THESIM Towards Harmonised European Statistics on International Migration THESIM Towards Harmonised European Statistics on International Migration edited by Michel Poulain, Nicolas Perrin and Ann Singleton This publication was co-ordinated by Laetitia Simar © Presses universitaires de Louvain, 2006 Dépôt légal : D/2005/9964/14 ISBN : 2-930344-95-4 Imprimé en Belgique Tous droits de reproduction, d’adaptation ou de traduction, par quelque procédé que ce soit, réservés pour tous pays, sauf autorisation de l’éditeur ou de ses ayants droit. Couverture : Isabelle Sion Diffusion : www.i6doc.com, l’édition universitaire en ligne Sur commande en librairie ou à Diffusion universitaire CIACO Grand-Rue, 2/14 1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgique Tél. 32 10 47 33 78 Fax 32 10 45 73 50 [email protected] List of Authors Bilger Veronika, Research Officer, International Centre for Migration Policy Development (ICMPD), Vienna, Austria, [email protected] Breem Yves, Statistician, Office français de protection des réfugiés et apatrides (OFPRA), Fontenay-sous-Bois, France, yves.breem@ ofpra.gouv.fr Cantisani Giambattista, Researcher, on behalf of International Cooperation Center for Statistics (ICstat), Roma, Italy, [email protected] Greco Valeria, Researcher, on behalf of International Cooperation Center for Statistics (ICstat), Roma, Italy, [email protected] Heering Liesbeth, Researcher, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI), The Hague, Netherlands, [email protected] Herm Anne, Principal Analyst, Statistical Office of Estonia, detached national expert to the Demographic and Migration Statistics Unit, Eurostat, Luxembourg, [email protected] Hofmann Martin, Research Officer, International Centre for Migration Policy Development (ICMPD), Vienna, Austria, martin.hofmann@ icmpd.org Jandl Michael, Senior Research Officer, International Centre for Migration Policy Development (ICMPD), Vienna, Austria, michael.jandl @icmpd.org Kraler Albert, Research Officer, International Centre for Migration Policy Development (ICMPD), Vienna, Austria, [email protected] Kupiszewska Dorota, Principal Research Fellow, Central European Forum for Migration Research (CEFMR), Warsaw, Poland, [email protected] Kupiszewski Marek, Director, Central European Forum for Migration Research (CEFMR), Warsaw, Poland, [email protected] Nowok Beata, Researcher, Central European Forum for Migration Research (CEFMR), Warsaw, Poland, [email protected] T H E S I M Perrin Nicolas, Researcher, Université catholique de Louvain - Groupe d’étude de Démographie Appliquée (GéDAP), Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium, [email protected] Poulain Michel, Research Associate FNRS (National Fund for Scientific Research) and Professor, Université catholique de Louvain - Groupe d’étude de Démographie Appliquée (GéDAP), Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium, [email protected] Singleton Ann, Research Fellow, Centre for the Study of Poverty and Social Justice - University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom, ann.singleton@ bristol.ac.uk Spaan Ernst, Researcher, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI), The Hague, Netherlands, [email protected] Thierry Xavier, Researcher, Institut National d’Études Démographiques (INED), Paris, France, [email protected] van der Erf Rob, Researcher, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI), The Hague, Netherlands, [email protected] The THESIM Project, a 6th Framework Research Project financed by DG Research (EU), was coordinated by the Groupe d’étude de Démographie Appliquée (GéDAP), Université catholique de Louvain (UCL), Belgium, http://www.uclouvain.be/gedap The following teams were involved: Central European Forum for Migration Research (CEFMR), Warsaw, Poland, http://www.cefmr.pan.pl/ International Centre for Migration Policy Development (ICMPD), Vienna, Austria, http://www.icmpd.org/ International Cooperation Center for Statistics (ICstat), Roma, Italy, http://www.icstat.org/ Institut National d’Etudes Démographiques (INED), Paris, France, http://www.ined.fr/ Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI), The Hague, Netherlands, http://www.nidi.knaw.nl/nl/ 6 Table of Contents List of Authors.………………...……………………..…….…………..… List of Comparative Tables……………..………...…………..……….… Glossary…………………………….……………...…………………....… Acronyms and Abbreviations………………….………..……….……… Acknowledgements………………………....……………...………….… Introduction…………………………….……………...………….……… 5 9 11 19 25 27 Section 1. EU Migration Policy and Data Collection…...…… 33 Chapter 1. The Evolution of EU Migration Policy and Implications for Data Collection – Albert Kraler, Michael Jandl and Martin Hofmann….….…………. Recommendations on International Migration Statistics and Development of Data Collection at an International Level – Anne Herm…………………… Chapter 2. Section 2. Administrative Systems of Data Collection…..….. Chapter 3. Registration of the Resident Population – Michel Poulain………………………………………………… Registration of Permits of Stay – Yves Breem and Xavier Thierry……………………………………….... Registration of Asylum Seekers – Rob van der Erf, Liesbeth Heering and Ernst Spaan……………….. Registration of Acquisition of Citizenship – Giambattista Cantisani and Valeria Greco………… Chapter 4. Chapter 5. Chapter 6. Section 3. Chapter 7. 35 77 107 109 133 151 167 Producing statistics in accordance with the EU Regulation……………………………………………. 179 Statistics on Population with Usual Residence – Giambattista Cantisani and Michel Poulain…….. 181 T H E S I M Chapter 8. Chapter 9. Chapter 10. Chapter 11. Chapter 12. Statistics on International Migration Flows – Beata Nowok, Dorota Kupiszewska and Michel Poulain…………………………………………………. Statistics on Residence Permits and Legal Entry – Yves Breem and Xavier Thierry…………………….. Statistics on Asylum Applications – Rob van der Erf, Liesbeth Heering and Ernst Spaan…………….. Statistics on Acquisition of Citizenship – Giambattista Cantisani and Valeria Greco………… Statistics on Refusals, Apprehensions and Removals: An Analysis of the CIREFI Data – Michael Jandl and Albert Kraler…..………………... Section 4. Special Scientific Investigations…………………… Chapter 13. A Cohort Approach to Measuring the Asylum Procedure – Rob van der Erf, Liesbeth Heering and Ernst Spaan………………………….………………… A Cohort Approach to Acquisition of Citizenship Statistics – Nicolas Perrin………….………………... Links Between Legal and Illegal Migration – Michael Jandl and Albert Kraler……………………. Chapter 14. Chapter 15. 203 233 249 261 271 287 289 321 337 Conclusion……………………………….……………...………………… 373 Country reports……………………………….………...………………... 379 Annexes………………………………….……………...………………… 657 General bibliography………………………………...…………………... 731 8 List of Comparative Tables Comparative Table 1. Comparative Table 2. Comparative Table 3a. Comparative Table 3b. Comparative Table 4. Comparative Table 5. Comparative Table 6. Comparative Table 7. Comparative Table 8. Comparative Table 9. Comparative Table 10. Comparative Table 11a. The registration of the resident population: general characteristics……… The registration of the resident population: additional characteristics…... Groups of persons included as residents in the local or centralised population registers………...…………………………... Groups of persons included as residents in the local or centralised population registers………...…………………………... Aliens registers and residence permit databases…………………………………… Authorisation to stay more than three months for non-EEA citizens…………….. Specific groups of non-EEA citizens included in the residence permit database…………………..………………... Transfer of information between the residence permit database and the population registers…….………………… Responsible authorities for the processing and registration of asylum requests with type of database…………... The asylum procedure and possible outcomes…………………………………… Main characteristics of the population and housing censuses…………………….. Groups of persons included in the total resident population of population and housing censuses………………………….. 126 128 130 131 143 145 148 149 164 165 194 196 T H E S I M Comparative Table 11b. Comparative Table 12. Comparative Table 13. Comparative Table 14. Comparative Table 15. Comparative Table 16. Comparative Table 17a. Comparative Table 17b. Comparative Table 17c. Comparative Table 18. Comparative Table 19a. Comparative Table 19b. Comparative Table 20. Groups of persons included in the total resident population of population and housing censuses………………………….. Production of annual statistics on the usually resident population……………… Production of statistics on the usually resident population by country of citizenship and country of birth…………. Data sources of statistics on international migration flows………………………….… Availability of statistics on international migration flows……………………….…… Time criteria and compatibility of international migration statistics with the EU Regulation……………...……………… International migration between the EU MS in 2002 according to receiving (I) and sending country (E) (Eurostat database)... International migration between the EU MS in 2002 according to receiving (I) and sending country (E) (Eurostat database)... International migration between the EU MS in 2002 according to receiving (I) and sending country (E) (Eurostat database)... Availability of statistics on residence permits……………………………………... Compliance of asylum statistics with the EU Regulation……………………………... Compliance of asylum statistics with the EU Regulation……………………………... Relation between asylum and migration statistics…………………………………….. 10 197 198 200 222 224 226 229 230 231 246 256 257 259 Glossary This glossary includes working definition of key terms and concepts that are often used in this book. These are not necessarily official definition but scientific definition presented in order to help the reader to go easily through this book. Some of these definitions are extracted from EU directives and regulations, UN recommendations, DG JLS, EMN or IOM glossaries1. Alien: A person who is not a citizen or national of a given State. Synonym of foreigner, non-citizen and non-national. Appeal: A procedure undertaken to request a review of a decision by bringing it to a higher authority; often the submission of a lower court’s or agency’s decision to a higher court for review and possible reversal. Applicant: A person who formally requests some government or legal decision or action, such as the granting of refugee status, citizenship, a visa or a residence permit. Asylum seeker: A person who has requested asylum in a country and is awaiting a decision on their application under relevant national and international instruments (mostly under Article 1 of the Geneva Convention related to the Status of Refugees of 28th July 1951). This definition generally refers to all who apply for protection on an individual basis, irrespective of whether they lodge their application on arrival at an airport or land border, or from inside the country, and irrespective of whether they entered the territory legally (e.g. as a tourist) or illegally. DG JLS, EMN and IOM Glossaries may be found on the following websites http://europa.eu.int/comm/dgs/justice_home/index_en.htm, http://www.europeanmigration-network.org/and http://www.iom.int/. 1 T H E S I M Citizen: A person who holds the citizenship of the country concerned. Often synonym of national. Citizenship: Term currently used by the international organisations to mean the ‘legal bond between a person and a State’. The concept of ‘EU citizen’ has been introduced for every person holding the citizenship of an EU Member State. This brings along a distinction between citizenship which may relate to a supranational body like EU and nationality which means exclusively membership of a nation. Often synonym of nationality. Country of usual residence: The country in which a person lives, that is to say the country in which the person has a place to live where they normally spend their daily period of rest. Temporary travel outside this country for purposes of recreation, holiday, visits to friends and relatives, business, medical treatment or religious pilgrimage shall not change a person’s country of usual residence. Usual residence is also a synonym of habitual residence. Dependant: In general use, one who relies on another for support. In the migration context, a spouse and minor children are generally considered ‘dependants’, even if the spouse or partner is not financially dependent. See also family members. Domicile: See residence Dublin Convention: Convention adopted in 1990 between by EU Member States, determining which one is responsible for examining an application for asylum lodged in one of the contracting States. The full title is ‘The Convention Determining the State Responsible for Examining Applications for Asylum Lodged in One of the Member States of the European Communities’. The Convention prevents the same applicants from being examined by several EU Member States at the same time, as well as ensuring that an asylum seeker is not redirected from State to State simply because no one will take the responsibility of handling his/her case. Ethnic nationality: Concept which may be considered as synonym either of ethnicity or nationality, used in some countries in addition to citizenship. Ethnic nationality is often a self-declared adhesion to a specific ethnic group and this information is collected at census but also sometimes in administrative registration. It should not to be confused with citizenship. EU citizen: See citizenship 12 Glossary Family members: Somebody married to the person concerned as well as dependent children and other dependent persons who are recognised as members of that person’s family in procedures for the granting of visas, residence permits, citizenship, any refugee status etc. Family members may not be included in relevant statistics as they are not always required to make a separate application. Family reunification/reunion process: Whereby family members already separated through forced or voluntary migration regroup in a country other than the one of their origin. It is a reason for being granted a visa or a residence permit. Foreigner: Usually a synonym of alien, non-citizen and non-national. Freedom of movement: According the Charter of Fundamental Rights of the EU adopted in 2000, every EU citizen is entitled to travel freely around the EU Member States and settle anywhere within its territory without special formalities. This fundamental right of free movement extends to members of the EU citizen's family and applies regardless of their citizenship, situation or the reason for travel or residence. Some EU Member States have applied transitional arrangements that restrict freedom of movement of citizens of new Member States. Geneva Convention status: Refugee status granted within the meaning of Article 1 of the Geneva Convention relating to the Status of Refugees of 28th July 1951 to a person “owing to well-founded fear of being persecuted for reasons of race, religion, nationality, membership of a particular social group or political opinion, is outside the country of his nationality and is unable or, owing to such fear, is unwilling to avail himself of the protection of that country; or who, not having a nationality and being outside the country of his former habitual residence as a result of such events, is unable or, owing to such fear, is unwilling to return to it”. Identity document: A piece of documentation designed to prove the identity of the person carrying it, such as a passport, ID card or travel document. Illegal entry: Act of crossing borders without complying with the necessary requirements for legal entry into the receiving State. Illegal/irregular migration: These terms are often used interchangeably in policy contexts. A commonly used approach is to consider that ‘illegal migration’ refers to the illegal crossing of borders only, while ‘irregular migration’ covers a number of irregularities in the status of migrants (e.g. illegal residence after the expiry of visas (visa over-stayers) or the 13 T H E S I M illegal employment of foreigners in an otherwise ‘regular’ situation). At EU level, the term ‘illegal migration’ is generally used to refer to the illegal entry and/or stay of international migrants who are citizens of third countries. These and other specific terms will be explained where appropriate. International immigration: Within the framework of the EU Regulation an international immigration is defined as a movement of a person who enters a country to establish his/her new place of usual residence in the territory of the country concerned for a period that is, or is expected to be, of at least twelve months, having previously been usually resident outside the country. This definition is identical to the UN recommended definition of long-term immigration. International emigration: Within the framework of the EU Regulation an international emigration is defined as a movement of a person who leaves a country to establish his/her new place of usual residence outside the territory of the country concerned for a period that is, or is expected to be, of at least twelve months, having previously been usually resident within the country. This definition is identical to the UN recommended definition of long-term emigration. International immigrant: A natural person undertaking an international immigration. International emigrant: A natural person undertaking an international emigration. International protection: EU concept introduced in order to replace the protection status previously provided on the basis of unharmonised rules by each EU Member State. This new concept is comprised of the two separate but complementary elements of Geneva Convention refugee status and subsidiary protection status. Ius sanguinis/ ius soli: A legal basis for determining citizenship respectively by blood line or by place of birth. Most countries use a combination of these two bases of citizenship law to grant citizenship. Long-term migrant: Concept proposed in the UN recommendations on international migration statistics (UN, 1997) to specify migrants whose duration of stay in the country of immigration or outside the country of emigration is one year or more. This definition is compatible with the definition of international immigrant and international emigrant proposed above and included in the EU Regulation. 14 Glossary Long-term resident: Status that third-country nationals may acquire if they have been resident in an EU Member State on a continuous and legal base for at least five year. Periods of residence as an asylum seeker or as a person enjoying temporary protection are not taken into account unless the applicant for long-term resident status is subsequently recognized as a refugee2. Migration: This broad definition includes all types of movements involving a change of residence, either across an international border, or within a State. It is a population movement, encompassing any kind of movement of people, whatever its length, composition or causes; it includes migration of refugees, displaced persons, uprooted people, and economic migrants. National: A person who holds the nationality or citizenship of a given State. Usually synonym of citizen. Nationality: Membership of a nation. In most EU Member States it is a synonym of citizenship while in the new Member States of Central and Eastern Europe it is often a synonym of ethnic nationality or ethnicity. Naturalisation: Process of granting by a State of its citizenship to an alien through a formal act on the application of the individual concerned. International law does not provide detailed rules for naturalisation, but it recognizes the competence of every State to naturalise those who are not its nationals and who apply to become its nationals. Net migration: Migration balance, resulting from the difference between number of immigrations and emigrations. This balance is called net immigration when immigrations exceed emigrations and net emigration when emigrations exceed immigrations. It may also be calculated by subtracting natural increase (difference between number of births and deaths) from the change in the total population. See also total migration. Non-national: Synonym of alien, foreigner and non-citizen. See also national. Permit: Document, usually issued by a government authority, which allows something to exist or someone to perform certain acts or services. In the migration context, reference to residence permits or work permits is common. Place of usual residence: See country of usual residence and residence. 2 Council Directive 2003/109/EC of 25th November 2003, p. 44 15 T H E S I M Population stock: In a broad sense, all persons living on a given territory at a given time. More precisely the de facto population is that living effectively on the territory as a matter of fact while the de jure population is that living on the territory and having the legal right to do so. The latter is also called the legal population and is often the only one considered from an administrative point of view. Readmission agreement: Agreement which addresses procedures for one State to return individuals (own national, third-country national or stateless person) in an irregular situation to their home State or a State through which they passed en route to the State which seeks to return them. Refugee: This term refers strictly speaking to those asylum seekers who have been granted Geneva Convention status. However it is commonly used to refer to all those asylum applicants who receive any international protection. Resettlement: Authorisation given to third-country nationals or stateless persons to reside in one of the EU Member States for the purpose of international protection within the framework of a national or EU resettlement scheme. Residence: The fact of living in a given place for some time; the place where one actually lives to be distinguished from the domicile that is considered as the legal or de jure place of residence. A person thus may have more than one place of residence at a time but only one domicile or legal place of residence. In addition among all places of residence, the one where the person concerned spends most of his/her daily rest is called the place of usual residence. Residence permit: Document issued by a State confirming that the alien has the right to live therein on a permanent (unlimited) basis (permanent residence permit) or for a fixed duration of time (temporary residence permit). Return migration: In the general migration literature it means the movement of a person returning to his/her country of origin or habitual residence usually after spending at least one year in another country. In the spirit of the EU Regulation returns include solely voluntary repatriations and non-voluntary repatriations of illegal migrants following an administrative or judicial order to leave, whether undertaken as part of a voluntary return scheme or whether enforced. Safe country of origin: A country of origin of asylum seekers is considered safe if it does not generally produces refugees. Receiving countries may use 16 Glossary the concept of safe country of origin as a basis for rejecting summarily (without examination of the merits) particular groups or categories of asylum seekers. Safe third country: A safe third country is considered by a receiving country to be any other country, not being the country of origin, in which an asylum seeker has found or might have found protection. The notion of safe third country (protection elsewhere/first asylum principle) is often used as a criterion of admissibility to the refugee determination procedure. Short-term migrant: Concept proposed in the UN recommendations on international migration statistics to specify migrants whose duration of stay in the country (immigration) or outside the country (emigration) is more than three months and less than one year. This concept is not considered in the EU Regulation. Stateless person: A person who is not considered as a national by any State under the operation of its law3. As such, a stateless person lacks those rights attributable to citizenship. Subsidiary protection status: A form of international protection status, separate but complementary to Geneva Convention refugee status, granted by a Member State to a third-country national or stateless person who is not a refugee but is otherwise in need of international protection and is admitted as such to the territory of this Member State. Temporary protection: Procedure of exceptional character to provide, in the event of a mass influx or imminent mass influx of displaced persons from third countries who are unable to return to their country of origin, immediate and temporary protection to such persons, in particular if there is also a risk that the asylum system will be unable to process this influx without adverse effects to its efficient operation, in the interests of the persons concerned and other persons requesting protection. Third-country national: Any person who is not a citizen of the European Union. See EU citizen. Total migration: The sum of the immigrations and emigrations yields the total volume of migration, and is termed total migration. Unaccompanied minors: A third-country national or stateless person below the age of eighteen, who arrives on the territory of a Member State not 3 Art. 1, UN Convention relating to the Status of Stateless Persons, 1954. 17 T H E S I M accompanied by an adult responsible for them whether by law or custom, and for as long as they are not effectively taken into the care of such a person. It includes minors who are left unaccompanied after they have entered the territory of the Member States. Visa: An endorsement by a consular officer in a passport or a certificate of identity that indicates that the officer, at the time of issuance, believes the holder to fall within a category of non-nationals who can be admitted under the national laws. A visa establishes the criteria of admission into a State. Different types of visas may be granted depending on the purpose of the request and in some countries special long-term visas are considered as first residence permits. 18 Acronyms and Abbreviations European geo-political entities considered in this book CoE: Council of Europe, composed of 46 European countries, of which 21 are in Central or Eastern Europe. EFTA: European Free Trade Association, Liechtenstein, Norway and Switzerland. composed of Iceland, EU: European Union. EU 25: 25 Member States of the European Union (as on 1st May 2004). EU MS: Member State(s) of the European Union. EEA: The European Economic Area, composed of all 25 EU MS plus Iceland, Liechtenstein and Norway. In most national regulations Swiss citizens are considered on the same basis as EEA citizens as far as authorisation to stay and residence permits are concerned. Therefore in this book when EEA citizens are mentioned, Swiss citizens should be systematically added. This means that these national regulations apply in a similar way to all EU and EFTA citizens, as EFTA is composed of Iceland, Liechtenstein, Norway and Switzerland. Nordic countries: Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden. UNECE: The United Nations Economic Commission for Europe, composed of 55 countries of Europe and Northern America. T H E S I M List of abbreviations of the 25 EU MS and order of countries in the comparative tables and in the country reports Acronym 25 EU MS BE Belgium CZ Czech Republic DK Denmark DE Germany EE Estonia EL Greece ES Spain FR France IE Ireland IT Italy CY Cyprus LV Latvia LT Lithuania LU Luxembourg HU Hungary MT Malta NL Netherlands AT Austria PL Poland PT Portugal SI Slovenia SK Slovak Republic FI Finland SE Sweden UK United Kingdom 20 Acronyms and Abbreviations List of other acronyms and abbreviations AHIG : Ad-hoc Immigration Group of Senior Officials CCR : Central Civil Register CES : Conference of European Statisticians CIREA : Centre for Information, Discussion and Exchange on Asylum CIREFI : Centre for Information, Discussion and Exchange on the Crossing of Borders and Immigration CoE : Council of Europe COREPER : Committee of Permanent Representatives CPR : Central Population Register DG JLS : Directorate-General for Freedom, Security and Justice, previously DG JAI (Directorate-General Justice and Home Affairs) ECRE : European Council on Refugees and Exiles EEA : European Economic Area EEC : European Economic Community EFTA : European Free Trade Association EMN : European Migration Network ERF : European Refugee Fund ESCWA : United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia EU : European Union EU MS : European Union Member State(s) EUMC : European Union Monitoring Centre on Racism and Xenophobia (to become the ‘Fundamental Rights Agency’) EURODAC : European Dactylographic System (System for the Comparison of Fingerprints of Asylum Applicants and Illegal Immigrants) EUROSTAT : Statistical Office of the European Communities (also SOEC) HLWG : High Level Working Group (of the Council of the European Union) on Asylum and Migration ID card : Identification card 21 T H E S I M IGC : Inter-Governmental Consultations on Asylum, Refugee and Migration Policies ILM : International Labour Migration Database ILO : International Labour Office ILOs : Immigration Liaison Officers IOM : International Organisation for Migration LCR : Local Civil Register LPR : Local Population Register MEDSTAT : European Commission Programme on Euro-Mediterranean Statistical Cooperation NATAC : Acquisition of Nationality in EU Member States (an EU-funded research project) NATO : North Atlantic Treaty Organisation NIEPS : Network for Integrated European Population Studies NSI : National Statistical Institute(s) OECD : Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development PIN : Personal Identification Number SCIFA : Strategic Committee on Immigration, Frontiers and Asylum (a committee of the Council of the European Union, composed of senior officials and positioned between the Working Parties and COREPER) SLG : Starting Line Group SOPEMI : A French acronym for the permanent system of monitoring of migration movements and policies (a network of the OECD) TEC : Treaty Establishing the European Community TEU : Treaty Establishing the European Union THESIM : Towards Harmonised European Statistics on International Migration UN : United Nations UNCAD : United Nations Convention Against Torture and Other Cruel, Inhuman and Degrading Treatment ot Punishment UNCTAD : United Nations Conference on Trade and Development 22 Acronyms and Abbreviations UNECE : United Nations Economic Commission for Europe UNHCR : United Nations High Commissionner for Refugees UNPD : United Nations Population Division UNSD : United Nations Statistical Division 23 Acknowledgements The editors would like to thank: The Directorate-General for Research of the European Commission, which provided funding for the THESIM Project within the 6th Framework Programme of Research. Officials of the European Commission, who provided invaluable support and advice to the THESIM Project Team: Giulia Amaducci (Directorate-General for Research); Jordi Garcia-Martinez, Sandra Pratt, Stephen Davies (Directorate-General for Justice, Freedom and Security), Michail Skaliotis, David Thorogood (Eurostat). Members of the THESIM Advisory Committee: John Kelly (formerly UNECE), Mauri Nieminen (Statistics Finland). All National Contact Points and Observers of the European Migration Network and all collaborating officials of National Statistical Offices and involved National Ministries in the EU Member States. All the THESIM Project Teams, especially CEFMR in Warsaw and INED in Paris for their organisation of key work sessions. Margaret Mulcahy (Centre de Traduction de Louvain) and Alison Kelly (English Reviser) for carrying out speedily and efficiently the English revision and translation. Sian White (University of Bristol) and Laura McGrath. Our editorial work benefited from their support and advice. Enda O’Doherty (Dublin) who provided essential, rigorous and invaluable final editorial advice. Bérengère Deprez (Presses universitaires de Louvain) for efficient and professional support and advice as Publisher’s liaison and to the printing team at CIACO, Louvain-la-Neuve. Finally, special thanks to our loved ones for their support. Introduction Migration and International Protection in the European Union: A Dynamic Approach to Measurement Ann Singleton International migration and asylum-seeking are now at the top of the European Union’s policy agenda as the political importance of these policy areas has grown, during the past decade, at national and European level. At the same time, processes of economic globalisation, demographic and environmental change, conflict and war have resulted in global movements of migrants and asylum seekers. The competence of national authorities to develop and implement fair and effective migration policies is being challenged. Notwithstanding this policy importance, in the absence of a coherent legal basis for the collection of migration statistics, the accurate measurement of the migration phenomena in question has remained an elusive goal. This book will make an innovative contribution to efforts to improve the current system, to support the implementation of proposed legislation and to improve the future quality, reliability and comparability of statistics on migration and international protection in the European Union. Communitarisation of EU policy and law in this field has, to varying degrees of success, increasingly driven the demand for reliable and timely Community statistics. In EU decision-making and policy circles, there is now a recognition that the apparently contradictory needs for reliable but timely data must be reconciled and that priority must be given to improving the quality, reliability and comparability of statistical data on migration. The latest official recognition of this is evident in the action plan under the Hague Programme, agreed on 31st May 2005 between the Council and the Commission1. The action plan includes specific points on measures to improve the common analysis of migratory phenomena in all their aspects (reinforcing the collection, provision, exchange and efficient use of up-todate information and data). In recognition of this need, the European Commission adopted in September 2005 a proposal for a Regulation2 to 1 Council and Commission Action Plan implementing the Hague Programme on Freedom, Security and Justice in the European Union (9778/02/05 REV2). 2 Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council on Community statistics on migration and international protection COM (2005) 375 Annex 2). T H E S I M govern the supply of national statistics to the EU. All references to ‘the Regulation’ in this book refer to this version. The reader is cautioned to bear in mind that some changes may have taken place during the progress of the Regulation through the co-decision process. For the first time there will be a comprehensive legal basis underpinning the collection, processing and dissemination of Community migration statistics in all twenty-five EU Member States. At the time of writing, the Regulation is proceeding through the co-decision procedure and discussions are continuing in the relevant working groups of the Council and the European Parliament. The Regulation is likely to be adopted, possibly with revisions, in early 2007. This book will make a unique and essential contribution to its implementation. For the years 2004-2006, the Directorate-General for Research of the European Commission launched the 6th Framework Programme of Research. The overall objective of all policy-orientated project research under priority 8 of this Framework Programme is to support the formulation and implementation of Community policies, by providing scientific contributions to policies targeted precisely towards needs, coherent across the various Community policy areas, and sensitive to changes in policies as they take place. Among the initial research priorities defined in the specific programme ‘Integrating and strengthening the European Research Area’, on the basis of foreseeable needs, providing health, security and opportunity to the people of Europe is a key issue. The ‘securitisation’ of policy debates has also driven the demand for a better understanding of migration and refugee flows and their underlying factors. In order to meet the increased demand, the following research priority was established in the 6th Framework: (Task 5) Better sources for statistics for a better knowledge on migration flows to the EU: to describe the national system of gathering information on inflows and outflows of foreigners, to provide comparative tables on similarities and differences between Member States, to identify the problems resulting from these differences with a view to the collection of different forms of data on migration flows and to identify the consequences for collecting, disseminating and analysing such data at a supranational level; to describe and analyse activities and measures undertaken by international organisations (including UN, Council of Europe) and at national level to overcome these problems. The THESIM Project (Towards Harmonised European Statistics on International Migration) was selected for funding by DG Research. The project aimed to meet ongoing needs as well as to support the implementation at national level of the Regulation. It provided continuity 28 Introduction with previous efforts in concentrating on the availability and reliability of national migration and asylum statistics and their comparability at EU level. For all statistical data requested in the Regulation, an investigation was carried out to identify: how to find the available data; how reliable the data are and how this might be improved; how internationally comparable data might be compiled to produce Community statistics for the EU. THESIM started in April 2004 and ended in August 2005. The intensive work over seventeen months was co-ordinated by Michel Poulain and involved scientific teams based in seven EU countries. A final report was submitted to DG Research in October 2005. The findings of the report were based on all the information collected through the twenty-five national meetings, organised with the help of all National Statistical Institutes (NSI) and the National Contact Points (NCP) of the European Migration Network (EMN) developed by DG Justice, Freedom and Security (DG JLS). The work developed under the THESIM project is an example of ‘action research’. It brought together a network of experts working at the European level and acted as a catalyst to further networking between statisticians, data suppliers and policy makers at national level. The research aims were primarily to provide policy support to officials in the European Commission, but also to help build collaborative networks at national level, which will be the basis for producing Community statistics in this field. The Project Team prepared draft reports for each country, which were discussed at the twenty-five national meetings of data suppliers, users and academic experts. More than 300 expert officials were involved in the process, which involved the first systematic presentation of the draft Regulation at national level and involved a detailed examination of the potential for each Member State to meet its requirements. Officials of all Ministries of the Interior and NSI were fully involved. The resulting national reports were then analysed and synthetic overview tables were produced for the whole EU, identifying underlying definitions, coverage and data availability for each variable required by the Regulation. Particular attention was made to maintaining active, collaborative working relationships with data suppliers and policy officials in each of the countries. Many readers new to the topic may be surprised by the complexity of the problems involved in attempting to compile harmonised, reliable and timely statistics in such a high profile policy area. As is the case with many other scientific and policy fields, this work did not suddenly appear simply in response to a need to meet immediate policy demands. It builds upon a long history of scientific enquiry in similar and related research projects. Michel 29 T H E S I M Poulain, Ann Singleton and many of the authors have pioneered work in this field for more than a decade3 (Poulain, Debuisson and Eggerickx, 1990; Salt, Singleton and Hogarth, 1994; Poulain, 1997; Singleton and Albiser, 2002; Poulain and Herm, 2003). The THESIM Project was the most exhaustive and complete exercise of its kind undertaken to date. It represents a step forward in practice from what can be a dismal and dispiriting task of documenting the problems. It is an example of how the academic community, national officials and EU policy makers can develop strong collaborative working links and take action to improve data availability and policy relevance. The finalised country reports presented in the annex of this book contain detailed information on all national data sources, allowing an evaluation of their potential to meet the requirements of the Regulation. These detailed reports are shortened versions of the full country reports submitted as part of the THESIM Project’s final report to the European Commission. They were prepared by the scientific teams (rather than being official reports from each of the countries) and have been checked for accuracy by national officials. This book is a further product of the THESIM Project, intended for a wider audience of users of migration and asylum data and statistics. It has been produced to support the work of all actors involved, those who supply data to the EU, those who process and disseminate the statistics and the end users. The book provides an up-to-date and comprehensive picture of the whole system of statistical data sources on international migration and asylum in the EU. It should be used as a reference text on the situation that pertained up to September 2005. In a rapidly changing world, the reader is advised that migration policy as well as (and/or consequently) datacollection systems may change in country over time. Nonetheless, it will be a unique resource for the informed user and interested lay person. In particular it should be of use to the intended audiences for the book: European Commission officials working on policy development in areas related to migration, development, the labour market and integration of third-country nationals; Statisticians in Eurostat with responsibility for the Commission’s databases on asylum and international migration; 3 The first Singleton and Poulain collaboration was with John Salt in 1992 and on a succession of projects with research teams at UCL (London), UCL (Belgium), NIDI (The Hague) and World Systems (Europe) Ltd (Luxembourg). This European Commission, Eurostat-funded work complemented that of other international organisations, as documented in Chapter 2. 30 Introduction Data suppliers responsible for meeting the requirements of the European Union, set out in the Regulation and subsequent implementing measures; Users of the data, especially policy makers at national and EU level. The scientific community of users – academics and students researching international migration and asylum; Members of the public, journalists and NGOs and lawyers who wish to gain a better understanding of the figures published in this highly contentious field. The intention is also to complement the statistical work of the United Nations’ Population and Statistical Divisions (UNPD and UNSD) as well as that of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), in attempting to develop European statistics which may also be comparable with global migration statistics. The chapters are presented in four sections. The first section provides an historical overview of the development of EU migration policy and the background of international co-operation activities to improve migration statistics. It sets the context for the current initiatives of the EU. The second section describes the administrative systems and processes which produce the data and the statistics at the national level. The registration of the resident population, residence permits, asylum and change of citizenship are all considered in depth. In section three the potential of these national systems to meet the data request of the EU Regulation is investigated. In addition to the twenty-five country reports, the book contains a comprehensive set of overview reports on various topics, including the history of international attempts to improve migration statistics. The fourth section presents scientific investigations into different topics, not included in the EU Regulation but closely related, which represent possible future improvements to the policy support potential of the data collection. These academic studies of key aspects of methodology, including proposals for new methodologies, provide a unique fusion of practical, academic and policy-oriented insights, essential to the successful implementation of the Regulation. The only migration or asylum figures in the book are those included as examples and, in a few cases, as part of studies. Up-to-date statistics may be obtained from an increasing number of online sources, on the websites of each NSI, national ministries and of the European Commission (Eurostat and DG JLS) and other international bodies as well as research institutions (Annex 7). This book both complements the available data with related methodological information and provides an indication of the potential of 31 T H E S I M existing data sources to provide more statistics in the future. It makes recommendations for improvements which could enable or assist national sources and Eurostat to meet the requirements of the Regulation. Notwithstanding the strong policy-related orientation of the THESIM Project report and of this book, all contents and recommendations have been written by the scientific team and do not represent an official position. Legal procedures and administrative procedures are presented only as they relate to the production of official data and statistics. These descriptions should not be taken as definitive statements of the legal situation. It is hoped that this work will be of service to all users and will provide scientific support to policy development and policy officials as well as the tools for the scientific and lay community to monitor the development and implementation of common EU policies on migration and international protection. Finally, a new emphasis on transparency in the EU policy field, together with improved availability and increased use of the data is resulting in improvements in the quality of user feedback, an essential re-requisite to the future improvement of data quality. In order to build on this opportunity, data suppliers in general and Eurostat in particular need to be actively monitoring policy developments and user needs and anticipating future demand for new data variables. For this to be effective, continued active collaboration between data suppliers, statisticians, policy makers and data users will be essential. The dynamic nature of the subject under scrutiny needs to be matched by dynamism in the system of knowledge production. In a book of this kind, it is certain that some information will have changed between the time of writing and of publication. As far as possible, the information is correct up to mid-2005. Any comments, corrections or suggestions would be gratefully received (email: Michel.Poulain@ sped.ucl.ac.be; [email protected]). 32 Section 1 EU Migration Policy and Data Collection Chapter 1 The Evolution of EU Migration Policy and Implications for Data Collection Albert Kraler, Michael Jandl and Martin Hofmann Introduction When the European Coal and Steel Community was created in the 1950s by the Treaty of Paris (1951), followed by the formation of the European Economic Community and the European Atomic Energy Community (Treaties of Rome, 1957), the primary objective was to create a common European market, by reducing intra-European trade barriers, harmonising economic policy and other measures. The European Communities1 were mainly concerned with economic policies in a rather narrow sense and only gradually reached out to other policy areas, often because there were incentives in terms of economic policy to do so. Migration policy (more precisely a common policy towards the immigration of third-country nationals) was simply not on the agenda and remained the sole prerogative of EU MS for some time to come. Even at the national level, individual countries took a laissez-faire approach to migration during much of the 1950s and 1960s and migration was – on the whole – not regarded as an important policy issue. It was seen, if at all, as an issue of economic, or more precisely, labour market policy. This changed only in the late 1960s, and particularly after the first oil-price shock in 1973, when immigration policy became more politicised and states increasingly sought to restrict or at least control the immigration of third-country nationals (Huysmans, 2000: 4). It was in this context that formal intergovernmental cooperation on migration policy towards third-country nationals was seriously considered for the first time at the European Summit of Paris in 1974 (Klos, 1998: 28). 1 Six countries (France, Federal Republic of Germany, Italy, Belgium, Netherlands and Luxembourg) were members of the three original Communities. When, in 1965, the so-called ‘Merger Treaty’ consolidated them into a single group, with a single Commission and a common Council of the European Union, the three Communities became known as the European Communities. T H E S I M 1. The European Economic Community as a migration regime Despite the priority given from the start to economic and labour market policies, the European Communities, or more precisely the European Economic Community (EEC)2, was also a project intrinsically concerned with migration, in the sense that trans-border mobility of Community citizens within the EC was to be facilitated, and by the 1990s, largely treated as internal migration. Today, ‘the community encompasses two very separate legal regimes relating to migration − on the one hand there is a highly developed EC legal framework regarding the right of nationals of the Member States to migrate and seek employment in any one of the other Member States’, and, on the other, a much less clear legal regime relating to third-country nationals (Guild, 2004: 47). At the insistence of Italy, freedom of movement was included in the provisions of the Treaties of Rome. In principle, citizens of EC Member States now had the right to travel freely to other Member States, as well as to seek employment and to work in other Member States3 (Articles 39 and 43 EC; Brinkmann, 2004: 183; Favell and Hansen, 2002: 585; Stalker, 2002: 167; and Tomei, 1997: 13). However, the principle of freedom of movement was regarded as a functional right (as were the other freedoms), and deemed a necessary requirement for creating a common market (Geddes, 2000a: 44). As a corollary, it was restricted to salaried workers and their immediate family members (Menz, 2002: 723). The Treaty stated that freedom of movement was, as part of a common market, to be established by 1st January 1970 (Geddes, 2000a: 45). Freedom of movement was finally put into practice via the adoption of a directive and a regulation, in 19684. It was only later that the principle of freedom of movement was extended to self-employed workers (Kostakopoulou, 2002)5. However significant barriers to free 2 The European Coal and Steel Community (ECSC), created in 1951, obliged Member States to remove restrictions on movement for workers of Member States employed in the coal and steel industries (Geddes, 2000a: 45). 3 Articles 48-51 EEC (39-42 on renumbering) actually referred to ‘workers’ without specifying whether these were nationals of a Member State or simply legal residents of a Member State (see Kostakopoulou, 2002: 445). 4 Council Directive 68/360/EEC of 15th October 1968 on the abolition of restrictions on movement and residence within the Community for workers of Member States and their families; Council Regulation EEC 1612/68 on freedom of movement for workers within the Community. 5 Council Directive 73/148/EEC of 21 May 1973 on the abolition of restrictions on movement and residence within the Community for nationals of Member States with regard to establishment and the provision of services. 36 Chapter 1. The Evolution of EU Migration Policy movement remained in place: with regard to specific groups (e.g. students, economically inactive or retired persons)6 and in the form of more indirect barriers (e.g. in terms of social security, pensions, welfare benefits) (Tomei, 2001: 34; Warnes, 2002)7. Initially freedom of movement was not a priority in the overall goal of the establishment of a single European market, nor was migration policy in general. It was thus often left to the European Court of Justice to interpret and develop the rights entailed by the concept of freedom of movement and to determine whether it should extend to other groups legally resident within the EC. Freedom of movement was also, to some extent (insofar as the temporary posting of workers was concerned), established in the context of the liberalisation of services as of 1st January 1970. While of relatively little importance during the 1970s, the impact of this freedom began to unfold with the admission of Member States with much lower wage levels (Menz, 2002: 727)8. 1.1 European Citizenship and freedom of movement The concept of a European citizenship, first suggested in the early 1970s in the framework of the wider debate on ‘European identity’, rekindled interest in the rights that the concept of freedom of movement should entail. From the start, the concept of a European citizenship was – in addition to its symbolic function – regarded as embodying the EC’s four freedoms, in particular, freedom of movement. But no significant changes to policies were made. In the 1980s, the European Community began to adopt a more proactive approach to intra-European mobility. In 1981, the Council agreed on the 6 But see regulation EEC 1251/70 on the right of workers to remain resident in the territory of a Member State after having been employed in that State. 7 The social security status of intra-EC migrants was addressed by CEE 1408/71 and 574/72 in 1971 and 1972, respectively (see Menz, 2002: 723). 8 The practice of the temporary posting of workers was boosted by a landmark ruling by the European Court of Justice in 1990 (in the case Société Rush Portuguesa vs. Office National d’Immigration, 27th March 1990; C-118/89), which explicitly permitted the posting of workers within the framework of service provision in a case involving Portuguese workers to France. However, it also upheld governments’ right to impose their legislation on any person performing a paid service on their territory. Several countries (e.g. France and Austria) successfully imposed minimum or standard wage requirements, while in the Netherlands and Germany these were far less comprehensive. In Belgium, some 124,000 workers were posted in 1994, while the number of workers in Germany posted under service agreements rose from 20,000 in 1993 to 138,000 in 1995. The main countries sending temporary labour abroad were Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Britain, while the main receiving countries were initially France and Belgium, and then almost exclusively Germany (Menz, 2002). 37 T H E S I M creation of ‘a passport Union’, which indirectly endorsed the idea of a Community without internal borders (Guiraudon, 2000: 254). The abolition of border controls between EC countries, first suggested at the European summit in 19749, was formally declared a goal at the European Summit in Fontainebleau in 1984. Towards the end of the decade, two directives were adopted that were intended to remove some of the remaining barriers to the full achievement of freedom of movement10 by extending rights of residence and free movement to specific groups not covered by existing legislation (e.g. young persons, academics and students), while a broad range of social rights (health care, old-age pensions), the right to establishment and recognition of diplomas were defined in the Social Charter (adopted in December 1989) and elsewhere. Both developments also reflected the view that the removal of barriers to migration within the European Community was a necessary step towards making European labour markets more flexible and integrated, and hence, to achieving the wider goal of a single European market (Wiener, 1997). Thus, it is no more coincidence that the rights entailed by European Union citizenship, created by the Treaty of Maastricht (1992) and strengthened by the Treaty of Amsterdam (1997), are primarily relevant to economic migrants. This is a vivid expression of the EU’s concern to ensure free movement of persons within the European Union (Prentoulis, 2001: 198). The centrality of freedom of movement to the concept of European citizenship is further underlined by a directive on the rights of European Union citizens and their family members, which was adopted by Council on 29th April 200411. Apart from consolidating earlier directives into a single legislative document, the directive further simplifies the formalities still involved in the exercise of free movement (e.g. by abolishing residence cards for citizens of the European Union and replacing them with a simple 9 The Paris Summit of 1974 can be regarded as the ‘birth date’ of EU migration policy, leading to the creation of the Trevi Group. The inclusion of migration policy on the Summit agenda had three main progenitors: the 1973 oil-price shock and the concomitant halt in recruitment; the full implementation of freedom of movement within the EU; and fears about possible negative externalities created by the opening/abolition of internal borders which had already been suggested in that period (Stetter, 2000: 85f). 10 Council Directive 90/364/EEC of 28th June 1990 on the right of residence, and Council Directive 90/365/EEC of 28th June 1990 on the right of residence for employees and selfemployed persons who have ceased their occupational activity. 11 Directive 2004/38/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29th April 2004 on the right of citizens of the Union and their family members to move and reside freely within the territory of the EU MS, amending Regulation (EEC) No 1612/68 and repealing Directives 64/221/EEC, 68/360/EEC, 72/194/EEC, 73/148/EEC, 75/34/EEC, 90/364/EEC, 90/365/EEC and 93/96/EEC. 38 Chapter 1. The Evolution of EU Migration Policy registration certificate issued after entry on the population register at the place of residence). In addition, the directive introduces a right to permanent residence after five years of continuous residence12 and a right to free movement of family members of EU nationals irrespective of their nationality. Finally, the directive clarifies the conditions under which the right of free movement of EU nationals can still be restricted on grounds of public policy, public security and public health, introducing certain safeguards for minors and long-term residents. While the conditionality of the right of residence in the event of lack of means is upheld by the directive, it prohibits automatic expulsions as a consequence of recourse to the social assistance system. The changes, which have to be transposed into EU MS’ national legislation within a period of two years, have important implications for data collection on intra-European migration: the removal of controls will further reduce incentives for EU nationals to register or de-register when they move to another Member State. It is also very likely to result in EU nationals disappearing from aliens registers in those countries where they are still included in such datasets (e.g. Germany)13, and thus will further strengthen the emphasis in both migration policy and migration research on third-country nationals. 1.2 The project of a single market, the Single European Act (1985), Schengen Cooperation and the Europeanisation of migration policy towards third-country nationals In hindsight, the mid-1980s proved to be a major watershed with regard to the development of common migration policies vis-à-vis third-country nationals. In particular, the abolition of border controls, initially pursued by an ad-hoc group of five Member States outside the Community framework, provided a powerful rationale for migration policies to be pursued in close cooperation with other Member States. The enactment of the Single European Act in 1986 (in force since July 1987) was a major step towards achieving the goal of a single market and towards realising its four underlying freedoms of movement (for capital, 12 Under previous EU legislation, EU nationals could be deported or expelled from another Member State on grounds of public policy (e.g. on grounds of social policy in the event of lack of means), public security (e.g. conviction, but also on lesser grounds, such as public order), and public health. 13 EU nationals resident in another Member State will normally be included in population registers (where these exist) or will be covered by censuses. 39 T H E S I M goods, services, and persons)14. It was also a crucial step towards formalised European political cooperation involving regular consultations on matters such as immigration and asylum policies, as well as foreign policy and other areas. In some ways the project of a single European market and cooperation on immigration policies were closely linked, at least in the view of the European Commission. The latter saw increased – if limited – cooperation on immigration as a necessary precursor to lifting restrictions on free movement within the European Community, particularly after the European Council of Fontainebleau (1984) agreed – in principle –to the abolition of internal border controls (Geddes, 2001: 24; Guiraudon, 2000: 254ff). Member States, however, remained reluctant to pool migration policy, while the Commission thought it wiser to leave matters of immigration control to Member States, particularly when the Member States strongly rejected tentative suggestions by the Commission that the development of common migration policies was a necessary corollary to the establishment of a single market and free movement (Hailbronner, 1995: 184f)15. The insistence of the UK and Ireland on stopping short of full freedom of movement of persons and maintaining border controls meant that the total abolition of such controls (as advocated by several Member States), and the concomitant need for closer cooperation in terms of visa policies, exchange of information etc., had to be pursued outside the formal framework of the EC. Schengen Cooperation In 1984, five Member States (France, Germany, Belgium, Netherlands and Luxembourg) reached a framework agreement in Saarbrücken on the abolition of internal border controls. The resulting Schengen Agreement was signed in 1985 and provided for the removal of internal border controls, while simultaneously introducing measures to strengthen external border 14 Article 13 of the Single European Act explicitly stated that the single market, to be created by 1992, would be ‘an area without internal frontiers in which the free movement of goods, persons, services and capital is ensured in accordance with the provisions of this Treaty’ (see also Huysmans, 2000: 758f; Klos, 1998: 29). 15 In 1985 the Commission issued new guidelines on migration, and later that year adopted a decision setting up a procedure for prior consultation on new policies in this area. This decision was contested by five Member States and annulled by the European Court of Justice in 1987 (Guiraudon, 2003: 272; Hailbronner, 1995: 185). In addition, the Commission’s legislative proposals for the Single European Act included numerous provisions on immigration and asylum, which were rejected by Member States (Geddes, 2000a: 70). 40 Chapter 1. The Evolution of EU Migration Policy controls, and to fight drug-trafficking, crime and illegal migration (Guiraudon, 2000: 255; Moraes, 2003: 117). The programme for compensatory measures made necessary by the abolition of border controls served as the basis for the difficult negotiations leading up to the signing of the Schengen Implementation Convention, concluded five years later, in 1990, and in force since March 1995. The Convention defines rules for the uniform control of external borders, entry requirements, internal control checks, a uniform visa format, harmonised visa policies, cooperation between police authorities, information exchange and other related subjects. The most important technical compensatory measure is the Schengen Information System (SIS), which allows for the limited exchange of information on entry, the issuing of visas, and police cooperation (Art. 93). An Executive Committee, taking its decisions unanimously, was set up to monitor the implementation of the Convention. New members could accede to the Convention by an agreement between themselves and all the old members, subject to ratification, acceptance or approval by all old and new members. As laid down in a joint declaration attached to the final act of the Convention, the ‘Convention shall not be brought into force until the preconditions for its implementation have been fulfilled in the Signatory States and checks at external borders are effective’. The Convention entered into force for its original Members in September 1993, and became operative in March 1995. It also became operative in Portugal and Spain (1995), Italy (1997/8), Austria (1997/8), Greece (2000), Denmark, Finland and Sweden (all 2001). Iceland and Norway are also parties to the Convention. Ireland and the United Kingdom remain outside the Schengen Agreement, but participate in certain forms of Schengen-based liaison, including police and judicial cooperation in criminal matters and the Schengen Information System (SIS). The Schengen Agreement of 1985, the Convention of 1990, and the rules and related agreements adopted since then together form the so-called ‘Schengen acquis’. Through the Treaty of Amsterdam (1997) of the European Union, the Schengen acquis has been incorporated into the European Union structures. This incorporation entailed dividing the Schengen acquis between the first pillar (in the new Title IV) and the third pillar structures of the Treaty on European Union. Measures related to immigration and visas were incorporated in the first pillar, while those relating to police cooperation were included in the third pillar. The legal incorporation of the Schengen acquis into the Union was accompanied by the integration of institutions. The Council took over the Schengen Executive Committee and the Council’s General Secretariat took over the Schengen Secretariat. In the 41 T H E S I M ten new Member States, which joined the Union on 1st May 2004, the Schengen acquis will become operational once all the preconditions for the implementation of the Convention have been fulfilled and checks at their external borders are effective. The incorporation of the Schengen acquis into EU law and the creation of the new Title IV of the first pillar as part of the creation of an ‘area of freedom, security and justice’ made migration a core competence of the European Union. However, those states that opted out of the Schengen Convention (Ireland and United Kingdom) also opted out of Title IV, while Denmark participates in the Schengen area only by means of an international treaty. 1.3 Intergovernmental cooperation in the European Communities Until the establishment of the Single European Area, cooperation on migration and asylum within the European Communities was strictly intergovernmental, outside formal EC institutions, and largely organised by informal working groups, comprising high-level civil servants, mainly from within Member States’ ministries of the interior (Guiraudon, 2000: 260f). The mandate of the working groups and their composition proved an important factor in determining and limiting the scope of intergovernmental cooperation and later community policy–making on issues within a narrow security-migration nexus. The two main forums for discussion within the EC were the TREVI Groups and the Ad Hoc Immigration Group (AHIG) (Pätzoldt, 1995: 59ff). The TREVI Group was formed in December 1975 by the Council of the European Union to bring together senior Justice and Interior officials to coordinate action against terrorism. Since 1980 its mandate included consideration of illegal immigration and asylum flows and since 1989 TREVI (IV) worked on potential security problems associated with the abolition of (internal) border controls (Klos, 1998: 31). It was dissolved by a decision of the Council of the European Union in London in November 1992 (Brochmann, 1996: 86). The Ad Hoc Immigration Group of Senior Officials (AHIG) was established in 1986 by the Ministers Responsible for Immigration16. This working group consisted of senior officials below ministerial level and other high-level civil servants from the twelve Member States. Although a representative from the Commission was included in the AHIG from the beginning, the Commission did not possess a right of initiative. The AHIG was staffed by the Secretariat of the Council of the 16 In 1986 the Interior and Justice Ministers of the EC Member States met for the first time as the ‘Ministers Responsible for Immigration’. 42 Chapter 1. The Evolution of EU Migration Policy European Union and established six smaller working groups on asylum, external frontiers, false documents, admissions, deportations and information exchange. In the 1990s, the Commission and the UNHCR were increasingly involved in AHIG discussions on policy proposals on asylum (Brochmann, 1996: 87). To coordinate the work of the various intergovernmental bodies, the European Council, at its December 1988 Summit in Rhodes, established the Coordinators’ Group on the Free Movement of Persons (also called the Rhodes Group). The first assignment of the Coordinators’ Group was the preparation of a report on measures necessary to create an area without internal frontiers. Their report, called the Free Movement of Persons Report (or ‘Palma Document’) outlined a dual strategy of first strengthening checks at the Community’s external frontiers and then abolishing internal border checks. It was adopted by the European Council at its June 1989 meeting in Madrid. The Dublin Convention (1990) and the London Resolutions (1992) The work of the Ad-Hoc Immigration Group resulted in two main international agreements relevant to the harmonisation of European asylum laws: the ‘Dublin Convention’ determining the state responsible for examining applications for asylum and the non-binding ‘London Resolutions’ on the harmonisation of substantive and procedural asylum law17. The so-called ‘Agreement on Country of First Asylum’, or Dublin Convention, was signed on 15th June 199018. However, due to long delays in the ratification procedures and the problems faced in implementing its regulations, the original Convention, which entered into force only in December 1997, never became fully operational and was superseded by a Council Regulation adopted in February 2003, known as ‘Dublin II’ (see below)19. The so-called London Resolutions were passed by the Ministers Responsible for Immigration on 1st December 1992 and endorsed by the A third document elaborated by the AHIG, the ‘External Frontiers Convention’, has not been adopted. 18 The full title is ‘The Convention Determining the State Responsible for Examining Applications for Asylum Lodged in One of the Member States of the European Communities done at Dublin on 15th June 1990’. The final Member State, Denmark, signed the agreement on 13th June 1991. 19 Council Regulation (EC) No 343/2003 of 18th February 2003 establishing the criteria and mechanisms for determining the Member State responsible for examining an asylum application lodged in one of the EU MS by a third-country national. 17 43 T H E S I M European Council at its meeting in Edinburgh on 11st and 12th December 1992. They laid down important legal concepts with regard to the examination of individual asylum claims (the ‘Resolution on Manifestly Unfounded Applications for Asylum’ defining the concept of ‘manifestly unfounded’; the ‘Resolution on a Harmonised Approach to Questions Concerning Host Third Countries’ defining the principle of a ‘safe third country’; and the ‘Conclusions on Countries in which there is Generally No Serious Risk of Persecution’ introducing the notion of ‘safe countries of origin’). While these resolutions did not have the same status as the Dublin Convention and were not legally binding, it can be argued that they nevertheless had a great impact on the (de facto) harmonisation of European asylum laws, since Ministers agreed to incorporate them into their national legislation and guidelines. By 1994 most EU MS had incorporated the concepts and legal principles set forth in these resolutions into their national asylum laws20. Until the Maastricht Treaty, cooperation on migration policy largely focused on issues related to states’ security interests in general, and issues related to border controls in particular and in this they reflected the nature and composition of the various working groups devoted to migration policy. This changed dramatically with the Treaty of Maastricht, which created a series of new forums with a potentially much broader focus. 2. Maastricht, the three-pillar structure of the European Union and cooperation on migration within the EU The Treaty of Maastricht made immigration an issue of common interest for the EU. As a consequence, the three intergovernmental groups mentioned above were absorbed into the Third Pillar of the EU after the entry into force of the Treaty in November 199321. The ‘Coordinators’ Group on the Free Movement of Persons’ was replaced by the ‘Coordinating 20Appendix I Nr. 12 and Appendix II Nr. 4 of the London Resolutions state that countries should aim to incorporate the recommendations into their national asylum law until the entry into force of the Dublin Convention (for the concept of a ‘host third country’) or until 1 January 1995 by the latest (for the principle of ‘manifestly unfounded applications for asylum’). 21 The Treaty on European Union (TEU, also called the ‘Maastricht Treaty’) established the ‘three pillar’ structure of the EU. The first comprises the European Communities, now called the ‘European Community’ (EC), placing a number of issues under the jurisdiction of supranational EU bodies. The second pillar comprises ‘Foreign and Security Policy’, while the third pillar is ‘Justice and Home Affairs’ (Title VI of the TEU). In both the second and third pillar, cooperation is largely intergovernmental. 44 Chapter 1. The Evolution of EU Migration Policy Committee’ (‘K4-Committee’)22 of senior officials of Third Pillar activities. Like the earlier Coordinators’ Group, the K4-Committee was designed to coordinate the numerous bodies within the EU concerned with immigration, asylum and other matters; unlike the Coordinators’ Group, it also had ‘political’ authority over these matters23. The TREVI Groups and the Ad-Hoc Immigration Group were incorporated into ‘Steering Group I’ (Immigration and Asylum) and ‘Steering Group II’ (Police and Customs Cooperation) of the Third Pillar. Steering Group I had several subgroups (Asylum; Visa; Migration; External Borders; False Documents; the Centre for Information, Discussion and Exchange on Asylum (CIREA); and the Centre for Information, Discussion and Exchange on the Crossing of Borders and Immigration (CIREFI)). The ‘diluted intergovernmentalism’ (Kostakopoulou, 2000:498) created by Maastricht, however, soon proved to be deficient in several respects, lacking coherence, consistency, transparency and efficiency. In addition, the lack of clear objectives, the cumbersome decision-making process, the absence of binding legal instruments and the lack of enforcement mechanisms created the conditions for the communitarisation of migration policy by the IGC 1996 and the resulting Amsterdam Treaty (Morris, 1997: 245). In the early stages of European cooperation on asylum and migration, the influence of the European Parliament and the European Commission on policy development was very limited. Nevertheless, the European Commission increasingly took an active interest in these matters, and in October 1991 it submitted two Communications, one on asylum and another on immigration24. With little to show for its initiatives, the Commission got fresh impetus from the Treaty on European Union (TEU) and its newly 22 This was established by Article K.4 under Title VI (Provisions on Cooperation in the Fields of Justice and Home Affairs) of the TEU. 23 Priority areas for the K4-Committee included (1) immigration and asylum, (2) security and law enforcement, and (3) judicial cooperation. The K4-Committee reported directly to the Committee of Permanent Representatives (COREPER), which in turn reported directly to the Justice and Home Affairs Council (JHA) (see Papademetriou, 1996: 75ff for further details). 24 The two Communications promoted a ‘global approach’ to immigration that emphasised ‘complementary, comprehensive and realistic responses’, including measures to relieve migration pressures, control migration flows and strengthen integration policies for legal immigrants. It also called for harmonisation measures to combat illegal immigration and, in its Communication on Asylum, to combat ‘asylum abuse’ (Commission of the European Communities, Communication of the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament on the Right of Asylum, SEC (91) 1857 of 11th October 1991 (final) and Communication of the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament on Immigration, SEC (91) 1855 of 23rd October 1991 (final). See also Drüke, 1992: 3ff and Hailbronner, 1995: 183ff). 45 T H E S I M acquired right of initiative on third-pillar issues, and issued a follow-up Communication in 1994. In this the Commission proposed a comprehensive approach to immigration, based on three elements: (1) strengthening integration policies to the benefit of long-time immigrants; (2) better control of migration flows, including the adoption of measures to combat illegal immigration, and (3) adopting a long-term approach to reducing migration pressures (Hailbronner, 1995: 203)25. The Communication also reiterated the need for accurate information and suggested the establishment of a European Migration Observatory. The 1991 Communication on Immigration had already pointed out the need to monitor migratory movements and had led to the creation of two – then largely informal –forums for the exchange of information, including statistical data, CIREA and CIREFI. With the completion of the European Economic Area (EEA) on 1st January 1994, the four freedoms were extended to nationals of all the eighteen Member States of the EEA (EU and EFTA states, except Switzerland)26. On 1st January 1995, Austria, Finland and Sweden became full members of the EU27. Following the Maastricht Treaty, cooperation within the EU in the fields of justice and home affairs intensified. Parallel to the implementation of Schengen cooperation, steady progress was made in cooperation on asylum and migration matters. Eventually, this development led to the adoption of the Treaty of Amsterdam in 1997 and its goal of establishing an area of freedom, security and justice. 3. The Treaty of Amsterdam and the Communitarisation of Migration and Asylum Policies The Treaty of Amsterdam divided between the first and the third pillars the policy field which had previously been under the third pillar. This meant that a large portion of justice and home affairs subjects (external borders, immigration and asylum, judicial cooperation in civil matters) were removed from the sphere of intergovernmental cooperation and included The Communication outlined measures addressing the ‘root causes’ of migration, such as ‘human rights policies; humanitarian assistance; security policy; demographic policies and trade, development and cooperation policies’ (Commission of the European Communities, Communication from the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament on immigration and asylum policies’, COM (94) 23 final, Brussels, 23rd February 1994). 26 In a referendum in December 1992 Switzerland, which is part of EFTA, decided against accession to the EEA. 27 In a referendum in Norway on 28th November 1994, Norwegian membership of the EU was rejected by 52.4% of the voters. However, Norway remains part of the EEA. 25 46 Chapter 1. The Evolution of EU Migration Policy under matters dealt with by the Community Method (i.e. they were ‘communitarised’). Under the first pillar, a new Title IV was added to the Treaty Establishing the European Community (TEC, ‘Visas, asylum, immigration and other policies related to free movement of persons‘), while the former Title VI of the TEU (the third pillar) was renamed ‘Police and judicial cooperation in criminal matters’ and restricted to fewer fields (e.g. closer cooperation between police services, customs and judicial authorities). The third pillar provisions included a ‘bridge’ allowing Member States to transfer areas of competence from Title VI to Title IV. The Amsterdam Treaty also incorporated the Schengen acquis into the EU framework. While the communitarisation of migration policy was largely a response to the evident deficiencies of intergovernmental cooperation on migration under the Maastricht framework, it was also meant to strengthen the existing framework (particularly the Schengen acquis) in view of the eastern enlargement of the Union (Lavenex, 2001: 33). 3.1 New Institutional Structures within the European Union The switch from intergovernmental cooperation to a Community working method in many areas of justice and home affairs under the Amsterdam Treaty brought broad changes in the institutional structure under which migration and asylum matters are now dealt with. The highest body (apart from the European Council) dealing with these matters is now the Justice and Home Affairs Council, which adopts regulations, directives, common positions, recommendations, resolutions and (framework) decisions and draws up conventions. The proceedings of the Council are prepared by the Committee of Permanent Representatives (COREPER), composed of the Ambassadors of the Member States to the EU. Other preparatory bodies are the Strategic Committee on Immigration, Frontiers and Asylum (SCIFA) and the Working Parties. SCIFA is composed of senior officials and is positioned halfway between the Working Parties and COREPER. The task of SCIFA is to issue strategic guidelines in matters relating to immigration, borders and asylum, to act in matters falling under Articles 62, 63 and 64 of the TEC28 and to give substantive input to COREPER’s discussions. The Working Parties, composed of senior officials, agree on matters within their domain of 28 These are: measures to be adopted with regard to the crossing of borders; measures to be adopted with regard to asylum, immigration policy and residence status of third-country nationals; and measures to be taken in an emergency situation characterised by sudden inflows. 47 T H E S I M competence and submit their views to SCIFA29. The Article 36 Committee (named after Article 36 of the TEU which established it) is a coordinating body composed of senior officials of the Member States: it coordinates activities in the area of police and judicial cooperation in criminal matters (e.g. the SIS) and can issue opinions to the Council, either at the latter’s request or on its own initiative. The High Level Working Group on Asylum and Migration (HLWG), created in 1998 on the initiative of the Netherlands, is a special body within the framework of EU justice and home affairs cooperation, attended by highlevel officials representing each Member of the Council and the Commission. Its task is to develop a strategic approach and a coherent and integrated policy for the European Union towards the most important countries and regions of origin and transit of asylum-seekers and migrants. In doing so, it analyses and monitors migratory trends, proposes measures and takes initiatives such as the implementation of country-specific action plans30. Furthermore, the group is charged with identifying possibilities for closer cooperation with intergovernmental, governmental and nongovernmental organisations in the regions of origin concerned. The HLWG has thus become the central body within the EU charged with enhancing cooperation with source and transit countries in the area of migration and asylum. A General Secretariat assists the Council. The main responsibility of the Secretariat is to prepare the meetings of the European Council, and of the Council of the European Union and its preparatory bodies, namely COREPER and the Working Parties. It advises the Presidency and the Secretary-General on their coordination. This includes working out the content and wording of compromises. Directorate-General H of the Secretariat Council is responsible for justice and home affairs. It consists of two sections: Section I: Asylum and immigration (including CIREA, CIREFI and EURODAC) and Section II: Police and customs cooperation. In the European Commission, the Directorate-General for Freedom, Security and Justice (DG JLS)31 exercises the right of legislative initiative32, 29 Under SCIFA there are seven working parties, namely the Working Party on Migration, the Working Party on Expulsion, the Working Party on Visas, the Working Party on Asylum, the Working Party on Frontiers, the Working Party on CIREA, and the Working Party on CIREFI. 30 The six action plans drafted so far (on Albania, Afghanistan, Iraq, Morocco, Somalia and Sri Lanka) focused on EU assistance in the reception of displaced persons in the home region concerned, readmission agreements and on assessments of whether ‘safe return’ to the country of origin is possible or whether ‘internal settlement alternatives exist’. 31 In August 2004, the name of the DG was changed from ‘Justice and Home Affairs’ to ‘Freedom, Justice and Security’. 48 Chapter 1. The Evolution of EU Migration Policy deals with the (re-)writing of legislation in areas which moved from the intergovernmental third pillar to Community procedures under the first pillar, the control of the application of Community legislation, the day-today management of justice and internal security issues in contact with the EU MS, and the task of ensuring that candidates for accessions comply with the JAI standards of the EU. DG JLS began life as the Directorate-General for Justice and Home Affairs in October 1999 and thus is one of the youngest (and with some 320 officials also one of the smallest) Directorates-General. It built on a task force on justice and home affairs issues which had been established by the Maastricht Treaty in 1992. The major areas of work of DG JLS are: immigration, asylum and borders (Directorate B); civil justice, rights and citizenship (Directorate C); and internal security and criminal justice (Directorate D). A unit for external relations and questions related to enlargements, evaluation and coordination is located in its Directorate A. One of the most important future mandates of the DG will be the further development of the Union’s fundamental rights policy. Apart from exercising its right of initiative, the Commission is also fully involved in the work of the Council in the various bodies set up to deal with asylum matters, immigration and checks at external borders. It also takes part in the work of the group set up to facilitate the exchange of information in the fields of migration (CIREFI) and coordinates Eurasil, a forum for the exchange of information on asylum, which replaced CIREA (the equivalent of CIREFI) in 2002. 3.2 The mandate of the European Union with regard to asylum, immigration and integration According to the Amsterdam Treaty, the Community is now responsible for laying down uniform procedures for: carrying out checks on persons at the external borders; uniform rules on visas for stays of up to three months, including a list of third countries whose nationals must be in possession of a visa when crossing the external borders33; the procedures and conditions for issuing visas by EU MS; and a uniform format for visas. In addition, the Council was asked to adopt measures with respect to refugees, including the This right was shared with the EU MS until 1st May 2004 and is now held solely by the Commission with regard to matters falling under Title IV TEC. For issues falling under Title VI TEU Member States retain the possibility of initiating legislation. 33 See Council Regulation (EC) No 539/2001 of 15th March 2001 listing the third countries whose nationals must be in possession of visas when crossing the external borders and those whose nationals are exempt from that requirement. 32 49 T H E S I M establishment of criteria and mechanisms for determining which Member State is responsible for considering an application for asylum submitted by a national of a third country in one of the EU MS; minimum standards for the reception of asylum seekers; minimum standards for the qualification of third-country nationals as refugees and the criteria for awarding refugee and subsidiary protection status; minimum standards on procedures in EU MS for granting or withdrawing refugee status; and minimum standards for giving temporary protection to displaced third-country nationals34. The Amsterdam Treaty also specified a deadline of five years after its entry into force (i.e. 1st May 2004), for the Council to adopt these measures. Finally, the Council was asked to propose measures on the conditions of entry and residence of third-country nationals and to define a set of basic rights for those of them who are long-term residents of a Member State. This task was not subject to the deadline specified by the Treaty for asylum and border issues. However, the role of EU institutions in regard to Title IV was limited in two important ways: first, the Council had to reach decisions unanimously; second, the application of preliminary rulings by the European Court of Justice was significantly limited35. In principle, the EU’s competence was restricted to twelve EU MS. With the exception of a common visa policy, Denmark does not participate in the common migration policy, although it can adopt relevant EU legislation building on the Schengen acquis within six months of the latter’s adoption at EU level, thus creating mutual obligations under international law36. Similarly, the Republic of Ireland and the United For a list of specific measures adopted, see below. The Amsterdam Treaty entered into force on 1st May 1999. Thus the transitional period ended on 30th April2004. During this period, the Council in general acted unanimously on a proposal from the Commission or on the initiative of a Member State, after consulting the European Parliament. As of 1st May 2004, the Council acts on proposals from the Commission, which now has the sole right of initiative. However, the Commission must examine any request by a Member State that it submit a proposal to the Council. In addition, and according to the deadline set by article 67 EC, the Council was asked to adopt new procedural rules by 1st May 2004. New procedural rules are established by the draft constitution, which, introduces qualified majority voting in the Council, involves the European Parliament (co-decision-making procedure), and lifts the restrictions on preliminary rulings by the European Court of Justice (see Brinkmann, 2004: 186; Treaty Establishing a Constitution for Europe, III-167 and III-168). Some items of Title IV have automatically become subject to qualified majority voting, while the procedure has been extended to some other areas by a recent Council Decision (2004/927/EC). A further extension of qualified majority voting is stipulated by the same Council Decision, which, however, also postpones the shift to the co-decision procedure and qualified majority voting for the entire area of Title IV until after the Treaty establishing a constitution has entered into force. 36 See Protocol on the position of Denmark, OJ C340, 10th November 1997. 34 35 50 Chapter 1. The Evolution of EU Migration Policy Kingdom are not bound by measures under Title IV. However, these two states are free to participate in the adoption and implementation of measures under Title IV if they wish to do so, on a case-by-case basis37. In addition, Ireland and the UK reserve the right to control any persons, including citizens of the European Union, seeking entry to the territory of either state, and the concomitant right to grant or refuse entry38. Partly because these three countries do not participate in a common EU asylum and migration policy, except on a case-by-case basis, and − in the case of Denmark − are limited to legislation building on the Schengen acquis, intergovernmental modes of cooperation have remained important (as expressed, for example, by the creation of the cross-pillar High Level Working Group following an initiative by the Netherlands in December 1998 and several other initiatives proposed by individual EU MS and groups of EU MS at the Councils of Seville (2002) and Thessaloniki (2003) (Guiraudon, 2003: 272)). The Treaty of Amsterdam also significantly broadened the scope of the EU’s competence with respect to migration policy in the widest sense, outside the justice and affairs provisions of Title IV (i.e. with regard to migrant integration and anti-discrimination, see for example Article 13 and Article 137 of the Treaty). Anti-discrimination had long been on the European agenda, in the sense that the liberalising philosophy underlying the single market project tended to see every digression from market mechanisms as problematic and dysfunctional. This provided a powerful rationale for anti-discrimination policies, mainly with respect to disadvantages faced by EU citizens living and working in another Member State, but also, since the 1970s, with respect to gender. By the time of the Amsterdam Treaty, the anti-discrimination agenda had gained a momentum of its own. It had been broadened to include thirdcountry nationals and immigrant minorities and partly fused with the increasing concern to foster social cohesion and fight social exclusion. Except in the original core area of migration policy – border control and cooperation with respect to asylum issues – the impetus for the expansion of the EU migration policy agenda came from the Commission itself and various migrant interest groups sponsored by the Commission, such as the Starting Line Group (SLG) (led by the Brussels-based Migration Policy Group and supported by the British Commission for Racial Equality and the Dutch National Office against Racism) (Geddes, 2000b)). See Protocol on the position of the United Kingdom and Ireland, OJ C340, 10th November 1997. 38 Protocol on the application of certain aspects of Article 7a of the Treaty establishing the European Community to the United Kingdom and to Ireland, OJ C340, 10th November 1997. 37 51 T H E S I M Even before the 1996 Inter Governmental Conference (IGC), the Council had adopted measures to combat racism and discrimination on the basis of race and ethnicity. Thus a consultative commission on racism and xenophobia was created at the Council of Corfu in 1994, followed by the creation of the European Monitoring Centre on Racism and Xenophobia (EUMC) in 1997, based in Vienna (Geddes, 2000a: 115)39. The EUMC interpreted its mandate as being to monitor developments in EU MS with regard to racism and xenophobia. It established an extensive data-collection system, including commissioned reports on the social, economic and legal status of migrant minorities and issues of integration and exclusion more generally40. The EU’s movement into areas beyond classic justice and home affairs concerns also underlay the Commission’s long-standing quest41 to include a rights-based approach alongside the more security-driven policy initiatives in the core areas of EU migration policies (such as asylum and border controls). In this way, the EU has moved beyond a narrow migration-management agenda, focusing on the management of migration flows to take a much broader approach to migration issues that includes a strong emphasis on the integration of migrants and on non-discrimination. This is also reflected in the Constitutional Treaty, Article 267 (4) of which provides a legal basis for Community policies on integration. As a corollary, there is a strong need to improve and expand the collection of statistical and other data on discrimination against and integration of migrants, most importantly by improving and expanding statistical data on their labour market performance. For example, while a broad range of general employment indicators are regularly collected at a national level, current data rarely enable the user to identify migrants or to focus on specific groups of migrants. Many other indicators are needed to identify patterns of integration and discrimination, such as income level, educational attainment, home ownership vs. renting 39 Council Regulation (EC) No 1035/97 of 2nd June 1997 establishing a European Monitoring Centre on racism and xenophobia. 40 The EUMC will be transformed into a Human Rights Agency following a decision at the European Council in Brussels on 13th December 2003. 41 For example, the 1994 Communication on immigration and asylum (COM (94) 23 final) stated that ‘[t]he Commission feels that steps should be taken to align the rights of [legal] immigrants more closely to those of nationals of the EU MS and that measures are needed in the fields of employment, education and information and to combat racial discrimination and all forms of racism and xenophobia.’ Similarly, the 1995 Commission White Paper on Social Policy made a case for extending the right to work and live in another Member State to third-country nationals (Morris, 1997: 244). 52 Chapter 1. The Evolution of EU Migration Policy etc. These variables are rarely collected in a way that allows the identification of migrants or those from a migrant background. In general, in most European countries, migrants are distinguished from non-migrants by the criterion of citizenship. In countries where citizenship can be obtained after a relatively short waiting period this group effectively disappears from the statistics. A further complication for those wishing to study integration is that minorities of migrant background are no longer captured by regular employment statistics (Jandl, Kraler and Stepien, 2003: 83ff and below)42. The expansion of the scope of EU policies on migration (in the widest sense) and the shift away from admission and border control policies both make the focus on third-country nationals less plausible. Not only do many of the ‘migrants’ who are subject to racism, social exclusion and discrimination hold the citizenship of their country of residence (they may even be second- or third-generation), but internal migrants (especially those from new EU MS) may encounter very similar problems when moving within the EU. The Tampere Summit (1999) and its aftermath Following the entry into force of the Amsterdam Treaty, a special meeting of the European Council took place in Tampere, Finland in October 1999. This was devoted exclusively to justice and home affairs matters and came to be seen as a landmark in the development of a common EU migration policy. The summit conclusions reiterated the need to develop a common EU policy on asylum and migration, which should, inter alia, include the following elements: a comprehensive approach to migration, including partnerships with countries of origin; a common European asylum system; fair treatment of third-country nationals, including rules on nondiscrimination; the management of migration flows at all their stages, including re-admission agreements; the development, in close cooperation with countries of origin and transit, of information campaigns on legal immigration, and on the prevention of all forms of trafficking in human beings; a common policy on visas and false documents, including closer cooperation between EU consulates in third countries and, where necessary, the establishment of common EU visa-issuing offices; the forceful combating of all forms of trafficking in human beings and economic exploitation of 42 Labour force surveys usually do include a question on country of birth but a variety of factors (e.g. a relatively small sub-sample of migrants and inadequate sampling frames when the characteristics and size of the population in question is rapidly changing) often make it difficult to use the data for an assessment of the labour market performance of migrants. 53 T H E S I M migrants and the adoption of legislation foreseeing severe sanctions against these crimes. The Tampere conclusions also reiterated the need for a common approach to the integration of long-term immigrants into European societies, going beyond the immediate concerns of non-discrimination, most importantly by approximating the rights of third-country nationals to those of the nationals of EU MS43. In this context, the conclusions also emphasised the importance of citizenship as an important step towards the integration of third-country nationals and the development, on the part of migrants, of a sense of belonging in the receiving society. Thus, even though citizenship policy remains the exclusive prerogative of EU MS, both the Council (and thus EU MS) and the Commission are aware of the potential positive impact of citizenship on migrant integration44. A Commission Communication adopted in June 2003 even went a step further, making several concrete suggestions as to how EU MS’ citizenship regulations could be designed to achieve a standard that is both fair and transparent45. The policy shift towards a more pro-active integration policy and an emphasis on the rights of third-country nationals (initiated in Amsterdam and endorsed at the Tampere Summit) was also linked to a more general shift in policy that stressed the positive balance of migration and the need to manage rather than to restrict migration. Underlying this change of paradigm in the approach to migration was the increasing realisation that European societies needed immigrants for demographic and economic reasons, and particularly highly skilled migrants to fill certain gaps in highly specialised sectors of the labour market (Düvell and Jordan, 2002: 503f)46. The momentum created by the Tampere Summit and by the biannual review of progress in respect of the agenda set by the Amsterdam Treaty Tampere European Council, 15th and 16th October 1999, Presidency Conclusions, SN200/99, Paragraph 4: “A person who has resided in a Member State for a period of time to be determined and who holds a long-term resident permit, should be granted in that Member State a set of uniform rights which are as near as possible to those enjoyed by EU citizens”. 44 “The European Council endorses the objective that long-term legally resident third-country nationals be offered the opportunity to obtain the nationality of the Member State in which they are resident”. Tampere European Council, 15th and 16th October 1999, Presidency Conclusions, SN 200/99, Paragraph 21. 45 Communication from the Commission to the Council, the European Parliament, the European Economic and Social Council and the Committee of the Regions on immigration, integration and employment, COM (2003) 336 final, Brussels, 3rd June 2003. 46 An early attempt to adopt a common admission policy with regard to migrants intending to work in a Member State – a proposal for a directive was submitted by the Commission in July 2001 – did not prove successful. With the adoption of the Green Paper on economic migration, the debate on a common framework for the management of economic migration has recently been relaunched (see below). 43 54 Chapter 1. The Evolution of EU Migration Policy and the Tampere Summit (‘Scoreboard’)47 has resulted in numerous proposals for community legal instruments dealing with migration, asylum, integration and anti-discrimination. Among the first measures to be adopted in the aftermath of Tampere was the Race Equality Directive (2000/43/EC), adopted in June 2000, just seven months after the submission of the proposal by the Commission. While the speed of the decision was largely due to a perceived need for action against racism, xenophobia and discrimination in the wake of certain political developments across Europe, its early adoption was also a powerful reminder that EU migration policy was no longer solely concerned with migration as a security issue or confined to justice and home affairs issues in general. A second directive on equality in employment48 was adopted in November 2000, alongside a Community Action Programme to combat discrimination49. A Communication from the Commission on community immigration policy, adopted in November 2000, also signalled a shift towards a rights-based approach, introducing the concept of ‘civic citizenship’ to denote the evolving status of third-country nationals (Bauböck, 2004)50. The European Council of Nice (2000), which prepared the revisions to the TEU incorporated into the Treaty of Nice (2001), focused on the institutional preparations necessary for the forthcoming EU enlargement (e.g. voting weights in the Council) but failed to establish that the areas of immigration and asylum should become matters for straightforward majority voting in the Council. The following European Council of Laeken in December 2001 noted that progress towards a common asylum and immigration policy had been slower and less substantial than expected and urged a new approach, including the integration of policy on migratory flows into EU foreign policy 47 The first biannual Scoreboard was published in November 2000, following a Commission decision setting up a review mechanism in March 2000. See Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament and the Council on the Scoreboard to review progress in creating an area of freedom, security and justice in the European Union, COM (2000) 167 (21st March 2000) and the Communication to the Council and Parliament on the biannual update of the Scoreboard to review progress in creating an area of freedom, security and justice in the European Union, COM (2000) 782. 48 Council Directive 2000/78/EC of 27th November 2000 establishing a general framework for equal treatment in employment and occupation. 49 Council Decision 2000/750/EC establishing a Community Action Programme to combat discrimination. The Action Programme supports activities combating discrimination on grounds of racial or ethnic origin, religion or belief, disability, age and sexual orientation. It was launched in 2001 and runs until 2006. Its priorities are analysis and evaluation, developing the capacity to combat and prevent discrimination and raising awareness. 50 See Communication from the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament on a Community immigration policy, COM (2000) 757 final, Brussels, 22nd November 2000, Paragraph 3.5. 55 T H E S I M and the speedy implementation of the Eurodac system51 and the Dublin Convention52. It asked the Council and the Commission to work out arrangements for cooperation between the services responsible for external border control; to examine the conditions in which a mechanism or common services to control external borders could be created; and to take steps to set up a common visa identification system. Efforts to combat illegal immigration and the integration of migration policy into the common foreign policy of the Union were high on the agenda at the European Council in Seville in June 200253. The Council stressed cooperation with countries of origin and transit, including return and readmission agreements, although it stopped short of proposing sanctions against uncooperative third countries (as had previously been suggested by some EU MS). It did, however, urge that any future cooperation, association or equivalent agreement with the European Union should include a clause on joint management of migration flows and on compulsory readmission in the event of illegal immigration. Moreover, it called for an assessment of relationships with third countries which did not cooperate in combating illegal immigration, and noted that insufficient cooperation by a country could hamper the establishment of closer relations between that country and the Union. Finally, the European Council of Seville welcomed the Commission’s comprehensive plan to combat illegal immigration54 and the plan for the management of external borders, and set new deadlines for the adoption of relevant legislation. In response to the Seville Conclusions, the Commission issued a series of communications on the main issues– on the integration of migration into the Union’s agreements with third countries55, on a common 51 Council Regulation (EC) No 2725/2000 of 11th December 2000 concerning the establishment of ‘Eurodac’ for the comparison of fingerprints for the effective application of the Dublin Convention. This was followed by Council Regulation (EC) No 407/2002 of 28th February 2002 laying down certain rules to implement Regulation (EC) No 2725/2000. Eurodac finally came into operation on 15 January 2003. 52 Presidency Conclusions on Justice and Home Affairs, European Council of Laeken, 17th December 2001. 53 Presidency Conclusions of the Seville European Council 21 and 22nd June 2002, SN 200/1/02 REV 1. 54 See the Action Plan on Illegal Migration contained in the Communication from the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament on a common policy on illegal immigration, COM (2001) 0676 final. 55 Communication from the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament on integration and migration issues in the European Union’s relations with third countries. Part I: Migration and Development; Part II: Report on the effectiveness of financial resources available at Community level for repatriation of immigrants and rejected asylum seekers, for 56 Chapter 1. The Evolution of EU Migration Policy return policy (based partly on an earlier Green Paper)56, and on illegal migration, trafficking and the smuggling of migrants57. In addition, a fourth communication, published in early June 2003, reiterated the importance of comprehensive policies on the integration of migrants but also touched on wider strategic migration management issues (e.g. whether immigration could help solve the problem posed by aging societies in Europe), while several suggestions were made as to how to enhance knowledge about migration in the Union58. The European Council of Thessaloniki, held in June 2003, again ascribed ‘top political priority to migration’59. It again called for the prompt conclusion of readmission agreements with key countries of origin, as well as the promotion of further cooperation with them. The Summit set forth a list of practical steps to be taken to achieve greater coherence on migration and asylum issues in a number of areas such as: the Visa Information System; biometric identifiers in documents; the management of external borders; the network of Immigration Liaison Officers (ILOs) in third countries; the return of illegal migrants; the integration of third-country nationals; the production of an annual report on migration and integration in Europe; and an Action Plan for the improvement of migration statistics at the European level60. management of external borders and for asylum and migration projects in third countries, COM (2002) 703(01). 56 Communication from the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament on a Community return policy on illegal residents, COM (2002) 564(01); Green Paper on a Community return policy on illegal residents, COM (2002) 175 final. A return Action Programme was adopted in November 2002 (Council Document 14673/02). 57 Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament and the Council in view of the European Council of Thessaloniki on the development of a common policy on illegal immigration, smuggling and trafficking of human beings, external borders and the return of illegal residents, COM (2003) 323(01). 58 Communication from the Commission to the Council, European Parliament, the European Economic and Social Council and the Committee of the Regions on immigration, integration and employment, COM (2003) 336 final, Brussels, 3rd June 2003. 59 Presidency Conclusions – Thessaloniki, 19 and 20th June 2003, 11638/03 3, available at: http://ue.eu.int/ en/Info/eurocouncil/index.htm 60The first report was published in early 2004 and is accessible online at http://europa.eu.int/comm/jutice_home/doc_centre/asylum/statistical/doc_annual_report_ 2001_en.htm. 57 T H E S I M Evaluating the progress made towards the creation of an area of freedom, justice and security As already mentioned, the Treaty of Amsterdam laid down that, within five years from its entry into force, the Council was to adopt measures in a number of areas relating to asylum and immigration61. The Conclusions of the Tampere, Laeken, Seville and Thessaloniki Councils have given this task list still greater urgency. Having published a detailed scoreboard twice a year since November 2000 to review the progress made on the creation of an area of freedom, justice and security, the Commission published its final review of progress with the Tampere Agenda on 2nd June 200462. By the end of 2003, a large proportion of the Community measures called for in the Amsterdam Treaty had already been adopted (see references in the footnotes). These included: the criteria and mechanisms for determining which Member State is responsible for considering an application for asylum63; minimum standards for the reception of asylum seekers in the EU MS64; minimum standards for nationals of non-member countries to qualify as refugees, and the criteria for awarding refugee and subsidiary protection status65; minimum standards on procedures in EU MS for granting or withdrawing refugee status66; For a full list, see http://europa.eu.int/scadplus/leg/en/lvb/a11000.htm (21st May 2004). Communication from the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament area of freedom, security and justice: assessment of the Tampere Programme and future orientations {SEC (2004) 680 and SEC (2004) 693}, COM (2004) 4002 final of 2nd June 2004. 63 Council Regulation (EC) No 343/2003 of 18th February 2003 establishing the criteria and mechanisms for determining the Member State responsible for examining an asylum application lodged in one of the EU MS by a third-country national. Council Regulation (EC) No 1560/2003 of 2nd September 2003 laying down detailed rules for the application of Council Regulation (EC) No 343/2003. These regulations (‘Dublin II’) superseded the original Dublin Convention of 1990 and came into effect in October 2003. 64 Council Directive 2003/9/EC of 27 January 2003 laying down minimum standards for the reception of asylum seekers. 65 See the proposal for a Council Directive on minimum standards for the qualification and status of third-country nationals and stateless persons as refugees or as persons who otherwise need international protection. The directive was adopted at the Council Meeting of 29th April 2004 (see press release on http://europa.eu.int/comm/justice_home/news/intro/wai/news_0 404_en.htm) 66 See Proposal for a Council Directive on minimum standards on procedures in EU MS for granting and withdrawing refugee status, (COM (2000) 578 final − 2000/0238(CNS)). On 29th April 2004, the Council agreed a general approach to the proposal for a directive on minimum 61 62 58 Chapter 1. The Evolution of EU Migration Policy minimum standards for giving temporary protection67; promoting a balance of efforts between EU MS in receiving and bearing the consequences of receiving refugees and displaced persons68; conditions of entry and residence, and standards on procedures for the issue by EU MS of long-term visas and residence permits, including those for the purpose of family reunion69; illegal immigration and illegal residence, including repatriation of illegal residents70; provisions defining the rights and conditions under which nationals of non-member countries who are legally resident in a Member State may reside in another Member State71. In addition to the measures that were subject to the deadline of 1st May 2004 (as specified by the Amsterdam Treaty and subsequent amendments) the Union has also made considerable progress in areas for which it received a mandate in the Amsterdam Treaty, namely in defining a set of minimum rights for third-country nationals who are long-term residents in an EU MS, and in adopting measures to foster the integration of immigrants and combat discrimination. Legislation has been adopted or is in the process of being adopted in the following areas: family reunion for third-country nationals who are legally established in a Member State72; the rights and status of third-country nationals who are long-term residents of a Member State73; standards on procedures in EU MS for granting and withdrawing refugee status. Before the directive is finally adopted, however, the European Parliament will be consulted. 67 Council Directive 2001/55/EC of 20th July 2001 on minimum standards for giving temporary protection in the event of a mass influx of displaced persons and on measures promoting a balance of efforts between EU MS in receiving such persons and bearing the consequences thereof. 68 2000/596/EC: Council Decision of 28th September 2000 establishing a European Refugee Fund. 69 Council Regulation (EC) No 1030/2002 of 13th June 2002 laying down a uniform format for residence permits for third-country nationals. Council Directive 2003/86/EC of 22nd September 2003 on the right to family reunification. Council Directive 2003/109/EC of 25th November 2003 concerning the status of third-country nationals who are long-term residents. 70 Council Framework Decision of 19th July 2002 on combating trafficking in human beings. 2002/946/JHA: Council Framework Decision of 28th November 2002 on the strengthening of the penal framework to prevent the facilitation of unauthorised entry, transit and residence. 71 Council Regulation (EC) No 1091/2001 of 28th May 2001 on freedom of movement with a long-stay visa. 72 Council Directive 2003/86/EC of 22nd September 2003 on the right to family reunification. 59 T H E S I M anti-discrimination74; measures on integration75. In the light of continuing EU enlargement, and the need to make the Union work with 25 or more EU MS, simplification and restructuring of the Union’s structure was considered necessary. The Intergovernmental Conference in Nice in 2000 had dealt with these issues, but could not answer all the questions posed. Thus, at the European Council in Laeken in 2001, European leaders agreed to set up a Convention with a view to preparing the Union for the future76. The Convention presented its proposal to the European Council of Thessaloniki in June 2003: a Draft Treaty establishing a Constitution for Europe. The Constitution, which was adopted by the Council Directive 2003/109/EC of 25th November 2003 concerning the status of third-country nationals who are long-term residents. 74 Council Directive 2000/43/EC of 29th June 2000 implementing the principle of equal treatment between persons irrespective of racial or ethnic origin; and Council Directive 2000/78/EC of 27th November 2000 establishing a general framework for equal treatment in employment and occupation. 75 The Commission sees the directive on the rights of third-country nationals (residence rights) and the planned directive on employment of third-country nationals (as well as the legislation on anti-discrimination) as part of its wider activities in the area of integration. In a Communication in 2000, the Commission introduced the idea of ‘civic citizenship’ as a core concept for the further elaboration of an EU integration and migration policy (Communication from the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament on a Community Immigration Policy, COM (2000) 757 final, Brussels, 22nd November 2000, Paragraph 3.5). The communication and follow-up policy documents make it clear that the Commission sees the ultimate goal of EU policy towards third-country nationals as approximating their status to that EU citizens currently enjoy when living in another Member State. In 2003, the Commission published a communication on integration and employment, on the basis of which it also established a budget line for integration activities (INTI) (see Communication from the Commission to the Council, the European Parliament, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions on immigration, integration and employment, Brussels, 3rd June 2003, COM (2003) 336 final). After enlargement, the EU has reinforced its commitment to common principles of integration policy, and has established an Integration Network, mirroring the Migration Network established earlier. It plans to set up a European Integration Fund, to support EU MS in designing and implementing both admission and integration policies (see European Commission, Directorate General Justice, Freedom and Security, Discussion paper on the legal basis for the Integration Fund under the 2007−2013 Financial Perspectives. Immigration and Asylum Committee − National Contact Points on Integration. Extraordinary Meeting, January 2005). 76 The aim of the Convention, according to the Laeken Declaration, was to undertake a thorough review of the Treaties, make suggestions as to how the Union could become more democratic, transparent and efficient, and eventually prepare the way for a Constitution for Europe. The major questions to be dealt with were: how to organise the division of responsibilities between the Union and the EU MS; how to clarify the tasks of the different European institutions; how to ensure the coherence and effectiveness of the Union’s external activities; and how to strengthen the Union’s legitimacy. 73 60 Chapter 1. The Evolution of EU Migration Policy Council in December 2004, proposes a restructuring of the legal system of the Union, some simplification of its organisation and the establishment of new features such as a European Foreign Minister. Even if the proposed legal changes in the areas of border control, immigration and asylum are not substantial, the Constitution’s proposals could still be seen as a further step towards communitarisation in the area of justice and home affairs. The Council may also adopt the procedural changes envisioned outside the framework of the Constitution, as provided for by Article 67 (2) (EC). Certain areas (e.g. certain aspects of common visa policies) are already subject to qualified majority voting or have become subject to majority voting with the end of the transition period. In addition, Council Decision 2004/924/EC of 22nd December 2004 makes additional, admittedly less controversial, areas subject to qualified majority voting, while leaving the eventual change of decision-making procedures to later Council Decisions and the entry into force of the Constitution. According to the Hague programme and the Constitution, the intention is that the entire Title IV will eventually be subject to qualified majority voting (Kostakopoulou, 2000: 501). The Hague Programme and the new agenda for EU migration policy When the five-year transitional period for the implementation of the Tampere work programme on migration and asylum came to an end in 2004, a discussion on the adoption of a new multi-annual programme took place between the Commission, the Council and the EU MS. Following intensive consultations, the new five-year work programme, called the ‘Hague Programme’77, was adopted at the Brussels European Council on 4 and 5 November 2004. This deals with all aspects of policy relating to freedom, security and justice, notably fundamental rights and citizenship, asylum and migration, border management and integration. The new programme, which is in itself not legally binding, reflects the ambitions of the (yet to be ratified) Constitution for Europe and contains a political commitment to abolish the requirement for unanimous voting in the Council on all EU immigration and asylum law ‘except for legal immigration’ by 1st April 200578. To implement the Hague Programme, the Council has asked 77 The European Council, The Hague Programme – Strengthening Freedom, Security and Justice in the European Union, Brussels, 13th December 2004, Document No. 16054/04, JAI 559. 78 This change in the decision-making procedure would require the adoption of a Council decision by unanimous vote following consultation with the European Parliament. See 61 T H E S I M the Commission to present an Action Plan in 2005, detailing a timetable for the adoption and implementation of all the planned actions, as well as an annual ‘scoreboard’ for the progress achieved (as developed for the Tampere programme)79. As well as the greater coordination and harmonisation in asylum and migration matters already pursued by existing EU policies, the Hague Programme proposes several key steps for the further communitarisation of asylum and migration policy: the establishment of a common asylum procedure and a uniform status for those who are granted asylum or subsidiary protection, including the establishment of the new European Refugee Fund for the period 2005−2010 and designated Community funds for assisting EU MS in the reception and processing of asylum-seekers; the adoption of an EU approach to managing economic migration; a greater coordination of national integration policies, including the establishment of common basic principles on integration and the exchange of experience and information on integration; the integration of migration in the EU’s existing and future relations with third countries, encompassing issues such as refugee protection, combating of illegal migration, return and readmission and the establishment of a European Return Fund by 2007; the strengthening of controls and surveillance on the external borders of the EU, including the establishment of a Community border management fund by the end of 2006 at the latest; the further development of the Common Visa Policy, including harmonised solutions on biometric identifiers in travel documents and the establishment of common visa offices in the long term. Statewatch Briefing ‘Vetoes, Opt-outs, and EU Immigration and Asylum Law’, prepared for Statewatch by Professor Steve Peers, University of Essex, revised version: 8th November 2004. 79 The Action Plan was published in May 2005. See Communication from the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament ‘The Hague Programme: Ten Priorities for the Next Five Years. The Partnership for European Renewal in the Field of Freedom, Security, and Justice’. COM (2005) 184 final, 10th May 2005. 62 Chapter 1. The Evolution of EU Migration Policy Conclusions: EU migration policy in an enlarged Union and implications for data collection The governance of migration in the enlarged Union The adoption of the Hague programme was a vivid expression of the commitment of an enlarged Union to the agenda of framing and adopting common policies on migration, integration and asylum at the European level. Apart from legislative acts this will, depending on the specific topics in question, also involve the development of ‘soft’ policies, including the exchange of information, development of guidelines and recommendations in various subject areas and identification of ‘best practices’. The recent Green Paper on Economic Migration also indicates that the scope of European migration policy is likely to continue to evolve on the basis of what has already been achieved. The aim of this Green Paper80 is to launch a process of in-depth discussion leading to a proposal for a new regulation on the management of economic migration, possibly as soon as late 2005. The Green Paper does not take a definite stand on the preferred system to be adopted, but puts forward several options and questions for the adoption of common criteria and coordination procedures in the management of economic migration. Among the issues raised for discussion are common fast-track procedures or ‘green cards’ for skilled migrants; the scope of the community preference principle; the facilitation of the mobility of thirdcountry workers between EU MS; the application of an economic needs test for foreign workers; the establishment of an EU selection system for specific skill categories; the harmonisation of admission procedures for selfemployment; the combination of residence and work permits; and a number of accompanying measures, ranging from integration to return and cooperation with third countries. The drive towards common standards for admission policies and towards minimum standards for the granting of residence permits seems a logical step after the introduction of freedom of movement for long-term third-country nationals through the recent directive on long-term thirdcountry nationals (2004/109/EC). In addition, EU MS are increasingly concerned that individual national migration policies may adversely affect other EU MS. In response, the Justice and Home Affairs Council meeting of February 2005 agreed in principle to put in place an informal information 80 Commission of the European Communities, (2005), Green Paper on an EU approach to managing economic migration, COM (2004) 811 final, Brussels, 11 January 2005. 