Overview • Complex system time scale separation • Microeconomics: Supply & Demand Least Cost System Operation: Economic Dispatch 1 Smith College, EGR 325 September 22, 2014 – Market clearing price – Marginal cost • Least cost system operation – Generator cost characteristics – Heat Rate (efficiency measure) • Constrained Optimization 1 Complex System Analysis 2 Time Scale Separation • Divide the full system into sub-systems • In power systems we can analyze... – By analysis question • Cost, policy objectives, environmental impacts... – By system sector: generation, transmission, distribution, customer... – By geographic region – By time scale • Time scale separation of events 3 1. Given the plants that are generating, decide how to maintain the supply-demand balance cycle to cycle à power flow analysis 2. Given the plants that are ready to generate electricity, decide which plants to use to meet expected demand today, the next hour, the next 5 minutes 3. Given the plants that are built, decide which plants to start for use tomorrow, next week, next month… (not covering this semester) 4. Decide what to build (system planning) 4 1 St ea m Ga se s To minimize total system generating costs we must first develop equations to represent the cost of generating power Stack Generator Cost Characteristics Boiler Thermal Turbine Generator Cooling Tower G Condenser Pump Coal feeder Burner Body of water 5 6 Input/Output Curve Generator Cost Curves • The I/O curve plots fuel input (in MBtu/hr) versus net MW output. • Generator costs are determined by fuel costs and generator efficiency Input Output Curve – We typically fit a quadratic equation to empirical data from the generator 4000 3500 • These costs are represented by four graphs defining unit performance input/output (I/O) curve fuel-cost curve heat-rate curve unit generating cost curve, and incremental cost curve Fuel Rate (mmBtu/hr) 1) 2) 3) 4) 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 7 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 Pg (MW output) 300 350 400 8 2 Fuel-cost Curve An Efficiency Curve • The fuel-cost curve is the I/O curve scaled by fuel cost • Efficiency = Output vs. Input • Interpret this curve... ** Efficiency changes with output level ** Fuel Cost Curve MWh/ mmBtu 6000 Fuel Cost ($/hr) 5000 4000 3000 Most Efficient generation level 2000 1000 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 Pg (MW output) 300 350 400 9 The Heat Rate Curve 10 Heat Rates • Plots the average number of MBtu/MWhr of fuel input per MW of output • What is a heat rate? – Is a large or a small value preferable? – What are the units for a heat rate? – The inverse of the standard efficiency (output/input) • Heat-rate curve is the I/O curve scaled by MW * and is not constant * mmBtu/ MWh Pgen • Typical heat rate values Level for most efficient unit operation Pgen – Coal plant is 10 mmBtu/MWh – Modern combustion turbine is 10 mmBtu/MWh – Combined cycle plant is 7 to 8 mmBtu/MWh – Older combustion turbine 15 mmBtu/MWh 11 12 3 Generator Quadratic Cost Curve • … and the derivative of the cost curve, which is the marginal, or incremental, cost curve Generator Cost Curve • Plots $/hr as a function of Pg output – What are the units of each point on the graph? Generator Cost Curve 4 2 x 10 1.8 Ci (PGi ) = α i + βi PGi + γ P MCi (PGi ) = 1.6 $/hr (fuel cost) dCi (PGi ) = βi + 2γ i PGi $/MWh dPGi 1.4 Cost ($/hr) 2 i Gi 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 0 13 Marginal Cost Curve – What are the units of each point on the graph? Marginal (Incremental) Cost Curve 20 Marginal (Incremental) Cost ($/MWh) 100 150 200 250 Pg (MW output) 300 350 400 14 Mathematical Formulation of Costs • Plots the $/MWh as a function of Pgen MW output • Typically curves can be approximated using – quadratic or cubic functions – piecewise linear functions 15 • Building from the quadratic nature of HR, we will use a quadratic cost equation 10 Ci ( PGi ) = α i + β i PGi + γ i PGi2 5 0 0 50 50 100 150 200 250 Pg (MW output) 300 350 $/hr 400 15 16 4 Power System Economic Operation • The total capacity of generators operating is greater than the load at any specific moment • This allows for much flexibility in deciding which generators to use to meet the load at any moment System Operations Aug 25-31, 2000 California ISO Load 450 Demand (GW) 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 17 What is “Economic Dispatch?” • Economic dispatch (ED) determines the least cost dispatch of generation for a system. 1 15 29 43 57 71 85 99 113 127 141 155 Hour of week 18 Economic Dispatch Discussion • Formulating the objective – What are our goals in operating the power system to serve our customers? – To dispatch ≡ To control generators to generate (more or less) energy – To determine the MW output • Economic Dispatch (from EPACT 1992) – The operation of generation facilities to produce energy at the lowest cost to reliably serve consumers, recognizing any operational limits of generation and transmission facilities. 19 • What does solving our (to be developed) set of equations help us to decide? 20 5 Economic Dispatch Formulation Economic Dispatch Formulation • Formulating the objective • We need to understand – How do we represent our objective mathematically? – How to represent system generating costs mathematically • Costs of operating (dispatching) generators – How to find the minimum system cost given • Generator costs and • System constraints – What mathematical tool do we use to obtain this objective? – Such as: total generation must equal total demand – Constrained optimization via linear programming 21 22 Example Supply Curve – Costs of Different Generating Technologies Categories for Generators Demand (GW) Diurnal Load Shape 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Peak Load Intermediate Baseload 1 23 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 Hour of Day 17 19 21 23 24 6 Linear Programming Definition • Optimization is used to find the “best” value – “Best” defined by us, the analysts and designers Constrained Optimization • Constrained optimization – Minimize/maximize an objective, subject to certain constraints • Linear programming – Linear constraints – Some binding, some non-binding 25 Formulating the Linear Programming Problem 26 Formulating the Linear Programming Problem • Objective function • For power systems: – Decision variables, what you need to decide such as how much pizza to buy minCT = ΣCi (PGi ) • Constraints s.t. Σ(PGi ) = Pdemand – Bounds (limits) on the variables; PGi _min ≤ PGi ≤ PGi _max • Pizza parlor capacity • Standard form • Our “decision variables” are ______? – min f (x) – s.t. Ax = b xmin <= x <= xmax 27 28 7 Summary Energy Conversions • Introduce ‘time scale separation’ • Examine the mathematical origin for generator costs – Define heat rate • Formulate the economic dispatch problem conceptually • Develop mathematical formulation of the economic dispatch problem 29 • For reference - - - - 1 Btu (British thermal unit) = 1054 J 1 MBtu = 1x106 Btu 1 MBtu = 0.29 MWh Conversion factor of 0.2928MWh/MBtu 30 8
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