Editors–in–Chief Matthias Goldmann; Russell Miller; Jule Mulder; Emanuel Towfigh; Floris de Witte Senior Editors Matej Avbelj; Betsy Baker; Jürgen Bast; Gralf-Peter Calliess; Patrycja Dabrowska; Jen Hendry; Elisa Hoven; Agnieszka Janczuk-Gorywoda; Malcolm MacLaren; Stefan Magen; Nora Markard; Ralf Michaels; Anna Katharina von Oettingen; Emanuela Orlando; Niels Petersen; Christoph Safferling; Karsten Schneider www.germanlawjournal.com © Copyright 2000 – 2017 by German Law Journal, Inc. All rights reserved. ISSN: 2071-8322 / ISSNL: 2071-8322 Vol. 18 No. 01 Pages 1-232 01 January 2017 Table of Contents Articles Peter O. Mülbert & Alexander Sajnovits The Element of Trust in Financial Markets Law 1-38 Alessandro Rosanò Ne Bis Interpretatio In Idem? The Two Faces of the Ne Bis In Idem Principle in the Case Law of the European Court of Justice 39-58 Roda Mushkat Counterfactual Reasoning: An Effective Component of the International Law Methodological Armor? Table of Contents 59-98 Table of Contents, cont. David Yuratich Article 13(2) TEU: Institutional Balance, Sincere CoOperation, and Non-Domination During Lawmaking? 99-126 Michael Nesbitt Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry: A Legal Analysis of the Procedures of Goldstone’s Gaza Inquiry 127-188 Developments Thomas Kliegel Freedom of Speech for Public Officials vs. the Political Parties’ Right to Equal Opportunity: The German Constitutional Court’s Recent Rulings Involving the NPD and the AfD 189-212 Asteris Pliakos & Georgios Anagnostaras Saving Face? The German Federal Constitutional Court Decides Gauweiler Table of Contents 213-232 Articles The Element of Trust in Financial Markets Law By Peter O. Mülbert and Alexander Sajnovits* Abstract Trust is an essential element for the functioning not only of ancient societies but also of modern societies. This article explores the different dimensions of trust in general and the different dimensions of the relationship between trust and the law, in particular. More specifically, we distinguish three different levels of interaction between trust and the law: (1) trust in the law; (2) trust through the operation of law, and (3) trust as defined by the law. Building on these categories, we finally turn to the “tsunami of regulation” (“Regulierungstsunami”) in the area of EU financial market law that has occurred in the wake of the financial crisis of 2008. As will be shown, trust can serve as a legal concept for making sense of this flood of legislative acts and of shaping these into a coherent framework. A different question yet to be answered is whether the flood of legislation already resulted in providing for an excess level of trust. * Prof. Dr. Peter O. Mülbert is the holder of the Chair of Civil Law, Commercial Law, Business Law and Banking Law and the Director of the Center for German and International Law of Financial Services at the University of Mainz, Germany. Alexander Sajnovits is a research assistant for the Chair of Civil Law, Commercial Law, Business Law and Banking Law at the University of Mainz, Germany. This article is an abridged and updated version of a more German law-oriented article. See Peter O. Mülbert & Alexander Sajnovits, Vertrauen und Finanzmarktrecht, 2 ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR DIE GESAMTE PRIVATRECHTSWISSENSCHAFT (ZfPW) 1-51 (2016). The authors are deeply grateful to Ciara McGarry for her outstanding work in translating the German text. The usual caveat applies. 2 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 A. Introduction Trust is of great importance, even in the commercial context. Kenneth Arrow in 1972 succinctly gave expression to this observation as follows: “Virtually every commercial transaction has within itself an element of trust, certainly any transaction conducted over a period of time.”1 This perception applies particularly to the financial markets as the repercussions of the collapse of the US investment bank Lehman Brothers in September 2008 emphatically demonstrate. The banking and financial crisis triggered by this event, which itself precipitated a general economic crisis, and the resulting ongoing European sovereign debt crisis are often attributed to a loss of trust on a grand scale. The financial markets crisis saw banks losing the trust of their peers and other market participants.2 In the subsequent economic crisis it was the trust placed in the financial sector and the economy as a whole that could be seen to dwindle. 3 In the European sovereign debt crisis investors’ ability to trust in the long-term solvency of certain EU Member States has, in turn, been severely undermined. 4 This perceived crisis of confidence has prompted individual members of academic legal circles to demand trust-building reforms in financial markets law.5 It has also, and above all, prompted corresponding action in the political sphere. 6 Reinforcing trust in the 1 Kenneth Arrow, Gifts and Exchanges, 1 PHILOSOPHY AND PUBLIC AFFAIRS 343, 357 (1972). 2 Roman Tomasic & Folarin Akinbami, The Role of Trust in Maintaining the Resilience of Financial Markets, 11 JOURNAL OF CORPORATE LAW STUDIES 369 (2011); ALEXANDER THIELE, FINANZAUFSICHT: DER STAAT UND DIE FINANZMÄRKTE 79 (fn. 93) (2014); Frens Kroeger, The Development, Escalation and Collapse of System Trust: From the financial Crisis to Society at Large, 33 EUROPEAN MANAGEMENT JOURNAL 431 (2015); Joan Loughrey, Smoke and Mirrors? Disqualification, Accountability and Market Trust, 9 LAW AND FINANCIAL MARKETS REVIEW 50, 52 (2015); Raymond H. Brescia, Trust in the Shadows: Law, Behavior, and Financial Re-Regulation, 57 BUFFALO LAW REVIEW 1361, 1372 (2009); Ronald J. Colombo, The Role of Trust in Financial Regulation, 55 VILLANOVA LAW REVIEW 577-602 (2010); Fran Tonkiss, Trust, Confidence and Economic Crisis, 44 INTERECONOMICS 196, 200 (2009); Timothy C. Earle, Trust, Confidence, and the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, 29 RISK ANALYSIS 785-792 (2009). 3 See Paolo Sapienza & Luigi Zingales, A Trust Crisis, 12 INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FINANCE 123, 130 (2012); Friedrich Sell & Marcus Wiens, Warum Vertrauen wichtig ist – der ökonomische Blickwinkel, 89 WIRTSCHAFTSDIENST 526-533 (2009). See also Holger Stelzner, Der Kern der Krise – Vertrauen, FRANKFURTER ALLGEMEINE ZEITUNG (Dec. 23, 2012), abvailale at http://www.faz.net/aktuell/wirtschaft/der-kern-der-krisevertrauen-12004848.html. 4 ANDREAS DOMBERT, EUROPÄISCHE STAATSSCHULDENKRISE - URSACHEN UND LÖSUNGSANSÄTZE 3, available at https://www.bundesbank.de/Redaktion/DE/Downloads/Presse/Reden/2011/2011_12_20_dombret_europa eische_staatsschuldenkrise.pdf?__blob=publicationFile; Adalbert Winkler, Ordnung und Vertrauen – Zentralbank und Staat in der Eurokrise, 14 PERSPEKTIVEN DER WIRTSCHAFTSPOLITIK 198, 202 (2013). Some commentators have posited an opposing theory as to the culprit responsible for the crisis: excessive and misplaced trust. See Brescia, supra note 2, at 1364. But Brescia also conceded that the loss of trust materially contributed towards the deepening of the crisis. See id. at 1373. 5 Frank Partnoy, Financial Systems, Crises, and Regulation, in THE OXFORD HANDBOOK OF FINANCIAL REGULATION 68, 80 (Niamh Moloney et al. eds., 2015); Chris Brummer & Matt Smallcomb, Institutional Design, The International Architecture, in THE OXFORD HANDBOOK OF FINANCIAL REGULATION 129, 138, 151 (Moloney et al. eds., 2015); Tomasic & Akinbami, supra note 2, at 393. See also CAPITAL FAILURE – REBUILDING TRUST IN FINANCIAL SERVICES (Nicholas Morris & David Vines eds., 2014). 6 Wolfgang Schäuble, Mit einem neuen Ordnungsrahmen Vertrauen schaffen, BÖRSEN-ZEITUNG (Feb. 27, 2009) (“The functioning of a financial centre is inextricably intertwined with the trust which it enjoys. We will 2017 Trust in Financial Markets Law 3 financial markets is the stated goal of a series of legislative acts adopted at the EU level since the outbreak of the financial markets crisis. 7 At the same time, a legislative approach adopting a completely different line of attack has also been apparent. To begin with, credit ratings and credit rating agencies have been divested of some of their relevance. Even more notably is the attempt at providing an institutional framework allowing for the resolution of even systemically significant financial market actors in a manner that does not destabilise the financial markets or the economy as a whole, as a means of undermining the basis of actual trust in implicit government guarantees.8 Moreover, in view of the rapid encroachment of the compliance-based approach, originally developed as a means of regulating providers of securities-related services, into ever more areas of social and economic life, the importance of trust as a mechanism may be described as having suffered quite a blow across the board. The expression “Trust, but verify,” reputedly coined by Lenin, seems to neatly capture the mood in today’s post-modern, fragmented, and (thus) increasingly juridified society. With all of this in mind, this article takes up the question of trust in financial markets law. We begin with an introduction to the inter-disciplinary concept of trust as a mechanism for reducing complexity (B.). We then identify three manifestations of the correlation between trust and (financial markets) law: trust in the law; trust through the operation of law; and trust as defined by the law (C.). We then turn our attention to the impact of core elements of financial markets law in shaping attitudes of trust (“through the operation of law”) (D.). The article ends with a few words by way of conclusion (D.). reinforce the trust placed in Germany as one such financial centre by once more according greater significance to the fundamental principle of liability.)” (authors’ translation). See Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England, Speech on 17 November, 2004, available at www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Pages/speeches/default.aspx; European Commission, Communication: Single Market Act Twelve Levers to Boost Growth and Strengthen Confidence, “Working together to create new growth,” COM(2011) 206 final. 7 Regulation (EU) No 345/2013 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 17 April 2013 on European venture capital funds: Recital 3; Regulation (EU) 2016/1011 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 8 June 2016 on indices used as benchmarks in financial instruments and financial contracts or to measure the performance of investment funds: Recital 1; Directive 2014/57/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on criminal sanctions for market abuse (market abuse directive): Recital 1 and 7; Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU: Recital 4; Regulation (EU) No 462/2013 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 21 May 2013 amending Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 on credit rating agencies: Recital 20; Directive 2014/17/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 4 February 2014 on credit agreements for consumers relating to residential immovable property and amending Directives 2008/48/EC and 2013/36/EU and Regulation (EU) No 1093/2010: Recitals 3, 31 and 35. 8 Regulation (EU) No 462/2013 (supra fn. 7) and Regulation (EU) No 806/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 July 2014 establishing uniform rules and a uniform procedure for the resolution of credit institutions and certain investment firms in the framework of a Single Resolution Mechanism and a Single Resolution Fund and amending Regulation (EU) No 1093/2010. 4 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 B. Trust: An Inter-Disciplinary Concept Trust is of crucial importance for the functioning of the economy and society. In the wake of the pioneering work of Georg Simmel 9 and, above all, Niklas Luhmann,10 trust has become the focus of some interest. This is true for sociologists. 11 It is also true for psychology,12 political science,13 and jurisprudence.14 Over the last 20 years the subject has even attracted the attention of a number of distinguished economists.15 I. Concept Trust is defined as a “Firm belief in the reliability, truth, or ability of someone or something; confidence or faith in a person or thing, or in an attribute of a person or 9 GEORG SIMMEL, THE PHILOSOPHY OF MONEY 1907 (Routledge 3rd edition 2004); GEORG SIMMEL, SOZIOLOGIE: UNTERSUCHUNGEN ÜBER DIE FORMEN DER VERGESELLSCHAFTUNG 346 (1st ed. 1908). Simmel was preceded by Thomas Hobbes, John Locke, and John Stuart Mill. See Brescia, supra note 2, at 1366; Annette Baier, Trust and Antitrust, 96 ETHICS 231-260 (1986). 10 NIKLAS LUHMANN, TRUST AND POWER, PART 1 – TRUST (1979) (first published as VERTRAUEN – EIN MECHANISMUS DER REDUKTION SOZIALER KOMPLEXITÄT (1968)). 11 See, e.g., JAMES S. COLEMAN, FOUNDATIONS OF SOCIAL THEORY (1990); J.M. Barbalet, Social Emotions: Confidence, Trust and Loyalty, 16 INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF SOCIOLOGY AND SOCIAL POLICY 75-96 (1996). 12 See, for example, Julian B. Rotter, Generalized expectancies for interpersonal trust, 26 AMERICAN PSYCHOLOGIST, 443-452 (1971). 13 See, e.g., Russell Hardin, Do We Want Trust in Government?, in DEMOCRACY AND TRUST 22 (Mark E. Warren ed., 1999); Russell Hardin, Trustworthiness, 107 ETHICS 26-42 (1996); Russell Hardin, The Street-Level Epistemology of Trust, 21 POLITICS AND SOCIETY 505-529 (1993); BARBARA MISZTAL, TRUST IN MODERN SOCIETIES – THE SEARCH FOR THE BASES OF SOCIAL ORDER (1996). 14 Charles J. Goetz & Robert E. Scott, Enforcing Promises: An Examination of the Basis of Contract, 89 THE YALE LAW JOURNAL 1261 (1980); Thomas Wischmeyer, Generating Trust Through Law? Judicial Cooperation in the European Union and the “Principal of Mutual Trust”, 17 GERMAN LAW JOURNAL 339-382 (2016); Lawrence E. Mitchell, Fairness and Trust in Corporate Law, 43 DUKE LAW JOURNAL 425-491 (1993); Lawrence E. Mitchell, Trust and Team Production in Post-Capitalist Society, 24 JOURNAL OF CORPORATION LAW 869 (1999); Bruce Ian Carlin et al., Public Trust, the Law, and Financial Investment, 92 JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS 321-341 (2009); Larry E. Ribstein, Law v. Trust, 81 BOSTON UNIVERSITY LAW REVIEW 553-590 (2001); KARL LARENZ, ALLGEMEINER TEIL DES DEUTSCHEN BÜRGERLICHEN RECHTS § 2 IV. (43 et seq.) (7th ed. 1989); CLAUS-WILHELM CANARIS, VERTRAUENSHAFTUNG IM DEUTSCHEN PRIVATRECHT (1971); HANS CHRISTOPH GRIGOLEIT, VORVERTRAGLICHE INFORMATIONSHAFTUNG 21 (1997); CHRISTIAN KERSTING, DIE DRITTHAFTUNG FÜR INFORMATIONEN IM BÜRGERLICHEN RECHT 167 (2007). 15 See, e.g., George J. Stigler, The Economics of Information, 3 JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY 213-225 (1961); Oliver E. Williamson, Calculativeness, Trust, and Economic Organization, 36 JOURNAL OF LAW AND ECONOMICS 453486 (1993); Louis B. Barnes, Managing the Paradox of Organizational Trust, 59 HARVARD BUSINESS REVIEW 107116 (1981); TRUST: MAKING AND BREAKING COOPERATIVE RELATIONS (Diego Gambetta ed., 1988); Larue Tone Hosmer, Trust: The Connecting Link between Organizational Theory and Philosophical Ethics, 20 ACADEMY OF MANAGEMENT REVIEW, 379-403 (1995); Ernst Fehr, On the Economics and Biology of Trust, 7 JOURNAL OF THE EUROPEAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION 235-266 (2009); Ernst Fehr & John A. List, The Hidden Costs and Returns of Incentives – Trust and Trustworthiness among CEOs, 2 JOURNAL OF THE EUROPEAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION 743-771 (2004); TANJA RIPPERGER, ÖKONOMIK DES VERTRAUENS (2nd ed. 2003); Marek Korczynski, The Political Economy of Trust, 37 JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES 1-21 (2000); Paul S. Adler, Market, Hierarchy, and Trust: The Knowledge Economy and the Future of Capitalism, 12 ORGANIZATION SCIENCE 215 (2001); Horst Albach, Vertrauen in der ökonomischen Theorie, 136 JOURNAL OF INSTITUTIONAL AND THEORETICAL ECONOMICS 2-11 (1980). 2017 Trust in Financial Markets Law 5 thing.”16 Confidence is defined as “the mental attitude of trusting in or relying on a person or thing,”17 and reliance as “dependence on or trust in someone or something.” 18 The concept of trust—in our everyday use of the term as an expression of belief in the dependability and reliability of a person or thing—encompasses a range of complex and diverse manifestations of trust. For example, we speak of trust that is well-founded, justified, blind, irrational, etc. It is therefore in need of a precise definition that reflects the different knowledge objects, interests, and objectives of the various disciplines in the (social) sciences. It is thus entirely in line with our everyday use of this term to talk of trusting in the occurrence of a random event. Nevertheless, the expectation that share prices will develop in a certain manner in the future19 – in any case to the extent that their development may be likened to a “random walk down wall street”, a metaphor made popular by the 1973 book of the same name – does not, from an economic perspective, have anything to do with trust, nor could such an expectation ever, from a legal perspective, be accorded the status of one warranting protection. Rather, it is, from a legal and economic standpoint, more akin to a mere “hope” or “aspiration.” 20 Random events in the narrower sense are indeed rare occurrences, at least outside of the context of radioactive decay. But expectations as to the (non-)occurrence of highly improbable events—whether these involve winning the lottery or exposure to risk of loss in the form of what have most recently come to be known as “black swan” 21 or “tail risk” events— will not, from a legal and economic standpoint, be a matter of “trust.” The rationality of trusting in the occurrence or non-occurrence of a certain event will also depend on the extent of the loss that the party acting on trust would be likely to incur should his or her trust have been misplaced. Trust may therefore be understood, in the context under consideration here, as an expectation as to the future conduct of a person or an organisation or as to the functionality of a system, whereby the trustee or the system in question must fundamentally be capable of acting or functioning in fulfilment of said expectation. II. Function In these modern times the individual necessarily finds himself or herself in situations that he or she is unable to fully grasp, faced with a degree of complexity that must be 16 Oxford English Dictionary. 17 Oxford English Dictionary. 18 Oxford English Dictionary. 19 BURTON G. MALKIEL, A RANDOM WALK DOWN WALL STREET (10th ed. 2012). 20 Ripperger also refers to hope as the antonym of trust. RIPPERGER, supra note 15, at 38. 21 See NASSIM NICHOLAS TALEB, THE BLACK SWAN (2nd ed. 2010). 6 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 overcome.22 The more complex a social system is, then the more difficult it is for the individual to function autonomously within its bounds. Deciding upon one of a number of available options is a process that is rife with uncertainty. There are a number of possible means, most of which can be cumulatively deployed, for overcoming this uncertainty and thus reducing the complexity faced by the individual, at least according to his own perception. First, one can increase his or her ability to assimilate, process and interpret information. Second, one can conclude explicit contracts.23 Third, one can choose to trust in a given outcome. Trust therefore constitutes an essential mechanism for reducing complexity. 24 It is not only of relevance in cases in which an explicit contractual agreement is lacking. 25 Rather, trust generally serves as a “functional equivalent”26 of rational predictive ability and information.27 Instead of coming to terms with the existing complexity, the trusting party deliberately forgoes the possibility of unlimited predictive ability and thus of command of and control over a given situation. This allows the trusting actor to actually participate in the system.28 Such deliberate forbearance may result in a reduction in transaction costs, and it is not least for this reason that the mechanism of trust has piqued the interest of proponents of New Institutional Economics. 29 22 See LUHMANN, supra note 10. 23 Explicit contracts might serve as a means of reducing complexity. See RIPPERGER, supra note 15, at 27; Horst Eidenmüller, Vertrauensmechanismus und Vertrauenshaftung, ARCHIVES FOR PHILOSOPHY OF LAW AND SOCIAL PHILOSOPHY (Beiheft 74) 117, 121 (2000). 24 See LUHMANN, supra note 10. See also PAUL MILGROM & JOHN ROBERT, ECONOMICS, ORGANIZATION AND MANAGEMENT 139 (1991) (“In a world of costly and incomplete contracting, trust is crucial to realizing many transactions.”); JAMES S. COLEMAN, 1 FOUNDATIONS OF SOCIAL THEORY 91 (1990); HOLGER FLEISCHER, INFORMATIONSASYMMETRIE IM VERTRAGSRECHT 106 (2001); Christoph Engel, Das schwindende Vertrauen in die Marktwirtschaft und die Folgen für das Recht, in FESTSCHRIFT HOPT 2733, 2742 (2010). 25 See KERSTING, supra note 14, at 176. Ackermann addresses the possibility of an express “promise,” i.e. trusting in conduct being in compliance with one’s contract. THOMAS ACKERMANN, DER SCHUTZ DES NEGATIVEN INTERESSES 141 (2007). 26 Dirk U. Gilbert, Vertrauen als Gegenstand der ökonomischen Theorie: Ausgewählte theoretische Perspektiven, empirische Einsichten und neue Erkenntnisse, 2 ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR MANAGEMENT (ZfM) 60, 71 (2007). 27 See, also, Wischmeyer, supra note 14, at 347; HANS-BERND SCHÄFER & CLAUS OTT, LEHRBUCH DER ÖKONOMISCHEN ANALYSE DES ZIVILRECHTS 5 (5th ed. 2012). 28 Gilbert, supra note 26, at 71; Katharina Beckemper, “Das Rechtsgut Vertrauen in die Funktionsfähigkeit der Märkte”, 6 ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR INTERNATIONALE STRAFRECHTSDOGMATIK 318, 319 (2011); LUHMANN, supra note 10, at 50. 29 Stephen Knack & Philip Keefer, Does Social Capital Have an Economic Payoff? A Cross-Country Investigation, 112 THE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 1251, 1252 (1997); T.K. Das & Bing-Sheng Teng, Trust, Control, and Risk in Strategic Alliances: An Integrated Framework, 23 THE ACADEMY OF MANAGEMENT REVIEW 491-512 (1998); Beckemper, supra note 28, at 320. Blair and Stout have considered this from a corporate law perspective. Margaret M. Blair & Lynn A. Stout, Trust, Trustworthiness, and the Behavioral Foundations of Corporate Law, 149 UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA LAW REVIEW 1735, 1753 (2001). 2017 Trust in Financial Markets Law 7 III. Object The object in which trust is placed is the past, present, or future conduct of persons or organisations. Or, in the case of a (technical) system, trust is placed in the functionality of that system. The object of trust may therefore be a recommendation given by an individual, the future actions of the legislature (e.g. dealing with tax matters), or the proper processing of transactions via securities trading systems in addition to the clearing and settlement of those transactions. 30 This also applies in principle to the context in which one places trust in information that, at least from an economic and legal perspective, involves trust being placed not in an abstract piece of information but in information ascribed to a certain author or source, i.e. also in the latter’s conduct in providing that information. Rationally speaking, one will only be able to rely on information to the effect that the annual profits of a certain listed company are set to increase by 200% if one is familiar with the source of that information. The position with regard to the market price on organised markets is a singular one, namely, there is no way of ascribing such information to any particular person or organisation. Information relating to the market price is rather more the result of pricing activity, i.e. the product of a pricing mechanism comprising numerous individual elements or, in systemic terms, the output of the pricing system in place. IV. Basis The key phrase “basis for trust” raises the question as to why trust is placed in persons or organisations conducting themselves, or in systems functioning, in a certain way. In the case of the provision of information, for example, the object of trust is information ascribable to a certain person/organisation. The reason for placing trust in the information relates to the person/organisation, or to the legal norms regulating their conduct. Consequently, the basis for trust may be provided by individuals (trust in persons), organisations (trust in organisations), and also systems (trust in systems). An example of the latter would be the trust extended to particular trading systems governed by rules.31 The issue of the basis for trust is often discussed, particularly in Anglo-American texts, in conjunction with the concept of trustworthiness, with the focus turning to the trustee and the identification of those attributes that are particularly conducive to a finding of trustworthiness. 32 30 In this regard, see infra D.II.2.2. 31 Other have taken a somewhat similar approach. See Adler, supra note 15, at 218; Korczynski, supra note 15, at 4; Friederike Welter, Vertrauen und Unternehmertum im Ost- West- Vergleich, in VERTRAUEN UND MARKTWIRTSCHAFT 7, 8 (J. Maier ed., 2004); HANS-DIETER HAAS & SIMON MARTIN NEUMAIR, INTERNATIONALE WIRTSCHAFT 780 (2006); JEANETTE HEDWIG MÜLLER, VERTRAUEN UND KREATIVITÄT 161 (2009). 32 See Loughrey, supra note 2, at 51; Brescia, supra note 2, at 1378; Avner Ben-Ner & Freyr Halldorsson, Trusting and Trustworthiness: What are They, How to Measure Them, and What Affects Them, 31 JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC PSYCHOLOGY 64 (2010). 8 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 1. Trust in Persons 1.1 Personal Attributes and Experience A well-founded decision to place trust in one particular person on personal grounds, will be sufficient to do away with complexity in in less complex systems. But in the financial markets context, outside of the bank adviser-customer relationship,33 personal trust will only be of minor importance.34 To the degree that it matters in this context, personal trust will usually be based on experience gathered and evaluations carried out at an interpersonal level.35 Therefore, personal reputation will be a particularly important factor from the perspective of a trustor forming expectations as to the future conduct of a trustee in accordance with the principle of extrapolation, i.e. on the basis of the latter’s past conduct.36 1.2 Transference of Trust in Systems In addition to an individual’s personal attributes, which are then reflected in the trustor’s experience and evaluations at the interpersonal level, his or her role within an organisation or a system will often also have a role to play in building trust. But the trust placed in an individual as a result of his or her position will be derived directly from the trust placed in the system in question.37 The trustee profits from his or her role/position within the system, but that position is not the true point of reference for the trust placed in him or her by the trustor. It is his position that enables him or her to come into contact with the trustor in the first place. This contact then enables the trustee to also build a personal relationship of trust with the trustor on the basis of the trust inspired by his position (trust in systems).38 The transference of the trust in the system to the trustee’s position will thus often be the factor that enables the latter to develop personal relationships of trust in the first place, and may therefore be taken to be a condition for the establishment of such trust. This can be seen in practice in the context of the provision of investment advisory services, which is characterised by the phenomenon of personal investment advisers leaving one bank to work at another and taking their existing customers with them. This is a testament to the fact that once a personal 33 Susan P. Shapiro, The Social Control of Impersonal Trust, 83 AMERICAN JOURNAL OF SOCIOLOGY 623, 632 (1987). 34 Luigi Guiso et al., Trusting the Stock Market, 63 JOURNAL OF FINANCE 2557, 2586 (2008). 35 Luhmann and Adler have addressed aspects of personal trust. See LUHMANN, supra note 10, at 39; Adler, supra note 15, at 217. Kosfeld has written regarding the biochemical aspects of reputation and trust in the context of personal contact. See Michael Kosfeld et al., Oxytocin Increases Trust in Humans, NATURE 673, 674 (2005). 36 See SCHÄFER & OTT, supra note 27, at 546. 37 Roderick M. Kramer, Trust and Distrust in Organizations: Emerging Perspectives, Enduring Questions, 50 REVIEW OF PSYCHOLOGY 569, 575 (1999). See, e.g., Adler, supra note 15, at 218; Nancy Kurland, Trust, Accountability, and Sales Agents' Dueling Loyalties, 6 BUSINESS ETHICS QUARTERLY 289, 295 (1996). 38 BART NOOTEBOOM, TRUST: FORMS, FOUNDATIONS, FUNCTIONS, FAILURES AND FIGURES 8 (2002). 