coastal villages is poor in Kerala when compared to households in the villages in the interior or on the hill slopes. This is reflected in the greater proportion of subjects with low income in the EMF group. The geographical aggregation of areas of high density of disease occurrence supports an environmental hypothesis. Filarial infection is among the environmental factors considered to be important in the aetiology of EMF. The parasite common in most parts of India is Wuchereria bancrofti, whereas in Kerala there is a zone of endemicity for Brugia malayi." But this zone extends uniformly along the coastline from south to north, while areas of high EMF prevalence have been found to be intensely localized. Parasitic eosinophilia has also been implicated in the causation of EMF. There is no difference in prevalence of intestinal parasitic infestations and mean eosinophil counts among people living in the coastal, midland and highland regions of Kerala.18 Patients with EMF have also not been found to have a significantly higher eosinophil count. 19 The spatial distribution of EMF in Kerala supports the geochemical hypothesis. Monazite deposits are also present in beach areas in Brazil, and cerium-rich minerals have been identified in the hills of Nigeria as well. The occurrence of the disease almost exclusively in the poor population may be explained by the proneness to magnesium deficiency in childhood due to repeated diarrhoea, or the poor quality of the diet which may lack some of the protective factors. One limitation of the study is that we could have missed a number of cases of EMF by drawing on the records from only one hospital. For reasons discussed earlier, we believe that we have captured the majority of cases of EMF arising in the southern districts of the state in the period under study. However, our list may not be an exhaustive roster of all cases of EMF in Kerala. Some patients could have died before getting proper medical attention; some others could have been treated by other centres or practitioners in other health systems. Nevertheless, this does not reduce the validity of the study if two other assumptions are satisfied: (i) the incomplete referral bias affected all taluks in the southern districts of the state equally, and (ii) there was no geographical bias in referral of the control patients. Since these two assumptions were not violated, the geographical pattern we found is likely to be indicative of the pattern of true geographical prevalence. We do not have any information on whether patients with EMF or RHD were born in the areas of their domicile. We have taken the area of current residence of cases and controls as their area of permanent residence, or at least area of residence for a considerable time. Any aetiological mechanism acting on the system has to be a long-term process, because of the chronic nature of the disease. If a considerable number of cases have arrived at their current residence recently, then any postulation of such a chronic process originating in the local environment is untenable. In a rural population without any great migratory tendencies, this can be safely discounted. Contiguity of areas of high density of occurrence suggests a causative mechanism which is highly specific and localized in nature. We have tried to see if this coincides with one of the known hypotheses about the origin of the disease. 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