Source: Dawn Mapping Key Value Chains for Lakeshore Wisconsin September 2015 A Project of the Lakeshore Wisconsin Manufacturing Initiative Report Prepared by EntreWorks Consulting and the Center for Regional Economic Competitiveness Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Contents Executive Summary....................................................................................................................................... 3 Introduction: The Lakeshore Wisconsin Economy........................................................................................ 5 Manufacturing drives the Lakeshore regional economy .......................................................................... 7 Value Chains: Identifying inter-industry linkages ....................................................................................... 14 Mapping target value chains................................................................................................................... 17 Cheese manufacturing ........................................................................................................................ 18 Metal fabricators/machine shops ....................................................................................................... 24 Plastics product manufacturing .......................................................................................................... 29 Cutlery, utensil, pot, and pan manufacturing ..................................................................................... 33 Company Survey Results ......................................................................................................................... 36 Progress Lakeshore/KCEDC Supply Chain Survey ............................................................................... 36 Survey Respondents............................................................................................................................ 36 Supply Chain Involvement .................................................................................................................. 36 Supply Chain Strategies....................................................................................................................... 38 Supply Chain Challenges and Opportunities ....................................................................................... 39 Overlapping Linked Industries ................................................................................................................ 41 Next Steps ................................................................................................................................................... 42 Enhance Understanding of Regional Supply Chains ............................................................................... 42 Build Stronger Local Supply Chain Connections ..................................................................................... 42 Develop New Markets............................................................................................................................. 43 Develop Talent ........................................................................................................................................ 43 Conclusion ................................................................................................................................................... 45 Appendix A: Maps of targeted value chains ............................................................................................... 46 Appendix B: Progress Lakeshore/KCEDC Supply Chain Survey ................................................................... 51 i Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region List of Figures Figure 1: Lakeshore Wisconsin Total Employment ....................................................................................... 3 Figure 2: Percentage of manufacturing jobs by county ................................................................................ 7 Figure 3: Manufacturing employment trends............................................................................................... 9 Figure 4: Lakeshore Wisconsin top manufacturing industry sectors .......................................................... 10 Figure 5: Lakeshore Wisconsin top 20 manufacturing industry sectors ..................................................... 11 Figure 6: Lakeshore Wisconsin core industries........................................................................................... 13 Figure 7: Guide to reading value chain diagrams ....................................................................................... 15 Figure 8: Selected ‘core’ industries ............................................................................................................. 17 Figure 9: Cheese manufacturing value chain .............................................................................................. 19 Figure 10: Wisconsin CAFOs........................................................................................................................ 20 Figure 11: Biogas Value Chain ..................................................................................................................... 22 Figure 12: Metal fabricators/machine shops value chain........................................................................... 25 Figure 13: Plastics product manufacturing value chain .............................................................................. 30 Figure 14: Cutlery, utensil, pot, and pan manufacturing value chain ......................................................... 34 Figure 15: Percentage of Goods & Services Purchased within 150 m of Location ..................................... 37 Figure 16: Why Develop Supply Chain Partners?........................................................................................ 39 Figure 17: Manufacturers within 150 miles of Lakeshore Wisconsin ......................................................... 41 2 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Executive Summary Manufacturing is the driving force of the economy in the five county Lakeshore Wisconsin region. The area is home to one of the densest concentrations of manufacturers in the U.S., and these firms matter—employing more than 37,000 people and accounting for nearly a third of total area employment. Thus, it is no overstatement to say that “as goes manufacturing, so goes Lakeshore Wisconsin.” In an effort to further bolster the region’s manufacturing competitiveness, Progress Lakeshore, Inc. and the Kewaunee County Economic Development Corporation have sponsored the Lakeshore Wisconsin Manufacturing Initiative. As part of this effort, they have also sponsored new research and analysis that tackles a major challenge facing the region’s manufacturers: supply chain optimization. How can local firms develop more effective and productive supply chain strategies? For many larger firms, this may entail finding new local suppliers. For smaller firms, it may involve finding new customers and identifying opportunities to participate in larger regional supply chains. This report addresses key supply chain issues facing Lakeshore Wisconsin’s manufacturers. It presents a deep value chain analysis of five key sectors where the region enjoys historic or emerging strengths: cheese manufacturing, plastics products manufacturing, metalworking and machine shops, and cutlery, utensil, pot, and pan manufacturing. The study “maps” these regional supply chains and also identifies new areas of potential focus for small and medium-sized manufacturers, i.e. potential new customers or opportunities to identify new supply sources. Over 800 firms, accounting for 80% of all local manufacturers, are included in this analysis. Our research suggests that many large and small firms lack a full understanding of how supply chains and value chains work. Local firms should embrace new methods of supply chain optimization, a process whereby firms develop a supply chain strategy that is closely aligned with overall corporate strategy and execute this strategy in a manner that will improve the speed of delivery of the supply chain, improve collaboration, reduce risk, and decrease overall total cost. Our survey of local manufacturers found that only 46% of surveyed firms have a formal supply chain strategy, and only 26% of firms do a significant amount of purchasing from local suppliers. In addition to promoting more sophisticated supply chain management strategies, the project seeks to encourage the development of more local connections between suppliers and potential customers. In related work, we have developed an on-line supply chain connections portal to help local firms find local partners, suppliers or customers. This directory can be accessed at: www.progresslakeshore.org/manufacturingdirectory. This research is the first step in a wider campaign to bolster the capacities of local manufacturers. Other future policy recommendations include: • Enhance Understanding of Regional Supply Chains: Promote Training to Develop More Sophisticated Supply Chain Strategies. 3 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region • • • Build Better Supply Chain Connections: Link local firms in ways that help them do more business together and identify other opportunities for collaboration. Develop New Markets: Assist local firms in exporting and by providing other tools to help them break into regional, national, and global markets. Develop Talent: Assist manufacturers in development a local pipeline of talent, i.e. young people and adults with an interest in manufacturing careers and the skills and competencies needed to prosper in these fields. As the Lakeshore Wisconsin Manufacturing Initiative moves forward, these steps will serve as priority action items to not only enhance the responsiveness of regional supply chains but to also strengthen the overall competitiveness of the region’s manufacturing base. 4 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Like many regions of the country, Wisconsin’s Lakeshore region has been enjoying a slow and steady recovery after the ravages of the Great Recession. In many regions, the downturn triggered a collapse of the local manufacturing sector, with the loss of industries and jobs that will likely never return. In Wisconsin, manufacturing took a hit but has come back even stronger. In fact, the state of Wisconsin, and Lakeshore Wisconsin, in particular, are now among the nation’s leaders in terms of manufacturing competitiveness. In an effort to capitalize on these unique competitive advantages, Progress Lakeshore, Inc. (based in Manitowoc) and the Kewaunee County Economic Development Corporation (KCEDC), with support from the U.S. Economic Development Administration, the Wisconsin Economic Development Corporation and New North, Inc.,1 have collaborated to develop new strategies to strengthen the region’s manufacturing economy. This report, and related project materials, are part of a wider set of strategies designed to help local manufacturers, especially small and medium-sized companies, better understand regional supply chains and value chains and capture emerging and growing market opportunities. The report summarizes a much larger research project that assessed various issues related to regional manufacturing supply chains. This research used multiple approaches—including company interviews and focus groups, an industry survey, and extensive data analysis—to develop a comprehensive look at a number of core manufacturing sectors. In addition to the material presented in this report, an on-line manufacturing supply chain directory and networking tool was developed. It can be accessed at www.progresslakeshore.org/manufacturingdirectory and at websites for Progress Lakeshore, Inc., KCEDC and the New North, Inc. Introduction: The Lakeshore Wisconsin Economy This analysis assesses manufacturing-related opportunities in the Lakeshore region of Northeast Wisconsin, an area composed of five counties: Calumet, Door, Kewaunee, Manitowoc, and Sheboygan. The region is home nearly 300,000 residents and supported more than 125,000 jobs in 2015. 1 This project was funded with support from the U.S. Economic Development Administration and the Wisconsin Economic Development Corporation. The views expressed here do not represent the opinions of these agencies or other project sponsors. The report was prepared by Erik R. Pages of EntreWorks Consulting (www.entreworks.net) and Randall Arthur, Sarah Gutschow, and Martin A. Romitti of the Center for Regional Economic Competitiveness (www.creconline.net). 