Public Goods Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures ,' T h e idealized competitive model produces a Pareto-efficient allocation o f goods. ' - That is, the utility-maximizing behavior o f persons and the profit-mqimizing behavior o f firms will, through the "invisible hand," distribute goods in such a way that no one could be better-off without making anyone else worse-off. Pareto efficiency thus arises through voluntary acttons without any need for public policy. Economic reality, however, rarely corresponds perfectly t o the assumptions o f the idealized competitive model. In the following sections, w e discuss violations o f the assumptions that underlie the competitive model. These violations constitute market failures; that is, situations in which decentralized behavior does not lead t o Pareto efficiency. Traditional market failures are shown as circumstances in which social surplus is larger under some alternative allocation t o that resulting in the market equilibrium. Public goods, externalities, natural monopolies, and information asymmetries are the four commonly-recognized market failures. They provide the tradiin private affairs. tional economic rationales for public pal-t~cipation PUBLIC GOODS T h e term public, or collectlve, goods appears frequently in the literature o f policy analysis and economics. T h e blanket use o f the term, however, obscures important differences among the variety o f public goods in terms o f the nature o f the market failure, and, consequently, the appropriate public policy response. W e begin with a basic question that should be raised when considering any market failure: W h y doesn't the market allocate this particular good efficiently? The simplest approach t o providing an answer involves contrasting public goods with private goods. 75 T w o primary characteristics define private goods: rivalry in consumption and excludability in ownership and use. Rivalrous consumption means that what one consumes cannot be consumed by another; a perfectly private good is characterized b y complete rivalry in consumption. Excludable ownership means that one has control over use o f the good; a perfectly private good is characterized by complete excludability. For example, shoes are private goods because when one wears them, no one else can (rivalrous consumption) and, because when one owns them, one can determine w h o gets t o wear them at any particular time (excludable ownership). Public goods, on the other hand, are, in varying degrees, nonrivalrous in consumption, nonexcludable in use, or both. In other words, w e consider any good that is not purely private to be a public good. A good is nonrivalrous in consumption when more than one person can derive consumption benefits from a given level o f supply at the same time. For example, a given level o f national defense is nonrivalrous in consumption because all citizens benefit from i t without reducing the benefits o f others-a new citizen enjoys benefits without reducing the benefits o f those already being defended. (Each person, however, may value the commonly provided level o f defense differently.) A good is nonexcludable i f it is impractical for one person t o maintain exclusive control over i t s use. For example, species offish that range widely in the ocean are usually nonexcludable in use because they move freely among regions such that no individual can effectively exclude others from harvesting them. In practice, a third characteristic related to demand, congestibility, is useful in describing public goods. Levels o f demand for a good often determine the extent to which markets supply publ~cgoods at inefficient levels. A good is congested if the marginal social cost o f consumption exceeds the marginal private cost o f consumption. For example, a few people may be able t o hike in a wilderness area without interfering with each other's enjoyment o f the experience (a case o f low demand) so that the marginal social cost o f consumption equals the marginal private cost o f consumption and there is no congestion. A larger number o f hikers may reduce each other's enjoyment o f the wilderness experience (a case o f high demand) such that the marginal social cost o f consumption exceeds the marginal private cost o f consumption and, therefore, the wilderness is congested. Later w e define and interpret the divergence between social and private marginal costs as an externality. Excludability and Properly Rights Excludability implies that some individual can exclude others from use o f the good. In most public policy contexts in developed democracies, power t o exclude others from use o f a good is dependent on property rights granted and enforced by the state and its (judicial) organs. Property rights are relationships among people concerning the use o f things.' These relationships involve claims by rights holders that 'For a seminal discussion o f property rights, see Eirik Furubotn and Svetozar Pejovich. "Property Rights and Economic Theory: A Survey o f Recent Literature," Journal of EconomIc Llterature. Vol. 10. no. 4. 1972, pp. 1137-62. For a current review o f ~ r o p e r t yright issues, see David L. Weimer, ed., The POIItIcal Economy of Property Rights: InstitutIonal Change and Credrb111t~ In the Reform of Centrally Planned Economies (New York: Cambridge University Press. 1997), pp. 1-19. Public Goods Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures . - ' ,' The ideal~zedcompetitive model produces a Pareto-efficient allocation o f goods. ' That is, the utility-maximizing behavior o f persons and the profit-mqimizing behavior o f firms will, through the "invisible hand," distribute goods in such a way that no one could be better-off without making anyone else worse-off. Pareto efficiency thus arises through voluntary actions without any need for public policy. Economic reality, however, rarely corresponds perFectly t o the assumptions o f the idealized competitive model. In the following sections, w e discuss violations o f the assumptions that underlie the competitive model. These violations constitute market failures; that is, situations in which decentralized behavior does not lead t o Pareto e f i ciency. Traditional market failures are shown as circumstances in which social surplus is larger under some alternative allocation t o that resulting in the market equilibrium. Public goods, externalities, natural monopolies, and information asymmetries are the four commonly-recognized market failures. They provide the traditional economic rationales for public participation in private affairs. PUBLIC GOODS The term public, or collective, goods appears frequently in the literature o f policy analysis and economics. T h e blanket use o f the term, however, obscures important differences among the variety o f public goods in terms o f the nature o f the market failure, and, consequently, the appropriate public policy response. W e begin with a basic question that should be raised when considering any market failure: Why doesn't the market allocate this particular good efficiently? The simplest approach t o providing an answer involves contrasting public goods w i t h private goods. 75 T w o primary characteristics define private goods: rivalry in consumption and excludability in ownership and use. Rivalrous consumption means that what one consumes cannot be consumed by another; a perfectly private good is characterized by complete rivalry in consumption. Excludable ownershb means that one has control over use o f the good; a perfectly private good is characterized by complete excludability. For example, shoes are private goods because when one wears them, no one else can (rivalrous consumption) and, because when one owns them, one can determine who gets t o wear them at any particular time (excludable ownership). Public goods, on the other hand, are, in varying degrees, nonrivalrous in consumption, nonexcludable in use, or both. In other words, w e consider any good that is not purely private to be a public good. A good is nonrivalrous in consumption when more than one person can derive consumption benefits from a given level o f supply at the same time. For example, a given level o f national defense is nonrivalrous in consumption because all citizens benefit from i t without reducing the benefits o f others-a new citizen enjoys benefits without reducing the benefits o f those already being defended. (Each person, however, may value the commonly provided level o f defense differently.) A good is nonexcludable if i t is impractical for one person to maintain exclusive control over i t s use. For example, species o f fish that range widely in the ocean are usually nonexcludable in use because they move freely among regions such that no individual can effectively exclude others from harvesting them. In practice, a third characteristic related t o demand, congestibility, is useful in describing public goods. Levels o f demand for a good often determine the extent t o which markets supply publlc goods at inefficient levels. A good is congested i f the marginal social cost o f consumption exceeds the marginal private cost o f consumption. For example, a few people may be able t o hike in a wilderness area without interfering with each other's enjoyment o f the experience (a case o f low demand) so that the marginal social cost of consumption equals the marginal private cost o f consumption and there is no congestion. A larger number o f hikers may reduce each other's enjoyment o f the wilderness experience (a case o f high demand) such that the marginal social cost o f consumption exceeds the marginal private cost o f consumption and, therefore, the wilderness is congested. Later w e define and interpret the divergence between social and private marginal costs as an externality. Excludability and Property Rights Excludability implies that some individual can exclude others from use o f the good. In most public policy contexts in developed democracies, power t o exclude others from use of a good is dependent on property rights granted and enforced by the state and its (judicial) organs. Property rights are relationships among people concerning the use o f things.' These relationships involve claims by rights holders that 'For a sern~naldlscuss~onof property r~ghts,see Elr~kFurubotn and Svetozar Pe,ovlch, Property R~ghtsand Econorn~cTheory A Survey of Recent Llterature," Journal of Econornh L~terature.Vol 10. no 4, 1972, pp 1137-62 For a current revlew o f property r~ght Issues, see Dav~d L We~rner,ed , The Po11t1calEconomy of Property R~ghts lnstrtutronal Change and Credrbrl~t~ ln the Reform of Centrally Planned Economres (New York Carnbrldge Un~vers~ty Press. 1997), pp 1-19 .. 76 Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 impose dut~eson others. In contrast to political systems in which institutional arrangements create and enforce property rights, there are anarchic, or Hobbesian, systems with no government and no constraining norms or conventions in which physical force alone determines the power to exclude. Property rights can be partitioned in complex ways beyond what we think o f as simple ownership.' For example, a farmer may have a property right that allows using water from a river only during specific months o f the year. However, for the purposes o f a discussion o f excludability, we treat goods as being controlled or "owned" by a single actor. Effective property rights are characterized by clear and complete allocation o f claims and high levels of compliance by those who owe the corresponding duties. In this context. where the claim is to exclusive use o f the good, compliance simply means accepting exclusion. De lure property rights, which are granted by the state, are typically clear though sometimes incomplete. These de jure property rights, however, may be attenuated, or in some cases superseded, by extralegal behaviors such as trespass, squatting, poaching, or custom. Behaviors such as these may give rise to de facto property rights, the claims that actually receive compliance from duty bearers. Sometimes de lure property rights do not exist because changes in technology or relative prices create new goods that fall outside o f existing allocations. For example, advances in medical technology have made fetal tissue valuable, but the right to its use is yet unclear. Note that de facto property rights may or may not present excludability problems, though often they involve subal systems, vigistantial costs to the claimants if they must employ ~ h ~ s i cprotection lance, stealth, or retaliation to enforce them. I f these costs become too high, then individuals may abandon attempts to exclude others from use o f th'e good. In these cases, the good is effectively nonexcludable. Nonrivalrous Goods As we concluded in our discussion o f efficient pricing, the production o f a private good, involving rivalrous consumption, will be in equilibrium at a level where price equals marginal cost (P = MC). O n the demand side, the marginal benefits consumers receive from additional consumption must equal price (MB = P) in equilibrium. Therefore, marginal benefits equal marginal cost (MB = MC). Essentially the same principle applies to nonrivalrous goods. Because all consumers receive marginal benefits from the additional unit o f the nonrivalrous good, however, i t should be produced if the sum o f all individual consumers' marginal benefits exceeds the marginal cost of producing it. Only when output is increased to the point where the sum o f the marginal benefits equals the marginal cost o f production is the quantity produced efficient. The sum of marginal benefits for any level o f output o f a purely nonrivalrous pubiic good (whether excludable or not) is obtained by vertically summing the marginal benefit schedules (demand schedules) o f all individuals at that output level.' Re- 'yoram Barzel. Econornrc Anolys,s of Property R~ghts(New York: Cambridge University Press. 1989). 'Paul A. Samuelson. "Diagrammatic Exposition o f a Theory o f Public Expenditure," Review of 37. no. 4, 1955. pp. 350-56. Econorn,cs ondStotistrcs. Vol. Public Goods 77 peating the process at each output level yields the entire social, or aggregate, marginal benefit schedule. This contrasts with the derivation o f the social marginal benefit schedule for a private good-individual marginal benefit schedules (demand schedules) are added horizontally because each unit produced can only be consumed by one oerson. Figure 5.1 illustrates the different approaches. Panel (a) represents the demand for a rivalrous good and panel (b) the demand for a nonrivalrous good. In both cases, the demand schedules o f the individual consumers, Dilbert and Dogbert, for the good appear as Dl and D2,,respectively. The market demand for the rivalrous good results from the horizontal addition o f individual demands Dl and D2. For example, at price po. Dilbert demands Q, and Dogbert demands Q2 so that the total quantity demanded i s Qo (equal to Q, + Q2). Price Poalso happens to be the price that equates marginal social benefits with marginal social costs (given by supply schedule 3). Panel (b) presents the parallel situation for the nonrivalrous good, with the caveat that we are unlikely to be able to observe individual demand schedules for public goods (for reasons we discuss below) Here, the social marginal benefit at Q, (MBJ is the sum o f the marginal benefits enjoyed by Dilbert (MBI) and Dogbert (MB2). Given the indicated supply schedule (S), Qs equates marginal social benefit with marginal social cost and therefore corresponds to the Pareto-efficient output level of the nonrivalrous good. Notice that in this example, the upward-sloping supply schedule indicates that higher output levels have higher marginal costs (a brighter streetlight costs more to operate than a dimmer one); it is only the marg~nalcost of consumption that is equal, and zero, for each person (each person can each look at what is illuminated by the light without interfering with the other). In other words, there are zero marginal social costs of consumption but positive marginal costs o f production at each level o f supply. A crucial distinction between rivalrous and nonrivalrous goods is that the valuations of individual consumers cannot directly tell us how much o f the nonrivalrous good should be provided-only the sum o f the valuations can tell us that. Once an output level has been chosen, every person must consume it. Therefore, the various values different persons place on the chosen output level are not revealed by their purchases as they would be in a market for a rivalrous good. Thus, price neither serves as an allocative mechanism nor reveals marginal benefits as it does for a rivalrous good. Why wouldn't individuals supply the level o f output that equates marginal cost with the sum o f individual marginal benefits as they would in a market for a rivalrous good? Returning to panel (b) o f Figure 5.1, if Dogbert, who has demand D2, for the conrivalrous good makes his own decision, he will purchase a quantity Q2, where his own marginal benefit schedule crosses the supply schedule, which is less than the socially optimal quantity, Qs. Dilbert, who has demand (D,), would purchase an even smaller quantity, Q,,if he were the only demander in the market. But ifDilbert knew that Dogbert would make a purchase, he would not find it in his own self-interest to purchase any of the nonrivalrous good because, as the marginal benefit schedules are drawn, Dogbert's purchase quantity would exceed the amount that Dilbert would want to purchase on his own. H e would have an incentive tofree ride on Dogbert's consumption, which he gets to enjoy because o f nonrivalry. In other words, once Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 impose duties on others. In contrast to political systems in which institutional arrangements create and enforce property rights, there are anarchic, or Hobbesian, systems with no government and no constraining norms or conventions in which physical force alone determines the power to exclude. Property rights can be partitioned in complex ways beyond what we think of ~ . ~example, a farmer may have a property right that allows as simple o w n e r s h ~For using water from a river only during specific months o f the year. However, for the purposes o f a discussion o f excludability, we treat goods as being controlled or "owned" by a single actor. Effective property rights are characterized by clear and complete allocation o f claims and high levels o f compliance by those who owe the corresponding duties. In this context, where the claim is to exclusive use o f the good, compliance simply means accepting exclusion. D e ~ u r eproperty rights, which These de are granted by the state, are typically clear though sometimes~incomplete. jure property rights, however, may be attenuated, or in some cases superseded, by extralegal behaviors such as trespass, squatting, poaching, or custom. Behaviors such as these may give rise to de focto property rights, the claims that actually receive compliance from duty bearers. Sometimes de ~ureproperty rights do not exist because changes in technology or relative prices create new goods that fall outside of existing allocations. For example, advances in medical technology have made fetal tissue valuable, but the right to its use is yet unclear. Note that deJacto property rights may or may not present excludability problems, though often they involve substantial costs to the claimants if they must employ physical protection systems, vigilance, stealth, or retaliation to enforce them. If these costs become too high, then individuals may abandon attempts to exclude others from use o f th'e good. In these cases, the good IS effectively nonexcludable. Nonrivalrous Goods As we concluded in our discussion o f efficient pricing, the production o f a private good, involving rivalrous consumption, will be in equilibrium at a level where price equals marginal cost (P = MC). O n the demand side, the marginalbenefits consumers receive from additional consumption must equal price (MB = P) in equilibrium. Therefore, marginal benefits equal marginal cost (MB = MC). Essentially the same principle applies to nonrivalrous goods. Because all consumers receive marginal benefits from the additional unit o f the nonrivalrous good, however, it should be produced i f the sum o f all individual consumers' marginal benefits exceeds the marginal cost of producing it. Only when output is increased to the point where the sum of the marginal benefits equals the marginal cost o f production i s the quantity produced eficient. The sum o f marginal benefits for any level o f output o f a purely nonrivalrous public good (whether excludable or not) i s obtained by vertically summing the marginal benefit schedules (demand schedules) o f all individuals at that output level3 Re- 'yoram Barzel. Econornrc Analysis of Property Rights (New York: Cambridge University Press. 1989). 'Paul A. Samuelson. "Diagrammatic Exposition of a Theory of Public Expenditure," Review of 1955, pp. 35G56. Economics ondStotktrcs, Vol. 37, no. 4, Public Goods 77 peating the process at each output level yields the entire social, or aggregate, marginal benefit schedule. This contrasts with the derivation o f the social marginal benefit schedule for a private good-individual marginal benefit schedules (demand schedules) are added horizontally because each unit produced can only be consumed by one person. Figure 5.1 illustrates the different approaches. Panel (a) represents the demand for a rivalrous good and panel (b) the demand for a nonrivalrous good. In both cases, the demand schedules of the individual consumers, Dilbert and Dogbert, for the good appear as D, and D2,,respectively. The market demand for the rivalrous good results from the horizontal addition o f individual demands Dl and D2.For example, at price Po, Dllbert demands Q, and Dogbert demands Q2 so that the total quantity demanded is Qo (equal to Q, + Q2). Price Poalso happens to be the price that equates marginal social benefits with marginal social costs (given by supply schedule S). Panel (b) presents the parallel situation for the nonrivalrous good, with the caveat that we are unlikely to be able to observe individual demand schedules for public goods (for reasons we discuss below). Here, the social marginal benefit at QS (MBJ) is the sum o f the marginal benefits enjoyed by Dilbert (MB,) and Dogbert (MB2). Given the indicated supply schedule (S), QS equates marginal social benefit with marginal social cost and therefore corresponds to the Pareto-efficient output level o f the nonrivalrous good. Notice that rn this example, the upward-sloping supply schedule indicates that higher output levels have higher marginal costs (a brighter streetlight costs more to operate than a dimmer one); it i s only the marginal cost o f consumption that is equal, and zero, for each person (each person can each look at what is illuminated by the light without interfering with the other). In other words, there are zero marginal social costs o f consumption but positive marginal costs of production at each level o f supply. A cruciai distinction between rivalrous and nonrivalrous goods is that the valuations o f individual consumers cannot directly tell us how much of the nonrivalrous good should be prov~ded--onlythe sum of the valuations can tell us that. Once an output level has been chosen, every person must consume it. Therefore, the various values different persons place on the chosen output level are not revealed by their purchases as they would be in a market for a rivalrous good. Thus, price neither serves as an allocative mechanism nor reveals marginal benefits as it does for a rrvalrous good. Why wouldn't individuals supply the level o f output that equates marginal cost with the sum of individual marginal benefits as they would in a market for a rivalrous good? Returning to panel (b) o f Figure 5.1, if Dogbert, who has demand D2, for the rionrivalrous good makes his own decision, he will purchase a quantity Q2, where his own marglnal benefit schedule crosses the supply schedule, which is less than the socially optimal quantity, Q5. Dilbert, who has demand (Dl), would purchase an even smaller quantity, Q,,if he were the only demander in the market. But if Dilbert knew that Dogbert would make a purchase, he would not find i t in his own self-interest to purchase any of the nonrivalrous good because, as the marginal benefit schedules are drawn, Dogbert's purchase quantity would exceed the amount that Dilbert would want to purchase on his own. He would have an incentive tofree ride on Dogbert's consumption, which he gets to enjoy because o f nonrivalry. In other words, once Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 Horizontal summation of demand schedules &=QI +Q2 Public Goods 79 Dogbert purchases Q2units, Dilbert would not find it in his personal interest t o purchase any additional units on his o w n because each unit he purchases gives him less individual benefit than its price. A market could still generate the optimal amount o f the nonrivalrous good if all consumers would honestly reveal their marginal valuations. (Notice that one o f the great advantages o f the market for rivalrous goods is that consumers automatically reveal their marginal valuations with their purchases). Consumers do not normally have an incentive t o reveal honestly their marginal valuations, however, when they cannot be excluded from consumption o f the good. Congestibility:The Role of Demand Quantitymime (a) Rivalrous Demand Vertical summation of marginal benefit schedules: MB, = M B I + MB2 Quantitymime (b) Nonrivalrous Good Figure 5.1 Demand Summation for Rivalrous and Nonrivalrous Goods An economically relevant classification o f public goods requires attention to more than their physical characteristics. At some level of demand, consumption o f a good by one person may raise the marginal costs other persons face in consuming the good, so that the marginal social cost o f consumption exceeds the marginal private cost. Later, w e will define the divergence between social and private cost as an externality. In the context o f congestibility, we are dealing with a particular type o f externality-an externality of consumption inflicted only on other consumers o f the good. Whether or not a particular good is congested at any particular time depends on the level o f demand for the good at that time. Changes in technology, population, income, or relative prices can shift demand from levels that do not involve externalities o f consumption to levels that do. For example, a road that could accommodate one thousand vehicles per day without traffic delays might involve substantial traffic delays in accommodating t w o thousand vehicles. In some cases, seasonal, or even daily, shifts in demand may change the externalities o f consumption, making a good more or less congested. For example, drivers may face substantial traffic delays during rush hour, but no delays during midday. W e must be careful t o distinguish between the marginal social cost o f consumption and the marginal cost o f production. A purely nonrivalrous and noncongestible good exhibits zero marginal costs o f consumption. Yet, increments o f the good (unless they occur naturally) require various factor inputs t o produce. For instance, one way t o increase the level o f defense is t o increase readiness, say by shooting o f f more ammunition in practice. But it takes labor, machines, and materials to produce the ammunition, things that could be used t o produce other goods instead. Thus, the marginal cost o f production ofdefense is not zero; the marginal cost o f consumption is likely t o be zero, however, for a given level o f supply. Some care is required in thinking about congestion in cases in which supply cannot be added in arbitrarily small units. Many goods that display nonrivalry in consumption also display "lumpiness" in supply. For example, one cannot sirnnly nJd small units o f physical capacity to an existrng bridge. T o provide additionai units of capacity, one must typically either build a new bridge or "double-deck" the existing one. Either approach provides a large addition t o capacity. But this "lumpines:" 15 i i ~ relevant t o the determination o f congestion. T h e important consideration is \/..~he'-lher cr not the external costs o f consumptior; 3re positive at the available level o f supply. T o summarize, three characteristics determine the specific nature o f the pub!ic good (and hence the nature o f the inefficiency that would result from market sup- Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 Public Goods 79 Dogbert purchases Q2units, Dilbert would not find i t in his personal interest t o purchase any additional units on his own because each unit he purchases gives him less individual benefit than its price. A market could still generate the optimal amount o f the nonrivalrous good i f all #, consumers would honestly reveal their marginal valuations. (Notice that one o f the great advantages o f the market for rivalrous goods is that consumers automatically reveal their marginal valuations with their purchases). Consumers do not normally have an incentive to reveal honestly their marginal valuations, however, when they cannot be excluded from consumption o f the good. Horizontal summation of demand schedules Q o = Q l + Q2 Congestibility: The Role of Demand Quantitymime (a) Rivalrous Demand , Vertical summation of marginal benefit schedules: MB, = M B I + MB2 Quantitymime (b) Nonrivalrous Good Figure 5.1 D e m a n d Summation for Rivalrous and Nonrivalrous Gcods An economically relevant classification o f public goods requires attention to more than their physical characteristics. At some level o f demand, consumption o f a good by one person may raise the marginal costs other persons face in consuming the good, so that the marginal social cost o f consumption exceeds the marginal private cost. Later, we will define the divergence between social and private cost as an externality. In the context o f congestibility, we are dealing with a particular type o f externality-an externality of consumption inflicted only on other consumers o f the good. Whether or not a particular good is congested at any particular time depends on the level o f demand for the good at that time. Changes in technology, population, income, or relative prices can shift demand from levels that do not involve externalities o f consumption to levels that do. For example, a road that could accommodate one thousand vehicles per day without traffic delays might involve substantial traffic delays in accommodating t w o thousand vehicles. In some cases, seasonal, or even daily, shifts in demand may change the externalities o f consumption, making a good more or less congested. For example, drivers may face substantial traffic delays during rush hour, but no delays during midday. W e must be careful to distinguish between the marginal social cost of consumption and the marginal cost o f production. A purely nonrivalrous and noncongestible good exhibits zero marginal costs o f consumption. Yet, increments o f the good (unless they occur naturally) require various factor inputs t o produce. For instance, one way t o increase the level o f defense is to increase readiness, say by shooting off more ammunition in practice. But i t takes labor, machines, and materials to produce the ammunition, things that could be used to produce other goods instead. Thus, the marginal cost o f production o f defense is not zero; the marginal cost o f consumption is likely to be zero, however, for a glven level o f supply. Some care is required in thinking about congestion in cases in which supply cannot be added in arbitrarily small units. Many goods that display nonrivalry in consurnpt~onalso display "lumpiness" in supply. For example, one cannot simnly a3d small umts o f physrcal capacity to an exrstlng bridge. T o provide additionai units of' capacity, one must typically either build a new bridge or "double-decY the exrsting one. Either approach provides a large addition to capacity. But this "lurnpines:" 15 ii-relevant to the determination o f congestion. The important consideration i-.