2017 Trust in Financial Markets Law 9 relationship of trust has been established, then it may come to override the trust placed in the system. The link between the trust placed in a particular position and that placed in the system as a whole becomes particularly evident in the case of the application of rules of professional conduct, such as prerequisites for admission to a profession or substantive requirements relating to the practice of a profession. National legislation in the form of prerequisites for admission to a profession or substantive requirements relating to the practice of a profession have the effect of increasing the extent to which that individual is prepared to trust in the reliability of his counterpart without having any actual knowledge of the latter’s personal attributes. This is true as a matter of fact and according to the individual’s own perception. These regimes foster the establishment of interpersonal relationships of trust. Sanctioning mechanisms, whether these involve rules providing for civil/criminal liability or the imposition of other penalties, additionally serve to increase the probability of compliance with rules and regulations, which also indirectly supports the reinforcement of trust at the personal level. A regime of sanctions will further remove the focus of the trust being placed in a person from the actual person concerned, transferring the point of reference for that trust to the effectiveness of the law enforcement mechanism in place, such that it is again the trust placed in the system that is of material relevance here. 2. Trust in Organisations The trust placed in organisations, i.e. in institutions whose (board) members are individuals, is a sort of hybrid of the trust placed in persons and that originating in the context of systems.39 On the one hand, organisations (in particular corporate bodies and other legal entities) act as a single unit in their dealings with the world at large, much as an individual does. In this way they become the point of reference for attitudes of trust on the part of third parties. On the other hand, as a general rule trust in organisations is not founded on experience gathered and evaluations carried out at the interpersonal level.40 Instead, for example, with regard to specific managers, trust is based on the fact that the prevailing legal system provides for more or less comprehensive monitoring and sanctioning mechanisms that ensure that each organisation as a whole acts in accordance with a particular body of rules and regulations. In this respect, the trust placed in organisations can be said to be akin to the trust placed in systems. 3. Trust in Systems Where a multitude of participants interact with each other within complex systems without actually coming into close contact with one other, trust at the personal level will generally not be sufficient to overcome the complexity of a given situation. This is due to the fact that, overall, the market may be described as the most impersonal 39 See GUSTAV SCHMOLLER, GRUNDRIß DER ALLGEMEINEN VOLKSWIRTSCHAFTSLEHRE 61 (1900); EIRIK FURUBOTN & RUDOLF RICHTER, INSTITUTIONS & ECONOMIC THEORY 10 (2nd ed. 2005). 40 Nooteboom use similar terminology. See NOOTEBOOM, supra note 38, at 8. 10 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 relationship of a practical nature that people may establish with other people. 41 In the absence of any trust at the personal level, trust placed in systems will come into play. 42 For example, anyone who places trust in the stability of the value of money and the continued availability of a wide range of possible uses for his money does so solely on the basis of his trust in the functioning of this system, and without actually having any personal connection with someone within that system.43 Here, it is immaterial whether the trust placed in the system is continually reflected onto a particular person and brought to the trustor’s attention by that individual. In fact, it may be said, in line with our understanding of the concept of trust, that someone who is not constantly aware of the extent of his own reliance and vulnerability will tend to be particularly trusting. 44 This welfare-fostering aspect of the placing of trust in systems is contingent upon the existence of institutions established to facilitate interactions between individuals in cases not involving any personal contact. 45 Thus, a structure of institutional arrangements must be in place that is recognized and complied with by the individuals participating in the system in question. These individuals are also able to anticipate its impact in terms of the regulation of their conduct,46 thereby ensuring that any trust placed in the system does not prove to be misplaced, and ultimately fostering conduct on the part of all of the participants that justifies the trust placed in them. These institutions, which effectively govern the conduct of the actors within a system by means of regulatory requirements and incentive programmes, are established pursuant to legislative provisions, contractual regulations, but also customary business practice. 47 They stipulate the expectations that an individual may cultivate with regard to the conduct of other participants in the system, and the degree of trust that he will ultimately place in those participants.48 An example of this is provided by the regulation of the banking sector, comprising as it does requirements as to the maintenance of equity capital, liquidity, risk management, and corporate governance mechanisms. The ultimate purpose of these requirements is to foster trust in the banking system as a whole by first fostering trust in its individual institutions. 49 The regime of sanctions (including its enforcement mechanisms) that applies to a particular system will be of crucial importance for establishing trust in that system. 41 MAX WEBER, ECONOMY AND SOCIETY 636 (1978). 42 Shapiro has commented on the necessity of “impersonal trust.” See Shapiro, supra note 33, at 634. 43 See LUHMANN, supra 10, at 50. 44 See CLAUS-WILHELM CANARIS, supra note 14, at 503. 45 Shapiro, supra note 33, at 634. 46 Gilbert, supra note 26, at 90; FURUBOTN & RICHTER, supra note 39, at 86. 47 Guiso et al., supra note 34, at 2559.. 48 Paola Sapienza, Trust and Financial Markets, in THE FIRST CREDIT MARKET TURMOIL OF THE 21ST CENTURY 29, 34 (Evanoff et al. eds., 2009); Sapienza & Zingales, supra note 3, at 124; Blair & Stout, supra note 29, at 1746. 49 Infra D.III.1. 2017 Trust in Financial Markets Law 11 Effective regulations governing liability and other penalties are not only intended to ensure that the participants in the system conduct themselves in a manner that is consistent with the rules of that system. They are also a signal from the legislature that each market participant may expect the others to conduct themselves in a manner that is consistent with those rules.50 V. Motivation 1. Trustor The trustor will necessarily be exposed to certain risks in relying upon his or her predictions as to the conduct of other individuals or of corporate bodies, or the expected development or functioning of certain systems. In this posture, the trustor will not be able to exert any influence on, much less any control over, the expected developments and thus the degree of personal benefit which he will derive from them (trust dilemma).51 One speaks of the risk involved in the trustor unilaterally effecting performance as being the constitutive feature of a situation of trust and one that constitutes an expression of the trustor’s freedom to choose to be either trusting or mistrustful.52 Where no such risk exists, there will also be no need for any decision as to whether or not to adopt an attitude of trust and, conversely, placing one’s trust in a certain expected conduct or functionality will always entail the risk of one has misplaced his or her trust. Still, trust is often the only means available for overcoming complex structures.53 Thus, the trustor will decide in favour of trusting as a means – albeit a risky one – of enabling his own participation in a particular situation. An individual’s willingness to trust is directly linked to his personal willingness to take risks. 54 2. Trustee One motivation for a particular trustee to conduct himself in a manner that earns others trust may lie in his or her personal sense of integrity, i.e. in his or her determination not to fall short of the trustor’s expectations (intrinsic trustworthiness). 55 This is likely to be the material factor in many interpersonal relationships of trust, but less so in cases involving complex and anonymised systems such as the financial markets. 56 50 See Peter O. Mülbert & Steffen Steup, 59 ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTS UND BANKRECHT 1633, 1639 (2005). See also Blair& Stout, supra note 29, at 1746; Adler, supra note 15, at 217. 51 Williamson, supra note 15, at 463; Guiso et al., supra note 34, at 2558; COLEMAN, supra note 11, at 99. 52 See LUHMANN, supra note 10, at 24, 35. 53 RIPPERGER, supra note 15, at 5. 54 See Guiso et al., supra note 34, at 2558; Peter Smith Ring & Andrew H. van de Ven, Structuring Cooperative Relationships between Organizations, 13 STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT JOURNAL 483, 489 (1992). 55 See Loughrey, supra note 2, at 53; Stout & Blair, supra note 29, at 772; Brescia, supra note 2, at 1370; Colombo, supra note 2, at 580. See also Carlin et al., supra note 14, at 321. 56 See Williamson, supra note 15, at 482. 12 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 On the other hand, most trustees operating within complex anonymised systems will be able to anticipate the advantages of conducting themselves in a manner that justifies the trust placed in them, with those advantages being founded upon a desire to avoid the incurrence of penalties.57 But the trustee also (perhaps even primarily) acts in a manner that inspires trust on the general expectation that all of the participants in the system will conduct themselves in this way (calculative trustworthiness). 58 An additional, financial, motivation for trustees is the prospect of a so-called “trust premium,” which, in many cases, will take the form of a mark-up on prices, or the enhancement of one’s reputation.59 This particular aspect is likely to prove problematic in the context of the voluntary provision of information, a situation in which the amount of any trust premium typically will not be on the same scale. 60 C. Trust and the Law I. Trust: “In the Law,” “Through the Operation of Law,” and “As Defined by the Law” There are a number of very different views of the relationship between trust and the law: Some commentators see the law as serving as a substitute for trust, and trust itself merely as a necessary mechanism for the reduction of complexity only in cases that are not governed by regulatory legislation (or contractual arrangements). 61 In contrast, another and broader interpretation of the concept of trust – also considered here – states that the adoption of regulatory legislation will not generally render trust obsolete, rather will itself constitute, on the one hand, the object of trust (trust in the law) and, on the other hand, an essential factor in establishing trust and thus the actual basis for 57 See LUHMANN, supra note 10, at 35 (“trust cannot be reduced to trust in the law and in the sanctions which the law makes possible.”). 58 Colin Mayer, Trust in Financial Markets, 14 EUROPEAN FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT 617, 630 (2008); COLEMAN, supra note 11, at 104; Adler, supra note 15, at 217. But see Michael Baurmann, Vertrauen und Anerkennung, in Neuer Institutionalismus 107, 111 (Andrea Maurer & Michael Schmid eds., 2002). 59 SCHÄFER & OTT, supra note 27, at 559; KERSTING, supra note 14, at 205. 60 Bishop offered a similar assessment. See William Bishop, Negligent Misrepresentation through the Economists' Eyes, 96 LAW QUARTERLY REVIEW 360, 364 (1980). 61 See Shu Yu et al., Trade, Trust and the Rule of Law, 37 JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY 102, 103 (2015) (“Trust and formal institutions are considered to be two different transaction cost reducing channels and as such serve as substitutes.”); Beckemper, supra note 28, at 321. Luhmann had a more nuanced approach. See LUHMANN, supra note 10, at 34 (“Legal arrangements which lend special assurance to particular expectations, and make them sanctionable, are an indispensable basis for any long-term considerations of this nature; thus, they lessen the risk of conferring trust. This collated development is the only plausible meaning one can attach to the notion occasionally advanced that law is a substitute for trust.”); ID. at 41 (note 5) (“In all more sharply differentiated, more complex social orders, on the contrary, it is inevitable for law and trust to become separate in this way.”). Some scholars go so far as to suggest that legal regulation undermines, and prevents the establishment of, trust. See FRANCIS FUKUYAMA, TRUST: THE SOCIAL VIRTUES AND THE CREATION OF PROSPERITY 27 (1995); Ribstein, supra note 14 at 580; David T. Llewellyn, Trust and Confidence in Financial Services: A Strategic Challenge, 13 JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL REGULATION AND COMPLIANCE 333, 336, 341 (2005). 2017 Trust in Financial Markets Law 13 trust (trust through the operation of law).62 A further area of overlap between the law and the concept of trust is the category of “trust as defined by the law,” which relates to existing legal concepts of trust. II. Trust in the law 1. Trust in the Legal System Sanctioning a failure by trustees to conduct themselves in a manner that justifies the trust that has been placed in them is a way for the legislature to also ensure and foster the establishment of relationships of trust (including those of an interpersonal nature) because sanctions provide an additional incentive for those trustees to conduct themselves in the desired manner (general deterrence). Trust is then placed in both the individual person and the legal system, or more precisely: trust is placed in the quality of the substantive law in force, on the one hand, and in the effectiveness of the law enforcement mechanism, on the other hand.63 But the law’s function in this regard is not only to foster trust. To a large extent the law might serve to replace trust as a mechanism for overcoming complexity. Contractual arrangements can be used as a means of addressing any uncertainty arising in the decision-making context as a result of inadequate procurement or processing of information, or even the risk of opportunistic conduct on the part of other market actors.64 Of course, this will not always provide an ideal solution, given the impossibility of specifying contractual arrangements to cover every possible eventuality.65 One might well think that a perfect legal system – even if the notion is entirely Utopian 66 – in the form of an exhaustive body of dispositive and mandatory legal rules would go so far as to render the concept of trust, as a mechanism for overcoming complexity, entirely superfluous. 62 Wischmeyer, supra note 14, at 344; Loughrey, supra note 2, at 53. This perception of the possible role of the law in fostering trust also forms the basis of those theories that identify a correlation between regulation and trust within a society. See Knack & Keefer, supra note 29, at 1251 (Attempting to gauge the prevailing level of trust by reference to the findings of the World Values Survey (WVS), in which participants are asked, among other things, the following question: “Generally speaking, would you say that most people can be trusted or that you need to be very careful in dealing with people?”). See also Brescia, supra note 2, at 1401. Others have pursued a more nuanced approach. See Carlin et al., supra note 14, at 321; Philippe Aghion et al., Regulation and Distrust, 125 THE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS 1015-1049 (2010) (Explaining that a “cross section of countries, government regulation is strongly negatively correlated with trust.”). 63 Supra B.IV.1.2. and B.IV.3. 64 RIPPERGER, supra note 15, at 27. 65 See Shapiro, supra note 33, at 633; Katharina Pistor, Law in Finance, 41 JOURNAL OF COMPARATIVE ECONOMICS 315, 326 (2013) (With further references to the “incomplete contract theory.”). 66 See, generally, Baurmann, supra note 58, at 109 (With further references.). 14 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 Such optimism with regard to the reach of the law must, upon closer consideration, be tempered. After all, even a perfect legal regime would only be able to bring about a shift in the object of trust, albeit a far-reaching one. For example, in the case of a legal transaction, the shift would be from the need to trust the other party to a contract and instead to trusting in the functioning of the legal regime in force. This is particularly apparent in the context of the law governing the formulation of general terms and conditions of business. Pursuant thereto, an individual is not required to judiciously take note of the T&Cs or even to trust in the user’s stipulations taking his or her interests into account, but the consumer will – at least, as someone who is not a lawyer – have to place his or her trust in the relevant mandatory legislative provisions providing adequate protection, and also in the functioning of the state law enforcement mechanisms. The same will apply in the case of (other) consumer protection standards and investor protection legislation. While mandatory protective rules reduce the risk of exposure for consumers and investors, the latter must still rely on the functioning of the state legislative, supervisory, and law enforcement mechanisms. 67 2. Trust in Persons as an Extension of Trust in the Legal System In addition, the use of compulsory execution orders as a means of law enforcement by the state is subject to some limitations. While execution orders pertaining to the settlement of monetary claims should only prove ineffective in insolvency cases, the effectiveness of execution orders for performance will necessarily be limited in some cases. Where a creditor has an interest in the debtor taking certain action, and that interest cannot be entirely served by other means, then he or she will ultimately have to trust that the latter will remain able to effect performance – i.e. not falling victim to disability, dementia or death – and will remain willing to do so.68 Furthermore, even a perfect legal system will be unable to eliminate the risk of insolvency on the part of a counter-party. Where the latter does not have sufficient assets to satisfy creditors’ monetary claims, even an optimally structured legal framework will prove ineffective. Thus, placing one’s trust in the future solvency of a counter-party will be of fundamental importance. In these circumstances, a third party’s promise of collateral merely serves to bring about a shift in the object of that trust. III. Trust Through the Operation of Law Legislative acts might reinforce trust. They would do this by helping to optimize the aim of trust by imposing requirements on market actors, providing for the establishment of institutions, and establishing incentive programmes and sanctioning mechanisms. This would stabilize expectations that have no basis in certainty.69 67 KERSTING, supra note 14, at 187. 68 Bartels and Sajnovits have commented on the position under German law. See Klaus Bartels & Alexander Sajnovits, Die Rolle der Beschaffung beim Gattungskauf, 69 JURISTEN ZEITUNG 322, 328 (2014). 69 Wischmeyer, supra note 14, at 348. 2017 Trust in Financial Markets Law 15 Achieving this result does not depend on whether it is an explicitly stated goal of the legislature to reinforce trust, or whether this effect is merely a by-product of the application of the legislative act in question. It is equally irrelevant whether the legislature is striving to foster trust in the system or trust at the interpersonal level. But it is clear that not every legislative act will be capable of attaining the status of a trust-building measure. This caveat applies not only in the case of far-reaching tax legislation but also to many other areas of the law: legislative intervention in the sphere of property rights; changes to all manner of government measures designed to subsidize certain activities (a case in point: solar energy); and long-term decisions relating to issues of infrastructure (an example that comes to mind here is the acceleration of the phasing-out of nuclear power in Germany in response to the disaster in Fukushima). Rather, it is those regulations that result in improvements in the protection afforded a contractual party or in the functionality of systems (whether this is the stated goal or a by-product of the legislation in question) that will have a positive, trust-building impact at the substantive law level. 1. Fostering Trust as an Objective of Legal Policy in the Financial Markets Context While fostering trust by means of legislative acts is not an end in itself, 70 it certainly constitutes a legitimate objective in the case of financial markets law. Trust plays a particularly important role in this field71 because of the need to improve efficiency in this context.72 Improvement may result from an increased willingness on the part of market participants to supply the market with liquidity, a lowering of transaction costs or the prevention of market failures. 1.1 Trust in the Financial Markets In the financial markets, trust constitutes a major factor affecting the willingness of investors to provide necessary equity or external financing to individuals or entities in need of funds in the primary market, and to supply liquidity as participants in the secondary market.73 The likelihood of a financing relationship actually coming into being will largely depend on the relationship of trust that exists between the financing party and the would-be recipient of the funds.74 70 See supra note 7; supra note 8. 71 Julia Black, Reconceiving Financial Markets—From the Economic to the Social, 13 JOURNAL OF CORPORATE LAW STUDIES 401-442 (2013); Llewellyn, supra note 61, at 336, 341 et seqq. 72 See also Eidenmüller, supra note 23, 117, 123. 73 See Tomasic & Akinbami, supra note 2, at 374; infra D.1. 74 See Sapienza, supra note 48, at 30. 16 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 Moreover, the existence of greater trust in the market, one’s market counterparts, and the quality of the legal infrastructure in place will help to lower the costs incurred by individual market participants in connection with the procurement and processing of information, in part by encouraging them to dispense with certain safeguards. 75 Governmental regulation as a means of further fostering trust may therefore also result in a reduction in transaction costs – costs incurred for searches and the procurement of information, the negotiation and decision-making contexts, and in connection with monitoring and enforcement activities. This kind of regulation can be justified from an economic perspective on the grounds that markets in general, and the financial markets in particular, tend to benefit from maintaining minimal transaction costs.76 As regards the secondary market, the capital market theory supports the prohibition against insider trading in spite of its adverse effects on the efficiency of the capital markets on the grounds that increased liquidity will be a side effect of market participants trusting in the fairness of the market, 77 and similar concerns were raised in connection with (other) issues of liability affecting the secondary market. 78 In more general terms, investors’ mistrust of the stock market is viewed as one of the reasons why, in times of economic prosperity, the liquidity and degree of capitalisation of stock markets does not increase in proportion to the growth experienced by the economy as a whole.79 1.2 Trust In and Between Financial Institutions The trust placed by the investing public (savers) in financial institutions, 80 or (more precisely) in the latter’s solvency, and especially the trust placed by banks in each other, is of particular importance. During the financial markets crisis, the run on banks that many feared did not in fact materialise, partially because politicians made statements that aimed to re-establish trust. These statements were bolstered by the prompt creation in Europe and the US of instruments designed to stabilise the position of 75 FURUBOTN & RICHTER, supra note 39, at 57; RIPPERGER, supra note 15, at 34. 76 Mayer, supra note 58, at 630. 77 Infra D.II.3. 78 Peter O. Mülbert, Finanzmarktregulierung – Welche Regelungen empfehlen sich für den deutschen und europäischen Finanzsektor?, 65 Juristen Zeitung 834, 842 (2010). 79 Sapienza, supra note 48, at 30; Guiso et al., supra note 34, at 2557 (with regard to the degree of capitalization); Tomasic & Akinbami, supra note 2, at 379 (with regard to the connection between trust and liquidity). See also Adam Ng et al., Does Trust Contribute to Stock Market Development?, 52 ECONOMIC MODELLING 239-250 (2016). 80 See David-Jan Jansen et al., When Does the General Public Lose Trust in Banks?, De Nederlandsche Bank NV, Working Paper No. 402 (2013); Markus Knell & Helmut Stix, Trust in Banks during Normal and Crisis Times— Evidence from Survey Data, 82 ECONOMICA 995 (2015). Filipiak provided a comprehensive overview of current economic research. See Ute Filipiak, Trusting Financial Institutions: Out of Reach, Out of Trust?, 59 QUARTERLY REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE 200-214 (2016). 2017 Trust in Financial Markets Law 17 vulnerable institutions (SoFFIn81 and TARP82 for example).83 Thus, the emphatic announcement made in 2008 by the German Chancellor and the German Finance Minister insisting that the savings of the German public were safe succeeded in nipping the public’s rising doubts as to the stability of the German banking system in the bud. 84 Mario Draghi’s subsequent assurance, in the context of a speech given in London in 2012, had a similar effect. Draghi famously declared: “Within our mandate, the ECB is ready to do whatever it takes to preserve the euro. And believe me, it will be enough.” 85 This succeeded, at least temporarily, in dispelling the prevailing doubts as to the survival of the Eurosystem, thereby halting the stark rise in interest rates for government bonds issued by the PIIGS countries as well as the growing mistrust of banks in the Eurozone, with their extensive portfolios of securities issued by their own national governments. 2. Undermining Trust as an Objective of Legal Policy In addition to prompting the implementation of trust-building measures, the lessons learned as a result of the financial markets crisis have also provoked quite contrary reactions in the legal policy sphere. The corresponding changes to the existing legal framework are intended to further reinforce the pre-eminence of personal responsibility on the part of market participants, rather than placing the focus on conduct based on trust. At the same time, a legislative approach adopting a completely different line of attack has also been apparent. To begin with, credit ratings and credit rating agencies have been divested of some of their relevance. Even more notably is the attempt at providing an institutional framework allowing for the resolution of even systemically significant financial market actors in a manner that does not destabilise the financial markets or the economy as a whole, as a means of undermining the basis of actual trust in implicit government guarantees. 86 Similar endeavours – to some extent, of a legal policy nature – relate to the illiquidity of individual countries within the 81 Special Financial Market Stabilization Funds (Sonderfonds Finanzmarktstabilisierung). See Section 1 of the German Act Establishing a Financial Market Stabilization Fund (Gesetz zur Errichtung eines Finanzmarktstabilisierungsfonds – FMStFG), BGBl I 2008, 1982. 82 Troubled Asset Relief Program. 83 Goddard et al. provided a comprehensive overview. See John Goddard et al., The Financial Crisis in Europe: Evolution, Policy Responses and Lessons for the Future, 17 JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL REGULATION AND COMPLIANCE 362380 (2009); Pistor, supra note 65, at 319. 84 Available at: http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/merkel-und-steinbrueck-im-wortlaut-die-spareinlagensind-sicher-a-582305.html (as of: October 2015). 85 Available at: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date/2012/html/sp120726.en.html (as of: October 2015). 86 Regulation (EU) No 462/2013 (supra fn. 7) and Regulation (EU) No 806/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 July 2014 establishing uniform rules and a uniform procedure for the resolution of credit institutions and certain investment firms in the framework of a Single Resolution Mechanism and a Single Resolution Fund and amending Regulation (EU) No 1093/2010. 