5. THERMOHALINE CIRCULATION We now turn our attention to the “thermohaline circulation” — the circulation driven by changes to the temperature or salinity in some part of the ocean. The lecture is organised around the following topics: • Water masses and their formation. • The role of diapycnal mixing. • The Stommel-Arons model of the abyssal circulation and Deep Western Boundary Currents. • Multiple equilibria and abrupt climate change. WATER MASSES AND THEIR FORMATION Sparse observations ⇒ deep circulation often inferred from large-scale “water mass” properties. Within the oceanic interior, many properties such as potential temperature, salinity, and other tracers are quasi-conserved. The properties distributions therefore give a zero order indication of the circulation pathways. Water masses are crudely named in terms of: • their formation site (e.g., NA = North Atlantic, AA = Antarctic, M = Mediterranean, etc); • the depth at which water mass settles (e.g., IW = Intermediate Water; DW = Deep Water; BW = Bottom Water). (a) Atlantic GEOSECS section along the western trough (figure from Pickard and Emery 1990) (b) Pacific GEOSECS section along 160◦E (figure from Pickard and Emery 1990) There are three dominant water masses: • AAIW that forms in the Southern Ocean and spreads northwards into both the Atlantic and Pacific; • NADW that forms at high latitudes in the North Atlantic and spreads southwards; • AABW that forms adjacent to Antarctica and spreads northwards into the Atlantic and Pacific. However no deep water is formed in the North Pacific. This is the fundamental reason for the asymmetry in the heat transports between the Atlantic and the Pacific (see lecture 1). Generalisation of the thermohaline conveyorbelt including the additional water masses (Schmitz 1996): WATER MASS FORMATION Surface waters are made dense in three different ways: • surface cooling; • evaporation (leaves salt behind ⇒ S increases); • sea-ice formation (sea ice can hold only 4o/oo salt ⇒ excess salt released into underlying water). The densest water masses are formed in semi-enclosed or marginal seas, where relatively small volumes of water are trapped and exposed to intense buoyancy loss for a prolonged period. The dense waters subsequently overflow from marginal sea into the abyssal ocean: (Price 1994) Note, the densities of the water masses change dramatically in the overflows! IS THE THERMOHALINE CIRCULATION PUSHED OR PULLED? If there is a localised source, S ∼ 20 Sv, of NADW at high latitudes in the North Atlantic, it is necessary for this water to return to the surface somewhere (i.e., to be converted back into a lighter water mass). Suppose that the NADW upwells uniformly over the abyssal ocean. How large is the required upwelling? w ∗A = S (5.1) where A ∼ 3 × 1014m2 is the surface area of the oceans. Thus w ∗ ∼ 0.7 × 10−7m s−1 ∼ 2m yr−1. However to maintain thermodynamic equilibrium, we require that the upwelling of cold water is balanced by a downward flux of heat. Classically, it has been assumed that this is provided by internal wave breaking. 1-d heat budget (Munk 1966): ∂ ∂T ∗ ∂T κ w ∼ ∂z ∂z ∂z ⇒ w∗ ∼ (5.2) κ , D where κ is the coefficient of diapycnal mixing and D is a typical vertical scale. Setting D ∼ 103m gives a required mixing coefficient of −1 κ ∼ 0.7 × 10−4m2s . However estimates from microstructure measurements and tracer release experiments (e.g., Ledwell et al.1993) suggest mixing rates in the ocean interior are an order of magnitude smaller ... this has led to a debate over the so-called “missing mixing”. The leading contenders are: • Enhanced mixing over rough bottom topography, e.g., Polzin et al. (1997) have greatly enhanced mixing over the mid-Atlantic ridge in the Brazil Basin. • NADW returns to the surface in the Southern Ocean, where it is converted to lighter waters as part of the northward Ekman flux (see figure in lecture 3). Moreover it has been suggested that these processes might actually be rate limiting, i.e., they control the overall strength of the thermohaline circulation (Munk and Wunsch 1998): STOMMEL AND ARONS MODEL Why is the abyssal circulation intensified at the western margin of basins? ... addressed in a famous series of papers by Stommel and Arons (1958-1960). Assumptions: • abyssal ocean represented by a single layer of uniform thickness; • no variations in bottom topography; • localised sources of deep water at high latitudes, balanced by slow upwelling, w ∗, over the remainder of the ocean. For convenience w ∗ is usually assumed uniform. a. Interior circulation Away from boundaries, circulation will be geostrophic: 1 ∂p 1 ∂p u=− , v= . (5.3) ρ0f ∂y ρ0f ∂x Substituting above into continuity equation, ∂u ∂v ∂w + + = 0, (5.4) ∂x ∂y ∂z gives large-scale vorticity balance: ∂w βv = f . (5.5) ∂z Integrating from sea floor (where w = 0) to the top of the abyssal layer (where w = w ∗) gives: β v dz = f w ∗. Z (5.6) ⇒ poleward flow in each basin, i.e., towards the sources of deep water! b. The Deep Western Boundary Current The deep flow cannot be poleward everywhere, e.g., we know there is a net equatorward flow of NADW in the North Atlantic. To resolve this paradox, Stommel predicted the existence of deep western boundary currents. (Can solve for these mathematically by adding linear friction to the momentum balance.) This leads to the following circulation pattern: The prediction of the Deep Western Boundary Current in the North Atlantic is perhaps the only example of major ocean current having been predicted using a theoretical model before it was actually observed. Swallow and Worthington (1961) dropped neutrally-buoyant floats into the predicted DWBC and saw them move rapidly southward, thus confirming the theoretical prediction. However, with hindsight, there is a high probability they could have gone the other way! (due to the eddy field) Nevertheless the existence of a DWBC is now clearly established, e.g., from tracer observations (see lecture 1). MULTIPLE EQUILIBRIA Can the thermohaline circulation possess more than one stable mode of operation? (e.g., can deep water be formed in the Pacific rather than the Atlantic?) First addressed in a remarkable paper by Stommel (1961). Consider the following (highly-idealised!) two-box ocean: Within each box, T and S are assumed well mixed. A thermohaline circulation, strength q, flows through two pipes connecting the boxes. We will assume that the thermohaline circulation acts essentially as non-rotating density current and write q = k(α ∆T − β ∆S). (5.7) What are the simplest, physically motivated boundary conditions for T and S? • Air-sea heat exchange tends to restore the ocean temperature to equilibrium values over relatively short time-scales. • However the evaporation and precipitation rates do not depend on the salinity of the ocean. Therefore want restoring boundary conditions on T and fixed flux boundary conditions on S (known as mixed boundary conditions). We can simplify further if we assume that the temperatures are effectively prescribed (maintained by air-sea fluxes). Salt budget for either box gives: |q| S1 = (|q| + E)S2 ⇒ |q| ∆S ≈ ES0. (The modulus sign is present because the result is independent of flow direction.) (5.8) Eliminating ∆S between (5.7) and (5.8) gives |q|q − kα ∆T |q| + kβES0 ≈ 0. (5.9) This is a quadratic equation in q, with the added complication of the modulus