\/%.~he'-her GT not the external costs o f consumptior, are positive at the availcble level of' supply. determine the specific natul-e o f the pub!ic T o summarize, three characterist,~~ good (and hence the nature o f the inefficiency that would rcsult from marltet sup- Chap. 5 Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Public Goods ply): the degree o f rivalry in consumption; the extent o f excludability, or exclusiveness, in use; and the existence o f congestion. The presence o f nonrivalry, nonexcludability, or congestion arising from changes in levels o f demand can lead to the failure o f markets t o achieve Pareto efficiency. The presence o f either nonrivalry or nonexcludability is a necessary condition for the existence o f a public good market failure. A Classification of Public Goods Figure 5.2 presents the basic taxonomy o f public goods with the rivalrous/ nonrivalrous distinction labeling the columns and excludability/nonexcludabilitydistinction labellng the rows. Additionally, the diagonals within the cells separate congested from uncongested cases. By the way, note that the definitions o f public goods that we provide differ starkly from a common usage o f the term "public good' to describe any good provided by government. In fact, governments, and indeed markets. prov~deboth public and private goods as defined. NONRIVALROUS RIVALROUS I 5m d D 3 A - U ?5 NW1 / ,/ 1 ' Uncongested: Private Good /' / NW2 \ I NEI ./ / Uncongested: Toll Good No private supply at // ,/ Congested: efficient price of zero; / underconsumption / / / Toll Good with 1 at any positive 1/ / ' Crowding // private Good wit/? price. / / / / ~ o ~ ~ s ~ t nErt~n7zfllih~ ~..-~. .r.-. ion / / / private suvvlv. can be I ' I / / / efficient if price at marginal Overconsumption because / social cost; peak-load pricing ,/ consumers respond to price / required if congestion variable. / rather than marginal social cost / SEI / SW1 ,// / Uncongested: "Free Good" / Unconeested: Pure Public G o o d , / / c _ Efficient Market Supply / - - A A .// - r--- I (efficiency until ,// Ope11Access possible; some Congested: demand grbws to and Cornmon private supply in / / U exceed supply / / / PI-opert)'Resollrces privileged and / / ' ~ ~ n b i e nPublic t Good with Consumption at zero price.,,' c~~~~~~~~ respond to intermediate// z groupS. / I / Externality 1' marginal private cost rather 0 / / z than marginal social cost- . /// Overconsumption because //overconsumption. rent dissipation, consumers ignore external cost. //land underinvestment in presentation. / / 5 % / Figure 5.2 A Classification of Goods: Private and Public I 81 Rivalry, Excludability: Private Goods. The northwest (NW) cell defines private goods, characterized by both rivalry in consumption and excludability in use: shoes, books, bread, and the other things we commonly purchase and own. In the absence o f congestion or other market failures, the self-interested actions o f consumers and firms elicit and allocate these goods efficiently so that government intervention would have to be justified by some other rationale than the promotion o f efficiencv. When the private good is congested (that is, i t exhibits externalities o f consumption), market supply is generally not efficient. (In competitive markets the marginal social costs o f the good equals not just the price-the marginal cost o f production-but the sum o f price and the marginal social costs o f consumption.) Rather than consider such situations as public goods market failures, it is more common to treat them under the general heading o f externality market failures. Consequently, we postpone consideration o f category N W 2 in Figure 5.2 to our discussion o f externalities. Nonrivalry, Excludability: Toll Goods. The northeast cell (NE) includes those goods characterized by nonrivalry in consumption and excludability. Such goods are often referred to as toll goods. Prominent examples include bridges and roads that, once built, can carry significant levels o f traffic without crowding. Other examples include goods that occur naturally such as wilderness areas and lakes. Because exclusion is economically feasible, a private supplier might actually come forward t o provide the good. For example, an enterprising individual might decide to build a bridge and charge a crossing toll that would generate a stream o f revenue more than adequate t o cover the cost o f construction-hence the label toll good. Clearly, in these situations the problem is not supply per se. Rather, the problem is twofold. First, the private supplier may not efficiently price the facility that is provided. Second, the private supplier may not provide the correct facility size to maximize social surplus [Qs in Figure 5.l(b)]. W i t h respect t o the pricing problem, first consider the case o f no congestion (NEI), one in which we can be certain that the private supplier will not charge the efficient price, which is zero. In the absence o f congestion, the social marginal cost o f consumption is zero, so that any positive price inappropriately discourages use o f the bridge. The shaded triangular area abc in panel (a) o f Figure 5.3 represents the deadweight loss that results from a positive price (or toll) PI with the demand schedule for crossings given by D. From the diagram we can see that any positive price would involve some welfare loss. The reason is that i f a positive price is charged, some individuals who "should cross the bridge will be discouraged from doing so. W h y ? Because those individuals who would receive marginal benefits in excess of or equal to, the marginal social cost o f consumption should cross. As the marginal social cost o f consumption is zero (that is, lies along the horizontal axis), any individual who would derive any positive benefit from the crossing should cross. Those who obtain positive marginal benefits less than the price, however, would not choose t o cross. The resulting deadweight loss may seem nebulous-the lost consumer surplus o f the trips that will not take place because o f the t o l l b u t i t represents a misallocation o f resources that, i f corrected, could lead to a Pareto improvement. The analysis just presented is complicated i f the good displays congestion over some range o f demand (NE2). Return to the bridge example. W e assumed that ca- .. 80 Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 ply): the degree of rivalry in consumption; the extent o f excludability, or exclusiveness, in use; and the existence of congestion. The presence of nonrivalry, nonexcludability. or congestion arising from changes in levels of demand can lead to the failure of markets to achieve Pareto efficiency. The presence of either nonrivalry or nonexcludability is a necessary condition for the existence of a public good market failure. A Classification of Public Goods Figure 5.2 presents the basic taxonomy of public goods with the rivalrous/ nonrivalrous distinction labeling the columns and excludability/nonexcludabilitydistinction labeling the rows. Additionally, the diagonals within the cells separate congested from uncongested cases. By the way, note that the definitions of public goods that we provide differ starkly from a common usage of the term ''public good" to describe any good provided by government. In fact, governments, and indeed markets. provide both public and private goods as defined. RIVALROUS NWI / Uncongested: Private Good / // / .// NONRIVALROUS NEl / //' / Uncongested: Toll G?od NW2 / /' NE2 No private supply at / / / /Congested: efficient price of zero;/ / /// Congested: underconsumption / / Toll Good with / at any positive /,' price. 1 Crowdirlg // Private Good wit17 / Consltrnption E.rtenlnliQ' / / / Private supply can be / / efficient if price at marginal Overconsumption because 1 social cost; peak-load pricing consumers respond to price required if congestion variable. rather than marginal social cost / / SE1 -I . . . / / / / Uncon_gested: "Free Good" / Uncongested: Pure Public G o o d / / / / 1 SE2 S W 2 Private supply unlikely // Supply exceeds demand //' / / Congested: because exclusion not / / / at zero price; no d . ,/ / Congested: ,/I Open Access possible; some a ~nefficiencyuntil demand grows to / / ' and Coii1ii7on private supply in ,/' U exceed supply / / / P r o p e p Reso~trces privileged and / ' ~ ~ i ~ b i ePublic n t Good with Coilsunlption at zero price.,,' Consumers respond to intermediate;' %roUPS./ / / Exfen7aIif)l / / marginal private cost rather 25. than marginal social cost- ! /// //overconsumption. rent dissipation, // Overconsumption because consumers ignore external cost. .'/and underinvestment in presentation. / / Market Supply ,// / ./ .'/ / .// 5 5 3 g - il Figure 5.2 A Classificationof Goods: Private and Public Public Goods 81 Rivalry, Excludability: Private Goods. The northwest (NW) cell defines private goods, characterized by both rivalry in consumption and excludability in use: shoes, books, bread, and the other things we commonly purchase and own. In the absence of congestion or other market failures, the self-interested actions of consumers and firms elicit and allocate these goods efficiently so that government intervention would have to be justified by some other rationale than the promotion of efficiency. When the private good is congested (that is, it exhibits externalities o f consumption), market supply is generally not efficient. (In competitive markets the marginal social costs of the good equals not just the price-the marginal cost of production--but the sum of price and the marginal social costs of consumption.) Rather than consider such situations as public goods market failures, it is more common to treat them under the general heading o f externality market failures. Consequently, we postpone consideration of category NW2 in Figure 5.2 to our d~scussionof external~ ties. Nonrivalry, Excludability: Toll Goods. The northeast cell (NE) includes those goods characterized by nonrivalry in consumption and excludability. Such goods are often referred to as toll goods. Prominent examples include bridges and roads that, once built, can carry significant levels o f traffic without crowding. Other examples include goods that occur naturally such as wilderness areas and lakes. Because exclusion is economically feasjble, a private supplier might actually come forward to provide the good. For example, an enterprising individual might decide to build a bridge and charge a crossing toll that would generate a stream of revenue more than adequate to cover the cost of construction-hence the label toll good. Clearly, in these situations the problem is not supply per se. Rather, the problem is twofold. First, the private supplier may not efficiently price the facility that is provided. Second, the private supplier may not provide the correct facility size to maximize social surplus [Qxin Figure 5.l(b)J. With respect to the pricing problem, first consider the case of no congestion (NEI), one in which we can be certain that the private supplier will not charge the efficient price, which is zero. In the absence ofcongestion, the social marginal cost o f consumption is zero, so that any positive price inappropriately discourages use of the bridge. The shaded triangular area abc in panel (a) of Figure 5.3 represents the deadweight loss that results from a positive price (or toll) PI with the demand schedule for crossings given by D.From the diagram we can see that any positive price would involve some welfare loss. The reason is that i f a positive price is charged, some individuals who "should" cross the bridge will be discouraged from doing so. Why? Because those individuals who would receive marginal benefits in excess of: or equal to, the marginal social cost of consumption should cross. As the marginal social cost of consumption is zero (that is, lies along the horizontal axjs), any individual who would derive any positive benefit from the crossing should cross. Those who obtain positive marginal benefits less than the price, however, would not choose to cross. The resulting deadweight loss may seem nebulous-the lost consumer surplus of the trips that will not take place because o f the toll--but it represents a misallocation of resources that, ifcorrected, could lead to a Pareto improvement. The analysis just presented is complicated i f the good displays congestion over some range of demand (NE2). Return to the bridge example. We assumed that ca- Capacity constraint Marginal social cost of consumption: Ode I . (a) Social Surplus Loss with Positive Price in Absence of Congestion Capacity constraint 83 Public Goods pacity exceeded demancCthis need not be the case. Consumption is typically uncongested up to some level o f demand, but as additional people use the good, the marginal social costs o f consumption become positive. Goods such as bridges, roads, and parks are potentially subject to congestion because o f physical capacity constraints. Whether or not they are actually congested depends on demand as well as capacity. Panel (b) o f Figure 5.3 shows the marginal social costs o f consumption for goods that are congested. A t low demand levels (for example, DL),the marginal cost o f consumption is zero (in other words, consumption is uncongested), but at high levels o f demand (for example, DH), consumption at a zero toll imposes marginal costs on all users of the good. Line segments OJfg, andgh trace out the marginal social cost o f consumption for the good over the range o f possible consumption. Notice that these costs are imposed by the marginal consumer, not by the good itself. In the case o f the bridge, for instance, the costs appear as the additional time it takes all users to cross the bridge. I f additional users crowd onto the bridge, then quite conceivably marginal costs could become almost infinite: "Gridlock prevents anyone from crossing the bridge until some users withdraw. The economically efficient price is shown in panel (b) as PC. Let us take a closer look at the incentives that lead to sociallv inefficient crowding. Suppose that there are 999 automobiles on the bridge experiencing an average crossing time o f ten minutes. You are considering whether your auto should be number 1,000 on the bridge. Unfortunately, given the capacity o f the bridge, your trip will generate congestion-veryone crossing the bridge, including yourself, will be slowed down by one minute. In other words, the average crossing time o f the users rises by one minute to eleven minutes. You will cross i f your marginal benefits from crossing exceed your marginal costs (which in this case equal the new average consumption cost o f eleven minutes for the group o f users). If you decide to cross, however, the marginal social costs ofyour decision will be 1,010 minutes! (the eleven minutes vou beardus the 999 additional minutes vour use inflicts on the other , ;he social perspective, if everyoneZplacesthe same value on time users). ~ h u sfrom as you, then you should cross only i f the benefits that you receive from crossing exceed the cost o f 1.010 minutes o f delav. In practice, nonrivalrous, excludable public goods that exhibit congestion involve quite complex pricing problems; however, the basic principle follows readily from the above discussion. Let us assume that the congestion occurs at regular time ~eriodsas demand shifts over times o f the dav or seasons of the vear (roads at rush , hour, for instance). Efficient allocation requires that the price charged users o f the good equal the marginal costs imposed on other users during each period o f the day, implying a zero price during uncongested periods (more generally, price should equal the marginal cost o f production in the absence o f congestion) and some positive price during congested periods (so called peak-load pricing). Many toll goods are produced by private firms. The firms must pay the cost o f producing the with revenues from user fees. That is, the stre& o f revenues from the fees must cover the cost o f construction and operation. T o generate the necessary revenues, firms must set the tolls above the marginal social costs o f consumption. Indeed, as profit maximizers, they set tolls at levels that maximize their rent [the area o f rectangle Pla QIO in Figure 5.3 (a)] given the demand schedule they face. Thus, market failure results because the fees exclude users who would obtain \ QuantityITime Marginal social cost of consumption:Ofgh (b) Appropriate Positive Price in Presence of Congestion Figure 5.3 Toll Goods Capacity constraint Public Goods QuantityITime Marginal social cost of consumption: Ode I (a) Social Surplus Loss with Positive Price in Absence of Congestion Capacity constraint I QuantitylTime Marginal social cost of consumption: 0.fgh (b) Appropriate Positive Price in Presence of Congestion I Figure 5.3 Toll Goods 83 pacity exceeded deman&this need not be the case. Consumption is typically uncongested up to some level o f demand, but as additional people use the good, the marginal social costs o f consumption become positive. Goods such as bridges, roads. and parks are potentially subject to congestion because o f physical capacity constraints. Whether or not they are actually congested depends on demand as well as capacity. Panel (b) o f Figure 5.3 shows the marginal social costs o f consumption for goods that are congested. At low demand levels (for example, DL),the marginal cost o f consumption is zero (in other words, consumption is uncongested), but at high levels o f demand (for example, DH), consumption at a zero toll imposes marginal costs on all users o f the good. Line segments Offg, andgh trace out the marginal social cost o f consumption for the good over the range o f possible consumption. Notice that these costs are imposed by the marginal consumer, not by the good itself. In the case o f the bridge, for instance, the costs appear as the additional time i t takes all users to cross the bridge. If additional users crowd onto the bridge, then quite conceivably marginal costs could become almost infinite: "Gridlock prevents anyone from crossing the bridge until some users withdraw. The economically efficient price is shown in panel (b) as PC. Let us take a closer look at the incentives that lead to socially inefficient crowding. Suppose that there are 999 automobiles on the bridge experiencing an average crossing time o f ten minutes. You are considering whether your auto should be number 1.000 on the bridge. Unfortunately, given the capacity o f the bridge, your trip will generate congestion-veryone crossing the bridge, including yourself, will be slowed down by one minute. In other words, the average crossing time o f the users rises by one minute to eleven minutes. You will cross if your marginal benefits from crossing exceed your marginal costs (which in this case equal the new average consumption cost o f eleven minutes for the group o f users). I f you decide to cross, however, the marginal social costs o f our decision will be 1.010 minutes! (the eleven minutes you bear plus the 999 additional minutes your use inflicts on the other users). Thus, from the social perspective, if everyone places the same value on time as you, then you should cross only i f the benefits that you receive from crossing exceed the cost of 1,010 minutes of delay. In practice, nonrivalrous, excludable public goods that exhibit congestion involve quite complex pricing problems; however, the basic principle follows readily from the above discussion. Let us assume that the congestion occurs at regular time periods as demand shifts over times of the day or seasons o f the year (roads at rush hour, for instance). Efficient allocation requires that the price charged users o f the good equal the marginal costs imposed on other users during each period o f the day, implying a zero price during uncongested periods (more generally, price should equal the marginal cost o f production in the absence o f congestion) and some positive price during congested periods (so called peak-load pricing). Many toll goods are produced by private firms. The firms must pay the cost of producing the goods w ~ t hrevenues from user fees. That is, the stream o f revenues from the fees must cover the cost o f construction and operation. T o generate the necessary revenues, firms must set the tolls above the marginal social costs of consumption. Indeed, as profit maximizers, they set tolls at levels that maximize their rent [the area o f rectangle P,a Q,O in Figure 5.3 (a)] given the demand schedule they face. Thus, market failure results because the fees exclude users who would obtain Public Goods .84 Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 The privileged group case is illustrated in Figure 5.4, where three consumers receive benefits from the good according t o their marginal benefit schedules. For example, the three might be owners of recreational facilities in a valley and the good might be spraying t o control mosquitoes. The marginal benefit schedule o f person three (D3)is high relative to the marginal benefit schedules o f persons one and two. (By relatively high, w e mean that at any quantity, person three places a much higher marginal value on having an additional unit than do the other t w o persons.) In fact, it is sufficiently high that person three will be willing t o purchase Q3 o f the good no matter what the other t w o persons do. (Person three's demand schedule intersects with the supply schedule a t quantity Q3.)Of course, once person three purchases Q3,neither person one nor person t w o will be willing to make additional purchases. In effect, they free ride on person three's high demand. (We can speak o f person three's marginal benefit schedule as a demand schedule because he will act as i f the good were private, revealing his demand at various prices.) Despite the provision o f higher marginal benefits than the marginal social costs that they impose. The magnitude o f the forgone net benefits determines the seriousness o f the market failure. The problem o f inefficient scale arises in the case o f private supply because firms seeking t o maximize profits anticipate charging tolls that restrict demand t o levels that can be accommodated b y smaller facilities. The result is that the facilities built are too small from a social perspective. Further, the choice o f facility size determines the level o f demand at which congestion becomes relevant. Nonrivalry, Nonexcludability: Pure and Ambient Public Goods. W e n o w turn t o those goods that exhibit nonrivalrous consumption and where exclusion is not feasible-the southeast (SE) quadrant o f Figure 5.2. When these goods are uncongested, they are pure public goods. The classic examples o f such public goods are defense and lighthouses. One o f the most important public goods in modern societies is the generally available stock o f information that is valuable in production or consumption. W i t h certain exceptions, to be discussed below, pure public goods will not be supplied at all by markets because o f the inability o f private providers t o exclude those w h o do not pay for them. Contrast this w i t h the N E quadrant, where there is likely t o be market provision, but a t a price that results in deadweight losses-some positive price generates revenues t o cover cost&ut also discourages some use involving zero marginal social costs o f consumption. The number of persons w h o may potentially b e w f i t from a pure public good can vary enormously, depending on the good: ranging from a particular streetlight w i t h only a few individuals benefitting t o national defense w i t h all members o f the polity presumably benefitting. Because benefits normally vary spatially or geographically (that is, benefits decline monotonically as one moves away from a particular point on the map), w e commonly distinguish among local, regional, national, intemational, and even global public goods. While this is a convenient way o f grouping persons w h o receive benefits, i t is only one o f many potential ways. For example, persons who place positive values on wilderness areas in the Sierras may be spread all over North America-indeed, all over the world. Some, or even most, o f those who actually reside in the Sierras may not be included in this category because their private interests depend upon commercial or agricultural development o f the area rather than upon preservation. W e have already touched briefly on the major problem in the SE quadrant. People who would actually receive some level o f positive benefits, if the good is provided, often do not have an incentive t o reveal honestly the magnitude o f these benefits: If contributions for the public good are t o be based on benefit levels, then individuals generally have an incentive t o understate their benefit levels; if contributions are not tied t o benefit levels, then individuals may have an incentive to overstate their benefit levels to obtain a larger supply. Typically, the larger the number o f beneficiaries, the less likely is any individual t o reveal his or her preferences. In such situations, private supply is unlikely. As Mancur Olson has pointed out, however, t w o spectfic situations can result in market supply o f pure public goods.4 H e labels these situations the privileged group and the intermediate group cases. 4Mancur Olson. The Logic of Collective Actlon (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press. 1973), pp. 43-52. 85 Socially optimal level of provision: Q0 Private provision by person three: Q3 Deadweight loss from underprovision: abc I Figure 5.4 Private Provision o f a Public Good: Privileged G r o u p .84 Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 higher marginal benefits than the marginal social costs that they impose. The magnitude o f the forgone net benefits determines the seriousness o f the market failure. The problem o f inefficient scale arises in the case o f private supply because firms seeking to maximize profits anticipate charging tolls that restrict demand to levels that can be accommodated by smaller facilities. The result is that the facilities built are too small from a social perspective. Further, the choice o f facility size determines the level o f demand at which congestion becomes relevant. Nonrivalry, Nonexcludability: Pure and Ambient Public Goods. W e n o w turn t o those goods that exhibit nonrivalrous consumption and where exclusion is not feasible-the southeast (SE) quadrant o f Figure 5.2. When these goods are uncongested, they are pure public goods. The classic examples o f such public goods are defense and lighthouses. One o f the most important public goods in modern societies is the generally available stock o f information that is valuable in production or consumption. W i t h certain exceptions, t o be discussed below, pure public goods will not be supplied at all by markets because o f the inability o f private providers to exclude those who do not pay for them. Contrast this with the NE quadrant, where there is likely to be market provision, but at a price that results in deadweight losses-some positive price generates revenues t o cover cost$ut also discourages some use involving zero marginal social costs o f consumption. The number o f persons who may potentially bergfit from a pure public good can vary enormously, depending on the good: ranging from a particular streetlight with only a few individuals benefitting t o national defense with all members o f the polity presumably benefitting. Because benefits normally vary spatially or geographically (that is, benefits decline monotonically as one moves away from a particular point on the map), w e commonly distinguish among local, regional, national, international, and even global public goods. While this is a convenient way o f grouping persons who receive benefits, ~tis only one o f many potential ways. For example, persons w h o place positive values on wilderness areas in the Sierras may be spread all over N o r t h America-indeed, all over the world. Some, or even most, o f those who actually reside in the Sierras may not be included in this category because their private interests depend upon commercial or agricultural development o f the area rather than upon preservation. W e have already touched briefly on the major problem in the SE quadrant. People who would actually receive some level o f positive benefits, i f the good is provided, often do not have an incentive t o reveal honestly the magnitude o f these benefits: I f contributions for the public good are to be based on benefit levels, then individuals generally have an incentive t o understate their benefit levels; i f contributions are not tied to benefit levels, then individuals may have an incentive to overstate their benefit levels to obtain a larger supply. Typically, the larger the number ofbeneficiaries, the less likely is any individual t o reveal his or her preferences. In such situations, private supply is unlikely. As Mancur Olson has pointed out, however, t w o specific situations can result in market supply o f pure public goods.4 H e labels these situations the privilegedgroup and the intermediate group cases. 