18 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 Eurozone and the reinforcement or revival of the no bail-out principle enshrined in the EC/EU treaties.87 IV. Trust as Defined by the Law An issue that must be kept distinct from the trust-building objective of legal policy and the placing of trust in the functioning of the legal system is that of the meaning attributed to the concept of trust pursuant to established law. In this connection, reference is repeatedly made – mostly in a critical sense – to the ubiquitous nature of the definition of trust pursuant to the law.88 But this fact in itself does not preclude the possibility of the concept of trust being amenable to sufficiently precise definition in particular contexts in which it is used. This, after all, is a requirement of the rule of law. 89 Quite the opposite is the case. Neither the courts nor legal theorists may now decline to undertake this task because the concept of trust has now grown beyond its original function. It is no longer merely a notion of legal dogma having an explanatory and organisational purpose. Trust has become a constituent element of numerous legal provisions. The concept of trust (in the sense of confidence or reliance) is a recognised legal concept in many European legal systems, as well as in EU law. In civil law, not only has it been adopted as a constituent element of legislative provisions, 90 it also makes an appearance in numerous other contexts.91 Building on the groundwork laid by Claus Wilhelm Canaris 87 Rodi commented on the management of the crisis at the EU level. See Michael Rodi, Machtverschiebungen in der Europäischen Union im Rahmen der Finanzkrise und Fragen der demokratischen Legitimation, 70 Juristen Zeitung 737 (2015). Heun and Thiele have commented on the limits of Art. 125 TFEU. See Werner Heun & Alexander Thiele, Verfassungs- und europarechtliche Zulässigkeit von Eurobonds, 67 JURISTEN ZEITUNG 973, 978 (2012). 88 Johannes Köndgen, Selbstbindung ohne Vertrag 114 (1981) (“One should dispense with the application of a legal concept once it ceases to adequately function as a classification tool and tends to result in the making of erroneous inferences in day-to-day practice.”) (authors’ translation). Several other commentators have also been critical of the ubiquitous nature of trust if defined pursuant to the law. See Christian von Bar, Vertrauenshaftung ohne Vertrauen. — Zur Prospekthaftung bei der Publikums-KG in der Rechtsprechung des BGH, 12 ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR UNTERNEHMENS- UND GESELLSCHAFTSRECHT 476, 490 (1983); Klaus J. Hopt, Nichtvertragliche Haftung außerhalb von Schadens- und Bereicherungsausgleich - Zur Theorie und Dogmatik des Berufsrechts und der Berufshaftung, 183 ARCHIV FÜR CIVILISTISCHE PRAXIS 608, 639 (1983); Eduard Picker, Positive Forderungsverletzung und culpa in contrahendo — Zur Problematik der Haftungen „zwischen“ Vertrag und Delikt, 183 ARCHIV FÜR CIVILISTISCHE PRAXIS 369, 418 (1983); FLEISCHER, supra note 24, at 420. 89 Canaris responded to the criticism. See Claus-Wilhelm Canaris, Schutzgesetze - Verkehrspflichten – Schutzpflichten, in FESTSCHRIFT LARENZ 27, 105 (Gotthard Paulus et al. eds., 1983); Claus-Wilhelm Canaris, Die Schadensersatzpflicht der Kreditinstitute für eine unrichtige Finanzierungsbestätigung als Fall der Vertrauenshaftung, FESTSCHRIFT SCHIMANSKY 43, 53 (Norbert Horn et al. eds., 1999); Claus-Wilhelm Canaris, Die Vertrauenshaftung im Lichte der Rechtsprechung des Bundesgerichtshofs, in 50 JAHRE BUNDESGERICHTSHOF – FESTGABE AUS DER WISSENSCHAFT 129, 191 (Canaris et al. eds., 2000). 90 In Section 122(1), Section 179(2) and the second clause of Section 311(3) of the German Civil Code (Bürgerliches Gesetzbuch – BGB). 91 Mülbert and Sajnovits have commented on aspects of German law. See Peter O. Mülbert & Alexander Sajnovits, Vertrauen und Finanzmarktrecht, 2 ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR DIE GESAMTE PRIVATRECHTSWISSENSCHAFT (ZfPW) 1, 16 (2016). Atiyah have commented on the common law principle of “reliance” in this context. See Patrick S. 2017 Trust in Financial Markets Law 19 the discrete legal concept of “liability based on the principle of reliance” has become established in German law.92 Subject to some qualification and various shifts in emphasis, it has also found its way into Swiss, 93 Austrian,94 and Portuguese law.95 Trust is a material factor in establishing pre-contractual liability in all Continental European legal systems, quite irrespective of whether these recognise a discrete legal concept of liability based on the principle of reliance. 96 The fundamental public law principle that enforces reliance or, more concisely, the principle of reliance, is also an established general principle of EU law, although it is considered by the CJEU to be a by-product of the application of the principle of legal certainty.97 In substantive terms, this principle stipulates that citizens must be able to rely on the continued application of the governmental regulations that govern their conduct. By virtue of the developments in EU law in this regard, the public law principle of reliance has also had an influence on legal developments in Member States that previously did not recognise the application of any such principle. 98 The importance of the concept of trust with regard to the rules governing liability for securities prospectuses and non-disclosure of capital markets information is of particular interest in the present context. Numerous EU Member States have introduced specific legislation defining constituent elements of liability for securities prospectuses,99 while in others the issue of liability in connection with inaccurate Atiyah, Promises, Obligations, and the Law of Contract, 94 THE LAW QUARTERLY REVIEW 193 (1978). Lindsay has written about the implied term of trust and confidence. See HMJ Lindsay, The Implied Term of Trust and Confidence, 30 INDUSTRIAL LAW JOURNAL 1-16 (2001). Goetz and Scott have commented on the relevant US contract law. See Goetz & Scott, supra note 14, at 1261. See also Williamson, supra note 15, at 453. MacNeil has written in regard to relational contract theory. See Ian Roderick MacNeil, Whither Contracts?, 21 JOURNAL OF LEGAL EDUCATION 403 (1969). See Jürgen Oechsler, 9. Wille und Vertrauen im privaten Austauschvertrag - Die Rezeption der Theorie des Relational Contract im deutschen Vertragsrecht in rechtsvergleichender Kritik, 60 RABELS ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR AUSLÄNDISCHES UND INTERNATIONALS PRIVATRECHT 91, 93 (1996). 92 See Mülbert & Sajnovits, supra note 91, at 20. 93 Wolfgang Wiegand, Die Canaris-Rezeption in der Schweiz - Vertrauenshaftung und „einheitliches gesetzliches Schuldverhältnis" im Schweizer Recht, in 2 FESTSCHRIFT CANARIS 881-896 (2007); PETER LOSER, DIE VERTRAUENSHAFTUNG IM SCHWEIZERISCHEN SCHULDRECHT (2006). 94 Higher Commercial Court (Oberhandelsgericht – OHG) of Vienna, judgment of 16 December 2014, file no. 4 Ob 155/14v. 95 See Manuel A. Carneiro da Frade, Die Zukunft der Vertrauenshaftung oder Plädoyer für eine „reine" Vertrauenshaftung, in 1 FESTSCHRIFT CANARIS 99 (2007) (with further references). 96 HEIN KÖTZ, EUROPÄISCHES VERTRAGSRECHT 10 (1st ed. 1996). 97 Fundamental Westzucker, Case 1/73, [1973] ECR 723. Wischmeyer has written about the concept of trust in EU law. See Wischmeyer, supra note 14, at 350. 98 This is true particularly in the UK and to some extent in France. See Gunnar Folke Schuppert, Public Law: Towards a Post-National Model, in GERMANY, EUROPE AND THE POLITICS OF CONSTRAINT 109, 123 (Kenneth Dyson & Klaus Goetz eds., 2003). 99 For example, Germany, the U K, Greece, Ireland, Austria and Portugal. In addition, also the US and Switzerland. See ESMA, Comparison of Liability Regimes in Member States in Relation to the Prospectus 20 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 disclosure in securities prospectuses is governed by general instruments of civil law. 100 In many legal systems, claims for damages are limited to the damage or loss incurred by the claimant in reliance upon the correctness/completeness of the information contained in the securities prospectus in question, although the precise extent of the damage or loss that is eligible for compensation (expectation damages or reliance damages) may vary greatly.101 Liability for non-disclosure of capital markets information in the form of the publication of inaccurate ad hoc notifications or the failure to publish such notifications has become established in numerous Member States, despite the fact that Directive 2003/6/EC on insider dealing and market manipulation (the Market Abuse Directive) and now Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 on market abuse (the Market Abuse Regulation – the MAR) neither provide for the imposition of penalties for breaches of the ad hoc disclosure obligation under civil law, nor (explicitly 102) require the establishment of corresponding rules governing liability by the Member States. 103 The crucial element in establishing causation and, thus, liability, as well the extent of the damage or loss that is eligible for compensation, is once more reliance on the part of the individual claimant. In the English legal system, for example, Section 90a of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (the FSMA), in conjunction with Paragraphs 3(1) and 4(a) of Schedule 10A thereto, recognises liability claims only where the investor suffering loss effects the disposals resulting in that loss “in reliance on the information in question.”104 Directive, 2013, ESMA/2013/619, available at https://www.esma.europa.eu/sites/default/files/library/2015/11/2013619_report_liability_regimes_under_the_prospectus_directive_published_on_website.pdf. See also KLAUS J. HOPT & HANS-CHRISTOPH VOIGT, PROSPEKT- UND KAPITALMARKTINFORMATIONSHAFTUNG 44 (2005). 100 Belgium, France, Luxembourg, Italy, the Netherlands and Spain. See ESMA, Comparison of Liability Regimes in Member States in Relation to the Prospectus Directive, 2013, ESMA/2013/619, available at https://www.esma.europa.eu/sites/default/files/library/2015/11/2013619_report_liability_regimes_under_the_prospectus_directive_published_on_website.pdf. See also HOPT & VOIGT, supra note 99, at 44; NIAMH MOLONEY, EU SECURITIES AND FINANCIAL REGULATION 121 (3rd ed. 2014). 101 See ESMA, Comparison of Liability Regimes in Member States in Relation to the Prospectus Directive, 2013, ESMA/2013/619, p. 12, available at https://www.esma.europa.eu/sites/default/files/library/2015/11/2013619_report_liability_regimes_under_the_prospectus_directive_published_on_website.pdf. See also HOPT & VOIGT, supra note 99, at 87. 102 Tountopoulos has commented on the “principle of effectiveness” under EU law and the duty of Member States to provide private enforcement mechanisms pursuant to that principle. See Vassilios Tountopoulos, Market Abuse and Private Enforcement, 11 EUROPEAN COMPANY AND FINANCIAL LAW REVIEW 297, 315 (2014). See also Iain MacNeil, Enforcement and Sanctioning, in THE OXFORD HANDBOOK OF FINANCIAL REGULATION 280-306 (Niamh Moloney et al. ed., 2015); Dörte Poelzig, Private enforcement im deutschen und europäischen Kapitalmarktrecht, 44 ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR UNTERNEHMENS- UND GESELLSCHAFTSRECHT 801-848 (2015); Christoph H. Seibt, Europäische Finanzmarktregulierung zu Insiderrecht und Ad hoc-Publizität, 177 ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR DAS GESAMTE HANDELS- UND WIRTSCHAFTSRECHT 388, 424 (2013); Klaus Ulrich Schmolke, Private Enforcement und institutionelle Balance, 19 NEUE ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR GESELLSCHAFTSRECHT 721, 723 (2016). 103 Belgium, Germany, the UK, France, Greece, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Austria, Portugal and Spain. In addition, also Switzerland and the US. See HOPT & VOIGT, supra note 99, at 114. 104 See Dirk A. Verse, Zur Reform der Kapitalmarktinformationshaftung im Vereinigten Königreich, 76 RABELS ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR AUSLÄNDISCHES UND INTERNATIONALS PRIVATRECHT 893, 916 (2012). 2017 Trust in Financial Markets Law 21 D. Shaping Trust with Financial Markets Law I. Dependency on Trust in the Financial Markets Context The great significance of trust for the functioning of the various markets comprising the financial markets –capital markets, money markets, and the foreign exchange market – is a consequence of the singular features of the goods and market structures involved. In the financial markets context legal interests taking the form of promises of future cash flows are issued (primary market) and traded (secondary market). 105 The present value of those interests will depend, on the one hand, on the future ability and willingness of the issuer of the financial security in question to meet its obligations and, on the other hand, on the evaluation of the promised cash flows. Unlike real assets, which are routinely amenable to physical testing for quality assurance purposes, both of these factors can only be determined by means of a – prognostic – evaluation of all of the relevant information. Therefore, all of the factors that are of material importance for setting the price of a financial product are contingent upon future developments and as such they are rife with uncertainty. Trading legal interests on the financial markets involves a substantial element of trust.106 In addition, the ability of financial products (as products of the operation of law) to achieve to foundational functions of markets is contingent upon the existence of special trading, depository, and clearing and settlement mechanisms. The first of these foundational functions is that the market must facilitate the realisation of high turnover rates. This is a key requirement for the attainment of the desired market depth. The second of these foundational functions is that the market must generate liquidity, as an essential sign of quality, on the relevant secondary markets. These are provided, by virtue of the anonymity of trading activities, by multilateral market structures such as stock markets and multilateral trading facilities (MTFs), which facilitate business dealings between large numbers of participants. In addition, all market segments require clearing and settlement mechanisms that strive to ensure that all liabilities of the (anonymous) market participants are discharged within the shortest possible period of time and with the highest possible levels of security in place. These structures require market participants to place considerable trust in several elements: (1) the financial soundness; (2) the professionalism and fairness of the other (anonymous) participants; (3) the technical infrastructure for trading, clearing, and settlement activities; and (4) the appropriateness of the institutional (legal) framework governing the establishment of these markets. 105 Sapienza, supra note 48, at 30 (“Financing is nothing but the exchange of a sum of money today for a promise to return more money in the future.”); Guiso et al., supra note 34, at 2558; Loughrey, supra note 2, at 52; Natalie Gold, Trustworthiness and Motivations, in THE OXFORD HANDBOOK OF FINANCIAL REGULATION, supra note 5, at 141. 106 Sapienza, supra note 48, at 30 (“trust-intensive contracts”); Shapiro, supra note 33, at 628; Llewellyn, supra note 61, at 336. 22 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 II. Object of Trust 1. Financial Soundness of Market Actors Investors’ ability to trust in the financial soundness, i.e. the (future) solvency, of banks is of fundamental importance for the functioning of the financial markets. Investors also must be able to trust in the financial soundness of insurance companies, investment funds, central counterparties, central securities depositories, and operators of regulated markets. Finally, investors also must be able to trust in other major and even systemically significant financial market actors. 2. Professionalism of Market Actors in Upholding the Interests of Third Parties The professionalism, i.e. expertise and integrity, of market actors constitutes a highly significant object of trust, to some extent in conjunction with their financial soundness and to some extent quite independent thereof. To the extent that the activities of market actors also serve the interests of third parties – customers, other market actors or even the capital markets community – the trust placed in their professionalism will no longer be of relevance solely from the perspective of their own economic success, rather it will also be of interest from a macroeconomic standpoint. This will particularly apply to the activities of groupings of market actors. 2.1 Financial Intermediaries The professionalism of financial intermediaries constitutes a fundamental object of trust in the context of the provision of investment advisory services, particularly in the retail customers segment. Private investors who are unable to place such trust in their personal investment advisers and the latter’s underlying sales organisations – banks, providers of securities-related services – will find it considerably more difficult, if not impossible, to gain access to many financial products.107 2.2 Market Infrastructure Managers In the case of organised trading venues as a central component of developed financial markets, the professionalism of the market operators constitutes a major object of trust for the use of the services of those trading venues. It is incumbent upon operators to create an institutional framework in the form of a system that combines technical and legal aspects, and that is structured in accordance with statutory and/or contractual requirements. This should enable the individual to place trust in the functioning of that system without necessarily grasping the details of its mode of operation and certainly without having any more extensive control mechanisms at his or her disposal. 108 This 107 Peter O. Mülbert, Anlegerschutz und Finanzmarktregulierung – Grundlagen, 177 ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR DAS GESAMTE HANDELS- UND WIRTSCHAFTSRECHT 160, 172 (2013); JOHN ARMOUR ET AL., PRINCIPLES OF FINANCIAL REGULATION 226 (2016). 108 See Sapienza & Zingales, supra note 3, at 124. 2017 Trust in Financial Markets Law 23 involves the establishment of an IT structure as well as a body of rules and regulations that, for example, permits measures to be taken to absorb the impact of any market turbulence (interruption of trading) and precludes the use, for example in the highfrequency trading context, of trading techniques that pose a threat to the system (“flash crashes”). In addition, the rules governing the organisation of the market intended to facilitate the creation of highly liquid markets provide for the possibility of business dealings on an anonymous basis. This explains the necessary shifting of the object of trust in this context from the personal sphere, i.e. the individual counterparty, to the appropriateness of the bodies of rules and regulations created by professional market operators. The prompt and secure clearing and settlement of business dealings is likewise of great importance for market participants. This is manifestly the case for trades conducted on an anonymous basis. Clearing and settlement systems that reduce the risk of any losses increase investors’ ability to place their trust in the settlement of the transactions in question by shifting the focus of that trust from the individual counterparty to the clearing and settlement system itself. This is demonstrated particularly vividly in cases involving a central counterparty (CCP) who assumes the role of “middleman” between the two parties and provides a special guarantee for the settlement of the transaction in question. Here, the object of trust is the professionalism and financial soundness of the central counterparty. 2.3 Producers of Information and Systems for the Dissemination of Information Information will only constitute an object of trust where it can be ascribed to a specific producer of information. It will therefore be the latter’s professionalism, i.e. the appropriateness and correctness of the process of information production implemented, that will constitute the actual object of trust. The position with regard to systems for the supply of information prescribed by legislation or voluntarily established by private stakeholders (media) is very similar, with market participants being required to place their trust in the integrity of operators of systems for the dissemination of information. This, for example, would promote trust that the information fed into such systems will then be disseminated in a proper manner. 3. Fairness of Market Participants The ability of investors to place their trust in the fairness of the other market participants is generally considered to constitute an essential condition for willingness on their part to supply the financial markets with liquidity.109 The object of trust with regard to fair market conduct is the expectation that the other market participants will not exert improper influence over the functioning of the financial markets (market manipulation) or abuse their position in order to secure particular advantages for themselves (insider trading). 109 See Mülbert, supra note 107, at 184 (with further references). 24 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 4. Price-setting in Organised Markets In the case of legal interests, the market price will play a central role for information purposes in that it may be presumed, on the basis of the (semi-strong version of the) efficient capital market hypothesis (ECMH), to reflect all of the publicly available information at a given time.110 Subject to this requirement, individual trading participants may, in reliance upon the proper ascertainment of the market price, save themselves the expense of procuring and processing their own information and, as rational (retail) investors, should even be able to dispense with considering and evaluating individual pieces of information.111 The object of trust with regard to the market price is a special case insofar as the information concerned cannot be ascribed to a particular person or organisation. Instead, it constitutes the product of a price-setting system that only lends itself to being neatly reduced to an interplay of supply and demand at a very superficial level. Rather, the object of trust relates to the proper functioning of a complex price-setting system that is contingent on all of the market actors involved in the setting of prices conducting themselves in a manner that complies with the applicable rules and regulations, on the proper functioning of all technical systems, and on those actors having an influence on supply and/or demand also conducting themselves appropriately. III. Improvements in the Basis for Trust: Overview 1. Financial Soundness of Market Participants The regulation of the banking sector – capital adequacy, liquidity, and leverage ratio requirements (prudential supervision) supplemented by increasingly detailed requirements as to the institutions’ risk management and corporate governance procedures – is intended to increase the willingness of market participants, in particular other banks acting in the capacity of participants in the inter-bank markets, to place their trust in the financial soundness and stability of banks and thus the banking system as a whole.112 Currently, the key documents at the international level are Basel I-III,113 110 Fama contributed Groundbreaking work on the subject. See Eugene F. Fama, Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work, 25 JOURNAL OF FINANCE 383-417 (1970). Gilson and Kraakman have addressed this from a legal perspective. See Ronald J. Gilson & Reinier Kraakman, The Mechanisms of Market Efficiency, 70 VIRGINIA LAW REVIEW 549-643 (1984). The same authors have provided arguments in defense of the efficient capital markets hypothesis (ECMH) in light of the doubts cast upon its validity in the wake of the financial markets crisis and insights from the sphere of behavioral finance. See Ronald J. Gilson & Reinier Kraakman, Market Efficiency after the Financial Crisis: It´s still a Matter of Information Costs, 100 VIRGINIA LAW REVIEW 313-375 (2014). See Burton G. Malkiel, The Efficient-Market Hypothesis and the Financial Crisis, in RETHINKING THE FINANCIAL CRISIS 75-98 (Alan Blinder et al. eds., 2012). 111 Lars Klöhn, Marktbetrug, 178 ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR DAS GESAMTE HANDELS- UND WIRTSCHAFTSRECHT 671, 675 (2014) (with further references). 112 See Recital 12 of the CRR: “This Regulation would entail that all institutions follow the same rules in all the Union, which would also boost confidence in the stability of institutions, especially in times of stress.” 113 Moloney has written about Bassel III. See MOLONEY, supra note 100, at 379; Armour et al., supra note 107, at 305. Currently, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision is in the process of finalizing further revisions 2017 Trust in Financial Markets Law 25 while at the EU level the CRR114 and the CRD IV115 transpose these international agreements into EU law.116 With respect to the insurance sector, the pursuit of largely similar objectives at the EU level has resulted in the adoption of the Solvency II Directive,117 which contains provisions with regard to risk management and corporate governance that are substantively similar to those contained in the aforementioned legislation regulating the banking sector. 118 In addition, very similar considerations and a similar regulatory approach with regard to risk management and corporate of the Basel agreements (Basel IV) which, in part, are highly controversial between European and US regulators and supervisors. See, e.g., Caroline Binham et al., Bank reform talks fail to agree loan risk measures - Basel Committee likely to miss year-end deadline for securing agreement on rules, FINANCIAL TIMES (Nov. 30, 2016), available at https://www.ft.com/content/7d2fdaca-b71d-11e6-ba85-95d1533d9a62. 114 Regulation (EU) No 575/2013 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 26 June 2013 on prudential requirements for credit institutions and investment firms and amending Regulation (EU) No 648/2012. See MOLONEY, supra note 100, at 381; EUROPEAN BANKING REGULATION (Horst Eidenmüller et al. eds., 2016). Very recently, the European Commission presented plans for further amendments and revisions of the CRR, in particular implementing the Basel III framework. See Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council amending Regulation (EU) No 575/2013 as regards the leverage ratio, the net stable funding ratio, requirements for own funds and eligible liabilities, counterparty credit risk, market risk, exposures to central counterparties, exposures to collective investment undertakings, large exposures, reporting and disclosure requirements and amending Regulation (EU) No 648/2012, COM(2016) 850 final and Annex to the Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council amending Regulation (EU) No 575/2013 as regards the leverage ratio, the net stable funding ratio, requirements for own funds and eligible liabilities, counterparty credit risk, market risk, exposures to central counterparties, exposures to collective investment undertakings, large exposures, reporting and disclosure requirements and amending Regulation (EU) No 648/2012, COM(2016) 850 final. 115 Directive 2013/36/EU (fn. 93). Very recently, the European Commission presented plans for further amendments and revisions of the CRR, in particular implementing the Basel III framework. See Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council amending Directive 2013/36/EU as regards exempted entities, financial holding companies, mixed financial holding companies, remuneration, supervisory measures and powers and capital conservation measures, COM(2016) 854 final. 116 Several commentators have discussed the qualitative requirements as to risk management and corporate governance forming part of Pillar I of Basel III. See Peter O. Mülbert, Managing Risk in Financial System, in THE OXFORD HANDBOOK OF FINANCIAL REGULATION, supra note 5, at 364, 372; Kern Alexander, The Role of Capital in Supporting Banking Stability, in THE OXFORD HANDBOOK OF FINANCIAL REGULATION, supra note 5, at 334, 349. Gurlit and others have written about macro-prudential banking supervision. See Elke Gurlit, Instrumente makroprudenzieller Bankenaufsicht - unter besonderer Berücksichtigung zusätzlicher Kapitalanforderungen, 69 ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTS UND BANKRECHT 1217, 1257 (2015; Elke Gurlit & Isabel Schnabel, The New Actors of Macroprudential Supervision in Germany and Europe - A Critical Evaluation, 27 JOURNAL OF BANKING LAW AND BANKING 349-362 (2015); Ester Faia & Isabel Schnabel, The Road from Micro-prudential to Macro-prudential Regulation, in Financial Regulation – A Transatlantic Perspective 3 (Faia et al. eds., 2015); Brigitte Haar, Organizing Regonal Systems, The EU Example, in THE OXFORD HANDBOOK OF FINANCIAL REGULATION, supra note 5, 157, 174, 177; Rosa M. Lastra, Systemic Risk and Macro-Prudential Supervision, in THE OXFORD HANDBOOK OF FINANCIAL REGULATION, supra note 5, at 309; Armour et al., supra note 107, at 409. 