ENERGY AND RESOURCES BRIEFING FOR THE INCOMING MINISTER THIS DOCUMENT HAS BEEN PROACTIVELY RELEASED. REDACTIONS MADE TO THE DOCUMENT HAVE BEEN MADE CONSISTENT WITH THE PROVISIONS OF THE OFFICIAL INFORMATION ACT 1982. October 2014 Purpose The purpose of this initial briefing is to give the Incoming Minister sufficient information to meet their initial requirement. It is not intended to be a detailed analysis of the portfolio or of policy issues. The briefing is part of a wider process. Ministers will be able to call for a fuller briefing on issues of interest and importance to them during that process. This allows the initial briefing to be wide ranging, enabling the Minister to see the breadth of the portfolio, while still being concise. Contents 1. Portfolio overview .................................................................................................................... 3 2. Portfolio responsibilities ........................................................................................................... 7 Minister’s responsibilities .................................................................................................................... 7 Portfolio functions and responsibilities............................................................................................... 7 Key MBIE officials ................................................................................................................................ 7 Legislative responsibilities ................................................................................................................... 9 Crown entities.................................................................................................................................... 10 3. Focus for the first 100 days ..................................................................................................... 13 Key policy and implementation issues .............................................................................................. 13 Pending decisions and actions........................................................................................................... 13 Upcoming events, publications, appointments, and announcements ............................................. 16 4. Beyond the first 100 days ........................................................................................................ 17 5. Major links with other portfolios ............................................................................................. 20 6. Annexes.................................................................................................................................. 21 Annex 1: Funds and appropriations .................................................................................................. 21 Annex 2: Relevant legislation ............................................................................................................ 22 Annex 3: Key international energy relationships and agreements ................................................... 23 Page 2 of 23 1. Portfolio overview The energy and resources sector makes an important contribution to New Zealand’s economy… Your portfolio is crucial to enabling businesses and households to have access to reliable, affordable energy. In doing so, it underpins the performance of businesses (including major export industries such as dairy) and the mobility, comfort and health of New Zealanders. This portfolio also has an important role to play in ensuring New Zealanders benefit from the upstream development of our abundant (renewable and non-renewable) resources. Petroleum and mineral resource development make an important contribution to regional and national economic growth and employment, electricity generation, and construction. Global trends will increasingly influence New Zealand’s energy and resources sector, which is heading into a period of change… Global demand for fossil fuels is expected to continue to grow, and prices may keep rising and be volatile. At the same time, it is anticipated that there will be increasing geopolitical and economic pressure to increase action on climate change globally. New technologies, behaviours and business models are bringing opportunities to raise energy productivity and reduce emissions. New Zealand has abundant energy resources… We are a world leader in geothermal energy, have world class wind resources, extensive hydroelectricity and forestry resources as a potential source of biofuels. We have a diverse (multicommodity) minerals sector playing an essential role in our economy, and many sedimentary basins are known to have working petroleum systems – only one of which is currently in production (Taranaki). The share of electricity generation from renewables was 79 percent in the year to June 2014, up from 74 percent in the previous year, reflecting new geothermal generation plants and the mothballing of a coal and gas-fired unit at Huntly power station 1. This contributes to the government target of 90 percent renewable electricity generation by 2025. Figure one below shows the changing generation profile over the last 40 years (where ‘other renewables’ is wind and geothermal). There are opportunities to further develop those resources… There is currently 3440 MW 2 of consented new renewable generation available for development (largely geothermal and wind), and there are further opportunities for direct use of geothermal heat in commercial and industrial applications. There is also potential to use forestry waste to coproduce liquid biofuels and biomass for heat. This provides another opportunity to reduce the 1 The share of renewables can be significantly reduced in years with very low rainfall due to the high proportion of hydro-electricity. 