Workshop Report “Latin America: New Security Configurations in a Strategic Emerging Region” Rut Diamint, Mónica Herz and Andrea Oelsner This report summarises the main findings and conclusions of the workshop “Latin America: New Security Configurations in a Strategic Emerging Region”, which took place in London on 19 September 2014. This workshop is part of a research project of the same title. It has benefitted from the generous financial support of the British Academy/Leverhulme Trust. This report summarises the discussions held at the second and final workshop organised as part of this research project, and offers some policy recommendations. The first of these workshops took place in Rio (Brazil). It was a closed meeting by invitation only and aimed to renew and update the debate on the security interests and concerns of the Latin American states. The second workshop took place in London. It was open to the public and aimed to raise awareness among a European audience of the configuration of new security parameters in Latin America. In addition to the invited speakers, the workshop benefitted from the participation of diplomats, researchers, journalists, and scholars. The event began with a brief intervention by the project conveners summarising the findings and conclusions of the Rio workshop, and setting the context for the present discussion, which centred on the potentiality, tensions, and reality of Latin America’s regional security multilateralism and integration. To this end, the workshop panels focused on the region’s current multilateral organisations, and their impact on regional security strategy as well as on the strategy towards the region of extra-regional actors. The experts’ presentations generated animated and productive debate, which this report aims to summarise below. For this, the topics will be divided into three main areas: 1. Latin American security multi- lateralism and the international system; 2. Intra-regional dynamics of Latin American multilateralism; and 3. Potentialities and limits of Latin American security cooperation. The final section will offer some policy recommendations. 1. Latin American security multilateralism and the international system There was agreement among participants that since the startof the new millennium the spectrum of Latin American multilateralism has broadened. The latest trend has been marked by an explicit emphasis on SouthSouth cooperation. This has often translated in regional integration schemes that seek to exclude the United States, such as Unasur and the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC). In some other cases, this has additionally resulted in clear politico-ideological regional projects, such as the Bolivarian Alliance for the Peoples of Our Americas (ALBA) and Petrocaribe, which openly adopt a radical antiimperialist, anti-hegemonic discourse. It was argued that this constellation of multilateral regional organisations forms a cooperative regional governance complex, of which Unasur—and in what regards security, Unasur’s South American Defence Council (SADC)—have become the pivotal organisation. As is frequently acknowledged, Brazil has been the main promoter of Unasur’s creation and constitutes the clearest case in the region of a so-called ‘emerging power’. This fact coupled with the lack of US attention to Latin America, consequently affording Brazil additional space to pursue a more autonomous foreign policy centred upon South-South and regional diplomacy, and thus placing itself at the core of this South American cooperative governance complex. However, specialists pointed out that Brazil was a reluctant hegemon, as will be further discussed below. In this context, Brazil has sought to develop a profile as regional mediator, and Unasur and SADC have displaced the Organisation of American States (OAS) as the preferred forum by Latin American states for conflict resolution. In spite of Obama’s intended “collegial cooperation” with Latin America and a proliferation of initiatives, cooperation between the USA and the region has become fragmented within the vast US government apparatus. Most schemes have focused on trade and/or have been bilateral in nature, such as navy-to-navy agreements in the context of the IV Fleet or between other sectors of US bureaucracy and their Latin American counterparts focusing on issues such as narcotraffic. Within the framework of the OAS a number of Latin American initiatives to create commissions dealing with a broader range of socalled new threats and social issues have received US support. By contrast, the USA has no institutionalised relations with, or participation in Unasur or ALBA. Similarly, the European Union (EU) also maintains no institutional interregional relations with Unasur or ALBA, despite the EU’s preferred policy of strengthening regionalisms. It was speculated at the workshop that this could be explained by Latin America’s turn to the left, which has promoted models of national and regional economic development not always in accordance to EU norms and the EU model of integration favouring free trade. Furthermore, the EU tends to support initiatives of democracy promotion via the strengthening of institutions and the judiciary, rather than the strengthening of leadership, as often the case in Latin America’s pink tide. 2. Intra-regional dynamics of American security multilateralism Latin Participants shared the view that Brazil’s strategy to increase its regional—and ultimately global—leadership capacity is pursued via the search of regional consensus through multilateral organisations. In addition, Brazil seeks to build up a profile as a mediator in regional crises as well as dialogue promoter. This preference for consensus-seeking rather than principled positions, and for multilateralism over unilateral action often results in Brazil being perceived as a hesitant leader, or at best a ‘gentle hegemon’, as one expert put it. According to another presenter, Brazil’s definition of national and regional security is made up of three key interrelated elements: Democracy, economic development, and autonomy. To a large extent, this definition is reflected in Unasur’s priorities, which focus on political cooperation and coordination of joint economic projects in areas such as infrastructure (like IIRSA), energy, health industries and services, etc., as opposed to many other regional integration organisations, which concentrate on free trade. The preferred approach has been one of ‘selective cooperation’, implying that states are not obliged to participate in all areas of cooperation. The issue of democracy, types and quality of democracy in the region, its impact on the security and regional cooperation agenda, and the role of regional organisations generated an extensive debate at the workshop. It was noted that the turn to the left of the past 10-15 years and the further movement towards a more radical left in some states in the region was symptomatic of previously experienced serious democratic distortions and deficiencies. ALBA’s emphasis on dignity, solidarity, complementarity, reciprocity, and horizontal cooperation within and among societies signals the rejection to neoliberal economic models of cooperation and democracy. In turn, Unasur (and Brazil) choose to support an electoral and procedural