Piedmont Public Policy Institute Business Impacts of Charlotte Traffic Congestion A Piedmont Public Policy Institute Report June, 2007 Prepared by: David T. Hartgen, Ph.D., P.E. Emeritus Professor of Transportation Studies University of North Carolina at Charlotte Vol. 2007 - No. 01 THE PIEDMONT PUBLIC POLICY INSTITUTE BOARD OF DIRECTORS Mr. John Crosland, Jr., Chairman Chairman, Crosland, Inc. Jefferson W. Brown, Esq. Partner, Kennedy Covington Mr. John Crosland III Vice Chairman, Crosland Inc. Mr. Daniel Levine Owner, Levine Properties Mr. Michael J. Mulvaney Executive Officer, Mulvaney Group Bailey Patrick, Jr., Esq. Partner, Kennedy Covington Mr. Allen Tate, Jr. Chairman, Allen Tate Company Mr. Edward Weisiger, Jr. President, Carolina Tractor Company Mr. Landon Wyatt III Partner, Childress Klein Properties Don Harrow Executive Director 17824 Statesville Road Suite 121 Cornelius, NC 28031 Phone: 704-439-2028 Fax: 704-892-3309 E-mail: [email protected] www.piedmontppi.org The Charlotte, North Carolina region is blessed with a vibrant, diversified and growing economy, as is the State of North Carolina as a whole. With strong economic growth comes both opportunities and challenges. Governments on the local, regional, state and federal levels are constantly seeking to address these issues through a wide variety of policies, programs, ordinances, rules and laws. These government decision-makers must be fully informed if they are to craft effective and efficient solutions to these challenges. They must also take into account the economic and practical impacts of their actions. Too often, policy decisions have been made on the basis of limited analysis and without a rigorous examination of costs, innovative alternatives and market oriented solutions. In order to foster informed decision-making, the business community must help bring comprehensive, independent and authoritative research and analysis to the public policy debate. Responding to this need, leaders in Charlotte’s business community and real estate industry established the Piedmont Public Policy Institute (PPPI), a non-profit 501 (c)(3) research and education organization. The mission of the PPPI is to: • • • • Provide much-needed analysis and research on a range of important public policy issues, ensuring that economic and business aspects of these matters are considered Partner with universities, corporations, other organizations and individual experts to conduct these comprehensive and authoritative research projects Issue reports and policy papers digesting the research results Sponsor educational conferences. Based in Charlotte, North Carolina, the PPPI will address issues of relevance to policy makers and the business community in Charlotte-Mecklenburg, the region, across the State of North Carolina and in other local communities and states around the nation. Funding for this research was provided by the Piedmont Public Policy Institute Piedmont Public Policy Institute Business Impacts of Charlotte Traffic Congestion A Piedmont Public Policy Institute Report June 2007 Prepared by: David T. Hartgen, Ph.D., P.E. Emeritus Professor of Transportation Studies University of North Carolina at Charlotte [email protected] Vol. 2008 - No. 01 Business Impacts of Charlotte Traffic Congestion Executive Summary Traffic congestion is a major hassle of modern life. It affects household commuting, shopping, school and recreation. Communities see its impact on the quality of life. Regions see it as a threat to competitiveness. Businesses see its negative impacts on business schedules, workers, customers, deliveries and meetings with clients. This study investigates the impact of traffic congestion on the Charlotte NC business community. The goal of the study is to determine the impacts of congestion on Charlotte businesses, including scheduling, access to workers and to local markets, business activities including shipments and deliveries, and effects on the regional economy. Mecklenburg County has about 825,000 residents, 25,600 business establishments employing 498,000 workers, and an annual workforce payroll of about $ 21.3 B. The county population grew 36 percent in the 1990s and 19 percent in the last seven years. Traffic congestion is rising rapidly and is predicted to double by 2030. Charlotte’s current traffic congestion index, 1.31 1, 22nd nationwide, is expected to increase to 1.62, which is equivalent with current Chicago levels, even with planned transportation improvements. But since regional traffic is predicted to double, Charlotte will have worse congestion in 2030 than today after $ 11 B in transportation funds are expended. Providing accessibility to jobs and residents is an important function of transportation systems. ‘Drive time’ maps that show the number of jobs or residents within a specified drive time of a point are a convenient way of expressing changes in accessibility from improved transportation. For this study, drive time maps were prepared for 20 major locations around the greater Charlotte region, using 25 minutes as the average drive time. Then, the number of jobs and residents within 25 minutes of each location was determined. The study found that Trade and Tryon (the Charlotte CBD) is presently the most accessible location in the region, with about 445,000 jobs and 441,000 residents within 25 minutes under congested conditions. Next is NorthLake Mall, Concord Mills Mall and Carolina Mall (access to residents), the Airport and Arrowood Road (access to jobs). Neighborhoods and suburbs generally have fewer residents and jobs within 25 minutes. In 2030 the CBD will have about 920,000 residents within 25 minutes, compared with 441,000 now. But Trade and Tryon will no longer be the most accessible point in the region. Concord Mills Mall will have the highest accessibility to residents in 2030; NorthLake Mall will be 2nd and the Airport 3rd, with the CBD 4th. Downtown will have 875,000 jobs within 25 minutes, but the Airport will have more jobs (881,000) within 25 minutes. Removal of congestion would greatly increase the CBDs access, to about 1.78 million residents within 25 minutes. Perhaps even more important, the CBD would retain its position as the most accessible place in the region. Removal of congestion also has the effect of increasing economic equity across the region. It therefore significantly benefits not only the CBD but also suburbs, malls, neighborhoods and major work sites. 1 Ratio of travel time in the peak to travel time in the off-peak. 2 Charlotte businesses are increasingly concerned about congestion. About 78 percent of businesses responding to a survey consider congestion to be an average or greater than average problem for their business. Geographically, the greatest concerns are from businesses in the city center and south-southwest Charlotte. Business views of congested locations generally agree with periodic “bottleneck” reports. Traffic congestion eats into business performance by introducing time delays that cannot be easily avoided or managed. Congestion affects shipping and deliveries, business activities, workers and customers – virtually all aspects of business. The average Mecklenburg County business ships or receives about 13.7 deliveries a week. For the whole county, about 177,199 shipments or deliveries are undertaken weekly, consuming about 1.805 million hours of delivery time. Congestion-related delays in shipping and receiving goods and merchandise cost the Charlotte business community about 366,829 lost hours per week, or about 20.3 percent of shipping time. The average business also makes about 40 visits a week to clients, suppliers or other activities. Congestion incurred delays in business activities (other than shipping and deliveries) are about 105,986 hours of delay per week, affecting about 21.3 percent of trips. This is an insidious impact that affects not only employee time use but also scheduling, meeting lengths and locations, internet use and work-at-home strategies. Businesses express considerable frustration in dealing with pervasive congestionrelated delays. Many are simply too busy running their operations and do not see such problems as traffic congestion to be their problem. But others have taken steps to avoid traffic congestion. The most commonly mentioned actions include changing routes and times for shipment departures and arrivals, consolidating shipments, using third party services, and shipping by various modes. Congestion also creates problems for employees through long commute times, lost productivity, use of overtime and constraints on hiring. Commuting trips are lengthening, spreading out in time and leaving earlier to avoid congestion. The number of commuters traveling 45 or more minutes almost doubled during the 1990s. As commuting becomes more of a hassle, employers are confronted with alternatively losing good workers, raising wages to compensate, or offering perks or flexible working arrangements. Some are coping by adjusting work schedules, holding meetings at less congested times, working more by email or telephone, allowing working at home, and meeting at less congested locations. In short, traffic congestion weakens business control of time spent with clients or business, lengthens terminal and shipping times, produces employee late arrivals, and generates delays around sites or on routes. I-485 in south Charlotte is the top congestion location mentioned, followed by I-77 south, and I-85. Businesses are not shy in offering suggestions for reducing traffic congestion. Of 200 suggestions made, the single most frequent suggestion was to widen freeways, followed closely by signal optimization, and urban arterial widenings. Next follow suggestions for improving local transit and better project scheduling. These five suggestions constitute almost 40 percent of all responses, confirming that businesses most want road improvements and local transit improvements to deal with this problem. The economic value of the potential savings from congestion relief (time savings for commuters, shipments, and employee business travel) is about $ 1.325 B annually, or about 2.3 percent of the Mecklenburg County economy. The business-related impact ($ 3 841 million per year) is actually larger than the commuter impact ($484 million per year). This represents a significant cost to workers in commuting delay (about $ 968/year per worker), and to businesses (about $1682/year per worker) in lost business efficiency. Together these losses total about $2,650 per worker. Removal of congestion would also increase the number of jobs within 25 minutes by 41-to-74 percent, depending on the point chosen. The resulting increase in the county economy ranges from 2.0 to 8.1 percent. The increase in tax revenue from greater business activity ranges from $2.1 B to $8.3 B over 20 years. This is considerably more than the cost of major road projects currently scheduled. The report concludes that businesses should not ignore congestion but treat it as a direct cost affecting the bottom line. Businesses are encouraged to learn about congestion patterns that affect them and devise ways of dealing with them. They are also encouraged to become more active in lobbying governments, insisting that actions be taken rather than waiting for roads to get improved. Several regions have recognized the threat the congestion poses to competitiveness, and have moved to deal with it. Atlanta has recently set a goal for reducing congestion and increased the priority of congestion reduction, and is developing detailed plans. Texas’ large cities have prepared congestion reduction plans. Seattle is reviewing congestion impacts. Portland has evaluated congestion impacts on business. Charlotte leaders should also objectively recognize the threat to competitiveness. They should implement effective congestion-reducing actions, consolidate responsibility for congestion planning in a single person, set a goal for congestion reduction, provide more funds for congestion relief, and investigate public-private partnerships. Other suggestions include developing local-area congestion reduction plans, increasing the weight placed on congestion in project selection, attending to non-CBD congestion locations, addressing congestion in key shipping corridors, ‘wiring’ the region for work-at-home, and including business groups in planning. The state of North Carolina is encouraged to increase priority and funding for congestion relief, fund projects that reduce congestion, include congestion relief in the highway formula, and halt the diversion of funds from highway accounts. The report concludes that the impacts of congestion on Charlotte businesses are significant and increasing. Private firms and governments need to work together to prudently develop sensible and effective actions that will improve current congestion levels for businesses and households. At stake is no less than the future of the region’s economic competitiveness. 4 Table of Contents Executive Summary 2 I. Introduction A. Issues B. Method 6 6 9 II. Findings A. Trends in Traffic Congestion 11 11 III. B. How Congestion Affects Access 1. Jobs and Residents 2. Growth and Road Improvements 3. Effect of Congestion Removal 13 13 18 19 C. Impacts on Business 1. How Big a Problem is Congestion? 2. How Congestion Affects Business 3. Shipping and Receiving 4. Business Activities 5. Business Actions 6. Impacts on Workers 7. Customers 8. Suggestions for Improvement 21 22 24 25 28 31 32 36 37 D. Congestion Impacts on the Economy 1. Impact on Commuting 2. Impact on Businesses 3. Impact on Productivity 39 39 40 40 Recommendations A. Businesses B. Local Government C. State Government D. Federal Government 43 43 45 48 49 Appendices Acknowledgments About the Author Methodology Details Accessibility Data by Location Survey Comments 50 50 50 51 57 63 5 Business Impacts of Charlotte Traffic Congestion I. Introduction “Traffic congestion is people with the economic means to act on their social and economic interests, getting in the way of other people with the means to act on theirs!” 2 A. Issues: Traffic congestion is regularly mentioned in national polls as an increasing ‘hassle’ of modern life 3. Families understand its impact on getting to work, shopping and school. Businesses see its impact on workers, customers, deliveries and meetings with clients. Communities see its impact on quality of life. Regions see it as a threat to competitiveness. As one business in our survey put it: “Local traffic congestion affects our business via its broader impact on the economy. If Charlotte gains a reputation for having traffic problems on the order of Atlanta, it will limit the region’s ability to effectively attract businesses and employees. That in turn will have a major impact on our ability to continue developing ‘world class’ live, work and play places.”(Real estate development firm, 5 employees) Numerous studies have recently assessed the magnitude and impact of traffic congestion. The Texas Transportation Institute regularly issues a comparative review of congestion in the nation’s largest 85 cities; the latest, issued for 2003 data, estimated that traffic congestion costs Americans $ 65 B annually in wasted fuel and travel time 4. The Federal Highway Administration has prepared an assessment of the overall trends in congestion and suggested various treatments for its mitigation 5. The Reason Foundation 6 has recently issued a comprehensive nationwide study of congestion and strategies for reducing it. USDOT has recently released a comprehensive policy statement on congestion, and a follow-up strategic plan for dealing with it 7. States and cities are also taking notice. Texas 8 is developing congestion reduction plans for its major cities. Atlanta 9 has recently revised its project selection process to set a congestion reduction goal and put more weight on projects that reduce congestion. Washington State 10 has 2 Alan Pisarski, US Senate Testimony, March 19, 2002. American Automobile Association, Transportation “Pockets of Pain” Survey, November 2006. Available at www.national.aaa.com. 4 Lomax T and Shrank D., Mobility 2003, Texas Transportation Institute, College Station, TX May 2005. 5 Federal Highway Administration, Congestion, Washington, DC. September 2005. At www.fhwa.dot.gov 6 Hartgen, DT and Fields MG, Building Highways to Relieve Traffic Congestion, Report for the Reason Foundation, August 31, 2006. Available at www.reason.org. 7 US DOT Congestion Urban Partnership Program, December 18, 2006. www.fightgridlocknow.gov 8 Texas Governor’s Business Council, Austin TX, September 2006. 9 Governor’s Congestion Mitigation Task Force, Report and Recommendations, Atlanta, GA, Dec. 6, 2005. 10 WSDOT Transportation Commission, Urban Areas Congestion Relief Analysis, Work Product Report Progress Briefing Paper, Olympia, WA, Feb 2005. 3 6 reviewed congestion impacts on its major cities. Oregon 11 has recently estimated the impact of congestion on its statewide economy at $1.7 B in 2025. North Carolina is not generally recognized as one of the most congested states, but it is. This misperception stems from the dispersed urban structure of the state, which has many medium-sized urban regions but no very large city. Charlotte, with a population of about 825,000, contains only about 9 percent of the state’s population. Figure 1: Greater Charlotte, NC Region, 2000 However, several recent studies have identified the state’s traffic congestion as a major issue. The North Carolina Department of Transportation recently identified traffic congestion as a significant cause of the widening gap between predicted revenues and highway needs 12. In the nationwide Reason study cited above, North Carolina’s 17 urbanized areas (over 50,000 in population) are predicted to have 1537 lane-miles of severe congestion by 2030, costing about $ 12.4 B to remove. The state’s rural congestion is also significant, estimated to require another $ 3.8 B to remove. The author’s recent annual assessment of the 50 state highway systems recently ranked North Carolina 47th on urban interstate congestion, with 50th being worst, at 72.5 percent congested 13. And a recent regional roads report identified about $ 6 B in needed road improvements throughout the 13-county region 14. 11 EDR Group, The Cost of Highway Limitations and Traffic Delay to Oregon’s Economy. Report to the Oregon Business Council, March 20, 2007. 12 NCDOT Strategic Transportation Plan, Raleigh NC, 2005. 13 Hartgen DT and Karanam RK, Progress Returns: Performance of State Highway Systems 1984-2005, 16th Annual Report, Reason Foundation, Los Angeles CA, Spring 2007, will be available at www.reason.org. 14 Song, J. Region needs more roads, Charlotte Observer, May 17, 2007. 7 But even though North Carolina is one of the most congested states, very little attention is being paid to congestion reduction. None of the state’s urban transportation plans place a high priority on congestion removal 15. And the state’s long range transportation plan places primary focus on the shortfall of revenue for highway repairs 16. The greater Charlotte NC region, in south central NC, actually consists of a group of regions. Figure 1 shows the immediate area, Mecklenburg County, and the nearby urbanized areas of Gastonia, Concord-Kannapolis and Rock Hill. The immediate Charlotte urbanized area consists of most of Mecklenburg County, NC and the western portion of Union County. Within this region are about 825,000 residents. The transportation planning region is somewhat larger, covering all of Mecklenburg County and Union County including Monroe 17. However, the de facto region is much larger. Within 20 miles there are five other medium-sized cities, from which commuting into Charlotte is substantial and between which the previously rural space is rapidly filling up with residences, offices, and commercial sites. The long-distance commuting shed is considerably larger still, from Anson County on the east to Rowan County on the north, and Rutherford County on the east. The region also includes portions of South Carolina, particularly York County and Lancaster County, in its commuting shed. The Charlotte urbanized area is the largest in North Carolina, and has also seen one of the fastest growth rates in NC and the nation. During the 1990s the population of Mecklenburg County grew 36 percent, 1½ times the state rate and almost 3 times the national rate. To the immediate southeast nearby Union County reported the fastest growth in the state since 2000 and the 15th fastest growth in the nation 18. During the 1990s most of Charlotte’s employment growth was concentrated in the downtown (CBD) area and the dispersed areas around the county (Arrowood Road, Airport, South Park, Ballantyne and University), but in the future both population and employment growth is expected to be focused on the edges of Mecklenburg County, and areas of surrounding counties between Charlotte and the nearby cities 19. There has been some concern about rising traffic congestion in the region. A recent poll by UNC Charlotte’s Urban Institute cited traffic congestion as the #1 problem in the greater Charlotte region 20. A 2007 survey of North Tryon residents and businesses found that “traffic” was a key weakness of the corridor 21. The Charlotte transportation planning organization 22 has recently commissioned a $500,000 study of congestion in the region 23. In a recent detailed review of traffic congestion in North Carolina 24, the John Locke Foundation found that Charlotte’ congestion would double in the next several decades, but the plans had the potential to mitigate only 1/3 of the increase. The region’s 15 Hartgen, Traffic Congestion in North Carolina, Report for the John Locke Foundation, Raleigh NC. March 19, 2007. Available at www.johnlocke.org. 16 NCDOT, Strategic Transportation Plan, 2005. 