5 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Number of Jobs Thousands Figure 1: Lakeshore Wisconsin Total Employment 135 133 Employment 130 128 125 123 120 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 In recent years, Wisconsin’s Lakeshore region has shown a pattern of slow but steady growth. Between 2010 and 2015, the population grew 0.1 percent annually, while employment grew at 0.8 percent annually. Like much of the US, the region was hit by the Great Recession, but the downturn was less severe than in other areas of the country. (See Figure 1.) The region’s resilience is driven by its relatively diverse economic base and strong heritage of manufacturing. Lakeshore Wisconsin remains one of the US’s most important centers of manufacturing. However, unlike other regions that have specialized in a single industry, Lakeshore Wisconsin is home to a wide array of manufacturing sectors. The regional manufacturing economy enjoys multiple strengths, including food, metalworking, plastics, and cookware manufacturing. These firms, while locally anchored, serve national and global markets and help create a vibrant regional manufacturing ecosystem. This report seeks to better understand what makes this ecosystem work and to identify how to enhance its future competitiveness. It begins by documenting the manufacturing sector’s importance to the Lakeshore Wisconsin regional economy. The report then takes a deeper dive into four critical or “core” industries to the region’s manufacturing sector: (1) cheese manufacturing; (2) metal fabricators/ machine shops; (3) plastics product manufacturing; and (4) cutlery, utensil, pot, and pan manufacturing. These industries share multiple characteristics: they have a sizable local presence in terms of both jobs and establishments, and they have experienced substantial growth in recent years. Thus, they present good opportunities where existing companies can grow, new ventures can form, and significant new job creation is likely. 6 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region This analysis seeks to better understand the supply chain linkages found within these sub-sectors. These linkages represent the elements of a value chain from raw inputs to final consumer demand. By analyzing the value chains associated with these four industries, we can better understand the supplier and market opportunities associated with each of these core industries. We pay particular attention to the industries in the value chain that buy from and sell to multiple targeted industries. The value chain structures are based on national buying and selling patterns, which in turn help to identify regional economic strengths, emerging opportunities, and the gaps that might eventually be filled through the economic development process. We have also compiled company lists that identify the regional companies comprising the industries associated with the four value-chains. Combined, this knowledge will help inform strategies to grow and strengthen the region’s targeted industries clusters. This report is further supported with a web-based supply chain connection toolkit available via websites supported by Progress Lakeshore Inc., KCEDC and The New North. This website contains the value chain maps developed for this report along with a web tool that allows firms and others to search for local manufacturers operating in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region. By using this tool, local manufacturers have a simpler path to Figure 2: Percentage of manufacturing jobs by county finding potential local suppliers and new customers located in the region. We conclude the report by highlighting key findings that emerge from this analysis. We also offer some insights into how these findings can be used in support of efforts to grow the region’s manufacturing sector. This report supports the Lakeshore Wisconsin region’s outreach efforts to small and medium-sized companies, as it will not only make small and medium-sized manufacturers aware of the regional assets available to them, but also potentially introduce them to new market opportunities. Manufacturing drives the Lakeshore regional economy The manufacturing sector is the most important driver of the Wisconsin Lakeshore’s regional economy. It currently 7 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region contributes over 37,000 jobs in the region, a whopping 30 percent of total regional employment. This makes manufacturing the region’s largest employing economic sector, with over double the employment of the next largest traded sector, health care and social assistance. The number of manufacturing jobs varies across the region, with 19,105 manufacturing jobs in Sheboygan County, 10,237 in Manitowoc County, 3,765 in Calumet County, 2,171 in Door County, and 1,954 in Kewaunee County.2 However, manufacturing is central to the economies of every county throughout the region. As shown in Figure 2, in every county in the Lakeshore region manufacturing employment as a proportion of total county employment well exceeds the national average of 8.6%, and matches or exceeds the state average of 16.6%. In Sheboygan, Manitowoc, and Calumet, manufacturing represents approximately one out of every three available jobs. 2 Unless otherwise noted, all industry data in this report is derived from analysis by Economic Modeling Specialists, Intl. to learn more, visit www.economicmodeling.com. 8 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Figure 3: Manufacturing employment trends 100% 95% Manufacturing Employment (2001=100%) 90% 85% 80% 75% Lakeshore Wisconsin 70% 65% Wisconsin 60% United States 55% 50% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: Economic Modeling Specialists, Inc. 2014Q4 Covered Employment Data Manufacturing remains important to the region despite significant job losses over the past 15 years. Figure 3 shows that the Wisconsin’s Lakeshore region lost significant manufacturing employment since 2001, although at a slower rate than the rest of the country. The region was harder hit than the rest of the state following the Great Recession and has only just begun to recuperate. At the height of the Great Recession, regional manufacturing employment was 25% less than it had been in 2001. The region’s manufacturing job losses during the 2000s stem from downturns in a few key sectors. Most of the job loss was concentrated in industries affected by offshoring, such as wood product and furniture manufacturing. These two manufacturing industries were particular affected by the 2012 closing of Two Rivers’ Thermo Fisher Scientific facility, which made wooden laboratory furniture. While these sectors floundered, other local industries, including food, paper, and chemical, experienced modest growth. 9 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Figure 4: Lakeshore Wisconsin top manufacturing industry sectors NAICS 3329 3261 3115 3315 3331 3327 3222 3231 3116 3332 3323 3339 3322 3371 3366 3118 3363 3391 3219 3328 Industry Name Other Fabricated Metal Product MFG Plastics Product MFG Dairy Product MFG Foundries Agriculture, Construction, & Mining Machinery MFG Machine Shops; Turned Product; & Screw, Nut, and Bolt MFG Converted Paper Product MFG Printing & Related Support Activities Animal Slaughtering & Processing Industrial Machinery MFG Architectural & Structural Metals MFG Other General Purpose Machinery MFG Cutlery & Handtool MFG Household & Institutional Furniture & Kitchen Cabinet MFG Ship & Boat Building Bakeries & Tortilla MFG Motor Vehicle Parts MFG Medical Equipment & Supplies MFG Other Wood Product MFG Coating, Engraving, Heat Treating, & Allied Activities 2010 Jobs 2015 Jobs Annual Growth Rate 10-15 413 1% (212) -2% 372 4% 386 4% Change 10-15 6,976 3,016 2,366 2,305 7,389 2,803 2,739 2,690 2,148 2,608 460 1,186 1,126 1,073 1,026 602 558 813 918 1,591 1,234 1,070 1,020 859 837 804 788 1,467 920 333 507 413 601 343 LQ 2015 Average Wage 2014 Est. 28.84 5.86 22.34 23.49 $58,601 $42,344 $55,722 $50,679 28 29 24 14 5% 11.00 $53,835 8 405 107 (3) (6) 257 279 (10) (130) 8% 2% 0% 0% 9% 11% 0% -4% 4.68 5.22 2.75 2.32 8.73 2.58 3.36 23.53 $41,273 $52,824 $37,597 $60,000 $63,273 $47,571 $56,914 $63,950 48 7 41 4 11 20 19 4 777 763 519 499 499 461 (690) (157) 186 (8) 85 (140) -15% -5% 12% 0% 5% -6% 3.88 6.03 2.00 1.04 1.78 2.51 $35,881 $49,061 $24,546 $40,172 $48,045 $32,669 19 4 20 7 7 22 458 115 8% 3.63 $34,285 14 Despite these job losses in the 2000s, area manufacturers have prospered since 2010. Regional manufacturing job growth (at 1.1% per year) has exceeded national averages. However, this growth rate has been slightly behind the statewide annual average growth of 1.5 percent. 10 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Figure 5: Lakeshore Wisconsin top 20 manufacturing industry sectors $80,000 Animal Slaughtering & Processing Arch. & Structural 1,020 Metals MFG Medical 837 Equip. MFG 499 Other Gen. Purpose $70,000 Cutlery & Handtool MFG 788 Industrial Machinery MFG 859 Mach. MFG 804 $60,000 Convert. Paper Product MFG 1,234 Ag., Construction, & Mining Machinery MFG 2,608 Average Wage (2015) $50,000 Ship & Boat Building 763 $40,000 Dairy Product MFG 2,739 Lakeshore Wisconsin Average Wage = $39,725 Source: EMSI Plastics Product MFG 2,803 $30,000 Printing 1,070 $20,000 Motor Vehicle Parts MFG 499 $10,000 Household & Inst. Furniture MFG, 777 Other Wood Product MFG 461 Machine Shops 1,591 Foundries 2,690 Coating, Engraving, Heat Treating 458 Bakeries & Tortilla MFG 519 Red=At-Risk Clusters Green=Stable Clusters Blue=Emerging Clusters *Other Fab. Metal Product MFG Rel. Conc. of 28.8; Emp=7,389 $0 0.0 Source: EMSI 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 Relative Concentration (2015) While we often speak of the “manufacturing industry,” various manufacturing sub-sectors face differing market conditions. Within Lakeshore Wisconsin, twenty sectors account for the bulk of manufacturing jobs. (See Figure 4). Figure 5 depicts these sectors based on their average wages, local concentration, and overall regional employment (bubble size). It also assesses their recent growth rates: stable (shown in green), emerging (shown in blue), and at-risk (shown in red). Stable industry sectors are those that represent both a large number of regional jobs and relatively stable employment levels over time. Stable industry sectors often represent the foundations of the economy and traditional sources of employment. At-risk industry sectors have sustained significant employment loss, often declining at a rate faster than the corresponding industry sector nationally. Emerging industry sectors are employment areas beginning to show signs of developing a critical mass of activity within the region. They may not be as highly concentrated (as measured by location quotient or LQ)3 in the region as in 3 The relative concentration of industry clusters is traditionally measured via a location quotient, a measure that tracks an industry’s local concentration (typically in overall employment) compared to national averages. An industry with a LQ of 1.0 has employment concentration levels equal to the U.S. average. While definitions vary, sectors with LQs higher than 1.5 are often considered to be areas of special expertise or concentration. 