2 77 percent of total consented generation Page 3 of 23 impact of fossil fuel prices on our economy, grow a new domestic industry, and reduce carbon emissions. The commercial viability of this opportunity is being explored through the Primary Growth Partnership (between the Ministry of Primary Industries and industry players), and the Energy Efficiency and Conservation Authority (EECA) actively promotes biofuel and biomass options. Figure 1: Electricity Generation by Fuel 1974-2013 50,000 Total Generation Electricity Generation (GWh) 45,000 40,000 Hydro 35,000 30,000 Hydro Moving Average 25,000 20,000 Fossil Fuelled 15,000 10,000 Fossil Fuelled Moving Average 5,000 Other Renewables 2013 2010 2007 2004 2001 1998 1995 1992 1989 1986 1983 1980 1977 1974 0 Fossil fuel resources are expected to play a significant role in meeting global energy demand for some time… World demand for fossil fuels continues to grow at the same time as existing fields are being depleted and new more costly to access fields developed. Forecasts from agencies such as the International Energy Agency suggest that over the next few decades there will remain a significant market for petroleum. New Zealand can play a role in meeting that demand, and being a petroleum exporter also offers us a hedge against potentially high and volatile fossil fuel prices in future, and a potential tool to manage the associated economic impact. Our focus on development has been paying off The move to annual block offers and mineral tenders has attracted new and credible players. We have seen established players like Shell broaden their activities, and exploration at near record levels. Exploration has helped boost the future of existing fields, securing a very positive increase in gas reserves, but there have not been any new fields discovered. This means we need to keep working to stay on the radar of international investors. This is driving the on-going review and testing of key aspects of the management of the Crown’s petroleum and minerals estate. Page 4 of 23 There has been a substantial upgrading of the whole regulatory regime for resources Health and safety and environmental regimes have been strengthened, and there have been changes to the Crown Minerals Act. This has included revised Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) legislation and a new central role for the Environmental Protection Authority (EPA). Some work remains to be done, but the focus is on bedding down and refinement. Continuing to lift public confidence in the robustness of environmental and safety protections is critical. Energy intensity has improved, but carbon emissions are forecast to increase… There has been a reduction in energy intensity and demand for electricity is now growing at a slower rate than the economy. However, carbon emissions from the energy sector continue to be well above 1990 levels. Technologies are emerging, especially in solar photovoltaic and information and communications, which offer the potential over time to reduce emissions and further improve energy productivity. Transport remains a particular challenge as transport fuel use contributes to over 40 percent of energy sector emissions, and is forecast to increase. The development of alternative fuels, modes and vehicle technologies offer the potential for changes in energy demand patterns over time. Fuel switching in industrial heat applications also provides an opportunity to reduce emissions. Household energy efficiency is improving… Over 265,000 homes (of which over 123,000 are ‘low income’) have been insulated under the WarmUp New Zealand: Heat Smart / Healthy Homes programmes provided by EECA. Insulation makes homes cheaper and easier to heat to healthy temperatures, and reduces health risks caused by cold and damp housing, such as serious diseases like rheumatic fever. Household demand for electricity is reducing, which could partly be attributed to energy efficiency improvements in household products, such as heat pumps and lighting, and changing consumer behaviours. Improvements to energy market regulation are delivering results… Electricity security of supply has improved, with investment in generation and new lines infrastructure and hydro shortages being increasingly well managed by industry. We now have a more diverse and resilient supply