63 T H E S I M mechanism, whose objective would be to inform other EU MS about national policies with a potential impact on them before such policies were adopted81. Finally, in the Justice and Home Affairs Council meeting of April 2005, the Council adopted conclusions on the establishment of a mutual information system on migration and asylum and asked the Commission to present a proposal by the end of May 200582. In future, it may thus be expected that one of the most sensitive areas of migration policy, and one that is currently entirely outside the community framework, namely citizenship policy, will to some degree also become a Union matter, if only in the form of looser cooperation and ‘soft’ recommendations on specific issues. In any case, there are powerful reasons why the Union should be interested in citizenship. First, ithas long recognised that citizenship is an instrument of legal integration that may positively influence the wider social, economic and political integration of migrants83. Secondly, citizenship policies may be directly linked to immigration policy, especially if co-ethnics, citizens of particular states (e.g. parts of former empires) or other preferentially treated persons not resident in a Member State are granted facilitated access to a its citizenship, and thus also access to Union citizenship as well as physical access to the territory of the Union84. The recent policy developments at EU level make it very clear that migration policy in the enlarged Union is no longer solely an issue of justice and home affairs, but increasingly (for example where anti-discrimination policy, integration policy and labour market policies towards vulnerable groups of migrants are concerned) also one for DG Employment and Social Affairs85. In addition, many issues falling within the scope of common 81 Council of the European Union, Press Release 6228/05 on the 2642. Council Meeting, Justice and Home Affairs, 24 February 2005, Brussels. Available online under: http://ue.eu.int/ueDocs /cms_Data/docs/ pressData/en/jha/83980.pdf (31st March 2005). 82 Council of the European Union, Press Release 7721/05 on the 2652. Council Meeting, Justice on Home Affairs, 14th April 2005, Brussels. Available online under http://ue.eu.int/ueDocs/cm s_Data/docs/pressData/ en/jha/84618.pdf (19th May 2005). 83 For a recent reiteration of this consensus see The Council of the European Union, 14615/04 (Presse 321), JHA Council, 19th November 2004, available at http://ue.eu.int/ueDocs/cms_Data /docs/pressData/en/ jha/82745.pdf (19th May 2005). 84 The Commission has also otherwise expressed its keen interest in issues of citizenship, for example by funding a policy-oriented research project ‘The Acquisition of Nationality in EU MS: Rules, Practices and Quantitative Developments’ (NATAC), in regard to which DG Research and DG JLS closely collaborate. 85 The unit (D.4) within the Commission Directorate for Employment and Social Affairs now called ‘Free Movement of Workers, Migrant Integration and Anti-Racism’ was created as early as 1958. Article 137 of the Amsterdam Treaty gives the Union a mandate to assist EU MS, among other things, with regard to the conditions of employment of third-country nationals, in 64 Chapter 1. The Evolution of EU Migration Policy migration policies have become closely intertwined with foreign policy issues dealt with in the framework of the emerging Common Foreign Policy. Indirectly, issues of migration policy will also be affected by the liberalisation of services within the Union86 and in future may become even more so if service provision is liberalised at a global level in the framework of the General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) (Keely, 2002; Sands, 2004). Despite the political focus on third-country nationals, it is useful to bear in mind that both EU migration policies (understood in a generic sense as policies aimed at governing migration flows and the legal status of migrants) and socio-demographic developments associated with migration, in principle concern all categories of migrants, irrespective of their legal status. Although it makes sense to differentiate between internal EU migrants and third-country nationals, especially with respect to status issues and specific admission policies, both types of migrants need to be considered when designing wider social policies targeting migrants. However, to date, a dual system of governance of migration can be discerned at EU level. A first set of rules – the elaborate provisions on freedom of movement of EU nationals –is rarely conceived of as an instance of migration policy, which in a generic sense it certainly is. A second set of instruments concerns third-country nationals. In practice, the distinction between the first set of legislation concerning EU nationals and the second set concerning third-country nationals is becoming increasingly blurred, most evidently with regard to EEA citizens and citizens of Switzerland who, although technically third-country nationals, enjoy a legal status almost the same as that of EU citizens87. With regard to freedom of movement within the EU, considerable progress has been made towards ensuring that the right to freely travel to, combating social exclusion and in integrating persons excluded from the labour market. The EU mandate with regard to anti-discrimination is laid down in Article 13 of the Amsterdam Treaty (see also Guiraudon 2003: 275). 86 In the Rush Portuguesa decision of 27th March 1990 (C-113/89, ECR I-1417) the European Court of Justice ruled that companies could move with their own (posted) staff, including thirdcountry nationals (Guiraudon 2003: 276). In principle, the decision also allows for the posting of third-country nationals who do not possess a permanent residence permit. 87 In 1999, Switzerland signed a treaty with the European Union, consisting of seven agreements on different subject areas, including the free movement of persons. The agreements entered into force on 1st June 2002. The agreement on free movement of persons provides for a gradual extension of freedom of movement between the EU and Switzerland. A major revision took place in 2004, and the last restrictions will be phased out by 2014. See Agreement between the European Community and its Member States, of the one part, and the Swiss Confederation, of the other, on the free movement of persons. OJ L114/6, 30th April 2002. 65 T H E S I M live and work in another Member State can be enjoyed by all Union citizens. The directive on the rights of Union citizens and their family members further reduces the remaining bureaucratic barriers to free movement while also limiting the powers of EU MS to expel European Union citizens or their family members (irrespective of nationality) in cases of longer-term unemployment, lack of means, divorce (in the case of third-country nationals) and other grounds. Over a transition period of at most seven years, citizens of the eight new EU MS from central and eastern Europe, while free to travel within Europe for a period not exceeding three months, are still subject to certain restrictions in regard to taking up employment (citizens of Malta and Cyprus are exempt from these restrictions)88. The directive on third-country nationals who are long-term residents in a way mirrors the body of rights granted to Union citizens, since third-country nationals will enjoy most of the rights already enjoyed by Union citizens once the directive is fully implemented. The directive, which is to be transposed into national law by 23rd January 2006 at the latest, grants enhanced rights to third-country nationals who have resided legally and continuously within the territory of a Member State for at least five years. Among these rights are improved access to the labour market, enhanced protection against expulsion and the right to reside and work in other EU MS, provided that certain conditions are met. The implications of recent policy developments for data collection and data needs Before going into a more detailed discussion of data needs arising from recent policy developments, it is worth briefly reflecting on the very notion of ‘data needs’. Clearly, governments have always been in need of reliable information on the societies they are meant to govern. In the same vein, past efforts to improve data collection on international migration during the last several decades have always been justified as ultimately serving the needs of governments. However, that governments (or supranational bodies such as the EU) have (or should have) a special interest in certain kinds of statistical data per se is not so obvious. In this regard, it is useful to distinguish between more general information needs on the one hand and specific data needs on the other. Information needs may, in principle, be served by non-statistical 88 Hungary, in turn, restricts access to employment for citizens of other EU MS while the Czech Republic makes restrictions on access to employment conditional on the situation of the Czech labour market. 66 Chapter 1. The Evolution of EU Migration Policy information, for example by commissioned studies, expert opinion or special committees of officials or Members of Parliament. In these situations, statistical data needs often arise only indirectly, for example, when experts or studies base their findings on empirical data, including statistics. However, governments also have specific data needs, which often focus on specific key indicators such as overall stocks of migrants or inflows of asylum seekers. The distinction between information needs and data needs is important, since it also implies different levels of political will to improve statistical data collection. From a scientific perspective there are very precise data needs. The crux of the matter, then, is to ensure that policy-makers are responsive to recommendations from the research community when designing data policies so that ultimately policies will be informed by sound empirical knowledge, including sophisticated statistical data on migration patterns. Current efforts to improve statistical data collection and the knowledge base on migration and integration That said, it is clear that the massive expansion of the scope of EU migration policy also has a major impact on what information is needed to effectively plan, adopt, implement, evaluate and monitor policies adopted at a European level. The European Union has increasingly realised the need for better information on migration. This is reflected in the Hague Programme, which states: ‘Reinforcing the collection, provision, exchange and efficient use of up-to-date information and data on all relevant migratory developments is of key importance.’ The Commission is also acutely aware of the deficiencies in current data-collection practices and the scope of data collection in general. For example, the recent Communication on the links between legal and illegal migration commented on the lack of comparable and reliable data in respect of the issues it investigated89. Numerous research reports commissioned by EU institutions or conducted within the framework of EU-funded research projects have similarly deplored the lack of sufficiently sophisticated, comparable and reliable data at a European level (Gächter, 2003; Jandl, Kraler and Stepien, 2003). Various measures have been introduced since the Treaty of Amsterdam that aim to enhance the knowledge base in this area, including the establishment of a European Migration Network (EMN), and more recently 89 Communication from the Commission to the Council, the European Parliament, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions, COM (2004) 412 final, 4th June 2004. 67 T H E S I M a network on integration, the establishment of funding lines on migration and related issues within DG Research’s framework programmes90 and the commission of numerous research reports on aspects of migration policy by DG Justice and Home Affairs and other Directorates. One of the mandates of the EMN, which was created in 2002 as a preparatory action and started work in 2003, is to assess the quality of migration statistics delivered by EU MS to the Commission. This has an important, even though at the moment still limited, impact on migration statistics. In the second half of 2005, the Commission will publish a Green Book on the future mandate, form and organisation of EMN91. It will be followed by a legislative proposal on a legal basis for the future EMN. Recently, DG JLS has also started to publish annual and monthly statistical reports on asylum and return, representing a first step towards a more comprehensive reporting system on migration and asylum in Europe, as called for by the Thessaloniki Conclusions92. In 2003, the Commission issued a Communication detailing an Action Plan for the collection and analysis of Community statistics in the field of migration93. It replaces a Communication from 1998, on the basis of which Eurostat started collecting monthly statistics on asylum and illegal entry in the framework of CIREA94 and CIREFI95. The new Communication proposes: the adoption of new practices, common statistical methods and new forms of cooperation; 90 A variety of migration-related research projects have been completed or are under way under the 5th and 6th Framework Programmes. In general, the impact of research conducted under the Framework Programmes on policy making has been limited, particularly as there were no robust mechanisms to ensure that the results were disseminated among policy-makers and relevant political institutions. However, the 6th Framework Programme includes project lines where researchers cooperate closely with policy DGs, such as, for example, in the THESIM project. 91 Personal Communication, Jordi Garcia-Marquez (DG JLS), May 2005. 92 See http://europa.eu.int/comm/justice_home/doc_centre/asylum/statistical/doc_asylum_s tatistics_en.htm 93 Communication from the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament to present an Action Plan for the collection and analysis of Community Statistics in the field of migration, COM (2003) 179 final. 94 CIREA ceased to exist in 2002, when the commission took over its tasks, with the help of the Eurasil network, created for this purpose. 95 European Commission (1998): Commission’s Action Plan on the extension of data collection to cover monthly migration and asylum statistics, SEC (1998) 661. See also the Commission documents ‘Implementation of the Commission’s Action Plan’, SEC (1999) 1475, 13th September 1999 on data collection on migration and ‘Implementation of the Commission’s Action Plan’, SEC (1999) 1476, 13th September 1999, establishing Eurostat’s monthly data collection on asylum. 68 Chapter 1. The Evolution of EU Migration Policy activities to enhance information exchange and to promote decisionmaking, including annual meetings and ad-hoc seminars bringing together the EU MS and other data-providers under the aegis of the Commission; changes in the current data-collection system or databases, including the extension of data collection to include data on legal entry and stay, second instance asylum decisions and data on the implementation of procedures, criteria and mechanisms for deciding which Member State is responsible for the examination of asylum applications; production of user-friendly statistical outputs by the Commission; actions relating to the legal and political framework, including the adoption of Community legislation on statistics and the evaluation of the implementation of the Action Plan. A draft version of the regulation on Community statistics on migration and international protection from early 2005 proposes the collection of data at the European level in the following areas: the overall non-national resident population, naturalisation, emigration and immigration; applications for, and decisions on, international protection; illegal entry, illegal stay and facilitated entry; and legal status (residence permits) of thirdcountry nationals. The data on the non-national resident population should be broken down by a limited number of variables, most importantly citizenship, but also country of birth, age and sex. Additional variables, including (i) employment status, (ii) occupation, (iii) industry, (iv) level of education and training and (v) year of first arrival might be introduced at a later stage through a comitology procedure. However, as with Eurostat’s current data collection on migration, successful implementation of the new procedures will depend on the collaboration of EU MS and data providers. It seems unlikely that many additional resources will be made available for this purpose, even though the Action Plan on migration statistics recommends doing exactly this. Against this background, the Commission’s approach of moderately broadening the scope of data collection at the European level while enhancing the quality and comparability of data (beginning with more easily comparable data on asylum applications and decisions, statistics on return96, 96 A Eurostat working paper (Ann Singleton 2003) argues that, with regard to the harmonisation of statistics, it may be best to start with statistical data on return. A comparison of national data collection systems in the areas of migration, asylum and integration in eight European countries, conducted in the framework of the COMPSTAT project (‘Comparing National Data Sources in the Field of Migration and Integration’), also suggests that asylum statistics and 69 T H E S I M stock data on the non-national resident population and data on illegal entry and stay) is a sensible first step in the right direction. A potentially important role could be played by the European Migration Network as an interlocutor between national bodies and the Commission with regard to statistics on asylum, migration and return. There are also strong political incentives for EU MS to provide better, more comprehensive and more comparable statistics to Eurostat and the Commission in general. Migration statistics are increasingly used as benchmarks to assess the efficiency and impact of individual EU MS’ policies as well as the efficacy of EU policy in given areas. More importantly, statistics serve as one of several criteria for distributing funds among EU MS, as outlined in the recent Communication on the financial plans for DG JLS for the years 2007-201397. For example, the distribution of funds from the enhanced European Refugee Fund (ERF) will be geared to the flows and distribution of asylum-seekers and refugees across the EU. However, asylum statistics are still far from following uniform definitions and standards of data collection, and there is thus room for interpretation and disagreement (on statistics on first-time and repeat applications; first, second and subsequent instance decisions; average processing times, etc.). Likewise, the equitable allocation of resources from a future European Return Fund will depend crucially on the production of comparable statistics in the area of returns (including, for example, on voluntary, assisted and forced return; deportation; expulsion; and readmission). The same principle applies to the running of the planned Community border management fund and the allocation of any additional funds for integration activities. Finally, the planned European Integration Fund will rely on stock figures as well as flow figures, with the latter being more important than the former98. These immediate demands and their financial implications will dominate the agenda for improving migration and asylum statistics in the short term and make it likely that the forthcoming EU Regulation will not become a ‘dead letter’ (as a 1976 regulation on the collection of statistics on foreign related areas may be a good starting point for harmonising migration statistics at the European level (Gächter, 2003). 97 See Communication from the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament establishing a Framework Programme on solidarity and the management of migration flows for the period 2007−2013, COM (2005) 123 final. The Communication includes proposals for council decisions on each of the four funds to be established and /or continued. 98 Currently, the Commission suggests using figures on the stock of third-country nationals, whereas from a scientific point of view it is more meaningful to use a broader category of immigrants defined by country of birth, even if a priority of the fund will be to support activities targeting newcomers. 70 Chapter 1. The Evolution of EU Migration Policy workers arguably was99). At the same time, however, the medium- to longterm requirements for improving migration statistics should not be lost from sight, whether they are directly linked to the current policy agenda or not. An important impetus for the improvement, harmonisation and expansion of data collection is also coming from quite a different angle – that of human rights. A new agency – the Fundamental Rights Agency (which will succeed the EUMC100) – will be established to monitor human rights issues in view of the Charter of Fundamental Rights adopted at the Council in Nice and since incorporated in the Constitutional Treaty. One of the tasks of the agency will be the ‘collection and analysis of objective, reliable and comparable data at European level’101 on human rights issues in general, but especially (continuing the work of the EUMC) on human rights associated with migration and minorities, such as discrimination, racism, xenophobia and social exclusion. This underlines yet again the broad consensus that exists at EU level on the need for comparable data on these issues. Similarly, the recent Commission proposal for a Framework Programme for Human Rights, which, inter alia, includes proposals for council decisions on the ‘Specific Programme Fight against Violence (Daphne)’102 and a programme on ‘Fundamental Rights and Citizenship’103, stresses the importance of the collection and analysis of comparable data on all the issues covered by the Communication. For example, one of the activities planned in the framework of these programmes is the promotion of ‘studies and research, opinion polls and surveys, formulation of indicators and common methodologies, collection, development and dissemination of data and statistics’. Council Regulation (EEC) No. 311/76 of 9th February 1976 on the compilation of statistics on foreign workers. 100 At the time of writing it is unclear how the EUMC will be transformed into the Fundamental Rights Agency. In any case, judging by the preliminary outcomes of the public consultation process, the priorities of the EUMC (racism, xenophobia, discrimination, anti-Semitism and anti-Islamism) will continue to be priorities of the planned new agency (see European Policy Evaluation Consortium 2005, ‘Preparatory Study for Impact Assessment and Exante [sic] Evaluation of Fundamental Rights Agency’, Public Hearing Report. Brussels, February 2005). 101 Communication from the Commission, the Fundamental Rights Agency, COM (2004) 693 Final, 25th October 2004 (SEC (2004) 1281), p.8. 102 As in previous Daphne programmes, there will be a strong focus on violence against women and children. One of the issues related to migration, which Daphne seeks to address, is trafficking of women for sexual exploitation. 103 Communication from the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament establishing for the period 2007−2013 a Framework Programme on fundamental rights and justice, COM (2005) 122 final, 6th April 2005. 99 71 T H E S I M Finally, the proposed increase in the overall budget share of DG JLS from 0.5% in 2006 to 1.3% in 2013 is a vivid expression of the high priority that is being given to the policy fields for which it is responsible, including migration. Judging from recent Commission proposals, it can be expected that the resources devoted to improving and expanding data collection will also increase. Future data needs and recommendations The forthcoming EU Regulation on community statistics covers a broad field of data needs. However, several blind spots remain, and these will be discussed briefly below. Third-country nationals who are long-term residents of a Member State With regard to third-country nationals, the directive on long-term residents is certainly one of the most important legal instruments to date. Given that this directive has potentially far-reaching consequences for the internal migration of long-term residents between EU MS, there will soon be a demand for detailed statistics on stocks of third-country nationals in those states, broken down by length of residence. This expectation was clearly shared by the Commission when it included an optional breakdown by year of arrival. More importantly, however, no mechanism currently exists or is planned for the monitoring of secondary movements of third-country nationals from their first country of residence to another EU MS. Such information is certainly needed, first to monitor the effects of the new legislation on internal EU migration, and second to be able to keep up-todate population statistics on the first countries of residence (see also the discussion of emigration below). Internal EU migrants Surprisingly little attention has been paid – either by policy-makers or researchers – to internal migration within the EU. This is all the more surprising since the recent enlargement has involved a major debate on the scale of migration to be expected from the new EU MS. Where statistics are concerned, there is a legitimate concern that the facilitation of mobility for EU citizens (most recently by the formal abolition of permit requirements for 72 Chapter 1. The Evolution of EU Migration Policy EU citizens residing in another Member State104), will lead to a decrease in the availability of data on internal EU migrants (for example, because they will no longer be included in aliens registers), and also to a decline in the quality of the data more generally. For many planning and other policy purposes, however, it is essential that internal EU migrants are just as well covered by statistics as are third-country nationals. In addition, there is also likely to be a specific need for information on particular categories of internal EU migrants, such as highly skilled migrants. For example, while it may be true that the overall scale of labour migration from Central and Eastern Europe will not be dramatic for Europe as whole, continuing wage differentials will remain an important factor in the migration decisions of a particularly mobile segment of the population, namely highly skilled migrants (for example young researchers, but also nurses and other professionals highly in demand elsewhere in the Union). To address imbalances and shortages of skilled workers in the source countries, precise information will be needed. Better knowledge about skilled (internal) migration within Europe would also provide valuable information for improving the design of research and labour market policies for specific labour market niches. Emigration Emigration is not an issue high on the agenda of policy-makers. From a data perspective, however, good information on emigration is crucial to accurate accounts of the migrant and overall resident population in a given country, and more specifically in respect of the outflows of particular groups of highly skilled people (as discussed above). Good information on emigration is needed to monitor both internal EU migration and migration to and from third countries. Emigration statistics will become even more important when the directive on long-term residents enters into force. Longitudinal data Particularly in the ‘new’ fields of migration policy, integration and antidiscrimination, not only will a wide range of socioeconomic data be required, but longitudinal data will also be needed to monitor the processes of integration (or conversely, social exclusion and discrimination) over time. Longitudinal data are also key to understanding the socioeconomic 104 Several EU MS have already abolished residence permits for all EU residents. 73 T H E S I M consequences of acquiring an improved legal status (e.g. permanent residency, citizenship), and whether certain categories of migrants, with certain socioeconomic characteristics, are more or less likely to acquire such status. This, in turn, will be extremely important information for policymakers. Planning data policies The Action Plan on statistics, and the forthcoming EU Regulation, are geared towards achieving comparable data at a European level. A comprehensive review of national data-collection systems and the identification of gaps in data collection – both in quality and in scope – would also be a worthwhile undertaking, even if in many areas comparability (and thus supranational data collection) will not be achieved in the short or medium term. Thus, a necessary corollary for the collection of migration statistics at a European level (and arguably a prerequisite for a future expansion of data collection in this area) is the development of guidelines on the scope and depth of data collection at the national level, (for example, by defining criteria for what the data should be ‘able to do’, based on the assessment of information needs in every policy area within the broad field of migration policy). Such a strategy would certainly help to address information needs at the national level, and would also be useful, even if only to a limited extent (due to the inherent problems of data comparability) at the level of the European Union. One of the key questions that need to be addressed is the purposes which the collection of data at the European level should serve (e.g. whether it should give information on the persons covered, on administrative practices and procedures, or on both). Ideally, administrative datasets (for example on residence permits issued or asylum requests) should be designed in a way that meets both needs. In conclusion, improving the collection of migration statistics on a stepby-step basis needs to be complemented by the consideration of medium and long-term strategic goals. These should cover not only the ultimate outcome of the improvement of statistical data but also ways of improving policy-making on migration statistics. For example, there is currently a certain gap between the remit of Eurostat as the official data-collection body of the EU on the one hand and policy DGs defining their data needs on the other. To allow Eurostat a more proactive role in anticipating data needs, and to plan ahead, the political mandate of Eurostat should be strengthened and a closer working relationship with policy DGs established. In terms of data collection, Eurostat should be given a greater role than coordination, 74 Chapter 1. The Evolution of EU Migration Policy collection and dissemination. It should be given a budget and a legal foundation to oblige its partners to collect data following strict guidelines and should itself have an obligation to collect, process and disseminate highquality, reliable Community statistics adhering to an agreed time frame. In addition to financial resources, Eurostat should be provided with the necessary human resources to carry out these increased tasks. Thus rather than being seen as a service agency it should be a primary stakeholder in implementing the forthcoming EU Regulation, both in terms of technical implementation and in respect of monitoring its operation by EU MS. Better links between data-providers and policy-makers would also facilitate the identification of medium- and long-term goals in terms of outcomes (i.e. statistical improvements). One possible area of gradual, strategic –long-term improvement could be statistics on asylum, return and irregular border crossings. The latter are clearly closely related, as are statistics on each of these areas. However, it is virtually impossible to link figures on irregular entry/border apprehensions with asylum statistics, or asylum statistics with data on return. One strategic goal could thus be to work towards allowing the various datasets to be linked, in order to avoid double counting and to gain a more comprehensive view of migration flows across countries. The next logical strategic goal would be to link data on various migration flows with data on migrant stocks. As experience with the harmonisation of European migration data over the past two decades has shown, this is already a formidable long-term agenda. 75 Chapter 2 Recommendations on International Migration Statistics and Development of Data Collection at an International Level Anne Herm Introduction The international statistical community has long been concerned with the availability and accuracy of data on migration processes. It has often been pointed out that statistical information on migration is insufficient and incomplete in terms of availability, harmonisation of concepts and definitions and accuracy, and that available data are not comparable between countries. It is widely recognised that migration data are not easy to collect, and that data-collection systems, as well as definitions used to define migration events in countries, vary significantly. The increasing interest in obtaining more reliable data on international migration is, therefore, understandable. Regarding statistics on international migration, cooperation between countries is important because in every migration crossing international borders at least two countries are involved. The characteristic feature of the development of migration statistics for over one hundred and fifty years has been the collective effort to work out and apply an internationally comparable methodology. International bodies have responsibility for coordinating these efforts and one of their basic working methods is the development of recommendations for all fields of population statistics. The first discussions about migration statistics date back to the 19th century. The International Statistical Institute discussed migration statistics at its congress in Vienna in 1891 and the first attempt to standardise definitions in migration statistics was made in 1924. A comprehensive set of international recommendations for migration statistics was adopted in 1932. The current set of UN recommendations, adopted in 1997, is the fifth. With the establishment of the United Nations after World War II the coordination of international activities on statistics, including migration, was concentrated in that body. International statistical conferences took place under the auspices of the United Nations and a statistical division was established within its structure. In Europe, the regional UN office (the Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE)) makes an important additional T H E S I M contribution by coordinating statistical activities. Other institutions linked to the UN are also actively involved in statistics on international migration. The ILO (International Labour Organisation) is traditionally responsible for data on labour migration and stocks of foreign workers, the World Bank is particularly interested in migrant remittances, while the UNHCR (the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees) is specifically concerned with asylum seekers, refugees and other displaced persons, including statistics on their movements and the asylum process. Beyond the UN framework there are three major organisations dealing with issues of international migration. In 1973, the OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development) established SOPEMI (Système d’Observation Permanente sur les Migrations) as a continuous reporting system on migration. The system covers several issues, such as international migration flows, the stock of population of foreign origin, the foreign labour force, asylum seekers and refugees. However only the OECD Member States are involved. The IOM (International Organisation for Migration) is also engaged in the international migration field, with a particular interest in policy topics. Eurostat (the Statistical Office of the European Communities) covers the same range of issues and concentrates its efforts on international migration statistics for EU MS, acceding and applicant countries, EFTA, Mediterranean countries and Council of Europe countries. Finally, within the Council of Europe, the European Population Committee covers most European countries and addresses mainly the topics of ethnic minorities and the human rights of foreigners and migrants. This chapter provides a short historical background, and then describes the work of individual bodies in improving international migration statistics since the beginning of the 1990s. These activities have been concentrated in two main directions. The first section discusses the elaboration of recommendations on international migration statistics, with a particular focus on the latest revision in 1997. The second gives an overview of efforts made at an international level (mostly in Europe) to improve data quality, including data collection and the publishing of international tables and research projects directed to the harmonisation of the data. Several annexes illustrate the issues discussed in this chapter. Annex 3 includes an extract from the 1997 revision of the UN’s recommendations on the definition of an international migrant and a comparative summary of the recommendations from 1924 to 1997. Annex 4 displays the list of tables and variables contained in the questionnaire for data collection jointly developed by five international organisations. Annexes 5 and 6 present lists of documents published by international organisations, which describe efforts and projects directed to the improvement of international migration 78 Chapter 2. Recommendations on International Migration Statistics statistics. These are documents from meetings that took place in Europe in the 1990s on international migration statistics and various types of publications issued on data sources and definitions and on data quality and comparability. 1. Recommendations on international migration statistics International migration is a unique process from the viewpoint of registration. When a person migrates across an international border this should be registered simultaneously as emigration in the country of origin and as immigration in the country of destination. Reliable statistics on international migration require harmonised methodology and definitions, and equally efficient registration procedures in both countries. This makes international cooperation to achieve data comparability very important but also rather difficult to implement. In order to harmonise statistics on international migration, several sets of recommendations have been proposed at the international level. The need for common definitions of concepts was discussed long before the first set of international recommendations for migration statistics was set out in a document composed in 1932 (ILO, 1932). During the next seventy years the recommendations were revised and renewed several times (most recently in 1997). It should be noted that behind every revision and proposed new set of recommendations lay the clear understanding that the previous one had not been successfully implemented. 1.1 Historical overview This section focuses on the main stages of international cooperation on migration statistics, embodied in the successive sets of recommendations adopted by the international statistical community. In the context of population statistics, common standards were first developed in the field of vital events. Thereafter the International Statistical Institute discussed migration statistics at its congresses of Vienna (1891), Budapest (1901) and Berlin (1903). After the First World War new international organisations became involved. Ever since its creation in 1919, the International Labour Organisation has devoted attention to migration problems (including migration statistics) as a consequence of the relationship between these questions and the labour market. The International Emigration Commission was created within the structure of ILO in 1921, and in 1922 the Recommendations and Resolutions of the Fourth Session of the International 79 T H E S I M Labour Conference focused on international migration statistics, following a proposal from the Commission. This may be considered the first document that clearly pointed out the need of the agreement on uniform definitions and methodology to record information on emigration and immigration, and the communication of information on migration from member countries to the ILO (UN, 1949). Thereafter the problems of migration statistics were discussed and related resolutions adopted by the International Conference on Emigration and Immigration in Rome in 1924, by the International Parliamentary Commercial Conference in Rio de Janeiro in 1927 and during congresses of the International Statistical Institute in Rome in 1926, in Warsaw in 1929 and in Madrid in 1931. In 1932, the International Conference of Migration Statisticians adopted a resolution that implicitly stressed the fact that migration statistics were, from an international point of view, in a very imperfect state. The Conference adopted a set of international recommendations for the improvement of migration statistics, which can be regarded as the first set of recommendations on international migration (ILO, 1932). After the Second World War, the United Nations assumed responsibility for the harmonisation of international statistical methodology and data collection, including international migration. The ILO, together with its activities in the field of international migration, became integrated into the UN framework. The Economic and Social Council of the United Nations considered the general issue of improving international migration statistics in 1948 and, according to Kraly (Kraly, 1987), the United Nations indicated explicitly the reasons why better statistics were needed: ‘international migration patterns and trends have consequences for demographic, social and economic conditions; study of these trends and patterns is required for national accounting and planning’. The UN Population Commission, in agreement with the ILO, published a report entitled ‘Problems of Migration Statistics’ (UN, 1949), which presented an analytical summary of the salient points from earlier recommendations. This report constitutes the second set of recommendations on international migration. In 1953 a third set of recommendations was proposed and introduced. For the first time a document on recommended standards on international migration was adopted through the regular UN procedure. The recommendations, giving an overview of the state of art of the methodology used, proposed improvements to international migration statistics in member countries. In addition, training centres and services were proposed to increase countries’ capacity to implement the recommendations (UN, 1953). 80 Chapter 2. Recommendations on International Migration Statistics To follow up the 1953 recommendations the UN carried out a special study of national practices in data collection. This revealed wide variations in the degree of adherence to the recommendations, in particular in the definitions of immigrants and emigrants, sources of data and the types of information collected. In the 1970s the 1953 recommendations were no longer considered successful in achieving any significant improvement in the comparability of international migration statistics, and the United Nations undertook to revise them. A new set of recommendations – the fourth - was adopted in 1976. For the first time a recommendation was made to extend common standards used in population statistics to the field of international migration. This recommendation involved the introduction of a set of characteristics comparable with those for vital events. In other words, data on migration were to form an integral part of the totality of a country’s demographic statistics, which relate to the size and composition of the national population. Alongside the worldwide increase in levels of migration, the policy issues of international migration have grown in importance. At the global level, the World Population and Development Conferences in Mexico (1984) and Cairo (1994) addressed this issue. The United Nations Programme of Action included migration-related themes (UN, 1995). In Europe, migration issues stood particularly high on the agenda, and were included among the four most important population-related problems of the continent at the intergovernmental Population Conference held in Geneva in 1993 (CoE, 1993). Recognising the increased role of international migration in global population change and the need to improve relevant statistics, the United Nations Statistical Commission requested, at its twenty-seventh session in 1993, that current recommendations on statistics of international migration be reviewed. For this purpose, the UNSD (United Nations Statistical Division) carried out a series of important activities. In Europe the preparation for this revision was coordinated by the UNECE in close cooperation with Eurostat. The Council of Europe, UNHCR, ILO, OECD, and IOM also contributed to the revision. A special study on the concepts and definitions used to characterise international migration flows (Eurostat, E1/MIG/5/94) and stocks (Krekels and Poulain, 1998) was undertaken by Eurostat. The questionnaire used for these studies explored in detail the extent to which the definitions used by different data sources matched those included in the current recommendations on statistics of international migration. As a platform for discussion, a series of meetings took place in Europe. Among these, working parties were organised by Eurostat in Luxembourg 81 T H E S I M in December 1993, November 1994 and January 1996. The compilation of refugee and asylum statistics was discussed in more detail at the Informal Meeting on Refugee and Asylum Statistics held in Geneva in 1995. Similar initiatives took place on other continents, where UN regional task force meetings were organised. European views on international migration statistics, together with those from other regions of the world, were summarised during the Expert Group Meeting on International Migration Statistics held in New York from the 10th to 14th July 1995 that resulted in a final report including proposals for a new draft of the recommendations (UNSD, 1995). Based on these proposals, the draft recommendations were effectively elaborated by the UN Population Division and further discussed at the Inter-agency Consultative Meetings held in May 1996 in Luxembourg and in September 1996 in Geneva. The new set of recommendations on international migration statistics was adopted by the UN General Assembly in 1997 and published in 1998 (UN, 1998a). Eurostat and the UNECE discussed the implementation of the new UN recommendations during their regular Joint UNECE/Eurostat Work Session on Migration Statistics in Geneva in 2000 (Annex 5). To prepare for this meeting a Task Force was set up jointly by the UN, UNECE and Eurostat to assess the extent to which eight selected countries using different sources for migration statistics could apply the new set of UN recommendations. Attention was particularly drawn to practical problems confronting statistical institutions when attempting to adhere to the recommendations. For the following joint meeting, held in May 2001, all other UNECE Member States were also asked to supply information on their available data sources for the categories of migrants identified in the recommendations. The conclusion was that it was too early to make final judgements on the application of the 1997 recommendations, as many UNECE countries were still investigating ways of applying and implementing them. In September 2003 a special United Nations workshop for a limited group of countries covering all regions of the world was organised in Geneva by UNSD in collaboration with UNCTAD (the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development). Its aim was to examine the sources of international migration statistics used by the countries, to assess the feasibility of compiling flow statistics, and to introduce the UN guidelines for the compilation of international migration statistics from the national data sources available. In the conclusions of the workshop the participants stressed the need for a methodological handbook as a practical guide to the application of the UN recommendations (UN, 2004). 82 Chapter 2. Recommendations on International Migration Statistics 1.2 Evolution of the sets of recommendations 1.2.1 Recommended definitions From a statistical viewpoint international migrants are a category of persons moving across international boundaries; in other words, migrants are a sub-set of international travellers. Whether or not good statistics on migrants can be obtained depends, in the first instance, on the possibility of observing those characteristics that are used to distinguish migrants from other categories of international travellers. In many countries administrative data collection is the major source of information about migration, as observed in the following analysis. However the recommended definition for the compilation of statistics hardly ever coincides with the definitions that are used in the administrative data sources, or with those definitions which are often implicit in conventions or administrative regulations governing the registration of international migration. The first attempt to standardise the definition of an international migrant seems to have been made in 1924. The International Conference on Emigration and Immigration held in Rome in that year tried to distinguish between migrants and other international travellers by means of the criterion of whether the object of the journey was to exercise an occupation. An emigrant was defined as a person who leaves his or her country in search of employment, or to accompany or join family members who have already emigrated for this purpose, or a person who returns for the same reason to a country which he or she has already entered as an immigrant on a previous occasion. The Conference decided that: “An immigrant shall be deemed to be an alien who arrives in a country in search of employment there and intends to settle permanently. Any alien who arrives in a country for the sole purpose of working there temporarily shall be deemed to be an ordinary traveller” (ILO, 1932). Thus the terms temporarily and permanently were included in the definition of a migrant, although there was still no indication of the criterion for distinguishing between these two states. Once the statistics were extended to include not only workers who changed their place of residence permanently in order to carry on their occupation in a new country but also members of their families, it became necessary to identify in the statistics all persons who move from one country to another for a considerable length of time. This is in accordance with the common meaning of the word ‘migrant’ and the needs of demographic studies. The International Conference of Migration Statisticians held in 83 T H E S I M Geneva in 1932 expressed this idea in the following terms: ‘In principle, every act of removal from one country to another for a certain length of time should be included in the statistics of migration, with the exception of tourist traffic.’ In order to distinguish between permanent and temporary migration, the Conference suggested that when the removal was for one year or more the migration should be regarded as a permanent migration and when the removal was for less than a year the migration should be regarded as temporary, frontier traffic being excluded (ILO, 1932). However, the Conference of Migration Statisticians in 1932 did not define tourist traffic and did not suggest a typology for distinguishing between temporary migration and tourist traffic or other cross-border travellers. This was one of the major challenges in the preparation of the draft recommendations published by the UN Population Commission in 1949. These set out a typology of international departures and arrivals which distinguished visitors, residents departing for less than one year or returning after less than one year, temporary immigrants departing or arriving, permanent emigrants and permanent immigrants, refugees and transferred (displaced) persons. For statistical purposes the term ‘emigrants’ was proposed for all residents leaving the country either permanently or temporarily, including both nationals and aliens. The term ‘immigrants’ was proposed for persons moving either temporarily or permanently to the country in which they were not residents at the time of movement. It was suggested that ‘temporary migrant’ should be defined as a person who enters a country for the purpose of finding temporary employment (or to exercise temporarily an occupation on their own account) together with their dependants. This definition seems to be in accordance with the usual meaning of the term ‘migrant’, and is fairly satisfactory for many users of statistics. The 1949 report (UN, 1949) ‘Problems of Migration Statistics’ was taken as a base document and revised for the next set of recommendations adopted in 1953. In the 1953 ‘Recommendations for the Improvement of International Migration Statistics’, the United Nations followed the principles set out in early documents, recommending that statistics be obtained on all arrivals and, if possible, all departures of international travellers, classified so as to show which travellers were migrants. It was indicated that the field of international migration comprises primarily permanent immigration and emigration and only at a secondary level of importance temporary immigration and emigration, including seasonal movements. Thus the set of recommendations for the improvement of international migration statistics adopted by the United Nations in 1953 maintained the distinction between ‘permanent’ and ‘temporary’ migrants on the basis of duration of stay. 84 Chapter 2. Recommendations on International Migration Statistics However, the time limit for the definition of permanent migration proposed in these recommendations was ‘exceeding one year’ rather than ‘one year and more’ as included in previous documents and temporary was defined as ‘one year or less’ as distinct from ‘less than one year’. The 1953 recommendations also established that ‘temporary’ migrants should be distinguished from ‘visitors’ on the basis of purpose of stay. ‘Temporary immigrants’ were defined as non-residents (both nationals and aliens) arriving with the intention of exercising, for a period of one year or less, an occupation remunerated from within the country of arrival. Their dependants were to be classified as ‘visitors’ (whereas the 1949 draft recommendations had proposed to include them among the temporary migrants). When, as part of the process leading to the revision of the 1953 recommendations, the United Nations analysed the definitions used by countries in the mid-1970s, it concluded that most of the national definitions of immigrants and emigrants did not specify any minimum period of presence in, or absence from, the country. The 1976 recommendations stated that an important complicating factor in developing a satisfactory definition of a migrant for statistical purposes in previous recommendations had been the close relationship between the term ‘migrant’ and the concept of residence in a country. The concept of residence is a legal concept, and there is no consensus among countries on the minimum period of presence needed to establish residence. The UN investigation found that in most countries the terms ‘resident’ and ‘nonresident’ were not included, or not clarified, in the national definitions. In order to avoid a lack of comparability resulting from the use of criteria based on residence, the 1976 recommendations defined migrants in terms of actual and intended periods of presence in, or absence from, a country. Accordingly, these recommendations define ‘long-term immigrants’ as ‘persons who enter the country with the intention of remaining for more than one year and who must never have been in the country continuously for more than one year, or must have been away continuously for more than one year’ (UN, 1980). Long-term emigrants were defined similarly from the perspective of departure. Short-term migrants were identified on the basis of length and purpose of stay. Accordingly, a short-term immigrant was characterised as a ‘person who enters the country with the intention of remaining for one year or less for the purpose of working at an occupation remunerated from within the country and who must never have been in the country continuously for more than one year, or having been in the country continuously for more than one year must have been away continuously for more than one year since the last stay of more than one year’ (UN, 1980). 85 T H E S I M Dependants were included in the same category as the person with whom they migrated, contrary to the 1953 recommendations, where these people were defined as visitors. The 1976 recommendations present the most coherent and logical framework available to date for the identification and classification of longand short-term immigrants and emigrants. However, despite their impeccable logic, they have several drawbacks in terms of possible implementation. First, the definition is difficult to grasp and, in terms of data collection, it demands that information be obtained not only about the likely future presence of a person in the receiving country but also about their previous periods of presence in or absence from the country. Second, by demanding that presence or absence be continuous, they can potentially result in biased data if implemented strictly. Finally, by retaining the time limit of the 1953 recommendations (i.e. ‘more than one year’ instead of ‘one year or more’), the large number of migrants who move from one country to another with permission to stay for only one year are not strictly considered as ‘long-term immigrants’ (UN, 1998a). In the years following the adoption of the 1976 recommendations, the UNSD and the Conference of European Statisticians concentrated on a step by step process of implementation, especially through the exchange of data on international migration flows that the Conference organised, and through its promotion of various bilateral studies (UN, 1986; Kelly, 1987). Nevertheless, like their predecessors, the 1976 recommendations have not been widely implemented. A review of the practices of the 31 Member States of the EU, EFTA and the UNECE that was undertaken by Eurostat in collaboration with the UNECE revealed that, only the United Kingdom strictly implements the definition of a long-term immigrant or emigrant as proposed by the United Nations (Krekels and Poulain, 1998). Moreover there is evidence suggesting that the availability of statistics of international migration flows has declined since 1976 (Bilsborrow et al., 1997). As explained in the introduction to the latest revision of the recommendations (UN, 1998a) a simplified set of definitions was needed. In order for the revised definitions to be compatible with related definitions adopted in other contexts it was considered necessary to retain the term ‘residence’. So the ‘Recommendations on Statistics of International Migration, Revision 1’, adopted in 1997 and published in 1998, define an international migrant as any person who changes his or her country of usual residence. A person’s country of usual residence is that in which the person lives, that is to say, the country in which the person has a place to live where he or she normally spends the daily period of rest. That definition is in accordance with the concept of usual place of residence used in censuses. 86 Chapter 2. Recommendations on International Migration Statistics The 1997 revision of the recommendations1 gives a definition of an international migrant which is based on the person’s country of usual residence, as stated in the Principles and Recommendations for Population and Housing Censuses (UN, 1998b). The distinction between an international visitor and an international migrant is made according to the change of country of usual residence and the purpose of the visit in the case of a stay in the country for a period not exceeding one year. The 1997 recommendations follow the taxonomy of arrivals and departures included in the 1976 recommendations, as revised according to changes that have taken place since 1980 and the impact of these changes on data-collection systems. It is assumed that all flows start with the departure of citizens from their own country and end with their return to that country. Travellers are classified within different categories based on four different points in time: when they depart from their own country; when they arrive in the country of destination; when they depart from the country of destination; and when they arrive back in their country of origin. 1.2.2 Proposed data sources A consequence of the low degree of international standardisation in migration statistics is that there are varying degrees of comparability between countries. One reason for this is that relatively few sources have as their raison d’être the statistical recording of migration. The International Conference of Emigration and Immigration suggested in 1924 the use of a uniform identity book for emigrants for the purposes of international migration data collection (UN, 1949). The International Statistical Institute proposed in 1929 that uniform identity cards and uniform questionnaires be completed by registration offices in order to obtain statistics. In 1932 a resolution of the International Conference of Migration Statisticians, proposed that individual questionnaires be completed at frontier control points and that there should be uniform individual documents for statistical purposes. Some data sources (such as the information collected in offices for emigrants, passport visas, steamship passenger contracts, documents for the recruitment and placement of migrant workers, employment permits and passport issuing) were considered inappropriate for migration statistics (UN, 1949). The report entitled ‘Problems of Migration Statistics’, published by the United Nations Population Commission in 1949, limits data collection to 1 Some extracts from these recommendations are presented in Annex 3. 87 T H E S I M only one source, the totals of various categories of arrivals and departures to be obtained at the frontier, on the basis of a simple count. However, detailed data for certain categories of migrants were to be recorded on individual statistical slips of standard content and collected preferably at frontier control or alternatively through population registers. The UN ‘International Migration Statistics Recommended Standards’ (UN, 1953) recommended the collection of migration data at the frontier as a main source, as only a small number of countries had a population register at the time. The use of population registers in countries where these existed was proposed as an additional source for detailed tabulation of data on migrants. In the following twenty years, however, it became apparent that this approach was insufficient. In most European countries the source for international migration statistics was effectively registration or field inquiry, frequently combined with information from border controls (UN, 1980). Accordingly, the 1976 recommendations identified three major types of data sources – border collection, registration and field inquiries. The 1997 recommendations include a review of the major sources of statistical information on international migration (UN, 1998a). The four major categories of data sources in operation in countries (the administrative registers, other administrative sources, border data and household-based field inquiries) are assessed from the standpoint of their usefulness and potential to supply information for international migration statistics. It is clearly stated that the main purpose of maintaining administrative sources is their legal basis, which is closely related to the issue of control of international migration. The identification of migration flows from population registration systems depends on the rules determining registration or deregistration in the register, and these rules vary considerably, not only between countries but also within a given country depending on the citizenship of the person registered. While the main purpose of the registration is administrative, a register can also be used for the compilation of up-to-date statistical information on the size and characteristics of the target population. Border data, the major source of information on international migration flows in the previous recommendations, were by 1997 no longer considered the best source. This was because of the difficulties of gathering reliable information from the large number of people crossing borders and the different degrees of control according to the citizenship of the migrant, the type of transport used, and their point of entry. Field inquiries (including sample surveys and censuses) were also not considered to be a reliable source of comprehensive data, partly because they did not cover the 88 Chapter 2. Recommendations on International Migration Statistics movements of people who left the country and partly because their sample size was usually too small. Thus the 1997 UN recommendations suggested that various data sources provided different opportunities for the implementation of the recommended definitions; for specific categories of migrants the data might need to be gathered from different sources. In circumstances where no source provides complete coverage or reliable international migration data, the relative importance of administrative sources, particularly administrative registers, was emphasised. 2. Data quality The methods used in international migration statistics differ widely between countries. Each country has its own methods and tradition in data collection, and its own specific demographic analysis and policy needs for information about migration flows into or out of the country. Countries generally assess their data as being of better quality than they really are, and problems often appear only when data are compared between pairs of countries. Therefore, comparability of data between countries is unlikely to occur without special cooperative efforts. Despite more than a century of discussion on migration issues and a history of seven decades of recommendations on international migration data collection, migration statistics are still not satisfactory and are often of little help either for policy purposes or for demographic research in Europe. The main problem in assessing how many international migrants there are at any time in Europe, where they are moving from and who they are is the lack of accurate data, or in some cases the lack of any data at all (Salt et al., 1994). As a global problem, the lack of availability of data and the need for closer collaboration between countries was highlighted by the United Nations in 1953: “migration movements are so closely related one to another that it is desirable for a given country to be informed not only of the volume, direction and composition of the immigration and emigration but also [of] movements affecting other emigration and immigration countries” (UN, 1953). Given the difficulties faced by countries of origin in collecting data on departures, it was suggested that countries of origin rely on the statistics gathered by countries of destination to estimate their levels of emigration. Even though data on international migration flows are available in most EU MS, the lack of comparability of the data is clear when immigration figures in the country of arrival are compared directly with emigration figures from the country of departure. The problem of comparability and 89 T H E S I M reliability of data has long been obvious, but few significant improvements in international migration data collection have yet been observed in EU MS. A practical form of collaboration between countries and an improvement in the coordination of migration statistics at the international level is needed. International bodies have been given a major role in this task. During the last thirty years several international bodies have made notable attempts to collaborate in improving the quality and comparability of international migration data. In Europe the first initiative came from the Conference of European Statisticians in the 1970s, while Eurostat took a similar initiative late in the 1980s. In the 1990s these two institutions combined their efforts to unify data collection and support the improvement of the reliability and comparability of migration statistics in Europe. International bodies are also supporting academic research projects to improve international migration data collection. 2.1 Data collection 2.1.1 First phases of coordination of data collection The International Statistical Institute started to organise the coordination of international migration statistics as early as 1891 at its Vienna meeting. As mentioned by Kraly (Kraly et al., 1987), the Institute passed further resolutions concerning internationally comparable migration statistics at various meetings between 1926 and 1931 and in fact an international datacollection programme was endorsed in 1924, which could have resulted in an internationally uniform system2. The International Labour Office (ILO) also took an initiative in international migration data collection, publishing the first comparative tables on international migrations in the 1920s in the ‘International Labour Review’ and the ILO’s ‘Monthly Record of Migration’ (UN, 1949). In order to improve data collection, the ILO conference in 1932 in Rome agreed: to adopt, whenever possible, uniform methods to make the statistics of different countries comparable; to compile and publish, in the meantime, in accordance with uniform principles, statistics on emigration and immigration, repatriation and transmigration, distinguishing between nationals 2 Unfortunately the ‘international combined method’, using national identity documents, including an information sheet with detachable carbon copies for statistical purposes, was never implemented. 90 Chapter 2. Recommendations on International Migration Statistics and aliens and specifying for each group the sex, age, occupation, nationality, country of last residence, country of destination and the hygiene and sanitary conditions in which the transport of immigrants took place. As a result of these efforts, statistical tables providing annual data on emigration and immigration of nationals and aliens were published for as many countries as possible in the ‘Yearbook of Labour Statistics’, starting with the volume published in 1936. The ILO also worked on compiling historical international migration statistics and national data on aliens (Ferenczi, 1929; 1932). This provided the most comprehensive compilation of comparative international migration statistics before the Second World War. There after the United Nations took a leadership role with regard to international migration statistics. At the same time as its recommendations were issued, the UN Statistical Division (UNSD) started to collect and disseminate official national data on international migration worldwide. Statistics on international migration flows and on the stocks of migrant population were collected and disseminated through the ‘Demographic Yearbook’ data-collection system. A questionnaire on international migration and travel statistics was introduced from the very beginning of data collection for the UN ‘Demographic Yearbook’ in the late 1940s (UN, 2003). However, the first statistics on international migration (both immigration and emigration) were published only in a special issue of the ‘Demographic Yearbook 1977’ (UN, 1978). The second special issue of the yearbook devoted to migration statistics was issued in 1989. Due to lack of resources, the data were not published subsequently. Currently, migrant stock data and net migration figures are available for the year 2000 in the UN Common Database, which is accessible only to national statistical institutions through individual requests. 2.1.2 The contribution of the UNECE In 1972 the Conference of European Statisticians (CES) and the Statistical Commission and UN Economic Commission for Europe decided to include migration statistics in its work programme (Kelly, 1987). In preparation for its 1975 meeting, the CES asked the UNECE secretariat to collect data from all member countries on total immigration from other UNECE countries (classified by country of last residence) and on total emigration to other UNECE countries (classified by country of intended residence). Immigration and emigration statistics for 1972 were subsequently collected by the UNECE secretariat and arranged for the first time in the form of a double matrix so that immigration and emigration figures related to the same flow 91 T H E S I M could be directly compared. This 1972 double matrix was examined in detail by the 1975 Meeting on Migration Statistics convened by the CES (UN, 1975). Participants pointed out the serious lack of comparability revealed by examination of immigration and emigration figures and identified several important factors as being responsible for the differences. The meeting concluded that the exchange of data for 1972 had been useful and suggested that the CES continue work on the comparison of statistics on flows of migrants for other years. The 1972 double matrix was published in the UN 1977 ‘Demographic Yearbook’ (UN, 1978a). In 1978, after the UN recommendations had been revised, the UNECE secretariat collected statistics for 1973, 1974 and 19753. For this data collection, countries were requested to provide data not only on the basis of existing practices but also adjusted to correspond as far as possible with the newly revised international recommendations. The results of the data collection for 1975 for both non-adjusted and adjusted data (UN, 1978b) were presented to the Conference of European Statisticians at its plenary session in 1979, where it was agreed to organise, on a regular basis, an annual exchange of data on long-term migration among UNECE countries. Again the CES required that the data to be exchanged should be adjusted to correspond as closely as possible to the definitions of long-term immigrants and emigrants contained in the 1976 international recommendations on statistics of international migration. In accordance with this decision, the UNECE secretariat subsequently collected sets of annual immigration and emigration statistics and arranged them in the double matrix form for distribution to countries. The first regular set of information contained the 1976 and 1977 data, the second contained data for 1978, 1979 and 1980 (Kelly, 1987). These early collections of data and distribution of migration matrices took place in the political context of the Cold War. Consequently the first migration matrices were distributed only on a confidential basis to the governments of countries who had participated in the exchange of data. The matrix of migration flows for 1981 and 1982, as agreed by the Conference at its 31st plenary session, was distributed on a regular basis to governments and other interested users. All these matrices used double counting of international migration flows – by countries of origin and by countries of destination in Europe − and demonstrated the striking problems of data comparability between the countries. During the second half of the 1980s, tables with data for the two previous years were prepared every second year and presented to the Conference of European Statisticians. The 3 However, only the 1975 double matrix has been found in the UNECE’s archives. 92 Chapter 2. Recommendations on International Migration Statistics double matrix was complied by the UNECE for almost a quarter of a century, until the mid 1990s4 and presented regularly to Conferences of European Statisticians. This was an important initiative that clearly demonstrated the significant discrepancies in the statistics on international migration gathered by UNECE Member States and highlighted the need for improvement and harmonisation of these statistics. The results of the analyses of the migration matrices were discussed at different levels of responsibility in the UNECE and the EU in general and in special meetings and sessions on migration statistics. The matrices were considered to be very useful tools for understanding the level of comparability and reliability of migration data at an international level. Several analytical studies have also used this method of demonstrating the need to improve international migration statistics. A recent example is that prepared within the framework of NIEPS (Network for Integrated European Population Studies) (Poulain and Herm, 2003). Since 1996, the UNECE has not carried out its own data collection. A joint questionnaire, now organised by five international bodies, was introduced instead to collect migration statistics in the EU MS and UNECE countries. 2.1.3 The role of Eurostat Eurostat has played a very active role in coordinating the work of statisticians at the international level. It was required to do this to satisfy the policy needs for related statistics at the EU level. Eurostat’s task in the field of international migration statistics is to coordinate statistics from EU MS with the aim of improving and harmonising, where possible, information on international migration flows. One reason for this is to support the development, implementation and monitoring of the European Union’s asylum and immigration policies. Coordination activities in the field of international migration statistics in the European Union go back to 1976, when Community Regulation No 311/76 on the compilation of statistics on foreign workers was introduced. This regulation required EU MS to supply annual statistics both on the number of workers and on their first employment, but did not reduce the variety of sources that countries could use for data collection. The consequence was a marked lack of harmonisation in the dataset (Eurostat, 2000a). 4 We thank Paolo Valente for providing us with information on the data collected by UNECE. 93 T H E S I M In the second half of the 1980s, with the upturn in economic activity, an increase in flows of new immigrants was observed in most European Community countries. At the same time the future of migration flows in the wake of the European enlargement of 1992 was uncertain, with the inclusion of Spain and Portugal, two emigration countries, in the Union. In this context the importance of an effective and reliable statistical tool to describe international migration flows was understood, and the role of Eurostat in the coordination of migration statistics in Europe became more important. Aware of the significance of the problem, and in the light of the conclusions of the April 1989 seminar on European Statistical Information, Eurostat took the initiative to conduct a study on the harmonisation of international migration statistics in the twelve EU MS. The results of this study were presented to the Seventh Conference of the Directors-General of the National Statistical Institutes of the European Community in November 1990 (Eurostat, 1990). The published report showed the wide diversity of countries’ approaches to data-collection methods, definitions and characteristics. The existence of numerous gaps in available statistics and a very low level of reliability and comparability were considered to be the main problems to be addressed by Eurostat (Poulain et al., 1990). In 1991 a further report extended this study to the EFTA countries (Finland, Sweden, Norway, Iceland, Switzerland, Austria and Liechtenstein) (Gisser and Poulain, 1992). The conclusions of these studies included the set of tables that was subsequently agreed between Member States and used as a starting point for the collection of data. Aiming to improve migration statistics within the EU, in 1992 Eurostat also took the initiative to launch a data – collection programme on international migration statistics. The first set of tables compiled by Eurostat included population by country of citizenship for 1990 and 1991, and immigration and emigration flows by country of citizenship, country of previous and next residence and flows of asylum seekers and refugees for 1990. Thereafter the twelve EU MS and seven EFTA countries were asked to transmit to Eurostat both general data and detailed information on migration, and as complete an historical series as possible. The detailed statistics, including long-term migration and stock data, were requested from the reference year 1985 onwards, while historical series were required from 1960 onwards by citizenship groups and groups of country of previous and next residence. Data on the acquisition of citizenship and on labour were collected from 1980. At the same time, with the initiation of regular data collection from EU MS, Eurostat took the initiative to develop a joint programme for collecting international migration statistics in close cooperation with all the international bodies then collecting migration data. This collaboration in 94 Chapter 2. Recommendations on International Migration Statistics developing the joint data-collection programme is described in Paragraph 2.1.4 below. The first annual publication devoted to international migration flows and stocks of population by citizenship and available for public use was the 1994 ‘Migration Statistics’ yearbook. The tables included data on migration flows for the years 1991 and 1992. Thereafter the data were published regularly in the annual ‘Migration Statistics’ until 1996 (including data up to 1994). The next publications were in 2000 (with 1997 data) and in 2002 (with 1999 data) and the data for the year 2002 were included in ‘Population Statistics’ in 2004. The publication of data for the years 2003 and 2004 is planned for 2006 (Table 1). The data and some of the methodological information on definitions and sources collected from countries were integrated in the database on international migration, which became part of Eurostat’s statistical database. This database includes statistics on migration flows to and from EU MS, accession countries and other participating countries in Europe and the Mediterranean region, by age, sex, citizenship and previous or next country of residence of migrants. Data on asylum applications and decisions are included, as well as data on the acquisition of citizenship. However, not all countries were able to complete the data-collection programme and because of errors and gaps the reliability of the database became more and more questionable. In 2004 it was closed on a temporary basis for all users, including national statistical institutions, until the necessary checks and corrections were completed. Table 1. Eurostat publication on migration statistical data in Europe Publication Migration Statistics Migration Statistics Migration Statistics European Social Statistics – Migration European Social Statistics – Migration Population Statistics Year of publication 1994 1995 1996 2000 Detailed data published for 1991,1992 1993 1994 1997 2002 1999 2004 2002 In addition to the usual method of collecting data from statistical institutions, data collection through ministries in the EU MS has been developed to cover specific groups of migrants. A significant element of EU policy, which drives data requirements, is the development of common policies on asylum, immigration and the return 95 T H E S I M of third-country migrants. One part of the collection and analysis of community statistics in the field of migration is the collection of statistics on enforcement measures in the field of illegal immigration and the return of migrants. CIREA (the Centre for Information, Discussion and Exchanges on Asylum) started collecting data in this area through the ministries of interior of each Member State. In 1992 the CIREFI was initiated by the Council of the European Union and Eurostat was invited to contribute to both CIREA and CIREFI data-collection and reporting systems. Before the Amsterdam Treaty (1999), questions of asylum and international migration in the EU were dealt with through intergovernmental cooperation, at the level of the Council of the European Union. Following the Amsterdam Treaty, a new DG was created by the European Commission to deal with migration and asylum questions. This DG later incorporated the work of CIREA into its work programme, while data collection continued under Eurostat. The CIREFI network still functions under the aegis of the Council of the European Union, with Eurostat organising the collection of data. Some data extracted from CIREFI’s data collection were made publicly available for the first time by the European Commission Directorate-General for Justice and Home Affairs (now the Directorate-General for Justice, Liberty and Security) on its website in the ‘Statistical Report’ for the year 2001. This was the first annual report on migration and asylum statistics to cover all EU MS and candidate countries, plus Iceland and Norway. It consists of 20 tables of statistical data collected from Ministries and NSI in 29 countries (in addition to the statistical data from Eurostat’s databases). Supplying international migration data to Eurostat is generally a matter of agreement between the countries concerned. The exception to this for EU MS is data on the working population, which is compulsory for EU MS under Regulation 311/76, now generally disregarded. Asylum and migration became matters of community responsibility for EU MS under the Treaty of Amsterdam (1999). 2.1.4 Joint data collection During the first half of the 1990s Eurostat and the UNECE began cooperating on the development of a joint programme of data collection on international migration for EU and EFTA countries. The purpose of this was to reduce the response burden on countries caused by the duplication of data-collection efforts by international organisations. In order to coordinate their data-collection activities the first joint UNECE/Eurostat Work Session on Migration Statistics was organised in Geneva in 1993. This meeting 96 Chapter 2. Recommendations on International Migration Statistics decided that a joint questionnaire would be used to collect statistics for the 1992 calendar year from the nineteen EU and EFTA countries. The first joint questionnaire consisted of a joint part including three tables on long-term immigration and long-term emigration and one table for short-term immigration and short-term emigration. There were also Eurostat supplementary tables on asylum and refugee statistics, reasons for migration, population by citizenship and the main characteristics of the active population. In 1994 the UNSD merged its questionnaire on migration and travel statistics with the joint UNECE/Eurostat data-collection questionnaire. In this UNECE/Eurostat/UNSD questionnaire the list of tables was supplemented by one on major categories of arrivals and departures (in order to satisfy UNSD needs) and the questionnaire was sent to EU and EFTA countries to collect data for the reference year 1993. It was decided that Eurostat would collect the responses from EU and EFTA countries and send the data to the other two organisations. For 1994 data the questionnaire was further developed by the addition of a table on naturalisations, and in 1996 Eurostat proposed the addition of a table on population by country of birth. In 1996, following a proposal from Eurostat, the data collection was enlarged to include Central and Eastern European countries (countries applying for membership of the EU, plus Albania, Croatia, the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, and Serbia and Montenegro). The joint data collection now included thirty-six countries, covering most of Europe, with data starting from 1995. Countries were also invited to submit any data they had from 1984 onwards or earlier if possible, to complete the common database. The results of the enlarged data collection, however, revealed that information on international migration in the new countries was very partial. A detailed review of the available data and documentation was published by Eurostat in one of a series of Eurostat Working Papers on the database (Clark et al., 1998). In 1997 many of the ILO’s data requirements were also integrated into the joint data collection. As a result, the list of tables lengthened significantly, to include information on the working and active population. The Council of Europe also joined the joint data collection with its publication ‘Recent Demographic Developments in Europe’ in 2000 but still sends completed tables directly to the source countries for checking. More recently, UNSD, recognising that the joint Eurostat, UNSD, UNECE, ILO and Council of Europe questionnaire did not cover all the data requested in 97 T H E S I M the latest UN recommendations (particularly as concerns reasons for migration5), has proposed the introduction of new tables as a separate part of the joint questionnaire. This new trial questionnaire on international travel and migration was attached to the joint annual collection of migration data for all European and Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) countries, starting with data for 2004. An Inter-Secretariat Working Group was constituted in 1997 to coordinate the work of the international bodies. This group was in charge of the revision of the joint questionnaire on international migration, the exchange of data and the sharing of the databases as part of the development of joint data collection on both demographic and migration statistics. In 2000 Eurostat, UNSD, UNECE, UNPD (United Nations Population Division), the ILO and the Council of Europe participated in the Inter-Secretariat Working Group meeting (Joint UNECE/ Eurostat/ESCWA6 Work session on Migration Statistics, 2000). Today the data-collection programme supplies international migration data in Europe to five international organisations: Eurostat, UNSD, UNECE, the ILO and the Council of Europe. According to the agreement between these bodies, Eurostat is responsible for collecting data from all UNECE countries and for transmitting the responses to the other organisations. The joint data collection covers types of statistics that are needed and used by all five organisations. As the ILO has some specific requirements which are not covered by the joint data collection, it collects additional data directly from countries. The joint questionnaire is developed in close collaboration with national statistical institutions and international organisations and it includes standardised tables on the most important characteristics of migration. The 1997 UN recommendations are used in the completion of the tables for this data collection. The joint questionnaire consists of four parts7: Part A: International migration flows; Part B: Acquisition of citizenship; Part C: Population composition; Part D: Working/active population. Part A of the questionnaire includes tables on international migration flows, including all categories of arrivals and departures in the country and 5 Data on reasons for migration were included in the first Joint Questionnaire, but removed from the data collection for 1998 and subsequent years. 6 United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia. 7 The full contents of the joint annual data collection for 2004 data are presented in Annex 4. 98 Chapter 2. Recommendations on International Migration Statistics long-term emigration and immigration within a year by sex, age, citizenship and country of previous or next residence. Data on long-term immigration and emigration are adjusted, where feasible, to correspond as closely as possible to the internationally recommended definitions of long-term immigrants and emigrants. Part B includes a table of general data on the acquisition and loss of citizenship. In Part C the questionnaire covers the stock of population distributed by migration-related characteristics. Data are required on the population by sex and age according to citizenship and country of birth as of 1st January of the year in question. In Part D, a significant part of the questionnaire covers the data on workers and the labour force that is required from EU MS under EU Regulation 311/76. These data provide a breakdown by sex, age and citizenship, as well as by category of worker and economic activity. One important requirement of the joint questionnaire is that the data be presented as far as possible according to the internationally recommended definitions of long-term and short-term migrants. In order to understand problems of international comparability in the data, it is requested that countries should highlight, for each collection of data, any differences in definition between the national data supplied and the standard definitions published in the UN recommendations. 2.1.5 Other international data-collection activities in Europe Of the international organisations dealing with migration issues in Europe, the ILO and UNHCR have carried out their own data-collection activities according to their specific needs, often using their own sources of information. The ILO compiles data on international labour migration. For this purpose, and in addition to the joint questionnaire, the ILO has (starting from 1998) organised a new data collection on labour migrants for the International Labour Migration Database (ILM) through national statistical institutions. This ILO data-collection programme includes thirteen tables on stocks and flows, the majority of which include data on employed persons by occupation, citizenship or economic sector. The ILM was developed on the basis of responses from ILO Member States to a questionnaire survey mailed in 1998 to obtain basic data on stocks and flows of migrant labour. The database complements the efforts of other organisations, such as Eurostat, to collect information on various aspects and dimensions of migration, as well as on its impact on the labour markets of origin and destination countries. Being aware of large differences in statistical sources, 99 T H E S I M coverage and periodicity among countries, the ILO attempts to harmonise concepts, definitions and methods of data collection and it is one of the few organisations that have produced guidelines on international migration statistics. One of the more important projects it has carried out was that on guidelines on international migration statistics, published as ‘International Migration Statistics: Guidelines for Improving Data-Collection Systems’ (Bilsborrow et al., 1997). UNHCR collects monthly, quarterly and annual data on specific groups of migrants such as asylum seekers and refugees, and more specifically on the asylum process: asylum applications, refugee status determination, recognition rates, refugee populations and movements. The data collection includes demographic characteristics (age and sex) as well as the major refugee locations (camps, centres, urban areas, etc.). UNHCR disseminates data via several publications that are also available on its excellent website. The time series on refugees and asylum seekers go back to 1980. The OECD started its data collection through the Continuous Reporting System on Migration (SOPEMI) in the 1980s. The geographical coverage in terms of data collection and the ability to construct time series is to a certain extent affected by the dates at which countries became members of the SOPEMI network. The data collected through the network is not necessarily provided by national statistical offices and therefore the SOPEMI database must not be considered as providing official figures. Moreover, the OECD has no authority to impose changes in data-collection procedures. The SOPEMI network has an observational role that, by its very nature, has to use existing statistics. However, it does play an active role in suggesting what it considers to be essential improvements in data collection and it makes every effort to present consistent and well-documented statistics. Its work is published annually by the OECD’s ‘Trends in International Migration’, which is available on the OECD website (Annex 7) (OECD, 19902004). The Council of Europe’s international migration data-collection forms part of its demographic data collection, which aims to describe the demographic situation and provide statistics to analyse trends in Europe. The variables for both flows and stocks are limited to country of citizenship. Data are published in the yearbook ‘Recent Demographic Development’, with a separate section for each country. So far no attempt has been made to harmonise data or to support the improvement of data comparability between countries, except for some comments on the extent to which national definitions correspond to the UN recommendations, which have been added to the data since 1999. 100 Chapter 2. Recommendations on International Migration Statistics The majority of international bodies, collecting data on international migration use information sent by the national statistical institutions or responsible ministries of participating countries. However the OECD has its own network of correspondents in the countries or regions supplying data. The international migration data collected and the databases built by the international bodies are more or less fully available for public users through specific websites (Annex 7), on CD ROM and in hard-copy publications. Each organisation has its own priorities and traditions for the contents of these databases and the way the statistics are published. Accordingly, the list of variables and the number of countries in published migration statistics varies significantly between international bodies, as does the length of the historical series available in their databases and publications. 2.2 Cooperative efforts to improve data quality 2.2.1 Comparability studies on data-collection methods The collective efforts of statisticians to improve the quality of data on international migration have been stimulated and coordinated by international bodies. Pairs or groups of countries have also collaborated bilaterally, by establishing inventories of data sources and definitions, proposing data comparisons, and developing other efforts towards data comparability. All this work has helped to illuminate and explain the inconsistencies in the data. The discussion below is limited to activities which are documented and available through publications (see Annexes 5 and 6 for a list of documents consulted). In addition to ad hoc investigations related to the revision and the implementation of the new set of recommendations, most collaborative activities have been devoted to practical studies exploring actual comparability problems between countries. In recent years UNECE and Eurostat have been the most active international bodies in coordinating collaboration between countries in Europe in the field of international migration statistics. The latest revision of the UN Recommendations (UN, 1998) constituted a real incentive to analysing international migration statistics in Europe and gathering information on countries’ existing practices. In 1994 Eurostat initiated a project named ‘Eurostat’s Special Study on International Migration Statistics’. As the first part of a worldwide study on how the 1976 UN recommendations were being implemented in each country, this study covered all EU and EFTA countries and was later enlarged by UNECE to 101 T H E S I M include all other UNECE countries. A detailed questionnaire explored how problems in the implementation of the recommendations had been overcome. The results were compiled in two working documents for the Joint Eurostat/UNECE Working Group on Migration Statistics in 1994 (Eurostat, 1994) and were used for the preparation of proposals for the revision of the UN recommendations. Eurostat also initiated a series of regional activities to collect more information on Central European countries and the Baltic States. Starting with the ‘Working Group on Migration’ attended by all EU MS in 1993 in Luxembourg, this activity continued during the following years and was enlarged through the workshops involving all the accession countries in Prague (1994), Bled (1995) and Jurmala (1996). These activities dealt in depth with the sources and methodology of migration statistics in each of the countries, in order to analyse the state of migration data collection and discover the common rules and basis for the collection of comparable data from all the countries (Poulain, 1997). Within the framework of the regional programmes of international migration statistics, Eurostat’s EUROMED migration project (MED-Migr) covered twelve countries and territories in the Mediterranean basin, constituting two EU accession countries and the area of origin for substantial numbers of immigrants to Europe. The MED-Migr project was aimed at improving the capacity of these countries to produce and publish comprehensive and reliable migration statistics which would comply with international standards. The project’s findings suggested that the most productive way forward would be to build on existing sources, specifically border cards and residence and work permit systems (Pearce and Rotolone, 1998). To investigate the possibility of data collection on third-country nationals entering the EU, in 2001 Eurostat carried out a study on legal entry and stay in EU. This project covered 29 countries including all EU MS, accession countries and Iceland and Norway. Information for the project was collected through national statistical institutes and relevant ministries. The results are presented in an unpublished Eurostat document (Singleton and Albiser, 2002). Several other projects have also been initiated by Eurostat to meet specific EU policy needs, covering themes such as asylum, labour migration, the migration of non-EU citizens, and regions of special interest. Policy needs were paramount over the concerns of demographers and statisticians in these investigations. Following the adoption of the revised UN recommendations on international migration statistics, the UNECE and Eurostat set up a joint 102 Chapter 2. Recommendations on International Migration Statistics special task force to assess the extent to which the new set of recommendations could be implemented. Particular attention was paid to the practical problems faced by countries when trying to adhere to these recommendations. The topic was discussed in two Joint UNECE/Eurostat Work Sessions on migration statistics in 2000 and 2001. The list of meeting documents is presented in Annex 5. 2.2.2 Bilateral and regional collaboration for comparing data Finding more or less significant differences between their own statistics on international migration and similar ones produced by receiving or sending countries allows states to analyse the incompatibility of these statistics. During the early 1990s there was an attempt to measure the different effect of implementing the UN time criterion on migration data in Denmark and Sweden, comparing the official statistics with adjusted statistics based on the same data. The conclusion was that the official stock data on populations were comparable in Denmark and Sweden, but the official flow data were not (Grundström, 1993). A study on cohort-based asylum statistics covering asylum applications for the years 1992 and 1993 through to the completion of the decisionmaking process in 1996 was developed jointly by the Swiss Federal Statistical Office and the Swedish Immigration Board. The survey was inspired by work done by Eurostat on improving the international comparability of statistics on asylum seekers and refugees, and recommendations on asylum and refugee statistics (Torstensson et al., 1998). Several bilateral efforts were made to improve international migration statistics in the 1990s by comparing existing data on flows between pairs of countries. Under the umbrella of Eurostat, migration flows between Belgium and Denmark and between Belgium and Sweden were compared on the basis of anonymous individual records. Immigration and emigration events registered in Belgium were compared with the events registered in Denmark and Sweden between 1989 and 1993. Individual events were matched using age, sex and citizenship, date of migration and code of municipality of arrival and departure. This project allowed the impact of missing records on the stock of immigrants to be estimated. A similar project was carried out between Belgium and Italy for the years 1991 to 1995. However the project produced no real changes in the data-collection system of any of the countries involved (Johannesson et al., 1997; Bisogno and Poulain, 1999). The statistical institutions of Estonia and Finland cooperated in a study of migration for the years 1992, 1996 and 2000. This involved the comparison of registered migration events, based on aggregated data on single age groups 103 T H E S I M of migrants. The aim of the study was to observe and estimate the underregistration of Estonian migration in the 1990s so as to encourage the implementation of improvements to the system. Once again, however, the results did not result in any significant changes (Statistical Office of Estonia, 2003). Ireland and the UK have a long-standing collaboration in collecting and comparing data on migration between the two countries. In the mid-1990s the different data sources were analysed by both the UK and Ireland in order to estimate their reliability for measuring migration flows. The population stock and migration flow data from the 1981 and 1991 censuses in both countries were analysed, as were migration flows between Great Britain and Ireland from the Labour Force Surveys in both countries and from the National Health Service Central Register in Great Britain. The analysis revealed that the Irish Labour Force Survey compared well with the Irish Census, whereas the UK Labour Force Survey was not a reliable data source for annual migratory flows. As a result of this analysis it was agreed that the Irish Labour Force Survey would be used by both countries for estimating inflows from Great Britain to Ireland (Eurostat, 1998). In 2005, Germany and the Czech Republic investigated the possibility of exchanging individual data on migration between the two countries. A comparative analysis of the legal base, the registration systems, data on migration stocks and flows, categories of migrants included and definitions used was carried out. The report concluded that the original idea of exchanging individual data was unrealistic and unachievable for several reasons, including the inability of the registration system to provide appropriate data and the problems related to data protection requirements. Nordic cooperation has produced the most significant improvements in the comparability of statistics on international migration flows. This cooperation dates back more than thirty years. On 1st October 1969, an agreement between Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden concerning an inter-Nordic ‘certification of removal’ took effect. This agreement included the definitions to be used for immigrants and emigrants in all Nordic countries. The idea of the agreement was that a person moving between the Nordic countries should be registered in only one of these countries. Until then it was not unusual for a person who moved from one Nordic country to another to be included in the population registers of both his or her country of origin and his or her country of destination. According to the agreement, the right to decide if the person’s move should be registered as an international migration or not was given to the country of immigration, according to its own national rules (which might differ from those of the sending country). This meant that the authorities in the sending 104 Chapter 2. Recommendations on International Migration Statistics country had to follow the decision of the immigration country, and count this person as an emigrant. Although the agreement was not aimed at the improvement of statistics on international migration it had a positive influence on the harmonisation of data on migration flows as well as on the reliability of data. It also increased the potential for producing consistent statistics on international migration in the Nordic countries. A study presented in 1990 to the UNECE Work Session on Migration Statistics by Åke Nilson of Statistics Sweden clearly illustrates how the comparability of migration data between Nordic countries has improved (Nilson, 1990). The idea of introducing such a removal card for movements between EU MS with population registers was proposed by the Statistical Institute of Spain, supported by Italy, at Eurostat’s Working Party on Migration Statistics in 1992. However, the idea was not implemented, partly because legal support was missing and there were constraints resulting from confidentiality requirements. Conclusion The desire to improve statistics on international migration, including comparability at the international level, first appeared within the discussions of the International Statistical Institute more than a century ago. Different sets of international recommendations on this topic were proposed first by the ILO as early as in 1932 and subsequently, after the Second World War, by the UN. In the 1970s and 1980s, UNECE initiated an in-depth data collection and analysis of the ‘double-entry migration matrix’, comparing different records of the same data. In 1989, Eurostat launched a new datacollection initiative on international migration and developed many activities to harmonise the definitions and concepts used in EU MS. At the beginning of the 1990s, UNECE, Eurostat and later the ILO, OECD and the Council of Europe combined their efforts to revise the UN recommendations on international migration and to develop a joint data-collection instrument. Since the 1997 UN recommendations were published, many studies have been undertaken to investigate the usage and encourage the implementation of the new set of recommendations. The efforts of international bodies were mainly oriented to the publication of comparable data as a result of standardised data-collection programmes, using common definitions and taking advantage of a variety of national data sources. Eurostat funded a series of projects to document the international migration database. However, faced with a variety of existing data sources and different data- 105 T H E S I M collection practices at national level, to date international bodies have not succeeded in harmonising data-collection systems, despite their best efforts. The work carried out by statistical and research institutions on a bilateral or multilateral basis has revealed the deep problems in international migration statistics, but has not achieved any significant improvements. The only real improvement in the harmonisation of migration data has been the exchange of information on persons moving between the Nordic countries. As a consequence, the data on flows of migrants between Nordic countries is much more reliable than the information for any other part of Europe. Despite all the difficulties that national statistical institutions have encountered in supplying data on international migration in strict accordance with international recommendations, the collection and publication of these data by international bodies has been a very useful and important activity. It provides the basis for further discussions on the improvement and harmonisation of international migration statistics in Europe. At the EU level, according to the Treaty of Amsterdam, asylum and migration has become the responsibility of the European Community and the Council is allowed to adopt measures for the production of statistics in this field. It was recognised that a legal regulation was needed to improve the situation in international migration statistics in the EU. This regulation will be a significant milestone in the field of international migration statistics. It is the first time that a regulation has been proposed for the harmonisation of international migration data, all previous international efforts being basically ‘gentlemen’s agreements’. Accordingly, the EU Regulation may be of worldwide importance as a practical contribution to the increased harmonisation of international migration statistics. 106 Section 2 Administrative Systems of Data Collection Chapter 3 Registration of the Resident Population Michel Poulain Introduction Administrative registers are the main data sources for producing statistics on population stocks and international migration flows. In the light of the EU Regulation on international migration statistics, a description of these registers and their underlying administrative procedures is therefore essential. The need for a system of registration that covers the resident population for administrative purposes exists in most EU MS. The main objective of this kind of registration system is to identify persons (individuals) and to keep individual records. The basic identification variables are first name, surname and date and place of birth. As a general rule, the date and place of death are added to this information to distinguish between people who are dead and those who are alive1. Several administrative tools and registers are used to register the population. The most basic one is the civil register, where all births, deaths, marriages and divorces are recorded. When local civil registers are centralised in a central civil register a personal identification number (PIN) is allocated to each individual in order to link all the events relating to the same person. The PIN is also a key element in developing a population register, where all the administrative information on the resident population (including the place of residence) is collected at individual level and continually updated. These administrative registers may coexist and also be linked to an ID card system. This chapter considers these various administrative registers. A large part of it is devoted to population registers, at local or national level, as these are the most appropriate data source for enumerating the resident population and recording all migrations (as requested in the EU Regulation). 1 Some persons are recorded as alive in the register, but may actually be dead if deaths occurring abroad are not accurately entered into the registration system. T H E S I M 1. Civil Register The basic method of registering the population includes recording all births and deaths in an appropriate register. This is usually called a ‘civil register’, although this term is not used in all countries. Birth and death records are generally linked for the same person and, in some countries, marriages and divorces are also recorded in this system so that information on marital status is available and systematically updated. Finally, information about parents, spouses and children is often added so that the identification of persons is more effective than when only the four basic variables are available. Such a civil register may be computerised and centralised, or simply handwritten and local. In centralised civil registers the identification process is more effective in principle, as, in principle, any duplication or misidentification can be avoided. The civil registration of all births, deaths, marriages and divorces exists in all EU MS, mostly at local level. In Cyprus, France, Greece, Ireland, Malta, Portugal and the United Kingdom this is the only system for registering the population (Comparative Table 1). It covers only events that occur within the country and therefore does not include the whole resident population, as people for whom no event is recorded are not covered. In Cyprus, France and Malta, the civil register is centralised at national level. Finally, in Cyprus, Greece and Malta, it is considered to be a population register for nationals as everyone should be included and attached to a given local administration, with the possibility of changing this place of registration as in a normal population register. 2. Personal identification number (PIN) In order to facilitate the identification of persons and the linkage of all information related to the same person, a unique personal identity number (PIN) is often used for the registration of the population. The first PIN, introduced in France in 1948, was in fact a birth number (INSEE, 1971). When registers were centralised and computer systems began to be used, their efficient operation required that each individual be identified by a single, universal code. This personal identity number (also known as a personal identity code, or numéro national in French) is based on a universal numbering system. Numerals are preferred as the primary referents or standard identifiers in database computer systems because computer operations are based on a numerical system and any other codes must be translated into a number for computer applications. If more than one code is applied to the records of a single individual, the chances of error are increased. A unique and universal number is efficient and easy to handle for comparing and 110 Chapter 3: Registration of the Resident Population sorting, storage capacity is increased, and record matching and linking are considerably improved (Lunde, 1975). The structure and the contents of the PIN differ between countries, but the date of birth is generally included in addition to one or more digits that make each PIN unique. In all countries using this system the uniqueness of the code is ensured and the same code cannot be attributed to two different persons. Occasionally someone may receive two different PINs: this mainly occurs when foreigners are concerned and the identification of first name, surname, date and place of birth are difficult; in addition some people try to conceal their identity. The PIN, as a computer record key, has the characteristics of uniqueness, permanence, reliability and universality, and is a unique and independent code because it is the sole identifier for one particular individual and for that individual only. It is permanently assigned and usually fixed for a person from birth to death; no duplication should occur. The PIN is reliable in the sense that the computer system provides quality controls ensuring that the correct identification number appears on all that person’s records. When placed on all pertinent documents, the PIN becomes a reference for many investigative operations and statistical inquiries in public administration. Depending on the national rules for individual data protection, the PIN may also be used more widely in other administrative registers (as in the Nordic and Baltic countries). In other countries (such as France and Austria) the use of the PIN is strictly limited or restricted to the centralised population register (Comparative Table 2). In some other countries (e.g. Portugal, Ireland and Italy), codes linked to social security or health systems may serve as PINs. 3. Identity card system (ID cards) Documents used for the identification of individuals in EU MS are usually either identity (ID) cards or passports. Not all countries have introduced an ID card system, but passports exist in all EU MS (although they are not compulsory except for travel outside the EU). A compulsory ID card system exists in fourteen EU MS, while in seven countries noncompulsory ID cards exist, and four countries have no ID card system (Comparative Table 2). Where there is no ID card system, or an ID card is not compulsory, people may be identified through documents such as driving licences, passports (valid or not) or birth certificates. In future, according the new EU directive, the host country may request the presentation of a valid ID card or passport to prove an EU citizen’s right of residence in the territory of another EU MS: “Accordingly all Member States shall, acting in accordance with their laws, issue to their own nationals and 111 T H E S I M renew an ID card or passport stating their nationality”2. In all EU MS where ID cards exist, they include a photograph, first name and surname, date and place of birth, but not necessarily the PIN. Additional characteristics such as citizenship, marital status and spouse’s name may also be included, as well as physical characteristics such as eye colour, height, fingerprints etc. Addresses are not systematically recorded on ID cards3; this depends on whether the ID system is or is not linked to a population register where the place of residence and precise address are recorded. The validity of an ID card is generally limited in time4, and a centralised database may be organised to maintain an operational ID card system. However some countries with central population registers have not introduced ID cards (Denmark and Latvia), while other countries use an ID card system without an associated centralised database (Germany5 and Italy) or without a population register (Greece, France, Cyprus, Malta and Portugal). Countries without centralised population registers may consider using ID card databases for the production of statistics on population stocks and migration flows. 4. Population registers When registering the resident population most countries link each person to a specific local administrative area and, more precisely, to an exact address. The wish to attach a person to a specific local administration may be related to electoral or taxation purposes and is more generally linked to the rights and duties of a person in this particular place. Therefore each local administration should organise a local database where all residents are registered and the related information is continually updated. This system, called a population register, includes all new-born children and newly registered persons and excludes those who have died or transferred their registration to another local administrative unit. Historically, population registers within each local administration worked independently and there was no transfer of information between them (Bertillon, 1890; Nicolaï, 1906). During the second half of the Directive 2004/38/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29th April 2004 on the right of citizens of the Union and their family members to move and reside freely within the territory of the EUMS. 3 When electronic ID cards are introduced the address may be electronically encoded on the associated chip. 4 As an example, the validity may be restricted to two years for children and ten years for adults, with no limits for the elderly. 5 In Germany there is effectively a centralised database for the issue of ID cards. 2 112 Chapter 3: Registration of the Resident Population nineteenth century the national or regional administrations in most countries introduced common rules of population registration to ensure that a given person would be registered in one and only one local administration. Strict rules were elaborated for recording changes of place of registration and exchanging information between municipalities. Before computer systems came into use, the population registers were exclusively local registers: although they were already connected through written exchange of information, centralised databases did not exist. In the Nordic countries, from the 1960s onwards, PINs were introduced, computerised centralised databases were built and an electronic exchange of information between local and central administrations was organised. Nowadays the majority of the 25 EU MS have centralised population registration systems (Comparative Table 1). Among the eighteen EU MS having population registers only Germany6 and Italy7 do not yet have centralised systems, although some plans exist at regional or national level8. Even where centralised population registration systems have been introduced, local authorities retain the main responsibility for holding and updating all information related to their resident populations, and the local population registers still exist as mirror copies of part of the centralised population register. Up to now, no system has been developed to ensure that any given person will be registered in one and only one EU MS. However the Nordic countries have introduced common rules for recording inter-Nordic migrations and they exchange information so as to avoid the problem of double registration9. According to information gathered by the THESIM project, it is clear that, at the EU level, double counting and undercounting are real problems. 6 In Germany the population registration system is centralised only in some Länder (Berlin, Hamburg, Rheinland-Pfalz). 7 In Italy there are plans for the centralisation of all local population registers (anagrafe) in order to build an Indice Nazionale delle Anagrafi. 8 In the Netherlands, the system is based on a network of local population registers with a limited centralised database. 9 As early as 1st October 1969 an agreement between Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden on an inter-Nordic ‘certification of removal’ and the definitions of immigration and emigration in the Nordic countries took effect. More recently an electronic exchange of information on inter-Nordic migrants has been organised. 113 T H E S I M 5. Responsibility Population registers are potentially the most appropriate data sources for producing statistics on population stocks and flows as requested by the EU Regulation. The authority in charge of registering the population varies between EU MS. Sweden, which may be considered as a pioneer in building population registers, is a specific case as the system was centralised when it was still the responsibility of the Lutheran church. Only in 1991 did the population registers become the responsibility of the Tax Board Authority. As in Norway, the local tax offices in Sweden have the basic responsibility for keeping the information related to all the inhabitants of their territory. In both countries the local administrations are not involved in updating the population registers, and like all other public administrations, they have access to the data gathered by the tax offices only through the centralised population registration system. In most other EU MS, the Ministry of the Interior is responsible for the management of the population registration system. As already mentioned local administrations are the main authorities responsible for the management of the population registers and updating all the information related to the resident population. The updating processes have been developed according to strict common rules which ensure the necessary exchange of data between municipalities. In this framework, local autonomy in population registration is rather limited compared to the historical situation where some cities developed independent population registers during the 18th century. As a consequence of the centralisation process that occurred in most EU MS during the second half of the twentieth century the local administrations lost some responsibilities. Depending on the country and local public opinion, either the Ministry of the Interior or the local municipalities are presented as the main responsible authorities for registering the population. For example, in the Netherlands, the population registration system is held by each municipality under the rules issued by the Ministry of the Interior (including some specific rules related to the exchange of information between municipalities). There is no central population register as such, but a limited central database with a little identification information and no historical data exists. The situation is different in Belgium, where all information collected at municipality level is transferred directly to the central population register and each municipality 114 Chapter 3: Registration of the Resident Population uses a ‘mirror’ copy of the central population register. But there are signs that these differences between countries may disappear in future10. 