11 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region other regions, but they are frequently growing at a faster rate than the rest of the nation. These industry sectors often represent sources of potential future opportunity in the region. These data further bolster the case for manufacturing as a critical regional resource. Manufacturers provide high-quality jobs. Among these sectors, 15 of the region’s industries presently pay their workers average wages greater than the regional average wage of $39,725. In some instances, average wages are significantly higher than the regional average. For example, the average wages for industrial machinery manufacturing and cutlery and handtool manufacturing are over $63,000. The overall average wage for manufacturing industries in the region is $50,108. Figure 5 also highlights the region’s resilience thanks to a diversified manufacturing sector. As areas like Detroit have learned to their peril, an exclusive focus on one manufacturing sector can create economic challenges. In contrast, a diversified manufacturing sector offers a wider range of market opportunities. It also brings stability to the region’s economy since it is not subject to any single industry’s economic cycles. Within these sectors, recent performance has varied. The region has multiple strong industry sectors, as shown in Figure 5. The manufacturing industry sectors with over 2,000 employees are other fabricated metal product manufacturing, plastics product manufacturing, dairy product manufacturing, foundries, and agriculture, construction, and mining machinery manufacturing. Of these industry sectors, other fabricated metal product manufacturing, dairy product manufacturing, agriculture, construction, and mining machinery manufacturing, and foundries both had high employment concentrations and showed stable employment levels between 2010 and 2015, with no major changes projected by 2020. Despite a relatively high employment concentration, plastics product manufacturing is considered “atrisk” due to a large drop in employment between 2010 and 2015, with further projected cuts up to 2020. Cutlery and handtool manufacturing is another regional industry with a high employment concentration that has faced significant employment declines in recent years. Though less highly concentrated overall, the household, institutional furniture and kitchen cabinet manufacturing industry sector recently experienced a very sharp drop, from 1,467 employees in 2010 to 777 in 2015. Employment in the ship and boat building also declined after cutbacks at major regional employers like Burger Boat and Bay Shipbuilding due to limited orders during the economic downturn. “Emerging” sectors have enjoyed recent employment gains. Within this group, the sectors with the highest current regional employment are machine shops, converted paper product manufacturing, industrial machinery manufacturing, and architectural and structural metals manufacturing. Between 2010 and 2015 machine shops experienced the highest annual growth rate, while industrial machinery manufacturing showed the highest gains in regional employment concentration. In 2010, employment in industrial machinery manufacturing was six times more highly concentrated regionally than nationally, while by 2015 it was nine times more highly concentrated. 12 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Figure 6: Lakeshore Wisconsin Core Industries $80,000 Metal Kitchen Cookware, Utensil, Cutlery, & Flatware MFG 788 All Other Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Product MFG 6,673 $70,000 $60,000 $50,000 Average Wage (2015) Cheese MFG 2,615 Machine Shops 1,303 All Other Plastics Product MFG 1,999 $40,000 Lakeshore Wisconsin Average Wage = $39,725 Source: EMSI $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 Red=At-Risk Clusters Green=Stable Clusters Blue=Emerging Clusters $0 0.0 Source: EMSI 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 Relative Concentration (2015) This study’s four core industries have special importance for the regional economy. (See Figure 6). They have high employment concentrations in the region, employ more than 500 local workers, and provide higher than average wages. They are what we might call “good corporate citizens,” anchoring the local economy and providing good careers for local people. Lakeshore Wisconsin is major force in several of these industries, especially metal kitchen cookware manufacturing and fabricated metal product manufacturing. Both sectors are more than 100 times more concentrated in the region than nationally. However, the sectors have faced different growth trajectories in recent years. Miscellaneous fabricated metal product manufacturing has a very large and mostly stable employment base in the region, with 6,673 local employees in 2015. Meanwhile, metal kitchen cookware manufacturing has a much smaller and declining employment base, affected by events such as the 2003 closing of Manitowoc’s Mirro Aluminum Company. This places the industry “atrisk” for future declines. Cheese manufacturing and all other plastics product manufacturing also have large employment bases in Lakeshore Wisconsin. Employment in cheese manufacturing is almost 60 times more highly 13 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region concentrated in the region than nationally, and is one of the few manufacturing industries to have experienced moderate employment growth since 2010. Conversely, plastics products manufacturing is much less highly concentrated and is projected to decline by 2020.4 Of these industries, machine shops is the only one classified as “emerging” due to recent gains in both employment and employment concentration. Value Chains: Identifying inter-industry linkages The previous section analyzed the Lakeshore Wisconsin region’s manufacturing sector using a “topdown” approach to identify local industries that are more active and concentrated when compared to the rest of the U.S. economy. In the following section, the analysis takes a “bottom-up” approach by examining the connections between multiple industries. As a result, for the several targeted industries we undertake a “value-chain” analysis that assesses industry-to-industry buying and selling relationships, based on available quantitative data.5 We start with a single core industry that represents a significant contributor to the local economy, and analyze its inter-industry linkages through buying and selling patterns. These core industries represent key clusters important to the region and often serve in the same way that a grain of sand serves as the core of the “pearl” that is the gem of the region’s economy. The model used here, developed by Dr. Edward Feser of the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, identifies backward and forward linkages for each industry.6 It therefore attempts to account for all the buying and selling between all industries in the U.S. economy.7 For each sector, this analysis highlights its leading suppliers (backward linkages) and its major customers (forward linkages). Once we have determined these inter-industry connections, we can then apply regionally-specific data8 to better identify regional economic strengths, emerging opportunities, and the gaps that might eventually be 4 As we note in the plastics industry discussion below, these industry projections may not fully account for the impact of recent market developments such as the industry’s expanded access to low cost shale energy resources. 5 By contrast, a ‘supply chain’ analysis would examine individual firm to firm relationships that require extensive qualitative research, close company cooperation, and access to internal company supplier and customer data. 6 The model is based upon the U.S. Census Bureau’s Economic Census and Benchmark Input-Output data developed by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 7 In an ideal world this model would be based on global buying and selling patterns, but those data are unavailable. However, the U.S. economy serves as a reasonable proxy because it is well developed and a deeply integrated economy. 8 Unless noted otherwise, the analysis uses the Economic Modeling Specialists International (EMSI) representation of U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data. We used EMSI wage and employment data at the metropolitan statistical area and industry level for the value chain analyses. The EMSI data combine U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics employment payroll data from its Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages with EMSI estimates for data cells that BLS privacy standards do not allow it to disclose publicly. EMSI utilizes available BLS data through June 2014 to project employment through year end. We analyzed growth trends for industry sectors by comparing 2010 employment levels to EMSI-projected 2020 levels. For the employment concentrations, we looked at each industry sector’s national location quotient (LQ) for 2014. 14 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Figure 7: Guide to reading value chain diagrams filled through the economic development process. This knowledge will help inform strategies to grow and strengthen the region’s targeted industry clusters. For each of the core industries we will present a value chain diagram (or “value chain map”). These diagrams lay out each core industry’s forward linkages (sales made by the core industry, or market opportunities) and backward linkages (purchases made by the core industry, or supplier opportunities).9 The linked industries identified in these diagrams do not represent all of the linkages. Instead, they focus on those relationships that are most extensive in terms of the size of the transactions and “close” in terms of how directly the core industry interacts with other U.S. industries through either a buying or selling relationship. In order to determine the most significant linked industries, our model considers three factors: The directionality of the flows. Are the linkages forward or backward linkages? The structure of the flows. Who does the core industry buy from, or sell to, most directly? The volume of flows. What industries does the core industry buy from, and sell to, the most? 9 This approach does not account for the ultimate consumer of these goods (final demand), therefore if an aircraft manufacturer sells jets to the Department of Defense, “Government” would not appear as a forward linkage. 15 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Figure 7 provides a guide for reading the value-chain diagrams that will follow in the report.10 The colored boxes indicate local concentration levels of each linked industry. The up or down arrows in the linked industry boxes depict whether an industry is growing or declining regionally. The colored arrows indicate the flow of trade–whether the core industry is purchasing or selling within the key sector. The purpose is to identify industries and firms that have extensive trading relationships and are experiencing positive growth in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region. Linked industries that are growing or highly concentrated within the region reinforce the potential strength of the core industry and bode well for efforts for further development of the core industry. Conversely, where linked industries are not present or not heavily concentrated, there may be gaps that need to be better understood in order to help grow the core industry. The value-chain diagrams are not intended to map the connections between each and every firm within an industry, but rather to paint an overall picture of how one core industry connects to related industries. The focus is on linkages—what kinds of industries are more closely networked with the core industry? It should also be noted that if an industry does not appear on the list, it does not mean that those relationships do not exist. It does, however, suggest that strong connections and extensive business relationships are less common and less direct. 10 It should be noted that the core industry often buys and sells with other firms in its own industry. As a result, the diagrams regularly show that core industries are often closely linked to themselves. 16 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Mapping target value chains The analysis presented here focuses on four core industries. These industries were selected in consultation with the Progress Lakeshore Inc., the Kewaunee County Economic Development Council and other key stakeholders. The key clusters and the core industries selected for value-chain analysis are identified in Figure 8. These four clusters share several characteristics: they have a large presence in the region, employ a large number of local employees, and have enjoyed some industry growth in recent years. They represent some of the most important components of the region’s diverse manufacturing base. The next section presents key findings related to each of these four value chains. In our analysis, we will consider the supplier and market opportunities associated with each of the core industries and will note any potential gaps that may exist within the regional value chain. Regional companies in the core and linked are mapped, by value chain, in Appendix A. Figure 8: Selected ‘core’ industries Key Manufacturing Cluster Selected Core Industry Cheese Manufacturing Cheese manufacturing (NAICS 311513) Metal Fabricators/Machine Shops Machine shops (NAICS 332710) All other miscellaneous fabricated metal product manufacturing (NAICS 332999) All other plastics product manufacturing (NAICS 326199) Metal kitchen cookware, utensil, cutlery, and flatware (except precious) manufacturing (NAICS 332215) Plastics Product Manufacturing Cutlery, utensil, pot, and pan manufacturing 17 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Cheese manufacturing Cheese manufacturing is one of Lakeshore Wisconsin’s most prominent manufacturing industries. Employment in the industry is 65 times more concentrated in the region than it is nationally. In 2015, around 2,600 employees worked in the industry, representing a moderate increase over 2010. Employment is projected to remain constant by 2020. In 2015, total cheese manufacturing employment (at 1,670) was higher in Sheboygan County than in any other county in Wisconsin. The industry is represented in the region by large manufacturers such as Sargento Foods Inc., Great Lakes Cheese, Land O'Lakes Cheese, and Agropur Inc. Figure 9 diagrams the industry’s key forward and backward linkages. 