117 Directive 2009/138/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 25 November 2009 on the takingup and pursuit of the business of Insurance and Reinsurance (Solvency II). See Michelle Everson, Regulating the Insurance Sector, in THE OXFORD HANDBOOK OF FINANCIAL REGULATION, supra note 5, at 409, 432; MEINRAD DREHER, II TREATISES ON SOLVENCY (2015). 118 Meinrad Dreher, Die ordnungsgemäße Geschäftsorganisation der Versicherungsgruppe nach Solvency II und VAG 2016, 69 ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTS UND BANKRECHT 649, 655 (2015). 26 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 governance119 mean that certain investment funds known as undertakings for collective investment in transferable securities (UCITS), 120 alternative investment fund managers (AIFMs),121 CCPs,122 central securities depositories,123 and operators of regulated markets124 are now also subject to regulation, again at the EU level. Counter to this trend are the trust-fostering correlative effects of statutorily prescribed collective safeguarding mechanisms, such as and in particular the deposit guarantee schemes in place in the banking industry, which have been used as a means125 of stabilising the banking system126 since the Great Depression. The long-term solvency of the individual institution will be supplemented by the functionality of the deposit guarantee scheme in question as the object of trust, given that a greater degree of financial soundness can be attributed to the latter as compared to a single institution due to its broader financial base. In this regard it is irrelevant whether a deposit guarantee scheme merely covers the value of deposits up to certain amount in line with the provisions of the Deposit Guarantee Schemes Directive 127 or, similar to the institutional protection schemes for the cooperative banking sector as well as savings and state banks in Germany, accord protection to the institution per se.128 The current – and highly controversial – Commission proposal for a Regulation establishing a European Deposit Insurance Scheme aspires to the creation of an overarching guarantee scheme for the EU as a whole.129 119 See Mülbert, supra note 116, at 374 (with further references). 120 Directive 2014/91/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 23 July 2014 amending Directive 2009/65/EC on the coordination of laws, regulations and administrative provisions relating to undertakings for collective investment in transferable securities (UCITS) as regards depositary functions, remuneration policies and sanctions. See MOLONEY, supra note 100, at 200. 121 Directive 2011/61/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 8 June 2011 on Alternative Investment Fund Managers and amending Directives 2003/41/EC and 2009/65/EC and Regulations (EC) No 1060/2009 and (EU) No 1095/2010. 122 See, e.g., Art. 26 to Art. 28 of Regulation (EU) No 648/2012 of 4 July 2012 on OTC derivatives, central counterparties and trade repositories (EMIR). 123 Regulation (EU) No 909/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 23 July 2014 on improving securities settlement in the European Union and on central securities depositories and amending Directives 98/26/EC and 2014/65/EU and Regulation (EU) No 236/2012. 124 Art. 45 et seq. of the MiFID. 125 Several commentators have written about deposit guarantee schemes. See MOLONEY, supra note 100, at 835; Mülbert, supra note 116, at 390. 126 See also Mülbert, supra note 116, at 390. 127 Directive 2014/49/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on deposit guarantee schemes, in particular Recitals 3 and 7. See Patricia Sarah Stöbener de Mora, Bankrecht: Neuer Kommissionsvorschlag für ein Einlagensicherungssystem, 26 EUROPÄISCHE ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSRECHT 931 (2015). Moloney has commented on the proposal. See MOLONEY, supra note 100, at 843. 128 129 See Mülbert, supra note 116, at 390. Proposal of the European Commission for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council amending Regulation (EU) 806/2014 in order to establish a European Deposit Insurance Scheme, COM(2015) 2017 Trust in Financial Markets Law 27 2. Professionalism of Market Actors 2.1 Financial Intermediaries Reinforcing trust in the conduct of financial intermediaries in the context of the provision of investment advice that is tailored to customers’ individual requirements – investment advisory services, execution-only services, and also of late product issuance services – was already a central objective of the EU legislature with regard to the area of financial markets law prior to the financial market crisis. It has attracted even more attention since the crisis. The first Directive 2004/39/EC on markets in financial instruments (the MiFID I) was a cornerstone of the package of measures comprised in the Financial Services Action Plan130 (the FSAP). It entered into force in 2004 and was expected to mark the start of a certain interval in the process of consolidation.131 But, in the wake of the financial markets crisis, it mutated into a comprehensive programme of legislation intended to do two things. First, it would improve the protection afforded to investors. Second, according to the explicitly worded objectives of the legislation, it would also reinforce the attitude of trust on the part of investors. 132 At the EU level, the fundamental aspects of the new environment of trust-building investor protection measures have become clearly delineated in the wake of the adoption of several legislative acts, including: Directive 2014/65/EU on markets in financial instruments (the MiFID II); an associated legislative act in the form of Regulation (EU) No. 600/2014 on markets in financial instruments (the MiFIR) and the Regulation (EU) No 1286/2014 on key information documents for packaged retail and insurance-based investment products (PRIIPs). At the national level, the necessary legislation for the implementation of the MiFID II is still incomplete. The most notable change brought about by these developments may well be the extension of the scope of application of trust-building 586 final. With regard to the further development thereof, see European Economic and Social Committee, Opinion of the European Economic and Social Committee on the Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council amending Regulation (EU) 806/2014 in order to establish a European Deposit Insurance Scheme COM(2015) 586 final – 2015/0270 (COD), ECO/393, 18 May 2016 Official Journal of the European Union C 177/21; ECB, Opinion of the European Central Bank of 20 April 2016 on a proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council amending Regulation (EU) No 806/2014 in order to establish a European Deposit Insurance Scheme (CON/2016/26), 12 July 2016, Official Journal of the European Union C 252/1. Very recently, the European Commission presented a proposal for amending the Regulation, see Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council amending Regulation (EU) No 806/2014 as regards loss-absorbing and Recapitalisation Capacity for credit institutions and investment firms, COM(2016) 851 final (supra notes 114 and 115). 130 European Commission, Financial Services: Implementing the framework for financial markets: Action Plan, COM(1999)232, 11 May 1999, available at: http://ec.europa.eu/internal_market/finances/docs/actionplan/index/action_en.pdf. 131 European Commission, Green Paper on Financial Services Policy (2005-2010) /* COM/2005/0177 final, p. 4 et seqq., available at: http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legalcontent/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:52005DC0177&from=DE. 132 Recitals 4, 5 and 39 of the Directive 2014/65/EU (supra note 7); Recital 2 of the Regulation (EU) No 1286/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 26 November 2014 on key information documents for packaged retail and insurance-based investment products (PRIIPs). 28 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 regulations. To date, the protection of investors’ interests and the fostering of trust on their part has been the purview of rules governing marketing activities. In the future issuers will be called upon by law to take account of investors’ interests in designing their products. (a) Marketing: Institutions (“The bank you can trust”) are subject to extensive requirements with regard to their marketing activities, in terms of both the provision of information and advisory services to customers and the execution of customer orders. General rules of conduct133, the obligation to maintain an organisational structure aimed at preventing conflicts of interest134 and the general prohibition against the accepting of gifts or benefits135, in particular, are intended to ensure that such information and advisory services are provided in a professional manner. Article 19 and Article 21 of the MiFID and Articles 44 to 46 of the MiFID Implementing Directive also require the best possible execution of customer orders and contain detailed specifications to this end. With a view to preventing the sounding of the death knell for the model of commissionbased investment advisory services that has been the custom to date, Article 26 of the Commission’s Delegated Directive on the MiFID imposes certain stringent requirements of form upon the acceptance of gifts or benefits. Increasing unease in the face of the conflicts of interest that arise in the context of the acceptance by financial institutions of such gifts or benefits has resulted in the emergence of an alternative in the form of so-called fee-based advisory services. The German legislature has attempted to enhance the attractiveness of this model by imposing strict requirements on the provision of “independent” investment advisory services 136 – which is also an option for institutions with suitable “Chinese wall” structures in place – and, in particular, has prohibited the receipt or retention of gifts or benefits137. Thus, applying these principles in the context of financial markets regulation, one would expect that the elimination of conflicts of interests inherent in the provision of commission-based investment advisory services would result in greater trust being placed in the provision of fee-based investment advisory services. The MiFID II will introduce a number of more stringent provisions. The future of commission-based investment advice remains a hotly debated subject in the political sphere.138 Apart from this aspect, distributors of financial products will be called upon 133 Art. 11, Art. 17 and Art. 18 of the MiFID and Art. 27 et seqq. of the Commission’s Delegated Directive on the MiFID. 134 Art. 13 and Art. 18 of the MiFID. 135 Art. 18 and Art. 19 of the MiFID and Art. 26 of Directive 2006/73/EC implementing Directive 2004/39/EC (the MiFID Implementing Directive). 136 Section 31(4b) and (4c) and Section 33(3a) of the German Securities Trading Act (Wertpapierhandelsgesetz – the WpHG). 137 138 Section 31(4c)(2) of the WpHG. The European Parliament overturned the prohibition against the provision of commission-based investment advisory services originally contained in the Proposal put forward by the Commission. Some 2017 Trust in Financial Markets Law 29 to subject each of their products to a specific testing and approval process, as well as continuous monitoring139 with a view to ensuring its suitability for the target market as stipulated by the issuer and for the target customer group. 140 These duties will be in addition to their existing and largely unchanged obligations. (b) Issues: Pursuant to the MiFID II, as a means of safeguarding the interests of investors, issuers will now be subjected to extensive obligations of a largely procedural nature under the banner of “product governance.” This new legislative approach is a reflection of two factors: on the one hand, the partial misfiring of the – to date – purely marketingbased investor protection legislation and, on the other hand, the difficulties involved in substantive product regulation measures. 141 It is for this reason that the allocation of the risk of any errors of judgment to the issuer, as an intrinsic part of this approach, is proving highly attractive to the supervisory authorities. 142 Pursuant to this product governance regime, issuers are required to implement specific processes for product testing and approval, and are additionally subject to ongoing product monitoring obligations.143 They must identify, for each individual product, a target market members of the Parliament called this move “a catastrophe.” See EU-Parlament kippt Provisionsverbot für Finanzprodukte, REUTERS (Sept. 27, 2012), available at http://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/international/mifid-ii-eu-parlament-kippt-provisionsverbot-fuerfinanzprodukte/7188012.html). After this there was some discussion as to whether the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) would, in its proposals with regard to delegated (Level II) acts, introduce a “de facto prohibition against commissions”, provoking a strong response on the part of the European Parliament and a number of Member States. See Angela Wefers, Bundestag bindet die Finanzaufsicht; "Wir konkretisieren das Mandat der BaFin" - EU-Behörden sollen sich auf gesetzlicher Basis bewegen, BÖRSEN-ZEITUNG (May 6, 2015), at 5. 139 Art. 16(3)(4) of the MiFID II. See EBA, Final Report – Guidelines on product oversight and governance arrangements for retail banking products, EBA/GL/2015/18, Guideline 9, p. 20. 140 Art.16(3)(5) and Art. 24(2)(2) of the MiFID II. See EBA, Guidelines on product oversight and governance arrangements for retail banking products, EBA/GL/2015/18, 20, available at https://www.eba.europa.eu/documents/10180/1141044/EBA-GL-201518+Guidelines+on+product+oversight+and+governance.pdf; MOLONEY, supra note 100, at 796; Niamh Moloney, Regulating the Retail Markets, in The Oxford Handbook of Financial Regulation, supra note 5, at 736, 761; Petra Buck-Heeb, Der Product-Governance-Prozess, 179 ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR DAS GESAMTE HANDELS- UND WIRTSCHAFTSRECHT 782, 804 (2015). 141 Mülbert has noted that more extensive regulation of products was rare outside of the fund context. See Mülbert, supra note 107, at 198; Buck-Heeb, supra note 140, at 789. 142 The European Banking Authority (EBA) has accordingly stipulated, citing the fostering of trust as one of the grounds for this stipulation, that, with regard to the retail banking products falling within its area of responsibility, the competent bank supervisory authorities, i.e. including the ECB, must ensure that each of the institutions which are subject to their supervision has a product governance regime in place. See EBA, supra note 140) (This report does not address the question as to the legal grounds for the imposition of such obligations on the institutions in question.). 143 See Art. 16(3) and Art. 24(2) of the MiFID II; see, furthermore, EBA (fn. 140) Guideline 5, p. 16 et seqq. See Emilios Avgouleas, Regulating Financial Innovation, in The Oxford Handbook of Financial Regulation, supra note 5, at 659, 681; MOLONEY, supra note 100, at 825; Armour et al., supra note 107, at 261; Niamh Moloney, Financial market governance and consumer protection in the EU, in Financial Regulation – A Transatlantic Perspective 221, 237 (Ester Faia et al. eds., 2015); Buck-Heeb, supra note 140, at 782; Katja Langenbucher, 30 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 comprising a target customer group whose requirements, singular features and conceptions correlate with the attributes of the product in question, as well as carrying out scenario analyses and stress tests. Issuers must also tailor their marketing strategies to their target markets. With regard to the highly diverse manifestations of the securitisation of receivables (ABSs) and stocks, which are considered to have been one of the main causes of the financial markets crisis,144 the EU has applied one of the lessons learned from the crisis. Some years ago it began to impose stringent requirements on the financial institutions involved in such securitisation activities in the capacity of originators or sponsors. This was meant to encourage investors to place their trust in such instruments. 145 Institutions participating in such transactions must themselves retain at least 5 % of the issued securities and must at all times be aware of all of the relevant, material data pertaining to the creditworthiness and performance of the individual underlying receivables (the look-through approach). Given that the hopes for a revival of the securitisation market have to date remained unfulfilled, the creation of the European Capital Markets Union (CMU) is intended to improve the framework conditions for (CMU) securitisation transactions by means of the implementation of higher standards. The new standards would particularly apply to the transparency and coherence of securitisation transactions. The European Commission, in its recently released Action Plan on Building a Capital Markets Union, explicitly placed this objective in context as a measure for fostering trust.146 Anlegerschutz - Ein Bericht zu theoretischen Prämissen und legislativen Instrumenten, 177 ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR DAS GESAMTE HANDELS- UND WIRTSCHAFTSRECHT 679, 698 (2013). 144 See Rob Nijskens & Rolf Wagner, Credit Risk Transfer Activities and Systemic Risk: How Banks Became Less Risky Individually but Posed Greater Risks to the Financial System at the Same Time, 35 JOURNAL OF BANKING & FINANCE 1391-1398 (2011); Wolf Wagner & Ian W. Marsch, CREDIT RISK TRANSFER AND FINANCIAL SECTOR STABILITY, 2 JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL STABILITY 173-193 (2006). 145 Recital 27 of (repealed) Directive 2009/111/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 September 2009 amending Directives 2006/48/EC, 2006/49/EC and 2007/64/EC as regards banks affiliated to central institutions, certain own funds items, large exposures, supervisory arrangements, and crisis management. The relevant provisions are now contained in Art. 406 et seq. of the CRR. See Mülbert, supra note 116, at 394. 146 See European Commission, Action Plan on Building a Capital Markets Union, COM(2015) 468 final, available at: http://ec.europa.eu/finance/capital-markets-union/docs/building-cmu-action-plan_en.pdf, p. 6: “[…] to build a single market for capital from the bottom up, identifying barriers and knocking them down one by one, creating a sense of momentum, and sparking a growing confidence for investing in Europe’s future.” See the Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council laying down common rules on securitisation and creating a European framework for simple, transparent and standardised securitisation and amending Directives 2009/65/EC, 2009/138/EC, 2011/61/EU and Regulations (EC) No 1060/2009 and (EU) No 648/2012, COM(2015) 472 final, available at: https://ec.europa.eu/transparency/regdoc/rep/1/2015/EN/12015-472-EN-F1-1.PDF; Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council amending Regulation (EU) No 575/2013 on prudential requirements for credit institutions and investment firms, COM(2015) 473 final, available at: https://ec.europa.eu/transparency/regdoc/rep/1/2015/EN/1-2015-473EN-F1-1.PDF. See, also, European Commission, press release from 25 April 2016: Capital Markets Union: Taking stock of the progress made so far, available at: http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-16-1562_en.htm. 2017 Trust in Financial Markets Law 31 (c) Granting of Loans: The position will be somewhat different to the extent that banks are subjected, under the banner of “responsible lending practices,” 147 to ever more obligations in the context of the granting of loans. This will apply, for example, to the creditworthiness checks that, in the case of consumer loan agreements, must now be subject to penalty measures under liability law in accordance with the requirements of EU law148 and, similarly, to the imposition of new obligations on mortgage lenders, commensurate with those incumbent on providers of investment advice, to provide comprehensive advice to consumers looking to take out a mortgage loan (implementation of the Mortgage Credit Directive). 149 The primary objective here is to take out of the hands of the consumer the decision as to whether to take out a loan that is actually unsuitable for his or her requirements or would even place him or her under an excessive financial burden. The fact that this is likely to reinforce consumers’ willingness to trust that the loans offered to them will actually “suit” them will be a side effect of lesser importance to individuals looking to take out a loan, as their primary goal will be to secure the granting of that loan. 2.2 Market Infrastructure Managers The system of rules and regulations capable of building trust in the stock markets is the body of securities legislation. The business processes of stock exchanges are governed by several regimes, including the German Stock Exchange Act (Börsengesetz – the BörsG) – or the comparable national legislation in force in other countries – and the accompanying rules and regulations of the individual stock exchange in question. They are also monitored by the commercial and securities supervisory authorities. This serves to establish sufficient confidence on the part of the investing community to persuade its members to open themselves up to the risks involved in anonymous securities trading. As compared to its predecessor, the MiFID II imposes more stringent requirements on regulated markets (stock exchanges) in Articles 48 to 52 with regard to the body of rules and regulations governing their business processes. This aims to reinforce trust on the part of investors.150 Articles 18 to 20 contain more detailed, and in some cases more 147 MARCUS ZAHN, ÜBERSCHULDUNGSPRÄVENTION DURCH VERANTWORTLICHE KREDITVERGABE (2011); Petra Buck-Heeb, Ausklärungs- und Beratungspflichten bei Kreditverträgen - Verschärfungen durch die EuGH-Rechtsprechung und die Wohnimmobilienkredit-Richtlinie, 15 ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR BANK- UND KAPITALMARKTRECHT 177-186 (2015); Wolfgang Servatius, Aufklärungspflichten und verantwortungsvolle Kreditvergabe, xx ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR IMMOBILIENRECHT 178 (2015). 148 But see CJEU, judgment of 27 March 2014 – C-565/12 (LCL Le Crédit Lyonnais SA/Fesih Kalhan), NJW 2014, 1941 (regarding the application of the Consumer Credit Directive (Directive 2008/48/EC on credit agreements for consumers)). Herresthal offered an opposing view. See Carsten Herresthal, Unionsrechtliche Vorgaben zur Sanktionierung eines Verstoßes gegen die Kreditwürdigkeitsprüfung, 25 EUROPÄISCHE ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSRECHT 497-500 (2014) (denying the existence of any duty in this regard). 149 Directive 2014/17/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 4 February 2014 on credit agreements for consumers relating to residential immovable property and amending Directives 2008/48/EC and 2013/36/EU and Regulation (EU) No 1093/2010. See, e.g., Section 511 of the BGB, as amended by the German Act Implementing the Mortgage Credit Directive (Gesetz zur Umsetzung der Wohnimmobilienkreditrichtlinie). See Buck-Heeb, supra note 147, at 184. 150 See Recitals 4 and 133 of the MiFID II. 32 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 extensive, stipulations applicable to the operators of MTFs and organised trading facilities (OTFs) within the meaning of Article 4(1)(22) thereof. Some light has been shed on the extent to which organised marketplaces will be deemed to bring about the stabilisation and establishment of an attitude of trust on the part of investors by a provision newly included in the MiFIR in implementation of the lessons learned from the financial markets crisis. Article 28 thereof stipulates that certain derivatives must be traded on regulated markets, MTFs or OTFs as a means of preventing the occurrence of market distortions in the case of over-the-counter (OTC) trading in derivatives in the future. The institutionalisation of clearing activities at the EU level pursuant to regulatory requirements enshrined in Regulation on OTC derivatives, central counterparties and trade repositories (the EMIR)151 requires market participants to use the services of a central counterparty (CCP) in the context of the settlement and clearance of certain derivatives contracts, as EMIR uses a three-prong approach. This results in a shifting of the object of trust from the individual market counterpart to numerous new and – in view of the volume of derivatives in question – even systemically relevant actors. The EMIR attempts to counterbalance this development by imposing particularly stringent requirements as to the professionalism and organisational structures of the CCPs involved.152 2.3 Information Producers and Systems for the Dissemination of Information Ensuring the quality of information provided is of particular concern to the legislature in the context of capital markets legislation. In the primary market, issuers enjoy a natural monopoly and have considerable information at their disposal.153 But other market participants have few means of verifying the correctness of information disclosed to them. The legislature has thus established a basis for the standardised production and dissemination of information, in the form of the various constituent elements of the obligation to publish a securities prospectus,154 with explicit rules governing the production of information in terms of 151 Regulation (EU) No 648/2012 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 4 July 2012 on OTC derivatives, central counterparties and trade repositories. See Mülbert, supra note 116, at 391; Guido Ferrarini & Paolo Saguato, Regulating Financial Market Infrastructures, in THE OXFORD HANDBOOK OF FINANCIAL REGULATION, supra note 5, at 568, 584. 152 Supra D.III.1. 153 See Johannes Köndgen, Effizienzorientierung im Kapitalmarktrecht?, in EFFIZIENZ ALS REGELUNGSZIEL IM HANDELS- UND WIRTSCHAFTSRECHT 100, 129 (Holger Fleischer & Daniel Zimmer eds., 2008) (“a clear case of information asymmetry”) (authors’ translation). See also Holger Fleischer, Empfiehlt es sich, im Interesse des Anlegerschutzes und zur Förderung des Finanzplatzes Deutschland das Kapitalmarkt- und Börsenrecht neu zu regeln?, Gutachten F zum 64. DJT 2002, F 23. 154 Article 3(1) of the Prospectus Directive. 2017 Trust in Financial Markets Law 33 the reasons therefor and the subject matter, volume, and extent thereof.155 In November 2015 the Commission submitted a corresponding Proposal for a Prospectus Regulation,156 which in the future will also ensure the maximum degree of harmonisation by means of directly applicable legislation in this context. These norms do not provide any guarantee as to the reliability of specific pieces of information. After all, national supervisory authorities are not under any obligation to verify the content of securities prospectuses. In fact, they will limit themselves to checking their completeness from a technical standpoint and their coherence in substantive terms. Nevertheless, the norms do provide an initial foundation for generating trust in the issuers of such prospectuses.157 In the secondary market, investors interact with other investors who will ideally be able to rely on historical market price data in deciding whether to invest or divest. Obligations on issuers to disclose information to the market in the form of so-called periodic reporting – annual financial reports158 and half-yearly financial reports159 –, as well as the related ad hoc disclosure obligation160, supplement the informational value of market price data and enable it to be adjusted in line with current information. 161 Statutory requirements as to the content of disclosure apply not only in the financial reporting context162 but also to the content of ad hoc notifications: The national supervisory authorities monitor compliance with these requirements; any noncompliant conduct will be subject to extensive (administrative and even) civil law penalties. Marketing to retail customers is subject to extremely detailed requirements as to form and content, with key information documents for packaged retail and insurance-based investment products coming into play here.163 Finally, even information that has been produced on a voluntary basis will, as an object of trust, be subject to legal regulation. This is particularly the case with regard to the regulation of rating agencies at the EU level pursuant to the Credit Rating Agencies 155 See Shapiro, supra note 33, at 637. 156 Proposal for a Prospectus Regulation on the prospectus to be published when securities are offered to the public or admitted to trading (COM(2015) 583 final. 157 Shapiro, supra note 33, at 637). In addition, the reputation of individual issuers, which bears no relation to the statutory requirements imposed by the law governing securities prospectuses, will play a decisive role in establishing trust, particularly in the primary market. 158 Article 4 of the Transparency Directive. 159 Article 5 of the Transparency Directive. 160 Article 17 of the MAR. 161 Efficient capital market hypothesis; supra fn. 112. 