of gas that continues to be an essential component of our energy supply. Increased retail competition for electricity customers has resulting in significant discounts and enhanced offers, which has also benefited gas consumers. The rate of increases in residential electricity prices has slowed, and the latest increases are a result of increasing line charges (which are subject to oversight by the Commerce Commission). Your portfolio needs to play a leading role across government… This portfolio has important links with other portfolios, and achieving the best outcomes involves working closely with them. As Minister for both Energy and Resources and Transport, there are opportunities for alignment. Particular areas include: offshore regulation of petroleum and minerals Page 5 of 23 activity, and energy strategy (given the significance of transport fuel demand). Other portfolios that the Energy and Resources portfolio has important links with (also shown in section 5) are: • Economic Development – due to its importance to business growth • Environment (including the EPA), Workplace Relations and Safety (including WorkSafe New Zealand) and Conservation – mainly in relation to the Resource Management Act (consenting, freshwater quality and allocation), and EEZ and health and safety legislation and regulations • Commerce and Consumer Affairs – in relation to competition and consumer legislation, and the regulation of electricity lines (including Transpower) and gas pipeline businesses • Housing and Climate Change– in relation to energy demand, insulation, energy efficiency and carbon emissions. Page 6 of 23 2. Portfolio responsibilities Minister’s responsibilities As Minister of Energy and Resources you have statutory responsibilities for Vote Energy funds and appropriations (Annex 1 provides a snapshot for 2014/15). The key legislation you are responsible for is listed below, including your functions, duties and powers under each. Other legislation relevant to your portfolio is listed in Annex 2. You are also responsible for five Crown entities and statutory bodies (listed below). Portfolio functions and responsibilities The Vote Energy funds and appropriations provide for MBIE and associated Crown entities to undertake the following functions: • provision of policy advice (including second opinion advice and contributions to policy advice led by other agencies) to support decision-making by Ministers on government policy matters • monitoring the performance of five Crown Entities and statutory bodies • managing the regime for the exploration and development of petroleum, mineral and coal resources • promoting New Zealand for international and domestic investment to enable the Crown's petroleum and mineral resources to contribute to the economic development of New Zealand • provision of projections and analyses of energy supply and demand and greenhouse gas emissions • managing statistical collections on energy and energy sector greenhouse gas emissions • servicing New Zealand's membership of international energy organisations, such as the International Energy Agency (IEA) and APEC Energy Working Group (details in Annex 3) • ensuring appropriate regulatory settings for liquid transport fuel specifications. Key MBIE officials Work on Energy and Resources is mainly undertaken by two branches of MBIE within the Infrastructure and Resource Markets Group – Resources, Energy and Communications, and New Zealand Petroleum & Minerals (NZP&M). In addition, the Modelling and Sector Trends team in the Office of the Deputy Chief Executive provide supporting information and advice. Key MBIE officials and their position are set out below. Page 7 of 23 Policy Directors: Elisabeth Numan Paul Alexander Resources, Energy and Communications General Manager: Bruce Parkes Energy Markets Policy Manager: Jamie Kerr Resource Markets Policy Acting Manager: Andrew Millar Policy Director: Andrew Annakin National Manager Petroleum: Vacant Infrastructure and Resource Markets Group Deputy Chief Executive: Andrew Crisp National Manager Minerals: NZ Petroleum & Minerals General Manager: James StevensonWallace Sefton Darby Geoscience Information Services Manager: Richard Garlic Business Performance Manager: Donna Royal Stakeholder Relationships Manager: Jonathan Gibbard Chief Maori Advisor: Vacant Office of the Deputy Chief Executive Executive Director: Adam Cooper Manager Modelling and Sector Trends: Bryan Field Page 8 of 23 The Energy Safety team (Operations Manager Mark Wogan) in WorkSafe promotes high safety and quality standards in energy networks, installations and products. Briefing material on Energy Safety is included in the WorkSafe BIM. Across the wider organisation, MBIE has responsibility for providing policy advice in a number of related portfolios unified by a single economic objective of Growing New Zealand for All (refer Section 5). Legislative responsibilities The key legislation you are responsible for is listed below. Crown Minerals Act 1991 The Crown Minerals Act sets out the management regime for Crown-owned minerals, covering