18 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Figure 9: Cheese manufacturing value chain CHEESE MFG ↑ Dry, condensed, & evaporated dairy product MFG ↓ Fluid milk & butter MFG ↑ Seasoning & dressing MFG ↓ Flavoring syrup & concentrate MFG — ANIMAL PRODUCTION & AQUACULTURE ↑ Paperboard container MFG ↓ ALL OTHER CONVERTED PAPER PRODUCT MFG ↑ Plastics packaging materials & unlaminated film & sheet MFG ↓ Plastics bottle MFG ↑ Employment (2015): Establishments (2014): Ann. Growth (10-15): 2,749 21 4.3% Cheese Manufacturing CHEESE MFG ↑ FOOD SERVICES & DRINKING PLACES ↑ Frozen food MFG ↑ Cookie, cracker, & pasta MFG — NURSING & RESIDENTIAL CARE FACILITIES ↓ Dry, condensed, & evaporated dairy product MFG ↓ HOSPITALS ↓ BREAD & BAKERY PRODUCT MFG ↑ RETAIL TRADE ↑ Fluid milk & butter MFG ↑ Ice cream & frozen dessert MFG — Market Opportunities Supplier Opportunities Supplier opportunities The Lakeshore Wisconsin region has many strengths on the supply side of the cheese manufacturing industry. One of the most important supplier industries is dairy cattle and milk production. This industry is very well-represented; Lakeshore Wisconsin has more dairy cattle concentrated animal feeding operations (CAFOs) than any other area of the state. (See Figure 10). Having a predictable supply of raw dairy product gives the region a large advantage in cheese production. The largest dairy production enterprises in the region are Maple Leaf Dairy, Grotegut Dairy Farm Inc., and Wholesome Dairy. In 2012, the 156,200 dairy cows in the region produced 3.83 billion pounds of milk.11 With such a large number of dairy producers in the region, large manufacturers like Agropur are currently able to source nearly all of their dairy supply within 100 miles of their plant, which is very important to producers due to the high costs of shipping raw milk. However, the availability of the milk supply is also the largest constraint on the future growth of cheese manufacturers. For this reason, 11 2014 Wisconsin Agricultural Statistics, U.S. Department of Agriculture. Accessed at: www.nass.usda.gov/Statistics_by_State/Wisconsin/Publications/Annual_Statistical_Bulletin/bulletin2014_web.pdf 19 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region some regional cheese producers have recently begun sourcing their milk supply from other regions. Incorporating innovative dairy production techniques into the current system may help increase the region’s dairy supply without having to increase the size of dairy herds. Figure 10: Wisconsin CAFOs Many of the other supplier industries for cheese manufacturing are in related food processing industries. Of these industries, dry, condensed, and evaporated dairy product manufacturing has the strongest employment concentration, although it declined between 2010 and 2015. The fluid milk and butter manufacturing and seasoning and dressing manufacturing industries have moderately strong employment concentrations, represented by companies like Dean Foods Verifine Dairy in Sheboygan. While fluid milk and butter manufacturing recently experienced moderate gains, seasoning and dressing manufacturing had a slight decline. The flavoring syrup and concentrate manufacturing sector has no current presence in the region, representing a potential area for growth on the supply side. Cheese manufacturing also has strong supplier linkages to other companies within its own industry. Another important group of supplier industries for cheese manufacturing is packaging manufacturers. Innovative packaging techniques have historically provided one of the most important drivers for the growth of cheese manufacturing in the region. For example, Sargento was the first cheese manufacturer to package sliced cheese fanned out in single packet and continues to develop innovative new packaging approaches. The converted paper product manufacturing has over 800 employees in 2015 and a high and growing employment concentration in the region, with large employers such as Georgia-Pacific Corporation and Sheboygan Paper Box Co. Plastic bottle manufacturing and paperboard container manufacturing also have high employment concentrations, although the paperboard container manufacturing industry experienced a decline in employment over the past 5 years. These industries are represented in the 20 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region region by companies like Scandia Plastics in Sheboygan. The plastics packaging materials and unlaminated film and sheet manufacturing industry has a more moderate employment concentration, and has also experienced a recent decline. Market opportunities There are fewer regional opportunities for cheese manufacturing on the market side of the value chain. Large cheese manufacturers sell most of their product by exporting it wholesale domestically and globally. The main retail customers for cheese manufacturing are food services and drinking places, hospitals, nursing and residential care facilities, and general retail trade. All of these industries have a low or moderate employment concentration in the region. Not surprisingly, these retail operations tend to be located near population centers. Many cheese manufacturers also operate local retail operations. These centers create some jobs, and the wholesale sector has a large local effect. Employment in the dairy product merchant wholesale industry is 29 times more concentrated in the region than nationally, thanks to companies such as Dairy Farmers of America, Pagel's Ponderosa, and Sargento Foods Inc. The strongest current customer opportunity entails new sales to other food manufacturing establishments related to the industry, especially other cheese manufacturers. Bread and bakery product manufacturing has around 500 employees in the region in 2015, with a strong and growing employment concentration. Dry, condensed, and evaporated dairy product manufacturing also has a strong employment concentration, although the industry experienced significant employment declines over the past five years. The presence of more related food manufacturing establishments would greatly expand the ability of Lakeshore Wisconsin cheese manufacturers to sell their products locally. Fluid milk and butter manufacturing has a moderate but growing employment concentration, while frozen food manufacturing has a very small but growing presence. Neither cookie, cracker, and pasta manufacturing nor ice cream and frozen dessert manufacturing currently have any presence in the region. With the region’s solid advantages in packaging manufacturing and dairy production, all of these industries represent significant opportunities for regional economic growth. Although not represented in the value chain, Lakeshore Wisconsin dairy manufacturers have been exploring new avenues for selling two major byproducts of cheese production: cow manure and whey. Cow manure can be processed through on-farm biogas systems to produce energy and heat. This process also reduces odor and greenhouse gas emissions, reduces nutrient runoff into waterways, and produces coproducts, such as organic bedding and fertilizer. Methane, a bio digester byproduct, can also be processed to become a natural gas quality product called Liquid Bio Gas (LBG). This accomplishes the goals of removing sources of pollution from the environment while simultaneously producing energy to help run dairy production facilities, which have very high energy costs. (See Figure 11). 21 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Figure 11: Biogas Value Chain Regional Biogas Value Chain Regional differential value $186M, CBG value + fuel value not purchased RINS EXPERTISE – value $7 Mil US Oil / Integris Manure value RINS Value = $3.20 per M Btu 438,000 head X 27,800BTU/day X 365 days/year = 4.8 T-BTU/yr (6.8 cents/ lb. to handle) Digester Infrastructure Specs & Cost • Head 1000-15000 • $1.8 M - $15 M Food Processing By-Products By-Products Value ? Additional Benefits • • • • • • • Greenhouse Gas reduction Waste Management Odor Control Sustainability Local Ground Water Protection Air pathogens Reducing Fossil fuel use Collection Manure Commercial Waste? Value = $48M $10/M BTU Example- Fair Oaks Farm 4 Dairys-14000 cows – central cleaner Co-op Digester Independent Farm Conditioning Cost to build w/ digester $4 M Heating Dry Propane Comparison 1.39 gal. 75K BTU/ Gal $14/m BTU 11 sites 3.5 cents KW 10,000 BTU / KW/HR Pipeline ? Baldwin WI Build interconnect / Gate Station Quality - Unknown Transportation Commercial Electricity 27 in Wisconsin Fertilizer Value Stays the same Separator Saxn Vellito Politics environment needs to be considered and assessed Cleaning CO2 Removal Fleet Site Corn Dryers 75 vehicles 4 partial $1-$16 M Milk Trucks Schneider Pabl Waste Mgmt Vintor Veino UPS Vessels Badger – CNG Preferred Alternative Marine companies retrofitting vessels Solids High Pressure – 3600 psi Liquid Not reviewed during session, needs future analysis Tube Trucks cost $250,000 to transport CNG Gas Cheaper than Manure to haul Currently, the Lakeshore triangle region (including Brown County) has 25 biodigesters in operation, generally as an on-farm tool. Producers in the region are exploring innovative new biodigester technologies being utilized in Germany and other European countries to help improve the efficiency and capabilities of their biodigestion facilities. One potential source of growth for increasing biodigestion activity in the region is to develop jointly owned biodigesters that would serve multiple nearby dairy producers. In recent years, Progress Lakeshore and KCEDC have been devoting resources to help support these developments.12 Another prominent market opportunity for cheese manufacturers in the region is whey processing. Whey byproducts can be used as inputs to biodigesters or as a feed source for farm livestock. However, a more profitable option is to process them into powdered whey, which is generally used as additive nutrients in the dietetic and health food sectors. In 2014, the state of Wisconsin produced one third of all whey products in the country.13 Of the eleven companies currently producing whey in Wisconsin, three are located in or near the Lakeshore Wisconsin region: Agropur in Appleton/Luxemburg, BelGioioso Cheese in Green Bay, and Packerland Whey Products in Luxemburg. 12 For example, see the article “Progress Lakeshore: Serves as convener on game-changing Clean Power Plan.’ February 11,2015. Accessible at: http://www.wisbusiness.com/index.iml?Article=341860 13 2014 Wisconsin Agricultural Statistics, U.S. Department of Agriculture. Accessed at: www.nass.usda.gov/Statistics_by_State/Wisconsin/Publications/Annual_Statistical_Bulletin/bulletin2014_web.pdf 22 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region However, due to the high capital equipment expenses involved in constructing a whey processing facility, currently only larger manufacturers, such as Agropur, are involved in whey processing. Smaller dairy producers face additional barriers that impede them from processing their own whey, including low whey volumes, high transportation costs, and increasing quality requirements. As a result, despite the growing market for whey products, smaller producers usually either sell their whey byproducts to larger producers that have whey processing facilities, or dispose of them by dumping or land application. In 2012, the Wisconsin Whey Opportunities Working Group, a consortium of Wisconsin industry leaders, collaborated to research the current state of whey processing in the state, the regional requirements for expansion, and the advantages for cheesemakers considering expanding their whey handling and processing capabilities.14 The study resulting from this collaboration made several recommendations for increasing the whey processing industry in the state, including better coordination of the sale of whey between smaller and larger producers, technical assistance for producers looking to invest in whey processing facilities, and the construction of joint whey processing facilities to serve multiple small dairy producers. 