162 Articles 4(2) and Art. 5(2) of the Transparency Directive. 163 Articles 5 to 12 of the PRIIPs Regulation. 34 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 Regulation.164 The Credit Rating Agencies Regulation provides for the application of quality standards to rating agencies, their internal structures, the production of information by such entities, the monitoring of compliance with these stipulations by the ESMA at the centralised EU level, and the imposition of penalties for non-compliance at the Member State level. 3. Fairness of Market Participants With a view to encouraging market participants to place trust in the fairness of other market participants – and thus in the fairness of the market environment per se – Article 15 of the MAR essentially prohibits all forms of market manipulation while permitting only the implementation of share price stabilisation and market management measures to a limited extent.165 This is supplemented by the prohibition against insider trading pursuant to Article 14 of the MAR, which extends to activities other than insider trading. This differs from the approach taken in the US. In the EU such activities will be disallowed even where the contractual party in possession of the insider information discloses it to the other contractual party.166 Doubts are occasionally voiced with regard to whether such a harsh prohibition against insider trading is in fact justified, on the grounds that it undermines the efficiency of the dissemination of market price data because such information only becomes available to market participants after a considerable delay.167 Were investors in fact to express a preference for true fairness in the markets,168 they would also place greater trust in the functioning of those markets. Not only considerations of equity argue in favour of trust-building institutional mechanisms for upholding fairness; this approach also makes good economic sense.169 4. Price-setting in Organised Markets Placing trust in the functioning of price-setting processes in organised markets is a process that is based on highly complex considerations. The establishment and reinforcement of such a basis for trust by means of legislation/regulation thus calls for 164 Regulation (EU) No 462/2013, supra note 7. See MOLONEY, supra note 100, at 637. Schroeter has commented on ratings in general. See ULRICH G. SCHROETER, RATINGS – BONITÄTSBEURTEILUNGEN DURCH DRITTE IM SYSTEM DES FINANZMARKT-, GESELLSCHAFTS- UND VERTRAGSRECHTS (2014). Black has written about the role of gatekeepers. See Julia Black, The Role of Gatekeepers, in THE OXFORD HANDBOOK OF FINANCIAL REGULATION, supra note 5, at 254. 165 Art. 5 of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 (fn. 7). 166 Art. 8 of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 (fn. 7). 167 See Klaus J. Hopt, Grundsatz- und Praxisprobleme nach dem Wertpapierhandelsgesetz, 159 ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR HANDELS- UND WIRTSCHAFTSRECHT 135, 142 (1995); Klaus J. Hopt, Europäisches und deutsches Insiderrecht, 20 ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR UNTERNEHMENS- UND GESELLSCHAFTSRECHT 17-73 (1991); Fleischer, supra note 153, F28; Harry McVea, Supporting Market Integrity, in THE OXFORD HANDBOOK OF FINANCIAL REGULATION, supra note 5, at 631, 639; HENRY G. MANNE, INSIDERTRADING AND THE STOCKMARKET (1966). DAS GESAMTE 168 169 See Mülbert, supra note 107, at 184 (with further references). See id. at 172; PETER O. MÜLBERT, AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT, UNTERNEHMENSGRUPPE UND KAPITALMARKT 119 (2nd ed. 1996). 2017 Trust in Financial Markets Law 35 a brief analysis of a number of precepts and prohibitions. Three factors, in particular, are of material importance: quality of the price-setting procedures; transparency; and freedom from manipulation. 4.1 Quality of Price-Setting Procedures A prerequisite for (efficient) market price setting procedures is an effective institutional framework170 that ensures/facilitates the brokerage of business dealings. The primary means of ensuring the quality of the price-setting system within this institutional framework, which will be characterised by the lowest possible spreads and an adequate rendering of the order situation, is the establishment of rules governing the quoted stock exchange price. This quoted stock exchange price will additionally serve as a reference point from a legal perspective for the monitoring and supervision of pricesetting activities in the securities trading context.171 The goal of the legal stipulations in this regard will be the maintenance of formally realistic market and share prices.172 4.2 Transparency Furthermore, capital markets law strives, for example by means of the imposition of transparency and notification obligations (e.g. Articles 17 and 19 of the MAR) as well as other provisions regulating conduct (e.g. Articles 9 et seqq., 17 and 18 of the Transparency Directive173), to ensure the provision of as much as possible, if not all, of the information that is of relevance for price-setting purposes.174 This fuller-spectrum of information can then be taken into account as publicly available information in the pricesetting context. 4.3 Freedom from Manipulation Finally, the prohibition against manipulation of the market (price) pursuant to Article 15 of the MAR aims to ensure the freedom from manipulation of the market environment and thus also the freedom from outside influences of the market price-setting procedures. It is therefore not surprising to find the MAR also advocating in favour of reinforcing trust in the market,175 an approach that counters not only indirect manipulation of market prices but also the vulnerability to manipulation of the market 170 Mülbert, supra note 107,at 183; Köndgen, supra note 153, at 105. 171 Beck has written about the German law. See Heiko Beck, Section 24 BörsG, in KAPITALMARKTRECHTSKOMMENTAR para. 1 (Eberhard Schwark & Daniel Zimmer eds., 4th ed. 2010). 172 See id. 173 Directive 2004/109/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 December 2004 on the harmonisation of transparency requirements in relation to information about issuers whose securities are admitted to trading on a regulated market and amending Directive 2001/34/EC (consolidated text). 174 175 Mülbert has commented on transparency and risk management. See Mülbert, supra note 116, at 386. Recital 2 of the MAR: “Market abuse harms the integrity of financial markets and public confidence in securities and derivatives.” 36 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 environment as a whole and that is illustrated by the case of the manipulation of the LIBOR/EURIBOR reference rates.176 In addition to the quoted stock exchange price, prices in general also function in the financial markets context as public goods, with at best only rudimentary legal requirements as to the corresponding price-setting mechanism existing to date. This applies, for example, to the determination of the LIBOR and EURIBOR rates, which serve as reference values for numerous financial instruments and also mortgage loans, 177 as well as the calculation of foreign exchange rates. The cases of manipulation involving (very) small groups of individuals from major investment banks (“rogue traders”) that have come to light in recent years have prompted the EU to introduce strict rules to regulate the procedures for the determination of prices and the supervision of such procedures,178 and to place these in context as measures aimed at reinforcing trust in the financial markets.179 E. Conclusion Trust appears to be a central concept in the context of financial markets law and in the legal system as a whole. By drawing a distinction between trust in the law, trust through the operation of law, and trust as defined by the law, we hope we have shed light on the numerous manifestations of this concept, as well as the diverse contexts in which it applies. Trust in the law references the fact that even a perfect legal system would not render trust entirely superfluous and, above all, that trust in the legal system, and thus in the appropriateness and fairness of its legal rules, constitutes a central mechanism for reducing the complexity of life in modern societies. Trust through the operation of law refers to the effect of legal rules in shaping attitudes of trust and, thus, the fact that this function (such as reinforcing or undermining trust that is placed in institutions and systems) is an important objective of legal policy 176 The manipulation of benchmarks was subsequently included as a constituent element of the prohibitions against market manipulation. See Art. 12(1)(d) of the MAR. 177 See MOLONEY, supra note 100, at 744-745 (VIII.8.2.3). 178 Regulation (EU) No 1066/2016 of the European Parliament and of the Council on indices used as benchmarks in financial instruments and financial contracts. See Malte Wundenberg, Regulierung von Benchmarks, in EUROPÄISCHES KAPITALMARKTRECHT sections 30 and 31 (Rüdiger Veil ed., 2nd ed. 2014); Gerald Spindler, Der Vorschlag einer EU-Verordnung zu Indizes bei Finanzinstrumenten (Benchmark-VO), 27 JOURNAL FOR BANKING LAW AND BANKING 165-176 (2015). 179 Recital 1 of Regulation (EU) No 1066/2016 of the European Parliament and of the Council on indices used as benchmarks in financial instruments and financial contracts: “Failures in, or doubts about, the accuracy and integrity of indices used as benchmarks can undermine market confidence, cause losses to consumers and investors and distort the real economy. It is therefore necessary to ensure the accuracy, robustness and integrity of benchmarks and of the benchmark determination process.” 2017 Trust in Financial Markets Law 37 measures, most particularly in the context of financial markets law but also in other areas. Finally, trust as defined by the law takes account of the numerous challenges of legal dogma associated with the position that established law accords the subject. A particularly illustrative example is provided by the rules governing liability for nondisclosure of capital markets information. The enhancing of trust by means of the operation of financial markets law, in particular, has evolved into a pivotal justification for the “tsunami of regulation” (“Regulierungstsunami”180) that has occurred in the wake of the financial markets crisis. As this article shows, trust can serve as a legal concept for making sense of this flood of legislative acts and of shaping these into a coherent framework. 181 Enhancing trust by means of legislative acts182 constitutes a legitimate objective in financial markets law due to the potential for improvements in efficiency which may be realised as a result.183 Yet, it is by no means certain that this will also improve the stability and efficiency of the financial markets as a whole. Rather, this calls for carrying out cost-benefit analyses, 184 not only for each individual legislative act (as is the approach currently taken at the EU level185) but also, more comprehensively, for the entire regulatory regime governing the operation of the financial markets.186 180 See Peter O. Mülbert, Regulierungstsunami im europäischen Kapitalmarktrecht, 176 ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR DAS GESAMTE HANDELS- UND WIRTSCHAFTSRECHT 369-379 (2012). 181 Supra D. 182 See supra notes 7 and 8. 183 See supra C.III.1. 184 See, e.g., John H. Cochrane, Challenges for Cost-Benefit Analysis of Financial Regulation, 43 JOURNAL OF LEGAL STUDIES 64-105 (2014); Jeffrey N. Gordon, The Empty Call for Benefit-Cost Analysis in Financial Regulation, 43 JOURNAL OF LEGAL STUDIES 351-378 (2014); Edward Sherwin, The Cost-Benefit Analysis of Financial Regulation: Lessons from the SEC's Stalled Mutual Fund Reform Effort, 12 STANFORD JOURNAL OF LAW, BUSINESS & FINANCE 160 (2006); Robert W. Hahn & Cass R. Sunstein, A New Executive Order for Improving Federal Regulation? Deeper and Wider Cost-Benefit Analysis, 150 UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA LAW REVIEW 1482 (2002). 185 See the impact assessments carried out by the European Commission Staff, for example Commission Staff Working Paper – Impact Assessment on CRD IV, SEC(2011) 949 final, available at: http://eurlex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:52011SC0949&from=EN; Commission Staff Working Paper – Impact Assessment on BRRD, SWD(2012) 166 final, available at: http://ec.europa.eu/internal_market/bank/docs/crisismanagement/2012_eu_framework/impact_assessment_final_en.pdf. The Joint Research Centre of the European Commission provides statistical analyses, computation tools, and modelling support to the Commission bodies in charge of financial markets regulation, which have been used for several impact assessments carried out in the context of financial markets regulation. Binder has been critical of the use of impact assessments in the context of EU legislation. See Jens-Hinrich Binder, Ring-Fencing: An Integrated Approach with Many Unknowns, 16 EUROPEAN BUSINESS ORGANIZATION LAW REVIEW 97, 116 (2015); Jens-Hinrich Binder, “Alternativen: Keine“? Gesetzesfolgenabschätzung in der Finanzmarktregulierung, in FESTSCHRIFT KÖNDGEN 65, 74 (Matthias Casper et al. eds., 2016). 186 See Douglas Elliott et al., IMF Working Paper: Assessing the Cost of Financial Regulation, 2012, WP/12/233, available at: https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2012/wp12233.pdf. Coates has written with regard to cost-benefit analyses in the context of US financial markets law. See John C. Coates, Cost-Benefit Analysis 38 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 of Financial Regulation: A Reply, 124 YALE LAW JOURNAL 882-1011 (2015); Eric A. Posner & E. Glen Weyl, 124 YALE LAW JOURNAL FORUM 246-262 (2015); Cass R. Sunstein, Financial Regulation and Cost-Benefit Analysis, 124 YALE LAW JOURNAL FORUM 263-279 (2015). Articles Ne Bis Interpretatio In Idem? The Two Faces of the Ne Bis In Idem Principle in the Case Law of the European Court of Justice By Alessandro Rosanò* Abstract The meaning of idem in the ne bis in idem principle is controversial in the case law of the Court of Justice of the European Union. In interpreting the provision of Article 54 of the Convention Implementing the Schengen Agreement, the court has emphasized the necessary requirement in the identity of the material acts while in antitrust law three requirements have been deemed necessary: (1) Identity of the facts, (2) unity of offender, and (3) unity of the legal interest protected. Despite the opinions of some Advocates General, the court has confirmed different interpretations of the same principle, depending on differences of the legal scope in question. A few years ago, however, the European Court of Human Rights proclaimed the criterion based on the identity of the material acts as the most suitable. This might push the Court of Justice of the European Union to correct its position in the antitrust field. Should this happen, this adjustment might serve as grounds to recognize the existence of a regional custom concerning the ne bis in idem principle. * Alessandro Rosanò, Ph.D. is Teaching Fellow of International Law and European Union Law at the Law School of the University of Padova (Italy). Email: [email protected]. The Author wishes to thank Tommaso Pavone, Chi Ewusi, and the anonymous reviewer for their valuable contributions and comments on earlier version of this Article. The usual disclaimers apply. 40 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 A. Introduction Over the past sixty years, the birth and development of the European Communities and subsequently the European Union (EU) have favored—among other things—a significant mobility of people, which has posed a challenge to the laws summoned to adjudicate this growingly transnational reality. Among the many challenges is the issue of transnational crime:1 The phenomenon of cross-border crimes has raised many questions regarding the reaction of Member States, the identification of the proper locus delicti commissi, and how conflicts of jurisdiction can be mitigated. That is why the issue of the ne bis in idem principle—the double jeopardy clause—is relevant. One should consider a definition of that principle provided in a monograph that still is a landmark among the Italian studies on the topic: Ne bis in idem should be understood as the principle which excludes the renewability of criminal proceedings concerning a matter that has already been definitively judged by a judicial authority of a legal system different from the potentially competent one.2 But this definition is just a starting point, for it fails to provide a definition for a matter that has already been definitively judged. In fact, it could be understood as referring either to a matter as the material reality manifested in the historical context or a matter as the legal characterization of that reality. This issue has also emerged in the case law of the Court of Justice of the European Union (CJEU),3 both in criminal and antitrust law, leading to different solutions within each branch of law.4 This Article first retraces the most important CJEU judgments in this field, subsequently trying to tackle two problems: The first problem concerns unifying the concept of idem in the ne bis in idem principle in EU law, regardless of the legal scope.5 The 1 See generally TRANSNATIONAL ORGANISED CRIME (Adam Edwards & Peter Gill eds., 2003); ANNAMARIA PECCIOLI , UNIONE EUROPEA E CRIMINALITÀ TRANSNAZIONALE: NUOVI SVILUPPI (2005); HANDBOOK OF TRANSNATIONAL CRIME AND JUSTICE (Philip Reichel ed., 2005). 2 NOVELLA GALANTINI, IL PRINCIPIO DEL “NE BIS IN IDEM” INTERNAZIONALE NEL PROCESSO PENALE 6 (1984). 3 BAS VAN BOCKEL, THE NE BIS IN IDEM PRINCIPLE IN EU LAW: A CONCEPTUAL AND JURISPRUDENTIAL ANALYSIS 225 (2010) noted that in a legal system characterized by the presence of a number of States in which free movement of individuals is granted, the territorial scope of ne bis in idem must necessarily coincide with the territorial scope of the legal system. 4 On the topic, one may want to check the following: Robin Lööf, 54 CISA and the Principles of Ne Bis in Idem, 15 EURO. J. CRIME, CRIM. L. & CRIM. JUSTICE 309 (2007); Chiara Amalfitano, Il Principio del Ne Bis in Idem tra CAAS e Carta Dei Diritti Fondamentali Dell´Unione Europea, 52 CASSAZIONE PENALE 3889 (2012); Juliette Lelieur, “Transnationalising” Ne Bis in Idem: How the Rule of Ne Bis in Idem Reveals the Principle of Personal Legal Certainty, 9 UTRECHT L. REV. (2013) available at http://www.utrechtlawreview.org. 5 For that purpose, this author takes into account both horizontal transnational enforcement (when the same offense is considered in two or more EU Member States, or an EU Member State and another third country) and 2017 Ne Bis In Idem at the CJEU 41 second problem relates to the identification of ne bis in idem as a principle of customary international law. To address this second problem, this Article also considers the case law of the European Court of Human Rights (ECtHR) because that court faced an interpretative challenge when dealing with that principle and has only overcome the problem in recent years. B. The CJEU Case Law: Ne Bis In Idem as a Criminal Procedure Principle First of all, one should note that significant CJEU case law concerning ne bis in idem as a criminal procedure principle has been developed only after the communitarization of the Schengen Agreements in 1997, in light of Article 54 of the Convention implementing the Schengen Agreement (CISA). Under Article 54, a person whose trial has been finally disposed of in one Contracting Party may not be prosecuted in another Contracting Party for the same acts provided that, if a penalty has been imposed, it has been enforced, is in process of being enforced, or can no longer be enforced under the laws of the sentencing Contracting Party.6 This explains why the first judgment in this field dates back to the beginning of the new millennium7 and concerns cross-border crime. In Gözütok and Brügge, Advocate General (AG) Ruiz-Jarabo Colomer highlighted that ne bis in idem rests on two principles underlying every legal system: Those of legal certainty and of equity. In fact, he wrote: "When the offender is prosecuted and punished, he must know that, by paying the punishment, he has expiated his guilt and need not fear further sanction. If he is acquitted, he must have the certainty that he will not be prosecuted again in further proceedings"; he subsequently added that "the classic formulation of the ne bis in idem principle requires that three identical circumstances should be present: the same facts, the same offender and the same legal principle–the same value–to be protected."8 The CJEU did not follow Colomer’s vertical application of the principle (where the same offense is considered by EU antitrust authorities and national antitrust authorities). 6 One should remember that, pursuant to Article 50 of the Charter of Fundamental Rights of the European Union, no one shall be liable to be tried or punished again in criminal proceedings for an offense for which he or she has already been finally acquitted or convicted within the EU. 7 8 See also Joined Cases 18 and 35–65, Gutmann, 1967 E.C.R. 75 for some hints. Opinion of Advocate General Ruiz-Jarabo Colomer, Joined Cases C-187 and C-385/01, Gözütok and Brügge, 2003 E.C.R. I-1348, paras. 49 and 56. 42 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 approach; by relying on the textual interpretation of Article 54, the court ruled that only the same acts should be taken into account.9 Immediately thereafter, the CJEU faced the challenge of discerning the actual meaning of “same acts.” The nature of the topic was explained in the Opinion of AG Ruiz-Jarabo Colomer in Van Esbroeck. Here, it was conceptualized as referring to the purely factual aspect of a historical occurrence, to the legal characterization of the act, or to the legal interests protected by the characterization of the offense. From the AG´s point of view, the second and third approaches are problematic, for the peculiarities of every national legal system may lead to the delineation of different offenses and may identify a different legal interest deserving of protection. Such delineation could require an important limitation of the freedom of movement in the Schengen area.10 For these reasons, same acts must be identified as all the acts being prosecuted, historically laid out for the national court to assess.11 The CJEU agreed and ruled that the only relevant criterion for the application of Article 54 of the CISA is the identity of the material acts, understood as meaning a set of concrete circumstances which are inextricably linked together in time and space and by their subject-matter as assessed by national judges.12 This interpretation was consistently confirmed in Gasparini,13 van Straaten,14 Kretzinger,15 Kraaijenbrink,16 Bourquain,17 and Turanský.18 9 Joined Cases C-187 and C-385/01, Gözütok and Brügge, 2003 E.C.R. I-1378, para. 44. For a review, see John A. E. Vervaele, The transnational ne bis in idem principle in the EU. Mutual recognition and equivalent protection of human rights, 1 UTRECHT L. REV. (2005), available at http://www.utrechtlawreview.org. 10 This issue is also underlined in Case C-469/03, Miraglia, 2005 E.C.R. I-2009 where the Court ruled out the application of ne bis in idem to a decision declaring a case to be closed on the sole ground that criminal proceedings have been started in another Member State against the same defendant and for the same fact. For a review, see Chiara Amalfitano, Bis in idem per il “ne bis in idem”: Nuovo Quesito alla Corte di Giustizia, 40 RIVISTA DI DIRITTO INTERNAZIONALE PRIVATO E PROCESSUALE 85 (2004). 11 Opinion of Advocate General Ruiz-Jarabo Colomer, Case C-436/04, Van Esbroeck, 2006 E.C.R. I-2336, paras. 43– 45. 12 Case C-436/04, Van Esbroeck, 2006 E.C.R. I-2333, paras. 36, 38. 13 Case C-467/04, Gasparini and Others, 2006 E.C.R. I-9245. In Gasparini, the CJEU ruled that ne bis in idem applies to a court decision of a Member State by which the accused is acquitted finally because prosecution of the offense is time-barred. 14 Case C-150/05, van Straaten, 2006 E.C.R. I-9327. In van Straaten, the court acknowledged that the principle applies to a decision by which the accused is acquitted finally for lack of evidence. 15 Case C-288/05, Kretzinger, 2007 E.C.R. I-6441. In Kretzinger, the CJEU ruled that, for the purposes of Article 54 CISA, also a suspended custodial sanction is relevant. 2017 Ne Bis In Idem at the CJEU 43 The concept of same acts also applies with reference to the European arrest warrant framework decision.19 According to the CJEU, the need for a uniform application of EU law requires that it be given an autonomous and uniform interpretation throughout the EU.20 Finally, one should thoroughly consider the analysis of AG Ruiz-Jarabo Colomer in Bourquain, where he underlined how the ne bis in idem principle has undergone a structural change produced by the evolution of case law. Initially, the concept was closely tied to the idea of cooperation between states founded on mutual trust; with time, it has become the expression of a form of judicial protection from the ius puniendi, whose logic is ground in the right to a fair trial.21 Thus, one may say that the approach followed by the CJEU in criminal matters is consistent in that it has highlighted the relevance of the concept of same act while also solving some tough procedural issues while identifying—and reaffirming—the very nature of the principle. 16 Case C-367/05, Kraaijenbrink, 2007 E.C.R. I-6619. In Kraaijenbrink, the court held that it is up to national courts to assess whether the degree of identity and connection among all the facts is such that it is possible to find that they are the same act within the meaning of Article 54 CISA. 17 Case C-297/07, Bourquain, 2008 E.C.R. I-9425. In Bourquain, the CJEU acknowledged that the ne bis in idem principle also applies to cases where a sentence cannot be directly enforced on account of specific features of procedure, such as in an in absentia trial. For a review, see Silke Brammer, Case C-297/07, Reference for a preliminary ruling from the Landgericht Regensburg in the criminal proceedings against Klaus Bourquain, Judgment of the Court (Second Chamber) of 11 December 2008, 46 COMMON MKT. L. REV. 1685 (2009). 18 Case C-491/07, Turanský, 2008 E.C.R. I-11039. In Turanský, the court held that the ne bis in idem principle does not apply to a suspension decision which does not definitively bar further prosecution. This therefore does not preclude new criminal proceedings of the same act in the same state. 19 See Article 3(2) of the Council Framework Decision 2002/584/JHA of 13 June 2002 on the European arrest warrant and the surrender procedures between Member States—Statements made by certain Member States on the adoption of the Framework Decision, 2002 O.J. L 190/1. 20 Case C-261/09, Mantello, 2010 E.C.R. I-11477. For a review, see Jannemieke Ouwerkerk, Case C-261/09, Criminal proceedings against Gaetano Mantello, Judgment of the Court of Justice (Grand Chamber) of 16 November 2010, 48 COMMON MKT. L. REV. 1687 (2011). 21 Opinion of Advocate General Ruiz-Jarabo Colomer, Case C-297/07, Bourquain, 2008 E.C.R. I-9425, paras. 48–49. 44 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 C. The CJEU Case Law: Ne Bis In Idem and Antitrust Law With respect to the ne bis in idem case law in the field of antitrust law—and, more specifically, in the field of anti-competitive agreements—the CJEU has had to deal with the application of sanctions against cartels by both EU and national authorities. In Wilhelm, AG Roemer stated there is no reason not to apply national law, despite the substantial similarity between EU and national bans and even though the ne bis in idem principle represents an integral part of EU law.22 On the one hand, he argued that in spite of an evident homogeneity of protected legal interests—competition in international trade and competition in domestic trade, with a clear interpenetration between the two dimensions—it cannot be ruled out that their diversity of fundamental principles could produce totally different assessments in the same case.23 On the other hand, because the principle emerged in the criminal law framework, it is not simple to apply it to sanctions that are administrative in nature.24 The CJEU agreed with the AG but stressed the role of equity in such situations; applying two sanctions implies that the severity of the former is taken into account when determining the latter.25 A few years later, in Boehringer Mannheim, the court ruled again in the case of a company fined both by U.S. authorities and the European Commission. AG Mayras raised a preliminary problem: He wondered if a principle criminal in nature may apply to antitrust law—a system which is administrative in nature. He viewed ne bis in idem as a humanitarian principle aimed at ensuring the protection of the individual as a natural person against a number of sanctions, especially in the case of custodial sentences.26 Under antitrust law, sanctions are fines that affect legal entities. Therefore, according to AG Mayras, it was not possible to apply the principle to those cases without adapting it to the specific branch of law.27 Under criminal law, it is possible to limit the reference to the identity of the material acts, because one is asked to consider behaviors such as murder, injuries, theft that are committed by one or more individuals in specific place at a precise time. The case of anti-competitive agreements is completely different; cartels are based on several acts whose spatial and chronological dimension cannot be easily determined. 