policies and procedures for the efficient allocation of the Crown's minerals and for obtaining a fair financial return. Crown-owned minerals include all petroleum, gold, silver and uranium, as well as all minerals in the territorial sea, EEZ and extended continental shelf. Other minerals (e.g. coal, iron sands, aggregates) have a mixture of Crown and private ownership. Privately owned minerals do not fall under this Act. Your key responsibilities under this Act, many of which are delegated to NZP&M, are: • attracting applications for prospecting, exploration, or mining permits, including by way of public tender • granting permits and subsequent changes to permits, and revoking permits • deciding whether to reserve areas of land containing Crown Minerals for more strategic allocation (a power retained by you as Minister) • preparation of minerals programmes • co-operation with regulatory agencies that perform functions in relation to Crown owned minerals • collecting and disclosing information in connection with mineral resources and mineral production • recommending regulations on a range of related matters, including for setting royalties and fees. Electricity Industry Act 2010 The Electricity Industry Act provides a framework for the regulation of the electricity industry. It sets out the Electricity Authority’s functions, objectives and monitoring and enforcement powers, and provides for the Electricity Industry Participation Code (the Code), which are the industry “rules”. The Act also sets out requirements relating to the separation of distribution and certain generation and retail activities, places an obligation on distributors to maintain supply in certain circumstances, and contains a range of regulation-making powers. It provides for the industry consumer dispute resolution scheme, but the Minister of Commerce and Consumer Affairs is responsible for these provisions. Page 9 of 23 Your key responsibilities under this Act are: • recommending regulations on issues such as enforcement of the Code, the industry levy, and fairness and equity • recommending appointments to the Electricity Authority and Rulings Panel. Energy Efficiency and Conservation Act 2000 The Energy Efficiency and Conservation Act established the Energy Efficiency and Conservation Authority (EECA), and forms the legislative basis for promoting energy efficiency, energy conservation and renewable energy. It includes regulation making powers for product energy efficiency standards and labelling, as well as the disclosure of information to compile statistics on energy efficiency, energy conservation and renewable energy. Your key responsibilities under this Act are: • ensuring that there is a National Energy Efficiency and Conservation Strategy (NZEECS) in force, and that it is developed according to the requirements in the Act • recommending regulations on minimum energy performance standards and labelling for energy-using products and services (including vehicles), and on data collection • appointing the EECA Board. Gas Act 1992 The Gas Act sets out the regulatory framework for gas, including providing for co-regulation with a gas industry body. It contains wide-ranging, regulation-making powers for gas safety, quality and measurement, as well as industry governance. Your key responsibilities under this Act are: • recommending regulations on issues such as market governance and operation, enforcement, the industry levy, and certain consumer issues • recommending approval of the industry co-regulator (currently the Gas Industry Company), and appointing the Rulings Panel • accepting or rejecting recommendations from the Gas Industry Company for changes to industry rules • recommending Orders in Council for gas operator status, which confer land access powers in relation to roads and rail crossings, and approving Gas Codes of Practice. Crown entities Your role in relation to Crown entities is to oversee and manage the Crown’s interests in and relationship with the five entities described in this section. This includes ensuring an effective board is in place, participating in setting the entity's strategic direction and funding, and reviewing the entity's performance and management of risk. The expectation is that all parties will adhere to the “no surprises” convention. While these entities are managed at arms-length from government, as Minister you have a number of levers to ensure you can get the performance you want. Page 10 of 23 The Energy Markets policy team (Jamie Kerr, Manager) lead MBIE’s engagement with these entities, and will support you in your oversight and management role. Electricity Authority The Electricity Authority (EA) is an independent Crown entity established under the Electricity Industry Act 2010, and is responsible for regulating the electricity market. While the nature of an independent Crown entity’s functions involves independence from Ministerial intervention, there is still an expectation of dialogue on strategic direction and annual expectations. Current members of the EA Board are: Dr Brent