4Mancur Olson. The log^ of Collective Actton (Cambridge. Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1973). pp. 43-52. Public Goods 85 The privileged group case is illustrated in Figure 5.4, where three consumers receive benefits from the good according t o their marginal benefit schedules. For example, the three might be owners o f recreational facilities in a valley and the good might be spraying to control mosquitoes. The marginal benefit schedule o f person three (03) is high relative t o the marginal benefit schedules of persons one and two. (By relatively high, we mean that at any quantity, person three places a much higher marginal value on having an additional unit than do the other t w o persons.) In fact, it is sufficiently high that person three w ~ l be l willing to purchase Q3 o f the good no matter what the other t w o persons do. (Person three's demand schedule intersects with the supply schedule at quantity Q3.) Of course, once person three purchases Q3, neither person one nor person t w o will be willing to make additional purchases. In effect, they free ride on person three's high demand. (We can speak o f person three's marginal benefit schedule as a demand schedule because he will act as if the good were private, revealing his demand at various prices.) Despite the provision o f demand Socially optimal level of provision: Qo Private provision by person three: Q3 Deadweight loss from underprovision: abc Figure 5.4 Private Provision of a Public Good: Privileged Group Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 Q, units of the public good. compared t o the socially efficient level Qo, social surplus is lower by the area of triangle abc. In this case, the demand of person three makes up such a large fraction of total demand that the amount purchased (Q3) is fairly close t o the economically efficient level ( Q o ) In this sense, the three persons form a privileged group. Even when no d, some one person has a sufficiently high demand t o make a group ~ r i v i l e ~ ehowever, provision of the good may result if the group is sufficiently small so that members can negotiate directly among themselves. W e recognize such a group as "intermediate" between privileged and unprivileged: t w o or more members may, for whatever reasons, voluntarily join together t o provide some of the good, although usually a t less than the economically efficient level. lntemediate groups are generally small, or a t least have a small number of members w h o account for a large fraction of total demand. T h e situation just described closely resembles a positive externality (benefits accruing t o third parties t o market transactions), which w e discuss in detail in the next section. Clearly, if ~ e r s o n one s and t w o did not agree t o finance jointly the public good a t the efficient level (Qo), they would nevertheless receive benefits from Q3. the amount purchased by person three. Through the purchase of Q3, person three receives the private consumer surplus benefit given by the area of triangle P3bd and confers an external (to himself) consumer surplus benefit of area b c g on the other group members. For analytic convenience, however, w e maintain a distinction between public goods and positive externalities. W e reStrict the definition of an externality t o those situations where provision of a good necessarily requires the joint production of a private good and a public good. We reserve the;public good cclssification for those cases where there is no joint production. So, for example, mosquito control poses a public good problem, while chemical waste produced as a by-product of manufacturing poses an externality problem. In many situations. large numbers of individuals would benefit from the provision of a public good where no small group receives a disproportionate share of total benefits. Such "large-number" cases present the free rider problem with a vengeance. In situations involving large numbers, each person's demand is extremely small relative t o total demand and t o the cost of provision. T h e rational individual compares his individual marginal benefits and costs. Taking as an example national defense, the logic is likely t o be a s follows: My monetary contribution t o the financing of national defense will be infinites~mal;therefore, if I do not contribute and everyone else does, the level of defense provided, from which I cannot be effectively excluded, will be essentially the same as ~f1 did contribute. O n the other hand, if I contribute and others d o not, national defense will not be provided anyway. Either way, I am better off not contributing. (As w e will discuss below, free riding arises in other contexts besides the market provision of public goods; it can also occur when attempts are made t o supply the economically efficient quantity of the public good through public sector mechanisms.) T o summarize, then, the free rider problem exists because in the large numbers case it is usually impossible t o get persons t o reveal their true demand (marginal benefit) schedules for the good (it is even difficult t o talk of individual demand schedules in this context because they are not generally observable). Even though all would potentially benefit if all persons agreed t o contribute t o the financing of the good so that their average contributions (in effect, the price they each paid per unit Public Goods 87 supplied) just equaled their marginal benefits, self-interest in terms of personal costs and benefits discourages honest participation. T h e concept of free riding plays an important role in the theory of public goods. Recently, however, there has been considerable debate among economists about the practical significance of free riding. Both observational and experimental evidence, however, suggest that free riding occurs, but perhaps not t o the level predicted by theory.5 John Ledyard, in a summary of the experimental literature, concludes: "(I) In one-shot trials and in the initial stages of finitely repeated trials, subjects generally provide contributions halfbay between the Pareto-efficient level and the freeriding level, (2) Contributions decline with repetition, and (3) Face to face communication improves the rate of c ~ n t r i b u t i o n . Another "~ survey concludes that higher individual marginal per capita returns from the public good raises contributions, but that free riding problems tend t o be worse in larger groups than in smaller groups.7 In the context of relatively small groups that permit face-to-face contact, such as neighborhood associations, social pressure may be brought t o bear t o make failure t o contribute unpleasant.8 More generally, w e would expect a variety of voluntary organizations with less individual anonymity t o arise t o combat free riding. There has also been considerable theoretical interest in pricing mechanisms that encourage people t o reveal their preferences truthfully, though they have as yet been little used in practice.9 Thus far w e have not considered the issue of congestion in this SE quadrant. Some goods are simply not congestible and can be placed t o the left of the diagonal (SEI) within the SE quadrant. For instance, mosquito control, a local public good, involves nonexcludability, nonrivalry in consumption, and noncongestibility; no matter how many people are added t o the area, the effectiveness of the eradication remains the same. Similarly, national defense, a national or international public good, in general is not subject t o congestion. In contrast, nature lovers may experience disutility when they meet more than a few other hikers in a wilderness area. We label nonrivalrous and nonexcludable goods that exhibit congestion, and thus are appropriately placed into SE2, a s ambient public goods with consumption externality. Air and large bodies of water are prime examples of public goods that are exogenously provided by nature. For all practical purposes, consumption (use) of 'see, for example, Linda Goetz. T . F. Glover, and 13. Blswas. "The Effects o f Group Size and Income on Contributions to the Corporation for Public Broadcasting." Publlc Chorce. Vol. 77, no. 2, 1993, p p 407-14. For another revlew of the evidence, see also Robert C. Mitchell and Richard T. Carson, Using Surveys to Value Public Gmds: The Conttngent Valuation Method (Washington, D.C.: Resources for the Future. 1989), pp. 13349. "ohn Ledyard. "Public G o d s : A Survey of Experimental Research." in John H . Kagel and Alv~n E. Roth, eds., The Handbook of Experimental Economics (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1995). pp. 111-94, atp. 121. 7~ouglasD. Davis and Charles A Holt. Experimental Economrcs (Pr~nceton,N.J.: Princeton University Press. 1993). pp. 332-33. '~homasS. McCaleb and Richard E. Wagner. "The Experimental Search for Free Riders: Some Reflections and Observations." Public Choice, Vol. 47. no. 3, 1985, pp. 479-90. an overview o f Vickrey, Clarke-Groves, and other demand revelation mechanisms, see Dennis C. Mueller, Publrc Cho~ce// (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1995), pp. 12434. or Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 Q3 units o f the public good, compared t o the socially efficient level Qo,social surplus is lower by the area o f triangle abc. In this case, the demand o f person three makes up such a large fraction o f total demand that the amount purchased (Q3) is fairly close t o the economically eficient level (Qo). In this sense, the three persons form a privileged group. Even when no one person has a sufficiently high demand t o make a group privileged, however, some provision o f the good may result if the group is sufficiently small so that members can negotiate directly among themselves. W e recognize such a group as "intermediate" between privileged and unprivileged: t w o or more members may, for whatever reasons, voluntarily join together to provide some of the good, although usually at less than the economically efficient level. Intermediate groups are generally small, or at least have a small number o f members w h o account for a large fraction o f total demand. The situation just described closely resembles a positive externality (benefits accruing t o third parties t o market transactions), which w e discuss in detail in the next section. Clearly, if persons one and t w o did not agree to finance jointly the public good at the eficient level (Q,), they would nevertheless receive benefits from Q3, the amount purchased by person three. Through the purchase o f Q3, person three receives the private consumer surplus benefit given by the area o f tri:ngle P3bd and confers an external (to himself) consumer surplus benefit o f area bced on the other group members. For analytic convenience, however, w e maintain a distinction between public goods and positive externalities. W e re'strict the definition o f an externality to those situations where provision o f a good necessarily requires the joint production o f a private good and a public good. W e reserve the-public good classification for those cases where there is no joint production. So, for example, mosquito control poses a public good problem, while chemical waste produced as a by-product o f manufacturing poses an externality problem. In many situations, large numbers o f individuals would benefit from the provision o f a public good where no small group receives a disproportionate share of total benefits. Such "large-number" cases present the free rider problem w i t h a vengeance. In situations involving large numbers, each person's demand is extremely small relative t o total demand and t o the cost o f provision. T h e rational individual compares his individual marginal benefits and costs. Taking as an example national defense, the logic is likely t o be as follows: M y monetary contribution t o the financing o f national defense will be infinitesimal; therefore, if I do not contribute and everyone else does, the level o f defense provided, from which 1 cannot be effectively excluded, will be essentially the same as i f I did contribute. O n the other hand, if I contribute and others do not, national defense will not be provided anyway. Either way, I am better off not contributing. (As w e will discuss below, free riding arises in other contexts besides the market provision o f public goods; it can also occur when attempts are made t o supply the economically efficient quantity o f the public good through public sector mechanisms.) T o summarize, then, the free rider problem exists because in the large numbers case it is usually impossible t o get persons t o reveal their true demand (marginal benefit) schedules for the good (it is even difficult t o talk o f individual demand schedules in this context because they are not generally observable). Even though all would potentially benefit i f all persons agreed t o contribute t o the financing o f the good so that their average contributions (in effect, the price they each paid per unit Public Goods supplied) just equaled their marginal benefits, self-interest in terms o f personal costs and benefits discourages honest participation. The concept of free riding plays an important role in the theory o f public goods. Recently, however, there has been considerable debate among economists about the practical significance o f free riding. Both observational and experimental evidence, however, suggest that free riding occurs, but perhaps not to the level pre. ~ Ledyard, in a summary o f the experimental literature, condicted by t h e ~ r yJohn cludes: "(1) In one-shot trials and in the initial stages o f finitely repeated trials, subjects generally provide contributions h a l h a y between the Pareto-efficient level and the freeriding level, (2) Contributions decline with repetition, and (3) Face t o face communication improves the rate of c o n t r i b ~ t i o n . Another "~ survey concludes that higher individual marginal per capita returns from the public good raises contributions, but that free riding problems tend t o be worse inlarger groups than in smaller groups.7 In the context of relatively small groups that permit face-to-face contact, such as neighborhood associations, social pressure may be brought t o bear t o make failure t o contribute unpleasant.8 More generally, w e would expect a variety o f voluntary organizations with less individual anonymity t o arise t o combat free riding. There has also been considerable theoretical interest in pricing mechanisms that encourage people t o reveal their preferences truthhlly, though they have as yet been little used in practice.9 Thus far w e have not considered the issue o f congestion in this SE quadrant. Some goods are simply not congestible and can be placed t o the left o f the diagonal (SEI) within the SE quadrant. For instance, mosquito control, a local public good, involves nonexcludability, nonrivalry in consumption, and noncongestibility; no matter how many people are added t o the area, the effectiveness o f the eradication remains the same. Similarly, national defense, a national or international public good, in general IS not subject t o congestion. In contrast, nature lovers may experience disutility when they meet more than a few other hikers in a wilderness area. W e label nonrivalrous and nonexcludable goods that exhibit congestion, and thus are appropriately placed into SE2, as ambient public goods with consumption externality. Air and large bodies o f water are prime examples o f public goods that are exogenously provided by nature. For all practical purposes, consumption (use) o f 5See,for example, Linda Goetz. T. F. Glover, and B. Biswas, "The Effects of Group Size and Income on Contributions to the corporation for Public Broadcasting." Public Choice. Vol. 77. no. 2, 1993. pp 407-14. For another review o f the evidence, see also Robert C. Mitchell and Richard T. Carson, Using Surveys to Value Public Goods: The Contingent Valuat~onMethod (Washington, D.C.: Resources for the Future. 1989). pp. 13349. 6 ~ o h Ledyard, n "Public Gods: A Survey of Experimental Research." In John H . Kagel and Alvin E. Roth, eds.. The Handbook ofExperimenta1 Economics (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1995). pp. 1 1 1-94, at p. 121. 7~ouglasD. Davis and Charles A. Holt. Experimental Econom;cs (Princeton. N.J.: Princeton University Press. 1993), pp. 332-33. 'Thomas S.McCaleb and Richard E. Wagner. "The Expenmental Search for Free Riders: Some Reflections and Observations." Public Choice, Vol. 47, no. 3, 1985, pp. 479-90. 'For an overview o f Vickrey, Clarke-Groves, and other demand revelation mechanisms, see Dennis C. Mueller, Public Choice // (New York: Cambridge University Press. 1995), pp. 12434. Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 these goods is nonrivalrous-more than one person can use the same unit for such purposes as disposing of pollutants.'0 In other words, consumption of the resource (via pollution) typically imposes no Pareto-relevant impact until some threshold, or ambient carrying capacity, has been crossed. Exclusion in many market contexts is impossible, or a t least extremely costly, because access t o the resources is possible from many different locations. For example, pollutants can be discharged into an air shed from any location under it (or even upwind of it!). Relatively few goods fall into category SE2. T h e reason is that as congestion sets in, it often becomes economically feasible t o exclude users so that goods that might otherwise be in SE2 are better placed in NE2 instead. For example, returning to wilderness hiking, once the density of hikers becomes very large, it may become economically feasible for a private owner t o issue passes that can be enforced by spot checks. Wilderness in this context is an ambient public good only over the range of use between the onset of crowding and the reaching of a density where the pass system becomes economically feasible. T h e efficiency problems associated with many of the goods that do fall into category SE2 can alternatively be viewed as market failures due to externalities. So, for example, the carrying capacity of a body of water can be viewed as an ambient public good that suffers from overconsumption. Alternatively, the pollution that the body of water receives can be viewed as an externality of some other good that is overproduced. Rivalry, Nonexcludability: Open ~ c c e s ; , Common Property Resources, and Free Goods. Consider goods in the southwest quadrant, where consumption is rivalrous, but where exclusion is not economically feasible-in other words, there is open access t o the good. W e should stress that in this quadrant w e are dealing with goods that are rivalrous in consumption. Trees, fish, buffalo, oil, and pasture land are all rivalrous in consumption: If I take the hide from a buffalo, for instance, that particular hide is no longer available for you t o take. Specifically, open access means that anyone who can seize units of the good controls their use. W e normally think of open access in terms of unrestricted entry of new users. However, open access also involves unrestr~cteduse by a fixed number of individuals who already have access. But, in these circumstances it is plausible t o talk in terms of ownership--a fixed number of users may share collective property rights t o the good. Given this property right, they have an incentive, and possibly the means, t o reduce or eliminate overconsumption. N o immediate market failure appears in those cases in which the good is naturally occurring and where supply exceeds demand at zero price. A s anyone can take these goods without interfering with anyone else's use, w e refer t o them as free goods (SWI). Thus, although they are theoretically rivalrous in consumption, from an efficiency perspective they are not because of the excess supply. Public G o o d s 89 In situations in which demand is higher so that there is no excess supply a t zero price, w e have what is usually referred t o as an open access resource (SW2). When access is limited t o a defined group of potential users, in other words, entry is restricted, and the users own the good in common, there is common property owners h k . T h e distinction between open access and common property situations requires some elaboration. In the case of common property, the limiting of access to a defined set of persons opens the possibility of self-governance among them that reduces or eliminates inefficiencies." In the case of open access, however, the threat of new entrants effectively eliminates the possibility of self-governance. Even in cases of common property, individually rational behavior by members of the defined group can lead t o inefficiency in a way that may end up being indistinguishable from open access-in such cases common property results in a common property resource problem. Consequently, although much of the following discussion is framed in terms of open access, it is generally relevant t o common property as well. Market failure arises in the open access case from the "infeasibility" of exclusion. Why the quotation marks? Because, as w e will see, open access problems often occur in situations in which institutional features rather than the inherent nature of the goods make exclusion infeasible. For example, in most countries, oil does not suffer from open access because their governments have adopted laws that keep and enforce exclusive property rights t o subsurface resources for the governments themselves. In the United States, however, oil has often suffered from the open access problem because of the "rule of capture," a legal doctrine that gives most subsurface rights t o the owner of the surface property. When different people own separate pieces of property over the same pool of oil, the rule of capture prevents exclusion. Unless all the owners agree t o treat their combined property as a unit, the common reservoir of oil will be extracted too quickly. Nonexcludability leads t o economically inefficient overconsumption of rivalrous goods. It can also lead t o underinvestment in preserving the stock of goods or t o overinvestment in capital used t o capture the good.'' Naturally occurring resources are especially susceptible t o the open access problem. Persons with access t o the resource realize that what they do not consume will be consumed by someone else. Each person, therefore, has an incentive t o consume the resource a t a faster rate than if he or she had exclusive ownership. For instance, deforestation often results when a population relies on a forest as a source of firewood. Further, the availability of underpriced firewood does not give users the appropriate incentive t o Invest in stoves that use less wood, and the fact that anyone can cut and gather wood discourages individuals from replanting o r nurturing trees. Figure 5.5 illustrates the efficiency losses associated with overconsumption when there is open access t o a resource. T h e marginal social benefit schedule (MSB) represents the horizontal summation (remember, w e are dealing w ~ t ha rivalrous good) of all the demand schedules of individuals. The economically efficient level of "Other sorts o f consumpt~onmay be rivalrous. For example, taking water from a river for irrigation is rivalrous: Assuming congestion (positive marginal social costs o f consumption), the water should be treated as an open access resource (SW2 in F~gure5.2) rather than as an amb~entpublic g o d . The same river, however. might be nonrivalrous with respect to its capacity to carry away wastes. See Robert H "Gary D.Libecap, Controct~ngforProperty Rrghts (New York: Cambridge University Press, !989) and Elinor Ostrom, Governing the Commons: The Evolutron of Institutionsfor Collectrve Actron (New York: t~ 1990). Cambridge U n i v e r s ~Press, Haveman, "Common Property, Congest~on,and Environmental Pollution," Quarterly Journal of Economics. Vol. 87, no. 2. 1973, pp. 278-87. "See Michael B Wallace. "Managing Resources That Are Common Property: From Kathmandu to Capitol HIII," Journal of Poiicy Anolysrs and Management, Vol. 2, no. 2, 1983, pp 220-37. a Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 these goods is nonrivalrous-more than one person can use the same unit for such purposes as disposing o f pollutants.10In other words, consumption o f the resource (via pollution) typically imposes no Pareto-relevant impact until some threshold, or ambient carrying capacity, has been crossed. Exclusion in many market contexts is impossible, or at least extremely costly, because access to the resources is possible from many different locations. For example, pollutants can be discharged into an air shed from any location under i t (or even upwind o f it!). Relatively few goods fall into category SE2. The reason is that as congestion sets in, i t often becomes economically feasible to exclude users so that goods that might otherwise be in SE2 are better placed in N E 2 instead. For example, returning t o wilderness hiking, once the density o f hikers becomes very large, it may become economically feasible for a private owner to issue passes that can be enforced by spot checks. Wilderness in this context is an ambient public good only over the range o f use between the onset o f crowding and the reaching o f a density where the pass system becomes economically feasible. The efficiency problems associated with many o f the goods that do fall into category SE2 can alternatively be viewed as market failures due t o externalities. So, for example, the carrying capacity o f a body o f water can be viewed as an ambient public good that suffers from overconsumption. Alternatively, the pollution that the body o f water receives can be viewed as an externality o f some other good that is overproduced. Rivalry, Nonexcludability: Open ~cces;, Common Property Resources, and Free Goods. Consider goods in the southwest quadrant, where consumption is rivalrous, but where exclusion is not economically f e a s i b l e i n other words, there is open access t o the good. W e should stress that in this quadrant we are deal~ngwith goods that are rivalrous in consumption. Trees, fish, buffalo, oil, and pasture land are all rivalrous in consumption: If I take the hide from a buffalo, for instance, that particular hide is no longer available for you t o take. Specifically, open access means that anyone who can seize units o f the good controls their use. W e normally think o f open access in terms o f unrestricted entry o f new users. However, open access also involves unrestricted use by a fixed number o f individuals who already have access. But, in these circumstances it is plausible t o talk in terms o f ownership-a fixed number o f users may share collective property rights to the good. Given this property right, they have an incentive, and possibly the means, to reduce o r eliminate overconsumption. N o immediate market failure appears in those cases in which the good is naturally occurring and where supply exceeds demand at zero price. As anyone can take these goods without interfering with anyone else's use, we refer t o them as free goods (SWI). Thus, although they are theoretically rivalrous in consumption, from an efficiency perspect~vethey are not because o f the excess supply. "Other sorts of consumption may be rivalrous. For example, taking water from a river for irrigation is rivalrous: Assurn~ngcongestion (positive marginal social costs o f consumption), the water should be treated as an open access resource (SW2 in Figure 5.2) rather than as an ambient public good. The same respect to its capacity to carry away wastes. See Robert H. river, however, might be nonrivalrous w ~ t h Haveman, "Common Property, Congestion. and Environmental Pollution," Quarterly Journal of Economics. Vol. 87, no. 2.1973. pp. 278-87. Public Goods 89 In situations in which demand is higher so that there is no excess supply at zero price, w e have what is usually referred to as an open access resource (SW2). When access is limited t o a defined group o f potential users, in other words, entry is restricted, and the users own the good in common, there is common property ownership. The distinction between open access and common property situations requires some elaboration. In the case o f common property, the limiting o f access t o a defined set o f persons opens the possibility o f self-governance among them that reduces or eliminates inefficiencies." In the case o f open access, however, the threat o f new entrants effectively eliminates the possibility o f silf-governance. Even in cases o f common property, individually rational behavior by members of the defined group can lead to inefficiency in a way that may end up being indistinguishable from open access-in such cases common property results in a common property resource problem. Consequently, although much o f the following discussion is framed in terms o f open access, it is generally relevant to common property as well. Market failure arises in the open access case from the "infeasibility" o f exclusion. W h y the quotation marks? Because, as w e will see, open access problems often occur in situations in which institutional features rather than the inherent nature o f the goods make exclusion infeasible. For example, in most countries, oil does not suffer from open access because their governments have adopted laws that keep and enforce exclusive property rights t o subsurface resources for the governments themselves. In the United States, however, oil has often suffered from the open access problem because o f the "rule o f capture," a legal doctrine that gives most subsurface rights t o the owner o f the surface property. When different people own separate pieces o f property over the same pool o f oil, the rule o f capture prevents exclusion. Unless all the owners agree t o treat their combined property as a unit, the common reservoir o f oil will be extracted too quickly. Nonexcludability leads to economically inefficient overconsumption o f rivalrous goods. It can also lead t o underinvestment in preserving the stock o f goods or to overinvestment in capital used t o capture the good.'2 Naturally occurring resources are especially suscept~blet o the open access problem. Persons with access to the resource realize that what they do not consume will be consumed by someone else. Each person, therefore, has an incentive t o consume the resource at a faster rate than if he or she had exclusive ownership. For instance, deforestation often results when a population relies on a forest as a source offirewood. Further, the availability of underpriced firewood does not give users the appropriate incentive t o invest in stoves that use less wood, and the fact that anyone can cut and gather wood discourages individuals from replanting or nurturing trees. Figure 5.5 illustrates the efficiency losses associated with overconsumption when there is open access t o a resource. The marginal social benefit schedule (MSB) represents the horizontal summation (remember, we are dealing with a rivalrous good) o f all the demand schedules o f individuals. The economically efficient level o f "Gary D. Libecap, Contracting for Property Rights (New York: Cambridge University Press. !989) and Elinor Ostrom, Governing the Commons: The Evolution of lnstitut~onsfor Collective Actron (New York. Cambridge University Press. 