22 Opinion of Advocate General Roemer, Case 14/68, Walt Wilhelm and Others v. Bundeskartellamt, 1969 E.C.R. I17, para. 3. 23 Id. at para. 2. 24 Id. 25 Case 14/68, Walt Wilhelm and Others v. Bundeskartellamt, 1969 E.C.R. 2, para. 11. 26 Opinion of Advocate General Mayras, Case 7/72, Boehringer Mannheim, 1972 E.C.R. I-1291, para. 2. 27 Id. at para. 3. 2017 Ne Bis In Idem at the CJEU 45 Consequently, a quid pluris is needed, even if the AG did not identify it.28 As for the reduction of the amount of the sanctions imposed by the Commission in light of the sanction already imposed by U.S. authorities, the AG gave a negative answer. It is one thing to consider agreements restricting competition in the supranational framework in light of the peculiar relationship between the EU and Member States; therefore, cumulative sanctions should be avoided. A completely different aspect concerns those agreements having effects both in the legal and economic systems of the EU and its Member States, as well as the legal systems of other countries. If the severity of a sanction imposed by the European Commission were derivative of the fact that in third states the same company was already fined, the aims of the EU could not be achieved. 29 In short, the swift analysis of the CJEU excluded that decisions taken in a legal system completely alien to the process of European integration may be taken into account in the exercise of the controlling and sanctioning functions of the Commission.30 Eventually, case law evolved to clarify the scope of the quid pluris mentioned by AG Mayras and endowed it with meaning. In Aalborg Portland, the CJEU ruled that when observing ne bis in idem, the application of that principle "is subject to the threefold condition of identity of the facts, unity of offender and unity of the legal interest protected. Under that principle, therefore, the same person cannot be sanctioned more than once for a single unlawful course of conduct designed to protect the same legal asset."31 Moreover, as far as the unity of legal interest is concerned, the Opinion of AG Ruiz-Jarabo Colomer in Italcementi is quite important because he asserted: The unity of the legal right to be protected is beyond doubt. In the arrangement designed to ensure free competition, it is not possible to speak, within the European Union, of separate spheres, the Community sphere and the national spheres, as though they were watertight compartments. Both sectors seek to protect free and open competition 28 Id. at para. 4. 29 Id. 30 Case 7/72, Boehringer Mannheim, 1972 E.C.R. 1281. On a similar topic, see Joined Cases C-238/99 P, C-244/99 P, C-245/99 P, C-247/99 P, C-250/99 P to C-252/99 P and C-254/99 P, Limburgse Vinyl Maatschappij, 2002 E.C.R. I8375; Case C-289/04 P Showa Denko, 2006 E.C.R. I-5859; Case C-308/04 P, SGL Carbon, 2006 E.C.R. I-5977. See also Case T-141/89, Trefileurope, 1995 E.C.R. II-791; Case T-149/89, Sotralentz, 1995 E.C.R. II-1127; Joined Cases T-236/01, T-239/01, T-244/01 to T-246/01, T-251/01 and T-252/01, Tokai Carbon, 2004 E.C.R. II–1181. 31 Joined Cases C-204/00 P, C-205/00 P, C-211/00 P, C-213/00 P, C-217/00 P and C-219/00 P, Aalborg Portland, 2004 E.C.R. I-123, para. 338. 46 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 in the common market, one contemplating it in its entirety and the other from its separate components, but the essence is the same.32 D. Two Meanings for the Same Principle: The Doubts Cast by the Advocates General It is worth recalling how the AGs have criticized the existence of two different interpretations of the ne bis in idem principle, particularly with regard to the second interpretative option concerning antitrust law. In Gasparini, AG Sharpston stated that, in order for the principle to apply, it should be given a substance-based approach that binds ne bis in idem to the essence of the facts.33 This choice is necessary in order to ensure the consistency of the case law of the CJEU when interpreting Article 54 CISA and the rules concerning competition law. Despite the recognition that she could not "see how a core element of a fundamental principle could vary substantially in its content depending on whether ne bis in idem is being applied under Article 54 of the CISA or generally as a fundamental principle of Community law,"34 AG Sharpston did not support her thesis to the end, for she asserted: In a strictly supranational context and with respect to a single legal order governed by one uniform set of rules . . . the legal interest protected is, by definition, already established by the EC competition rules; and is one and the same for the whole Community. It is therefore reasonable for the Court to require, in that ‘unitary’ context, that there should be ‘unity of the legal interest protected’ as one of the conditions for the application of the ne bis in idem principle.35 Nevertheless, the CJEU did not take this analysis into account. It was AG Kokott who tried to definitively solve the issue. In the Toshiba Corporation opinion, she raised some serious concerns about the requirement of the unity of the protected legal interest. From her point of view, there was no reason to apply the ne bis in idem principle to antitrust law any differently than it would apply to other fields.36 In fact, under Article 54 CISA, the principle aims at ensuring free movement of EU citizens within the Union as an area of freedom, 32 Opinion of Advocate General Ruiz-Jarabo Colomer at para. 91, Case C-213/00 P, Italcementi—Fabbriche Riunite Cemento, (Jan. 7, 2004), http://curia.europa.eu/juris/liste.jsf?language=en&num=C-213/00%20P. 33 Opinion of Advocate General Sharpston, Case C–467/04, Gasparini and Others, 2006 E.C.R. I-9203, para. 92. 34 Id. at para. 103. 35 Id. at para. 157. 36 Opinion of Advocate General Kokott at para. 118, Case C-17/10, Toshiba Corporation and Others (Sep. 8, 2011), http://curia.europa.eu/juris/celex.jsf?celex=62010CC0017&lang1=en&type=TXT&ancre= 2017 Ne Bis In Idem at the CJEU 47 security, and justice while, under competition law, it aims at improving and facilitating business in the internal market by creating a level playing field throughout the European Economic Area. Aware of the reason behind the development of the unity-of-the-legalinterest requirement—namely, punishing anti-competitive agreements even if a sanction has already been imposed outside the EU—AG Kokott denied that that reason represented a real problem: In the context of cartel offences, the material acts to which the ne bis in idem principle is then applicable necessarily always include . . . the period of time and the territory in which the cartel agreement had anticompetitive effects . . . or could have had such effects . . . . This has nothing to do with the legal interest protected or the legal characterisation of the facts. Rather, the actual or potential effects of a cartel are an indispensable component of the facts on account of which the undertakings participating in the cartel are prosecuted by a competition authority and cannot thereafter be prosecuted for a second time (ne bis in idem). The prohibition under EU law against prosecution and punishment for the same cause of action (the ne bis in idem principle) prevents more than one competition authority or court from imposing penalties for the anti-competitive consequences of one and the same cartel in relation to the same territory and the same period of time within the European Economic Area.37 Crucially, here too, the CJEU did not agree with the AG. In light of the aforementioned judgments, the court confirmed the traditional interpretation using the three requirements of identity of the facts, unity of offender, and unity of the legal interest protected.38 E. Hints in the Case Law of the ECtHR Concerning the Ne Bis In Idem Principle For the purposes of this analysis, it is useful to draw upon the ECtHR’s approach with regard to ne bis in idem.39 37 Id. at paras. 130–31. 38 Case C-17/10, Toshiba Corporation and Others (Feb. 14, 2012). AG Kokott confirmed her ideas in Opinion of Advocate General Kokott at para. 80, Case C–489/10, Bonda (June 5, 2012), http://curia.europa.eu/juris/recherche.jsf?language=en but the CJEU did not give any useful answer on the topic. See Arianna Andreangeli, Ne bis in idem and administrative sanctions, 50 C OMMON MKT. L. REV. 1827 (2013). 39 See also Opinion of Advocate General Cruz Villalón, Case C-617/10, Åkerberg Fransson (June 12, 2012), http://curia.europa.eu/juris/celex.jsf?celex=62010CC0617&lang1=en&type=TXT&ancre= which represents a useful guide to the case law of the CJEU and the ECtHR. 48 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 First of all, it should be noted that, over time, the ECtHR has developed three different interpretations on the meaning of idem in ne bis in idem under Article 4 of Protocol No. 7 to the European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR),40 highlighting either the import of the identity of the material act, the identity of legal characterization, or the identity of the essential elements. In Gradinger, the ECtHR had to deal with the case of an Austrian citizen who, while driving his car, had caused an accident leading to the death of a cyclist. The driver was first sentenced to a fine for causing death by negligence pursuant to the Austrian Criminal Code, and he was subsequently imposed another fine for driving under the influence of alcohol pursuant to the Austrian Road Traffic Act. On the alleged violation of Article 4 of Protocol No. 7, the ECtHR, being fully aware that the national provisions differ with regard to the designation, nature, and purpose of the offenses, ruled that both impugned decisions were based on the same conduct, thereby focusing on the identity of the material act and holding Austria responsible for a violation of Article 4.41 With time, the ECtHR’s opinion changed. In Oliveira,42 a Portuguese citizen living in Switzerland caused a car accident and was sentenced to both a fine pursuant to the Federal Road Traffic Act for the accident itself and another fine pursuant to the Swiss Criminal Code for negligently causing physical injury to another driver. Although the Zürich District Court held that any part of the former fine that had already been paid had to be deducted from the latter, the Portuguese citizen lodged an application before the ECtHR for violation of Article 4 of Protocol No. 7. The Court ruled that this was "a typical example of a single act constituting various offences," where "a single act is split up into two separate offences." The Court thus held by eight votes to one that there had been no violation of the ne bis in idem principle. In his dissenting opinion, Judge Repik recalled Gradinger. In light of that reference and of the terminology used by the Court—criminal 40 Pursuant to which, 1. No one shall be liable to be tried or punished again in criminal proceedings under the jurisdiction of the same State for an offence for which he has already been finally acquitted or convicted in accordance with the law and penal procedure of that State. 2. The provisions of the preceding paragraph shall not prevent the reopening of the case in accordance with the law and penal procedure of the State concerned, if there is evidence of new or newly discovered facts, or if there has been a fundamental defect in the previous proceedings, which could affect the outcome of the case. 3. No derogation from this Article shall be made under Article 15 of the Convention. 41 Gradinger v. Austria, App. No. 15963/90, paras. 54–55 (Oct. 23, 1995). 42 Oliveira v. Svizzera, App. No. 25711/94, para. 26 (July 30, 1998). 2017 Ne Bis In Idem at the CJEU 49 act and offense—it seems that, in this case, the ECtHR interpreted the idem as conveying the idea of identity of legal characterization. Some years later in Franz Fischer, a case very similar to Gradinger, the Court reasoned as follows: The wording of Article 4 of Protocol No. 7 does not refer to “the same offence” but rather to trial and punishment “again” for an offence for which the applicant has already been finally acquitted or convicted. Thus, while it is true that the mere fact that a single act constitutes more than one offence is not contrary to this Article, the Court must not limit itself to finding that an applicant was, on the basis of one act, tried or punished for nominally different offences. The Court . . . notes that there are cases where one act, at first sight, appears to constitute more than one offence, whereas a closer examination shows that only one offence should be prosecuted because it encompasses all the wrongs contained in the others . . . . An obvious example would be an act which constitutes two offences, one of which contains precisely the same elements as the other plus an additional one. There may be other cases where the offences only slightly overlap. Thus, where different offences based on one act are prosecuted consecutively, one after the final decision of the other, the Court has to examine whether or not such offences have the same essential elements.43 That interpretation was then confirmed in Sailer,44 yet shortly thereafter in Göktan,45 the Court backtracked to Oliveira. The ECtHR solved the foregoing interpretative enigma in Zolotukhin. In that case, the applicant had been sentenced for a number of violations of administrative and criminal regulations based on the same set of facts. First of all, the court recalled the three aforementioned approaches and considered that the existence of a variety of approaches engenders legal uncertainty incompatible with a fundamental right, namely the right not to be prosecuted twice for the same offense.46 Hence, harmonizing the interpretation in that 43 Franz Fischer v. Austria, App. No. 37950/97, para. 25 (May 29, 2001). 44 Sailer v. Austria, App. No. 38237/97 (June 6, 2002). 45 See Göktan v. France, App. No. 33402/96 (July 2, 2002). See also Gauthier v. France, App. No. 61178/00 (June 24, 2003). 46 Zolotukhin v. Russia, App. No. 14939/03, para. 78 (Feb. 10, 2009). 50 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 field was necessary. Because the ECHR must be "interpreted and applied in a manner which renders its rights practical and effective, not theoretical and illusory"47 and the approach which emphasized the legal characterization of the two offenses was too restrictive,48 the court held that the idem element must be understood as expressing the idea of facts which constitute "a set of concrete factual circumstances involving the same defendant and inextricably linked together in time and space, the existence of which must be demonstrated in order to secure a conviction or institute criminal proceedings."49 The court thus ruled in favor of Mr. Zolotukhin.50 Such an approach perfectly overlaps the one followed by the CJEU when interpreting Article 54 CISA, and it is for this reason that in paragraph 37 of Zolotukhin, the ECtHR made reference to van Esbroeck, adopting a cross-fertilization perspective when adjudicating the issue at stake. F. How to Unify the Meaning of Idem in the Ne Bis In Idem Principle in the CJEU’s Case Law (?) Returning to the CJEU’s case law, one should be aware of the contrast between the two different meanings of the idem in the ne bis in idem principle: Article 54 CISA is interpreted as expressing the requirement of identity of material facts, but when it comes to antitrust law, it is interpreted as expressing the requirements of identity of the facts, unity of the offender, and unity of the legal interest protected. As far as the first meaning is concerned, it seems both correct and obvious to say that the requirements are two-fold: Identity of the facts and unity of the offender. In fact, ne bis in idem cannot be relied upon by a person other than the one the final judgment was passed upon. This realization, however, allows only minimal approximation, for the main problem concerns the unity of the legal interest protected as the nullifying element. It therefore seems appropriate to try to understand the reason behind such a requirement. First of all, one should remember that the antitrust declination of the ne bis in idem principle arose between the late sixties and the early seventies, during a time period when the European Communities did not have competence in criminal matters. After all, antitrust law is a branch of administrative—and not criminal—law. That has legitimized— 47 Id. at para. 80. 48 Id. at para. 81. 49 Id. at para. 84. 50 The interpretation given in Zolotukhin was later applied in Grande Stevens and Others v. Italy, App. No. 18640/10, 18647/10, 18663/10, 18668/10 and 18698/10 (Mar. 4, 2014). 2017 Ne Bis In Idem at the CJEU 51 as mentioned in the aforementioned opinion of AG Mayras—the idea that the criminal procedure principle of ne bis in idem had to be adapted to a different area of law in which it would—or would not, depending on the case—be applied. This conclusion was understandable at the time, but it seems less appropriate now, that is to say, after almost fifty years and in light of the significant development of the EU competence in criminal matters.51 The CJEU strongly defends its case law and that seems to legitimize the idea that the aim of that case law is to fully suppress phenomena that harm competition through a joint effort of EU and national authorities. This new modus operandi should justify a different interpretative approach. This conclusion does not seem acceptable due to its Machiavellian undertones—the end that justifies the means in the antitrust field. Traditionally, the ne bis in idem principle is a humanitarian principle which aims to protect anyone from being prosecuted and punished twice for the same offense. Therefore, it cannot lead to the result of making it easier to punish twice; that would represent a severe distortion of its meaning. Of course, if the traditional interpretation of the principle prevailed, the European Commission and national authorities would have only one chance to hit anti-competitive agreements, potentially involving powerful economic entities.52 This does not, however, change the fact that the goal is not to hit them hard, but to hit them good—namely, to hit them secundum legem. Therefore, a revirement by the CJEU would be highly appropriate, especially if one considers that it could be done in a rather elegant fashion. When dealing with the ne bis in idem principle in the antitrust field, the CJEU has recalled the case law of the ECtHR.53 In light of Zolothukin and of the need for an interpretative harmonization expressed by the ECtHR on the ne bis in idem topic, it would not be difficult for the CJEU to acknowledge that will and overhaul its position. That could be based on the aforementioned Article 52(3) of the Charter of Fundamental Rights of the EU; Pursuant to this article, in so far as 51 See generally VALSAMIS MITSILEGAS, EU CRIMINAL LAW (2009); ESTER HERLIN-KARNELL, THE CONSTITUTIONAL DIMENSION OF EUROPEAN CRIMINAL LAW (2012); ANDRÉ KLIP , EUROPEAN CRIMINAL LAW: AN INTEGRATIVE APPROACH (2012). 52 See Bas van Bockel, Case C-436/04, Criminal Proceedings against Léopold Henri Van Esbroeck, Case C-150/05, Jean Leon Van Straaten v. Netherlands and Italy, Case C-467/04, Criminal proceedings against G. Francesco Gasparini, José Ma L.A. Gasparini, G. Costa Bozzo, Juan de Lucchi Calcagno, Francesco Mario Gasparini, José A. Hormiga Marrero, Sindicatura Quiebra, 45 COMMON MKT. L. REV. 223 (2008). 53 See, e.g., Limburgse Vinyl Maatschappij and Others v. Commission case. For a review, see Rein Wesseling, Joined Cases C-238/99 P, C-244/99 P, C-245/99 P, C-247/99 P, C-250/99 P to C-252/99 P and C-254/99 P, Limburgse Vinyl Maatschappij NV (LVM) and Others v. Commission, 41 C OMMON MKT. L. REV. 1141 (2004). 52 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 the Charter contains rights which correspond to rights guaranteed by the ECHR, the meaning and scope of those rights shall be the same as those laid down by the ECHR, although EU law may provide more extensive protection. Because ne bis in idem is guaranteed by both the Charter and the ECHR, its meaning and scope should be the same both in the EU and the ECHR legal system but the interpretation provided by the CJEU in the antitrust field cannot be considered consistent with the interpretation provided by the ECtHR. And, of course, one cannot say that the former provides a more extensive protection in that it makes it more difficult for the principle to apply.54 Given that judgments on this topic are increasing in frequency, it is certain that the CJEU will tackle the issue again.55 Consequently, the only thing to do is to wait and see if the ideas expressed by AG Kokott will be accepted by the court.56 G. Perspectives: Might the Ne Bis In Idem Principle Be a Regional Custom? Achieving a uniform approach to the matter would be significant not only in itself and for consistency reasons, but also in that it might pave the way to an interesting outcome recognizing that a regional custom has come into existence. First of all, on the relevance of ne bis in idem as a principle of customary international law it could be useful to recall the Opinion presented by AG Tizzano in Archer Daniels 54 On Article 52 of the Charter, see Koen Lenaerts, Exploring the Limits of the EU Charter of Fundamental Rights, 8 EUROPEAN CONSTITUTIONAL LAW REVIEW 375 (2012). On the EU Charter of Fundamental Rights in general, see THE EU CHARTER OF FUNDAMENTAL RIGHTS AS A BINDING INSTRUMENT: FIVE YEARS OLD AND GROWING (Sybe de Vries et al. eds., 2015); MAKING THE CHARTER OF FUNDAMENTAL RIGHTS A LIVING INSTRUMENTS (G. Palmisano ed., 2014); THE EU CHARTER OF FUNDAMENTAL RIGHTS: A COMMENTARY (S. Peers et al. eds., 2014). 55 See generally Case C-390/12, Pfleger and Others (Apr. 30, 2014), http://curia.europa.eu/juris/liste.jsf?num=C390/12; Case C-398/12, M., (June 5, 2014), http://curia.europa.eu/juris/liste.jsf?num=C-398/12&language=EN; and Case C-129/14 PPU, Spasic (May 27, 2014), http://curia.europa.eu/juris/documents.jsf?num=C-129/14. For a review, see John A. E. Vervaele, Schengen and Charter-related ne bis in idem protection in the Area of Freedom, Security and Justice: M and Zoran Spasic, 52 COMMON MKT. L. REV. 1339 (2015). On the topic of harmonization, see Martin Wasmeier, Ne bis in idem and the Enforcement Condition: Balancing Freedom, Security and Justice?, 5 NEW J. EURO. CRIM. L. 534 (2014). 56 In light of the above, this author must challenge the wording of Article 50 of the Charter of Fundamental Rights of the European Union, which states that no one shall be liable to be tried or punished again in criminal proceedings "for an offence" (emphasis added) for which he or she has already been finally acquitted or convicted within the Union in accordance with the law. The word ʺoffenceʺ poses a problem since it seems to recall the legal characterization of the act rather than the act as an historical event. The Explanations relating to the Charter do not let overcome the issue since they make reference to both the antitrust case law and Gözütok and Brügge as if the CJEU ruled the same way: Actually, the concept of offense is more linked to the first interpretation rather than the second one. Therefore, it would be more correct to speak of an act rather than an offense, as this may be a harbinger of problems. A rewording would be welcome but it seems to presuppose a revirement in the CJEU antitrust case law. 2017 Ne Bis In Idem at the CJEU 53 Midland.57 According to the AG, there is no principle of public international law that prevents the authorities or courts of different States from trying and convicting a person for the same facts since the ius puniendi is still considered a fundamental expression of national sovereignty. Hence while there are many treaties that confirm the ne bis in idem principle, as a general rule, they tend to limit its applicability to judicial decisions within the same State. Focusing on international treaties, this conclusion is confirmed by Article 14(7), of the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights58 and by Article 4 of Protocol No. 7 to the ECHR. Pursuant to Article 8(4) of the American Convention on Human Rights,59 an accused person acquitted by a nonappealable judgment shall not be subjected to a new trial ʺfor the same causeʺ which is interpreted as expressing the idea of identity of material acts.60 The list may be further enriched. For instance, think of Article 10 of the Model Treaty on the Transfer of Proceedings in Criminal Matters adopted by the United Nations General Assembly,61 under which from the date when the requested State informs the requesting State that a case has been finally disposed of, the requesting State shall definitively refrain from prosecuting the same offense. Pursuant to Article 53 of the European Convention on the International Validity of Criminal Judgments,62 a person in respect of whom a European criminal judgment has been rendered may neither be prosecuted nor sentenced nor subjected to enforcement of a sanction in another Contracting State for the same act under any of the following circumstances: (a) If he was acquitted; (b) if the sanction imposed has been completely enforced, is being enforced, has been wholly—or with respect to the part not enforced—the subject of a pardon or an amnesty, or can no longer be enforced because of lapse of time; or (c) the court convicted the offender without imposing a sanction. The same provisions can be found in Article 35 of the European Convention on the Transfer of Proceedings in Criminal Matters.63 57 Opinion of Advocate General Tizzano at paras. 95–96, Case C-397/03 P, Archer Daniels Midland and Archer Daniels Midland Ingredients (June 7, 2005), http://curia.europa.eu/juris/recherche.jsf?language=en. 58 International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights, Dec. 16, 1966, S. Exec. Rep. 102–23, 999 U.N.T.S. 171. 59 American Convention on Human Rights, Nov. 21, 1969, 1144 U.N.T.S. 143. 60 See Loayza-Tamayo v. Peru, Merits Judgment, Inter-Am. Ct. H.R. (ser. C) No. 33, para. 66 (Sept. 17, 1997). 61 Model Treaty on the Transfer of Proceedings in Criminal Matters, adopted Dec. 14, 1990 A/RES/45/118. 62 European Convention on the International Validity of Criminal Judgements, adopted May 28, 1970. The Convention has been signed by 28 States and ratified by 22. 63 European Convention on the Transfer of Proceedings in Criminal Matters, adopted May 15, 1972. The Convention has been signed by 32 States and ratified by 25. 54 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 This prohibition against prosecuting for the same offense also exists in the Statute of the International Criminal Court64 and the Statute of the Special Court for Sierra Leone.65 Under Article 20(2) of the former, no person shall be tried by another court for a crime within the jurisdiction of the court for which that person has already been convicted or acquitted. Under Article 9(1) of the latter, no person shall be tried before a national court of Sierra Leone for acts for which he or she has already been tried by the Special Court. EU law also contains examples of this prohibition. One could mention—apart from Article 54 CISA—Article 7 of the Convention on the protection of the European Communities´ financial interests66 and Article 10 of the Convention on the fight against corruption involving officials of the European Communities or officials of EU Member States.67 Additionally, the Member States of the European Communities signed the Convention on double jeopardy, which proclaims under Article 1 that a person whose trial has finally been disposed of in a Member State may not be prosecuted in another Member State in respect of the same facts, provided that a sanction was imposed, has been enforced, is actually in the process of being enforced or can no longer be enforced under the laws of the sentencing State.68 Further, one can highlight the framework decision on the principle of mutual recognition to judgments in criminal matters: Pursuant to Article 9(1)(c), the competent authority of the executing states may refuse to recognize a judgment—and enforce a sentence—if it would be contrary to the principle of ne bis in idem.69 Under Article 1 of the framework decision on conflicts of jurisdiction in criminal matters, the objective of the regulation is to promote closer cooperation between Member States in order to prevent situations that may 64 Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court, adopted July 17, 1998. 65 Agreement between the United Nations and the Government of Sierra Leone and Statute of the Special Court for Sierra Leone, adopted Jan. 16, 2002. 