Special Rutgers-Eagleton/Siena Sandy Relief Poll Collaboration
SIENA RESEARCH INSTITUTE
RUTGERS-EAGLETON POLL
SIENA COLLEGE, LOUDONVILLE, NY
RUTGERS UNIVERSITY, NEW BRUNSWICK, NJ
For Release: April 24, 2013
For information/comment: Don Levy: 518-783-2901, [email protected] or
David Redlawsk: 319-400-1134, [email protected]
For PDF of release or for data summary, visit www.siena.edu/sri/research , eagleton.rutgers.edu
NY: Plurality say, “Give Sandy Victims $10K to Rebuild”, 48% to 33%
NJ: Split – 43% Prefer Tear Down
Loudonville, NY & New Brunswick, NJ – A 15-point plurality of New Yorkers (48% to 33%) would rather
see some of the federal money being allocated to the state for Sandy relief used to provide homeowners with
$10,000 to rebuild rather than to have damaged properties bought from willing owners, torn down and turned
into open space. In New Jersey, voters are evenly divided with 43 percent preferring using federal relief to
buy damaged properties and turn them into open space while an identical percentage favors partially funding
victims rebuilding as long as they stay where they are for at least two years. Results are from the Siena
College (SRI) and Rutgers-Eagleton polls based upon responses the two centers separately garnered from
respondents in the two states.
“Jersey Shore residents are just as evenly split as most of the state on the best way to use these Sandy relief
funds,” said David Redlawsk, director of the Rutgers-Eagleton Poll and professor of political science at
Rutgers University. “But those living in the northwest exurban counties do have a preference: there 56
percent prefer buying damaged properties and tearing them down. Garden Staters under 30 strongly support
rebuilding, while middle-aged and older residents strongly support buyouts. New Jersey Gov. Chris
Christie’s popularity does not seem to make any difference, perhaps because while he initially focused
entirely on rebuilding, more recently he has also supported using federal funds for buyouts. ”
“In New York, every demographic group, Republicans, Democrats, New York City residents, Suburban and
especially Upstaters, would rather see the money go to support committed homeowners rebuild than to tear
down the properties and turn them into public lands despite New York’s popular Governor, Andrew Cuomo,
having expressed support for buying, tearing down and making public the damaged and threatened
properties,” according to Dr. Don Levy, SRI’s Director.
The SRI component of the Rutgers-Eagleton/Siena Sandy Relief Poll was conducted April 2 – 4, 7 - 10, 2013 by random telephone calls to 813 New York
adults via landline and cell phones. Data was statistically adjusted by age and gender to ensure representativeness. SRI reports this data at a 95%
confidence level with a margin of error of + 3.4 points. Registered voters account for 85% (n=687) of the sample and are reported with a margin of error
of +/- 3.7. For more information or comments, please call Dr. Don Levy, Director Siena College Research Institute, at 518-783-2901. Survey crosstabulations and frequencies can be found at www.siena.edu/sri/research .
The Rutgers-Eagleton Poll was conducted by telephone April 3-7, 2013 with a scientifically selected random sample of 923 New Jersey adults. Data are
weighted to represent known parameters in the New Jersey population, using gender, age, race, and Hispanic ethnicity matching to 2010 US Census
Bureau data. All results are reported with these weighted data. The sampling error for 923 adults is +/-3.2 percentage points, at a 95 percent confidence
level. Visit our blog at http://eagletonpollblog.wordpress.com for additional commentary. Follow the Rutgers-Eagleton Poll on Facebook
at https://www.facebook.com/RutgersEagletonPoll and Twitter @EagletonPoll.