1990). "See Michael B. Wallace. "Managing Resources That Are Common Property: From Kathmandu to Capitol Hill," Journalof Pol~cyAnalys~sandManogement. Vol. 2 , no. 2. 1983, pp. 220-37. . Chap. 5 Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures MSC MPC ' = ASC I I I I I I I I 'MSB (demand) M P C = Marginal private cost A4SC = Marginal social cost A S C = Average social cost Qo (MSB = M S C ) Socially optimal level of consumption: Open access resource level of consumption: QoA Deadweight loss from overconsumption: nbc Figure 5.5 Overconsumption of O p e n Access Resources Qo, results when marginal social cost (MSC) equals marginal social benefit (MSC = MSB). Each individual, however, takes account o f only the costs that he or she directly bears, that is, marginal private costs (MPC). This private marginal cost turns out t o be the avsrage cost for all demanders (ASC) i f marginal social cost is borne equally (that is, averaged) among consumers. W i t h everyone rationally treating average group cost as their marginal cost, equilibrium consumption will be at QOA, which is greater than the economically efficient level Qo.The shaded triangle abc measures the loss in social surplus that results from the overconsumption. A simple example may help clarify why ~ndividualsin open access and common property situations have an incentive to respond to marginal private cost rather than marginal social cost. Imagine that you are in a restaurant with a group o f ten people who have agreed t o split the bill evenly. If you were paying your own tab, then you would not order the fancy dessert costing $10 unless you expected to get at least $10 worth of value from eating it. But because the actual cost t o you o f the dessert 91 Public Goods will be $1 (the average increase in your bill, and for the bills o f everyone else in the g r o u p $ l O divided by ten people), you would be rational (ignoring calories, your remaining stomach capacity, and social pressure) to order it as long as i t would give you at least one more dollar in value. You m~ghtcontinue ordering desserts until the value you placed on one more fell t o $I, your marginal private cost and the group average cost. In other words, your out-of-pocket cost for an additional dessert is the increment t o your bill. It IS the cost o f the dessert split equally among the members o f the group. But this result is clearly inefficient because you and everyone else in the group could be made better o f f i f you refrained from ordering the last dessert in return for a payment from the others o f any amount between $I (your marginal private cost) and $9 (the difference between the marginal social cost and your marginal private cost). Remember that the problem arises here because you have access to items on the menu at below their real social cost. Note t w o things about this example. First, as the number o f people in the group is restricted to ten, this is a common property situation in that membership in the group is closed. However, remember that we defined open access as including "unrestricted use by those who already have access." If anyone could freely join the group and join in the tab splitting, it would be a pure open access situation. As group size increases, the divergence between marginal private and marginal group (social) costs increases, so that over-ordering increases. Second, in this example, overordering is mitigated by the fact that participants must consume the food at the table. If the participants could take doggie bags, or even resell ordered food, then the incentives to over-order would be even greater. Natural resource extractors, who typically sell seized units rather than consume them, are thus like those who take doggie bags. Modeling common property as a game between t w o potential users makes clear how individual incentives lead to overexploitation from a social perspective. Imagine that two ranchers have access to a grassland. Each must decide how many head o f cattle to graze on the grassland not knowing how many head the other will graze. For simplicity, imagine that the choices are either 50 or 100 head o f cattle. These choices are the "strategies" available t o the ranchers in this game. Each pair o f strategies, shown as the cells in Figure 5.6, yield pairs o f payoffs t o the t w o ranchers given as (Payoff to Rancher I, Payoff to Rancher 2). If each chooses to graze 50 head, then each earns a profit o f $1,000 because the total herd size o f 100 can be ac- consumption, 1 1 1 Rancher 2 50 Head 100 Head 50 Head Rancher 1 100 Head Figure 5.6 Choice o f Herd Size as a Prisoner's Dilemma 90 Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 MSC MPC = ASC I I I I I I I I ' MSB (demand) MPC = Marginal private cost MSC = Marginal social cost ASC = Average social cost Socially optimal level of consumption: Qo (MSB = MSC) Open access resource level of consumption: QoA Deadweight loss from overconsumption: obc Figure 5.5 Overconsumption of Open Access Resources 4 i consumption, Qo, results when marginal social cost (MSC) equals marginal social benefit (MSC = MSB). Each individual, however, takes account of only the costs that he or she directly bears, that is, marginal private costs (MPC).This private marginal cost turns out to be the average cost for all demanders (ASC) if marginal social cost is borne equally (that is, averaged) among consumers. With everyone rationally treating average group cost as their marginal cost, equilibrium consumption will be at QOA, which is greater than the economically efficient level Qo.The shaded triangle obc measures the loss in social surplus that results from the overconsumption. A simple example may help clarify why individuals in open access and common property situations have an incentive to respond to marginal private cost rather than marginal social cost. lmagine that you are in a restaurant mriih a group of ten people who have agreed to split the bill evenly. If you were paying your own tab, then you would not order the fancy dessert costing $10 unless you expected to get at least $10 worth of value from eating it. But because the actual cost to you of the dessert 91 Public Goods will be $I (the average increase in your bill, and for the bills of everyone else in the group$lO divided by ten people), you would be rational (ignoring calories, your remaining stomach capacity, and social pressure) to order it as long as it would give you at least one more dollar in value. You might continue ordering desserts until the value you placed on one more fell to $I, your marginal private cost and the group average cost. In other words, your out-of-pocket cost for an additional dessert is the increment to your bill. It is the cost of the dessert split equally among the members of the group. But this result is clearly inefficient because you and everyone else in the group could be made better off if you refrained from ordering the last dessert in return for a payment from the others of any amount between $I (your marginal private cost) and $9 (the difference between the marginal social cost and your marginal private cost). Remember that the problem arises here because you have access to items on the menu at below their real social cost. Note two things about this example. First, as the number of people in the group is restricted to ten, this is a common property situation in that membership in the group is closed. However, remember that we defined open access as including "unrestricted use by those who already have access." If anyone could freely join the group and join in the tab splitting, it would be a pure open access situation. As group size increases, the divergence between marginal private and marginal group (social) costs increases, so that over-ordering increases. Second, in this example, overordering is mitigated by the fact that participants must consume the food at the table. If the participants could take doggie bags, or even resell ordered food, then the incentives to over-order would be even greater. Natural resource extractors, who typically sell seized units rather than consume them, are thus like those who take doggie bags. Modeling common property as a game between two potential users makes clear how individual incentives lead to overexploitation from a social perspective. lmagine that two ranchers have access to a grassland. Each must decide how many head of cattle to graze on the grassland not knowing how many head the other will graze. For simplicity, imagine that the choices are either 50 or 100 head of cattle. These choices are the "strategies" available to the ranchers in this game. Each pair of strategies, shown as the cells in Figure 5.6, yield pairs of payoffs to the two ranchers given as (Payoff to Rancher I , Payoff to Rancher 2). If each chooses to graze 50 head, then each earns a profit of $1,000because the total herd size of I00 can be ac- Rancher 2 50 Head 100 Head 50 Head Rancher 1 100 Head Figure 5.6 Choice of Herd Size as a Prisoner's Dilemma Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 commodated by the field. If each chooses to graze 100 head, then each earns a profit o f only $700 because the total herd size is much too large for the field so that the cattle gain too little weight. If Rancher I grazes 100 head and Rancher 2 grazes 50 head, then Rancher 1 earns a profit o f $1,200 and Rancher 2 a profit of only $600. If Rancher I grazes 50 and Rancher 2 grazes 100, then i t is Rancher 2 w h o earns the $1,200 and Rancher I the $600. In these strategy combinations, the herd size is too big for the field, b u t the lost weight per head does not offset the advantage t o the more aggressive rancher o f grazing the extra 50 head. A n important basis for predicting behavior in a game is the Nash equilibrium. In a two-person game, a pair o f strategies is a Nash equilibrium if, given the strategy o f the other player, neither player wishes t o change strategies. In the game at hand, i t is clear that each rancher restricting his herd size to 50 head is not a Nash equilibrium-ither rancher could raise his profit from $1,000 to $1,200 b y switching t o 100 head. But i f only one switched t o 100 head, the other could raise his profits from $600 to $700. Only when both choose 100 head would neither player have an incentive t o move back to 50 head. Thus, the only Nash equilibrium in this game is for both t o choose herds o f 100 head. That this equilibrium is Pareto inefficient is clear-ach would be made better-off i f he chose a herd o f 50 head. Games w i t h similar structure, called Prisoner's Dilemmas, are widely used by . ' ~ are called noncooperative social scientists t o model problems o f c ~ o ~ e r a t i o nThey games because o f the assumption that the players cannot make b~ndingcommitments t o strategies before they must be chosen. If i t were possible t o make binding commitments, then w e could imagine the ranchers cooperating b y agreeing to limit their heard sizes t o 50 head before strategies are chosen. As this gape is only played one time, it is called a single-play game. One could imag~nethat the ranchers faced the problem o f choosing heard sizes each year. I t might then be reasonable to model their interaction as a repeatcdgame consisting o f successive plays o f the single-play, or stage, game. If the repeated game consists o f an infinite, or uncertain, number o f repetitions, and players give sufficient weight t o future payoffs relative to current payoffs, then cooperative equilibria may emerge that involve each repeatedly choosing strateg~esthat would not be equilibria in the stage game. (We return t o these ideas when w e discuss corporate culture and leadership in Chapter 14.) Natural resources (both renewable and nonrenewable) have the potential for yielding scarcity rents-returns in excess o f the cost of production-because In instances o f open access, these rents may be completely dissipated. In Figure 5.5, for instance, consumption at the economically efficient level Qowould yield rent equal t o the area o f rectangle PoadACo.The economically efficient harvesting o f salmon, for example, requires catch limits that keep the market price above the marginal costs o f harvesting. In the absence o f exclusion, however, these rents may well be completely dissipated.I4 ( A t consumption level QoA In Figure 5.5, there is no rent.) The reason is that fishermen will continue t o enter the industry (and those already in "For introductions to game theory, see James D. Morrow, Game Theoryfor Politico1 Scientists (Princeton. N . J.: Princeton University Press. 1994) and Martin J. Osborne and Ariel Rubenstein, A Course in Game Theory (Cambridge, Mass.: M I T Press, 1994). I4See, for example, L. G. Anderson. The Econom~csof Flshery Management (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press. 1977). Public Goods 93 it will fish more intensively) as long as marginal private benefits-the rents they can capture-xceed marginal private costs. Just as in the restaurant example, each fisherman will ignore the marginal costs that his behavior imposes on other fishermen. If every fisherman is equally efficient, then his marginal private cost equals the average cost for the fishermen as a group. The question o f h o w rent should be distributed is usually one o f the most contentious Issues in public policy. For example, h o w should the catch limits for salmon be divided among commercial, sport, and native fishermen? Nevertheless, from the perspective o f economic efficiency, someone should receive the scarcity rent, rather than allowing it to be wasted. Note that demand for a resource may be sufficiently low so that i t remains uncongested at zero price. Increases in demand, however, may push the resource from a free good (SWI) t o an open access good (SW2). Historically, free goods have been fairly common in North America, includ~ngsuch resources as buffalo, forests, aquifer water, and rangeland. Typically, however, the free goods eventually disappeared as demand increased and excess supply was eliminated.I5 Open access often led t o rapid depletion and, in some cases, near destruction o f the resource before effective exclusion was achieved. For example, open access permitted destruction o f the Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota pine forest^.'^ Nonexcludibility continues to be at the heart of many water use problems in the western United States.17When animal populations are treated as open access resources, the final result o f overconsumption may be species extinction; such a result has already occurred with certain birds, and other animals w i t h valuable skin or fur. Thus far w e have not specified the meaning o f "feasible" exclusion. Many o f the goods we have given as examples appear not t o be inherently nonexcludible. Indeed, one of the most famous historical examples o f an open access resourcesheep and cattle grazing on the medieval English pasture-was "solved," willy-nilly, without overt government intervention, by the enclosure movement, which secured property rights for estate holders. Similar enclosures appear to be currently taking place on tribal, historically open-access, lands in parts o f Africa. I t is useful to dichotomize open access and common property problems into those that are structural (where aspects o f the goods preclude economically feasible exclusion mechanisms) and those that are institutional (where economically efficient exclusion mechanisms are feasible but the distribution o f property rights precludes the~rimplementation). The averaging o f restaurant bills, previously discussed, serves as an excellent illustration of an institutional common property problem. W e can imagine an obvious exclusion mechanism that w e know from experience is economi- "ln the case of the American buffalo, the opening of the rallroad fac~l~tated the huntlng and transportation of hldes at much lower costs so that what had previously been a free good became an open access resource. For an economic analysis, see John Hanner, "Government Response to the Buffalo Hide Trade, 1871-1883," Journalof Law and Economrcs, Vol. 24, no. 2, 1981, pp 239-71. '"ndrew Dana and John Baden. "The New Resource Econom~cs:Toward an ldeolog~calSynthesis," Policy Studies Journal, Vol. 14, no. 2, 1985, pp. 2 3 3 4 3 . I7B. Delworth Gardner, "Institutional lmped~mentsto Efficient Water Allocation," Pol;cy Studies Revrew, Vol. 5, no. 2, 1985, p p 353-63. See also W~lliarnBlomquist and Elinor Ostrom, "Institutional Capacity and the Resolution of a Commons D~lemma,"Polrcy Studies Revtew. Vol. 5 , no. 2, 1985, pp, 283-93. 92' Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 comrnodated by the field. I f each chooses to graze 100 head, then each earns a profit o f only $700 because the total herd size is much too large for the field so that the cattle gain too little weight. If Rancher I grazes I00 head and Rancher 2 grazes 50 head, then Rancher 1 earns a profit o f $1,200 and Rancher 2 a profit o f only $600. If Rancher I grazes 50 and Rancher 2 grazes 100, then it is Rancher 2 who earns the $1,200 and Rancher 1 the $600. In these strategy combinations, the herd size is too big for the field, but the lost weight per head does not offset the advantage to the more aggressive rancher o f grazing the extra 50 head. A n important basis for predicting behavior in a game is the Nash equilibrium. In a two-person game, a pair o f strategies is a Nash equilibrium if: given the strategy o f the other player, neither player wishes t o change strategies. In the game at hand, it is clear that each rancher restricting his herd size to 50 head is not a Nash equilibrium-ither rancher could raise his profit from $1,000 t o $1,200 by switching t o 100 head. But if only one switched to 100 head, the other could raise his profits from $600 t o $700. Only when both choose 100 head would neither player have an incentive t o move back to 50 head. Thus, the only Nash equilibrium in this game is for both t o choose herds o f 100 head. That this equilibr~umis Pareto inefficient is clear-ach would be made better-off i f he chose a herd o f 50 head. Games with similar structure, called Prisoner's Dilemmas, are widelv used by social sc~entiststo model problems o f cooperation.13They are called noncooperative games because o f the assumption that the players cannot make binding commitments t o strategies before they must be chosen. If i t w6re possible t o make binding commitments, then w e could imagine the ranchers cooperating by agreeing to limit their heard sizes to 50 head before strategies are chosen. As this gape is only played one time, i t is called a single-play game. One could imagine that the ranchers faced the problem o f choosing heard sizes each year. I t might then be reasonable t o model their interaction as a repeated game consisting o f successive plays o f the single-play, or stage, game. If the repeated game consists o f an infinite, or uncertain, number o f repetitions, and players give sufficient weight to future payoffs relative t o current payoffs, then cooperative equilibria may emerge that involve each repeatedly choosing strategies that would not be equil~briain the stage game. (We return to these ideas when w e discuss corporate culture and leadership in Chapter 14.) Natural resources (both renewable and nonrenewable) have the potential for yielding scarcity rents-returns in excess o f the cost o f production--because in instances o f open access, these rents may be completely dissipated. In Figure 5.5, for instance, consumption at the economically efficient level Qo would yield rent equal to the area o f rectangle PoadACo. The economically efficient harvesting o f salmon, for example, requires catch limits that keep the market price above the marginal costs o f harvesting. In the absence o f exclusion, however, these rents may well be completely d ~ s s ~ ~ a t e( A d .t ' consumption ~ level QOA in Figure 5.5, there is no rent.) The reason is that fishermen will continue to enter the industry (and those already in I 3 ~ ointroductions r to game theory, see James D. Morrow, Game Theory for Polrtrcal Scient~sts (Princeton, N . J.: Princeton University Press, 1994) and Martin J. Osborne and Ariel Rubenstein. A Course in Game Theory (Cambridge, Mass.: M I T Press, 1994). I4See, for example, L. G. Anderson. The Economics of Fishery Management (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1977). Public Goods 93 i t will fish more intensively) as long as marginal private benefits-the rents they can capture-xceed marginal private costs. Just as in the restaurant example, each fisherman will ignore the marginal costs that his behavior imposes on other fishermen. If every fisherman is equally efficient, then his marginal private cost equals the average cost for the fishermen as a group. The question o f h o w rent should be distributed is usually one of the most contentious issues in public policy. For example, h o w should the catch limits for salmon be divided among commercial, sport, and native fishermen? Nevertheless, from the perspective of economic efficiency, someone should receive the scarcity rent, rather than allowing i t to be wasted. Note that demand for a resource may be sufficiently low so that i t remains uncongested at zero price. Increases in demand, however, may push the resource from a free good (SWI) to an open access good (SW2). Historically, free goods have been fairly common in North America, including such resources as buffalo, forests, aquifer water, and rangeland. Typically, however, the free goods eventually disappeared as demand increased and excess supply was eliminated.I5 Open access often led t o rapid depletion and, in some cases, near destruction o f the resource before effective exclusion was achieved. For example, open access permitted destruction o f the Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota pine forests.I6 Nonexcludibility continues to be at the heart of many water use problems in the western United 5tates.l7 When animal populations are treated as open access resources, the final result o f overconsumption may be species extinction; such a result has already occurred with certain birds, and other animals with valuable skin or fur. Thus far we have not specified the meaning o f "feasible" exclusion. Many o f the goods we have given as examples appear not to be inherently nonexcludible. Indeed, one of the most famous historical examples of an open access resourcesheep and cattle grazing on the medieval English pasture-was "solved," willy-nilly, without overt government intervention, by the enclosure movement, which secured property rights for estate holders. Similar enclosures appear to be currently taking place on tribal, historically open-access, lands in parts o f Africa. It is useful to dichotomize open access and common property problems into those that are structural (where aspects of the goods preclude economically feasible exclusion mechanisms) and those that are institutional (where economically efficient exclusion mechanisms are feasible but the distribution o f property rights precludes their implementation). The averaging o f restaurant bills, previously discussed, serves as an excellent illustration of an institutional common property problem. W e can imagine an obvious exclusion mechanism that w e know from experience is economi- I5lnthe case o f the American buffalo, the opening o f the railroad facilitated the hunt~ngand transportation o f hides at much lower costs so that what had prev~ouslybeen a free good became an open access resource. For an economlc analysis, see John Hanner, "Government Response to the Buffalo Hide Trade, 1871-1883." JournolofLaw and Economks, Vol. 24, no. 2.1981. pp. 239-71. I6Andrew Dana and John Baden. "The N e w Resource Economics: Toward an ldeologlcal Synthesis," Policy Studies Journal, Vol. 14, no. 2, 1985, pp. 2 3 3 4 3 . "8. Delworth Gardner, "lnst~tutronalImpediments to Efic~entWater Allocation,'' Polrcy Studres Review. Vol. 5 , no. 2, 1985, pp. 353-63. See also William Blomquist and Elinor Ostrom. "Institutional Capacity and the Resolution o f a Commons Dilemma." Policy Studies Review, Vol. 5 , no. 2, 1985, pp. 283-93. Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 cally feasible: separate bills for everyone. Institutional common property resource problems are usually not fundamentally market failures. Rather, they are most often due to the failure of government to allocate enforceable property rights. Typically, the crucial factor in making a distinction between structural and institutional problems is whether or not the good displays spatial stationarity. Trees are spatially stationary, salmon are not, and bodies o f water may or may not be. When resources are spatially stationary, their ownership can be attached to the ownership o f land. Owners of the land are usually able to monitor effectively all aspects o f their property rights and, consequently, ensure exclusive use. Given exclusion, common property resources become private resources that will be used in an economically efficient manner. Without spatial stationarity, ownership o f land is not a good proxy for low monitoring costs and the viability o f enforcing exclusion. It does not necessarily follow that the open access or common property problem could not be dealt with by some form o f private ownership, but it does suggest that ownership o f a defined piece of land or water will not be adequate to ensure exclusion. Allocating fishing rights to specific water acreage where the fish stock moves over considerable distances, or associating the rights to oil extraction to ownership o f land when the oil pool extends under a large number o f parcels, illustrates the difficulty o f creating effective property rights for nonstationary resources. In summary, a stationary good may have common property resource characteristics simply because its ownership is not well defined, perhaps because o f the historical accident that at one time supply exceeded demand at zero price. Nonstationary goods generally require more complex policy interventions to achieve efficiency because the linking o f property rights to land ownership will not serve as an effective proxy for exclusive resource ownership o f the resource. petitive markets are not relevant extemalties because buyers and sellers are engaging voluntarily in exchange. We have already encountered a variety o f externalities in our discussion o f public goods-private supply o f nonrivalrous goods by privileged and intermediate groups (a positive externality) and the divergence between marginal private and marginal social cost in the use o f congested resources (a negative externality). W e reserve the label externalityproblem for those situations in which the good conveying the valued impact on nonconsentingparties is the by-~roducto f either the production or consumption o f some good. As is the case with open access resources and ambient public goods, externality problems involve attenuated property rights because either the rights to exclusive use are incompletely specified or the costs o f enforcing the rights are high relative to the benefits. Secure and enforceable property rights often permit private transactions to eliminate the economic inefficiency associated with an externality by opening up the possibility for markets in the external effect. Indeed, one can think o f an externality problem as a missing market. We will return to this point after discussing a few examples. Common examples o f negative externalities include the air and water pollution generated by firms in their production activities, the cigarette smoke that nonsmokers must breathe in public places, and the unsightliness generated by a dilapidated house in a well-kept neighborhood. Persons who suffer these externalities place different values on them. For instance, I may simply dislike the smell o f cigarette smoke, but you may be allergic to it. Whereas I would be willing to pay only a small cost to avoid sitting near a smoker-say, waiting an extra ten minutes for a restaurant table in the nonsmoking section-you might be willing to pay considerably more-say, waiting thirty minutes or leaving the restaurant altogether. Note that we can think of placing a value on these externalities in the same way we do for the goods we voluntarily consume. Common examples o f positive externalities include vaccinations that reduce everyone's risk of infectious disease and the benefits that neighbors receive from a homeowner's flower garden and nicely painted house. A n important category o f positive externality arises in the context o f communication networks. One more person connecting a fax machine to the existing network o f fax machines provides marginal social benefits that exceed marginal private benefits because everyone already Such positive' on the network has one more interface for potential c~mrnunication.'