6. Place of residence The place of a person’s administrative registration is not necessarily the place of usual residence. The latter is requested in the EU Regulation and defined by the UN census recommendations as the ‘place where the person spends most of his/her daily night-rest’ (UNECE, 1998, §30). An overview of the situation in all twenty-five EU MS of the way the place of residence is defined when compiling population registers for the resident population is provided in Comparative Table 2. The place of administrative registration is a broader concept in which a person is linked to a given local administrative unit for all duties and rights managed at the local level11. For this purpose every person has to be registered in a specific place or administrative unit (which can be changed). When a change of place of registration is declared it is not always necessary to prove that the concrete dwelling and the precise address given by the person is really his or her usual place of residence. Accordingly the place of registration often differs from the place of usual residence, for reasons that may be financial, practical or simply sentimental. An administrative register using only this broad concept of place of administrative registration is not a population register in the strict sense, as a population register should include the place of usual residence and record all changes of address. However no EU MS using a population register follows this strictest rule; they all employ a concept of place of administrative residence which is more or less close to the place of usual residence. In Cyprus, Greece and Malta the civil registers may be considered as population registers for citizens because everyone is registered in a local administrative unit and is allowed to change this place of administrative registration. Nevertheless, these administrative registers will never be useful for producing statistics on population stocks and flows as some categories of persons living in the country are not included, while others living permanently abroad are. More significantly for the purposes of this chapter, the system in these three countries does not 10 For example, there are plans in the Netherlands to improve the centralised register by including all individual information and keeping historical data. 11 Note that a concept of place of legal residence or domicile is used in judicial matters and is related to the civil code. This place may be different from the place of administrative registration as well as from the place of usual residence. This concept is not used for population registration in EU MS, although the term ‘domicile’ is sometimes used to refer to the place of residence in official documents in Finland, Belgium and Luxembourg. 115 T H E S I M allow a reliable measurement of migration flows, both internal and international. The basic characteristics of a population register, whether it be held at local level or centralised, are the coverage of the whole resident population and the continuous updating of the administrative place of residence and address. Depending on national rules and legislation, the administrative place of residence used in the population register may be just an address of administrative convenience or a concept much closer to the EU and UN definition of the place of usual residence (where the person effectively spends most of his/her daily night-rest). Three main types of concept are used in the eighteen EU MS effectively using population registers (Comparative Table 2): Place of (unique) residence: where only a unique place of residence is registered, this place is called the place of residence and, depending on the country, different types of investigations and rules have to be followed in order to ensure and prove that this unique place of residence is the usual place of residence of the person concerned. Place of principal residence and place of secondary residence: when multiple places of residence are allowed in the population registration system, the person concerned has to specify which is his or her principal place of residence (according to rules about the duration of stay in each place of residence and in some cases the size of the population in the different local administrations concerned). However the choice is often based on self-declaration without any checking, and in this context the differences in taxation and other concrete local advantages are often the deciding factor. Place of permanent residence and place of temporary residence: if somebody changes his or her place of residence for a short period of time and retains the possibility of returning to live in the previous place of residence, the latter is named the permanent place of residence while the new one is considered a temporary place of residence. Both places of residence are included in the population registration system and links exist in the person’s record with both local administrations. All changes of residence, both permanent and temporary, have to be declared. These concepts of permanent and temporary residences exist in most of the newer EU MS and the situation is inherited from the past, when the place of permanent residence was considered as the place where the person had the right to live and to work and an internal passport attested to this fact. 116 Chapter 3: Registration of the Resident Population Population registers may be organised and updated either at the local level in independent databases with electronic transfer of data between local administrations or in a unique centralised database, often named the ‘Central Population Register’ or the ‘Central Population Registration System’. At the international level an electronic exchange of information on inter-Nordic migrants has recently been organised between the central population registration systems of the Nordic countries12. Other countries, such as the Baltic countries and Slovenia, have shown some interest in joining this initiative. 7. Persons included in the population register In order to assess the reliability and comparability of statistics produced by using population registers it is important to know their coverage. Comparative Table 3 summarises the situation in all 25 EU MS as far as the inclusion or exclusion of nationals and foreigners from the population registers is concerned. In all EU MS having population registers all nationals living permanently in their own country are included. Two other groups also have to be considered: nationals living abroad and foreigners living in the country. 7.1 Nationals living abroad Nationals living abroad may be distinguished in the following way: those who have never lived in the country (at least since the population register has been in operation); and those who have left the country to live abroad for a variable length of time and for various reasons. The only way the first group could be included in the population register is through registration at a consulate abroad and the systematic transfer of this information to a population register in the home country. In this way the home country could develop a register of all its citizens living abroad. This system is operational in Italy (Anagrafe degli Italiani Residenti all’Estero, AIRE) and in Spain (Padrón Español Residente Extranjeros, PERE). In both cases some links exist with the national population registers (the Anagrafe and the Padrón respectively) and citizens living abroad are not included as part of the resident population of the country. In the Baltic countries, citizens who have never lived in their home country may be entered in the 12 See note 9 in this chapter. 117 T H E S I M population register through the issuance or renewal of their citizenship passport, but only on request. These citizens are counted as living abroad and the information on the country of residence enables people who should not be included in the usual resident population to be identified. For people in the second group it is necessary to take into account whether they were already entered in the population register before leaving their home country. Therefore it is important to know if these people were removed from the population register or their records were simply deactivated when they left the country, or if their records were kept active in the database. The decision to remove a person may have an important administrative impact for both the person and the municipality concerned, as deregistered people are no longer considered as part of the legal or de jure population of the locality or the country. This may have considerable practical implications for the individual. The decision on whether or not to deregister depends mainly on the reasons and intentions for moving abroad and the expected or de facto length of stay. In all EU MS diplomats and international officers working abroad will be kept as active in the population registers whatever their duration of stay abroad. For other citizens, irrespective of the rules, the deregistration is essentially based on selfdeclaration and therefore it is important to bear in mind the personal interest of the individual concerned. Everyone leaving their country will consider the potential advantages and disadvantages of registering their emigration, such as the complexity of the procedure for declaring emigration, the loss of financial and other advantages linked to residence in the country, the possibility of returning easily, and the level of fines for non-declaration. All these elements explain why citizens may decide not to declare their emigration, and what the resultant level of over-counting in the population registers may be. It is important to understand that these are the factors which lie behind the consequent level of under-registration of international emigration flows. In some countries, such as Finland, a citizen leaving to live abroad may legitimately remain on the population register if it can be shown that he or she retains strong links with the home country. In Sweden the rule of oneseventh is applied: anyone who leaves the country but returns for one seventh of the year may remain on the population register. As a consequence, in Sweden but also in other EU MS, a significant (but unquantified) proportion of citizens who have emigrated are still included on an active basis in the population registers and are therefore considered as part of the legal and de jure population of the country. In general, the precondition to register as an international emigrant and for deregistration in the population register is based on self-declaration. The 118 Chapter 3: Registration of the Resident Population rules for considering a person as an international emigrant are presented and discussed in detail later in this chapter. In some countries the local administrations are required to deregister everybody who leaves a country unless it can be proved that the absence will be a temporary one. Clearly this requires some investigation; however this procedure is definitively not applied in a similar way in all countries. Many local administrations are concerned not to lose inhabitants, and this provides an incentive not to deregister emigrants. 7.2 Foreigners living in the country Six main categories can be distinguished among foreigners living in the country according to their right to stay: foreign diplomats and other international civil servants who are working and living in the country; foreigners with a full right to stay and live in the country: this applies only to Nordic citizens living in another Nordic country; foreigners with the right to stay and live in the country if a limited number of conditions are fulfilled, and when a document proving the right to live there has been provided: this applies to all EU MS, and more broadly to all EEA citizens living in other EEA countries13; third-country nationals who have requested and been granted a residence permit on a temporary or permanent basis (refugees under the Geneva Convention and persons temporarily protected for humanitarian reasons are included in this group); foreigners without residence permits who have been accepted as asylum seekers until a final decision on their request has been taken; foreigners who are living illegally in the country (including those who entered as temporary residence permit holder but overstayed the period of their permit, and those who entered the country seeking asylum but whose request has been definitively rejected and who have not been given permission to stay for humanitarian reasons but are still living in the country). Diplomats and other international civil servants are usually not included in population registers; neither are their dependants and domestic employees. However in Luxembourg, Netherlands and Spain they may ask to be registered and in the Swedish population registration system they are 13 The conditions for an EEA citizen to be allowed to stay more than three months in another EEA country are fixed by the Directive 2004/38/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council. 119 T H E S I M given a coordination number for identification purposes. In Belgium, all EU and NATO officers are included in a specific part of the population register; they do not have to self-declare their place of residence, but information on them is transferred to the national register and the relevant local population registers by their employers’ personnel services. The second category of foreigners covers only Nordic citizens in Nordic countries. These people are included in the population registers as soon as their international immigration is self-declared and registered. There is no need to declare their emigration, as systematic exchange of data between Nordic countries enables deregistration to occur in the sending country once the person is registered in the receiving country according to the specific rules of the receiving country. EEA citizens living in another EEA country are included in the population registers of all EU MS. However their de facto situation is strongly dependent on the rate of self-declaration by the people concerned. As with emigration, the self-declaration of immigration by EEA citizens is linked to the existence of concrete advantages or disadvantages in declaring this immigration and being registered in the receiving country. When the advantages are evident and the registration procedure is simple then the rate of registration is high. At the opposite extreme, the level of registration may be very low if the advantages attached are limited and the procedure is timeconsuming. As there is no transfer of information between EU MS (similar to that between Nordic countries) different situations may be observed: The EEA citizen declares both emigration in the sending country and immigration in the receiving country and accordingly the changes are effected in the population registers of both countries and both population registers reflect the de facto situation. The EEA citizen declares neither the emigration in the sending country nor the immigration in the receiving country: in this case there is no double counting, but neither population register reflects the de facto situation. The EEA citizen declares the emigration but not the immigration. In this case the person is no longer registered in the sending country but is also not recorded in the population register of the receiving country: in this exceptional situation he or she is no longer counted in the EU de jure population. The individual declares and registers the immigration, but does not declare the emigration in the sending country. Accordingly this person is included in the population registers of both sending and receiving countries, resulting in a double count in the population stock at EU level. 120 Chapter 3: Registration of the Resident Population As far as third-country nationals with valid temporary or permanent residence permits are concerned, we can distinguish three different situations: In some EU MS the people concerned are registered when they get their first residence permit (which is often a temporary permit or a long-term visa) and the information needed for registration is transferred from the residence permit database to the population register. In a second group of EU MS, registration is done at the request of the person concerned, who has to present a valid residence permit in order to be included in the population register (whatever the duration of validity of this permit). In this case there is no transfer of data between the residence permit database and the population register and the registration is based on self-declaration and presentation of a valid residence permit. In a third group of countries, only foreigners with permanent residence permits are registered in the population registers (Hungary), or more often only foreigners with temporary residence permits for more than a fixed period of time. For the last two categories of foreigners without valid residence permits, the situation is more diverse. Asylum seekers are generally not included in the population register until they are granted asylum and thereafter receive a permanent or temporary residence permit (depending on the country), or until they receive a temporary residence permit for humanitarian reasons. In all cases they have to follow the registration procedure indicated above for a foreigner having a permanent or temporary residence permit. Nevertheless asylum seekers are included in the local population registers in Austria, Germany, Luxembourg and Spain based on self-declaration, irrespective of the status of their request and the period of time for which they are living in the country. The Netherlands includes in the population register all asylum seekers with requests pending who have lived in the country for six months. Third-country nationals who have not renewed their temporary residence permits (overstayers) have to be deregistered because they are supposed to live outside the country or because they are still living there on an illegal basis and are therefore no longer considered as part of the de jure population. However the situation varies among countries as the date of validity of the permit is not systematically transferred to be recorded in the population registers. These people may be systematically deregistered at the end of validity of the permit or after some delay to allow for late renewal of the permit. In other countries the local administration will proceed to deregistration only after an investigation to prove that the person concerned 121 T H E S I M has left the country. In a third group of countries, if no declaration of emigration is made, overstayers are retained as resident on the population register until additional information confirms that they have really left the country. Undocumented foreigners living in the country are never included in the population registers except in Spain, where it is possible for people in an illegal situation to be registered in the Padrón14. 8. Registration of international migrants In EU MS there is no specific administrative tool for registering all international migrants when entering or leaving the country. But the population registers allow the collection of information about international migrants, with some limitations as detailed above. However, only foreigners who are authorised to be registered in the population register will be included as international immigrants. Similarly only those who are registered in the population register may be considered as international emigrants when leaving the country. Residence permit holders may be automatically considered as international immigrants when the first permit is issued, while temporary residence permit holders may be automatically considered as international emigrants at the end of the validity of the permit (if it is not renewed). In most EU MS using population registers, asylum seekers are not included and therefore these international immigrants will not be registered as such. If the person concerned is granted a residence permit he or she will be registered and generally considered as an international immigrant from the time of receiving this residence permit. If an asylum seeker receives a definitive negative answer and has to leave the country, this person will never be included in the population register and so is not considered as an international immigrant, whatever his or her effective duration of stay in the country15. 14 In Spain a specific positive incentive for registration of undocumented migrants may be that the date of registration can be helpful in proving that the individual has been in the country for the requested minimum period for regularisation. 15 However some rejected asylum seekers may be granted temporary residence permits for humanitarian reasons and thereafter be included in the population register and considered as international immigrants. 122 Chapter 3: Registration of the Resident Population Basically there are three conditions to be registered as an international immigrant in the population register: having the right to be registered by or being part of the included population and holding the appropriate official documents to prove this16; having declared the immigration and the intention to live in the country and therefore being willing to be registered in the population register (this condition may include the need to prove that the immigrant has a place to live in the country); in some countries an additional condition about the expected duration of stay in the country is introduced and the requested minimum duration may be three, six or twelve months. In all cases the timing of the international immigration is the date of registration in the population register. This may be much later than the actual date of arrival, particularly for asylum seekers who have to wait until they are granted a residence permit. There are also three conditions to be registered as an international emigrant in the population registers: having been registered in the population register as part of the de jure population of the country; declaring the emigration and the intention to live abroad and therefore being willing to be deregistered from the population register; in some countries an additional condition about the expected duration of stay abroad is introduced with a requested minimum duration of three, six or twelve months. Here too the official date of international emigration is the date of effective deregistration from the population register. This date may be a bit earlier than the actual date of emigration unless the emigration is declared through the consulate abroad after it has occurred. National diplomats and international civil servants working abroad will never be considered as international emigrants. However foreign diplomats and international civil servants are partly counted as international immigrants in Belgium, Luxembourg, Netherlands and Spain. As explained earlier, depending on the country, a large proportion of emigrants, both citizens and foreigners, may never deregister. Reasons for not declaring the departure are usually linked to the length of the procedure and the existence of concrete financial advantages to stay registered as part 16 Except in the case of Spain, where people in an illegal situation may be included and therefore be counted as immigrants. 123 T H E S I M of the population of the country. In some countries (e.g. Sweden) a citizen may spend most of his or her time abroad for long periods and still be registered in the country on an official base. In other countries, the administrative rules may require emigrants to deregister, but these rules are not applied and there are no investigations to enforce deregistration. Low levels of coverage for the emigration of citizens are observed when: some family members stay in the place from which the person left the country and therefore the emigrant still has the possibility of having contact with the local administration; the rules do not require people to deregister if they can prove that they have stronger links with the home country than with the destination country; the population register allows temporary addresses abroad to be registered for a fixed period of time and at the end of this period no investigation is made to determine whether the person is back in the country. A third-country national with a temporary residence permit who leaves a country usually gains no advantages from declaring the emigration unless he or she expects to return in the near future. In the event of non-declaration of emigration, the person may be deregistered by the administrative authorities when the temporary residence permit expires and no renewal has been requested. Such systematic deregistration usually takes place at the end of the period of validity of the residence permit or a short time later to allow people to request a renewal. In practice most foreigners leave the country at the end of the period of validity of the permit or before. It is also possible to use the data collected at the external borders of the EU and to deregister people at the time of crossing the border, but this requires the exchange of information between EU MS. In general when no systematic deregistration is done when a residence permit expires, foreigners are not deregistered and they stay on the population register as part of the de jure population of the country irrespective of whether they have emigrated or are still living in the country on a illegal basis. Conclusion In all EU MS administrative tools exist for the registration of the population. In most of them population registers and the procedures used for registration allow information to be gathered on the resident population of the country. In the eight countries where population registers do not exist, civil registers and ID card databases may, in theory, be useful for estimating the stock of population (although these data sources have coverage 124 Chapter 3: Registration of the Resident Population problems and cannot be used for describing migration flows). As discussed in Chapters 7 and 8, the population registers represent the most appropriate administrative data source to meet the requirements of the EU Regulation on statistics on population stock and international migration flows. However, the place of residence recorded in population registers is effectively the place of administrative registration. Accordingly, the use of population registers may distort the real situation, due to the administrative rules for registration and the existence of advantages from not following these rules. In this situation, correct registration of international migrants is essential to ensure an exact identification of the population usually resident in the country. These problems are investigated in more detail in Section 3 of this book, where the production of statistics as requested by the EU Regulation is discussed. 125 T H E S I M Comparative Table 1. The registration of the resident population: general characteristics Name of the population registration system BE CZ DK Registre National des Personnes Physiques (RN) Informačni systém evidence obyvatel (ISEO) Det Centrale Person Register (CPR) English translation Type of system1 Responsible authority National register of natural persons CPR Federal Service of the Interior CPR Ministry of the Interior Information system of population registration Civil registration system CPR Melderegister Register of inhabitants LPR EE Rahvastikuregister Population register CPR EL Dimotologio Civil register LCR Fichero de Coordinación de los Padrones municipales Répertoire National (RNIAM) Central Records System (CRS) Coordination file of local municipality population registers National Repertory IT Anagrafe della popolazione residente Registers of the resident population LPR3 CY Archeo Plithismou Civil register CCR LV Latvijas Republikas Iedzīvotāju reģistrs Population register of the Republic of Latvia CPR LT Gyventojų registras Residents’ register CPR General register of natural persons CPR DE ES FR IE LU HU MT Répertoire général des personnes physiques et morales4 A polgárok személyi adatainak és lakcímének nyilvántartása Public Registry CPR CCR [CCR]2 Register of personal data and addresses CPR Public Register CCR 126 Ministry of the Interior and Health Local municipalities, Länder and Federal Ministry of Internal Affairs Ministry of the Interior Ministry of the Interior, Public Administration and Decentralisation INE (National Institute of Statistics) INSEE (National Statistical Office) Department of Social and Family Affairs Municipalities and Ministry of the Interior Ministry of the Interior Ministry of the Interior Ministry of Internal Affairs Centre Informatique de l’Etat Central Data Processing, Registration and Election Office Ministry for Justice and Home Affairs Chapter 3: Registration of the Resident Population Name of the population registration system NL AT PL PT SI SK FI English translation Type of system1 Responsible authority Municipal basic registration of population data LPR5 Local municipalities and Ministry of the Interior CPR Federal Ministry of the Interior CPR Ministry of the Interior and Administration Gemeentelijke Basis Administratie persoonsgegevens (GBA) Zentrales Melderegister (ZMR) Powszechny Elektroniczny System Ewidencji Ludności (PESEL-CBD) Central register of inhabitants National electronic population registration system – Central database Registro de Identificação Civil Register of civil identification Centralni register prebivalstva (CRP) Register obyvatel’ov Slovenskej republiky (REGOB) Central population register Register of inhabitants of the Slovak Republic Population information system National population registration system Väestötietojärjestelmä SE Folkbokföringen UK Registers on births, marriages and deaths LCR 6 CPR Ministry of Justice Direçao general dos Registros e Notariado Ministry of the Interior CPR Ministry of the Interior CPR Ministry of the Interior CPR Swedish Tax Agency LCR Local Register Offices CPR, Central Population Register; LPR, Local Population Register; CCR, Central Civil Register; LCR, Local Civil Register. 2 The CRS is being implemented and is believed to have close too full population coverage. It may be considered in future as a centralised population register. 3 There is a plan to introduce a rather limited centralised population register called Indice Nazionale delle Anagrafi. 5 A new population registration system named Registre de l’Etat Civil et de la Population is anticipated in the near future. 5 A rather limited centralised register exists for identification purpose only, named Landelijke Raadpleegbare Deelverzameling (LRD). There are plans to improve this centralised register by including all individual information and keeping historical data. 6 There is a plan to introduce a centralised civil register. 1 127 T H E S I M Comparative Table 2. The registration of the resident population: additional characteristics Type of system1 BE CPR CZ CPR DK CPR DE LPR EE CPR EL LCR ES CPR FR CCR IE CCR IT LPR CY CCR LV CPR LT CPR LU CPR HU CPR MT CCR NL LPR IDcard Compulsory, based on information from population registration Compulsory, based on information from population registration No IDcard, but health insurance card exists Compulsory, based on information from population registration Compulsory, based on information from population registration Compulsory, issued by the Police Compulsory, based on information from population registration Not compulsory, issued by the Préfectures No ID card Unique PIN Administrative place of residence Y Unique place of residence Y Unique place of residence Y Unique place of residence N2 Principal and secondary places of residence Y Unique place of residence N Place of registration N Unique place of residence Y3 N4 Not compulsory, based on information from population registration Compulsory, issued by the Civil Registry and Migration Department No ID card Compulsory, based on information from population registration Compulsory, based on information from population registration Compulsory, based on information from population registration Not compulsory, based on the Public Registry Not compulsory, based on information from population registration 128 No registration of the place of residence No registration of the place of residence N4 Unique place of residence Y3 Place of registration Y Principal and secondary places of residence Y Unique place of residence Y Unique place of residence Y Permanent and temporary places of residence Y Place of registration Y Unique place of residence Chapter 3: Registration of the Resident Population Type of system1 AT CPR PL CPR PT LCR SI CPR SK CPR FI CPR SE CPR UK LCR IDcard Not compulsory, based on information from population registration Compulsory, based on information from population registration Not compulsory, issued by Distritos Compulsory, based on information from population registration Compulsory, based on information from population registration Compulsory, based on information from population registration Not compulsory, based on information from population registration No ID card Unique PIN Administrative place of residence Y3 Principal and secondary places of residence Y N4 Y Y Y Permanent and temporary places of residence No registration of the place of residence Permanent and temporary places of residence Permanent and temporary places of residence Permanent and temporary places of residence Y Unique place of residence N No registration of the place of residence CPR, Central Population Register; LPR, Local Population Register; CCR, Central Civil Register; LCR, Local Civil Register. 2 Non universal PIN delivered by the municipality of residence. 3 Existence of a PIN with strictly limited use in public administration. 4 There is no PIN as such but there exist a fiscal or social security code that is used for identifying a person when in contact with administration. 1 129 T H E S I M Comparative Table 3a. Groups of persons included as residents in the local or centralised population registers1 BE CZ DK DE EE ES IT LV LT Nationals Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y National diplomats, international civil servants and army members in mission abroad 2 Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Nationals who left the country and are living abroad P P N N P P P P P Non-national diplomats, international experts and foreign army members2 P N N N N P N N N EEA citizens Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Non EEA citizens with permanent residence permit Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Non EEA citizens with temporary residence permit 3 Y 3+ Y Y4 3+ Y Y 3+ Y Y 6+ Y 3+ Y 12+ Asylum seekers with a pending request Y5 N N Y N Y N N N Refugees and other persons having received protection for humanitarian reasons Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Other Non EEA citizens living in the country on an illegal basis6 N N N N N P N N N Only countries having a local or central population registers are considered in this table. Including dependants and domestic employees 3 in some country, with a period of validity of at least 3, 6 or 12 months 4 The time limit is 6 months if the person immigrates from an EEA country. 5 These persons are registered in the Waiting Register which is linked to the RN. 6 This category includes those who entered illegally, those who requested asylum but did not succeed and were forced to leave the country and those with residence permit which is no more valid. 1 2 130 Chapter 3: Registration of the Resident Population Comparative Table 3b. Groups of persons included as residents in the local or centralised population registers1 LU HU NL AT PL SI SK FI SE Nationals Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y National diplomats, international civil servants and army members in mission abroad 2 Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Nationals who left the country and are living abroad P P N N P P P P P Non-national diplomats, international experts and foreign army members2 P N P N N N N N N EEA citizens Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Non EEA citizens with permanent residence permit Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Non EEA citizens with temporary residence permit 3 Y N Y Y Y Y Y Y 12+ Y 12+ Asylum seekers with a pending request Y N Y7 Y N N N N N Refugees and other persons having received protection for humanitarian reasons Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Other Non EEA citizens living in the country on an illegal basis6 N N P N N N N N N Only countries having a local or central population registers are considered in this table. Including dependants and domestic employees 3 in some country, with a period of validity of at least 3, 6 or 12 months 4 The time limit is 6 months if the person immigrates from an EEA country. 5 These persons are registered in the Waiting Register which is linked to the RN. 6 This category includes those who entered illegally, those who requested asylum but did not succeed and were forced to leave the country and those with residence permit which is no more valid. 7 Six months after the date of their application for asylum. 1 2 131 Chapter 4 Registration of Permit of Stay Yves Breem and Xavier Thierry Introduction The aim of this chapter is to describe the management of databases and administrative procedures for the registration of foreigners staying legally in an EU MS. These databases are the main sources for the production of statistics on residence permits as requested in the EU Regulation. Therefore we will propose an evaluation of the data sources, their suitability to provide the required statistics, and the information necessary to evaluate the quality, comparability and completeness of the statistical information. This chapter considers residence permit databases by using the same approach as that applied in the more general population registration systems described in Chapter 3. It focuses exclusively on third-country nationals and more precisely on non-EEA citizens1 as EEA citizens do not any longer require residence permits to stay in EU MS. Undocumented aliens do not fall within the scope of this chapter, although they might be registered in the database in some countries for a variety of reasons (refusal of stay, apprehensions, expulsions, residence permits expired etc.). 1. Type of database for the registration of permits of stay Data included in the residence permit database deal with information on documents gathered at various stages of the application for or issue of a residence permit. Sometimes it also incorporates more detailed information on the characteristics of the individual permit holder. In that case, the residence permit database is part of an integrated registration system, usually known as the aliens register. The aliens register may be defined as a register of persons. It records personal information not limited to the procedure of issuing residence permits. It may include not only people holding a residence permit under the aliens law, but other categories of people who are authorised to live in the country without a residence permit 1 When the term ‘non-EEA-citizen’ will be used in this book, Swiss citizen are considered as being not included as they are assimilated to EEA citizens in most EU MS. T H E S I M (for example, minors, EEA citizens…). Sometimes, the aliens register is even integrated into the central population register or a more global migration information network. To summarise, an aliens register is a centralised register recording basic identification information on all foreigners living in the country while a residence permit database is a document database only, related to the issue of residence permits. All aliens registers include a residence permit database. Several criteria are considered in classifying types of system of alien registration: the magnitude of the population concerned (only residence permit applicants or other categories of people such as asylum seekers, undocumented migrants and dependants); range of variables included (limited to those strictly needed for issuing residence permits, or other information on individuals); and possible links with other registration systems. Thus four types of situation may be distinguished among EU MS (Comparative Table 4): a residence permit database exists and foreigners with legal residence in the country are not registered in any other population register; a residence permit database exists and all residence permit holders are also registered in a population register, but there is no direct link between the two databases; an aliens register exists that includes all the information related to foreigners living in the country (including a residence permit application database) and all residence permit holders are also registered in the population register, but there are no direct links between the aliens register and the population register (or there is no population register); an aliens register exists and is fully included in a more global population registration system. The aliens register is fully integrated in the population register in four countries: Belgium, Latvia, Lithuania and Slovenia. In this case, it is a subset of the population register specifically dedicated to foreigners. In all other EU MS, the two databases (the aliens register and the population register) are separated. As shown in Comparative Table 4, it may be considered as aliens register in ten other EU MS and residence permit database in the remaining countries. 134 Chapter 4: Registration of Permit of Stay The degree of centralisation of the residence permit database and the use of PIN In most EU MS the registration of third-country nationals living legally in the country is centralised in a single database. Usually the Ministry of the Interior is responsible for issuing residence permits which cover all foreigners with a legal status. Only Greece has a decentralised system: data are locally/ regionally recorded and then transmitted to a central file at different dates. Moreover in Greece a main register is devoted to thirdcountry nationals but two other parallel files exist, one for ethnic Greeks (Albanian and Greek Pontiacs) and another for EEA citizens. The absence of a single register can derive from the fact that information on different types of permits is stored in separate files which cannot be linked (as in Malta or the United Kingdom). This situation may also be attributed to the fact that several different authorities are competent to issue authorisations to stay, and that some categories of foreigners can enter the country and stay more than three months with a long-term visa (see below). A long-term visa is usually issued abroad by a consulate and so is not always incorporated in the database kept by the Ministry of the Interior, but is stored in a database at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. In Poland and Portugal long-term visas issued by consulates are not registered in any database at all. As the situation is complicated, with multiple databases, the description below is based on data sources for residence permits granted to third-country national only. Given that a single application may cover more than one person (children and other dependents) and that successive authorisations to stay may be issued over time to a given person, the use of a PIN is necessary to collate data on individuals and organise it in a biographical way. Of course the existence of such an individual identifier does not guarantee its efficiency. It may be more efficient if based on a biometric measure, but further investigation is necessary to check that a PIN is more reliable than the use of name, sex and date of birth in identifying a given person within the residence permit database. As shown in Comparative Table 4, only two countries (the United Kingdom and Italy) do not use a PIN in the residence permit database. In ten countries a universal PIN is allocated to foreigners according to a general rule which is also applied to national citizens in the population registration system. Elsewhere, aliens PINs are different and related only to the aliens register or the residence permit database. 135 T H E S I M 2. Types of authorisation to stay There is no other domain which is subject to such quick and continual changes in the law as immigration. Immigration policy is becoming one of the top priorities of the European Commission and there is a move towards increasing harmonisation of the immigration system in the EU. Practically, this will be achieved through the introduction of a common format residence permit2. Differences in the conditions under which residence permits are issued to non-EEA citizens could be considered one of the most important barriers to creating a homogeneous system. The authorisation to stay remains a matter of national responsibility, and accordingly categories of residence permit and registration systems differ between EU MS, which employ different rules on reasons for issue permit, duration of validity and renewals. The first step for a third-country national to become a legal resident is more or less similar in each EU MS: a visa must be obtained which allows free entry into the country. Usually entry visas are valid for three months and they are needed to obtain the subsequent authorisation to stay which is always required for those wishing to remain in the country for more than three months. Only documents allowing stays of more than three months (whatever their national name) will be considered below, excluding entry visas. It is important to be familiar with the legislation related to authorisations to stay in order to identify all the categories of foreigners residing legally in a country. Identity documents for minors accompanying or joining a parent, who cannot get personal residence permits, should be included in this type of immigration status. Three types of documents may be considered. These correspond to different kinds of immigration status: long-term visas or other immigration statuses allowing long-term stays; temporary residence permits; long-term residence permits. This section presents a synthesis of the conditions of issuance and renewal of each type of document in each country (Comparative Table 5). As the legislation changes frequently this table needs to be constantly updated. See Council Regulation (EC) No 1030/2002 of 13th June 2002 laying down a uniform format for residence permits for non-EU nationals. 2 136 Chapter 4: Registration of Permit of Stay 2.1 Long-term visas and other immigration statuses lasting more than three months As mentioned above, visas are usually a prerequisite for entering a country. However, some countries issue long-term visas that allow their holders to stay for a period exceeding three months (in the United Kingdom this is known as ‘leave to enter’). Such visas have a limited duration, but they cannot be put in the same category as temporary residence permits because their conditions of issue are markedly different: long-term visas are issued abroad, by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, whereas residence permits are usually issued by sections of the Ministry of the Interior within the national territory. Foreigners holding long-term visas may have fewer social, economic and political rights than holders of residence permits. Work permits, which are the responsibility of the Ministry of Employment, are included in the category of long-term visas. Most EU MS recognise a right to stay for aliens only after a residence permit has been issued. However in six countries foreigners are allowed to live in the country for more than three months on the basis of a long-term visa issued at a consulate or embassy abroad. Three countries record the actual entry of non-EEA citizens either at the border (in the United Kingdom), or within the territory (the Czech Republic and Hungary, where the foreigner has a legal obligation to present him or herself to the immigration police). In most countries these long-term visas are included in the residence permit database in most countries that issue them. Sometimes they are registered only on the occasion of their first renewal (e.g. in Portugal). The most common duration of long-term visa is one year, but in Austria the maximum is six months, whereas in the United Kingdom it is up to ten years. In all countries were this long-term visa exists, it is renewable or convertible in a temporary residence permit. 2.2 Temporary residence permits Temporary residence permits are issued to third-country nationals who are authorised to stay in the country on a temporary basis only. They are issued for specific purposes: for example, temporary work, studies, temporary protection, etc3. These permits are valid for a limited period and they are not automatically renewable. Temporary residence permits are the most common status granted to new arrivals in the EU. Indeed, as 3 Temporary documents issued to asylum seekers during the processing of their claim are not included in this category. 137 T H E S I M mentioned above, long-term visas do not exist in all countries and they are delivered only to specific categories of foreigners. Temporary residence permits are defined by two main characteristics in almost all EU MS. Firstly, they are (or can be) issued as first-stay permits, except in countries where the stay could start with the possession of a longterm visa. Secondly, even if the application for a first residence permit is submitted abroad, when a positive decision has been taken the residence permit is generally issued through local offices after the applicants actually arrived in the country. In five countries (Denmark, Estonia, Slovenia, the Slovak Republic and to a certain extent Finland) the permit is issued directly to the applicant through consulates abroad. The situation regarding the length of validity of the first residence permit differs across the EU, depending largely on the grounds for issuing it. Most EU MS have defined by law a maximum duration of validity for first residence permits. As displayed in Comparative Table 5, one year is the most common duration for validity but in five countries, first temporary residence may be issued for two years. Temporary residence permit may be renewed everywhere, usually for a period not exceeding that of the first permit. 2.3 Long-term residence permits Most EU MS grant a permanent right to stay or a long-term residence permit after five successive temporary residence permits or after a duration of stay of five years. According to Council Directive 2003/109/EC on longterm resident, a third-country national should have lived in a country for five years to be allowed to stay permanently with a long-term residence permit. An harmonised type of long-term permit will be introduce at EU level but several EU MS have already adopted the five years time limit in their national legislation. However, as shown in Comparative Table 5, several countries have still to do so. Long-term residence permits are issued within a country to aliens who have obtained a permanent right to settle. These permits have either an unlimited duration or a limited duration (5 or 10 years), but are automatically renewable. In several countries, the following situation exists: a residence permit of unlimited duration is combined with a foreign identity card, which has a limited duration (of five or, more usually, ten years) and has to be periodically extended. This gives the authorities the opportunity to check the presence of the long-term residence permit holders. Long-term permits give the most secure status for foreigners, with almost the same set of rights (except political rights) as nationals. They are granted on all 138 Chapter 4: Registration of Permit of Stay grounds of residence, except studying: students are never authorised to apply for long-term residence permits. By definition, a long-term residence permit is expected to be issued not as a first stay permit, but at the time of a renewal. But there are a lot of exceptions, mainly for dependants of aliens already having a permanent right to stay. 3. Content and coverage of residence permit databases Residence permit databases cover, in principle, all foreigners living legally in the country. However this coverage has to be questioned in two different ways. Firstly, some categories of foreigner are likely to be excluded from the database due to their specific status. Admissions could be decided by different authorities according to the purpose of the stay: asylum seekers are under the responsibility of agencies implementing the Geneva Convention or international protection, minors are covered by family reunification procedures etc. Consequently these categories of people are likely to be recorded in distinct databases. Comparative Table 6 specifies the conditions of registration for these groups. Secondly, during their time spent in the country, foreigners can experience various events which result in them no longer forming part of the legal foreign population of the country. Basically, there are three main events that radically change the status of the foreigner: the foreigner leaves the country, and is no longer settled in the country; the foreigner acquires the citizenship of the country, and so is no longer a foreigner but has become a citizen; the foreigner dies. To make the updates as accurate as possible, all these events should be registered in the residence permit database. This is possible only when there are a number of links between the authority responsible for the register and other authorities dealing with third-country nationals like population register, health insurance register, asylum register, civil register, work permit, etc. Moreover, these links should be maintained on a systematic basis with an appropriate transfer method (Comparative Table 7). 3.1 Asylum seekers, recognised refugees and other people with protected status The main question is whether asylum seekers, recognised refugees and other people with protected status are integrated in the residence permit 139 T H E S I M databases like other applicants for residence permits. Asylum seekers are in an uncertain position due to their very precarious tenure, notwithstanding their fundamental right of protection. Practically, they may be considered as part of the legal population if a provisional residence permit (or a receipt for a residence permit application) is granted during the course of the asylum procedure. Such documents, if they exist, could be recorded in the database and included as another immigration status. Recognised refugees have a clearer situation from the legal point of view and have to be considered as part of the legal foreign population. However the decision is frequently taken by an authority distinct from that recording information on residence permits, and so refugees may be omitted from the residence permit database. In nearly all cases, recognised refugees are supposed to be included in the residence permit database. However Greece, Hungary and Austria do not record refugees in this system because asylum matters are governed by specific laws and/or a specific ministry. The situation is more nuanced for asylum seekers. Foreigners whose asylum application is under consideration are not necessarily included in the residence permit database because, unlike refugees, they do not always have an authorisation to stay. As a consequence, asylum seekers are recorded in a separate database in only fourteen countries but not in the residence permit database or aliens register. In the remaining countries, asylum seekers are included in the residence permit database (and sometimes also in a specific register for asylum seekers, thus creating the possibility of double registration). 3.2 Minors The legal right of minors to stay in the host country can be proved by various administrative documents. The EU Regulation mentions only residence permits as personal documents. In seventeen EU MS minors have their own residence permits. However, in some others, (especially in Southern Europe), young people do not receive personal documents of stay and fall under the competence of specific agencies. Therefore, minors will not be recorded individually in the residence permit database. However, children may have their own files without having a residence permit (as in Belgium) but their presence may simply be recorded on the residence permit of one or both parents. In this case, the number of minors and some details on their characteristics may be retrieved from the database through the files of their parents. Accordingly other sources of data should be explored, such as positive decisions on family reunification and the registration of students. 140 Chapter 4: Registration of Permit of Stay 3.3 Updating the residence permit database There may be a need to update the database for a number of reasons: when the permit holder leaves the country before the expiry of the residence permit, or when a long term residence permit holder leaves the country for a long period and may lose the authorisation to return to the country; when the residence permit expires and the foreigner has already left the country without declaring this, or is still living in the country illegally; when the residence permit holder acquires the citizenship of the country or has another change of status (e.g. marriage); when the individual dies. In most of the EU MS, foreigners are registered in a population registration system covering both citizens and foreigners, generally on condition of having a residence permit. However, this registration is made by self-declaration and is not linked to any information on the type or duration of the residence permit. In particular, the expiry date of the permit is recorded in the population registration system in only five countries (Comparative Table 7). In some countries the foreigner is deactivated in the database when the residence permit expires and the data is archived. This information is often transferred to the population register. In countries where this deregistration from the population register is generally not an automatic consequence of the expiry of the residence permit, it depends on individual self-declarations. Accordingly the only way to know if foreigners left while their permit was still valid, is to get this information from the population registration system. Such transfer of data is useful to improve the quality of data. 3.4 Updating the residence permit database with the acquisition of citizenship and death It should be easy to transfer data on the acquisition of national citizenship and death to residence permit databases because these events are continually registered. Acquisitions of national citizenship are known to the authorities responsible for registration of foreigners that should facilitate their recording in the residence permit database. This is particularly true because citizenship is granted only to foreigners having legal residence in the country. In the same way, deaths are easily picked up because of exhaustive recording by the civil registration system. There is however a recurrent problem with deaths which occur in other countries, the details of 141 T H E S I M which are transferred only with difficulty by consulates abroad. Despite of this, it seems that acquisitions of national citizenship and death are well recorded by all residence permit databases. Conclusion In most EU MS the residence permit database is included in the aliens register which records more information than only the issuing of residence permits and covers all foreigners, whether they have a valid residence permit or not. A PIN is used in the residence permit database in almost all EU MS, allowing (re)identify a given individual. As far as types of permits are concerned, the situation varies largely between the 25 EU MS and the long-term resident status should be the first step of a EU harmonisation in this field. The coverage of residence permit holders is complete in the databases of most countries. Although asylum seekers are not usually recorded, other specific categories of migrant like refugees and children under eighteen, are missing in residence permit database in few countries. Transfer of information between the population register and the residence permit database occurs only in some countries either by using PIN or based on self-declared arrivals and departures. Only this transfer would increase the quality of the data in both databases. Finally, it should be understood that although the number of permits issued is not a direct measure of migration, it can serve for characterising international migration. 142 Chapter 4: Registration of Permit of Stay Comparative Table 4. Aliens registers and residence permit databases1 Type of registration of aliens Name of the residence permit database BE Fully integrated Aliens register Base de données de l’Office des Etrangers CZ Aliens register Cizinecký informační systém (CIS) DK Aliens register Udlændingeregistret DE Aliens register Ausländerzentral register (AZR) EE Residence Permit Database Elamis- ja töölubade register EL Residence Permit Database Mitroou Allodapon3 ES Residence Permit Database Registro de Extranjeros Residentes (ADEXTRA) Application de Gestion des Dossiers de Ressortissants Etrangers en France (AGDREF) Computerised registration system on all non-EEA citizens5 FR Residence Permit Database IE Residence Permit Database4 IT Residence Permit Database Archivio dei permessi di soggiorno CY Residence Permit Database Archeio Allodapon LV Fully integrated Aliens Register Latvijas Republikas Iedzivotaju Registrs LT Fully integrated Aliens Register Gyventojų Registras LU Residence Permit Database Ministère de la Justice – Nouveaux Dossiers (MJND) 143 English translation Immigration Office database (linked to the RN) Aliens Information System Danish Aliens Register Central Aliens Register State register of residence and work permits File for thirdcountry nationals Register for foreign residents Management file of records of nonNationals PIN used for registration2 Universal PIN Universal PIN Specific PIN Specific PIN Universal PIN Specific PIN for each database Specific PIN Specific PIN Universal PIN Register of permits to stay Register of foreigners Population Register of the Republic of Latvia Residents’ Register Ministry of Justice – New Files No PIN Specific PIN Universal PIN Universal PIN Universal PIN T H E S I M Type of registration of aliens Name of the residence permit database English translation PIN used for registration2 Központi Idegenrendészeti Nyilvántartás Database of permanent residence and work permits Database of temporary residence permits Basisvoorziening Vreemdelingen (BVV) Central Aliens Register Specific PIN HU Aliens register MT Residence Permit Database NL Aliens register AT Aliens register Zentrale Fremdeninformationsdatei (ZFI) PL Aliens register System POBYT PT Residence Permit Database Sistema Integrado de Informação do SEF (Serviço de Estrangeiros e Fronteiras) SI Fully integrated Aliens Register 6 Register tujcev SK Aliens register Evidencia Cudzincov (ECU) FI Aliens register Ulkomaalaisrekisteri SE Aliens register Centrala Utlänningsdatabasen UK Residence Permit Database Case Information Database (CID) Specific PIN Basic Facility for Aliens Central Aliens Information File Residence System Aliens and Border Service Integrated Information System Aliens Register Central Register of Aliens with residence permit Aliens Register Central Aliens Database Universal PIN Specific PIN Specific PIN Specific PIN for each database Universal PIN Universal PIN Specific PIN Specific PIN No PIN The Aliens register is a centralised register recording basic identification information about all foreigners living in the country while the residence permit database is a document database only, related to the issue of residence permits. All Aliens registers include a residence permit database. 2 Universal PIN means that the same PIN is used both in the Population Register and in the Aliens Register. 3 In addition, there exist a file for special identity cards issued to ethnic Greeks with foreign citizenship and a file for residence permits issued to EU citizens. 4 This is almost an Aliens Register. 5 EEA citizens are registered in a specific residence permit register but this is not compulsory. 6 Since 2005 this Aliens Register is included in the Central Population Register. 1 144 Chapter 4: Registration of Permit of Stay Comparative Table 5. Authorisation to stay more than three months for non-EEA citizens Long-term visa or other immigration status1 Duration of Condition of validity extension Temporary residence permit2 Long-term or permanent residence permit3 Duration of stay required Validity of Validity of to be eligible long-term the first for long- term residence permit permit residence permit 5 years 5 years For family reunification CZ Renewable; After 1 year convertible to Up to 1 year Up to 1 year4 a temporary residence permit 10 years Permanent5 For family reunification of nationals DK Up to 2 years 7 years Permanent No DE Depends on the grounds Depends on the grounds Permanent For high skilled migrants EE6 3 years within last 5 years Between 1 with Permanent temporary and 5 years residence permit BE Usually 1 year Could it be a first stay permit? No EL Between 6 months and 2 years 10 years Permanent For spouses of a citizens and ethnic Greeks ES 1 year 5 years 5 years For family reunification FR Up to 1 year 5 years (or 2 years for family purposes) 10 years For spouses of citizens married since 2 years IE Up to 1 year 5 years Permanent No IT Up to 2 years 6 years Permanent For family reunification Between 1 and 4 years Temporary permit not required for long term permit Permanent Yes CY 145 T H E S I M Long-term visa or other immigration status1 Duration of Condition of validity extension Temporary residence permit2 Long-term or permanent residence permit3 Duration of stay required Validity of Validity of to be eligible long-term the first for long- term residence permit permit residence permit Could it be a first stay permit? LV6 Usually 1 year 10 years Permanent For ethnic Latvians, family reunification and former non-citizens7 LT6 Up to 1 year 5 years Permanent For ethnic Lithuanians LU Up to 1 year 3 years 5 years No Permanent5 No Permanent Yes 5 years No HU MT NL AT PL PT Convertible in temporary 3 years since residence Up to 2 years the date of Up to 1 year4 permit during entry the validity of the visa Temporary Between 3 permit not months and 3 required to years obtain longterm permit 1 year Between 3 and 5 years Renewable but not 5 years of Between 3 convertible to Usually up to temporary Permanent No and 6 months temporary 1 year residence permit residence permit 5 years ( in Convertible to For family specific cases a temporary Permanent5 reunification Up to 2 years Up to 1 year between 2 residence of repatriates8 and 10 years) permit Renewable during 3 or 5 Between 5 and 8 years of years, then temporary 5 years No Up to 1 year convertible to 2 years residence a temporary permit residence permit9 146 Chapter 4: Registration of Permit of Stay Long-term visa or other immigration status1 Duration of Condition of validity extension SI SK Temporary residence permit2 Long-term or permanent residence permit3 Duration of stay required Validity of Validity of to be eligible long-term the first for long- term residence permit permit residence permit 8 years (or Permanent5 less in specific cases) 13 years (or Up to 1 year less in specific Permanent5 cases) Up to 1 year Could it be a first stay permit? No No FI Usually 1 year 2 years Permanent No SE Up to 1 year Between 2 years and 7 years Permanent For family reunification UK Between 6 Convertible in temporary months and Depends on residence 10 years the grounds depending on permit at the first renewal grounds Between 2 and 4 years Permanent For returnees or family reunification 1 Long-term visa and other immigration status refer to all kind of titles allowing the stay for more than 3 months that are not residence permits. 2 Temporary residence permits are generally the first permits granted (except for countries issuing longterm visas) and these are issued within the country (except in Denmark, Estonia, Slovenia, Slovak Republic and, to a certain extent, in Finland). 3 Long-term residence permits are those with infinite duration of validity (i.e. permanent) or those, the validity of which is at least 5 years, and are automatically renewable. 4 These visas are issued abroad but must be registered after arrival in the country. 5 In addition to this residence permit, foreigner receives an ID card the validity of which is 10 years. 6 In Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania a certain part of permanent residents since before the independence and their children are citizens neither of their country of residence nor of any other country. They are considered as non-citizens of this country and may receive a special aliens passport for identification and travel purpose. These persons need a residence permit like other non EEA citizens in Estonia and Lithuania while, in Latvia, these persons do not need such a residence permit. 7 When receiving the citizenship of another country, Latvian non-citizens loose their former status but have the right to be granted a permanent residence permit as the first permit to stay. 8 A repatriate is a foreigner recognised as a person of Polish descent who, before the date of entry into force of the Act on Repatriation, had been living permanently in the East and has come to Poland based on an entry visa for repatriation. At the moment of crossing the Polish border, he/she acquires Polish citizenship and the members of his/her closest family are granted long-term residence permit. 9 Except study visa that are not convertible in temporary residence permit. 147 T H E S I M Comparative Table 6. Specific groups of non-EEA citizens included in the residence permit database BE Asylum seekers with pending request Refugees and other persons with protection status Accompanying minors N1 Y Y CZ N Y Y DK N Y N DE Y Y Y EE N Y EL N N ES Y Y FR Y Y IE N Y IT Y Y Groups of non-EEA citizens not included Ethnic Germans2 and some workers Y No, but mentioned Ethnic Greeks3 on their parents' file Yes, but sometimes only mentioned on their parents' file No, but mentioned on their parents' file No, but mentioned Female spouses or on their parents' file widows of citizens2 No, but mentioned on their parents' file Y Ethnic Cypriots CY Y Y LV N Y LT N Y Y LU N Y Y HU N N Y MT N Y Y Y NL Y Y Y AT N N Y PL Y Y Y PT Y Y Y SI N Y Y SK N Y Y FI Y Y Y SE Y Y Y UK N Y No, but mentioned on their parents' file Foreign dependant of a Maltese citizen2 People with longterm visas3 People with longterm visas3 People with longterm visas3 Asylum seekers are in the Waiting Register which is a subset of the RN. These persons do not need a residence permit. 3 These persons with long-term visas issued by consulates do not need a residence permit but they are included in a specific database. 1 2 148 Chapter 4: Registration of Permit of Stay Comparative Table 7. Transfer of information between the residence permit database and the population registers1. From population registers to residence permit database PIN used in the Self declared population emigration register From residence permit database to population registers Acquiring the citizenship of the country Death Validity of the residence permit CZ Y Y2 Y Y Y DK Y Y Y Y N DE N Y Y Y N EE Y N N N Y ES N N N Y N IT N N Y Y N LU N N N N N HU Y Y3 Y Y Y NL Y Y Y Y Y AT N Y Y Y N PL N N Y N N SK Y Y3 Y Y Y FI N N Y Y N SE Y Y Y Y N Here are considered countries with population registers but only when the residence permit database is not integrated in a more general population registration system (as in Belgium, Latvia, Lithuania and Slovenia). 2 Only departures for permanent residence abroad must be declared to the Population Register and information is thereafter transferred to the Aliens Register. 3 Only information about permanent permit holders is transmitted. 1 149 Chapter 5 Registration of the Asylum Seekers Rob van der Erf, Liesbeth Heering and Ernst Spaan Introduction Since the 1980s, the European Union has been confronted with a new type of international migration: asylum-seeking. As a consequence, EU MS have legislated for asylum procedures and have taken steps to register or record asylum flows. Despite the wide acceptance of the 1951 Geneva Convention on the Status of Refugees and the 1967 New York Protocol1, national legislation, procedures and registration of the asylum process have resulted in clear differences between the EU MS. At the EU level this situation has increasingly been judged as undesirable. Therefore, various attempts have been made to intensify international cooperation in the field of asylum policy. The Union’s mandate to act on the asylum issue stems from the 1997 Amsterdam Treaty which came into force in 1999. However, so far, the European Commission has not achieved many of the goals set out in the Treaty. EU MS have been reluctant to make significant changes to their national laws and have managed to agree on relatively low minimum standards (Niessen, 2004). This means that there is still a long way to go before asylum policies in the European Union are truly harmonised. This chapter aims to provide a broad outline of the current situation as regards asylum procedures in the 25 EU MS in relation to asylum statistics. For details of the procedures in each country, the reader is referred to the country reports annexed to this volume. In order to better understand the similarities and differences, a recommended typology of concepts and definitions is presented first. 1 The 1967 New York protocol extended the Convention to refugees outside Europe and eliminated the time constraints. T H E S I M 1. Typology of concepts and definitions The process followed by an asylum application starts with lodging the first application and ends with either the issue of a permanent residence permit or the return of the asylum seeker. This process is broader than the solely judicial asylum procedure because other procedures may be involved as well (e.g. relating to expulsion of rejected asylum seekers, and to nonasylum decisions, such as family reunion). The typology and concepts described here are, therefore, not restricted solely to legal terminology. The asylum process has a complex structure that varies widely between the EU MS. This implies that for the purposes of this exercise, a general model should disregard the country-specific differences in handling asylum applications. As a result, such a model can only be a very simplified and rough picture of the asylum process. Nevertheless, a general model may be a useful instrument to name and define the different steps in the asylum process. In Figure 1 a general model of the asylum process is presented2. The model starts with the ‘asylum application’, referring to all applications for protection on an individual basis, irrespective of whether the applicant lodged his or her application at a border or from inside the country, and irrespective of whether the applicant entered the territory legally (e.g. as a tourist) or illegally. Figure 1. General model of the asylum process Temporary protection Asylum application Positive decision Protection Negative decision Other Rejected Other Appeal Permanent 2 Temporary Departed Unknown Repeat The concepts and definitions that are described derive from European Commission, 2003. 152 Chapter 5. Registration of the Asylum Seekers In deciding when to regard an asylum application as having been lodged, the principles expressed in Article 2 of Decision 1/97 of the Dublin Convention should be applied, i.e. “An application for asylum is regarded as having been lodged from the moment the authorities of the EU MS concerned have something in writing to that effect: either a form submitted by the applicant or an official statement drawn up by the authorities. In the event of a non-written application, the period between the statement of intent and the drawing up of the official statement must be as short as possible”. In the ideal model, each application should refer to only one person, thus eliminating the difference between applications and applicants. However, in reality, in some countries applications are linked to principal applicants and may therefore include several people (i.e. the principal applicant and his or her family members). The legislative background of asylum applications is provided by the Geneva Convention, the United Nations Convention Against Torture and Other Forms of Cruel or Inhuman Treatment (UNCAT), the European Convention on Human Rights, or other relevant instruments of protection, according to national criteria for asylum applications. In the European Union, various directives and regulations have been set out in the field of international protection, e.g. the ‘Amended proposal for a Council Directive on minimum standards on procedure in EU MS for granting and with drawing refugee status’, 29th April 2004 (COM(2002) 326 final/2)3; the proposed Council Regulation 2004/83/EC of 29th April 2004 ‘on minimum standards for the qualification of third-country nationals or stateless persons as refugees or as persons who otherwise need international protection and the content of the protection granted’4; the Council Regulation (EC) No 343/2003 of 18th February 2003 “establishing the criteria and mechanisms for determining the EU MS responsible for examining an asylum application lodged in one of the EU MS by a third-country national” (also known as Dublin II, already in force and applied by all EU MS, except Denmark; see also hereafter)5. Asylum applications can be either first (new) applications or repeat applications. Repeat applications have to be linked to the original 3 Council of the European Council, Inter-Institutional File: 2000/0238 (CNS), Brussels 30th April 2004. 4 Official Journal of the European Union, 30.9.2004. 5 Official Journal of the European Union, 25.2.2003. 153 T H E S I M application and should not be considered as new (first) applications (see below). ‘Temporary protection’ means an arrangement offering protection of a temporary nature to people requesting international protection in the event of a mass flight. The definition of temporary protection is based on the definition agreed by the Commission for joint action for temporary protection. People who get temporary protection are not counted as asylum seekers. However, they may request asylum later. All countries have some kind of ‘normal’ or ‘standard’ procedure in order to determine whether an asylum request will be granted or not. However, most countries start with some kind of preliminary procedure to assess which requests are eligible for the normal procedure6. This preliminary procedure may be an admissibility procedure and/or an accelerated procedure. Most often, the criteria used in these procedures to refuse or reject asylum claims are related to: the concept of ‘manifestly unfounded’ requests, i.e. when it is obvious that the applicant has no valid grounds for seeking asylum. This includes, for example, fraudulent applications and applications from people who might pose a serious threat to public order; the Dublin Convention (known since 2003 as Dublin II) determining the EU MS responsible for examining the asylum application. This regulation introduced some changes to the original convention. For example, a EU MS’s responsibility for an asylum-seeker who entered EU territory illegally is now restricted to twelve months. Beyond that period, if it is impossible to determine through which EU MS the asylum seeker entered the EU, responsibility switches to the EU MS where the person has stayed illegally for over five months. Responsibility for examining an asylum application is attributed to a EU MS on the basis of a series of criteria. In order of priority, responsibility is attributed to (1) the EU MS where a member of the family of the asylum seeker is already settled as a refugee; (2) the EU MS which granted a stay permit to the asylum seeker; and (3) the EU MS which granted a visa to the asylum seeker. The EU MS to which such responsibility has been attributed must let the asylum seeker enter its territory. It must process his or her application and if necessary let the individual return if he or she has gone to another EU MS without permission. For this purpose, the EU has created a 6 In order not to further complicate the model this distinction has been left out of Figure 1. 154 Chapter 5. Registration of the Asylum Seekers database called EURODAC to hold the finger prints of asylum seekers (European Commission, 2002); the concept of ‘safe third country’, when an applicant comes from a non-EU country that is considered safe, where he or she could have asked for asylum; the concept of safe ‘country of origin’, when the applicant is a citizen and/or inhabitant of a country that is considered to be safe. Claims that are refused in the preliminary procedure must be included in the number of applications and number of (negative) decisions. Because of its special nature, the ‘Dublin reason’ for refusal should be separated from the other reasons for refusal. In the ‘normal’ asylum procedure a ‘positive decision’ may be taken on protection grounds or on other grounds. In most countries two categories of ‘positive decisions’ on protection grounds are distinguished: ‘Convention status granted’. This refers to decisions to grant refugee status within the meaning of Article 1 of the Geneva Convention relating to the Status of Refugees of 28 July 1951, as amended by the New York Protocol of 31st January 1967. ‘Humanitarian status granted’ and all other types of subsidiary protection equivalent to asylum. This refers only to asylum applicants who have been granted some form of protection on grounds other than those laid down in the 1951 Geneva Convention. It includes people who have been granted protection under Article 3 of the ‘European Convention on Human Rights’ or Article 3 of the ‘United Nations Convention Against Torture’, as well as those granted protection on other humanitarian grounds. The rules on complementary forms of protection differ between EU MS but usually a favourable decision will result in a permit to reside in the EU MS in question. The category ‘positive decisions on other grounds’ in this ideal model, includes all ‘statuses’ granted on non-protection grounds. Examples are family reunion and family formation. Also included is permission to stay/reside within the territory of a EU MS because the country of origin refuses to take back the rejected asylum seeker. However, in reality, several countries classify these cases as negative decisions. ‘Negative decisions’ can be subdivided into two categories: ‘Rejected’: The rejected category should cover all decisions rejecting applications in which no status is granted. It is intended to cover what might be described as outright refusals. Decisions to refuse an applicant refugee status but to grant some other form of protection 155 T H E S I M or permission to stay should be recorded in the ‘humanitarian status’ or ‘other’ categories. ‘Other non-status decisions’: This refers to those decisions which are defined neither as ‘rejections’ nor as ‘positive’ decisions. Examples include, in some EU MS, withdrawal of applications, write-offs, abandonment of cases, and any discontinuation of a claim that is not included under positive decisions or rejected applications. The category includes formal decisions as well as non-decisions (e.g., in some states a withdrawal terminates a case, but is not counted as a decision). A positive decision does not mean, by definition, a permanent residence permit. Such a decision may result in a temporary residence permit that has to be renewed one or more times before it becomes permanent. However, if the situation in the country of origin has changed drastically (for the good) in the meantime, the temporary residence permit can be withdrawn. This means that an a priori positive decision may be changed into an a posteriori negative decision. Depending on the legislative possibilities in a specific host country, an applicant with a negative asylum decision may lodge an appeal with a dedicated appeal body, ministry and/or court. This will lead to second, third, etc. instance positive or negative decisions. Especially in the case of repeat appeals it is often not possible to await the decision in the host country. If an asylum decision is negative (rejected or other) and no (further) appeal is lodged, the follow-up can either be departed, repeat or unknown. Three modes of departure are distinguished by the European Union Centre for Information, Discussion and Exchange on the Crossing of Frontiers and Immigration (CIREFI; see European Commission, 2003): implemented departures (return is effected to the country of origin or a third, non-EU, country); escorted departures (the returnee is escorted to another country); supervised departures (the returnee’s departure is checked before he or she leaves the territory, usually at the border). A special mode of departure, i.e. transfer to another EU MS under the Dublin Convention, should be considered separately from the preceding three. If this is allowed in the country’s specific legislation, there is a possibility for rejected applicants to submit a repeat application. Generally, this option is valid only when, during the asylum process, the situation in the country of origin has worsened to a degree that allows the application to be renewed. 156 Chapter 5. Registration of the Asylum Seekers Repeat applications must be linked to the original application, and should not be seen as new (first) applications. The category ‘unknown’ is used for rejected applicants without either an address (disappeared) or confirmation of departure. In principle, this should be a temporary status; ultimately it has to be clear what happened to the applicant: he or she either returned, lodged an appeal, or submitted a repeat application. The asylum process is considered to be definitively closed when either a permanent residence permit has been granted or the asylum applicant has definitely left the country. 2. Registration of asylum procedures 2.1 Responsible authorities Comparative Table 8 shows that there is great variation between EU MS in the type of authorities that deals with asylum matters. Apart from Greece (Ministry of Public Order) and Luxembourg (Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Immigration), all EU MS have established special bodies for, among other things, processing and registering requests for asylum. The Commissioner General for Refugees and Stateless Persons in Belgium and the Migration Board in Sweden are the only authorities that are not directly responsible to a ministry. Most other special bodies are under the responsibility of the Ministry of the Interior (or ministries with more or less the same function, such as Internal Affairs in Luxembourg and the Home Office in the United Kingdom). Exceptions are Denmark (Ministry of Refugee, Immigration and Integration Affairs), France (Ministry of Foreign Affairs), Ireland (Ministry of Justice, Equality and Law Reform), Malta (Ministry for Justice and Home Affairs), the Netherlands (Ministry of Justice) and Portugal (Ministry of Internal Administration). Generally, the authorities dealing with asylum matters have a great deal of independence. With regard to responsibilities, in ten countries (Belgium, Spain, France, Ireland, Italy, Cyprus, Latvia, Malta, Austria and Slovenia) the authority in charge of asylum and refugees focuses specifically on this area. In the remaining countries the responsibilities are broader and also include, for example, migration and citizenship. 157 T H E S I M 2.2 Database Comparative Table 8 shows that most EU MS store the information on asylum applicants and asylum decisions in a dedicated database. The remaining seven countries (Denmark, Germany, Cyprus, Netherlands, Poland, Finland and Sweden) make use of a more extensive database, which also includes information on, for example, the legal international migrants. A common shortcoming of asylum databases is that they contain only the information for which the authority is itself responsible. This implies that decisions outside the scope of the asylum authority, in particular appeal and non-status decisions, might not be included. In order to be able to give a comprehensive picture of the asylum process, it is recommended that this kind of information be integrated into the database. 2.3 Procedures Comparative Table 9 summarises the main characteristics of the asylum procedures in the 25 EU MS. Preliminary and normal procedures The criteria used in the preliminary procedures to refuse or reject asylum claims are usually related to the concept of ‘manifestly unfounded’ requests; the ‘Dublin II Regulation’; the concept of ‘safe third country’; the concept of safe ‘country of origin’. In thirteen EU MS the preliminary procedure appears to consist only of an accelerated procedure; in three countries it is only an admissibility procedure; and in the remaining seven countries it is a mix of these procedures. In the first and second group all of the above-mentioned criteria are generally applied to determine whether a request is eligible for processing in the normal procedure. For the countries with both an admissibility and an accelerated procedure, the criteria depend on the kind of procedure. In Luxembourg and the United Kingdom the admissibility decision focuses on ‘Dublin II’ and the accelerated procedure on the other criteria. Germany applies the admissibility procedure to border applicants only and tests for ‘safe third country’ or ‘safe country of origin’, whereas the accelerated procedure is applied to all applicants using all the criteria. For admissibility, the situation is almost identical in France and Italy, the only difference being that France and Italy apply the ‘manifestly unfounded’ test 158 Chapter 5. Registration of the Asylum Seekers to border applicants, whereas Germany does not. The accelerated procedure covers all the criteria in France, but is limited to ‘Dublin II’ in Italy. Finally, Denmark and Slovenia use the ‘safe third country’ and ‘Dublin II’ criteria in their admissibility procedures, and apply an accelerated procedure to ‘manifestly unfounded’ claims7. During the asylum procedure, asylum seekers do not generally receive a (temporary) residence permit, but are given some other document that allows them to stay in the host country. Positive and negative decisions All but two EU MS are able to grant genuine Geneva Convention status explicitly. The two exceptions are Germany and the Netherlands, which recently decided to limit the number of statuses to one, i.e. a temporary residence that has to be renewed annually with the possibility of obtaining a residence permit for an indefinite period after three (Germany) or five years (the Netherlands). This status implicitly includes Geneva Convention status. On the other hand, three countries have extended the Convention status: France and the Slovak Republic with a ‘constitutional asylum status’ and Spain with a ‘displaced status’8. In a considerable number of countries (Denmark, Estonia, Greece, Spain, France, Italy, Cyprus, Luxembourg, Poland and Finland), Convention status does not automatically qualify a person for a permanent residence permit. As in Germany and the Netherlands, these countries grant a renewable temporary residence permit that may be converted into a permanent residence permit after a fixed period. In some countries (e.g. France) this conversion takes place automatically, while in others (e.g. Netherlands) the temporary residence permit may be withdrawn if circumstances in the country of origin have obviously improved within its period of validity. For applicants who are considered not to meet the Convention criteria, there are alternative ways of staying in EU MS, although often with fewer rights and for a limited period of time only. The umbrella term ‘subsidiary protection’ is given to alternative permission to remain, when it is seen as a positive result of the asylum procedure. If the alternative right to remain is seen as a negative result of the asylum procedure, the additional phrase ‘without order to leave’ is used in Comparative Table 9. In practice, the distinction between ‘subsidiary protection’ and ‘without order to leave’ is 7 It is assumed that all new EU MS have already included or will soon include the ‘Dublin II’ criterion in their asylum procedures. 8 For more details see the country reports. 159 T H E S I M not always clear. Both concepts may include various protection (when it would be irresponsible to send the applicant back to his or her home country, e.g. according to the non-refoulement principle laid down in the Geneva Convention) and humanitarian (e.g. family ties, grave illness, etc.) grounds. Probably due to this vague distinction, several countries offer only one of the two possible alternatives. Only subsidiary protection is offered by eleven countries (Belgium, Estonia, Greece, Spain, France, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Portugal, Finland and Sweden), while seven countries (Czech Republic, Ireland, Italy, Cyprus, Hungary, Austria, and Poland) only offer the ‘without order to leave’ protection. However both statuses are possible in seven countries (Denmark, Luxembourg, Slovenia, Slovak Republic and the United Kingdom, as well as Germany and the Netherlands). The last two countries are included here because subsidiary protection is supposed to be part of the one and only positive status. The difference between subsidiary protection status and without order to leave status is assumed to be small for the (eighteen) countries that offer just one of these possible statuses. However, for the remaining (seven) countries subsidiary protection is thought to imply a much better position, in terms of rights and possible prolongation of the residence permit. The impact of the distinction on the international comparison of recognition rates is considerable, since ‘subsidiary protection’ is counted as a positive result of the asylum procedure and ‘without order to leave’ as a negative one. This means that the recognition rate of countries offering only the former status is systematically higher than that of countries offering only the latter status. As a consequence, the Austrian recognition rate should not be unthinkingly compared with, for example, the Belgian one. Quite apart from all the other pitfalls linked to the calculation of recognition rates (e.g. double counting resulting from appeal procedures), the international comparison of these rates is a difficult job that requires expert knowledge of the field. Appeal possibilities Finally, a few remarks about the possibility of appealing. The last column in Comparative Table 9 shows that in all but two countries it is possible to appeal against a negative decision in both the preliminary and normal procedure. Beneath this apparent similarity, however, there is a huge variation between. There are differences with respect to the number of different authorities involved, the kind of appeal body, the period in which an appeal can be lodged, the period in which the competent authority has to decide, and the presence or absence of the right to await the appeal decision 160 Chapter 5. Registration of the Asylum Seekers in the host country. Given this wide variety, it is beyond the scope of this chapter to discuss the similarities and differences in detail. Only some general observations will be made here. The number of successive appeal bodies varies from none (applicants refused in the preliminary procedure in Denmark) to three (for example, in the United Kingdom) with: the Immigration Appeal Adjudicator; the Immigration Appeals Tribunal; the High Court). The first appeal authority may be: the first-instance decision maker; a dedicated appeal body; a general appeal body, i.e. some kind of court. Generally, applicants in both the preliminary procedure and the normal procedure are entitled to await the decision of the first appeal in the host country, although sometimes permission has to be granted explicitly (e.g. in Spain). Evidently, appeal decisions relating to the preliminary procedure are taken much faster than those relating to the normal procedure. With a few exceptions, the subsequent appeal authorities are some kind of general court (e.g. regional court, district court, High Court, Council of State). Appeals to the High Court and Council of State (judicial review) only determine the legality of the procedure followed. Applicants awaiting a subsequent appeal decision are not normally automatically entitled to stay in the host country. The appeal procedure in Denmark is significantly different from that in all other EU MS, in the sense that all negative first-instance decisions in the normal procedure are automatically transferred to the Refugee Appeals Board. The second-instance decisions of this board are final. Conclusion Reviewing the current state of affairs with regard to the asylum process in the 25 EU MS it can be stated that, while there are harmonising trends, there is still a long way to go before national asylum practices are fully harmonised at EU level. Harmonising trends Harmonisation of the asylum process has been substantially promoted by measures taken by the EU. By the end of 2003, a large part of the 161 T H E S I M Community measures called for in the Amsterdam Treaty had been adopted (see Chapter 1 for further details): the criteria and mechanisms for determining which EU MS is responsible for considering an application for asylum; minimum standards on the reception of asylum seekers in the EU MS; minimum standards with respect to the qualification of nationals of non-member countries as refugees and the criteria for awarding refugee and subsidiary protection status; minimum standards on procedures in EU MS for granting or withdrawing refugee status; minimum standards for giving temporary protection; promoting a balance of efforts between EU MS in receiving and bearing the consequences of receiving refugees and displaced persons. Partly due to measures such as these, countries have made serious efforts to regulate their asylum procedures through specific asylum laws or parts of more general laws (e.g. alien laws). Within this framework more or less dedicated bodies have been appointed to deal with the reception of asylum seekers and decision-making issues. The same is true for the registration of asylum applications and asylum decisions in specific or more general databases. Almost all countries now have some kind of preliminary procedure (preceding the normal asylum procedure) to examine whether a request is eligible for processing. Within this preliminary procedure the same criteria are generally used to refuse a request, i.e. ‘manifestly unfounded’, ‘safe third country’, ‘safe country of origin’ and ‘Dublin II’. Apart from Germany and the Netherlands, all countries can grant genuine Geneva Convention status explicitly. In addition to Convention status, all countries can offer asylum applicants alternative statuses which allow them to remain in the country on a temporary basis. Refused or rejected applicants are able to appeal against the negative decision in practically all countries. Sometimes, several levels of appeal are possible. Still a long way to go Although more or less the same criteria are being used to refuse or reject an asylum request, the meaning and structure of the preliminary asylum procedure differ a great deal between EU MS. The distinction made in this chapter between the admissibility procedure and the accelerated procedure 162 Chapter 5. Registration of the Asylum Seekers may easily lead to misunderstandings in the sense that lodging an application may be the starting point of the asylum process in one country, whereas processing the application is the starting point in another country. Better coordination of the preliminary procedures is necessary, taking into account all asylum requests (i.e. covering everybody who applies for protection, irrespective of whether the application is lodged at the border or inside the country, and irrespective of whether the country was entered legally (e.g. as a tourist) or illegally). Moreover, repeat applications should be linked to initial applications instead of being treated as new applications. From a socio-demographic point of view the description of the asylum process should refer to applicants instead of applications. Hence, a family asking for asylum should be seen as several applicants (i.e. the principal applicant and accompanying partner and/or minor children). It is debatable, however, how births and reunified family members should be dealt with. In order to limit the asylum process to the original applicants, it might be better not to include them. In any case, there is a need for these topics to be addressed so that current differences between EU MS can be removed. A positive outcome to the asylum procedure is defined differently in different countries. Some consider Geneva Convention status the one and only positive status, while other countries also include forms of subsidiary protection. It is self-evident that misleading conclusions may be drawn when comparing countries with different definitions of a positive result. In order to improve the international comparability, it is recommended that a positive decision be defined as one that leads to any kind of residence permit. Because of the nature of residence permits, initial decisions will often be provisional. They become final at the moment that a permanent residence permit is granted. Appeal procedures against a negative asylum decision appear to exist in all shapes and sizes. However, some countries offer fewer appeal possibilities than others. In this respect more harmonisation is needed. With regard to other aspects of the appeal procedures, the right to await a decision in the host country should be given closer consideration. A common shortcoming of a database maintained by the body dealing with the asylum application is that it contains only the information that this body is responsible for. This means that relevant information outside the scope of the asylum authority might be missing, in particular appeal and non-status decisions. The same often holds true for information on the final outcome of the asylum process, i.e. the effected return. In order to be able to give a comprehensive picture of the asylum process, this ‘outside’ information must be integrated into the asylum database. 163 T H E S I M Comparative Table 8. Responsible authorities for the processing and registration of asylum requests with type of database1 Responsible authority Ministry Commissioner General for Refugees and Stateless Persons Department of Asylum and Migration Policies BE CZ DK 2 Interior Refugee, Immigration and Integration Affairs Interior Interior Danish Immigration Service DE Federal Office for Migration and Refugees EE Citizenship and Migration Board EL Ministry of Public Order ES Office for Asylum and Refuge French Office for the Protection of FR Refugees and Stateless Persons The Refugee Applications Commissioner IE IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT SI SK FI SE UK Central Commission for the Recognition of Refugee Status Migration Department Refugee Affairs Department of the Office of Citizenship and Migration Affairs Migration Department Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Immigration Immigration and Nationality Office Office of the Commissioner for Refugees Immigration and Naturalisation Service Federal Asylum Office Office for Repatriation and Aliens Asylum and Refugee Department Directorate for Migration, Sector for Asylum Migration Office Directorate of Immigration Migration Board Immigration and Nationality Directorate Database dedicated dedicated extended Interior extended dedicated dedicated dedicated Foreign Affairs dedicated Justice, Equality and Law Reform dedicated Interior dedicated Interior extended Interior dedicated Internal Affairs dedicated dedicated Interior Justice and Home Affairs Justice Interior Interior and Administration Internal Administration dedicated dedicated extended dedicated extended dedicated Interior dedicated Interior Interior dedicated extended extended dedicated 3 Home Office Where several authorities are involved, only the main one is mentioned. A dedicated database covers asylum issues only, whereas an extended database also includes other data, e.g. on legal international migrants. 2 The Commissioner General for Refugees and Stateless Persons reports directly to the central government. 3 The Swedish Migration Board is an independent body, but is related to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. 1 164 Chapter 5. Registration of the Asylum Seekers Comparative Table 9. The asylum procedure and possible outcomes Preliminary procedure1 BE Positive outcome Admissibility Convention Subsidiary Accelerated status protection4 x6 x CZ DK x DE x9 7 x6 x x x 8 x x x10 EE x6 EL x ES x6 x x x x FR 12 IE IT x CY x 12 6 x n x pn x pn x x pn x11 x pn 13 pn x 14 x x n x x x pn x pn 15 x 6 x6 x x LT x 6 x x x16 x x HU x6 x MT x x NL x6 x15 pn x LV LU pn x x6 6 Other3 Negative without order Appeal2 to leave5 6 pn pn x pn x pn x pn x17 x pn AT x 6 x x pn PL x6 x x pn PT x6 SI x x pn x x x pn x6 x13 x x pn FI x 6 x x SE x 14 x x x18 x x UK x15 x x SK 7 8 pn n x pn 1 The preliminary procedure precedes the normal procedure and may relate to an admissibility procedure and/or some kind of accelerated procedure. 2 Possibility of appealing against a negative outcome to the preliminary procedure (p) and/or the normal procedure (n). 3 Limited to asylum-related decisions. Positive non-asylum decisions (e.g. family reunion) are not included. 4 In a broad sense, including humanitarian grounds, protection status, etc. 5 The decision ‘negative outcome with order to leave’ exists in all countries. 165 T H E S I M 6 According to the ‘manifestly unfounded claim’, ‘safe country of origin’, ‘safe third country’, and ‘Dublin II’ criteria. In Spain, the ‘safe third country’ concept is usually applied only in association with other reasons. 7 According to ‘safe third country’ and ‘Dublin II’ criteria. 8 According to the ‘manifestly unfounded’ criterion. 9 To asylum applicants at the border, according to the ‘safe country of origin’ and ‘safe third country’ criteria. 10 Recognition on the basis of the Basic Law is more important than recognition under the Geneva Convention. Both types of refugees received a temporary residence permit for three years, including the right to work. 11 As well as Convention status, there is a ‘displaced’ status. 12 To asylum applicants at the border only, according to the ‘manifestly unfounded claim’, ‘safe country of origin’, and ‘safe third country’ criteria. 13 As well as Convention status there is a ‘constitutional asylum’ status. 14 In general all applications are treated on the same basis, but in certain conditions faster procedures are followed. 15 According to ‘Dublin II’. In Luxembourg and the United Kingdom there is no official admissibility procedure. 16 According to the ‘manifestly unfounded claim’, ‘safe country of origin’ and ‘safe third country’ criteria. 17 Only one status: temporary residence permit for five years, including the right to work. 18 So-called fast track procedures for unfounded claims, presumably according to the ‘manifestly unfounded claim’, ‘safe country of origin’ and ‘safe third country’ criteria. 166 Chapter 6 Registration of Acquisition of Citizenship Giambattista Cantisani and Valeria Greco Introduction This chapter focuses on the process of acquiring citizenship in EU MS. It aims to compare the procedures and existing recording systems in order to consider to what extent they allow comparable statistics on this topic to be produced. At first, we set out the basic definitions used in this chapter. Then we present a typology of the modes of acquiring citizenship and the corresponding procedures. This is followed by a comparative analysis which focuses on the main ways of acquiring citizenship in different countries, with reference to the necessary requirements and procedures and the process of registering cases. 1. Definitions 1.1 Citizenship and nationality Basically, citizenship is the status of being a citizen; nationality is the status or quality of being national, or strongly attached to a nation. Even if the two words are often synonymous nowadays (because of the predominance of the concept of ‘nation-state’) they should be distinguished. More precisely, citizenship is membership of a political community with its corresponding rights and duties (notably the right to political participation). Nationality is the quality of belonging to a nation in the sense of a group united by various strong ties (common customs, cultures, traditions, history and/or language). Since, in a legal context, nationality also refers to the attachment to a state by a tie of allegiance, the meanings of the words ‘citizens’ and ‘nationals’ are often identical. However, nationals belong to a nation state but they may not have all the rights linked with citizenship (voting for example). In fact specific categories of nationals are, or have been, excluded from certain T H E S I M rights in some countries: minors, mentally handicapped persons, members of some minorities and, until recently, women. However citizens have the right to participate fully in the political life of the state of which they are a citizen (Martiniello, 1999; Marshall and Bottomore, 1992). In Latvia, there is a special category of people (the non-citizens of Latvia), whose legal status is determined by a special law and who are considered neither as Latvian citizens nor as foreigners. The non-citizens of Latvia are people who have had a registered address in Latvia since before 1st July 1992, who do not hold Latvian citizenship because they do not fulfil the required criteria or do not wish to apply, who do not have citizenship of any other country and who have applied for Latvian non-citizen status. Noncitizens’ passports are issued to them. 1.2 Acquisition, naturalisation, attribution and transmission In this chapter, the concept of acquisition refers to the broad process allowing somebody who becomes a citizen of the concerned country, whatever the procedure. For the same reason, the widely used word ‘naturalisation’ refers here to the mode of acquisition of citizenship after birth that requires an application and a decision of the state. The word ‘attribution’ refers to methods of acquisition of citizenship that do not require an application. The word ‘transmission’ will be limited to people obtaining citizenship by descent from a citizen. 2. Principles for acquiring citizenship There are two main grounds for the acquisition of citizenship, ius soli and ius sanguinis. Ius soli refers to acquisition due to place of birth, i.e. being born within the current or past territory of the country in question. Ius sanguinis refers to the bloodline, i.e. having a parent or other ancestor who is a citizen of the country. In a closed population where everybody lived in their own country, ius sanguinis or ius soli would be identical, as the same people would be concerned and both would have the same judicial effect. It is difficult to find countries where only one of these two principles is (or indeed was) exclusively adopted, because most countries mix ius sanguinis and ius soli. Starting from these two principles, ius soli has been somewhat extended to cover situations where a person has resided for a number of years within the national borders and has created a significant tie with the country regardless of his or her country of birth. On the other hand, ius sanguinis has been extended both vertically (to direct descendants, adopted or acknowledged 168 Chapter 6: Registration of Acquisition of Citizenship children, and to common origin or ethnic affiliation) and horizontally (to foreign spouses of citizens) (Weil, 2001). Laws on the acquisition, as well as the retention or loss, of citizenship have long been considered a sovereign prerogative of states. However, as the concept of citizenship extends beyond national boundaries, the legal definition has progressively moved towards a harmonisation of national rules under the international umbrella and with the adoption of multilateral treaties. The right to citizenship has gradually been recognised as a human right, and not merely as a positive formulation of the duty of states to avoid statelessness. Citizenship laws have recently been significantly adapted in almost all twenty-five states of the EU. In the 15 EU MS, this evolution has been largely due to a concern over the integration of long-term migrants; in the ten ‘new’ states the changes have been due to the nation-building process as they emerge from their old regimes with limited jurisprudence. In general, these evolutionary processes in EU MS have not yet been completed and are continually changing. For example, a referendum held in June 2004 in Ireland repealed the long-standing principle of ius soli which automatically granted citizenship to all children born in the country. 3. A typology of the acquisition of citizenship 3.1 Modes of acuisition There are several different bases for granting, attributing or transmitting citizenship, and many different conditions are required and different administrative and registration procedures are in place in different countries. In trying to establish a conceptual framework of modes of acquisition of citizenship, a first distinction may be made between acquisition at birth and acquisition later in life. The latter may be further subdivided into acquisition based on birth and acquisition for another reason (usually protracted residence and integration in a country). Moving beyond this basic distinction, regardless of the national classifications presented in the THESIM country reports, which differ significantly, we may adopt the classification preliminarily established by NATAC1. NATAC is an EU-funded project aiming at comparing the 1 The full title of NATAC is ‘The acquisition of nationality in EU MS: rules, practices and quantitative developments’. The Project is funded under the 6th Framework Programme, coordinated by the Institute for European Integration Research of the Austrian Academy of Science, and carried out by the European Centre for Social Welfare Policy Research (Austria), 169 T H E S I M provisions for the acquisition of citizenship in the 15 EU MS (Institute for European Integration Research/European Centre for Social Welfare Policy and Research, 2005a; 2005b). At a first, general, level, a common distinction between different ways of acquiring citizenship is between acquisition based on birth (either occurring at the moment of birth or later in life) and acquisition for other reasons. According to NATAC, the distinction may be illustrated by the three following cases (Institute for European Integration Research/European Centre for Social Welfare Policy and Research, 2005b). Birthright-based modes of acquisition of citizenship at birth Citizenship of a country is generally accorded at birth to the children of citizens, regardless of where the birth occurs (ius sanguinis at birth). Thus in Denmark, for instance, any child born to a Danish parent in Denmark is automatically granted citizenship; if the birth occurs abroad and out of wedlock then only children of Danish mothers automatically acquire Danish citizenship. Elsewhere, and often simultaneously, citizenship is recognised at birth for babies born in the country’s territory (ius soli at birth), sometimes depending on the citizenship of the parents or their length of residence in the country. With the aim of avoiding statelessness, provisions for the acquisition of citizenship generally include the application of the ius soli principle to newborn children who would otherwise be stateless. Children whose parents are stateless, of unknown citizenship or who are unable to transmit their citizenship to their children are thus granted the citizenship of their country of birth, provided there are no reasons to impede this (e.g. the application of the ius sanguinis principle because of the citizenship of the second parent). The same occurs with children of unknown parents and those found abandoned in the country’s territory. All these cases are classed together, as acquisition by foundling, person with unclear nationality or person who would otherwise be stateless. Birthright-based modes of acquisition of citizenship after birth After birth, citizenship may still be acquired because of the birth (i.e. because of birth to parents who were citizens of the country at the time, or the Centre for Migration Law of the Catholic University of Nijmegen (the Netherlands) and the Danish Institute for Human Rights (Denmark) (http://www.eif.oeaw.ac.at). 170 Chapter 6: Registration of Acquisition of Citizenship because the birth occurred in the country). Specific conditions regulate these acquisitions. For instance, a child born abroad may acquire the country’s citizenship many years after birth because of the citizenship of his or her parents (ius sanguinis after birth). On the other hand, a child born in a country to foreign parents may be granted the citizenship, up to a certain age, if he or she has resided in the country either from birth or later (ius soli after birth). The principle of ius soli occurring at the moment of birth or later defines the acquisition of citizenship by second and third generations of immigrants. Other modes of acquisition of citizenship after birth The main mode of acquisition of citizenship after birth is an individual application by a foreigner, who has been resident in the territory for some time, is well integrated into society and intends to stay. Other frequent reasons are marriage to a citizen, adoption, acknowledgment, descent from a citizen, belonging to a particular group or country of citizenship, and relationship to a head of family applying for citizenship (extension of acquisition of citizenship). Many other reasons apply less frequently, such as honorific motives, the provision of special services to a country and the reacquisition of citizenship. This last normally applies to people who had previously lost their citizenship when they acquired another, either because dual citizenship was or is not allowed in at least one of the countries concerned or because of war, forced deportation or border changes. In NATAC these other ways of acquiring citizenship are grouped into four main categories: The first category includes the classical modes based on residence, i.e. the acquisition of citizenship is not targeted at any special group, but applies to adults who have resided in the country for a prolonged period (ordinary acquisition through naturalisation) or young people gaining the age of majority after having been brought up in the country. According to the terminology developed by NATAC, naturalisation is any mode of acquisition, after birth, of a citizenship previously not held by the person concerned and requiring an application by this person or his or her legal agent. This definition corresponds to the common use of the term. ‘Ordinary acquisition through naturalisation’ is introduced by NATAC to denote the main mode of acquisition of citizenship not targeted at any special group (Institute for European Integration Research/European Centre for Social Welfare Policy and Research, 2005a). 171 T H E S I M Modes based on family relationships refers to the transfer of citizenship, or extension of the acquisition of citizenship, to spouses, natural or adopted children and other relatives of people who are already citizens of the country or who are applying jointly for citizenship through a single procedure2. Modes based on affinity relates to the acquisition of citizenship by people who were formerly citizens, and by people of specific citizenship or others with some affinity and connection to the country (due to ethnicity, language, religion and/or other links, including having acted in good faith as a citizen of the country for a given period of time). Finally, other targeted modes groups together the acquisition of citizenship by people with special status (such as stateless people and refugees), by people who have offered special services to the country, and any other remaining cases. 3.2 Procedures for the acquisition of citizenship There are three main procedures for acquiring citizenship (Institute for European Integration Research/European Centre for Social Welfare Policy and Research, 2005b; Bisogno & Gallo, 1999), i.e.: automatic acquisition; voluntary acquisition, upon expression of interest and following a simplified procedure; voluntary acquisition, upon application submitted to a discretionary decision. In the first procedure, citizenship is acquired automatically, through attribution, normally without the presence of the person concerned (or anyone acting on his or her behalf) and without the submission of a request. Acquisition of citizenship by people such as adopted or acknowledged minors is the final result of a simple administrative procedure; some countries do not even consider this to be the acquisition of citizenship. Citizenship acquired through birth abroad is subject to registration of the newborn at an embassy or consulate, in a specific register of births abroad, in the central register of the country concerned or in a civil register. It may be useful to mention that citizenship is not always officially recognised through an administrative act or the inclusion of new citizens in a register. It may be granted, for instance, by issuing a passport. 2 The extension of acquisition of citizenship, by granting citizenship to people linked to an independent applicant, is often called co-naturalisation. 172 Chapter 6: Registration of Acquisition of Citizenship In the second procedure, however, the person concerned must express an interest or apply for citizenship, thus manifesting an explicit wish to become a citizen. Citizenship is acknowledged when objective requirements are met, and there is very little if any room for national authorities to exercise discretionary powers. Terms such as a declaration, notification, registration or conferment of citizenship are used to denote such cases. The ‘option model’ (i.e. the possibility or requirement that a person choose between two [or more] citizenships at a given age by means of a declaration) is included in this category. In the third procedure the person concerned must submit an application but, unlike the previous case, citizenship is granted by a discretionary decision by the relevant authority after a verification process normally involving several national authorities, including the diplomatic representatives of the country abroad. This procedure is open to appeal in the case of a negative decision at first instance. In conclusion, in the framework of THESIM, we will exclude the acquisition of citizenship at birth when describing the differences between EU MS. Acquisition at birth is irrelevant to the EU Regulation as it does not involve changing from one citizenship to another, acquiring an additional citizenship or any of the more specific modes of acquisition. More precisely, we will consider the following ten main categories (adapted from level three of the NATAC classification): ius soli at birth for second- and third-generation immigrants; ius sanguinis after birth; ius soli after birth for second-generation immigrants; ordinary acquisition through naturalisation; transfer of citizenship to spouses of citizens; transfer of citizenship to adopted children (minors and adults); transfer of citizenship to children and/or relatives of former or deceased citizens; extension of acquisition of citizenship to spouses, children and/or other relatives (such as acknowledged children); re-acquisition of citizenship; acquisition of citizenship based on cultural affinity due to ethnicity, mother tongue, and/or religion. 3.3 The main differences between EU MS Despite some agreements between countries there are continuing differences between EU MS in the modes, requirements and procedures for the acquisition or citizenship (as partially demonstrated by the length and 173 T H E S I M variety of the classification above). In fact, for the same mode of acquisition, the necessary conditions – more or less burdensome – and the procedural aspects – more or less complex or long – contribute to differences in the access to citizenship and the profile of each country. The possibility of retaining a previous citizenship while acquiring a new one is, of course, relevant. This is usually when people opt to retain their attachment to their country of origin. Generally speaking, it is possible to identify two main groups of countries. The first group, the fifteen countries which were members of the EU before 2004, is more unified in the interpretation and application of the various definitions and procedures. Acquisition of citizenship by second- or third-generation immigrants through ius soli at birth or later exists almost solely in this group. There are close similarities between Belgium and France, Germany and Austria, and the Nordic countries, in both definitions and procedures. In the second group, the Central and Eastern European countries, most acquisitions of citizenship are by naturalisation rather than by transfer of citizenship or extension of acquisition. More precisely, citizenship is granted by ius soli at birth to new-borns having at least one foreign parent also born in the country in Belgium, Spain and France. In Malta this applies to the children of former Maltese emigrants returning as citizens of another country3. In the Netherlands ius soli at birth is granted to children of non-nationals with habitual residence in the Netherlands, Netherlands Antilles or Aruba who were also born in one of those countries (i.e. the third generation of immigrants). In Germany, Portugal, Ireland and the United Kingdom citizenship is granted at birth to children born in their territories on the basis of a variety of previous residence requirements. Ius sanguinis after birth applies in two-thirds of EU MS, mostly through an expression of interest and simplified procedures. However the procedures and conditions differ greatly. The principle of ius soli after birth generally depends on prolonged legal residence, either uninterrupted since birth (e.g. in Italy, where an expression of interest must be lodged between the ages of eighteen and nineteen), or accumulated since a given age (e.g. in France, where different procedures apply depending on the circumstances). Citizenship is acquired through an expression of interest and simplified procedures. Among the few exceptions, people born in Spain can acquire citizenship after one year of legal, uninter- 3 This mode of acquisition of citizenship is said to be based on double ius soli. 174 Chapter 6: Registration of Acquisition of Citizenship rupted residence immediately prior to application (providing other specific conditions are met) following a discretionary decision4. Despite a few differences in the practical steps and the overall duration of the process, the procedures for the ordinary acquisition of citizenship through naturalisation, are similar among countries, with the application for citizenship being decided on a discretionary basis by the national authority. Exceptions occur in Belgium (where a declaration of citizenship is possible for people aged eighteen or over who have had their main residence in the country for at least seven years and who hold an unlimited residence permit), Germany and Austria (where there is a legal entitlement, depending on an unlimited or special residence permit respectively, and on a very long previous residence) and the Netherlands (where people over sixty-five can be naturalised by declaration if they have been legally and usually resident in the country for at least fifteen years). The requirements for ordinary acquisition by naturalisation determine the accessibility of citizenship in the various countries more than the procedures. Although constraints may arise from other requirements, one of the main issues is previous residence. In many countries the required length of previous residence has recently been significantly reduced. Although there is some convergence on five to ten years it is still possible to identify varying situations5. Transfer of citizenship to foreign spouses applies in eleven countries: Belgium, Spain, France, Ireland, Italy, Cyprus, Luxembourg, Malta, Poland, Portugal and the United Kingdom. Except in Spain, Italy and Poland, citizenship for spouses is obtainable through a facilitated procedure. In most countries where there are no specific provisions for the acquisition of This is another example of cases in the classification which might be controversial, in the sense that it could be considered as acquisition based on residence with exceptional conditions (i.e. birth in the country). 