Layton (Chair), David Bull, Susan Paterson, Hon Roger Sowry and Elena Trout. The Chief Executive is Carl Hansen. The statutory objective of the EA is to promote competition in, reliable supply by, and the efficient operation of, the electricity industry for the long-term benefit of consumers. The EA's main functions include: • making and administering the rules governing the electricity industry through an Electricity Industry Participation Code • monitoring compliance with the code and other provisions in the Electricity Industry Act and regulations and taking enforcement action • undertaking market facilitation measures such as education and providing guidelines, information and model arrangements • industry and market monitoring, and carrying out reviews, studies and inquiries into matters relating to the industry • contracting for market operation services and system operator services. Electricity Industry Rulings Panel The Electricity Industry Rulings Panel is a specialist dispute resolution and disciplinary body that determines complaints of breaches of the Electricity Industry Participation Code 2010 by industry participants, as referred to it by the EA. It also determines certain disputes between participants and hears appeals on specific decisions by the System Operator (Transpower). The panel is appointed by the Governor-General on your recommendation. Before making a recommendation, you must first consult with the Minister of Justice and the EA. Current members are Peter Dengate Thrush (Chair), Geraldine Baumann (Deputy Chair), Susan Roberts, Nicola Wills and John O’Sullivan. Gas Industry Company The Gas Industry Company (GIC) is the private industry body that co-regulates the gas industry with you (as the Minister) under the Gas Act 1992. Under the Gas Act, GIC has powers to recommend certain gas governance regulations to you, and you have the power to accept or reject those recommendations. For certain issues, you may only promulgate regulations that are based on a Page 11 of 23 recommendation from GIC. For others, you must provide GIC a reasonable opportunity to make a recommendation to you before promulgating regulations. These constraints on your powers are designed to capture the benefits of industry self-governance, while ensuring that there is high-level ministerial oversight of the industry. Current directors on the GIC board are Rt Hon James (Jim) Bolger (Chair), Robin Hill (Deputy Chair), Andrew Brown, Keith Davis, Nigel Barbour, Dennis Barnes and Andrew Knight. The Chief Executive is Steve Bielby. Gas Industry Rulings Panel The panel is the final arbiter of disputes arising from activities under gas governance rules and regulations. The panel will approve or reject settlements recommended following investigation, determine unresolved matters and make orders, including remedies and penalties. The panel is appointed by you following nomination by GIC. The current panel is Hon Justice John Hansen. Energy Efficiency and Conservation Authority EECA is a Crown Entity established under the Energy Efficiency and Conservation Act 2000 (the Act). It has responsibility for working to improve New Zealanders’ energy choices across all sectors of the economy. The Act requires EECA to encourage, promote and support energy efficiency, energy conservation and the use of renewable sources of energy. EECA’s work programme focuses on the delivery of the actions outlined in the New Zealand Energy Efficiency and Conservation Strategy (NZEECS) that are assigned to EECA as the delivery agent. EECA also works closely with other government agencies to help them to design, implement and monitor policies to promote energy efficiency and make better use of New Zealand’s abundant renewable energy resources. As a Crown agent, EECA must give effect to government policy when directed by the responsible Minister. The Chief Executive is Mike Underhill. Current Board members are Tom Campbell (Chair), Marion Cowden (Deputy Chair), David Coull, Mervyn English, Elena Trout and Janet Carson. Page 12 of 23 3. Focus for the first 100 days Key policy and implementation issues We have identified the following policy and operational issues for your immediate attention. Pending decisions and actions Issue Reason Timing Legislative changes underway Energy (Fuels, Levies, and References) Amendment Bill The purpose of the Bill is to shift the costs of meeting New Zealand’s oil stockholding treaty obligations from the Crown to third party funding (through a levy on fuel) Awaiting Second Reading (the Commerce Committee Report was delivered on 1 July 2014) Policy and operational decisions [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] Page 13 of 23 Issue Reason Timing [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] While not directly within your responsibilities, the following imminent issues have significant implications for your portfolio [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] Page 14 of 23 Issue Reason Timing [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] Page 15 of 23 [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] Upcoming events, publications, appointments, and announcements Issue Reason Timing [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] EA electricity levy consultation Annual legislative requirement to consult on level and use of electricity levy for market regulation – the EA will brief you prior to releasing the consultation paper October 2014 EECA electricity levy consultation Annual legislative requirement to consult on level and use of electricity levy for energy efficiency – your approval to release the consultation will be sought October 2014 [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] Data release: quarterly electricity price indicator and statistics Regular statistical release by MBIE September 2014 Data release: electricity disconnections Regular statistical report and monitoring by the EA/MBIE November 2014 Attendance at events Reports to be released Appointments [Information withheld consistent with s9(2)(f)(iv) of the Official Information Act 1982] Other announcements You will receive further advice on each issue over the coming weeks, and we welcome the opportunity to engage early on these matters. Page 16 of 23 4. Beyond the first 100 days After an extended period of stable technology and a stable energy mix, the energy and resources sector is moving into a period of change. There are three global trends influencing the energy and resources sector that will need to shape the approach to policy and regulation in New Zealand: New technologies, behaviours and business models are bringing opportunities to raise energy productivity. Information and Communications Technology (ICT) is enabling system capabilities to expand, and consumer expectations are rising. The transition to a portable, interconnected, consumer centric electricity service is underway, with increasingly decentralised control over demand and supply. Advances in technologies (such as in fracking and geothermal generation) are also enabling economic access to new energy sources. World demand for fossil fuels is continuing to grow and prices may increase. Substantial new investment is being made globally in petroleum exploration but also in alternatives. Production and use of biofuels and electric vehicles are increasing (but from a low base) and many nations with oil dependent electricity generation are exploring alternative sources. However, fossil fuels are expected to play a significant role in the global energy system for some time to come and an orderly transition to low carbon economies is necessary. The impact of oil price volatility on economies is material. Geopolitical and economic pressure to take action on carbon emissions will increase. While there is continued uncertainty about a global response to climate change, action on carbon emissions is increasing (including in China). Delays risk potentially increasing the nature of the challenge (and cost) of meeting any future global consensus on action. Expectations of country contributions to emissions reductions are increasing. A price of carbon that is much higher than current prices is likely. Transitions don’t follow a straight line – how and when this will play out is not yet clear. The transition path to a low carbon, high energy productivity economy is uncertain, both in terms of timing and technology. While some changes are evident already, and could potentially develop quite rapidly, others may take longer. The energy and resources sector involves large scale, lumpy investments which take time to develop and build. All parts of the sector have a role to play – from investors, innovators, consumers, to businesses and government. Your Energy and Resources and Transport portfolios will play an important role in orderly transition, together with the Climate Change portfolio. Page 17 of 23 The big issues that will need to be tackled are How best to capture the opportunities and manage the risks from technology change. For example, emerging technology, especially solar PV and ICT, presents opportunities to lower costs and improve reliability, but there are real transition issues for the distribution network. Distribution costs could increase rapidly as a result of changing power flows for which the networks were not originally designed, and/or if some consumers bypass the grid or otherwise avoid paying for their share of the network costs. Ensuring New Zealand maximises the potential of abundant renewable resources to help transition the economy in three areas – transport fuel emissions, industrial process heat, and renewable electricity. Transport fuel emissions are a major global challenge. The use of alternative fuels is growing globally – but has some way to go to reach scale. Agriculture and forestry bi-products offer a potential opportunity here, and indeed small amounts are being produced. Electric powered transport is another opportunity given our renewables dominated electricity generation. Electric vehicle prices and reliability will continue to improve. Industrial process heat accounts for around 16 percent