definition of democracy, as evidenced in Unasur’s Additional Protocol on the Democratic Commitment. This understanding of democracy ultimately prioritises a status quo agenda of democracy aiming at regime preservation over a more substantial and qualitative one focusing on other fundamental issues within democracy such as human rights, freedom of speech, and so on. Furthermore, this limited approach to regime maintenance is in line with other uncontested regional principles and values sustained by Unasur, such as those of sovereignty, non-intervention and non-interference in domestic affairs, and the rejection of supranationality. Finally, it was pointed out that as central as regional organisations may be in the discourse of South American states and South American regionalism, private investors (often from outside the region) afford them only a tangential role in improving the security and safety in their investment destinations. Rather, investors tend to look to government policy in order to assess the effectiveness in controlling domestic and transnational crime. The issue of domestic crime is particularly severe in the Andean region, especially Venezuela. In the 2000s, ALBA’s focus on deterring the potential invasion of an extraregional superpower (USA) and its regional proxy (Colombia) and preparing for asymmetrical war against a military superior enemy led countries, especially Venezuela, to channel large amounts of resources into conventional capabilities not tailored for anti-crime operations. The domestic security vacuum left and the relative success of Colombia’s hybrid military-police antiguerrilla approach resulted in peripheral migration of transnational non-state armed groups to Venezuela, and to a lesser degree also Ecuador and Bolivia. While rapprochement between late Venezuelan President Chávez and then newly elected Colombian President Santos in 2010 contributed to enhancing regional stability, the lack of a security cooperation strategy and information and intelligence exchange between them puts severe limits to the effectiveness of policy in this area. 3. Potentialities and limits of American security cooperation Latin An interesting discussion arose about the complementary or competitive nature of the existing regional organisations. Those organisations with a geographical focus on South America (Unasur, Mercosur, CAN) present more complementing than competing features, and there is little conflict between them. This is not the case of Unasur and OAS, the hemispheric organisation. The latter two are frequently seen as in competition over similar issue-areas, with Latin American states increasingly lending their support to groupings which exclude the USA, such as Unasur and CELAC. However, it was also noticed that neither Unasur/SADC or CELAC (or indeed ALBA) possesses institutional provisions to tackle non-state threats. While ALBA has concentrated on strategies to conduct an asymmetrical war against a superpower, SADC’s focus has been on conventional military-to-military dialogue. By contrast, the OAS is the only one of the multilateral organisations in the region with some institutional capacity to cooperate in areas of intermestic security issues, such as migration, health, non-proliferation, drugs, money laundering, and so on. An additional limitation of the Bolivarian Alliance is its heavy dependence on the international price of oil. The death of Hugo Chávez combined with the fall in oil prices (and the ensuing Venezuelan political and economic crisis) resulted in a loss of cohesion among the member of ALBA. In more general terms, the proliferation of regional organisations in Latin America points towards increasing integration efforts, although on closer examination it is also a manifestation of significant regional political fragmentation. Such fragmentation is explained by some fundamental political discrepancies among governments in the region, and aggravated by mounting political crises, not only in the Bolivarian states, but also in Brazil, Argentina, and Chile. In this sense, the adoption of a procedural definition of democracy seems to have been functional to the maintenance of regime stability during the three decades following the democratic transitions. More recently, however, such a limited definition of democracy has proved to show its cracks and shortcomings. Although the region shares an understanding of security of which democracy is key component, the normative emphasis on sovereignty and national autonomy sets the limits to the institutionalisation of a more substantive democratic principle in the region’s organisations. In a similar vein, the principle of intergovernmentalism and the practice of presidential diplomacy certainly allow for more flexibility and more informal mechanisms. In the long term, though, these features may pose significant limitations to the continuity, stability, effectiveness, and relevance of the regional groupings, as was already seen in past integration initiatives. In sum, an analysis of the structure and political dynamics of the existing regional organisations reveals the intent of Latin American states to distance themselves from the USA. Simultaneously, building an effective and constructive relationship with the United States remains one of the main challenges for Unasur and CELAC. A further challenge for the region’s security organisations is to develop and deal with the sensitive intermestic security agenda. Policy recommendations A number of proposals and recommendations, useful to both policy makers and future research agendas, can be derived from the discussions held at the workshop. 1. Policy coordination and resource allocation. Although the regional organisations have helped Latin American states to cooperate and coordinate security policies, the area of transnational and intermestic threats still appears especially underdeveloped. Bureaucratic and financial resources will have to be allocated to agree on, coordinate, and implement more aggressive regional cooperation against transnational and intermestic armed groups. 2. Inter-organisational dialogue. In order to enhance regional policy coordination, it will be crucial to improve the level and quality of dialogue between the OAS and the regional multilateral organisations. Strong political will and determination by the USA and Brazil will be needed to guide this process. 3. Reinforcement of complementarity. Competition between regional organisations results in inefficiency and duplication of political, diplomatic and financial resources. Specialisation and complementarity should be sought via redefining the aims and mandates of multilateral institutions. 4. Democracy. Being democracy central to the region’s understanding of security, it would be valuable to move beyond a limited, procedural definition of democracy. This will involve extensive conceptual discussions at the domestic and regional levels. 5. Core principles. Strict adherence to the principles of national autonomy, sovereignty and non-interference in domestic affairs prove to set limits to the necessary institutionalisation of Unasur, if it is to increase its role as an effective and credible political cooperation, policy coordination, and conflict resolution mechanism in the region.
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