Rutgers‐Eagleton Poll
April 3‐7, 2013
923 New Jersey Residents
MOE +/‐ 3.2%
Q13. Which of the following two plans do you think is a better use of some of the federal money being allocated to the state for Hurricane Sandy recovery: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Gender
Education
Age
Region
Party
Total
Provide $10,000 to home owners who rebuild their homes, as long as they stay 43%
where they are for at least two years
Buy damaged properties from willing owners at their previous market value, tear 43%
them down and turn the properties into open space
Don't know/Can't Choose
14%
Phil/ 18‐29 30‐49 50‐64 65+ Urban Suburban Exurban South Shore Dem
Race/Ethnicity
Income
Ind
Rep
HS or Some Coll Grad Afr Amer Hisp/ $50K‐ $100K‐
Less
Coll Grad Work White /Black Latino Other <$50K <$100K <$150K $150K+
47%
38%
36%
54%
42%
39%
36%
35%
48%
56%
53%
47%
42%
35%
45%
43%
41%
46%
48%
33%
42%
45%
53%
48%
43%
34%
35%
42%
45%
54%
44%
13%
12%
15%
16%
13%
15%
16%
11%
17%
8%
10%
12%
10%
13%
11%
11%
M
F
42%
43%
56%
45%
36%
30%
45%
45%
30%
46%
44%
45%
41%
36%
42%
46%
49%
41%
41%
56%
39%
13%
15%
7%
13%
17%
21%
14%
14%
15%
15%
Nature of the Sample
Weighted Demographics: New Jersey State Residents
Gender
Male
Female
Age
18 to 29
30 to 49
50 to 64
65 and older
Race/Ethnicity
White
African American/Black
Hispanic/Latino
Other
Region
Urban
Suburban
Exurban
Philadelphia/South
Shore
Party (Identification not Registration)
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Education
High School or Less
Some College
College Graduate
Graduate Work
Income
Less than $50,000
$50,000 to <$100,000
$100,000 to <$150,000
$150,000 or more
48%
52%
23%
34%
26%
17%
58%
13%
17%
12%
17%
40%
14%
14%
15%
43%
40%
17%
24%
25%
26%
25%
29%
34%
18%
19%
Sandy0413 NJCrosstabs‐AK edited1.xlsx
1 of 1
Siena College Research Institute
April 2‐4, 7‐10, 2013
813 New York State Residents
MOE +/‐ 3.4%
Q13. Which of the following two plans do you think is a better use of some of the federal money being allocated to the state for Hurricane Sandy recovery: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Gender
Age
Region
Party
Education
Children in HH
Ethnicity
Ind/ Less than College Afr Amer Total M
F 18‐34 35‐49 50‐64 65+ NYC Subs Upst Dem Rep Other college degree Yes
No White /Black Latino <$50K
Provide $10,000 to home owners who rebuild their homes, as long as they stay 48% 46% 51% 56% 48% 48% 39% 48% 41% 53% 48% 49% 50%
55%
41%
51%
47%
45%
62%
50% 56%
where they are for at least two years
Buy damaged properties from willing owners at their previous market value, 33% 33% 33% 33% 31% 35% 33% 37% 33% 29% 37% 25% 31%
31%
36%
32%
34%
33%
24%
40% 31%
tear them down and turn the properties into open space
Don't know
16% 18% 15% 10% 18% 14% 25% 13% 23% 16% 14% 24% 15%
11%
21%
14%
17%
19%
14%
7%
12%
Refused
3%
4%
2%
2%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
1%
3%
4%
3%
2%
3%
2%
2%
0%
3%
1%
Income
Employment Status
$50K‐
Not $100K $100K+ Employed Retired employed
48%
41%
45%
48%
57%
34%
35%
36%
29%
30%
15%
3%
22%
3%
17%
3%
20%
3%
10%
2%
Nature of the Sample
Weighted Demographics: New York State Residents
Gender
Male
Female
Age
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and older
Race/Ethnicity
White
African American/Black
Latino
Education
Less than college degree
College degree
Children in Household
Yes
No
Employment Status
Employed
Retired
Not Employed
Region
NYC
Suburbs
Upstate
Party (Among Registered Voters)
Democrat
Republican
Independent/Other
Income
Less than $50,000
$50,000 to $100,000
$100,000 or more
48%
52%
29%
26%
24%
17%
66%
12%
12%
50%
49%
34%
65%
56%
26%
18%
43%
21%
36%
46%
23%
25%
32%
31%
24%
SRI Sandy0413 Crosstabs.xlsx
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Federal Aid Usage ‐ New Jersey by Region
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Urban
Suburb
$10,000 to homeowners to rebuild
Exurban
Phil/South
Buy properties, turn into open space
Shore
Don't know
Federal Aid Usage ‐ New York by Region
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
NYC
$10,000 to homeowners to rebuild
Suburb
Buy properties, turn into open space
Upstate
Don't know