signs! Graph showing equilibrium solutions for q for different values of E: The solid lines represent stable equilibria and the dashed line unstable equilibria. (values used: α = 2 × 10−4K−1, β = 0.8 × 10−3(o/oo)−1, k = 0.5 × 1010m3s−1, ∆T = 20 K, S0 = 35 o/oo) For the present-day North Atlantic, E ≈ 0.5 Sv, and there are two stable equilibria: • a fast or thermally-direct equilibrium, with sinking at high latitudes (q ∼ 15 Sv): • a slow or thermally-indirect equilibrium, with sinking at low latitudes (q ∼ −2 Sv): Global warming scenario: increased atmospheric CO2 ⇒ warmer air ⇒ increased moisture capacity ⇒ larger E According to the graph, as E increases the thermohaline circulation will initially weaken. However once E exceeds 0.7 Sv, the high-latitude sinking equilibrium no longer exists, and the circulation collapses into the low-latitude sinking state. Note that if atmospheric levels of CO2 subsequently decrease, the circulation may remain in the low-latitude sinking state. Example of the collapse of the thermohaline circulation in a similar 3-box model. A high-latitude fresh water anomaly of strength 0.5, 0.558 and 0.6 o/oo is applied impulsively: (figure courtesy of Helen Johnson) Stommel’s box model is highly idealised. However very similar behaviour is observed in more complete models: Marotzke and Willebrand (1991) looked for these different equilibria in an idealised OGCM (with identical surface boundary conditions): 4 hemispheric basins ⇒ 2 × 2 × 2 × 2 = 16 potential equilibria They found 4 (panels show meridional overturning, Sv): a. northern sinking c. conveyorbelt b. southern sinking d. inverse conveyorbelt Coupled OAGCMs show thermohaline circulation can shutdown due to anthropogenic climate change, e.g., Manabe and Stouffer (1994): Abrupt changes in thermohaline circulation are also suggested in paleorecords, such as ice-cores and sediments, e.g., Broecker (1987): SUMMARY OF MAIN POINTS: • Deep water is formed in the Atlantic, but not in the Pacific. • The densest water masses are formed in marginal and semi-enclosed seas. The water mass properties are modified substantially in the dense water overflows. • The abyssal circulation is concentrated in Deep Western Boundary Currents. • The thermohaline circulation may possess more than one stable mode of operation. Increased high-latitude precipitation in a warmer climate may lead to a reduction, or shutdown, in the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation. • However the thermohaline circulation is sensitive to a number of processes that are currently poorly represented in ocean general circulation models. Thus the results of such models should be regarded as tentative in nature. REFERENCES FOR LECTURE 5 General reading Siedler, G., J. Church, and J. Gould, 2001: Ocean Circulation and Climate. Academic Press. Wunsch, C., 1996: The Ocean Circulation Inverse Problem. Cambridge University Press. (Chapters 1 and 2). Specific references Ledwell, J., A. Watson, and C. Law, 1993: Evidence for slow mixing across the pycnocline from a tracer-release experiment. Nature, 364, 701-703. Manabe, S., and R. J. Stouffer, 1994: Multiple century response of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model to an increase of atmospheric carbon dioxide. J. Climate, 7, 5-23. Marotzke, J., and J. Willebrand, 1991: Multiple equilibria of the global thermohaline circulation. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 21, 1372-1385. Munk, W., 1966: Abyssal recipes. Deep Sea Res., 13, 707-730. Munk, W., and C. Wunsch, 1998: Abyssal recipes II: energetics of tidal and wind mixing. Deep Sea Res., 45, 1977-2010. Pickard, G. L., and W. J. Emery, 1990: Descriptive physical oceanography. An Introduction. Butterworth-Heinemann. Polzin, K. L., J. M. Toole, J. R. Ledwell, and R. W. Schmitt, 1997: Spatial variability of turbulent mixing in the abyssal ocean. Science, 276, 93-96. Price, J. F., 1994: Dynamics and modelling of marginal sea outflows. Oceanus, 37, no. 1, 9-11. Schmitz, W. J., 1996: On the World Ocean Ciculation, Vol. II: The Pacific and Indian Oceans/A Global Update. Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution. Stommel, H., 1958: The abyssal circulation. Deep Sea Res., 5, 80-82. Stommel, H, 1961: Thermohaline convection with two stable regimes of flow. Tellus, 13, 224-230. Stommel, H., and A. B. Arons, 1960a: On the abyssal circulation of the world ocean. I. Stationary planetary flow patterns on a sphere. Deep Sea Res., 6, 140-154. Stommel, H., and A. B. Arons, 1960b: On the abyssal circulation of the world ocean. II. An idealized model of the circulation patterns and amplitude in oceanic basins. Deep Sea Res., 6, 217-233. Swallow, J. C., and L. V. Worthington, 1961: An observation of a deep countercurrent in the western North Atlantic. Deep Sea Res., 8, 1-19. Togweiller, J. R., and B. Samuels, 1998: On the ocean’s large scale circulation in the limit of no vertical mixing. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 28, 1832-1852. OCEAN CIRCULATION David Marshall University of Reading ([email protected]) LECTURES 1. Introduction to the oceans 2. Homogeneous model of the wind-driven circulation 3. Vertical structure of the wind-driven circulation 4. Rossby waves, Kelvin waves and El Niño 5. Thermohaline circulation 6. Dynamics of thermohaline circulation variability REFERENCES Both general references for further reading, and specific references cited in the lecture notes, are listed at the end of each lecture. 1. INTRODUCTION TO THE OCEANS Aims for today: • Why study the oceans? • Air-sea interaction • Observation methods and challenges • Overview of large-scale circulation WHY STUDY THE OCEANS? • 71% of the Earth’s surface is covered by water. • The heat capacity of the upper 3m of the oceans is equivalent to the entire heat capacity of the atmosphere. • The oceans transport a similar amount of heat polewards as the atmosphere. • Changes in SST can affect the atmospheric circulation (e.g., El Niño, formation of Hurricanes) • Long memory of oceans ⇒ potential for seasonal climate prediction. • The oceans store about 50 times more carbon than the atmosphere. • The oceans take up roughly 1/3 of the carbon released into the atmosphere through human activity. • Fisheries. • Military. • Mineral deposits. • Waste disposal? • Intellectual curiosity. AIR-SEA INTERACTION The dominant source of energy for the circulations of the atmosphere and oceans is the sun. Excess incoming-outgoing radiation at low latitudes, and vice-versa at high latitudes ⇒ the atmosphere and oceans must transport heat polewards. The the oceanic circulation itself is driven by • surface wind stresses; • surface heat fluxes; • freshwater fluxes (evaporation, precipitation, sea-ice formation, river discharge); • body forces (tides). a. Wind stress Measured from ship observations (e.g., Josey et al. 2000), from operational atmospheric analyses (e.g., Trenberth et al. 1990), or from remote sensing (e.g., Liu and Katsaros 2001). Bulk parameterisation: 2 τs = ρaCD U10 , (1.1) where ρa is the density of air and U10 is the wind speed at 10 m; the drag coefficient, CD , is a function of wind-speed, atmospheric stability and sea-state. Typically, use: 103CD = 1.15 = 0.49 + 0.065|U10| (Large and Pond 1981) (|U10| < 11m s−1) (|U10| > 11m s−1) (1.2) Mean wind-stress (from Josey et al. 2000): Note: • wind stresses are highly variable; • there