of our energy related emissions due to the use of coal and gas. Forestry bi-products and the development of geothermal offer opportunities for switching industrial heating away from fossil fuels. We have one of the highest proportions of renewable generation for electricity in the world, and it continues to grow. There are opportunities for further development as coal and gas fuelled electricity generation still accounts for around 20 percent of energy emissions. Determining the appropriate level of post-2020 emissions targets prior to international negotiations in 2015. Energy use accounts for 42 percent of New Zealand’s carbon emissions, and if agriculture emissions are included in an international agreement, meeting our obligations could rely on energy sector emissions savings. Energy intensity in New Zealand continues to fall, but carbon emissions are projected to increase. Ensuring that today and throughout the transition, downward pressure on prices is strong. There is a need to ensure that there is continued competitive pressure on prices for all consumer energy sources during and beyond this period of change. Effective competition in the electricity market is leading to lower price increases, backed by a strong regulatory work programme aimed at improving the operation of the retail and wholesale markets. However, the affordability of energy remains an issue for some New Zealanders. Better data is needed on energy affordability, but the issue is apparent in the increase in household electricity disconnections due to non-payment in recent years. Electricity retailers are taking action to address this through improved credit management practices. Transport fuel margins have been rising and a better understanding of the drivers of this is important. Page 18 of 23 Continual tuning of the regulatory and business environment will be required Existing regulatory and market settings leave New Zealand well-placed to deal with the issues facing the energy sector. However, the speed with which these issues play out, and how they interact, is uncertain. Our market based approach places businesses and consumers at the forefront of the response, but it will be essential to ensure that any apparent regulatory impediments to innovation in the sector are addressed. Government must also work closely with market participants to understand how these issues play out, in particular the disruptive nature of technology change. Informed by this understanding, government may need to take a more active role where market incentives or structure impede innovation or where the outcomes may be undesirable from a broader social, environmental or economic perspective. We are ready to provide further advice on any of these areas should you request it. We welcome the opportunity for an in-depth strategic conversation on any of these issues. Page 19 of 23 5. Major links with other portfolios This portfolio also has important links with a number of other portfolios. The key relationships are outlined in the following diagram. The State Owned Enterprises (SOE) portfolio is also significant due to two key SOEs in the energy and resources sector – Solid Energy (as the single largest Crown minerals permit holder) and Transpower (who plan, build, maintain and operate the national electricity grid). Page 20 of 23 6. Annexes Annex 1: Funds and appropriations The total Energy and Resources Vote for 2014/15 is $178 million. As Minister of Energy and Resources, you are responsible for the following: Consolidated Fund Expected revenue stream Electricity industry levies $87.5m VOTE ENERGY 14/15 EA $74.5m (fully levy funded) Including: System Operator service contract with Transpower $40m Repayment of Crown energy efficiency loans $2m Emergency management by System Operator up to $6m MBIE Expenses Implementation & funding of home insulation scheme $35m Energy Efficiency Crown Loans Scheme $2m $37m Including: Petroleum & minerals data acquisition $2m Policy advice & Ministerial servicing $6m IEA membership & oil stock obligations $7m Page 21 of 23 NZP&M Crown-owned estate management $17m Energy and resources information $3m Fuel quality monitoring programme $1m Annex 2: Relevant legislation Key legislation is set out in Section 2 (the Crown Minerals Act, Electricity Industry Act, Energy Efficiency and Conservation Act and Gas Act). Other legislation core to your portfolio is: Electricity Act 1992 – sets out the regulatory framework for electricity supply and contains wideranging regulation-making powers for matters of electrical safety, quality and measurement. As Minister, you may grant and revoke applications for electricity operator status, conferring or removing land access powers in relation to roads and rail crossings. Atomic Energy Act 1945 – sets out the regulatory framework for the means of producing atomic energy in New Zealand, including the mining of uranium and other substances that may be used for the production of atomic energy and the vesting of such substances in the Crown. Energy Companies Act 1992 – provided for the formation