14 Wisconsin Whey Opportunities Working Group, “Opportunities for the Wisconsin Whey Industry,” April 2013. Accessible at: http://datcp.wi.gov/uploads/Farms/pdf/WisconsinWheyStudy.pdf. 23 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Source: Phil Davis Metal fabricators/machine shops Metal fabrication and machine shops represent Lakeshore Wisconsin region’s most prominent manufacturing industries in terms of both total employment and the number of business establishments. This sector is the cornerstone of the region’s manufacturing economy, and many of the area’s largest employers, like Kohler, Manitowoc, and Oshkosh, depend on a robust base of world class metal fabricators and machine shops. Metal fabricators transform metal into intermediate or end products or treat metals and metal formed products fabricated elsewhere. 15 This includes using metal processes such as forging, stamping, bending, forming, and machining, used to shape individual pieces of metal; and other processes, such as welding and assembling, used to join separate parts together.16 15 See North American Industry Classification System definition at: http://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics/ The industry definition excludes the finished production of machinery, computers, electronics, and metal furniture. 16 Ibid 24 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Machine shops are an important segment of this industry. These businesses are primarily engaged in machining metal and plastic parts and parts of other composite materials on a job or order basis using machine tools, such as lathes (including computer numerically controlled); automatic screw machines; and machines for boring, grinding, and milling.17 Within the Lakeshore Wisconsin region, the level of manufacturing employment in these industries are 18 times more concentrated than it is nationally, with over 8,200 employees working in these industries within the region in 2015. This total has risen by more than 500 new jobs in the past five years, indicating the continued competitiveness and expansion of many of the 65 businesses operating in the five-county area. However employment for the region is projected to decline slightly by 2020. The industry is represented in the region by large manufacturers such as Manitowoc Company and Bay Shipbuilding, along with mid-size and small manufacturers including D&S Machine Service, C & S Manufacturing Corporation, and Kewaunee Fabrications. Figure 12 diagrams the industry’s key forward and backward linkages. Supplier Opportunities Metal fabricators and machine shops are largely influenced by global business cycles that impact steel and aluminum prices. Generally, domestic metal fabrications struggle to compete with comparable Figure 12: Metal fabricators/machine shops value chain Metalworking machinery MFG NONFERROUS METAL FOUNDRIES ↓ Fluid power process machinery ↑ ↑ TRANSIT & GROUND PASSENGER TRANSPORTATION ↑ PLATE WORK & FABRICATED STRUCTURAL PRODUCT MFG ↑ Industrial mold MFG ↓ Employment (2015): Establishments (2014): Ann. Growth (10-15): 8,231 65 1.0% Laminated plastics plate, sheet, and shape MFG Fluid power process machinery INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY MFG ↑ Packaging machinery MFG ↓ Metalworking machinery MFG ↓ Industrial Mold MFG ↓ Power-driven handtool MFG ↑ Ammunition MFG ↑ ↑ Metal Fabricators / Machine Shops Motor & generator MFG 17 Arms, ordnance, & accessories MFG Power boiler & heat exchanger MFG ↑ FERROUS METAL FOUNDRIES ↑ Industrial process furnace and oven MFG ↑ Special tool, die, jig, & fixture MFG ↓ Paint & coating MFG ↑ Turned product and screw, nut, & bolt MFG ↑ NAICS definition. See link above. Mining and oil & gas field machinery MFG Market Opportunities Supplier Opportunities Special tool, die, jig, & fixture MFG ↓ Air Transportation Miscellaneous MFG ↓ 25 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region foreign industries, particularly in China, given differentials in cost related to securing raw materials. Firms in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region are affected by the disparate material costing structure as well. However, given the region’s strong manufacturing employment concentration, the Lakeshore Wisconsin region demonstrates supply side advantages in the metal fabrications and machine shop industry. Two of the largest supplier sectors for employment include the nonferrous metal foundries sector and the ferrous metal foundries sector. Represented by companies such as Nemak and Eck in Sheboygan County and Manitowoc County respectively, the nonferrous metal foundries sector has 1,771 local employees. The sector has experienced gains in employment over the past five years, and represents the largest employment concentration amongst metal fabricator and machine shop operations in the region. With companies such as Kohler Inc. and Brillion Iron Works in Sheboygan and Calumet counties, the ferrous metal foundries sector has 920 employees and a strong employment concentration in the region and experienced job gains over the past 5 years. While power boiler and heat exchanger manufacturing experienced gains in employment, industrial mold manufacturing, metalworking machinery manufacturing, and special tool, die, jig, and fixture manufacturing experienced declines. These latter three industries are not as highly concentrated in the region when compared to national industry averages. Other areas that represent potential growth opportunities on the supply side, are most often areas that have no current employment presence in the region. Areas with no current presence and therefore growth potential include laminated plastics plate, sheet and shape manufacturing, and motor and generator manufacturing. In-step with broader metal fabrications industry trends, several local companies have pursued means of reorienting company functions. Some companies have moved toward consolidating their business operations by vertically integrating their processes in order to facilitate both on-site metal fabrication (i.e. assembly, painting, and finished manufacturing) as well as delivery to job sites.18 In order to optimize operations and leverage growth opportunities, company strategies might also pursue partnering with other finished-product companies. A thriving metal fabrications industry is contingent upon proximity to market (local firms purchase the majority of their goods and services within 150 miles of their location) as well as the proximity and availability of a skilled laborers. Supplier opportunities consist of remaining in relatively close proximity to supply chain and target markets, ultimately reducing adding cost associated with distribution. Additionally, focus on addressing the observed shortage in available skilled, qualified workers might also contribute to growth. An associated opportunity is in the heightened investment in resources that might better encourage worker retention, job and workforce development, and talent acquisition.19 18 Company interviews conducted in region. 19 “Metal Fabrication of the Future.” Barker Tilly. 2013. pg. 4. http://www.bakertilly.com/uploads/Metal-Fabrication-of-theFuture.pdf 26 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Market Opportunities The strongest current customer opportunity involves new sales in closely related sectors such as machinery manufacturing and other establishments related to machinery manufacturing. These industries include fluid process machinery, and industrial machinery manufacturing (led by Gardener Denver Thomas Products in Sheboygan), power-driven handtool manufacturing, and packaging machinery manufacturing. Each of these industries has strong employment concentration in the region. Packaging machinery manufacturing, unlike the other aforementioned industries, has experienced a slight decline in employment over the past 5 years. While the region demonstrates solid advantages in machinery manufacturing, there are new opportunities for growth in areas with low to moderate employment concentration and increasing employment, or no current regional employment. Ammunition manufacturing has a moderate but growing employment concentration, while transit and ground passenger transportation has a small but growing presence. Areas with no current regional employment include arms, ordinance, and accessories manufacturing; mining and oil and gas field machinery manufacturing; and air transportation. Each of these industries, both representing low to moderate employment concentration and increasing employment, represent significant opportunities for regional economic growth. Local fabricators and machine shops engage in a diverse array of markets including, agriculture; compact and sub-compact tractors; heavy equipment; light duty equipment; attachments; turf care; lawn and garden; and landscaping. As demonstrated by sectors with no employment or low-to moderate employment concentrations, a market opportunity is to continue to expand into and access new markets. Traditional fabrications markets (i.e. automotive) are beginning to shift and new markets suitable for metal fabrications suppliers are continuously emerging.20 Also central to market opportunities for fabrication firms are emphases on complete customer care— ensuring customer satisfaction across the entire spectrum of customer needs.21 Closely tied to this opportunity, are opportunities related to acquiring new equipment and technology in order to maximize the capacity at which firms can operate. New equipment and technology is expected to enable the expansion of in-house work capacity; therefore by accessing updated equipment and technology, firms can most effectively realize the supplier opportunity of vertically integrating their operations. In addition, incorporating original equipment manufacturers (OEM) into firm supply chains serves as a market opportunity for local firms. By working more closely with OEM’s, firms will be able to secure a 20 Ibid 21 Company interviews conducted in region. 27 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region steady, predictable flow of product rather than functioning as one-time suppliers within a larger manufacturer’s production process.22 While location is integral to supplier opportunities, locating in smaller cities that currently lack metal fabrications operations can serve as a market opportunity. By locating in smaller cities, competition for clientele, and a sufficiently skilled workforce, might decrease, ultimately affording employment growth opportunities to machine shops and fabrication firms. 22 Company interviews conducted in region. 