5 A period of five years is established in twelve countries. However in Latvia this period must be continuous and in Ireland, Cyprus and the United Kingdom there are additional specifications. Belgium, with three years, is an exception, but elsewhere five years (either continuously or accumulated) is the minimum duration. Intermediate durations apply in some countries: five years plus one from application in Estonia, six years continuously (or eight years accumulated) in Finland and Germany, and eight to nine years in Hungary and Denmark. Finally, a number of countries demand ten years’ residence (ten out of the twelve years before the application in Greece, ten years continuously in Austria, and a cumulative total of ten years in five other countries). In the few cases where ordinary acquisition through naturalisation can take place through simplified procedures the required period of residence is normally shorter, with the exception of Austria, where the period is thirty years, or fifteen years upon proof of good integration. 4 175 T H E S I M citizenship on marriage, an application and discretionary decision are still involved6, but the period of residence required is shorter7. The transfer of citizenship to children adopted by a citizen applies to each adopted minor in most countries, but the age limits for minors vary (e.g. under twelve if adopted by at least one Danish spouse or by an unmarried citizen in Denmark), and may even include adults if the application is made within a short period after the adoption (e.g. people over eighteen adopted by a Spaniard in Spain who apply within the two years following the adoption). There are different rules for mass or other unusual adoptions. Thus acquisition of citizenship by adoption is normally automatic for minors and through registration for adults. Otherwise, adoption is only a special condition in the classical process of gaining citizenship. In an increasing number of countries it is easier than it used to be to reacquire citizenship which had been lost because of renunciation, previous rules in at least one of the two countries concerned, or another reason. Reacquisition of citizenship usually occurs through facilitated and normal procedures. In Italy a former citizen re-acquires citizenship automatically after one year of residence (but can refuse it by declaration), and in Portugal no loss of citizenship due to the voluntary acquisition of another citizenship is ever registered. Among the remaining single or aggregated categories, acquisition based on cultural affinity due to ethnicity, mother tongue and/or religion occurs through registration in Germany (for ethnic Germans from Eastern Europe and the former USSR) and Greece (for ethnic Greeks from the former Soviet Union). 3.4 Dual citizenship Nowadays, dual citizenship is allowed in about half the EU MS. In the other countries, the acquisition of citizenship by naturalisation requires the renunciation of any other citizenship. However, there are many exceptions8. 6 The exceptions are Austria and, in some cases, Germany and the Netherlands. In the Netherlands only foreigners married to, or the registered partner of, a Dutch citizen for at least three years, and who also have at least fifteen years of legal and usual residence in the country, Netherlands Antilles or Aruba are eligible to acquire citizenship through registration. 7 The time period is reduced by half (e.g. in Germany and Greece) or more (e.g. in Austria and Slovenia, from ten years to one year), or the requirement is replaced by the intention to reside in the country (United Kingdom). Conditions on the duration of the marriage are often combined with other requirements (e.g. in Denmark the minimum duration of the marriage changes depending on the length of time an applicant was resident in the country before marriage). 176 Chapter 6: Registration of Acquisition of Citizenship Countries which allow dual citizenship usually permit their citizens to apply for another citizenship while retaining their original affiliation if the new country also allows dual citizenship. Acquisition of foreign citizenship in an involuntary manner or for specific reasons (e.g. by descent in Belgium) is often a condition in which dual citizenship is allowed. The existence or non-existence of multiple citizenships complicates the picture (like multiple residences) and has a potential impact on the statistics. 4. Recording the process of acquiring citizenship Differences occur in the ways in which the process of acquiring citizenship is recorded. In most EU MS there is only one body responsible for naturalisation. In about half the countries, both the acquisition of citizenship and the registration of cases are exclusively the responsibility of the Ministry of the Interior. In five other countries (Spain, Ireland, Latvia, Luxembourg and the Netherlands) this role is taken by the Ministry of Justice. In Sweden a single body is responsible, but other authorities are involved. In Denmark, Portugal and France responsibility for the granting of citizenship and the registration of cases is divided between two bodies, basically depending on the type of acquisition involved9. There are three broad ways of organising the recording of the process of acquiring citizenship. In the first group, the central authorities of the 8 In Germany, children with parents of differing nationalities and children born to foreigners need not renounce their second citizenship until they reach a certain age. In Luxembourg, the same applies to children born to citizens abroad, and in Austria to individuals who have been naturalised for special reasons. In Denmark and the Slovak Republic, refugees cannot, either legally or de facto, renounce their citizenship. In Spain, some nationals can retain their previous citizenship, based on cultural and linguistic affinities. The other countries that do not allow multiple citizenships are the three Baltic countries, the Czech Republic, France, the Netherlands and Slovenia. Elsewhere multiple citizenships are generally allowed. This is true for Belgium, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Cyprus, Malta, Portugal and the United Kingdom. 9 The naturalisation procedure takes between a few months (e.g. typically three in the Czech Republic and eight in the United Kingdom) and a couple of years (from eighteen to twenty-four months in Spain, two years on average in Italy, up to six months for the first evaluation in France, with up to a further eighteen months for the final decision). In some countries the same naturalisation process may take differing lengths of time: between two and twenty-four months in Cyprus, and between six and twelve months in the Netherlands. Where facilitated procedures such as a declaration, registration, notification or option are applied, the process is regularly quicker. In France, the average wait for the registration of acquisitions by declaration is less than a month, while the option modality in the Netherlands takes three to six months and the registrations of citizenship for adults and minors in the United Kingdom takes an average of 3.5 and 8 months respectively. In many countries, citizenship is made retroactive to the date of submission of the application or other request. 177 T H E S I M Ministry of the Interior or the Ministry of Justice are in charge, although there may be some limited involvement of regional or local offices in receiving applications and registering information on decisions. This is true in Central and Eastern European countries and in other countries where there are few types of or procedures for the acquisition of citizenship. In the second group, the acquisition and registration procedure involves both a central service and the local authorities, and thus often results in the incompatibility of the contents of the various administrative registers. In the third group, there are more specific procedures, due to the ways in which responsibilities are subdivided (e.g. with more than one central authority being involved) or a decentralised administrative system. This is true in Germany, Austria and the Nordic countries. Specific databases on the acquisition of citizenship exist everywhere. However in some states the information is transferred to a more general database such as the population register. As a consequence, the population register may include basic data such as sex, age, place of residence, duration of residence, previous citizenship, legal basis of acquisition, and, if applicable, citizenship retained after acquisition. The information recorded on different steps of the procedure (including application or appeal decisions) is generally more limited. Conclusion There are signs of convergence between EU MS in terms of the acquisition of citizenship, but national situations are still far from completely harmonised. Given the national relevance of the subject and the tradition, migration history and administrative framework of each country, differences can be predicted to remain in the long term. It is also true that the details of some modes of acquisition in a country are relatively important when looking at the numbers of people accessing citizenship in that way. Countries are more similar when consideration is limited to acquisition through naturalisation based on prolonged residence and integration, or acquisition through marriage to a citizen. The sources of information normally available at a central level do not always include all cases or modes of acquisition, and this may have a huge impact on the production of statistics. 178 Section 3 Producing Statistics in Accordance with the Proposed EU Regulation Chapter 7 Statistics on Population with Usual Residence Giambattista Cantisani and Michel Poulain Introduction From a statistical point of view, no appropriate indicator has been adopted at international level to enumerate the population with a foreign or immigration background1. The only initiative in this respect is in the UN recommendations on international migration, where the long-term immigrant stock is defined as “the set of persons who have ever changed their country of usual residence, that is to say, persons who have spent at least one year of their lives in a country other than the one in which they live at the time the data is gathered” (UN, 1997: §185). However, the recommendations conclude that this definition is not acceptable, and propose the consideration of two proxy variables (country of birth and country of citizenship) as the best way to identify the population with a foreign or immigration background. Both criteria appear relevant but insufficient. On the one hand, the country of birth either as the place of birth of the person or the place of residence of the mother at the time of that birth is both too broad and too restrictive2. On the other hand, the country of citizenship is essential to distinguish nationals and non-nationals but does not take into consideration that citizenship may change over time according to different national regulations on its transmission, acquisition, renunciation and loss. In this context, the proposed EU Regulation aims to 1 Some countries have developed specific concepts for their national situation. For example, the concept of immigré has been introduced in France and the one of allochtoon in the Netherlands. The Nordic countries have developed specific tools to describe the population with foreign or immigrant backgrounds. The comparative aspects of these different proposals are now being discussed at international level. The measurements mostly relate to concepts of background and ethnicity, and include characteristics such as citizenship at birth, place of birth of parents, language etc. A recent Joint UNECE/ Eurostat Work Session on Migration Statistics (Geneva, 21st-23rd March 2005) focused on existing approaches as well as the statistical treatment of specific categories of people, in order to produce more comparable statistics. 2 The foreign-born population includes citizens of the country who were born abroad, while it excludes children born to immigrants within the country. T H E S I M collect annual data on the usually resident population by country of citizenship and by country of birth, and the contents of the proposed data collection correspond to that undertaken up to now through the ‘Joint Questionnaire on International Migration Statistics’3. Article 3 of the proposed EU Regulation reads: 1. Member States shall supply to the Commission (Eurostat) statistics on the numbers of: (…) (b) natural persons having their usual residence in Member State disaggregated as follows: - citizenship by age and sex; - country of birth by age and sex. While Article 2.1 gives the following definition: (a) ‘Usual residence’ shall refer to the place in which a person normally spends the daily period of rest. Temporary travel for purposes of recreation, holiday, visits to friends and relatives, business, medical treatment or religious pilgrimage shall not change a person’s place of usual residence. The data source and the method used in each EU MS to provide annual statistics on population stocks will have a direct impact on the availability, reliability and comparability of the data requested in the EU Regulation. 1. The census For decades, the census has been the basic way of producing statistics on population. Annual figures have traditionally been produced by updating census results with vital and migration statistics. As shown in Comparative Table 10, most EU MS carried out a population and housing census between 1995 and 2004, the period defining the 2000 Census Round within the European Community Census Programme4. This was adopted on the basis 3 The only difference is that in the EU Regulation age is a compulsory variable in all tables requested. In the ‘Joint Questionnaire on International Migration Statistics’, data on population by country of citizenship is broken down only by five-year age groups. 4 Population and housing censuses were not carried out in Germany or Sweden in the 2000 Census Round. In Germany, a country characterised by some hard discussion about privacy issues, a test census took place in December 2001 to assess the feasibility of a register-based census. The results of this test census were satisfactory, and only a limited number of discrepancies were found between the census test survey results and the local population 182 Chapter 7: Statistics on Population with Usual Residence of a ‘gentleman’s agreement’ and in line with the previous edition the EU programme included, in addition to the traditional field enumeration, alternative methods such as registers or sample surveys. However the aim of achieving comparable results was maintained. In practice the traditional census, based solely on field enumeration, is being progressively replaced by administrative registers5. For the population component of the census, most EU MS (twenty out of twenty-five) collected information through census forms submitted to respondents during classical field operations or sent and collected by post6. Among the remaining countries, Denmark and Finland carried out a census completely based on existing administrative registers, while in the Netherlands data collection was based on the administrative registers and household sample surveys. Among the twenty countries using census forms, the census enumeration was based on administrative registers in six (Austria, Belgium, Latvia, Luxembourg, Slovenia and Spain). In these countries administrative registers were used in a different way, for instance dispatching or mailing out named and partially pre-completed questionnaires to households for confirmation of data and collection of supplementary information. In a few countries the field enumeration during the census operation was used to correct the data included in the administrative registers. Comparative Tables 10 presents the situation in the twenty-five EU MS with regard to the relevant authority, the reference date and the type of census. Additional information is also provided on the links between the census enumeration and the population registers7. register data (Braun 2004). In Sweden, after the last census (organised in 1990 based on registers of the population), efforts were continuing towards conducting a totally register-based census, but so far without success. Fortunately both countries were able to provide all the basic population statistics through their population registers and other solutions (such as the microcensus in Germany, an annual survey on a range of socio-economic indicators. 5 France is experimenting with a different innovation by introducing a ‘rolling census’. This was officially launched in 2004. In this new type of census, the classical country-wide enumeration through questionnaires collected during a limited period of time will be extended over a period of five years and supported by geographic systems, administrative sources and sampling techniques depending on the size of the commune. This project will facilitate the annual release (from 2008 onwards) of figures that are on average less than three years old on the legal population in each commune, as well as comprehensive data on all geographical zones. However exhaustive figures for the population stock of the whole territory at a given date will no longer be available. 6 Among the EU MS, only Spain offered an alternative collection of census forms through the Internet. 7 Comparative Tables 10 and 11 (the latter focuses on coverage issues) were compiled on the basis of the survey on census practices carried out by UNECE (2004) and additional investigations within the THESIM project. 183 T H E S I M 2. Census definitions of the ‘usually resident population’ According to the UNECE, the definition of the place of usual residence is one of the most important and critical issues in the framework of the forthcoming 2010 census recommendations (Valente, 2004). This definition, and the way it is applied during the census, directly influences the results for the total usually resident population. This is also true for the annual population figures requested by the EU Regulation, because in most EU MS this figure is still more or less dependent on the census enumeration. A large majority of EU MS used the concept and definition of usually resident population proposed by the ‘Principles and Recommendations for Population and Housing Censuses, Revision 1’ (UN, 1997) and the ‘Recommendations for the 2000 Censuses of Population and Housing in the ECE Region’ (UNECE, 1998). However, in the countries where the field enumeration of the census was exclusively based on administrative registers (Belgium, Denmark, Netherlands and Finland) and no correction of the registers was allowed, the definition used was the administrative place of residence according to the administrative rules. When the definitions of the usual place of residence in the original UN recommendations (UN, 1997) and in the more specific UNECE recommendations for the ECE region (UNECE, 1998) are analysed in detail some differences appear. In the UN recommendations the place of usual residence is defined as “... the geographical place where the enumerated person usually resides. This may be the same as, or different from, the place where he or she was present at the time of the census or his or her legal residence” (UN, 1997: § 2.20). In the UNECE recommendations it is “…the geographic place where the enumerated person usually resides; this may be the same as, or different from, the place where he/she actually is at the time of the Census; or it may be his/her legal residence. A person’s usual residence should be that at which he/she spends most of his/her daily night-rest” (UNECE, 1998: § 30). This slight difference in wording between the two sets of recommendations suggests that according UNECE the legal place of residence can be chosen instead of the place where he/she usually resides (although the next sentence contradicts this). Most European statistical institutions were in favour of this interpretation. Following this interpretation of the UNECE recommendations, the ECE countries were allowed to use the administrative place of residence as the place of usual residence for the census enumeration. Accordingly the population data obtained by these censuses is not fully comparable across all 25 EU MS, as the various administrative registers used for the enumeration employ different definitions to define the place where a person should be registered from an administrative point of 184 Chapter 7: Statistics on Population with Usual Residence view. Moreover the recommended definition of the usual place of residence does not explain what time criteria should be used to identify the place where the person spends most of his/her daily night-rest. For the purposes of migration statistics, the main problem is how to define the usual country of residence. More specifically, it is to identify citizens living temporarily abroad and foreigners who have immigrated into a country. There are three different sets of international recommendations dealing with the problem of defining the usual place of residence and the usual country of residence of international migrants: (1) The UN Recommendations on Statistics of International Migration propose the following definition for the country of usual residence and longterm and short-term migrants (UN, 1998, Box 1): Box 1. Definition of country of usual residence, of long-term international migrant and of short-term international migrant Country of usual residence: The country in which a person lives, that is to say, the country in which he or she has a place to live where he or she normally spends the daily period of rest. Temporary travel abroad for purposes of recreation, holiday, visits to friends and relatives, business, medical treatment or religious pilgrimage does not change a person's country of usual residence. Long-term migrant: A person who moves to a country other than that of his or her usual residence for a period of at least a year (12 months), so that the country of destination effectively becomes his or her new country of usual residence. From the perspective of the country of departure the person will be a long-term emigrant and from that of the country of arrival the person will be a long-term immigrant. Short-term migrant: A person who moves to a country other than that of his or her usual residence for a period of at least 3 months but less than a year (12 months) except in cases where the movement to that country is for purposes of recreation, holiday, visits to friends and relatives, business, medical treatment or religious pilgrimage. For purposes of international migration statistics, the country of usual residence of shortterm migrants is considered to be the country of destination during the period they spend in it. (2) Recommendations for the 2000 Censuses of Population and Housing in the ECE Region (UNECE, 1998: §§ 32-35) includes a reference to the recommendations on international migration statistics and makes some important distinctions between categories: 185 T H E S I M 32. A long-term international migrant is a person who moves to a country other than that of his or her usual residence for a period of at least a year (12 months), so that the country of destination ef-fectively becomes his or her new country of usual residence. 33. From the perspective of the country of departure, the person will be a long-term emigrant, and from that of the country of arrival the person will be a long-term immigrant. (This corresponds with place of usual residence one year prior to the Census [core topic 2]). 34. A short-term migrant is a person who moves to a country other than that of his or her usual residence for at least three months but for less than a year. Since these persons have their usual place of residence in another country, they should not be included in the count of the total population that usually resides in the country. However, if a country intends to obtain data from the census on short-term immigration flows, for that particular purpose countries should consider the country of usual residence of the short-term migrants to be the country of destination during the period they spend in the country. 35. In general, a person who is absent from his or her previous place/country of usual residence for one year or more should not be considered as temporarily absent. (3) The concept of country of usual residence is also used to determine who is a visitor for the purpose of international tourism statistics. According to the UN Recommendations on Tourism Statistics (UN and World Tourism Organisation, 1994): A person is considered to be a resident in a country if the person: (a) has lived for most of the past year (12 months) in that country or (b) has lived in that country for a shorter period and intends to return within 12 months to live in that country (§ 24). An international visitor is defined later as any person who travels to a country other than that in which he/she has his/her usual residence but outside his/her usual environment for a period not exceeding 12 months and whose main purpose of visit is other than the exercise of an activity remuner-ated from within the country visited (§ 29). According to these recommendations, all emigrants who left a country less than one year ago having declared their intention to stay abroad for less than one year should be included in the population, having their usual place of residence in that country. On the other hand those who left more than one year ago, whatever their intended duration of stay abroad, should be excluded, as should those who emigrated during the last year with the intention of living abroad for more than one year. As far as immigrants are 186 Chapter 7: Statistics on Population with Usual Residence concerned everybody entering the country with the intention of living there for one year or more should be considered as having their usual residence in the country. However most foreigners do not have the right to live in a country for more than three months without authorisation and therefore the concept of intention is not sufficient to define the country of usual residence. Accordingly the definition of an international immigrant should consider that: all foreigners who do not need a residence permit to live in a country should be treated similarly to citizens of that country, and should be considered as part of the usually resident population if they intend to live in the country for at least one year; all third-country nationals for whom a residence permit is required should be considered as part of the usually resident population if they have been granted one or more valid residence permits for a total duration of at least one year and intend to live in the country for at least one year; all other foreigners without residence permits but seeking asylum should also be considered as part of the usually resident population after one year of effective residence in the country8; all other undocumented foreigners, clandestine migrants, rejected asylum seekers and foreigners with expired residence permits should also be considered as part of the usually resident population after one year of effective residence in the country. Thus the one-year period of absence or presence is a key element for identifying the usually resident population for census enumeration. However in discussions between statisticians the time limit of twelve months is often contrasted to a three-month time limit. In 1995, during the latest revision of the UN recommendations, pros and cons for both time limits were put forward (UN, 1995). Concretely, the one-year criterion allows a better fit between the annual production of statistics on migration flows and population stocks. The three-month limit increases the number of migrants compared with the one-year limit, but at the same time decreases the level of self-declaration of migration and hence the coverage of these migrants. Finally the three-month limit is more appropriate relative to the administrative procedures associated with visas and residence permits (since periods of stay in a country longer than three months are usually linked to appropriate authorisation). In order to take both time limits into 8 Accordingly, when foreigners with temporary residence permits or asylum seekers are not included in the population register, the aliens register or asylum database should be used to count those who have been living in the country for one year or more. 187 T H E S I M consideration, the UN recommendations introduced the concepts of longterm and short-term migrants. The EU Regulation considers only the twelvemonth time limit and defines an international migrant in a similar way to the UN’s definition of a long-term migrant. The recommendations do not give clear guidance on whether intended durations of absence or presence should be considered or if de facto durations may be used. For specific groups of people the intended duration of stay may be corroborated by ad hoc documents. If this is not possible, only the de facto duration of absence or presence should be considered in retrospect. Attention should also be devoted to checking whether the same definition is used for including or excluding international migrants in the population stock and for counting the corresponding international migration in the migration flow statistics so as to retain compatibility between the two sets of figures. 3. The usually resident population in the last census round The population groups included in the usually resident population in EU MS at the last census9 are displayed in Comparative Table 11 and compared with the UN recommendations. This information is important as it also determines the population groups composing the usually resident population in annual figures. Nationals usually living in the country are included in the total usually resident population in all EU MS. Nationals who left the country are not counted if they have been living abroad for at least twelve months. However it is not clear whether nationals who left the country during the last twelve months with the intention of living abroad for one year or more are included or not. The time limit for exclusion is reduced to six months in France and the United Kingdom and to three months in Ireland, while there is no fixed time limit in Belgium, Denmark, Germany or the Slovak Republic. In most countries, following the international recommendations, other EEA citizens and third-country nationals holding a valid residence permit, who have been living in the country for one year or more or who immigrated during the past year and intend and/or have the right to stay in the country for one year or more, were counted in the census enumeration. However the time limit for the inclusion of third-country nationals in the census enumeration is sometimes shorter. In France it is only six months, while in Belgium, Czech Republic, Ireland and Hungary it is three months. In most EU MS, nationals who return to the country are included in the census enumeration without any time delay. Asylum seekers 9 The 1987 census for Germany and the 1991 census for Sweden are considered. 188 Chapter 7: Statistics on Population with Usual Residence with pending requests who were present in the country at time of the census were included in the usually resident population in a majority of EU MS but excluded in Belgium, Denmark, Greece, Lithuania, Hungary, Austria, Poland and the Slovak Republic. In the Netherlands asylum seekers may be registered in the municipal population registers (GBA), and accordingly included in the usually resident population, after six months of residence in the country. In all other countries where asylum seekers are included, it is unclear whether the stricter time limit of twelve months’ residence was applied or not. People who have been granted refugee status under the Geneva Convention and other people protected for humanitarian reasons are included in the census enumeration and in the usually resident population in all EU MS except Greece, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Slovak Republic, Finland and Sweden without any limits related to a minimum period of in the country. Undocumented migrants, a population group for whom there were no specific instructions in the census recommendations, were included in the usually resident population in Estonia, Greece, Spain, France, Ireland, Italy, Cyprus, Hungary, Portugal, Slovenia and the United Kingdom based on the field enumeration (irrespective of their legal status in the country). The UN recommendations are to include all (long-) term immigrants (i.e. people who entered the country with the intention of living there for at least one year and not only those who have actually lived in the country for at least a year) in the census. However it is not clear whether a question on the intended duration of stay was really included in the census in all countries. The recommendation does not include any check on the right to live in the country. In countries where the census enumeration was based on population registers, the administrative rules of registration for immigrants were applied in all cases. 4. Statistics on the annual population stock 4.1 Methods of production EU MS use different methods to produce annual statistics on the population stock with usual residence in the country, and rely to a greater or lesser extent on census enumeration when doing this. These methods may be tentatively divided into four main groups as follows (Comparative Table 12): The annual figure on the stock of the usually resident population is exclusively based on administrative registers and census data do not exist or are not used. Where a concept of administrative place of 189 T H E S I M residence is applied in population registers, it is supposed to be to the concept of usual place of residence. In these countries the annual population stock is produced exclusively on the basis of the register and involves no revi-sion of the population figure based on census field enumeration (Belgium, Denmark, Finland, Latvia10, Sweden and the Netherlands). A census field enumeration is carried out on the basis of the list of inhabitants extracted from the population registers, and these registers are checked for any errors detected during the field enumeration. Accordingly, at the time of the census, the population stock recorded in the population registers is corrected in order to be consistent with the enumerated stocks in the census. The annual population figures are based on the population register where ‘census-register’ are updated by individual data on births, deaths and international migrations during the inter-census period. All demographic variables are included in these annual figures. From the statistical point of view the corrections to the population registers at the time of the census should be considered as administrative corrections and the population stock and all demographic figures should be revised retrospectively back to the previous census (Austria, Slovenia and Spain). The population figures are based on the census enumeration and annual population figures are calculated using the census figures as the starting point, updated through aggregated register-based information on vital events and migrations since the time of the census. These an-nual calculations include only some basic demographic variables and are usually revised retrospectively when the data from the following census becomes available (Czech Republic, Estonia, Germany, Italy, Hungary, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Poland and the Slovak Republic). The stock of the resident population is measured only at the time of the census, while estimated figures are based on the census figure updated in the inter-census period with aggregated numbers of recorded vital events and estimates of migration flows based on survey data or other alternative data sources (Cyprus, Greece, Ireland, Malta, Portugal and United Kingdom). In France, the estimated figures will result from the rolling census. These population estimates are only totals, and disaggregation by basic 10 This method has been used in Latvia since 2000. 190 Chapter 7: Statistics on Population with Usual Residence demographic variables is seldom available. In the third method, additional attention has to be paid to the fact that the census enumeration is based on the usual place of residence, while the population registers used to update the census data refer to the administrative place of residence. In addition to these four methods of producing annual stock figures, some countries (Czech Republic, Germany, Hungary and Slovenia) are currently using ‘combine methods’ where nationals and foreigners are considered separately. 4.2 Population stocks As Comparative Table 13 shows, censuses generally provide good data on the stock of the usually resident population by citizenship or country of birth, as requested by the EU Regulation11. These data are less available when annual figures are considered. Annual statistics on the country of citizenship are produced or will be produced based on population registers in Austria, Belgium, Latvia, Netherlands, Spain and the Nordic countries. Other countries (Czech Republic, Germany, Hungary, Portugal and Slovenia) use a combined method based on the aliens register and a calculation or estimate for nationals. For example, in the Czech Republic data on nationals are updated on the basis of statistics obtained from the administrative records of births, deaths, immigrations and emigrations and these data refer to Czech citizens permanently residing in the country. Statistics on stocks of foreigners are produced using data on residence permits valid for more than one year. As a result the annual figure on total population is produced as a sum of nationals and foreigners. A similar solution is adopted in Germany, although it does not comply with international recommendations: the stocks of nationals are estimated by adjusting population figure on the basis of the population registers, while detailed statistics on foreigners by country of citizenship are based on the Central Aliens Register (AZR). Specific methods are also applied in France (using data from the rolling census), Ireland and the United Kingdom (based on household surveys), Italy (ad hoc investigations based on local population registers) and Luxembourg (annual calculation without breakdown by age). Annual figures on the usually resident population by 11 The only exception is the United Kingdom, where the question was not asked of respondents in 2000. Historically the United Kingdom has adopted the concept of the ethnic group, but information on citizenship is expected to be included in the next census. In future only estimates may be expected for France, as a result of the rolling census. 191 T H E S I M country of birth are usually available in countries where centralised population registers exist. Exceptions are the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland, where this variable is not included in the central register; however some improvements may be expected in future. Some estimated figures are available in France (based on the rolling census) and in Ireland and the United Kingdom (based on surveys). Conclusion The methods used in EU MS for producing annual statistics on population stocks are diverse. Some countries rely fully on population registers, while others use census data that are updated annually with vital events and estimates of the migration balance. Accordingly the definition of the usually resident population varies slightly, and is often based on the de jure population as recorded in the population registers. Compliance with the EU Regulation is satisfactory only at census time, from the point of view of the availability of statistics on the usually resident population by country of birth and country of citizenship. Annual statistics are available (or will be in future) in countries where the data are fully based on population registers (the two first categories in our classification). In other countries combined methods based on different databases are used to provide estimates. In these countries detailed metadata are needed to take all the differences in international comparisons into consideration. As far as reliability and comparability are concerned, most EU MS use the concept of the administrative place of residence in accounting for their population. This may be slightly different from the EU- and UN-recommended concept of usual residence. The differences between these two definitions should be clearly identified, both qualitatively and quantitatively, and efforts should be made to develop appropriate methodologies for producing comparable figures12. To ensure full compatibility between migration flow and population stock data on international migrants, all immigrants should be included in the usually resident population and all emigrants excluded. This is done automatically in countries where stocks and flows are based on the same population register, and in this case the correct registration of international migrants is the key element (see Chapters 3 and 8). In the 12 For example, according to the EU regulation, asylum seekers should be included in population stock figures, while legal and administrative rules may exclude these people from the de jure population of the country. In this specific case a figure for the total usually resident population may be produced by combining data from population registers for the de jure population with data from the asylum register. 192 Chapter 7: Statistics on Population with Usual Residence absence of population registers, population figures are usually based on census enumeration while figures for migration flows may be based on surveys or may even be non-existent. In such cases a correct enumeration of international migrants in the census is essential, and should include the following points: Everyone in the country for more than one year should be considered as part of the usually resident population. Returning citizens, other EEA citizens and permanent residence permit holders who have immigrated during the past year should be asked if it is their intention to stay at least one year in the country. The duration of validity of temporary residence permits for thirdcountry nationals should be considered and only those holding a residence permit for one year or more should be included as usually resident and members of the de jure population of the country. People who are temporarily absent for one year or more should not be included in the usually resident population. Citizens, other EEA citizens and permanent residence permit holders who left the country during the past year should be excluded if they intend to stay abroad for one year or more, while those who intend to return within a year should be considered as still being part of the usually resident population. The latter rule may be applied only to those who have left the country but who still have relatives living in the country who are able to tell the census enumerators that the people concerned intend to return within a year. All third-country nationals with temporary residence permits who are temporarily absent should be excluded from the census enumeration. Despite these limitations, we consider that, within the context of the EU Regulation, the information on the usually resident population by citizenship and country of birth is among the more reliable and comparable data available. 193 T H E S I M Comparative Table 10. Main characteristics of the population and housing censuses Responsible body Reference date (of last census) BE Statistics Belgium 1.10.2001 CZ Czech Statistical Office (CSU) 1.3.2001 DK Statistics Denmark 1.1.2001 DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT Federal Statistical Office (DESTATIS) Statistical Office of Estonia National Statistical Service of Greece (NSSG) National Institute of Statistics (INE) National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies (INSEE) Central Statistical Office (CSO) National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT) Statistical Service of Cyprus (CYSTAT) Central Statistical Bureau of Latvia (CSB) Department of Statistics Central Service for Statistics and Economic Studies (STATEC) Central Statistical Office (KSH) National Statistical Office (NSO) Statistics Netherlands (CBS) Statistics Austria (ÖSTAT) Central Statistical Office (GUS) National Statistical Institute (INE) 25.5.19871 31.3.2000 Type of census Traditional Traditional Registerbased Traditional Traditional Field enumeration based on registers Feedback from census to population register Yes No No No No field operations No No No No 18.3.2001 Traditional No register No register 1.11.2001 Traditional Yes Yes 1.1.2004 Rolling census No register No register No register No register No Yes No No Yes No No No Yes Yes No No No register No register 28.4.2002 21.10.2001 1.10.2001 31.3.2000 6.4.2001 15.2.2001 1.2.2001 26.11.1995 1.1.2001 15.5.2001 21.5.2002 12.3.2001 194 Traditional Traditional Traditional Traditional Traditional Traditional Traditional Traditional Registerbased2 Traditional Traditional Traditional No field operation Yes Yes No No No register No register Chapter 7: Statistics on Population with Usual Residence Responsible body SI SK Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia (SURS) Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (SUSR) Reference date (of last census) 31.3.2002 26.5.2001 FI Statistics Finland 31.12.2000 SE Statistics Sweden (SCB) 1.11.1990 UK Office for National Statistics (ONS); General Register Office for Scotland (GROS); Northern Ireland Statistical and Research Agency (NISRA) 29.4.2001 1 2 In the former Federal Republic of Germany Including data derived from sample surveys. 195 Type of census Field enumeration based on registers Feedback from census to population register Traditional Yes No No No Traditional Registerbased Mainly Registerbased Traditional No field operation Yes No No register No register T H E S I M Comparative Table 11a. Groups of persons included in the total resident population of population and housing censuses1 Population groups Nationals National diplomats, international civil servants and army members in mission abroad 2 Nationals who left the country and are living abroad 3 Non-National diplomats, international experts and foreign army members 2 EEA citizens 3 Non EEA citizens with permanent residence permit 3 Non EEA citizens with temporary residence permit 3 Asylum seekers with pending request Refugees and other persons having received protection for humanitarian reasons Other non EEA citizens living in the country on an illegal basis5 UN 1 BE CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y N N N N Y Y Y N N 12+ N N N 6+ N 3+ N N N N N Y Y Y Y Y 12+ Y Y Y Y Y 12+ 12+ 12+ Y 6+ Y 3+ Y Y Y 12+ 12+ 12+ Y Y Y 12+ Y Y Y Y Y 12+ 12+ 12+ Y 6+ Y 3+ Y Y Y 12+ 12+ 12+ Y Y 3+ Y 3+ Y Y Y Y Y 12+ 12+ 12+ Y 6+ Y 3+ Y Y Y 12+ 12+ 12+ Y N Y N Y Y N Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y N Y Y Y Y Y Y Y N N N N Y Y Y Y Y Y Y N N N N N 12+ 12+ 12+ N Y P N N N 12+ 12+ 12+ 4 Y N N Source: UNECE ( 2004) and THESIM Country Reports. 1 UN recommendations on censuses (UN, 1997). 2 Including dependants and domestic employees. 3 In some countries for at least 3, 6, 12 months. 4 Excluding students. 5 Including those who entered illegally, those who requested asylum but did not succeed and were forced to leave the country and those with an invalid residence permit.. 196 Chapter 7: Statistics on Population with Usual Residence Comparative Table 11b. Groups of persons included in the total resident population of population and housing censuses1 Population groups Nationals LT LU Y Y Y Y Y National diplomats, international civil Y servants and army members in mission abroad 2 Nationals who N left the country and are living 12+ abroad 3 Non National diplomats, international N experts and foreign army members 2 Y EEA citizens 3 12+ Non EEA citizens Y with permanent 12+ 3 residence permit Non EEA citizens Y with temporary 12+ 3 residence permit Asylum seekers N with pending request Refugees and other persons having received N protection for humanitarian reasons Other non EEA citizens living in N the country on an illegal basis5 HU MT NL AT PL PT SK SI FI SE UK Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y N Y Y Y Y Y Y Y N N N N N N N N N 12+ 12+ 12+ 12+ 12+ 12+ 12+ N N Y 12+ Y 3+ Y 12+ N P N N N N N N N 12+ 12+ 12+ N 6+ N N N N Y Y Y Y Y Y 12+ 12+ 12+ 12+ 12+ Y Y 12+ Y Y 12+ Y 6+ Y 3+ Y Y Y Y Y 12+ 12+ 12+ 12+ 12+ Y Y 12+ Y Y 12+ Y 6+ Y 12+ Y 3+ Y Y Y Y Y 12+ 12+ 12+ 12+ 12+ N Y 12+ Y Y Y 12+ 12+ Y Y N P N N Y N Y Y N Y Y Y N Y Y Y Y N Y N Y Y N Y N P N N Y N Y N N Y Source: UNECE (2004) and THESIM Country Reports. 1 UN recommendations on censuses (UN, 1997). 2 Including dependants and domestic employees. 3 In some countries for at least 3, 6, 12 months. 4 Excluding students. 5 Including those who entered illegally, those who requested asylum but did not succeed and were forced to leave the country and those with an invalid residence permit.. 197 T H E S I M Comparative Table 12. Production of annual statistics on the usually resident population Method for producing annual statistics on the usual resident population1 BE Exclusive use of population register CZ Combined method DK Exclusive use of population register DE Combined method EE Annual estimate EL Annual estimate ES Use of population register updated with census FR Annual estimate (rolling census) IE Annual estimate IT Annual calculation CY Annual estimate LV Exclusive use of population register LT Annual calculation LU Annual calculation HU Combined method MT Annual estimate Coverage specificities (not considering the systematic exclusion of asylum seekers and the partial inclusion of nationals living abroad) Legal resident population as it is defined in the population register based on the usual residence. Based on permanent residence for nationals Including non-nationals with valid residence permits of one year or more. Legal resident population as it is defined in the population register based on the usual residence. For citizens, annual figures are based on 1987 census data updates with vital events and migrations from local population register. Foreigners stocks are calculated separately based on the AZR. For updating census data migration events are not considered and vital events are used and based on population register. For updating census data migration events are not considered and vital events are used and based on civil registers. Legal resident population as it is defined in the population register based on the usual residence and including asylum seekers if they are registered. Annual estimates are based on the rolling census results with the population having at least 6 months of usual residence in the country. Registered vital events are considered and estimates of migration are done. The census is based on de facto population and updated with registered vital events and estimates of migration obtained through the Labor Force Survey. For updating census data migration events and vital events are used and based on population register. The census is based on the usual resident population and updated with registered vital events and estimates of migration, students abroad are included. Including non-nationals with valid residence permits of one year or more, all nationals are considered automatically as usual residents. Based on census data updated with vital events and migrations from the population register. The census is based on de facto population and updated with registered vital and migration events in the population register. Based on permanent residence for nationals and aliens register for non-nationals. Excluding refugees. The census is based on the usual resident population and updated with registered vital events and estimates of migration. 198 Chapter 7: Statistics on Population with Usual Residence Method for producing annual statistics on the usual resident population1 Coverage specificities (not considering the systematic exclusion of asylum seekers and the partial inclusion of nationals living abroad) NL Exclusive use of population register Legal resident population as it is defined in the population register based on the usual residence and including asylum seekers who have registered after 6 months of stay. AT Use of population register updated with census Minimum residence of 90 days. PL Annual calculation Legal resident population as it is defined in the population register based on permanent residence. PT Annual estimate SI Combined method SK Annual calculation FI SE UK Exclusive use of population register Exclusive use of population register Annual estimate Based on permanent residence for nationals and aliens’ database for non-nationals. Legal resident population as it is defined in the population register based on permanent residence. Legal resident population as it is defined in the population register based on the usual residence. Legal resident population as it is defined in the population register based on the usual residence. At least 6 months of usual residence. 1 Legend: Exclusive use of population register: data directly extracted from administrative population registers. Use of population register updated with census: the same as above but the population register is updated through each census. Annual calculation: population adjustments or other methods based on census results combined with annual information from registration of vital events and migration flows extracted from population registers or through statistical forms. Annual estimate: population estimates based on census results combined with annual information from registration of vital events and only estimates of migration flows based on surveys or other sources. Combined method: calculation or estimate for nationals combined with data from the residence permit database for non-nationals (EEA citizens may be estimated with nationals or through the residence permit database). 199 T H E S I M Comparative Table 13. Production of statistics on the usually resident population by country of citizenship and country of birth1 Age, sex and country of citizenship Age, sex and country of birth Census statistics Annual statistics Census statistics Annual statistics BE Y Y Y Y CZ Y Y [Population register] Y No data [Population register] DK Y Y Y Y N No data Y No data [Population register] Y No data Y (Combined method, 3 months of usual residence for nonnationals) No data [Population register] No data [Residence permit system] DE Y EE Y EL Y ES Y Y Y Y FR Y (as estimate) Y (as estimate) Y (as estimate) Y (as estimate) IE Y Y (survey estimate, for groups of age and citizenship) Y Y (survey estimate, for groups of age and citizenship) IT Y Y (ad hoc investigation, no data by age) Y No data CY Y No data (only estimate for nationals and nonnationals) Y No data LV Y Y Y Y LT Y No data [Population register] Y No data [Population register] LU Y Y (no detail by age) Y No data HU Y Y Y No data Y No data (only estimate for nationals and non-nationals) MT Y No data 200 Chapter 7: Statistics on Population with Usual Residence Age, sex and country of citizenship Age, sex and country of birth Census statistics Annual statistics Census statistics Annual statistics NL Y Y Y Y AT Y Y [Population register] Y Y [Population register] PL Y No data [Residence permit database] Y No data [Residence permit database] PT Y Y (Residence permit database) Y No data SI Y Y Y Y SK Y Y (Residence permit database) Y Y (Residence permit database) FI Y Y Y Y SE Y Y Y Y UK No data Y (survey estimates) Y Y (survey estimates) 1 Information on the method is reported only when it is different from the general method as presented in Comparative Table 12. Text in italic within square brackets denotes that statistics could be available or are expected soon through the method mentioned here. 201 Chapter 8 Statistics on International Migration Flows Beata Nowok, Dorota Kupiszewska and Michel Poulain Introduction The provision of statistics on international migration flows is specified in Article 3 of the proposed EU Regulation, as follows: 1. Member States shall supply to the Commission (Eurostat) statistics on the numbers of: (a) immigrants moving to the territory of the Member State, disaggregated as follows: (i) citizenship by age and sex; (ii) country of birth by age and sex; (iii) country of previous usual residence by age and sex. The above articles must be read in conjunction with the definitions of the terms they use. These are formulated in Article 2.1 of the proposed EU Regulation in the following way: (b) ‘immigration’ means the action by which a natural person estab-lishes his or her usual residence in the territory of a Member State for a pe-riod that is, or is expected to be, of at least twelve months, having previously been usually resident in another Member State or a third country; (c) ‘emigration’ means the action by which a natural person, having previously been usually resident in the territory of a Member State, ceases to have his usual residence in that Member State for a period that is, or is expected to be, of at least twelve months; (d) ‘immigrant’ means a natural person undertaking an immigration; (e) ‘emigrant’ means a natural person undertaking an emigration; A clarification is necessary before more detailed analysis of the situation is undertaken. The EU Regulation requests the numbers of immigrants and emigrants, not the numbers of immigrations and emigrations. During a given year a person may be involved in multiple international migrations, as defined in national practice, and therefore the number of international T H E S I M migrants may be slightly smaller than the number of international migrations. If the twelve-month rule is strictly applied there will of course be no difference in counting migrations or migrants during a given year. But as most countries’ data-collection systems consider the number of international migrations and not international migrants, and do not follow the twelvemonth rule, the numbers of international migrations in these countries will be higher than the number of international migrants as requested by a strict interpretation of the EU Regulation. 1. Comparison with the UN recommendations The first point to be assessed is whether the definitions in the EU Regulation are in agreement with the UN recommendations on statistics of international migration (UN, 1998). As already mentioned in Chapter 7, the EU definition corresponds to the UN definition of ‘long-term migrant’. Both are based on the condition of establishing the usual place of residence in the destination country for twelve months or more. Such a definition should ensure that statistics collected on international migration flows for the purposes of the EU Regulation are consistent with the statistics on total usually resident population, which should also cover people staying or intending to stay for twelve months or more (Chapter 7). Short-term migrants (i.e. people changing their usual place of residence for a period of between three and twelve months) do not fall within the scope of the EU Regulation (except for statistics on residence permits, as discussed in Chapter 9). The Member States’ main interest is in long-term migrants, but short-term migrants cannot be ignored in policy considerations. As stated in the UN recommendations: “because one of the new features of international population mobility is the increase of shortterm international movements of people for purposes other than tourism, it is important to gather information on some of the persons who spend less than a year in a country other than that of their usual residence” (UN, 1998: §37). If countries are interested in collecting statistics on short-term migrants as well (outside the EU Regulation) it is important for international harmonisation that statistics on the two types of migrants should be reported separately. Further, the term ‘international migrant’ here carries the meaning specified in the EU Regulation, i.e. a long-term migrant. The duration of stay is an important variable in data collection on international migrants. According to the EU Regulation, the criterion is a period that is, or is expected to be, of at least twelve months. This definition, 204 Chapter 8: Statistics on International Migration flows formulated in accordance with the UN recommendations, provides three options: to determine the actual duration of stay on an ex post basis by waiting a minimum of twelve months after the date of immigration; to rely on self-reported information on the intended duration of stay, provided by the migrant at the time of immigration; to assume that the duration of stay will be the same as the duration of validity of the residence permit for immigrants who need a residence permit. The first option provides the most accurate reflection of the actual situation. However it has the disadvantage that complete statistics on people who moved in year t and stayed for twelve months or longer would not be produced until year t+2. It does not allow data suppliers to meet the requirements of the EU Regulation, that statistics be produced within ten months of the end of the reference year. A viable alternative is offered by statistics based on intended duration of stay, which may be delivered in due time. These statistics include, in particular, nationals and foreigners with long-term resident status. For other foreigners who need a residence permit to live in the country, the intended duration of stay in combination with the duration of validity of the residence permit is the most appropriate criterion. Asylum seekers whose applications are pending are a special category of foreigners who should be included in the international migration statistics only after their stay in the country has lasted at least one year (Chapter 10). 2. Sources of data on international migration flows The availability of statistics on international migration flows is conditioned by the existence of a data-collection system that can yield meaningful statistical information on changes of place of usual residence. The major types of data sources used to produce statistics on international migration flows may be summarised as follows: population registration systems, including local and centralised population registers; statistical forms completed for all changes of residence; other administrative registers related to foreigners (e.g. aliens registers, residence permit databases and asylum seekers databases); data collection on border crossings and other sample surveys; population censuses. Detailed information on sources used to produce international migration statistics across the EU are presented in Comparative Table 14. To be comprehensive, statistics should cover immigrants and emigrants, 205 T H E S I M irrespective of their citizenship. However, governments are usually more interested in controlling the migration, particularly immigration, of foreigners than of their own citizens. This priority is reflected in their administrative procedures and data-collection systems. Therefore, data sources for statistics on immigration of nationals, immigration of foreigners, emigration of nationals and emigration of foreigners are presented separately below. In practice in all the countries (except the Czech Republic, Hungary, Portugal, Slovenia and the Slovak Republic) which produce statistics on both nationals and non-nationals, the data are derived from the same source, usually population registers (thirteen countries) and statistical surveys (four countries). As a consequence of the recent EU Directive on the right of residence for all EU citizens in other EU MS1 an additional distinction between foreigners who are EU citizens and third-country nationals will be needed in future (as proposed in Comparative Table 16). Centralised population registers Centralised population registers are used to produce statistics on international migration flows for both nationals and non-nationals in eight countries (Belgium, Denmark, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg and Finland). In all these countries the National Statistical Institute (NSI) receives from the centralised population register, on a periodic basis, a copy of all registrations and de-registrations. Registrations of migrants coming from abroad are considered as international immigrations while de-registrations of migrants moving abroad are counted as international emigrations. In Austria Spain and Sweden the NSI keeps, for statistical purposes, a centralised population register that includes information on changes of residence received monthly (in Spain) or daily (in Sweden) from local population registers (Spain2) or the Tax Authority (Sweden). The Czech Republic, Hungary and Slovenia also derive their statistics on international migration from their centralised population registers, but only for nationals3. Directive 2004/38/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29th April 2004 on the right of citizens of the Union and their family members to move and reside freely within the territory of the Member States. 2 Apart from statistical purposes, the INE central population register is used to coordinate the operation of local population registers. 3 In Hungary the population register includes only foreigners with permanent residence permits, while in the Czech Republic and Slovenia the population registers theoretically cover both nationals and non-nationals. However the data are considered to be less reliable than those extracted from the aliens registers. 1 206 Chapter 8: Statistics on International Migration flows Local population registers Local population registers are used to derive statistics on international migration flows in three EU MS: Germany, Italy and the Netherlands. The details of the preparation of migration statistics in these three countries vary4. In some countries (Poland and Slovak Republic), centralised population registers are in operation, but are not yet systematically used for statistical purposes because of the lack, or poor quality, of some crucial information5. In these two countries data on international migration for nationals and non-nationals are still collected through statistical forms filled in when a person is registered or deregistered6. Aliens registers and residence permit databases Aliens registers and residence permit databases constitute a valuable source of data on international migration in countries where the population register does not cover the whole target foreign population (Hungary), the development of the population register is not yet complete (Czech Republic, Slovenia and Slovak Republic), or where there is no population register (France, Greece and Portugal). It is worth noting that in countries where no 4 In Germany statistics are based on data from the administrative forms for local registration of arrivals and departures. They are anonymised and aggregated by the statistical offices of each Länder on a monthly basis and then transmitted to the Federal Statistical Office. It must be noted that there may be small discrepancies between registration rules in operation in various Länder. In the Netherlands all local registers send details of changes of residence and administrative corrections to Statistics Netherlands by electronic mail on a daily basis. In Italy the preparation of migration flow statistics is based on two different data-collection questionnaires sent by ISTAT to all municipalities. In the first questionnaire each municipality is obliged to deliver aggregated data on the demographic balance of the resident population, and in the second one individual data on changes of residence are requested. However statistics based on the two sources are not compatible. 5 For instance, in the Polish central population register there is no indication of the previous place of residence. In the Slovak population register there are a number of persons whose former Czechoslovak citizenship has not yet been replaced by the new Czech or Slovak citizenship, so statistics on migration flows by citizenship cannot be produced. Fortunately in both countries the centralised population register is currently being improved and will be used for statistical purposes in the future. 6 In Poland the statistical parts of the registration forms and copies of the administrative deregistration forms are sent to the Ministry of the Interior, where the data are input into a computer text file and then sent to the Central Statistical Office. In the Slovak Republic special statistical forms are filled in and they are sent directly to the statistical office. Identical forms, inherited from the time when Czechoslovakia existed, were used in the Czech Republic to produce statistics on international migration of nationals until the reference year 2004 (inclusive). 207 T H E S I M statistics on international migration can be produced using population registers, the residence permit databases could be an alternative data source as far as immigration of third-country nationals is concerned. Border crossing forms Border crossing forms are no longer used for producing statistics on international migration in EU MS. Sample migration surveys are used to produce statistics on international immigration and emigration flows in four countries: through household surveys carried out within the country in Portugal and Ireland and through sample surveys of border crossers in Cyprus and the United Kingdom. In addition, the United Kingdom uses supplementary data sources to adjust statistics derived from surveys, namely data on asylum seekers, removals and long-term visitor switchers (visitors who became migrants) from the Home Office, plus data on migration flows from and to Ireland provided by the Irish Central Statistical Office. In France, as already mentioned, the newly introduced rolling census is to be used to produce statistics on international immigration of EEA citizens (including French citizens). Finally, a specific data collection is carried out in Malta. People who intend to settle in Malta have to declare at Customs goods that are taken into Malta unless these items are deemed to be their personal effects. An additional form is completed at that time, which is transferred to the Statistical Office for producing statistics on international immigrations. Best source of reliable statistics on migration flows A centralised, computerised, comprehensive and complete population registration system providing for the continuous recording of information on each member of the target population seems to be the best source of reliable statistics on migration flows, providing the rules related to registration are followed by migrants. The same statistics can usually be derived from local population registers or based on forms (administrative or statistical) filled in when changes of residence are registered. However the use of local population registers or statistical forms is much more complex and may have a negative impact on the overall reliability of the data collected. If there is no administrative data source covering the whole population, or the available data on some population categories are considered unreliable, other registers may be used that contain only subsets of the population, e.g. aliens registers or residence permit databases. Combining different administrative registers is an appropriate alternative 208 Chapter 8: Statistics on International Migration flows method of meeting the EU Regulation’s requirements. In the absence of administrative data sources, some countries rely on statistical surveys carried out during border crossings or among households inside the country. Some information on international migration flows can also be derived from population censuses, but this source has a number of wellknown limitations. For instance, it is carried out only at long intervals, accommodates only a small number of questions and is not able to capture all migration events that occur between enumerations. Therefore it cannot constitute a source of annual statistics on international migration. Moreover, only international immigrants can be identified; international emigrants no longer form part of the population being enumerated. 3. Availability of statistics requested by the EU Regulation The scope of international migration statistics produced by each NSI, based on the data sources described above, varies considerably. The delivery of some statistical tables is constrained by factors such as the lack of relevant and appropriate characteristics in a data-collection system, the low reliability of the data and the existence of legal restrictions on the dissemination of some personal information. Comparative Table 15 gives details of the availability of the data requested by the EU Regulation. The figures on total immigration and emigration flows are available, with only a few exceptions where there is no source for the data or its reliability is considered to be very low. For example, there are no statistics on immigrants or emigrants in Greece, while in Estonia the NSI decided not to publish international migration statistics due to the low quality of the data. In addition, France does not have any statistics on emigration. Emigration statistics in Malta refer only to the emigration of nationals to the United Kingdom. Immigration statistics in France and Portugal do not cover nationals. Statistics derived from surveys (in Ireland and the United Kingdom) are affected by high estimation errors due to small samples. This refers more specifically to disaggregations by citizenship, country of birth and country of previous/next residence, and in the United Kingdom, by age. The most widely available tabulation of international migration statistics is that of immigrants by citizenship. The large majority of EU MS, with the exception of Estonia and Poland, produce this table. In Estonia the problem of the very low quality of the data affects all the information on international migration and no tables are produced. In Poland, for the same reason, data on international migration by citizenship is not produced. Statistics on immigrants by citizenship are not currently available in Greece, although they will be produced from the residence permit database in the near future. 209 T H E S I M As in France and Portugal, these statistics will cover only third-country nationals. There are more problems related to data on international immigration by country of birth and country of previous residence. Statistics on immigrants by country of birth are neither currently produced nor planned for the near future in Greece, France, Cyprus, Germany and Poland. In Greece, Cyprus and France this information is not gathered. However in Cyprus the inclusion of an appropriate question in the passenger survey should not present any difficulties. In Poland, only information on the place of birth is collected, but the derivation of the country of birth is not straightforward due to numerous historical changes in the national territory. In Germany, information on the country of birth is available in the population register, but the data are of insufficient quality and the coding scheme varies between different local population registers. In compliance with the national regulation on population statistics, they are not transmitted to the NSI. In Portugal, statistics on immigration by country of birth are produced only for foreigners. Although statistics on immigrants by country of birth are not currently available in Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Luxembourg, Slovenia and the Slovak Republic, these countries intend to produce them in the near future. In Austria, where the Central Population Register has recently been created, the country of birth variable needs to be collected from local population registers because this information was not available in electronic format in all municipalities when the local registers were centralised. In Belgium, statistics on immigration by country of birth are not currently produced although the data are available and are considered to be of good quality. Information on the country of previous residence is not collected at all or is incomplete in several countries. In particular, it is missing in Greece and France for both nationals and non-nationals, in Slovenia for non-nationals and in Hungary for nationals (information is gathered on non-nationals in Hungary, but is incomplete). Luxembourg does not publish these statistics due to incomplete registration of information on the country of previous residence. In Belgium, the country of previous residence is considered a sensitive topic and is not included in the so-called legal variables that are the only characteristics allowed to be disseminated by the NSI. The availability of statistics on international emigration by citizenship, country of birth and country of next residence in EU MS is generally similar to that on international immigration. However, some countries that produce immigration data based on residence permits, namely Greece and France, do not have emigration statistics. Portugal overcomes this problem by conducting a special survey. 210 Chapter 8: Statistics on International Migration flows Statistics on flows of foreigners (and therefore total flows as well) by country of previous/next residence need special attention. Some general assumptions are often made by NSI: emigration statistics are derived from the dates of expiry of residence permits and when information on country of origin or destination of foreign migrants is missing the country of citizenship is considered. In Lithuania the country of next residence when a residence permit expires is taken to be the country from which the foreigner came. In addition to registered emigration, some countries (e.g. Belgium, Denmark and the Netherlands) include a special category called administrative corrections for the emigrations of both nationals and nonnationals that are either declared ex post or are discovered not to have been declared (when the individual is administratively deregistered). This category relates to emigrations that often occurred during a previous year, and therefore should not be considered as emigrations for the current year of observation. Most of these administrative corrections, by their very nature, cannot be disaggregated by country of next residence; in practice they are usually included in the emigration statistics and the country of destination is left unknown. 4. Reliability of data on international migration flows The availability of statistics is not an end in itself. Even if data are available, their poor quality may render them useless. In this section one key aspect of data quality is addressed, namely reliability or compliance with the national definition (which is itself not necessarily in agreement with the internationally recommended definition). If a non-harmonised definition is applied, but the data collection is meticulous, the data are classified as reliable. In such a situation data users can trust the available statistics and there is an exact correspondence between concepts underlying the data and the statistics produced. There are two main factors that make international migration statistics unreliable. The first is the under-registration of migrations, which applies in particular to countries where data-collection systems rely on selfdeclarations of international movements. The second relates to data coverage: the data-collection system used in a country may not cover the whole target population and so some subsets may be excluded from the statistics. This does not refer to a situation in which, for example, data are collected on foreigners only, but to one in which some of the people included in the definition are excluded from the data-collection procedure 211 T H E S I M (see below). In addition, data may be unreliable if a lot of errors arise during their processing. As discussed above when dealing with availability problems, the majority of international migration statistics in EU MS are derived from population registers. No doubt, deficiencies in registration have the most significant influence on data reliability. People do not register or deregister because there is no such requirement, or even if there is, the administrative rules are not strictly applied. The willingness to report changes of place of residence varies from one country to another, but everywhere people take into account the advantages and disadvantages of being or not being registered. In general, there is more interest in registering arrivals than departures. There-fore, in any given country, immigration statistics are generally more reliable than emigration statistics. Data based on sample surveys are insufficiently reliable because of estimation errors and the generally high volatility observed in the time series. Statistics on international migration flows based on the issue or expiry of residence permits should be reliable, because the fact of issuing a permit is usually well documented in the residence permit database. However residence permit data refer only to third-country nationals. Moreover emigration statistics based on the expiry of residence permits cover only people with temporary residence permits, and the timing of their emigration may be earlier than the expiry of the residence permit. Finally, it should be noted that everybody who effectively immigrates or emigrates should be taken into consideration (including accompanying children), not only the family members who possess residence permits. As regards data coverage, flows of undocumented migrants are not included. Only Spain includes some illegal migrants in their official statistics on international immigration when these persons present themselves to be registered in the local Padrón. Theoretically, some illegal migrants may also be covered by the international passenger surveys carried out in Cyprus and the United Kingdom. In general, asylum seekers are included only when they have been granted refugee status and received a temporary or permanent residence permit. In Germany, Spain, Austria and the Netherlands asylum seekers are recorded in the population register at an earlier stage of the asylum procedure, and at the same time they are included in immigration statistics (after six months of legal stay in the Netherlands, and immediately in the three other countries). In Cyprus and Ireland they are covered by statistics based on surveys but this is not true of the ‘International Passenger Survey’ in the United Kingdom. This problem is solved by using Home Office estimates to correct the survey and produce immigration statistics. By contrast, asylum seekers are never included in 212 Chapter 8: Statistics on International Migration flows migration statistics in Hungary and Portugal, even after they have been granted refugee status. Students are another group of people who are in a grey area of the registration of international migrations. Not all EU students are included in the population registers of the receiving country and deregistered from those of the sending country. Those who do not report their emigration or immigration will not appear in the related statistics. For students originating from third countries the information is more reliable, as all these students need to acquire a specific residence permit. Bilateral agreements between EU MS or a new EU directive may help to clarify this situation by stipulating explicitly when a student does and does not have to be registered in his or her place of study. In some cases over-coverage, rather than under-coverage, can be observed. For instance, foreigners born in Portugal are included in the immigration statistics. Nevertheless, the most important problem remains under-coverage. This may reduce all migration flows by a factor of ten and, in some cases one hundred, as will be shown later in this chapter. The consistency of international migration statistics available in different databases and publications is a separate concern. When different figures are published in different statistical databases for a given country, doubts are raised about the quality of the data. The THESIM project compared the figures in the Eurostat database, the DG JLS Annual Reports on Asylum and Migration, the ‘Joint Questionnaire Eurostat-UNSD-UNECE-CoE-ILO Questionnaires on International Migration Statistics’, the CoE publications ‘Recent demographic developments in Europe’, figures from official websites of NSI, SOPEMI reports and the EUROSTAT project ‘Quality review of MIGRAT in New Cronos’ for total immigration and emigration 1999-2002 in for each country. The total flow statistics were highly consistent across time and across all the sources inspected in the Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Slovenia and Sweden. However significant problems were noted in Latvia, Portugal, Ireland and Italy. More or less frequent inconsistencies were detected in other countries, or the figures were missing. According to this investigation the most frequent sources of inconsistencies were: differences between provisional and final data; differences in coverage as data were provided by different bodies and some misunderstanding of the content of the request occurred, mainly when the NSI was not involved; the occasional use of the wrong reference date for the data. Adequate metadata are clearly essential, including information on the 213 T H E S I M provisional or definitive status of the information, the name of the provider, the data source and the definitions used. 5. Comparability of data on international migration flows Despite existing recommendations from the UN and the EU, the definitions of international migrants vary significantly between countries, within countries over time, and between different sources of statistical information. Moreover, the definitions of immigration and emigration that are applied in a particular country do not necessarily match in terms of the time criterion (Comparative Table 16). As discussed above, the reliability of the data collection also varies between countries, and within countries between immigration and emigration according to the population concerned. The most important comparability problems are discussed here, with respect to the application of the EU Regulation. The main sources of variation in definitions used in EU MS are the differences in the concepts of ‘place of residence’ and ‘duration of stay’ that are applied to determine who is an international migrant. Because the datasets are usually not accompanied by detailed methodological information these concepts remain a relatively uncharted area for most data users. Most countries base their definitions of international migration on a change of country of residence. In some cases this is the only concept underlying the definition. A variety of possible interpretations of and nuances in the term ‘country of residence’ can result in a lack of clarity in the statistics. As explained in Chapter 3, it can be interpreted from a legal (de jure) or an actual (de facto) point of view. In the former, the laws and regulations binding in the country in question specify requirements that have to be fulfilled in order to become a resident. The conditions differ between nationals and non-nationals, and within non-nationals there are two distinct groups (namely foreigners with the right to free movement, and others). In fact, nationals have an unconditional right of residence in their country of citizenship, whereas the rights of foreigners are hedged in with conditions. Nationals may still be counted as part of the population of their country of citizenship even after they have been living abroad for a number of years, but having a place of residence in a country does not necessarily mean a physical presence on its territory. Thus in some countries nationals cannot be migrants unless their actual presence and absence are considered. From the de facto perspective, residence is directly connected to presence in a country. Usually, presence must be for a specified minimum period of time. 214 Chapter 8: Statistics on International Migration flows Therefore, time should be considered as a supplementary concept to that of residence. However, the level of concreteness differs across countries. On the one hand, the definitions currently in use often specify that international migration takes place when there is a change in the country of residence for a minimum period of time. Such a period is precisely defined. On the other hand, some countries take only permanent changes of residence into account, although permanent does not necessarily mean the same in different countries. Its meaning can be understood literally, or as equivalent to long-term. When a precise period is used, another problem arises related to the distinction between intended and actual duration. The use of the actual duration concept means that the production of statistics would be systematically delayed by the period used as the time criterion in the definition of migration. Currently, all countries which specify a precise period use the intended duration7. Therefore, an assumption is made that the intended duration will become the actual one. However, for nonnationals the intended duration is usually limited to the period specified in the authorisation to stay. Very often, the statutory length of stay is used instead of the immigrant’s real intentions. This approach has some advantages. The legal time is objective and easy to record accurately by the receiving country. However, the actual presence of foreigners in the country often differs from that given by their initial authorisation to stay. Foreigners may leave the country long before their permits expire, or their permits may be renewed and they may stay longer. Details of the time criterion used in the definitions of international immigrants and emigrants in the twenty-five countries of the EU and information on the compatibility of the statistics with the Regulation are presented in Comparative Table 16. The figures are given separately for nationals and non-nationals, and non-nationals are further subdivided into EU citizens and third-country nationals. The threshold durations used by countries differ widely. On the one hand, there are countries where the duration of residence is of no relevance because any move in or out of a dwelling should be registered and deregistered and will be directly reflected in the statistics. On the other hand, there are countries where only movements for an ‘infinite’ duration (i.e. settlement migration) are counted. Within these extremes, the duration of stay criterion applied in migration statistics across the EU is usually set to a period between three months and one year. The one-year criterion is 7 In the Czech Republic the actual duration of stay was used for the immigration statistics for 2001 and 2002. 215 T H E S I M requested by the EU Regulation, and only Cyprus and the United Kingdom (which compile their statistics on international migration flows from sample surveys conducted during border controls) currently apply this definition consistently. In Finland and Sweden, where the one-year criterion is applied as a general rule, it is not followed for emigration to other Nordic countries (where the rule of the country of immigration is applied, according to the Nordic Agreement). However these two countries, as well as most other countries using population registers, would be able to deliver statistics using the twelve-month rule on an ex post basis. Related to the different time criteria used by countries, there are different practices concerning the inclusion of short-term migrations in international migration statistics. Practice in this area may differ when statistics on nationals, other EEA citizens and non-EEA citizens are produced. In fact it is frequently difficult to estimate the level of coverage of short-term migrations, as many countries do not specify the duration of stay of migrants into or out of their territory. Investigations undertaken as part of the THESIM project show that fourteen countries could present statistics on ex post actual stays in the country or abroad, and could therefore fully comply with the UN definition on long-term migration. With the addition of two countries that could produce these statistics for all non-nationals, and four that could do so for the immigration of non-EEA citizens, twenty out of twenty-five countries could at least produce immigration statistics for third-country nationals based on the UN’s definition of long-term migration. For a variety of reasons, including the early date of publication and the constraints concerning legal and financial matters, some countries have not as yet been able to implement these existing possibilities. As well as discrepancies in the definitions of crucial concepts described above, there are a number of other problems that considerably hinder the international comparability of flow data. Time-related issues are predominant. First, migration events are counted at various dates. For immigration this might be the date of issuing a permit, the date of arrival or the date of reporting for registration; for emigration, the date of expiry of a permit, the date of reporting the departure or the date of departure are variously used. Secondly, in some cases a reference period other than a calendar year might be applied (e.g. April to April in Ireland). In addition, when a very short (or no) duration of stay criterion is employed, an individual may migrate several times during the reference period. All of these events are counted separately in the international migration statistics. When the one-year time limit is strictly applied and the data are collected on an annual basis, only one migration (immigration or emigration) can be 216 Chapter 8: Statistics on International Migration flows counted for a given migrant and, accordingly, there should be no difference between the number of migrants and the number of migrations. This analysis leads to the general conclusion that currently available data on international migration flows are still far from being internationally comparable. This is evident at intra-EU level when data on flows between pairs of EU MS, reported by both the country of origin and the country of destination, are compared. In fact, data collection on international migration is unique in demography because the same phenomenon, the same events (international migrations) and the same people (international migrants) are counted by two different countries in two completely different datacollection systems. The emigration figures produced by sending countries and the immigration figures collected by receiving countries should be similar if the two data-collection systems use identical definitions and the data are reliable. The idea of using a double-entry matrix for comparing these figures is more than thirty years old8. Comparative Table 17 displays the double-entry matrix for migration flows between EU MS in 2002. Each cell includes, for a given migration flow from country A to country B, both the number of emigrations recorded in country A and the number of immigrations registered in country B. In this way, the two figures in the same cell are directly comparable. Here are the general conclusions based on the 2002 matrix: Belgium, Estonia, Greece, France, Ireland, Luxembourg, Hungary, Malta and the UK submitted no data at all (except that Ireland and Malta provided immigration and emigration data with the UK, and Malta also provided immigration data from Italy). As a consequence 56 cells include no data at all, either for emigration or for immigration9. By contrast, both figures are available for 277 migration flows. This means that it is possible to compare the statistics for 46% of all cases. 134 cells include only immigration data, and the remaining 133 cells only emigration data10. In the 277 cells where both figures are available, the total number of immigrations exceeds the total number of emigrations (508,800 immigrations compared to 448,636 emigrations). This does not 8 Such double-entry matrices have been produced annually by UNECE since 1972 and more recently by Eurostat. The two main proponents of using this tool to estimate the level of harmonisation of international migration flows are John Kelly (1987) and Michel Poulain (1999). 9 The Luxembourg and UK data are also available for some years. 10 Please note that the equal number of cells with either immigration data or emigration data may be explained by the fact that countries providing immigration data have also emigration data. 217 T H E S I M necessarily mean that immigrations are systematically better recorded than emigrations, as it may also be a consequence of better recording (of both immigration and emigration flows) in traditional countries of immigration. A comparison of immigration and emigration figures in the 230 cells with non-zero figures shows that 135 of the figures are higher for immigration than for the corresponding emigration. The reverse is true in 95 cases (41% of the total). A difference between immigration and emigration figures of less than 25% might be considered an acceptable level of reliability. Only 37 cells are in this favourable situation. This represents only 16% of all the pairs of migration figures compared and a little more that 5% of all intra-EU migration flows. The inter-Nordic flows between Denmark, Finland and Sweden show the most consistency between immigration and emigration figures. This is explained by the Inter-Nordic agreement, which imposed the rules of the country of immigration on the synchronised registration or inter-Nordic migrants in both sending and receiving countries. The remaining differences may be attributed to dual citizenship and time delays for migrations occurring at the end of the year. In 53 cells (23%) the emigration figure exceeds the corresponding immigration figure by a factor of more than two, while in 87 cells (38%) the immigration figure is more than twice the emigration one. In total about two out of three migration flows are in this unfavourable situation. Some comparisons are even worse: for example, Spain recorded only 122 emigrations to Denmark, whereas Denmark enumerated 1,613 immigrations from Spain, Slovak Republic recorded 219 emigrations to Germany, compared to the 11,600 immigrations from the Slovak Republic registered in Germany. Germany reports a larger number of both immigrations and emigrations than all other countries. Next, but far behind, come Denmark, Netherlands and Austria. The Slovak Republic, Portugal, Poland and Slovenia record the smallest number of both immigrations and emigrations. Part of the explanation for these huge differences may be found in variations in the definitions and time criteria used. In fact, Germany records immigration and emigration strictly within eight days of its occurrence. Most other countries have longer time criteria or no criterion at all, and in this situation most migrants who consider their move to be temporary do not report it. 218 Chapter 8: Statistics on International Migration flows The absence of a time criterion thus has a negative impact on the reliability and coverage of the data collection. Moreover, in countries where the data collection and the definitions used are not the same for nationals, other EU citizens and thirdcountry nationals, the figures should be done separately for the citizens of the sending country, those of the receiving country, other EU citizens and third-country nationals. Finally, the large differences observed between countries are considered to be mainly due to problems of coverage. Differences in definition can explain only small differences between countries11. Accordingly, we may conclude that the harmonisation of definitions is necessary to improve the overall comparability of international migration data within the EU but is not sufficient to eradicate all the problems. The primary requirement is a global improvement of the reliability of registration and data-collection processes. This investigation of the intra-EU double-entry migration matrix demonstrates the weak comparability of the available data. The same comparability problems probably affect data on the international migration of EU citizens outside the EU, as the same rules and practice are in force. Fortunately, the immigration of third-country nationals is better recorded in most EU MS as the residence permit database is used (directly or indirectly) to measure these flows. However this is not true for emigration. The above conclusions on the comparability of international migration flows by country of origin or country of destination are probably also valid for international migration by citizenship or country of birth. However no direct check is possible. Conclusion An urgent need for international migration statistics coincides with an unsatisfactory degree of availability, reliability and comparability of data on international migration flows. The comparability problems occur at different stages of the procedures used to produce immigration and emigration statistics. Firstly, different data sources are used to collect statistical information. Usually, statistics on international migration flows are byproducts of information collected for administrative purposes and as such their coverage and possible tabulation are limited by the scope of the 11 Some checks have been carried out by the THESIM team in Sweden, Denmark and Belgium that show that differences in the time criterion can be responsible only for differences of less than 25%. 219 T H E S I M information gathered for these administrative purposes. Registered migration events and recorded characteristics depend in turn on national migration policy, while the level of under-registration of international migrations depends on the existence of incentives and disincentives prompting compliance with registration rules. Undoubtedly the problem of defining international migrants and migration is of great importance. The numerous discrepancies in basic concepts applied in identifying migrants and migration are one of the main reasons that international flow statistics are not comparable. But the problems of coverage, and particularly under-registration of migration, are the most important and the situation is worsened when no fixed time criterion is used for the self-declaration of migration. The review of the availability, reliability and comparability of the data on international migration flows which is to be required under the EU Regulation showed very diverse situations in the twenty-five EU MS. However it also suggested ways in which the data could be improved so as to comply with the EU Regulation or at least to clarify the differences between the data requested and those produced. In order to improve the overall situation, the need for a fixed time criterion for identifying immigration has been highlighted as of great importance. A twelve-month period should be recommended, alongside the EU Regulation, even if the threshold of three months would probably be more effective in terms of coverage and reliability. Most efforts should be focused on the registration of emigration, of both nationals and non-nationals, by facilitating the administrative procedure and by introducing incentives for both the people concerned and the local administration to register the move. For migration between EU MS, the EU Directive lays down that the registration of immigration is compulsory in the receiving country; the declaration of emigration and deregistration in the sending country should also be made compulsory. Following the experience of the Nordic countries, an exchange of information between EU MS would be really helpful in improving statistics on migration within the EU. For emigrations outside the EU, the registration of nationals in consulates abroad should be encouraged by providing concrete advantages to the migrant. This information should then be systematically transferred to the central population registration system and used to deregister the migrant from his or her previous place of residence. For third-country nationals, the residence permit database is the most reliable source of data for immigration if only the first permit issued is considered. It is more difficult to estimate emigration by using this data source. Generally speaking, the information on the expiry of residence 220 Chapter 8: Statistics on International Migration flows permits should be systematically transferred to the population registration system and used as the starting point for investigating and possibly deregistering emigrations that have not been self-declared. It would also be possible to register the emigration when the external border of the EU is crossed by checking the residence permit. However this would involve the exchange of information between all EU MS, as emigrants may be usually resident in one EU country but leave the EU through a border in another EU country. 221 T H E S I M Comparative Table 14. Data sources of statistics on international migration flows IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL FOR IE X X X X X X [X]1 [X] Sample survey NAT FR X X FOR ES NAT EL X X X X X X FOR EE NAT DE Alien Register or residence permits database FOR DK Statistical forms NAT CZ IM EM IM EM IM EM IM EM IM EM IM EM IM EM IM EM IM EM IM EM IM EM IM EM IM EM IM EM IM EM IM EM3 IM EM Local Population Registers FOR BE Central Population Register NAT IMmigration or EMigration X X [X] [X] [X] X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X2 X X [X] X X 222 X Chapter 8: Statistics on International Migration flows X X X X X X X X X X X X FOR X X NAT UK X X Sample survey FOR SE NAT FI FOR SK NAT SI X X FOR PT Statistical forms Alien Register or residence permits database NAT PL IM EM IM EM IM EM IM EM IM EM IM EM IM EM IM EM Local Population Registers FOR AT Central Population Register NAT IMmigration or EMigration X [X] X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1 [X] means that this data source could be available or expected to be used in the future. Statistical forms filled in by persons who intend to settle in Malta. Data collection is organised by custom authorities in co-operation with the statistical office. 3 The only available information to produce emigration statistics is that on Maltese emigrants requesting permission for permanent settlement in the United Kingdom, received from the British High Commission. 2 223 T H E S I M Comparative Table 15. Availability of statistics on international migration flows1 Age Sex Total Sex EE Age DE Total DK Additional dimension Sex CZ Additional dimension Total By country of previous/ next residence Additional dimension By country of birth Age BE By citizenship Total IMmi gration or EMigration + + + + -[+] -[+] -[+] -L,Q -L,Q -L,Q + + + + -[+] -[+] -[+] + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + - - - + + + -Q [+] -Q [+] -Q [+] -Q [+] -Q [+] -Q [+] -Q [+] -Q [+] -Q [+] -Q [+] IM -[f:+] -[f:+] -[f:+] -[f:+] - - - - - - EM - - - - - - - - - - IM& EM + + + + + + + + + + IM n:-f: + n:- f:± [+] n:- f:± [+] n:- f:± [+] - - - - - - EM - - - - - - - - - - + ± + + ± + + ± + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + - - - + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + -[+] -[+] -[+] -Q -Q -Q IM + + + + + + + n:- f:- n:- f:- n:- f:- Q Q Q EM + + + + + + + - - - IM + ± + + ± + + ± + + EM n:± f:- - - - - - - IM& EM IM& EM IM& EM IM& EM IM& EM EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT LU IM& EM IM& EM IM& EM IM& EM IM& EM IM& EM HU MT 224 n:± f:- n:+ f:- n:+ f:- Chapter 8: Statistics on International Migration flows Sex Age Sex Total Age Total PL Additional dimension Sex AT IM& EM IM& EM IM& EM Additional dimension Total By country of previous/ next residence Additional dimension By country of birth Age NL By citizenship Total IMmi gration or EMigration + + + + + + + + + + + + + + -Q [+] -Q [+] -Q [+] + + + + -Q -Q -Q - - - + + + IM n:- f:+ n:- f:+ n:- f:+ n:- f:+ n:- f:+ n:- f:+ n:- f:+ n:- f:+ n:- f:+ n:- f:+ EM + - IM + PT - - - - - + + + -[+] -[+] -[+] n:+ f:- n:+ f:- n:+ f:- + n:+ f:[+] + -[+] -[+] -[+] n:+ f:- n:+ f:- n:+ f:- -[+] -[+] + + + SI EM SK FI SE UK IM& EM IM& EM IM& EM IM& EM + + -Q + + + + + n:-[+] f:+ + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + ± ± + ± ± + ± ± + 1 Legend: + Available - Not available n: Information referring to nationals f: Information referring to non-nationals [ ] Information referring to data that might be produced in the future Q Statistics are not produced due to low quality of data L There are legal constraints on the publication of data ± Only some data are available: FR: Immigration statistics do not cover EEA citizens; Disaggregation by age and sex available but not provided; IE: Selected countries of citizenship/birth/previous or next residence; MT: Immigration statistics available only for selected countries of citizenship/birth/previous residence; Statistics on immigration by country of previous residence refer to immigration of persons of Maltese origin; Emigration statistics cover only nationals emigrating to the UK; UK: Selected countries of citizenship/birth/previous or next residence; Disaggregation by age available only for some countries. 225 T H E S I M Comparative Table 16. Time criteria and compatibility of international migration statistics with the EU Regulation1 BE IMmig ration or EMigr ation Nationals Other EEA citizens Non EEA citizens IM No time critera 3 months 3 months P P P EM No time critera 3 months 3 months, permit expiry P P P N Y Y N N N P P P Permanent, no time criteria Permanent, no time criteria 3 months/6 months one year one year permanent/per mit expiry 3 months/6 months permanent/per mit expiry 3 months/6 months EM4 6 months 6 months 6 months P P P IM EM no time criteria no time criteria no time criteria no time criteria N N N N N N [3 months] [3 months] [P] [P] [P] [P] N N P P N N N N N Y Y Y N N P P N N N N N Y Y Y [Y] N P P Y N N N N Y Y Y no time criteria P P P EM 6 months [no time criteria] [one year] no statistics no time criteria no time criteria One year 6 no statistics no time criteria no time criteria 6 months one year one year one year one year validity for residence permit 7 6 months or end of validity of permit [P] IM [no time criteria] no statistics no statistics no time criteria no time criteria no statistics no statistics no time criteria no time criteria no time criteria one year one year one year one year validity for residence permit7 6 months or end of validity of permit [P] IM EM IM EM IM EM IM EM IM EM IM EM no time criteria no time criteria [no time criteria] [no time criteria] no statistics no statistics no time criteria no time criteria no statistics no statistics no time criteria no time criteria no time criteria one year one year one year P P P IM CZ EM IM3 DK DE 5 IM EE EM EL ES FR IE IT CY Possibility of providing statistics according to the 12 months rule2 Natio- Other Non nals EEA EEA citicitizens zens LV 226 Chapter 8: Statistics on International Migration flows IMmig ration or EMigr ation Nationals HU MT 6 months IM EM IM no time criteria no time criteria 3 months EM 3 months IM EM IM EM IM EM IM permanent permanent 4 out of the forthcoming 6 months 8 out of the forthcoming 12 months 3 months [one year] 3 months [one year] permanent permanent no statistics one year 3 months EM 3 months IM permanent permanent EM permanent permanent IM EM7 IM EM7 IM EM no time criteria one year one year one year one year one year one year one year one year one year one year one year EM IM AT EM SI one year validity for residence permit 7 6 months or end of validity of permit no time criteria no time criteria one year permanent/ permit expiry permanent no statistics 4 out of the forthcoming 6 months 8 out of the forthcoming 12 months 3 months [one year] 3 months [one year] permanent permanent one year one year 3 months permanent/per mit expiry permanent/3 months permanent/per mit expiry one year one year one year one year one year one year EM IM PT one year validity for residence permit 7 6 months or end of validity of permit no time criteria no time criteria 3 months permanent/ permit expiry permanent no statistics 4 out of the forthcoming 6 months 8 out of the forthcoming 12 months 3 months [one year] 3 months [one year] permanent permanent one year one year 3 months permanent/per mit expiry 6 months NL PL Non EEA citizens IM LT LU Other EEA citizens SK FI SE UK 227 Possibility of providing statistics according to the 12 months rule2 Natio- Other Non nals EEA EEA citicitizens zens P P P P P P P P N P P N P P Y N N N N N N N Y N P P P P P P P P P P P P N N N Y P N N Y Y P N N Y Y P P P P N N N N N N P P Y P Y Y Y P Y P Y Y Y P Y P Y Y T H E S I M 1 This table presents minimum duration of stay (in or outside the country) of migrants included in international migration statistics. The duration of stay criterion may result either from the registration rules and/or from the selection rules applied when producing statistics. Legend: [] The responsible authority or data supplier has indicated that these data may be available at some point in the future …/…Information refers to: foreigners with permanent residence permits/other foreigners 2 Information on the possibility of providing statistics according to the 12 months rule refer to migration flow statistics produced on an ex-ante basis. If a country is able to provide statistics according to the 12 months rule, but only on an ex-post basis, Y is replaced by P. 3 Six months for all persons (Nationals, EEA citizens or non-EEA citizens) immigrating from another EEA country and three months if immigrating from outside EEA. 4 Between the Nordic countries, the time criteria for the registration of emigration are related to the time criteria for the registration of immigration in the receiving country. 5 Registration in the local population registers have to be done within 8 days after entering the country. 6 Only for foreigners who are selected to receive long-term resident permit in the future, even if they do not receive it at the moment of the entry. Therefore, some of those people with temporary residence permits valid for up to 1 year are included. 7 For immigrants with permanent residence permit, the criteria are the same as for nationals. 228 Chapter 8: Statistics on International Migration flows Comparative Table 17a. International migration between the EU MS in 2002 according to receiving (I) and sending country (E) (Eurostat database) To From BE CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT SI SK FI SE UK BE CZ DK 80 : 609 : 202 56 DE 4.439 : 11.150 1.087 2.889 2.700 EE ES FR : : : 77 : 273 : 19.998 : : 3.141 : 442 64 723 1.722 13.757 16.681 98 : 195 : : : : 289 : 1.474 : 19.815 : : : : : 3.316 I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E : 52 : 523 : 4.565 : : : : : 968 : : : : : 1.170 : 63 51 143 987 9.691 9 : 61 : 42 50 340 : 45 : 253 28 12 21 3.543 2.974 234 : 264 : 1.613 122 1.439 : 373 : 943 126 13 0 991 : 15.913 : 15.426 3.310 18.619 : 2.230 : 26.882 7.416 260 42 : : : 8 : : : : : 1 : 0 : 65 : : : : : 244 : 1.412 8.200 : 1.186 : 4.967 849 17 62 : : : 2.417 : 62 I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E : 3 : 18 : : : : : : : 9.270 : 120 : 119 : 0 : 38 : 13 : 222 : 379 : 3.140 8 11 20 28 5 : 59 : 5 : 224 207 339 630 1.679 38 23 0 21 18 13.326 449 34 30 70 68 489 914 455 52 835 128 156 : 147 : 21 : 886 540 321 145 962 95 171 0 37 6 72 3 396 384 2.388 2.241 3.645 1.705 2.195 210 4.135 817 1.739 : 17.211 : 111 : 13.976 10.822 14.401 3.605 100.968 17.806 8.806 776 2.379 907 11.600 219 2.203 730 3.481 1.659 14.703 14.338 : 120 : 40 : : : : : : : 14 : 12 : 0 : 0 : 0 : 0 : 361 : 83 : 0 : 1 : 6 : : : : : : : 477 : 238 : 75 : 0 : 18 : 7 : 69 : 484 : 7.148 218 6 2.003 174 96 : 326 : 4 : 3.273 3.150 540 196 3.869 166 3.958 404 57 14 422 20 875 724 1.730 1.284 27.249 36.746 : 105 : 103 : : : : : : : 3.431 : 389 : 339 : 1.838 : 49 : 20 : 380 : 891 : 19.452 229 : : : 3 : 175 : 614 EL T H E S I M Comparative Table 17b. International migration between the EU MS in 2002 according to receiving (I) and sending country (E) (Eurostat database) To From BE CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT SI SK FI SE UK I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E IE IT : : : 41 : 311 : 2.634 : : : : : 1.132 : : 1.807 : 330 211 291 777 11.376 36.535 57 : 688 : 2.316 1.256 4.894 : 325 : : 125 : 0 : 7 : 66 : : : : : : : 493 : 57 : 13 : 0 : 3 : 2 : 137 : 217 13.500 0 11 63 128 11 132 64 251 : 485 : 132 : 985 1.202 936 735 3.886 302 453 0 256 145 413 36 253 183 378 477 4.843 6.344 CY 19 : 93 24 54 35 374 242 0 : 4.423 : 30 4 93 : 23 : 26 0 0 0 0 3 0 : 97 : 14 : 73 32 79 10 29 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 8 22 46 64 3.476 2.387 LV LT 3 : 8 8 30 372 76 1.378 56 : 1 : 4 4 19 : 4 : 11 2 0 0 162 122 0 : 5 : 0 : 9 11 2 12 23 7 3 0 2 0 3 0 23 24 26 46 20 0 230 17 : 6 20 87 680 189 2.290 27 : 2 : 36 14 60 : 8 : 25 4 0 0 197 176 1 : 4 : 0 : 18 39 7 54 126 4 0 0 0 1 1 0 102 28 52 23 73 0 LU : : : 5 : 131 : 1.327 : : : : : 104 : : : : : 198 : 0 : 0 : 2 : : : : : 169 : 19 : 23 : 494 : 5 : 1 : 76 : 104 : 507 HU : : : 37 : 119 : 16.411 : : : : : 48 : : : : : 129 : 62 : 2 : 4 : : : : : 293 : 1.279 : 11 : 0 : 11 : 24 : 132 : 140 : 4.638 MT : : : 3 : 17 : 91 : : : : : 2 : : : : 19 97 : 21 : 0 : 0 : : : : : 30 : 5 : 0 : 0 : 0 : 0 : 1 : 49 152 196 NL 5.357 : 393 159 465 613 7.959 9.336 48 : 1.077 : 2.824 907 3.084 : 664 : 1.756 481 29 21 92 14 156 69 172 : 547 : 41 : 565 269 2.275 290 1.653 200 66 45 256 19 408 270 680 551 6.810 10.965 Chapter 8: Statistics on International Migration flows Comparative Table 17c. International migration between the EU MS in 2002 according to receiving (I) and sending country (E) (Eurostat database) To From BE CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT SI SK FI SE UK I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E I E AT PL PT 174 : 1.063 377 179 233 9.403 15.929 31 : 427 : 514 134 687 : 132 : 1.386 532 17 0 67 19 99 15 65 : 2.337 : 10 : 586 493 61 : 34 1.117 27 588 2.335 78.739 0 : 60 : 63 99 247 : 4 : 251 459 4 21 5 28 40 128 2 : 14 : 0 : 83 492 156 1.538 179 : 8 8 39 128 692 11.315 5 : 11 : 1.015 1.105 552 : 45 : 268 157 0 0 5 2 3 11 16 : 27 : 2 : 332 710 37 157 32 6 2.514 525 296 0 388 282 2.246 212 226 87 487 286 932 4.197 4 0 0 10 10 11 4 37 70 190 208 1.387 SI SK 13 : 5 19 0 30 332 2.502 0 : 2 : 5 1 14 : 1 : 68 148 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 : 5 : 2 : 10 26 90 282 3 0 2 0 8 6 1 0 24 28 48 100 939 2.082 1 1 0 2 15 24 22 0 231 6 : 749 14.455 1 78 86 9.820 0 : 4 : 3 22 17 : 2 : 20 16 2 0 2 1 1 2 2 : 30 : 1 : 7 100 64 1.066 29 11 0 0 2 4 0 3 9 21 16 284 FI 151 : 47 39 360 376 854 2.658 1.378 : 70 : 525 178 281 : 153 : 227 149 26 42 53 60 66 97 49 : 100 : 2 : 228 299 101 149 95 9 52 0 2 4 13 0 3.255 3.211 870 273 SE 387 : 151 57 4.250 4.337 2.699 3.876 345 : 595 : 1.166 215 877 : 351 : 508 186 59 21 189 60 261 119 93 : 274 : 29 : 780 659 318 269 1.186 174 178 0 14 44 76 10 3.532 3.591 3.120 1.759 UK 2.263 : 0 389 3.507 4.317 23.577 16.662 0 : 4.733 : 13.122 5.083 16.172 : 0 5.900 6.674 2.741 276 790 0 62 0 216 505 : 1.322 : 803 96 8.411 6.051 225 529 1.288 254 1.685 881 0 51 0 55 1.025 980 2.460 3.451 Chapter 9 Statistics on Residence Permit and Legal Entry Yves Breem and Xavier Thierry Introduction Article 6 of the proposed EU Regulation requests: 1. Members States shall supply to the Commission (Eurostat) statistics on: (a) the number of residence permits issued to persons who are thirdcountry nationals, disaggregated as follows: (i) permits issued during the reference period whereby the person is being granted permission to reside for the first timer, disaggregated by citizenship, by the reason for the permit being issued and by the length of validity of the permit; (ii) permits issued during the reference period and granted on the occasion of a person changing immigration status or reason for stay, disaggregated by citizenship, by the reason for the permit being issued and by the length of validity of the permit; (iii) valid permits at the reference date (number of permits issued, not withdrawn and not expired), disaggregated by citizenship, by the reason for the permit being issued and by the length of validity of the permit; (b) the total number of long-term residents, disaggregated by citizenship1. 2. Where the national laws and administrative practices of a Member State allow for specific categories of long-term visa or immigration status to be granted instead of residence permits, counts of such visas and grants of status are to be included in the statistics required under paragraph 1. 3. The statistics referred to in paragraph 1 shall relate to reference periods of one calendar year and shall be supplied to the Commission (Eurostat) within six months of the end of the reference year. The first reference year shall be 2006. 1 According to the legal framework indicated in the Council Directive 2003/109/EC of 25th November 2003 concerning the status of third-country nationals who are long-term residents. Official Journal L 016, 23rd January 2004, p. 0044–0053. T H E S I M The first three categories of statistics listed above have categories should be disaggregated by citizenship, reason for issue and length of validity of the permit, while the fourth category is required only by citizenship. Article 8 also refers to additional disaggregation of statistics on residence permits and residence of third-country nationals in a further step: year in which permission to reside was first granted; occupation; economic activity; age; sex. The aim of this chapter is to consider how the data sources discussed in Chapter 4 may be used to provide the statistics requested by the EU Regulation. We will consider both residence permit databases and aliens registers, depending on the country. The key questions are: the requested data available? these data reliable according to the definition used and the coverage at national level? the data comparable at EU level? In the first section it will be noted that the collection of statistics on residence permits is not new, even if some recent improvements are significant. In the second section, we will consider each paragraph of Article 6 separately, with appropriate comments. In the last section we will consider the usefulness of these statistics for wider demographic estimates of the flow and stocks of international migrants. 1. A brief history of statistics on residence permits The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) is the first international organisation to have published statistics on residence or work permits to describe the situation in some country reports. Since the mid-1970s, the OECD has been developing a continuous reporting system on migration (SOPEMI), collecting various statistics on foreign populations. The data sources suggested in successive UN recommendations on international migrations have varied over time2. The 1976 UN recommendations identified three major types of data sources producing information on international migration, namely, border collection, registration and household-based field enquiries. The latest revision of the 2 See Chapter 2, which is devoted to the development of the recommendations on international migration statistics 234 Chapter 9: Statistics on Residence Permit and Legal Entry UN recommendations (UN, 1998) emphasised data collection from various types of registers of foreigners (including administrative registers) such as residence permit databases. As far as the EU is concerned, the Commission has introduced legislation aimed at harmonising policies on the issuing of residence permits and so has identified the need for the production of comparable statistics. Improving the comparability of these statistics is now one of the objectives of the European Commission. In 2003, DG JLS undertook a pilot data collection on residence permits, which was disseminated through the Annual Report on Asylum and Migration for the year 20013. This contained only one table on ‘Annual total number of residence permits issued’ disaggregated by reason for issue. For many countries it was not possible to obtain disaggregated data according to whether this was the first or a subsequent issue of a permit. The stock of valid residence permits was not covered, nor was the number of long-term residents. At the end of 2004, Eurostat introduced a new set of statistics on the legal migration and stay of non-EEA citizens for the year 2004 into its annual data collection. Several new tables will be introduced. With regard to the number of residence permits issued, the explanatory note written by the Commission suggests that ‘it should be possible to exclude or to count separately those permits that are renewals (not involving a new arrival or a change in immigration status)’4. Member States should also supply Eurostat with data on stocks of legal migrants, in the form of one table for the foreign population and another for long-term residents. In terms of breakdown, this proposal is slightly different from the EU Regulation, since length of validity at time of issue is ignored, and sex is introduced as a variable in stock statistics. 2. Statistics on residence permits 2.1 First residence permits It appears from the first DG JLS Annual Report presented by that only fifteen EU MS were able to provide information on the total numbers of permits issued. Among these countries, only seven provided the figure for See http://europa.eu.int/comm/justice_home/doc_centre/asylum/statistical/doc_annual_re port_2001_en.htlm. 4 ‘Developing a data collection on legal residence and stay of third-country nationals’, 15th of Immigration and Asylum Committee, MIGRAPOL 97, DG JAI, 17th December 2004. 3 235 T H E S I M first issues only (Comparative Table 18)5. However, as Chapter 4 indicates, it is theoretically possible to obtain data on first issues (excluding renewals) for most countries, as most databases are centralised and store the complete history of successive residence permits based on PINs. Some detailed work on the implementing measures could open up the potential of these currently under-exploited data sources. Statistics on first residence permits should measure the flow of persons newly arrived in the country. This requires a rigorous approach to the computational arrangements for identifying the first document delivered to a foreigner, and avoiding possible confusion with renewed residence permits. Statistically speaking, any given foreigner should be counted once and once only when he or she actually enters the country. The risk of misleading information is illustrated by the following national examples: The chronological perspective of successive residence permits should be properly preserved in the database, even when there is an interruption in the right to stay. However some countries (Spain, Hungary, Greece, Slovenia) only keep the current permit and automatically remove the foreigner’s file when the permit expires. Thus when a new application is submitted after a certain delay, a new file is created for the person, and the permit issued is considered as a new one instead of a renewal. This challenge to data managers is particularly sensitive for the regularisation of foreigners in an illegal situation. Indeed, amnesty programmes target both foreigners who have never held a residence permit and those who have previously had a renewal request refused but are later regularised. To avoid double counting, the latter should be excluded from the count of first issues and included in the statistics of change of status (see below). A distinction between place of issue and place of residence has to be made in order to take into account only those people with a valid residence permit who are actually living in the country. In most countries the number of first permits issued within the country does refer to people who have actually entered the country. However in about ten countries, documents allowing a stay (residence permits and long-term visas) can be issued before the applicant arrives. In some of these countries (Denmark, Estonia, Austria) there is no 5 The number of residence permits issued in 2001 was higher than the total estimate of flows of foreigners found in the usual statistics on international migration. However the restriction to the first permit was not mentioned in the statistical request. 