of energy companies, the vesting in such companies of the undertakings of electric power boards and the electricity and gas undertakings of local authorities, and the dissolution of electric power boards. Energy Resources Levy Act 1976 – imposes a levy on the production of open-cast coal and natural gas produced from discoveries made before 1 January 1986. The levy was introduced in the mid1970s to adjust price relativities between oil, gas and coal in response to the international oil shocks at the time. Revenue from this levy is paid into the Consolidated Fund. Lake Taupo Compensation Claims Act 1947 – relates to agreements about the control of the Waikato River for the purposes of flood control and electricity generation. The act sets a maximum working level for Lake Taupo which you can alter by Gazette notice, and also provides the basis on which compensation will be assessed for any claims in relation to the control of the lake level. Manapouri – Te Anau Development Act 1963 – your role under this Act is to notify by Gazette notice the operating guidelines for the levels of the two lakes which are recommended by the Guardians of Lakes Manapouri and Te Anau (appointed by the Minister for Conservation). Ngai Tahu (Pounamu Vesting) Act 1997 – formally made Te Runanga o Ngāi Tahu responsible for the ownership and management of pounamu. Petroleum Demand Restraint Act 1981 – authorises regulation-making for the purpose of restraining demand, reducing consumption or ensuring the equitable distribution of processed petroleum products if they are, or are likely to be, in short supply. Petroleum Demand Restraint (Regulations Validation and Revocation) Act 1981 – validated and confirmed regulations made under the Petroleum Demand Restraint Act 1981 and also revoked certain regulations continued in force by that Act. Petroleum Sector Reform Act 1988 – removed licensing requirements for retailing and wholesaling of petroleum products, thereby completing the deregulation of the sector. Synthetic Fuels Plant (Effluent Disposal) Empowering Act 1983 – gives the right to discharge plant effluent. Page 22 of 23 Annex 3: Key international energy relationships and agreements The key international engagements within this portfolio are listed below. Council of Australian Governments (COAG) Energy Council You are a member of the COAG Energy Council, along with energy and resources Ministers from the Australian states and territories. The Council was created when the COAG Ministerial Councils were streamlined recently. While the Council’s focus is on Australian issues, it is a useful forum for transTasman discussions on areas of common interest, and provides a vehicle for information sharing and collaboration. The Council oversees the joint Equipment Energy Efficiency (E3) programme that EECA is associated with. The next meeting is in December 2014. International Energy Agency (IEA) and the International Energy Programme (IEP) The IEA is an autonomous agency within the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and is New Zealand’s principal international energy relationship. It was established following the 1973/1974 oil crisis to implement measures to mitigate the risks of future oil supply disruptions. Meetings are biennial and the next meeting is in November 2015. As a member of the IEA and signatory to the IEP, we are required to hold petroleum reserves equivalent to 90 days of net imports. We currently comply with this obligation by augmenting local stocks with bilateral treaties/agreements to hold stock in other IEA countries, namely Australia, Denmark, Japan, the Netherlands, Spain, and the United Kingdom. Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Energy Working Group (EWG) The APEC EWG is one of eleven officials-level APEC sectoral working groups. It has a programme of work to maximise the energy sector's contribution to the APEC region's economic and social wellbeing. All EWG decisions are non-binding. APEC energy ministers meet approximately once every two years, with the most recent meeting held in China on 2-3 September 2014. APEC Fossil Fuel Subsidy Reform Peer Review New Zealand is a lead member of the Friends of Fossil Fuel Subsidy Reform group and has volunteered for an APEC peer review of our domestic support measures for fossil fuels. The review will look to identify any inefficient fossil fuel subsides and will take place in March 2015. Preparations have already commenced and the immediate focus is on technical work and preparing material for the review panel. International Energy Forum (IEF) Charter The IEF is an international dialogue between petroleum-producing and petroleum-consuming nations, and is the world’s largest energy ministers forum. As a signatory, New Zealand has pledged to a number of IEF objectives, principally to foster greater mutual understanding and awareness of common energy interests among IEF members. The IEF presents a good an opportunity for bilateral meetings. The next meeting is in 2016. Page 23 of 23
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