28 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Plastics product manufacturing Source: Creative Tools Plastics product manufacturing has long served as one of Lakeshore Wisconsin’s most important manufacturing industries. Industry employment is more concentrated within the region than it is nationally. In 2015, nearly 2,000 employees found work in this industry, marking a slight decline in regional industry employment from 2010. However, regional industry employment is projected to drop heading into 2020. The region’s plastics sector is highly diversified—much like other parts of the local manufacturing cluster. Local firms serve a variety of markets and compete based on unique skills, products, and technologies. Bemis Manufacturing in Sheboygan Falls manufactures a vast range of consumer products, from resin furniture to toilet seats to plastic kitchenware. In Oostburg, Dutchland Plastics is a global leader in rotational molding. In Manitowoc, Kaysun Corporation serves a diverse array of markets, including automotive, industrial, and medical devices. Luxemburg’s N.E.W. Plastics manufactures a wide range of packaging products and plastic lumber materials. Other local firms like Wisconsin Packaging Group (Algoma) and the Cawley Company (Manitowoc) produce labels, packages, and badges used by well-known companies around the US. 29 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Wisconsin has a long history with plastics, and hosts one of the largest concentrations of plastics manufacturers in the US. According to the Society of the Plastics Industry (SPI), Wisconsin ranks 8th among US states for plastic industry employment.23 Much of our data on future employment projects suggests that the plastics industry has somewhat limited future growth prospects, but some of this data does not fully account for the impact of other factors, such as the emergence of new shale energy resources. In fact, the plastics industry has been on a bit of hot streak in recent years. SPI’s Global Business Trends 2014 report notes that the industry grew at a record pace in 2013—the last year for which full data was available.24 In 2013, overall domestic demand jumped by 6.5% while exports jumped 2.7 percent. Many industry observers project that these growth rates will rapidly accelerate in coming years—thanks in large part to the ongoing shale energy boom.25 These new energy sources have driven down the cost Figure 13: Plastics product manufacturing value chain Plastics & rubber industry machinery MFG ↑ Laminated plastics plate, sheet (except packaging), & shape MFG — Employment (2015): Establishments (2014): Ann. Growth (10-15): 1,999 17 -2.0% Small electrical appliance MFG — Magnetic & optical recording media MFG — Small electrical appliance MFG — Prefabricated wood building MFG ↓ Coffee & tea MFG ↑ Plastics packaging materials & unlaminated film & sheet MFG ↓ Sign MFG ↑ Engineered wood member & truss MFG ↓ Household cooking appliance MFG ↑ Wood kitchen cabinet & countertop MFG ↑ Storage battery MFG — Other concrete product MFG ↑ Other major household appliance MFG — Concrete pipe, brick, & block MFG — Totalizing fluid meters & counting devices MFG — Broom, brush, & mop MFG ↓ Custom architectural woodwork & millwork MFG — Plastics pipe, pipe fitting, & unlaminated profile shape MFG ↑ Analytical laboratory instrument MFG — Plastics Product Manufacturing Market Opportunities Supplier Opportunities 23 “Plastics in Wisconsin,” Society of the Plastics Industry Fact Sheet. Accessible at: http://www.plasticsindustry.org/files/public/pdfs/WI%20Fact%20Sheet.pdf. 24 Society for the Plastics Industry, “Domestic Demand for Plastics Products Reaches Record Setting Level,” December 1, 2014. Accessible at: http://www.plasticsindustry.org/AboutSPI/NewsItem.cfm?ItemNumber=13590 25 For background and data, see American Chemistry Council, The Rising Competitive Advantage of U.S. Plastics, May 2015. 30 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region of essential raw materials. Fossil fuel inputs can account for as much as 70% of the total cost of plastic resins—a key building block for most plastics-related manufacturing. Thus, the new market dynamics have spurred massive new investments. According to the American Chemistry Council, these investments—underway and announced—now total more than $46 billion.26 Nationally, ACC projects that the plastics products industry will grow by more than 110,000 jobs over the next decade. Supplier opportunities Figure 13 highlights the assortment of industries that serve as primary suppliers to the plastics product manufacturing industry. Within this group, the region has strong concentrations of activity in three sectors: prefabricated wood building manufacturing, other concrete product manufacturing, and plastics pipe, pipe fitting, and unlaminated profile shape manufacturing. Within these groups, the prefabricated wood manufacturing sector experienced a small decline in employment between 2010 and 2015. However, other concrete product manufacturing grew substantially during this period, more than doubling regional employment, while plastics pipe, pipe fitting, and unlaminated profile shape manufacturing grew steadily but at a more modest rate. Other core suppliers but have lower employment concentrations here. These sectors face differing market circumstances. Two sectors—plastics and rubber products industry machinery manufacturing, and wood kitchen cabinet and countertop manufacturing—have enjoyed rapid growth. Plastics and rubber products industry machinery manufacturing grew by 6.2% between 2010 and 2015, while wood kitchen cabinet and countertop manufacturing almost tripled employment to reach around 110 employees in 2015. However, other supplier sectors with moderate employment concentrations have seen job losses since 2010, including broom, brush, and mop manufacturing; plastics packaging materials and unlaminated film and sheet manufacturing; and engineered wood member and truss manufacturing. Finally, several other important supplier sectors are not present in the region. These include laminated plastic sheet, shape, and plate manufacturing, small electrical appliance manufacturing, and concrete pipe, brick, and block manufacturing. In addition to the sectors identified in Figure 13 above, many local plastics manufacturers are large scale purchasers of plastic resins—the raw materials that are molded and shaped into final plastics products.27 The resin manufacturing industry is a sizable economic force, employing nearly 55,000 people around the US. Resin manufacturing is not a major force in Northeast Wisconsin, or in the state more generally. 26 Ibid, p.7. 27 For background on the industry, see American Chemistry Council, Plastic Resins in the U.S., July 2013. 31 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region According to the latest data, 25 facilities operate in Wisconsin and collectively employ slightly less than 600 workers. 28 Plastic resin production is a highly concentrated activity due to the high capital investments required for new facilities. New facilities, such as a number of new cracker facilities being proposed or underway in Louisiana, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, require billions in new investment and are typically located near sources of oil or gas inputs. For this reason, the prospects for moving this supply base into the region are fairly limited. Fortunately, company interviewees also noted that they faced few obstacles in sourcing resin supplies in timely and cost-effective manner. Market opportunities Our value chain maps suggest that local plastics manufacturers may be able to capture a number of new market opportunities in sectors that traditionally serve as strong customers for their products. Three strong and growing clusters do presently serve as leading local customer targets: sign manufacturing, coffee and tea manufacturing, and household cooking appliance manufacturing. All of these industries have both very strong employment concentrations in the region and have experienced strong growth since 2010. Household cooking appliance manufacturing had no presence in the region in 2010, but now has enough workers that employment in the industry is seven times more concentrated regionally than nationally. Sign manufacturing and coffee and tea manufacturing grew more modestly, but have relatively high employment concentrations and their employment in the region is projected to grow by 2020. None of the other leading market opportunity sectors have a presence in the five county region. These industry patterns also suggest that local plastics manufacturers must continue to place heavy emphasis on succeeding in new national and global markets. Fortunately, Wisconsin’s plastics manufacturers have been enjoying recent success in export markets. Between 2010 and 2011, plastics and rubber product exports from Wisconsin grew by 6.6 percent, and more recent growth appears to be even more rapid. 29 28 Ibid, p. 26 29 MPI Group, Wisconsin Economic Future Study, June 2013, p. 5-38. Accessible at: http://inwisconsin.com/economicfuturestudy/ 32 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Cutlery, utensil, pot, and pan manufacturing Source: Jonti Bolles Cutlery, utensil, pot and pan manufacturing is one of Lakeshore Wisconsin region’s most resilient manufacturing industries. Industry employment is more concentrated within the region when compared nationally. While experiencing a slight decline in regional industry employment from 2010, regional industry employment is projected to hold steady heading into 2020. In particular, regional industry representation is focused to Sheboygan County and dominated by one large manufacturer, Vollrath LLC, and a number of mid-size and small manufacturers such as Millennium Technologies Inc., Diverse Tooling Inc., and Genesis Tool and Machine Inc. Figure 14 diagrams the industry’s key forward and backward linkages. 33 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Figure 14: Cutlery, utensil, pot, and pan manufacturing value chain Supplier opportunities Supplier opportunities for the cutlery, utensil, pot, and pan manufacturing industry are dominated by a few industry groups within the Lakeshore Wisconsin region. Among the most impactful supplier industries are Aluminum sheet, plate, and foil manufacturing and Other plastics product Manufacturing. Together, both industries provide the necessary skill and raw inputs to support machinery manufacturing in the region. The region’s largest Aluminum, sheet, plate, and foil [metal cookware] manufacturing enterprise is Vollrath LLC. The largest enterprises in plastics production manufacturing in the region are Kohler Inc., Plastics Engineering Co., and Bemis Manufacturing Co. Vollrath Inc. is a private Sheboygan-based company which produces stainless steel and aluminum cookware for primarily commercial food-service operations. The company has a long history in the region, starting its local operations back in 1874. Recently, Vollrath has acquired several smaller cookware manufacturing suppliers, including Stoetling Food Service and Polar Ware Company; both originally Lakeshore-based companies. 30 The metal cookware manufacturing industry relies upon proximity to market and a skilled labor force. In recent years, Vollrath has benefited by its location, 30 “The Vollrath® Company Acquires Polar Ware®/Stoelting®,” The Vollrath Company. Accessed at: http://vollrath.com/Vollrath/Press-Room/Press-Releases/Stoelting-Acquisition.htm. 34 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region which aids its ability to compete with its many competitors based in China. Vollrath’s recent acquisitions have also helped on this front as its increasing vertical integration provides it with more capacity for large scale production and for innovations in both production and product design. Vollrath depends on a sophisticated supplier base. Many local firms can provide needed quality and expertise, but some local suppliers may lack the capacity to effectively supply a large global player like Vollrath. Vollrath and other firms in this sector rely on a steady supply of materials from the plastics product manufacturing sector, discussed in the previous section. Another important group of supplier industries for machinery manufacturing is Turned product and screw, nut, and bolt [metal fabrication tools] manufacturing. Metal fabrication tools manufacturing is one of Wisconsin’s most recognizable industries. Within the Lakeshore Wisconsin region, metal fabrication tools is represented by Formrite Co. and EVM Inc. The industry is known for its employment of a highly-skilled workforce and capital intensiveness. Industry employment projections predict an increase in regional and national employment over the next five years with a growing regional presence. Market opportunities Consumers of the specialized tool design indicative of cutlery, utensil, pot and pan manufacturing are disproportionately represented by the food service industry. Demand within the food service industry is driven by restaurants, civic, education, recreational institutions to replace culinary supplies. Customer orders tend to be wholesale, less specific and more easily replicable. Demand within this field is driven by new purchases and replenishing supplies for food service and restaurants. Although Food service and drinking places represent a relatively low portion of Wisconsin employment, as compared to neighboring states, there remains a large industry presence within the Lakeshore Wisconsin region with indications that regional employment will grow by 2020. However, many opportunities for market growth will come in the broader national and international marketplace. Besides the ties to demand in the food service industry, the potential to diversify into the broader machine fabrication industry is also a source of market opportunity. Customer orders within the machine fabrication field are typically labor intensive, feature custom design specifications, and require wide access to capital. Meeting design specification is arguably the most important factor for the industry as a whole. 31 31 The Wisconsin Economic Future Study Statewide and Regional Analysis. The MPI Group Inc. June 2013. Accessed at: http://inwisconsin.com/economicfuturestudy. 