66 Council Act of July 26, 1995, Drawing Up the Convention on the Protection of the European Communities´ Financial Interests, 1995 O.J. C 316/48. 67 Council Act of May 26, 1997, Drawing Up the Convention Made on the Basis of Article K.3(2)(c) of the Treaty on the European Union, on the Fight Against Corruption Involving Officials of the European Communities of Officials of Member States of the European Union, 1997 O.J. C 195/2. 68 Convention between the Member States of the European Communities on double jeopardy, adopted May 25, 1987. The Convention never came into force, even if it applied to the relations between Austria, Belgium, Denmark, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, and Portugal. 69 Council Framework Decision 2008/909/JHA of Nov. 27, 2008, on the application of the principle of mutual recognition to judgments in criminal matters imposing custodial sentences or measures involving deprivation of liberty for the purpose of their enforcement in the European Union, 2008 O.J. L 327/27. 2017 Ne Bis In Idem at the CJEU 55 constitute an infringement of the ne bis in idem principle.70 Finally, the European Commission expressed the will to relaunch a debate on the principle in a Green Paper stating—among other things—that the principle applies only where the imposed penalty has been enforced, is actually in the process of being enforced, or can no longer be enforced. This would have been justified in a system based on mutual assistance, but it is questionable in an area of freedom, security, and justice, where cross-border enforcement takes place through EU mutual recognition instruments.71 Clearly, one can neither deny the huge interest in the ne bis in idem principle72 nor that a European consensus on this principle has developed both in regulations and in case law. According to some legal doctrine, the substantial number of international agreements and European regulations concerning the principle should confirm the idea that ne bis in idem has already become an international custom.73 In a well-known 1967 judgment,74 however, the Italian Constitutional Court denied the nature of the ne bis in idem as a principle of customary international law in light of the relevance of the principle of territorial sovereignty since the social and political assessment of human acts, especially in the criminal law field, tend to vary significantly from state to state. After thirty years, the court revisited the same topic and slightly changed their mind:75 While still denying its nature as 70 Council Framework Decision 2009/948/JHA of 30 November 2009 on prevention and settlement of conflicts of exercise of jurisdiction in criminal proceedings, 2009 O.J. L 328/42. Because the third paragraph of the Whereas section recalls the ne bis in idem principle as set out in Article 54 CISA, one may think that the case law concerning that article is recalled as well. 71 Green Paper on conflicts of jurisdiction and the principle of ne bis in idem in criminal proceedings, COM(2005) 696 (not published in the O.J.). 72 See also the Initiative of the Hellenic Republic with a view to adopting a Council Framework Decision concerning the application of the “ne bis in idem” principle, 2003 O.J. C 100/24. For a review, see Chiara Amalfitano, La risoluzione dei conflitti di giurisdizione in materia penale nell´Unione europea, 15 DIRITTO PENALE E PROCESSO 1293 (2009). 73 Novella Galantini, Una nuova dimensione per il ne bis in idem internazionale, 44 CASSAZIONE PENALE 3474 (2004) implies from that statement that the ne bis in idem should become a principle of custom international law in a short time. See also FAUSTIN HÉLIE, TRAITÉ DE L´INSTRUCTION CRIMINELLE 656 (1866); HENRI DONNEDIEU DE VABRES, LE PRINCIPES MODERNES DU DROIT PÉNAL INTERNATIONAL 311 (1928); Gerard Conway, Ne bis in idem in International Law, 3 INT’L CRIM. L. REV. 217 (2003). 74See Corte Costituzionale Italiana [Italian Constitutional Court], Apr. 12, 1967, http://www.cortecostituzionale.it/actionSchedaPronuncia.do?param_ecli=ECLI:IT:COST:1967:48; see also Corte costituzionale italiana [Italian Constitutional Court] Mar. 25, 1976, http://www.cortecostituzionale.it/actionSchedaPronuncia.do?param_ecli=ECLI:IT:COST:1976:69. 75See Corte costituzionale italiana [Italian http://www.giurcost.org/decisioni/1997/0058s-97.htm. Constitutional Court], Apr. 14, 1997, 56 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 principle of customary international law, the judges defined it as a trend principle that inspires international law and which aims at protecting the individual from the concurring iura puniendi of States. This suggests that something has changed during the past thirty years and that, in the long run, profound changes may once again emerge. But, is this true? Has something really changed? Truth be told, in order to recognize the ne bis in idem principle as a part of customary international law, one should take in account the generalization of the practice of states, including the attitude of states as a whole, their national legislations, case laws, and their interrelationships, especially concerning acquiescence and protests.76 When one thinks, for instance, of the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights or the ECHR, it is not difficult to realize that a problem continues to linger: In fact, those treaties do not refer to an international ne bis in idem but to a national one, meaning that the principle may only apply within the legal system of a state and not in the relations between two or more states. Therefore, the best solution is to leave apart the international ne bis in idem and to focus on a new, European ne bis in idem instead, which applies in the relations between Member States of the EU, a sort of stand-alone principle of exclusively EU territorial application which should be construed as a regional custom. As ruled by the International Court of Justice in the Asylum case,77 the party which relies on a regional custom has the burden of establishing that the custom exists in such a way that it has become binding on other parties through constant and uniform usage, even if there is no need to verify that all the states belonging to a certain geographical area concurred in the establishment of that custom.78 76 Case of the S.S. “Lotus” (France v. Turkey) (Merits) 1927 P.C.I.J. Rep Series A No 10 (Sept. 7), Fisheries Case (United Kingdom v. Norway) (Merits) 1951 I.C.J. 3 (Dec. 18); Right of Passage over Indian Territory (Portugal v. India) (Merits) 1960 I.C.J. 6 (Apr. 12), Dispute regarding Navigational and Related Rights (Costa Rica v. Nicaragua) 2009 I.C.J. (July 13). See ANTHONY A. D'AMATO, THE CONCEPT OF CUSTOM IN INTERNATIONAL LAW (1971); DAVID J. BEDERMAN, CUSTOM AS A SOURCE OF LAW (2010); JAN KLABBERS, INTERNATIONAL LAW 26–32 (2013); MICHAEL N. SHAW, INTERNATIONAL LAW 63 –65 (2014); Hugh Thirlway, The Sources of International Law, in INTERNATIONAL LAW 97–105 (Malcolm D. Evans ed., 2014). 77 78 Asylum case (Colombia v. Peru) (Merits) 1950 I.C.J. 6 (Nov. 20). See Anthony A. D'Amato, The Concept of Special Custom in International Law, 63 AJIL 211-223 (1969); BENEDETTO CONFORTI, DIRITTO INTERNAZIONALE 45 (2014); JAMES CRAWFORD, BROWNLIE´S PRINCIPLES OF PUBLIC INTERNATIONAL LAW 29– 30 (2012). John A. E. Vervaele, Ne Bis In Idem: Towards a Transnational Constitutional Principle in the EU?, 9 UTRECHT L. REV. (2013) available at http://www.utrechtlawreview.org> (last visited Nov. 7, 2015). This confirmed that ne bis in idem is not yet a principle of customary international law because it is regionalizing in the EU, but not globalizing, and that substantiates the idea that ne bis in idem may be seen only as a regional custom. 2017 Ne Bis In Idem at the CJEU 57 As already noted, the EU may contribute to the development of international law in the same ways as States do: (a) Through concluding treaties with non-EU States or international organizations; (b) through its activity as a member of multilateral organizations; and (c) through its unilateral practice.79 Decisions of competent organs affecting the legal obligations of states may be taken into account when assessing customary international law80 and because the role played by the CJEU in the EU legal framework is paramount,81 one should have no problems admitting that the interpretation provided by the Court on a specific subject may be regarded as the proper basis for confirming or even developing an international custom. With regard to the EU, Member States are bound by the Treaties and the sources of EU secondary law and the interpretation provided by the CJEU. Above all, one should consider the role played by the preliminary reference mechanism in the EU judicial protection system and in the development of the EU legal framework, whose essential function is to ensure that EU law is applied uniformly by national courts.82 Subsequent state practice cannot change that interpretation.83 Therefore, the views expressed by the Court in their judgments may lead to the development of a custom, especially where those views are confirmed by the ECtHR. 79 Bruno de Witte, EU Law: Is It International Law?, in EUROPEAN UNION LAW 192 (Catherine Barnard & Steve Peers eds., 2014). On the topic, see Trevor C. Hartley, International Law and the Law of the European Union, 72 BRIT. Y.B. INT’L L. 1 (2001); THE WORLDS OF E UROPEAN CONSTITUTIONALISM (Gráinne de Búrca & Joseph H. H. Weiler eds., 2011); THE EU'S ROLE IN G LOBAL GOVERNANCE: THE LEGAL DIMENSION (Bart Van Vooren et al. eds., 2013). 80 DONALD W. GREIG, INTERNATIONAL LAW 22 (1976). 81 For an introduction to this topic, see L. NEVILLE BROWN & TOM KENNEDY, THE COURT OF JUSTICE OF THE EUROPEAN COMMUNITIES (2000); THE EUROPEAN COURT OF JUSTICE (Gráinne de Búrca & Joseph H. H. Weiler eds., 2001); ANTHONY ARNULL, THE EUROPEAN UNION AND ITS COURT OF JUSTICE (2006); TAKIS TRIDIMAS, THE EUROPEAN COURT OF JUSTICE AND THE EU CONSTITUTIONAL ORDER (2009). 82 For an introduction to the topic, see KOEN L ENAERTS ET AL., PROCEDURAL LAW OF THE EUROPEAN UNION (2006), KOEN LENAERTS ET AL., EU PROCEDURAL LAW (2014). 83 Case C-327/91, France v. Commission, 1994 E.C.R. I-3641, para. 36, Avis 1/94, Competence of the Community to conclude international agreements concerning services and the protection of intellectual property, 1994 E.C.R. I5389, paras. 52, 61. That is what the CJEU ruled with regard to the European Community Treaty, which was characterized by the so-called Community method. In light of the Treaty of Lisbon and the communitarisation of the third pillar, that reasoning may now apply to the EU legal framework as a whole, with the only exception being the Common Foreign and Security Policy, which is instead characterized by the so-called intergovernmental method. In this case, the practice of Member States still prevails. For more on this topic, see Frank Hoffmeister, The Contribution of EU Practice to International Law, in DEVELOPMENTS IN EU EXTERNAL RELATIONS LAW 56–57 (Marise Cremona ed., 2008). 58 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 As far as ne bis in idem is concerned, however, new problems arise when one ponders the aforementioned interpretative issues. After Zolothukin, the case law of the ECtHR seems to be settled84 while the CJEU case law is not;85 the unsolved dichotomy between interpretation of Article 54 CISA and interpretation of antitrust law provides little guidance for discerning the ultimate meaning of the custom. Consequently, the only way to achieve this objective is for the CJEU to begin the highly desirable work of clarification. This is a development that would be as welcome as it appears unlikely, at least for the time being. H. Conclusion This Article has shown that the ne bis in idem principle is a key topic in the case law of the CJEU as it has been analyzed from both the criminal procedure law perspective and the antitrust law perspective. The different approaches followed by the CJEU in these fields have also been highlighted by underlying the relevance attached to the requirements of the identity of the material act and identity of the protected legal interest. In light of the criticism expressed by AG Kokott, it is this author’s opinion that it would be possible to overcome this dystonia in order to achieve a uniform approach consistent with the very nature of the principle. In fact, the purpose of the ne bis in idem principle is to protect individuals and legal entities from being punished twice. Thus, the line of reasoning expressed by the CJEU in antitrust matters should change as it makes it more difficult to avoid double punishment. The CJEU could provide an interpretation which is consistent with the one provided by the ECtHR in light of Article 52(3) of the Charter of Fundamental Rights of the EU. That interpretation would strengthen the protection of fundamental rights in the EU legal framework in an area of law where this issue is often neglected86 and further enhance the import of Article 52(3) as a tool to achieve a higher level of protection in the EU legal system. Also, a reinterpretation could make it possible to solve a longstanding problem regarding customary international law as ne bis in idem could be construed as a regional custom. This remarkable outcome, however, cannot be achieved as long as the CJEU has not definitively solved the consistency issues discussed above. 84 See, e.g., the abovementioned Grande Stevens and Others case. 85 See, e.g., the abovementioned Spasic case. 86 See generally ARIANNA ANDREANGELI, EU COMPETITION ENFORCEMENT AND HUMAN RIGHTS (2008); Marco Bronckers & Anne Vallery, No Longer Presumed Guilty: The Impact of Fundamental Rights on Certain Dogmas of EU Competition Law, 34 WORLD COMPETITION 535 (2011); MEL MARQUIS, ROBERTO CISOTTA, LITIGATION AND ARBITRATION IN EU COMPETITION LAW 144 (2015). Articles Counterfactual Reasoning: An Effective Component of the International Law Methodological Armor? By Roda Mushkat* Abstract The exploration of international legal patterns is an increasingly multifaceted enterprise. As such, it inevitably entails recourse to a progressively broader array of analytical instruments designed to place the process on a firmer scientific, or quasi-scientific, foundation. This expanding set consists predominantly, albeit not exclusively, of qualitative techniques relied upon in seeking generalizations about complex realities that are shrouded in uncertainty. The cluster of tools employed or deemed potentially usable includes, although tentatively, counterfactual thinking. The latter may be regarded as a research vehicle of “last resort,” underpinned by a soft substructure, but it may facilitate the quest for better grasp of phenomena observed in the international law domain and more effective action in that realm. * Professor of International Law, Hopkins-Nanjing Center, Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS), Johns Hopkins University and Honorary Professor, Faculty of Law, University of Hong Kong. I wish to thank Miron Mushkat for helping me navigate through social science territory, but I am solely responsible for the views expressed herein. 60 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 A. Introduction Academic legal inquiry has traditionally followed a path closely identified with “blackletter-law.” This is an approach whose principal focus is on the tightly delineated legal sphere, within which internal mechanisms operate to entrench a range of principles that may be fathomed by scrutinizing statutes and judicial decisions. The wider environment in which it is embedded is relegated to the periphery. Extracting meaning and purpose from available ordinances and cases, logically connecting them, and erecting a viable conceptual framework on that basis has been the mainstay of this time-honored mode of scholarly investigation.1 A convenient term appropriately invoked to capture the essence of the descriptive and evaluative pursuits undertaken in such a fashion is “doctrinal research.”2 In educational and professional training milieus, doctrinal research involves efforts to provide students with the necessary skills to identify sources of legal authority, gain familiarity with indexes and citators, obtain access to statutes and judicial records, and utilize computer information retrieval systems such as Heinonline, LexisNexis, and Westlaw. Statutes and cases are the core of the empirical set that supports this clearly mapped and wellestablished endeavor.3 A second path, of much more recent origin, and whose boundaries are less unambiguously demarcated, followed by scholars engaged in a methodical examination of issues within and beyond the law domain, and particularly those lying at the interface between the legal and non-legal realms, comes under the rubric of “law in context.”4 Here, the emphasis is not on the normative underpinnings of the legal system and the institutional machinery reinforcing them but on socially relevant questions that are reliably amenable to valid generalization. From this perspective, the law itself may constitute a source of problems because of the social dislocation it engenders or due to its inadequacies—compared with other, non-legal, policy instruments—as a multi-level remedial mechanism.5 The two paths do not smoothly converge. Indeed, researchers who deviate from the traditional blueprint express serious misgivings about the narrow track traveled by those 1 See Mike McConville & Wing Hong Chui, Introduction and Overview, in RESEARCH METHODS FOR LAW 1 (MIKE MCCONVILLE & WONG HONG CHUI eds., 2007). 2 Id., 3. 3 Id. 4 Id., 1. 5 Id. 2017 Counterfactual Reasoning and International Law 61 wedded to the conventional vision. According to them, the latter adopt “intellectually rigid, inflexible, and inward-looking”6 procedures in their quest to enhance the understanding of the law and the functioning of legal regimes. To better achieve this goal, they argue, a multidisciplinary, or even interdisciplinary, standpoint needs to be embraced, incorporating theoretical insights and empirical techniques from the social sciences and the humanities.7 In educational and professional environments, especially the former, this is reflected in the tweaking of curriculums away from law as traditionally conceived and toward “socio-legal studies.”8 “Generalists” have struggled to accommodate international and comparative law within this two-dimensional framework and have opted to create a separate category for this apparent “outlier.”9 They have acknowledged the increasingly global character of legal life which ineluctably means that distinctions between systems and sub-systems are becoming more blurred.10 Yet, generalists have chosen to outline a third path along which international legal scholars and comparativists conduct their analytical expeditions, notwithstanding the explicit recognition of the growing fluidity and outreach seen in the academic space, including its law segment. This is a rather outdated and somewhat inaccurate portrayal of intellectual trends in the international—and, for that matter, comparative—law space. It is true that international legal inquiry addresses issues that possess certain features not readily and recurrently witnessed elsewhere. This stems from the nature of the agenda—revolving around conflict and cooperation in the global arena, and thus transcending country borders—that shapes its evolution. Nevertheless, if abstracted from their specific context, the questions confronted in international legal inquiry bear a fundamental similarity to those encountered in other (for example, federal) hierarchically configured political settings. Moreover, domestic-international linkages loom large—at both ends of the continuum— on the horizon in today’s globalized community of nations and, to a considerable extent, render the dichotomy partly obsolete. 6 Id., 4. 7 Id., 4–7. 8 Id., 4–5. 9 Id., 6–7. 10 Id., 1. 62 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 The fact of the matter is that international legal researchers have not retreated into hermetically closed territory, remaining comfortably oblivious to the centrifugal forces both buffeting and propelling forward their academic neighbors. Rather, they have also pursued a two-track strategy, albeit less unequivocally and with a lag. By far, the most heavily traveled path is that inspired by traditional concerns with the two primary sources of international law, custom and treaties, in a manner displaying a “black-letter-style” or doctrinal orientation—notably in regard to treaties, which may in some respects be likened to statutes.11 And while the principle of stare decisis does not apply in this context, decisions of international—as well as domestic, validating the “linkage” argument—courts and tribunals furnish a basis for drawing inferences pertaining to the content and scope of international norms.12 Although still dominant this standard way of grappling with international legal issues is no longer the sole perspective embraced by scholars involved in that activity, however. A parallel approach—overlapping with the “law in context”/ “socio-legal studies” school— has emerged under the expansive label of “law and international relations.”13 The participants of this type of scholarship emanate from both disciplines, with those possessing social science background—economics, political science, and sociology— perhaps continuing to exhibit greater initiative and to exert stronger influence, qualitatively as well as quantitatively. The persistence of this asymmetric pattern notwithstanding, contributions originating in the legal field have reached a meaningful level. 11 See Stephen Hall, Researching International Law in MCCONVILLE & CHUI, supra note 1, 182–92. 12 See id., 196–98. 13 See generally THE IMPACT OF INTERNATIONAL LAW ON INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION: THEORETICAL PERSPECTIVES (Eyal Benvenisti & Moshe Hirsch eds., 2004); INTERNATIONAL LAW AND ORGANIZATION: CLOSING THE COMPLIANCE GAP (Edward C. Luck & Michael W. Doyle eds., 2004); MARKUS BURGSTALLER, THEORIES OF COMPLIANCE WITH INTERNATIONAL LAW (Martinus Nijhoff 2005); JACK L. GOLDSMITH & ERIC A. POSNER, THE LIMITS OF INTERNATIONAL LAW (Oxford Univ. Press 2005); INTERNATIONAL LAW AND INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS (Beth A. Simmons & Richard H. Steinberg eds., 2006); ANDREW T. GUZMAN, HOW INTERNATIONAL LAW WORKS: A RATIONAL CHOICE THEORY (Oxford Univ. Press 2008); JOEL P. TRACHTMAN, THE ECONOMIC STRUCTURE OF INTERNATIONAL LAW (Harvard Univ. Press 2008); INTERNATIONAL LAW AND POLITICS (Joel P. Trachtman ed., 2008); ADRIANA SINCLAIR, INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS THEORY AND INTERNATIONAL LAW: A CRITICAL APPROACH (Cambridge Univ. Press 2010); SERGE SUR, INTERNATIONAL L AW, POWER, SECURITY, AND JUSTICE: ESSAYS ON INTERNATIONAL LAW AND RELATIONS (Hart Publishing 2010); INTERNATIONAL LAW FOR INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS (Basak Cali ed., 2010); DAVID ARMSTRONG, THEO FARRELL & HELENE LAMBERT, INTERNATIONAL LAW AND INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS (Cambridge Univ. Press 2d ed. 2012); HANDBOOK OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS (Walter Carlsnaes, Thomas Risse & Beth A. Simmons eds., 2012); INTERDISCIPLINARY PERSPECTIVES ON INTERNATIONAL LAW AND INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS: THE STATE OF THE ART (Jeffrey L. Dunoff & Mark A. Pollack eds., 2013); KAREN J. ALTER, THE NEW TERRAIN OF INTERNATIONAL LAW: COURTS, POLITICS, AND RIGHTS (Princeton Univ. Press 2014). 2017 Counterfactual Reasoning and International Law 63 In fact, the catalyst for cross-disciplinary bridge building was not the significant entry by social scientists into the previously detached and convention-bound international law domain but the publication of a seminal book by a prominent international legal researcher in the late 1960s14 and its republication a decade later.15 Louis Henkin, the pioneering and far-sighted author, is widely credited for laying a long-lasting, even if inevitably less than comprehensive, foundation for a study of international law that is not constrained by traditional-style intellectual and professional preferences and practices. Notable social science forays into this self-contained realm have followed, rather than preceded, his tour de force. Henkin’s point of departure was inspirational or normative, reflecting values and concerns prevalent among scholars favoring a formalistic line of inquiry, uncontaminated by insights from neighboring disciplines. Specifically, he was disheartened by the persistent recourse to force in the global arena and signaled his hope that it would before long yield to diplomacy and ultimately law. Unfortunately, the geo-political circumstances at that juncture failed to conform to this idealistic template and Henkin, without altogether discarding his vision, proceeded to clinically explore the interrelationships between these three determinants of international policy outcomes. In the process, he uncovered substantial gaps in the literature, stemming from an overly narrow focus and virtual absence of cooperation between international relations specialists, professional diplomats and their political “masters,” and international legal researchers: In general, the student of foreign affairs is skeptical about international law, and fulsome claims in its behalf tend to make him cynical . . . . As for the diplomat and the maker of foreign policy, they do not appear to consider international law important . . . . Students of international law, on the other hand, tend to begin with international law, and often they end there; all of it should be observed, and respectable governments observe it; there is also need for more laws and nations should agree to create that law and abide by it.16 Whether it has been the effect of this cogently conveyed critical assessment or the result of unprompted adaptation, partly kindled by the growing appreciation that undue parochialism hampers the expansion of knowledge, but also motivated by an inherent proclivity to push back the frontiers of science, the line separating two of these three 14 See generally LOUIS HENKIN, HOW NATIONS BEHAVE: LAW AND FOREIGN POLICY (Columbia Univ. Press 2d ed. 1979). 15 Id. 16 Id., 2–3. 64 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 spheres of professional pursuit has markedly narrowed. The diplomatic enterprise and the foreign policy making endeavor may have not been fully incorporated into the equation, yet the intellectual distance between international relations and international law has significantly shrunk, even if international legal scholars have largely played a secondary role in the process. The publication of Henkin’s treatise did not galvanize researchers from the two disciplines into immediate action, but an uptrend formed in the 1970s and has steadily gained momentum since, without necessarily experiencing a sharp steepening of its trajectory. Substantial headway has been made during this period in terms of broadening and deepening both theoretically-centered and practically-oriented research agendas. Over time, international law and international relations has evolved into a fertile and idea-rich field of academic inquiry, in which innovative and valuable investigations are undertaken across a spectrum and on a scale wide enough to ensure productive continuity and diversification. The past four decades or so, however, have primarily been characterized by a quest for conceptual enhancement and rigor. Prevailing analytical frameworks have carefully been scrutinized, challenged, and reformulated. New ones have been proposed and fine-tuned through multi-party exchanges. At the same time, methodological issues have received scant attention. This does not imply that theoretical formulations have emerged in an empirical vacuum. On the contrary, factual support has been sought not merely via recourse to hypothetic-deductive models, notably of the game-theoretic variety, but also to instruments whose application entails heavy dependence on data, albeit predominantly qualitative in nature. The case study technique, in particular, has extensively been resorted to in this domain—indeed, to a point of “crowding out” complementary tools. Yet, cases have often been selected and dissected in a rather unsystematic fashion, giving rise to concerns about reliability and validity of findings. A number of specific problematic practices have been pinpointed in this respect.17 One involves the overwhelming tendency not to venture beyond a single case, or a handful of cases, and not to extract sufficient information from the empirical material garnered. This frequently reflects inadequate design but may also stem from the paucity of cases. In such circumstances, the problem may be resolved by enlarging the sample, or at least stretching the boundaries of a case, by invoking a rather loosely structured but nevertheless potentially useful method known as “counterfactual reasoning” (CR).18 The aim of this 17 See generally Roda Mushkat, China’s Compliance with International Law: What Has Been Learned and the Gaps Remaining, 20 PACIFIC RIM L. & POL’Y J. 41 (2011); Roda Mushkat, The Case for the Case Study Method in International Legal Research (available from the author). 