are still significant uncertainties. b. Heat flux Four components: • sensible heat flux from air-sea temperature difference; • latent heat flux associated with evaporation; • incoming short-wave radiation from the sun; • long-wave radiation from the atmosphere and ocean. Again parameterised using bulk formulae (e.g., Reed 1977). Air-sea heat flux (W m−2) over the North Atlantic (Isemer et al. 1989) Mean sea surface temperature (from Peixoto and Oort 1992; based on Levitus 1982). How is this related to the neat heat flux? Chicken or egg? Freshwater flux Evaporation and Precipitation (from Wijffels 2001; based on 13 datasets): (Evaporation ∝ Latent heat flux; 1.27m yr−1 ⇔ 100W m−2.) Net E-P flux and standard deviation amongst the 13 contributing datasets. Surface salinity — how is this related to E-P? (from Peixoto and Oort 1992) OBSERVATIONS OF LARGE-SCALE CIRCULATION The oceans present several major observational difficulties: • remoteness and size, • high pressures (e.g., 500 atmos. at 5km), • highly corrosive, • opacity to electromagnetic radiation (⇒ cannot “see” beneath surface), • turbulence. The latter is highly problematic: e.g., need ∼ 2 weeks of continuous data to filter internal waves and measure a geostrophic current (Wunsch 1996). The consequence is that the ocean is grossly undersampled in both space and time. However this situation is improving rapidly, both due to remote sensing of surface properties, and intensive observational programmes since the 1990s, associated with the World Ocean Circulation Experiment (WOCE). WOCE one-time hydrographic sections Southern Ocean hydrographic inventory prior to early 1990s (http://www.awi-bremerhaven.de/Atlas/SO/) 3 summer months 3 winter months Approaches: • In-situ current meters • Acoustic Doppler Current Profilers (ADCP) • Hydrographic measurements Measure T and S (⇒ ρ) along hydrographic sections, and use thermal wind balance, g ∂ρ ∂v g ∂ρ ∂u = , =− , (1.3) ∂z ρ0f ∂y ∂z ρ0f ∂x to infer geostrophic flow field subject to an assumed level of no motion. • Floats • Tracers • Satellite altimetry Measure shape of sea surface from space ⇒ surface geostrophic circulation. g ∂η g ∂η u=− , v= , (1.4) f ∂y f ∂x Global data every 10 days (TOPEX-POSEIDON) (but poor knowledge of geoid limits accuracy of mean data). • Acoustic tomography Transit time of sound waves ⇒ temperature. OVERVIEW OF LARGE-SCALE CIRCULATION Cartoon from Schmitz (1996): Geostrophic streamlines at surface with assumed level of no motion at 1.5 km: Main features: • Subtropical gyres in all major basins; anticyclonic, typical transports T ∼ 30 Sv (1 Sv ≡ 106m s−1) typical velocities U ∼ 1 cm s−1. • Subpolar gyres in northern hemisphere basins; cyclonic. • Gyres closed by intense western boundary currents—e.g., Gulf Stream, Kuroshio; L ∼ 50 km, U ∼ 1 m s−1. Transports can be enhanced by local recirculations, e.g., Gulf Stream transport ∼ 85 Sv at Cape Hatteras, and ∼ 150 Sv after separation. • Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) in Southern Ocean; T ∼ 130 − 200 Sv, c.f. atmospheric jet. • Equatorial jets. • At depth, find Deep Western Boundary Currents, e.g., southward in Atlantic, transport of order 10 − 20 Sv. Tritium in North Atlantic in 1971 (Östlund and Rooth 1990): CFC-11 on σ1.5 = 34.63 (∼ 1.5 − 2 km depth) (from Weiss et al., 1985, 1993): The Deep Western Boundary Current in the North Atlantic is part of the global thermohaline conveyobelt, often depicted by Broeker’s “cartoon”: carries ∼ 1 PW of heat northward in North Atlantic, and may warm western Europe by several degrees: Rahmstorf and Ganapolski (1999) Global salinity section from GEOSECS • Superimposed on the mean circulation is an intense transient eddy field, with a dominant energy-containing scale of order 100 km. Analogue of weather systems in the atmosphere. (Richards and Gould 1996): Visible reflectance ⇒ phytoplankton abundance (Richards and Gould 1996): Sea surface height variability from TOPEX-POSIEDON altimeter (http://topex-www.jpl.nasa.gov) Surface velocity snapshot in Indian Ocean from 1/4◦ Semner and Chervin model (Wunsch 1996): SUMMARY OF KEY POINTS • Ocean transports a similar amount of heat polewards as the atmosphere. • Air-sea fluxes remain highly uncertain. • Large-scale surface circulation dominated by subtropical gyres and western boundary currents, and ACC in the Southern Ocean. • Thermohaline conveyorbelt carries about 1 PW of heat northward in the North Atlantic and may warm western Europe by several degrees. • Superimposed on the “mean” circulation is an intense, small-scale eddy field ⇒ major challenges for observing and modelling the ocean. POSTSCRIPT: DIFFERENT VIEWS OF THE OCEAN Wunsch (2001) suggests that the oceanographic literature suffers from a kind of mulitple personality disorder: • The descriptive oceanographers’ classical ocean large-scale, steady, laminar, aims to depict “the” global circulation • The analytical theorists’ ocean quasi-steady, branch of GFD, aims to use simple models to deepen understanding • The observers’ highly variable ocean high temporal and spatial variability, regional focus • The high-resolution numerical modellers’ ocean relative newcomer, some elements of each of above, but differs from all of them “Little communication between the apostles of these different personalities appears to exist; nearly disjoint literatures continue to flourish.” REFERENCES FOR LECTURE 1 General reading Open University Course Team, 1989: Ocean Circulation. The Open University/Pergamon Press. Peixoto, and Oort, 1992: Physics of Climate. American Institute of Physics. Siedler, G., J. Church, and J. Gould, 2001: Ocean Circulation and Climate. Academic Press. Wunsch, C., 1996: The Ocean Circulation Inverse Problem. Cambridge University Press. (Chapters 1 and 2). Specific references Carissimo, B. C., A. H. Oort, and T. H. Vonder Haar, 1985: Estimating the meridional energy transports in the atmosphere and oceans. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 15, 82-91. Hastenrath, S., 1982: On meridional heat transports in the world ocean. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 12, 922-927. Isemer, H.-J., J. Willebrand, and L Hasse, 1989: Fine adjustment of large-scale air-sea energy flux parameterizations by direct estimates of ocean heat transport. J. Clim., 2, 1173-1184. Josey, S. A., E. C. Kent, and P. K. Taylor, 2000: On the wind-stress forcing of the ocean in the SOC and Hellerman and Rosenstein climatologies. J. Phys. Oceanogr., submitted. Large W. G., and S. Pond, 1981: Open ocean momentum flux measurements in moderate-to-strong winds. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 11, 324-336. Levitus, S., 1982: Climatological Atlas of the World Ocean. NOAA Professional Paper No. 13, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C.. Liu and Katsaros, 2001: Air-sea fluxes from satelite data. In: Ocean Circulation and Climate, G. Siedler, J. Chruch, and J. Gould, Eds., Academic Press, 173-180. Östlund, H. G., and C. G. H. Rooth, 1990: The North Atlantic tritium and radiocarbon transients 1972-1983. J. Geophys. Res., 95, 20147-20165. Rahmstorf, S., and A. Ganapolski, 1999: Long-term global warming scenarios computed with an efficient coupled climate model. Climatic Change, 43, 787-805. Reed, R. K., 1977: On estimating isolation over the ocean. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 7, 482-485. Richards, K. J., and W. J. Gould, 1996: Ocean weather - eddies in the sea. In: Oceanography, An Illustrated Guide, Eds, C. P. Summerhayes and S. A. Thorpe. Manson Publishing. Schmitz, W. J., 1996: On the World Ocean Ciculation, Vol. II: The Pacific and Indian Oceans/A Global Update. Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution. Trenberth, K. E., W. G. Large, and J. G. Olson, 1990: The mean annual cycle in global ocean wind stress. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 20, 1742-1760. Weiss, R. E., J. C. Bullister, R. H. Gammon, and M. J. Warner, 1985: Atmospheric chlorofluoromethanes in the deep equatorial Atlantic. Nature, 314, 608-610. Weiss, R. E., M. J. Warner, P. K. Salameh, F. A. Van Woy, and K. G. Harrison, 1993: South Atlantic Ventilation Experiment: SIO Chlorofluorocarbon Measurements. Scripps Institute of Oceanography. Wijffels, S. E., 2001: Ocean transport of fresh water. In Ocean Circulation and Climate, G. Siedler, J. Chruch, and J. Gould, Eds., Academic Press, 173-180. Wunsch, C., 2001: Global problems and global observations. In: Ocean Circulation and Climate, G. Siedler, J. Chruch, and J. Gould, Eds., Academic Press, 47-58. 2. HOMOGENEOUS MODEL OF THE WIND-DRIVEN CIRCULATION The circulation in the different ocean basins contains many common elements, including: • subtropical and subpolar gyres, • western boundary currents, • inertial recirculation, • separated meandering jets. Is there a common dynamical cause of these phenomena, independent of basin geometry? Geostrophic streamlines at 100m with assumed level of no motion at 1500m: (Stommel et al., 1978) THE HOMOGENEOUS MODEL The “classical” model of the wind-driven circulation, and one of the great successes of GFD. While highly idealised, many underlying ideas carry over to more complete descriptions of the ocean circulation. Assume: • uniform density, • circulation independent of depth, • ocean of uniform depth, • dissipation through linear friction, • β-plane, i.e., f = f0 + βy. The final four assumptions are stronger than strictly necessary, but allow us to considerably simplify the mathematics. Equations of motion: 1 ∂p τs(x) ∂u + u.∇u − f v + = − ru, ∂t ρ0 ∂x ρ0 H (2.1) ∂v 1 ∂p τs(y) + u.∇v + f u + = − rv, ∂t ρ0 ∂y ρ0 H (2.2) ∂u ∂v + = 0, (2.3) ∂x ∂y where τs is ths surface wind stress and r is the coefficient of linear friction. Three equations in three unknowns: u, v and p. We can eliminate p by forming a vorticity equation, ∂(2.2)/∂x − ∂(2.1)/∂y, to give: ∂ 1 + u.∇ q = ∂t ρ0 H ∂τs(y) ∂x − ∂τs(x) ∂y − r ∂v ∂u − . ∂x ∂y (2.4) Here ∂v ∂u − . q = f (y) + ∂x ∂y is the absolute vorticity. (2.5) Equation (2.4) contains the three essential ingredients of any ocean gyre: • a vorticity source (wind stress curl), • a vorticity redistribution (advection), • a vorticity sink (friction). Finally we can use (2.3) to define a streamfunction, ψ, such that ∂ψ ∂ψ u=− , v= . (2.6) ∂y ∂x Substituting for u and v in (2.4) gives a single equation in one unknown, ψ. SVERDRUP BALANCE First consider the ocean interior. Estimate magnitude of relative vorticity and planetary vorticity: ∂v ∂u − U ∂x ∂y = = Ro f fL where Ro is the Rossby number. Typical values: U ∼ 10−2m s−1, L ∼ 106m, f ∼ 10−4s−1 ⇒ Ro ∼ 10−4 1. Thus q ≈ f = f0 + βy. On the advective time-scale (T ∼ L/U ), the time-dependent term is also small, and friction is unlikely to important away from the boundaries. ⇒ in the ocean interior, (2.4) simplifies to: (y) (x) ∂ψ 1 ∂τs ∂τs β = − ∂x ρ0H ∂x ∂y (2.7) “Sverdrup balance” for a homogeneous ocean. Local balance between advection of planetary vorticity and source of vorticity by wind-stress curl. Boundary conditions? Would like to set ψ = 0 on both the western and eastern boundaries. However (2.7) is a 1st-order p.d.e. in x ⇒ can satisfy only 1 b.c. in x. Sverdrup noted that boundary currents tend to form on the western margins of ocean basins and applied the eastern boundary condition. Example from North Atlantic (Böning et al. 1991): Predicts both subtropical and subpolar gyres. Global calculation from Welander (1959): WESTERN INTENSIFICATION To close the circulation at western boundary requires additional physics. Following Stommel (1948), introduce linear friction ⇒ β 1 ∂ψ = ∂x ρ0H ∂τs(y) ∂x − ∂τs(x) ∂y − r∇2ψ. (2.8) Now a 2nd-order p.d.e. in x, allowing both western and eastern boundary conditions. Solution in a rectangular basin with uniform zonal winds: ∂ψ ∂ 2ψ β ∼ −r 2 ∂x ∂x ⇒ width δ ∼ r/β Sverdrup interior (figure from Cushman-Roisin 1994) Why does the boundary current form on the western, and not the eastern, margin of the basin? Consider sources and sinks of vorticity: a. western boundary current: no net source of vorticity b. eastern boundary current: net source of anticyclonic vorticity NONLINEAR EFFECTS In practice, relative vorticity is not negligible within the western boundary current. To include both friction and relative vorticity, it is necessary to resort to numerical solutions (adapted from Veronis 1966; also see Bryan 1963 for equivalent with lateral friction). As r decreases: • N/S asymmetry develops, • eastward jet forms along northern edge of gyre, • gyre transport increases — “inertial recirculation” To obtain a physical understanding, consider sources and sinks of vorticity acting on a parcel of fluid as it travels around a closed streamline: (i) vorticity source: u.∇q ≈ 1 curlτs ρ0 H (ii) vorticity redistribution: u.∇q ≈ 0 (iii) vorticity sink: u.∇q ≈ −r∇2ψ Nonlinear generalisation of Stommel gyre, but same underlying principle: over a closed gyre circuit, net sources and sinks of vorticity must balance. Can formalise by integrating vorticity equation [(2.4), with ∂/∂t = 0] over area enclosed by a streamline, to give: I 1 I τs.dl − r u.dl = 0 (2.9) ρ0 H ψ ψ (Niiler 1966). What happens as r → 0? The only way (2.9) can be satisfied is if u.dl increases. H Either: • the boundary current increases its length, • or the velocities increase ⇒ inertial recirculation. c.f. a bicycle rolling down a gentle hill with flat tyres (large friction) and fully inflated tyres (weak friction) ROLE OF TRANSIENT EDDIES So far we have considered only one (subtropical) gyre. Now consider a more “complete” model in which we have both a subtropical and subpolar gyre. Initially, let’s place an imaginary wall between the 2 gyres: What happens if we remove the wall? Numerical calculation (J. Marshall 1984): Can can split the variables into mean and transient components: u = u + u0 , q = q + q 0, .... The time-mean vorticity equation is then ∂τ s(y) ∂τ s(x) ∂v ∂u 0 0 − − ∇.u q . ∂x ∂y ∂x ∂y (2.10) Finally, integrating this over the area enclosed by a time-mean streamline, we obtain: I I 1 I τs.dl − r u.dl − u0q 0.dn = 0. (2.11) ρ0 H ψ ψ ψ u.∇q = 1 ρ0 H − − r Additional “sink” of vorticity in the time-mean vorticity equation due associated with eddy vorticity fluxes. Vorticity budget along a time-mean streamline: (i) vorticity source: u.∇q ≈ 1 curlτ s ρ0 H (ii) vorticity redistribution: u.∇q ≈ 0 (iii) vorticity sink: u.