Courtesy of National River Flow Archive Updating the ReFH design hydrograph method for UK catchments Lisa Stewart, Maliko Tanguy – CEH Thomas Kjeldsen - University of Bath Chris Nicholls, Tracey Haxton, Andy Young – Wallingford HydroSolutions Outline of presentation • Background to ReFH design method • Motivation for revisiting the design method • Updates to the design method* • Software development plans (ReFH 2) * Kjeldsen, T. R., Miller, J. D., Packman, J. C. (in press) Modelling design flood hydrographs in catchments with mixed urban and rural land cover. Hydrology Research. The Revitalised Flood Hydrograph (ReFH) model Total rainfall (P, D, profile) Net rainfall Initial soil moisture Cini Initial baseflow BF0 Loss model (Cmax) Routing model (Tp) + Total flow Baseflow model (BR, BL) In design mode requires: • Four parameters (Cmax, Tp, BR, BL) • Design inputs (Design storm, Cini, BF0, ) Motivation for revisiting the design method • To update parameter estimation equations using URBEXT2000 • To improve model performance in permeable catchments • To address inconsistencies with improved FEH statistical method (WINFAP-FEH 3) • • To address climate dependencies of Extension of model calibration to 1 in 1000-year return period • To update the modelling of urbanised catchments in line with recently published research 1: Updated parameter estimation equations • Model form has been reassessed • Alternative formulations developed to avoid geometry-based catchment descriptors* Formula r2 fse Tp Tp = a PROPWETb DPLBARc (1+URBEXT2000)d DPSBARe 0.80 1.30 Tp* Tp = aPROPWETb AREAc (1+URBEXT2000)d SAARe 0.71 1.36 Cmax Cmax = aPROPWETb exp(c * BFIHOST) 0.60 1.29 BL a PROPWETb DPLBARc (1+URBEXT2000)d BFIHOST e 0.35 1.49 BL* a PROPWETb AREAc (1+URBEXT2000)d BFIHOST e 0.31 1.51 BR BR = aPROPWETb BFIHOST c 0.36 1.48 Parameter 1: Updated parameter estimation equations 2: Modification of Cini (initial soil moisture) • Where BFIHOST is high and PROPWET is low (dry, permeable catchments) it is possible to get negative values of Cini in ReFH 1 • Resolved using exponential model with separate equations above and below BFIHOST = 0.65 3: Modification of & extension to higher return periods Adjustment coefficient, , is introduced to the loss model to allow rainfall and flood return periods to correspond: • • Calibrated to 1000-year event Incorporates relationship with SAAR 3: Modification of & extension to higher return periods Adjustment coefficient, , is introduced to the loss model to allow rainfall and flood return periods to correspond: • • Calibrated to 1000-year event Incorporates relationship with SAAR 3: Modification of & extension to higher return periods Adjustment coefficient, , is introduced to the loss model to allow rainfall and flood return periods to correspond: • • Calibrated to 1000-year event Incorporates relationship with SAAR 4: Treatment of urbanisation • Based on newly published work by Kjeldsen, Miller and Packman (in press): Explicit consideration of urban land cover improves the predictive ability of the ReFH model Configurable parameters • • • • • • Summer Cini (based on multiplier of winter Cini) Urban Tp (multiplier of rural Tp) Percentage of urban area that is impervious Percentage runoff from impervious areas, PRu [email protected]
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