35 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Company Survey Results Progress Lakeshore/KCEDC Supply Chain Survey The value chain analyses presented in the previous section provide a deep dive into current market trends in key manufacturing sectors. However, the data only tells a partial story and should be supplemented with additional qualitative information. In an effort to better understand critical supply chain issues and opportunities facing local companies, the project team also developed and deployed a survey of local companies. It sought to gain input and feedback from Lakeshore Wisconsin companies on key supply chain opportunities and challenge areas.32 Survey Respondents Of the area companies who responded to the survey, 89% were located within the 5-county Lakeshore Wisconsin region, while 11% were located in other Wisconsin counties. The largest share of respondents (68%) hailed from either Kewaunee or Manitowoc Counties, with local response rates from Calumet, Door, and Sheboygan counties. Manufacturers comprised the bulk of respondents (77%), while the remaining respondents represented a host of other related industries. Among manufacturers a diverse set of industries is represented, including metal fabricators and machine shops (29%), machinery and equipment manufacturers (24%), food and beverage manufacturers (20%), plastic product manufacturers (15%), and wood and textile product manufacturers (12%). Small businesses comprised 94% of all respondents. More than half (53%) of respondents reported annual gross sales of less than $10 million, and a small portion of firms (15%) reported sales exceeding $50 million. Supply Chain Involvement Survey responses clearly reflect the diversity and global market reach of the Lakeshore region’s manufacturers. Over half (55%) of respondents represented companies that are currently involved in a supply chain. For those involved in a supply chain, most were involved in several different supply chains, ranging from 3 to 500. Many respondents can claim large OEMs as key customers. A third of respondents are suppliers to Manitowoc Company, and another large share (25%) also serve as suppliers to the defense industry. 32 The digital survey (included at Appendix B) included eighteen questions. Between April and June 2015, the survey was sent out via e-mail to area companies within their organizational networks and through their partner networks. At the close of the survey period Progress Lakeshore and KCEDC had received responses from 58 area companies. 36 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Figure 15: Percentage of Goods & Services Purchased within 150 miles of Location 11% None (no purchasing) 26% Less than 33% of purchasing 40% 24% Between 33 and 66% of purchasing Between 67 and 100% of purchasing Local firms have always enjoyed success in national and global markets, and they typically serve larger markets than manufacturers located elsewhere in the US. This pattern is reflected in their supply chain dynamics as well. The majority of the companies in the survey operate in geographically dispersed supply chains. Over a third (35%) had international suppliers and/or customers, while a third (33%) had nationally dispersed supply chain. Most respondents sold extensively out of state; over a third of them sell between 67-100% of goods outside of Wisconsin. Very few respondents remain solely focused on local or regional markets. Only 18% of respondents had only local or regional suppliers and customers. Similarly, only 10% of firms rely solely on sales within the state of Wisconsin. While local firms seek to succeed in global markets, they are also happy to do business closer to home. As Figure 15 shows, 26% of firms buy the lion’s share (over 67%) of their supplies in the immediate region. However, the figures also show a sizable cohort of firms that do limited local purchasing. In fact, half of local firms do little or no local purchasing. Fortunately, respondents also expressed a strong interest in using more local suppliers. 95% expressed interest in sourcing local goods and services. This suggests that the shares of goods and services purchased locally may become higher if companies were more aware of suppliers in their region, or had the ability to switch to local suppliers. 37 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Supply Chain Strategies Respondents were also asked to discuss their current supply chain strategy. i.e., what UPS has called “an iterative process that evaluates the cost-benefit trade-offs of operational components”.33 Supply chain strategies focus on driving down operational costs, maximizing efficiencies, and establishing how companies work with their supply chain partners, including suppliers, distributors, and customers. A little less than half of respondents (46%) currently had a supply chain strategy in place. Similar to the number of respondents with supply chain strategies, about 44% of respondents currently had a waste stream management strategy. Waste stream management strategies apply to the collection, transport, processing, monitoring, recycling and disposal of waste materials produced by industry. This can include recovering resources during the manufacturing process through capturing reusable materials and introducing them back into the product stream. Having a waste stream management strategy in place can help manufacturers understand the interrelationships between their waste and supply streams, which could help identify ways to reduce supply costs, increase production efficiency, and develop new products and services. Extensive industry data suggests that success in the 21st century economy requires that manufacturers have coherent, cohesive, and effective supply chain strategies that are built on close linkages with suppliers, customers, and other types of partners. These types of linkages appear to be quite prevalent among surveyed firms. The majority of respondents (63%) stated that their firm closely partners with other firms in its supply chain network. Though not all companies had a supply chain or waste stream management strategy in place, most of the respondents had strong relationships with other firms in their network, which could be similarly helpful in addressing supply chain management challenges. However, less than half of respondents (40%) stated they had a strong commitment to working with local suppliers and partners. This suggests that many respondent companies had strong relationships with firms outside of the Lakeshore Wisconsin region. 33 UPS Supply Chain Solutions. Supply Chain Strategy: The Importance of Aligning Your Strategies. Accessed at : www.upsscs.com/solutions/white_papers/wp_supply_chain.pdf 38 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Close supply chain partnerships improve the bottom line, and our respondents pointed to many benefits from these networks. Top noted items included (in ranked order) improved productivity, financial gain, access to customers, and agility. Less frequently, companies sought to gain greater access to finance, faster lead times, access to more advanced production equipment, and greater access to raw materials. The lower emphasis placed on access to raw materials reflects the fact that 70% of respondents felt that their firm had adequate access to raw materials. (See Figure 16). Firms recognized the benefit of strong supply chain partnerships, but does the proximity of these partners matter? To assess this question, we asked firms to rank the local assets that were most important to their company success. Proximity to customers and suppliers was chosen by almost 60% of respondents – more frequently than any other factor. The other factors that were of major strategic Figure 16: Why Develop Supply Chain Partners? What are the key challenges facing your supply chain? What are benefits from partnering with other firms in your supply chain network? Accessing new markets/customers 73% Improved productivity 62% Managing supply chain costs 57% 49% Regulation/compliance 35% Distribution 47% Product damage or spillage 16% Product security 16% 60% 40% Access to customers 53% 22% 80% Financial gain 20% Agility Access to raw materials 27% 7% 0% 0% Access to finance 20% 40% 60% 80% importance to respondents were (in ranked order) a skilled labor pool, good roads and other What are the key challenges facing your supply chain? What are benefits from partnering with other firms in transportation options, utilities and internet, commercial your and supply population centers, and agricultural and chain network? rural areas. About 15% of respondents felt there were no locational assets affecting their location Accessing new 73% Improved productivity decisions,markets/customers so they “could go62% anywhere”. Managing supply chain costs 49% Supply Chain Challenges and Opportunities 57% Financial gain Regulation/compliance Access to customers 35%region face an array of supply chain management 53% Companies in the Lakeshore Wisconsin challenges. The most frequently cited challenges concern access to new markets and customers. Other prominent Distribution 22% 47% Agility challenges include (in ranked order): managing supply chain costs, dealing with regulation and Product damage or spillage 16% or spillage, and product Access to 16). raw materials 27% compliance issues, distribution, product damage security. (See Figure Product security 16% 80% 60% 40% 20% 7% 0% 0% Access to finance 20% 40% 60% 80% 39 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region The research team also identified other challenge areas via an open-ended survey question and by interviews with a number of local manufacturers. Some respondents also had challenges with accessing goods and services due to the lack of adequate infrastructure in the area. For example, plastic product manufacturers mentioned the need for more rail lines and offloading facilities in order to access resin produced in the Gulf region. Other respondents mentioned the more administrative challenges of supply chain management, such as managing business guarantees, primary supplier contracts, and supplier quality issues, like nonconforming products. Many of the respondents’ supply chain challenges arose due to having a geographically dispersed supplier and customer networks. For example, long distance shipping increases wholesaling and distribution costs. It also increases the likelihood of product damage and spillage, and lessens product security. Shipping products across state and national borders increases the regulatory and compliance burdens for companies, and complicates distribution networks. The challenges that arise with disbursed supply networks may be the reason why almost all those surveyed stated that they would consider purchasing more goods and services from firms within the Lakeshore Wisconsin region. Survey respondents indicated a number of opportunities for improving their supply chain management practices. Some were looking to learn more about market trends of existing regional industries, while others were interested in knowing more about the industries expected to grow in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region. In terms of logistics, some respondents wanted to know more about shipping alternatives and strategies that could help them reduce their supply chain costs, especially more environmentally sustainable shipping alternatives. Respondents also indicated interest in ways to save on packaging costs through packaging alternatives, like “green” packaging, and how to work with suppliers directly to find more customer-friendly packaging solutions, and ways they could “bypass the middle man” to buy goods directly from producers. In addition to the stated interest in purchasing more goods and services locally, multiple responses to the survey suggest an opportunity for strengthening the supplier relationship between companies in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region. First, accessing new markets and customers was the most frequently identified supply chain challenge, followed by several challenges exacerbated by geographically dispersed supply chains. Proximity to customers and suppliers also emerged as the most important factor for companies when choosing a location. Almost 90% of respondents currently purchase a percentage of goods and services from firms within 150 miles of their location, and 43% of respondents sell over two thirds of their goods and services within Wisconsin. However, less than half had a strong commitment to working with local suppliers and customers, though these partnerships seem to be highly valued for supply chain management, given the strong partnerships respondents reported having with firms in their supply chain network. Although not all goods and services can be bought or sold locally, these responses suggest that these companies could benefit from stronger relationships with their existing suppliers and customers in the region, as well as increasing their percentage of locally purchased products and in-state sales. 