∇q ≈ −∇.u0q 0 SUMMARY OF MAIN POINTS • Have developed a simple homogeneous model of wind-driven gyres, with no vertical structure. • Model is able to reproduce many features of the observed circulation, including: — subtropical and subpolar gyres, — western boundary currents, — inertial recirculation, — separated jets than meander and form rings. • One reason for the success of the homogeneous model is that it captures the three essential ingredients of any ocean gyre: — a vorticity source, — a vorticity redistribution, — a vorticity sink. In the next lecture, we will see that these ideas carry over to a stratified ocean if one reinterprets q as the potential vorticity. General reading Cushman-Roisin, B., 1994: Introduction to Geophysical Fluid Dynamics. Prentice-Hall. Pedlosky, J. 1987: Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Chapter 5, Springer Verlag. Pedlosky, J., 1996: Ocean Circulation Theory. Springer-Verlag. Specific references Böning, C. W., R. Döscher, and H.-J. Isemer, 1991: Monthly mean wind stress and Sverdrup transports in the North Atlantic: A comparison of the Hellerman-Rosenstein and Isemer-Hasse climatologies. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 21, 221-235. Bryan, K., 1963: A numerical investigation of a nonlinear model of a wind-driven ocean. J. Atmos. Sci., 20, 594-606. Marshall, J. C., 1984: Eddy-mean flow interaction in a barotropic ocean model. Q. J. R. Met. Soc., 110, 573-590. Niiler, P. P., 1966: On the theory of the wind-driven ocean circulation. Deep Sea Res., 13, 597-606. Stommel, H., 1948: The westward intensification of wind-driven ocean currents. Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union, 29, 202-206. Stommel, H., P. Niiler, and D. Anati, 1978: Dynamic topography and recirculation of the North Atlantic. J. Mar. Res., 36, 449-468. Sverdrup, H. U., 1947: Wind-driven currents in a baroclinic ocean: with application to the equatorial currents of the eastern Pacific. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 33, 318-326. Veronis, G., 1966: Wind-driven ocean circulation, Part II. Deep Sea Res., 13, 30-55. Welander, P., 1959: On the vertically integrated mass transport in the oceans. In The Atmosphere and Sea in Motion, B. Bolin, Ed., Rockfeller Institute Press, 75-100. 3. VERTICAL STRUCTURE OF THE WIND-DRIVEN CIRCULATION In the last lecture we considered a model of the wind-driven circulation with no vertical structure. However observations show that the strongest flows (and strongest density variations) are concentrated in the upper few hundered metres of the ocean. The aim of this lecture is describe the dynamics that sets the vertical structure of the wind-driven circulation, specifically: • the surface Ekman layer, • the role of the potential vorticity field and eddy mixing, • the ventilated thermocline. This lecture will contain no discussion of the role of western boundary currents. Some of the results are therefore of a tentative nature in that they rely on an assumption that the boundary currents merely close the circulation without feeding back onto the structure of the gyre interior. THE EKMAN LAYER The direct effect of the wind stress is only felt within the upper 30-100m of the ocean, known as the “Ekman Layer”. Within the Ekman layer, the equations of motion are to leading order: ∂p 1 ∂τ (x) −f v + = , ∂x ρ0H ∂z (3.1) 1 ∂τ (y) ∂p fu + = , ∂y ρ0H ∂z (3.2) ∂u ∂v ∂w + + = 0, (3.3) ∂x ∂y ∂z with τ = τs at the sea surface and τ = 0 at the base of the Ekman layer. It is convenient to split the velocity: u = uEk + ug , (3.4) such that ug is the geostrophic part of the velocity, and 1 ∂τ (y) 1 ∂τ (x) uEk = , vEk = − , ρ0f ∂z ρ0f ∂z is the wind-driven or “Ekman” part of the velocity. (3.5) Integrating over the depth of the Ekman layer, the total “Ekman transport” is: UEk τs(x) τs(y) = , VEk = − . ρ0 f ρ0 f (3.6) The Ekman transport is to the right of the wind-stress in the Northern Hemisphere and to the left of the wind-stress in the Southern Hemisphere. Divergent/convergent Ekman transports ⇒ “Ekman upwelling/downwelling”, wEk , through the base of the Ekman layer. Integrating (3.3) over the depth of the Ekman layer: wEk = (y) τ s (x) τ s ∂ ∂ − . ∂x ρ0f ∂y ρ0f (3.7) Generally, wEk < 0 in the subtropical ocean and wEk > 0 in subpolar ocean — see wind-stress data from lecture 1. Applications: a. Coastal upwelling Generally find equatorward winds along eastern margins of ocean basins ⇒ off-shore Ekman transport ⇒ coastal upwelling. SST off coast of South Africa (from Gill 1982). Upwelling brings cold, nutrient-rich waters to the surface ⇒ major fisheries found at eastern margins of basins. b. Equatorial upwelling Find easterly trade winds over equatorial Pacific. Since f changes sign across the equator ⇒ VEk > 0 north of equator and VEk < 0 south of equator ⇒ equatorial upwelling. wEk evaluated for the tropical Pacific in July (units: 10−7m s−1; from Gill 1982). c. Antarctic Circumpolar Current Can interpret ACC as a huge coastal upwelling current. Westerly winds drive and equatorward Ekman transport, and hence upwelling in the Southern Ocean. Upwelling of dense water ⇒ N-S density gradient ⇒ zonal geostrophic flow through thermal wind balance. (from Rintoul et al. 2001) SVERDRUP BALANCE We now turn to the flow beneath the Ekman layer. It is straightforward to show that Sverdrup balance carries over to a stratified ocean: (y) (x) 0 Z 1 ∂τs ∂τs v dz = β − , (3.8) ρ ∂x ∂y 0 −H provided the flow vanishes at depth. The integral here is over the entire depth of the ocean, including the Ekman layer. However, more useful for this lecture is a related form of Sverdrup balance for the depth-integrated flow beneath the Ekman layer. Beneath the Ekman layer, the flow is geostrophic: 1 ∂p 1 ∂p , v= . (3.9) u=− ρ0f ∂y ρ0f ∂x Substituting the above into the continuity equation, ∂u ∂v ∂w + + = 0, (3.10) ∂x ∂y ∂z we obtain the large-scale vorticity balance: ∂w βv = f . (3.11) ∂z Finally integrating from the sea floor (z = −H) where we assume w is small, to the base of the Ekman layer (z = zEk ) where w = wEk , gives: β zZEk −H v dz = f wEk . (3.12) Physically: stretching fluid column ⇒ must increase its vorticity ⇒ the column must move poleward to increase f . (Q: why not increase its relative vorticity?) Sverdrup balance still tells us nothing about how the circulation is partitioned over the fluid column. To solve this problem in a 3-d stratified ocean is extremely challenging ⇒ try to simplify problem by using a simpler model ... THE LAYERED MODEL Approximate the ocean as a series of layers (n = 1, 2, ...), each of constant but different density, ρn. Key dynamical results: • layered form of Sverdrup balance: β X vnhn = f wEk . • layered form of thermal wind balance: gn0 un = un+1 + k × ∇ηn , f where gn0 = g(ρn+1 − ρn)/ρ0. (3.13) (3.14) • conservation of potential vorticity in absence of forcing: f un.