~ externalities are usually referred to as network, or adoption, externalities. Externalities can arise in either production or consumption. Production externalities affect either firms (producer-to-producer externalities) or consumers (producer-to-consumer externalities); consumption externalites may also affect the activities o f firms (consumer-to-producer externalities) or those o f other consumers (consumer-to-consumerexternalites). In this context, consumers as recipients o f externalities includes everyone in society. Table 5.1 provides simple examples o f each type o f externality. (Keep in mind that sometimes the same activity may constitute a positive externality for some but a negative externality for others.) Classifying a situ- .ation that potentially involves an externality is often a good way to begin considering Summary Returning to Figure 5.2, we summarize the efficiency implications o f the various types o f market failures involving public goods. T o reprise, the major problem with toll goods (NE quadrant-nonrivalry, excludibility) is underconsumption arising from economically inefficient pricing rather than a lack o f supply per se. Congestion usually further complicates these problems by introducing the need for variable pricing to achieve eficiency. In the case o f pure and ambient public goods (SE quadrant-nonrivalry, nonexcludibility), the pervasiveness o f free riding generally leads to no market supply at all. In specific circumstances (a privileged or intermediate group in which one or a few persons account for a large fraction of demand), however, there may be some, and perhaps even nearly efficient, market supply. In the case o f open access resources (SW quadrant-rivalry, nonexcludibility), inefficiency results because individuals do not equate marginal social costs with marginal benefits, but rather marginal private costs with marginal benefits; hence they overconsume (and overinvest in consumption capacity) and underinvest in preserving open access resources. EXTERNALITIES ' ' A n externality I S any valued impact (positive or negative) resulting from any action (whether related to production or consumption) that affects someone who did not fully consent to it through participation in voluntary exchange. Price changes in com- I I8Foran overview o f network externalities, Michael L. Katz and Carl Shapiro. "Systems Competi tion and Network Effects." JournalofEconomrc Perspectives. Vol. 8. no. 2.1994. pp. 9S115. Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 cally feasible: separate bills for everyone. Institutional common property resource problems are usually not fundamentally market failures. Rather, they are most often due t o the failure ofgovernment to allocate enforceable property rights. Typically, the crucial factor in making a distinction between structural and institutional problems is whether or not the good displays spatial stationarity. Trees are spatially stationary, salmon are not, and bodies o f water may or may not be. When resources are spatially stationary, their ownership can be attached t o the ownership o f land. Owners of the land are usually able t o monitor effectively all aspects o f their property rights and, consequently, ensure exclusive use. Given exclusion, common property resources become private resources that will be used in an economically efficient manner. Without spatial stationarity, ownership o f land is not a good proxy for l o w monitoring costs and the viability o f enforcing exclusion. It does not necessarily follow that the open access or common property problem could not be dealt w i t h by some form o f private ownership, but it does suggest that ownership o f a defined piece of land or water will not be adequate t o ensure exclusion. Allocating fishing rights t o specific water acreage where the fish stock moves over considerable distances, or associating the rights t o oil extraction t o ownership o f land when the oil pool extends under a large number o f parcels, illustrates the difficulty o f creating effective property rights for nonstationary resources. In summary, a stationary good may have common property resource characteristics simply because its ownership is not well defined, perhaps because o f the historical accident that at one time supply exceeded demand at zero price. Nonstation-. ary goods generally require more complex policy interventions t o achieve efficiency because the linking o f property rights t o land ownership will not serve as an effective proxy for exclusive resource ownership o f the resource. Summary Returning t o Figure 5.2, w e summarize the efficiency implications o f the various types o f market failures involving public goods. T o reprise, the major problem with toll goods ( N E quadrant--nonrivalry, excludibility) is underconsumption arising from economically inefficient pricing rather than a lack o f supply per se. Congestion usually further complicates these problems by introducing the need for variable pricing t o achieve efficiency. In the case of pure and ambient public goods (SE quadrant-nonrivalry, nonexcludibility), the pervasiveness o f free riding generally leads t o no market supply at all. In specific circumstances (a privileged or intermediate group in which one or a few persons account for a large fraction o f demand), however, there may be some, and perhaps even nearly efficient, market supply. In the case o f open access resources ( S W quadrant-rivalry, nonexcludibility), inefficiency results because individuals do not equate marginal social costs with marginal benefits, but rather marginal private costs with marginal benefits; hence they overconsume (and overinvest in consumption capacity) and underinvest in preserving open access resources. EXTERNALITIES ' 1 ' A n externality is any valued impact (positive or negative) resulting from any action (whether related t o production or consumption) that affects someone w h o did not fully consent t o i t through participation in voluntary exchange. Price changes in com- Externalities 95 petitive markets are not relevant externalties because buyers and sellers are engaging voluntarily in exchange. W e have already encountered a variety o f externalities in our discussion o f public goods-private supply o f nonrivalrous goods by privileged and intermediate groups (a positive externality) and the divergence between marginal private and marginal social cost in the use o f congested resources (a negative externality). W e reserve the label externalityproblem for those situations in which the good conveying the valued impact on nonconsenting parties is the by-product o f either the production or consumption o f some good. As is the case w i t h open access resources and ambient public goods, externality problems involve attenuated property rights because either the rights t o exclusive use are incompletely specified or the costs o f enforcing the rights are high relative to the benefits. Secure and enforceable property rights often permit private transactions t o eliminate the economic inefficiency associated with an externality by opening up the possibility for markets in the external effect. Indeed, one can think of an externality problem as a missing market. W e will return t o this point after discussing a few examples. Common examples of negative externalities include the air and water pollution generated by firms in their production activities, the cigarette smoke that nonsmokers must breathe in public places, and the unsightliness generated by a dilapidated house in a well-kept neighborhood. Persons w h o suffer these externalities place different values on them. For instance, I may simply dislike the smell o f cigarette smoke, but you may be allergic t o it. Whereas I would be willing t o pay only a small cost t o avoid sitting near a smoker-say, waiting an extra ten minutes for a restaurant table in the nonsmoking section-you might be willing t o pay considerably m o r e s a y , waiting thirty minutes or leaving the restaurant altogether. Note that we can think o f placing a value on these externalities in the same way we do for the goods w e voluntarily consume. Common examples of positive externalities include vaccinations that reduce everyone's risk o f infectious disease and the benefits that neighbors receive from a homeowner's flower garden and nicely painted house. An important category o f positive externality arises in the context o f communication networks. One more person connecting a fax machine t o the existing network o f fax machines provides marginal social benefits that exceed marginal private benefits because everyone already '~ positive^ on the network has one more interface for potential c o m m ~ n i c a t i o n .Such externalities are usually referred to as network, or adoption, externalities. Externalities can arise in either production or consumption. Production externalities affect either firms (producer-to-producer externalities) or consumers (producer-to-consumer externalities); consumption externalites may also affect the activities o f firms (consumer-to-producer externalities) or those o f other consumers (consumer-to-consumer externalites). In this context, consumers as recipients o f externalities includes everyone in society. Table 5.1 provides simple examples o f each type ofexternality. (Keep in mind that sometimes the same activity may constitute a positive externality for some but a negative externality for others.) Classifying a situ- ~ation that potentially involves an externality is often a good way t o begin considering ''For an ovewiew o f network externalities, Michael L. Katz and Carl Shapiro. "Systems Competition and Network Effects," Journal of Economlc Perspectjves, Vol. 8, no. 2, 1994, pp. 93-1 15. 96 Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures ' Chap. 5 97 Externalities Table 5.1 Examples of Externalities Positive Negative ProducertoProducer Recreational facilities attracting people who give custom to nearby businesses Toxic chemical pollution harming downstream commercial fishing ProducertoConsumer Private timber forests providing scenic benefits to nature lovers Air pollution from factories harming lungs of people living nearby ConsumertoConsumer Immunizationby persons against contagious disease helping reduce risk to others Cigarette smoke from one person reducing enjoyment of meal by another Unsolicited letters from consumers providing information on product quality Game hunters disturbing domestic farm animals MPC ConsumertoProducer 1 its efficiency implications, distributional impacts, and, ryost importantly, possible remedies. Efficiency Losses of Negative and Positive Externalities Figure 5.7 illustrates the resource allocation effects o f a negative externality in production. In the presence o f a negative externality, firms will produce too much o f the private good that generates the externality. The market supply schedule for the private good, MPC, indicates the marginal costs borne directly by the firms producing it. For example, i f the private good were electricity, MPC would represent the marginal amounts firms have to pay for the coal, labor, and other things that show up in their ledgers. But M P C does not reflect the negative impacts o f the pollution that results from burning the coal. If somehow we could find out how much each person in society would be willing to pay to avoid the pollution at each output level, then we could add these amounts to the marginal costs actually seen by the firms to derive a supply schedule that reflected total social marginal costs. W e represent this more ~nclusivesupply schedule as MSC. Economic efficiency requires that social marginal benefits and social marginal costs be equal at the selected output level-this occurs at quantity Q, where marg~nalsoc~alcost (MSC) and demand (D)intersect. But because firms do not consider the external costs o f their output, they choose output level Q, at the intersection o f M P C and D. Relative to output level Qo, consumers o f the private good being produced gain surplus equal to area PocaPe(because they get quantity Q, at price P, rather than quantity Qo at price Po) and producers lose surplus equal to area PocdPe minus area abd (the first area captures the effect o f the lower price, the second the effect o f greater output). Those who bear the external costs, however, suffer a loss given by the area abce (the area between the market and social supply curves over the output difference-remember, the vertical distance between the supply curves Social Surplus at Qe relative to Q0 Consumer surplus from private good: Producer surplus of firms producing private good: Loses to third parties bearing externality: Social surplus: larger by PocaPe smaller by (PocdP, - abd) larger by abce smaller by ace Figure 5.7 Overproduction with a Negative Externality represents the external marginal cost). The net loss in social surplus is the area o f triangle ace, the algebraic sum o f the surplus differences for the consumers and producers ofthe private good and the bearers o f the externality. (This net social surplus loss is simply the deadweight loss due to the overproduction-the area between MSC and D from ,Q , to Q,.) In other words, Pareto efficiency requires a reduction in output from the equilibrium level in the market (Q,) to the level at which marginal social costs equal marginal social benefits (Qo). Turning to positive externalities, we can think o f the private good generating benefits that cannot be captured by the producer. For example, firms that plant trees for future harvesting may provide a scenic benefit for which they receive no compensation. In Figure 5.8 we illustrate the demand schedule for the private good (trees for future harvest) as D, which also gives the marginal private benefits (MPB). At each forest size, however, the social marginal benefit schedule would equal the market demand plus the amounts that viewers would be willing to pay to have the forest expanded by another unit. MSB labels the social marginal benefit schedule, which includes both the private and external marginal benefits. Market equilibrium Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Table 5.1 97 Externalities Chap. 5 Examples o f Externalities ProducerProker 1 Positive Negative Recreational facilities attracting people who give custom to nearby businesses Toxic chemical pollution harming downstream commercial fishing Private timber forests providing scenic benefits to nature lovers Air pollution from factories harming lungs of people living nearby Consumer contagious disease ConsumertoProducer 1 of meal by another Unsolicited letters from consumers providing information on product quality Game hunters disturbing domestic farm animals its efficiency implications, distributional impacts, and, r?ost importantly, possible remedies. Efficiency Losses of Negative and Positive Externalities Figure 5.7 illustrates the resource allocation effects o f a negative externality in production. In the presence o f a negative externality, firms will produce too much o f the private good that generates the externality. The market supply schedule for the private good, MPC, indicates the marginal costs borne directly by the firms producing it. For example, i f the private good were electricity, MPC would represent the marginal amounts firms have t o pay for the coal, labor, and other things that show up in their ledgers. But MPC does not reflect the negative impacts o f the pollution that results from burning the coal. If somehow w e could find out h o w much each person in society would be willing t o pay t o avoid the pollution at each output level, then we could add these amounts t o the marginal costs actually seen by the firms t o derive a supply schedule that reflected total social marginal costs. W e represent this more inclusive supply schedule as MSC. Economic efficiency requires that social marginal benefits and social marginal costs be equal at the selected output level-this occurs at quantity Qo where marglnal social cost (MSC) and demand (D) intersect. B u t because firms do not consider the external costs o f their output, they choose output level Qe at the intersection o f MPC and D. Relative t o output level Qo, consumers o f the private good being produced gain surplus equal t o area PocaPe(because they get quantity Q, at price P, rather than quantity Qo at price Po) and producers lose surplus equal t o area PocdPe minus area abd (the first area captures the effect o f the lower price, the second the effect o f greater output). Those w h o bear the external costs, however, suffer a loss given by the area abce (the area between the market and social supply curves over the output difference-remember, the vertical distance between the supply curves 3 Social Surplus at Qe relative to QO Consumer surplus from private good: Producer surplus of firms producing private good: Loses to third parties bearing externality: Social surplus: larger by PocaPe smaller by (PocdP, - a b d ) larger by abce smaller by ace Figure 5.7 Overproduction with a Negative Externality represents the external marginal cost). T h e net loss in social surplus is the area o f triangle ace, the algebraic sum o f the surplus differences for the consumers and producers o f the private good and the bearers o f the externality. (This net social surplus loss is simply the deadweight loss due to the overproduction-the area between M S C and D from Qot o Q,.) In other words, Pareto efficiency requires a reduction in output from the equilibrium level in the market (Q,) t o the level at which marginal social costs equal marginal social benefits (Qo). Turning t o positive externalities, w e can think o f the private good generating benefits that cannot be captured by the producer. For example, firms that plant trees for future harvesting may provide a scenic benefit for which they receive no compensation. In Figure 5.8 w e illustrate the demand schedule for the private good (trees for future harvest) as D, which also gives the marginal private benefits (MPB). At each forest size, however, the social marginal benefit schedule would equal the market demand plus the amounts that viewers would be willing to pay t o have the forest expanded by another unit. M S B labels the social marginal benefit schedule, which includes both the private and external marginal benefits. Market equilibrium . 98 Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 99 Externalities ; Social Surplus at Qerelative to Q0 Consumer surplus: smaller by (acd - PocbPe) Producer surplus: smaller by PoabPe Social surplus: smaller by abd Figure 5.8 Underproduction with a Positive Externality results at output level Q, where the market demand schedule and the supply schedule intersect. But i f output were raised t o Qo, consumer surplus would increase by area acd (resulting from increased consumption from Q, t o Qo) minus area PocbPe (due to the price rise from P, to Po), and producer surplus would increase by area PoabP, . The net increase in social surplus, therefore, would be area abd. Again, we see that in the case of an externality w e can find a reallocation that increases soc~al surplus and thereby offers the possibility o f an increase in efficiency. in a seminal article on the externality problem.'9 H e argued that in situations in which property rights are clearly defined and costless to enforce, costless bargaining among participants will lead to an economically efficient level o f the external effect. Of course, the distribution o f costs and benefits resulting from the bargaining depends on w h o has the property rights. Before exploring the issue further, we must stress a very restrictive assumption o f Coase's model that limits its applicability to many actual externality situations. Namely, Coase assumes zero transaction costs in the exercise o f property rights.'' In many real-world situations, transaction costs are high usually because those producing and experiencing the externality are numerous. W i t h large numbers o f actors, the bargaining that produces the Coasian'outcome becomes impossible because o f the high costs o f coordination in the face o f opportunities for a free ride. Nevertheless, Coase's insight is valuable. H e pointed out that in the case o f smallnumbers (he assumes one source and one recipient o f the externality), the allocation o f property rights alone would lead t o a negotiated (that is, private) outcome that is economically efficient. Assuming that individuals make decisions based on the dollar value rather than the utility value o f external effects, efficiency results whether a complete property right is given t o the externality generator (one bears no liability for damages caused by one's externality) o r t o the recipient o f the externality (one bears full liability for damages caused by one's externality). Either rule should lead to a bargain being reached at the same level o f externality; only the distribution o f wealth will vary, depending on which rule has force. Assuming that individuals maximize utility rather than wealth, however, opens the possibility for different allocations under different property rights assignments.21 A moment's thought should suggest why large numbers will make a Coasian solution unlikely. Bargaining would have to involve many parties, some o f whom would have an incentive t o engage in strategic behavior. For example, in the case o f a polluter with no liability for damages, those experiencing the pollution may fear free riding by others. In addition, firms may engage in opportunistic behavior, threatening to generate more pollution to induce payments. Under full liability, individuals would have an incentive to overstate the harm they suffer. Other things equal, we expect that the greater the number o f parties experiencing the externality, the greater will be the costs o f monitoring damage claims. Nevertheless, private cooperation appears effective in some situations. For instance, neighborhood associations sometimes do agree on mutually restrictive covenants, and individual neighbors occasionally do reach contractual agreements on such matters as light easements (which deal with the externalities o f the shadows cast by buildings). Market Responses to Externalities 19~onald Coase. "The Problem o f Soclal Cost." Journalof Law and Economics. Vol. 3, no. 1, pp. Will the market always fail to provide an efficient output level in the presence o f externalities? Just as pure public goods will sometimes be provided at efficient, or nearly efficient, levels through voluntary private agreements within intermediate groups, so too may private actions counter the inefficiency associated with externalities. The relevance of such private responses was first pointed out by Ronald Coase 1960, 1-44, 'O~ora conceptual discussion o f transaction costs that takes account o f barga~ning,see Douglas D. Heckathorn and Steven M . Maser, "Bargaining and the Sources o f Transaction Costs: The Case o f Government Regulation." Journalof Law, Economics, and Organization. Vol. 3 , no. I . 1987,pp. 69-98. o or a discussion o f this point and a general overview o f Coase, see Thrainn Eggertsson. Eco- nomic Behawor and institutions (New York: Cambridge University Press. 1990). pp. 101-1 10. Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 Social Surplus at Q, relative to Q0 Consumer surplus: smaller by (acd - PocbP,) Producer surplus: smaller by PoabP, Social surplus: smaller by abd Figure 5.8 Underproduction with a Positive Externality results at output level Q, where the market demand schedule and the supply schedule intersect. But if output were raised to Qo, consumer surplus would increase by area acd (resulting from increased consumption from Q, t o Qo) minus area PocbP, (due to the price rise from P, to Po), and producer surplus would increase by area PoabPe. The net increase in social surplus, therefore, would be area abd. Again, we see that in the case of an externality w e can find a reallocation that increases social surplus and thereby offers the possibility o f an increase in efficiency. Market Responses to Externalities Will the market always fail to provide an efficient output level in the presence o f externalities? Just as pure public goods will sometimes be provided at effic~ent,or nearly efficient, levels through voluntary private agreements within intermediate groups, so too may private actions counter the inefficiency associated with externalities. The relevance o f such private responses was first pointed out by Ronald Coase Externalities 99 in a seminal article on the externality problem.'9 H e argued that in situations in which property rights are clearly defined and costless to enforce, costless bargaining among participants will lead t o an economically efficient level o f the external effect. Of course, the distribution o f costs and benefits resulting from the bargaining depends on who has the property rights. Before exploring the issue further, w e must stress a very restrictive assumption o f Coase's model that limits its applicability t o many actual externality situations. Namely, Coase assumes zero transaction costs in t h e exercise o f property rights.'' In many real-world situations, transaction 'costs are high usually because those producing and experiencing the externality are numerous. With large numbers o f actors, the bargaining that produces the Coasian'outcome becomes impossible because o f the high costs o f coordination in the face o f opportunities for a free ride. Nevertheless, Coase's insight is valuable. H e pointed out that in the case of smallnumbers (he assumes one source and one recipient o f the externality), the allocation o f property rights alone would lead t o a negotiated (that is, private) outcome that is economically efficient. Assuming that individuals make decisions based on the dollar value rather than the utility value o f external effects, efficiency results whether a complete property right is given t o the externality generator (one bears no liability for damages caused by one's externality) or: t o the recipient o f the externality (one bears full liability for damages caused by one's externality). Either rule should lead to a bargain being reached at the same level o f externality; only the distribution o f wealth will vary, depending on which rule has force. Assuming that individuals maximize utility rather than wealth, however, opens the possibility for different allocations under different property rights assignments." A moment's thought should suggest why large numbers will make a Coasian solution unlikely. Bargaining would have to involve many parties, some o f whom would have an incentive t o engage in strategic behavior. For example, in the case of a polluter with no liability for damages, those experiencing the pollution may fear free riding by others. In addition, firms may engage in opportunistic behavior, threatening to generate more pollution to induce payments. Under full liability, individuals would have an incentwe t o overstate the harm they suffer. Other things equal, w e expect that the greater the number o f parties experiencing the externality, the greater will be the costs o f monitoring damage claims. Nevertheless, private cooperation appears effective in some situations. For instance, neighborhood associations sometimes do agree on mutually restrictive covenants, and individual neighbors occasionally do reach contractual agreements on such matters as light easements (which deal with the externalities o f the shadows cast by buildings). 19RonaldCoase. "The Problem of Social Cost," Journal of Low and Economics, Vol. 3 , no. 1, 1960, pp. 144. ''For a conceptual discussion o f transaction costs that takes account o f bargaining, see Douglas D. Heckathorn and Steven M . Maser. "Bargaining and the Sources of Transaction Costs: The Case of Government Regulation," JournolofLow. Economics. and Orgonizotion. Vol. 3. no. 1, 1987, pp. 69-98. "For a d~scussiono f this point and a general overview o f Coase, see Thrainn Eggertsson. Economic Behmior and institutions (New York: Cambridge University Press. 1990). pp. 101-1 10. 100 , Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 . Moreoever, there is an important case where Coase-like solutions do arise, even w i t h large numbers o f parties-namely, where (I) property rights become implicitly established by usage; (2) the value o f the externality (whether positive or negative) is captured by (more technically, "capitalized into") land values; (3) considerable time has passed such that the initial stock o f external parties has "rolled over"; and (4) externality levels remain stable. The relevance o f these conditions can best be explained w i t h an example. Suppose that a factory has been polluting the surrounding area for many years without anyone challenging its owners' rights t o do so. It is probable that the pollution will result in lower property values." Residents who bought before the pollution was anticipated will have t o sell their houses for lessreflecting the impact o f the pollution. N e w homeowners, however, will not be bearing any Pareto-relevant externality, because the negative impact o f the pollution will be capitalized into house prices. The lower prices o f the houses will reflect the market's (negative) valuation o f the pollution. In other words, through the house price i t is possible t o get a proxy dollar measure o f the disutility o f pollution. Notice that a second generation o f homeowners (that is, those who bought houses after the pollution was known and capitalized into prices) would receive a bonus i f the existing allocation o f property rights were changed so that the factory had t o compensate current homeowners for existing levels o f pollution. Of course, if there are unexpected changes in the level o f pollution (or new information about the harmful impacts o f the pollution-see our discussion o f information asymmetry below), there will be in effect new (either positive or negative) impacts; in these situations, considerable argument is likely t o occur over w h o has right, t o compensation for the changes. 