40 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Overlapping Linked Industries When it comes to manufacturing, the Lakeshore Wisconsin region should be the envy of most areas. It has an unparalleled long history as a place where people make things and make things well. Iconic local companies like Kohler, Manitowoc Crane, and Vollrath trace their local histories back more than a century. These companies, and their more recent local neighbors, have weathered many past business cycles and remain resilient and thriving today. In addition to this strong heritage, local manufacturers benefit from an excellent location. While Lakeshore Wisconsin is not a major population center, it is well positioned from a manufacturing standpoint. As Figure 17 indicates, the region is extremely close to thousands of other manufacturers who can serve as customers, partners, and suppliers to local companies. This location in the center of the industrial heartland is another essential competitive advantage. But a strong heritage and a good location are not enough. After all, other U.S. regions, such as Michigan’s auto sector or Pennsylvania’s steel industry, enjoyed similar advantages. The region’s manufacturing future is not guaranteed and it will require that local firms continue to innovate and succeed in new local, regional, national, and global markets. Our analysis was designed to assist in this work by identifying potential new market opportunities in four of Lakeshore Wisconsin’s leading manufacturing clusters. All four sectors can benefit from each other. As our value chain maps indicate, these four industries are closely inter-related. In most cases, they buy and sell from one another. This is particularly true for metal fabricators and machine shops, which often serve as both important suppliers and customers to other manufacturing sectors in Figure 17: Manufacturers within 150 miles of Lakeshore Wisconsin • Kewaunee • Manitowoc 41 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Lakeshore Wisconsin. For specific manufacturing clusters, several important opportunities merit greater attention. In the cheese manufacturing sector, new growth opportunities can emerge from a focus enhancing local milk supplies and identifying new uses and markets for various byproducts related to milk and cheese production. For machine shops and metal fabricators, firm managers should give consideration to more aggressive market diversification strategies along with a focus on how to bundle new services, such as complete customer care initiatives, to their core product offerings. For utensil and cutlery manufacturing, local firms should continue to develop new innovations and consider new initiatives to identify local suppliers. Finally, the plastics manufacturing sector should aggressively capitalize on its emerging market moment. Thanks to local shale energy inputs, the plastics industry appears to be on the verge of market boom that could lead to explosive growth prospects in coming years. Next Steps What can be done to ensure that the Lakeshore Wisconsin region remains a global center of manufacturing innovation? A number of steps make sense. These include: Enhance Understanding of Regional Supply Chains Extensive industry data suggests that effective supply chain strategies are a core ingredient to success in today’s global economy. Yet, not all local companies have heard this message. As our business surveys indicated, only 46% of surveyed companies have a supply chain strategy in place. Local service providers, such as the Wisconsin Manufacturing Extension Partnership, New North, Inc., and local partners, should develop new technical assistance offerings that help small and medium sized manufacturers develop their own supply chain strategies. Some of work is already underway. For example, in August, New North, Inc. sponsored a well-attended supply chain innovation workshop led by the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee’s Supply Chain Management Institute. Additional training and technical assistance programs focused on these issues should be considered. Build Stronger Local Supply Chain Connections Our research yields some important insights when it comes to developing stronger regional supply chain connections. Local companies recognize the importance of proximity to suppliers and customers. Our value chain maps also suggest that more local supply chain connections are possible. In most of our target sectors, fairly strong local supplier and customer bases are already in place. Local suppliers do exist—the challenge is finding them and building new connections. Building on these potential connections is a challenging proposition. As our surveys indicate, most local manufacturers do not have a heavy bias toward local suppliers—only 40% of surveyed firms indicated a 42 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region strong commitment to local purchasing. Some firms have limited flexibility on this front, especially if they must use suppliers designated in advance by OEMs or other customers. But, in many cases, they are not aware of potential suppliers closer to home. When asked how they identified new suppliers, interviewed company leaders noted that they used traditional sales channels, national or industry directories or even basic Google searches. They lacked an easy means to reach out to local suppliers, partners or customers. This project, and the accompanying Lakeshore Wisconsin Manufacturing Directory, is designed to help local firms build these local connections. By logging onto the LICI directory at www.progresslakeshore.org/manufacturingdirectory, businesses can identify potential customers, suppliers, and partners by location, industry, and other key search terms. Develop New Markets Lakeshore Wisconsin’s manufacturers are in an aggressive growth mode. As the 2015 Manufacturing Vitality Index shows, 66% of local manufacturers enjoyed increased sales in 2014, and 68% expected even higher growth in 2015.34 Identifying new markets and managing subsequent business growth is thus the major challenge—and the great opportunity---facing local manufacturers. Local economic development agencies and business service providers can support the growth of local manufacturers by providing easy access to sophisticated consulting and business support tools. This work may entail using consulting services from organizations like WMEP or the state’s Small Business Development Center network. Given the global nature of manufacturing, many firms will require assistance in identifying and capturing new export markets. Local firms should tap into excellent export promotion resources such as those provided by the WEDC’s Global network program. For smaller firms, new markets may be closer to home---within the supply chains of OEMs or other large manufacturers. Entering these supply chains is often easier said than done, as most OEMs have stringent requirement for quality, safety, and other factors. This often requires that small firms obtain new licenses and certifications that can be quite costly and time-consuming. Where possible, local economic development agencies should help small manufacturers obtain these certifications in areas via training or funding support. Develop Talent While workforce issues were not a primary focus of this research, they remain one of the most important keys to the industry’s past and future success. Like many parts of the U.S., Lakeshore Wisconsin suffers from shortages of skilled technical workers. The latest Northeast Wisconsin 34Northeast Wisconsin Manufacturing Alliance, “2015 Northeast Wisconsin Manufacturing Vitality Index,” Accessible at: http://www.newmfgalliance.org/pdfs/2015-vitality-study.pdf 43 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Manufacturing Vitality Index finds that ¾ of local firms have difficulty finding technical talent.35 The toughest positions to fill are machinists, general laborers, and engineers. In addition to finding technical talent, manufacturers also want workers who are “ready to work.” When asked to identify the most important skills they seek, employers identified soft skills, such as communications and work ethic, as their top priorities.36 This current shortage is further exacerbated by the aging of the current manufacturing workforce. Thanks to this age wave, some firms are losing as much as ten percent of their workforce each year.37 As the Baby Boom generation retires, a new cohort of skilled workers must replace them. Addressing this pressing workforce challenge will require new initiatives at all levels. At the local level, regional agencies are focused on this challenge. In Manitowoc, Progress Lakeshore Inc. and Lakeshore Technical College have sponsored a Manufacturing Boot Camp to train local high schoolers for indemand jobs. At the state level, the Advance Wisconsin initiative is a massive new program focused on training nearly 3,000 students for high demand manufacturing occupations. These kinds of high profile initiatives will be essential for fueling the continued growth of Lakeshore Wisconsin’s manufacturing sectors. 35 Ibid, p. 3. 36 Ibid 37 Northeast Wisconsin Manufacturing Alliance, “2014 Northeast Wisconsin Manufacturing Vitality Index,” p. 5. 44 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Conclusion When it comes to economic prosperity in Lakeshore Wisconsin, it all comes back to manufacturing. Manufacturing has long served as the primary engine for the region’s economy, and its future success will similarly hinge on local manufacturing prowess. Fortunately, the region already enjoys many distinctive competitive advantages: a great location, a diverse base of companies, world-class companies, a talented workforce, and other assets. The Lakeshore Wisconsin Manufacturing Initiative is designed to build on this important legacy. Via projects, such as this value chain analysis, Progress Lakeshore, KCEDC and other partners, intend to bring new resources and new support services to the region. By enhancing their supply chain strategies, local manufacturers, especially small and medium-sized firms, will best prepare themselves to compete and win in global markets. 45 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Appendix A: Maps of targeted value chains The following maps show the total number of companies from each value chain located in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region. The maps show patterns where the core and linked industries are located within the region. Along with the companies, the maps also depict the region’s various economic development infrastructure assets. The value chain maps included in this appendix are: Cheese manufacturing (NAICS 311513) Machine shops/ All other miscellaneous fabricated metal product manufacturing (NAICS 332710 and NAICS 332999) All other plastics product manufacturing (NAICS 326199) Metal kitchen cookware, utensil, cutlery, and flatware (except precious) manufacturing (NAICS 332215) The various maps portray the companies that are part of any industry that appears as a supplier or customer in the relevant value chain. Companies are identified as to where they appear in the value chain, according to the categories of supplier, customer, or both supplier and customer. Companies with multiple locations within the region will appear at each location. 46 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region 47 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region 48 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region 49 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region 50 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region Appendix B: Progress Lakeshore/KCEDC Supply Chain Survey 51 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region 52 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region 53 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region 54 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region 55 Mapping Value Chains in the Lakeshore Wisconsin region 56
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