∇ = 0, (3.15) hn where qn = f /hn is the potential vorticity. RHINES AND YOUNG (1982A, B) Will omit mathematical details (see Pedlosky 1996). Consider a subtropical gyre, and initially assume flow is confined to layer 1 which is directly forced by wEk : Thermal wind balance ⇒ interface between layers 1 and 2 must deform. ⇒ potential vorticity field in layer 2 modified: Flow in layer 2 must conserve its potential vorticity. If we assume that boundary currents can form at the western margins of basins, but not at the eastern margins, then flow is only possible along q2 contours that do not intersect the eastern boundary. ⇒ flow possible in only the NW corner of layer 2. Finally, we need to determine the strength of this flow. Rhines and Young argued that eddies would homogenize q2 in this region: Instantaneous q2 from a numerical calculation with both subtropical and subpolar gyres and resolved eddies (Rhines and Young 1982b). Solution including flow in layer 2: NB: flow in layer 2 ⇒ q3 contours deformed ⇒ flow in layer 3? .... etc VENTILATION The SST is not uniform, but decreases with increasing latitude ⇒ some density layers will “outcrop” at the sea surface. There is now the additional possibility of a fluid parcel starting at the sea surface and being “subducted” onto a subsurface layer. Once shielded from surface forcing, this parcel will conserve its potential vorticity. This is the basic idea behind the “ventilated thermocline” model of Luyten et al. (1983), in which surface density variations are mapped onto the vertical through via fluid parcels advecting their potential vorticities into the interior. There are now 3 types of potential vorticity contours: • unblocked contours that recirculate through the western boundary current (the “homogenised pool”); • ventilated contours that thread down from the sea surface (the “ventilated zone”); • blocked contours that intersect the eastern boundary (the “shadow zone”). Flow is possible on the first two of these, but not in the shadow zone. Find that ventilated zone dominates near the surface. Deeper down the solution resembles that of the Rhines and Young model. Potential vorticity in the North Atlantic: σθ = 26.3 − 26.5 σθ = 26.5 − 27.0 (McDowell et al. 1982) “Ventilation age” (from Tr/3He ratio): σθ = 26.5 σθ = 26.75 (Jenkins 1988) STOMMEL’S MIXED LAYER DEMON Iselin (1939) first noted the properties of the ocean interior match those of the winter surface mixed layer (not the annual mean conditions). Explained by Stommel (1979): (Williams et al. 1995) Over one year, a fluid parcel in the subtropical gyres moves a distance l ∼ 10−2m s−1.3 × 107s ∼ 300 km. However the annual migration of the surface density outcrops is an order of magnitude greater: (Woods 1987) ⇒ Only fluid parcels subducted from the mixed layer in late winter are able to escape irreversibly into the ocean interior. Numerical calculation (Williams et al. 1995): SUMMARY OF MAIN POINTS • Surface winds drive Ekman transports to the right of the wind stress in the Northern Hemisphere and to the left of the wind-stress in the Southern Hemisphere. • Divergence/convergence in the lateral Ekman transports ⇒ Ekman upwelling/downwelling. • The vertical structure of the wind-driven circulation is controlled by the geometry of the potential vorticity field. • The properties of the ocean interior match those of the winter mixed layer. REFERENCES FOR LECTURE 3 General reading Pedlosky, J., 1996: Ocean Circulation Theory, Springer-Verlag. Specific references Gill, A. E., 1982: Atmosphere-Ocean Dynamics. Academic Press. Iselin, C. O’D., 1939: The influence of vertical and lateral turbulence on the characteristics of waters at mid-depths. Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union, 20, 414-417. Jenkins, W. J., 1988: The use of anthropogenic tritium and helium-3 to study subtropical gyre ventilation and circulation. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. London, A325, 43-61. Luyten, J. R., J. Pedlosky, and H. Stommel, 1983: The ventilated thermocline. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 13, 292-309. McDowell, S., P. Rhines, and T. Keffer, 1982: North Atlantic potential vorticity and its relation to the general circulation. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 12, 1417-1436. Rhines, P. B., and W. R. Young, 1982a: A theory of the wind-driven circulation. I. Mid-ocean gyres. J. Mar. Res., 40 (Suppl.), 559-596. Rhines, P. B., and W. R. Young, 1982b: Homogenization of potential vorticity in planetary gyres. J. Fluid Mech., 122, 347-367. Rintoul, S. R., C. W. Hughes, and D. Olbers, 2001: The Antarctic Circumpolar Current system. In Ocean Circulation and Climate, G. Siedler, J. Chruch, and J. Gould, Eds., Academic Press, 271-302. Stommel, H., 1979: Determination of water mass properties of water pumped down from the Ekman layer to the geostrophic flow below. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 76, 3051-3055. Williams, R. G., M. A. Spall, and J. C. Marshall, 1995: Does Stommel’s mixed layer demon work? J. Phys. Oceanogr., 25, 3080-3102. 6. DYNAMICS OF THERMOHALINE CIRCULATION VARIABILITY This final lecture has more of the flavour of a seminar. I will discuss some recent work in collaboration with Helen Johnson (a PhD student at Reading and a recent GEFD student). The work draws on, and further develops, many of the ideas we have been discussing over the past five lectures. We have a reasonable understanding of the dynamics of the steady-state thermohaline circulation, given the strength and location of the sources and sinks of each water mass. The dynamics and thermodynamics that controls the magnitude of these sources and sinks remains a difficult problem and is a topic of much ongoing research. However a separate, but no less important, problem is the dynamics of the thermohaline circulation on centennial and shorter time-scales — the relevant time-scales for abrupt climate change. PREVIOUS WORK ON THIS TOPIC • Kawase (1987) and Cane (1989) showed that the abyssal ocean adjusts to changes in high-latitude conditions through the propagation of Kelvin waves and Rossby waves. • Yang (1999) and Huang et al. (2000) found similar results for the upper limb of the thermohaline circulation. • Marotzke and Klinger (2000) suggested that deep adjustment is dominated by advection within the Deep Western Boundary Current. • Goodman (2001) identified fast Kelvin waves, but adjustment occurs over decades to centuries. ISSUES • Over what time-scales does the ocean respond to changes in deep-water formation at high latitudes? • How localised is variability on different time-scales? • Can the adjustment be described using a simple model? • What are the implications for monitoring and modelling abrupt climate change? A secondary issue that we will revisit at the end of this lecture is: • On short time-scales, is the thermohaline circulation “pushed” or “pulled”? Shallow-water model: • Dynamic upper layer (initially h = 500 m) overlying motionless abyss • Domain from 45◦S to 65◦N, and 50◦ wide • Prescribed outflow at northern boundary • Thermocline relaxed to uniform value (500 m) at southern margin (45◦S - 35◦S) Shallow-water equations: ∂u ∂h + u.∇u − f v + g 0 = A∇2 u, ∂t ∂x ∂v 0 ∂h + u.