236 Chapter 9: Statistics on Residence Permit and Legal Entry check on whether the holder enters the country or not. In these cases, the statistics could be overestimated. Conversely, the statistic could be underestimated if some kinds of documents or categories of people are not taken into account in the statistics on first permits. In Portugal and Poland, long-term visas are not recorded in the database even after the holder has entered the country. In France, the statistic of first permits issued provided by the Ministry of the Interior sometimes excludes permits with a validity of more than one year. In seven countries minors are not taken into account since they do not get their own residence permits and so have no personal file in the database (Chapter 4, Comparative Table 6). Accordingly they cannot easily be included in the statistics. Hence it might be desirable to use a statistical source other than residence permit records (for instance, documents related to family reunification procedures) or extract the relevant information when children are registered on their parents’ (or parent’s/parents’) file. This would entail the use of a complicated methodology to exclude the possibility of double counting (children may appear on the file of both their mother and their father, and it will be necessary to avoid counting them as new arrivals when they reach the age when an individual residence permit is required) or underestimation (parents may forget to declare their children’s arrival or may declare it only when their residence permit is renewed). This would still not solve the problem of ensuring data quality for unaccompanied minors. A similar situation applies to data on documents delivered to asylum seekers. Due to the fact that asylum seekers waiting for a positive decision may receive a provisional authorisation to stay, they could theoretically be considered within the scope of the statistics. However in fourteen countries asylum seekers appear not to be recorded in the residence permit database because they are not entitled to receive a document granting them legal stay until their application is decided (Chapter 4, Comparative Table 6). For international comparisons, the implementing measures should define the length of validity of residence permits included in the relevant statistics. The comparability of the statistics also requires a common treatment of the foreign population covered by various immigration statuses which are not residence permits as such. 237 T H E S I M 2.2 Persons changing their immigration status or reason for stay The request for information related to changes of status seems to be the most innovative and important element of Article 6 of the EU Regulation since it is focuses on the dynamics of the ‘administrative careers’ of foreigners and not on their situation at a given point in time. This means that the request is more demanding than other statistical requests, as it requires the collection of data to compare successive residence permits over time in order to identify, among the totality of renewals, those which involve a change in the legal status of the migrant. In countries where only the current residence permit is stored in the database, the availability of these data is problematic. As mentioned above, Spain, Hungary, Greece and Slovenia are currently unable to provide the required information. In countries without a centralised residence permit database, or in which there are several unlinked databases, indicators of changes of status may be underestimated due to the fact that some transitions will not be taken into account. This is the case in Portugal and Poland, where foreigners are allowed to begin their stay with a long-term visa which is not recorded in the main database. When a normal residence permit is obtained, they are included for the first time in the main database. The fact that this is a change of status remains hidden. In Sweden and in the United Kingdom there exist several sub-databases, which make it more difficult to link successive permits issued to any given individual. As the collection of statistics on changes of status presupposes a longitudinal perspective, it would be useful to test the quality of the cross-sectional estimates. The need for comparability of statistics on changes of status also requires the implementing measures to define this phenomenon. No identical renewal of a residence permit is considered as a change of status; a change of status corresponds to a change in type of residence permit. However, two important questions remain to be answered: Which criteria are relevant for recording a modification in a residence permit? Two types of change of status must be considered: a change in the length of validity of the new permit (extended duration); and a change in the reason for issuing the permit (for instance, a permit granted to a student may later be changed to a residence permit allowing work). In terms of the length of validity, three kinds of change of status may be distinguished: short-term permit or visa (less than one year) converted into temporary residence permit (one to five years); 238 Chapter 9: Statistics on Residence Permit and Legal Entry temporary residence permit converted into long-term or permanent permit (five years or more); short-term permit or visa (less than one year) converted into longterm or permanent permit. In terms of reasons, more changes of status have to be considered: study converted into family or work purpose; work converted into family purpose; family purpose converted into work purpose; asylum application converted into refugee (Geneva convention) status or subsidiary protection; subsidiary protection converted into refugee status; undocumented foreigners becoming regularised; national residence permit converted into EU long-term residence permit; other type of changes of status. This classification remains a point of debate for further implementing measures. What modifications are significant? Whatever the criteria retained, it is important to note that different types of change have different implications for the status of foreigners. For instance the replacement of a one-year permit by a two-year permit does not radically modify the living conditions of the person involved. Given the fact that there is a wide range of types of residence permit across the Member States, the picture remains diverse and dependent on national legislation. Here are some examples. If a minor living in the country obtains a new type of permit on turning eighteen, he or she is considered as having moved to a new status. But this transition is unobservable in countries where children do not have their own residence permits. Students changing their status are granted a new type of permit without any interruption of their stay on the territory, unless they are required to return to their country of origin to apply for a new permit. This statistic could also include undocumented foreigners who are regularised (or at least those regularised people who were not counted in the first residence permits statistic because they had a residence permit which was renewed only on the occasion of an amnesty programme). 2.3 The stock of valid residence permits As mentioned above, in order to produce flow statistics – first issue permits as well as changes of status – residence permit databases need to 239 T H E S I M record the successive documents granted to each individual. This is necessary to distinguish the initial residence permit from subsequent renewals and, in the latter case, to know whether characteristics have changed. These conditions are less important for stock statistics: all residence permits will be considered, whatever their origins, as long as they are valid at the reference date. This statistic is elaborated by counting the number of active personal files recorded in the database, the date of expiry being a key variable. As shown in Comparative Table 18, these statistics appear to be the easiest to collect. They are available (at least potentially) in most EU MS. However they are considered to be of little importance in four countries and are not collected in the United Kingdom or Denmark. In Portugal and Germany an improvement in the electronic procedures applied to residence permit databases would be necessary to obtain more useful data. Indeed in these two countries the distinction between valid and expired residence permits is not made. In terms of reliability, the data should preferably cover everybody with their usual residence in the country. For several reasons this it is not always the case, creating an under- or overestimate. Figures on residence permits are overestimated compared to the actual population when the residence permit database is not properly updated: in the case of emigration, acquisition of citizenship, or death before the residence permit expires, the permit is not always automatically deactivated. In a more limited set of countries overestimates could also be due to the inclusion in the stock statistics of: people with residence permits or long-term visas issued abroad, who never actually enter or live in the country (Denmark, Estonia and Austria); foreigners holding several residence permits at the same time (especially in countries which have several databases of permits). Conversely the foreign population may be underestimated in counts of residence permits. The following categories of people are either not recorded in the residence permit databases or are not counted in the statistics, although they are included in the information system: minors; asylum seekers; and in a more limited set of countries: holders of long-term visas (Portugal, Poland), students (Spain, Finland); foreigners whose residence permits are under renewal (Spain, Hungary, Greece, Slovenia). 240 Chapter 9: Statistics on Residence Permit and Legal Entry Implementing measures for the Regulation must define the population covered by these statistics in order to ensure better international statistical comparisons and national consistency between flow and stock data. 2.4 Statistics on long-term residents The EU Directive6 defines long-term residents as third-country nationals ‘who have resided legally and continuously within its territory for five years’, combined with a series of socio-economic conditions (stable and regular resources, sickness insurance) that must be met in order to gain this status. Under this general requirement such persons are entitled to receive a specific ‘EC-long-term residence permit’ with a time validity of at least five years. ‘A long-term resident shall acquire the right to reside in the territory of Member States other than the one which granted him/her the long-term residence status, for a period exceeding three months’, on various grounds. The long-term resident may be joined by the members of his/her family who fulfil the conditions referred to in Directive 2003/86/EC related to family reunification. Except in Denmark, Ireland and the United Kingdom, this Directive has to transpose into national law by 23rd January 2006 at the latest. This uniform European permit will make it easier to get statistics once the Directive has been transposed. The information should not be confused with long-term national residence permits. The statistics requested are on stocks of long-term residents, not flows of foreigners newly recognised as having long-term status (which should be included with other changes of status). 2.5 Availability of information on variables of disaggregation Article 6 of the Regulation on data collection on residence permits for non-EEA citizens requests disaggregation by three variables: citizenship, the length of validity of the residence permit and the reason for issuing the permit. The latter two are not included in the current data collection on international migration and usually resident population (Article 3). These variables are not usually required in statistics, mainly because they are not usually kept in the population registers which, in many countries, provide the data on international migration. The reason for granting a residence permit is very relevant for monitoring immigration policy targeted at Council Directive 2003/109/EC of 25th November 2003 concerning the status of third-country nationals who are long-term residents. Official Journal L 016, 23rd January 2004, p. 0044 – 0053. 6 241 T H E S I M specific categories of migrants7. However the reasons for stay are provided by the residence permit database and it should be borne in mind that the legal grounds for issuing a residence permit may reflect the administrative categories defined by the law of the country rather than the real motives for staying. Almost all of these variables are recorded in almost all the databases on residence permits of the Member States. However, some variables are considered too sensitive to be kept in a few countries. For instance, citizenship is not recorded in the United Kingdom, nor are the grounds for stay in Germany. 3 Links between statistics on residence permits and other statistics According to the UN recommendations, ‘in principle registers of foreigners can be used to obtain statistics both on the inflows and outflows of foreigners from a country and on the number of foreigners residing legally in the country at a given point in time (a measure of stock)’ (UN, 1998). The aim of this section is to highlight the potential for EU MS to develop this source of information for statistical purposes, and to compare it to the data sources (such as population registers) more frequently used to estimate international migration. Both sources are limited to legal migrants (except in Spain). 3.1 The estimation of immigration flows The statistics requested by the EU Regulation on foreign inflows (Article 3) and on residence permits (Article 6) are not fully comparable. The former refers to long-term migration only (meaning people who establish their usual residence in the receiving country for a period that is, or is expected to be, at least twelve months); however there are no time criteria in the latter, which includes the short-term component. Therefore, statistics on residence permits will give a more comprehensive picture of foreign immigration and 7 For migration of family members, see Council Directive 2003/86/EC of 22nd September 2003 on the right to family reunification, Official Journal L.251, 3rd October 2003, p. 0012–0018. For migration for the purpose of studying, see the Proposal for a Council Directive of 7th October 2002 on the conditions of entry and residence of third-country nationals for the purposes of studies, vocational training or voluntary service, COM(2002)0548 final. For migration for the purpose of work, see the Green Paper of 11th January 2005 on an EU Approach to Managing Economic Migration, COM(2004)0811 final. 242 Chapter 9: Statistics on Residence Permit and Legal Entry the extent to which long-term migration differs from overall migration. However data on first residence permits is not always a reliable source of information on actual inflows to a country, since an individual may receive several residence permits in a year, may obtain a permit without entering the country, or conversely may not be counted if he or she has a special status. In practice, eight EU MS (Czech Republic, Greece, France, Latvia, Lithuania, Hungary, Portugal and the Slovak Republic) use the issue of residence permits to estimate foreign immigration flows. These are countries without population registers or with deficiencies in the self-declaration of arrivals. For these reasons, counting the issue of residence permits may be seen as a next best solution to estimating foreign inflows, with some possible under- or double-counting as mentioned above. The statistics based on residence permits are no less detailed regarding sex, age, citizenship, and country of previous residence than those derived from population registers. 3.2 The estimation of emigration flows Estimating outflows from residence permit information is not recommended by the EU Regulation, but is done in six Central and Eastern European countries. These countries use the date of expiry of the residence permit as the date of de jure departure. Legally speaking, a foreigner with an expired permit is supposed to leave the country. However this is not necessarily so, as foreigners may remain illegally for a certain period of time before applying for a renewal of their residence permits. Alternatively the expiry date may occur a long time after the actual departure of the foreigner, especially when permits have a long length of validity or are permanent. By law, foreigners are required to return their residence permits when they leave the country permanently, but there are no real incentives to persuade people to fulfil this requirement. So the expiry date of the residence permit is often irrelevant, even though in some countries the quality of the statistics derived from self-deregistration from population registers is unsatisfactory. 3.3 Information on changes of status The latest UN recommendations include a large section on a framework for the compilation of statistics on changes of status, developing a more dynamic view of migration analysis than cross-sectional measures and trying to promote statistics related to people admitted for one reason and later getting legal recognition to continue their stay for a different reason. The UN recommendations emphasise that the most relevant changes of 243 T H E S I M status are those which transform a short-term migrant into a long-term migrant, with a view to adjusting the number of long-term migrants enumerated in that year or the previous one. The number of people moving from a short-term permit (under one year) to a long-term permit could be added to the number of first residence permits issued for at least one year to get the total number of long-term foreign migrants. 3.4 The stock of valid permits compared to the stock of the foreign population The stock of third-country nationals can be counted either through residence permit databases or through population registers. In some countries, residence permit databases are not fully updated with events such as departures, acquisitions of citizenship or deaths during the period of validity of the residence permit. The population register is directly informed of all these events, whether the information is self-declared or introduced by administrative corrections. On the other hand, the registration of the foreigner in the residence permit database is in principle deactivated when their permit expires, while this is not always the case for the population register. Thus the figures for the legal foreign populations in the two databases may not be consistent; nevertheless comparisons are useful in identifying faults of the respective registration systems. In countries where the census is used to estimate the population stock, the comparison is on a different basis since the census is supposed to cover the whole foreign population, including illegal migrants. If the data from residence permit databases were kept fully updated it would theoretically be possible to deduce the number of undocumented residents by comparing these data with those from the census. Conclusion Statistics on legal migration are relevant for comparing and gaining a better understanding of the migration policies of the various EU MS. Currently data collection is at a preliminary stage and there is a lack of statistics on residence permits. Nevertheless, almost all countries will be able to produce this information in the near future, since data on residence permits is usually stored in an electronic format in a unique database at national level. This information source is currently under-exploited. However some problems remain which make comparison of the statistics of the various EU MS difficult. Comparable data require the implementation of precise recommendations and explanatory notes. For instance, neither the 244 Chapter 9: Statistics on Residence Permit and Legal Entry distinction between first residence permits and renewals, nor the reliability of the stock of valid permits is clearly established in four countries. The reliability of these statistics also depends on the quality and regularity of the updating of the residence permit database in so far as acquisition of citizenship, departure and death are concerned. The comparability of the statistics in general can be altered by the inclusion of residence permits issued abroad, and also if specific sub-populations are included or not (especially asylum seekers and minors). Figures on first residence permits and the stock of legal foreign population are close to the statistics requested by Article 3. Accordingly inconsistencies could be detected by comparing the two data series. This is not the case for figures on changes of status and the number of long-term residents, which are totally new requests for information. The latter is closely connected to the EU Directive related to long-term residents, while the former may be seen as a means of evaluating how the legal stays of foreigners develop. The Regulation does not recommend using residence permits to give an estimate of outflows, but some countries do use them in this way. The introduction of the reason for issuing residence permits in all these statistics seems to be the greatest innovation, and is directly related to national legislation on the issue of residence permits. Therefore, statistical analysis will require knowledge of the legal situation in each country. 245 T H E S I M Comparative Table 18. Availability of statistics on residence permits Variables recorded in the database Statistics requested in the EU Regulation First permits or expired permits regularly used to estimate Stock of valid residence permits Inclusio n of longstay visas or residence permits issued abroad3 Longterm residents4 Citizenship Length of validity Ground for issue BE Y Y Y n.ap. [Y] Y Y Y N N CZ Y7 Y Y Y5 [Y] Y Y n.a Y Y DK Y7 Y N Y N6 Y Y Y N N DE Y7 Y Y8 n.ap. [Y] Y Y N N N EE Y9 Y Y Y [Y] Y Y Y N N EL [Y]10 Y Y n.ap. [Y] Y Y Y [Y] N ES Y10 N Y n.ap. [Y] Y Y n.a N N FR Y Y Y n.ap. [Y] Y Y Y Y N IE [Y] Y Y n.ap. N6 Y Y Y N N IT Y Y Y n.ap. [Y] Y Y Y N N CY [Y] N Y n.ap. [Y] Y Y Y N N LV Y7 Y Y n.ap. [Y] Y Y Y Y Y LT [Y] Y Y n.ap. [Y] Y Y n.a Y Y LU [Y] [Y] [Y] n.ap. [Y] Y Y Y N N HU [X] N Y Y5 [Y] Y Y Y Y Y MT [Y] [Y] [Y] n.ap. [Y] n.a n.a n.a N N NL [Y] [Y] [Y] n.ap. [Y] Y Y Y N N AT Y Y Y Y [Y] Y Y Y N N PL Y N Y N [Y] Y Y Y N N 246 Emigration flows Change of immigration status2 Immi-gration flows First issue residence permits1 Chapter 9: Statistics on Residence Permit and Legal Entry Variables recorded in the database Statistics requested in the EU Regulation First permits or expired permits regularly used to estimate Stock of valid residence permits Inclusio n of longstay visas or residence permits issued abroad3 Longterm residents4 Citizenship Length of validity Ground for issue PT Y N Y8 N [Y] Y Y Y Y N SI Y 7 10 Y Y Y5 [Y] Y Y Y N Y SK [Y] Y Y Y [Y] Y Y Y Y Y FI Y Y Y n.ap. [Y] Y Y Y N N SE Y7 N Y n.ap. [Y] Y Y Y N N UK N N N Y Y N Y Y N N Emigration flows Change of immigration status2 Immi-gration flows First issue residence permits1 n.ap.: not applicable; n.a.: not avavailable 1 Information between brackets means that information is only potentially available. 2 Information on changes of status is considered as potentially available when historical data on permits of stay is stored in the residence permits database. That is not the case when different databases exist (for instance when long-term visas issued abroad are not stored in the main database). 3 Countries in which permits of stay are issued abroad are included in this column. Long stay-visas and those for which the length of validity is longer than 3 months, effectively replacing a residence permit. 4 Long-term residents are defined as persons having stayed at least 5 years in the country. These statistics are potentially available when the residence permits database contains information fixing the date of arrival or the date of the issue of the first residence permit. It could be also provided through the Population Register. 5 Although the permit to stay has been issued abroad, the number of permits issued is supposed to correspond with the number of person who actually entered the country (since the actual entry is checked). 6 Denmark, the United Kingdom and Ireland are subject to the directive on long term residents. 7 The figure found in the DG JLS 2001 Report is probably referring to total annual positive decisions (not consistent with immigration flows). 8 Expired permits included 9 In Estonia every change of the ground for issue is considered as a new (first) residence permit. This is why the number of residence permit may be larger than the actual number of immigrants. 10 Residence permits under renewal are erased, thus involving a risk of confusion between first permit and renewal. 247 Chapter 10 Statistics on Asylum Applications Rob van der Erf, Liesbeth Heering and Ernst Spaan Introduction Article 4 of the proposed EU Regulation deals with statistics on asylum and requires the following: 1. Member States shall supply to the Commission (Eurostat) statistics on the numbers of: (a) persons having submitted an application for international protection or being included in such an application as a family member; (b) persons covered by applications for international protection under consideration by the responsible national authority at the end of the reference period; (c) first instance decisions rejecting applications for international protection, including decisions considering applications as inadmissible or as unfounded; (d) first instance decisions granting or withdrawing refugee status; (e) first instance decisions granting or withdrawing subsidiary protection status; (f) first instance decisions granting or withdrawing temporary protection; (g) other first instance decisions granting, refusing or withdrawing authorisation to stay for humanitarian or other reasons under national law; (h) applications for international protection having been withdrawn. These statistics shall be disaggregated by age and sex, and by the citizenship of the persons concerned. They shall relate to reference periods of one calendar month and shall be supplied to the Commission (Eurostat) within two months of the end of the reference month. The first reference month shall be January 2006. 2. Member States shall supply to the Commission (Eurostat) statistics on the numbers of: (a) applicants for international protection who are considered by the responsible national authority to be unaccompanied minors; T H E S I M (b) decisions to reject applications for international protection, including decisions considering applications as inadmissible or as unfounded, taken by administrative or judicial bodies in appeal or review (c) decisions to grant or withdraw refugee status taken by administrative or judicial bodies in appeal or review; (d) decisions to grant or withdraw subsidiary protection status taken by administrative or judicial bodies in appeal or review; (e) decisions to grant or withdraw temporary protection status taken by administrative or judicial bodies in appeal or review; (f) other decisions taken by administrative or judicial bodies in appeal or review to grant, refuse or withdraw authorisations to stay for humanitarian or other reasons under national law; (g) requests and transfers covered by Regulation (EC) No 343/2003and Commission Regulation (EC) No 1560/2003; (h) persons selected for resettlement in the Member State. These statistics shall be disaggregated by age and sex, and by the citizenship of the persons concerned. They shall relate to reference periods of one calendar year and shall be supplied to the Commission (Eurostat) within three months of the end of the reference year. The first reference year shall be 2006. 1. Compliance with the EU Regulation Chapter 5 described the variety of authorities that deal with asylum in EU MS. Apart from Greece (Ministry of Public Order) and Luxembourg (Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Immigration), all EU MS have established special bodies for, inter alia, the processing and registration of asylum requests. These special bodies are also responsible for the production of statistics on asylum applications and asylum decisions. In most countries, the NSI publish asylum statistics based on their data. In Comparative Tables 19a and 19b an attempt is made to judge the degree of compliance of the asylum statistics in the 25 EU MS with the EU Regulation. It must be emphasised that, given the great variety in asylum procedures, a prerequisite for the understanding and interpretation of asylum statistics is proper documentation. In our opinion the majority of EU MS still have a lot of room for improvement in this respect. Too often, a user currently has to guess what exactly a figure in an asylum-related table stands for. Therefore, it is strongly recommended that the production of asylum statistics according to the EU Regulation go hand-in-hand with a detailed description of the definitions and concepts used, and changes therein, so that users can interpret the asylum data correctly. At first sight, the overall picture in Comparative Tables 19a and 19b is favourable. Apart from Greece, Hungary, Italy and the Slovak Republic, 250 Chapter 10: Statistics on Asylum Applications most EU MS appear to be able to comply to a large extent with the Regulation. However, this conclusion may be too optimistic for the following reasons. The information in the Comparative Tables is based on both country reports and a special questionnaire on the collection of asylum data1. Because different people could be involved in providing the information, the two sources did not always match. When it appeared impossible to clarify the resulting ambiguities, the benefit of the doubt was generally given to the country, in the sense that the most positive report was chosen. The Comparative Tables focuse on the availability of information. However, several countries noted that availability alone does not guarantee the production of statistics. Special (technical) efforts may have to be made to transfer the available information into appropriate statistics. Only a few countries said that the distinction between successful and pending applications by instance was problematic for various reasons. However, it is our impression that this problem is more widespread. The information on successful and pending applications is thought to be frequently limited to those within the scope of the asylum authority. It will be difficult for most countries to obtain an integrated overview of all successful and pending cases, distinguished by instance, because other authorities are frequently involved in appeal decisions. Ideally, these problems can be solved by linking the various databases. However, technical obstacles and/or matters of competence may prevent this ‘simple’ solution. In countries with only small asylum flows the required differentiation by country of citizenship may conflict with privacy considerations. Apart from these general observations and reservations, some more specific remarks can be made. Some countries (i.e. Greece, Spain and the Slovak Republic) cannot currently distinguish between first and repeat applications. Although all countries except Spain and France can provide data on unaccompanied minor applicants for asylum, the definition of a minor is governed by national legislation, and may therefore differ between countries. 1 The special questionnaire on asylum statistics focused on the degree of compliance of current national statistics with the EU Regulation and was discussed during each national THESIM meeting. 251 T H E S I M It is expected that non-response to the requested data on returned rejected applicants will be considerable. Several countries noted that there are various ways to return, depart, disappear, etc. If such an event is outside the competence of the asylum authority it will not be recorded in the asylum database. However given proper documentation (see above), most countries will be able to provide the required information on Dublin clients, on inadmissible or unfounded asylum claims, and on withdrawals of asylum applications. As regards grants to remain and withdrawals of grants to remain, reference has to be made to the country-specific possibilities in this respect. Most problems will be encountered in the production of non-asylum grants because, once again, other laws, authorities and databases may be involved. Finally, most countries will have no difficulty in providing the requested data on grants of temporary protection and grants to remain for resettlement, where these are applicable. However, these tables do not in fact relate to the asylum procedure. Given the caveats above, it has to be stated that the requested for statistical data on asylum proposed by the EU Regulation will be an important step towards more harmonised asylum statistics in the EU MS. Countries will be encouraged to eliminate current shortcomings by improving their documentation, taking technical measures (e.g. by linking different databases), streamlining the relations between the various organisations involved, etc. An important disadvantage of the proposed Regulation, however, is that it focuses mainly on the collection and analysis of period-based data, i.e. data that refer to calendar months and years. Period-based statistics describe events that happen within a specified period of time, e.g. a month, a quarter, or a year. This approach offers limited possibilities for linking sequential events (for example asylum applications and asylum decisions). When these events relate to different periods it is impossible to link them. This presents a barrier to the calculation of recognition rates2. 2. The relationship between asylum and migration statistics The question of how to fit asylum seekers into the framework of the UN and EU definition of ‘international immigrant’ is difficult to answer. 2 See also chapter 13 on ‘Cohort Approach to Measuring the Asylum Procedure’. 252 Chapter 10: Statistics on Asylum Applications Asylum seekers would ideally be included in international migration statistics by using the same criteria as apply to ‘normal’ international migrants, i.e. an intention to stay for one year or more for ex ante statistics and an actual duration of one year or more for ex post statistics. If people who were seeking asylum in a country were asked for their intended duration of stay, most of them would probably indicate a duration of more than one year. However, asylum seekers are not asked for their intended duration of stay, and for many of them the actual duration of stay is much less than a year, especially if they are refused in the admissibility procedure or in some kind of accelerated procedure. Hence, the criterion ‘intended duration of stay’ cannot realistically be applied to asylum seekers in order to determine the ex ante number of international migrants. For the ex post determination, on the other hand, the use of actual duration of stay could easily be justified. However in practice most countries limit their international migration statistics to the ex ante situation, so the ex post situation is irrelevant. Rather than the intended duration of stay, countries may include asylum seekers who have been given a temporary or permanent residence permit in their immigration statistics, taking the date of issue of this permit as the date of immigration. Registration then depends on a judicial decision. An important disadvantage is that the date of granting the asylum request does not coincide with the actual date of immigration. In practice, the asylum procedure may easily take more than a year to be finalised. In that case, fluctuations in the rate of immigration are partly caused by the ‘activity level’ of the authorities dealing with asylum requests, and this in turn may distort the analysis of time series. One way of limiting the time lag between actual entry and registration as an immigrant is to include asylum seekers who are still awaiting their decision after a fixed period of time, e.g. after a year. However this would result in a strange mixture of ex post (asylum seekers) and ex ante (regular immigrants) elements in the time criterion. Comparative Table 20 gives an overview of the current relation between asylum and migration statistics in the twenty-five countries of the European Union. The information in this table was derived from the country reports and the additional special questionnaire. As described above for compliance with the Regulation, the two sources did not always match. When it was not possible to clarify ambiguities, the chosen response is the authors’ responsibility. Apart from the way in which asylum seekers are (or are not) included in the immigration statistics, their inclusion in the population stock is also considered, as is the possible identification of asylum seekers in the flow and stock of international migrants. This possibility is relevant if the socio253 T H E S I M demographic behaviour of successful asylum seekers is to be studied. For example, aspects of integration could be measured if asylum seekers could be identified in statistics on internal mobility, fertility, employment, education, etc. Of course, the relation between asylum and international migration statistics is also determined by the way statistics on the latter are collected. Comparative Table 20 presents a very diverse picture. As regards immigration statistics (flows), it appears that the majority of countries consider asylum seekers as immigrants only from the time they are granted a temporary or permanent residence permit. Exceptions are: Belgium, where asylum seekers granted the right to stay are not counted as immigrants but instead as administrative corrections. They are therefore included in statistics on the stock of immigrants; Germany and Austria, where all asylum seekers ought to be recorded in the municipal population registers, and therefore included in the stock; Ireland, where asylum seekers are counted as immigrants when they are counted in the Quarterly National Household Survey; Cyprus, where asylum seekers are counted as immigrants when they are counted in passenger surveys; Hungary and Portugal, where asylum seekers are never included in migration statistics, there being a separate data collection instead; Malta, where asylum seekers are never included in migration statistics because these cover only Maltese citizens; the Netherlands, where asylum seekers are included if they are in the country on a legal basis for at least six months while awaiting a decision on their application; the United Kingdom, where the time criterion of one year is used to estimate asylum seekers’ contribution to the annual total immigration flow. As far as statistics on the population stock are concerned, asylum seekers who are counted as immigrants are usually also included in the population stock. In the absence of a direct link between information on flows and stocks, asylum seekers are included in stocks in so far as they are counted as part of the de facto population in a survey or census. Conclusion Given this situation, it can be concluded that the way in which asylum seekers are or are not included in the flow and stock statistics differs greatly between the countries of the EU. This hinders the international 254 Chapter 10: Statistics on Asylum Applications comparability of these statistics. From a theoretical point of view, it is difficult to recommend one method of inclusion rather than another because asylum seekers do not really fit into the concept of intended duration of stay that governs ex ante flow and stock statistics. This is an extra argument indicating the limited scope of ex ante statistics. They provide only provisional figures that should (after one year) be replaced by ex post statistics. In these the same rule can be applied to both regular migrants and asylum seekers, i.e. the actual duration of stay. Moreover, as discussed above, time lags for asylum seekers do not influence ex post statistics. A further step would be to revise provisional ex ante statistics on the basis of the relationship between ex ante and ex post statistics in earlier years. 255 T H E S I M Comparative Table 19a. Compliance of asylum statistics with the EU Regulation Flows during the reference period BE Stocks on the reference date Asylum applicants1 Unaccompanied minor asylum applicants2 Returned persons after a (final) negative decision3 Pending applications (in persons)4 Y Y Y Y CZ Y Y Y Y DK Y Y Y Y DE Y Y Y Y EE Y Y Y Y EL P Y Y Y ES P N Y Y FR Y N N Y IE Y Y Y Y IT Y Y N Y CY Y Y N Y LV Y Y Y Y LT Y Y Y Y LU Y Y Y P HU Y Y N Y MT Y Y Y Y NL Y Y Y Y AT Y Y N Y PL Y Y N Y PT Y Y Y Y SI Y Y N Y SK P Y N P FI Y Y Y Y SE Y Y Y Y UK Y Y Y N 1 Asylum applicants by country of citizenship, excluding repeat applications, including applications that have been considered as inadmissible or unfounded. 2 Unaccompanied minor asylum applicants by country of citizenship. The definition of ‘minor’ is left to the country specific legislation. 3 Returned persons after a (final) negative decision. 4 Pending applications (in persons) by country of citizenship distinguished by the kind of decision that is awaited for, i.e., if applicable, the decision of the preliminary procedure, the first, second and subsequent instance decision in the normal procedure. 256 Chapter 10: Statistics on Asylum Applications Comparative Table 19b. Compliance of asylum statistics with the EU Regulation Decisions Dublin clients 1 Inadmissible or unfounded applications 2 Grants of refugee status 3 Withdrawals of refugee status 4 Grants of subsidiary protection5 Withdrawals of subsidiary protection6 Grants of temporary protection 7 Grants of resettlement 8 Other grants 9 Withdrawals of other grants 10 Withdrawals of applications 11 Y Y Y Y Y N Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y N Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y P Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y P Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y N Y Y Y Y N Y Y Y Y Y Y N Y Y N Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y P Y Y Y Y Y Y Y n.a. Y Y Y P Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y N Y Y Y N Y Y Y Y N Y Y n.a. Y Y Y N Y Y N Y Y Y Y Y n.a. Y Y Y N Y Y Y Y N n.a. Y N Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y n.a. Y n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Y n.a. Y n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Y n.a. Y n.a. n.a. n.a. Y Y Y Y P Y N Y N Y Y Y N Y Y Y Y N Y Y Y Y Y Y P Y Y N N P Y N Y N Y Y Y N Y Y Y Y N Y Y Y Y Y Y N N Y N Y Y Y Y Y N Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y N Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y BE CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT SI SK FI SE UK n.a.: information not available. 1 Refused asylum requests (in persons) because of the Dublin II Regulation by country of citizenship. 2 Inadmissible or unfounded asylum requests (in persons) by country of citizenship. This includes the criteria ‘manifestly unfounded’, ‘safe third country’ and ‘safe country of origin’. 3 Grants of Convention or Convention like refugee status (in persons) by instance and country of citizenship. 4 Withdrawals of Convention or Convention like refugee status (in persons) by instance and country of citizenship. 257 T H E S I M Grants of subsidiary protection status (in persons) by instance and country of citizenship. Because the interpretation of subsidiary protection strongly depends on the country specific asylum legislation, it is seen as an umbrella term for all asylum decisions that result in a temporary or permanent permission to stay in the host country. 6 Withdrawals of subsidiary protection status (in persons) by instance and country of citizenship. 7 Grants of temporary protection status (in persons) by country of citizenship. The definition of temporary protection is based upon the definition in the Commission proposal for a joint action concerning temporary protection. The status may be granted to persons requesting international protection in the event of a mass flight. People who get temporary protection are not counted as asylum seekers. However, they may request for asylum afterwards. 8 Grants of resettlement (in persons) by country of citizenship. Resettlement refers to the authorisation given to third-country nationals or stateless persons to reside in a host country for the purpose of international protection within the framework of a (UNHCR) resettlement scheme. Evidently, those ‘quota refugees’ should not be considered as asylum seekers. 9 Other non-asylum grants to stay (in persons) by instance and country of citizenship. For the sake of clarity, a distinction is made here between asylum grants based on the asylum regulations and nonasylum grants based on other regulations, e.g. the alien law. For example, the latter decision may relate to family reunification. In practice, however, it is often hard to draw the line between asylum grants and non-asylum grants. 10 Withdrawals of other non-asylum grants to stay (in persons) by country of citizenship. Here too, it is often hard to draw the line between withdrawals of asylum grants and withdrawals of non-asylum grants. 11 Withdrawals of asylum applications (in persons) by country of citizenship. These discontinued applications may have an active nature (withdrawal declared by the applicant) as well as a passive nature (in case the applicant disappeared). 5 258 Chapter 10: Statistics on Asylum Applications Comparative Table 20. Relation between asylum and migration statistics Asylum seekers counted as immigrants Asylum seekers counted in population stocks BE No Yes, other CZ Yes, after granting a residence permit Yes, being an immigrant DK Yes, after granting a residence permit Yes, being an immigrant DE Yes, other Yes, being an immigrant EE No migration data Only in census population stocks EL No migration data Only in census population stocks ES Yes, after a fixed period of time Yes, being an immigrant FR Yes, after granting a residence permit Yes, being in the Census or survey IE Yes, being in the Census or survey Yes, being in the Census or survey IT Yes, after granting a residence permit Yes, being an immigrant CY Yes, being in the Census or survey Yes, being in the Census or survey LV Yes, after granting a residence permit Yes, being an immigrant LT Yes, after granting a residence permit Yes, being an immigrant LU Yes, after granting a residence permit Yes, being an immigrant HU No Yes, being in the Census or survey MT No Yes, being in the Census or survey NL Yes, after a fixed period of time Yes, being an immigrant AT Yes, other Yes, being an immigrant PL Yes, after granting a residence permit Yes, being in the Census or survey PT No Yes, being in the Census or survey SI Yes, after granting a residence permit Yes, being an immigrant SK Yes, after granting a residence permit Yes, being in the Census or survey FI Yes, after granting a residence permit Yes, being an immigrant SE Yes, after granting a residence permit Yes, being an immigrant UK Yes, after a fixed period of time Yes, being in the Census or survey 259 Chapter 11 Statistics on Acquisition of Citizenship Giambattista Cantisani and Valeria Greco Introduction As far as acquisition of citizenship is concerned, the Chapter 6 revealed a variety of situations, depending on national histories, locations, migration profiles, judicial traditions and administrative organisations. The varying national contexts affect both the accessibility of citizenship for potential applicants and the measurability of cases. Article 3 of the proposed EU Regulation requests that: 1. Member States shall supply to the Commission (Eurostat) statistics on the numbers of: (d) natural persons having acquired the citizenship of the Member State and having formerly held the citizenship of another Member State or a third country or having formerly been stateless, disaggregated by age and sex, and by the former citizenship of the persons concerned and by whether the person was formerly stateless. This chapter discusses the statistics required by this regulation and tracks the system used to produce these statistics. It also evaluates the availability, coverage, reliability and comparability of the data collected. 1. Some preliminary considerations Before discussing the production of statistics on the acquisition of citizenship, we will outline the definitions set out in the EU Regulation. It should be noted that international recommendations on migration statistics do not cover the acquisition of citizenship, while those on the population census include only a passing reference to the topic1. 1 Citizenship acquisition is a sub-topic (number 8) in the UN Recommendations on the population census. The relevant text states: ‘82. In countries where the population includes a significant proportion of naturalised citizens, it may be desirable to distinguish citizenship by birth or naturalisation and other means according to the national legislation. Some countries T H E S I M In accordance with the EU Regulation, statistics on acquisitions of citizenship, broken down by previous country of citizenship, are requested. The main interest is in the number of people (new citizens) rather than the cases of acquisitions (an application may refer to more than one person as citizenship may be extended to the family members of an applicant on the basis of the same decision). Whichever procedure is followed for each individual acquisition, statistics should refer to the number of people acquiring citizenship in a year, rather than the corresponding number of applications. The following cases should be excluded a priori from the figures provided but it is not clear whether or not they are included in some countries: citizenship acquisition by children of citizens, regardless of the country of birth; acquisition by the newly-born children of foreigners or stateless persons in the country, who would otherwise be stateless; children of uncertain or ill-defined parentage. The general reference to the condition of having been either a foreign citizen or stateless before the acquisition of citizenship, conceals particular cases and limitations. All types of citizenship acquisitions occurring in a country in a given period should be specified in the implementation of the EU Regulation. Furthermore, citizenship may be granted to individuals who are resident in the country and to people living abroad. The second category may include foreigners who are temporarily or permanently resident abroad (e.g. a foreign spouse living abroad with a partner who is a citizen) and those who apply for a second citizenship, perhaps on the basis of new legal provisions that allow for this. Not all applicants abroad intend to enter the country and, in principle, they are not considered part of the country’s usual population. This situation has its exceptions, for example, for individuals who apply for citizenship and intend to enter the country (as is the situation in Greece with selected ethnic Greeks, who can enter the country under special conditions in order to follow up their application). Other exceptions may be linked to the time taken between the expression of interest (or application) and the moment citizenship is granted, registered or counted, as acquisition processes may last up to two years. Therefore, regardless of whether the application is submitted within the country or abroad, citizenship acquisition by those who remain abroad should be excluded from the count (as is currently the case in some EU MS). may also wish to include, for naturalised citizens, questions on previous citizenship, method of naturalisation and year of acquisition’ (UN, 1997). 262 Chapter 11: Statistics on Acquisition of Citizenship The difference between the date of application, or expression of interest, and the date of a positive final decision may be several years, particularly in the classic case of naturalisation that is submitted for basic approval. This is similar to asylum-seeking and other administrative processes, where a request is made, followed by a discretionary decision (and possible appeal procedures). Therefore, the acquisition of citizenship could refer to different stages of the process, such as the application (or expression of interest) and the final decision. However in the EU Regulation, only final decisions should be considered. Irrespective of the likelihood of being able to identify cases where second citizenship is granted when producing statistics, the EU Regulation requires acquisitions of citizenship resulting in dual citizenship to be included in the statistics. In principle, in a basic interpretation of the EU Regulation, without further specification of provisions for implementation, all acquisitions of citizenship should be included in the new data collection, regardless of the procedure or the distinctions applied in some countries2. Similarly, there could be issues regarding the inclusion in the statistics of some specific cases of acquisition due to ius sanguinis, ius soli, or ethnic affinity, when the case does not concern new-born children or people living abroad. A final element that needs to be looked at from the viewpoint of statistics on acquisitions (and indeed losses of citizenship, although these are often numerically negligible) is their relevance to other statistics on the population. 2. Production and availability of statistics The production of statistics on the acquisition of citizenship in EU MS depends on the modes and procedures of case registration and citizenship acquisition. In most countries the production and publication of statistics is normally the responsibility of central authorities, predominantly arms of the Ministry of the Interior or the Ministry of Justice (e.g. Greece, Italy, and the United Kingdom)3. In some countries (Belgium, Estonia, Germany, Latvia, 2 In Italy and the Netherlands the word ‘attribution’ is used instead of ‘acquisition’ to denote cases involving automatic procedures. 3 France is a special case because statistics on naturalisation and citizenship acquisition by declaration on the grounds of marriage are dealt with by the Ministry of the Interior, while statistics on other acquisitions by declaration are produced by the Ministry of Justice. In addition to regular statistics, the Ministry of the Interior estimates the number of young people who acquire citizenship automatically, without registration, when they reach the age of eighteen. 263 T H E S I M Hungary, Netherlands, Austria, Finland and Sweden), statistics on the acquisition of citizenship are also, or only, provided by the respective NSI. In Belgium, the Netherlands, Finland and Sweden the statistical offices’ main source of information is the population registration system. All acquisitions are covered in the statistics whatever the reason for and procedure of acquisition; this includes not only naturalisations but also all persons obtaining citizenship automatically through notification. Only newborn children who receive citizenship at birth are not included. By contrast, in Germany information on each case of acquisition is transmitted from the local naturalisation authorities to the statistical office of each Länder which in turn send aggregated data to the Federal Statistical Office. In this way, statistics are made available on the legal basis of acquisition, sex, age, place of residence, duration of residence, previous citizenship and, if applicable, citizenship retained after becoming German. In Hungary, information on acquisitions of citizenship by naturalisation and on re-acquisitions is provided through statistical forms. In Austria, although there is exhaustive registration of acquisitions by type and demographic characteristics in the municipal registers, the Naturalisation Database is the only source used by Statistics Austria. Output is published in tabular form as press releases on a quarterly basis by Statistics Austria. It is important to note that, on a country to country basis, some cases are excluded a priori from statistics because of practical or other reasons. This occurs, for instance, for descendants of Irish citizens who are effectively granted citizenship by issuing them with passports without official acquisition or registration procedures. The same is true for descendants of Italian citizens living abroad4, for young people turning eighteen in France and for adopted children in the Netherlands. With a few exceptions, detailed data on successful applications for citizenship is available in most countries. This covers type of acquisition, previous citizenship, sex, age, place and duration of residence, length of marriage, citizenship retained after naturalisation (if applicable) and other variables. However, only a few countries (such as the United Kingdom) produce statistics on the number of unsuccessful applications for citizenship or the reason for the refusal. No evidence is available on related topics such as pending applications or appeal procedures and their outcomes. 4 Between 1999 and 2003 about 400,000 people living elsewhere (many of them in Argentina) were recognised as Italians. This compares with an annual average of about 10,000 applications for citizenship granted in Italy, mostly naturalisations and spouses of citizens. 264 Chapter 11: Statistics on Acquisition of Citizenship 3. Assessment of existing statistics Almost everywhere, all the ways of acquiring citizenship are recorded, and a full breakdown by type of citizenship acquisition should be possible. In this way, comparable statistics (covering the same types of acquisition) may be produced. This is extremely important for countries (such as Belgium and France) which usually include more types of citizenship acquisition than other countries in the statistics. There are several countries, however, where it is not possible to obtain figures for all types of acquisitions and then tailor the coverage of the statistics to achieve comparability. In most countries, the data on country of previous citizenship is generally available and provided in the detail requested. Exceptions occur in countries in which the provision and publication of such detail is limited to selected ways of acquiring citizenship (such as classical naturalisation in Cyprus) which are numerically only a small proportion of the total annual number of acquisitions, and to countries (e.g. Ireland) in which the information has never been disaggregated by previous citizenship in the international publications consulted. The following main conclusions may be reached about the statistical coverage of the data which are currently published in the EU MS: Acquisitions based on birth in the country for second- and thirdgeneration immigrants are not treated uniformly in the statistics of countries where this ground applies. It often depends on the fulfilment of residence conditions by one or both parents. Acquisition based on ius sanguinis after the moment of birth are usually included in the statistics, with the exception of eight countries, which either have exclusions (e.g. Ireland, Portugal and Slovenia) or partial reporting (Czech Republic, Hungary and the Slovak Republic). Despite the variety of situations, even within the same country, most acquisitions related to birth and/or prolonged residence (acquisitions based on ius soli after birth for the second generation) – basically cases of naturalisation – are included in the statistics. Among the countries that allow this type of acquisition of citizenship, only Germany, Ireland and Italy do not include the corresponding cases in their statistics. Ordinary acquisitions through naturalisation and acquisitions based on marriage to a citizen (including transfer of citizenship and facilitated naturalisation) are nearly always included in the statistics; 265 T H E S I M Cyprus is an exception for acquisitions related to marriage, as details by previous citizenship are recorded. Acquisitions for adopted persons – minors and occasionally adults – through transfer of citizenship are usually covered by the statistics. Variations occur for minors in the Czech Republic, Greece, Italy, Netherlands and the Slovak Republic, because of organisational aspects (for instance registration procedures at the local level) and conceptual distinctions. In some countries excluding these cases from the statistics causes a significant change in the result. In Italy, for example, there are around 2,000 adoptions of foreign minors annually, compared to an annual total of about 10,000 acquisitions overall. Other transfers of citizenship (to children or relatives of former or deceased citizens) and extensions of acquisitions (to spouses, children and/or other relatives) are usually included in the statistics as formal modes of acquiring citizenship or specific provisions for naturalisation. Among the exceptions in Italy is citizenship acquisition by children, which is automatically derived from the registration of their parents’/parent’s naturalisation. In Luxembourg, the extension of citizenship to children is sometimes not counted (or counted twice, as an effect of the separate naturalisation of the father and the mother). In the Netherlands, the extension of citizenship to children has not always been included in the recent past, depending on the data source. Re-acquisition of citizenship is normally granted to foreigners who renounced the country’s citizenship when they acquired another citizenship when dual citizenship was not allowed, and people who were deprived of their original citizenship. Such re-acquisitions are only partially, if at all, included in the statistics in some EU MS. Spain and Italy are among the countries which do not include such cases. In Spain re-acquisition also covers the registration of citizenship by former citizens who have emigrated abroad and who do not legally reside in the country. In Italy re-acquisition, automatic or by declaration, also refers to individuals who have taken up residence in the country. As noted above for other modes of acquisition, in most cases the reason for exclusion is organisational. Acquisitions based on cultural affinity related to ethnicity, mother tongue, and/or religion are usually either completely or partially included in the statistics. However ethnic Germans (Aussiedler) and 266 Chapter 11: Statistics on Acquisition of Citizenship ethnic Greeks are excluded from their country’s statistics. In Germany this is based on a decision taken in 19995. In Greece, it is not clear whether the exclusion of Greek Pontiacs from the former Soviet Union from the statistics is due to political reasons or a lack of coordination in the production of statistics6. In Germany, the inclusion of people of German ethnic origin in the statistics on the acquisition of citizenship would completely change the profile. In Hungary and the Czech Republic citizenship acquisitions that are based on cultural affinity are not regularly covered by the published statistics. This refers to ethnic Hungarians from other countries (mainly the former Yugoslavia and Ukraine), and former Czechoslovak nationals and their descendents, respectively. A cross-cutting category concerns the acquisition of citizenship by individuals who are resident abroad. Definitive information is only available through THESIM for a few countries. Belgium, Lithuania and, in almost all cases, Italy, exclude these people from their statistics. France and Austria may or may not exclude them, and may change the method of publication. In analysing nationally and internationally published series, it is noticeable that in some countries the coverage of the statistics on acquisitions of citizenship varies from year to year. In addition, the different sources consulted sometimes revealed different coverage within the same calendar year (for instance, in the Czech Republic). Apart from errors in data transmission and the changes between preliminary and final figures, differences were related to the different treatment of specific cases. These included: citizenship acquisitions by Nordic citizens and through notification in Sweden; automatic acquisitions by young people who were born and were long-term residents in France, which were sometimes estimated and included; extension of acquisitions in France, Hungary and the Netherlands; acquisitions by people living abroad in Austria; quoting the number of positive decisions instead of the number of people concerned in Hungary; and the continuous updating of the databases and results in Portugal. Although some differences cannot be explained, the variations in coverage of the statistics were often found to be the most significant reason for inconsistencies, breaks in series of data, and the general unreliability of the data. For people obtaining automatic citizenship together with recognition of their status. Greek Pontiacs are granted Greek citizenship by the regional authorities through a specific procedure. Albanian citizens are normally treated separately, and excluded from citizenship. 5 6 267 T H E S I M The comparability of statistics in time and between countries is limited by the changes occurring within a short period and the different modes of, requirements and procedures for acquiring citizenship in each country. Belgium is certainly the most pertinent illustration of the limits to comparability. Over a period of about two decades, acquisition statistics reflect successively: the profound modifications to the citizenship code of June 1984; the facilitation of procedures for people born in the country; the elimination of differences between men and women; the reduction in the cohabitation period for foreign spouses; the reduction of the necessary period of previous residence; the introduction of easier and faster procedures; and the elimination of fees. Conclusion The coverage of statistics on citizenship acquisition in EU MS often changes, and publications can contain contradictory and unreliable statistics. In many countries this is the result of multiple responsibilities – from granting citizenship to the production of statistics – the existence of different sources, the lack of adequate documentation and even the misreporting of data. Where responsibility is shared, the availability and reliability of data are generally good at each level, but there is often poor coordination. Based on previous positive experiences, a successful strategy could be to strengthen the role of the national statistical institutes in the collation of basic data. This depends, of course, on the administrative setting and the modes and procedures of acquiring citizenship and registering this change. The priority issue for discussion and solution is which cases should be included in the statistics. Specifying the topics of data collection for the forthcoming EU Regulation may direct countries towards an established method, including the possibility of updating their historical series. However, this is clearly not possible for all countries, or may only be feasible in the long term. Moreover, compromises will need to be made, for example when people move abroad before citizenship is granted. The comparability of statistics on the acquisition of citizenship remains limited over time for the same country and internationally. This occurs for the following reasons: differences and frequent changes in national provisions; the presence/absence of a dual citizenship regime, which makes the acquisition somewhat more difficult when at least one of the countries concerned does not permit dual citizenship, and easier when people are allowed to keep the tie with their country of origin; 268 Chapter 11: Statistics on Acquisition of Citizenship different acquisition requirements and procedures, especially for the specific facilitations established in many countries; limited or incomplete registration mechanisms for some types of acquisition; including or excluding some types of acquisition – mostly the naturalisation of people living abroad, the extension of citizenship to children, and citizenship acquisitions that are specific to each country; reporting the number of positive decisions instead of the expected, and now clearly requested, number of acquisitions. For the first factor, it is clear that national prerogatives and differences will remain unless supranational rules are adopted. Currently, one of the most relevant examples is access to Greek citizenship, which is generally not granted to ethnic Greeks of Albanian citizenship. However the differences in the other factors may be resolved through significant (but perfectly feasible) changes to the registration of citizenship acquisitions and the production of statistics. The recommendations of the proposed EU Regulation include the need to specify the exact scope of the data collection and to establish and apply a common classification of modes of acquiring citizenship. The implementation of the regulation necessitates the introduction of a clear description of all types of acquisitions that can be used as an instrument in the production of national statistics. Generally, all types of acquisitions should be included in the statistics, regardless of procedure – automatic, upon registration or similar, and upon discretionary decision. This clarifies references to acquisitions based on birth and/or prolonged residence (ius soli after birth in the NATAC classification), i.e. second- and third-generation immigrants and other cases that are often not considered. All acquisitions of citizenship (except new-born infants), regardless of reasons and procedures, already appear in the statistics of Nordic countries. Finally, data collection should move towards including only acquisitions of citizenship by people who live in the country. The implementation measures for the EU Regulation could include a proposal for national statistical institutes to be given a central role when the production of statistics depends on using different sources or the centralised population register. In addition, nationally published statistics should match those published internationally, or at least clearly explain the existence of different series for the purposes of international comparability (for instance by systematically publishing national statistics and those transmitted to the international organisations together). When tangible improvements to the data collection of acquisitions by previous citizenship have been achieved, it 269 T H E S I M is recommended that the data collection be enlarged to cover other variables (such as the type of acquisition, sex and age). Generally speaking, countries should improve their data documentation and the transmission of these statistics to international organisations. If the headings for data collection follow the outline for harmonised statistics described above there should be a generalised exclusion (or at least a separate reporting) of acquisitions of citizenship by people living abroad. There should also be a generalised inclusion of acquisitions based on adoption or other similar reasons, and extensions of acquisitions. The body responsible for international adoption could make such information available. Apart from this, the specific changes recommended concern selected countries. 270 Chapter 12 Statistics on Refusals, Apprehensions and Removals: An Analysis of the CIREFI Data Michael Jandl and Albert Kraler Introduction Measuring the number of migrants who enter a country illegally or the number of migrants illegally residing in a country at a given moment is inherently problematic as it concerns (mainly) undocumented and hidden events. Statements about the quantitative extent of illegal migration tend to draw on statistics of observed events that are usually collected for administrative purposes (e.g. by the police and border guards) at a national level1. From a policy perspective, it is clearly necessary to gain a clearer picture of the size, structure and dynamics of illegal migration across Member States. To this aim, the European Commission (especially the DG JLS) and Eurostat has developed a data-collection system (CIREFI) that regularly compiles the statistics on illegal migration provided by EU MS. To date, the CIREFI database is the only available European-wide source of statistics on enforcement measures taken in the field of illegal migration. As the fight against illegal migration gains increasing prominence at EU level and as the European Commission assumes ever wider competencies in this field, the CIREFI database will become more important in coming years. This chapter will provide a critical analysis of the data provided by the CIREFI database and will evaluate their availability, reliability and comparability. 1 Note that the terms ‘illegal migration’ and ‘irregular migration’ are often used interchangeably in policy contexts. Strictly speaking, however, ‘illegal migration’ refers to the illegal crossing of borders, while ‘irregular migration’ covers a wider range of irregularities in the status of migrants (e.g. illegal residence after the expiry of visas (visa over-stayers) or the illegal employment of foreigners in an otherwise ‘regular’ situation). At EU level the term ‘illegal migration’ is generally used to refer to the illegal entry and/or stay of international migrants who are citizens of third countries. This approach is followed in this paper, while specific terms are used and explained where appropriate. T H E S I M Until recently, the contents of the CIREFI database have not been accessible to the public. This has partly been changed with the publication of the DG JLS Annual Report in early 20042. Three types of data from the CIREFI database3 are published that are linked to illegal migration, namely statistics on refusals of entry (1997-2001); apprehensions of aliens illegally present (1997-2001); removed aliens (1997-2001). In the rest of this chapter, we will analyse the deficiencies in each of these three data sets and provide a set of recommendations for data collection4. 1. Refusals of entry Data on refusals of entry do not (only) count attempts at illegal entry. As specified in the explanatory document ‘Policy and legislation on illegal entry’ of the DG JLS Annual Report, data on refusals refer to everybody refused entry at the border for whatever reason. The note on Belgian data on ‘reasons for refusal’ is a good example of the kind of reasons included: Entry can be refused to aliens who: do not have a valid travelling document (i.e. a passport and, for visarequired nationalities, a visa or a residence permit issued by a Schengen state); do not have any documents affirming the reason for their journey; do not have sufficient means of subsistence, or an undertaking of financial liability; are included on one of the national or international ‘forbidden’ lists. The documents are available online at: http://europa.eu.int/comm/justice_home/doc_centre /asylum/ statistical/doc_annual_report_2001_en.htm (29.4.2004). 3 The CIREFI monthly data collection includes two more categories of data on enforcement measures relating to illegal migration, namely data on apprehended facilitators (by citizenship) and apprehended facilitated aliens (by citizenship and type of border). See: UN Statistical Commission/UN Economic Commission for Europe/Eurostat, (2003). However, these data have not yet been published by the European Commission and therefore do not form part of this inquiry. A sixth set of data published in the first Annual Report on Asylum and Migration, on the implementation of the Dublin Convention, refers to requests from one Member State to another to take back or take charge of asylum applicants. However, these data refer to administrative requests and not to actual movement from one country to another and are therefore not included in this project. 4 The recommendations were elaborated with a view to their inclusion in the ‘Regulation on Community statistics on international migration and asylum’ and were written against the background of several early draft versions of this Regulation (up to January 2005). Some of them may be reflected in the implementing measures yet to be formulated in relation to Article 10 of the Regulation. 2 272 Chapter 12: Statistics on Refusals, Apprehensions and Removals Attempting entry to Belgium for any of these reasons could constitute an act of illegal migration, but none of them necessarily does so. As Table 1 shows, there are a variety of reasons that can lead to refusal of entry to Belgium. As a country bordering only other Schengen states, most of the refusals take place at airports. Detailed statistics on refusals indicate that the majority of people ‘refused entry’ at official border posts could easily enter the country legally, but at the moment of counting they did not fulfil the relevant criteria (for example, they had forgotten their passports). A good indicator for this fact is the high number of Swiss citizens ‘refused entry’ at the German border (6,029 out of a total of 51,054 people in 2001, making them the third largest group of people refused entry). Another example is the extremely high number of people refused entry to Spain (869,208 in 2001), 99% of whom were Moroccans. Most of these people were refused entry to the Spanish exclaves of Ceuta and Melilla on the North African continent, and it is likely that a very high percentage of them were repeatedly refused. Table 1. Refusals of entry to Belgium by reason and place Reason Zaventem Airport 1999 2000 TGV- Eurostar 1999 Total 2000 1999 2000 TD-1 (no visa) 978 921 166 297 1,144 1,218 TD-2 (insufficient means of subsistence) TD-3 (inclusion in national database*) TD-4 (no identity documents) TD-5 (fake documents) TD-6 (unclear travel motive) TD-SIS (SIS alert) 177 165 94 2 271 167 24 21 - 36 24 57 73 82 747 1,283 820 1,365 691 631 39 - 730 631 581 562 2 5 583 567 65 56 5 3 70 59 2,589 2,438 1,053 1,626 3,642 4,064 Total (all places) 4,659 5,363 Total given in CIREFI database Source: Belgian Immigration Service, Annual Report 1999/2000 4,902 5,506 Subtotal To gain more insight into the reasons that people are refused entry, it is therefore necessary to look at statistical breakdowns of refused entries. These statistics are not currently provided in the published CIREFI data. As 273 T H E S I M a further example, consider the following statistics on Austria, where the CIREFI data indicate a total of only 17,595 refused entries in 2001. In contrast, Table 2 gives the detailed statistics from the Austrian Federal Ministry of Interior: Table 2. Refusals of entry to Austria Reason (according to Aliens Law*) 2001 8,973 915 4,189 1,082 851 46 1,506 33 17,595 § 52/1 (no passport or visa) § 52/2/1 (prohibition of residence) § 52/2/2 (SIS-alert) § 52/2/3/a (public security) § 52/2/3/b (illegal employment) § 52/2/3/c (human smuggling) § 52/2/4 (means of subsistence) § 52/2/5 (financial misdemeanour) Total Source: BMI Statistics 2001/2002/2003. * All § refer to Aliens Law 1997. 2002 6,888 1,499 10,557 960 959 19 2,356 42 23,280 2003 6,491 1,238 8,765 1,216 1,172 124 3,321 44 22,371 According to these data, in 2001, 51% of all refused entries were due to the person attempting entry not having sufficient documentation (no passport or visa). A further 9% were due to the border guard judging that the person in front of him or her did not have sufficient means of subsistence to fulfil entry requirements. Only about 40% of refused entry cases were directly linked to illegal migration. However, in 2002 and 2003 this was true for more than 50% of refused entry cases. In any case, as this example illustrates, the total number of refused entries per country and year is not a good indicator of either volume or trends in illegal migration. Data on refusals of entry to any of the twenty-five countries of the EU should, as a minimum, provide the reasons for the refusal of entry. 2. Apprehensions of aliens illegally present All EU MS, except Ireland and the United Kingdom, provide annual statistics on the total numbers of ‘apprehensions of aliens illegally present’ to the CIREFI database (as published in the first Annual Report on Asylum and Migration) plus a breakdown by the top ten countries of citizenship of those apprehended. In principle, apprehension data are the only basis for arriving at informed estimates of the scale, structure and trends of illegal migration in Europe. However there are several inherent difficulties and problems with using such data for the purpose of estimating illegal 274 Chapter 12: Statistics on Refusals, Apprehensions and Removals migration (e.g. data definitions, how to estimate the volume of those not discovered on the basis of the number of those apprehended, and accounting for distortions that necessarily arise because of the nature of law enforcement in this field5), but these issues will not be pursued further here6. The main problem with the published CIREFI apprehension data is, however, more fundamental and makes their value as an indicator of illegal migration trends highly questionable. The data on ‘apprehensions of aliens illegally present’ do not, in fact, refer to ‘aliens illegally present’ on the territory of most countries providing the data. Rather, they refer to the total number of apprehensions of aliens illegally present inside the country and at or near the borders of the country that aliens have unsuccessfully tried to enter illegally. Thus, the data are an amalgam of data that refer to flows (illegal crossings) and data that refer to stocks (aliens illegally present)7. The more detailed German apprehension data in Tables 3a and 3b provide a good example of the confusion created by total apprehension data alone. The data supplied to the CIREFI database from the German Criminal Police refer to all aliens who, at the time of apprehension, were in violation of legal residence or entry requirements (i.e., they were either illegal residents or apprehended for illegal border crossing). When the figures on border apprehensions (provided by the German Federal Border Guard, BGS) are subtracted from this total, it emerges that between 1994 and 2003 the number of aliens apprehended for being illegally present within Germany remained relatively stable at around 80,000-100,000 per year, while the number of people apprehended for illegal border crossing during this period declined sharply8. Thus, as well as all the other difficulties in interpreting apprehension data, the cumulative data (as published in the German Annual Report on Asylum and Migration 2001) conceal one central trend in apprehensions: border apprehensions in Germany have declined sharply in the past decade (from over 54,000 in 1993 to under 20,000 in 2003), while apprehensions inside the country have declined by a much smaller percentage. 5 Anecdotal evidence suggests that law enforcement agencies are frequently subject to severe pressure to meet certain numerical targets. In addition, apprehensions may be recorded in statistics not by the actual place of apprehension, but following other criteria (e.g. stated origin). For apprehensions on the territory of a given state, distortion may result from enforcement agencies’ habit of targeting particular groups or locations on the basis of probabilistic assumptions about illegal migrants. 6 For further discussion see, for example Jandl (2004). 7 In fact, data on apprehended aliens illegally present in the country within the course of one year do not, strictly speaking, refer to stocks of aliens illegally present at any one point in time. 8 Sources: (Bundesministerium des Innern, 2003, pp. 137-138; 2004, pp. 110-112). 275 T H E S I M Table 3a. Aliens apprehended in Germany (in thousands) (1990-1996) 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994* 1995* 125.0 131.5 Total CIREFI 7.2 23.6 44.9 54.3 31.1 29.6 Total BGS* 94.0 101.9 BGS minus CIREFI Sources: * Bundesministerium des Innern 2003 and 2004; elsewhere: CIREFI. 1996* 137.3 27.0 110.3 Table 3b. Aliens apprehended in Germany (in thousands) (1997-2003) 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002* 140.8 128.3 124.3 122.6 112.6 138.1 Total CIREFI 40.2 37.8 31.5 28.6 22.6 35.2 Total BGS* 100.6 90.5 92.8 94.0 89.9 102.9 CIREFI minus BGS Sources: * Bundesministerium des Innern 2003 and 2004; elsewhere: CIREFI. 2003* 96.1 19.8 76.2 2.1 Further disaggregations: total apprehensions Apprehensions of ‘aliens illegally present’ can be made for a variety of reasons, including illegal residence and illegally crossing the state border. In addition, there are other important reasons that should be differentiated in the aggregate statistics. As an example, consider the figures below from the Hungarian Border Guard. In 2003 a total of 13,533 people were found to have committed offences related to illegal migration in Hungary (a decrease of 16% compared to the previous year). Of these, 5,134 people crossed or attempted to cross national borders illegally (a decrease of 48% compared to 2002); 4,574 people violated the rules on foreigners’ residence (an increase of 34% compared to 2002); 2,690 people were found to have forged official documents (an increase of 42% compared to 2002); 614 people attempted to enter Hungary or to stay in the country despite an existing decision prohibiting them from doing so (an increase of 61% compared to 2002); 519 people were involved in smuggling humans (an increase of 5% compared to 2002); two people provided assistance to prohibited residence. Again, such distinctions are crucial for evaluating the underlying trends hidden in aggregate data – in this example, the disaggregated data show that far fewer apprehensions were made at the border, while many more 276 Chapter 12: Statistics on Refusals, Apprehensions and Removals people were apprehended within the country and for using false or falsified documents. 2.2 Further disaggregations: border apprehensions Two further complications in the compilation and interpretation of CIREFI data on apprehended illegal migrants arise, because the disaggregated data do not show whether the category ‘illegal migrants’ refers only to foreign nationals or whether border violations by a country’s own citizens are included and whether the migrants were apprehended for illegally crossing a national border on the way in or on the way out. Good examples of disaggregated data illustrating this point are data provided by the Alien and Border Police Service of the Czech Republic. Unlike the data provided in the CIREFI database, the statistics in Table 4 differentiate between foreigners and Czech citizens, and show the direction taken by the migrants9. Table 4. Illegal migrants apprehended crossing the borders of the Czech Republic 1993–2003 (in thousands) 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 43.3 20.5 19.2 23.7 29.3 44.7 32.3 32.7 23.8 14.7 13.2 Total 41.8 18.8 17.1 21.2 27.3 43.0 30.4 30.8 21.1 12.6 11.1 Foreigners 1.5 1.6 2.0 2.5 2.0 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.7 2.1 2.1 Czechcitizens By direction: 41.3 17.0 15.4 18.7 22.0 37.1 27.0 27.6 17.0 9.2 9.4 From Czech Republic 2.0 3.4 3.8 5.0 7.3 7.5 5.4 5.1 6.9 5.5 3.8 to Czech Republic Source: Alien and Border Police Service of the Czech Republic, Analytical Unit, Futo and Jandl (2004). However, to learn more about the direction of illegal migration flows to and from a particular country, even more precise statistics are needed. Such data are publicly available only for a few countries but should become more widely available. For example, the data on border apprehensions by border sections and directions of flow from the Slovak Republic, reproduced in Table 5, provide important insights into the direction of irregular migration flows. The data included in the CIREFI overview table on the total numbers of ‘apprehensions of aliens illegally present’ in the Czech Republic are only 25,503 for the year 2000 and 21,580 for the year 2001, with empty cells for the years 1997–2000. 9 277 T H E S I M Table 5. Number of migration-related apprehensions* by border section in the Slovak Republic Number of people apprehended when: Total number of apprehensions entering the Slovak leaving the Slovak on that border Republic Republic 348 3,560 3,908 Austria 22 2,108 2,130 Czech Republic 247 352 599 Poland 5,468 15 5,483 Ukraine 304 69 373 Hungary 6,389 6,104 12,493 Total Source: Slovak Ministry of Interior, Border and Aliens Police, Futo and Jandl (2004). *Including foreigners and citizens of the Slovak Republic. Border with The conclusion on the value of (published) CIREFI data on apprehensions of aliens illegally present in twenty-nine countries is sobering: in the aggregate, they are of little use in estimating either stocks or flows of illegal migrants in European countries, nor do they tell us much about the various reasons why a person is considered to be illegally crossing a state’s border or illegally residing on the territory10. On the other hand, the breakdown by the ten most important countries of citizenship of those apprehended does provide certain insights into the patterns of illegal migration. Data requirements Data on apprehensions of illegal migrants should be disaggregated at a minimum according to: foreigners and own nationals; citizenship; reasons for apprehension; border apprehensions and in-country apprehensions; directions of movement (apprehension upon entering or leaving the territory); border section and direction (to/from which country). 10 Conceptually, a distinction needs to be made between people considered to be illegally crossing a border or illegally residing in a given state because they lack the authorisation (documents etc.) to do so, on the one hand, and on the other hand, people who are considered illegal because they have committed a criminal offence that cancels any prior authorisation to reside in a given territory. 278 Chapter 12: Statistics on Refusals, Apprehensions and Removals 3. Removed aliens The data on removed aliens published in the first Annual Report on Asylum and Migration (most, but not all of which comes from the CIREFI database) is deficient in several regards. Most importantly, only the totals of removed aliens are given, excluding the reasons for removal and the categories of migrants removed from the territory; also, the data does not specify whether the removals were effected by the migrants themselves after receiving an expulsion order, or were escorted or forced returns (deportation). Finally, the data include no information on destination – whether the country of last residence/transit or the country of origin – or means of transport of deportees. A cross-check of CIREFI statistics with data published by national authorities would suggest that, by and large, only deportation figures are included in the CIREFI database. However, some countries (for example the United Kingdom) explicitly also include unlawfully resident aliens removed from the territory under voluntary return schemes, while others (e.g. Belgium) apparently do not. In yet others (e.g. Austria)11 it proved impossible to establish which categories of removals the figures contained in the database actually refer to, underlining the importance of providing the necessary metadata alongside actual figures. Similarly, the CIREFI totals given for the Netherlands differ significantly from those given in a recent IOM study on return policies and practices in Europe, as do the figures for Finland (IOM, 2004). However, deportation is in itself an ambiguous category, and most countries distinguish two or more types of forced removal12. On the whole, the CIREFI data seem to give the total number of deportations, covering all the different types of forced removal. In principal, two main categories can be distinguished. The first is deportations effected after an alien has been apprehended and/or refused entry at a port of entry/border. Very often, this type of deportation involves returning the alien to the country from which he or she entered the country, rather than returning him or her to the country of origin. It should be added, however, that information on the destination of deportees is rarely available; nor is information on whether aliens were taken back by other countries on the basis of readmission 11 For Austria, the total figure for removals for 2001 provided by CIREFI is 11,592. The Ministry of Interior data, however, lists a total of 8,324 deportations (Abschiebungen). In the same period, 6,338 aliens were forcibly removed or rejected (Zurückschiebung) within seven days of entering the territory. 12 Often, the categories used reflect legal concepts rather than generic types of forced removal and thus are difficult to compare cross-nationally. 279 T H E S I M agreements, or whether the alien was returned to another EU MS or a third country. The second major type of forced removal covers deportations effected after an expulsion order or residence ban has been issued, usually after the alien has already spent significant time in the country from which he or she is being deported. While the first type of deportation is directly linked to illegal immigration, the second type is not, or at least not necessarily, and it may be carried out in response to illegal employment, criminal offences, rejection of an asylum application, on grounds of public security, or on other grounds, including illegal residence. Table 6. Forced returns from Germany 1997 1998 Forced removals 26,668 31,510 (Zurückschiebungen) Deportations 38,205 38,479 (Abschiebungen) 64,873 69,989 Total Source: German Federal Border Guard, Annual Reports. 1999 2000 2001 23,610 20,369 16,048 32,929 56,539 35,444 55,813 27,902 43,950 Table 7. Forced returns from the UK 1997 1998 1999 People refused entry at port and 24,535 27,605 31,295 subsequently removed Persons removed as a result of 6,61 7,315 6,44 enforcement action Principal asylum applicants leaving under the assisted 50 voluntary return programme Total (= figure given in CIREFI) 31,145 34,92 37,785 Source: UK Home Office, Control of Immigration Statistics 2002. 2000 2001 38,275 37,865 7,82 10,29 550 46,645 980 49,135 In practice it is often difficult to distinguish meaningfully between the two types of removals, as so much depends on the legal definitions involved. The figures for forced returns from Germany and the UK (see Tables 6 and 7 respectively) are a case in point. While in both countries a distinction is made between aliens removed because of illegal entry and all other deportations, the precise definitions differ. Germany effects forced removals of the first type (Zurückschiebung) within a six-month period after entering Germany, and aliens found illegally resident within the territory 280 Chapter 12: Statistics on Refusals, Apprehensions and Removals during this period are included in this figure13. By contrast, the UK data on deportations on grounds of illegal entry are limited to people refused entry and subsequently removed at the border. The UK data point at another possible area of confusion, namely the distinction between refusals at the border and removals of persons refused entry at the border (in most cases, airports), in regard to which double counting is very likely to occur14. This last confusion, arising from unclear definitions of ‘removals’ and ‘prohibitions of entry’, can also be illustrated by the available Spanish data on forced returns. In addition to the issues just identified, the Spanish data also illustrate another complication, as the data transmitted to the CIREFI obviously do not include people returned on the basis of existing re-admission agreements. If these types of data are included in statistics on forced returns from Spain, the totals are two to three times higher than the figures given in the CIREFI database (Table 8). Table 8. Data on forced removals and returns from Spain 2000 Expulsions effected 2001 2002 2003 1,226 3,817 12,159 14,104 Returns effected 22,716 22,984 14,275 13,684 Subtotal (= figure given in CIREFI) 23,942 26,801 26,434 27,788 Prohibition of entry and return 6,181 8,881 11,698 14,750 Return by way of readmission agreement 9,249 9,862 38,981 51,343 39,372 45,544 77,113 93,881 Total repatriation Source: Ministerio del Interior, Spain. Another variation in the statistical counting of removals and refusals at the border is provided by statistics on removals, refusals and returns in Belgium, obtained from the Ministry of the Interior. According to the explanatory notes to these statistics, the data on ‘repatriations’ refer only to removals by plane, while removals by car to the neighbouring country from which the alien has entered are listed separately and are included in the The published CIREFI data contain only the total number of removals from Germany in 2001 (43,950) and their breakdown by nationality by the five main groups of citizens. 14 From the published (national) data it is impossible to tell whether this is indeed the case. The detailed investigation of metadata should give more information on this issue. 13 281 T H E S I M statistics on refusals. Voluntary assisted returns (either by the Immigration Service or, more commonly, by IOM) are listed separately. Moreover, as can be seen from Table 9, none of these categories, nor the total number of removals and refusals, corresponds well to the data listed in the CIREFI tables on ‘Total number of removed aliens’. Table 9. Removals, refusals and voluntary returns in Belgium 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Repatriations * 3,863 3,042 1,871 3,001 5,722 7,451 7,742 Refusals** 3,875 4,531 5,295 6,081 5,622 4,251 3,548 Voluntary returns*** 1,569 1,166 2,068 3,183 3,633 3,225 2,820 Total 9,307 8,739 9,234 12,265 14,977 14,927 14,110 Figures on removals given in CIREFI 4,890 3,877 3,457 4,684 8,801 n.a. Source: Belgian Ministry of Interior. * Removals by plane, including unaccompanied minors. ** Including refusals at borders, the airport and removals by car to the neighbouring country. *** Including returns assisted by Immigration Service and by IOM. n.a. To summarise: not all deportations are actually related to illegal migration. However, the data published by national authorities almost never reveal the reasons for the deportation order. Statistics on expulsion orders and residence bans or similar statistics (e.g. on people proceeded against for offences under immigration law in the British case), may provide a better, and in any case, a more comprehensive picture of enforcement action taken against illegal migrants. In addition, while many states now ‘correlate’ statistics on residence bans, expulsion and deportation orders with the actual number of deportations effected (even if in rather crude terms), a medium-term goal should be to collect information on individuals rather than on cases. This should be done in a way that allows the different stages of the procedure (apprehension/refusal of entry/residence ban/expulsion order /voluntary return/deportation) to be monitored, and the different data to be related to each other. Information on individuals rather than cases would also allow double-counting of people who are repeatedly removed within the reporting period to be avoided. One of the main concerns of EU MS remains asylum migration and the return of rejected asylum seekers. For this reason, it would be desirable to allow different categories of migrants to be distinguished, and most importantly to distinguish between rejected asylum seekers and all others. Several countries, for example Belgium, Hungary, Netherlands and the 282 Chapter 12: Statistics on Refusals, Apprehensions and Removals United Kingdom, do differentiate between removed asylum seekers and other removed aliens. Figures for the Netherlands (Table 10) and Belgium (Table 11) are provided below15. Table 10. Removal of asylum seekers and other illegal immigrants from the Netherlands 2000 2001 2002 Asylum-Seekers Expulsion Supervised departure 2,027 2,112 2,276 n.a. n.a. n.a. Non-Asylum-Seekers Expulsion Supervised departure Totals 7,92 7,386 9,739 12,074 5,797 7,518 22,021 15,295 19,533 Source: IOM 2004. Table 11. Removals, refusals and voluntary returns of asylum seekers and non-asylum seekers in Belgium in 2003 Asylum Seekers Repatriations * Total 1,037 6,695 7,732 340 2,999 3,339 1,377 9,694 11,071 Refusals** Subtotal Non-Asylum Seekers Other returns and removals 2,820 Voluntary returns*** 209 Removal to border **** Total Source: Ministry of Interior Belgium. * Removals by plane, including unaccompanied minors. ** Including refusals at borders and the airport. *** Including returns assisted by Immigration Service and by IOM. **** Removals by car to the bordering country. 14,100 Although related to the legal grounds for a deportation, and thus to the legal grounds for an expulsion order as discussed earlier, expulsion orders/deportations following the rejection of an asylum claim are in 15 The published CIREFI data contain only the total number of removals from the Netherlands in 2001 (16,548) and their breakdown by nationality by the five main groups of citizens. 283 T H E S I M practice often recorded under a different heading (e.g. illegal entry). Thus, countries such as Austria or Germany that currently do not distinguish between removed asylum seekers and other deportees should be encouraged to differentiate between the two categories in their removal statistics. In any case, CIREFI could include a breakdown into asylum seekers and other returned aliens, irrespective of the proportion of EU MS able to do so. A recent UNECE/ Eurostat Working Paper16 suggests three main refinements of the CIREFI data on removal. First, the inclusion of information on the nature of the return action taken by a Member State, namely voluntary, escorted or forced escorted return. Second the inclusion of information on the destination of the return action (whether to the country of origin or to a third state). A third suggestion made in respect of aliens refused entry is to distinguish between refusals within the European Union on the one hand and to third countries on the other. A similar distinction could be made in respect of forced removals. The latter could be supplemented by information on whether the removal action took place in the framework of the Dublin Regulation or outside that agreement. The statistics on Dublin-related requests that are already part of CIREFI are certainly very useful in indicating trends in Dublin-related applications and decisions. However, ways should be found to relate these to enforcement actions taken by individual states. The recommendations made in the UNECE/Eurostat working paper on removal statistics are a useful starting point. In addition, however, information on the categories of removed aliens should be included. In the medium term, the information collected on different types of enforcement action should be linked and be based on individuals rather than cases, not only in order to monitor enforcement action more effectively, but also to be able to distinguish different categories of returned aliens, including asylum seekers, illegal entrants, and people deported on grounds unrelated to illegal migration. Data on removed aliens should, as a minimum, provide the categories of removed aliens and the type of removal (e.g. expulsion, deportation order, monitored departure, etc.). 16 UN Statistical Commission/UN Economic Commission for Europe/Eurostat, (2003), Statistical data on illegal immigration in the European Union: A discussion paper on policy needs and data availability, submitted by the European Commission, paper prepared by Ann Singleton for the Joint ECE-Eurostat Work Session on Migration Statistics, Geneva, 28th-30th April 2003 284 Chapter 12: Statistics on Refusals, Apprehensions and Removals Conclusion The main conclusion of the preceding analysis is that the form and content of the statistical material published from the CIREFI database is wholly inadequate to capture levels and trends in illegal migration processes and is therefore – in its current form – insufficient to guide European policymaking on illegal migration. To summarise the most important problems with the three main sets of data published from the CIREFI database: data on apprehended illegal migrants do not distinguish between stocks and flows (nor do they distinguish between persons and events); data on refusals of entry do not distinguish between the reasons for refusals of entry; and data on removals do not specify which type and category of removals they refer to. While this appears to be a rather sobering assessment of the quality of the main database on illegal migration at the European level, the preceding analysis has also provided detailed and realistic recommendations for improvements of this data collection. Using detailed statistics collected by national administrations, it has been demonstrated that in many cases the necessary data on refusals, apprehensions and returns do in fact exist and therefore could easily be integrated into an improved CIREFI data-collection system without the need for the production of completely new datasets at the national levels. However, to make the compilation, aggregation and interpretation of any improved European-wide dataset valid and meaningful, more effort needs to be devoted to establishing common definitions and harmonised standards of data collection. The proposed EU Regulation, together with its implementing measures (yet to be formulated), presents a good opportunity to drive this process forward. 285 Section 4 Special Scientific Investigations Chapter 13 A Cohort Approach to Measuring the Asylum Procedure Rob van der Erf, Liesbeth Heering and Ernst Spaan Introduction As explained in Chapters 5 and 10, the current availability, reliability and international comparability of asylum data leave much to be desired. Differences in legislation, concepts, definitions and calculation methods mean that it is difficult to quantify and compare the results of the asylum procedures in different countries. So, alongside the harmonisation of asylum procedures within the European Union, there is also a need to harmonise the compilation of asylum statistics. The interpretation of the 1951 Geneva Convention and the 1967 New York Protocol is in the hands of national authorities, who apply different criteria to the processes by which asylum is to be requested, the existence or non-existence of some kind of preliminary procedure, the opportunities to appeal, the length of the asylum procedure, and the possible forms of permission to stay apart from Convention status. Furthermore, generally used concepts such as ‘manifestly unfounded claims’, ‘safe third countries’ and ‘safe countries of origin’ can be and are interpreted differently. Differences such as those indicated above are reflected in the national statistics and there is a need to be aware of them when making international comparisons. A distinction must be drawn between asylum statistics on the one hand and asylum data on the other. In practice, a lot of data are collected but not published or otherwise made available to potential users. The reasons for this omission are twofold either political motives may prevent certain data from being published or only the statistics requested by external bodies are compiled. These reasons, combined with the fact that the compilation of asylum statistics is often left to the ministry or special agency responsible, and is carried out for administrative rather than for statistical purposes, may T H E S I M explain the generally limited possibilities of describing the whole asylum process in statistical terms. An important step towards the harmonisation of asylum statistics is the proposed EU Regulation (European Commission, 2005)1. The EU Regulation focuses mainly on the collection and analysis of period-based data, i.e. data that refer to calendar months and years. The initial impetus for a cohortbased approach was provided by Article 8c of the EU Regulation, which requests statistics on international protection to be linked to the year of submission of the application for asylum, as an additional disaggregation. This chapter aims to move the discussion forward by demonstrating the potential of cohort-based asylum data, and to advocate their collection. First, the merits of the cohort approach, vis-à-vis the period approach, are demonstrated. Then, on the micro level, a specimen database, including a description of the records, is presented. The core of this chapter is macrolevel data, and includes five country studies. The asylum process, the longitudinal data used, and the results in terms of recognition rates are described for Belgium, Denmark, France and the Netherlands. In this way the current availability, usefulness and comparability of longitudinal asylum information is analysed. It is hoped that these studies will promote the potential merits of collecting and publishing cohort-based asylum data, in addition to period-based data. Throughout this chapter, the concept of the asylum process is understood to be broader than the (judicial) concept of the procedure for applying for asylum. The asylum process is regarded here as beginning with the (first) application, involving several procedures, and ending with either a permanent residence permit or a return home. The chapter ends with some general conclusions. 1. The merits of a longitudinal approach Period-based statistics describe events that happen within a specified period of time, e.g. a month, a quarter, or a year. A disadvantage of this approach is the limited possibility of linking sequential events (for example asylum decisions with asylum applications) if these events occur in different periods. The calculation of the recognition rate is a good example. This rate tells us the percentage of asylum applicants (the ‘population at risk’) that is eventually granted permission to remain in the host country. Mainly 1 For concepts and definitions in the field of asylum and migration, see also European Commission (2003) and United Nations (1998). For a manual on asylum statistics, see Eurostat (1998b). 290 Chapter 13: A Cohort Approach to Measuring the Asylum Procedure because of the appeal possibilities and the time needed to come to appeal decisions, most asylum procedures are not completed in the same period (generally a calendar year) as they were started. For example, decisions taken in 2003 may relate to asylum seekers who entered into the country in 2003, 2002, 2001, 2000 or even earlier. As a consequence, the recognition rate for asylum applicants who arrived in, for example, 2000 can only be properly calculated when this group or cohort is followed through the years. This is called a cohort-based approach. In practice, most countries calculate the recognition rate by simply dividing the number of positive asylum decisions in a given calendar year by the total number of (asylum-related) decisions made that year. This method of calculation can easily lead to erroneous conclusions. The following simple, but not unrealistic, example illustrates this. Table 1. Example of decisions by calendar year and cohort Period recognition rate Cohort < 2000 Applicants 2000 2001 3000 1500 % 25 Decisions calendar year 2000 positive decisions 200 200 negative decisions 800 400 positive decisions 100 400 100 negative decisions 400 600 400 positive decisions 600 200 negative decisions 800 600 30 Decisions calendar year 2001 Decisions calendar year 2002 Decisions calendar year 2003 0 positive decisions 200 negative decisions 40 Cohort recognition rate 20 According to Table 1, the recognition rate for the calendar year 2000 (in the row) was 25% (400/1600) and for 2001 it was 30% (600/2000). The increase may suggest that the decision makers became more generous. However, looking at the cohort-based recognition rate (in the column) the opposite appears to be true: for the 2000 cohort the recognition rate was 40% 291 T H E S I M (1200/3000) but for 2001 it was only 20% (300/1500). Another disadvantage of period-based recognition rates is double counting due to appeal decisions. This example clearly shows the limitations of the period-based approach and the merits of cohort-based recognition rates. In addition to the recognition rate, the calculation of waiting times (e.g. between the time of application and the first instance decision, between the first instance and the second instance decision, etc.) is also only possible by means of a cohort-based approach. This is clarified by an example below. 2. A specimen database An electronic database is necessary for the collection and analysis of longitudinal asylum data. Each asylum applicant has one record in this database. This record consists of various predefined fields, depending on the characteristics of the asylum process in a specific country. In Figure 1, a simple example of an ‘ideal type’ of asylum process is presented. Figure 1. Example of an asylum process Asylum applications Preliminary procedure Normal procedure Pending in preliminary procedure Refused in preliminary procedure Positive 1st instance decision Negative 1st instance decision Pending 1st instance decision Departed 1st appeal Departed Unknown Repeat Positive 2nd instance decision Negative 2nd instance decision Pending 1st appeal Departed Unknown Unknown Repeat In this example it is assumed that: there is a preliminary procedure to assess the admissibility of a claim; 292 Chapter 13: A Cohort Approach to Measuring the Asylum Procedure there is no opportunity to appeal against a refusal in the preliminary procedure; there is only one opportunity to appeal against a negative decision; the rejected applicant is entitled to submit only one repeat application on the basis of substantially changed circumstances. Following the procedure in Figure 1, and enriched with some additional data (identification number, sex, date of birth, citizenship and individual/family application), the record description shown in Table 2 could result. The database thus created enables the asylum process to be analysed in numerous ways. Firstly, it provides information on the current status of asylum applications. Pending applications: - in the preliminary procedure; - in the normal procedure for first applications awaiting the first instance decision; - in the normal procedure for first applications awaiting the second instance decision; - in the normal procedure for repeat applications awaiting the first instance decision; - in the normal procedure for repeat applications awaiting the second instance decision. Granted applications: - first instance for first applications; - second instance for first applications; - first instance for repeat applications; - second instance for repeat applications. Rejected but not yet effectively departed applicants. Rejected and effectively departed applicants. Secondly, various duration factors can be calculated, such as: the length of stay in the country before the first application; the duration of the preliminary procedure; the time interval between the start of the normal procedure and the first instance decision; the time interval between the date of appeal and the second instance decision; the total length of the completed asylum processes. Finally, recognition rates can be adequately determined by calculating the proportion of positive decisions. However, an important disadvantage of deriving the rates in this way is that, in principle, the calculation should be delayed till everyone belonging to a certain cohort has received a final decision. Forecasting the outcome of pending cases can solve this problem. 293 T H E S I M In the country studies presented below these forecasts have been made on the basis of the results of previous completed cases. Table 2. Example of a record description Field 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Description Code Identification number yymmddsn 1 Sex M(ale) or F(emale) Date of birth ddmmyy Individual or family application I(ndividual) or F(amily) Citizenship Eurostat codes Date of entry into the country ddmmyy Date of first application ddmmyy Date of result of preliminary procedure ddmmyy Result of preliminary procedure A(ccepted) or R(efused) Date of first instance decision – first application ddmmyy P(ositive) or N(egative) Result of first instance decision − first application ddmmyy Date of first appeal − first application Date of second instance decision after first appeal – first ddmmyy 13 application Result of second instance decision after first appeal – first P(ositive) or N(egative) 14 application 2 15 Date of repeat application ddmmyy 16 Date of first instance decision – repeat application ddmmyy 17 Result of first instance decision – repeat application P(ositive) or N(egative) 18 ddmmyy Date of first appeal − repeat application Date of second instance decision after first appeal − repeat ddmmyy 19 application Result of second instance decision after first appeal − P(ositive) or N(egative) 20 repeat application 21 Date of effected departure ddmmyy 1 Identification numbers can be coded in various ways. In this example use is made of date of first application plus a serial number; e.g. 01102503. 2 Repeat applications retain their original identification numbers. The example record described in Table 2 includes 21 fixed fields: most of them (12) refer to (event) dates, 5 involve the possible result of a decision, and the remaining 4 supply further additional information. Using some invented cases the way the record would work at the micro level can be illustrated. These cases are shown in Table 3. Summary information derived from the records is presented in Table 4 (current status) and Table 5 (duration indicators). Case 1 is a simple example of an asylum process. A 29-year-old man from Zimbabwe entered the country without family members on 15th July 2004 and lodged a request for asylum the same day. Two days later he was accepted in the preliminary procedure and within three months a positive 294 Chapter 13: A Cohort Approach to Measuring the Asylum Procedure decision was taken in the normal procedure. This means that the whole asylum process took 62 days. Table 3. Examples of completed records Case 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Field 04071501 03031503 03030511 02061415 02061414 04061204 03070110 04061904 03111203 03111204 1 M M M F M F M F M F 2 070874 151256 121180 170473 100471 120873 030369 161091 161081 020599 3 I I I F F I I I F F 4 ZW AF BD TR TR SO RO AO IQ IQ 5 150704 100303 05-0303 020102 020102 150504 270603 190604 101103 101103 6 150704 150303 050303 140602 140602 120604 010703 190604 121103 121103 7 170704 200303 090303 160602 160602 160604 090703 230604 191103 191103 8 A A A A A R A A A A 9 150904 050803 100104 021003 021003 221203 160604 160604 10 P N N N N N N N 11 100803 200104 151003 151003 020104 190604 190604 12 250204 140904 120204 120204 120404 13 P N N N N 14 220704 15 190804 16 N 17 240804 18 19 20 021004 150304 180604 21 Reference date (for completion of table): 31st December 2004. Case 2 involves a man from Afghanistan, born on 15th December 1956, who entered the country on his own on 10th March 2003. Five days later his asylum application was lodged and after another five days he was admitted to the normal asylum procedure. Then, on 5th August 2003, he was informed that his request had been rejected. In consultation with his lawyer, the Afghan applicant appealed against the negative first instance decision on 10th August 2003. This appeal was granted on 25th February 2004, almost one year after the date of first application. In the third case, a 22-year-old man from Bangladesh submitted an asylum request on the day he entered the country, 5th March 2003. This individual request passed the admissibility procedure on 9th March 2003. The first instance decision, ten months later, was negative. His appeal (lodged on 20th January 2004) was also rejected (on 14th September 2004). Finally, he effectively left the country on 2nd October 2004. The whole asylum process took 1.6 years. 295 T H E S I M Cases 4 and 5 are treated together because they concern a married couple from Turkey. They entered the country on 2nd January 2002 and filed an asylum application on 14th June 2002. Two days later, they were accepted for the normal procedure. It took more than a year before they were informed about the negative first instance decision. After a rejection in the appeal procedure, the husband was forcibly returned to a third country on 15th March 2004. The place of residence of the wife is currently not known. For her, the asylum process has not yet finished after 2.5 years. Table 4. Current status indicators Case 1 2 3 4 Asylum process not yet finished pending first application waiting for preliminary decision waiting for first instance decision waiting for second instance decision pending repeat application waiting for first instance decision waiting for second instance decision departure not yet documented (disappeared) x Asylum process finished Granted residence permit x x effectively departed x Reference date (for completion of table): 31st December 2004. 5 6 7 8 9 10 x x x x x x In Case 6, a 30-year-old woman from Somalia entered the country on 15th May 2004. After an illegal stay of almost a month, she requested asylum on 12th June. She was refused in the admissibility procedure and sent back two days later. Her asylum process lasted less than a week. Case 7 describes the asylum process of a Romanian man, born in 1969, who entered the country on 27th June 2003. He does not give up easily witness the fact that after two negative decisions (first instance and appeal) he succeeded in filing a repeat application. So far this repeat application has resulted in a negative first instance decision. Currently, i.e. on 31st December 2004, the Romanian awaits the result of the appeal that he has lodged. Case 8 deals with an unaccompanied minor asylum seeker. A 12-year-old girl from Angola requested asylum on 19th June 2004, immediately upon arrival. After acceptance in the preliminary procedure, she is still waiting for the first instance decision. The last two cases relate to a father (born in 1981) and his daughter (born in 1999) from Iraq. They filed their applications on 12th November 2003 and more than six months later they are informed that they have been rejected in 296 Chapter 13: A Cohort Approach to Measuring the Asylum Procedure the first instance. As at 31st December 2004 they are awaiting the result of the appeal they lodged. Reviewing these ten cases, it can be seen that five of them were closed on the reference date, two in a positive way (with the grant of a residence permit) and three in a negative way (effectively departed). The duration of these completed asylum processes varied a lot, from 6 to 640 days. Four of the five remaining cases are still pending, and for one the departure still has to be documented. Table 5. Duration indicators (in days) Case 1 2 3 4 5 First application Stay in the country before 0 5 0 163 163 application Preliminary procedure 2 5 4 2 2 First instance decision 60 138 307 473 473 Between first decision and first nap 5 10 13 13 appeal Second instance decision nap 199 238 120 12 Repeat application Between first and repeat application nap nap nap nap First instance decision nap nap nap nap Between first decision and first nap nap nap nap appeal Second instance decision nap nap nap nap Whole process Up to latest decision 62 347 559 608 608 Total length of asylum process 62 347 577 640 Reference date (for completion of table): 31st December 2004. nap=not applicable. 6 7 8 9 10 28 4 0 2 2 4 nap 8 166 4 7 210 7 210 nap 11 3 3 nap 101 nap nap 387 28 nap 5 4 217 217 nap 4 6 415 3. Country studies It is still far from common practice for countries to publish and analyse cohort-based data on asylum seekers. Most countries only use the periodbased approach, although there is strong evidence that data-collection procedures in several countries are sufficient to produce longitudinal information on cohorts. Countries still remain to be convinced of the merits of this approach. One of the aims of the country studies below is to show, in a variety of settings, the added value of longitudinal information, especially with regard to the adequate calculation of the recognition rate. Against the background of current asylum procedures and by means of available cohort-based data, the longitudinal approach is applied here to Belgium, Denmark, France and the Netherlands. NSI and/or specialised 297 T H E S I M agencies responsible for the production of asylum data in these countries were asked to deliver primary data on all the steps in the asylum process. It must be emphasised however, that the concept of availability relates here to public sources (publications, data on websites, etc.) and not to data collection as such. In other words, if it is said that, for example, Denmark has not published cohort data by country of citizenship, it does not necessarily mean that Denmark is not able to provide such data. 3.1 Asylum procedures and possible outcomes Table 6 summarises the main characteristics of the asylum procedures in the countries being studied. All these countries start with some kind of preliminary procedure to assess which requests are eligible for the normal procedure. This preliminary procedure may be an admissibility procedure and/or an accelerated procedure. Most often, the criteria used to refuse or reject asylum claims at this early stage are related to: the concept of ‘manifestly unfounded’ requests, i.e. when it is obvious that the applicant has no valid motive for seeking asylum. This includes, for example, fraudulent applications and applications that concern people who might pose a serious threat to public order; the Dublin Convention2, determining the EU MS responsible for examining the asylum application; the concept of ‘safe third country’, when the applicant has come via a non-EU country that is considered to be safe, where he or she could have asked for asylum; the concept of safe ‘country of origin’, when the applicant is a citizen and/or inhabitant of a country that is considered to be safe. Belgium and the Netherlands include all the criteria mentioned above in their preliminary procedures. In Denmark the preliminary procedure consists of two parts: i) the admissibility procedure, before processing, which tests for ‘Dublin’, safe third country and safe country of origin; and ii) during processing the ‘manifestly unfounded’ procedure is applied to cases that obviously have no prospect of success. In France there is no test for safe third country or safe country of origin. 2 Known as ‘Dublin II’ since 2003. 298 Chapter 13: A Cohort Approach to Measuring the Asylum Procedure Table 6. Asylum procedures and possible outcomes Positive outcome Negative outcome Appeal level4 ConvenSubsiWith Without Prelimi- Normal tion diary pro- Other order order nary pro- Procestatus tection2 to leave to leave3 cedure dure BE x5 x x x 2 1 DK x6 x x x x 0 17 FR x8 x9 x x 2 2 NL x5 x10 x 2 2 1 Preceding the normal procedure. 2 In a broad sense, including humanitarian grounds, protection status, etc. 3 Allowed to stay for a limited period of time. 4 Number of appeal bodies; a suspension generally applies to the first body only. 5 Manifestly unfounded, safe country of origin, safe third country, and Dublin criteria. 6 Admissibility on Dublin, safe third country and safe country of origin criteria; at the processing stage a ‘manifestly unfounded’ procedure exists. 7 If asylum is refused in the normal procedure, the case is automatically transferred to the Refugee Appeals Board. 8 Admissibility on manifestly unfounded and Dublin criteria. 9 In addition to Convention status there is a ‘constitutional asylum’ status that is, however, rarely granted. 10 Only one status exists: a temporary residence permit is granted for five years, including the right to work. Preliminary procedure1 All countries except the Netherlands can grant Geneva Convention status. The Netherlands recently decided to limit the number of statuses to one, i.e. a temporary residence permit, to be renewed each year for five years, with the possibility of obtaining a residence permit for an indefinite period after the initial five years are up. For applicants who are considered not to meet the Convention criteria, there are alternative ways of staying in a country, although these often provide fewer rights and apply for a limited period of time only. The umbrella term ‘subsidiary protection’ is given to these alternative ways of remaining, when this is seen as a positive result of the asylum procedure. When it is seen as a negative result of the asylum procedure the (unofficial) qualification ‘without order to leave’ is used in Table 6. In practice, the distinction between subsidiary protection and without order to leave status is not always clear. Both concepts may include various protective grounds (when it would be irresponsible to send the applicant back to his or her home country (e.g. according to the non-refoulement principle that is laid down in the Geneva Convention) and humanitarian grounds (e.g. family ties, grave illness, etc.). Probably due to this vague distinction, Belgium, France and the Netherlands only offer the subsidiary protection status and Belgium only the without order to leave status. Both statuses are offered in Denmark. In the 299 T H E S I M four countries that only offer one of these statuses, the difference between subsidiary protection and without order to leave is assumed to be small. However, in Denmark subsidiary protection status probably implies a better position, in terms of rights and prolongation of the residence permit, than without order to leave status. The impact of the distinction on the international comparison of recognition rates is considerable, since subsidiary protection is counted as a positive result of the asylum procedure and without order to leave as a negative one. This means that the recognition rates of countries with only the subsidiary protection status will be systematically higher than those of countries with only the without order to leave status. As a consequence, Belgium’s recognition rate should not be unthinkingly compared. Some kind of correction is needed, as will be shown below. Finally, some comments on the appeal possibilities are relevant. There appears to be considerable variation in this respect between the countries, regarding either the kind of asylum procedure (preliminary or normal) against whose decision an appeal may be lodged, the number of different authorities involved, the kind of appeal body and/or the right to await the appeal decision in the host country. The appeal level and the number of subsequent appeal bodies, varies from 0 (for applicants refused in the preliminary procedure in Denmark) to 2 (for both kinds of procedure in France and the Netherlands). The first appeal authority may be: the first instance decision maker; a dedicated appeal body; a general appeal body. Generally, applicants in both the preliminary procedure and the normal procedure are entitled to await the decision of the first appeal in the country. Appeal decisions relating to the preliminary procedure are usually taken much faster than those relating to the normal procedure. Subsequent appeal authorities involve (with some exceptions) some kind of court (e.g the regional court, district court, High Court, or Council of State). Appeals to the High Court and Council of State are only reviewed in order to determine the legality of the procedure that was followed (judicial review). Normally, applicants awaiting the outcome of subsequent appeals are not entitled to stay in the host country. The appeal procedure in Denmark is significantly different from that in other countries, in the sense that all negative first instance decisions in the normal procedure are automatically transferred to the Refugee Appeals Board. The second instance decisions of this board are final. 