THE ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY OF THE TOURIST INDUSTRY BY U.S. METROPOLITAN AREA: Can Tourism Leverage the Creative Class? Keith Debbage and Omer Omer Department of Geography University of North Carolina at Greensboro INTRODUCTION AND PURPOSE • Why tourism? International tourism generated $919 billion in export earnings in 2010 (World Tourist Organization) • Why metropolitan areas? Generated 86% of US GDP in 2007 INTRODUCTION AND PURPOSE • The overall purpose of this presentation is two-fold: • First, this paper analyzes how tourism production from a supply-side perspective (i.e., number of jobs and average wages by tourism-related industry) varies by U.S. metropolitan area INTRODUCTION AND PURPOSE • Tourism research is frequently premised on a definition of tourist which is akin to defining the health care industry by defining a sick patient. • By contrast, little tourism research has defined tourism from a supply-side or industry perspective utilizing NAICS codes INTRODUCTION AND PURPOSE • A second purpose of this paper is to disentangle the potential connections that may or may not exist between the tourist industry and Richard Florida’s creative class, and the role tourism and creativity may play in reshaping metropolitan economies and stimulating innovation LITERATURE REVIEW • Why supply-side? • Defining tourism from a supply-side will address pressing questions such as what are the dynamics of metropolitan tourism labor markets and how are they connected to overall measures of quality of life? • Judd (2006) in Tourism Geographies recently argued that tourism is too often defined as a system of consumption (tourist) rather than a system of production (tourism) LITERATURE REVIEW • Others have made similar arguments including Britton 1991,Gee et.al 1997, Roehl 1998, Smith 1998, Debbage and Ioannides 2004 LITERATURE REVIEW • Still others have explored whether tourism can generate industry clusters (Porter 1998) and Marshallian industrial districts grounded in agglomerative economics in the way other industries do (Hjalager 2002; Jackson and Murphy 2002; Van Hove 2002; Nordin 2003; Shaw and Williams 2004; Novelli et.al 2006; Michael et.al 2007; Miller et. al 2008; Bernini 2009) LITERATURE REVIEW • Why Creativity? • Since the 1990’s, urban tourism has emerged as a key tool in urban redevelopment and a significant subject of research regarding creativity and place competitiveness (Richards 2001; Page 2003; Cartier and Lew 2005 ; Bayliss 2007; Richards and Wilson 2007) LITERATURE REVIEW • BUT major problem with place-theming is the serial reproduction of these strategies resulting in an over-supply of projects • The need for a greater differentiation has stimulated a shift away from conventional cultural industries toward more creative tourism-related industries LITERATURE REVIEW • Richards and Wilson (2006) defined creative tourism as a process that employs high levels of creativity to innovate distinctive products to meet specific tourist needs LITERATURE REVIEW • Creative tourism also involves not just spectating, nor just being there, BUT a reflexive interaction on the part of tourists with locals LITERATURE REVIEW • BUT very little of tourism literature has incorporated Richard Florida’s creative class theories even though Florida has given the impression that travel and hospitality products should be an integral part of any effective economic development strategy focused on creativity (Novelli 2005) LITERATURE REVIEW • Florida has argued that a key growth factor is the quality of human capital (tolerance, diversity, talent) not the business climate (low taxes, incentives) or the other traditional factors of production (land and capital) • Diversity and the “style” of urban facilities (e.g., cinemas, bars, museums, art galleries, restaurants, and gift shops) play a key role in this equation LITERATURE REVIEW • As a result of all this momentum, more investments are being made in many metropolitan areas to develop tourist attractions as part of their overall economic development package to attract the “creative class” and “creative tourism” LITERATURE REVIEW • Less well understood is the role that the tourism industry plays from a supply-side perspective in cultivating overall creativity, competitive advantage and quality of life METHODOLOGY • Data is based on North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) which groups establishments into specific industry categories based on comparable production processes • Little used in tourism studies with some exceptions (Roehl 1998; Rosentraub and Joo 2009) METHODOLOGY • NAICS defined tourism-related industries include direct providers and supporting services derived from Gee et al. (1997) classification and Roehl (1998) listing METHODOLOGY • Direct providers include industries that provide services that are directly consumed by the tourist and are largely dependent on tourism demand for their existence METHODOLOGY • Direct providers included: – Accommodation (NAICS 721) – Air Transportation (481) – Support Activities for Transportation (e.g., airport operations) (488) – Transit and Ground Passenger Trans. (e.g., charter bus and taxis) (485/4853) – Scenic and Sightseeing Transport (487) METHODOLOGY – Admin and Support Services (e.g., travel agents and tour operators)(561/5615) – Misc. Store Retailers (e.g., gift, novelty and souvenir stores (453/4532) METHODOLOGY • Supporting tourism services are not solely dependent on tourism demand for existence given the demand for such services from local residents METHODOLOGY • Supporting tourism services included: – Museums, Historical Sites, and similar institutions (e.g., zoo’s) (NAICS 712) – Amusement, Gambling and Recreation Industries (e.g., theme parks and casinos) (713) – Food Services and Drinking Places (722) – Performing Arts, Spectator Sports and related industries (711) – Rental and Leasing Services (e.g., passenger car rental) (532/53211) METHODOLOGY • Key Economic Indicators included: – # of employees – average annual pay – # of establishments • Data Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006 METHODOLOGY • Tourism/Resident Demand Ratios (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis) included: – Tourist Accommodation (721) – 80% – Food Services and Drinking Places (722) – 20% METHODOLOGY • Utilized the Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) to aggregate the creative class data based on Florida’s methodology and it included: – – – – Management Occupations (1100) Business and Financial Operation (1300) Computer and Mathematical (1500) Architecture and Engineering (1700) METHODOLOGY – – – – – – Life, Physical, and Social Science (1900) Legal (2300) Education, Training and Library (2500) Design and Media Occupations (2700) Health Care Practitioners and Technical (2900) Sales and Related Occupations (4100) METHODOLOGY • Key Economic Indicators included: – # of employees – median annual pay – average annual pay • Data Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006 FINDINGS • Tourism Employment by MSA, 2006 – Aggregate: 4.7 million jobs – Direct Providers (hotels, airlines, TA, TO etc): 2.2 million – Supporting Services (restaurants, museums, theme parks etc): 2.5 million Tourism Direct Provider Employment Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation (NAICS 487) 2% Administration and Support (TA and TO) (NAICS 561) 6% Miscellaneous Store Retailers (NAICS 453) 7% Transit Transportation (NAICS 485) 13% Accommodation (NAICS 721) 46% Support Activities for Transportation (NAICS 488) 13% Air Transportation (NAICS 481) 13% Tourism Support Services Employment Rental and Leasing Services (NAICS 532) 2% Museums and Historical Parks (NAICS 712) 3% Performing Arts and Sports (NAICS 711) 11% Food Services and Drinking Places (NAICS 722) 49% Amusements and Gambling (NAICS 713) 35% Tourism Employment Market Share by MSA, 2006 (Median – 4.03%) • • • • • • • • • • Atlantic City Las Vegas Pittsfield MA Myrtle Beach Ocean City, NJ Flagstaff, AZ Orlando, FL Naples, FL Honolulu, HI Gulfport-Biloxi, MS 28.03% 21.69% 14.67% 14.36% 13.21% 12.22% 11.57% 10.30% 10.23% 10.13% FINDINGS • Pittsfield??? More on that later FINDINGS • Average overall tourism wages by MSA in 2006 were a low $28,057 suggesting limited skill levels and training, part-time labor and seasonality FINDINGS • Average tourism firm size by MSA is small – Tourism in total: 16 persons per firm – Direct Providers: 17 – Supporting Services: 15 FINDINGS • End result is many of these small “mom and pop” operations are unlikely to be the locus of substantive innovation and creativity Tourism Average Wages ($) by MSA, 2006 (Average - $ 28,057) • • • • • • • • • • Los Angeles New York Chicago Las Vegas Nashville San Francisco Atlantic City Anchorage Naples Indianapolis $ 47,226 $ 37,655 $ 34,664 $ 33,409 $ 32,620 $ 32,477 $ 32,001 $ 31,826 $ 31,718 $ 31,239 FINDINGS • Spearman’s Rank Correlation Coefficient = 0.51 at 1% Level Why? – Increased specialization and agglomerative effect – Labor pool of transferable skills • Good example is Las Vegas – Second highest tourism job share (21.69%) – Fourth highest average tourism wages ($33,409) The Largest Hotels in the World, 2007 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Hotel Location Rooms First World Hotel MGM Grand Ambassador city Jomtlen Luxor Mandalay Bay The Venetian Excalibur Bellagio Circus Circus Flamingo Las Vegas Malaysia Las Vegas Thailand Las Vegas Las Vegas Las Vegas Las Vegas Las Vegas Las Vegas Las Vegas 6,118 5,690 4,631 4,408 4,341 4,027 4,008 3,993 3,774 3,565 * Under construction is the Asia Asia Hotel in Dubai. It is scheduled for completion in 2010, and is expected to have 6,500 rooms. Source: InsiderVLV.com 2007 MGM GRAND HOTEL, LAS VEGAS FINDINGS • MGM Grand is second largest hotel in world in 2007 with 5,690 rooms and over $1billion investment • Annual salaries at MGM Grand include: – Executive chefs ($61,500) – Multi-media artists ($61,410) – Animators ($64,140) Tourism Employment Market Shares (%) Correlated with Overall Tourism Average Wages ($) by MSA, 2006 Variable Spearman’s Correlation Coefficient Significance Level Direct Provider Employment Market Share (%) 0.37 1% Air Transportation Share (%) (NAICS 481) 0.46 1% Accommodation Share (%) (NAICS 721) 0.08 Not Significant Supporting Services Employment Market Share (%) -0.37 1% Food and drinking places Share (%) (NAICS 722) -0.57 1% Performing Arts and Sports Share (%) (NAICS 711) 0.39 1% FINDINGS • BUT opportunity cost since other industry clusters (engineering, high technology) would likely generate more substantive value added revenue FINDINGS • Additionally, tourism employment market share is not correlated with overall measures of affluence by MSA: – per capita income (Spearman’s correlation coefficient of 0.06) – population growth (0.06) – % population with college education (0.18) FINDINGS • BUT what about Richard Florida’s creative class and the potential connections to the tourist industry and cultural/creative tourism • Total Creative Class employment by MSA in 2006 was 41.8 million with a median pay of $35,130 • Creative class labor pool is nearly 10 times bigger than tourism and pays more Creative Class Employment Market Share by MSA, 2006 (Median – 34.7%) • San Jose • Washington DC • Boulder, CO • Durham, NC • Huntsville, AL • Boston • Charlottesville VA • Trenton NJ 51.1% 50.1% 50.1% 49.1% 47.7% 46.5% 46.1% 45.5% FINDINGS • BUT does the geography of the creative class systematically vary spatially with the geography of tourism? FINDINGS • It does not seem so. • Spearman’s Correlation Coefficient for Percent Tourism Employment & Percent Creative Class Employment by MSA was 0.04 FINDINGS • But, a moderate associational relationship existed between a subset of tourism (i.e., NAICS 711/2 performing arts, spectator sports, museums and historic sites) and creative class employment share • Spearman Correlation Coefficient of 0.30 at 1% level FINDINGS FINDINGS • Once again, Pittsfield MA features prominently as it did in terms of % tourism employment by MSA and it appears to have cultivated linkages between cultural tourism and creativity of a sorts CONCLUSION Tourism can be a major employment generator in certain MSAs particularly those focused on gaming or warm weather beach vacations BUT, average wages are poor reflecting the low skill levels in the industry CONCLUSION That said, as the percent employment in tourism increases, the average wages tend to increase in a similar fashion suggesting an agglomerative effect of sorts BUT tourism is not systematically connected to other broader measures of quality of life (PCI, population growth, %BA or higher) CONCLUSION Nor does the geography of tourism appear systematically connected to the geography of the creative class (despite the assertions in the literature) BUT the more cultural/creative manifestations of tourism appear to be more strongly linked to creative class labor pools CONCLUSION Additional research could include: • Case studies of places like Pittsfield that appear to be reinventing themselves by explicitly linking cultural tourism to creativity • Developing a better working definition of creative tourism • More supply-side analysis! 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