Case Study One The Promise – The Hidden Contract Providence Consulting Group Telephone: +61 2 6162 3023 Facsimile: +61 2 61623025 Email: [email protected] Web: www.providenceconsulting.com.au Case Study One The Promise – The Hidden Contract Traditional corporate decision making is hierarchical and social where ‘social contracts’ between people, as a subliminal promise, tend to be binding. This promise tends to override better practice management disciplines and judgment because it is personal. However, based on lessons learnt, reluctance to challenge or to accept challenges to a promise appears to be the pivotal reason behind many sub-optimal project outcomes. It is the quality of decisions made in delivering the promise that underpin the success of any project, procurement or otherwise. Strategic managers understand the value of evidence-based decision making to improve the quality of decisions, yet poor decisions are continually made - some with significant implications to society, government and industry. Most projects are commenced with enthusiasm, hard work, and good intent; and deliver outcomes. These outcomes are often sub-optimal, lessons learnt suggest, because procurement projects systemically commit to decisions too soon. Little validation supports the usual ‘can do’ attitude and achievability of promises made up front, and advice from imbalanced project teams result in skewed strategies (e.g. projects are continually skewed towards the achievement of ‘aggressive schedules’ that have not been validated by a balanced team of subject matter experts). As a consequence, little time is available to set the project up for success by establishing integrative processes and procedures, which leads to ‘stove-piped’ procurement strategies and requirements’ development. Project overheads are also underestimated because they don’t fit the timeline (i.e. time required for managing committees and stakeholders, reviews and report writing, etc), and important evidenced-based steps in the Procurement Decision Life Cycle are bypassed in hast (see figure below). From a better practice perspective, complex procurement, change or business improvement projects ought to be an iterative based process supported by good project management. Evidence based project management methodologies like PRINCE2 and PMBoK are important iterative tools that implicitly mitigate poor decisions but, because of other imperatives, project teams appear to circumvent these methodologies thereby reducing the quality of insight designed to support decision making. For example, complex procurement projects require insight over a broad range of tasks (i.e. technical requirements, benchmarking, transition, probity, etc), but the lower level detail supporting many of these tasks is not developed, if at all, until it is too late. This means that the achievability of promises have not been validated, and important tasks such as tender response questions, transition strategies, statements of work, and evaluations are commonly rushed - leading to evaluation difficulties and sub-optimal outcomes. Case Study One The Promise – The Hidden Contract Another way to look at the importance of evidenced-based decision making is through the Procurement Decision Life Cycle itself, which forms part of the iterative procurement process (see Figure on last page ). The phases of this Cycle represent a path of increased evidence from which to refine decisions as the project progresses. However, lessons learnt suggest that many projects jump from Strategic Thinking, or halfway through Strategic Direction, straight into Implementation. This suggests that many projects are mainly being implemented on strategic level knowledge only, meaning that original project boundaries based on minimal validation remain “set in stone”. Even when original boundaries are known to be high risk, in the first instance, decision makers are not commonly approached or accept change until the project is seriously ‘stressed’ – because of the promise. Most projects then try to retro-fit information requirements passed over previously to ‘salvage’ agreed outcomes, leading to schedule delays anyway. Sub-elements and the level of detail within procurement phases need to be tailored for each project on a case by case basis, of course, but the cycle itself generally holds true. Otherwise how can decision makers understand, for example, the real tradeoffs when pursuing and sticking to “aggressive schedules”? The bottom line is that decisions and commitments (promises) are being made on information that has not been validated because of an incomplete Procurement Decision Life Cycle, where better practice suggests that successful procurement is essentially reliant on iterative decision making. This suggests that the promise needs to be iterative, whereby commitments are modified to accommodate insight gained. In other words, avoid making promises until adequately informed, manage expectations on the basis that procurement is an iterative process (i.e. this includes cost, requirement, price and schedule), use evidential information to improve decision making, and don’t let the social contract lead to sub-optimal solutions. Mitigation techniques include establishing iterative decision making cultures backed up by due process and promoting a culture of timely communication between project teams and decision makers to explore boundary changes rather than pressing on regardless and / or being forced to make changes when it is too late to fully recover. Even if PRINCE2 and PMBoK were applied and tailored for each project, although inferred in respective processes, they don’t really describe the importance of the ‘social contract’ with regard to decision making. If we accept that promises are generally made too soon because commitment achievability has not been adequately validated, then we need to review the language and behaviours of expectation management. Case Study One The Promise – The Hidden Contract The other key is to understand when a decision is made within a Procurement Decision Life Cycle and when to ‘go firm’ on this decision (i.e. have context, insight, knowledge gaps and risks been adequately addressed?). Each project is different, but the cycle needs to be followed. It’s just the level and breadth of detail that changes between projects. In summary, many decisions are made too soon and this issue is compounded by the circumvention of Project Management Processes and formal decision lifecycles, such as the Procurement Decision Life Cycle example cited in this discussion paper. The pivotal issue is that project teams are committed to delivering on the decision and are reluctant to seek change, when they know it is required, because of the hidden contract – the promise. The bottom line is that expectations need to be managed realistically from the start – upwards, downwards and laterally. For better management of complex procurement, change and business improvement projects acknowledge and accept that the procurement process is an iterative evidencebased process best supported by good project management, understand that integration is a discipline in itself; change the decision making language and behaviours to better align with the iterative and evidential based nature of the process; provide finer granularity of the promise (i.e. Provisional, Firming and Firm Decisions); and have a better understanding of decision making within the context of formal decision making cycles. Case Study One The Promise – The Hidden Contract Generate Options Making Choices Identify possibilities in Business Case, including procurement • Procurement options chosen • Procurement strategy written • Project Manager appointed • Determine high level governance Deliver BAU • Handover • Operations • Contract Management • Validation Establish Process • Write project management plan • Establish Project and processes Deliver Outcomes • Write RFT • Evaluate RFT • Negotiate Contract • Transition / Organisational Change
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