300 Chapter 13: A Cohort Approach to Measuring the Asylum Procedure 3.2 Cohort-based asylum data: practical applications at the national level Table 7 gives an overview of the longitudinal data that was used in the country studies. Looking at the number of cohorts and the breakdown by citizenship, it is clear that a lot more data was available for Belgium than for the other countries. However, information on appeals and returns was missing from the Belgian dataset. Denmark was the only country whose data did not allow for a breakdown by country of citizenship. An important difference between France on the one hand, and the other countries on the other hand, was that the French data related to processed applications, while the other countries considered the applications lodged. This means that applicants who were refused in the admissibility procedure were not included in the French data, but did form part of the dataset for the other countries. In the Belgian and Danish figures these admissibility refusals were recorded separately, but in the Dutch figures they were included with the rejections in the normal procedure. Apart from France, all the countries provided information on pending cases (the small numbers of pending cases available for France were omitted). Some data on appeals was available for France and the Netherlands, and some data on the return of rejected applicants for Denmark and the Netherlands. Table 7. The longitudinal asylum data used in the country studies Cohorts BE 1988−1998 Procedure Citizenship PrelimiNormal Total nary x1 DK 2000−20032 FR 1997−2000 x NL 2000−2002 x6 3 Pending cases Appeals x x x x x x 4 x 5 x x x x Returns x x Democratic Republic of Congo, Ghana, India, Kosovo, Pakistan, Romania, Rwanda, Turkey, other. 2 Only the first six months of 2003. 3 Continents: Europe, Asia, Africa, other. 4 Excluding applicants who are refused entry in the admissibility procedure. 5 All pending case are excluded. 6 Afghanistan, Angola, Iraq, Sierra Leone, other. 1 Compared to the specimen database (Table 2) the national datasets in the countries being studied are quite basic. For example, they do not allow for the calculation of any duration indicators. Furthermore, it is not possible to 301 T H E S I M specify the results by sex and age, and the distinction between individual and family applications is missing. 3.3 Some results on recognition rates Given the variety of asylum procedures and available datasets, it is neither feasible nor sensible to present comparative graphs and tables for the five countries under consideration. Therefore, the main results, focusing on the recognition rate, will be discussed on a country by country basis. 3.3.1 Belgium Asylum procedure An admissibility procedure is applied to all asylum applicants using all the criteria (i.e. manifestly unfounded, safe third country, safe country of origin, and Dublin II). If asylum is requested at the border the applicant is detained in a closed centre until the application is declared admissible. If there is a positive decision in the normal procedure, either Convention or humanitarian, the applicant receives a certificate of enrolment in the alien’s register, which allows permanent residence. An appeal against a decision of inadmissibility may be lodged with the Commissioner General for Refugees and Stateless Persons. An appeal against a decision of non-recognition as a refugee can be lodged with the Permanent Appeal Commission for Refugees. Further appeals to the Council of State are possible. Longitudinal data available Figure 2 shows the macro-levels at which longitudinal asylum information has been collected for Belgium by Michel Poulain (Poulain, 1996). A grey field indicates that a final decision has been made or that the applicant has pending status. The data collection is primarily focused on final decisions. Applicants still awaiting their final decisions have all been labelled as pending cases. The data relate to the asylum 1988-1998 cohorts with reference date 1st January 2000. They are available for all relevant countries of citizenship. 302 Chapter 13: A Cohort Approach to Measuring the Asylum Procedure Figure 2. Schematic overview of the longitudinal asylum data available in Belgium Asylum applications Preliminary procedure Applications processed Negative decision Administr. closed Pending Positive decision Negative decision Administr. closed Pending . Source: Poulain (1996). As a consequence of the simple data-collection approach, only basic results can be obtained. Compared to the specimen database presented above, the following important details are missing: all duration indicators; information on appeal procedures; the distinction between obtaining Convention and humanitarian status; information on sex and age; information on whether the application was for an individual or a family. Despite the simple nature of the dataset, the length of the time series and the distinction by citizenship, means that some important conclusions can be drawn. Some results Figure 3 shows the trends in the number of asylum seekers in Belgium for the 1988-1998 cohorts, as well as their recognition rates. Because, in the ideal case, recognition rates cannot be determined definitively until the last pending application has been finally decided, the recognition rates presented here include estimates for the applications which are still pending. These are based on the results of the completed applications. Obviously, in 303 T H E S I M general, the more recent a cohort the larger the forecast element will be. Table 8 explains the system of calculation3. Figure 3. Asylum applications and recognition rates in Belgium, 1988 1998 cohorts absolute x 1000 recognition rate % 30 30 25 25 20 20 15 15 10 10 5 5 0 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 absolute (scale left) 1994 1995 1996 1997 0 1998 recognition rate (scale right) Source: Poulain (1996). Reference date is 1st January 2000. Recognition rates have been partly estimated. Figure 3 shows that there was a striking negative relation between the number of asylum seekers and the recognition rate in Belgium, especially during the years 1988-1994. One out of five of the relatively small asylum 1988 cohort was allowed to stay, compared to fewer than one out of twenty of the sizeable asylum 1993 cohort. The next drop in the number of asylum seekers, in 1994, was again accompanied by a higher recognition rate. Hereafter, the relation-ship between the size of the cohort and the recognition rate was somewhat masked at this time by an apparently structurally decreasing recognition rate. For the last cohort in the study, 1998, it is expected on the basis of these figures that the recognition rate will be about 5%. 3 A more sophisticated method distinguishing applications which were still pending in the preliminary procedure and those pending in the normal procedure, produced unreliable results due to the small number of cases involved. 304 Chapter 13: A Cohort Approach to Measuring the Asylum Procedure The composition of an asylum cohort by country of citizenship appears to be far from stable. For example, in 1988, Ghanaian asylum seekers accounted for more than 25% of the total number whereas this percentage dropped to 0.2% for the 1998 cohort. Conversely, the share of asylum seekers from Kosovo grew from 0.7% to more than 18%. For the whole period 1988 1998 the largest number of asylum seekers came from the Democratic Republic of Congo (19,200, with a peak in 1993) and Romania (18,000, also with a peak in 1993). Table 8. Example of method of forecasting pending cases for Belgium 500 Initial size of cohort t from country p (a) Situation at the end of year t + n positive decisions (b) 100 negative decisions (c) 300 total decisions (d) = (b) + (c) 100 + 300 400 still pending (e) = (a) – (d) 500 − 400 100 positive decisions (f) = (e) * ((b)/(d)) 100*(100/400) 25 negative decisions (g) = (e) * ((c)/(d)) 100*(300/400) 75 Forecast pending cases Recognition rate observed (h) = (b)/(a) 100/500 20% forecast (i) = (f)/(a) 25/500 5% 20% + 5% 25% total (j) = (h) + (i) The recognition rates in Belgium show considerable differences, both between countries of citizenship, and within countries of citizenship over time. Asylum seekers from Ghana, India and Pakistan had hardly any chance of being allowed to remain in Belgium throughout the whole period under consideration. On the other hand, asylum seekers from Rwanda were more likely to be allowed to settle in Belgium, mainly due to the genocide in Rwanda in 1994. People from the Democratic Republic of Congo had chances varying between 7% for the 1993 cohort to an expected 22% for 1996. For Turkish applicants, the recognition rate fell sharply: from more than 50% (1988 cohort) to an expected figure of less than 2% (1997 cohort). The same holds for Romania: from 24% (1989 cohort) to less than 1% (1997 and 1998 cohorts). 305 T H E S I M The development of the total recognition rate in Belgium can be considered against the background of the changes in composition of the cohorts. For example, the sudden rise in the total recognition rate for the 1994 cohort (to 11.9%, compared to 4.7% for 1993) is largely due to the changing composition of the cohorts caused by the increased proportion of applicants from Rwanda (with a high recognition rate) and the decreased proportion of people from Ghana, India, Pakistan and Romania (with low recognition rates). Without any changes in the composition, but with the same country recognition rates, the total recognition rate for 1994 would only have been 6.9%. 3.3.2 Denmark Asylum procedure The Danish asylum procedure is based on the principle of a single asylum procedure for all cases and types of decisions. Before an application is processed in Denmark, there is an assessment as to whether Denmark or another EU country is responsible for examining the application, or whether the applicant should be referred to a ‘safe third country’. When it is decided to process the application in Denmark, there are two different procedures, the ‘manifestly unfounded procedure’ and the ‘normal procedure’. The manifestly unfounded procedure is applied in cases that are obviously without prospect. In the normal procedure, a residence permit may be obtained either as: a Convention refugee; offering protection status for asylum seekers who do not meet the criteria of Convention refugee but who risk the death penalty or being subjected to torture or inhuman or degrading treatment or punishment if they return to their country of origin; on other grounds (i.e. humanitarian and exceptional reasons), for example for asylum seekers who cannot be returned to their home country (this is, however, classified as a negative asylum decision). After a negative decision of the Danish Immigration Service in the manifestly unfounded procedure, there is no possibility of appeal and, generally, the applicant has to leave the country immediately. If asylum is refused in the normal procedure, the case is automatically transferred to the Refugee Appeals Board, a quasi-judicial body chaired by a judge. The decisions of the Refugee Appeals Board, made by a majority of votes, are final. No further appeal is possible. 306 Chapter 13: A Cohort Approach to Measuring the Asylum Procedure Longitudinal data available Figure 4 shows the longitudinal asylum information which was published by the Danish Immigration Service in its Statistical Overview 20034. A grey field indicates that a final decision has been made or that the applicant has pending status. The data relate to the 2000, 2001, 2002 and first half of 2003 asylum cohorts. The reference date is 1st January 2004. The data offers various opportunities for further analyses. Figure 4. Schematic overview of the longitudinal asylum data available in Denmark Asylum applications Preliminary procedure Positive decision 1st instance Convention Protection Negative decision Pending Applications processed Administr. closed Dublin/safe third country Pending Negative decision 1st instance 2nd instance 2nd instance 1st instance Convention 2nd instance Adm. closed Protection Source: Udlændingestyrelsen (2004). Legislation: Danish Aliens Act (last amended in 2003). When the ideal data on asylum (as presented above) is compared to the cohort data published by the Danish Immigration Service, the following observations can be made: no duration indicators are included; information on sex, age and citizenship of the applicants is not included; no distinction is made between individual and family applications; only final decisions are presented, steps in between (e.g. appeal decisions) are omitted. 4 Use has been made of the English version of the Statistical Overview. 307 T H E S I M Some results Figure 5 shows that the recognition rate in Denmark (including the estimated part for the pending cases) fell sharply in a short period of time. Whereas 37% of the applications filed in 2000 ended in a positive decision, only about 10% of the applications lodged in the first half of 2003 are expected to end this way. It must be noted however (that in contrast to, for example, the Netherlands) Denmark does not include residence permits granted on other grounds in the category of positive decisions. Figure 5. Asylum applications and recognition rates in Denmark, 2000-2003 cohorts absolute x 1000 recognition rate % 20 40 15 30 10 20 5 10 0 2000 0 2001 2002 absolute (scale left) 2003 recognition rate (scale right) Source: Udlændingestyrelsen, 2004. Reference date: 1st January 2004. Recognition rates have been partly estimated. For 2003 this rate concerns January-June. Final rejections can be split between ‘effectively returned’, ‘return not confirmed’, and ‘residence permit issued on other grounds’. The respective figures for these categories are: 2000 cohort-20%, 6% and 5%; 2001-18%, 11% and 3%; 2002-14%, 11% and 1%. Figures for the 2003 cohort are not yet available. Hence, if we assume for the sake of comparability that the recognition rate should cover all awards of residence permits, the Danish recognition rates should be corrected upwards from 37% to 42% for the 2000 cohort, from 29% to 32% for 2001, and from 25% to 26% for 2002. Given the downward trend in the number of residence permits granted on other grounds, it is plausible to assume that no upward correction of the 308 Chapter 13: A Cohort Approach to Measuring the Asylum Procedure recognition rate will be needed for the 2003 cohort. As well as this upgrade of the Danish recognition rate, there is also the possibility that the figures will eventually have to be downgraded because, as in the Netherlands, no permanent residents’ permits are granted initially in Denmark. If initial residence permits are later with-drawn this will decrease the (final) recognition rate. Further information on this possibility is not currently available. To illustrate the difference between the cohort-based and the calendar year or period-based recognition rate, it can be noted that, according to the Danish Immigration Service, the period-rate for the calendar year 2003 was 22% for first instance decisions and 18% for second instance decisions (compared to about 10% for the cohort-based decisions shown in Figure 5). At first sight this result is unexpected because the elimination of double counting of refusals at various stages of the process in the cohort approach should lead to a higher recognition rate. However, the exclusion of rejected cases in the preliminary procedure from the period rates produces the reverse result. This simple illustration shows that various pitfalls are involved in comparing recognition rates. 3.3.3 France Asylum procedure Requests for asylum in France can be submitted either at the border entry points or in the country. There is an admissibility procedure at the border which focuses on the manifestly unfounded criterion. If the application at the border is accepted, the asylum applicant receives an eight-day ‘safeconduct’ pass that allows him or her to apply for asylum inside the country (there is no way to file an asylum application at the border). Before an application is processed, admissibility is tested according to all the criteria. In the normal procedure, applications for asylum can be accepted on any one of the following legal grounds: i) the application is justified under the terms of the Geneva Convention (conventional asylum); ii) the application refers to persecution of people acting to promote the values of freedom and democracy in their country of origin (constitutional asylum); iii) asylum applications not covered by conventional or constitutional asylum can benefit from a declaration of subsidiary protection. This is granted if return to the country of origin involves a risk of death, torture, degrading or inhuman treatment; or if the country is in conflict or at war. The first two categories result in a long-term (automatically renewable) residence permit valid for ten years, the third in a temporary residence permit valid for one 309 T H E S I M year. In the case of a negative decision, the applicant is requested to leave the country. If this request is not acted upon, a deportation order is issued against the non-national. When the decision of the French Office for the Protection of Refugees and Stateless Persons (OFPRA) is negative, the claimant has one month to appeal against it to the Refugee Appeals Commission. The Commission’s decision can take several months, during which time OFPRA’s decision is suspended (i.e. the non-national can remain in the country). If OFPRA’s decision is upheld, the claimant can lodge a last appeal with the Council of State, but must leave the country while this appeal is considered. Longitudinal data available Figure 6 shows the macro-level longitudinal information on the asylum process which is available for each of the different stages in the French asylum process. A grey field indicates the final status of the applicant. Pending applications, which are small in number, have been excluded. Under-age accompanying children have also been excluded5. The data relate to the asylum cohorts 1997-2000. The reference dates are 23rd March 2002 for the 1997 and 1998 cohorts, 24th March 2003 for 1999, and 20th March 2004 for 2000. As well as the overall total, separate information is provided for the main continents of origin (Europe, Asia, Africa). The French cohort data offers several ways of analysing the asylum process. When comparing the ‘ideal’ data on asylum presented earlier with OFPRA’s output OFPRA, the following observations can be made: no information is available on inadmissible asylum requests; no duration indicators have been published; information on the sex and age of applicants is missing; no distinction is made between individual and family applications; no information is available on under-age accompanying children; information on more recent cohorts (2001, 2002 and 2003) is not yet available. 5 It is estimated by OFPRA that the total number of applicants, including accompanying minor children, is about 15% higher than the figures given here (Figure 7). 310 Chapter 13: A Cohort Approach to Measuring the Asylum Procedure Figure 6. Schematic overview of the longitudinal asylum data available in France Asylum applications Negative 1st instance decision Positive 1st instance decision Appeal Positive 2nd instance decision No appeal Negative 2nd instance decision Otherwise closed Re-examination Positive 2nd instance decision Negative 2nd instance decision Source: Data published by the French Office for the Protection of Refugees and Stateless Persons (OFPRA). Some results In France, the overall cohort recognition rate has not decreased dramatically in recent years (Figure 7). The highest rate was for the 1998 cohort (25%) and the lowest for 2000 (20%). As already indicated (Table 7) the available French data is not classified by citizenship but by continent. This distinction shows pronounced differences. The European recognition rate increased from 13% for the 1997 cohort to 25% for the 1999 cohort. Conversely, the Asian rate decreased from 35% for 1997 to 20% for 2000, and the African rate from 25% for 1997 to 18% for 2000. Looking at the negative decisions, the majority of asylum seekers who were rejected at first instance appear to lodge an appeal or request a re-examination of their case. Overall, only one in five of all negative decisions were finalised at first instance. This figure is much lower for Asian asylum seekers (around one in ten) but much higher for European claimants (between one in three and one in four). The degree of success of appeals or re-examinations appears to be limited, averaging around 10%. In the most recent cohorts (1999 and 2000) European asylum seekers were the most successful (at 20% and 17% respectively). Obviously, for Europeans, the pre-selection, leading to a lower proportion of appeals/re-examinations, more often results in positive second instance decisions. Figure 7 shows not only the cohort-based recognition rate, but also the period-based recognition rate and the total number of asylum requests for the 1997-2000 cohorts. As expected, the cohort-based recognition rates are higher than the period-based ones. However, the differences in this respect 311 T H E S I M are quite modest, probably due, on the one hand, to the relatively quick asylum procedures in France, and, on the other hand, to the small numbers of appeals or re-examinations that lead to a positive decision. The first reason explains the essentially parallel course of the two recognition rates over time, the second the limited amount of double counting in the calculation of the period rates (i.e. negative decisions that are transformed into positive decisions). As in Belgium, in France there appears to be a negative relationship between the number of asylum requests and the recognition rate. There was a 22% decrease of the cohort-based recognition rate in the period 1998-2000, against a 73% increase in the absolute number of asylum seekers. Figure 7. Asylum applications and recognition rates in France,1997-2000 cohorts absolute x 1000 recognition rate % 40 40 35 35 30 30 25 25 20 20 15 15 10 10 5 5 0 1997 1998 absolute 0 2000 1999 period recognition rate cohort recognition rate Source: Office Français de Protection des Réfugiés et Apatrides (OFPRA) (2002; 2003; 2004). Reference date: 23rd March 2002 for 1997 and 1998 cohorts, 24th March 2003 for 1999, 20th March 2004 for 2000. Accompanying minor children are excluded. A final note relates to the (assumed) exclusion of asylum requests that are considered inadmissible. This might have a significant (but unknown) downwards effect on the recognition rate. However, no further information on this subject is available. 312 Chapter 13: A Cohort Approach to Measuring the Asylum Procedure 3.3.4 The Netherlands Asylum procedure According to the Aliens Act 2000, an accelerated procedure is applied to all asylum applicants using all the relevant criteria (i.e. manifestly unfounded, safe third country, safe country of origin, and Dublin II). In the normal procedure a temporary asylum residence permit is issued to an applicant: who is a refugee under the terms of the Convention; who would run a real risk of being subjected to torture or to inhuman or degrading treatment or punishment on return to his or her country of origin; who cannot return for pressing reasons of a humanitarian nature; for whom return to the country of origin would, in the opinion of the Minister, constitute an exceptional hardship in connection with the overall situation there; who falls within the framework of regulations regarding family reunion. The duration of the temporary residence permit is fixed at five years and it has to be renewed annually. After five years an asylum permit for an indefinite period may be obtained if the applicant (still) fulfils the conditions. If an application is rejected, the applicant can apply for judicial review by the court (and deportation is suspended during this review). An appeal against a judicial decision may be lodged with the Council of State (and, again, deportation is suspended until the appeal is concluded). In all cases, the final decision can only be taken by the first instance authority (IND). The implementation of the new Aliens Act 2000 in the Netherlands on 1st April 2001 led to a division of applications being dealt with under the old and the new aliens acts. Because this division influences the type of data supplied, this country study is limited to applications lodged under the new act6. Because of the mixed character of the data, it makes no sense to compare trends on the absolute number of asylum applicants (both ‘old’ and ‘new’ for 2000 and 2001) with the recognition rate (‘new’ only). 6 For analyses of asylum cohorts processed under the previous aliens act (Doornbos and Groenendijk, 2001; van der Erf , 2002). 313 T H E S I M Longitudinal data available Figure 8 shows the macro-level longitudinal information on asylum which is available for the Dutch asylum process. A grey field indicates the current status of the applicant. The data relates to the 2000-2002 cohorts of asylum seekers. The reference date is 31st March 2003. As well as the total, separate information is provided for the most numerous countries of origin (Afghanistan, Angola, Iraq and Sierra Leone). The Dutch cohort data offers extensive possibilities for analysing the asylum process in the Netherlands. Figure 8. Schematic overview of the longitudinal asylum data available in the Netherlands Asylum applications Positive 1st instance decision Permanent permit Temporary permit Positive 2nd instance decision Permanent permit Pending 1st instance decision Pending 2nd instance decision Negative 2nd instance decision Negative 1st instance decision Returned 1st appeal Unknown Granted 1st appeal Not granted 1st appeal Pending 1st appeal Returned 2nd appeal Unknown Granted 2nd appeal Not granted 2nd appeal Pending 2nd appeal Temporary permit Returned Returned Unknown Unknown Source: Dutch Immigration and Naturalisation Service (IND). Legislation: Aliens Act 2000 (in force since 1st April 2001). Comparing with the idealised dataset on asylum presented earlier, the following remarks can be made about the output of the Dutch Ministry of Justice: the preliminary procedure is not distinguished from the normal procedure; no duration indicators are available; information on the sex and age of the applicants is missing; applications can relate to more than one individual; repeat applications are counted separately, although they are classified according to the cohort of the first application; 314 Chapter 13: A Cohort Approach to Measuring the Asylum Procedure no distinction is made between individual and family applications; it is not possible to differentiate between second and third instance decisions; because the cohorts under consideration are still ‘young’ no information on permanent residence permits is yet available. Some results It should be noted that all following observations and conclusions only relate to applications which have been processed under the new aliens act. Table 8 shows that the proportion of asylum applicants from the four countries distinguished by the Dutch Ministry of Justice decreased from 41% (in the 2000 cohort) to 31% (in the 2002 cohort). For the three cohorts taken together, Afghans were the most numerous group with 6,400 (12%), followed by Angolans with 5,900 (11%). Table 8. Asylum cohorts by main countries of citizenship in the Netherlands Numbers (x 1000) 2000 2001 Percentage of total 2002 2000 2001 2002 11.2 26.5 15.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 Afghanistan 1.8 3.3 1.3 15.9 12.4 8.5 Angola 1.0 3.4 1.5 8.5 12.9 9.7 Sierra Leone 0.9 2.1 1.5 7.7 8.0 9.9 Iraq 1.0 0.9 0.5 8.9 3.6 3.3 10.7 59.1 63.1 68.6 Total of which other 6.6 16.8 countries Source: IND. Processed under the Aliens Act 2000. The recognition rates in Figure 9 are provisional for two reasons. First, because estimates are included for pending cases, and second, because temporary permits may be withdrawn in future (as in Denmark). The withdrawal of permits is not estimated, due to the lack of any information on this phenomenon. As a consequence, the estimated recognition rates have to be considered as more or less maximum rates. Bearing in mind these limitations, it can be concluded that the recognition rate more than halved when between the 2000 and the 2002 cohort: from 22% to 10%. The most dramatic fall was in the recognition rate for Afghan applicants (from 54% to 11%). On the other hand, it is noticeable 315 T H E S I M that Iraqis who applied in 2002 had a much higher chance of being granted leave to remain than their compatriots who had applied in the two previous years. The influence of the composition of the asylum flow on the total recognition rate appears to be limited. Taking the 2001 cohort as the basis for comparison, adjusting for the composition of the asylum flow produced a total recognition rate of 21.4% 21.4% (compared to 22.3% non-standardised) for 2000, and a rate of 10.2% (instead of 10.9%) for 2002. Figure 9. Recognition rates in the Netherlands by citizenship, 2000-2002 cohorts % 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Afghanistan Angola 2000 Sierra Leone Iraq 2001 other countries total 2002 Source: Ministerie van Justitie, Immigratie- en Naturalisatiedienst, IND Informatie- en analysecentrum (INDIAC) (2003). Dealt with under the Aliens Act 2000; reference date: 31st March 2003. Recognition rates have been partly estimated. Conclusion Reviewing this chapter, it is clear that an adequate understanding of asylum statistics requires both an in-depth knowledge of the asylum procedure and extensive statistical experience. It is quite conceivable that politicians, policymakers and journalists do not possess these qualities, which implies that policy measures and public opinion may be based on poorly interpreted figures on asylum. To provide users with a clear and transparent picture of what is going on in this field, a close(r) collaboration 316 Chapter 13: A Cohort Approach to Measuring the Asylum Procedure between the authority responsible for asylum and the national statistical office is strongly recommended. Looking at the pitfalls in the statistics on asylum, a distinction should be made between applications for asylum and decisions on those applications. As regards the statistics on ‘applications’ the following questions should be borne in mind. Who is an asylum applicant? An asylum applicant is anyone who applies for protection on an individual basis, irrespective of whether they lodge their application on arrival at a border or inside the country, and irrespective of whether they entered the territory legally (e.g. as a tourist) or illegally. However, in some countries too, children born to asylum applicants and family members who are later reunited are included in the number of asylum seekers. In the light of the definition above it is recommended that this should not be done. What is the difference between applications which have been lodged and those which are being processed? An application for asylum is regarded as having been lodged from the moment the authorities of the state concerned have something in writing to that effect: either a form submitted by the applicant or an official statement drawn up by the authorities. In the event of a non-written application, the period between the statement of intent and the drawing up of the official statement should be as short as possible. Applications which are being processed do not include those that are refused in the admissibility procedure. The statistics should include all the asylum applications which are lodged, broken down into those which were refused as inadmissible and those which were processed further. Even when the statistics nominally cover all the applications lodged it is sometimes questionable whether this is really so (e.g. applications lodged at embassies or consulates abroad may be excluded). What is the difference between cases and individuals? From a judicial point of view, asylum cases may be more relevant than asylum applicants. However, from a socio-demographic point of view the opposite is true. In most countries the asylum statistics relate to individuals, but in some countries (e.g. United Kingdom) cases (usually families) are considered, with the possibility of translating the statistics into individuals. 317 T H E S I M How are repeat applications counted? Depending on a country’s specific asylum legislation, rejected applicants may lodge a repeat application if this is justified by developments in the country of origin. These applications should not be counted as new applications, but should be considered as prolongations of the first application. In a cohort-based approach this prolongation can easily be made visible, but in a period-based approach it is less easy, particularly when the applications occurred in different calendar years. How is ‘temporary protection’ handled? As well as the asylum procedure, most countries can grant temporary humanitarian protection to a group of aliens when there has been a mass influx of displaced persons. At a later stage those people may have the opportunity to apply for asylum. Hence, people protected under this special regime should not be counted as asylum seekers until the moment they individually lodge an application for asylum. Undoubtedly, the pitfalls in statistics on asylum decisions are more difficult to handle than those on asylum applications. This is because of: The way asylum decisions are classified This is probably the most problematic topic. Questions such as: what is a positive decision? What is a negative decision? What is a non-status decision? And should non-status decisions be counted as positive or negative decisions? Are answered quite differently in different countries? Depending on their specific asylum legislation, some countries limit positive decisions to the Geneva Convention status, while others also include people granted subsidiary protection. Furthermore, countries may or may not consider non-status decisions as asylum decisions, whether these be negative (e.g. withdrawals and refusals in the admissibility procedure) or positive (e.g. because of family formation). The recommendations needed to create some harmonisation in this context are inevitably arbitrary. They are that all decisions that result in some kind of permit to remain in the host country should be seen, for the time being, as positive. Furthermore, nonstatus decisions, positive or negative, should be treated as asylum decisions. 318 Chapter 13: A Cohort Approach to Measuring the Asylum Procedure The distinction between provisional and final decisions on asylum. A large number of asylum decisions have a provisional character: a negative decision may be appealed against, and a positive decision resulting in a temporary permit to stay may later be rescinded. Finally, all rests on the final decision. The only way to follow the decision process to its final conclusion is to adopt a cohort-based approach, as discussed above. Periodbased statistics cover a mixture of provisional and final decisions and are therefore difficult to interpret. In fact, they mainly inform us about the degree of activity of the various decision makers during a certain period (generally a calendar year). The question of how many asylum seekers are ultimately granted leave to remain can only be answered properly by means of cohort-based statistics. Who is covered by the asylum decision. Asylum decisions should relate to the individual who lodged the initial request for asylum. Children and family members who are later reunited should not be included. It may be concluded that, especially with reference to the statistics on asylum decisions, the cohort-based approach offers important added value to our understanding of the asylum process. It also enables the recognition rates and duration indicators to be calculated properly. Fortunately, a growing number of countries are producing cohort-based statistics or are at least preparing to do so. From the country studies presented before, it appears that, to date, published cohort statistics are rather basic. Information on factors such as sex and age whether the application is for an individual or a family, and the duration of the various steps in the asylum process is still lacking. Furthermore, it has become clear that the great variety of asylum procedures in Europe currently renders the production of internationally comparable asylum statistics, either period- or cohort-based, impossible. Therefore, the conclusion that the available statistical information on asylum seekers and refuges primarily serves national purposes is justified. Apart from the often limited availability of data, and frequent changes in registration methods, definitions, policies, and so on, these statistics may well be adequate to describe national fluctuations in the number, the composition, and the degree of recognition of asylum seekers over time. In an international context, however, the harmonisation of asylum procedures is a prerequisite for the harmonisation of asylum statistics. 319 Chapter 14 A Cohort Approach to Acquisition of Citizenship Statistics Nicolas Perrin Introduction As described in Chapter 6 and Chapter 11, published statistics are often limited to crude numbers. The EU Regulation on migration statistics will not change this situation, since only limited data on the acquisition of citizenship are requested (i.e. the number of acquisitions by previous citizenship). In order to really support the development of information on naturalisation policies, several improvements are necessary. First, the amount of available data should be expanded. Second, even if a real harmonisation of national legislation on citizenship is not anticipated in the short term, comparative typologies should be introduced to compare the diversity of situations. Finally, in order to describe the complexity of the phenomenon, appropriate statistical methods of analysis must be used. The current use of crude numbers provides little information, and more adequate indicators could easily be produced using currently available data or by improving existing data collection. In addition to the computation of ad hoc indicators, statistical indicators could be derived to specifically compare and track the process of granting citizenship to foreigners. In this chapter, we focus on this latter point, the development of simple statistics dedicated to the analysis of acquisitions of citizenship. More precisely, we present three possible applications of demographical analysis (period approach, standard cohort approach and cohort approach using retrospective data). In order to illustrate the proposal, Belgian data are used to present a practical example. These approaches are not part of the EU Regulation, but could be considered as a specific contribution from demographers. De facto, since the general demographical framework is similar, our propositions are quite similar to the analysis of asylum requests described in Chapter 13. However, there are significant differences due to the organisation of the two processes, the availability of data, the political pressure and the more advanced technical level of discussion of asylum statistics. T H E S I M 1. Concepts and principles of demographic approaches 1.1 Definition of the event The EU Regulation on statistics on international migration and asylum defines the acquisition of citizenship as: ‘natural persons [acquiring] the citizenship of the EU MS having formerly held the citizenship of another EU MS or third country or having been stateless’. This definition solves several problems concerning statistics on acquisitions of citizenship: The statistics required refer explicitly to persons and not to procedures or cases. The latter may be misleading, particularly when children or adults acquire citizenship by extension of the acquisition of citizenship of their parent or spouse. The statistics required refer explicitly to acquisitions, and not to the balance of acquisitions and loss of citizenship. However, from a technical point of view, several questions can be raised about the meaning of ‘acquisition’ or ‘acquire’. There is no restrictive list of procedures. This should be interpreted as a willingness to include all kinds of procedures; however some countries may interpret it as a way of excluding some procedures that they do not consider as acquisition (e.g. reacquisitions of citizenship by former citizens who have lost or renounced their citizenship; acquisitions based on cultural affinity and/or ethnicity; ‘involuntary’ acquisitions of citizenship1). These questions might be solved by clearly defining the types or modalities of acquisitions included, or by clearly defining the word ‘acquire’. One suggestion would be to focus on the event allowing foreigners to become a citizen, whatever the procedure. 1.2 General principles for a period approach There are large variations in the size of the foreign population between countries and across time. This means that the crude number of acquisitions does not indicate the level of acquisition of citizenship by foreigners. In order to calculate a comparable indicator of the intensity of the phenomenon, it is possible to build a demographic approach to acquisitions 1 Also known as ‘automatic acquisition’ or ‘attribution’ in some countries, i.e. acquisitions without application, which occur automatically after certain events such as birth, reaching a specific age, or marriage 322 Chapter 14: A Cohort Approach to Acquisition of Citizenship Statistics of citizenship. This type of analysis can be compared to other types of classic demographic analysis: mortality, marriage, emigration etc., or more similar events such as the procedure for applying for asylum (Chapter 5). ‘Death probability at a given age measures the probability for the persons surviving at that age of dying before the next age’2. In an analogous way, acquisition probability at a given age would measure the probability for foreigners at that age acquiring citizenship before the next age. With a complete series of acquisition probabilities by age it would be possible to build an acquisition table, just as death probabilities allow a life table to be built. Moreover, since age is not one of the main factors governing the acquisition of citizenship, the reference to age could be omitted, and crude acquisition rates calculated as a simple synthetic indicator, without reference to age3. 1.3 General principles for a standard cohort approach As in the case of the asylum process, a cohort approach may be more appropriate to the understanding of acquisition of citizenship because of its close relationship to duration of stay, and because of the very diverse size and composition of immigration cohorts. By comparison with asylum cohorts, available data on acquisitions of citizenship are very limited. The date of application and the dates and outcomes of the different stages of procedures are usually unknown. The only widely available elements are final positive decisions (acquisitions) and the date of immigration. As a consequence of this, a realistic cohort approach to the acquisition of citizenship would consist of: following cohorts of immigrants (immigrants who arrived in the same year)/cohorts of foreigners born in the country (born the same year); estimating the number of immigrants who acquired the citizenship of the country after defined periods of stay (one year of residence, five years, ten years etc.)/estimating the number of foreigners born in the country who acquired citizenship at different ages; estimating these acquisition probabilities by categories (nationality, age at immigration, sex etc.) INED, Lexique des termes démographiques, www.ined.fr. Acquisition rates by age would still be important in a further stage to compare different populations with different age structures or in different countries, as well as different nationalities of origin within one country. 2 3 323 T H E S I M As with the period approach, age is replaced by duration of stay when the acquisition probabilities of immigrants are produced. The first main difference between cohort-based and period-based acquisition probabilities is that the cohort-based approach maintains the link between immigration and the acquisition of citizenship of immigrants4, which is essential because acquisition probabilities are strongly dependent on the duration of stay in the country. The duration of stay is often the main criterion for acquisition. Age is a correct indicator of duration of stay for only foreigners born in the country. The second direct consequence of a cohort approach is the necessity to differentiate between immigrants and foreigners born in the country. The concept of ‘duration of stay’, at the heart of a cohort approach, is different in those two cases: in the case of immigrants, it is the duration of stay in the country, whereas in the case of foreigners born in the country it is age. The two types of duration are not strictly comparable. In the first, an event (the immigration) must occur before the person is entered into the population. In the second, foreigners born in the country are included in the population from the very beginning of their lives. The ‘acquisition event’ linked with those two types of duration is completely different, since legal opportunities for foreigners born in the country differ from those for immigrants. It therefore makes sense to study the two groups separately. This approach is referred to in this text as the ‘standard cohort approach’ in order to differentiate it from the simpler ‘cohort approach using retrospective data’. 1.4 Using retrospective data in a cohort approach The data necessary data for a classic cohort approach is not currently available in most European countries, whereas period-based analysis does not take into account the impact of past acquisitions and the existence of immigrants at different stages of their migratory history (recent immigration, settled immigrants etc.). A possible ‘third way’ consists of using retrospective information collected in a census, so long as the questionnaire includes a question on citizenship at birth. This allows for the 4 As in the asylum case, ‘next to period-based data, longitudinal asylum data contribute to a proper understanding of the complex asylum process. Especially, this holds to the link between applications and decisions. Because the start and the finish of an asylum process often relate to different calendar years, the only way to calculate duration factors is to follow the asylum cohort over the course of time’ (Erf, 2005). 324 Chapter 14: A Cohort Approach to Acquisition of Citizenship Statistics production of a rate of acquisition among immigrants/foreigners born in the country. If the questionnaire includes a question on the date of immigration (year), it is possible to perform a sort of retrospective cohort approach and calculate acquisition rates, by citizenship, cohort of immigration, duration of stay, age and sex. 2. Theoretical and practical obstacles 2.1 The concept of ‘eligibility’ and the definition of the ‘population at risk’ In the American literature, an important debate focuses on the definition of the population eligible to acquire citizenship, the ‘population at risk’ of other types of studies (Fix et al. 2003). This debate is interesting from a theoretical point of view, but, in a European context, it may not be easy to determine this population. In the USA, naturalisation is ‘the main procedure’ of acquisition, but, in most European countries, there is a multitude of procedures for granting citizenship with very different conditions for each procedure (age, duration of stay, place of birth, etc.). We cannot suppose that foreigners are always eligible to acquire citizenship after the same period of residence, even within a single country. In Belgium, for example, although a legal requirement of three years of residence exists, a large proportion of some groups of immigrants (those who arrived before the age of eleven, immigrants from some Eastern European or African countries, refugees, foreigners born in the country) acquire citizenship before they have been in the country for three years (as a result of a parent acquiring citizenship, for example). Furthermore, in some cases (e.g. students), foreigners are not eligible for Belgian citizenship even after three years’ residence, because they do not have the type of residence permit needed for eligibility. As a consequence of the complexity of the legislation on the acquisition of citizenship in Europe, the population eligible cannot be precisely identified for statistical purposes. Considering only the population which has resided for a certain period in a country is certainly not satisfactory from a technical point of view. One solution is to consider immigrants as ‘at risk’ from the very beginning of their stay, i.e. to consider the whole foreign population ‘at risk’, even though the probability of acquisition for short-stay immigrants is very low. 325 T H E S I M 2.2 Is it possible to compare/aggregate different types of procedure? Another question arises from the existence of different types of procedure (naturalisation, registration, extension of acquisition, etc.). In fact, the total number of acquisitions only imperfectly reflects the diversity of procedures which allow a foreigner to acquire the citizenship of his or her country of residence. The same type of questions could arise in an analysis of asylum, from the fact that refugees may have different statuses: Geneva Convention, temporary protection, subsidiary protection etc. However, in order to classify the acquisitions by procedure, it should be possible to precisely determine the eligibility of individuals for each procedure. Since, in practice, it is not even possible to determine if someone is globally eligible to acquire citizenship by at least one procedure, it makes more sense to limit the statistics to a simple aggregated analysis of acquisitions as a whole rather than embarking on a complicated analysis of acquisitions by procedure. 2.3 Is it possible to differentiate steps in applications? Another approach might be to take into account the fact that some people never apply for citizenship, while other applications are refused. With adequate data, it would be possible to calculate the probability of making an application, the length of the procedure and then the probability of acceptance or rejection (just as it is possible to calculate duration indicators and probabilities for the asylum procedure). Unfortunately, the data necessary for such an analysis are not currently available. 2.4 Limited data availability and reliability The limitations of the data also restrict the possibilities of adopting a period approach. More precisely, for a complete (simple) period analysis of the acquisition of citizenship, the following variables would be necessary: acquisitions of citizenship by year and previous citizenship; populations at the beginning and at the end of the period (or mean population by year) by citizenship; age and country of birth of ‘new citizens’ and inhabitants (desirable). Considering the limited nature of this list, this type of analysis should be feasible for most European states. The Belgian case study is an example. The only limitation is for countries where the intercensal annual estimates are unreliable. In these countries, except for census years, provisional data 326 Chapter 14: A Cohort Approach to Acquisition of Citizenship Statistics would have to be produced and revised after the recalculation of annual estimates following the census. Although standard cohort approaches (using a continuous registration of events) are the most appropriate method of analysis, the first problem in attempting a cohort approach to the acquisition process is the need to have a precise knowledge of the population dynamics by citizenship. More precisely, the following variables are needed for a complete (simple) cohort analysis of the acquisition of citizenship: acquisitions of citizenship by year and previous citizenship plus year of immigration (for immigrants) or year of birth (for foreigners born in the country); immigration by year and citizenship; births by year and citizenship; emigration by year and citizenship plus year of immigration (for immigrants) or year of birth (for foreigners born in the country); deaths by year and citizenship plus year of immigration (for immigrants) or year of birth (for foreigners born in the country); (useful, but not necessary) populations at the beginning of the period by citizenship plus year of immigration (for immigrants) or year of birth (for foreigners born in the country). The most difficult data to obtain are currently emigration by date of immigration, and to a lesser extent, deaths. The probability of foreigners emigrating again is often higher than that of their acquiring citizenship, and this modifies the composition of the population substantially. Emigration estimates are frequently extremely unreliable when they exist, and often they are simply not available. This may bias the analysis considerably, since the estimated level of acquisition of citizenship depends on the reliability of the emigration estimates (as demonstrated by Liang, 1994a). An example of a standard cohort is given in the Belgian case study. Currently, it would be extremely difficult to carry out this type of analysis for all European countries. However, it should be possible to perform such an analysis in all countries with reliable population registers. The possibility of conducting a cohort analysis using retrospective data depends on the census questionnaire: does it include a question on citizenship at birth? Additionally, for an interesting analysis, does it include a question on the date of immigration? The required data exist for the 1990 round of censuses in Belgium, Denmark, France, Greece, Luxembourg, Portugal and Romania (Haug et al., 1998: 63-64). In the 2000 census round, Italy, France, Luxembourg and Switzerland had a question on the acquisition of citizenship. Many other countries could produce the required 327 T H E S I M data from their population registers. An example of this sort of analysis is given in the Belgian case study. 3. Comparison of approaches 3.1 Advantages and limitations of the period approach In comparison with a method using the crude number of acquisitions, the positive aspect of the period-based approach is the taking into account of the size of the foreign population currently living in the country (considered as the population at risk). Furthermore, in comparison with the cohort approach, it is not necessary to wait for the end of the cohort (death or the acquisition of citizenship by all members) to estimate the final rates of acquisition. Finally, the data are relatively easily accessible in Europe (especially compared with the cohort approach). However, the period approach does not take into account the diversity of cohorts of arrivals, despite the decisive impact of duration of stay on applications for citizenship. Rather, it mixes different types of subpopulation (established and newly-arrived immigrants). 3.2 Advantages and limitations of the standard cohort approach The standard cohort approach also takes the size of the population currently living in the country (considered as the population at risk) into consideration. Emigrations and deaths are also considered. In comparison with the crude number of acquisitions and the period approach, it considers acquisitions of citizenship in relation to the size of the cohorts of arrival and/or birth. The fact that many long-term immigrants will have already acquired citizenship of the country of residence, whereas newly arrived immigrants are still foreigners is taken into account. However, it is necessary to wait until the end of the cohort (death or the acquisition of citizenship by all member) to estimate the final probabilities, unless estimates are used (using past cohorts, for example). This data may be extremely difficult to find. 3.3 Advantages and limitations of the cohort approach using retrospective data Like the standard cohort approach, the size of the foreign population currently living in the country is taken into account in the cohort approach 328 Chapter 14: A Cohort Approach to Acquisition of Citizenship Statistics using retrospective data. Past acquisitions are compared with the size of the remaining foreign population, yielding a retrospective view of the acquisition process. Acquisitions of citizenship are partially considered in relation to the size of the cohorts of arrival/birth (emigrants/deaths are excluded). Moreover the fact that many long-standing immigrants have acquired citizenship whereas newly-arrived immigrants are still foreigners is taken into account. Unlike the standard cohort approach, the data needed for the retrospective cohort approach are relatively easily accessible in Europe. However, it is still not possible to take emigrations and deaths and their consequences into account. We cannot consider acquisition rates in relation to the size of the cohorts of arrivals and/or births (emigrants/deaths are excluded). For each cohort, we can produce a single probability of acquisition that related to the length of stay between arrival and the acquisition of citizenship. 4. Case studies 4.1 A period approach In order to understand the phenomenon of the acquisition of citizenship in a period perspective, several extracts from the Belgian population register have been used. The first refers directly to the acquisition of citizenship and includes the following variables: year of the event; age; sex; previous citizenship. The second extract covers the resident foreign population on 1st January from 1991 to 2000 and includes the following variables: year; age; sex; citizenship. The first indicator is an acquisition rate: the number of acquisitions as a proportion of the foreign population in the country. Figure 1 shows that there were three peaks in this rate, following three substantial modifications of the legislation in 1985 (when a new Belgian Code of Nationality came into force), 1992 (when a law facilitating the acquisitions of citizenship for foreigners born in Belgium was implemented) and 1999 (when the duration of stay required for naturalisation was shortened). Moreover, the acquisition rate can be calculated for subgroups based on age, sex, and previous nationality. Figure 2 presents some information by age. 329 T H E S I M Figure 1. The rate of acquisition of citizenship by year (Belgium) 120 100 80 60 40 20 2002 2000 1998 1996 1994 1992 1990 1988 1986 1984 1982 1980 1978 1976 1974 1972 1970 1968 1966 1964 1962 0 Source: Registre national, Belgium. Figure 2. Rates of acquisition of citizenship by age for some selected years (Belgium) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Age 1991-1999 Source: Registre national, Belgium. 330 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 Chapter 14: A Cohort Approach to Acquisition of Citizenship Statistics 4.2 A standard cohort approach In order to understand the phenomenon of naturalisation from a cohort perspective, an extract from the Belgian population register was used. It covers the acquisition of citizenship by immigrants (foreigners born in a foreign country) and includes the following variables: date of immigration; citizenship at the date of immigration; year of emigration or death (if it occurs before acquisition); year of acquisition of Belgian citizenship. Since the proportion of immigrants who acquired citizenship by the length of time since they first arrived in Belgium varies according to the reemigration level, the first simple indicator is acquisition rates by duration of stay (Figure 3). Figure 3. Rates of acquisition of citizenship by duration of stay 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 years of resid ence 1991 1992 1993 1996 1997 1998 1994 1995 Source: Registre national, Belgium. This clearly shows the increasing levels of citizenship acquisition of recently arrived immigrants. Despite this, it is interesting to note that the 1991 and 1992 cohorts had the highest probabilities of citizenship acquisition after stays of only one or two years. This is a consequence of a change in 331 T H E S I M nationality legislation that occurred in 1993. Before that date, aliens marrying a Belgian citizen could acquire Belgian citizenship by declaration after six months of marriage. Since 1993, three years of residence in Belgium has been required. Using these rates, it is possible to calculate the proportion of immigrants who have acquired Belgian citizenship. Figure 4 shows that, after 10 years’ residence, 30% of immigrants from the 1991 cohort had acquired Belgian citizenship. In a more recent cohort (1998), there was a level of 5% after 3 years’ residence. The lexis diagram in Figure 5 is a synthetic presentation of the probability of acquisition, which allows the evolution of the probability of acquisition of citizenship to be followed by duration of stay (vertical axis), period (horizontal axis) and cohort (diagonal axis). Figure 4. Proportion of immigrants having acquired Belgian citizenship 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 6 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 année d e résid ence 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Source: Registre national, Belgium. The impact of three legal changes is highlighted. After 1993, new immigrants could no longer become Belgian citizens rapidly through marriage, as had been the case previously. As a consequence, the pattern of acquisition in 1991 and 1992 differs considerably from that of immigrants 332 Chapter 14: A Cohort Approach to Acquisition of Citizenship Statistics who arrived after 1992. In 1998 and 1999, two legislative changes facilitated the procedure of acquisition. More generally, this representation shows the major impact of two variables: the duration of stay and the cohort of immigration. Figure 5. The probabilities of immigrants acquiring Belgian citizenship by duration of stay (vertical axis), period (horizontal axis) and cohort (diagonal axis) 11 10 708 9 495 duration of stay (years) 8 356 7 6 204 5 114 4 79 3 54 2 39 1 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 year of immigration and year of acquisition 4.3 Using retrospective data The classic cohort approach presented above cannot be used in most European countries because they lack sufficiently reliable population registration systems. However, thanks to a question on citizenship at birth in their census questionnaires, some countries are able to produce an estimate of the size of the population that has subsequently acquired their citizenship. In order to understand the possible uses of data on citizenship at birth, two extracts from the Belgian population register were used. The first extract covers citizenship acquisition by immigrants (i.e. foreigners born in a foreign country) and includes information on: date of immigration; citizenship at birth; and citizenship in 2002. The second extract covers citizenship 333 T H E S I M acquisition by foreigners born in Belgium and consists of citizenship at birth and citizenship in 2002. The first simple indicator is the proportion of former foreigners holding Belgian citizenship. For example, on 1st January 2002, 42% of people resident in Belgium who were not Belgian at birth had become Belgian citizens (31% of immigrants and 61% of those born in Belgium). This proportion varied significantly and according to the type of migrant involved (refugee or not, European or not, age at date of immigration), but was always higher for foreigners born in Belgium (the second generation) who benefited from easier procedures (Figure 6). Figure 6. The level of naturalisation by year and place of birth (Belgium or abroad) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 2000 1995 1990 1985 1980 1975 1970 1965 1960 1955 1950 1945 1940 1935 1930 1925 1920 1915 1910 0 year of birth born in Belgium im m igrants Using the date of immigration, the level of acquisition by duration of stay can be estimated (Figure 7). This level is clearly linked to the duration of stay: in general, the longer the stay the higher the level of acquisition of Belgian citizenship. However, immigrants who arrived before 1980-1985 seem to have a slightly lower level of acquisition of citizenship than those who arrived later. This may be the consequence of different conditions of immigration and different compositions by citizenship of origin. The level of 334 Chapter 14: A Cohort Approach to Acquisition of Citizenship Statistics acquisition also depends on the country of origin: after ten years in Belgium, only 3% of EU citizens had acquired Belgian citizen-ship, compared to 65% of Turks, 64% of Poles, 63% of Congolese and 61% of Moroccans. An important drawback of this method is that it does not take into account the level of emigration of former immigrants in the calculation of the acquisition rate. Figure 7. The level of acquisition of Belgian citizenship by year of immigration and original citizenship (immigrants only) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 2000 1995 1990 1985 1980 1975 1970 1965 0 year of im m igration Congo-RDC Marocco Poland Turkey UE 15 Total Mean Conclusion In spite of the low level of data availability, it would be relatively easy to improve the quality and coverage of published statistics on the acquisition of citizenship. In addition to crude numbers, simple rates of acquisition are already published by some European institutions (Eurostat and some national statistical offices). However, in order to improve the understanding of the evolution of the acquisition process, basic demographic methods should be used. The cohort approach is certainly the most effective and appropriate way to take account of the decisive impact of the duration of 335 T H E S I M stay and the diversity of different cohorts of immigrants. Given the limited availability of data, a complete analysis of the dynamics of the naturalisation process is possible only in countries with an efficient system of population registration. However, the use of widely available retrospective data (notably information from the census questionnaire) is one possible alternative. It is fairly certain that in the short term few if any national statistical offices will publish regular data on the acquisition of citizenship by cohort. Nonetheless, it is important to highlight the fact that those methods are among the best tools currently available to understand and measure the development of patterns of citizenship acquisition, and to explain the evolution of these patterns. Since the duration of stay is a central condition (together with integration) for acquiring citizenship in most states, statistics should take this factor into account and use appropriate methods (i.e. a cohort approach). Those methods exist and may be applied easily, even if only on an ad hoc or irregular basis, to understand how the process of becoming a citizen works in each country. 336 Chapter 15 Links Between Legal and Illegal Migration Michael Jandl and Albert Kraler1 Introduction This study examines whether or not it is possible to identify links between legal and illegal migration using available statistical material. The report is structured as follows. First, some theoretical arguments about the links between legal and illegal migration are reviewed. Second, the report provides important technical observations on statistical links between legal and illegal migration data and examines the overlaps between these two sorts of data. Third, the report makes some theoretical and empirical observations on the difficulties associated with estimating illegal migration stocks and flows on the basis of available data. Fourth, evidence on illegal migration trends in Europe is presented using new, as yet unpublished, data. Fifth, the analysis addresses the theme of this study head on, and tests various hypotheses on the links between legal and illegal migration by way of the available statistical evidence. Finally, the link between legal and illegal migration flows at the policy level is examined by way of a case study of Italian-Albanian migration cooperation. 1. Background As the EU progressively expands its competence in the area of Justice, Freedom and Security, the issue of harmonising and even ‘communitarising’ migration and asylum policies is high on the agenda of the European 1 The authors would like to thank the following colleagues for providing useful advice and comments on earlier versions of this paper: Veronika Bilger, Martin Hofmann, Ilse van Liempt, Ferruccio Pastore and Jonas Widgren. T H E S I M Commission. In pursuing the goal of a common area of freedom, security and justice, the institutions of the EU face an uphill struggle. National migration policies are still characterised by a bewildering array of national regulations and a wide diversity of goals and interests. Adding to the complexity is the obscure issue of illegal migration and the highly contested question of what could or should be done about it both at national and at European levels. From a policy perspective, it has been deemed necessary to gain a clearer picture of the size, structure and dynamics of illegal and irregular migration across EU MS. To this end, the European Commission (especially the DG JLS and Eurostat) have developed a data-collection system (CIREFI) that regularly compiles statistics provided by EU MS on enforcement measures against illegal immigration. Until recently, the contents of the CIREFI database were not accessible to the public. This has partly changed with the publication in early 2004 of the first DG JLS Annual Report (Commission of the European Communities, 2004a). A central question in the debate on migration policies, both at national and European levels, is that of whether an expansion of legal immigration opportunities would lead to a decrease in illegal immigration – or, conversely, whether the presumed increase of illegal migration to the European Union during the 1990s has been caused by stricter immigration policies towards legal immigration. This supposed link between legal and illegal migration has raised much interest at the policy level and became the subject of a recent Communication by the European Commission (Commission of the European Communities, 2004c). The Communication also forms the background to this paper. It was based on the contributions of a number of national experts from EU MS and was prepared in a very short period of time. It calls for several aspects of the topic to be examined more closely and concludes: “There is a link between legal and illegal migration but the relationship is complex and certainly not a direct one since a variety of different factors has to be taken into consideration” (Commission of the European Communities, 2004c: 20). It is clear that this analysis cannot purport to answer all the remaining questions surrounding the debate about the links between legal and illegal migration. Nevertheless, it aims to provide some important insights into the topic both from a theoretical/conceptual perspective, and from empirical evidence which has been gathered from a variety of sources2. 2 It should be noted that the following analysis is largely based on statistics drawn from sources other than the CIREFI database, due to the particular problems associated with the type of data 338 Chapter 15: Links between Legal and Illegal Migration 2. Some theoretical observations Most writers on illegal migration evade the question of what exactly is meant by ‘illegal migration’, an ‘illegal immigrant’ or an ‘illegal border crossing’ (Jandl, 2004a: 141-155). A notable exception is Tapinos, who details six categories of clandestinity based on whether entry is legal or illegal, residence is legal or illegal and work is legal or illegal (Tapinos, 1999: 229251)3. However, to bring the terms of the following discussion in line with the common usage of the terms ‘legal migration’ and ‘illegal migration’, for the purpose of this contribution, we understand ‘illegal migration’ in a very broad sense. We are particularly interested in those forms of illegality or quasi-legality that are directly related to immigration control and thus will primarily look at illegal entries, legal entries with subsequent illegal residence (visa overstayers, etc.) as well as 'apparently legal entries' (i.e. entries within a legal entry scheme achieved through deception or fraud such as 'sham marriages' or 'bogus students'). Having briefly sketched the relevant categories of stocks and flows of illegal migration, we can now proceed to an examination of the theoretically possible links between these categories. Figure 1 presents an overview of five such possible links. There could be a direct link between legal and illegal migration flows. There is presumably a strong link between the legal and illegal residence status of migrants. There might be a link between legally (or illegally) resident migrant populations and flows of illegal migrants. There might be a link between stocks of illegal migrants in different countries (for example, when migrants move to another country in order to participate in a regularisation programme). compiled in CIREFI. For more information on this point see the chapter on ‘Statistics on refusals, apprehensions and removals’ in this volume. 3 The six categories of clandestinity are: 1) legal entry, legal residence but illegal work; 2) legal entry but illegal residence and illegal work; 3) legal entry, no work but illegal residence; 4) illegal entry, legal(ised) residence but illegal work; 5) illegal entry, illegal residence and illegal work and 6) illegal entry, illegal residence but no work. The two other logically possible categories – 7) legal entry, legal residence and no work and 8) illegal entry but legal(ised) residence with no work – do not amount to ‘clandestinity’. It is assumed that legal work can be carried out only when residence is legal (or legalised), and cannot lead to further types of clandestinity. 339 T H E S I M There is the possibility of a link between (increased or decreased) legal or illegal migration possibilities to one country and illegal migration flows to another. Figure 1. The links between legal and illegal migration EU Country A Legal migration Legal Residence Third Country 1. Illegal migration Legal migration 2. 3. Illegal Residence 5. 1. Illegal migration 3. 4. EU Country B Legal Residence Illegal Residence 2. The most straightforward presumed connection between legal and illegal migration refers only to the first of these five possible links and has been termed the ‘model of interconnected pipes’. This model postulates that an increase (decrease) in legal migration opportunities will lead to a decrease (increase) in illegal migration. However, what is often neglected in arguments based on this model is that its basic assumption (that the total migration potential and, implicitly, the total migration flow, is somehow fixed) does not correspond to reality. For example, it is well known that actual migration projects are often mediated by intermediate structures – be they employment agencies, networks of family or friends or human smugglers recruiting new clients. Therefore, an expansion of legal immigration opportunities for some may not necessarily lead to a decrease in the illegal migration of others. It may even lead to more illegal migration, if illegal migrants rely on migrant networks formed by earlier cohorts of legal (or illegal) immigrants (the third link in the model) (Boswell and Straubhaar, 2004:4-7). Moreover, experience suggests that even those entering on temporary legal migration programmes often switch to irregular status when their permits expire (the second link in the model) (Epstein et al., 1999: 3-21). Moreover – and this may well be the strongest argument against the model of ‘interconnected pipes’ – the structure of legal immigration that 340 Chapter 15: Links between Legal and Illegal Migration states might wish to expand (e.g. IT experts and highly skilled migrants) and the current structure of legal immigration (e.g. family re-union and immigration from certain source countries) does not correspond to the structure of illegal migration. Simply expanding current immigration levels from a few source countries would not do anything to reduce illegal immigration from the rest of the world. Thus, there are no strong theoretical reasons to believe that the simple expansion of legal migration flows would reduce illegal migration flows (the first link in the model). The same argument applies to the possible effects of regularisation campaigns. At first the regularisation will lead to a lower stock of illegal foreign residents and a higher stock of legal immigrants (the second link in the model). However, in the longer term, repeated amnesties may well be considered to be counterproductive, as the expectation of being able to obtain legal status after entering the country illegally may well create a pull effect which produces additional illegal migrants4. These brief theoretical considerations lead us to the larger question of what statistical links between legal and illegal migration exist. From a purely statistical perspective, the categories ‘legal migration’ and ‘illegal migration’ at first appear as two wholly distinct concepts. Legal migration denotes that part of population movements which takes place in conformity with national and international rules and regulations, while ‘illegal migration’ denotes that part which is unauthorised, and hence, not documented in official records. Only the first of these two categories of migration is to some extent systematically captured by official migration statistics, while the situation in regard to the second category is much less clear. There are a number of cases where the two categories overlap. In the next three sections we will explore three cases where ‘double counting’ may be especially significant. The issue here will be to see to what extent irregular migrants are covered simultaneously by two datasets. Before looking at these cases, however, it is useful to introduce a distinction between (1) statistics explicitly covering a subset of the universe of persons whose entry and/or stay is unauthorised on the one hand (i.e. those that will be discussed below), and (2) datasets that may or may not cover irregular migrants, but which do not allow irregular migrants to be distinguished from legal migrants. Censuses and population registers are instances of the 4 Another possibility that must be considered in this context is that by increasing legal immigration opportunities the potential for fraudulently obtaining ‘legal’ immigration papers may also increase. Ultimately, of course, both issues are empirical questions that need to be clarified by empirical research. 341 T H E S I M second type of datasets. They frequently cover irregular migrants, although whether and to what extent they do so depends very much on the legal requirements for and personal benefits of registration (in the case of population registers) or on methodologies and enumeration practices (in the case of censuses)5. In any case, the 1998 UN recommendations on migration statistics explicitly recommend that “because in practice many (…) migrants in an irregular situation end up staying lengthy periods in the receiving state, they should be regarded as constituting distinct categories relevant for the measurement of international migration” (Department of Economic and Social Affairs, 1998: §43). If good quality information on the legally resident population (or, more precisely, the legally resident non-national population) exists, estimates of illegal immigration can be derived from the differences between the legally present population and the population enumerated in the census. 3. Statistical observations on regularisations The clearest case of a statistical link between legal and illegal migration occurs with regularisation. Before migrants are regularised, their status is, by definition, at least in some respect ‘irregular’6. With some qualifications, therefore, regularisation figures can tell us something about the size and composition of the previously ‘undocumented’ stock of foreigners in a given country7. However, regularisation figures do not, per se, reveal the volume of past illegal immigration, for at least two reasons: first, many of the foreigners who are later regularised may have entered legally (e.g. on a tourist visa, as family members, asylum seekers or temporary migrants); and second, migrants who have been regularised in an earlier regularisation Response rates of irregular migrants may depend, inter alia, on the type of census enumerators used; the way information is collected (face-to-face interview vs. self-completed questionnaires); on the definition of the universe of people to be covered (whether there is comprehensive coverage or an eligibility check through substantive lead questions, e.g. on length of residence in the country); whether legal status is a formal/informal selection mechanism, and finally, whether the confidentiality of the information provided by the respondents is respected and the respondents trust the confidentiality guarantees. 6 This irregularity will usually, but not necessarily, refer to residency status; it may also refer to the status of foreigners who take up (irregular) work without the necessary authorisation (e.g. ‘working tourists’, family members of regular migrants or asylum seekers). 7 In past regularisations in Italy it has been observed that a number of irregular migrants normally residing in neighbouring EU MS (e.g. France) tried to obtain a regular status by applying for regularisation in Italy and moved to Italy just to file their application. 5 342 Chapter 15: Links between Legal and Illegal Migration round sometimes fall back into irregularity and apply for renewed regularisation8. Regularisations are especially important for southern European countries. Here, it has been claimed that “the overwhelming majority of migrants entered without a residence permit, which they managed to obtain only subsequently, thanks to frequent regularisation schemes (since 1986 five in Italy, five in Spain, three in Portugal, two in Greece and one in France). Since the mid-1990s, regularisations have usually required applying migrants to prove that they had a declared job offer by an employer willing to ‘regularise’ them. Thus, the number of migrants applying for regularisation can be considered a proxy for the number of undeclared migrant workers” (Reyneri, 2003). Table 1 summarises the number of people who availed themselves of regularisation schemes in five countries. Of these countries, Italy shows most clearly the direct (statistical) connection between illegal migration, regularisation and legally resident immigrants (Table 2). While in 2002 there were only around 1.5 million foreign nationals legally resident in Italy at the beginning of 2003 this had increased to 2.5 million (Pittau and Forti, 2004: 164). Table 1. Unauthorised migrants who availed themselves of regularisation schemes (in thousands) Italy Spain Portugal Greece France 1986–87 118.7 1985–86* 43.8 1992–93 39.2 1998–99 371.6 1981–82 121.1 1990 217.7 1991 108.3 1996 21.8 2001* 351.1 1998–99 80.6 1995–96 238.2 1996 21.3 2001 179.2 1998–99 193.2 2000–01 334.0 2002* 695.0 2005* 690.7 Sources: Jandl (2004a), MNS 9/2001, MuB 5/2005, OECD (2004), Reyneri (2003). *Number of applications received. As the example shows, there is a clear statistical link between regularisations and stocks of illegal residents (the latter are, by definition, 8 There is some disagreement about the extent of this phenomenon, for example between Italy (where relatively few are thought to fall back into irregularity) and Greece (where the majority of beneficiaries of recent regularisation programmes are thought to have reverted to illegality) (OECD/Sopemi, 2004: 70). 343 T H E S I M immediately reduced)9. A more important question, however, concerns the links between regularisations and future flows of (legal and illegal) migration. It is likely that regularisations increase both future legal immigration flows (e.g. by allowing more family re-unifications) and illegal migration flows (e.g. by reinforcing existing pull factors through the expectation of future amnesties)10. The possibility of regularisations attracting other migrants illegally resident in another country (especially within the Schengen area) has been confirmed by much anecdotal evidence, although there is little statistical evidence on the extent of this phenomenon. Table 2. Largest immigrant groups in Italy before and after the regularisation (1.1.2003) Country of origin Regularisations Romania 143,947 Residents before regularisation (31.12.2002) 95,834 Residents after regularisation (1.1.2003) % increase 239,781 150% Ukraine 106,921 14,035 120,956 762% Albania 55,038 168,963 224,001 33% Morocco 54,221 172,834 227,055 31% Source: Pittau/Forti (2004: 166). 4. Statistical observations on asylum applications The second situation in which migrants are frequently counted as both ‘legal’ and ‘illegal’ migrants is that of asylum seekers. In fact, the majority of asylum seekers in European countries are thought to have entered the country where they lodge an asylum application in an ‘illegal’ or unauthorised way. There is both indirect statistical evidence for this and an emerging body of direct statistical evidence. The indirect evidence consists of a positive statistical relationship between the numbers of asylum seekers and the numbers of ‘illegal migrants apprehended’ by nationality. This relationship is thought to be particularly strong in countries (such as Austria) in which entering the asylum system is suspected of being an integral part of human smuggling processes. The 9 However, this is true only in the short term. Over the long term the question arises of how successful regularisation schemes are in reducing stocks of illegal residents. For a variety of reasons, their effectiveness is seen as doubtful (OECD, 2004: 69ff). 10 See also the case study of the Belgian regularisation scheme in 1999 (Commission of the European Communities, 2004c: 9). 344 Chapter 15: Links between Legal and Illegal Migration statistical evidence on the link between illegal migration, human smuggling and the asylum system is presented elsewhere; here we draw attention only to the fact that, in cases where such a link exists, the same migrants will then be counted as both illegal migrants and as asylum seekers (Jandl, 2004b). Direct statistical evidence on the link between asylum and illegal migration is often suppressed by authorities and is therefore rarely available. A notable exception are the figures provided by the Hungarian Office of Immigration and Nationality (Table 3), which show that around 80% of asylum seekers have been counted as having entered the country illegally. For statistical purposes this means that the same people are counted twice, first as apprehended illegal migrants and second as asylum seekers. It should be noted that the Hungarian case, due to its location on the eastern edge of the European Union, might be a special one. However, in the absence of reliable (direct or indirect) statistical evidence on the phenomenon of double counting, its extent in other countries cannot be assessed. Table 3a. Asylum claims in Hungary, by legality of entry and by major countries of origin, 2002 Country of origin 2002 Entrants claiming Those who entered asylum illegally 2,348 2,173 2,008 1,817 352 309 213 169 182 169 160 135 130 114 125 114 142 119 97 61 Afghanistan Iraq Bangladesh Somalia Vietnam Iran Sudan Nigeria Turkey Yugoslavia Total, all countries 6,412 5,728 of origin Source: Hungarian Office of Immigration and Nationality (OIN). Proportion 93% 90% 88% 79% 93% 84% 88% 91% 84% 63% 89% In addition to the direct and indirect statistical evidence on the relationship between illegal migration and asylum from national statistical sources, more direct evidence is becoming available at the EU level as the EURODAC system progressively becomes fully operational. The EURODAC system started on 15th January 2003 and compares fingerprints taken from asylum seekers in country X with those of asylum seekers and migrants 345 T H E S I M apprehended for illegal border crossing in country Y. The first annual report on the implementation of the EURODAC system became available in May 2004. It contains detailed statistics on the number of ‘hits’ (i.e. fingerprints of asylum seekers and illegal migrants which have previously been stored in the system, demonstrating that the person has previously applied for asylum or has been apprehended for illegally crossing a border) (Commission of the European Communities, 2004b). The EURODAC system found that out of 246,902 asylum seekers whose fingerprint data had been cross-checked, 14,960 (6%) had applied for asylum in at least one other country – which means that they had been double-counted in the Europewide statistics on asylum seekers. A further 4,287 (1.7%) people had applied more than once in the country submitting the fingerprints to the Central Unit (‘local hit’). It is noted that – as the system started with an empty database of fingerprints at the beginning of the year – these percentages are likely to increase further. Table 3b. Asylum claims in Hungary, by legality of entry and by major countries of origin, 2003 Country of origin 2003 Entrants claiming Those who entered asylum illegally 469 348 348 268 205 181 170 141 125 87 113 109 112 54 105 102 79 36 74 67 Afghanistan Iraq Bangladesh Somalia Vietnam Iran Sudan Nigeria Turkey Yugoslavia Total, all countries 2,401 1,843 of origin Source: Hungarian Office of Immigration and Nationality (OIN). Proportion 74% 77% 88% 83% 70% 96% 48% 97% 46% 91% 77% The report also shows that 673 fingerprints of asylum seekers in country X matched with fingerprints of persons apprehended for illegal border crossing in country Y. However, as only 7,857 fingerprints of illegal bordercrossers were recorded during Year 1 of EURODAC’s operations (in a system with planned storage capacity for up to 400,000 such fingerprints annually), these statistics do not reveal much about the size of the phenomenon. The same is true for the number of fingerprints of illegal 346 Chapter 15: Links between Legal and Illegal Migration migrants apprehended in Country X matching with stored fingerprints of asylum seekers in Country Y (there were 1,181 such ‘hits’ out of 16,814 data transactions; these ‘Category 3 data’ are not stored in the system). Thus, while the implementation of the system is not yet sufficiently well developed to show clear trends in the links between illegal migration and asylum, they do show that such links exist. As the report notes, the data show that “a large percentage of illegal (sic) apprehended in Germany, have applied for asylum in Austria; the same applies for the UK” (Commission of the European Communities, 2004c: 12). 5. Statistical observations on immigration fraud Immigration fraud refers to a whole class of phenomena, where apparently legal entry and/or residence permits are obtained by way of deception, fraud or in contravention of the spirit of immigration laws. Statistically, however, these unlawful migration movements often appear as ‘legal immigration’ (if the deception is successful). As obtaining entry rights and legal residence titles in such manners is obviously unlawful behaviour, usually punishable by law, these activities are kept strictly secret and are thus largely hidden from public view and, hence, any meaningful statistics. And because would-be immigrants often pay high prices for fraudulent documents and other deceptive entry channels, but would not do so if the chances of success were slim, the number of undetected cases is likely to far exceed detections. Criminal investigations by the police and border guards have revealed a great number of ways in which would-be immigrants try to gain entry and residency by way of fraud. Among these are: the procurement of false or falsified entry and residence documents (e.g. visas, residence permits or passports); obtaining visas under false pretences (e.g. entering as tourists, or with business visas obtained through the use of fake ‘guarantees’ from companies) and then overstaying the duration of the visas; the conclusion of ‘sham marriages’ (or ‘marriages of convenience’), concluded only in order to circumvent regular immigration channels; 347 T H E S I M the use of fake ‘adoptions’ of adults11, usually against payment by the ‘adopted’; the enrolment of would-be immigrants in college or university courses, without there being an actual intention to study at the chosen institution; the use of the status of ‘au pair’ for long-term immigration purposes. There are many more ways of fraudulently obtaining documents for the purposes of entry to and residence in a third country, but in each case estimating the extent of the phenomenon is inherently problematic. However, there are indications that the use of such methods is growing across the EU12. For immigration statistics this means that we may in fact be counting a substantial proportion of ‘irregular’ migration as ‘regular’ immigration. Conceptually, there are good reasons for distinguishing fraud cases not involving faked entry documents13 (i.e. cases admitted on false pretences) from illegal migrants proper, because these people are documented, possess a valid authorisation to enter or stay in the country, and have a clearly defined legal status that may be withdrawn only after due process of law. 6. The difficulties of measuring illegal migration Unfortunately, there are no uniform standards across countries for any of the statistical indicators that could be used for making informed estimates of stocks or flows of illegal migration to or within the European Union. As well as the substantial problems in the availability and quality of data, there are even greater conceptual problems associated with the use of these data sources for the estimation of illegal migration stocks and flows. Nevertheless, there are several statistical methods available for the 11 Laws on adoption sometimes allow the adoption of adults and it has been shown that this is often used, against payment by the “adopted”, for circumventing immigration regulations. In Austria, for example, this practice became so widespread, with hundreds of documented cases of adoptions of adult third-country nationals, that at the beginning of 2003 a legal amendment to the Aliens Law was introduced that was explicitly aimed at preventing “fake adoptions”. 12 To give an example, in 2003, the Hungarian Border Guard apprehended 13,533 persons for committing a criminal offence related to illegal migration. Of these, 2,690 were apprehended for using false or falsified official documents (a 42% increase on 2002). For this and other data on Central and Eastern Europe (Futo and Jandl, 2004). 13 Technically, people with faked documents must be considered ‘illegal’ in the usual sense, since they lack valid authorisation to stay. 348 Chapter 15: Links between Legal and Illegal Migration estimation of levels and trends of illegal migration that are likely to produce better results than mere ‘informed guesstimates’. As indicated above, estimates on illegal migration generally refer to two distinct statistical concepts: stocks of illegal residents and flows of illegal immigrants. Methods of estimating the size of stocks and flows are examined separately below. 6.1 Estimating stocks of illegally resident foreign populations 6.1.1 ‘Residual’ estimation techniques ‘Residual’ estimation methods (based on the differences between census data and other registries of immigrants) are carried out regularly in the US to estimate the stock of undocumented immigrants. However this method is not usually used in European states because the censuses are thought to seriously undercount irregular migrants in Europe. A notable exception to this general observation is an estimate of the size of the illegally resident population in Spain based on recent census results. It should be noted that the Spanish case is special in that all immigrants (regular and irregular) have a strong incentive to register in municipal population registers, as this confers certain benefits such as the free provision of health care, while there are hardly any disincentives connected to registering as these lists are not used for removing unauthorised residents from the country. At the time of the census in 2001 the number of foreigners registered in Spain stood at 1.572,017, which meant a difference of almost half a million people between those who were listed as having a valid residence card or permit (1.109,060) and the foreigners who registered in the census14. Four years later, at the beginning of 2005, the Spanish government estimated the number of illegal residents in Spain to be between 800,000 and 820,000, again using a ‘residual’ estimation method based on the difference between the number of foreigners enumerated in the communal registers (3.7 million, of which around 3 million were of working age) and the number of foreigners in possession of a valid residence card or permit (2.1 million). As it turned out, the number of foreigners applying for regularisation in the spring 2005 regularisation campaign was 690,679, thus 14 Instituto Nacional de Estadística (INE, National Statistics Institute) of Spain (2002), available at: http://www.ine.es/ inebase/cgi/um (4.2.2003) 349 T H E S I M only about 14% below the estimated total15. Although these numbers are still subject to interpretation (for example, on the number of illegal residents who did not apply for regularisation), we might conclude that in the case of Spain the ‘residual’ estimation method produced fairly reliable results. Whether that is also true in other contexts, however, is doubtful. One can at least expect that in the absence of special incentives for registering (in the case of Spain for obtaining access to health care) the propensity to register with public authorities is lower. This observation could also help with evaluating a recent (2005) estimation exercise for the United Kingdom (Woodbridge, 2005). While the derived estimates have several other drawbacks as well16, the main structural difficulty with the use of UK census data lies in the fact that “no explicit undercount estimates are available for the foreign-born population”. Thus, the report proposes a range of three different estimates (310, 430 and 570 thousand) calculated with three different undercount estimations for the unauthorised foreign-born population (0, 45.4 and 102.3 thousands). However, there is no hard evidence on why the undercount could not be larger than 102.300 (it cannot be lower than zero) and why, consequently, the unauthorised population in the UK in 2001 could not have been larger than the highest estimate. 6.1.2 ‘Multiplier’ estimation techniques Most statistical methods used to produce estimates of undocumented migrants are based on the ‘multiplier principle’. Basically, these methods assume that the size of the unknown variable to be estimated (such as the stock of undocumented migrants) has a stable relation to a variable that can be measured (such as the stock of legally resident migrants). The problem is then redefined as finding the ‘right’ multiplier (Vogel, 2002:70). One particular variant of multiplier methods consists of surveying ‘experts’ on the subject and combining their estimates into an appropriate multiplier. This method has been tried in Switzerland through a survey of employers in particular branches of business (Piguet and Losa, 2001). The authors surveyed 800 employers in Switzerland, asking them to estimate the 15 MuB – Migration und Bevölkerung. Newsletter (5/2005), Netzwerk Migration in Europa e.V. (ed.), Berlin, June 2005, 3 16 For example, as there are no complete registers on the stock of legally resident migrants, this variable has to be estimated from highly uncertain flow figures. Moreover, this “new” estimate is based on 2001 census data, when EU nationals where still defined as nationals from the thenEU-15, thus having little validity for the period after the accession to the EU of ten new EU MS. 350 Chapter 15: Links between Legal and Illegal Migration percentage of illegally employed foreigners in their own branches of business. Using the survey results, they then estimated the number of illegally employed foreigners in Switzerland. While this method is likely to result in better approximations to the ‘real value’ of multipliers than simple guesswork, the results depend to a large extent on the way the guesstimates are combined statistically. A pioneering study carried out in the Netherlands has used the capture−recapture method to estimate the size of the illegally resident population in Dutch cities (van der Leun et al., 1998) This method has its origin in population biology, which is used to estimate the size of a population. The population is counted at two specific moments in time at the same location. The size of the population not present at that specific moment and location can be estimated using the Poisson distribution, and so the total population can be counted17. In their study the authors analysed 1995 apprehension data from the police, and on this basis estimated the ratio of illegally to legally resident immigrants in four cities (Amsterdam, Rotterdam, The Hague and Utrecht). The result provides an estimate of the minimum total number of illegal immigrants in the four cities. A more recent study using the same methodology has been carried out by Engbersen. These authors analysed data on police apprehensions from 25 police regions in the Netherlands for 1997–2000 (Engbersen et al., 2002). In principle, the validity of the capture–recapture method is superior to that of any of the other methods available. In evaluating the strengths and weaknesses of the method, however, much depends on the quality of the police records. Moreover, an important assumption in the use of this method is a homogenous population. Heterogeneity (when capture rates for individuals differ according to sex, age, social status, living area etc.) makes the method more difficult to apply. Capture rates are also dependent upon time, and behaviour can change over time (irregular migrants may, for example, pay less attention or become better at avoiding capture). 6.1.3 Evidence from regularisation data Perhaps some of the best sources of data on illegal migration are figures on regularisations. To assess the value of data collected during To illustrate, consider the following method of counting fish in a pond. First, you catch 1,000 fish, mark them, and set them free again. Then you catch another 1,000 fish and examine them. If 100 (10%) of them are marked, then the first 1,000 fish caught equals 10% of the total population, so there are – presumably – 10,000 fish in the pond. 17 351 T H E S I M regularisation programmes for the estimation of illegal residence, several things have to be borne in mind. The raw data on applications for regularisation (or permits granted) provide only a limited amount of information on the true extent of illegal residence in the country at any point in time, mainly for three reasons. First, not all illegal immigrants can or will take advantage of regularisation programmes. Second, regularised immigrants, who are awarded only a limited residence permit, or a residence permit connected to employment, frequently fall back into irregularity. Thus, for example, illegal entry and ‘overstaying’ at the end of a period of legal residence (including a period of ‘legalised’ residence) are both major channels of admission to Italy (Pastore, 2002: 1). A third problem is that the analysis of regularisation data usually works on a closed-country assumption, while there is some evidence that regularisation programmes in one country also include the regularisation of some segment of the irregular foreign population in contiguous countries. For example, according to an Italian expert on the subject, each time Italy has launched such a programme, a large number of foreigners living in France, Switzerland and Austria have moved to Italy just for the time of the amnesty18. 6.1.4 Estimates of the extent of illegal foreign employment Another method which should be mentioned here is to estimate the illegal foreign population by estimating the participation of migrants in the informal sector of a country (i.e. the extent of illegal employment of foreigners). Such estimates can in turn be based on data on illegal foreign workers apprehended at worksites or on indirect estimation methods such as the amount of cash in circulation or the amount of electricity consumed. There are, however, no indications that the resulting estimates of numbers of illegal foreign residents have smaller margins of error than those derived from other methods, while they do display even greater variation than other estimates19. Estimations based on the number of illegal aliens apprehended (should be marked typographically as a separate heading) For example, in past regularisations in Italy it has been observed that a number of irregular migrants normally residing in neighbouring EU MS (e.g. France) tried to obtain a regular status by applying for regularisation in Italy and moved to Italy just to file their application. (Sciortino, 2003: 2). 19 For more information, as well as examples of such estimates (Jandl, 2004a). 18 352 Chapter 15: Links between Legal and Illegal Migration Finally, a few remarks should be made on the value of data on illegal aliens apprehended in a country during the course of one year. Such data are sometimes available from police services, as distinct from data on persons apprehended for illegal border crossings (although the data published in the CIREFI database do not distinguish between the two datasets). There are two main problems with using such data for estimating stocks of aliens illegally present within a country at any point in time. First, data on apprehended aliens illegally present in the country in the course of a year do not, strictly speaking, refer to the stocks of aliens illegally present at any point in time. And second, more than other apprehension data, such data are dependent on the intensity of law enforcement efforts during the course of a year. In short, data on apprehensions within a country can easily be ‘produced’: if higher numbers are desired, a few additional police raids on the suspected workplaces or living quarters of illegal foreign residents will do the trick. Such data are therefore not much use for drawing general conclusions on the size of the illegally resident foreign population at any point in time. 6.2 Estimating illegal migration flows The only methodology explicitly used for estimating flows of illegal immigrants to Europe is the projection of border apprehensions, using an estimated ratio of border apprehensions to (non-detected) illegal entries20. While this method does have its advantages (not least the absence of alternative methods) three technical problems should be pointed out here. The first one is the variable quality and availability of apprehension data in Europe. No valid generalisations can be made about this, as much of the statistical material collected by border enforcement agencies is kept secret and only a few countries in Europe regularly publish their border apprehension data21. At the same time, recently published data from the CIREFI database on ‘apprehensions of aliens illegally present’ do not distinguish between apprehensions of aliens illegally present inside the country, and those at or near the borders that aliens have unsuccessfully 20.Heckmann and Wunderlich use an assumed ratio of 1:2 border apprehensions to illegal entries to the EU (Heckmann and Wunderlich, 2000: 167-182). A more elaborate description of a different methodology that includes the same ratio of border apprehensions to illegal entries is outlined by Widgren (Widgren, 2002). 21 Likewise, the data on illegal migration collected by the Inter-Governmental Consultations on Asylum, Refugee and Migration Policies in Europe, North America and Australia (IGC) are not publicly available. 353 T H E S I M tried to cross illegally. These data can therefore not be used for estimations based on border apprehensions. The second methodological problem associated with the use of border apprehension data for the estimation of illegal migration flows is that border apprehension data usually refer to cases rather than to distinct individuals. Thus, if an individual is apprehended more than once while trying to cross an international border illegally, he or she will be counted more than once in apprehension statistics. Until recently, there was no statistical evidence to assess the extent of this phenomenon. In the absence of any meaningful data, some analysts assessed the phenomenon of repeated entry attempts to be so prevalent as to make any estimation based on border apprehension data meaningless. However, recent findings suggest that this conceptual problem could be less important than hitherto assumed22. The third methodological problem that should be taken up here is the estimation of the ‘correct’ multiplier. In the past, the most commonly used multiplier for the estimation of actual illegal crossings on the basis of apprehension figures has been two (‘two pass for each one caught’)23. In addition, analysts have also resorted to ‘criminological’ methods based on the likely chances of being caught while attempting to cross a border illegally, arriving at similar multipliers. Estimating the ‘correct’ multiplier becomes even more problematic when generalising estimated multipliers across countries or even for the whole of the EU. In some cases, the ‘correct’ multipliers are in all likelihood significantly higher then the commonly used multiplier of two. In other cases (Greece, for example), applying a multiplier of two would almost certainly be misleading due to the high mobility of a large part of the irregular migrant population, who frequently leave the country to return days, weeks, months or years later (so-called ‘circular migration’)24. To 22 For example, data provided by the border police of the Czech Republic demonstrate that in 2003 only 11.5% of illegal entrants were persons repeatedly apprehended in 2003. This figure was slightly lower than in 2002 (Futo and Jandl, 2004). 23 A formal model for deriving estimated multipliers based on the probability of apprehension is presented by Massey and Singer. This model is then applied to an estimated probability of apprehension of 0.35 derived from a survey in 22 Mexican communities in Mexico and the US and the recorded apprehensions by the INS between 1965 and 1992 (Massey and Singer, 1995: 203-213). 24 One indicator of the circular nature of illegal migration in Greece is the extraordinarily high level of expulsions of those not in possession of valid residence documents. Between 1992 and 1995, these numbered over 225,000 a year and for 2001 it was expected that expulsions would be as high as 270,000 (Baldwin-Edwards, 2001). 354 Chapter 15: Links between Legal and Illegal Migration arrive at ‘better’ estimates, therefore, either the multiplier has to be adjusted downward or the statistical base must be reassessed. To summarise the discussion, there are a number of conceptual problems associated with the estimation of illegal migration flows on the basis of border apprehension data. Nevertheless, the available material can and has been used – with all the caveats raised in the preceding discussion in mind – for producing rough estimates of illegal migration flows. Rather than repeating the whole exercise at this point, only the results will be reproduced here. The total volume of illegal migration flows to Europe in 2001 was estimated at 650,000 for the EU15 and at 800,000 for the (now) EU25 (Jandl, 2003). Finally, three additional remarks are in order: First, estimates are made on the basis of adjusted border apprehensions and are likely to undercount so-called visa-overstayers25. Second, while the estimated volume of illegal border crossings provides some indication of the total volume of gross illegal immigration, the net flows of illegal immigrants cannot be estimated on this basis but are likely to be much lower. Third, when seen in a time perspective, border apprehensions (and the estimations based on these data) are influenced not only by the actual volume of illegal border crossing attempts but also by a number of external factors26. Finally, the quoted estimates of total illegal migration flows refer to the year 2001; newer evidence on border apprehensions in Central and Eastern European countries indicate that the number of border apprehensions in 17 Central and Eastern European states has decreased by more than a third since then (Futo and Jandl, 2004). 7. Some cautious qualitative conclusions on illegal migration trends We will now turn to the question of whether the available statistical material can provide us with enough evidence to broadly gauge trends in illegal migration. As already mentioned, there are a large number of problems associated with the use of in particular, border apprehension data Visa-overstayers are counted only when detected at borders when trying to leave a country. For example stepped-up border enforcement efforts by some states, which could result in more apprehensions in the short term and fewer apprehensions in the long term by frustrating further attempts of illegal crossings; or, alternatively, the removal of border controls within the Schengen area; visa exemptions or, alternatively, new visa obligations for certain nationalities; and, last but not least, new – as yet undetected – modus operandi of human smugglers that result in decreased probability of apprehensions. 25 26 355 T H E S I M for the estimation of levels and trends of illegal migration flows. Most importantly, border apprehension data measure only those who fail to cross a border illegally, not those who succeed. And the probability of apprehension will probably change over time, depending on the number and effectiveness of border guards (Massey and Singer, 1995). Most apprehension data are case-specific, which means that they count the number of apprehensions, not the number of people apprehended (people can thus be apprehended more than once). Figure 2 Trends in border apprehensions in European Countries: Countries with recently falling trends 60.000 50.000 40.000 30.000 20.000 10.000 - 1990 1991 Austria 1992 1993 Croatia 1994 1995 1996 1997 Czech Republic 1998 1999 Germany 2000 2001 Italy (1) 2002 2003 Slovenia Moreover, the relationship between trends in border apprehensions and actual trends in illegal migration are likely to be strongly influenced by policy changes. In Europe over the past decade, two such policy changes stand out and would need more scrutiny. The first is the abolition of (internal) border controls within the Schengen area. The second is the (increasingly harmonised) rules for visa obligations for third countries. For 356 Chapter 15: Links between Legal and Illegal Migration example, since 2002, nationals of Bulgaria and Romania, two major source countries of irregular migrants during the 1990s, no longer need visas to enter the Schengen area. Figure 3 Trends in border apprehensions in European Countries: Countries with recently rising or stable Trends 35.000 30.000 25.000 20.000 15.000 10.000 5.000 - 1990 1991 Cyprus 1992 1993 1994 H ungary 1995 1996 1997 Poland 1998 1999 Slovakia 2000 2001 Spain (1) 2002 2003 Sw itzerland Sources: (Futo and Jandl, 2004). (1) Spain: Apprehensions by boat only. All these qualifications are valid and many more could be mentioned (for example, section above on the increased use of forged or fraudulently obtained documents for migration purposes). Nevertheless, if enough indicators on illegal migration are available, if these indicators are likely to bear some relation to the actual illegal migration phenomena under consideration, and if these indicators all display similar trends over time, then, taken together, the statistics on border apprehensions will provide some indications on actual trends in illegal migration to Europe. As can be seen from Figures 2 and 3, there is indeed enough statistical evidence to make an informed judgement on illegal migration trends in Europe over the last decade. The result is somewhat surprising, as it runs 357 T H E S I M counter to the impression conveyed by much of the media: the data available do not support the argument that illegal migration has been constantly rising over the past decade but, in fact, indicate large ups and downs: There was an early peak of apprehensions in the early 1990s, followed by significant decreases in the mid-1990s and a second peak in the late 1990s (or in some cases in the early 21st century). Since then, several countries have reported significant decreases in border apprehensions (Germany, Austria, Croatia and Slovenia), while a few others have recently experienced increases in border apprehensions (Cyprus, Slovakia, Spain and Switzerland). To better visualise these trends, the twelve countries for which data are available have been divided into two categories: those with recently falling trends (Figure 2) and those with recently rising or stable trends (Figure 3). Overall, the total number of border apprehensions in the twelve countries represented here have fallen by about 30% between 2001 and 2003. 8. Testing the links between legal and illegal migration As we have seen in the previous sections, the establishment of statistical links between volumes and trends in legal and illegal migration is inherently difficult and complicated by a number of factors. Above all, the inquiry is hindered by the near-total absence of adequate data for the estimation of volumes and trends of illegal migration. On the other hand, even data on legal migration (stocks and flows) are often of poor quality, making the combination of the two datasets exceedingly unreliable. In what follows, we shall nevertheless make an exploratory attempt at correlating and interpreting data on legal and illegal migration phenomena, applying both a time-series and a cross-sectional approach. 8.1. Flows of legal and illegal migration over time: the example of Germany Perhaps the most widespread hypothesis on the link between legal and illegal migration is contained in the model of ‘interconnected pipes’. This model, which we will call Hypothesis 1, postulates that an increase (decrease) in legal migration opportunities will lead to a decrease (increase) in illegal migration. We have already addressed some theoretical arguments about this argument above, and will therefore move straight to the statistical evidence. 358 Chapter 15: Links between Legal and Illegal Migration Table 4a. Legal immigration of foreigners and aliens apprehended for illegal border crossing in Germany, 1991-1996 (thousands) 1991 Gross immigration (1) 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 925.3 1211.3 989.8 777.5 792.7 708.0 23.6 44.9 54.3 31.1 29.6 27.0 39 27 18 25 27 26 Border Apprehensions (2) Ratio of (1)/(2) Sources: Migrationsbericht 2004, own calculations. In order to assess the evidence, whether decreases in immigration levels (presumably due to more restrictive immigration regulations) are negatively correlated with border apprehensions (reflecting an increase in illegal immigration levels), we look at data on (gross) immigration to Germany in the period 1991– 2002 and compare them with data on border apprehensions in the same period (Table 4a and 4b). Table 4b. Legal immigration of foreigners and aliens apprehended for illegal border crossing in Germany, 1997-2003 (thousands) Gross immigration (1) Border Apprehensions (2) Ratio of (1)/(2) 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 615.3 605.5 673.9 649.2 685.3 658.3 608.8 35.2 40.2 37.8 31.5 28.6 22.6 20.0 17 15 18 21 24 29 30 Obviously, the two sets of data display enormous differences in scale (i.e. the levels of recorded legal immigration were between 15 and 40 times larger than the level of aliens apprehended for illegally crossing the German border). We have already noted the difficulties associated with estimating actual levels of illegal migration flows on the basis of the apprehensions of aliens detected while trying to illegally cross a border and will therefore not dwell on this issue here. Rather, we will look at the trends in the two sets of variables, assuming that border apprehensions do indeed reflect trends in illegal migration flows. To facilitate comparison, in Figure 4 the two sets of data are converted to trend lines depicting levels of (gross) immigration and border apprehensions as percentages of their 1991 levels. It is clear from the figure that the two sets of variables are not inversely related but are, in fact, somewhat positively correlated. After large increases in legal immigration levels at the beginning of the 1990s, legal immigration declined until 1998 and has more or less stabilised since then at around 65% of its 1991 level. Border apprehensions increased sharply until 1993, then 359 T H E S I M declined until 1996, then increased again until 1998 and have since declined to some 85% of their 1991 level. Figure 4 The relationship between total immigration of foreigners and border apprehensions in Germany 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 Gross Im m igration 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Bord er apprehensions Sources: Migrationsbericht 2003, BAFL Total immigration to Germany is, of course, made up of many different components and citizenships. The easy counter-argument to the analysis just presented would therefore be that immigration opportunities for certain nationalities (especially for the main source countries of illegal migrants) have declined further than those for other categories of migrants. Before rejecting Hypothesis 1 on the basis of aggregate data, we will therefore look at the immigration levels of specific citizenships. To do this, we will examine in more detail the data for the top ten citizenships of those apprehended for illegally crossing the German border between 2001 and 2003 (Table 5). Table 6 shows the level of gross immigration from these countries in the ten-year period from 1994 to 2003. It shows that overall levels of legal immigration from these countries were remarkably stable (with an overall decrease of about 25% in 2003 compared to 1994). Four countries saw decreases in immigration levels between 1994 and 2003: Turkey (– 23%), Roumania (–30%), Russia (–35%) and Yugoslavia (with large increases in 360 Chapter 15: Links between Legal and Illegal Migration 1998 and 1999 during the Kosovo crisis and subsequent decreases amounting to – 66% in 2003 compared to 1994). Five countries saw increases: Ukraine (+16%), Bulgaria (+28%), India (+77%), China (+189%) and Iraq (+194%). Data on Afghanistan do not cover the whole period. Table 5. Top 10 countries of citizenship of ‘aliens apprehended’ at the German borders 2001–2003 FR Yugoslavia 1,739 8.7% 2,172 9.6% 2,521 8.8% % change 2001– 2003 -31.0% Russia 1,473 7.4% 1,129 5.0% 823 2.9% 79.0% China 1,371 6.9% 1,017 4.5% 471 1.6% 191.1% Ukraine 1,362 6.8% 1,125 5.0% 1,325 4.6% 2.8% Iraq 944 4.7% 1,835 8.1% 2,216 7.8% -57.4% Bulgaria 636 3.2% 1,091 4.8% 815 2.9% -22.0% Afghanistan 610 3.1% 1,083 4.8% 2,075 7.3% -70.6% Turkey n.a. n.a. 1,809 8.0% 2,184 7.6% n.a. Romania n.a. n.a. 1,118 4.9% 2,916 10.2% n.a. Citizens of: 2003 % of total 2002 % of total 2001 % of total n.a. n.a. 839 3.7% 1,354 4.7% n.a. Top 10 Total 8,135 40.7% 9,452 41.8% 10,246 35.9% -20.6% Overall Total 19,974 100.0% 22,638 100.0% 28,56 100.0% -30.1% India Source: German Federal Border Guards A comparison of Tables 5 and 6 shows that there is no systematic correlation between levels of legal immigration from a particular source country – or changes in those levels – and levels (or trends) of border apprehensions of nationals of those countries. In fact, the source country with the highest increase of border apprehensions between 2001 and 2003 (China, +191%), also had one of the highest rate of increases in legal immigration (+189%), while other countries (Afghanistan, Romania, Turkey and Yugoslavia) have seen decreases in both legal immigration levels and border apprehensions. We can now summarise the evidence: over time, at least in the case of Germany, there is no statistical evidence to support Hypothesis 1. In fact, aggregate data on the total immigration of foreigners and border apprehensions have both seen decreases since 1991. Over the same time period, detailed data on trends in legal immigration from the top 10 countries of citizenship of aliens apprehended for illegally crossing the 361 T H E S I M German border show a variety of trends but little evidence that could support the model of ‘interconnected pipes’. Table 6. Legal immigration by source country for top 10 countries of citizenship of aliens apprehended for il-legal border crossing in Germany in 2001–2003 (thousands) 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 % change 1994–2003 24.1 -30.4% 2003 34.6 27.2 19.3 16.5 18.5 20.1 25.3 21.1 24.6 Romania FR 63.5 54.4 43.1 31.4 60.1 88.2 33.3 28.6 25.8 21.8 Yugoslavia 8.0 9.2 12.3 18.2 12.5 6.0 2.0 6.6 12.7 14.7 Iraq 64.8 74.6 74.3 57.1 49.1 48.4 50.5 56.1 58.6 49.7 Turkey Afghanistan n.a. 8.6 7.0 5.5 4.8 5.9 6.4 6.9 3.9 n.a. (*) 6.7 5.6 5.0 5.3 6.8 9.3 9.4 9.2 5.2 6.3 India 17.6 18.5 16.7 15.5 16.6 17.7 21.2 23.9 24.0 20.3 Ukraine 103.4 107.4 83.4 67.2 58.6 67.7 72.2 79.0 77.4 67.3 Russia 6.4 6.5 5.3 8.2 10.5 13.5 13.2 13.5 10.5 8.1 Bulgaria 6.2 7.4 7.9 10.9 15.6 20.8 19.1 16.7 5.8 5.5 China 307.3 317.2 276.0 227.5 233.9 281.6 254.0 276.8 268.6 228.4 Total 10 Source: Migrationsbericht 2004, except (*) www.migrationinformation.org -65.7% 193.7% -23.3% n.a. 77.3% 15.7% -34.9% 28.0% 188.6% -25.7% Table 7. The total number of asylum applications and aliens apprehended for illegal border crossing in Germany, 1991−2003 (thousands) 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Asylum 256.1 438.2 322.6 127.2 167.0 149.2 151.7 154.4 138.3 117.6 118.3 applications* Border 23.6 44.9 54.3 31.1 29.6 27.0 35.2 40.2 37.8 31.5 28.6 apprehensions * includes first time and repeat applications Sources: Migrationsbericht 2004, Bundesamt für Migration und Flüchtlinge 91.5 67.8 22.6 20.0 We have seen above that there is both direct and indirect evidence on close links between illegal migration and the asylum system. We can now go one step further and compare the time series on German border apprehensions used in the preceding section with data on asylum 362 Chapter 15: Links between Legal and Illegal Migration applications in Germany27 in order to test the claim that illegal migration trends are linked to trends in asylum-seeking in European countries. As can be seen from Table 7 and Figure 5 (again converted to trend lines), the two time series have indeed moved in close parallel. We can thus formulate Hypothesis 1a, as follows: for the period under review, at least in the case of Germany, trends in illegal migration (as measured by data on border apprehensions) are positively correlated to trends in gross legal immigration as well as to trends in the number of asylum applications. Figure 5 The relationship between asylum applications and border apprehensions in Germany 1991-2003 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Asylum applications* 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Bord er apprehensions Sources: Migrationsbericht 2003, BAFL * includes first and repeat applications 27 Detailed data on asylum applications in Germany can be obtained from the German Federal Office for Migration and Refugees (BAMF), available at: http://www.bamf.de/templat e/statistik/anlagen/hauptteil_1_auflage_12.pdf (24.3.2005). It should be noted that for reasons of comparability, the figures on asylum applications in Germany presented here include both first time applications and repeat applications over the whole period. Since 1995 the BAMF (formerly the Federal Office for Refugees or BAFL) has separated the data on first time and repeat applications. 