∇v + f u + g = A∇2 v, ∂t ∂y ∂ ∂ ∂h + (hu) + (hv) = 0. ∂t ∂x ∂y (6.1) (6.2) (6.3) Solve on a C-grid at 0.25◦ resolution. STRATEGY 1. Implusive change in deep water formation While motivation is the possibility of a shutdown in the thermohaline circulation, here we will consider the opposite problem in which the northern outflow is “turned on” at time t = 0. (Cleaner, because ocean initially at rest.) 2. Sinusoidal forcing Imagine a Fourier decomposition of the outflow. Allows us to investigate the how the spectrum of thermohaline circulation variability changes with latitude. THEORETICAL MODEL Assumptions: • Kelvin waves infinitely fast; • thermocline depth uniform on eastern boundary; • width of western boundary current small; • interior circulation in geostrophic balance; • linear. (i) Overall mass balance: ∂ ∂t Z Z basin h dx dy = TS − TN . (6.4) (ii) Interior mass budget: Rossby wave equation: (see lecture 4) ∂h ∂h − c(y) = 0, ∂t ∂x where c(y) is the Rossby wave speed given in (4.6). (6.5) Integrating (6.5) over the interior of the basin (i.e., excluding the western boundary current) gives: yZN ∂ Z Z (6.6) h dx dy = c(y) (he − hb) dy, yS ∂t interior where L hb(y) = he t − (6.7) c(y) is the layer thickness just outside the western boundary current. Delay equation Finally equating (6.4) and (6.6) gives: he(t) = 1 yRN yS c(y) dy yZN yS c(y) he t − L dy − TN + TS . c(y) (6.8) Only one unknown: he(t) From he(t), the layer thickness in the interior follows from Rossby wave propagation: xe − x (6.9) h(x, y, t) = he t − . c(y) Can also deduce transport as a function of latitude by equating (6.4) and (6.6) where the integration is carried out between a latitude y and the northern boundary, to give: yZN L (6.10) T (y, t) = TN + c(y) he − he t − y c(y) IMPLICATIONS FOR THERMOHALINE VARIABILITY? Equatorial buffer limits magnitude of response in the South Atlantic. ⇒ the equator acts as a low pass filter to thermohaline variability. • Series of calculations with prescribed high-latitude transport: TN = A sin (ωt). (6.11) Allows us to address how the spectrum of variability in the thermohaline circulation changes with latitude. Substituting TN = T0eiωt into the delay equation (6.8) ⇒ a formula for variations in magnitude and phase of anomalies as a function of frequency and latitude: T (ω, y) = TN g0H fS g0H f S − yRN y yRN c 1 − e−iωL/c dy −y c 1− S e−iωL/c dy . (6.12) IMPLICATIONS FOR MONITORING Model: Able to reconstruct the full circulation from only the eastern boundary thermocline depth and high-latitude boundary conditions. Ocean: Undoubtedly more complicated (e.g., coastal upwelling, Mediterranean outflow, variable bottom topography), but suggests that the circulation may be strongly constrained by relatively few observations at the basin margins. ATMOSPHERIC RESPONSE TO A SHUTDOWN IN THE THERMOHALINE CIRCULATION? Model suggests a rapid response in northward heat transport in the North Atlantic, but not in the South Atlantic. ⇒ convergence of hear in the tropics? In our model this is balanced (by construction) by changes in ocean heat storage. However modified advection of SST (in particular in the subtropics/tropics) may alter air-sea heat fluxes, and thus modify atmospheric circulation, e.g., Yang (1999) finds a lagged correlation between the SST dipole across the equator and the thickness of Labrador Sea Water (a proxy for deep water formation): FURTHER ISSUES • Multiple basins — straightforward, results similar. • Continuous stratification, variable bottom topography, other eastern boundary processes. • Validation using GCMs and observations. • Other applications (e.g., to assimilation of data into models, sea-level adjustment, ...) SUMMARY OF KEY POINTS • North Atlantic responds rapidly (∼ months) to changes in deep water formation. • South Atlantic responds more slowly (∼ decades) due to the “equatorial buffer” mechanism. • The equator therefore acts as a low-pass filter to thermohaline variability. • On short time-scales, variability is confined to the hemispheric basin in which it is generated. • The adjustment is essentially reproduced by a simple dynamical model. REFERENCES FOR LECTURE 6 General reading Johnson, H. L., and D. P. Marshall: On the response of the Atlantic to thermohaline variability. J. Phys. Oceanogr., in press. (Available from http://www.met.rdg.ac.uk/∼ocean/pub/thc.html). Specific references Cane, M. A., 1989: A mathematical note on Kawase’s study of the deep-ocean circulation. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 19, 548-550. Huang, R. X., M. A. Cane, N. Naik, and P. Goodman, 2000: Global adjustment of the thermocline in response to deep water formation. Geophys. Res. Let., 27, 759-762. Johnson, H. L., and D. P. Marshall: Localization of abrupt change in the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation. Geophys. Res. Let., to be submitted. (Available shortly from http://www.met.rdg.ac.uk/∼ocean/pub/abrupt.html). Kawase, M., 1987: Establishment of deep ocean circulation dirven by deep-water production. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 17, 2294-2317. Marotzke, J., and B. A. Klinger, 2000: The dynamics of equatorially asymmetric thermohaline circulations. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 30, 955-970. Yang, J., 1999: A linkage between decadal climate variability in the Labrador Sea and the tropical Atlantic Ocean. Geophys. Res. Let., 26, 1023-1026. 4. ROSSBY WAVES, KELVIN WAVES AND EL NIÑO The focus of the previous lectures has been on steady-state circulations. In this lecture we turn our attention to the adjustment of the ocean through wave propagation. In particular we will address the following issues: • westward propagation of long Rossby waves, • coastal Kelvin waves, • equatorial Kelvin and Rossby waves. • the role of Kelvin waves and Rossby waves in the development of El Niño. SHALLOW-WATER MODEL In this lecture, we will restrict our attention to wave motions in a single shallow-water layer. The equations of motion are: ∂u ∂u ∂u 0 ∂h +u +v − fv + g = 0, ∂t ∂x ∂y ∂x ∂v ∂v ∂v 0 ∂h + u + v + fu + g = 0, ∂t ∂x ∂y ∂y ∂h ∂ ∂ + (hu) + (hv) = 0. ∂t ∂x ∂y Here g 0 = g ∆ρ/ρ0 is the reduced gravity. (4.1) (4.2) (4.3) Many of the results we will obtain generalise readily to a continuously-stratified ocean by projecting onto a series of vertical modes (g 0 and h can then be interpreted as the “equivalent” reduced-gravities and depths.) WESTWARD PROPAGATION First let us restrict our attention to the large-scale interior of an ocean basin, where Ro 1, and the momentum equations can be approximated by geostrophic balance: g 0 ∂h g 0 ∂h u=− , v= . (4.4) f ∂y f ∂x Substituting the above into the continuity equation (4.3) gives: ∂h ∂h − c(y) = 0. (4.5) ∂t ∂x where βg 0h c(y) = f2 = βL2D is the Rossby wave speed, and √ g 0h LD = f is the Rossby deformation radius. (4.6) (4.7) Thus all large-scale anomalies propagate westward at the Rossby wave speed. [Note (4.6) is the long-wave limit (λ LD ) of the more general Rossby wave speed; see PPH lecture 3.] Physical mechanism: (c.f. “traditional” explanation from atmospheric literature) Estimated speed of westward propagating anomalies from altimeter data (• = Pacific; ◦ = Atlantic). Solid line is the theoretical prediction from (4.6). (Chelton and Schlax 1986) KELVIN WAVES Geostrophic balance is a extremely good approximation over much of the ocean. However consider a pressure gradient (here a gradient in h) along a N-S coastline. This pressure gradient cannot be balanced by a Coriolis force since there can be no normal flow through the solid boundary. The vanishing of u at the wall suggests the possibility of a solution in which u = 0 everywhere. Linearising the remaining terms in (4.1-4.3) about a state of rest gives: 0 ∂h −f v + g = 0, (4.8) ∂x ∂v 0 ∂h +g = 0, (4.9) ∂t ∂y ∂h ∂v +H = 0, ∂t ∂y where H is the mean layer thickness. (4.10) Elimination of h between (4.9) and (4.10) gives a wave equation for the along-shore velocity: 2 ∂ 2v 0 ∂ v − g H 2 = 0. (4.11) 2 ∂t ∂y √ 0 This admits two waves propagating at speeds c = ± g H: v = A(x) F (y − ct) + B(x) G (y + ct) . (4.12) To determine the zonal structure of the wave, eliminate h between (4.8) and (4.9) to give: ∂ 2h ∂h +f = 0. (4.13) ∂x∂t ∂y Substituting the above solution gives: dA A dB B = , =− , dx LD dx LD and thus: A = A0ex/LD , B = B0e−x/LD . (4.14) (4.15) Only the wave that decays away from the boundary is