17 The Mecklenburg-Union metropolitan Planning Organization (MUMPO) region. 18 Kytia Weir, “Charlotte region’s boom gains steam’, Charlotte Observer, March 22, 2007. 19 Mecklenburg-Union Metropolitan Planning Organization, Long Range Transportation, Plan, p. 6-2. 20 UNC Charlotte Urban Institute, Mecklenburg Region Poll, Charlotte, NC. Fall 2006. 21 Warren and Associates, Responses to N. Tryon Planning Area Survey, March 20, 2007. 22 Mecklenburg-Union Metropolitan Planning Organization (MUMPO) 23 Mildenberg D, “Traffic finally on agenda? $500,000 to study roads”, Charlotte Business Journal, Nov. 24, 2006. 24 Hartgen DT, Traffic Congestion in North Carolina: Status, Prospects and Solutions, Report for the John Locke Foundation, Raleigh NC, March 19, 2007. Available at www.johnlocke.org. 8 long range plan barely mentions congestion, focusing instead on land use integration and modal choices. It focuses almost 60 percent of the planned transportation funds to be spent for just 2 percent of commuters, in the form of a five-corridor light rail proposal that would cost over $6B. Charlotte’s congestion mitigation plans 25 would barely slow the rate of growth in congestion and certainly not reduce it, producing large impacts on both businesses and households. The household (commuting) impacts of congestion are studied in the John Locke Foundation report (and are summarized below), but the business impacts have not yet been studied. The business community of Mecklenburg County has about 25600 business establishments employing 498,000 workers with an annual payroll of $21.3 B 26. A detailed analysis of how present and future congestion will affect Charlotte’s business community and the region’s competitiveness would be of great value. This study could help to focus transportation policy on needed actions and provide a means for the Legislature and local governments to address this emerging issue. Recognizing both the threat of inaction and the opportunity for change, the Piedmont Public Policy Institute, a Charlotte-based research and education organization, has asked UNC Charlotte to review the issues related to congestion impacts on local businesses. The goals of the study are: 1. Determine impacts of congestion on Charlotte businesses, including: • Impacts on access to workers and to local markets; • Impact on business activities, including shipments and deliveries; • Impact on the regional economy. 2. Identify actions needed to address the issue. It is hoped that this study will assist local and state policymakers in understanding the impacts of congestion on business activities, and in implementing actions and policies that will ameliorate its effects. B. Method This study uses straightforward methods to quantify its findings. 1. Literature review. Briefly review the literature and state-local reports on Charlotte congestion and transportation plans to determine the focus now being placed on congestion. 2. Estimate impacts on access to labor and markets. Building on a recent national study of accessibility, conduct accessibility analysis of the Charlotte region’s network with and without congestion. Estimate the impact of congestion reduction on access to jobs and markets. 3. Survey of business impacts. Conduct a survey of businesses to determine impacts on labor availability, shipping and receiving, business meetings and activities, customer access, and suggestions for action. 25 26 MUMPO Long range plan, op. cit. US Bureau of Economic Analysis, County Business Patterns, Mecklenburg NC. 2004. 9 4. Regional economic impacts. Using the business survey, conduct economic analysis of congestion losses to determine how impacts of congestion affect the regional economy. More details on the methods used in the study are available in the Appendix. 10 II. Findings A. Trends in Traffic Congestion Traffic congestion is defined as the delay in urban travel caused by the presence of other vehicles. This distinguishes it from other delays due to signs and signals, speed limits, or inadequate road systems. Traffic congestion is measured in a variety of ways 27. For large areas such as cities, the most common measure is the “travel time index” (TTI) developed by the Texas Transportation Institute 28. This index relates congestion to peak-hour travel times which people experience every weekday. For instance, a TTI of 1.25 means that travel time takes 25 percent longer in the peak hour than in the off-peak hours. Charlotte is one of three North Carolina cities for which congestion is regularly monitored. Figure 2 shows the current and predicted population and congestion indices for Charlotte. As recently as 1995, Charlotte’s congestion index was 1.17. However, in the next 8 years delay almost doubled: by 2003, the index was 1.31. This means that about 6 minutes of Charlotte’s average commuting travel time, 26.0 minutes, is delay 29. But since the TTI is an average index calculated from data submitted by state and local highway agencies to the federal government 30, congestion is not uniform within a region. Therefore, there will be corridors and routes in each city with higher or lower congestion levels. Figure 2: Population and Congestion Trends, Charlotte Urbanized Area Congestion Trends for Charlotte 1400 1. 6 2 118 5 1.7 1.6 1200 1.5 1000 725 1.4 800 1. 3 1 551 1.3 600 1. 17 400 Populat ion,K Congest ion Index 1.2 1.1 200 1 0 1995 2003 2030 1995 2003 2030 P op ul a t i on a n d T TI Tr e n ds Increasing congestion is not caused by wastefulness or unnecessary travel, but by the growth of the region combined with limited roadway expansion. From 1995 to 2003 27 For freeways and arterials the usual measures are volume/capacity ratios and operating speeds. For intersections, average vehicle delay is the standard. See Transportation Research Board, Highway Capacity Manual, 2000 ed. 28 Lomax and Shrank, op. cit. The index is defined as: TTI = (Average travel time in peak hour) / (Average travel time in off-peak hours) 29 Off-peak time = 26.0/1.31 = 19.8 minutes. Delay = 26.0 – 19.8 = 6.2 minutes. 30 Specifically, the Highway Performance Monitoring System (see www.fhwa.dot.gov ) which gathers data on traffic, capacity and speeds for a representative sample of roads in each metropolitan region. This data is updated annually. 11 the Charlotte urbanized area had the 3rd largest increase in population, 31.6 percent, and the largest increase in traffic, 44.9 percent, of the 17 cities in the state 31. But the daily vehicle-miles per capita increased only 10.2 percent, and road mileage increased 18 percent. As the region grows the newcomers bring their cars and driving travel patterns that are increasingly auto-oriented. About 90 percent of US households now own at least one motor vehicle, and the percentage is a bit higher, 92 percent, in North Carolina 32. The pejorative comment “Building roads to relieve traffic is like loosening your belt to avoid gaining weight” trivializes the problem and wrongly suggests that individuals, not urban growth, cause congestion. Since the size of the road system in terms of lane-miles is relatively stable, the increasing population and the driving (vehicle-miles) will increase the traffic load on the system, resulting in greater traffic per mile of road and greater congestion. Nor is congestion caused primarily by local land use policies. Intense land use that concentrates trip ends at specific locations can increase local congestion and integration of land use and transportation capacity can reduce this congestion, but this does not prevent overall traffic growth. And the traffic attracted is typically diverted from other sites. Nor is congestion caused by induced travel 33, the additional traffic thought to be magically created by more road capacity. Most careful studies of induced travel find it to be a small part of traffic growth; a recent analysis for Charlotte found that it accounted for about 8 percent of traffic growth on specific road improvements, and a much smaller region-wide effect 34. The region’s growth is expected to continue at a rapid pace into the future. The MPO-area population is expected to increase 60-90 percent over the next 25 years and traffic is also expected to sharply increase. Charlotte’s air quality conformity documents predict an 88 percent increase in traffic, from 19 M to 36 M daily over 25 years. As the region merges with the surrounding areas it is expected to take on the characteristics of a much larger region with longer commutes and a regional diameter approaching 75 miles across 35. Thus within the forecast period, the region is likely to be as large geographically as present-day Atlanta. By 2030 Charlotte’s congestion will be like present-day Chicago. The Charlotte congestion index will increase from 1.31 to 1.62, a 100 percent increase in delay 36. In 2030 the average commuting travel time for the region will be about 32 minutes 37, and the delay in an average commute will be about 12 minutes. This forecast is based on continuation of trends in traffic, urban growth and road construction. In other words, it assumes that the region’s transportation plans are implemented as scheduled. If those plans are delayed, and they often are, then congestion will generally be worse than 31 Federal Highway Administration, Highway Statistics, Urbanized Area Tables, 1995 and 2003. US Census, Journey to Work, 2000. 33 So-called ‘induced travel’ is travel thought to be created by adding capacity. It is thought to consist primarily of some traffic diverted to faster routes, some shifted in time, days, or other modes, and some created by additional development. Its existence, while theoretical, has not been confirmed. Most careful studies of individual projects show very small (5-15%) effects at most. 34 Hartgen DT, Highways and Sprawl in North Carolina, Report for the John Locke Foundation, Raleigh NC, Sept 24, 2003. p. 51. Available at www.johnlocke.org. 35 MUMPO Long range plan, p. 1-1. 36 Future delay = 32.1-19.8 = 12.3 minutes. 37 Future TTI = 19.8*1.62 = 32.1 minutes. 32 12 predicted. The predictions also indicate that the planned expenditure of transportation funds will not improve congestion. The region’s long range plan predicts that the percentage of congested streets will increase from 29 to 64 percent. So in 2030 after $11 B in transportation funds are expended, Charlotte will have worse congestion than today. The author’s recent analysis of the Charlotte long range transportation plan 38 shows that the problem is not money, but priorities. Charlotte’s plan would spend almost 60 percent 39 of its $11 B for 5 radial transit corridors that would serve just 2 percent of commuters, and of the $4.4 B slated for non-transit, just $ 3.25 B is for road capital actions. As a result the plan has only 1/3 of the savings in delay needed to hold congestion at current levels. The City’s own plan for street work is unfunded, but that would not focus on major arterials. B. How Congestion Affects Access 1. Jobs and Residents The primary function of transportation investment is to improve access to activity sites so that individuals, businesses and others can get to those locations. The role of transportation in improving access and regional productivity has been extensively studied, particularly in the past 30 years. Transportation systems have traditionally been viewed as a necessary but not sufficient condition for economic health as well as growth. ‘Drive time’ contours are an important means of expressing the relative accessibility of various transportation networks. They are defined as the area or the number of jobs or residents within a specified drive time of a point. They are a convenient way of expressing changes in access over time, as with improving transportation systems. If drive times are slowing, the region is said to be ‘contracting’ as access worsens; if times are lessening, the region is said to be ‘expanding’ as access improves. “Charlotte has virtually no [congestion-free] areas where people will comfortably readily go to ….people use solely that reason to decide not to come in.” (Exercise training firm, 1 employee) For this study, we developed detailed descriptions of drive time contours for 20 specific points around the greater Charlotte region. We used 25 minutes as the average drive time since that corresponds closely to the regional average commuting time. Figure 3 shows these drive time contours for five key points, using the year-2000 road system with and without congestion. Drive time contours typically stretch out along major highways where travel speeds are higher. For instance, the 25- minute drive time contour for Trade and Tryon shows that in congested conditions one can reach Cornelius, Concord Mills Mall and Fort Mill, whereas travel distances to the east (along Independence Blvd.) are more restricted. The contours are typically smaller for points not 38 Hartgen DT, Traffic congestion in North Carolina: status, prospects and solutions, Report for the John Locke Foundation, March 19, 2007. Available at www.johnlocke.org. 39 The transit portion was recently updated to $8.9 B. 13 Figure 3: 25-Min Drive Times for Key Charlotte Points 14 on the Interstate system, such as Sharon Amity/Independence/Albemarle. With congestion removed, however, the 25-minute drive time contours are considerably larger, meaning that one can cover more area and reach more destinations. This is an exponential impact, since a doubling of speed would lead to a quadrupling of the area within a given time band. Therefore, reductions in congestion (increase in speed) can often have a very large impact on the area reachable within 25 minutes. For nearby neighborhoods (Figure 4) these contours are mostly circular in shape and smaller, reflecting the reduced access and lower-level street systems that typically Figure 4: 25-Min Drive Times for Charlotte Neighborhoods 15 serve them. For suburbs (Figure 5), the contours vary with the nature of the highway access, some are spread out and others are circular. Figure 5: 25-Min Drive Times for Charlotte Suburbs 16 For malls (Figure 6) the patterns tend to be more elongated, reflecting their locations near major interstate interchanges. The exception, South Park, has a generally circular pattern reflecting its smaller access area. Figure 6: 25-Min Drive Times for Charlotte Malls 17 Using these contours, it is possible to determine the number of jobs or residents within a given drive time of a point, by simply adding up the jobs and residents within the contour. Figure 7 summarizes this information for the 20 points. It shows that the Charlotte CBD is presently the most accessible point in the region, with about 445,000 jobs and 441,000 residents within 25 minutes under congested conditions. The CBD is followed closely by NorthLake Mall, Concord Mills Mall and Carolina Mall (resident access) and the Airport and Arrowood Road (jobs access). Neighborhoods and suburban cities generally have fewer residents and jobs within 25 minutes. Figure 7: Jobs and Residents within 25 Min, Year 2000 Congested Roads Key Points Malls Neighborhoods Suburbs 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 n so v id D a or d nc oll y Co t H n ou M n ia to n as t o G ing d ed W il l M rt Fo il l tH e in M tyn n l la s Ba ew v e th r o at M ry G o ck Hi l e da ak all O M rk Pa l l h l u t M a al So i na ls M l il ro M Ca ord a ll nc e M Co la k r th No n yo ce Tr CC en d nd U N oo pe w ro de In Ar t or rp rle Ai ma r be n Al tow wn Do Population Reach (K) Employment Reach (K) 2. Growth and Road Improvements Using the same method it is also possible to determine how each point’s accessibility will change in the future as roads are improved and as the region grows. Figure 8 shows the results, and is useful to compare to the above figure. In 2030 when new roads like the Beltway and other are completed and the region grows by 70 percent, all points will have greater absolute access (that is, more residents and jobs within 25 minutes) than at present. For instance, in 2030 the CBD will have about 920,000 18 residents within 25 minutes, compared with 441,000 now. But the Charlotte CBD will no longer be the most accessible point in the region: Concord Mills Mall, 3rd in accessibility in 2000, will have the highest access to residents in 2030, and NorthLake Mall will be second, with the Airport 3rd. Downtown will have fallen to 4th in access to residents. Regarding jobs within 25 minutes, downtown fares better: it will have 875,000 jobs within 25 minutes, but the Airport will have more jobs (881,000) within 25 minutes. These changes are occurring because other points in the region will be getting more accessible relative to population and job growth. Figure 8: Jobs and Residents within 25 Min, 2030 Congested Roads Key Points Malls Neighborhoods Suburbs 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 rd co on C n ia to y l as ol G tH n n ou t o M ing d ed W il l M rt Fo s on id av D e yn n t ve l la ro Ba ry G ko ic l H il tH in M le da ak s w O e th at l M al M rk Pa l l h u t Ma l So na al i ol M al l ar e C la k ls M il th or d M N r co on C e nc on de ry en C C - T ep N U od Ind o w ro rle a Ar rm be n Al ow nt ow t or D rp Ai Population Reach (K) Employment Reach (K) 3. Effect of Congestion Removal Congestion reduction would have a dramatic effect on the accessibility of most points in the region, and on the rank order of points. Figure 9 shows the results of further analysis using the congestion-free drive time contours. For the CBD, congestion removal would increase its accessibility to about 1.78 million residents within 25 minutes, compared with about 920,000 residents with congestion (Figure 9 below). This effect, essentially a doubling of accessibility, is also apparent for most other points. And perhaps even more important, the CBD would retain its position as the most accessible place in the region, albeit only slightly ahead of Northlake Mall, Arrowood, and the Airport. Removal of congestion also has the effect of bringing the points closer in overall access, 19 increasing geographic equity across the region. It therefore significantly benefits not only the CBD but also suburbs, malls, neighborhoods and major work sites. Figures 10 and 11 summarize these observations. Trade and Tryon is the most accessible point now, but will loose ground to regional malls as the region grows. However, removing congestion from the regional road network would allow all points to become more accessible and would return the CBD to its top place in accessibility. Figure 9: Jobs and Residents within 25 Min, 2030, Congestion Removed Key Points Malls Neighborhoods Suburbs 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 a ni to as G son id av l D il M rt Fo ord c n on t o C ing d y e d oll W tH n ou M e yn nt l la s Ba ew th at M il l e t H rov in M ry G ko ic H le da ak l O al M rk Pa l l h u t Ma al l M So a i n il ls ol ar d M l C l r c o Ma on e k C a l e th nc or de N en ep nd C -I C N arle U rm be on Al t ry or - T rp Ai ood w n ro Ar tow n ow D Population Reach (K) Employment Reach (K) 20 Figure 10: Residents within 25 Minutes 2000 n so id av D ord y c ll on o C tH n ou M n ia n to o as gt G din ed W il l M rt Fo il l tH i n ne M n ty l la s Ba ew v e th ro at G M ry ko ic e l H da l ak al O M rk Pa l l ll h u t Ma Ma So i na l ls ol Mi ar ll C ord a c M on e C la k th or N n e yo Tr nc C C dde N en U oo w ep ro nd Ar rt -I o rp rle Ai rma be n Al ntow ow D rd co on n C ds o i av D n ia y to ll as o G nt H n ou t o M ing d ed W il l M rt Fo il l tH s in M ew v e th ro at G M ry ko ne ic H n ty l la Ba al e d l ak al O M ll rk Ma Pa il ls h M ut So ord l l a c M on C i na a ll ol M e ar e C la k nc th de or en N ep nd -I C C rle on N U ma Try r be d Al oo w ro Ar rt o n rp Ai ntow ow D 21 2030 - With Congestion Removed 2030 - As Planned 2000 - Base Suburbs Neighborhoods Malls Key Points 2030 - With Congestion Removed 2030 - As Planned 2000 - Base Suburbs Neighborhoods Malls Key Points 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Figure 11: Jobs within 25 Minutes 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 This is a significant accomplishment for a transportation strategy. Essentially our findings say that reducing congestion can be a key strategy in retaining the strength of the CBD, which would otherwise weaken. This policy would also strengthen those portions of the region that are relatively inaccessible now. Even partial relief would benefit the region proportionally. Of course it is not possible to remove all congestion from a network, and even if that were possible it would be cost-prohibitive to do. This analysis shows, however that the effect of doing so would be very significant, in terms of getting people to jobs, shopping, and recreation from diverse locations throughout the greater Charlotte region. C. Impacts on Business This section summarizes findings of our survey of businesses conducted in Mecklenburg County in the spring of 2007. The methodology for this survey is described in the Appendix. Briefly, successive samples of businesses were drawn randomly from lists of businesses that are members of the Charlotte Chamber of Commerce. In total, about 100 businesses responded, sufficient for distributions but not cross-tabs. To ensure representative results, survey responses for computed statistics were weighted by business size (employees) using current data from the national Bureau of Economic Analysis. Responses were received from all over Mecklenburg County 40, generally corresponding to concentrations of businesses in the CBD and other employment centers. 1. How Big a Problem is Congestion? Figure 12 shows that about 78 percent of responding businesses consider congestion to be an average or greater than average problem for their business. “Traffic congestion is a deterrent to ticket buyers coming from Charlotte’s environs to uptown. As congestion continues to escalate and travel time increases, the experience of coming to uptown for performances and related activities diminishes and customers opt to stay home, causing a drop in sales.” ([Non-profit arts group, 15 employees) Figure 12: How Big a Problem is Congestion for your Business? How Big a Problem is Local Traffic Congestion for Business ? 40 34 Number of Respondents 35 33 30 25 20 16 15 10 11 6 5 0 1 No Problem 2 Slight Problem 40 3 Average 4 Greater than Average 5 Big Problem To ensure confidentiality, responses are randomly placed within the reported business zip code and individual statistics are not shown. 22 Responses were similar across industry groups, indicating widespread concern throughout the private sector. Geographically, the greatest concerns were expressed from businesses situated in the city center and southwest Charlotte; businesses situated in the east or north generally expressed less concern (Figure 13). This suggests that perceptions of congestion generally agree with periodic ‘bottleneck’ studies showing major congestion in south Charlotte (I-485, I-77, etc). “Commute times can be even more outrageous if there is any issue on I-77 or I-85” (Commercial real estate firm, 15 employees) “We are located just off I-485 at Johnston Road. Unfortunately it gets so congested coming off I485 on the ramp toward Ballantyne that …accidents block traffic”. (Office rental firm, 5 employees) “The 485 southern loop is a disaster. Employees spend a lot of time in their vehicles, as do trucks delivering and picking up goods” (ATV transmission products, 40 employees) Figure 13: “How Big a Problem is Congestion for your Business? And Business Size 23 2. How Congestion Affects Business The Charlotte business community views traffic congestion as a significant drain on productivity, through its impacts on the use of time. “Traffic congestion affects our employees and clients with regard to the amount of time it takes to get to work or go to meetings, and the amount of time it takes our clients to come to our office for meetings.”(Engineering consulting firm, 65 employees) Basically, traffic congestion eats into business performance by introducing time delays that cannot be avoided or managed. Congestion affects shipping and deliveries, business activities, workers and customers – virtually all aspects of business. Table 1 shows how our business survey respondents see this problem. Four of the top five ‘mentions’ relate to loss of time. These responses constitute about 30 percent of all responses. Table 1: How Does Congestion Affect Your Business? Codes 22 14 15 21 11 32 26 and 13 16 42 212 17 24 41 211 23 25 111 18 19 27 31 43 28 and 33 29 34 35 110 210 213 36 Total Question 6 Classification Long work commutes Client or business time control Customer or terminal time Late arrival and delays Site or route delays Long delivery times I-485 delays Meetings and work attendance Regional concerns or competition Commuting 'hassle' Lost production time I-77 delays Accidents/ Incidents Productivity I-85 delays NC 29/49 delays Increase in business due to congestion Work arranged to suit traffic Inconvenient roads for customers Employment constraints Long travel time Poor road design Independence blvd Loss of employees Light rail construction Loss of customers Traffic signals Overtime for employees WT Harris Blvd Location or relocation 24 Mentions 20 14 8 8 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 127 Localized impacts are also substantial. Businesses mention delays at specific locations (particularly I-485, I-77, I-85, NC29/49, Independence Blvd.) as well as impacts on business scheduling and customer access. A third important area is employee access, reflected in such comments as long commute times and travel times, productivity, use of overtime, and constraints on hiring. As commutes become more of a hassle, employers are confronted with alternatively losing good workers, raising wages to compensate, or offering perks or flexible working arrangements. “Traffic affects my employees’ commute times and influences their choices for living proximity.” (Technology consulting firm, 20 employees) Congestion also affects sales and overall business performance. In our survey, the overall average drop in sales due to congestion was estimated at about 3.1 percent (Table 2), with about 12 percent of firms reporting 6+ percent drops. Table 2: Estimated Percent Drops in Business due to Congestion Range Number of Percent of Responses Respondents Not sure 46 45.5 0% 31 30.7 1-5 % 12 11.9 6-10 % 8 7.9 11-20 % 2 2.0 > 20 % 2 2.0 3.1 % Average Drop 3. Shipping and Receiving Table 3 summarizes the findings of our survey of businesses concerning shipping and receiving delays. The average business in Mecklenburg County ships or receives about 13.7 deliveries a week; this statistic varies widely, with 54 percent of businesses reporting no shipments, but others a large number. On average, the survey found that about 45 percent of businesses in Mecklenburg County ship or receive products at their major work site. The average shipment time is about 3.12 hours, and the average reported congestion-related delay is about 0.16 hours, or about 10 minutes. This does not sound like much, but it adds up over a day and effectively loses an hour of an 8-hour day for the typical driver. Table 3: Shipping and Receiving Congestion Delays Item Survey: Ave. Shipments and deliveries/week Ave. Shipment Time Ave Shipment Delay Meck Co: Total Shipments/wk Total Shipment Time Total Delay Percent Delay 25 Statistic 13.7 3.12 hours 0.16 hours 177,199 1,805,534 366,829 20.3 Expanding the data to all 25563 Mecklenburg County firms, about 177,199 shipments or deliveries per week are undertaken, consuming about 1.805 million hours of delivery time. Congestion-related delays in shipping and receiving goods and merchandise cost the Charlotte business community about 366,829 lost hours per week, or about 20.3 percent of shipping time. “We have over 30 trucks on the road…” (Construction/demolition firm, 60 employees) Figure 14 shows that most of these delay hours are in 3-axle trucks and vans/delivery trucks; only about 1/15th is in the use of larger semi-trailers and trailer/combination vehicles. The cost of this delay is valued at high driver-wages, of course, and is therefore substantial. “[Congestion] primarily affects our delivery service, slowing the distribution of our product and causing delays in delivery.” (Gift store, 5 employees) Figure 14: Congestion Delay to Business Shipments, by Vehicle Type Total Est Shipment Delay Hrs/wk Distribution by Vehicle Type Car/SUV, 2988 Semi trailer and trailer, 24455 Combination, 105 Van or delivery truck, 127021 Three+ axle truck, 212260 Total Est Sh Delay Hr/Wk = 366,829 Most of this delay is in local deliveries (Figure 15) although some of it also occurs on the major roads entering the city. 26 Figure 15: Charlotte Business Shipment Delays by Direction Total Shipment Delay, Hrs/Wk, by Direction South I 77 (Rock Hill/Columbia), 24746 Northeast I 85 (Concord/Greensb oro), 6252 Southwest I 85 (Greenville SC/Atlanta GA), 0 North I 77 (Mooresville/States ville), 7781 Local deliveries only, 306950 Total Est Shpmt Delay = 366829 The responses also suggest that delays in the south sector (I-77 south) are the most troublesome of access routes. This is confirmed by Figure 16 showing reported shipment delays by location. It is clear that delivery delays are not primarily a long-distance problem, but instead are determined by local traffic conditions. Figure 16: Shipment Delays by Location Shipment delays are also frequently encountered, and are not an isolated event. Figure 17 shows that almost ¾ of shipment delays are in regularly occurring delay that affects 51100 percent of shipments. This means that shipment delay is a continuing business phenomenon that must be dealt with and planned for on a continuing basis. 27 Figure 17: Shipment Delays by Frequency of Delay Total Shipment Delay, Hrs/Wk, by Frequency of Delay 1-5% , 8287 6-10% , 22814 [SKIPPED], 0 11-25% , 63900 26-50% , 2770 51-100% , 269057 4. Business Activities Congestion also affects business activities such as meetings, scheduling and locations. Table 4 summarizes the survey results for congestion-related business delays. The average Mecklenburg County business makes about 40 visits a week to clients, suppliers or other activities. The average congestion-related delay encountered in these trips is about 0.10 hours. This may not seem much, but for numerous trips it can add up and quickly throw off schedules. Table 4: Summary of Congestion-Related Business Delay Item Statistic Survey: Ave. Business Visits/Week 40.0 Ave Delay/trip 0.10 hours Meck Co: Total Business Trips/Week 1,664,104 Total Delay per Week 105,986 Percent Trips Delayed 21.3 Expanding to all 25563 establishments in Mecklenburg County, about 1.664 million business-related trips are made per week 41. Congestion incurs delays in business activities (other than shipping and deliveries) of about 105,986 hours of delay per week, affecting about 21.3 percent of trips. These delays are also frequent: over half of the employee business delay is encountered 51-100 percent of trips made. “We don’t go on appointments before 9:30 AM or after 4 PM. It is just a not productive use of time. [Congestion] limits our sales time to 6.5 hours a day out of the office” (Real estate firm, 2 employees) “Traffic congestion can really foul up an outside salesperson’s day when they have appointments set to flow – you are late to one, then it’s a domino effect”(Sales, 1 employee) 41 To put this in perspective, about 15 million trips/week are made in Mecklenburg County, so this is about 10-11 percent of trips. 28 This is an insidious impact that is difficult to quantify but nevertheless pervasive. It affects not only employee time use and wages but also affects scheduling, meeting times, lengths and locations, and internet and work-at-home strategies. And it is common: Figure 18 shows that about 60 percent of firms indicate that delays are encountered on 51-100 percent of business visits. Figure 18: Employee Business Delay by Frequency of Delay Employee Business Delay, Hours/Wk, by Frequency of Delay 1-5% , 1164 6-10% , 5189 11-25% , 9566 51-100% , 53553 26-50% , 32290 Total Total Meck Empl Del/Wk = 105986 “Sales meetings and training deliveries in the uptown area require a minimum of 1-hour allocation each way, taking us out of general productivity during that time…..for safety reasons we do not allow phone calls while driving”. (Executive training, 3 employees) “Travel times are unpredictable; for example the time to reach one specific client has ranged from 10 to 80 minutes. This gives the impression that we are not taking their business seriously”. (Engineering consultant, 2 employees) The value of this delay is substantial. Table 5 shows that at an average hourly wage of $ 21.40, the direct cost of this delay is about $ 118 million in lost wages alone. Not included here are other associated costs such as extra fuel use, vehicle operating costs during the delay, and the cost of the unreliability of time schedules. Table 5: Direct Cost of Employee Congestion-Related Business Delays Meck. Employee Delay/wk by NAICS Code NAICS Code 42 54 53 51 52 61 23 Description Wholesale Trade Professional, Scientific-Tech Services Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Information tech Finance and Insurance Educational Services Construction 29 Total Annual value Delay/Week, hrs of Lost Time, $ 41456 46,132,644 21562 23,994,268 20482 22,791,938 3723 4,143,107 3674 4,088,677 3057 3,402,219 2987 3,323,407 71 56 72 81 48 62 31 44 49 33 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Admin Support, Waste Mgt/Remedial Accommodations and Food Services Other Services (Except Public Admin) Transportation and Warehousing Health Care and Social Assistance Manufacturing Retail Trade Transportation and Warehousing Manufacturing Total 2260 2206 1707 1586 473 353 158 130 87 85 105,986 2,514,504 2,454,754 1,899,892 1,765,255 525,942 392,659 175,663 144,684 96,427 94,816 $ 117,940,857 Over half of this lost business time is in just 3 industries: wholesale trade, professional services and real estate. Figure 19 shows that employee business delays occur throughout the region but are most pervasive in the I-77 corridor southwest, and south I-485 area. Generally, businesses that consider congestion to be a major problem also are experiencing significant employee business delays. Figure 19: Employee Business Delays vs. Firm Size 30 5. Actions to Deal with Congestion-Related Business Delay Businesses express considerable frustration in dealing with pervasive congestionrelated delays to their operations. Table 6 indicates that, when asked what actions they had taken to deal with congestion affecting their operations, the most frequently mentioned response was “nothing”. Many businesses are simply too busy running their operations and do not see such traffic congestion as a problem they can address. But many businesses have independently taken some steps to avoid traffic congestion. Regarding shipments and deliveries, the most commonly mentioned actions include: • changing routes and times for shipment departures and arrivals • consolidating shipments • using third party services • shipping by various modes. Less frequently mentioned actions include lobbying government for road improvements, and providing better traffic information to business-related drivers. “We have to understand and work with the traffic patterns, and then we either buy or build buildings that people will want to rent” (Real estate development firm, 5 employees) . And a few businesses are taking more drastic steps, including relocating portions of business or changing markets. Table 6: Business Actions Regarding Traffic Congestion Q.18: Actions to Deal with Congestion Affecting Business Operations Mentions Nothing 34 Change departure or arrival times for deliveries/shipments 32 Change the routes used for deliveries and shipments 30 Consolidate shipments or deliveries 22 Use third party delivery services 19 Ship by different methods or carriers 9 Relocate business to other less congested locations 9 Lobby local governments for road improvements 8 Give real-time traffic info to drivers 7 Other 7 Change days of delivery or shipments 6 Lobby state governments for road improvements 6 Equip vehicles with GPS navigation 3 Change the markets served 2 Lobby fed government for road improvements 1 Total responses 195 These findings are shown graphically in Figure 20. There is a significant drop-off in actions mentioned after the first three. And most noticeably, lobbying officials is not a 31 frequently mentioned action, but if the results for lobbying local, state and the federal government are combined, lobbying governments becomes the sixth most cited action. Businesses may be cynical about this action or are just too busy managing their firms to engage in it, but some are actively talking with government officials. Figure 20: Actions to Deal with Employee-Related Business Delays Actions to Deal with Congestion Affecting Business 40 35 34 32 30 30 25 22 19 20 15 7 7 6 6 Lobby state govt for road improvements Change days of del/shpt Other Give real-time traffic info to drivers Lobby local govt for road imp Relocate business to other less cong loc Ship by different methods or carriers Use third party delivery services Consolidate shpt/del Change the routes used for del/shpts Nothing 0 Change dep/arr times for del/shpt 5 3 2 1 Lobby fed govt for road improvements 8 Change the markets served 9 Equip vehicles with GPS navigation 9 10 6. Impacts on Workers Another important dimension of the congestion issue is its impact on the workforce. Businesses rely on efficient and available employees in order for business to operate smoothly. External events such as recurring congestion that affects workforce arrival or performance can be a significant drain on business productivity. This issue was identified by our survey respondents as one of the important effects of traffic congestion. “Many employees travel from outside the uptown area. Commuting time to work has increased, which also increases the frustration…In hiring new staff there are fewer applicants willing to travel uptown to work…”(Association mgt firm, 10 employees) In the greater Charlotte region, commuting to work is done largely by private automobile. Table 7 shows commuting patterns in 1990 and in 2000, the latest data available from the Census 42. The resident workforce increased about 31 percent in the 1990’s (not counting in-commuting from surrounding counties), and solo driving increased even more, 32 percent. Carpooling, walking, and transit commuting all declined as a share of the total; transit commuting now constitutes just 2 percent of commuters. Work-at-home ‘commuting’ has doubled in just one decade, and is now 50% more than transit commuting. 42 2000 Census Journey to Work, Mecklenburg County. www.census.gov. 32 Table 7: Changes in Mecklenburg County Resident Commuting, 1990-2000 Population Households 0-Vehicle 1990 511433 200125 17539 Pct 100 100 8.8 2000 695454 273561 18380 Pct 100 100 6.7 Pct Change 36 36 4.8 Workers 16+ Drove Alone Carpooled Public Trans and Taxi Bike/walk Motorcycle/other Work at home 277227 218060 34685 9897 6368 2161 6056 100 78.7 12.5 3.6 2.3 0.8 2.2 362991 287663 45473 9331 5586 2626 12312 100 79.2 12.5 2.6 1.5 0.7 3.4 30.9 31.9 31.1 -5.7 -12.3 21.5 103.3 Mean travel time Drove alone Carpooled Public Trans and Taxi Bike/walk Motorcycle/other 22.1 Change in Pct -2.1 0.5 0.0 -1.0 -0.8 -0.1 1.2 26.0 25.0 27.8 44.7 12.0 66.1 The regional average travel time is about 26 minutes, 25 minutes for solo drivers. Average travel time for transit commuting is about 46 minutes, about 70 percent longer than drive-alone times. But average commute times do not tell the whole story. Commuting trips are lengthening and spreading out in time. Table 8 shows that the percent of commuters traveling less than 30 minutes declined by 0.2 to 2.4 percentage points, and the number of commuters traveling 30-44 minutes increased about 45 percent in the 1990s. The number of commuters traveling 45 or more minutes almost doubled during the 1990s. More and more workers are avoiding peak hours by starting commutes earlier or later than peak periods. The percentage of commuters starting between 5:00 and 6:00 AM increased 39 percent in just one decade, while the percent starting between 7 and 9 declined, and the percent starting after 9:00 also increased. Afternoon-to-midnight and 3rd shift working has also increased sharply. So, commuters are increasing their travel times and shifting commuting to earlier and later periods. This has important ‘spillback’ effect on family life and time allocation, which is subsequently reflected in job performance and attendance. “Staff members ‘dodge’ traffic as much as they can by coming to work early and leaving early as well” (Architecture consultant, 45 employees) 33 Table 8: Mecklenburg County: Changes in Commuter Travel Time and Start Time, 1990-2000 Travel Time To Work 1990 Pct Workers who did not work at home Less than 5 minutes 5 to 9 minutes 10 to 14 minutes 15 to 19 minutes 20 to 29 minutes 30 to 44 minutes 45 to more minutes Mean travel time to work (minutes) Time Leaving Home To Go To Work Workers who did not work at home 5:00 am to 6:59 am 7:00 am to 7:59 am 8:00 am to 8:59 am 9:00 am to 9:59 am 10:00 am to 11:59 am 12:00 pm to 11:59 pm 12:00 am to 4:59 am 271171 5528 23730 37571 49711 70966 60201 23464 22.1 2000 Pct 100.0 2.0 8.8 13.9 18.3 26.2 22.2 8.7 350679 6170 25156 43828 55760 87019 87107 45639 26.0 1990 % 271171 58811 99038 53379 14239 7737 33847 4120 Pct Change in Change percent 100.0 29.3 1.8 11.6 -0.2 7.2 6.0 -1.6 12.5 16.7 -1.4 15.9 12.2 -2.4 24.8 22.6 -1.4 24.8 44.7 2.6 13.0 94.5 4.3 2000 % 100.0 21.7 36.5 19.7 5.3 2.9 12.5 1.5 350679 81826 125884 65288 20142 11212 39783 6544 Pct Change in Change percent 100.0 29.3 23.3 39.1 1.6 35.9 27.1 -0.6 18.6 22.3 -1.1 5.7 41.5 0.4 3.2 44.9 0.3 11.3 17.5 -1.2 1.9 58.8 0.4 Against this background perhaps it is not surprising that complaints about congestion are common. In our survey, about 64 percent of businesses indicate that 30+ percent of their workers have complained about congestion (Figure 21). These complaints cover a wide range of concerns, from early starts to reasons for tardiness, to needs for child pick-up and flexible work scheduling. Figure 21: Employee Complaints Distribution of Respondents by Pct of Employees complain 0% , 6 2.5% , 12 8% , 5 17% , 13 30% , 64 Total Respondents = 100 34 Although businesses are not directly responsible for solving employee commuting problems, many businesses have taken actions to assist their workers in coping with traffic congestion. Table 9 indicates that from over 300 responses in the business survey, the most commonly mentioned actions are allowing flexible work hours, scheduling meetings at less congested times, permitting more work by telephone and email/web, permitting working at home, and meeting at less congested locations. These 5 actions constitute 70 percent of responses. On the other hand, very few businesses have used financial incentives or offered transit subsidies. Table 9: Actions to Help Workers Deal with Congestion Q22: Actions to Deal with Congestion Affecting Workers Action Mentions Percent Allow a flexible work hour or workday schedule Schedule meetings at less congested times Work more by email or telephone Allow working at home Meet at less congested locations Nothing Encourage carpooling Relocate some business activities Provide parking incentives Lobby local government for road improvements Lobby state government for road improvements Provide company cars Reassign workers to other locations Offer bus use passes Give promotions or bonuses Lobby federal government for road improvements Use salary incentives Subsidize bus or limo services Other Assist with employee housing Total Responses Figure 22 shows this information in bar-chart form. 35 57 50 45 41 22 17 13 11 7 7 7 6 6 4 4 4 2 1 1 0 305 18.6 16.4 14.8 13.4 7.2 5.6 4.2 3.6 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.0 2.0 1.3 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0 100.0 Figure 22: Actions to Help Workers Deal with Congestion Actions to deal with congestion affecting workers 60 57 50 45 50 41 40 30 1 1 Other 0 Assist with employee housing 2 Subsidize bus or limo services 4 improvements 4 Lobby fed govt for road 4 Give promotions or bonuses locations 6 Offer bus use passes 6 Provide company cars 7 Reassign workers to other 7 improvements activities Encourage carpooling Relocate some business Nothing Meet at less congested locations Allow working at home Work more by email/telephone times schedule Schedule meetings at less cong Allow a flex work hr or workday 0 7 Lobby state govt for road 11 Lobby local govt for road improvements 13 Provide parking incentives 17 10 Use salary incentives 22 20 7. Impacts on Customers Congestion’s impact on customers is another important issue. Customer complaints about traffic congestion are also common but split. About 30 percent of businesses indicated that more than 30 percent of customers complained about traffic; on the other hand, 24 percent said that complaints were non-existent. Figure 23: Percent of Customers Complaining about Congestion Distribution of Respondents by Pct of Cust Complain 0% , 24 30% , 31 3% , 11 18% , 18 8% , 16 Total Respondents = 100 Businesses are aware of these concerns: “Customers do not want to drive downtown [because of congestion]…” (Health care firm, 5 employees) “Delays in traffic cost our customers much money for their projects. It also affects our own productivity” (Consultant, 5 employees) 36 But businesses are less inclined to take actions to help customers with congestionavoidance. Of 129 responses regarding actions, the largest (30 percent) was “nothing”, followed by “relocating businesses near customers”, “scheduling deliveries early or late”, and “providing courtesy parking”. Some businesses also mentioned on-line shopping, lobbing governments, and “free shipping or delivery.” Figure 24: Actions to help Customers Deal with Congestion Actions to deal with congestion affecting customers 4 3 3 Lobby federal govt for road imp 4 Expand parking lots Lobby state govt for road imp 4 Improve site access 6 Free shipping for deliveries 6 Offer price discounts 6 Lobby local govt for road imp 9 Provide online shopping 11 Other 11 Provide courtesy parking 11 Schedule deliveries earlier in the morning or later in the afternoon Relocate business nearer to cust 12 Increase prices 39 Nothing 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 8. Suggestions for Improvement The business community is not shy about making suggestions for dealing with Charlotte’s increasing traffic congestion. Of 200 suggestions made, the single most frequent suggestion was to widen freeways, followed closely by signal optimization, and urban arterial widenings. These are, coincidentally, the top three suggestions made recently regarding congestion planning in Charlotte 43. Next follow suggestions for improving local transit and project scheduling. Table 10: Suggestions for Congestion Relief Code 14 20 15 51 73 46 49 43 Q 26: Suggestions for Congestion Relief Freeway widenings Signal optimization Urban arterial widenings Improved local transit Project scheduling Rapid transit, LRT/BRT Flexible work hours ram Hartgen, NC congestion study, op. cit. 37 Mentions 27 19 11 10 10 9 8 Percent 13.5 9.5 5.5 5.0 5.0 4.5 4.0 59 Coordinate planning and growth 50 Work-at-home and telecommuting 56 Law enforcement 69 More funding for roads 11 New freeway 22 HOV lanes 30 Road sign Improvements 70 Improve Fund management 72 Impact developer fees 12 New arterials 16 Rural arterial widenings 29 One-way repairs 47 Toll roads, bridges/ lanes 57 Traffic diversion 506 Increase parking 63 Strengthen Cong Mgt Plan 66 Lobby government 71 Land use promotion 40 Employee carpool matching program 501 Tax incentives 503 Accident management 507 Limit shuttle services 508 Incentives for mass transit 74 Plan roads to reduce/eliminate congestion 13 New exits or ramps on freeways 17 Intersection improvements 18 Bottleneck removal program 26 Minor improvements with no widening 28 Driver restrictions 32 No left turns 33 Provide sidewalks 34 Bus stop improvements 41 Residential carpool matching program 53 Parking surcharges/fees 58 Bike path suggestions 502 Housing solutions 504 Safety campaign 505 Reduce access 510 Offer incentives for carpooling 511 Tax incentives for merchants using e-commerce 512 Direct growth outside of charlotte 60 Increase priority for congestion-relief projects 61 Evaluate project congestion impacts of TIP 75 Remove/replace officials Total Responses 7 6 6 6 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 200 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 100.0 Of the suggested freeway widenings, by far the most frequently mentioned was the needed widening of I-485 south of Charlotte, followed by I-77 and then by I-85. These suggestions indicate the widespread agreement in the business community that the city needs to deal with congestion by, first, improving road capacity. 38 D. Congestion Impacts on the Charlotte Economy 1. Impact on Commuting One major benefit of reduced traffic congestion is the travel time that is saved by workers 44. Stated another way, in the absence of capacity improvements, a major cost of increased traffic congestion is the lost time while the regional labor force is stuck in traffic. These travel time savings have two parts. The direct benefit is simply the value of workers’ time saved. However, if this time were translated into income that workers would otherwise receive, then it can be argued that the full benefit should also include the indirect economic benefit of workers’ consumption spending in the local economy. To capture these effects, we first estimated the value of time saved using average wage rates from the North Carolina Employment Security Commission. Because some consumer spending takes place outside of the home region, we calculated a ‘potential’ consumption impact that accounts for the proportion of consumer spending devoted to imports. The net value of aggregate time savings was then allocated across regional industry sectors comprising the household consumption function. These values, the direct benefits, were then used as changes in a regional input-output model for Charlotte. 45 The input-output model simulates the additional indirect impacts that would accrue to each region if consumers were able to spend the income they would have otherwise lost due to higher levels of congestion. The economic value (direct and total) of the savings in commuter travel time from congestion mitigation is shown in Table 11. The savings are estimated at about $ 484 M annually, or about 0.83 percent of gross County product of $ 57.623 B. As noted above, this does NOT include savings in fuel and operating costs and accident reductions, or the additional (if any) benefits of the highway construction itself 46. For a workforce of about 500,000 workers, this works out to about $ 968 per worker per year. Category Direct Impact $M 2005 Commuting Business Shipments Business Empl. Travel Total $ 420 $ 370 Local Consumptio n Ratio (%) 72.8 100 $ 118 100 Table 11: Economic Impacts of Congestion Potential Total Estimated Consumptio Economic Annual n Impact Impact per Impact $M Worker* $M 2005 2005 $ 306 $ 484 $ 968 $ 370 $ 661 $ 1322 $ 908 *Based on 500,000 workers. $ 118 $ 180 $ 360 $ 794 $ 1325 $ 2650 44 Implied Consumptio n Multiplier Total Impact as % of GCP (%) 1.58 1.78 0.84 1.15 1.53 0.31 Other benefits might include those to firms and households from lower transport costs generally. These include reduced fuel and operating costs, the value of improved travel reliability, and greater access (‘reach’) to customers or workers within a given travel time. 45 We used the IMPLAN model for this purpose. The total impact includes the direct effect of consumer spending plus the indirect ad induced effects associated with the impact. A more complete description of input-output analysis and the IMPLAN model can be found in the Appendix. 46 Some transportation economists treat highway construction as a ‘transfer’ that has no benefits or costs since it is funded by taxes on fuel that if left in consumers’ pockets would have been spent locally. These impacts are generally short-lived. 39 2.30 2. Impact on Businesses Using a similar approach it is also possible to quantify the congestion impacts on business activities outlined in this report. These activities are of two major parts: • Cost of extra time for shipments and deliveries • Cost of extra time for business employee activities Since these costs are incurred primarily outside of peak commuting hours, the overlap between commuter-based costs and business-based costs is minimal. Each of these costs are treated separately, by first estimating the total direct economic impact of the time, then estimating the indirect impact of the lost time. The direct economic value of the time lost in shipments and deliveries (Table 11 above) is about $370 M annually. Adjusting for out-of-region expenditures and multiplier effects, the estimated total economic value of time lost in shipping and deliveries is about $ 661 M, or about 1.2 percent of the gross county product. The economic value of time lost traveling to business meetings and similar activities can be computed in similar fashion. The value of this lost time is about $ 118 M annually. Adjusted for local consumption and multiplier effects, the total effect is about $ 180 M. Together these business-related impacts are about twice the commuting impact. To say it differently, on average congestion costs each business about $ 1682 annually per worker. Together, all three components of time savings (commuter, shipments, and employee business travel) have a total (direct and indirect) economic value of about $ 1.325 B annually, or about 2.3 percent of the gross county economy. On a per- worker basis, this is about $ 2650 per year. At the least this is a significant loss of efficiency; at most it means real sacrifice due to lost business. While these numbers may not seem high at current levels, they represent real costs to commuters and to businesses, and could precipitate more aggressive actions if allowed to continue unaddressed. 3. Impact on Productivity Another approach to assessing economic impacts is to determine how much regional productivity would increase if congestion were removed. Using the relationships between regional economic productivity and accessibility, it is possible to determine how much the Mecklenburg County economy would increase if accessibility were improved. Models of regional productivity are extensions of the classic productivity model from economics. In the regional extension, the ‘product’ of a city or region is thought to be a function of its size, capital investments, labor, competitive pricing, and other factors. Regional productivity, literally the product divided by the number of workers, is thought to be related to these terms, and other factors such as accessibility, tax rates, crime, education, and other features 47. The method has been used to describe and compare the productivity of cities (Prud’homme and Lee 48, and Cervero 49). The method can be 47 Mathematically, this is expressed as P = aXbYc…, where P is the gross regional product for the region, X,Y, …are factors of production, and the coefficients a, b, c,…are constants determined empirically. These are also the elasticities, defined as the percent change in a variable caused by a 1 percent change in another variable. See the appendix for more discussion. 48 Prud’homme R and Lee CW. “Size, sprawl, speed and the efficiency of cities”, Urban Studies 36:11, 1949-1858, 1999. 49 Cervero R. Efficient urbanization: economic performance and the shape of the metropolis”, Urban Studies, 38:10, 1651-1671, 2001. 40 extended further by comparing regional productivity change caused by reduction in congestion with the amount of planned road investment. Table 12 summarizes the findings for seven selected points in the greater Charlotte region. We used the changes in regional accessibility, described in part II.B of this report, as the starting point. For these points we found that removal of congestion would increase job accessibility (number of jobs within 25 minutes) by 41-to-74 percent, depending on the point chosen. Using typical elasticities determined from a recent national study 50, the estimated increase in per-worker productivity ranges from 2.0 to 8.1 percent. The present overall annual “gross regional product” of the greater Charlotte region, the value of all goods and services produced, is about $73.15 B, or about $93,136 per worker. (The average salary per worker is of course considerably lower). Therefore, the increased gross regional product ranges from $74.6 B to $79.1 B, and the increase in tax revenue ranges from $2.1 B to $8.3 B over 20 years. In most cases this is considerably more than the cost of major road projects currently scheduled around these points. This analysis also suggests that the regional focus on downtown may be overstated. The impact of improved accessibility to other locations (such as Sharon AmityAlbemarle-Independence or Arrowood Rd.) is likely to be greater, and road funds less, than for other points. Table 12: Impact of Congestion Removal on Regional Productivity Location Airport Downtown Northlake Mall Concord Mills Mall Carolina Mall Arrowood/Try on Alberm- Indep 2004 base 93136 2000 2000 Jobs within 25 min, k, conge sted 419 445 409 Jobs within 25 min, k, Freeflow 611 627 607 Percent Increase from Congest ion Removal 45.7 40.8 48.3 360 391 544 574 382 342 610 595 2004 base 73.15 Increase in Tax Take ($B) 0.10 0.23 0.29 Increase in Tax Take Over 20yrs ($B) 2.07 4.59 5.72 Planned Road $ within 25 min, B$ 2.51 2.05 2.37 Ratio of Tax $ to Road $ 0.83 2.24 2.41 77.44 77.11 0.30 0.28 6.01 5.55 2.18 1.42 2.75 3.90 78.21 79.09 0.35 0.42 7.09 8.33 1.30 1.32 5.47 6.31 Elasticit y 0.04 0.11 0.12 Pct Change in Productiv ity/Worke r 2.0 4.5 5.6 Productivi ty/ Worker under FF ($) 95023 97314 98341 GRP under FF ($B) 74.63 76.43 77.23 50.7 46.8 0.12 0.12 5.9 5.4 98605 98182 59.8 74.0 0.12 0.11 6.9 8.1 99586 100712 This data sums up the current road budget within 25 minutes of each point, not the road budget needed to relieve congestion. Therefore, one interpretation of the table is that the present road-budget attention for some points in the region is too small, and should be expanded relative to other locations. Another interpretation is that congestion relief is important economically all around the region and should be considered as road funds are allocated. A third interpretation, advocated on our recent congestion assessment for 50 Hartgen DT and Fields MG, Regional productivity and traffic congestion: findings for major activity centers in US cities. Draft report for the Reason Foundation, Los Angeles CA. March 23, 2007. Available at www.reason.org. 41 Charlotte 51, is that road planning should consider the economic impacts of potential congestion removal. 51 Hartgen DT, NC congestion study, op. cit. 42 IV. Recommendations A. Businesses Businesses are generally not responsible for external transportation improvements or traffic congestion relief. They are primarily focused on running their businesses and expect governments to handle the external transportation system. Even when traffic congestion threatens their activities and causes losses in time and operations, many businesses are reluctant to focus on it. This is understandable since most traffic congestion is not generally related to just one or even a few businesses and its impacts are often broadly spread over large areas. That being said, our study also finds that many businesses are not only concerned about traffic congestion, but also have taken some internal steps, those within their power, to deal with it as best they can. “Coping” might be a better word for this than “action”. And a few have gone further, pressing governments for needed projects or actively pursuing changes in transportation policy. Recognizing that each business’s location, customer and supply picture is different, the following are offered as possible actions that individual businesses can take to improve their own ‘congestion’ situations: o Change the corporate view of traffic congestion o Don’t think of traffic congestion as something that cannot be avoided or dealt with. Instead, consider traffic congestion as a ‘negative’ cost directly affecting profit. o Begin to think of traffic congestion as a ‘shadow’ cost center that drains dollars but adds no value. • Learn about local travel patterns that affect the business o Keep simple records indicating when and where business functions are affected by congestion. Use a simple map showing locations of clients and suppliers, employee residences and major routes used. Identify routes, intersections, times of day, directional traffic differences, and other features of the local road system that regularly experience traffic congestion which affects the business. Over time, gather other information on the location and frequency of congestion at these locations. o To the extent possible, determine the basis for the congestion. Common sources of congestion might include other nearby businesses or traffic generators, localized construction, use of local streets for longer-distance movement, bottlenecks, cut-through movements avoiding other bottlenecks, ill-timed signals, lack of turning capacity, etc. Pass this information on to elected and appointed officials. The more specific the information, the better. Document transmittal of information. These steps can help not only with developing actions appropriate for the individual business but also in proposing infrastructure solutions. 43 • Review the experiences of other similar businesses o Through trade and civic groups and personal contacts, learn about how other businesses are dealing with congestion. What steps have other taken? How well did they work out? The suggestions for individual actions noted in the ‘business survey’ can provide a starting point for potential actions. o Assess the cost versus effectiveness of these actions. What were the costs and consequences of the steps taken? Did they have unanticipated benefits or costs? How were they received by the participants? • Relate these observations to business activities o Determine how the business uses the transportation system. Which routes, times of day, and other features are used by workers on business visits, business deliveries and shipments, commuting employees, and by customers? o What complaints have been received or heard regarding congestion? What are the specifics? From whom? Where? When? o How do these actions relate to business functions? • Review potential actions o Internal actions: Using the many suggestions in this report as a starting point, identify some actions the business might take to deal with congestion. Consider separate actions for shipping and receiving, employee business travel, and other major business functions (e.g. around-town travel). o Workers: Similarly for workers, look at such policies as flex-time, work-at-home, separate shifting, slight changes in work schedules, and similar low-impact actions. o Customers: For customers, consider additional actions, such as bringing business to customers, alternative meeting schedules, store hours, internet and email use, other locations, etc. • Identify and implement actions for the business o From this list of potential actions, select a few of the most promising and implement them gradually over time. o See how they work out, and modify as needed. o Keep simple records of the results, and share them with others. • Actively lobby for solutions o Learn. Work to educate elected and appointed officials about congestion problems affecting the business. Always speak in terms of ‘jobs’ that might be lost, ‘lost tax revenue’ and the like. These are impacts that elected officials understand. o Develop local-area congestion relief plans. Individually or with other businesses, encourage governments to help with organizing flex-time 44 o o o o o o policies, ridesharing, transit services and other actions that would affect congestion within small areas around the worksite. Work to get projects on the TIP and LRP. The transportation improvement plan and the region’s long range transportation plan are key policy documents, which in our region are updated every 2 and 3 years, respectively. Review the plans and become familiar with projects likely to affect your business. Push for added projects that affect congestion. Ask elected officials to make them a priority and push for those with funding agencies. Track the status of projects that affect the business. The TIP is a 2year document that is updated regularly. Each month, projects and status are discussed. Input to these discussions regarding individual projects is generally welcome. Work with neighborhood and other groups to identify quality-oflife issues related to traffic congestion. Traffic congestion affects not only businesses and people but quality of life, through its impact on noise and air pollution, accidents, and cut-through traffic. Many groups have an interest in reducing it. Pressure local and state governments to solve problems. Insist that local and elected officials not just talk about problems or what they cannot do; instead ask them to put together action plans to deal with traffic. Join or support interest group and trade groups working on these problems. Numerous organizations such as the Charlotte Chamber and its regional groups, the Regional Road Committee, and others already have groups formed to deal with some of these issues. They are always looking for new members. Work with other organizations to increase attention to accessibility. Improving accessibility is not just a transportation issue but a quality-of-life issue that affects people’s well being and participation in society. Other private non-profit groups, other government agencies, and other private businesses also have a stake in seeing traffic congestion reduced. B. Local Government Local governments are key actors in decision-making affecting congestion. By their actions local and state governments make most of the transportation improvements that directly affect congestion levels. Therefore, it is incumbent on them to: • Recognize the threat. While congestion relief has been given some attention, it is not being treated as a serous threat to the regional economy. This report finds that the impact of congestion on business, which gets virtually no attention, is at least as large as the impact on commuters, which gets some attention. Together these impacts constitute a serious and growing threat to the economic health and competitiveness of the region. 45 • Implement effective projects. The business community has suggested that the focus of congestion relief be on five key areas: o Freeway widenings o Signal optimization o Urban arterial widenings o Improved local transit o Better project scheduling Focusing resources on these five topics would significantly help in relieving current and future congestion. • Appoint a person responsible for congestion reduction. Local government should appoint a single person responsible for congestion planning and relief. At present, the responsibility is spread throughout many agencies. We have a single person responsible for transit improvements, and another responsible for city transportation, but no one responsible for congestion reduction. • Set a goal for congestion reduction. While a current index of 1.31 puts Charlotte in the middle of the pack nationwide, the recent growth of congestion has been high. If trends continue, Charlotte’s congestion index will reach 1.35 by 2010, 1.45 by 2020, and 1.62 by 2030. Cities with somewhat more congestion than Charlotte have already begun to act. Atlanta, with a current TTI of 1.45, has recently set a goal of congestion REDUCTION ( to 1.35), restructured its project selection process to put 70 percent of the weight on congestion reduction, and begun to develop specific plans for congestion mitigation 52. Cities in Texas, notably Houston and Austin, have moved forward with congestion reduction planning 53. Seattle and Portland have also begun to address the problem. As Atlanta has done, Charlotte should set a goal for congestion reduction, not just slowing the growth of congestion. We recommend that this goal be an index of 1.25, lower than the current value (1.31) and significantly less than the predicted level, 1.62, if we continue on the current course. • Provide more funds for congestion reduction. Recent study of the Charlotte congestion situation indicates that the present $ 4 B allocated for roads in the MPOs plans will not be adequate to reduce congestion or even slow its growth. An additional $ 4-6 B would be needed to hold congestion at current levels. • Investigate public-private initiatives. The city and state should investigate how public-private initiatives might accelerate the completion of major road projects. Several options should be explored, for instance reversible elevated HOT (high occupancy and toll) lanes on I-77 and possibly I-485. 52 Poole R, Reducing Congestion in Atlanta, Reason Foundation, Nov. 15, 2006. Available at www.reason.org/ps351.pdf . 53 Governor’s Business Council, Congestion mitigation report, Atlanta GA, March 2007. 46 • Calculate impacts of present plans on business community, by location. For each sub-area of the region, compute the present and future congestion levels for major corridors. • Increase the weight of project selection on congestion relief. The present weight placed on congestion relief, 11%, is too low to bring major congestionrelieving projects to the fore. Atlanta has recently raised the focus on congestion relief to 70 %; Charlotte should follow suit, raising the weight to at least 50%. • Prioritize projects and fund the most effective. Once project impacts on congestion have been determined, identify the projects that have the greatest impact, and fund them. This report suggests that, for starters, projects that relieve congestion on I-77 and I-485 are high on business’s lists. • Investigate the needs of other points in the region. The accessibility analysis suggests strongly that more attention should be paid to congestion outside the CBD, particularly around key points such as major malls, UNC Charlotte, and access to major suburbs. Those sites are not getting enough attention now, relative to the CBD. • Address shipping and delivery problems and routes. A detailed analysis of major shipping and receiving routes and sites should be conducted. The city has undertaken freight-related assessments in the past, but those studies need to be expanded to look at major freight corridors and delivery sites beyond the manufacturing sector. • Develop local area traffic relief plans. Plans for dealing with congestion in neighborhoods and sectors of the city should be developed. These should not be just ‘ban the car’ or divert to elsewhere’ studies, but rather propose practical and prudent solutions for handling growing traffic. Typical actions might include retail operations, routes, and demand-management such as flextime programs. • ‘Wire’ the region. The increase in work-at-home ‘commuting’ is the greatest change in travel in our region, but is ignored in current planning. An aggressive effort to provide region-wide internet service might have large benefits in traffic reduction as well as business and personal efficiency. However, the role of government in this effort should be prudent, not as an operator of services but as a facilitator of private-sector initiatives. • Include business groups and individual businesses in congestion planning. Businesses are sometimes left out in regional planning since they are tend to focus on internal matters and do not often take ‘activist’ positions. Extra effort is needed by government, to ensure that businesses’ views are included in 47 planning and should get as much attention as the effort expended on other groups. • Enlist minority communities in congestion planning. Low-income and minority groups have a huge stake in congestion relief, since it maintains and improves access and facilitates economic growth. If available jobs are not accessible, they will not be filled; if inaccessible, hospitals and schools will not be utilized. The link between economic health and accessibility should be given much more attention. C. State Government State governments also play a key role in congestion reduction since they provide the financial and institutional wherewithal to make major transportation investments. North Carolina’s state agencies and its elected officials are aware of the congestion issue but competing priorities, diversion of funds from the highway trust funds, and escalating costs are eating into the state’s ability to get ahead of this problem. The state needs to: • Increase priority and funding for congestion/business relief. The state is not placing enough priority on congestion relief. As congestion grows, the state’s economy is at risk as businesses cannot find workers or customers, shipping costs worsen and locations become less competitive. While there is some recognition that congestion is a growing issue, there is no state policy for congestion relief and local planning organizations are led to believe that other issues are more important. • Fund projects that reduce congestion. North Carolina has the lead for planning and approving major projects on the Interstate and state highway system. For these projects, the state should insist that they be funded in a prudent fashion. • Include congestion relief in the highway formula. Many studies have called for review of the state’s formulas for funding roads, questioning the geographic allocations and the resulting shortfalls in major urban areas. The Legislature should review the formula and adjust it to include both congestion and a separate category for major roads such as Interstates and regional connectors. • End diversion of funds from highway accounts. For too long now the state’s highway funds have been diverted for other non-highway purposes. Over the past 15 years this diversion has amounted to over $ 2 B. While these needs are important and demand attention, it is also the case that such continued diversion threatens the quality of the state’s infrastructure and slows progress in improving congestion. These problems are statewide, not just in Charlotte. 48 D. Federal government • Raise the profile of congestion. The recent federal initiative focusing on congestion is a good start. However it risks being abandoned for lack of follow-through or change of politics. The program should be legislated into current highway law, and expanded in funding. The focus should also be expanded to help with urban congestion problems, not just longer-distance corridors. • Link congestion reduction to economic health. The link between traffic congestion and economic health has not yet been made convincingly. Among the aspects of the issue are; o the link between congestion reduction and the economic vitality of CBDs and other key regional points; o the connection between good access and mobility for individuals moving up the economic ladder; o the importance of good access to smooth traffic flow and reduced air pollution; o the link between congestion relief and lower fuel consumption; o the link between congestion relief and family activity patterns. These are all broad issues that need attention, in the form of research to untangle the relationships, policies that appropriately provide cost-effective actions, and funding which enables policy. To sum up, this study finds that the impacts of congestion on Charlotte businesses are significant and increasing. Private firms and governments need to work together to prudently develop sensible and effective actions that will improve current congestion levels for businesses and households. At stake is no less than the future of the region’s economic competitiveness. 49 Appendix Acknowledgments This study was funded by the Piedmont Public Policy Institute, Charlotte NC, a Charlotte-region 501(c) (3) non-profit organization chartered to conduct research and education on issues affecting economic development, real estate, transportation, environment and related matters. The author is indebted to Mark Cramer, Former Executive Director, PPPI, Don Harrow, Executive Director, and John Wadsworth, Staff Analyst, for their continuing assistance in the study’s conduct. The PPPI Board of Directors provided invaluable guidance during the study. The Charlotte Chamber of Commerce, particularly Robert Morgan, President and Tony Crumbley, Vice President for Research, kindly provided access to membership lists for the conduct of the business survey. Over 100 business managers in the greater Charlotte region kindly provided timely input to the business survey. Prof. Harrison S. Campbell of UNC Charlotte conducted the input-output economic analysis. UNC Charlotte students Gregory Fields (accessibility analysis), Chaitanya Kaita (sampling), Jonathan Poeder (survey conduct), Ravi Karanam (survey summaries) and David Hansen (analysis, modeling, graphics and review) provided invaluable assistance at various stages in the study. The author is indebted to all of these individuals and organizations but of course remains solely responsible for all errors of fact, interpretation or omission. About the Author The study was conducted by David T. Hartgen, Emeritus Professor of Transportation Studies at UNC Charlotte. Professor Hartgen is widely known in transportation circles. He established the UNC Charlotte’s Center for Interdisciplinary Transportation Studies in 1989 and now conducts research in transportation policy. He is the author of about 330 publications on a wide variety of topics in transportation policy and planning, is US Editor of the international academic journal Transportation, and is active in professional organizations. He is a frequent media interviewee in local and national publications. Before coming to Charlotte he directed the statistics and analysis functions of the New York State Department of Transportation and served as a Policy Analyst at the Federal Highway Administration. He holds engineering degrees from Duke University and Northwestern University. He has taught at SUNY Albany, Union College and Syracuse University and lectures widely. His recent national study of congestion for the Reason Foundation (www.reason.org) has attracted wide national attention. His recent studies of North Carolina transit systems and congestion in the state’s 17 largest cities (both at www.johnlocke.org) have also generated wide discussion. 50 Methodology Details A. Accessibility Analysis We used the following steps to derive our findings for the accessibility analysis. 1. Select the study points within the Charlotte area. We selected locations that would likely be familiar to and affect a large number of people. We chose 20 study points representative of major activity categories and dispersed throughout the regional network’s coverage area. The points are: Key Points 1-Downtown – Trade and Tryon 2-Charlotte-Douglas Intl Airport 3-UNC-Charlotte 4-Intersection – Arrowood and Tryon 5-Intersection – Sharon Amity/ Albemarle/Independence Category Neighborhoods And Close-in Suburbs 6-Oakdale 7-Hickory Grove 8-Matthews 9-Ballantyne 10-Mint Hill Suburbs Shopping Malls 11-Fort Mill 12-Weddington 13-Gastonia 14-Mount Holly 15-Concord 16-Davidson 17-Northlake Mall 18-Concord Mills Mall 19-Carolina Mall 20-South Park Mall 2. Conduct a drive time contour analysis for each point. • Collect demographic and network data for each point. We obtained the Charlotte networks (years 2000 and 2030) in TransCAD format, as well as the demographic data for all transportation analysis zones for those years. These networks included variables that reflected both free flow and congested speeds, from which we were able to calculate free flow and congested travel times. The networks contain all major streets and roads, but not local streets. Demographics include present and future population and employment by category. • Develop drive time contours for each point. We used the TransCAD “Band” function to develop drive time contours around each point, for both congested and uncongested conditions, for the 2000 and 2030 networks (a total of 80 analyses for the region). We use 5-minute intervals to define each band (5-minute ‘donut ring’, e.g. 20-25 minutes. • Calculate the number of people and the number of jobs in each band. Using the “overlay” function in TransCAD and the zonal demographic layers for 2000 and 2030, we calculated the population and the employment in each of the 5-minute drive time bands. We then cumulated this data outward from the origin point and determined changes in accessibility over time (2000 vs. 2030) in population and employment ‘reach’ for each point. This analysis was then repeated for congested and uncongested networks. 51 • Summarize findings. For each point, we summarized findings and prepared cumulative curves and summary tables and maps. B. Survey of Businesses We used the following procedures for conducting the survey of businesses. 1. Sampling The survey of businesses began with review of potential sampling frames. After discussions, we settled on several lists of businesses: • Members of the Charlotte Chamber of Commerce, about 3300 names, or about 15 percent of the establishments in the County (25,500 establishments). • Large (100 or more employees) establishments and manufacturers in Mecklenburg County and the surrounding counties, which overlaps somewhat with the first list. These lists were kindly obtained from the Charlotte Chamber of Commerce. They contain basic information about each establishment, particularly number of employees, industrial codes (SIC and NAICS), location, contact person, and (for most) email contact. Initially lists were sorted by NAICS code, and missing NAICS codes were entered using industrial directories and SIC-NAICS crossover tables. Basic summaries of each list were then prepared showing firms and employment by NAICS code. These were compared with BEA summaries of firms and employment in Mecklenburg and surrounding counties. This operation showed that the Chamber lists were skewed toward larger firms, as expected. An initial sample of 500 firms was drawn from each list using random numbers weighted in proportion to establishment employment. This initial sample was specified on the assumption that about 15-20 percent of each list would respond, yielding about 100-150 respondents in each group. This list was then checked for availability of emails. Those with missing emails, about 1/3 of the list, were contacted and emails obtained for most. The samples were then sent an electronic questionnaire (see below) asking for input on congestion impacts. Within just a few days it became apparent that most of the sample would not be responding; only about 25 establishments from Mecklenburg County and very few from other counties responded. Although the responses were usable, the sample was not sufficient for interpretation. A second sample of 500 firms was then drawn from the original Chamber membership list (the second list, manufacturing firms, was not re-sampled). This second sample was also selected randomly (without weighting by employment), but with the proviso that the firm had a listed email (to obviate the need to call firms). This second sample was then sent a second wave of surveys. In the second wave, about 40 responses were received. A third sample of 500 firms was then drawn from the Chamber membership list, again with the proviso that an email be listed. This final sample yielded another 35 responses, the three samples together totaling exactly 100 responses. Another 2 or 3 responses were returned after the analysis began, and were not included in the 52 summaries. The 100 responses were deemed adequate for opinion responses and, with expansion, for numerical analysis. See discussion of coding and expansion below. 2. Survey design While the initial sampling design was being undertaken, a draft survey instrument was prepared. The survey was designed using a web-based survey design and administration software package, SurveyShare© 54. This package permits a wide variety of survey questions types to be used. It also manages the distribution and return of surveys, even to the point of preparing summaries and crosstabs. UNC Charlotte has access to the software through a license agreement. The initial survey design consisted of several parts: • Firm description (firm name, contact name, number of employees, zip code location, NAICS code or business type) • Perception of congestion as a problem • Shipments and deliveries • Business activities such as meetings and schedules • Workers • Customers • Suggestions for congestion relief. Draft questions in each topic were developed and refined a number of times. As the survey approached final form, the draft was shared with several local business owners and improvements were made based on their suggestions. The final form consisted of 26 questions and required about 10 minutes to complete. By all accounts it went smoothly. Most respondents answered all questions, particularly those relating to suggestions for improving congestion. 3. Survey operation The survey operation was relatively straightforward, after several initial trials internally to ensure that the software and questionnaire worked properly. The web-based survey design requires accurate controls over procedures, particularly the use of email and other formats. Once these procedures were understood, the survey was sent to each wave of samples, and noted above. Slight changes in some of the coded answers were introduced between the first and second wave; these were accounted for in the final processing. As responses were received they were checked for completeness and then accumulated into Excel-format spreadsheets for later analysis. The SurveyShare© system also allows for storing or reporting findings periodically as responses are returned. These summaries were reviewed periodically during the three waves of responses to track progress, observe responses to individual questions and prepare a short summary for presentation to the client on March 6, 2007. At the completion of the survey period (about 1 month) the responses were converted to an Excel format spreadsheet for further processing. 54 SurveyShare Inc, SurveyShare© software product. Available at www.surveyshare.com. 53 4. Coding and expansion Although the SurveyShare© process is largely self-coding, additional information needs to be added to make it fully useful. This included the following items: • Missing zip codes (for later mapping) were added for selected responses that were otherwise complete; these were found from the original Chamber list. • Most respondents did not report their NAICS code. Using firm descriptions and the original Chamber listing, 2-digit NAICS codes were added. • For questions with numerical choices, the mean or median value of each chosen answer was added. This permits calculation of expanded data. • Expansion factors were added to each response. These were calculated as the ratio of the number of firms in Mecklenburg County by 2-digit NAICS code, divided by the number of similar firms responding. This procedure develops an expansion factor that can be used to estimate county-wide statistics directly from the survey. • Selected numerical totals were computed from the expansion factors: Total shipping = Σ (Exp factor)(deliveries/wk)(pct delayed)(avg delay) Delay/week 100 resps Total Empl Delay/week = Σ (exp factor)(empl trips/wk off site)(pct delayed)(avg delay) 100 resps This information was accumulated for each response and for the sample as a whole. 5. Summary tables Once coding was complete, a variety of summary tables and graphics were prepared using PivotTable and other features of Excel. In addition, the entire file was then moved to TransCAD as a geographic layer and the responses located randomly within each reported zip code (to ensure privacy). A variety of maps showing the data were then developed in conjunction with other map layers such as roads and urban boundaries. C. Regional productivity models Models of regional productivity are extensions of the classic productivity model from economics, in which the ‘product’ (output) of a firm is theorized to depend on inputs, in the form of capital, labor, materials, etc and prices. In the regional extension, the ‘product’ of a city or region is thought to be a function of its size, capital investments, 54 labor, competitive pricing, and other factors. Regional productivity, literally the product divided by the number of workers, is thought to be related to these terms and other factors such as accessibility, tax rates, crime, education, and other features. Mathematically, this is expressed as P = aXbYc… where P is the gross regional product for the region, X,Y, …are factors of production, and the coefficients a, b, c,…are constants determined empirically. In its log-linear form the model is: Ln(P/w) = a + b Ln(X) + c Ln(Y) + ….. The coefficients b, c, etc are particularly useful because they represent the elasticity of productivity with respect to the factors of production. This means that a 100 percent change in X will, for instance, yield a ‘b’ percent change in P/w. This very useful result can be embedded in a forecasting tool which can be used to estimate the change in productivity caused by a given percent change in X. The form of this forecasting model is: (P/w)’ = (P/w)* [1 + e * (Percent change in X)] Where P/w is the present productivity per worker, empirically defined as the gross regional product divided by the workforce, and (P/w)’ is the revised productivity, adjusted for the change in X. Using this model form, the impact on regional productivity from changes in X such as a reduction of congestion can be estimated. D. Input-Output Models The impacts reported in Table 11 were estimated with an input-output model. This is a very detailed economic representation of the Charlotte-Mecklenburg economy that traces all the business-related interactions in the region for each of 528 industry types. Capturing these relationships allows us to trace the impact of one industry’s expenditures on all other sectors that are directly or indirectly related to it. Because of their high levels of detail, and because all industries in a region are linked together to some degree, a change in one industry will ‘ripple’ through other parts of the economy. The estimation of these ripple effects, called multiplier effects, is the main objective of economic impact assessment. In the present case, delays due to traffic congestion were calculated for three categories: commuter delays; delays in shipment and deliveries, and the loss of business or added costs associated with employee congestion delay (as in meetings). Each of these cases represents a cost, in terms of lost time, to the local economy. Commuters facing rush hour traffic could be using their time for either work or recreation; delayed shipments of physical goods cost trucking time and also slow work schedules; and worker productivity is sacrificed when employees trying to visit clients are stuck in traffic. The initial value of these costs, reported in our survey of businesses, is used as 55 input to our impact model which simulates the total value of lost economic activity. We should also note, however, that care was exercised in determining these initial values. For example, not all employee wages are actually spent in the local economy; some wages are spent in other regions or on imported goods and services. Thus, the local impact of economic losses to commuters considers only that portion of income that would have been spent locally. All these impacts were estimated with the most recent version of the IMPLAN model which is maintained in Department of Geography and Earth Sciences at UNC Charlotte. 56 Accessibility Data by Location (in order of Year-2000 population Access) Trade and Tryon (441,000 people within 25 minutes) • About 441000 people (26.3 % of region) are within 25 minutes of Uptown. This will grow to 919000 (29.5 % of 2030 region) by 2030. This means that the region will get more accessible, by about 3.2 percent, even with congestion. • Similar results for employment, and for free-flow conditions with increases in the 1.4 to 5.3 percentage point range • Removal of congestion produces a 19.5-27.6 percentage point increase in access, about 8-10 times the increase occurring from regional growth. • Conclusion: congestion removal would accelerate the already improving access. North Lake Mall (407,000 people within 25 minutes) • About 407000 people (24.2% of 2000 region) are within 25 minutes of North Lake Mall. This will grow to about 963000 people (30.9% of 2030 region) by 2030. This means that the area will become more accessible, by about 6.7 percentage points, even with congestion. • The results are similar for employment, and free-flow conditions, with results ranging from 3.5 to 6.5 percentage point increases. • Congestion removal would produce a 25.4 to 31.7 to percentage point increase in accessibility. • Conclusion: congestion removal would significantly accelerate the already improving access. Concord Mills Mall (402,000 people within 25 minutes) • About 402000 people (23.9% of 2000 region) are within 25 minutes of Concord Mills Mall. This will grow to 980000 people (31.3% of 2030 region) by 2030. This means that the mall area will become more accessible, by about 7.4 percent, even with congestion. • The results are similar for employment and free-flow conditions, with increases in the 4.7 to 5.5 percentage point range. • Congestion removal would produce a 19.6-27.6 percentage point increase in accessibility, about 3-5 times the increase from regional growth. • Conclusion: congestion removal would accelerate the already improving access. Carolina Mall (396,000 people within 25 minutes) • About 396000 people (23.5% of 2000 region) are within 25 minutes of Carolina Mall. This will grow to about 813000 people (26.1% of 2030 region) by 2030. This means that the area will become more accessible, by about 2.6 percentage points, even with congestion. • The results are similar for employment, and free-flow conditions, with results ranging from 0.5 to 2.7 percentage point increases. 57 • • Congestion removal would yield a 20.9 to 27.3 percentage point increase in accessibility. Conclusion: congestion removal would accelerate the already improving access. Sharon Amity – Albemarle – Independence (362,000 people within 25 minutes) • About 362000 people (21.5% of 2000 region) are within 25 minutes of the intersection of Sharon Amity, Albemarle, and Independence. This will grow to about 876000 people (28.2% of 2030 region) by 2030. This means that the area will become more accessible, by about 6.7 percentage points, even with congestion. • The results are similar for employment, and free-flow conditions, with results ranging from 2.1 to 10.2 percentage point increases. • Congestion removal would produce a 30.2 to 32.7 percentage point increase in accessibility. • Conclusion: congestion removal would significantly accelerate the already improving access. Charlotte-Douglas International Airport (361,000 people within 25 minutes) • About 361000 people (21.5% of 2000 region) are within 25 minutes of CharlotteDouglas International Airport. This will grow to 935000 people (30.0% of 2030 region) by 2030. This means that the area will become more accessible, by 8.5 percentage points, even with congestion. • The results are for employment and free-flow conditions are mixed, with a -0.1 percentage point decline in free-flow employment access, but 2.2 and 5.3 percentage point increase in congested free-flow population and congested employment access, respectively. • Congestion removal would produce a 15.9 to 31.3 percentage point increase in accessibility. • Conclusion: congestion removal would further accelerate the already improving access, and reverse any losses in access for free-flow conditions. Arrowood and Tryon (352,000 people within 25 minutes) • About 352000 people (21% of 2000 region) are within 25 minutes of the intersection of Arrowood and Tryon. This will grow to about 786000 people (25.3% of 2030 region) by 2030. This means that the area will become more accessible, by about 4.3 percentage points, even with congestion. • The results are similar for employment, and free-flow conditions, with results ranging from 0 to 2.6 percentage point increases. • Congestion removal would produce a 25.3 to 34.6 percentage point increase in accessibility. • Conclusion: congestion removal would accelerate the already improving access. 58 UNC Charlotte (294,000 people within 25 minutes) • About 294000 people (17.5% of 2000 region) are within 25 minutes of UNC Charlotte. This will grow to 777000 people (25.0% of 2030 region) by 2030. This means that the area will become more accessible, by about 7.5 percent, even with congestion. • The results are similar for employment, and free-flow conditions, with results ranging from 2.0 to 7.5 percentage point increases. • Congestion removal would produce a 28.6 to 34.8 percentage point increase in accessibility. • Conclusion: congestion removal would accelerate the already improving access. Oakdale (257,000 people within 25 minutes) • About 257000 people (15.3% of 2000 region) are within 25 minutes of the Oakdale neighborhood. This will grow to about 539000 people (17.3% of 2030 region) by 2030. This means that the area will become more accessible, by about 2 percentage points, even with congestion. • The results are similar for congested free-flow conditions, with results in the range of 2.4 to 4.2 percentage point increases. Congested employment, however, shows a decrease in access of -0.3 percentage points. • Congestion removal would produce a 35.8 to 39.2 percentage point increase in accessibility. • Conclusion: congestion removal would accelerate the already improving access. Hickory Grove (238,000 people within 25 minutes) • About 238000 people (14.5% of 2000 region) are within 25 minutes of the Hickory Grove area. This will grow to about 445000 people (14.3% of 2030 region) by 2030. This means that the area will become slightly more accessible, by about 0.1 percent. • The results are similar for employment, and free-flow conditions, with results ranging from 2.0 to6.2 percentage point increases in accessibility • Congestion removal would produce a large 36.2 to 52.7 percentage point increase in accessibility. • Conclusion: congestion removal would significantly accelerate the already improving access. Matthews (216,000 people within 25 minutes) • About 216000 people (12.8% of 2000 region) are within 25 minutes of Matthews area. This will grow to about 669000 people (21.5% of 2030 region) by 2030. This means that the area will become more accessible, by about 8.7 percent, even with congestion. • The results are similar for employment, and free-flow conditions, but with a wide variance of results, ranging from 0.1 to19 percentage point increases. • Congestion removal would yield 34.9 to 50.0 percentage point increases in accessibility. 59 • Conclusion: congestion removal would significantly accelerate the already improving access. Ballantyne (211,000 people within 25 minutes) • About 211000 people (12.5% of 2000 region) are within 25 minutes of the Ballantyne neighborhood. This will grow to about 435000 people (14.0% of 2030 region) by 2030. This means that the area will become more accessible, by about 1.5 percent, even with congestion. • The results are similar for employment, and free-flow population increases, with percentage increase in accessibility ranging from 2.6 to 3.4. Free-flow employment, however, shows a decrease in accessibility by about -0.20 percentage points. • Congestion removal would produce a 32.5 to 35.7 percentage point increase in accessibility. • Conclusion: congestion removal would significantly accelerate the already improving access. South Park Mall (204,000 people within 25 minutes) • About 204000 people (12.1% of 2000 region) are within 25 minutes of South Park Mall. This will grow to about 310000 people (10.0% of 2030 region) by 2030. This means that the area will become less accessible, by about -2.1 percent. • Mixed results for employment, and free-flow conditions, with results ranging from -1.3 to +2.1 percentage points decreases and increases. • Congestion removal would produce a 37.8 to 41.6 percentage point increase in accessibility. • Conclusion: congestion removal would reverse the projected decline in access. Fort Mill (163,000 people within 25 minutes) • About 163000 people (9.7% of 2000 region) are within 25 minutes of Fort Mill. Will grow to 278000 pop (9% of 2030 region). This means that the area will become less accessible, by -0.7 percentage points. • The results are similar for employment, with reductions in the -1.3 to -2.0 percentage point range. Free-flow employment enjoys an increase of 2.5 percentage points. • Congestion removal would produce a 23.6 to 34.7 percentage point increase in accessibility. • Conclusion: congestion removal would reverse the projected decline in access. Mint Hill (145,000 people within 25 minutes) • About 145000 people (8.6% of 2000 region) are within 25 minutes of the Mint Hill area. This will grow to about 488000 people (14.8% of 2030 region) by 2030. This means that the area will become more accessible, by about 6.2 percent, even with congestion. 60 • • • The results are similar for employment, and free-flow conditions, with results ranging from 2.8 to10.1 percentage point increases. Congestion removal would produce a 40.3 to 56.9 percentage point increase in accessibility. Conclusion: congestion removal would significantly accelerate the already improving access. Weddington (144,000 people within 25 minutes) • About 144000 people (8.6% of 2000 region) are within 25 minutes of Weddington. This will grow to about 273000 people (8.8% of 2030 region) by 2030. This means that the area will become slightly more accessible, by about 0.2 percent, even with congestion. • The results are similar for employment, and free-flow conditions, with results ranging from 0.7 to 2.6 percentage point increases. • Congestion removal would produce a 32.0 to 42.3 percentage point increase in accessibility. • Conclusion: congestion removal would significantly accelerate the already improving access. Gastonia (143,000 people within 25 minutes) • About 143000 people (8.5% of 2000 region) are within 25 minutes of Gastonia. This will grow to about 227000 people (7.3% of 2030 region) by 2030. This means that the area will become less accessible, by about -1.2 percent. • The results are mixed for employment, and free-flow conditions. Results range from increases of 8.7 percentage points for free-flow employment to -0.9 percentage point reduction for congested employment. • Congestion removal would produce a 19.5 to 20.8 percentage point increase in accessibility. • Conclusion: congestion removal would reverse the declining accessibility. Mount Holly (118,000 people within 25 minutes) • About 118000 people (7.0% of 2000 region) are within 25 minutes of Mount Holly. This will grow to about 237000 people (7.6% of 2030 region) by 2030. This means that the area will become more accessible, by about 0.6 percent, even with congestion. • The results are similar for employment, and free-flow population conditions, with results ranging from 1.9 to 3.5 percentage point increases. Free-flow employment access is projected to decline by about -1.10 percentage points. • Congestion removal would produce a large 38.6 to 51.6 percentage point increase in accessibility. • Conclusion: congestion removal would significantly accelerate the already improving access. 61 Concord (110,000 people within 25 minutes) • About 110000 people (6.5% of 2000 region) are within 25 minutes of Concord. This will grow to about 194000 people (6.2% of 2030 region) by 2030. This means that the area will become less accessible, by about -0.3 percent, even with congestion. • The results for increases in access to employment are, congested and free-flow, 1.2 and 8.5, respectively. Congested population access is projected to increase 6.3 percentage points.. • Congestion removal would produce a 29.5 percentage point increase in accessibility. • Conclusion: congestion removal would reverse any declining access Davidson (102,000 people within 25 minutes) • About 102000 people (6.1% of 2000 region) are within 25 minutes of Davidson. This will grow to about 330000 people (10.6% of 2030 region) by 2030. This means that the area will become more accessible, by about 4.5 percent, even with congestion. • The results are similar for employment, and free-flow conditions, with results ranging from 4.9 to9.6 percentage point increases. • Congestion removal would produce a 29.4 to 40.0 percentage point increase in accessibility. • Conclusion: congestion removal would significantly accelerate the already improving access. 62 How Congestion Affects Businesses, and Suggestions for Improvement (Organized by Geographic Region) Zip Code Business or NAICS NORTH 28031 (Cornelius) Software Development 15 Banking 64 Equipment and Supplies for the Printing Industry 37 Local traffic impacts mainly our workers. I-77 around Huntersville is congested in the morning as well as in the evening. There are not many good options to take back roads. Since our customer base is nation wide it does not impact our sales force or customers a lot. Commercial Real Estate 42 Traffic congestion and even the perception of slow traffic areas affect property values and the desirability of space for tenants. We have had listing negatively impacted by congestion in certain areas in the Lake Norman region. In addition, commuter travel has a negative impact on productivity as it seems like every week one or more of our people is delayed in getting to work or attending a meeting due to traffic congestion. Local funding source for road improvements; stop the legislature from taking Highway trust fund dollars for other general fund needs; increase emphasis on improving regional road infrastructure and regional planning. Real Estate Investment & Development 2 Primarily morning traffic delays create late arrival situations for employees. 1) Improve traffic signal timing. 2) Explore increased restrictions on inexperienced drivers - re: age and time periods allowed to drive independently, driving curfews, etc. 3) Explore improved exit strategies for heavily used hwy. exits, i.e. I-485 mall exits, I-277 downtown exits. Hwy 74 similar to new Albemarle Road exit. 28078 (Huntersville) UPTOWN 28202 (Uptown) Resp. ID Q6 How Congestion Affects Company’s Business Q26 Suggestions For Improvement Costs us time in getting to client meetings and commuting to and from the office and to and from lunch. Significant congestion on main artery is causing more traffic to use our side street. This is good for our business but probably bad for others. Get the roads caught up with the population. It is CRITICAL that I-77 be expanded to at least 3 lanes, at least through exit 36. Kill the carpool lane. These lanes are an extremely expensive way to serve the needs of very few people. 1.) Widen I-77 up to Statesville. 2.) Build commuter railroads. Hispanic Marketing 4 No major issues, only a problem when there are accidents or a game [SKIPPED] Real Estate Development 5 Local traffic congestion affects our business via its broader impact on an economy. For example, if Charlotte gains a reputation for having traffic problems of the order of an Atlanta, it will limit the region's ability to effectively attract businesses and employees. That in-turn will have a major impact on our ability to continue developing world-class live/work/play places. [SKIPPED] Performing Arts Center 11 1.) Put someone 'in charge' of uptown traffic issues. No one with authority has the 'big picture' to coordinate events. 2.) Divert some traffic so that they are not all on the same streets. Public Relations 16 Adds frustration and anxiety for ticket buyers. Some are questioning whether it is worth the hassle of coming to uptown to see our events. Gridlock is making it difficult for people to exit parking garages. We have not seen a loss of business yet, but believe we might if we don't improve the situation. Mainly it affects when I schedule visits outside center city and when visitors want to come visit me. Association 19 We have a large number of meetings which require members to drive to different meeting places. Our attendance is affected by congestion. Finish I-485. Speed up development of mass transit. Develop more dense housing. Legal Services 25 Build/widen roads leading into downtown Charlotte. Restrict building construction projects from taking up traffic lanes for months on end. Keep roads in good repair. 541612 33 We loose valuable productive time due to time our lawyers and staff spend getting to and from our office and to and from clients courthouse, airport, etc. Clients are also inconvenienced when it is necessary for them to travel to our office. [SKIPPED] Investment Management 67 Employee travel to and from the office as well as client visits to office. 1. Eliminate one way streets. 2. Eliminate left turns. 3. Limit buses/shuttles to major roads. Automotive franchising 74 Expensive parking results in employees taking mass transit. Office based business, so no significant impact. Expand I-77 south above Exit 23, plan roads with sufficient capacity to handle the volumes. 64 Rethink the network of one-way streets in center city. Do all possible to promote light rail. Seriously consider impact fees for new, large residential developments. [SKIPPED] Document Management Real Estate Airport management 75 It hasn't or if it has, it's occasionally. Our business is primarily center city and the outlying areas. 98 101 Little longer drive time. Does not affect business Additional time for passengers and cargo coming to the Airport for departure. Deliveries are sometimes delayed due to traffic congestion. 28255 (Uptown) Management Consulting 85 Delays on small residential streets that has only one lane but at least 13 different development projects. Congestion to get off a one lane road to a major street takes more than 15 minutes in the mornings and during rush hour traffic. It affects timely arrival and departure to get to customer sites 28281 (Uptown) Association Management and Meeting Planning 48 Many employees travel from outside uptown area. Commuting time to work has increased which also increases the frustration as well as the amount of time an employee is on the road. Also, in hiring new staff, there are fewer applicants that are willing to travel uptown to work. Lastly, as we plan events/seminars we must take into consideration location based on commuting (e.g. early morning class must be scheduled to allow for heavier traffic if placed off of Providence Rd) 65 1. Stop building commercial and residential building before the road infrastructure is in place. 2. Make sure that adequate parking will be provided for light rail stations. 3. Fire whoever is in charge of State DOT planning and vote out the people that are in charge of these people. Do not have any. 1.) Continue to pressure NCDOT to construct roads in a timely manner, with a focus on areas in the region that suffer the most from congestion, like the Airport area. 2.) Continue to upgrade traffic signals that provide more dynamic traffic control. 1. More left turn signals for congested intersections, to give left turn lanes a right-a-way. 2. Make a policy or law that if more than 3 real estate development projects are congested in one area, they must provide road expansion in that local area (one lane is ridiculous). 3. Lobby local and state government to allocate more money for the road improvement and put more street lights on the highways and roads. The darkness lends to more accidents. For example, maybe a state lottery or toll roads to raise funds for road improvement like the state of Illinois. [SKIPPED] CENTRAL 28203 (Dilworth) Publishing/Advertising Sales 14 Longer commute time for employees and longer drive time to get to appointments reduces productive time actually selling. 1. Widen I-485 from I-77 to Rea Road. 2. Complete the bike lane all along Colony Road and offer incentives to bike to work. 3. Offer financial incentives for employers to have scheduling around traffic. Beauty Salon 45 Workers late for work. Clients are consistently late for appointments. With this in mind the stylists run late for the rest of the day. [SKIPPED] Business services (business consulting) 49 Occasionally we are late for work due to congested rush hour traffic. business consulting 55 We're in Atherton Lofts on South Blvd. (just past Southend Brewery) and the speed at which cars fly by our business makes visitors either nervous about getting rear-ended or miss our entrance. Real Estate Developer/Builder 62 Advertising 68 We are centrally located in the South End area to serve our employees and vendors who travel from N, S & E of Charlotte. Some arteries are horribly bad and getting worse. May make some of our employees seek other employment closer to home. We are constantly on the move in and out of the office on meetings. Getting out of our parking lot alone adds several minutes on to our time out of the office. The traffic adds several hours per week onto each of our employees’ time out of the office and hinders productivity. 1. Consider more limited access to major roads. Independence Blvd is full of driveways on and off, plus lights every block or so. 2. Improve parking. Lots of time spent driving around uptown is used looking for a space. 3. Provide better real time traffic news. I have lots of options in my routes -- but unfortunately may be caught in a mess before the next 'every 10 minute' update on my radio. 1) Tax incentives and public education regarding using mass transit 2) Employer education regarding progressive HR practices, and how benefits like working from home can actually build employee satisfaction and loyalty -- in addition to helping the traffic issue and the environment 3) Discourage building of new roads (think differently -there are other solutions!). State and Federal funding: Use a business approach to spending regarding traffic problems, versus a government approach. 66 [SKIPPED] 28204 (Presb.Hosp) 28205 (CentralEastway) Investment Bank 24 Not a major issue Trade Association 27 None, unless clients travel I-77 during rush hour. commercial real estate 34 Land Surveyors 36 Legal services 38 Not at all except for the occasional backed up traffic due to an accident or event in the uptown area that may delay arrival at the office We are land surveyors. So our field crews are impacted daily as they leave from our main office to make trips to various job sites. n/a Gift Store 50 Architecture/Engineering 69 Consulting 80 Delays in traffic cost our customers more money for their projects. It also affects our own productivity. Nonprofit (501c3) 86 Ironically, we see traffic congestion as an opportunity for small businesses in congested areas (to communicate information about their products to a captive audience). Being in business in a congested area may be an advantage. Primarily affects our delivery service, slowing the distribution of our product and causing delays in delivery. Staff members 'dodge' traffic as much as they can by coming to work early and leaving early as well. It doesn't affect our business as such. 67 Provide lots of small, free mini-buses throughout Charlotte that go across town instead of building more roads. The roads will never keep up! 1. More frequent bus service to outlying areas 2. Widen roads 3. Put the light rail money into road maintenance. [SKIPPED] 1) Light rail expansion. 2) More HOV lanes where possible. 3) Alternating one-way lanes into and out of town on 4 lane roads (e.g. E. 7th Street). [SKIPPED] [SKIPPED] Get more transportation money from the State. Continue to build the transit system. Continue to improve the bus system ROADS ROADS ROADS. Get Raleigh off dead center, and give us our fair share. Have Raleigh quit stealing money from the Highway Trust fund and repay everything taken. Get a 'ROADS GOVERNOR.' Quit making roads smaller and adding numerous road humps in Charlotte to control traffic to major roads only. Build many more cross traffic or added point to point major corridors within the inner eight mile loop to town. Addition public transportation (light-rail is critical, particularly along the Independence Blvd. corridor). WiMax (city-wide wireless internet access) might encourage working remotely. Car-tax incentives (i.e. deduct a percentage of receipts for public transportation from carproperty taxes) Freight Transportation 28206 (N. Graham St.) 28207 (Myers Park) 28208 (Wilkinson Ashely Rd) 8 Stem time from terminal to customer and from customer to customer. Widen lanes sooner, penalize those in HOV lanes, put more law enforcement on I-77 and I-85, and around exits. Petroleum Marketer 20 Impact on workers…….congestion especially on interstates 85 and 75 delaying commute times Improve roads. Construction/ Demolition 23 We have over 30 trucks on the road Real Estate 84 We don't go on appointments before 9:30 AM or after 4 PM. It is just not a productive use of time. It limits our sales times to 6.5 hours a day out of the office. 1. Change HOV lane to truck bypass lane; trucks pass through town more and they are involved in a lot of accidents when around cars. 2. Make it so city buses can't stop in the road, causing everyone to wait on them. 3. Build more roads. Major corporations/employers offering staggered work hours. Advocating the use of mass transportation. The creation of more work from home opportunities. Healthcare 60 Customers do not want to drive downtown because they are elderly, or the traffic lights don't have turn lights. Cars go very fast and usually do not obey traffic laws (no turn on red yellow light and red light) Bigger, more visible street name signs, pointing in the right directions that say ENDS HERE or BEGINS HERE for those streets that change names 5 times in a mile. City grid/road map directory at certain five-way intersections (e.g. Queens/Providence/Selwyn). [SKIPPED] [SKIPPED] Group Purchasing Organization 9 Educational testing 10 During months between mid-March and June, we have a lot of late arrivals due to heavy congestion. No ideas. Commercial real estate 28 Commute times can be even more outrageous if there are ANY issues on I-77 or I-85. Unfortunately, I have no idea, and haven't had much time to think about it or research it. General/Private Aviation 39 The broad picture and reality for an FBO (Fixed Based Operation) is that traffic congestion deeply affects us much like it does with those within the commercial aviation industry. For example, if pilots and crew members are not available for their flights it not only delays the departure of the flight but overall costs are increased tremendously with the fact that weary travelers are highly dependant upon getting to and from their destinations in a timely manner. It would be most recommended that people utilize the carpool method; I would even propose offering some sort of monetary incentive if utilized within a determined period (i.e. a month, quarter, or annually). This incentive could be fuel debit cards, free vehicle inspections, etc.). These would be great enticements to the millions of travelers that share our overly congested roadways. 68 INNER RING 28209 (Woodlawn Park Rd) Professional Engineering Services 46 Some of an impact on their commute for the individuals that live a good distance south (Waxhaw) and north (Huntersville). 1. Improve signal timing on main corridors and reduce cycle lengths. 2. Allow dual left turns un-protected. 3. More night time construction. Warehousing 88 [SKIPPED] Engineering & Environmental Consulting 99 We are in the business of storing and retrieving vital business documents (backup data tapes or paper files) for our clients in real time. Congestion negatively impacts our retrieval times and forces us to consider locations that are closer to CBD and therefore higherpriced. 1. Technicians travel to job sites throughout the day and travel time is not always billable. Weight loss / Hypnosis / Training / Stress release 13 Charlotte has virtually no areas where people will comfortably readily go to - with the possible exception of the mall area (the south-western end of Charlotte). People tended to use solely that reason to decide not to come in. Insurance 29 We have very little customer traffic at our office. Primary impact is on employee commuting, particularly those living in northern Mecklenburg County. What do I know? But... 1) Widen streets where possible. 2) Try to direct traffic or give incentives to use certain routes (because the problem is citywide). 3) Promote - I mean really PROMOTE, in a real useful and pragmatic way - the growth and loyal convenient patronage (by everyday people) of the newer OUTLYING commercial/shopping areas. Encourage flex time of largest employers. Widen I-485 in southern Mecklenburg County, widen Providence Road south of I-485 (big problem for some of our employees' commute to work). 69 1. Manage traffic flow to minimize ingress/egress to thoroughfares. 2. Require developers to address/remedy traffic impact of proposed development. 3. Recognize (and plan for and fund) that an efficient roadway system is the most important element of minimizing traffic congestion in the next couple decades, not the beginning stages of a mass transit system that might be of greater impact several decades from now. Engineering and Construction 57 Only in the increased hassle of commuting to and from work. 1. Plan ahead five years ago. 2. Plan ahead now. 3. Institute universal flextime. [SKIPPED] 65 Workers: We are in South Park. Any employees driving in from the north part of the county have to fight much congestion. Those driving in from the Ballantyne or Union County area do as well. Corporate Event Planning 83 Selwyn Rd. at the Colony Rd. intersection is very congested with high speeds for such a dense little area. We've heard rumors about a 'road diet' like they did to East Blvd. and think that might be a good solution. I don't feel the affects much because I typically travel to my clients. They don't come here. 28210 (Rama) Real Estate development and investment 93 We have to understand and work with the traffic patterns and then we either buy or build buildings that people will want to rent. 1. Better roads: More lanes on the major interstate and beltway routes. 2. Encourage relocation of businesses to the SouthPark/Ballantyne/University areas in lieu of Uptown. 3. More HOV lanes on interstates to encourage car pooling. 1) Check traffic light timing. 2) Put some smaller roads with retail/restaurant traffic like Selwyn Rd. on a 'Road Diet,' to slow down cars before another accident. 3) Educate people on safe, non-residential alternative routes, if there are any under-used routes to uptown and other high-density work areas. 4) Encourage large companies to enforce flex hours, so that everyone isn't on the road at exactly the same time. The only way to deal with this issue in a growing city is to get more state and local funding to improve or build more and better roads; limit the rate of growth of the city or reduce the amount that each person drives, which is very hard to do in a 'driving' town. 28211 (Cotswold) Commercial real estate 18 Congestion simply creates greater travel time to work for employees. Penalties for non-compact cars parking in compact spaces, especially in congested shopping areas. Tax breaks for households with one (or fewer) car per licensed driver (potentially leading people to have fewer cars). Automobile Financing 32 Back ups on hwy 51 & Monroe road can delay employees arrival time. We do not promote outside customer traffic. Real Estate Development 52 Biggest problem is morning and evening commute for my employees and tenants. Obviously better planning by county commissioners and the DOT!! Completing one job before starting another. Finish I-485 Northbound to lake area. Conduct more traffic studies and really repair the areas in need! Widen I-485 S to Pineville. Consider using meters on busy access ramps to the I-485, I-77, and I-85, which would help the flow of traffic onto those freeways during commuting hours. Widen I-485 between Pineville and Matthews. Do a better job of timing traffic lights. 70 28212 (Idlewild) NORTHEAST 28213 (University) Professional Services 97 Travel times to clients are unpredictable. For example, time to reach one specific client has ranged between 10 and 80 minutes. This gives the impression that we aren't taking their business seriously. When meeting subcontractors, I have to assume that they will be late due to traffic limiting the number of client visits I can schedule. Mortgage Broker 58 Exotic Automotive Sales 73 What is meant by local? In general traffic congestion is at its worst at drive time. My issue with the traffic is poor road design...lack of turning lanes, short merge lanes, lack of lighting and poor demand management at signals. All of this impedes the flow of commerce. The biggest problem we have is workers coming from the southeast and on Independence. Heavy congestion on Independence boulevard especially makes test drives and the fueling of cars nearly impossible during times of peak traffic. Heavy congestion occasionally has a positive impact as it allows passersby to glance further at our inventory. Lodging 21 Exit 41 sometimes takes 15 minutes to get on Sugar Creek, also Harris Blvd and Tryon are very congested to reach businesses in the area. Synchronize stop lights. Have street workers work at night Speed up road work Management Consulting 77 [SKIPPED] Add basic foundation for CATS bus stops so people do not have to stand on the grass and 'open air' between bus arrivals and departures. Charlotte looks like an underdeveloped city when its residents are waiting in the rain, etc., waiting for a bus to take them downtown for work. In addition, add sidewalks. I believe that more people would consider walking in the University Area if sidewalks are available from work to restaurants, etc. 71 1. Control speeding: Speeding drivers on main streets back up traffic on side streets because drivers can't pull out. Increased speed seems to mean more frequent accidents, further limiting the number of cars that can get through. 2. Encourage companies to allow working from home. We found it a very effective solution once we learned how to manage it properly. IP telephony and Virtual Private Networks help; clear two-way communication is a must. 1. More roads, less rail & buses. 2. Expand I-77 & I-485, add lanes. 3. Expand lanes on major streets like Providence Road to prepare for growth. Complete the light rail project. Widen the roads. [SKIPPED] 89 We are a service company with technicians on the road constantly. Marketing and Promotional items 92 Workers experience [congestion] issues when going to and from the work place. 28214 (Moores Chapel Rd) Private Country Club and Golf Course 78 28215 (Hickory Grove) Construction Consulting 63 With the opening of the latest leg of 485 Mt. accessing Mt Holly Road from our entrance is a very time consuming process between 4:00-6:30 pm. Mt. HollyHuntersville Rd is at a stand still during this same time frame. Delivery times are longer. This increases cost due to down time waiting in traffic which in turn can require overtime to meet our customer's needs. Also causes frustration for the drivers and can potentially lead to lapses in safe driving. Sales 91 Traffic congestion can really foul up an outside salesperson's day when they have apts. set to flow - if you are late to one then it's a domino effect. Internet Marketing 22 It may impact operations by making myself or my employees late for work or meetings 28262 (North University) 72 Our business does not lend itself to mass transit or carpooling. Technicians have company vans, and sales people have company cars. We need to build more roads! Complete and widen I-485. Add another lane to North I77. 1. Crack down on drivers who try to beat the system by driving aggressively. 2. Request government to provide more mass transit options (Metro, subway, light rail, more express bus routes). 3. Provide government sponsored tax incentives for merchants who use e-commerce (incentives for website design and maintenance, SSL costs, promotion costs, etc.). 1. Try to coordinate widening of roads and road construction with expansion of growth. Growth seems to always out run road improvements. 2. Offer greater incentives for carpooling. 3. Expand bus service to more outlying areas. Complete all legs of I-485 and expand all sections to 3 lanes per direction on an expedited schedule. Hold stop lights to green longer on major thoroughfares during the rush periods. Try to re-route traffic patterns to eliminate some of the stop lights on major roads. Schedule road work during least busy times; spread road work around so that if a person is forced to take an alternate route, then it's also not having road work done on it. 1. Upgrade I-485 in the Pineville-to-Matthews corridor. Two lanes are not even close to being enough. 2. Provide more carpool areas to encourage carpooling. Advertise this in the Charlotte area. Maybe provide incentives to businesses or employees that participate. 3. A city the size of Charlotte needs light rail or subway. Light rail in and out of downtown would dramatically reduce traffic congestion. 28269 (W.T. Harris - Mallard Creek) SOUTHWEST 28217 (S. Tryon & Tyvola) Bank Branch 31 Morning traffic congestion on 29/49 affects travel time for many of the employees. Clients choose to go to other locations because of the overall congestion in this area. Traffic congestion affects productivity since so much time is spent in a car going to different locations. Real Estate Sales 96 Municipal Service District for University City's commercial core 44 Residential Community 100 Engineering Consulting 6 Traffic congestion affects our employees and clients with regards to the amount of time is takes to get to work, the amount of time it takes our employees to go to meetings and the amount of time it takes our clients to come to our office for meetings. 1. Widen I485 between Providence Road and I-77 as quickly as possible. 2. Widen I485 between Providence Road and I-77 as quickly as possible. 3. Widen I485 between Providence Road and I-77 as quickly as possible. Media 7 With a high percentage of our workers the commute is 45-minutes. It affects our sales dept. when they need to go on sales calls. Concentrate efforts on the most congested areas and fix them i.e. I-485 from I-77 to Providence Rd. Minimize onlooker delay. Car Rental 26 Properly time stop lights, widen highways, less construction in same area at same time. Trade Association 47 Constantly on road picking up customers or dropping them off. It can take up to 45 minutes to go down the street some times Stress, work arranged to suit traffic, startup delays, long lunch periods and employment constraint Manufacturer's Rep 51 Impact on workers whose commuting time has increased about 80% in the last 5 years. Primarily Rt. 51 Accelerate the completion of the I-485 ring instead of spending hundred of millions on useless stadium, which is just another nuisance. Because Harris Blvd is the primary east/west connector, getting folks out of the Research Park to eat and shop during the day is out of the question. Because NCDOT controls the roads and does not believe in context sensitive design even moving around on foot or bike is out of the question Heavy traffic along W T Harris Blvd makes entering and leaving our community difficult during rush hours. 73 Hold the contractors responsible for completing their projects on time. 1. Light Rail. 2. Finish I-485. Carpooling, building a better road grid through developer dollar (we are working on that in our new Area Plan). Accelerate transit to University City [SKIPPED] Toll roads, public transportation, infrastructure, business location incentives, and taxes. 28273 (Steele Creek) Hotel 59 The left turn onto South Stream if you are traveling west on W. Tyvola Rd. Difficult for guests to get to the hotel and into the business park. [SKIPPED] Food retail 79 Think before you do. Post-secondary Education 95 We had problems because of the light rail construction. People did not want to come to the store because it took to long the get here and they did not have enough lunch time. Students are delayed in getting to class causing them undue absenteeism. As well students often drop out due to costs associated with increased commute time. Event Production 41 Doesn't affect it that much. Adds an infrequent delay of maybe 20 minutes. Market Research 76 Late respondents to participate in studies, takes longer to do everything Triple the funds allocated to increase local road capacity (i.e. widen existing roads, replace timed lights with sensors, increase turning lanes, use eminent domain to increase road space). Conduct traffic and impact studies prior to approving building. Improve enforcement of standard traffic laws. Change rules that prevent accidents from being moved out of traffic lanes. Campaign for safe and courteous vehicle operators. Widen I-77 and I-485, have more police present at busy intersections. Business service construction 82 We deliver heavy equipment. We have eight tractor trailers and congestion affects our delivery times. Are deliveries are scheduled. Change the red-light system to allow more traffic flow on major roads. Most red-lights do not allow enough time for roads to clear causing build up. 102 The I-485 southern loop is a disaster. Employees spend a lot of time in their vehicles as do trucks delivering and picking up goods. Add lanes to I-485 between I-77 and Providence Road immediately. 30 Makes me late for appointments in other areas of town causes stress and road rage - makes scheduling a challenge when trying to avoid peak traffic timeframes Widen I-485 near Pineville. Synchronize traffic lights better throughout the city. Reinforce rules of the road for drivers to follow (I.E.: pull over to let emergency vehicles through, what to do if you have a fender-bender on the highway, etc.). Power transmission products for off road vehicles 28278 (Lake Wylie) [SKIPPED] 74 SOUTH 28226 (Rea Rd Hwy 51) 28277 (Ballantyne) Civil Engineering - Site Development Design & Land Surveying 17 Only affects commute times for employees. Technology Consulting Professional Services 72 Limousine and Airport transportation service 87 Traffic affects my employees' commute times and influences their choices for living proximity to our office. It impacts our sales and operations in planning logistics around meeting with prospects and clients some 'local' clients are in fact 45 to 60 minutes away. Has most significant affect on our prospects and clients visiting our office for meetings, seminars and other events. We have to schedule vehicles to leave earlier for their destination and take alternate routes. Business Consulting 12 Effects times I go see clients and setting up training activities Consulting & Training 35 Several of our employees cannot get here in time with the traffic on I-77 and I-485. Loss of work hours. Consulting 40 Medical Practice Non-profit arts 53 54 When going out to meet customers, particularly during commute times, I must leave extra time to insure I am on time. Slows ingress and egress for employees and patients. Traffic congestion is a deterrent to ticket buyers coming from Charlotte's environs to Uptown. As congestion continues to escalate travel time increases the experience of coming to Uptown for performances and related activities diminishes and customers opt to stay home causing a drop in sales. Performances also drive business for local restaurants. 75 1. Add lanes to I-485 (south side of town). 2. Additional studies on intersection efficiency/optimization, signal timing, etc. (& implementation of the results). 3. Improved availability and usability of public transportation. Not sure question #19 works - 100% either drive alone OR carpool. 19) Approximately what percent of your WORKERS drive alone or carpool to work? Change work schedules Better timed stop lights. Widen I-485 in South. Spend money on roads not other stuff (Providence Rd South bound at I-485). Put clover leaf entry-exits at the Interstate instead of all the stupid lights. Too many lights are part of the reason for the congestion. Plan better when constructing roads. Widen roads that are congested. HOV lanes. More frequent mass transit. 1. Review and improve traffic patterns in Uptown around Arena and PAC 2. Increase parking options in Uptown. 3. Expand I-77 corridor between I-485 and I-85 Office rental 56 We are located just off of I-485 at Johnston Road. Unfortunately it gets so congested coming off of I-485 on the ramp towards Ballantyne that there are several small accidents which block traffic. Also, we have trouble at the intersection of Ballantyne Corporate Place and Brixham Hill Road (there has been several injuries within one year). Both advisors being about to quickly get to clients/prospects as well as them getting to us. Mostly on completion of I-485 in the North. Increase awareness of public transportation in the suburbs. Encourage larger companies to allow flexible work hours to help alleviate congestion. Have an HOV lane on I-485 during rush hours. Financial Services 61 Law Practice 66 Very little 70 Traffic congestion can affect the price of my property and how quickly I can sell it. People who are looking at property that I buy/rent are concerned how long it will take for them to get to work. Currently, if you leave the Ballantyne area at 7am you may not get to work before 8am. Be prepared to match old roads to new more quickly; i.e. I live near I-485 and Providence Road. At that intersection four lanes from I-485 and four lanes from Providence Road shrink to two lanes on Providence Road going south. Plan ahead by trying to schedule meetings as close as possible at the same site. Try to avoid rush hours. Do as much work as possible via phone, email, or internet (I have broadband card on my laptop). Real Estate Investing 76 Complete I-485 and widen I-485. Encourage businesses to offer flexible hours with tax incentives. 27273 (Lancaster, SC) Healthcare 71 Difficulty getting out onto Ardrey Kell or getting from Blakeney Shopping Center across the street to the office in the morning and in the afternoon. Then turning left from Ardrey Kell onto Rea Road in the afternoon is almost impossible. Executive & Performance Coaching; Initiative Training 94 Engineering Planning and Surveying 3 Mobility is heavily, if not severely impacted at times in the areas of operations, sales and event delivery. E.g. Going to the P.O box which is only a 5-mile round trip is considered a 30-40 minute trip. Sales meetings and training deliveries in the uptown area require a minimum of 1-hour allocation each way taking us out of general productivity during that time. For their own safety & well being we do not expect our employees or contractors to engage in phone calls while driving; especially those in the Charlotte area. The greatest congestion is on I-485 for most of our staff. I-77 near uptown is a concern also at times. 77 We need a stoplight at the exit from Blakeny Shopping Center to Ardrey Kell especially as more businesses come to that location. With Ardrey Kell High School now open the congestion is terrible in the mornings there. In the afternoon the turn light from Ardrey Kell to Rea Road needs to hold longer. People are running the yellow light which turns red before you can turn and then the oncoming traffic has already started to move. It is very dangerous at this light and becoming more so every day with the increased growth in the area. There also should be something done with I-485 where it dumps into I-85 South along the Belmont Corridor. There is always a traffic jam there all the way past McAdenville in the afternoons. If we have employees coming to the Charlotte location from the Gastonia area in the afternoons, we have to schedule meetings that normally would take them 45 minutes to get to the office for at least 1-1/2 hours allowing for drive time from Gastonia. 1. Use tools such as teleconferencing, WebEx, online communities etc. to avoid physical travel. 2. Structure individual delivery of services via phone, limiting or eliminating face-to-face contact. 3. Work with clients who are not in Charlotte and/or direct company growth in areas outside of Charlotte (our most productive solution about 75% of our clients and company reps are currently well outside of the Charlotte area). The business community as well as local government must continue to lobby the state for additional funds to expedite road improvements on I-485. For other areas of congestion, alternative resources are needed to fund the City's transportation action plan. A 1/2 or 1 cent sales tax should be implemented in Mecklenburg county and designated for roadway improvements. SOUTHEAST 28227 (Lawyers Rd) 28104 (Matthews) Healthcare Regulatory Consulting 81 Depends on the time of the day. Morning rush = 3; Evening rush = 4 Enhance rail system; complete I-485. Commercial construction 43 Requires us to change our work hours to minimize the lost production time caused by traffic. Upgrade timing of traffic signals; widen I-485 from Rea Road to I-77; more message boards on interstates and main roads. 78 Piedmont Public Policy Institute 17824 Statesville Road Suite 121 Cornelius, NC 28031 www.piedmontppi.org Tel (704) 341-2338 Fax (704) 943-9393
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