363 T H E S I M 8.2. Stocks and flows of legal and illegal migrants: Sweden and Austria in 2001 After looking at flow data on legal and illegal immigrants over time, we will now look at a cross section of immigrants according to citizenship. To do this, we use the data on ‘apprehended aliens illegally present’ provided by CIREFI (as published in the first Annual Report on Asylum and Migration of the European Commission). As already mentioned, these data do not reveal much about volumes and trends in illegal migration as they combine data on border apprehensions and in-country apprehensions. However, when broken down by citizenship, these data do reveal something about the structure of illegal migration per country of origin and destination. Hypothesis 2 is a corollary of Hypothesis 1 and suggests that more (fewer) legal immigration opportunities for a given source country will lead to less (more) illegal immigration from that source country. For lack of other data, we can only test this hypothesis by looking at actual volumes of legal immigration and actual volumes of apprehensions of aliens illegally present (or illegally crossing borders) for the 10 most important source countries of apprehended aliens. If the hypothesis is true, greater shares in legal immigration should be correlated with lesser shares of apprehended aliens. On the basis of data for Sweden in 2001, Hypothesis 2 must also be rejected. In fact, there is a strong positive correlation between the percentage of legal immigrants and the percentage of apprehended aliens coming from a particular country (R Square = 0.82). The country of citizenship accounting for the largest share of apprehensions (Iraq, 27% of all apprehensions) also accounted for the largest share of all legal immigrants among the top 10 countries of apprehension. At first sight, this is an astonishing result. However, the data can be explained by Hypothesis 3, that flows of illegal migration are largely determined by social and ethnic networks of co-ethnics already present within the country of destination. This implies that larger proportions of (legally resident) foreigners in a country should be positively correlated with larger proportions of apprehensions of illegal migrants. The Swedish data for 2001 supports this hypothesis. In fact, the correlation between stocks of legal immigrants and apprehensions is even greater (R Square = 0.89) than that between flows of legal immigrants and apprehensions. Finally, we can also ask how stocks and flows of legal immigrants are related among the citizenships that account for the majority of apprehended illegal aliens. If strong migration network effects were present, we would expect a positive relationship between these stocks and flows. There is indeed a strong correlation (R Square = 0.82). 364 Chapter 15: Links between Legal and Illegal Migration We have thus come full circle in the analysis and interpretation of statistical correlations of data on legal and illegal migration in Sweden and can now formulate Hypothesis 2a. This is that higher numbers of apprehended illegal aliens are positively correlated with higher numbers of legal immigrants due to network effects associated with the stocks of immigrants already present in the country. The second case we will look at (and for which enough data are available to merit the exercise) is Austria in 2001. To test Hypotheses 2 and 2a, we again correlate shares of legal foreign immigrants and shares of apprehended illegal aliens. However, with the Austrian data there is no statistical relationship (R Square = 0.01). This means that the hypothesis can be neither confirmed nor refuted. Likewise, when testing Hypothesis 3, there is no statistical relationship between stocks of legally resident foreigners and apprehensions in Austria (R Square = 0.03), so we can neither confirm nor refute Hypothesis 3 on this basis. However, Austrian data on apprehended illegal aliens from selected countries may provide some indication as to why there is no statistical correlation between apprehensions of aliens illegally present and either flows or stocks of legal foreigners in Austria, when these relationships are so strong in Sweden. For many citizens of the countries that have the highest number of apprehensions, Austria is only a transit country on the way to their final destination28. Many Afghan nationals, for example, simply ‘disappear’ after having lodged an asylum application; many Romanians and Ukrainians were apprehended on their way to or from Italy, where a large community of their fellow nationals is working in the informal economy. By contrast, due its geographical location, Sweden is unlikely to be only a transit place for many of the apprehended illegal aliens. At the same time, Sweden is a society with a relatively high level of social control (e.g. in the workplace) and networks of family and friends are likely to play a larger role for aliens illegally present in Sweden. This last conjecture is supported by the high correlation between stocks of legal immigrants and apprehensions in Sweden. Finally, Austrian data on legal foreign immigrants from selected countries shows that the correlation between stocks and flows of legal immigrants in Austria is strongly positive (R Square = 0.89), even among the top 10 nationalities of apprehended aliens illegally present in Austria in 2001. 28 For data supporting this observation (Jandl, 2004b). 365 T H E S I M The results of our statistical tests of the theoretical hypotheses can be summarised as follows. In no case were higher levels of legal immigration flows linked to lower levels of illegal migration flows (as measured by various apprehension data) – indeed in Sweden, the exact opposite was true. The German time-series data suggest that lower levels of legal immigration occurred in parallel to lower levels of illegal migration flows (as measured by border apprehension data) and the Swedish data also suggest a positive relationship between stocks of legally resident foreigners and illegal migration stocks and flows. Both the Austrian and the Swedish data indicate a strong link between legal migration stocks and flows among the top 10 countries of origin of apprehended illegal aliens. 9. The policy link: cooperation with countries of origin and transit Within the European Union there has been an increasing tendency for a number of years now to adopt a concerted and comprehensive approach towards both legal and illegal migration, including enhanced cooperation with countries of origin. Chapter 1 contains an account of the development of these policies and their implications for the production of statistical data. In brief, it is important here to mention that following the entry into force of the Amsterdam Treaty on 1 May 1999, which had set the stage for progressively transferring more competencies in the field of asylum and migration to the EU, a special meeting of the European Council took place in Tampere in October 1999. The Tampere Summit, which was devoted exclusively to Justice and Home Affairs matters called, inter alia, for partnerships with countries of origin. Since then, the issue has been periodically addressed at successive European Councils. The European Council of Laeken in December 2001 called for the integration of policy on migratory flows into the European Union’s foreign policy29. The European Council of Seville in June 2002 again stressed cooperation with countries of origin and transit of migration flows, including return and readmission agreements, although it stopped short of proposing sanctions against uncooperative third countries as had previously been proposed by some EU MS30. It urged, however, that any future cooperation, association or equivalent agreement with the European Union should include a clause on Presidency Conclusions on Justice and Home Affairs, Laeken, 17/12/2001. Presidency Conclusions of the Seville European Council 21 and 22 June 2002, SN 200/1/02 REV 1. 29 30 366 Chapter 15: Links between Legal and Illegal Migration joint management of migration flows and on compulsory readmission of illegal immigrants. Moreover, it called for an assessment of relations with third countries which did not cooperate in combating illegal immigration, and noted that insufficient cooperation by a country could hamper the establishment of closer relations between it and the Union. Finally, the European Council of Thessaloniki, in June 2003 again ascribed ‘top political priority to migration’ and called for the prompt conclusion of readmission agreements with key third countries of origin of illegal migrants, as well as the promotion of further cooperation with them31. Given this high level of attention paid to migration cooperation with countries of origin and transit by European policy makers, the question quickly becomes: what is the evidence on the efficiency of migration cooperation? Does migration cooperation really have a decisive influence on illegal migration flows? In other words, is there a clear link between legal and illegal migration flows at the policy level? As we will see in the following example, the answer seems to be a qualified yes if the policy is comprehensive (i.e. encompassing both legal and illegal migration flows as well as development aid and other aspects of cooperation) and well coordinated (both at the intra-ministerial level and at the international level). Perhaps the best example in the European context of positive migration cooperation between a country receiving large numbers of illegal migrants and a pertinent source and transit country is provided by the relationship between Italy and Albania, which we will now briefly review. Since at least 1997, Italian foreign policy regarding migration has been focusing on the conclusion and maintenance of workable readmission agreements with most neighbouring and nearby countries and on “active cooperation in the fight against illegal migration”32. As a reward for concluding readmission agreements, Italy has offered to sign bilateral agreements on seasonal work. The agreements include various forms of cooperation and development assistance and are part of an integrated package. 31 Presidency Conclusions – Thessaloniki, 19 and 20 June 2003, 11638/03 3, available at: http://ue.eu.int/en/Info/ eurocouncil/index.htm 32 This was already an official policy in Italy long before it was enshrined in the 2002 immigration law (known as the Bossi–Fini law). However, the 2002 law made it an explicit policy priority to reward countries which ‘actively collaborate in the fight against undocumented migration’ to Italy. The mechanisms of this ‘reward’ are closely related to the quota system (Caloff and Piperno, 2004: 55-71). 367 T H E S I M The first such agreement was concluded with Albania in 1997, and was signed together with the readmission agreement. An important part of the cooperation has been technical assistance (e.g. equipment and training for the Albanian police and the establishment of a radio network so that Albanian police forces could communicate with each other) as well as some additional development assistance33. The main component of the deal, however, was the establishment of an additional quota for immigration to Italy. This so-called ‘preferential quota’ is determined annually and is conditional on continued cooperation in the fight against illegal migration. Other countries that have concluded readmission agreements with Italy and have benefited from the ‘preferential quota’ system include Morocco, Tunisia, Somalia, Egypt, Nigeria, Moldova, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh (Table 8). Table 8. Preferential migration quotas for specific nationalities in Italy (1998–2004) 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 3,000 3,000 6,000 6,000 3,000 Albania 1,500 1,500 3,000 1,500 2,000 Morocco 1,500 1,500 3,000 3,000 2,000 Tunisia 500 3,000 – – – Others 6,000 6,000 12,000 11,000 10,000 Total Source: Ministry of Labour quoted in (Caloff and Piperno, 2004). 2003 1,000 500 600 7,400 9,500 2004 3,000 2,500 3,000 11,900 20,400 How has this specific migration cooperation influenced illegal migration flows from Albania to Italy? During the 1990s Albania became a major source and transit country for illegal migration flows to Italy (Martin et al., 2002: 103-118). Shortly after the downfall of communism in 1990, there were several large waves of unauthorised migrants from Albania to Italy (and Greece). The majority of illegal migrants arriving in Italy had used the services of smugglers, who had transported them across the Otranto channel to the Apulian coast of Italy, just 70 km across the Adriatic sea at its narrowest point. In 1997, after the chaos following the collapse of the pyramid investment scheme led to major rioting and the looting of military arsenals, another wave of mass emigration followed. Emigration was slowed when an Italian-led multinational mission (mission ‘Alba’) restored order. It 33 Linking aid to migration containment can also be seen as part of the conditionality policy. Albania is one of the major recipients of Official Development Assistance (ODA – € 600 million between 1991 and 2004). (Caloff and Piperno, 2004:63). 368 Chapter 15: Links between Legal and Illegal Migration was further reduced through joint Italian–Albanian patrols along the Albanian coast. During the war in Kosovo, accompanied by the mass flight of Kosovo Albanians to Macedonia and Albania in spring 1999, there was another wave of migrants and war refugees crossing the short distance from Albania to Italy by boat. At the end of the war in Kosovo, the war refugees in Macedonia and Albania quickly returned to their homes, but the arrival of illegal migrants by boat on Italian shores continued, albeit at a lower level. The winning strategy developed by the authorities was, in the end, that which hit at the heart of the smuggling business in Albania: the confiscation of boats34. At Italy’s instigation, a law was passed in Albania in 1997 forbidding the production, use, sale and importation of rubber dinghies (used by smugglers to board and land migrants in shallow waters). The law was not put into practice for a long time, partly because there was a lot of corruption involved in the human smuggling business. However, from 2001 onwards, the law was applied more rigorously and the destruction of vessels was completed by the summer of 2002. As can be seen from Table 9 the measures brought illegal migration from Albania to Italy almost completely to a halt. The statistics also indicate a shift of illegal migration routes to Italy by sea. By 2002/03, the main entry route for illegal arrivals by boat was via Sicily (including the island Lampedusa, close to Libya). The keen interest of the Italian government in establishing migration cooperation agreements with Libya has run into a number of difficulties and has so far not produced the desired results. Thus massive boat arrivals from Libyan shores, tragic shipwrecks and deaths at sea continued to dominate the media throughout the summer of 2004. Table 9. Apprehensions of illegal migrants arriving by boat in Italy, 1998−2003 1998 1999 28,458 46,481 Apulia 873 1,545 Calabria 8,828 1,973 Sicily 38,159 49,999 Total Source: Italian Ministry of Interior. 34 2000 18,990 5,045 2,782 26,817 2001 8,546 6,093 5,504 20,143 2002 3,372 2,122 18,225 23,719 For a detailed description of smuggling activities to Italy by boat (Monzini, 2004). 369 2003 137 177 14,017 14,331 T H E S I M Conclusion It is clear that this report could not answer all the questions surrounding the links between legal and illegal migration. Apart from the obvious fact that statistical correlations by themselves can never provide proof of causal relationships, the statistical database available is simply too weak to allow a comprehensive and detailed investigation. Nevertheless, the large amount of empirical evidence gathered and interpreted from various conceptual perspectives should give fresh impetus to the collection and analysis of more data on illegal migration. It is hoped that the indications provided throughout this report will provide some guidance in this ambitious task. The main results of the report can be summarised as follows: It is important to keep in mind that there is not one but several possible links between legal and illegal migration. Based on a definition of the relevant categories of stocks and flows of illegal migration, at least five such links are theoretically possible: there could be a link between legal and illegal migration flows but statistically these flows appear to be positively, rather than negatively, correlated; there is apparently a strong link between the legal and illegal residence status (stocks) of migrants; there might be a link between legally (or illegally) resident migrant populations and flows of illegal migrants; there might be a link between stocks of illegal migrants in different countries (for example, when migrants move to another country in order to participate in a regularisation programme); there is the possibility of a link between (increased or decreased) legal or illegal migration possibilities to one country and illegal migration flows to another country. Contrary to the impression conveyed by much of the media, the data available do not support the argument that illegal migration flows have been constantly rising over the past decade but, in fact, indicate large rises and falls. There was an early peak of border apprehensions in the early 1990s (for those countries where these data are available), followed by some decreases in the mid-1990s and a second peak in the late 1990s (or, in some countries, in the early 21st century). Since then, most countries have reported significant decreases in the numbers of border apprehensions over the last few years. However there are also some exceptions to these trends. There is no statistical evidence supporting the claim that legal and illegal migration flows are inversely related (the so-called ‘model of interconnected pipes’). In fact, an examination of German time-series data indicates a 370 Chapter 15: Links between Legal and Illegal Migration positive relationship between the two flows, as both have been broadly decreasing since the early 1990s. Likewise, a cross-sectional analysis of Swedish data indicates a positive relationship between illegal migration and legal migration stocks, indicating the importance of migration networks in illegal migration processes. There is also a close statistical correlation between levels and trends of border apprehensions and asylum applications in Germany. Finally, a case study demonstrates that the ‘policy link’ between legal and illegal migration can be highly effective. In contrast to the assumed ‘automatic linkages’ between legal and illegal migration flows, the focus of the case study is on the prevention of illegal migration through positive migration cooperation (including the provision of a ‘preferential quota’ for legal migrants conditional on continued cooperation in the fight against illegal migration). It has been shown that this form of positive cooperation has brought the arrival of illegal migrants by boat from Albania on the coast of Apulia in Italy to an almost complete halt. 371 Conclusion Improving the quality of measurement of migration and international protection in the European Union Michel Poulain and Ann Singleton Since the Tampere Council meeting in 1999, the need for better statistics to support the development of European policy on migration and international protection has been clearly emphasised in official EU documents. During the intervening period, DG JLS and Eurostat have led the Commission’s work on developing a proposal for an EU Regulation on data collection in the field of migration and international protection. This proposal was adopted in September 2005 by the European Commission and is now under discussion in the Council of the European Union and the European Parliament. Once agreed under the co-decision procedure, the EU Regulation will require all EU MS to produce annually, in some cases monthly, a full set of statistics on international migration and international protection. It will explicitly request reliable figures and metadata in order to make clear how far the data provided may be considered comparable at EU level. Many problems will remain for some time to come. Certain statistical data on international migration and asylum are unavailable in all EU MS. Available data are often unreliable, mainly due to under-coverage. Data that may be considered reliable are not necessarily comparable at EU level, because of the variety of data sources, definitions and concepts used. Despite these problems, a key conclusion of all the discussions during national meetings and of all investigations undertaken in the THESIM project appears to be that the implementation of the EU Regulation is feasible. This book, which is an essential product of the THESIM project, provides a complete overview of the situation regarding data collection in each of the EU MS. It identifies obstacles to the implementation of the EU Regulation and provides some insights to help countries meet the requirements of providing reliable and comparable data to Eurostat. It is recommended that the conclusions and recommendations below be borne in mind during the finalisation of the forthcoming implementing measures for the EU Regulation. T H E S I M Use of complementary sources to improve data reliability First, efforts should not only be focused on the availability of data. It would be nonsense to use the data on a comparative base for any purpose, including for policy support, without enough information to prove that they are sufficiently reliable. The use of different and complementary data sources is recommended. Improving data reliability Each country should evaluate the reliability of the data extracted from each source, in order to provide the best estimate of the requested statistical figures. Complementary data sources may be used, depending on the specific population groups e.g. nationals, other EU citizens, third-country nationals with permanent or temporary residence permits, refugees and persons with other protection status, asylum seekers and for estimates of undocumented migrants. The requested metadata should include complete information on each data source used, including the underlying laws, the practical administrative procedures involved, the level of coverage and the degree of accordance with EU-recommended definitions and concepts. Improving population stock figures As far as figures on the population stock by country of citizenship or country of birth are concerned, the key point is the identification of the country of usual residence for two groups of persons: nationals living temporarily abroad and non-nationals living temporarily in the country. For these groups of persons the administrative or legal country of residence may be different from the country of usual residence and the key point is to clearly identify international immigrants and emigrants in order to include or exclude them from the population stock. The requested figures on the stock of population by citizenship should be based on the country of citizenship and not on (ethnic) nationality or any other concept used to characterise the population with foreign background. To enumerate the population stock by country of birth, clear instructions are needed on how to define this country of birth in case the border has changed over time. Meeting the definition of an international migrant For statistics on international migration flows, the EU recommended definition of an international migrant should be applied as precisely as 374 Conclusion possible. This is based on the twelve months intended or actual duration of stay criterion. Data based on intended duration of stay should be considered preliminary data, whatever the time criterion used for duration or in the absence of such a time criterion. Where the follow-up of migrants is possible through population or aliens registers, these data should be replaced one year later with final data based on the actual ex post duration of stay and the one-year criterion. For nationals living abroad temporarily, efforts should be made in all EU MS to ensure that all emigrations for one year or more are registered. The declaration procedure should be simple and easy to do and incentives should be found to improve the coverage. (Registration in consulates abroad may be an effective way to improve this situation). For third-country nationals needing a residence permit, the residence permit database may be a good alternative source of international migration flow data. More specifically, all persons who have been granted a residence permit for at least one year, as well as those whose temporary permits have been renewed so that the total authorised duration of stay surpasses one year, should be counted as immigrants. If the total duration of authorised stay is at least one year and renewal has not been requested, the person should be included in the immigration flow of the previous year and counted as an international emigrant at the end of the validity of the permit. Improving the comparability of residence permit data The implementation measures should also specify that statistics on residence permits refer only to first issue permits corresponding to immigration into the country. Therefore first permits issued for a new reason without immigration (e.g. a residence permit for study being changed for a residence permit for family reunion) should be counted separately. Only permits delivered to non-nationals effectively residing (or having immigrated) in the country should be counted. Residence permits issued to a person who is abroad and who does not subsequently immigrate into the country should be excluded. In all cases the statistics should refer to the number of persons and not to the number of cases or documents. Improving acquisition of citizenship data As far as acquisitions of citizenship are concerned, only those persons concerned who live in the country should be counted, excluding persons granted citizenship although living abroad. Similarly, persons receiving citizenship at birth should not be included in the statistics on acquisition of citizenship. Given the wide diversity of procedural types of change of 375 T H E S I M citizenship, metadata should clearly specify the procedures covered and the possible problems of under-coverage, while special attention should be devoted to including all types of acquisition of citizenship. The implementation measures should also foresee the possibility of asking for disaggregation by type of acquisition, sex and/or age in order to be able to compare similar categories of acquisition. From a demographer’s point of view (although this point is not included in the EU Regulation) statistics on renunciation or loss of citizenship should also be collected, in order to ensure the consistency of stock and flow statistics for both the national and non-national populations. Improving asylum statistics The situation regarding data collection on asylum is better than that for migration flows and residence permits. However some improvements should occur when implementing the EU Regulation. Asylum applications should be defined as lodged applications (including those refused at the border and/or those refused in the preliminary, accelerated or admissibility procedure). Numbers included should not be limited to processed applications only. Only first (new) applications should be counted. Repeat applications should be seen as prolongations of first applications and registered as such. The applications under consideration should distinguish between pending in preliminary procedure, pending first instance in normal procedure, pending second instance in normal procedure and, if applicable, pending third instance in normal procedure. Subsidiary protection is used as an umbrella term for all kinds of asylum decisions that result in a temporary leave to remain in the host country, including humanitarian grounds, protection status, non-refoulement, etc. However, some countries may label such decisions as negative. For the sake of international comparability, more precise classification is needed in line with EU legislation on international protection. Temporary protection should be considered separately from asylum and statistics on temporary protection should not be subsumed under those on asylum. In practice, the concept of return is defined and named in various ways, e.g. voluntarily return, forced removal, deportation, effected expulsion, supervised departure, etc. Because this variety easily leads to confusion it is recommended that a harmonised typology be developed for return data. Furthermore, the status of disappeared rejected asylum applicants should be clear. They should not be considered as returned but should be distinguished separately. As far as migration flow statistics are concerned, all asylum seekers with pending requests should be counted as international immigrants after one year of stay in the country, as 376 Conclusion requested by the EU and UN recommendations. Those asylum seekers considered as international immigrants should also be counted as international emigrants if a final negative decision has been taken on their request and no temporary protection status has been granted. Finally, special attention should be paid to promoting the collection of cohort-based asylum data as this is the best way to support EU policy in the field of asylum and protection. The limited possibilities of improving data on the implementation of enforcement measures For the so-called CIREFI data collection on enforcement measures against illegal immigration, the situation is less favourable concerning the implementation of the EU Regulation. Their reliability and comparability are difficult to evaluate. In fact data on refusals of entry to any of the EU MS should at least provide the reasons for such refusals, while data on apprehensions of illegal migrants should be disaggregated at least according to reason for apprehension, border or in-country apprehension, nonnationals or nationals (e.g. for trafficking purposes), directions of movement (apprehension upon entering or leaving the territory), border section and direction (to/from which country). Data on removed aliens should at least provide categories of removed aliens and type of removal (e.g. expulsion, deportation order, monitored departure, etc.). In conclusion, although some obstacles exist, the investigations carried out under the THESIM project and developed in this book prove that the EU Regulation may be implemented in most of the twenty-five EU MS within a reasonable timescale. In order to facilitate the implementation of the EU Regulation, a task force should be created at national level in each EU MS, including all potential data providers under the collaborative responsibility of both the European Migration Network NCP and the NSI. In most EU MS a collaborative effort has already been launched. This initiative should be strongly encouraged in the future. The participation of representatives of the NCPs in the different meetings organised by DG JLS in Brussels and of the NSIs in the annual working parties organised by Eurostat in Luxembourg will not be sufficient for those countries in which a real improvement in the data-collection system is required to meet the EU Regulation. In these cases, bilateral task forces may also be organised in order to improve the comparability of the relevant non-national population stock and migration flow data between a pair of EU MS. This would also encourage the bilateral exchange of data between countries. Finally, in anticipation of future statistical needs on the integration of third-country nationals residing in the 377 T H E S I M EU MS, the implementation measures for the EU Regulation should devote particular attention to hitherto unexploited data sources on the socioeconomic characteristics of migrants. The availability of comparable statistics in the EU MS on indicators of integration should also be identified and checked, particularly regarding the integration into the labour market of non-EU citizens residing in the EU MS. 378 Country Reports T H E S I M These twenty-five country reports present the situation in each country, largely as captured at the time of national meetings held between September 2004 and June 2005, with some revisions at the time of writing in 2005. The structure and content of the reports builds on that developed in earlier work on inventories of data definitions, sources, and collection systems (Poulain, Debuisson and Eggerickx, 1990; Salt, Singleton and Hogarth, 1994; Poulain, 1997; Salt and Singleton, 1995; Singleton and Albiser, 2002). The information contained in each of the following reports was compiled as the result of a rigorous and thorough exercise at national level. Initially, a preliminary questionnaire was circulated by the THESIM team. Information was collected from a wide range of sources, from all the main data providers and responsible officials in all relevant ministries. Responses were followed up by email, phone and letter and draft country reports were prepared and circulated. Then twenty-five country meetings were held to examine the draft reports. The authors and editors would like to thank the National Contact Points of the European Migration Network and the National Statistical Institute who organised the meetings in each country, bringing together, in some cases for the first time, the responsible officials from all relevant ministries. The detailed content of each national report was discussed and the draft reports were subsequently revised. Some additional information has been added to the country reports from the official websites of national ministries and NSI. In such a rapidly changing field it is inevitable that some information will already have been overtaken by events and that changes in policy and legislation at national and EU level will result in changes to administrative practices, data-collection systems and in data definitions and categories. The authors hope, nonetheless, that these reports will be of practical use to data suppliers and users for some time to come. We apologise for any misunderstandings of the reality of the situation in each country. Any reader who wishes to correct or update the information contained in the reports is invited to write to Michel Poulain at [email protected]. 380 Country Report Belgium Nicolas Perrin and Michel Poulain A. Administrative sources and procedures A.1. Registration of the resident population The database for recording information on the population is the Registre national (in French, RN), Rijksregister (in Dutch) or National Register (in German and English). The Ministry of the Interior is responsible for maintaining this centralised registration system. At the local level, municipalities are responsible for the registration of their inhabitants. The municipal population registers serve to update the RN and the local municipal register consists of mirror copies of the RN. A unique PIN is attributed to all inhabitants either at birth or at immigration. For Belgian citizens, the main recorded variables are: name, surname(s), sex, date and place of birth, address of residence, matrimonial status, PIN, profession, composition of the household, place and date of death. Additionally, the following information are requested for foreigners: Immigration Service Number, citizenship, refugee status, country and place of origin (place of residence before immigration), limited duration of stay, type, number and validity period of the work permit or professional card, return right, information on visa, EU citizen inscription on voting lists, date of recognition as a refugee. For asylum seekers, some additional variables are collected: family members dependant on the asylum seeker concerned, stage of the asylum procedure, place of the Public Centre for Social Assistance in charge of the asylum seeker. The municipal population register contains more information than the centralised database RN. Most of the municipalities use the possibility to add some variables such as the name and PIN of the parents but the list of possible additional information is limited and the data can only be used by local authorities where the person concerned is living. Consulates or embassies are in charge of the registration of Belgian citizens living abroad within a subset of the RN named the ‘Consular Population Register’. T H E S I M Every person having his/her usual residence in the country will be registered if: the person resides legally in the country; for more than three months; and has declared his/her arrival. These conditions exclude two important types of populations: short-term migrants and persons living irregularly in Belgium. The coverage of the register may be questioned concerning populations submitted to a less constraining regulation as are the European citizens. Moreover, some specific categories, the so-called ‘privileged foreigners’ are excluded from the usual registration and only ‘mentioned’ in a special subset of the RN at their request: diplomats and assimilated persons, agents of European institutions and their families, civil servants and soldiers from SHAPE and NATO. Doing so they can benefit from every advantage linked to the registration (residence certificates, certificates of household composition and so on). Their registration is done directly by their institutions to the Belgian Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Thereafter the Ministry transfers the information to the municipalities in order to update the population registers and ‘mention’ the employees of these institutions in the RN. From 1st February 1995, asylum seekers have no longer been included in traditional population registers. They are registered by municipalities in a specific register called Registre d’Attente (Waiting Register), a simple subset of the RN. The structure of the Waiting Register is similar and some specific information is simply additionally recorded. The law specifies clearly that persons registered in this register must not be taken into account in the determination of the legal population of municipalities. A.2. Registration of international migrations The municipality of residence for somebody moving from abroad to Belgium is determined on the same basis as for somebody moving from another municipality within Belgium. Both immigrations and emigrations should be recorded in the RN for all Belgian citizens and aliens except for some cases detailed hereafter. Belgian citizens who had their previous residence abroad and enter the territory of Belgium will be registered in the RN if they intend to stay more than three months and declare their return. A foreigner must declare his/her arrival to the municipality of residence within eight days. However this foreigner will be registered as immigrant in the RN only if he/she intends to stay more than three months in the country. All foreigners, including EEA citizens, must have a valid residence permit in order to stay more than three 382 Country Report: Belgium months. The immigration of asylum seekers may only be captured through their registration in the Waiting Register as they are not considered as part of the legal population. The immigration form for notifying international immigration is the same as for internal migration. According the administrative rules the police will control the establishment of the new place of residence within eight days. If somebody is already registered at the same address, this person must be contacted for acceptance or clarification. If this former resident is still living at this place and accepts the newcomer, the composition of the household is updated. If this former resident does not live any longer in this registered address, an ex-officio deregistration should take place after six months of absence. The municipality must, within twenty days of the declaration of arrival, notify the registration of the immigrant or the refusal. The date of immigration is this date of registration in the RN and the immigrant will be requested to go to the municipality to get all residence permit documents. An individual (Belgian citizen or foreigner) who intends to live abroad for more than three months has to self-declare this emigration. Thereafter he/she is considered as an emigrant and is no longer included in the legal population. However a person may keep his/her place of residence in Belgium if he or she has a stronger connection to Belgium than to his or her new country of residence (for example: long travels for reasons linked with studies, business or health; Belgian soldiers stationed abroad; diplomats and so on). In practice, the declaration of emigration is often omitted. Firstly, the emigrant does not benefit directly from this formality. Furthermore certain persons may risk or fear losing some advantages and rights (such as those linked to pensions or health insurance). The departures of foreigners with temporary residence permits are particularly under-reported. Foreigners are automatically deregistered eight days after the end of validity of their stay permit. In order to be registered abroad in the ‘consular population register’, Belgian citizens must be deregistered from their municipality of origin in Belgium. A.3. Registration of Aliens The main database for registration of residence permits and aliens is the database of the Immigration Service. This database includes all administrative activities related to the presence of aliens in Belgium: applications and decisions concerning visas, asylum procedure, residence permits, settlement, acquisitions of the Belgian citizenship, foreign students... It includes information on work permits, apprehended, removed and refused aliens... but these data collections are still deficient. This 383 T H E S I M database is linked to the RN as information of both systems is exchanged and checked daily. As a consequence, it enables the identification of all holders of a valid residence permit. Some irregular/illegal aliens are only registered within the database of the Immigration Service (following an apprehension…) as well as short-term migrants (less than three months) who require a visa to enter the country but are not registered in the RN. Both groups can easily be identified and no discrepancy should exist between the RN and the database of the Immigration Service. To stay more than three months in Belgium, a foreigner has to get a visa from a diplomatic mission abroad. Some exceptions exist, allowing submitting the request for an authorisation to stay to the municipality of residence in Belgium. In all cases these foreigners have to declare their arrival to his municipality of residence in order to be registered in the RN and to receive all documents proving the authorisation to stay in the country. The law stipulates the following types of residence permits for those staying three months or more in Belgium: Document de séjour: This residence permit concerns foreigners that receive a provisory authorisation to stay in the country and therefore are issued an attestation d’immatriculation (attestation of registration). Titre de séjour: This residence permit concerns foreigners that receive a fixed-term authorisation to stay in the country and therefore are issued a Certificat d’Inscription au Registre des Etrangers (C.I.R.E Certificate of Registration in the Aliens Register1). Titre d’établissement: This residence permit concerns foreigners that receive a permanent settlement permit and therefore are issued a carte d’identité d’étranger (ID card for foreigner) or a carte de séjour de ressortissant de la C.E.E. (Residence card for EU citizen) in case of EU citizens. The attestation of registration is a document attesting a provisional authorisation to stay during the period of examination of certain requests (family reunification, former Belgian citizens, settlement or asylum). It is usually valid for one year but may be limited to a shorter period. The C.I.R.E. is the document issued to aliens who are admitted or authorised to stay three months or more in the country. It is usually valid for one year. The C.I.R.E. may be extended yearly and renewed after three years of extension. 1 The Aliens Register is a subset of the RN including all foreigners living in the country with a C.I.R.E. (termporary residence permit). 384 Country Report: Belgium The ID card for foreigner and the residence card for EU citizens are issued to aliens who are authorised to settle. Even if the authorisation of settlement is indefinite, the document is only valid for five years. On a general basis after staying five years with a C.I.R.E a foreigner may be granted a settlement permit. EU immigrants intending to stay in Belgium for more than one year receive an attestation of registration that is valid for the first five months. After five months, if their application for settlement is accepted, they receive a residence card for EEC citizens. EU immigrants intending to stay in Belgium for more than three months, but less than one year, receive only an attestation of registration that is valid for the period of their stay. An alien leaving definitively Belgium must give back all documents related to the authorisation to stay in the country. A.4. Registration of asylum The main database on asylum is the Waiting Register, which is a subset of the RN operated by the different authorities in charge of the asylum procedure: Office des Etrangers (Immigration Service), Commissariat Général aux Réfugiés et aux Apatrides (Commissioner General for Refugees and Stateless Persons), Commission Permanente de Recours des Réfugiés (Permanent Appeal Commission for Refugees) and Conseil d’Etat (Council of State). All asylum applicants are included in the Waiting Register with information on all related decisions. After being granting asylum all refugees are registered on the RN and may be identified as refugee in this system through a specific codification of their citizenship. According to the Aliens Act, asylum can be requested at the border, in which case the applicant will be detained in a closed centre, as long as the application is declared as being admissible. Asylum can also be requested on the territory (within eight working days), in which case the applicant will be allocated to an open centre or another form of residence with social support. The asylum procedure consists of two consecutive phases: Preliminary procedure - investigation on the admissibility of the request, by the Immigration Service; Normal procedure - investigation on the merit of the request, by the Commissioner General for Refugees and Stateless Persons. A request for asylum may be refused in the preliminary procedure in case another country is considered to be responsible for the examination of the application (based on the Dublin Convention). Furthermore, the application may be rejected when it is judged as manifestly unfounded (including safe country of origin and safe third country). 385 T H E S I M In the normal procedure the following outcomes are possible: the applicant is recognised as a refugee on the basis of the Geneva Convention; the applicant is granted a residence permit on humanitarian grounds; the application is rejected and the applicant is ordered to leave the country. In both cases of a positive decision, the applicant will receive a C.I.R.E. with a validity of one year and renewable. After five years a permanent settlement permit will granted. Against a decision of inadmissibility, an appeal can be lodged at the Commissioner General for Refugees and Stateless Persons, within one to three working days. A further appeal is possible at the Council of State. Against a decision of non-recognition as a refugee, an appeal can be lodged at the Permanent Appeal Commission for Refugees, within fifteen working days. A further appeal (to quash the decision of the Permanent Appeal Commission for Refugees) is possible at the Council of State within thirty days. Apart from the asylum procedure, temporary protection for a specified period of time may be granted to a group of aliens in case of a mass influx of displaced persons. A reform of the system is expected to come into force soon in order to create subsidiary procedure following the EU directive and to limit the implication of the Council of State (this institution is overburdened by appeals). A.5. Registration of acquisition of citizenship All types of acquisitions of citizenship are recorded by Immigration Service in the RN. The Immigration Service could produce statistics on applications, successful and unsuccessful procedures, but, unfortunately, it does not. The RN allows only for the production of statistics on successful procedures. There are two main types of procedures to obtain Belgian citizenship: acquisition or attribution of citizenship. The difference relies on the fact that acquisition requires the expression of the will of the person whereas attribution does not (for example, a child may obtain Belgian citizenship by attribution, without expressing their will). Four types of attribution of the Belgian citizenship exist: because of the citizenship of the father or mother; because of an adoption; 386 Country Report: Belgium because of birth in Belgium; - for children who may become stateless; - for children whose at least one parent was born in Belgium; - for children up to the age of twelve, if their parents have been living in Belgium for ten years; by collective effect of an acquisition for children up to the age of eighteen, if one parent obtains the Belgian citizenship. Five types of acquisition of citizenship exist: by declaration (if a foreigner of age was born and has always been living in Belgium; if one parent of a foreign of age acquired the Belgian citizenship; after seven years of residence, if the foreign has an unlimited residence permit); by option (if a foreigner of age was born in Belgium and has been living in Belgium between fourteen and eighteen, or for nine years, (not having been always living in Belgium if a foreigner of age has been living in Belgium for one year up to the age of six and has been living in Belgium between fourteen and eighteen, or for nine years...); by the foreign spouse of a Belgian citizen (if the couple has been living together for three years, six months after the marriage; by possession d’état de Belge (if a foreigner has been considered as a Belgian citizen for ten years because of an administrative error); by naturalisation (after three years of legal residence in the general case; after two years of legal residence for refugees). Dual citizenship is allowed for foreigners acquiring Belgian citizenship. B. Producing statistics requested by the EU Regulation B.1. Statistics on the population with usual residence in the country Statistics Belgium (more precisely named SPF Économie - Direction générale Statistique et Information économique) is responsible for producing statistics on the resident population. It receives once a year an electronic file with data on the legal population of Belgium extracted from the RN. Published data are extracted as for 1st January but the file is compiled only at the end of February for events that were registered with some delay in January and February. The statistical definition of the resident population is related to the general rules for the registration of residents and linked to the determination 387 T H E S I M of the municipality of residence in the RN. Accordingly all individuals whose municipality of residence is registered in the RN are considered among the usual population of Belgium. Therefore the population statistics reflects the de jure permanent population. It includes Belgian citizens residing temporarily abroad and still registered in the RN but excludes asylum seekers who are registered in the Waiting Register. An asylum seeker is counted in the legal resident population only when he/she is recognised as a refugee and when his/her file is transferred from the Waiting Register to the main part of the RN. Foreigners attached to foreign embassies, trade missions and consulates, as well as their family members and personal staff may be registered in the RN on personal request and are therefore counted among the resident population. On the other hand, the Belgian staff of Belgian embassies and trade missions abroad and persons serving abroad are still counted among the legal resident population (these Belgian citizens keep their administrative place of residence in Belgium during the mission). Data are published annually and they refer to 1st January. All variables requested by the EU Regulation are available. However the rules of registration in the RN are applied without imposing an additional time criterion and therefore some short-term immigrants staying in the country less than one year are included. All asylum seekers are excluded, even if their stay exceeds one year. The last classic population census was carried out on 1st March 1991. On st 1 October 2001, a so-called ‘General Socio-Economic Survey’ was held. Statistics Belgium was responsible for organising both. The 2001 operation can neither be considered as a classic census nor as a fully register-based census. During the 2001 survey, a complete questionnaire was sent by mail to all persons registered in the RN, but no field enumeration was organised to update the RN. The concept of mixed operation could be used to qualify the 2001 operation and the results are no longer used to determine the legal population of Belgium. There are plans to base the future census on administrative registers but new registers still have to be developed for this purpose. B.2 Statistics on international migrations Statistics Belgium is responsible for producing statistics on international migration flows. The source for international migration statistics is the RN. Statistics Belgium receives an electronic file each week, containing all demographic events including registered international immigrations and emigrations. Statistics Belgium is only allowed to publish data related to the 388 Country Report: Belgium date of events and the following migrant characteristics: citizenship, municipality of residence in Belgium, sex, date of birth, matrimonial status and household composition. For privacy or sensitivity reasons the law does not allow Statistics Belgium to produce tables on immigrants by country of origin. The country of destination of emigrants is available but most emigrants do not declare their emigration and are therefore ex officio deregistered and the country of destination is unknown. Asylum seekers are taken into account neither in immigration nor in emigration flows. International migration data refer to the legal resident population of the country. An international migration event is defined as a change of the municipality of residence registered by the RN from or to abroad. Apart from asylum seekers, all citizens and non-citizens are considered on the same basis. No additional time criterion is introduced for the compilation of migration statistics, so the requirements of the EU Regulation are not yet met. All variables requested by the EU Regulation are available apart from the ‘country of previous/next residence’ as explained above. Figures on total immigration presented in various publications and databases are consistent. There are some discrepancies between data on total emigration. These discrepancies have been identified to be due to the different definitions of emigrations (including or not the ex officio deregistrations related to non self-declared emigrations). B.3. Statistics on residence permits The Immigration Service is responsible for producing statistics on residence permits. The main source is the database of the Immigration Service. There is no special statistical definition or method of selection. Data on residence permits are produced on an irregular basis for internal use of the Ministry. Limited annual data on issued residence permits have been provided to international users annually starting from 2001. The Immigration Service can provide on request all data on valid permits, issued permits or withdrawals of permits requested by the EU Regulation but these data are not currently published. B.4. Statistics on asylum seekers Several bodies produce asylum statistics: the Immigration Service, the Commissioner General for Refugees and Stateless Persons and the Permanent Appeal Commission for Refugees. 389 T H E S I M Data are usually published annually and monthly data are published or available on request. Most of indicators required by the EU Regulation are available (published or available on request). The only exception concerns the withdrawals of other grants to stay. There is still no formal subsidiary protection, even if some procedures allow for the grant of a stay permit on humanitarian grounds (a formal subsidiary protection will be created in the near future). The numbers of applicants as they appear in the different international databases are generally consistent. Asylum seekers who are either granted asylum or are allowed to stay in Belgium for another reason receive a temporary residence permit for at least one year (C.I.R.E.). They are not included in immigration statistics but in a special category called ‘changes of register’ (e.g. from the Wainting Register to the main part of the RN). Although this category is used to update the population stocks, it is not taken into account in the compilation of immigration statistics. Asylum seekers who leave the country after a negative asylum decision or before a decision has been taken are included in neither in immigration nor in emigration statistics. B.5. Statistics on acquisitions of citizenship Statistics Belgium publishes annual statistics on acquisition of citizenship. It receives information about all changes of citizenship from the RN. All persons receiving Belgian citizenship are included, whatever the motive and the procedure of acquisition, unless they do not reside in Belgium at the date of naturalisation. All variables requested by the EU Regulation are available but the total numbers of acquisitions in the different international databases are inconsistent. Ackowledgements Particular thanks are due to Alain Schmitz, responsible of the Belgian EMN-NCP, who coordinated the preparation of several THESIM meetings held in Brussels in 2004 and 2005, as well as the collection of comments and corrections to this country report. 390 Country Report Czech Republic Dorota Kupiszewska and Beata Nowok A. Administrative sources and procedures A.1. Registration of the resident population In the Czech Republic the population is recorded in the Central Population Register (Informační systém evidence obyvatel, ISEO), under the responsibility of the Administrative Activities Department of the Ministry of the Interior. The territory of the Czech Republic is divided into 6249 municipalities (obec), and 205 municipalities (and 22 Prague’s city districts) with extended competence (obec s rozšířenou působností). The municipalities keep their own population registers in electronic or paper form but these include only Czech citizens. All information from municipalities is sent in paper form to the second level - municipalities with extended competence. The municipalities with extended competence have on-line access to the ISEO and enter the data. Usually copies of the ISEO data (a set of changes concerning a concrete municipality) are sent back off-line (on paper or a CD) from the second level to the municipalities. Data on foreigners are transferred electronically (using the internal net of the Ministry of the Interior) to the ISEO from the Aliens Information System every month. Each person registered in the ISEO is attributed a Birth Certificate Number. It is forbidden by law to store in the ISEO any other information than that specifically listed in the Act on the Population Register and Birth Certificate Numbers. In particular ethnic nationality cannot be stored. As at 2005, in the case of international migration there is no information about the country of previous/next residence in the ISEO, although this is expected to be introduced in 2006 after approval of law amendments put forward by the Czech Statistical Office (CSO). The following population categories are included in the ISEO: Czech citizens, even those living abroad, unless they have asked to terminate their permanent residence in the Czech Republic; T H E S I M foreigners (EU and non-EU citizens) with a permanent residence permit; non-EU citizens with a long-term residence visa for over 90 days; non-EU citizens with a long-term residence permit; EU citizens with a temporary residence permit; refugee status holders. Foreigners with a visa for up to 90 days, asylum-seekers and foreign diplomats are not recorded in the register. Currently, a person may have only one place of residence in the Czech Republic. In the case of Czech citizens it is called the permanent place of residence. Official registration of a temporary place of residence alongside a permanent place of residence was stopped in the first half of the nineties. A.2. Registration of international migrations All Czech citizens who want to leave the Czech Republic to live abroad and therefore want to give up their permanent residence in the country have to report their departure at the local municipality. In fact, only a few citizens decide to give up their permanent residence in the Czech Republic. When terminating their permanent residence they have to fill in the administrative form ‘Notification of deregistration’ and hand in their Czech citizen’s ID card. If Czech citizens go abroad for a temporary stay they do not have to report their departure. However, such a possibility is provided for in the law and some real advantages of reporting exist, concerning payments connected with health and social insurance. When persons do not report their departure they have to prove their absence due to a stay abroad to an insurance company, in order to avoid settling back insurance premiums plus a fine for the time spent abroad. Czech citizens arriving from abroad in order to settle in the Czech Republic have to register their permanent residence in the municipal office. They fill in the registration form for permanent residence (Notification of registration). Czech citizens coming for a temporary stay in the Czech Republic have to register their stay and fill in the registration form (Notification of registration) only if they do not have a permanent residence in the country. As foreigners are not included in the local population registers, their immigrations and emigrations are not concerned by these rules. All administrative procedures for registration and deregistration in the ISEO are carried out through the Aliens Information System, as presented hereafter. 392 Country Report: Czech Republic A.3. Registration of Aliens The Directorate of Alien and Border Police (sometimes called ‘Immigration Police’ or ‘Alien Police’) within the Ministry of the Interior is responsible for the Aliens Information System (Cizinecký informační systém, CIS). The CIS is a central database that contains information regarding, among others, visas, residence permits, asylum requests and changes of address of foreigners. The CIS covers non-EU nationals residing in the Czech Republic, based on a residence visa or a residence permit (refugees are included) and EU nationals with an appropriate residence permit. Asylum seekers are excluded. The Aliens Law provides the following types of residence visas and permits: temporary; short-term residence visa for up to 90 days; long-term residence visa for over 90 days - the period for which the visa is valid is fixed according to the period of time needed for fulfilling the purpose of residence and shall not exceed one year; stay in the country based on residence visas for over 90 days cannot exceed one year; long-term residence permit – valid up to one year and granted to foreigners after one year stay in the Czech Republic based on longterm residence visas, renewable repeatedly; temporary residence permit – issued to EU citizens if they intend to stay in the Czech Republic for more than three months. It is granted for up to five years but the validity of the permit may be repeatedly extended; permanent. Following ten years of continuous stay on a long-term residence permit, any foreigner may apply for a permanent residence permit. EU nationals may apply for one after three years of uninterrupted stay. If a foreigner intends to live with a foreigner who has already been granted a permanent residence permit (family reunification purpose), he/she could obtain a residence permit after at least eight years in the Czech Republic. Permanent residence permits not conditional on preceding continuous stay are issued mainly on humanitarian ground or for family purposes (to close relatives of Czech citizens or refugees). Non-EU citizens are registered for the first time when they submit an application for a visa or a residence permit. Foreigners granted a short-term or long-term residence visa are required to report the beginning, the place 393 T H E S I M and the expected duration of stay to the district office of the Alien Police (okres level1) within three days upon entering the Czech Republic. EU citizens authorised to reside in the Czech Republic without a visa (up to 90 days) are obliged to register within 30 days upon arriving, provided that they intend to stay more than 30 days. If EU-citizens intend to stay more than three months they have to apply for a temporary residence permit. The information about foreigners with long-term visas or with permits is sent to the ISEO. Foreigners with a temporary residence visa or permit do not have to report when leaving the country. At the end of the validity of the permit they are considered to have left the country and this information is transferred to the ISEO. Foreigners with a permanent residence permit should report to the district office of the Alien Police if they want to leave the Czech Republic to live permanently abroad. A.4. Registration of asylum Registration of asylum data takes place in the Database on asylumseekers and refugees (Databáze žadatelů o azyl a azylantů), under the responsibility of the Department of Asylum and Migration Policies (OAMP) of the Ministry of the Interior. This database contains information on the asylum seekers, the refugees and also on the history of their asylum procedures. The course of the asylum procedure is regulated by the Asylum Act. The start of the procedure is conditional on the foreigner’s statement made on the territory of the Czech Republic, apparently showing the foreigner’s intention to request asylum. The statement can be made at a border crossing, reception centre, the Department of Alien and Border Police when a person arrives voluntarily, a detention centre for foreigners, health establishment during hospitalisation, or prison. The foreigner’s duty is to make an appearance in the reception centre within 24 hours of making a statement to submit the application for asylum. The only exception is a situation when he/she cannot arrive due to objective reasons (prison, hospitalisation). Within 90 days following the commencement of the procedure, the Department of Asylum and Migration Policies makes its first instance decision on asylum application. An extension of that term can be made by the Ministry of the Interior in the case of impossibility of decision due to the character of the particular case. In the case of an evidently illegitimate 1 There are 77 district (okres) offices of the Alien Police in the Czech Republic. 394 Country Report: Czech Republic application an accelerated procedure is used. In such a case it is necessary to decide within 30 days following the commencement of the asylum procedure. The normal procedures may result in the following outcomes: A positive decision: this applies to applicants who are granted Convention status. Asylum status could also be granted due to family reunification or to humanitarian reason. Refugees have the right of permanent residence in the Czech Republic, almost the same status as Czech citizens with two exceptions (the right to vote and the obligation of military service); A negative decision with ‘obstacles to travel out’: (e.g. because of the situation in the country of origin) - the asylum seeker has the right to reside in the Czech Republic on a temporary basis till the situation in the particular country is judged satisfactory; A negative decision without obstacles to leave: the applicant is obliged to leave the country. A departure decree is given to him/her (by Alien and Border Police) with a term to leave the territory of the Czech Republic marked on it. Only voluntary returns of unsuccessful asylum seekers are applied (no forced returns). Because the disappearance rate of asylum seekers is very high in the Czech Republic, many procedures are terminated without any assessment of the claim (asylum procedure is suspended). Apart from the asylum procedure there is a possibility to grant temporary protection for a specified period of time to a group of aliens in case of a mass influx of displaced persons, based on a decision of the EU Council. The applicants can lodge an appeal with the relevant Regional Court against the first instance decision of the Ministry of the Interior decision. An appeal lodged has a suspensive effect. This step ensures that the asylum seeker can be provided with an independent review of the administrative decision. The court reviews the decision for legality – it does not decide on the asylum matter. Hence, it can either confirm the decision of the administrative body or abolish it and refer the case to a new procedure. A cessation complaint is an extraordinary remedial instrument against the regional court’s decision on the asylum process. A decision on this matter rests within the competence of the Supreme Administrative Court in the city of Brno. Significant changes to the Asylum Act were accepted during 2002. The amendment, which came into force on 1st February 2002 was aimed at preventing abuse of the asylum procedure. Asylum seekers are now only allowed to work when in possession of a work permit, which they can apply 395 T H E S I M for after one year in the asylum procedure. Furthermore, in principle, repeat claims can only be made after two years following the end of a previous asylum determination procedure. On 1st January 2003, the legislation on appeal procedures was amended again and unsuccessful asylum seekers are free to bring an action with a regional court of justice against the decision of the Ministry of the Interior. In turn, it is possible to make a cessation complaint to the High Court against the judgement of the regional court. The Asylum Act was amended again during 2003 and 2004, but the amendments were only marginal. On 4th February 2005 the so-called Euroamendment to the Act on Asylum came into force (Act No. 57/2005 Coll.), which transposed the relevant acquis communitaire. A.5. Registration of acquisition of citizenship Data on acquisition of Czech citizenship are recorded in the Register of acquisitions of citizenship (Evidence nabytí státního občanství). The authority responsible for the database is the General Administration Department of the Ministry of the Interior. Until 1968, only Czechoslovak citizenship existed. Following the establishment of the Czechoslovak Federation, in 1969, all Czechoslovak citizens also had a republic citizenship – ‘Czech citizenship’ or ‘Slovak citizenship’. For persons born before 1st January 1954 this was determined according to their birthplace. For those born after this date, republic citizenship was determined by the republic citizenship of their parents. A new Act on acquisition and loss of citizenship was adopted in 1992 due to the division of the former Czechoslovak Socialist Federal Republic (CSFR). Natural persons who were nationals of the Czech Republic as of 31st December 1992, and at the same time nationals of the Czech and Slovak Federal Republic, became nationals of the Czech Republic as of 1st January 1993. According to the current legal regulation Czech citizenship may be acquired by: Birth: - based on ius sanguinis - if at least one parent is a Czech citizen; - based on ius soli - if the parents are stateless and at least one of them has a permanent residence in the Czech Republic; Adoption - if at least one adoptive parent is a Czech citizen: - determination of paternity – if child is born out of wedlock and mother is a foreigner or stateless person and father is a Czech citizen; - being a foundling in the area of the Czech Republic; 396 Country Report: Czech Republic Declaration - in case of former Czechoslovak nationals and some of their descendents: Naturalisation - under some conditions including for example a permanent and continuous residence in the country for at least five years (required length of permanent residence could be shortened in some cases, for example for foreigners who married Czech citizen) and a certificate of knowledge of the Czech language. The current legal regulation is based on the principle of prevention of dual or multiple citizenship, however in a whole range of cases it enables a person to have double or multiple citizenship, for example in the case where a Czech citizen acquires another citizenship automatically. This may happen without a request from the person (for instance by birth or marriage) as well as in many other cases connected with the dissolution of the former CSFR (e.g.: for former CSFR nationals who opted for Slovakian citizenship during 1993; or for former CSFR nationals who acquired the Slovakian citizenship after 2nd September 1999). Naturalisation is under the responsibility of the Ministry of the Interior. Applications for naturalisation should be lodged with the regional administration office (krajský úřad) (in Prague at the Office of the City District, in Brno, Ostrava and Plzeň at the Office of the City Council) according to the applicant’s place of permanent residence. The decision is made by the Ministry of the Interior within 90 days of the day when the application for naturalisation has been delivered to the Ministry. The decision is sent back to the regional office where the application was submitted. When a positive decision on granting citizenship is made, the regional office where the application was submitted transmits the information to the ISEO, Aliens Register and back to the Ministry of the Interior. Acquisition of citizenship by declaration is within the competence of the regional administration office (in Prague at the Office of the City District, in Brno, Ostrava and Plzeň at the Office of the City Council) and is notified to other authorities including the police and the Ministry of the Interior. B. Producing statistics requested by the EU Regulation B.1. Statistics on the population with usual residence in the country The authority in charge of producing statistical data on population stocks is the Czech Statistical Office (Český statistický úřad, CSU). The CSU is also 397 T H E S I M responsible for the conduct of the censuses. The last census was carried out on 1st March 2001. A traditional method of using census questionnaires was applied. Census, vital statistics and migration data are used to produce subsequent annual estimates for the stock of Czech citizens only. The population stock of foreigners is based on the Aliens Information System (annual since 2001). Individual records on foreigners are transferred to CSU from the Directorate of the Alien and Border Police. Annual estimates for nationals and the state of the register of foreigners are published annually on the reference date of 31st December. The de facto population at the time of the Census was considered (including temporary migrants residing in the Czech Republic over 90 days). Foreigners residing in the Czech Republic for up to 90 days (with a shortterm visa or without a visa if a bilateral agreement on non-visa regime for tourists exists between the Czech Republic and the country of origin) were excluded from the census population figure. The CSU estimated on the basis of comparison with the register of foreigners that 32 % of foreigners were not covered by the Census. For intercensal years stock figures on nationals are updated on the basis of statistics obtained from administrative records: births, deaths, immigrations and emigrations. Stock figures on nationals refer to permanently resident Czech citizens only. Figures on the stock of foreigners, which are produced by the CSU using data from the Aliens Information System, refer to foreigners with valid residence permits whose length of stay has exceeded one year. Annual figures on total resident population of the Czech Republic are produced as a sum of nationals and foreigners. Data on population by citizenship are available but the figures on stocks of nationals for intercensal years might be overestimated due to the underestimation of figures on emigration. Data on population by country of birth are not available yet for intercensal periods. They will be available when the CSU gains access to data on country of birth from the ISEO. The ISEO will be the only source for stock data and population adjustments will in future be no longer conducted. B.2 Statistics on international migrations The authority responsible for producing statistics on international migration is the CSU. The data are compiled on a quarterly basis. Immigration and emigration of Czech citizens refers only to self-declared changes of permanent residence. Since 2005 they do not have to fill in the statistical form Hlášení o stěhování, Obyv 5-12 (Notification of migration) that 398 Country Report: Czech Republic was previously used by the CSU to produce statistics on international migration of nationals. In practice the data currently used by the CSU come from two sources: the ISEO and the Aliens Information System. The automatically generated export files with all changes of place of residence registered in the ISEO, provided monthly by the Ministry of the Interior (Department for Informatisation of the Civil Service), are used to produce statistics on the migration of Czech citizens2. The following characteristics are exported: Birth Certificate Number, date of birth, sex, marital status, date of migration (date of registration/deregistration of permanent residence), previous and new address (municipality-code, district-code and for migration to or from Prague, full address in Prague. As at 2005, in the case of international migration, there is no information about the country of previous/next residence in the ISEO). Data on the international migration of foreigners are produced from the automatically generated export batch from the Aliens Information System provided monthly by the Directorate of the Alien and Border Police. The ISEO is not used for aliens as not all foreigners are correctly input to the ISEO yet. The foreign migration file contains: ID in Aliens Information System, Birth Certificate Number, date of birth, sex, marital status, category of stay, previous and new address (full address), date of beginning/ending of stay in the Czech Republic, country of previous residence, country of birth, purpose of stay and code for giving the record to information storage (for emigrants). Figures on immigration of foreigners are currently produced by the CSU based on the de jure length of stay principle. Data refer to foreigners with residence permits (long-term, temporary and permanent). The actual duration of stay for foreigners with long-term residence permits is by definition longer than one year. In the case of EU citizens with temporary residence permits, their actual duration of stay could be shorter than one year (more than three months). The date of registration is taken as the date of immigration. Persons granted permanent residence permits not conditional on preceding continuous stay are also counted as immigrants at the date of registration of their residence. Additionally, duration of stay is not taken into account in the case of refugee and other protection status. They are automatically included and the date of granting the status is taken as the date of immigration. Foreigners are treated as emigrants at the date of 2 Until the reference year 2004 statistics on the international migration of Czech citizens were produced based on statistical forms Hlásenie o sťahovanie, Obyv 5-12 provided to the Czech Statistical Office by the municipal registration offices. They were filled in when changing the permanent place of residence. 399 T H E S I M cancellation of residence in the country (date of deregistration), at the expiry date of the temporary residence permit or at the expiry date of card corresponding to the permanent residence permit, provided it has not been renewed. The Alien and Border Police produce different statistics from those of the CSU, even if they use the same database. Firstly, their data seem to exclude refugees and include them as a special category of the foreign population. Secondly, foreigners whose actual duration of stay is less than one year are not excluded. In 2001, substantial changes in the level of registered migration flows were observed. This was due to the change of migrant definition for foreigners which became closer to that of the UN recommendations. Therefore, data before and after 2000 are not compatible. Up to 2000 statistics on foreigners were based only on changes of permanent residence and since 2001 long-term temporary migration has also been included. The sudden rise is visible especially for emigration figures in 2001 (this was a special case of parallel change of definition and implementation of the new Act on Residence of Foreigners - much stricter than the previous one). The application of the new concept resulted in a much higher level of registered flows from/to individual countries of origin and destination. However, there are still significant discrepancies, in particular in the case of emigration. This could be attributed to differences in definitions which still exist, especially for Czech citizens, and the low willingness to report the intention of permanent emigration abroad. Immigration data for 2002 are substantially lower only in comparison with emigration figures reported by Germany and Denmark. Emigration statistics are less reliable than immigration statistics and in the majority of cases they are incomparably lower than data reported by partner countries (this refers in particular to Germany, Denmark, Sweden and the Netherlands). B.3. Statistics on residence permits The Alien and Border Police within the Ministry of the Interior are responsible for producing statistical data on residence permits. The data are derived from the Aliens Information System and published on an annual basis at the reference date of 31st December. Figures for annual total positive decisions on residence permits are available and published in the DG JLS 2001 Annual Report but they are not disaggregated by reason. 400 Country Report: Czech Republic B.4. Statistics on asylum seekers The authority responsible for producing statistical data on asylum is the Department of Asylum and Migration Policies of the Ministry of the Interior (OAMP). The data are produced on a monthly basis. With regard to decisions there are various discrepancies between different sources (Department of Asylum and Migration Policies, CSU and Eurostat). These discrepancies may be caused by different interpretations of some concepts (discontinued, annulment, obstacle to leave, etc.). Furthermore, the distinction between total and first instance decisions is not always clear. Finally, ‘crude’ (total number of grants) and ‘net’ decisions (i.e. grants minus withdrawals of grants) may be mixed up. The CSU receives all the data on asylum procedures from the responsible authority, therefore the statistics that they publish should not differ from those published by the Ministry. As regards the relationship between asylum statistics and migration statistics, only recognised refugees are included in immigration statistics (flows) and population statistics (stocks). If a person leaves the country he or she will be included in the emigration statistics and excluded from the stock. Asylum seekers having received a final negative decision are never included in immigration and emigration statistics. B.5. Statistics on acquisitions of citizenship The authorities responsible for production of statistical data on acquisitions of citizenship are the Czech Statistical Office and the General Administration Department of the Ministry of the Interior. The data are produced on an annual basis. All acquisitions of citizenships by naturalisation based on request and declaration are included in the statistics. The figure in the 2001 DG JLS Annual Report is more less than half that reported by the CSU. This is the consequence of the exclusion of the former Czechoslovak citizens acquiring the Czech citizenship by declaration. Ackowledgements Particular thanks are due to Bohdana Holá of the CSU, who coordinated the preparation of the THESIM meeting, held in Prague on 17th September 2004, as well as the collection of comments and corrections to this country report. 401 Country Report Denmark Anne Herm A. Administrative sources and procedures A.1. Registration of the resident population The Danish Civil Registration System (Det Centrale Person Register, CPR) is a nationwide civil register containing basic personal data about anyone who has a civil registration number. The Ministry of the Interior and Health, together with the municipalities, administer the CPR, maintain and update it. Other authorities, such as parishes, also participate in the maintenance of the CPR in accordance with rules laid down by the Ministry of the Interior and Health. People who have (or have had) their usual residence in Denmark are recorded in the CPR. Place of usual residence means the dwelling where a person regularly sleeps when not temporarily absent owing to holiday, business travel, illness or similar reasons, and where the person has their property and belongings. The system covers Denmark and Greenland while the population of the Faroe Islands is not recorded in this database. Newborn children are systematically registered in the CPR through parish registers and therefore are attributed a PIN (CPR-number), while records of all dead persons are systematically deactivated and transferred to the archive. Immigrations and emigrations are registered through municipal register offices. A PIN is allocated for immigrants when the person first notifies immigration to Denmark. People recorded in the CPR compose the legal or de jure population of Denmark. The CPR also includes persons paying working or property taxes in Denmark even if they do not reside in the country. However, these two categories are clearly marked so that they will not be counted in flows and stocks as part of the de jure population of Denmark. T H E S I M A.2. Registration of international migrations Anyone relocating his or her place of residence within the country's boundaries or immigrating from abroad or moving abroad is obliged to report this change of residence to their municipality. In general persons who immigrate to Denmark are obliged to report their immigration if they intend to stay for more than three months in the country. For persons immigrating from a Nordic country, another EEA country or Switzerland the time criterion is six months. Citizens of Nordic countries (Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden) have the right to enter, reside and work in Denmark without being granted a visa, a residence permit or a work permit. For citizens of non-Nordic countries, the registration of immigration from abroad requires residence permit or residence certificate. Persons must report their immigration to the municipality of residence no later than five days after having a place of residence or fixed abode in Denmark. The recorded date of immigration is the date of arrival and not the date of declaration. However if the residence permit has been issued after arrival the immigration date will be the date the residence permit was issued. With a few exceptions, anyone moving abroad for more than six months should report his or her departure to the municipality of last residence prior to departure. A person who stays abroad for more than six months and maintains the former dwelling at full availability has the right to remain there as a resident. If the former dwelling is not maintained at full availability, the municipality shall evaluate whether or not a move abroad is involved. When a person moves from or to another Nordic country, whatever his or her citizenship, the registration of migration is performed according to Inter-Nordic Migration Agreement between Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden. Immigration in Denmark will be applied alongside Denmark's own legal provisions. When reporting immigration from another Nordic country a person (regardless of citizenship) must submit an ‘InterNordic Migration Certificate’ in order to be registered in the CPR. Information about immigration to Denmark will be transferred to the municipality of origin (starting from January 2005 electronically) in the Nordic country of emigration. For emigration, the minimal duration of stay in the receiving Nordic country is applied for the registration of emigration in Denmark. Thus, emigrants to Nordic countries are only recorded as emigrants in Denmark when the country of immigration notifies the Danish authorities that the person must be registered as immigrated to this Nordic country. Emigrations from Denmark to another Nordic country are recorded 404 Country Report: Denmark according the rule of six months for Norway and one year for Finland, Sweden and Iceland. When a person intends to emigrate to another Nordic country the emigration municipality shall issue an ‘Inter-Nordic Migration Certificate’ which has to be presented at the office of immigration in the destination Nordic country. The municipality of arrival will transfer electronically to the CPR the requested information to deregister the person in Denmark. Immigration from and emigration to the Faroe Islands is treated on the same basis as any other Nordic country. A.3. Registration of Aliens The Danish Aliens Register (Udlændingeregistret) serves as a common working register for all authorities dealing with the processing of residence permits (The Ministry of Refugee, Immigration and Integration Affairs, The Refugee Appeal Board, The Danish Immigration Service, the Commissioner of the Police and the State Counties). A unique record number is attributed to each applicant and all children are granted an independent residence permit and recorded separately. The Aliens Register includes, in addition to this specific aliens’ record number, the civil registration number if the person is registered in the CPR. All aliens except Nordic citizens are recorded in Aliens Register and must obtain a residence certificate (citizens of EEA countries) or residence permit (citizens of non-EEA countries) to stay in Denmark. EEA citizens can reside in Denmark up to three months without a residence certificates and six months if the person is seeking employment. For longer stay all EEA citizens (except Nordic citizens) have to request a special residence certificate and must follow the rules included in the EU directive. Applications of EEA citizens are processed by the state county authorities (statsamt). All other aliens need a residence permit in order to work or to stay more than three months in Denmark. The Danish Immigration Service processes the cases in the first instance with the Ministry of Refugee, Immigration and Integration Affairs acting as second instance. Typically, as a result of a positive decision an applicant will be granted a residence permit for a limited time of two years, renewable once for two years and subsequently for three years. Thereafter an application for a time-unlimited residence permit may be granted. Work and study permits can only be issued for the length of the work or study period. However, attention is drawn to the fact that various rules for extending the residence permit are in place. 405 T H E S I M Generally, a residence permit must be received prior to a foreigner's entry into Denmark. An application for a residence and work permit must therefore be submitted in the applicant's country of origin to representative office of Denmark. The representative office forwards applications for processing to the Danish Immigration Service in Denmark. Residence permit holders who leave the country and want to come back are allowed to do so within six months for temporary residence permit holders or within one year for permanent residence permit holders. A.4. Registration of asylum The Aliens Register is also the database for recording all data related to the asylum procedure. As a general principle only the authority responsible for the processing of the asylum request has the right to update the related information in the Danish Aliens Register. The Danish Immigration Service within the Ministry of Refugee, Immigration and Integration Affairs has the responsibility for asylum applications in the first instance. There are two different procedures for processing the asylum applications, the ‘normal procedure’ and the manifestly unfounded procedure. The manifestly unfounded procedure is applied in cases that are obviously without prospect. The ‘normal procedure’ is generally applied in all other cases. A residence permit may obtain on the following grounds: Convention status: in order to obtain asylum in Denmark, an applicant must fulfil the conditions listed in the United Nations Refugee Convention. Protection status: Denmark grants protection in cases where, as a state, it is obliged to do so in order to comply with the international conventions it has ratified (for example, residence permits are granted to asylum seekers who risk the death penalty, torture, inhumane or degrading treatment or punishment if they return to their country of origin). Typically, as a result of a positive decision, an asylum seeker will be granted a residence permit for a limited time of two years that may be renewed once for two years and subsequently for three years. Thereafter an application for a time-unlimited residence permit may be submitted and granted. If asylum is not granted, a residence permit can subsequently be obtained on other grounds, i.e. humanitarian grounds or exceptional reasons (e.g. asylum seekers that cannot be returned). These persons will figure both as a negative decision on asylum and with a certain 406 Country Report: Denmark time lag due to the processing of the case as a positive decision with another status. Moreover, a refugee residing outside Denmark can be resettled in Denmark after agreement with the UNHCR or a similar international organisation. Since 1989, Denmark’s quota has been set at 500 placements per year (quota refugees). If the application is deemed manifestly unfounded, the case is referred to the Danish Refugee Council. If the Danish Refugee Council agrees with this negative decision, the asylum-seeker is refused asylum without appeal. If the Danish Refugee Council disagrees, the refusal of asylum will be brought before the Refugee Appeal Board. In the ‘normal procedure’, if a negative decision is made, the asylum case is automatically transferred to the Refugee Appeal Board for processing. The decisions of the Refugee Appeal Board are final. Asylum-seekers receiving a final negative decision must leave the country immediately. A.5. Registration of acquisition of citizenship In Denmark several authorities are in charge of processing applications for Danish citizenship. Declarations on citizenship may be submitted through a county governor, the Prefect of Copenhagen, the High Commissioner of the Faeroe Islands or the High Commissioner of Greenland. Applicants for citizenship by naturalisation have to submit their application to the local police or to the Chief of Police in Copenhagen. The Naturalisation Division of the Ministry of Justice deals with naturalisation applications, but all decisions on applications for citizenship by declaration and naturalisation are made by Parliament. Information about citizenship is held in the CPR. If a person holds more than one citizenship, and if one of these is Danish, the person is registered as Danish. If none of these is Danish, the citizenship for which the person shows identification is registered. A Danish citizen is a person who by birth, marriage of parents, adoption, declaration or parliamentary act (i.e. naturalisation), has received the Danish citizenship. The right to acquire Danish citizenship by declaration applies only to persons aged between 18 and 23 who have resided in Denmark for at least ten years (and among these at least five years within the last six years). Conditions for naturalisation generally include a minimum of 18 years of age, permanent residence in Denmark, at least nine years uninterrupted stay and other modalities. Several exceptions are also foreseen (e.g. for stateless 407 T H E S I M persons and refugees and spouses of Danish citizens and for Nordic citizens). Multiple citizenships are generally not allowed. B. Producing statistics requested by the EU Regulation B.1. Statistics on the population with usual residence in the country Statistics Denmark is responsible for organising Population and Housing Censuses and for producing census tables and population estimates between successive censuses. From 1981 there have no longer been traditional censuses in Denmark and the last census on 1st January 2001 was also a completely register-based census. The census is exclusively carried out for statistical purposes and is fully dependant on the CPR as far as enumeration is concerned. Data from approximately 30 administrative and statistical registers (for population, building and dwellings, wages and salaries, income, education, etc.) were used to produce the census results. The statistical definition of the population with usual residence is related to the general rules for the registration of residents in Denmark. The usual population is defined as persons with permanent addresses in Denmark. The permanent address concept, which is used in the population statistics, is the same as that used in the CPR. It is defined as the place where a person lives on a regular basis, sleep when not abroad because of holidays or business trips. It may be also the place where the person’s belongings are kept. For statistics on population stocks, all individuals (citizens and noncitizens) who are registered in the CPR as resident are considered as the usual population of Denmark without any selection procedure. Therefore the population statistics reflect the legal or de jure population of Denmark. Accordingly, the usual resident population defined in Denmark covers a category of persons (residing from three or six to twelve months) that, according to the UN census recommendations and the EU Regulation, should not be included in usually resident population. An asylum seeker will only be counted in the population with usual residence when a residence permit has been granted and the Immigration Service has registered this person in the CPR as living in a municipality in Denmark. Foreign Diplomats who are registered in the Danish Ministry of Foreign Affairs’ records as well as their family members and personal staff are not counted among the resident population. On the other hand, persons 408 Country Report: Denmark employed by the Danish government abroad are included in the legal resident population. Data on the resident population are published annually and refer to the situation on 1st January each year. Information about events registered within 30 days after 1st January is included. Since 2002 information on foreign citizens has also been compiled on a quarterly basis. All variables requested by the EU Regulation are available (age, sex, citizenship, country of birth). There is no sign of incompatibility between the figures published by Statistics Denmark and the data available in the different international databases. B.2 Statistics on international migrations Statistics Denmark is responsible for producing statistics on international migration flows. The basis for compiling these statistics is the Population Register of Statistics Denmark, which is based on information received weekly from the CPR about immigrations and emigrations. The following variables are included for international migration: PIN, age, sex, marital status, citizenship, place of birth, date of migration, municipality of residence in Denmark and country of origin for immigration or destination for emigration. International migration data refer to the legal resident population of the country and each immigration or emigration will change the state of this population. An international migration event is defined as a change of the municipality of residence registered by the CPR from or to abroad through the self-reporting of the concerned person. Immigration data include Danish nationals who register return from abroad, Nordic citizens who register a permanent address in Denmark (for a stay of more than six months) and non-Nordic citizens who are granted a residence permit for more than three months. Emigrations for more than six months will be counted in the emigration statistics (with some exceptions described in A.2). The statistics on migration are based on events. Thus, a person who migrates several times in the course of a calendar year will be counted several times. Migrations from the Faeroe Islands and Greenland are included in international migration flows. Emigration flow data include any persons who go abroad and give up their permanent address in Denmark. Foreign citizens who disappear’ (when there is no information on their actual situation) are considered in the statistics as having emigrated. The statistics on migration are published quarterly and, with more details, annually. All variables requested by the EU Regulation are available (age, sex, citizenship, country of origin or country of destination, country of 409 T H E S I M birth). It is not possible, in the registration of migrants, to distinguish between long-term and short-term migrations by intention of stay, but it is possible by delaying the statistics for one year, to identify immigrants who actually stayed one year or more, or emigrants who did not return within one year. For international comparisons, Statistics Denmark compiles such statistics on long-term migration according to the UN definition and these statistics meet the requirements of the EU Regulation. Nevertheless the data source for emigration statistics creates some quality problems, because there is no strong incentive or reason for emigrated persons to inform the municipality. All figures available in different international databases are compatible. Migration flows by country of origin and country of destination present excellent comparability with other Nordic countries as Denmark is involved in the Inter-Nordic Migration Agreement. However, it is important to mention that this high level of comparability does not mean ipso facto a higher level of reliability, as a similar under-registration may exist on a coherent basis in both the Nordic countries involved. The registered flows of international migration in Denmark are among the highest in the EU. Figures on flows from and to individual countries of origin or destination are lower only when compared with data reported by Germany in the case of flow from Denmark to Germany. The relatively large values of registered flows may result to some extent from the shorter time criterion compared with other countries. The difference in figures for flows from Denmark to Germany may be attributed to the fact that Germany registers all international immigration for a stay of eight days or more. B.3. Statistics on residence permits The Danish Immigration Service is responsible for processing, compiling and publishing statistics on residence permits (including residence certificates). Statistics on residence permits are based on data included in the Aliens Register. Data on residence permits are produced on a regular base from monthly to annual reporting of data. With the purpose of making available statistics for all instances and all types of cases, an annual ‘Statistical Overview’ is published. In this publication, statistics are compiled and aggregated according to some overall formats applied and explained in the various notes in the publication. Statistical data requested by the EU Regulation are not currently published. However it may be possible to produce statistics on residence permits issued during the reference period. Long-term visas and 410 Country Report: Denmark immigration status grants instead of employment or residence permits are not applicable in Denmark. Statistics on a reference date are not possible or not applicable, except for the number of long-term residents which may be produced on the basis of the CPR. According to the rules for the registration of persons in the CPR, immigration statistics include all first residence permit holders who have reported themselves for registration. In residence permit statistics a person may be counted twice if they have applied for a subsequent residence permit on a different ground, whilst in migration statistics this person is counted once. Emigration statistics do not have any direct connection with the validity of residence permits. B.4. Statistics on asylum seekers The Danish Immigration Service is also responsible for processing, compiling and publishing asylum statistics. Statistics on asylum are based on records of the Danish Aliens Register. Key figures on asylum applications and decisions are published in the annual ‘Statistical Overview’. Statistics Denmark publishes some additional asylum statistics received from Danish Immigration Service. Most of the data required by the EU Regulation are available and already published. Data on withdrawals of refugee status, subsidiary protection status and other grants are not published but are also available. Asylum seekers who are granted asylum, regardless of instances or authorities, are included in the immigration flow statistics similarly to other aliens who are granted a residence permit. The date of registration of an asylum seeker in the CPR is considered as the date of immigration. Asylum seekers who leave the country after a negative asylum decision or before a decision has been taken are included in neither immigration nor in emigration statistics. B.5. Statistics on acquisitions of citizenship Statistics Denmark produces statistics on acquisitions of citizenship based on changes of citizenship received weekly with all other demographic events from the CPR which in turn receives reports from the permitting authorities. In the CPR only one country of citizenship is recorded, even if person has more than one. All variables requested by the EU Regulation are available. 411 T H E S I M Ackowledgements We are grateful to Anita Lange of Statistics Denmark who coordinated the THESIM meeting held in Copenhagen on 28th January 2005 and collected all comments and corrections to this country report. 412 Country Report Germany Veronika Bilger and Albert Kraler A. Administrative sources and procedures A.1. Registration of the resident population In Germany the resident population is registered in municipal or local population registers (Melderegister). In total, there are some 5,400 population registers in Germany as a whole. There is no central population register, nor is there a central database based on local register data. However, the Länder of Bremen, Hamburg, Berlin and Rhineland-Palatine, each have a central population register. Local population registers cover all people who are registered in the area within the jurisdiction of the local population register unit. For registration purposes, a distinction is made between the main place of residence and secondary places of residence, whereby ‘main place of residence’ is defined as ordinary place of residence (‘habitual abode’). The federal Framework Act on Registration 2002 defines the universe of persons to be covered and the minimum information to be recorded. Each of the Länder may specify registration requirements and procedures, as a result of which some variation in the practice of registration and the information collected may occur. Basically all persons with legal residence in Germany are registered and immigrants have to register within a week of entry or change of place of residence, except for tourists in tourist lodgings, foreign diplomats and members of foreign armed forces1. The following information is regularly recorded in local population registers: day of moving in, last and current residence(s), sex, date and place of birth, marital status, nationality/ nationalities, religion, residence in other dwellings (main/second residence), 1 Seasonal workers are registered except in four Länder where seasonal workers can be exempt from the obligation to register if they reside in the respective Länder for less than two months (in two Länder) and less than one month (in the other two). T H E S I M while the first registration record also records gainful employment (in the modalities yes/no), and the ID card/Passport Number. Births, marriages and deaths are recorded in the civil register of the municipality where the event takes place. This information is then transferred to the municipality, where the person or the mother of the newborn child has his or her main residence. Similarly, naturalisation authorities notify local population registers on any changes of nationality. Exchange of data between local population registers of all German municipalities is organised if the main place of residence or secondary places of residence are changed and both places (place of previous, place of next residence) are to be recorded. As virtually all 5,400 local population registers are digitalised, each person has a unique (system) code, which, however, is not shared between different local population registers and is therefore different when a change of municipality occurs, except within the few population registers centralised at the level of the Länder or in case of municipalities sharing the same operating system. Households are not recorded as such in the population register, although all persons living in a particular dwelling may be considered as a proxy for a household (household-dwelling concept). Family units may not be identified as such except in the case of children below the age of eighteen and their parents who are linked by a common code. This has to be deleted when the child reaches the age of eighteen. The occupation of a dwelling is the basic criterion for registration. A person residing subsequently in different dwellings during a same year will be considered as having changed the residence each time, regardless of the period he/she spent in each dwelling and each change has to be declared within eight days to the municipality of arrival. From the perspective of registering individuals, there are strong incentives to make a deliberate choice of where to register one’s main place of residence, as specific advantages may accrue from registering in a particular municipality. Conversely, municipalities, and particular smaller, rural municipalities have an interest in keeping residents registered with a main place of residence, as their share in federal taxes and redistribution of income within the states are based on the stock of residents with a main residence. As a result, conflicts over persons registering a main place of residence elsewhere but maintaining a secondary place of residence, occur, which appear to be mostly solved informally between the respective municipalities. 414 Country Report: Germany A.2. Registration of international migrations All movements of persons entering and leaving the country are subject to the obligation to register2. Both nationals and non-nationals entering the country have to register at local population registration offices normally within a week of entry (conditions are specified in state laws). Upon registration of a foreigner, the local population register notifies the regional immigration authorities who will enter the data in the Aliens Register (see below). No distinction can be made between short term and long term migrants in the local population registers, since the intended duration of stay is not asked for at the time of registration and the de facto length of stay cannot be established. All persons leaving the country for a prolonged period of time and giving up their place of residence in Germany are obliged to deregister. Many persons leaving the country, however, do not deregister. Especially for emigrants with family remaining in the place, there are strong incentives not to deregister as specific advantages may accrue from remaining registered. In the case of nationals, long term absence may be discovered when official notifications (e.g. election information letters, income tax related communications etc.) do not reach the destination. If municipalities discover the continuous absence of a person, they may deregister the respective person ex-officio. Non-deregistration is a known problem in regard to foreigners, in particular those that were not gainfully employed, as their absence is much more unlikely to be discovered. Variation exists between Länder as to what extent and when asylum seekers are registered. A.3. Registration of Aliens Foreigners, both EU citizens and third-country nationals, are registered in the Aliens Register (Ausländerzentralregister, AZR). As of 1st January 2005, the AZR is under the responsibility of the Federal Office for Migration and Refugees, created as an independent agency by the Immigration Act 2004. 2 With regard to tourist registration only tourists in tourist lodgings are explicitly exempt from the obligation to register. Therefore a considerable number of short term visitors may be recorded in the migration statistics. In case of a temporary move within Germany, state registration laws may, according to the Federal Registration Framework Act, exempt persons from the obligation to register if they have a registered place of residence elsewhere in Germany and his/her stay does not exceed 6 months. German inhabitants (sic) having their usual place of residence abroad are not subject to the obligation to register if their stay does not exceed 2 months. 415 T H E S I M The register is divided between a visa database and a general database. The visa database records data on all people applying for a visa to Germany, including type and number of passport as well as relevant information on the issue of each application. As the competent German consulates abroad directly update the visa-database, residence permits applied for from abroad are also included in the database. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs operates its own visa database, which, however is not linked to the Visa Database of the AZR. The general database includes all foreigners who have established their residence in Germany on a long-term basis (for more than three months), thus, in principle including EU nationals, as well as most other categories of foreigners, including asylum seekers, war or civil war refugees. This information system records various administrative acts including administrative decisions on residence permit (issue, termination, renewal), ‘reservations’ regarding admission and the issuing of a residents permit, rejections at the border, apprehensions, information on foreigners against whom charges were brought on criminal offences (e.g. terrorist acts), information on foreigners who have been handed over to other countries, and information on foreigners who have been denied the application for the recognition of the German citizenship or the status of ethnic German. Non-EEA citizens require a residence permit for any stay exceeding three months. Those residing less than three months but gainfully employed also need a residence permit. The new Immigration Act, which entered into force on 1st January 2005, considerably reduces the number of different permits as provided for by the German Aliens Law in force until 31st December 2004. It replaces the various short term permits with one limited residence permit, the validity of the permit depending on the purpose of stay (specific temporary purposes, such as studies or vocational training and specific, temporary limited (gainful) activities, family unification and to refugees). The unlimited residence/ permanent permits are replaced by one so-called settlement permit (issued after five years of possession of a limited residence permit and after three years in case of family unification or highly qualified persons working in the scientific and economic sectors, to self-employed aliens who invest at least one million Euro and create at least ten jobs and to refugees after their case has be reviewed). In accordance with the EU legislation, residence permits for EU citizens are abolished. In regard to asylum seekers the ‘permission to stay’ is still active but the practice of ‘toleration’ (Duldung) will be more restricted and limited. The old type permits will gradually phased out. Upon entry, a foreigner has to report herself or himself to one of the 648 competent district Immigration Authorities. This leads to an entry in the 416 Country Report: Germany general database of the AZR. Each registered person has an AZR number, a code number only used for the AZR. With the new immigration law, old entries will not be overwritten in case of change of purpose or renewal anymore, but will be kept. A wide range of variables are recorded, such as name, place and date of birth, sex, identity document, citizenship, marital status, last place of residence (in the country of origin), emigration, reimmigration, legal status of residence including refugee status, as well as nationality of the spouse are stored. In addition, also administrative actions such as residence bans, expulsion and deportation are recorded in the database. This information is provided by a wide range of public authorities, including municipalities, local immigration authorities, the Federal Office for the Recognition of Refugees, border control authorities, provincial High Courts, federal and municipal public prosecution offices, public offices dealing with Ethnic German and exile affairs, federal and regional offices responsible for defending the constitution, and appropriate agencies abroad. Information from subordinate administrative agencies on changes concerning foreigners is first sent to the Immigration Authorities at district level (responsible for granting permits and other foreigner related matters) which keep a separate ‘Foreigners File’. District Immigration Authorities are obliged to transfer all relevant changes to the AZR and therefore using the respective AZR numbers. As foreigners often miss deregistration from the local population register, which would lead to deregistration in the AZR, the number of recorded persons seems to be much higher than the actual number of persons present in German territory. In addition, there are also significant discrepancies between figures from the AZR and local population registers, suggesting deficiencies in the communication between the AZR and local population registers. A.4. Registration of asylum Introduced in 2002 the new Database on Asylum seekers, the ‘Migration, Asylum, Reintegration and Integration System’ (MARiS) is fully operational since 1st January 2003 and under the responsibility of the Federal Office for Migration and Refugees (BAMF) as established by the 2004 Immigration Act. BAMF records all persons applying for asylum in its respective branch offices. The alien's personal details are entered into the MARiS database on receipt of the asylum application and each person has a specific PIN. MARiS not only contains meta-information on the procedure, but all documents 417 T H E S I M associated to individual asylum cases. All historical information is maintained3. The asylum procedure is regulated on the basis of the Asylum Procedure Act, effective since 1st July 1993. An accelerated procedure is followed when: the applicant comes from a safe country of origin or a safe third country; the application is governed by the Dublin Convention, determining the State responsible for examining applications for asylum lodged in one of the Member States of the European Union; the application is considered manifestly unfounded. In the main procedure, the asylum seeker obtains a temporary residence permit, which gives him/her the right to a provisional stay in order to carry out his/her asylum procedure in the Federal Republic of Germany. The hearing of the applicant is done by a so-called caseworker of the Federal Office in the presence of an interpreter. The applicant is obliged to explain his reasons for being persecuted, to indicate the related facts and to present any available documents. A report is drawn up on the statements he/she made in the hearing and is re-translated to the applicant. The caseworker decides on the asylum application. In the normal procedure this decision may be: recognition - Upon which the successful asylum applicants is issued a temporary residence permit for three years (Aufenthalterlaubnis), which entitles him or her to work. After three years, the case will be reviewed. If the conditions leading to the recognition still prevail, a permanent residence status will be drawn. If not, the status will be withdrawn. However, due to the sensitivity of the issue, no information is available on the extent of ex officio withdrawals of refugee status. rejection - Asylum seekers may be rejected on grounds of unfounded or manifestly unfounded claims, but may be granted ‘temporary suspension of deportation’. Section 60 of the Aliens Act regulates matters concerning protection from deportation for other reasons than the risk of political persecution; The temporary suspension of deportation (Duldung) is the waiver of the enforcement to leave the country. In case of naturalisation, however, the entire file of the naturalised person has to be deleted, as is the case in the AZR. Only in the local population register will information on naturalisation still be kept. 3 418 Country Report: Germany Apart from the asylum procedure there is a possibility to grant temporary protection for a specified period of time to a group of aliens in case of a mass influx of war refugees and civil war refugees. If an application has been rejected as (simply) unfounded, it is possible to appeal to the Administrative Court within two weeks. The applicant may await the appeal decision in Germany. For applications rejected as manifestly unfounded, the appeal has to be lodged within one week together with an urgent action application to the Administrative Court to prevent potential deportation. Further appeals are possible first at the Upper Administrative court, and finally at the Federal Administrative Court. A.5. Registration of acquisition of citizenship In Germany, the Länder are responsible for the implementation of citizenship regulations, while the legislative competence exclusively lies with the central state. Applications for naturalisation are processed by local naturalisation authorities. Only naturalisations from abroad are processed centrally by the Federal Office of Administration. The conditions for acquisition and transmission of citizenship are laid down in a variety of different acts. After the last major reform of citizenship law in 2000, there are six ways of acquiring German Citizenship. Citizenship may be acquired by birth, by adoption (in the case of minors), by declaration, by reparation (Wiedergutmachung), by belonging to German stock (Volkszugehörigkeit) or by naturalisation. The right to acquire German citizenship by reparation applies to all persons and their children and children’s children, expatriated between 1933 and 1945 for political, racerelated or religious reasons with legal entitlement to German citizenship. Since 2000 the Citizenship Law provides for a period of eight years of residence in the territory after which citizenship can be acquired. General requirements are: good moral conduct of the applicant, the possession of a valid residence authorisation, positive stance towards the federal state, adequate means of subsistence, adequate German language skills. If immigration authorities have initiated procedures to terminate the residence status of the applicant for application, or a residence ban has been issued against him/her, the application is not considered. The same provisions apply on relatives of naturalising foreigners, even if they have been resident for less than eight years (co-naturalisation). Concerning the waiting period there are some exceptions such as for recognised refugees, displaced and stateless persons where a legal residence of at least seven years is required or five years if born in Germany. In addition family members of Germans enjoy shorter waiting periods. 419 T H E S I M Since August 1999, until when persons ‘belonging to German stock’ (within the meaning of Article 116 Basic Law) (Aussiedler) had to have their status claim screened by regional naturalisation authorities, ethnic Germans obtain German citizenship automatically after screening of their claim by the Federal Office of Administration. As no renunciation of former nationality is required, dual citizenship may occur. If an alien who has settled in the federal territory acquires nationality otherwise than by descent, the regional Immigration Authorities are notified. This decision leads to the deletion of all records related to the naturalised person in the AZR and the asylum database MARiS. B. Producing statistics requested by the EU Regulation B.1. Statistics on the population with usual residence in the country The Federal Statistical Office (Statistisches Bundesamt, DESTATIS) produces regular statistics on the German and foreign resident population. Since no census has been carried out since 1987, statistics on the resident population are estimates based on the results of the 1987 census, which are continuously adjusted by the use of vital and migration statistics, as well, as to some extent, the ‘micro-census’. For the foreign resident population, the statistics derived from the AZR are the most important source information, since population estimates only give breakdowns by citizenship categories, not individual citizenships. During the 1987 census, a traditional method based on census questionnaires was applied and every individual with a residence in Germany was enumerated including foreign students, foreigners holding temporary or permanent permits and asylum seekers including family members. Persons with main residence abroad, tourists, foreign diplomats, members of foreign armed forces (even if they were German citizens and had their main residence in Germany) were not counted. Because of strong, principled opposition to the census4 as well as the high costs involved, no census has been carried out since then. However, a register-based census is planned for 2010. Basic demographic characteristics will be drawn from the municipal population registers as well as other 4 The last census of 1987 was initially scheduled for 1983 and was delayed for four years because of widespread activism against the census. 