physical ⇒ the wave travels with the coast to its right in the Northern Hemisphere, and with the coast to its left in the Southern Hemisphere. (from Cushman Roisin 1994) Note: essentially internal gravity waves in direction || to coast, but in geostrophic balance in direction ⊥ to coast. Typical numbers: g 0 ∼ 10−2m s−2, H ∼ 400 m (typical thermocline depth) ⇒ c ∼ 2 m s−1 ⇒ Kelvin waves are fast (few months to propagate from high to low latitudes) At mid-latitudes, f ∼ 0.7 × 10−4s−1 ⇒ LD ∼ 30 km . EQUATORIAL WAVES The vanishing of Coriolis parameter along the equator endows the tropics with their own special dynamics. We start with the linearised shallow-water equations on an equatorial β-plane (with the equator at y = 0), ∂u 0 ∂h − βyv + g = 0, (4.16) ∂t ∂x ∂h ∂v + βyu + g 0 = 0, (4.17) ∂t ∂y ∂v ∂h ∂u + H + = 0, ∂t ∂x ∂y and again seek wave solutions. (4.18) Equatorial Kelvin waves At midlatitudes, the vanishing of the Coriolis force parallel to coastlines leads to coastal Kelvin waves. Likewise, the vanishing of the Coriolis force along the equator leads to an “equatorial Kelvin wave” (actually discovered by Wallace and Kousky 1968). The mathematics exactly mirrors the coastal problem, except the meridional structure takes the form of a Gaussian: 2 u = u0F (x − ct) e−βy /2c, (4.19) √ 0 where c = g H is again the wave speed. By analogy with the coastal problem, (4.19) suggests the definition of the “equatorial deformation radius”: v u uc u (4.20) LEq = u t β Typical values: β ∼ 2.3 × 10−11m−1s−1 g 0 ∼ 0.02 m s−1, H ∼ 100 m (see data below) √ 0 ⇒ c ∼ g H ∼ 1.4m s−1 , LEq ∼ 250km. T (◦ C) along the equatorial Pacific (Colin et al. 1971). b. Equatorial Rossby waves More generally, we can seek solutions to (4.16-4.18) of the form: u = U (y) cos (kx − ωt), (4.21) v = V (y) sin (kx − ωt), (4.22) h0 = A(y) cos (kx − ωt). (4.23) Eliminating U (y) and A(y) gives: 2 2 2 2 d βk ω − β y 2 − − k V (y) + V (y) = 0. 2 0 dy gH ω (4.24) Solutions take the form V (y) = Hn y −y2/2L2Eq , e LEq (4.25) where Hn is a “Hermite polynomial” of order n [H0(λ) = 1, H1(λ) = 2λ, H2(λ) = 4λ2 − 2, .... ] and the solutions must satisfy the dispersion equation: ω2 βk 2n + 1 2 − k − = . 2 0 gH ω LEq (4.26) Dispersion diagram (from Cushman-Roisin 1994): For each mode (n = 0, 1, 2, ...) there are three wave solutions: • two high frequency inertia-gravity waves (which we will not discuss further here); • One low frequency Rossby wave The n = 0 mode is a mixed Rossby/inertia-gravity wave, and the n = −1 mode is the Kelvin wave already discussed. Even modes (n = 0, 2, 4, ... ) are antisymmetric about the equator, and odd modes (n = −1, 1, 3, ... ) are symmetric. When a symmetic forcing is applied to the equatorial ocean at low frequencies (ω f ), the dominant modes excited are the Kelvin wave and the n = 1 Rossby wave. At low frequencies, the latter propagates westward at a speed, √ 0 gH c= , (4.27) 3 i.e., a third of the Kelvin wave speed. E.g., response to wind easterly anomaly (from Gill 1982): EL NIÑO “El Niño” is a climate fluctuation, centred in the tropical Pacific, that occurs every 2-10 years. SST: (a) Normal conditions (b) El Niño conditions (Philander 1990) SST difference: December 1982 - climatological mean (Bigg 1990) El Niño is intimately connected with the “Southern Oscillation”: (Philander 1990) (“El Niño” + “Southern Oscillation” = ENSO) El Niño is a coupled phenomenon ⇒ need to consider both the atmosphere and ocean. The tropical circulation is extremely sensitive to the distribution of SST over the tropical Pacific: (a) Normal conditions (b) El Niño conditions (Philander 1992) Suppose we introduce a warm SST anomaly over the eastern Pacific ⇒ westerly wind anomaly over the central Pacific. How does the ocean respond? - Excites Rossby and Kelvin waves (see figure on 4.12) • A downwelling Kelvin wave propagates eastward. This wave reinforces the initial warm SST anomaly in the E. Pacific ⇒ positive feedback. • An upwelling Rossby wave propagates westward and is reflected as an upwelling Kelvin wave. This wave reduces the initial SST anomaly ⇒ negative feedback. Propagation times ⇒ feedbacks are delayed ⇒ ocean never catches up with its current state ⇒ oscillations. Sea surface height (proxy for thermocline depth) during the development of the 1997 El Niño (from TOPEX-POSEIDON; http://): Longitude-time sections of projections of TOPEX-POSEIDON sea-level anomlies into Kelvin (left and right panels) and n = 1 Rossby waves (middle panel) (from Boulanger and Menkes 1999): DELAY-OSCILLATOR MODEL A simple heuristic model of El Niño including the time-delayed positive and negative feedbacks. Many variants (following based on Tziperman et al. 1994): dh = aF h(t − τ1) − bF h(t − τ2) dt + feedback (4.28) - feedback where: • h is thermocline depth in the E. Pacific, kh • (h > 0), F [h] = 2.0 tanh 2 kh = 0.4 tanh (h < 0), 0.4 is a nonlinear function that limits the maximum and minimum values of h (i.e., allows h to saturate), • k represents the strength of atmosphere-ocean coupling, • τ1 and τ2 are the two time-delays set by the Kelvin/Rossby wave transit times, • a and b control the growth/decay rates. Parameters are highly tunable, but the model can produce many realistic features, including: • oscillations with period of ∼ 2 − 10 yrs ( τ1, τ2), (from Wan 1996) • amplitude dependent on basin width ⇒ no/weak oscillation in the Atlantic. (from Perella 1999) SUMMARY OF MAIN POINTS: • Large-scale anomalies propagate westward in the ocean interior, with the Rossby propagation speed decreasing with increasing latitude. • The vanishing of Coriolis force parallel to coastlines and along the equator results in (fast) coastal and equatorial Kelvin waves. • Equatorial Kelvin and Rossby waves play an important role in the growth and decay of El Niño. REFERENCES FOR LECTURE 4 General reading Cushman-Roisin, B., 1994: Introduction to Geophysical Fluid Dynamics. Prentice-Hall. Gill, A. E., 1982: Atmosphere-Ocean Dynamics. Academic Press. Philander, S. G. H., 1990: El Niño, La Niña and the Southern Oscillation. Academic Press. Siedler, G., J. Church, and J. Gould, 2001: Ocean Circulation and Climate. Academic Press. Specific references Bigg, G. R., 1990: El Niño and the Southern Oscillation. Weather, 45, 2-8. Boulanger, J.-P., and C. Menkes, 1999: Long equatorial wave reflection in the Pacific Ocean from TOPEX-POSEIDON data during the 1992-1998 period. Climate Dyn., 15, 205-225. Chelton, D. B., and M. G. Schlax, 1986: Global observations of oceanic Rossby waves. Science, 272, 234-238. Colin, C., C. Henin, P. Hisard, and C. Oudot, 1971: Le Couran de Cromwell dans le Pacifique central en février. Cahiers ORSTROM, Ser. Oceanogr., 9, 167-186. Perella, R., 1999: The dynamics of El Niño. MSc dissertation, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading. Philander, S. G., 1992: El Niño. Oceanus, 33, no. 2, 56-61. Tziperman, E., L. Stone, M. A. Cane, and H. Jarosh, 1994: El Niño Chaos: overlapping of resonances between the seasonal cycle and the Pacific ocean-atmosphere oscillator. Science, 264, 72-74. Wallace, J. M., and V. E. Kousky, 1968: Observational evidence of Kelvin waves in the tropical stratosphere. J. Atmos. Sci, 25, 900-907. Wan, T. C., 1996: El Niño chaos in the delay oscillator. MSc dissertation, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading.
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz