Central and Eastern Europe European integration 10 years after the Eastern enlargement of the EU It has been 25 years since the fall of the Iron Curtain, the most important point in European integration at the end of the 20th Century. The process of cohesion has been ongoing and was formalized by the accession of eight countries from the former socialist bloc in 2004. The 10th anniversary of the Eastern enlargement of the EU and 25th anniversary of the fall of the Iron Curtain provides the opportunity to consider the process of integration in the European territory. There has been a continuous abolition of formal borders for citizens, labour force, enterprises, capital, and goods with the goal of economic, social and territorial cohesion. EU integration has had an influence on economic and demographic structures, influencing future paths of development, and has provided opportunities for cities and regions to cooperate and to respond to future challenges. EU integration affecting economic and demographic development The European Union was enlarged in several directions in 2004: three Baltic states, two island states and five countries in Central and Eastern Europe joined the EU in the largest round of enlargement in the history of the Community. This enlargement awoke expecations in several fields. The free movement of labour, capital, goods and services not only strengthened the role of the EU in the World, but also contributed to social, economic and territorial cohesion and more territorial cooperation between the new member states, and the EU15 as well as and among new member states. After the initial years of growth, the world-wide financial and economic crisis undermined regional development, not only in terms of economic output but also changed migration trends. Although the crisis had an influence on regional development in the first ten years of the enlarged EU, there are some trends which can be investigated further in relation to this enlargement. In terms of economic resilience, national economies had a large influence on regions, so there is no clear divide between the new and the old member states in terms of effects of the economic crisis. Cyprus and the Baltic States have not recovered from the economic crisis yet, just like Spain, Greece or Ireland. On the other hand, some regions in Hungary and Poland have been resilient or have recovered, just like in Austria, West Germany or South Sweden. Map 1. Resilience of regions in the economic crisis (ECR2) Economic changes influence migration as well. The EU, due to its political stability and economic wealth, is an important target of international migration. However, there is a clear divide between the old and the new member states. English Figure 1. Net migration in European countries 2007-12 (Evidence Brief No.6) Most of the new member states have to face outmigration, especially the Baltic states, however Cyprus and Malta experience immigration. Migration flows were affected by the economic crisis. Some former target countries turned into countries of outmigration, like Ireland or Spain, but also many migrants returned to their home countries due to the unfolding crisis. In such circumstances, people are more likely to change their living place by choosing more prosperous regions. This is likely to occur in the direction of rural areas to cities, with a significant concentration in capital cities in the new member states, but also from the South and East of the EU to the Westen and Northern territories. The enlargement of the EU brought new opportunities for co-operation as well. Cities, regions and agents at all levels have the possibility to co-operate with others in other EU member states, and the European Regional Development Fund supports this territorial cooperation. Territorial co-operation is possible on the cross-border level, on transnational level or even at the European level. Formal territorial cooperation in transnational and interregional programmes is an instrument used mostly by southern European regions and the Eastern new member states, especially in the Baltic Sea region. However, it can be clearly seen that partners in the new member states take the responsibility to lead projects of transnational cooperation to a far lesser extent than ones in the old member states. East German regions however have an outstanding role in leading projects, just like north Italian regions. Central and Eastern Europe still not catching up Bringing the focus to Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), we need to consider enlargement in a more historical perspective. In fact, though the new member states joined the EU in 2004, East German regions did this earlier via German reunification. In the past 25 years, there were in fact several border changes in this region, with the reunification of Germany and the split of the former Czechoslovakia, new borders were formed while others gradually disappeared. Changes in boundaries are unique to the region and cannot be neglected when looking at territorial development trends. a whole is considered to be realtiveley resistant as well. Map 2. Regional Economic Gap 2030 (ET2050) Within the Central and Eastern European region, divides in terms of the impacts of the economic crisis exist not between old and new member states, but rather between the two sides of the former Iron Curtain. Within national economies, these divides are between metropolitan capital regions and the rest. A large part of Poland was resistant to the economic crisis, and Germany as English However, the East German regions faced the crisis similar to other regions in the new member states. This implies that the economy in the former socialist bloc still faces structural problems related to transition. Central and Eastern European regions are highly dependent on foreign capital, which plays an important role in the transition and modernization of these economies. On the other hand, it increases the risk of segmentation of the macroregional economy, between more developed and powerful areas and regions and those less developed with a lack of investment for modernization and at risk of losing competitiveness in the context of growing European competition. This process is likely to continue. Even higher foreign direct investment (FDI) does not necessarily lead to higher growth. With a low growth rate of 2.2%, the existing gap between the more developed Western regions and the Eastern regions will hardly change. Within Central and Eastern Europe, the catching up of capital cities to the EU average has been faster and there may be a risk of further concentration and growing disparities. Eastern Germany has long experienced negative population trends, outmigration, depopulation and population ageing. In other parts of Central and Eastern Europe this process may not have been so intense, but a negative population change is likely to be a challenge for the CEE in the future as well. Not only ageing and outmigration from rural areas into cities, but also intra-EU migration can have a negative effect on the development of Central and Eastern Europe. Map 3. Future population change according to a baseline scenario (ET2050) The largest migration stream within the EU is between Germany and Poland, but also the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary have to face the outmigration of their high skilled labour force. This may pose challenges in relation to ‘smart growth’ and productivity, further jeopardizing the competitiveness of these regions. There is a gender component of migration as well. Many rural areas face the outmigration of young women, which may impact the national growth rate in these areas. Regions mostly affected by the outmigration of young women are in East German regions and Slovenia. Local and regional actors face concentrated challenges The EU enlargement had a multidimensional impact on regions and cities. Free movement of citizens and labour has changed local markets and functional relations. One of the well-known European examples is the metropolitan region of Vienna-Bratislava. Also smaller towns located along borders can further develop functional integration as the framework conditions are set by EU regulations. There has also been a strong impact of EU integration for other regions and cities not in the direct proximity to national borders. The common market and changes in the economy have had an impact on local-regional economic structures. The competition for investments, and thus for economic prosperity and jobs, has intensified. The competition between cities for investors may be even harder in Central and Eastern Europe, dependent as they are on external capital. There is also the risk of retaining obsolete local economic structures and thus preserving economic disadvantages in the future as well. Free movement of labour affects also English local economies. Rural regions and small and medium sized towns may face the selective outmigration of the young, skilled and active population, leading to an ageing population, changing needs and rising costs for public services. Map 4. Twinning city agreements per 100,000 population (TERCO) European trends influence localities in a concentrated manner, as economic, demographic, social or environmental trends have combine in individual cities and regions. In an integrated European territory these impacts are also more intense on a local level. Though cities and regions alone can hardly have an influence on European trends, they can try to tailor fit their local policies and actions to answer the challenges brought by these trends. EU enlargement has also brought an important opportunity to help regions and cities in facing their challenges. Structural Funds can support the transformation process and with the help of the Territorial Co-operation Programmes, local and regional authorities can join forces to find common solutions to common challenges not only directly at borders but also in a wider context. These co-operations could be also exploited in identifying common issues and coping with them jointly with the support of the Territorial Cooperation Programmes. It may not have a direct effect on GDP growth, but may help in the local and regional adaptation to European trends. Intensity of co-operation in the form of twinning cities is realtively high in Central and Eastern Europe, especially along the German-Polish border, in East Slovakia and Hungary. The information published in this material is taken from the following ESPON projects and publications: ET2050, ECR2, TERCO, METROBORDER, Evidence Brief No. 6. The ESPONontheRoad project The ESPON on the Road Project is a Transnational Networking Activity of nineteen ESPON Contact Points, financed by the ESPON 2013 Programme with the aim to bring the results of applied research on European territorial development closer to decision making. The ESPON 2013 Programme is part-financed by the European Regional Development Fund, the EU Member States and the Partner States Iceland, Liechtenstein, Norway and Switzerland. It shall support policy development in relation to the aim of territorial cohesion and a harmonious development of the European territory. For more information visit the project website or follow us on Facebook or Twitter. http://esponontheroad.eu English
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