420 Country Report: Germany central registers such as the register on employment. In addition, other decentralised registers as well as surveys on buildings and flats will be taken into consideration. Statistics on vital events and migration are based on municipal population registers and processed and aggregated at regional level by Länder statistical offices. These statistics are subsequently compiled by the DESTATIS and used to elaborate estimates on the usually resident population (Bevölkerungsfortschreibung, adjustment of the population). These figures consider the population with main residence (Hauptwohnsitz) in Germany, and thus follow the de jure concept. For non-nationals, the AZR is the most important source of data and the statistics produced on this basis include all foreigners (including EU/EEA and Swiss nationals) resident in Germany for more than three months. However, some categories as foreigners with specific visas for temporary employment may not be included. There are no regular checks of data between the local population registers and the local immigration authorities. Data from the AZR may be extracted at any time of the year but the statistical tables are produced on a yearly base for national and international needs. Data on the usually resident population are disaggregated by citizenship and not by country of birth as requested by the EU Regulation. Besides, there are some discrepancies between figures on stock of non-nationals proposed by DESTATIS in their annual population estimates (Bevölkerungsfortschreibung) and the figures extracted from the AZR. The former comprises the whole population but there is no detailed breakdown by citizenship (there is a distinction between nationals and non-nationals). Data on the non-national resident population from these two data sources differ in terms of total number and age structure. Partly, this is so because migration statistics which are one component of the calculation of annual estimates done by DESTATIS, cover all persons registered with a main place of residence, irrespective of length of stay, while the AZR only includes persons staying more than three months. Moreover since many foreigners leaving Germany don’t report their departure, stock figures on the foreign resident population based on the AZR are considered to be significantly higher than the actual number of foreign residents5. Stock figures from the AZR for a given municipality are also usually much higher than those from the relevant local population registers, suggesting that the AZR tends to over-count non-nationals. Moreover Ethnic Germans are not included in the AZR and thus are not reflected in official statistics. Finally there is no 5 The last census in (West) Germany (1987) showed that the AZR recorded some 400,000 foreign residents more than enumerated by the census. 421 T H E S I M consistent source of disaggregation of population by citizenship (except the local population registers themselves) that would include both nationals and non-nationals. B.2 Statistics on international migrations Data on international migration flows are collected only by DESTATIS and total figures are published on a monthly basis; detailed data by citizenship, country of origin/destination age and sex are available annually. The source of data is the administrative registration of arrivals and departures from the local population registers. Data are transmitted by photocopy of the registration forms or electronic format from the local level to the respective statistical offices of the Länder. There, individual data are anonymised and aggregated results are transferred to DESTATIS. All migratory movements are collected the same way and international migrations may be considered separately even if the country of origin and destination are not available. Country of previous/ next residence is imputed from the country of citizenship (except in the case of newborn children). German migration statistics do not propose any distinction between short term and long term migrants. Thus, short term migrants will be covered in the same way as are long term migrants, except if explicitly exempted from the obligation to register (as are seasonal migrants in some Federal States). Official statistics on emigration tend to underestimate the number of migration outflows or report them with delay, especially those involving foreign nationals, as they often do not notify local authorities when leaving Germany and may therefore be discovered only later on the occasion of official notifications. Since German flow statistics are not based on persons but on the number of changes of residence between Germany and other countries (‘migration events’), the number of recorded migrations will always be slightly larger than the number of actual migrants for that year as more than one immigration or emigration may be counted for a given person on a yearly base. Data on the place of birth are entered in the population register upon registration. However, according to the national population statistics regulation, this information is not transmitted to the regional statistical offices, so that statistical data by country of birth as requested by the EU Regulation are not currently available. International migration flows by country of origin and country of destination are significantly higher than figures provided by the sending or 422 Country Report: Germany receiving countries. This is due to differences in the time criterion used to define migrants, as Germany register all migrants whatever their expected duration of stay and the registration has to be done within eight days. Some exceptions to this rule are found in 2003 for flows from Germany to Denmark, United Kingdom and Cyprus; and from Austria to Germany. B.3. Statistics on residence permits Since September 2004, the Federal Office for Migration and Refugees produces statistics on residents permits based on the AZR6. Data are stored centrally and administered by this Federal Office but entered by a range of administrative entities, including branch offices of the Office for Migration and Refugees adjudicating asylum claims, embassies, and border control agencies. In most cases, data are first sent to one of 648 regional Foreigners Authorities (Lokale Ausländerbehörden) which then feeds the data into the AZR7. The AZR records the types of permits issued, but not the reason for issuing a permit. Thus, statistics on the purpose of stay as requested by the EU Regulation are only available from other sources. For example, data by purpose of stay, proposed in the 2001 DG JLS annual statistical report are based on statistics of visa applications/decisions (for family reunion), statistics of higher education (where the stock of students in their first term was used) and the microcensus (for employment related purposes). The new immigration Act (Zuwanderungsgesetz) which entered into force on 1st January 2005 completely changes the legislation concerning permits as the number of possible permit titles is reduced to two. Currently, only stock data are published (valid permits). However, it is possible to compute flow data (permits issued), as the date on which the permit was issued is recorded by the AZR. The date until which the permit is valid is also entered, so that the length of validity can also be determined. As of 1st January 2005, data on former permits are no longer overwritten but will be stored in an historical database. The changes, however, will only be successively and possibly never fully implemented, since the changes are only fully effective in regard to new permits issued. In principle, however, the data required by the EU Regulation on permits will thus be available at least for those permits issued under the new Immigration Act. 6 Before September 2004, the register was under the authority of the Federal Office for Administration. 7 There is however evidence that data stored by the regional Foreigners Authorities differ from regional data in the AZR. 423 T H E S I M B.4. Statistics on asylum seekers The Federal Office for Migration and Refugees publishes monthly asylum statistics, containing statistics on the asylum applications submitted during the reference period (preceding month), and detailed statistics of asylum applications, decisions, and unresolved cases administered on an annual base. For statistical purposes, there is a separate database - data warehouse system IDE (Intelligente Datenevaluation/ Intelligent Data Evaluation). It is a ‘live system’ and is used to produce cumulative statistics. It records three types of information: stocks of pending applications, applications (flow) and decisions (flow). When the system was launched, an initial stock of pending applications was entered which is continuously adjusted by the two flows (applications and decisions) recorded by the system. As IDE/MARiS stores historical data and persons are identified by an individual code, it is now possible for statistical purpose to trace persons through the procedure and undertake longitudinal analyses. Every asylum case, including manifestly unfounded cases should be entered into the system. Due to legal constraints, there are some differences of definition in regard to the data required by the EU Regulation. As an example, the definition of a minor asylum seeker only includes minors under the age of 16. Nevertheless, the MARiS/IDE database would in theory allow provide figures by minors under eighteen, as requested by the EU Regulation. Both withdrawals of applications and termination of a procedure on other grounds (e.g. if the alien disappears) automatically result in a negative decision. However, the MARiS database could easily be reorganised to distinguish withdrawals of applications, termination of procedures and negative decisions on substantive grounds. Since 1993, asylum seekers are required to register with the local population registers and are thus normally included in both immigration statistics (flows) and population statistics (stocks). If a person leaves the country and reports his or her departure to the local population offices, he or she will also be included in the emigration statistics and excluded from the stock. However, it is unclear, to what extent persons voluntarily leaving the country after a negative asylum decision or will report their departure to the local population register. Similarly, it is not clear whether expulsion or deportation will automatically lead to deregistration from the population register. 424 Country Report: Germany B.5. Statistics on acquisitions of citizenship Statistics on acquisition of citizenship produced by DESTATIS are based on the records of the local naturalisation authorities. Statistics are published annually, referring to the calendar year. The way in which data on naturalisation is collected has changed frequently during the last one and half decades or so, resulting in several data breaks. Naturalisation statistics have been given a legal basis only in 2000. The 2000 reform also determined the variables to be collected. Statistics are available by former nationality and, if applicable, nationalities retained after naturalisation, legal basis of acquisition (all grounds can currently be distinguished), age, sex, residence at naturalisation and duration of residence in Germany. From 2005 onwards an additional variable on age upon entry in Germany should be available. Accordingly all variables requested by the EU Regulation are available. Ackowledgements Particular thanks are due to Harald Lederer from the Federal Office for Migration and Refugees, who coordinated the preparation of the THESIM meeting, held in Nüremberg on 16th December 2004. Thanks also to Claire Grobecker (DESTATIS) and Klaus Trutzel (City of Nüremberg) for their comments and corrections to this country report. 425 Country Report Estonia Anne Herm A. Administrative sources and procedures A.1. Registration of the resident population The database for recording and maintaining basic information on the resident population of Estonia is the Population Register (Rahvastikuregister). This centralised administrative database for the registration of the population has been in effect since 2001, although the data collection started in 1994. The authority responsible for organising the registration of the resident population and for maintaining the Population Register is the Population Facts Department under the Ministry of Internal Affairs. 202 rural municipalities named vald, 39 urban municipalities named linn are responsible for the registration of births and deaths and for updating the place of residence of their own population. In addition the Citizenship and Migration Board under the Ministry of Internal Affairs sends information on changes of citizenship and issues of personal documents, including residence permits, to the Population Register. Basic information on the resident population of Estonia is recorded in the Population Register. There is also information on all persons living abroad who have been granted Estonian citizenship since 19921. Newborn children are systematically registered and therefore are attributed a personal identity code while records on all dead persons are systematically deactivated and transferred to the archive. In the Population Register a personal identity code is attributed to everybody and this code is widely used for 1 For these persons the list of demographic variables is very limited and the coverage is unsatisfactory. Estonian citizens living abroad are recorded in the Population Register in two cases: (i) when they previously had their place of residence in Estonia and have declared their emigration when leaving the country; (ii) when a citizen of Estonia (by birth or by descent) living aboard has been issued Estonian passport (this person may have never had the place of residence in Estonia). T H E S I M identification purposes. Immigrants and emigrants are registered when they declare their new place of residence in the country, when arriving from abroad, or their next place of residence abroad when emigrating. For aliens who need a residence permit the registration and the attribution of PIN are based on information received from the Citizenship and Migration Board but inclusion in the resident population will only be effective when a place of residence is declared. According to the General Part of the Civil Code Act a permanent resident in Estonia is defined as an Estonian citizen or an alien who has a permanent residence permit, both residing in Estonia for at least 183 days a year. However this definition is not currently implemented for registration of the person’s place of residence in the Population Register. The place of residence recorded in the Population Register is unique and is considered as being the legal place of residence although it may differ from that where person lives. Only since July 2005 has everybody been required to register within 30 days any change of residence including leaving the country or returning from abroad. As far as coverage is concerned, the basic data used for building the Population Register in 2001 were taken from an existing centralised database of population, the quality of which was questionable. That caused obvious coverage problems concerning both identification of the resident population and recorded demographic variables. Checks are currently carried out in order to improve the coverage and overall reliability of the Population Register. A.2. Registration of international migrations The registration of international immigrations and emigrations is based on self-declaration by the concerned person when arriving in the country or leaving for abroad. In practice, the registration of immigration is different for Estonian citizens returning to Estonia and for foreigners entering in the country. Estonian citizens who had their previous place of residence abroad and returned to Estonia will be registered in the new municipality of residence without any requirements on the intended duration of stay. The form for notifying international migration is the same as for internal migration (Notification of the place of residence). This form will be filled-in at the local municipality at the place of destination in Estonia. Thereafter the new place of residence will be added to the basic information already recorded for this person in 428 Country Report: Estonia the Population Register. The individual will then have a legal place of residence in Estonia. For a foreigner who receives a residence permit from the Citizenship and Migration Board, basic data (name, date of birth, place of birth and citizenship) are transferred to the Population Register when the residence permit is issued. Thereafter this foreigner must, within 30 days, declare his or her place of residence in Estonia to the Population Register. Data on ethnic nationality, mother tongue, educational level and activity status may also be recorded upon agreement. Marital status and family relations will be recorded only if the Estonian civil registration authority has registered a marriage, divorce or birth of child. After declaration of the place of residence in Estonia the foreigner will be a legal resident of Estonia and the corresponding international immigration will be acknowledged. An Estonian citizen or a foreigner who leaves the country in order to live abroad must notify their emigration to the local municipality where they were registered in Estonia or at the consulate abroad using the same notification form. The records of this person will be kept active in the Population Register but the place of residence will be changed indicating that the person is not a resident of Estonia. When living abroad temporarily, a person may keep his or her place of residence in Estonia but may give a contact address abroad which is recorded in the Population Register. This person will still be considered as part of the legal resident population of Estonia. For any change of address, including those related to international migration, there are no requirements on the minimum length of stay in the country or abroad except that the person concerned must register the new place of residence no later than 30 days after settlement. The registration of place of residence abroad may involve some financial and social disadvantages but it is a precondition for receiving consular services abroad. Most Estonians living abroad are not deregistered and are still part of the resident population. For foreigners with a temporary residence permit it may be possible to live in Estonia without being registered in the Population Register, except that they must have the place of residence in Estonia recorded in the Population Register when applying for an extension of the residence permit. A.3. Registration of Aliens The Citizenship and Migration Board under the Ministry of Internal Affairs is the responsible authority for organising the State Register of 429 T H E S I M Residence and Work Permits (Elamis- ja töölubade register). It also maintains Visa Register and supplies on-line access to these registers for Estonian consulates abroad and to its own regional service offices. The Register of Residence and Work Permits is based on all residence permit applications and includes the decision taken about the issue of the residence permit and historical data on previously issued permits. A personal identity code (PIN) is attributed to every person in the register (the same as that in Population Register). This PIN allows the linkage of residence permits issued to the same person. The contents of data differ according to the type of permit the alien applies for and the purpose of the intended stay in the country. This register is not directly linked to the Population Register but the information is systematically transferred to the Population Register in order to receive a PIN for a new residence permit holder and to supply the Population Register with information about the issued document. From 2002 residence permit holders may receive an ID card that indicates the possession of a residence permit. This information is also transferred to the Population Register. Residence permits for EEA citizensand for citizens of other countries are granted differently: For EEA citizens residence permits are generally issued with a validity of up to five years. These residence permits are renewable. However, if the EEA citizen is employed in another Member State of the European Union or if he or she is a seasonal worker in Estonia he or she may live in Estonia without a residence permit. Unemployed persons may stay without residence permits for up to six months for the purpose of seeking employment if they have registered that they are seeking employment. For non-EEA citizens, two types of residence permits are issued: fixed-term (temporary) residence permit and permanent residence permit. The fixed-term residence permit may be issued with a maximum validity of up to five years. Fixed-term residence permits may be extended if the same reason is continuous. A permanent residence permit may be issued to a non-EEA citizen who has resided in Estonia on the basis of a fixed-term residence permit for at least three years within the last five years and who has a valid fixedterm residence permit, an effective residence in Estonia (registered in the Population Register) and a permanent legal income for subsistence in Estonia. Permanent residence permits are not issued to aliens who have received a residence permit in Estonia for employment, for establishing enterprise or for study. 430 Country Report: Estonia As a rule, the first residence permit should be applied for from abroad, but there are number of exceptions (citizens of visa-free countries and aliens who settled in Estonia before 1st July 1990) in which a person may apply in Estonia at a regional department of the Citizenship and Migration Board. A residence permit holder who resides in Estonia and wishes to stay outside Estonia longer than 183 days a year must register his or her stay outside at the Citizenship and Migration Board in order to keep the validity of the residence permit. For some countries of citizenship the number of aliens who are allowed to settle in Estonia is limited with an annual immigration quota, which shall not exceed 0.05 per cent of the permanent population of Estonia. This quota does not apply to EEA citizens and those of United States of America, Norway, Iceland, Switzerland and Japan and some other third-country nationals under specific circumstances. A.4. Registration of asylum The Citizenship and Migration Board is also the responsible authority on all matters related to asylum requests. It maintains the appropriate databases including all persons who applied for asylum and who have been granted a refugee status. An asylum seeker may submit an application at a border checkpoint when entering Estonia or ex-post at the Citizenship and Migration Board. The normal procedure may result in the following positive decisions: asylum granted on the basis of the Geneva Convention (Convention Refugee status); issuance of a residence permit on humanitarian grounds. In both cases a fixed-term residence permit with a period of validity of up to two years will be issued. In all negative decisions, the rejection or refusal includes an order to leave Estonia immediately. Apart from the asylum procedure there is a possibility to receive temporary protection for a specified period of time in case of a mass influx of displaced persons. An asylum seeker may appeal against the negative decision on his application to the Administrative Court in Tallinn, after that to the District Court (II level) and to the Supreme Court (III level) and all subsequent decisions are also registered in the asylum database. After having been granted Convention refugee status or a humanitarian protection status and having received a fixed-term residence permit, the person has to declare his or her place of residence to the Population Register. 431 T H E S I M A.5. Registration of acquisition of citizenship The Citizenship and Migration Board under the Ministry of the Internal Affairs is responsible for processing applications Estonian citizenship. Information on applicants and decisions to grant or remove Estonian citizenship are recorded in the Database of persons who have applied for the acquisition or restoration of Estonian Citizenship. After the Republic of Estonia was restored in 1991, the 1938 citizenship law of Estonia was restored. Citizenship was restored or granted to those who had been citizens prior to the occupation of Estonia by Soviet Union and to their descendants. In 1995 a new Citizenship Act entered into force that introduced new rules for acquiring Estonian citizenship by birth, naturalisation or other procedures. The purpose of this act was to enable aliens permanently living in Estonia to acquire Estonian citizenship. The right to acquire Estonian citizenship by naturalisation applies to persons who are at least fifteen years old, have stayed in Estonia on the basis of a permanent residence permit for at least five years and fulfil other cultural and linguistic conditions stated by the Law. Dual citizenship is prohibited by law. A person, who in addition to the Estonian citizenship acquires another citizenship by birth, has to waive either Estonian or the other citizenship within three years after he or she attains the age of eighteen. There are a number of citizens of the former USSR staying in Estonia since 20th August 1991 who have no right to Estonian citizenship by birth or by descent. These persons remain ‘persons whose citizenship is not determined’ until they have applied for Estonian citizenship or another one (and have informed the Estonian authorities). These persons must apply for a residence permit. However, on request they may be granted an Estonian aliens' passport for foreign travel purposes — so-called ‘grey passport’. An amendment act adopted in 1998 gave the right to obtain citizenship to children born in Estonia after 26th February 1992 who do not have citizenship of another state, if their parents (or single parent or adoptive parent) are stateless or ‘persons whose citizenship has not determined’ and have been residents in the country for no less than five years. 432 Country Report: Estonia B. Producing statistics requested by the EU Regulation B.1. Statistics on the population with usual residence in the country The Statistical Office of Estonia (Statistikaanmet) is responsible for organising Population and Housing Censuses and producing population estimates between successive censuses. The last Population and Housing Census carried out on 31st March 2000, was the first independent census after World War II and followed a traditional enumeration method. The census was carried out for statistical purposes, independently of the Population Register and other administrative registers. The statistical definition of the population with usual residence in Estonia is related to the census definition for the determination of the usually resident population at the census date. The concept of the ‘usual residence’ was based on minimum duration of stay or intended duration of stay in the country of at least one year. This definition is different from the definition currently used in the Population Register. Diplomatic staff of the Republic of Estonia and their family members, who were in mission abroad at the moment of the Census, were also considered among the usually resident population of Estonia. Annual population estimates are based on census data and adjusted by data on births and deaths. Migrations are not used because of very low reliability and accordingly the population figure is overestimated in annual estimates as international emigrations exceed international immigrations. However, the definition used for determination of place of residence of a newborn or dead person is based on the abovepresented rules of registration of place of residence in the Population Register and not the census definition. This introduces an additional bias in annual population estimates. An asylum seeker will only be counted in the usual resident population when a residence permit has been granted (whatever the duration) and after the registration of the place of residence in the Population Register. Annual estimates of population are produced and data published on age and sex structure and on ethnic composition of the population. The distribution by citizenship and country of birth is published only as census results on 31st March 2000. Before the 2000 Census there was no data source for the distribution of total population by citizenship. The more recent data based on the total number of valid residence permits holders are quite close to the census results on non-nationals. This indicates the future possibility of estimating 433 T H E S I M the annual stock of non-nationals using information on valid residence permit holders. Discrepancies may be found in the figures on the population with foreign citizenship proposed in the international databases. These discrepancies result from the fact that persons who had not determined their Estonian citizenship or other country’s citizenship for the time of census were included as aliens in the census figure, but may have been excluded from non-nationals in other data sources. B.2 Statistics on international migrations The Statistical Office of Estonia is also responsible for producing statistics on international migration flows. The data source for migration data is the Population Register, where place of residence is updated by the notifications of the place of residence recorded in local municipalities. Statistical Office receives every month an electronic file with all records in the Population Register on persons who have registered a new place of residence, including those who have arrived from abroad or left the country. The following variables are included for international migration: personal identity code, date of registration of new place of residence, new place of residence in Estonia and country of origin for immigrant, last place of residence in Estonia and country of destination for emigrants, citizenship and information on residence and work permit. There is no specific selection made for determination of migration events among the changes of place of residence from and to foreign country. All such changes of residence are considered as international migrations. It is possible to restrict definition of migration event based on one-year intended duration for aliens according to validity of residence permit, but it is not possible to implement this UN recommended definition on citizens on Estonia. However because of the low reliability this migration data is currently not published neither used for the adjustment of the annual figure of the usual population of Estonia. Variables requested by the EU Regulation are generally available in the Population Register and the requested distribution of migration events may be easily produced given satisfactory data quality. Data on migration based on the analysis of registered migrations for 1992-1999 were published and presented in the databases (including the Eurostat database). Nevertheless these were declared unreliable following the results of the 2000 Population Census. Data from receiving or sending countries may be compared with the same flows registered in Estonia and as 434 Country Report: Estonia a rule the Estonian figures are much smaller than those collected in the country of origin or destination2. B.3. Statistics on residence permits The Estonian Citizenship and Migration Board produces statistics on residence permits based on the data included in the Register of Residence and Work permits. There is no special statistical definition or method of selection used for providing statistics so that the Estonian data appear as they are directly extracted from the Register. However the data requested by international bodies are usually extracted according to a specific data request. Statistics on residence permits are produced annually and quarterly. These data present information about applications and decisions and on the population with valid residence permits. Annual statistical data have been published since 1998 and more detailed data have been compiled since 2003 on a quarterly base for internal use of the Citizenship and Migration Board. A selection has been made by type of residence permit (temporary and permanent residence permits) and the grounds for issuing (family reunification, employment, study, legal income, foreign agreement). Up to now no statistics have been presented separately on first temporary residence permits and extensions or first temporary permit for a person (regardless of the grounds) and subsequent permits issued to the same person. The variables of sex, year of birth, country of birth, citizenship, date of entry and reason for stay are collected but data are not currently published. All variables required by the EU Regulation are collected in the Register of Residence and Work Permits and the production of tables will be possible following some technical solutions. The issuance of residence permits is not automatically considered as immigration in Estonia even if data on the person and the residence permit are transferred to the Population Register immediately after a positive decision has been taken. The person is considered as having immigrated only after notification of the place of residence at local municipality for the Population Register. 2 Both immigration and emigration flows registered in Estonia compile only 50-60 percent of the total number of the same flows registered in the countries of origin or destination. 435 T H E S I M B.4. Statistics on asylum seekers The Citizenship and Migration Board produces statistics on asylum seekers. Numbers of asylum applicants and asylum decisions are very low in Estonia. As a consequence, the statistical information on asylum is limited but as the required variables are collected, all statistics may be produced according to requirements of the EU Regulation. The problem of privacy has to be considered as most cells have less than five persons when the data are cross-tabulated. Asylum seekers who are granted asylum are included in the immigration statistics and the population figure, after issuance of the residence permit and notification of the place of residence at local municipality where the person intends to live. If the person leaves the country he or she should be included in the emigration statistics and excluded from the population number when they notify their change of residence at the local municipality. Asylum seekers who leave the country after a negative decision or before a decision is taken are never considered among immigrants and emigrants. B.5. Statistics on acquisitions of citizenship The Citizenship and Migration Board produces statistics on acquisition and loss of citizenship and these are published by Statistical Office of Estonia. The source for that information is the Database on Persons applying for Estonian Citizenship or Renovation of Estonian Citizenship and Database on Persons who have Renounced Estonian Citizenship. Data on changes of citizenship are based on decisions on acquisition of citizenship by naturalisation and on acceptance of renunciation of Estonian citizenship by the Citizenship and Migration Board. Data on acquisition and loss of citizenship are produced annually and monthly, disaggregated by former and next citizenship. Ackowledgements The THESIM meeting was successfully organised in Tallinn on 25th November 2004 under the responsibility of Professor Kalev Katus of the EKDK. Comments and corrections to this report from the members of the Migration and Citizenship Board were gratefully received. 436 Country Report Greece Giambattista Cantisani and Valeria Greco A. Administrative sources and procedures A.1. Registration of the resident population In Greece a Civil Register (Dimotologio) is held in each of the 121 municipalities under the overall responsibility of Ministry of the Interior, Public Administration and Decentralisation. The Civil Register includes information on all Greek citizens according to their place (municipality) of birth or, if different, their municipality of registration. The first inscription in the Civil Register is normally done in the municipality of birth. It is usual for parents to declare their recently born child in the municipality where they live, even if they are registered in another. The child may later ask to change this place of registration in the Civil Register. Accordingly the place of registration in the Civil Register is usually the place of birth or place of origin and this is the sign of family and cultural links. A large number of Greek citizens, mainly those living in large cities, are not registered there but in villages or remote islands, where they return for electoral purposes. The system completely excludes non-nationals living in the country even those who are born in the country. The local Civil Registers are not centralised at national level, however evaluation and procedures on legislative and technical aspects are in progress towards such a new centralised system. The Police (Ministry of Public Order) already hold a centralised individual database mostly used for the issuance of identity cards. Even if ID cards are compulsory, this database is unfortunately not accurate and covers only Greek citizens (all personal elements of identity are recorded including the address of permanent residence, the date of issuance of the card, etc). ID cards must be renewed every ten years. T H E S I M A.2. Registration of international migrations Greek citizens who move permanently to a new place of usual residence are not required to change their municipality of registration or to report their departure to the Civil Register. In fact, there are neither regulations nor forms for reporting these changes of residence. People tend to stay registered in their place of origin for sentimental reasons and practical advantages even if the change of place of registration is allowed and may occur. The same situation is valid for international migrations that are therefore not recorded. A.3. Registration of Aliens In 1997 and 2001 regularisation operations for undocumented immigrants took place in Greece. Under the second regularisation approximately 350,000 foreigners were granted temporary residence permits. In addition to the regularisation, the Immigration Act (Law 2910/2001) and its amendments established a new legal framework for admission and residence, acquisition of citizenship and integration of foreigners. According to the latest legislative provisions, residence permits, and other titles for foreigners legally residing in Greece, are now mostly administrated by the Ministry of the Interior, Public Administration and Decentralisation, where the Directorate of Aliens and Migration is the responsible authority for the planning and formulation of the migration policy for legal migrants. A new system regulates the legal residence in the country of third-country nationals who are granted a residence permit. The law does not apply to EU citizens, asylum seekers and refugees or persons of dual citizenship who are considered to be Greek, or other persons of Greek ethnicity, such as immigrants from the former Soviet Union (Greek Pontiaks) or of Albanian ethnicity. All these categories basically fall under the responsibility of the Ministry of Public Order. For third-country nationals the relevant provisions of the Schengen acquis regulate the entry in Greece for short-term visits. Schengen visas are normally issued with a validity of three months. The 2001 immigration law regulates the entry of the same persons for long-term purposes. This establishes the various purposes for entry as well as the procedure issuing the relevant visas. In principle, third-country nationals wishing to enter Greece for long-term purposes first need to obtain the national visa (type D) and subsequently have to apply for the relevant residence permit after 438 Country Report: Greece entering the national territory. A temporary residence permit may be granted for the following reasons: working as employees (one year permit, renewable); self-employment (two years, renewable); seasonal work (the residence permit is granted for six months); family reunification (one year, renewable following the course of the third-country national residence permit); studies and professional training (one year, renewable); family members of Greek or EU citizens (five years); directors/administrators and personnel of companies (one year, renewable); sports activities (one year, renewable); other reasons such as for scientific, research, humanitarian purposes, the clergy, reasons of public interest, etc.). In this case permits are granted for one year and may be renewed. A foreigner who is already in the country and who wishes to be granted a residence permit needs to submit an application to the municipality or commune of domicile or residence at least two months before expiration of the visa. The local authority examines the completeness of the supporting documents and transmits all to the Aliens and Immigration Directorate of the region. This service examines the application within one month of its receipt and, after taking into account reasons concerning public order and security of the country through a request to the Police, invites the alien to an interview with the Immigration Committee. Then, the residence permit is granted by resolution of the Secretary General of the Region based on the opinion of the Immigration Committee, with the exception of residence permits for ‘other reasons’ which are granted by joint decision of the different ministries. A foreigner who intends to enter Greece for work and residence must apply to the Greek consular authority and employment offices operating in his/her own country. In fact, the system for immigration is based on annual quotas of temporary work permits to be granted every year per citizenship, kind and duration of employment and further other conditions for each region of the country. A residence permit of indefinite duration may be issued to third-country nationals having legally resided in Greece for an uninterrupted period of ten years. EEA citizens as well as nationals of selected countries such as the United States, may freely enter Greece and stay for three months overall within a time period of six months starting from the date of first entry. Thereafter a residence permit for a EEA citizen will be granted for a period of five years. This permit is renewable. 439 T H E S I M For ethnic Greeks with foreign citizenship (mostly Albanian citizens with Greek origin) a special identity card is issued and used as residence permits for a period of five years that is renewable. There are three distinct databases for the registration of aliens, each of them related to a specific group of persons an Aliens Register for third-country nationals legally residing in Greece (Mitroou Allodapon); a file for special identity cards issued to ethnic Greeks with foreign citizenship in which are included ethnic Greeks with foreign citizenship (mostly Albanian citizens of Greek origin); a file for residence permits issued to EEA citizens. Basic characteristics of third-country nationals legally residing in the country with a residence permit are recorded in the Aliens Register, the central database at the Ministry of the Interior, Public Administration and Decentralisation. This database is continually updated with personal information available from the regional databases. There is no procedure for deregistration from the database when the permit holder leaves Greece. On the other hand, the departure of each foreigner holding a residence permit is recorded at the border crossing point, though there is no indication of a provisional or permanent exit or the type of permit originally issued. External sources consider the management of the Aliens Register held by the Ministry of the Interior to be of a very high standard, with minimal double counts and efficient crosschecking of data. However, there are different approaches in the periodicity of updating from the regional offices to the central database. In particular, the central database is continuously updated but it is not fixed at any point in time, as regional administrators may enter data at any time referring to a permit issued several months before. Thus, extractions from the database with a recent reference date or period may be unreliable. The Police (Ministry of Public Order) register EEA citizens and foreigners of Greek origin. EEA citizens with the intention of working, first need to register with the Department of Social Inspection of the Ministry of Employment. Information is recorded on separate databases by the service granting permission for all the different types of permits. Each registration includes all the identifying elements and other information in terms of individual records with a specific assigned number. Some information is registered and coded for security reasons and to facilitate both registration and searches. Third-country nationals and EEA citizens holding any type of residence permit will not be registered in the municipality Civil Registers. 440 Country Report: Greece A.4. Registration of asylum According to the Greek Aliens Act, last revised in 1999, an applicant for asylum may lodge their request at the airport, seaport, and land border or within the country. There is no inadmissibility clause. All requests for asylum are examined, either under the accelerated or the normal procedure. In the accelerated procedure the application must be examined the same day. This procedure is applied for airports and seaports. The accelerated procedure is also followed for land border applications and in-country applications if: the claim is judged manifestly unfounded; the applicant comes from a safe third country. The remaining applications are dealt with in the normal procedure. In the accelerated procedure, the first instance decision is taken by the Head of Police Security and Order Division of the Ministry of Public Order. In the normal procedure it is taken by the by the Secretary General of this ministry. In the accelerated procedure the possible outcomes are: positive, Convention status, including a renewable five-year identity card and residence permit; positive, humanitarian status, including a one-year renewable special residence card; negative, with an order to leave the country; not suitable for this procedure and transferred to the normal procedure. In the normal procedure the possible outcomes are: positive, Convention status, including a renewable five-year identity card and residence permit; positive, humanitarian status, including a one-year renewable special residence card; negative, with an order to leave the country. Apart from the asylum procedure, Greek law also recognises the possibility of granting temporary protection for a specified period of time to a group of aliens in case of a mass influx of displaced persons. However, the decision on the exact scope of this provision is still to be taken. When a claim is rejected under the accelerated procedure, the applicant can appeal to the Secretary General of the Ministry of Public Order within ten days. After a hearing before the Appeals Board Committee, the second instance decision must be taken within 30 days. However, for those in the transit zones of airports and seaports the deadlines are reduced by half. Under the normal procedure, the applicant can appeal a negative decision at the Minister of Public Order within 30 days of notification of the 441 T H E S I M decision. The Minister should take the second instance decision within 90 days of the appeal’s date of submission. This decision is also taken on the basis of a recommendation of the Appeals Board Committee. Under both procedures, a further appeal can be made to the supreme administrative court, the Council of State. However, the case will then only be reviewed to determine the legality of the procedure followed (in a judicial review). After the granting of special humanitarian refugee status, no appeal or review procedures exist. The Alien Law, which came into effect in June 2001, stipulates that asylum seekers processed under the accelerated procedure, can be detained in a border transit zone for up to fifteen days. Those that cannot be removed can be held in custody for up to three months. In February 2004, the first statute specifying the conditions for legal aid for aliens came into force, but this does not apply to asylum litigation. A.5. Registration of acquisition of citizenship There are three levels of registration of acquisitions of citizenship: a central level at Ministry of the Interior regarding naturalisation cases, a regional level regarding selected naturalisations and a local one regarding acquisitions based on grounds such as adoption or recognition of children. In any case all naturalised persons must be recorded in the Civil Register of a Greek municipality. According to the last regulation, Greek citizenship may be acquired as follows, including the main cases: By birth: - A child born to a Greek citizen acquires Greek citizenship. A person born in Greece acquires Greek citizenship provided that he/she does not acquire a foreign citizenship by birth or that he/she is of unknown citizenship. By adoption (limited to minors). By legitimisation (recognition): - A foreigner born out of wedlock who is legitimised by a Greek citizen becomes Greek as from the date of legitimisation, if at that time he/she has not attained legal age (eighteen). By naturalisation: - Naturalisation may be granted to foreign citizens who have reached the age of eighteen at the time of submission of the application and who have no criminal record. In addition, a 442 Country Report: Greece person of non-Greek origin must have been legally resident in Greece for a total of ten out of the twelve years preceding the application; the spouse of a Greek national, a stateless person or a foreigner who has been recognized as a refugee only need a fiveyear residence. In the above-required period the time spent in Greece as a diplomatic agent or administrative officer of a foreign country cannot be included. The residence requirement does not apply to persons who were born and live in Greece and to some ethnic Greeks abroad (e.g.: a second generation Greek migrant to USA staying there). Greek Pontiaks first need to have their special ethnic status recognised and then access the country for the purpose of requesting Greek citizenship. A second case, under specific provisions means that ethnic Greeks of Albanian citizenship generally have no access to Greek citizenship. The application for naturalisation is submitted to the authorities of the town or village in which the foreigner lives or resides. In the case of a person of Greek ethnic origin, resident abroad, the application is submitted to the consular authority of their country of residence and it is then transmitted to the Ministry of the Interior. Naturalisation takes place following a decision of the Minister of the Interior. Ethnic Greek Pontiaks can get Greek citizenship with a decision taken by the Secretary General of Region and not from the Minister of the Interior. Each naturalised person must be recorded in the Civil Register of the municipality of residence after making a declaration of loyalty. People applying from abroad will be recorded in the local Civil Register of the Greek municipality they will mention in their application. B. Producing statistics requested by the EU Regulation B.1. Statistics on the population with usual residence in the country The decennial Population Census is the unique statistical source for population stocks. The last Population Census was held on 18th March 2001 under the responsibility of the National Statistical Service of Greece (NSSG). The census enumerated all nationals and non-nationals who were present on the census day (de facto population) and all Greeks citizens registered in municipal Civil Registers and living temporarily abroad (these are still part of the de jure population even if the duration of stay abroad is indefinite). 443 T H E S I M Data on the usually resident population by citizenship and by country of birth is available at census time in 2001. There may be a problem in the census enumeration of persons having a Greek background, resulting from the possible misunderstanding or misreporting of the ethnic and migration questions. For example, ethnic Greeks could have answered that they were Greek irrespective of their citizenship or type of residence permission. The NSSG estimates annually the total population based on census data, recorded vital events and estimated net migration. However the proposed figures do not included the basic distinction between nationals and nonnationals. Up to 1997, permit statistics allowed produce a distribution of the foreign population by citizenship on the basis of the valid residence permits (first permits issued the year before plus renewed permits) but the published data were unreliable and not comparable in time. For recent years the data extracted from residence permits’ files resulted in undercounting in comparison with the census results and are therefore not valid1. B.2 Statistics on international migrations Until 2000, the NSSG proposed statistics on international migration based on data on the residence permits provided by the Ministry of Public Order. From 2001, with the new organisation of responsibilities, the NSSG should compile statistics on the basis of residence permit data provided by both the Ministry of Public Order and the Ministry of the Interior, in order to cover all international migrants. This new data collection is not yet operational, reflecting the difficulties faced by the Ministry of the Interior in the implementation of the regularisation and the introduction of the new decentralised procedure. In future it is expected that the combination of data from the two above-mentioned Ministries will allow the production of reliable and comparable statistics on international immigrants. These are defined as foreigners entering Greece in the given year who have been granted a first issue residence permit. Greek citizens will not be included. Data from the Ministry of the Interior do not cover country of birth or country of previous residence. Data on emigration will not be available either for citizens or for foreigners. 1 Previously, data on the foreign population based on residence permits, were provided by the Ministry of Interior, which should continue to do so. However it is not clear if the Ministry of Public Order may provide data on ethnic Greeks with foreign citizenship and the other categories of persons under its competence especially EEA citizens. 444 Country Report: Greece B.3. Statistics on residence permits The Ministry of the Interior is the authority responsible for statistical data on residence permits of third-country nationals legally residing in Greece and the Ministry of Public Order is responsible for data on asylum seekers granted permission, ethnic Greeks with foreign citizenship (mostly Albanian citizens) and EEA citizens. As explained above there are separate databases for every type of permit held by the two above-mentioned authorities. Statistical data are different according to the two types of residence permits. Data concerning residence permits for third-country nationals have been available since July 2003 for a reference date or a reference period while the data for other groups of foreigners are produced periodically for official purposes only. Data on permits (valid at a given date or granted in a reference period) may be extracted according to one or more variables such as sex, age/date of birth, citizenship, permit type and duration, change of reason/type, number of dependent children, region of residence. This should respect the requirements of the EU Regulation. However some information such as the status of an expired permit under renewal, the order number of the permit (first permit or renewal), the date of first legal entry are not recorded, and thus some persons waiting for renewal of residence permits could not be counted in the statistics. Greece has not yet implemented the EU directive on long-term residence for EU citizens and thus permit data for this category of foreigners are not yet available. Data on special permits granted to ethnic Greeks with foreign citizenship (almost all Albanian citizens) are not produced by the Ministry of Public Order. B.4. Statistics on asylum seekers The authority responsible for processing asylum statistics is the Ministry of Public Order (including its aliens-, security- and police sub-directorates). Data on asylum inflows during a reference period, the number of pending asylum applications on a reference date and selected information on decisions during a reference period (number of Dublin clients by citizenship, grants of refugee status by instance and citizenship, withdrawals of refugee status by citizenship, and grants of subsidiary protection status by instance and citizenship) are published, or there are plans to do so. Data are available on a monthly basis, even though certain tables are provided on a quarterly or annual basis. Other information requested in the EU Regulation 445 T H E S I M on this topic (i.e. further types of data on asylum decisions) is not available or not applicable. B.5. Statistics on acquisitions of citizenship Greek statistics on acquisitions of citizenship refer to the calendar year and are produced once a year. These statistics cover only the cases of naturalisations directly granted by the Ministry of the Interior. Therefore, statistics presumably include the naturalisations of persons living abroad and exclude the naturalisations of some categories of persons living in Greece like Greek Pontiaks granted at regional level and those persons granted citizenship by the municipalities on grounds such as adoption or legitimisation of minors. Due to the decentralised nature of data collection the overall count will be unreliable because of different procedures adopted by the regions for the cases under their competence. It is not possible to provide annually detailed tabulations by previous country of citizenship of naturalised persons. Ackowledgements Particular thanks are due to Costas Kanellopoulos and the members of the Greek EMN-NCP (KEPE), who coordinated the preparation of the THESIM meeting, held in Athens on 5th November 2004, as well as the collection of comments and corrections to this country report. 446 Country Report Spain Yves Breem and Xavier Thierry A. Administrative sources and procedures A.1. Registration of the resident population The resident population is registered in local population registers, the Padrón. Since 1996, the legislation was modified, making it compulsory for the 8108 municipalities to computerise their registers and for the National Institute of Statistics under the Ministry of Economy and Finances (Instituto Nacional de Estadistica, INE) to coordinate them, thus avoiding duplicates (when someone is registered in several municipalities). This new system is called Padrón Continuo because of its monthly updating and therefore permanent nature. Hence, the town councils manage their local Padrón and forward to the INE the variations (incorporations, withdrawals and modifications of addresses within the municipality or other individual characteristics) occurred during the prior month. This exchange of information takes place using interchange files, either directly by the Internet or through local centres of the INE. As coordinators of local registers, INE compiles these variations in a computerised database called ‘Coordination File of Local Population Registers’ (Fichero de Coordinación de los Padrones municipales). In principle, municipalities have to check if their Padrón reflects the real composition of the resident population, but in fact the current management system of local registers is quite recent and comparison with the 2001 Census showed some discrepancies. The Padrón represents the de jure population. Everybody who resides in Spain is obliged to register in the municipality in which he/she habitually resides. Registration gives access to health insurance, schools, social allowances and (for Spanish citizens only), the right to vote. No unique PIN is attributed. People are identified through different personal numbers: ID card Number (DNI for Spanish citizens over fourteen years of age), Foreign Identity Number (NIE), Passport Number, and ID card Number of the T H E S I M country of citizenship for EEA citizens. In the case of a change of residence, people are also identified through their family name. This can cause some technical problems if an attempt is made to to avoid double counting. A person can only be a resident of one municipality. Anyone who lives in several municipalities shall, by law, be registered only in the one in which he/she has spent more time during the year. The registration of all foreigners is independent of their legal residence status in Spain. To be allowed to register, foreigners should have a proof of their residence in the municipality and their residence permit, or passport if they haven’t one. Migrants in an illegal situation and asylum seekers may also register themselves in the Padrón. The practical advantages linked to this registration increase the number of self-declarations of residence. By a new law coming into force at the end of 2003, third-country nationals who do not have a permanent residence right have to attest their presence in the municipality each two years. However this law does not apply to EEA citizens and its consequences on the updating of the Padrón have not yet been assessed. A.2. Registration of international migrations All international migrations of nationals and non-nationals should be recorded and all people arriving in Spain must present themselves to their local municipality to be registered. No intended duration of stay is requested for registration as and ‘immigrant’. A Spanish citizen leaving the country has to declare his/her change of address at the Spanish Consulate abroad, which has to communicate this information to the INE through the Foreign Ministry. Based on this information, the Population Register for Spaniards residing abroad (Padrón Espanol Residente Extranjeros, PERE) is kept by INE and connected with the Padrón. The PERE includes most Spanish diplomats on mission abroad). When someone records themselves in this PERE, INE communicates it to the previous municipality and their record is removed from their local Padrón. In case of return to Spain, they will automatically be deregistered from the PERE after registration in the Padrón of the new municipality of residence. No intended duration of absence is required for registration as an ‘emigrant’. Apart from diplomats, all Spanish citizens registered in the PERE are no longer considered as part of the de jure population. If a third-country citizen moves abroad, they must declare their change of residence to the municipality of departure. There is a problem of undercoverage of foreigners who leave the country. 448 Country Report: Spain The date of registration/deregistration (not the date of the event) is recorded. A.3. Registration of Aliens The Directorate-General of the Police (Ministry of the Interior) is responsible for the Central Register of Foreigners (Registro de Extranjeros Residentes, ADEXTRA). The ADEXTRA contains the applications for, and grants or refusals of, residence permits, student permits and work permits. It also includes people who are found illegally on the territory and who are submitted to expulsion. A foreigner PIN (Numero de Identidad de Extranjeros) is attributed to all foreigners. When the permit expires, the data are deleted from the database even if the foreigner has applied for renewal of the permit. In fact information available in the database relates to permits, not to persons. In accordance with the Regimen General all non-EEA citizens need a residence permit (autorización de residencia) to live in Spain for more than three months: A temporary residence permit allows a stay in Spain for a period up to one year. This permit is attributed to foreigners recently entered the country as well to those living illegally in the country and thereafter regularised (including people who have had a residence permit before). Usually renewals are pronounced for a length of two years. However the total duration in the temporary stay should not exceed five years. A permanent residence permit is available to all foreigners who have held a normal residence permit for a continuous period of five years. However in the case of family reunification the newcomer could get a permanent permit directly, if their spouse still holds one. A permanent residence permit could be also issued as a first permit to refugees and under certain conditions to foreigners born in Spain who have just reached the age of eighteen years. It should be renewed every five years. Besides the general residence permit system, foreigners can also ask for authorisation to stay for specific purposes: A residency permit for reuniting families entitles foreigners residing in Spain to apply for the Spanish residence of their close family members. The applicant must have been legally resident in Spain for at least one year and must have authorisation for another year. Foreign students wishing to carry out studies or research in Spain must apply for an authorisation to stay (Autorizacíon de Estancia por 449 T H E S I M Estudios). The duration of the authorisation depends on the duration of the studies (maximum one year). If the stay is less than six months, only a student visa is necessary. Students who have obtained a Spanish Student Residency Card can apply for the corresponding stay visas and residence permit for their relatives to enter and stay in Spain. There is no minimum period as the foreign student is allowed to be joined by their family. All applications must be made in person at the foreigners office (Oficina de Extranjeros) or the national police station (Comísaria de Policía Nacional) with a foreigners department in the city or district of stay. Renewal applications must be made at least a month before the residence permit has expired. Minors may have residence permits or simply be included on their parent’s residence permit. Apart from some exceptions (e.g. retirees) EEA nationals do not have to obtain this type of residence permit. However they could ask for a document named tarjeta de residencia (residence card) if it is necessary for them to attest their residence in the country for practical purposes. Their self-declared registration is carried out by the police. A.4. Registration of asylum The Office for Asylum and Refugee (OAR) of the Ministry of the Interior keeps a database called Asylo. This database keeps all steps of the procedure, including appeals, for each asylum applicant. The asylum procedure is governed by Spain’s Refugee Law 5/1984, last amended in 1994/1995. Asylum seekers may file applications with the Ministry of the Interior’s Office for Asylum and Refuge (OAR), with the police at the border or within the territory, or at Spanish diplomatic and consular missions abroad. When applying, asylum seekers must submit evidence of their identity and a ‘credible statement’ asserting persecution. The OAR reviews all asylum applications for admissibility to the regular determination procedure with the help of an opinion by the UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR). All admissible applications are forwarded to the Inter-Ministerial Commission for Asylum and Refugee Status (CIAR), which issues a decision, usually within six months of the filing of the application, based on the information in the OAR file and the opinions provided by UNHCR and various non-governmental organisations (NGOs). While awaiting a decision, asylum seekers receive accommodation and meals and may apply for work permits. If the Ministry of the Interior concurs with the CIAR assessment, the decision becomes final. 450 Country Report: Spain The OAR issues an identity document to approved applicants, making them eligible for residency, work, and social benefits. In addition to UN Refugee Convention status, Spain extends temporary protected status to displaced persons who have fled their country of origin as a result of political, religious, or ethnic conflict. Recipients of this status receive annual residence permits for the duration of the conflict in the country of origin, and are entitled to the same social benefits as recognised refugees. In addition to this ‘displaced status’, a temporary residence permit may be granted on humanitarian grounds or in case of mass influx. Asylum seekers whose claims have been considered inadmissible or who are rejected in the normal procedure may, within two months of notification, appeal against the negative decision to the National High Court. These appeals also do not immediately suspend expulsion orders, although suspension is usually granted. A final appeal is possible before the Supreme Court. A.5. Registration of acquisition of citizenship The General Direction of Register and Notaries from Ministry of Justice is responsible for all acquisitions of Spanish citizenship. The different types of acquiring Spanish citizenship are a combination of the ius sanguinis and ius soli legal bases. Another main principle is the renunciation of previous citizenship, although there are several exceptions based on the cultural and linguistic affinities between Spain and several central and southern American countries. Spanish citizenship may be granted on the grounds of birth-origin, marriage, option (specific cases for those aged over eighteen years), naturalisation and re-acquisition (by descent). Acquisition by birth is recognised when a child is born to at least a Spanish parent or when a child is born in Spain with at least one parent also born in Spain. Foreign spouses of a Spanish citizen may apply for Spanish citizenship if the couple lives together and if the foreigner partner has resided at least one year in Spain. Foreigners over the age of eighteen may also apply for naturalisation if they have resided in Spain (normally) for ten years, are of ‘good character’ and are sufficiently accustomed with the Spanish society, provided there is no objection on the grounds of public policy or national interest. The residence period requirement is reduced to five years for refugees; two years when the applicants are Ibero-Americans, Andorrans, Philippinos/as, Guinea Ecuadorians, Sephardic Jews or Portuguese and to one or two years when the person has a special tie with Spain. 451 T H E S I M The applications for all types of acquisition of Spanish citizenship take place in the Civil Register of the residence of the applicant. The Department for Citizenship is responsible for deciding on relevant applications and, in case of appeals against negative decisions. Citizenship is granted by the Ministry of Justice through an order which updates the information in the Civil Register. B. Producing statistics requested by the EU Regulation B.1. Statistics on the population with usual residence in the country The official population figures are obtained from the Padrón and extracted directly from INE’s database. The census (last carried out on 1st November 2001) is used only to know the socio-economic characteristics of the population. It has the basic objective of simultaneously collecting fresh and broader information useful for statistical purposes. The stock derived from the Padrón covers the de jure population. All individuals (citizens and non-citizens, legal or illegal) whose place of residence is registered in the Padrón are considered as part of the usual population. In contrast with the UN recommendations, the definition used is not where a person spends their daily period of rest, but where they live (although this is usually the same thing). Official population figures are published each year, with reference to 1st January. The official figures are confirmed by the Consejo de Empadrónamiento each 31st December. Data on population by sex, date of birth, citizenship and country of birth are available in the Joint Migration Questionnaire. However, large discrepancies between the stock of non-nationals available for 2000-2003 in various publications and databases have been detected. Note that the large increase in the stock of non-nationals between 2002 and 2003 results from improvements in the registration of foreigners in the Padrón. B.2 Statistics on international migrations Statistics are produced through the Variaciones Residenciales, which are registered at the local level in the Padrón at each change of residence. Statistics are produced directly by checking in INE’s database . The flow statistics refer to new residents in the municipality and to new residents abroad not to immigrants and emigrants. Due to the fact that 452 Country Report: Spain registration in the Padrón does not record how long the person is going to stay in the municipality or abroad, migration statistics are not based on migrants as such (persons), but on the number of changes of residence registered (cases). A person will be counted each time he/she changes their place of residence. When the country of departure/destination is unknown, changes of residence are not considered as international migration and are not included in the flow statistics. These changes of residence are, however, taken into account in the population stock. It is foreseen that incorporations and withdrawals when the country of departure/destination is unknown, will be included in the future. The Statistics on changes of residence (Estadisticas des Variaciones Residenciales, EVR) are published annually and include sex, date of birth, place of birth, citizenship, country of previous and next residence. Data on international immigration and emigration requested in the Joint Questionnaire on International Migration Statistics are available but, as mentioned earlier, do not comply with the UN recommendations. Furthermore, emigration data published up to 2001 are incomparable with the EVR of 2002-2003 because the figures on emigration come from Statistics of Assisted Emigration (Estadística de Emigración Asistida del Ministerio de Trabajo y Asuntos Sociales) and refer to assisted emigration of nationals only. This break in the time series, resulting from the change in data source resulted in a considerable increase in the published emigration figures. Figures on inflows from individual countries of origin to Spain are lower than data reported by partner countries in the case of Denmark, Germany and Austria but they are higher in the case of Finland and Sweden. It is worth noting that figures on flows from the Netherlands to Spain presented by both countries are comparable. As regards data on emigration for 2002, in many cases they are substantially lower than data reported by partner countries. B.3. Statistics on residence permits Since 2004, the Permanent Observatory of Immigration of the Secretariat of State for Immigration and Emigration of the Ministry for Employment and Social Affairs has been responsible for the statistical treatment of data coming from the ADEXTRA sent by the Directorate-General of the Police every three months. Only the stock on foreigners with a valid residence permit, disaggregated by length of validity, is published. Flows data are established in recent years either by calculation of the difference between the stock between successive dates or from estimates of the number of first permits issued. This latter 453 T H E S I M method is possible because first permits are always valid for one year. However, due to the removal of records of expired permits, it is not possible to know if a new permit really is the first one. Data on residence permits granted when a person changes immigration status and on valid long-term residents are not available. Due to the fact that minors do not necessarily hold residence permits, the Permanent Observatory of Immigration also products data on scholars. Data on foreign students staying at least six months in Spain (Autorizacíon de Estancia por Estudios) are not integrated in the stock and flows statistics of the Ministry of the Interior because they are not considered as residents. Due to the fact that the possession of a residence permit is not compulsory for registration in the Padrón, there is no link between issues of residence permits and international migration statistics. B.4. Statistics on asylum seekers The Office for Asylum and Refuge under the Ministry of the Interior is responsible for producing statistics on asylum from its database Asylo. All asylum requests are counted, including those made at the borders and manifestly unfounded applications. Statistics could be produced by case or by persons (including children). All data required by the EU Regulation are available and published: flows of asylum applicants, unaccompanied minors, pending applications, grants and withdrawals of status, inadmissible cases and Dublin cases. Repeat applications are currently counted as first applications. It is not currently possible to obtain the number of persons returned after a negative decision. Cohort data could be available. As regards the number of asylum applicants, the various sources are highly consistent. More inconsistencies were observed when dealing with the statistics on decisions. The UNHCR and DG JLS present total numbers that probably only relate to first instance decisions. In addition, differences occur that are often due to the fact that authorities responsible for asylum deliver provisional data to different international bodies at different dates. In principle, it is assumed that all asylum seekers are registered in the Padrón and are subsequently included in the immigration statistics (flows) and population statistics (stocks). If a person leaves the country he or she will be included in the emigration statistics and excluded from the stock after declaring his/her departure. Persons who leave the country after a negative asylum decision or before a decision has been taken are also included in the emigration statistics, if they declare their departure. 454 Country Report: Spain B.5. Statistics on acquisitions of citizenship INE is responsible for publishing data on acquisitions of citizenship. Persons regaining Spanish citizenship are not included in the statistics. Ackowledgements Particular thanks are due to Ana Jurado Jimenez and Ana Padilla Gomez from INE, who coordinated the preparation of the THESIM meeting, held in Madrid on 18th January 2005, as well as the collection of comments and corrections to this country report. 455 Country Report France Yves Breem and Xavier Thierry A. Administrative sources and procedures A.1. Registration of the resident population The only registration of the population is done through the social security register of the National Old-Age Pension Fund (Caisse Nationale d’Assurance Vieillesse, CNAV), which supervises a database called National Sickness Insurance Inter-Scheme Register (Répertoire National Inter-régimes de l’Assurance Maladie, RNIAM). This database covers all individuals born in France or who have entered France in the past, whether they are the insured or their dependents. Each individual is identified through a registration number (Numéro d’Inscription au Répertoire, NIR) which allows a linkage between data on individual benefits. Individuals are removed from the RNIAM only in the case of death. This register is not currently considered as fully reliable and the new annual census is expected to be a better source for the resident population. Accordingly this register may not be considered as a population register and there is no such register in France. A.2. Registration of international migrations French citizens leaving the country or returning from abroad do not have to register their migrations. Emigrants may register at the French consulate of their new country of residence but this procedure is not compulsory, so only a fraction of the total number of emigrants is registered. A decree concerning the creation of a Global Register of French Citizens Living Abroad (Registre mondial des Français établis hors de France) has been recently promulgated in order to facilitate the administrative formalities related to this registration. T H E S I M There are no procedures to record departures of non-nationals. Legal entries of third-country nationals are recorded through the issue of residence permits. A.3. Registration of Aliens The Ministry of the Interior keeps a database entitled Management Application for Records of Non-nationals in France (Application de Gestion des Dossiers de Ressortissants Etrangers en France, AGDREF), which includes any foreigner aged eighteen or over (age sixteen if intending to work) who is living in France for more than three months. The AGDREF encompasses legally resident non-nationals and rejected applicants who have been issued a receipt for a residence permit application. This means that asylum seekers and refugees are included in this database as well as in a specific register kept by OFPRA (see below). Categories of people who are not required to hold residence permits (mainly minors and EEA nationals since 2004) are not covered. In order to enter France to stay more than three months, every thirdcountry national needs a visa. Immigrants must apply for the residence permit whilst abroad. Neither visa applications nor residence permit requests are transferred to AGDREF and the link between visa and immigration information is unclear. There is no operational means to determine if a long-stay visa holder has actually entered France or if a shortstay visa holder has left the country before expiry of their visa. The situation is further complicated by the fact that some residence permits are issued on the basis of a short-stay visa. Residence permits are issued in France by the Préfectures. Having arrived in the country third-country nationals are required to undergo a medical examination by the International Migration Office (Office des Migrations Internationales, OMI, Ministry of Employment, Labour and Social Cohesion). The OMI issues a medical certificate that must be presented to the Préfecture. This document is required (in theory) to issue the residence permit, except for EEA citizens and their family members. An identification number is given to each foreigner by the Ministry of the Interior. The information collected during the processing of the residence permit application is entered in the AGDREF database via the computer terminals of the Préfectures. The information collected for the purpose of permit application and issue (and on other events related to the non-national’s stay: applications for family reunification, acquisition of French citizenship, deportation procedures or death) is stocked in individual-level files that provide a chronological record of the administrative trajectories of 458 Country Report: France foreigners. The AGDREF file comprises all currently valid documents as well as those that have expired, regardless of type and length of validity. During the time the permit application is being processed, foreigners are issued with a receipt for stay permit (récépissé de carte de séjour, RCS,) valid for three months. It can be renewed as many times as necessary. In the event of a positive decision, one can get either a temporary residence permit (carte de séjour temporaire, CST) valid for one year maximum (depending on the legal reason for admission: personal or family situation, employment and self-employment, student, financially independent, researcher, artist…) or a long-term residence permit (carte de résident) valid for then years. Foreigners who have lived legally and continuously in France for five years with a CST can request a carte de résident. This application can already be made after two years in certain situations (family reunification, family ties which French nationals). In the case of death, acquisition of French citizenship, expiry of a permit, etc, individuals are archived within the same AGDREF data file. However, changes of citizenship and deaths (in particular those occurring abroad) are incompletely registered. A foreigner whose permit has expired and is not renewed is removed from the database after five years. A.4. Registration of asylum Asylum applications can be submitted at the border or within the country. The procedure at the border corresponds to a procedure for admission operated by the Ministry of the Interior. If the application at the border is refused as being manifestly unfounded, the applicant is not allowed to enter France. If the application at the border is accepted, the asylum applicants receive an eight days safe-conduct permit that allows them to apply for asylum under the responsibility of French Office for the Protection of Refugees and Stateless Persons (Office Français de Protection des Réfugiés et Apatrides, OFPRA, Ministry of Foreign Affairs). Asylum applicants (adults) have firstly to report to the Préfecture of their place of residence. After a fingerprint check proving that the applicant has not lodged multiple applications in France or in another EU MS, the Préfecture issues a provisional residence permit (autorisation provisoire de séjour, APS) valid for one month. During this stage, asylum seekers complete and send their application form to OFPRA, the only responsible body for registering and processing all requests for protection (Geneva Convention or constitutional asylum as well as subsidiary or temporary protection). During the asylum procedure the Préfecture will renew the APS by period of three months as long as necessary. OFPRA determines on which ground the 459 T H E S I M application can be examined. In the event of refusal and if applicants can invoke new elements, they can ask for a review of their case by OFPRA. Individuals whose refugee status is recognised are informed of this decision by OFPRA and are thereafter authorised to collect their residence permit from the Préfecture. This permit is a temporary residence permit (CST) valid for one year (subsidiary or temporary protection) or a long-term residence permit (CR) valid for ten years (refugee status arising from application of the Geneva Convention or constitutional asylum). Long-term residence permits are automatically renewable. In the case of a negative decision, the applicant receives a request from the Préfecture to leave the country. If this is not acted upon, a deportation order is issued. The claimant can appeal against the OFPRA decision to the Refugee Appeals Commission (Commission des Recours des Réfugiés). During the appeal the decision of OFPRA is suspended (the foreigner is authorised to stay in the country). If the decision of OFPRA is upheld, the claimant can lodge a last appeal en Cassation (not suspensive). There is no automatic link between AGDREF and the database kept by OFPRA, although it is technically possible since the AGDREF number is recorded in the OFPRA register. A.5. Registration of acquisition of citizenship Two authorities are responsible for granting citizenship: the Ministry of Employment, Labour and Social Cohesion (Sous-Direction des naturalisations) and the Ministry of Justice (Direction de l’administration générale et de l’Equipement). There are several ways of obtaining French citizenship: On grounds of birth and residence in France: children born in France of non-national parents acquire it automatically at the age of eighteen if they reside in France or have lived for at least five years since the age of eleven (without any registration in this case of ius soli). They can also claim it by declaration from the age of sixteen. With their personal consent, French citizenship can be declared by parents from minors aged thirteen. The condition of five years of residence in France must always be satisfied. By declaration on grounds of marriage: non-nationals married to a French spouse can acquire citizenship after two years of marriage (three years when length of residence in France is under one year) with certain conditions related to the stability of the union and degree of assimilation. A declaration can also be made for minors 460 Country Report: France adopted by French citizenship or by anyone who has enjoyed uninterrupted possession of de facto French status for ten years. The declaration has to be done to the First instance court (Tribunal d’Instance, Ministry of Justice). An appeal can be lodged with the Tribunal de Grande Instance. By acquisition by a decision of the authorities: anyone usually resident in France for five years can request naturalisation. The waiting period can be reduced to two years if the foreigner has successfully completed two years in a French higher education institution, or if by their ability and skill they had rendered, or would render, great services to France (acquisition by decree). When a parent acquires French citizenship, any children under the age of eighteen of the beneficiary automatically become French if they are usually resident with that parent (acquisition by collective effect). At any age and with no waiting period, a person able to show that they had once been a French citizen can be reincorporated into this citizenship by decree, conditional on having retained clear ties with France. Persons wishing to be naturalised are required to contact the Préfecture of their place of residence. Applicants are summoned to evaluate their assimilation of the customs and practices of France and knowledge of French. The application is transmitted to the Sub-Department of Naturalisations together with the considered view, the latter taking the final decision. If naturalisation is rejected or adjourned, an appeal can be lodged with the Administrative Court of Nantes. Whatever the mode of acquisition, the proof of French citizenship is the certificate of French citizenship, issued at the First Instance Court. Since 1st of September 1998, the issue of the certificate of citizenship is marked in the margin of the birth registration record and/or the family record book, thus avoiding an application for a new certificate of citizenship each time a person needs to prove his or her French citizenship. B. Producing statistics requested by the EU Regulation B.1. Statistics on the population with usual residence in the country The National Institute for Statistics and Economic Studies (Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, INSEE,) carries out the census. The last traditional census took place in 1999 and was based on a 461 T H E S I M universal coverage and a simultaneous count. As of 2004, a new method of census has been introduced. The Redesigned Census of Population (Recensement Rénové de la Population, also considered as ‘rolling census’) is a continuous annual census, in five-year cycles (2004–2008, 2009–2013 …). It is conducted on a sample of dwellings, located in geographical zones selected randomly and enumerated completely. The continuous population census is a sample-based survey: 70% of the population will have been enumerated at the end of the first cycle. The census covers all persons who have or intend to keep their usual residence in France (including the temporarily absent), for a period of at least six months. Diplomats are not considered while asylum applicants and illegal immigrants can be enumerated. The population can be distributed either by citizenship, either by country of birth or a combination of both to identify all immigrés according the French definition of the term: an immigré is a person born as a foreigner abroad and residing in the country. In France, for example, a person who has acquired French nationality since arriving in France is therefore always counted as an immigrant. Inversely, a person born as a French national abroad is not an immigrant. Year of entry into France and country of residence five years previously are also available. In the 2001 DG JLS Annual Report, population by broad citizenship groups is available for intercensal years between 1999 and 2004, based on the number of foreigners (adults) holding a valid residence permit (these figures are overestimated due to departures not reported in AGDREF files, see below). Starting from 2004, by using the ‘rolling census’, the stock of population will be available each year for year t–2 with an increased reliability, disaggregated by sex, age, citizenship and country of birth. B.2 Statistics on international migrations The Observatory of Statistics on Immigration and Integration (Observatoire des statistiques sur l’immigration et l’intégration), under the aegis of the High Council for Integration (Haut Conseil à l’Intégration, HCI) is responsible for producing statistics on international migrations of nonnationals only, using several administrative sources related to foreigners registration. There are no data on emigration (only assisted repatriations and deportations from the country are counted). Immigration data are coming from: the Office des Migrations Internationales (OMI) for third-country nationals; the French Office for the Protection of Refugees and Stateless Persons (OFPRA) for refugees; 462 Country Report: France the Ministry of the Interior (AGDREF source) for EEA-citizens and certain categories of third-country nationals who are not counted by the OMI. Up to 2003 the AGDREF source included EEA citizens. Since that is no longer the case now, it will be replaced for statistical purposes based on the ‘rolling census’ data providing the year of entry among foreign-born population. Long-term immigration is referred to as ‘permanent immigration’ by the HCI. This concept is based on a combination of the reasons for admission to residence and the (official) length of the stay. All holders of permits of durations less than one year are excluded (asylum seekers, seasonal and temporary workers and so on). The categories covered by this notion of permanent immigration are: non-nationals authorised to stay permanently on employment grounds - and consequently holding a residence permit valid for at least one year (in the case of EEA-nationals an additional condition applies: a non-national must give proof of a work contract of at least one year, so a non-national who has a one-year permit but is reported as having employment for a shorter period will not be counted); non-nationals holding a special personal and family situation temporary residence permit; spouses and minors benefiting from family reunification; non-national family members of French nationals (spouses, ascendants, descendants); refugees and stateless persons; non-nationals who are infirm, retired military personnel, recipients of a work-related accident invalidity pension; persons with sufficient financial resources to live in France without working (visitor temporary residence permit). The statistics are compiled by each of the data-collection agency and transmitted to the Observatory once yearly in aggregate form. Statistics by sex, year of birth and citizenship are potentially available. On the other hand, not every source has variables indicating country of birth: it is available in the data from the OFPRA and the Ministry of the Interior (though as yet not used) but not in the OMI statistics. The country of previous residence is not collected in any of these sources. Measurement of immigration is not fully compliant with international recommendations because of the exclusion of numerically large categories. Foreigners with residence permits valid for one year are not considered as permanent immigrants if they are students, academics or artists. 463 T H E S I M Accordingly foreign inflows are estimated to be underestimated by about 25%. Moreover the quality of the statistics is not fully satisfying. In one hand the AGDREF migration statistics (compiled by the Ministry of the Interior) do not include foreigners who obtained a permit of less than one year that was renewed by a permit of one year or more (this shortcoming could be easily overcome). In another hand, the OMI data are defective since nonnationals holding residence permits may not attend the medical check-up. Beside, certain categories of foreigners obtain their permit before going for the medical examination and in many cases report to the OMI only at the time of renewing the permit. Thus a large discrepancy is apparent between the OMI data and those of the Ministry of the Interior. The availability of data along the lines requested in the EU Regulation is very limited. The compilation of data from three different sources for immigration renders problematic the elaboration of detailed statistics by sex, age and citizenship. The data on immigration are broken down only by citizenship and as explained above the information on EEA citizens is no longer available. Moreover the mixture of the sources used does not guarantee consistency: for instance the flows are counted starting from the date of admission to legal residence, which depends on the administrative source used: it will be the date of issue of residence permit for EEA citizens, the issue of medical certificate for third-country nationals or the granting of refugee status. B.3. Statistics on residence permits By law in force since 2004, the Ministry of the Interior (Direction des Libertés Publiques et des Affaires Juridiques) presents a statistical report to Parliament each year. This report must contain data related to the new residence permits issued, the stock of residence permits valid at 31st December, and various elements on illegal immigration. The AGDREF source is used. Data on first issued permits are available by reason for issue, citizenship and the length of validity. The récépissé de carte de séjour (RCS, receipt for stay permit) are not included. Separate tables are used to distinguish between permits valid for one year or less and permits valid for more than one year. The stock of currently valid permits is broken down by citizenship and length of validity (but not by reason), including receipt for residence permit applications in order to take into account permit holder which renewal is ongoing. Consequently asylum seekers who hold a provisional document (APS) are integrated. However, due to the absence of deregistration 464 Country Report: France procedure during the period of validity, the stock of valid residence permits do not provide a reliable estimate of the foreign resident population. A table of permits renewed on the occasion of a change in immigration ground status is also published. It is limited to renewals of one-year permits. Figures on long-term residents could be potentially produced in future by cross-tabulating the date of entry with the category of foreigners holding a long term resident permit. B.4. Statistics on asylum seekers The OFPRA is responsible for compiling the asylum statistics. Its own database is used. The OFPRA produces various statistics called for in the EU Regulation: number of asylum applications (specifying whether an initial application or a review); number of pending applications; number of priority procedures; number of appeals to the CRR (Refugee Appeal Commission); number of decisions taken and their outcome (negative or positive and whether granted in first instance or after appeal). On a general basis, these statistics relate to adult asylum applicants (metropolitan France), whatever the ground for application (subsidiary, temporary protection, Conventional or constitutional status). Distribution by citizenship is available. Since May 2002, the statistics of first-time applicants and of the status granted include a new count of minors accompanying or rejoining their parents and who are listed on their parents’ file. Conversely unaccompanied minors, who can apply for asylum through a special procedure, are not enumerated. Data on the applications and decisions are published in the annual report of the OFPRA. With respect to the number of applications, inconsistencies are observed between the reports of OFPRA, DG JLS and Eurostat. Paralleling this, the statistics on decisions published by DG JLS and OFPRA differ slightly. The inconsistencies may be due to differences of interpretation, i.e. including or excluding children, counting total applications or only initial applications; but also to the fact that the distinction between first instance and total decisions is unclear. Since 1999, data on decisions taken in successive years are distributed by year of initial asylum application (1999 cohort and subsequent ones) in the OFPRA report. Asylums seekers are not included in the immigration flow statistics. They are included when refugee status is granted and a residence permit is given. These two categories are supposed to be included in the population stock 465 T H E S I M (census) although coverage is not guaranteed. There is no data on repatriations in case of rejection (emigration statistics do not exist at all). B.5. Statistics on acquisitions of citizenship The two authorities responsible for registering acquisition of citizenship (Ministry of Employment, Labour and Solidarity: Department of Population and Migration, Sub-Department of Naturalisations in one hand; Ministry of Justice in another one) are producing a common annual statistical report. Two main categories of acquisitions come under the responsibility of the Sub-Department of Naturalisations for statistical purposes: acquisition by decree (naturalisation and reincorporation) and acquisition by declaration on grounds of marriage. The other acquisitions by declaration are the responsibility of the Ministry of Justice and give rise to specific statistics. Additionally, absent by definition from all statistics are the acquisitions that occur automatically (minors reaching their eighteenth birthday, born in France and resident for more than five years since age eleven). Their number is estimated each year, as is the number of young people requesting a certificate of French citizenship and basing this request on an automatic acquisition. It should be noted that the statistics available in different sources vary in coverage: sometimes they include acquisitions processed abroad. They can also include minors benefiting from the acquisitions of their parents (under the so-called ‘collective effect’). The statistics are available by place of residence, place of birth, previous citizenship, age, and length of stay or length of marriage depending on the mode of acquisition. These characteristics will be available only for oddnumbered years for the acquisitions that are under the responsibility of the Ministry of Justice. Ackowledgements Particular thanks are due to Jacqueline Costa-Lascoux (HCI), who coordinated the preparation of the THESIM meeting held in Paris on 4th January 2005. Thanks also to Catherine Borrel and Guy Desplanques (INSEE) for comments and corrections to this country report. 466 Country Report Ireland Nicolas Perrin A. Administrative sources and procedures A.1. Registration of the resident population There is no population register as such in Ireland. However, the Central Records System (CRS) is an important element of registration of the population and may be used for statistical purposes in the future. This database is under the responsibility of the Department of Social and Family Affairs. The Central Records System (CRS) is a central database of personal data on individuals, held on different systems within the Department of Social and Family Affairs, together with income and social insurance contributions data which are supplied by the Revenue Commissioners. Every person who is the concern of one of these administrative bodies will be attributed a PIN (Personal Public Service Number, PPSN). All basic demographic variables are included, as well as the address of the individual. The CRS is believed to have close to full population coverage, as almost all individuals will have dealings with the tax or social welfare systems. A.2. Registration of international migrations Although there is currently no formal system of registration of international migration, the CRS might be used in the future to ‘capture’ international migration. It should currently be recording all international migrations of nationals and non-nationals. Data on new employment, a potential indicator of whether new registrants are staying in Ireland, are available from the Revenue Commissioners. There are restrictions on nonEU15 citizens claiming certain types of social benefits, so data from social welfare payment systems for immigrants from the new Member States are probably limited. The information collected on registration includes citizenship, so non-nationals are identifiable in the new registrations. Most T H E S I M non-Irish migrants have arrived since 1997 and the quality of citizenship data is now good, but data collected up to 1997 are less reliable, thus affecting the time series on the population stock by citizenship. Asylum seekers can be identified in payment systems, since even those paid by direct provision are paid through social welfare schemes. Asylum seekers are required to register for PPSN, although information on migration status is not collected on registration and thus is not recorded in the CRS. All available data may be disaggregated by sex and age. New records are added to the CRS when new PPSN are issued by the Department of Social and Family Affairs. Personal data on CRS are continuously updated from the most recent and reliable source available for an individual. In practice there is currently no procedure for deregistration. A.3. Registration of Aliens The Aliens Registration Office in the Department of Justice, Equality and Law Reform is responsible for the registration of foreigners. The records of residence permits granted are computerized since 1992. All non-EEA citizens having been granted a residence permit and residing legally in Ireland are registered in the database. Every third-country national who wants to reside in Ireland more than three months must have a significant purpose of entry among the following ones: Employment: before a non-EEA citizen can take up an employment, the prospective employer must obtain a work-permit in respect of that person. Self-employment: When a non-EEA citizen proposes to establish himself or herself as self-employed, it is necessary to apply for the Minister for business. Study: The primary concerns are whether the applicant is coming for a bona fide course of study, whether the fees have been paid in advance, whether the applicant has sufficient funds and whether there is a strong likelihood that he or she will return when the course of study is completed. Family re-unification: There is no general policy of restriction in relation to family reunion if the family members are not subject to a visa requirement. In the case of visa-required family members of non-EEA national workers, the reunification is possible after twelve months of stay if the migrant has been offered a contract for a further twelve months (three months for family members of workers in 468 Country Report: Ireland certain specified high-skill areas). Family re-unification could be also applied when aliens are parents of an Irish citizen. Every third-country national who wish to stay in Ireland more than three months must obtain a ‘permission to remain’ and have to register to the Aliens Registration Office. This permission is a temporary residence permit valid up to one year. The following categories of persons may apply for long-term residence permit: Spouses of Irish citizens can apply for a residence permission for up to five years. Persons who have been legally resident in Ireland for over five years may apply for a permission to remain for up to five years. Persons who have been legally resident for over ten years may apply for an unlimited residence ‘permission’. Passports are checked at the border, where a specific ‘interface’ allows to border guards direct access to most of the databases on foreigners. These databases are: the Aliens Registration System; the Office of the Refugee Applications Commissioner; the information system on work permits of the Department of Enterprise, Trade and Employment; the information system on visas of the Department of Foreign Affairs; the database of the Department of Social and Family Affairs. For non-EEA citizens, their border crossing is recorded in the Aliens Registration System and they are required to register within three months of arrival with their local Aliens Registration Office. As a consequence of the border crossing controls, the non-national is already in the system when he/she registers locally. They must produce a passport and supply biographical and address details in an ‘Aliens Registration Form – First Application for Registration / Permission to Remain’. This standard form covers entry to the countries for all purposes, whether it is a holiday visit or a stay for employment or self-employment, study, retirement or any other reason. The Registration Officer issues a registration certificate, now in the form of a card similar to a credit card, which includes all information required on the individual, including biometric data and (it is anticipated) soon to include fingerprints. There is no registration of exits at the border. Emigrants with residence permits do not have to declare their exits or give back their permit when leaving the country. However, three months after the end of validity of a residence permit, the file is ‘locked’ or inactivated. EEA citizens may apply to the local Aliens Registration Officer for a residence permit for personal reasons, in the same way. This residence permit, once issued, is valid for five years and is renewable. However, as this type of permit is no longer compulsory for EEA citizens in order to stay 469 T H E S I M in Ireland, the number of permits issued to EEA citizens is now rather limited (about 500 annually). A.4. Registration of asylum The Refugee Applications Commissioner, appointed by the Ministry of Justice, Equality and Law Reform is in charge of the main database on the asylum process. The legal basis of the Irish asylum procedure consists of the Geneva Convention, the Refugee Act 1996, as amended by the Immigration Act 1999, the Illegal (Trafficking) Act, 2000 and the Immigration Act, 2003. Asylum requests have to be submitted to the Ministry of Justice. The application is processed by The Office of the Refugee Applications Commissioner processes the application. Following an initial interview, their fingerprints and photographs are taken, after which a questionnaire is filled in. Then the applicant receives a temporary residence permit and an appointment is made for another interview. On the basis of the interview, the Refugee Applications Commissioner will draw up a written and motivated statement with a recommendation for the Minister of Justice, Equality and Law Reform, concerning the acceptance or rejection of the asylum request. An accelerated procedure does not really exist, but the Refugee Applications Commission may give priority to certain types of applications when it appears that: the application has to be taken up by another state as arranged by the Dublin Convention; the application is considered to be manifestly unfounded; the applicant comes from a safe country of origin. In other cases the asylum request will be processed under the normal procedure. On the basis of the recommendation of the Refugee Applications Commissioner, the first instance decision is made by the Minister of Justice, Equality and Law Reform. In general, the Minister has no power to overturn positive recommendations that refugee status be granted, except where national security or public policy reasons may apply. In the normal procedure this decision may be: positive – the applicant is granted Geneva Convention status with a permanent residence permit; negative - because the application is withdrawn or is deemed to be withdrawn (without possibility to appeal); negative - following substantive consideration (with the possibility of appeal). 470 Country Report: Ireland If the final decision is negative, the applicant is ordered to leave the country. At the discretion of the Minister, refused refugees may be allowed to stay temporarily with the status ‘leave to remain’. This status is granted for humanitarian or other compelling reasons. The issuance of a ‘leave to remain’ may appear as a sort of subsidiary protection. Apart from the asylum procedure there is a possibility to grant temporary protection for a specified period of time to a group of aliens in case of a mass influx of displaced persons. Appeals against a negative decision on the application have to be made at the Refugee Appeals Tribunal. The Tribunal deals with three types of appeals: substantive, manifestly unfounded and Dublin Convention. In substantive appeal cases, applicants have fifteen working days to complete and lodge the Notice of Appeal. These applicants have the option of an oral hearing, which they must request on the Notice of Appeal Form. In manifestly unfounded appeal cases, applicants have ten working days to complete and lodge the Notice of Appeal. No oral hearing is afforded to these applicants. Finally, in Dublin Convention appeal cases, applicants have five working days to complete and lodge the appeal, without the choice of an oral hearing. Further appeals are not possible. As a consequence of the EU directive on subsidiary protection, Ireland will have to create real subsidiary protection. In order to do so, the competence of the Refugee Applications Commissioner and the competence of the Refugee Appeals Tribunal will be extended in order to cover the procedure of subsidiary protection. A.5. Registration of acquisition of citizenship The main database on acquisition of citizenship in Ireland is the ‘Citizenship database’ of the Immigration Section (Department of Justice, Equality and Law Reform). Acquisition of citizenship is based upon the Irish Nationality and Citizenship acts and regulations established from 1956 to 2004. The most recent changes come from a referendum held in June 2004 which repealed the principle of ius soli as the only condition for automatically granting Irish citizenship to children born in Ireland. From 1st January 2005 Irish citizenship may be acquired by birth, application (descent or marriage) and naturalisation, as follows. First, Irish citizenship by birth is the right of: any child born in Ireland, provided that at least one of the parents has been legally resident in the country for three of the four years 471 T H E S I M preceding the child’s birth (excluding periods for education or asylum procedure); any child born outside Ireland to a father or a mother born in Ireland. Irish citizenship may be acquired by application through an Irish born grandparent to: any child born outside Ireland, if at least one of the parents is an Irish citizen born outside Ireland and if the applicant has at least one Irish born grandparent, through his/her birth’s registration in the Foreign Births Register (FBR). Since 1st July 1986 a person registered in the FBR after 1986 is considered to be an Irish citizen only from the date of the registration, therefore their children are entitled citizenship only if born after his/her registration. Persons registered before July 1986 are considered Irish citizens either from the date the original Citizenship Act came into force, i.e. 17th July 1956, or their date of birth, whichever is later; thus only children born after 17th July 1956 can claim citizenship in such cases. Irish citizenship may also be acquired by application based on marriage to an Irish citizen, to: the spouse of an Irish citizen, who declares acceptance of Irish citizenship at least three years after the marriage to the Irish spouse or attainment of Irish citizenship by the spouse, provided the marriage is still lasting. This modality was valid, under several conditions, for a transition period from 30th November 2002 to 30th November 2005. Since this transition period expired it is necessary to apply for a certificate of naturalisation based on marriage to an Irish citizen, and subject to a number of conditions, including residency in Ireland. As a last modality, Irish citizenship is granted at the discretion of the Ministry of Justice by naturalisation to: any non-Irish national legally resident in Ireland who has been legally resident in the country for a cumulative period of four years out of eight and continuously in the year before application (excluding periods for education or asylum procedure). The applicant must provide one year’s prior notification of their intention to apply and show proof of his/her intention to reside in Ireland after naturalisation. There may be, however, exceptions for special reasons. Irish law recognises dual citizenship and does not require applicants to renounce any other citizenship held at the time of application. Applicants 472 Country Report: Ireland should however always clarify the position governing the adoption of a second citizenship with the authorities of their other country of citizenship. B. Producing statistics requested by the EU Regulation B.1. Statistics on the population with usual residence in the country The two main sources on the resident population are the Census and the Quarterly National Household Survey (QNHS). Traditional censuses take place every five years. The last Census was conducted on Sunday 28th April 2002 by the Central Statistical Office (CSO). The Census relates to the de facto population, i.e. the population present within the boundaries of the Republic or Ireland on the night of 28th April 2002 (including visitors). A limited number of questions were asked in respect of usual residents who were temporarily absent from their household on census night (for less than three months). The QNHS also organised by the CSO, is a large-scale, nationwide survey of households in Ireland. 39,000 households are interviewed each quarter (3000 each week). The QNHS only covers nationals and foreigners private households and ignores around 50 % of asylum seeking immigrants living in non-private accommodation. This survey began in September 1997, replacing the annual ‘April Labour Force Survey’ (LFS). The Census provides a lot of statistics concerning different population stocks: Population enumerated at the moment of the Census, whatever their usual place of residence; Usual resident population (including temporary absent); Persons usually resident and present in the State on census night. Census’ tabulations concern predominantly persons aged one year and over usually resident and present in the country on Census night. The official total population figure includes only persons who have their usual residence in the country. Thanks to a specific question, the population already in the country one year prior to the census can be calculated, as well as population who has lived outside Ireland for a continuous period of one year or more (persons who have already been long-term migrants). For inter-censal years, stocks figures for the total population are updated according to the number of births, deaths and estimated net migration provided by the QNHS. Population by citizenship or place of birth are 473 T H E S I M produced using results from the QNHS only. Since different methodologies are used to estimate the total population and the foreign population, the resulting figures are not strictly comparable. The estimated crude number of inhabitants is available each mid-April but not by sex, age, etc. Complete data productions on stocks are only available on census years (every five years). Sex, age, citizenship and mother’s place of residence at the time of birth are available, but only on census years. Estimations may be produce for inter-censal years using QNHS, but the confidence intervals do not allow publish detailed categories (single age groups, detailed citizenship…). Data from QNHS are available only for selected countries of citizenship and countries of birth (Ireland, United Kingdom, United States and an aggregate of the European Union countries) due to high standard error. Figures on the total non-national stock available in various different sources may not be consistent. Following the census, the sampling schema of the QNHS was reconsidered and all related data have now been revised. B.2 Statistics on international migrations Data on international migration flows are published by the (CSO) using the QNHS. Other migration indicators are used to assess the reliability of the QNHS. These include: The continuous Country of Residence Inquiry of passengers, conducted at airports and seaports; The Register of Electors; The Child Benefit Scheme; The number of visas granted; The number of work permits issued/renewed; The number of asylum applications; Central Records System. However, the CSO has never modified estimates based on the QNHS because of the evolution of those complementary indicators. The key question used to identify people entering the country is the following one: “Where did you live on April 30, year n-1 ?” An additional question is asked on the date of immigration “In what year did you take up residence in Ireland? Please answer latest year if more than once”. The key question used to identify people leaving the country is asked as following to the present member of the family dwelling: “Is there anyone who usually lived in this household on April 30, year n-1 now living abroad?” This type of survey approach yields underestimates of outward flows since, when complete households emigrate, there is no-one left behind to 474 Country Report: Ireland supply the necessary information to interviewers. However, the CSO doesn’t consider that emigration of complete households is of particular significance in the context of Irish emigration movements. There is no question about the duration of the immigration/emigration within the survey. As a consequence, even if the time constraints stipulated by the UN recommendations for long-term migrations are considered as respected by some publications, statistics on flows for Ireland do not follow UN recommendations for long-term migrations. Some short-term migrants are included within the annual immigration flows (immigrants who arrived after 30th April of the previous year, who will leave before the one-year limit) and the annual emigration flows (emigrants having left the country after 30th April of previous year who will come back before the one-year limit). Although the QNHS provides quarterly results, statistics on migrations flows are published annually only. The migration flows relate in fact to the twelve months to mid-April of the corresponding years. Using data from the Quarterly National Household Survey it is possible to determine emigrants, by sex, age, country of destination and date of emigration (month of departure). Data on immigrants are available by citizenship, age, sex, country of birth, year of immigration and country of previous residence. Data on international migration requested in the Joint Questionnaire on International Migration Statistics are available on a limited basis. Immigration and emigration data by country of previous/next residence are available for a few categories only (in 2002 for the United Kingdom, the United States and the European Union total). The same categories, and Ireland, are distinguished in 2002 in the case of immigration data by citizenship. In addition, data on immigration by citizenship are broken down by different age groups to those requested (0-14, 15-24, 25-44, 45-64, 65+). Emigration data are not disaggregated by citizenship. The main reason for this limited number of cross-tabulation is that the sample size of the QNHS does not allow produce reliable estimates by detailed categories. B.3. Statistics on residence permits The main database on residence permits in Ireland is the computerised registration system on all non-EEA citizens of the Department of Justice, Equality and Law Reform and the Border Guards’ interface. Currently, few publications are produced about residence permits granted and little information from the computerised registration system on all non-EEA citizens has been found in published reports. 475 T H E S I M Nonetheless, citizenship, date of birth, place of birth, sex, date of entry and address of last residence outside Ireland are recorded. Even if there are currently no statistical data on residence permits, Ireland should, in future, be able to produce the data requested by the EU Regulation. However, the identifiable data in the database on reasons for migration do not comply with EU request. B.4. Statistics on asylum seekers The Office of the Refugee Applications Commissioner (ORAC) provides asylum statistics for Ireland. Data required by the Regulation are available on a monthly basis and are already published or may be produced on request. No remarkable differences have been observed between different international databases and the national database. Since migration statistics are produced using a survey (QNHS) that does not distinguish between asylum seekers, refugees or other foreigners, asylum seekers should be included in immigration and emigration statistics. The same applies for stocks, since stock figures are produced using two sources (the QNHS and the census) that do not distinguish asylum seekers, refugees or other foreigners. B.5. Statistics on acquisitions of citizenship Statistics on all acquisitions of citizenship are published by the CSO using data from the Citizenship database (Department of Justice). Ackowledgements Particular thanks are due to Gerard Hughes from EMN-NCP (Economic and Social Research Institute), who coordinated the preparation of the THESIM meeting held in Dublin on 11th January 2005. Thanks also to Helen Cahill (CSO) for comments and corrections to this country report. 476 Country Report Italy Giambattista Cantisani and Valeria Greco A. Administrative sources and procedures A.1. Registration of the resident population The resident population in Italy is recorded in the Register of the Resident Population (Anagrafe della Popolazione Residente), which is hosted locally for those usually resident in the municipality. A centralised population register does not exist but there are plans to develop (at some point in the future) a limited centralised database named Indice Nazionale delle Anagrafi1. For the past fifteen years each Italian municipality has held a register named Register of Italian Citizens residing abroad (Anagrafe degli italiani residenti all’estero, AIRE). Both registers are linked at local level and the AIRE includes all Italian citizens living abroad for more than one year. The Anagrafe is updated by each municipality through the registration of vital events, marriages, migrations and change of address2 and to some extent the same applies to AIRE (see below). The Central Direction of Demographic Services, under the Ministry of the Interior, is responsible for the registration of the resident population, while the provincial prefectures are responsible for coordination between municipalities and the central direction. The Anagrafe includes citizens and foreigners who are usually resident in the municipality. Each AIRE includes citizens who have been living abroad Indice Nazionale delle Anagrafi - Sistema di Accesso ed Interscambio Anagrafico, i.e. National Index of Population Registers – System to connect and exchange demographic information of population registers), a national project aiming at connecting registers and exchanging data through the demographic information of Anagrafe in order to provide more efficient services to the public. Under this initiative, the basic demographic information of the resident population will depend everywhere on the changes undertaken at the Anagrafe. 2 Name, relationship to reference person, sex, date of birth, place of birth, marital status, citizenship, educational qualification and economic activity are recorded for each person. Educational qualification and occupation are infrequently updated. 1 T H E S I M for more than one year and who were previously resident in the municipality. The registration of Italian citizens in a given municipality is based on the centre of their own interest – for family, work or other reasons important to the individual. The individual’s choice of their place of registration is often governed by access to financial and other advantages, such as lower taxation for possession of primary habitation or lower insurance rates. Since 1989, foreigners need to hold a residence permit for at least six months in order to be registered in the Anagrafe of the municipality of intended residence. For both citizens and foreigners this inscription is compulsory, although there is no fine for omission. It must be renewed each year. After registration the applicant may request an ID card, which is identical for both Italian citizens and foreigners. It may happen that some persons are registered in different municipalities. This may happen in the case of the case of foreigners who are registered, apparently under two different names because of the inversion of the first and second name. In general, the population registered at the Anagrafe is over-counted, which can work in the interest of the municipalities because of the possible allocation of public benefits, elections and local laws that are connected by law to the size of the municipality. This has been observed most frequently in municipalities where the demographi
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