101 Natural Monopoly manded), then w e say that demand is inelastic and an increase in price will increase total revenue. A good is unlikely t o have inelastic demand i f there are other products that, while not exactly the same, are close substitutes. In such circumstances, the availability o f substitutes greatly limits the economic inefficiency associated with natural monopoly. For example, although local cable television markets have the costand-demand characteristics o f natural monopolies, many substitute products, including conventional over-the-air television, video tape recorders (and, arguably, all other forms o f entertainment) may prevent the cable television companies from realizing large monopoly rents in their local markets. W e should also keep in mind that, although w e stated the basic definition o f natural monopoly in static terms, markets in the real world are dynamic. Technological change may lead t o different cost characteristics or high prices may bring on close or even superior substitutes. The result may be the elimination o f natural monopoly or the supplanting of one natural monopoly technology by another. For example, direct satellite is a direct substitute for cable television, raising the possibility o f greater competition in the distr~butiono f television programming. Allocative Inefficiency under Natural Monopoly W e show a cost structure leading t o natural monopoly in Figure 5.9. Marginal cost (MC) is shown as constant over the range o f output. Fixed cost (FC), which is not shown on the figure, must be incurred before any output can be supplied. Because o f the fixed cost, average cost (AC) starts higher than marginal cost and falls toward it as the output level increases. ( A C = FC/Q M C , where Q is the output level.) Although marginal cost is shown as constant, the same analysis would apply even i f marginal cost were rising or falling, provided that it remains small relative t o fixed cost. Figure 5.9 shows the divergence between the firm's profit-maximizing behavior and economic efficiency. Let us first consider the economically efficient price and output. Efficiency requires, as w e discussed in the previous chapter, that price be set equal t o marginal cost (P = M C ) . Because marginal cost is below average cost, the economically efficient output level Qo results in the firm suffering a loss equal to FC. Obviously, the firm would not choose this output level on its own. Instead, it would maximize profits by selecting output level Q ,, which equates marginal revenue t o ,, the market price will be P , and profmarginal cost (MR = MC). At output level Q its equal t o the area of rectangle P,,,cbPo - FC will result. Relative t o output level Qo, consumer surplus is lower by the area o f PmcaPo,butthe profit o f the firm is larger by PmcbPo.The net loss In social surplus due t o the underproduction equals the area o f the shaded triangle abc, the deadweight loss t o consumers. (As noted in our discussion o f Figure 4.5, unrts o f forgone output would have offered marginal benefits in excess of marginal costs-a total loss equal t o the area between the marginal benefit, or demand schedule, and the marginal cost curve. Again, in Figure 5.9, thrs loss is the area o f triangle abc.) + NATURAL MONOPOLY Natural monopoly occurs when average cost declines over the relevant range o f demand. Note that this definition is in terms o f both cost and demand conditions. In the case o f natural monopoly, a single firm can produce the output at lower cost than any other market arrangement, including competition. While the cost-and-demand conditions establish the existence o f a natural monopoly situation, the price elasticity of demand determines whether or not the natural monopoly has important implications for public policy. The price elasticity o f demand measures h o w responsive consumers are t o price changes. Specifically, the price elasticity o f demand is defined as the percentage change in the quantity demanded (measured in percentage points) that results from a one-percentage point change in price.23 If the absolute value o f the price elasticity o f demand is less than one (a onepercent change in price leads t o less than a one-percent reduction in the quantity de- "Indeed, changes in property values provide a basis for empirically est~matingthe social costs o f externalities. For example, with respect t o air pollution, see V. Kerry Sm~thand Ju-Chin Huang, "Can Markets Value Air Quality? A Meta-Analysis o f Hedonic Property Value Models." Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 103, no. 1, 1995, p p 209-227. Z3Mathematically,if the demand schedule is continuous, the price elasticity o f demand at some quantity equals the slope o f the demand schedule at that quant~tytimes the ratlo of quant~tyto price. For example, with h e a r demand schedule, Q = a - bP, the slope o f the demand schedule (the derivative dQ/dP) is -b. Therefore, the price elasticity o f demand is e = - bP/Q. Note that the elasticity o f a linear demand schedule varies with quantity Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 Moreoever, there is an important case where Coase-like solutions do arise, even w i t h large numbers o f parties-namely, where (1) property rights become implicitly established by usage; (2) the value of the externality (whether positive or negative) is captured by (more technically, "capitalized into") land values; (3) considerable time has passed such that the initial stock o f external parties has "rolled over"; and (4) externality levels remain stable. The relevance o f these conditions can best be explained w i t h an example. Suppose that a factory has been polluting the surrounding area for many years without anyone challenging its owners' rights t o do so. It is probable that the pollution will result in lower property values.22Residents who bought before the pollution was anticipated will have to sell their houses for lessreflecting the impact o f the pollution. N e w homeowners, however, will not be bearing any Pareto-relevant externality, because the negative impact o f the pollution will be capitalized into house prices. The lower prices o f the houses will reflect the market's (negative) valuation o f the pollution. In other words, through the house price it i s possible t o get a proxy dollar measure o f the disutility o f pollution. Notice that a second generation o f homeowners (that is, those who bought houses after the pollution was known and capitalized into prices) would receive a bonus if the existing allocation o f property rights were changed so that the factory had t o compensate current homeowners for existing levels o f pollution. Of course, if there are unexpected changes in the level of pollution (or new information about the harmful impacts o f the pollution-see our discussion o f information asymmGtry below), there will be in effect new (either positive or negative) impacts; in these situations, considerable argument is likely t o occur over who has rrght, t o compensation for the changes. NATURAL MONOPOLY Natural monopoly occurs when average cost declines over the relevant range of demand. Note that this definition is in terms of both cost and demand conditions. In the case o f natural monopoly, a single firm can produce the output at lower cost than any other market arrangement, including competition. While the cost-and-demand conditions establish the existence o f a natural monopoly situation, the prlce elasticity of demand determines whether or not the natural monopoly has important implications for public policy. The price elasticity o f demand measures h o w responsive consumers are t o price changes. Specifically, the price elasticity o f demand is defined as the percentage change in the quantity demanded (measured in percentage points) that results from a one-percentage point change in price.23If the absolute value o f the price elasticity o f demand is less than one (a onepercent change in price leads t o less than a one-percent reduction in the quantity de- 221ndeed,changes In property values provlde a bass for empirically estimating the social costs of externaltties. For example, with respect to air pollut~on,see V. Kerry Smith and Ju-Chin Huang, "Can Markets Value Air Qualrty? A Meta-Analys~so f Hedonic Property Value Models," Journal of Political Economy. Vol. 103, no. 1. 1995, pp 209-227. 23Mathematlcally, if the demand schedule IS continuous, the price elasticity o f demand at some quantity equals the slope o f the demand schedule at that quantity tlmes the ratlo of quantity to price. For example, wtth linear demand schedule, Q = a - bP, the slope o f the demand schedule (the derivative Natural Monopoly manded), then w e say that demand is inelastic and an increase in price will increase total revenue. A good is unlikely t o have inelastic demand i f there are other products that, while not exactly the same, are close substitutes. In such circumstances, the availability o f substitutes greatly limits the economic inefficiency associated with natural monopoly. For example, although local cable television markets have the costand-demand characteristics o f natural monopolies, many substitute products, including conventional over-the-air television, video tape recorders (and, arguably, all other forms o f entertainment) may prevent the cable television companies from reallzing large monopoly rents in their local markets. W e should also keep in mind that, although w e stated the basic definition o f natural monopoly in static terms, markets in the real world are dynamic. Technological change may lead t o different cost characteristics or high prices may bring on close or even superior substitutes. The result may be the elimination o f natural monopoly or the supplanting o f one natural monopoly technology by another. For example, direct satellite is a direct substitute for cable television, raising the possibility o f greater competition in the distribution o f television programming. Allocative Inefficiency under Natural Monopoly W e show a cost structure leading t o natural monopoly in F~gure5.9. Marginal cost (MC) is shown as constant over the range o f output. Fixed cost (FC), which is not shown on the figure, must be incurred before any output can be supplied. Because o f the fixed cost, average cost (AC) starts higher than marginal cost and falls toward i t as the output level increases. ( A C = FC/Q + M C , where Q is the output level.) Although marginal cost is shown as constant, the same analysis would apply even i f marginal cost were using or falling, provided that it remains small relative t o fixed cost. Figure 5.9 shows the divergence between the firm's profit-maximizing behavior and economic efficiency. Let us first consider the economically efficient price and output. Efficiency requires, as we discussed in the previous chapter, that price be set equal t o marginal cost (P = M C ) . Because marginal cost is below average cost, the economically efficient output level Qo results in the firm suffering a loss equal to FC. Obviously, the firm would not choose this output level on its own. Instead, i t would ,, which equates marginal revenue t o maximize profits by selecting output level Q , the market price will be P, and profmarginal cost (MR = M C ) . At output level Q its equal t o the area o f rectangle Pmc6P0- FC will result. Relative t o output level Qo, consumer surplus is lower by the area o f P,caPo, but the profit o f the firm is larger by Pmc6Po.The net loss in social surplus due t o the underproduction equals the area o f the shaded triangle abc, the deadweight loss to consumers. (As noted in our discussion o f Figure 4.5, units o f forgone output would have offe'red marginal benefits in excess o f marginal costs-a total loss equal to the area between the marginal benefit, or demand schedule, and the marginal cost curve. Again, in Figure 5.9, t h ~ sloss is the area o f triangle abc.) IS -6. Therefore, the prlce elasticity o f demand is e = - bP/Q. Note that the elasticity o f a linear demand schedule vanes wlth quantity dQ/dP) * Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 103 Natural Monopoly duced QAC in Figure 5.9. Clearly, under these circumstances, the firm can survive because its costs are n o w being just covered. (Note that FC equals PAcefPo.) Although the deadweight loss under average cost pricing is much lower than under monopoly pricing (area aef versus area abc ), i t is not eliminated. Therefore, average cost pricing represents a compromise t o the natural monopoly dilemma. Restraints W h e n Consumer surplus: Total revenue: Total cost: Producer surplus: Social surplus: Monopoly Pricing (P,?,) P,,,cd P,i,cQ,,O FC + PobQltiO P,,,cbPo - FC Podcb - FC Efficient Pricing Average Cost Pricing (Po) (p~c) Pond PoflQoo PAC~QACO FC + PonQoO FC + P o f Q ~ c o - FC 0 Poad - FC Markets A r e Contestable W e can imagine circumstances in which the natural monopoly firm might, in fact, be forced t o price at average cost because o f the threat o f competition from potential entrants. The crucial requirement is that entry to, and exit from, the industry be relatively easy. Whether or not the firm has in-place capital that has no alternative use, capital whose costs are sunk, usually determines the viability o f potential entry and exit. If the established natural monopoly has a large stock o f productive capital that cannot be sold for use in other industries, it will be difficult for other firms t o compete because they must first incur cost to catch up with the established firm's capital advantage. The in-place capital serves as a barrier t o entry; the greater the replacement cost o f such capital, the higher the barrier to entry. For example, once a petroleum pipeline is built between t w o cities, its scrap value is likely t o be substantially less than the costs a potential competitor would face in building a second pipeline. The greater the difference is, the greater the ability is o f the established firm t o fight o f f an entry attempt with temporarily lower prices. Of course, keep in mind that the ability o f the firm t o charge above the marginal cost level will be influenced by the marginal costs o f alternative transportation modes, such as truck and rail, that can serve as substitutes. Much recent economic research considers industries with low barriers t o entry and decreasing average costs, which, because o f the threat o f potential entry, W e expect markets that are contestable t o exare said to be in contestable hibit pricing closer t o the efficient level. One o f the most important debates in the literature arising from the contestable market framework concerns the empirical significance o f in-place capital as effective barriers t o entry.25Most natural monopolies appear t o enjoy large advantages in in-place capital, raising the question o f whether or not they should be viewed as being in contestable markets. abc Net social surplus loss of monopoly pricing relative to efficient pricing: Net social surplus loss of average cost pricing relative to efficient pricing: aef Figure 5.9 Social Surplus Loss from Natural Monopoly 74W~ll~am J Baumol, John C Panzar, and Robert D Wllllg, Contestable Markets and the Theory of Industry Structure (New York Harcourt Brace Jovanov~ch.1982), and Wllllam J Baurnol, "Contestable Imagine that public policy forced the natural monopolist t o price at the economically efficient level (Po).T h e monopolist would suffer a loss o f FC. Consequently, the monopolist would go out o f business in the absence of a subsidy t o offset the loss. Notice the dilemma presented by natural monopoly: Forcing the monopolist t o price efficiently drives it out o f business; allowing the monopolist t o set price to maximize profits results in deadweight loss. Briefly consider what would happen if the firm were forced by public policy to price at average, rather than marginal, cost; that is, i f the firm priced at PACand pro- Markets A n Uprlslng In the Theory o f Industry Structure," Amerrcan Economrc Rewew, Vol 72, no I, 1982, pp 1-15 For a dlscuss~ono f finperfect contestab~lrty.see Steven A Morrtson and Cllfford W~nston, " Emplrlcal lmpllcat~onsand Tests o f the Contestablllty Hypothesis," Journal of Low and Economas, Vol 30, no 1, 1987 pp 53-66 25Forevidence that the U.S. Postal Service, for example, may have few natural monopoly characteristics, see Alan L. Sorkin, The Economics of the Postal Service (Lexington, Mass.: Lexington Books, 1980). Chapter 4; Leonard Waverman. "Pricing Principles: H o w Should Postal Rates Be Set?" in Perspectives on Postal Servlces Issues. Roger Sherman, ed.. (Washington. D.C.: American Enterprise Instit~lte, 1980), pp. 7-26. R a t i o n a l e s f o r P u b l i c P o l i c y : M a r k e t Failures Chap. 5 Natural Monopoly 103 duced QAC in Figure 5.9. Clearly, under these circumstances, the firm can survive because its costs are now being just covered. (Note that FC equals PAcef Po.) Although the deadweight loss under average cost pricing is much lower than under monopoly pricing (area aef versus area abc ), i t is not eliminated. Therefore, average cost pricing represents a compromise t o the natural monopoly dilemma. Restraints When Markets Are Contestable Consumer surplus: Total revenue: Total cost: Producer surplus: Social surplus: Monopoly Pricing (Pllt) P111cd Prii~QiiiO FC + PobQll,O P,,,cbPo- FC Podcb - FC Efficient Pricing Average Cost Pricing (Po) ( p ~ ~ ) Poad PoaQoo PAC~QACO FC + PonQoO FC + P o f Q ~ c o - FC 0 Poad - FC W e can imagine circumstances in which the natural monopoly firm might, in fact, be forced to price at average cost because o f the threat o f competition from potential entrants. The crucial requirement is that entry to, and exit from, the industry be relatively easy. Whether or not the firm has in-place capital that has no alternative use, capital whose costs are sunk, usually determines the viability o f potential entry and exit. If the established natural monopoly has a large stock o f productive capital that cannot be sold for use in other industries, i t will be difficult for other firms t o compete because they must first incur cost t o catch up with the established firm's capital advantage. The in-place capital serves as a barrier t o entry; the greatei the replacement cost o f such capital, the higher the barrier to entry. For example, once a petroleum pipeline is built between t w o cities, its scrap value is likely t o be substantially less than the costs a potential competitor would face in building a second pipeline. T h e greater the difference is, the greater the ability is o f the established firm to fight o f f an entry attempt with temporarily lower prices. Of course, keep in mind that the ability o f the firm t o charge above the marginal cost level will be influenced by the marginal costs o f alternative transportation modes, such as truck and rail, that can serve as substitutes. Much recent economic research considers industries with low barriers t o entry and decreasing average costs, which, because o f the threat o f potential entry, are said t o be in contestable W e expect markets that are contestable to exhibit pricing closer t o the efficient level. One o f the most important debates in the literature arising from the contestable market framework concerns the empirical significance o f in-place capital as effective barriers to entry.25Most natural monopolies appear to enjoy large advantages in in-place capital, raising the question o f whether or not they should be viewed as being in contestable markets. abc Net social surplus loss of monopoly pricing relative to efficient pricing: Net social surplus loss of average cost pricing relative to efficient pricing: aef Figure 5.9 S o c i a l Surplus Loss f r o m N a t u r a l M o n o p o l y '4William J. Baurnol, John C. Panzar, and Robert D. Willig. Contestable Markets and the Theory of (New York: Harcourt Brace Jovanovich, 1982); and W~lliamJ. Baumol. "Contestable Markets: A n Upris~ngin the Theory of lndustry Structure." American Economic Review. Vol. 72, no. I, 1982, pp. 1-15. For a discussion o f ,inperfect contestabilrty. see Steven A. Morrison and Clifford Winston, "Empirical Implications and Tests o f the Contestability Hypothesis," Journal of Law and Economics, Vol. 30, no. I, 1987. pp. 53-66. 25Forevidence that the U.S. Postal Serv~ce,for example. may have few natul-almonopoly characteristics, see Alan L. Sorkin, The Economics of the Postal Service (Lexington. Mass.: Lexington Books. 1980). Chapter 4; Leonard Waverman, "Pricing Principles: H o w Should Postal Rates Be Set?" in Perspectives on Postal Services Issues. Roger Sherman, ed., (Washington, D.C.: American Enterprise Institute. 1980), pp. 7-26. Industry Structure Imagine that public policy forced the natural monopolist t o price at the economically efficient level (Po). The monopolist would suffer a loss o f FC. Consequently, the monopolist would go out o f business in the absence o f a subsidy t o offset the loss. Notice the dilemma presented by natural monopoly: Forcing the monopolist t o price efficiently drives i t out o f business; allowing the monopolist to set price t o maximize profits results in deadweight loss. Briefly consider what would happen if the firm were forced by public policy t o price at average, rather than marginal, cost; that is, i f the firm priced at PACand pro- Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 As w e have seen, the "naturalness" o f a monopoly is determined by decreasing average cost over the relevant range o f output. In many situations, i t appears that average cost declines over considerable ranges o f output, but then flattens out. In other words, initial economies o f scale are exhausted as output increases. What happens i f demand shifts t o the right (for example, with population increases) such that the demand curve intersects the flat portion o f the average cost curve? There may be considerable room for competition under these circumstances. Figure 5.10 illustrates such a situation. I f demand is only D, (the "classic" natural monopoly), only one firm can survive in the market. I f demand shifts outward beyond DZt o say, D3, then t w o or more firms may be able t o survive because they can each operate on the flat portion o f the average cost curve. Simply because t w o firms could survive at D3 does not mean that t w o competing firms will actually emerge as demand expands. If the original natural monopoly firm expands as demand moves out, it may be able t o forestall new entrants and cap- Natural Monopoly 105 ture all o f the market. Nevertheless, we are again reminded o f the importance o f looking beyond the static view. When considering natural monopoly from a policy perspect~ve,w e often find that legal and regulatory boundaries do not correspond to the boundaries delineating natural monopoly goods. Most discussion of industrial issues tends t o be within the framework o f product "sectors," such as the electric and the telephone industries. Unfortunately, the economic boundaries of natural monopolies are not likely t o conform t o these neat sectoral boundaries. Historically, regulation has often not recognized this unpleasant fact. In addition, the existence, or extent, o f a natural monopoly can change as production technology or demand changes. The telecommunications industry illustrates these definitional problems. In 1982, the U.S. Justice Department and ATGT agreed on a plan for the breakup o f the corporation. The agreement called for a division into t w o parts: the part that could be expected to be workably contestable and the part that had strong natural monopoly elements. Both long-distance services (contestable) and equipment manufacture and supply (competitive) were largely deregulated, while local telephone exchanges were deemed t o be regional natural monopolies.2~imilarproblems w i t h sectoral definitions have not been well recognized in other contexts, however. For example, electricity generation and transmission have typically been treated as part o f an electrical utility natural monopoly, although the evidence suggests that in many circumstances only transmission has the required cost and demand characteristics t o be considered a natural monopoly.27 (Running multiple sets of transmission lines across the countryside would generally be inefficient; having multiple firms generating .,electricity would not be.) Another dimension, apart from the sectoral, where the problem o f defining natural monopoly arises is the spatial. Over what spatial area does the natural monopoly exist? Almost all natural monopoly regulation corresponds t o existing city, county, state, and federal boundaries; but the economic reality o f a natural rnonopoly knows no such bounds-it is purely an empirical question h o w far (spatially) the natural monopoly extends. Again, the appropriate spatial boundaries o f a natural monopoly can change with changes in technology. X-Inefficiency Resulting from Limited Competition Thus far, w e have described the potential social costs o f natural monopoly. whether it prices t o either maximize profits or cover cost, in terms o f deadweight loss caused by allocational inefficiency. The social costs, however, may be larger be- 26~enneth Robinson. "Max~rnlzingthe Public Benefits o f the AT&T Breakup," Journal of Policy 3. 1986, p p 572-97 For discussion o f technological change that eroded the natural monopoly characteristics o f telephone services, see Irwin Madey, Telecommunications America: Markets Wrthout Boundarres (Westport. Conn.: Quorum. 1984). 27 For the case against treatlng any aspects o f the electric ~ndustyas a natural monopoly, see Analysrs and Management. Vol. 5. no. Figure 5.10 Shifting Demand and Multiple Firm Survival (Source: William G. Shepherd, The Economics of Industrial Organization (Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice Hall, 1979), fig. 3.4, p. 59.) Robert W. Poole. Jr., Unnatural Monopolies- The Case for Deregulating Public Utilities (Lexington. Mass.: Lexington Books, 1985). Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 As we have seen, the "naturalness" o f a monopoly is determined by decreasing average cost over the relevant range o f output. In many situations, i t appears that average cost declines over considerable ranges o f output, but then flattens out. In other words, initial economies o f scale are exhausted as output increases. What happens i f demand shifts to the right (for example, with population increases) such that the demand curve intersects the flat portion o f the average cost curve? There may be considerable room for competition under these circumstances. Figure 5.10 illustrates such a situation. I f demand is only D, (the "classic" natural monopoly), only one firm can survive in the market. I f demand shifts outward beyond D2to say, D3, then two or more firms may be able to survive because they can each operate on the flat portion o f the average cost curve. Simply because two firms could survive at D3does not mean that two competing firms will actually emerge as demand expands. If the original natural monopoly firm expands as demand moves out, it may be able to forestall new entrants and cap- Natural Monopoly 105 ture all o f the market. Nevertheless, we are again reminded o f the importance o f looking beyond the static view. When considering natural monopoly from a policy perspective, we often find that legal and regulatory boundaries do not correspond to the boundaries delineating natural monopoly goods. Most discuss~ono f industrial issues tends to be within the framework of product "sectors," such as the electric and the tele~honeindustries. Unfortunately, the economic boundaries of natural monopolies are not likely to conform to these neat sectoral boundaries. Historically, regulation has often not recognized this unpleasant fact. In addtion, the existence, or extent, o f a natural monopoly can change as production technology or demand changes. The telecommunicat~ons~ndustryillustrates these definitional problems. In 1982, the U.S. Justlce Department and AT&T agreed on a plan for the breakup o f the corporation. The agreement called for a division into two parts: the part that could be expected to be workably contestable and the part that had strong natural monopoly elements. Both long-distance services (contestable)and equipment manufacture and supply (competitive) were largely deregulated, while local telephone exchanges were deemed to be regional natural Similar problems with sectoral definitions have not been well recognized in other contexts,however. For example, electricity generation and transmission have typically been treated as part o f an electrical utility natural monopoly, although the evidence suggests that in many circumstances only transmission has the required cost and demand characteristics to be considered a natural monopoly.27(Running multiple sets o f transmission lines across the countryside would generally be inefficient; having multiple firms generating electricity would not be.) Another d~mension,apart from the sectoral, where the problem o f defining natural monopoly arises is the spatial. Over what spatial area does the natural monopoly exist? Almost all natural monopoly regulation corresponds to existing city, county, state, and federal boundaries; but the economic reality o f a natural rnonopoly knows no such bounds-it is purely an empirical question how far (spatially) the natural monopoly extends. Again, the appropriate spatial boundaries o f a natural monopoly can change with changes in technology. X-Inefficiency Resulting from Limited Competition Thus far, we have described the potential social costs o f natural monopoly, whether it prices to either maximize profits or cover cost, in terms o f deadweight loss caused by allocational inefficiency. The social costs, however, may be larger be- 26~enneth Roblnson, "Maxlm~zlngthe Publlc Benefits o f the AT&T Breakup " Journal of Pol~cy Analysrs and Management, Vol 5 no 3, 1986. pp 572-97 For d~scuss~on o f technolog~calchange that eroded the natural monopoly characterlstlcs of telephone services, see I r w n Manley. Telecommunrcatrons Figure 5.10 Shifting Demand and Multiple Firm Survival (Source: William G. Shepherd, The Economics of Industrial Organization (Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice Hall, 1979), fig. 3.4, p. 59.) Amenca Markets Wrthout Boundaries (Westport. Conn Quorum, 1984) 27 For the case agalnst treatlng any aspects of the electrlc Industy as a natural monopoly, see Robert W Poole. Jr , Unnatural Monopolres The Case for Deregulatrng Publrc Utrlrtles (Lexlngton. Mass Lex~ngtonBooks, 1985) Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 '- a, .U MC,, Social surplus loss from efficient monopoly: Minimum social surplus loss from inefficient monopoly: Maximum social surplus loss from inefficient monopoly: Figure 5.1 1 abc aeg net +MC,fgPo Information Asymmetry 107 observed from the behavior o f the firm. The actual deadweight loss, therefore, is at least equal to the larger triangular aeg-the additional loss o f cbeg results because ., output is Qmxrather than Q Some or all o f the very lightly shaded area MC,fgPo represents unneceSsary cost that should be counted as either producer surplus or deadweight 1oss.i I f marginal costs are higher than the minimum because the managers o f the firms Gmploy more real resources such as hiring workers who stand idle, then the area MC,fgPo should be thought o f as a social surplus loss. If, on the other hand, costs are higher because the managers pay themselves and their workers higher than necessary wages, we should consider this area as rent-it represents unneessary payments rather than the misuse o f real resources.,lf, however, potential employees and managers spend time or other resources attempting to secure the rent (say, by enduring periods o f unemployment while waiting for one o f the overpaid jobs to open up), then the rent may be dissipated and thus converted to deadweight loss. Note that in the case o f an unregulated natural monopoly, one would not expect X-inefficiency to occur unless there were a divergence o f information and interests between owners o f the firm and its managers. We put this type o f problem into the perspective of agency theory in our subsequent discussion o f government failures. In summary, natural monopoly inherently involves the problem o f undersupply by the market. The extent o f undersupply depends on the particular cost-anddemand conditions facing the monopolist, and the extent to which the market can be contested. Natural monopoly may involve additional social surplus losses because the absence o f competition permits production at greater than minimum cost to persist. X-Inefficiency under Natural Monopoly INFORMATION ASYMMETRY ! cause natural monopolies do not face as strong incentives as competitive firms to op- \ i erate at minimum cost. One o f the greatest advantages o f a competitive market is that it forces firms to keep their costs down-in other words, the whole average and marginal cost curves are as low as they can possibly be. In the absence o f competition, firms may be able to survive without operating at minimum cost. Harvey Leibenstein coined the phrase X-inefficiency to describe the situation in which a mo(As we nopoly does not achieve the minimum costs that are technically feasib~e.~' shall see, X-inefficiency is not fully descriptive because transfers as well as technical inefficienc~es are often invois-ed.) In Figure 5. i 1 we incorporate X-inefficiency into the basic analysis o f monopoly pricing. But first suppose that we ignore X-inefficiency for a moment. The deadweight loss associated with a profit-maximizing natural monopoly is the darkly shaded triangular area abc (already discussed in Figure 5.9). If we take X-inefficiency into account, however, the minimum possible marginal cost curve is lower than that "See Harvey J. Leibenstem. Beyond Economic Man (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. 1976) and Roger S. Frantz. X-Eficrency: Theov. Evidence and Appl~cations(Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1988). Please note that we do not use the title "information costs" or "imperfect information" in this section. The reason is that information is involved in market failure in at least two distinct ways. First, information itself has public good characteristics. Consumption o f information is nonrivalrousdne person's consumption does not interfere with another's; the relevant analytical questlon is primarily whether exclusion is or is not possible. Thus, in the public goods context, we are interested in the production and consumption o f information itself. Second--and the subject o f our discussion here-there may be situations where the amount o f lnformation about the characterist~cs o f a good varies in relevant ways across persons. The buyer and the seller in a market transaction, for example, mav have different information about the quality o f the good being traded. Similarly, there may be differences in the level o f information relating to the attributes o f an externality between the generator o f the externality and the affected party--workers, for instance, may not be as well informed about the health risks o f industrial chemicals as their employers. Notice that in this context, we are not primarily interested in information as a good, but in the degree o f asymmetry in the information relevant parties have about any good. We thus distinguish between information as a good (the public good case) and information about a good's attributes as distributed between buyer and seller or between externality generator and affected party (the information asymmetry case). Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Social surplus loss from efficient monopoly: Minimum social surplus loss from inefficient monopoly: Maximum social surplus loss from inefficient monopoly: Chap. 5 abc aeg ae&+ MC,agPO Information Asymmetry 107 observed from the behavior o f the firm. T h e actual deadweight loss, therefore, is at least equal to the larger triangular aeg-the additional loss o f cbeg results because output is Q, rather than Q,. Some or all of the very lightly shaded area MC,,fgPo represents unnecessary cost that should be counted as either producer surplus or deadweight loss.l If marginal costs are higher than the minimum because the managers o f the firms employ more real resources such as hiring workers w h o stand idle, then the area MC,fgPo should be thought o f as a social surplus loss. If, on the other hand, costs are higher because the managers pay themselves and their workers higher than necessary wages, w e should consider this area as rent-it represents unnecessary payments rather than the misuse o f real resources.flf,.however, potential employees and managers spend time or other resources attempting to secure the rent (say, by enduring periods o f unemployment while waiting for one o f the overpaid jobs t o open up), then the rent may be dissipated and thus converted t o deadweight loss. Note that in the case o f an unregulated natural monopoly, one would not expect X-inefficiency t o occur unless there were a divergence o f information and interests between owners o f the firm and its managers. W e put this type o f problem into the perspective o f agency theory in our subsequent discussion o f government failures. In summary, natural monopoly inherently involves the problem o f undersupply by the market. The extent o f undersupply depends on the particular cost-anddemand conditions facing the monopolist, and the extent t o which the market can be contested. Natural monopoly may involve additional social surplus losses because the absence o f competition permits production at greater than minimum cost to persist. Figure 5.1 1 X-Inefficiency under Natural Monopoly INFORMATION ASYMMETRY \ F 5 cause natural monopolies do not face as strong incentives as competitive firms to operate at minimum cost. One o f the greatest advantages o f a competitive market is that i t forces firms t o keep their costs down-in other words, the whole average and marginal cost curves are as low as they can possibly be. In the absence o f competition, firms may be able to survive without operating at minimum cost. Harvey Leibenstein coined the phrase X-ineficiency t o describe the situation in which a monopoly does not achieve the minimum costs that are technically feasible.28(As w e shall see, X-inefficiency is not fully descriptive because transfers as well as technical inefficiencies are often invoived.) In Figure 5.11 w e incorporate X-ineficiency into the basic analysis o f monopoly pricing. But first suppose that w e ignore X-inefficiency for a moment. The deadweight loss associated with a profit-maximizing natural monopoly is the darkly shaded triangular area abc (already discussed in Figure 5.9). l f w e take X-inefficiency into account, however, the minimum possible marginal cost curve is lower than that "See Harvey J. Leibenstein.Beyond Economic M a n (Cambridge, M A : Harvard University Press. 1976) and Roger S. Frantz. X-Eficiency: Theory. Ewjdence and Applications (Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers. 1988). Please note that w e do not use the title "information costs" or "imperfect information" in this section. The reason is that information is involved in market failure in at least t w o distinct ways. First, information itself has p&lic good characteristics. Conperson's consumption does not intersumption o f information is nonrivalrous-ne fere w i t h another's; the relevant analytical question is primarily whether exclusion is or is not possible. Thus, in the public goods context, w e are interested in the production and consumption o f information itself. Second-and the subject o f our discussion here-there may be situations where the amount o f information about the characteristics o f a good varies in relevant ways across persons. T h e buyer and the seller in a market transaction, for example, may have different information about the quality o f the good being traded. Similarly, there may be differences in the level of information relating t o the attributes o f an externality between the generator o f the externality and the affected party-workers, for instance, may not be as well informed about the health risks o f industrial chemicals as their employers. Notice that in this context, w e are not primarily interested in information as a good, but in the .degree o f asymmetry in the information relevant parties have about any good. W e thus distinguish between information as a good (the public good case) and information about a good's attributes as distributed between buyer and seller or between externality generator and affected party (the information asymmetry case). Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Uninformed consumption: Informed consumption: Deadweight loss if uninformed: Extra producer rent if uninformed: Figure 5.12 Chap. 5 QU QI nbc PubnPl Consumer Surplus Loss from Uninformed Demand Inefficiency Due to lnformation Asymmetry Figure 5.12 illustrates the potential social surplus loss associated with information asymmetry.29DUrepresents the quantities o f some good that a consumer would purchase at various prices in the absence o f perfect information about its quality. I t can therefore be thought o f as the consumer's uninformed demand schedule. Dl represents the consumer's informed demand schedule-the amounts o f the good that would be purchased at various prices if the consumer were perfectly informed about its quality. The quantity actually purchased by the uninformed consumer is deter- 'OThe baslc analysls was introduced by Sam Peltzman. "An Evaluation o f Consumer Protection Legislation: The I962 Drug Amendments," Journal of Pol~t~cal Economy. Vol. 81. no. 5, 1973. pp. 1049-91. For a discussion o f the empirical problems one encounters in using this approach when some consumers overestimate and others underestimate the quality o f some good, sc ; Thomas McGuire. R~chardNelson, and Thomas Spavins. "'An Evaluation o f Consumer Protection Legislation: The 1962 Drug Amendments': A Comment." JournalofPol~t~cal Economy, Vol. 83, no. 3. 1975. pp. 655-61. Information Asymmetry 109 mined by the intersection of Du with the supply schedule, 5.This amount, QU, is greater than Q,, the amount that the consumer would have purchased if fully informed about the quality o f the good. The darkly shaded area abc equals the deadweight loss in consumer surplus resulting from the overconsumption. (For each unit purchased beyond QI, the consumer pays more than its marginal value as measured by the height o f the informed demand schedule.) This excess consumption also results in a higher equilibrium price (PU) which transfers surplus equal to the area PubaP, from the consumer to the producer o f the good. Figure 5.12 signals the presence o f information asymmetry if the producer could have informed the consumer about the true quality o f the good at a cost less than the deadweight loss in consumer surplus resulting when the consumer remains uninformed. More generally, we have market failure due to information asymmetry when the producer does not supply the amount o f information that maximizes the difference between the reduction in deadweight loss and the cost o f providing the information. The same sort o f reasoning would apply if the consumer underestimated rather than overestimated the quality o f the good. The consumer would suffer a deadweight loss resulting from consuming less than QI. The incentives that the producer faces to provide the information, however, can be quite different in the two cases. In the case where the consumer overestimates quality, providing information results in a lower price and therefore a smaller transfer o f surplus from the consumer to the producer-an apparent disincentive to provide the information. In the case where the consumer underestimates quality, providing information results in a higher price that increases producer surplus-the prospect o f this gain may encourage the producer to supply information. As we discuss later, however, this incentive to provide information can be muted i f producers are unable to get consumers to distinguish their products from those o f competitors. Diagnosing lnformation Asymmetry Our first task in deciding when information asymmetry is likely to lead to market failure is to classify goods into useful categories. Economists have generally divided goods into two categories: search goods and experience goods.30A good is a search good i f consumers can determine its characteristics with certainty prior to purchase. For example, a chair is a search good because consumers can judge its quality through inspection prior to purchase. A good is an experience good i f consumers can determine its characteristics only after purchase; examples include meals, hair styling, concerts, legal services, and used automobiles. W e add a third category, which we call post-experience goods, to distinguish those goods for which it is difficult for consumers to determine quality even after they have begun consumption. For example, people may fail to associate adverse health effects with drugs that they are consuming. Experience goods and post-experience goods differ primarily in terms o f how effectively consumers can learn about quality through consumption. After some period o f consumption, the quality o f the experience goods generally be- '@The dlsttnction between search and experience goods was introduced by Philip Nelson, "lnformation and Consumer Behavior," Journal of Polit~calEconomy, Vol. 78, no. 2, 1970, pp. 311-29. ,% ; ,, ' Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Uninformed consumption: Informed consumption: Deadweight loss if uninformed: Extra producer rent if uninformed: Figure 5.12 Chap. 5 QU QI nbc PubnPI Consumer Surplus Loss from Uninformed D e m a n d Inefficiency Due to lnformation Asymmetry F~gure5.12 illustrates the potential social surplus loss associated w i t h information asymmetry.29DUrepresents the quantities o f some good that a consumer would purchase at various prices In the absence o f perfect information about ~ t squality. It can therefore be thought o f as the consumer's uninformed demand schedule. D, represents the consumer's informed demand schedule-the amounts o f the good that would be purchased at various prices i f the consumer were perfectly informed about its quality. The quantity actually purchased by the uninformed consumer is deter- k i '"The bastc analysts was Introduced by Sam Peltzman, "An Evaluation of Consumer Protectton Legtslatton The 1962 Drug Amendments." Journal of Politrcal Economy. Vol 81, no 5, 1973, pp 1049-91 For a dtscuss~ono f the emplrtcal problems one encounters In ustng thls approach when some consumers overesttmate and others underestimate the qualtty o f some good, sr . Thomas McGutre. R~chardNelson, and Thomas Spavtns. "'An Evaluatton o f Consumer Protect~onLegtslat~onThe 1962 Drug Amendments' A Comment " Journal ofPolrtrcal Economy. Vol 83, no 3, 1975, pp 655-61 Information Asymmetry 109 mined by the intersection o f DUwith the supply schedule, S.This amount. QU, is greater than Q1, the amount that the consumer would have purchased if fully informed about the quality o f the good. The darkly shaded area abc equals the deadweight loss in consumer surplus resulting from the overconsumption. (For each unit purchased beyond QI, the consumer pays more than its marginal value as measured by the height o f the informed demand schedule.) This excess consumption also results in a higher equilibrium price (PU) which transfers surplus equal t o the area PUbaP, from the consumer t o the producer o f the good. Figure 5.12 signals the presence o f information asymmetry if the producer could have informed the consumer about the true quality o f the good at a cost less than the deadweight loss in consumer surplus resulting when the consumer remains uninformed. More generally, w e have market failure due t o information asymmetry when the producer does not supply the amount o f inforrnat~onthat maximizes the difference between the reduction in deadweight loss and the cost o f providing the information. The same sort o f reasoning would apply if the consumer underestimated rather than overestimated the quality o f the good. The consumer would suffer a deadweight loss resulting from consuming less than QI. The incentives that the producer faces t o provide the information, however, can be quite different in the t w o cases. In the case where the consumer overestimates quality, providing information results in a lower price and therefore a smaller transfer o f surplus from the consumer t o the producer-an apparent disincentive t o provide the information. In the case where the consumer underestimates quality, providing information results in a higher price that increases producer surplus-the prospect o f this gain may encourage the producer t o supply information. A s w e discuss later, however, this incentive t o provide information can be muted i f producers are unable t o get consumers t o distinguish their products from those o f competitors. Diagnosing lnformation Asymmetry O u r first task in deciding when information asymmetry is likely t o lead t o market failure is t o classifj, goods into useful categories. Economists have generally divided goods into t w o categories: search goods and experrence goods.30 A good is a ,, search good if consumers can determine its characteristics with certainty prior t o , purchase. For example, a chair is a search good because consumers can judge its 1 quality through inspection prior t o purchase. A good is an experience good if con- .' sumers can determine its characteristics only after purchase; examples include meals, hair styling, concerts, legal services, and used automobiles. W e add a third category, which w e call post-experience goods, t o distinguish those goods for which it is difficult for consumers t o determine quality even after they have begun consumption. For example, people may fail t o associate adverse health effects with drugs that they are consuming. Experience goods and post-experience goods differ primarily in terms o f h o w effectively consumers can learn about quality through consumption. After some period o f consumption, the quality o f the experience goods generally be- '%e dlsttnction between search and experience goods was Introduced by Philtp Nelson, "lnformatton and Consumer Behavior." JournalofPolitrcol Economy, Vol. 78, no. 2. 1970, pp. 311-29. Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures . Chap. 5 comes apparent; in contrast, continued consumption does not necessarily reveal t o consumers the quality o f the post-experience good.3' Within these three categories, a number o f other factors help determine whether information asymmetry is likely t o lead t o serious market failure. The effectiveness o f any information gathering strategy, other things equal, generally depends on the varrance in the quality o f units o f a good (heterogeneity) and thefrequency with which consumers make purchases. The potential costs o f the information asymmetry t o consumers depends on the extent t o which they perceive the full price o f the good, including imputed costs o f harm from use.32The cost of searching for candidate purchases and the full price determine h o w expensive and potentially beneficial it is for consumers t o gather information. Search Goods. Searching can be thought o f as a sampling process in which consumers incur costs to inspect units o f a good. A consumer pays a cost, Cs, to see a particular combination o f price and quality. If the price exceeds the consumer's marginal value for the good, no purchase is made and the consumer either again pays CS t o see another combination o f price and quality or stops sampling. If the consumer's marginal valuation exceeds price, then the consumer either makes a purchase or pays Cs again in expectation o f finding a more favorable good in terms o f the excess o f marginal value over price. When C, is zero, the consumer will find i t advantageous to take a large sample and discover the complete distribution o f available price and quality combinations so that the pre-search information asymmetry disappears. For larger C, however, the consumer will take smaller samples, other things equal, so that information asymmetry may remain. Additionalty, because the range in price for a given quality is likely to be positively correlated w i t h price, optimal sample sizes will be smaller the larger the ratio o f Cs t o expected price. The more heterogeneous the available combinations o f price and quality, the more likely that the consumer will fail t o discover a more favorable choice for any given sample size. In contrast, even small samples will eliminate information asymmetry i f the price and quality combinations are highly homogeneous,..Once consumers realize that nearly identical units are offered at the same price, the optimal sample size falls to one. Going beyond a static view, the frequency o f purchase becomes important in determining whether information asymmetry remains. Ifthe frequency o f purchase is high relative t o the rate at which the underlying distribution o f combinations o f price and quality change, then consumers accumulate information over time that reduces the magnitude o f the information asymmetry. If the frequency o f purchase is low relative to the rate o f change in the underlying distribution, then accumulated informa- Information Asymmetry 111 tion will not necessarily lead t o reductions in information asymmetry. In either case, however, frequent purchasers may become more experienced searchers so that Cs falls and larger samples become efficient. Thus, i f search costs are small relative t o the expected purchase price,or the distribution o f price and quality combinations is fairly homogeneous or the frequency o f purchase is high relative t o the rate o f change in the distribution o f price and quali t y combinations, then in for ma ti^^ asymmetry is unlikely to lead t o significant ineficiency. In the case where search costs are high relative to the expected purchase price, the distribution o f price and quality combinations is very heterogeneous, and the frequency o f purchase is relatively low, information asymmetry may lead to significant inefficiency. But, i f it is possible for producers t o distinguish their products by brand, they have an incentive t o undertake informative advertising that reduces search costs for consumers. When brands are difficult to establish, as in the case of, say, farm produce, retailers may act as agents for consumers by advertising prices and qualities. Because the veracity o f such advertising can be readily determined by consumers through inspection o f the goods, and because retailers and firms offering brand name products have an incentive t o maintain favorable reputations, w e expect the advertising generally to convey accurate and useful information. In summary, -search goods rarely involve information asymmetry that leads t o significant ahd-persistent inefficiency. When inefficiency does occur, it takes the form o f consumers' forgoing purchases that they would have preferred t o ones that they nevertheless found beneficial. From the perspective o f public policy, intervention in markets for search goods can rarely be justified on efficiency grounds. "See Aidan R. Vining and David L. Weimer. "lnformation Asymmetry Favoring Sellers: A Policy Framework." Policy Sciences. Vol. 21, no. 4, 1988, pp. 281-303. Experience Goods: Primary Markets. Consumers can determine the quality o f experience goods with certainty only through consumption. T o sample, they must bear the search costs, Cs, and the full price, P* (the purchase price plus the expected loss o f failure or damage collateral) with consumption.33The full price o f consuming a meal at an unfamiliar restaurant, for instance, is the sum o f purchase price (determined from the menu) and the expected cost o f any adverse health effects (ranging from indigestion t o poisoning) from the meal being defective. Of course, even when the expected collateral loss is zero, prior to consumption, the marginal value that the consumer places on the meal is not known w i t h certainty. In contrast to search goods, where, holding search costs constant, consumers optimally take larger samples for more expensive goods, they optrmally take smaller samples for more expensive experience goods. Indeed, for all but the very inexpensive experience goods, we expect sampling (equivalent to the frequency o f purchase for experience goods) t o be governed primarily by durability. For example, sampling to find desirable restaurants will generally be more frequent than sampling t o find good used automobiles. As is the case with search goods, the more heterogeneous the quality o f an experience good, the greater is the potential for inefficiency due to information 3 2 fomal ~ specificat~ono f the concept o f full price is provided by Walter Oi, "The Economics of Product Safety," Bell Journal of Econom~csand Management Science. Vol. 4. no. 1. 1973, pp. 3-28. H e considers the situation in which a consumer buys X units o f a good at price, P, per unit. I f the probability that any one unit is defective is I - 9, then on average the consumer expects Z = qX good units. If each bad unit infl~ctson average damage equal to W, then the expected total cost o f purchase is C = PX + W(X - Z), wh~chimpl~esa full price per good unit o f P* = C/Z = P/q + W(1 - q)/q. ''In our discussion o f informat~onasymmetry, we assume that consumers cannot sue producers for damages (in other words. they do not enjoy a property right to safety). As we discuss ~nChapter 9 under "framework regulation." tort and contract law often reduce the inefficiency o f information asymmetry by deterring parties from withholding relevant information in market transactions. I .' ) Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 comes apparent; in contrast, continued consumption does not necessarily reveal to consumers the quality of the post-experience good.31 Within these three categories, a number of other factors help determine whether information asymmetry is likely t o lead t o serious market failure. T h e effectiveness of any information gathering strategy, other things equal, generally depends on the variance in the quality of units of a good (heterogeneity) and thefrequency with which consumers make purchases. T h e potential costs of the information asyrnmetry t o consumers depends on the extent t o which they perceive the full price of the good, including imputed costs of harm from use.32T h e cost of searching for candidate purchases and the full price determine how expensive and potentially beneficial it is for consumers to gather information. Search Goods. Searching can be thought of as a sampling process in which consumers incur costs t o inspect units of a good. A consumer pays a cost, CS.to see a particular combination of price and quality. If the price exceeds the consumer's marginal value for the good, no purchase is made and the consumer either again pays C5t o see another combination of price and quality or stops sampling. If the consumer's marganal valuation exceeds price, then the consumer either makes a purchase or pays C g again in expectation of finding a more favorable good in terms of the excess of marginal value over price. When C5is zero, the consumer will find it advantageous t o take a large sample and discover the complete distribution of available price and quality combinations so that the pre-search information asymmetry disappears. For larger C,,however, the consumer will take smaller samples, other things equal, so that information asymmetry may remain. Additionalfy. because the range in price for a given quality is likely to be positively correlated with price, optimal sample sizes will be smaller the larger the ratio of Cst o expected price. T h e more heterogeneous the available combinations of price and quality, the more likely that the consumer will fail t o discover a more favorable choice for any given sample size. In contrast, even small samples will eliminate information asymmetry if the prlce and quality combinations are highly homogeneous. Once consumers realize that nearly identical units are offered a t the same price, the optimal sample size falls to one. Going beyond a static view, the frequency of purchase becomes important in determining whether information asymmetry remains. If the frequency of purchase is high relative t o the rate a t which the underlying distribution of combinations of price and quality change, then consumers accumulate information over time that reduces the magnitude of the information asymmetry. If the frequency of purchase is low relative to the rate of change in the underlying distribution, then accumulated informa- Information Asymmetry 11 1 tion will not necessarily lead t o reductions in information asymmetry. In either case, however, frequent purchasers may become more experienced searchers so that C5 falls and larger samples become efficient. Thus, if search costs are small relative t o the expected purchase price,or the distribution of price and quality combinations is fairly homogeneous or thefrequency of purchase is high relative t o the rate of change in the distribution of price and quality combinations, then informatio; asymmetry is unlikely to lead t o significant inefficiency. In the case where search costs are high relative t o the expected purchase price, the distribution of price and quality combinations is very heterogeneous, and the frequency of purchase is relatively low, information asymmetry may lead to significant inefficiency. But, if it is possible for producers to distinguish their products by brand, they have an incentive t o undertake informative advertising that reduces search costs for consumers. When brands are difficult t o establish, as in the case of, say, farm produce, retailers may act as agents for consumers by advertising prices and qualities. Because the veracity of such advertising can be readily determined by consumers through inspection of the goods, and because retailers and firms offering brand name products have an incentive t o maintain favorable reputations, we expect the advertising generally t o convey accurate and useful information. In summary,-search goods rarely involve information asymmetry that leads t o significant ahd. persistent inefficiency. When inefficiency does occur, it takes the form of consumers' forgoing purchases that they would have preferred to ones that they nevertheless found beneficial. From the perspective of public policy, intervention in markets for search goods can rarely be justified on efficiency grounds. "See Aidan R. Vining and David L. We~mer."lnformation Asymmetry Favoring Sellers: A Policy Framework." Poiicy Sciences, Vol. 21, no. 4. 1988, pp. 281-303. Experience Goods: Primary Markets. Consumers can determine the quality of experience goods with certainty only through consumption. T o sample, they must bear the search costs, C5 and the full price, P* (the purchase price plus the expected loss of failure or damage collateral) with consumption.33 he full price of consuming a meal a t an unfamiliar restaurant, for instance, is the sum of purchase price (determined from the menu) and the expected cost of any adverse health effects (ranging from indigestion to poisoning) from the meal being defective. O f course, even when the expected collateral loss is zero, prior t o consumption, the marginal value that the consumer places on the meal is not known with certainty. In contrast t o search goods, where, holding search costs constant, consumers optimally take larger samples for more expensive goods, they optimally take smaller samples for more expensive experience goods. Indeed, for all but the very Inexpensive experience goods, w e expect sampling (equivalent t o the frequency of purchase for experience goods) to be governed primarily by durability. For example, sampling to find desirable restaurants will generally be more frequent than sampling to find good used automobiles. A s is the case with search goods, the more heterogeneous the quality of an experience good, the greater is the potential for inefficiency due t o information ''A formal specification o f the concept o f full price is provided by Walter Oi. "The Economics of Product Safety." Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science. Vol. 4, no. 1. 1973, pp. 3-28. H e considers the situation in which a consumer buys X units o f a good at price, P, per unlt. If the probabil~ty that any one unit 1s defective is I - q, then on average the consumer expects Z = qX good units. If each bad unit inflicts on average darna~eequal to W, then the expected total cost o f purchase is C = P X + W(X - Z), which implies a full prlce per good unit o f P* = C/Z = P/q + W(I - q)/q. 331nour discussion o f information asymmetry, we assume that consumers cannot sue producers for damages (in other words, they do not enjoy a property right to safety). As we discuss In Chapter 9 under "framework regulation." tort and contract law often reduce the inefficiency o f ~nformationasymmetry by deterring parties from withholding relevant information in market transactions. / Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 asymmetry. T h e consumption of an experience good, however, may involve more than simply forgoing a more favorable purchase of the good. Once consumption reveals quality, the consumer may discover that the good provides less marginal value than its price and therefore regret having made the purchase regardless of the availability of alternative units of the good. The realized marginal value may actually be negative ~fconsumption causes harm. Learning from the consumption of experience goods varies in effectiveness. If the quality of the good is homogeneous and stable, then learning is complete after the first consumption--consumers know how much marginal value they will derive from their next purchase including the expected loss from product failure or collateral damage. If the quality is heterogeneous or unstable, then learning proceeds more slowly. Unless consumers can segment the good into more homogeneous groupings, say by brands or reputations of sellers, learning may result only in better ex ante estimates of the mean and variance of their ex post marginal valuations. When consumers can segment the good into stable and homogeneous groupings, repeated sampling helps them discover their most preferred sources of the good in terms of the memiand variance of quality. For example, national motel chains with reputations for standardized management practices may provide travelers with a low variance alternative t o independent motels in unfamiliar locales. In what situations can informative advertising play an important role in reducing information asymmetry? Generally, informative advertising can be effective when consumers correctly believe that sellers have a stake in maintaining reputations for providing reliable information. A seller who invests heavily in developing a brand name with a favorable reputation is more likely t o provide =curate and useful information than an unknown firm selling a new product or an individual owner selling a house or used automobile. When consumers perceive that sellers do not have a stake in maintaining a good reputation, and marginal cost of supply rises with quality, then a "lemons" problem may arise: Consumers perceive a full price based on average quality so that only sellers of lower than average quality goods can make a profit and survive in the market.34 In the extreme, producers offer only goods of low quality.35 When reliability is an important element of quality, firms may offer warranties that promise t o compensate consumers for a portion of replacement costs, collateral darnage, or both. The warranties thus provide consumers with insurance against low quality: Higher purchase prices include an implicit insurance premium and the potential loss from product failure is reduced. The quality of a warranty may itself be uncertain, however, if consumers do not know how readily firms honor their promises. Further, firms may find it impractical t o offer extensive warranties in situations where it is costly t o monitor the care taken by consumers. Nevertheless, warranties I I 34The"lemons" argument originated with George Akerlof. "The Market for Lemons." Quarterly 84, no. 3, 1970, pp. 488-500. 35Economjstshave recently considered the role of expenditures to establish reputation as a means for high quality producers to distinguish themselves. See, for instance. Benjamin Klein and Keith B. Leffler. "The Role of Market Forces in Assuring Contractural Performance."Journal ofPol;tical Economy. Vol. 89, no. 4, 1981, pp. 61541: and Paul Milgrom and John Roberts. "Price and Advertising Signals of Product Quality." JournolofPoliticol Economy. Vol. 94, no. 4. 1986. pp. 79621 Journalof Economics, Vol. Information Asymmetry 113 serve as a common device for reducing the consequences of information asymmetry for experience goods. Experience Goods: T h e Role of Secondary Markets. Producers and consumers often turn t o private third parties t o help remedy information asymmetry problems. Certification services, agents, subscription services, and loss control by insurers are the most common market responses that arise. Certification services "guarantee" minimum quality standards in processes or products. Professional associations, for instance, often set minimum standards of training or experience for their members-the board-certified specialities in medicine are examples. Perhaps closer t o most people's experience, the Better Business Bureau requires members to adhere t o a code of fair business practices. Underwriters Laboratories tests products against minimum fire safety standards before giving its seal of approval.36When such services establish their own credibility, they help producers t o distinguish their goods satisfying the minimum standards from goods that do not. Agents often sell advice about the qualities of expensive, infrequently purchased, heterogeneous goods. These agents combine expertise with learning from being participants in a large number of transactions between different pairs of buyers and sellers. For example, most people d o not frequently purchase houses, whlch are expensive and heterogenous in quallty. Because owners typically enjoy an informational advantage by virtue of their experiences living in their houses, prospective buyers often turn t o engineers and architects t o help assess structural integrity. Art and antique dealers, jewelers, and general contractors provide similar services. T h e problem of excluding nonpaying users limits the supply of agents for goods that are homogeneous-ne consumer can easily pass along information that the agent provides t o prospective purchasers of similar units of the good. Inexpensive goods are unlikely to provide an adequate incentive for consumers t o pay for the advice of agents. (Note that the full price is the relevant r n e a s u r e q n e might very well be willing to pay for a visit t o a doctor t o get advice about a drug with a low purchase price but a high potential for harm t o one's health.) Finally, agents are less likely t o be relatively attractive for goods with high frequencies of purchase because consumers can ofien learn effectively on their own. Consumers often rely on the experiences of friends and relatives t o gather information about the quality of branded products. They may also be willing to pay for published informat~onabout such products. But such subscription services, which have public good characterist~cs,are likely t o be undersupplied from the perspective of economic efficiency because nonsubscribers can often free ride on subscribers by interrogating them and by borrowing their magazines. (The very existence of subscription services such as Consumer Reports suggests that a large number of consumers see the marginal costs of mooching or using a library as higher than the subscription price.) 36Foran overview of private organizations that set quality standards, see Ross E. Cheit, Setting Safity Standords: Regulatron in the Public and Private Sectors (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1990). Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 asymmetry. T h e consumption of an experience good, however, may involve more than simply forgoing a more favorable purchase of the good. Once consumption reveals quality, the consumer may discover that the good provides less marginal value than its price and therefore regret having made the purchase regardless of the availability of alternative units of the good. T h e realized marginal value may actually be negative if consumption causes harm. Learning from the consumption of experience goods varies in effectiveness. If the quality of the good is homogeneous and stable, then learning is complete after the first consumption-consumers know how much marginal value they will derive from their next purchase including the expected loss from product failure or collateral damage. If the quality is heterogeneous or unstable, then learning proceeds more slowly. Unless consumers can segment the good into more homogeneous groupings, say by brands or reputations of sellers, learning may result only in better ex ante estimates of the mean and variance of their ex post marginal valuations. When consumers can segment the good into stable and homogeneous groupings, repeated sampling helps them discover their most preferred sources of the goad in terms of the mean,,and variance of quality. For example, national motel chains with reputations for s'tandardized management practices may provide travelers with a low variance alternative t o independent motels in unfamiliar locales. In what srtuations can informative advertising play an important role in reducing information asymmetry? Generally, informative advertising can be effective when consumers correctly believe that sellers have a stake in maintaining reputations for providing reliable information. A seller w h o invests heavily in developing a brand name with a favorable reputation is more likely t o provide *curate and useful information than an unknown firm selling a new product or an individual owner selling a house or used automobile. When consumers perceive that sellers d o not have a stake in maintaining a good reputation, and marginal cost of supply rises with quality, then a "lemons" problem may arise: Consumers perceive a full price based on average quality so that only sellers of lower than average quality goods can make a profit and survlve in the market.34 In the extreme, producers offer only goods of low quality.35 When reliability is an important element of quality, firms may offer warranties that promise t o compensate consumers for a portion of replacement costs, collateral damage, or both. T h e warranties thus provide consumers with insurance against low quality: Higher purchase prices include an impltcit insurance premium and the potential loss from product failure is reduced. T h e quality of a warranty may itself be uncertain, however, if consumers do not know how readily firms honor their promises. Further, firms may find it impractical t o offer extensive warranties in situations where it is costly t o monitor the care taken by consumers. Nevertheless, warranties 34The"lemons" argument originated with George Akerlof. "The Market for Lemons," Quarterly Journal of Economjcs. Vol. 84, no. 3. 1970, pp. 488-500. 3SEconomistshave recently considered the role o f expenditures to establish reputation as a means for high quality producers to distinguish themselves. See, for instance. Benjamin Klein and Keith B. Leffler. "The Role o f Market Forces in Assuring Contractural Performance." Journal of Polttical Economy. Val. 89, no. 4. 1981, pp. 615-41; and Paul Mtlgrom and John Roberts. "Price and Advertising Signals o f Prcduct Quality," JournalofPolit~cal Economy. Vol. 94. no. 4. 1986, pp. 796-21. Information Asymmetry 113 serve as a common device for reducing the consequences of information asymmetry for experience goods. Experience Goods: The Role of Secondary Markets. Producers and consumers often turn t o private third parties t o help remedy information asymmetry problems. Certification services, agents, subscription services, and loss control by insurers are the most common market responses that arise. Certification services "guarantee" minimum quality standards in processes or products. Professional associations, for instance, often set minimum standards of training or experience for their members-the board-certified specialities in medicine are examples. Perhaps closer t o most people's experience, the Better Business Bureau requires members t o adhere t o a code of fair business practices. Underwriters Laboratories tests products against minimum fire safety standards before giving its seal of approval.36When such services establish their own credibility, they help producers t o distinguish their goods satisfying the minimum standards from goods that d o not. Agents often sell advice about the qualities of expensive, infrequently purchased, heterogeneous goods. These agents combine expertise with learning from being participants in a large number of transactions between different pairs of buyers and sellers. For example, most people d o not frequently purchase houses, which are expensive and heterogenous in quality. Because owners typically enjoy an informational advantage by virtue of their experiences living in their houses, prospective buyers often turn t o engineers and architects t o help assess structural integrity. Art and antique dealers, jewelers, and general contractors provide similar services. T h e problem of excluding nonpaying users limits the supply of agents for goods that are homogeneous-ne consumer can easily pass along information that the agent provides t o prospective purchasers of similar units of the good. Inexpensive goods are unlikely t o provide an adequate incentive for consumers t o pay for the advice of agents. (Note that the full price is the relevant measure-ne might very well be willing t o pay for a visit t o a doctor t o get advice about a drug with a low purchase price but a high potential for harm to one's health.) Finally, agents are less likely t o be relatively attractive for goods with high frequencies of purchase because consumers can often learn effectively on their own. Consumers often rely on the experiences of friends and relatives t o gather information about the quality of branded products. They may also be willing t o pay for published information about such products. But such subscription services, which have public good characteristics, are likely t o be undersupplied from the perspective of economic eficiency because nonsubscribers can often free ride on subscribers by interrogating them and by borrowing their magazines. (The very existence of subscription services such as Consumer Reports suggests that a large number of consumers see the marginal costs of mooching or using a library as higher than the subscription price.) j6For an overview of private organizations that set quality standards, see Ross E. Cheit, Setting Safety Standards: Regulation in the Public ond Private Sectors (Berkeley: University o f California Press, 1990). Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 Insurers sometimes provide information to consumers as part o f their efforts t o limit losses. For example, health maintenance organizations (HMOs), which provide medical insurance, often publish newsletters that warn members o f potentially dangerous and unhealthy goods such as tanning salons and certain diet products. Casualty insurers may signal warnings through their premiums as well as through direct information. Fire insurance underwriters, for instance, set premiums based on the types of equipment businesses plan t o use; they also often inspect commercial properties t o warn proprietors o f dangerous equipment and inform them about additions that could reduce their risks o f fire. Experience Goods: Summary. By their very nature, experience goods offer the potential for serious inefficiency caused by information asymmetry. Secondary markets, however, limit the inefficiency for many experience goods by facilitating consumer learning and providing incentives for the revelation o f product qual~ t y Nevertheless, . problems are likely t o remain in t w o sets o f circumstances:,first, when quality is highly heterogeneous, branding is ineffective, and agents are either unavailable or expensive relative t o the full price o f the good; and second, where the distribution of quality is unstable so that consumers and agents have difficulty learning effectively. In these fairly limited circumstances, market failure may justify public intervention on efficiency grounds. Consumption does not perfectly reveal the true quality o f post-experience goods.37Quality remains uncertain because the individual consumer has dificulty recognizing the causality between consufiption and some of its effects. For example, consumers may not recognize that the fumes o f a cleaning product increase their risks o f liver cancer because they do not expect the product t o have such an effect. Often, the effects o f consumption only appear after great delay so that consumers do not connect them with the product. An extreme example is DES, a drug that increases the risk o f cancer in mature daughters o f women who used it during pregnancy. Many other drugs require extended periods before all their effects are manifested. Young smokers, for instance, may fully appreciate the addictive power o f tobacco only after they are addicted. Beyond drugs, many medical services appear t o be post-experience goods-patients often cannot clearly link the state o f their health t o the treatments that they have received. In terms o f our earlier discussion, the consumer o f a post-experience good may not have sufficient knowledge o f the product to form reasonable estimates o f its full price even after repeated consumption. In other words, whereas experience goods involve risk (known contingencies with known probabilities o f occurrence), postexperience goods involve uncertainty (unknown cont~ngenciesor unknown probabilities o f occurrence). Further, repeated consumption o f a post-experience good does not necessarily lead t o accurate estimates o f risk. Post-Experience Goods. "Our category of post-experience goods shares characteristics with Arrow's "trust goods" and captures Darby and Karni's "credence qualit~es."Kenneth J. Arrow. "Uncertainty and the Welfare ECOn m i c s of Medical Care." American Economic Review. Vol. 53, no. 5, 1963, pp. 941-73; Michael R. Dahy and Edi Karni. "Free Competition and the Optimal Amount of Fraud," Journal of Low ond Econmics. Vol. 16, no. I . 1973,pp. 67-88. Conclusion Obviously, the potential for substantial and persistent inefficiency due t o information asymmetry is greater for post-experience than experience goods. Other things equal, frequent purchases are less effective in eliminating information asymmetry for post-experience goods. In contrast t o the case o f experience goods, information asymmetry can persist for an extended period for even homogeneous postexperience goods. Turning t o private responses t o the information asymmetry inherent in the primary markets for post-experience goods, we expect secondary markets in general to be less effective than they are for experience goods because o f learning problems. Nevertheless, secondary markets can play important roles. For example, consider the services that are, or have been privately offered to provide information about pharmaceuticals. The Medical Letter on Drugs and Therapeutics, one o f the few medical periodicals that covers its costs through subscriptions rather than advertising, provides independent assessments o f all new drugs approved by the FDA. Many hospitals, and some insurers, have formulary committees that review information about drugs for participating physicians. Between 1929 and 1955, the American Medical Association ran a seal-of-acceptance program that subjected all products advertised in the Journd of the Amerlcan Medical Association to committee review. The National Formulary and the United States Pharmacopoeiawere early attempts at standardizing pharmaceutical products. Of course, most o f these information sources are directed at physicians and pharmacists who commonly serve as agents for consumers o f therapeutic drugs. Although their learning from direct observation may not be effective, they can often determine i f advertising claims for products are based on reasonable scientific evidence. Summary of Information Asymmetry The potential for inefficiency due to information asymmetry between buyers and sellers can be found in many markets. The potential is rarely great for search goods, ohen great for experience goods, and usually great for postexperience goods. The extent to which the potential is actually realized, however, depends largely on whether public goods problems hinder the operation o f secondary market mechanisms that provide corrective information. Thus, market failure is most likely in situations where information asymmetry in primary markets occurs in combination with public good problems in secondary markets. CONCLUSION The traditional market failures involve circumstances in which the "invisible hand" fails t o produce Pareto efficiency. They thus indicate possibilities for improving the eficiency o f market outcomes through collective action. Along with the pursuit o f distributional values, which we consider in Chapter 7, they constitute the most commonly advanced rationales for public policy. But other, less easily accommodated, discrepancies between the competitive framework and the real world also suggest opportunities for advancing efficiency through collective action. These discrepancies, the subject o f the next chapter, provide additional rationales for public policy. Rationales for Public Policy: Market Failures Chap. 5 Insurers sometimes provide information to consumers as part o f their efforts to limit losses. For example, health maintenance organizations (HMOs), which provide medical insurance, often publish newsletters that warn members o f potentially dangerous and unhealthy goods such as tanning salons and certain diet products. Casualty insurers may signal warnings through their premiums as well as through direct information. Fire insurance underwriters, for instance, set premiums based on the types o f equipment businesses plan t o use; they also often inspect commercial properties to warn proprietors o f dangerous equipment and inform them about add~tions that could reduce their risks o f fire. Experience Goods: Summary. By their very nature, experience goods offer the potential for serious inefficiency caused by information asymmetry. Secondary markets, however, limit the inefficiency for many experience goods by facilitating consumer learning and providing incentives for the revelation o f product quality. Nevertheless, problems are likely to remain in t w o sets o f circumstances: first, when quality is highly heterogeneous, branding is ineffective, and agents are either unavailable or expensive relative t o the full price o f the good; and second, where the distribution o f quality is unstable so that consumers and agents have difficulty learn;ng effectively. In these fairly limited circumstances, market failure may justi6 public intervention on efficiency grounds. Post-Experience Goods. Consumption does not perfectly reveal the true quality o f post-experience goods.37Quality remains uncertain because the individual consumer has difficulty recognizing the causality between c o n s u ~ p t i o n and some o f its effects. For example, consumers may not recognize that the fumes o f a cleaning product increase their risks o f liver cancer because they do not expect the product to have such an effect. Often, the effects o f consumption only appear after great delay so that consumers do not connect them with the product. A n extreme example is DES, a drug that increases the risk o f cancer in mature daughters o f women who used i t during pregnancy. Many other drugs require extended periods before all their effects are manifested. Young smokers, for instance, may fully appreciate the addictive power o f tobacco only after they are addicted. Beyond drugs, many medical services appear t o be post-experience goods-patients often cannot clearly link the state o f their health t o the treatments that they have received. In terms of our earlier discussion, the consumer o f a post-experience good may not have sufficient knowledge o f the product to form reasonable estimates o f its full price even after repeated consumption. In other words, whereas experience goods involve risk (known contingencies w ~ t hknown probabilities o f occurrence), postexperience goods involve uncertainty (unknown contingencies or unknown probabilities of occurrence). Further, repeated consumption o f a post-experience good does not necessarily lead to accurate estimates o f risk. 370urcategory of post-experience gods shares characterlstlcs w ~ t hArrow's "trust goods" and captures Darby and Karni's "credence qual~t~esKenneth J. Arrow, "Uncertainty and the Welfare Economics of Medlcal Care," American Economrc Review, Vol. 53, no. 5, 1963, pp 941-73; Michael R. Darby and Edi Karni, "Free Competit~onand the Optimal Amount of Fraud." Journal of Law and Economics. Vol. 16, no 1, 1973, pp. 67-88. " Conclusion 115 Obviously, the potential for substantial and persistent inefficiency due to information asymmetry is greater for post-experience than experience goods. Other things equal, frequent purchases are less effective in eliminating information asymmetry for post-experience goods. In contrast t o the case o f experience goods, information asymmetry can persist for an extended period for even homogeneous postexperience goods. Turning t o private responses t o the information asymmetry inherent in the primary markets for post-experience goods, w e expect secondary markets in general to be less effective than they are for experience goods because o f learning problems. Nevertheless, secondary markets can play important roles. For example, consider the services that are, or have been privately offered to provide information about pharmaceuticals. The Medical Letter o n Drugs a n d Therapeutics, one o f the few medical periodicals that covers its costs through subscriptions rather than advertising, provides independent assessments o f all new drugs approved by the F D A . Many hospitals, and some insurers, have formulary committees that review information about drugs for participating physicians. Between 1929 and 1955, the American Medical Association ran a seal-of-acceptance program that subjected all products advertised in the Journal of the American Medical Association t o committee review. The National Formulary and the United States Pharmacopoeia were early attempts at standardizing pharmaceutical products. Of course, most o f these information sources are directed at physicians and pharmacists who commonly serve as agents for consumers o f therapeutic drugs. Although their learning from direct observation may not be effective, they can often determine if advertising claims for products are based on reasonable scientific evidence. Summary of InformationAsymmetry The potential for inefficiency due to information asymmetry between buyers and sellers can be found in many markets. The potential is rarely great for search goods, often great for experience goods, and usually great for post-experience goods. The extent to which the potential is actually realized, however, depends largely on whether public goods problems hinder the operation o f secondary market mechanisms that provide corrective informat~on.Thus, market failure is most likely in situations where information asymmetry in primary markets occurs in combination with public good problems in secondary markets. CONCLUSION The traditional market failures involve circumstances in which the "invisible hand" fails to produce Pareto efficiency. They thus indicate possibilities for improving the efficiency o f market outcomes through collective action. Along with the pursuit o f distributional values, which w e consider in Chapter 7, they constitute the most commonly advanced rationales for public policy. But other, less easily accommodated, discrepancies between the competitive framework and the real world also suggest opportunities for advancing efficiency through collective action. These discrepancies, the subject of the next chapter, provide additional rationales for public policy.
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