18 See generally ROBERT W. FOGEL, RAILROADS AND AMERICAN ECONOMIC GROWTH: ESSAYS IN ECONOMETRIC HISTORY (Johns Hopkins Univ. Press 1964); DAVID LEWIS, COUNTERFACTUALS (Blackwell 1973); James Fearon, Counterfactuals and 2017 Counterfactual Reasoning and International Law 65 Article is to outline its essence, roots, and limitations; illustrate how CR has been found helpful by international relations scholars; and demonstrate that their international legal counterparts also may fruitfully avail themselves of this experimental vehicle, in general and in a specific context, without making excessive claims on its behalf. The next four sections follow this roadmap. Hypothesis Testing in Political Science, 43 WORLD POL. 195 (1991); GEOFFREY HAWTHORN, PLAUSIBLE WORLDS: POSSIBILITY AND UNDERSTANDING IN HISTORY AND THE SOCIAL SCIENCES (Cambridge Univ. Press 1991); Thomas J. Biersteker, Constructing Historical Counterfactuals to Assess the Consequences of International Regimes: The Global Debt Regime and the Course of the Debt Crisis of the 1980s in REGIME THEORY AND INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS 315 (Volker Rittberger ed., 1993); NOEL J. ROESE & JAMES M. O LSON, WHAT MIGHT HAVE BEEN: THE SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY OF COUNTERFACTUAL THINKING (Lawrence Erlbaum Associates 1995); COUNTERFACTUAL THOUGHT EXPERIMENTS IN WORLD POLITICS: LOGICAL, METHODOLOGICAL, AND PSYCHOLOGICAL PERSPECTIVES (Philip Tetlock & Aaron Belkin eds., 1996); VIRTUAL HISTORY: ALTERNATIVES AND COUNTERFACTUALS (Niall Ferguson ed., 1997); Richard N. Lebow, What’s So Different about a Counterfactual?, 25 WORLD POL. 550 (2000); NECESSARY CONDITIONS: THEORY, METHODOLOGY, AND APPLICATIONS (Gary Goertz & Harvey Starr eds., 2003); Jorg G. Hulsmann, Facts and Counterfactuals in Economic Law, 17 J. LIBERTARIAN STUD. 57 (2003); Gregory Mitchell, Case Studies, Counterfactuals, and Causal Explanations, 152 UNIV. PENN. L. R EV. 1517 (2004); Larry Lohman, Marketing and Making Carbon Dumps: Commodification, Calculation, and Counterfactuals in Climate Change Mitigation, 14 SCI. AS CULTURE 203 (2005); Jajseet S. Sekhon, Quality Meets Quantity: Case Studies, Conditional Probability, and Counterfactuals, 2 PERSPECTIVES ON POL. 281 (2004); RUTH J. BYRNE, THE RATIONAL IMAGINATION: HOW PEOPLE CREATE ALTERNATIVES TO R EALITY (MIT Press 2005); THE PSYCHOLOGY OF COUNTERFACTUAL THINKING (David R. Mandel, Dennis J. Hilton, & Patrizia Ctellani eds., 2005); UNMAKING THE WEST: ‘WHAT IF’ SCENARIOS THAT REWRITE WORLD HISTORY (Philip Tetlock, Richard N. Lebow, & Geoffrey Parker eds., 2006); Giovanni Cappocia & R. Daniel Kelman, The Study of Critical Junctures: Theory, Narrative, and Counterfactuals in Historical Institutionalism, 59 WORLD POL. 341 (2007); EXPLAINING WAR AND PEACE: CASE STUDIES AND NECESSARY CONDITION COUNTERFACTUALS (Gary Goertz & Jack Levy eds., 2007); STEPHEN L. MORGAN & CHRISTOPHER WINSHIP, COUNTERFACTUALS AND CAUSAL INFERENCE (Cambridge Univ. Press 2007); Jack Levy, Counterfactuals and Case Studies, in THE OXFORD HANDBOOK OF POLITICAL Methodology 627, 627–44 (Janet M. Box-Stoffensmeier, Henry Brady, & David Collier eds., 2008); Kathryn Sikkink, The Role of Consequences, Comparison and Counterfactuals in Constructivist Ethical Thought, in MORAL LIMIT AND POSSIBILITY IN WORLD POLITICS 83 (Richard M. Price ed., 2008); RICHARD N. LEBOW, FORBIDDEN FRUIT: COUNTERFACTUALS AND INTERNATIONAL R ELATIONS (Princeton Univ. Press, 2010); JAMES PATTISON, INTERVENTION AND THE RESPONSIBILITY TO PROTECT: WHO SHOULD INTERVENE? (Oxford Univ. Press 2010); Steven Wheatley, A Democratic Rule of International Law, 22 EURO. J. INT’L L. 525 (2011); UNDERSTANDING COUNTERFACTUALS, UNDERSTANDING CAUSATION: ISSUES IN PHILOSOPHY AND PSYCHOLOGY (Christoph Hoerl, Teresa McCormack & Sarah Beck eds., 2012); Clemens Mattheis, A System Theory of Nikolas Luhmann and the Constitutionalisation of World Society, 4 GOETTINGEN J. INT’L L. 625 (2012); INGO ROHLFING, CASE STUDIES AND CAUSAL INFERENCE: AN INTEGRATIVE FRAMEWORK (Palgrave Macmillan 2012); LARS THOMANN, STEPS TO COMPLIANCE WITH INTERNATIONAL LABOUR STANDARDS: THE INTERNATIONAL LABOR ORGANIZATION (ILO) AND THE ABOLITION OF FORCED LABOR (Springer 2012); RICHARD J. EVANS, ALTERED PASTS: COUNTERFACTUALS IN HISTORY (Brandeis Univ. Press 2013); Viktoria H.S.E. Robertson, A Counterfactual on Information Sharing: The Commission’s Horizontal Guidelines 2011 Applied to the Leading Cases, 36 WORLD COMPETITION 459 (2013); RICHARD N. LEBOW, CONSTRUCTING CAUSE IN INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS (Cambridge Univ. Press 2014); PROBABILITIES, HYPOTHETICALS, AND COUNTERFACTUALS IN ANCIENT GREEK THOUGHT (Victoria Wohl ed., 2014); Cass R. Sunstein, What if Hypotheticals Never Existed? Studying History with Hypotheticals, www.newrepublic.com/article/119357/altered-pasts-reviewed-cass-r-sunstein (last visited Mar. 31, 2016); Ingo Venzke, What If? Alternative Realities of International Law, www.esil-sedi.eu/node/733 (last visited Mar. 31, 2016). 66 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 B. Panoramic Survey CR features consistently, although not uniformly, and at times controversially, in a number of academic disciplines which vary in their adherence to principles of scientific discovery. Of these disciplines, psychology is located at the “hard” end of the analytical continuum and history and philosophy are positioned at its “soft” counterpart. International relations, political science, and sociology are situated in the middle, but not precisely because the former leans toward history and the latter toward psychology. Law, if it is appropriate to link it with the other fields of study, given the modest attention systematically accorded to the subject, may be placed in the vicinity of international relations or political science. While they mostly approach CR in a standardized manner, psychologists still address the process in an elementary way that readily captures its meaning. In the rudimentary versions of their accounts, CR entails thinking “about alternatives to past events, that is, thoughts of what might have been.”19 Pondering along these lines is extremely common. After all, “[w]ho among us has never wondered what might have been [the outcome] had some past choice been different?”20 By the same token, “[w]ho among us has never regretted choices made and actions taken?”21 This is attributable to the fact that “[t]hinking about what might have been, about alternatives to our own pasts, is central to human thinking and emotion.”22 In everyday life, a person’s CR frequently assumes the shape of a conditional statement, occasionally with a probability attached to it, such as “[i]f only I had studied, I would have passed the exam.”23 Here, the inferred result is regarded as a virtual certainty.24 As this example highlights, CR possesses a salient evaluative dimension, involving an explicit or implicit assessment of the relative merits of alternative and realized outcomes. Superior hypothetical results are identified as “upward counterfactuals” and inferior ones as “downward counterfactuals.”25 When the former relate to individual choice, the emotion experienced, unsurprisingly, is referred to and conceptualized as “regret.”26 19 Kai Epstude & Neal J. Roese, The Functional Theory of Counterfactual Thinking, 12 PERSONALITY & SOC. PSYCH. REV. 168, 168 (2008). 20 Id. 21 Id. 22 Id. 23 Id. 24 Id. 25 See id. 2017 Counterfactual Reasoning and International Law 67 CR appears to be an ingrained element of people’s conscious mental landscape. The ability to engage in the process develops early in life—normally by age two—and may be observed as soon as children acquire the lexical skills to communicate subjunctive notions of “if only.”27 This phenomenon is not confined to specific places and periods but may be seen across space and time, including in different cultural milieus and national settings, even if the concrete manifestations may vary somewhat.28 Consequently, it has been suggested that CR may be an innate ingredient of human intelligence.29 Psychologists examine the process from a functional perspective, positing that it is triggered to serve a well-defined purpose. The principal objective seems to be the regulation of ongoing personal behavior.30 The underlying logic is that asking oneself “what might have been” is an effective tool for monitoring performance with a view to bringing about improvement: “Counterfactual thoughts are deeply connected to goals and are a component of regulatory mechanisms that keep behavior on track, particularly within social interactions.”31 Empirical findings in the field of cognitive neuroscience lend support to this theoretical stance.32 The analytical and data-derived insights produced by psychologists are an appropriate starting point in CR-focused introductory surveys because of their broad scope and elaborate nature. They encompass a wide array of individual and group behavioral propensities and cognitive responses.33 They are also rooted in a rich conceptual tapestry that consists of illuminating accounts of basic CR processes (invoking norm theory,34 26 See id., 168–69. 27 Id., 169. 28 Id. 29 Id. 30 Id. 31 Id. 32 Id. 33 See Neal J. Roese and James M. Olson, Counterfactual Thinking: A Critical Overview, in ROESE AND OLSON, supra note 18, at 1. 34 Id., 6–8. 68 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 motivational considerations,35 and causal relationships36), detailed identification of outcome-connected determinants of counterfactual generation (with special emphasis on expectancy,37 valence,38 closeness,39 and involvement40), equally fine pinpointing of antecedent-type determinants of this process (notably, the impact of exceptional versus routine drives,41 actions versus inactions,42 controllable versus uncontrollable influences,43 dynamic versus static elements,44 and serial position)45 and consequences of CR (such as affect,46 judgments of victimization,47 suspicion,48 self-inference,49 and expectancies).50 The observations about causality have the greatest cross-disciplinary ramifications. This is because all counterfactual conditionals are causal assertions, even though not all conditionals are causal. The latter may simply state correlations—for example, “[t]he proposition, “[i]f today is Thursday, then tomorrow is Friday,” does not mean that Thursday causes the next day to be Friday.”51 It is the falsity of their antecedents that 35 Id., 8–11. 36 Id., 11–15. 37 Id., 17–19. 38 Id., 19–22. 39 Id., 22–25. 40 Id., 25–26. 41 Id., 28–29. 42 Id., 29–31. 43 Id., 31–32. 44 Id., 32–34. 45 Id., 34. 46 Id., 36–38. 47 Id., 38–40. 48 Id., 40–42. 49 Id., 42–43. 50 Id., 43–44. 51 Id., 11. 2017 Counterfactual Reasoning and International Law 69 accounts for the causal attributes of counterfactual conditionals. By asserting a false antecedent, the counterfactual establishes an inherent connection to a factual state of affairs—for example, “thinking ‘[i]f only I were taller, then I would be happier,’ is inherently linked to one’s actual height and actual happiness.”52 Importantly, “[t]his reference of the counterfactual conditional to a specific, relevant factual conditional creates the essential requirements for [John Stuart] Mill’s . . . method of difference, which is, of course, the principal technique by which scientists infer causation.”53 The corollary is—and the implications extend beyond psychology—that just as causal inferences may be drawn on the basis of findings produced by means of a true experiment, in which two parallel concrete outcomes are compared with one another, so they too may be obtained from the juxtaposition of an actual result with a counterfactual scenario. To the extent that the two outcomes—assuming that they reflect divergent patterns—merely differ due to the presence of a particular antecedent, this variable may be inferred to be causal.54 It follows that “running counterfactual simulation in one’s head amounts to a proxy experiment.”55 Indeed, “in fields in which true experiments cannot be implemented, counterfactual test cases are accepted methods of inferring causation.”56 The assertion that all counterfactuals possess causal attributes does not mean that their presence is necessary for a causal inference to be drawn. Not all causal inferences are inevitably mediated by counterfactuals, but this does not detract from their potential value as a mechanism in the quest for causal explanations.57 Nor does it diminish CR’s possible effectiveness as a tool for addressing the indeterminacy problem, or the lack of sufficient empirical evidence in certain circumstances. CR is capable of serving this function because, as indicated, it entails the addition of hypothetical cases to observed—or, technically speaking, “factual”—ones—a process that involves the manipulation of the latter in accordance with specific guidelines, rather than in an entirely open-ended fashion.58 52 Id. 53 Id. 54 Id., 12. 55 Id. 56 Id. 57 Id. 58 See Lebow, What’s So Different about a Counterfactual? supra note 18, 577–85; Levy, supra note 18, 632–40; Rohlfing, supra note 18, at 175–79. 70 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 CR is not a pseudo-scientific fad possessing shallow roots. Experimentally-oriented psychologists employing the latest techniques of their craft may have provided it with firm methodological underpinnings, but CR’s origins lie far deeper. Its common practice, as well as the tentative exposition of its certain limitations, may readily be traced to Ancient Greece.59 Thucydides liberally invoked counterfactuals—interestingly, particularly those of the “downward” variety; how the course of the Peloponnesian War might have been worse—in an effort to come to grips with Athens’ painful and seemingly inexplicable defeat.60 By the same token, Homer’s ruminations, pervading the Iliad, abound with “unrealized possibilities.”61 Philosophers have steadily built a conceptual facade on this foundation.62 In a selectively more critical manner, but on an even larger scale, historians too have resorted to CR in their reconstructions of past events—an activity they have termed “virtual history.”63 Proponents among them have conceded that there might be some intuitive objections to CR. After all, why bother posing counterfactual questions? Or, to express it differently, “[w]hy concern ourselves with what didn’t happen?”64 To illustrate, “[j]ust as there is no use crying over spilt milk . . . so there is no use in wondering how the spillage might have been averted ([e]ven more futile to speculate what would have happened if we had spilt milk that’s still safe in the bottle).”65 These rudimentary misgivings have been discarded on the grounds that they do not accord with reality because “we constantly ask such ‘counterfactual’ questions in our daily life.”66 Reservations proffered by historians closely identified with materialist determinism and those, directly or indirectly, sympathetic to their arguments—for example, religious historians who regard divine agency as the ultimate determinant of events67—have posed 59 See generally Wohl, supra note 18. 60 Id., 110. 61 Id. 62 See generally HOERL, MCCORMACK, & BECK, supra note 18. 63 See generally FERGUSON, supra note 18. 64 Niall Ferguson, Introduction in FERGUSON, supra note 18, at 2. 65 Id. 66 Id. 67 Id., 3. 2017 Counterfactual Reasoning and International Law 71 a greater challenge. The claim is that historical evolution is governed by distinct, and possibly immutable, laws. Consequently, “[t]o contemplate ‘the things that might have happened’ is not only to subscribe to ‘the Bad King John’ or ‘Cleopatra’s Nose’ of history . . . [i]t is to be a bad loser too.”68 CR has survived, albeit not unscathed, the deterministic onslaught partly because of an anti-deterministic backlash. Leaders of the “resistance movement” have contended that “[t]he past—like real-life chess, or indeed any other game—is different; it does not have a pre-determined end.”69 They have further asserted that “[t]here is no author, divine or otherwise; only characters, and (unlike in a game) a great too many of them.”70 They have also opined that “[t]here is no plot, no inevitable ‘perfect order’; only endings, since multiple events unfold simultaneously, some last only moments, some extending well beyond an individual’s life.”71 In a more clinical fashion, historians spearheading the “defense campaign” have advanced two key arguments in favor of continued reliance on CR in research contexts: First, they argue that “it is a logical necessity when asking questions about causation to pose ‘but for’ questions, and to try to imagine what would have happened if our supposed cause had been absent.”72 Second, “to do this is a historical necessity when attempting to understand how the past ‘actually was’ . . . as we must attach equal importance to all the possibilities which contemporaries contemplated before the fact, and greater importance to these than to an outcome which they did not anticipate”73—a useful reminder but an unduly restrictive criterion. From the latter perspective, it is noteworthy that “what actually happened was often not the outcome which the majority of informed contemporaries saw as the most likely; the counterfactual scenario was in that sense more ‘real’ to decision makers at the critical moment than the actual subsequent events.”74 68 Id., 2. 69 Id., 68. 70 Id. 71 Id. 72 Id., 72. 73 Id. 74 Id., 73. 72 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 Such attempts to shore up the scientific, or quasi-scientific, status of CR have been partly, rather than wholly, successful—and not merely due to the divergence of views about economic, geographical, historical, legal, political, psychological and social change. The lingering sense of unease with using CR, particularly outside historical circles, largely stems from the “soft” features of the process. Other than economic historians, who avail themselves of state-of-the-art statistical tools in this context, and psychologists, who conduct controlled experiments in laboratory-like environments, most scholars do not strictly and transparently adhere to a well-defined set of principles when actively embracing CR. It remains one of the most elastic research vehicles, perhaps even the least structured one—alongside scenario construction—in the qualitative methods space, continuing to give rise to concerns about freewheeling excursions into the past, present, and future. Any misgivings about CR may be warranted but not to a point of throwing out the proverbial baby with the bathwater. Notwithstanding positivist reservations, qualitative inquiry is broadly recognized as a fertile, solid, and thoroughly tested field of empirical investigative endeavor. Its substantial toolkit contains a wide array of instruments, including the “softest” variants, which may be utilized without violating established standards of reliability and validity. Credible strategies may be pursued in order to place techniques for systematically organizing data, such as CR, on an adequate—as distinct from robust—scientific, or quasi-scientific, footing.75 Moreover, as noted, specific guidelines have been formulated to render the process less arbitrary and inconsistent. Five guidelines are particularly important in this regard: The first pertains to the transparency of what constitutes the chosen counterfactual’s state of interest and its consequence. The second and third concern the effectiveness of the manipulation of the cause and delineate the minimum rewriting rule and empirical plausibility of the manipulation. The fourth and fifth refer to the consequences resulting from the manipulation. They lay emphasis on the use of theoretical and empirical knowledge in seeking to substantiate the consequences and on the empirical plausibility of the consequences that are the product of the manipulation. Adherence to these and other criteria deemed germane to the domain is thought to be conducive to the attainment of a satisfactory degree of validity and reliability.76 75 See generally JEROME KIRK & MARC L. MILLER, Reliability and Validity in Qualitative Research (Sage Publications 1986); Martin Healy & Chad Perry, Comprehensive Criteria to Judge Validity and Reliability of Qualitative Research within the Realism Paradigm, 3 QUALITATIVE MKT RES.: AN INT’L J. 118 (2000); John M. Morse et al., Verification Strategies for Establishing Reliability and Validity in Qualitative Research, 1 INT’L J. QUALITATIVE METHODS 13 (2002); Nahid Golafshani, Understanding Reliability in Qualitative Research, 8 QUALITATIVE REP. 597 (2003). 76 See Lebow, What’s So Different about a Counterfactual? supra note 18, 577–85; Levy, supra note 18, 632–40; Rohlfing, supra note 18, at 175–79. 2017 Counterfactual Reasoning and International Law 73 C. No Dearth of Activity in Adjacent Territory The gap separating international law and international relations has not vanished altogether; it is a prospect that is neither likely to materialize nor is entirely desirable, but it has been steadily narrowing. The narrowing has been an uneven process, with greater headway witnessed on some fronts than others. CR is a realm where the asymmetries have been decidedly pronounced. International legal scholars—and students of law in general— have displayed scant interest in the subject in any shape, abstract or concrete, while researchers in the field of international relations—as well political scientists examining parallel domestic phenomena—have explored it earnestly and fruitfully. In a manner and on a scale similar in key respects to that of historians, researchers in the field of international relations have demonstrated that this is a method possessing certain empirical merits. Indeed, from a pure analytical perspective, international “relationists” can be said to have injected additional substance into historical discourse, reworking some of the less than robust assumptions pervading it. Importantly, they have taken exception to the assertion that it is misguided to attribute genuinely significant consequences to seemingly unexceptional, on the face of it trivial, events. After all, “[c]ould anyone seriously doubt that the course of history would have been different if Pharoah’s daughter had not found a child in a basket in the reeds, if the Mongol fleet had not encountered a destructive typhoon en route to Japan, if the Duke of Alba had not fallen sick in 1572, or if Hitler had died in the tranches during World War I or in the near fatal traffic accident he suffered in the summer of 1930.”77 Such apparently immaterial but actually momentous occurrences/non-occurrences may have prompted Max Weber to observe that “the most plausible counterfactuals [are] those that [make] only ‘minimal rewrites’ of history.”78 By the same token, scholars in the field of international relations have cast doubt on the claim that exploring counterfactual scenarios should be confined to those that contemporary actors reflected upon, leaving a trace of their experience deemed by historians as an acceptable source. Clearly, this unduly restrictive criterion “would exclude entire categories of counterfactuals.”79 In addition, “[i]t would limit counterfactuals to elites who made written records, to self-conscious decisions in which alternatives are likely to be carefully considered, and to political systems in which leaders and other important 77 Lebow, supra note 18, at 567–68. 78 Id., 568. 79 Id., 569. 74 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 actors feel secure enough to write down their thoughts or share them with colleagues, journalists, family members, or friends.”80 Moreover, “[i]t would rule out all counterfactuals that were the result of impulsive behavior (or the lack of it), of human accident, oversight, obtuseness, or unanticipated error, of acts of nature, or of the confluence (or the lack of it), or of independent chain of causation.”81 Problematically, however, it would also eliminate “all miracle counterfactuals.”82 A particularly notable contribution of international relationists has been in the form of historical illustrations convincingly showing that, despite pervasive skepticism on that score, CR is not invariably a speculative activity. For example, speculation was kept to a minimum when a team of counterintelligence officers, established by the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), in the wake of the arrest of Aldrich Ames as a Soviet spy, determined how he might have been exposed earlier. The group examined a set of procedures that could have realistically been instituted in order to unmask Ames. It relied in the process on substantial knowledge of his personality traits, underlying motives and behavioral patterns, as well as prevailing practices of Soviet spymasters, and was consequently able to draw some fairly credible and unambiguous conclusions.83 Interestingly, recourse to quantitative techniques is common in such circumstances.84 Nor should the absence of firm and incontestable evidence be seized upon to instinctively relegate CR into speculative territory because, even when that is the case, the difference between counterfactual and “factual” history is frequently immaterial. Contrary to widespread assumptions, “[a]ctors only occasionally leave evidence about their motives, and historians seldom accept such testimony at face value.”85 The truth of the matter is that “[m]ore often historians infer motives from what they know about actors’ personalities and goals, their past behavior, and the constraints under which they operated.”86 This is reflected across the entire historical inquiry spectrum, ranging from the ancient end to its modern counterpart.87 Moreover, as one moves from “the level of 80 Id. 81 Id. 82 Id. 83 Id., 551–52. 84 Id., 553. 85 Id. 86 Id. 87 Id., 553–54. 2017 Counterfactual Reasoning and International Law 75 analysis of individual actors to small groups, elites, societies, [S]tates, and regional and international systems, the balance between evidence and inference shifts decisively in favor of the latter.”88 Whatever the level of investigation, and whatever the gap as conceptually articulated, the differences between factual and counterfactual propositions typically fade away in practice. For instance, to come to grips with the dynamics of the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis, it is essential to gain insight into both the factual and counterfactual beliefs of relevant actors and readily cross the boundary, if any, between the two. The reason is that during that thirteen-day-long crucial episode, in the absence of solid evidence, perceptions shaped policy views. Specifically, “the beliefs of [American] officials determined the motives they attributed to Khrushchev for deploying Soviet missiles in Cuba, their estimates of the cost calculations and political conflicts they assumed to being taking place in Moscow, and the likely Soviet responses to a blockade, air strike, or invasion.”89 Significantly, “[s]ome of these beliefs took the form of conditional expectations, and with the passage of time they became historical factuals.”90 From an enlightened scientific perspective, any rigid distinction between factuals and counterfactuals may be said to be devoid of ontological substance. Historians who express misgivings about CR predominantly take this position because they are uncomfortable with the lack of a firm factual foundation. Yet, it is increasingly acknowledged among socio-legal researchers that facts are socially constructed. Physical scientists may be justified in claiming that “fundamental concepts like mass, volume, and temperature are essential to the study of nature and that extra-terrestrial scientists would have to possess the same concepts to understand the universe.”91 This does not, however, apply to socio-legal concepts, which vary across and within human cultures.92 There are manifold ways of interpreting and presenting socio-legal phenomena, “and the choice and utility of concepts depend largely on the purpose of the ‘knower.’”93 88 Id., 554. 89 Id., 555. 90 Id. 91 Id., 556. 92 Id. 93 Id. 76 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 The earlier reference to “miracle counterfactuals” raises the issue of whether CR should be imbued with a meaningful sense of realism. The emphasis on believability is a salient feature of the process; “[p]lausible-world counterfactuals are intended to impress the reader as realistic; they cannot violate their understanding of what was technologically, culturally, temporally, or otherwise possible.”94 Believability should not be equated with significance because there is a wide array of “what-if”-style scenarios—“historical near misses”—that might have materialized without tangibly impinging on the outcome in question. Counterfactuals must thus satisfy a second criterion: They should have a reasonable probability of bringing about the result that the reconstruction of events purports to lead to. This entails outlining a logical path between the alternative scenario and the hypothesized effect. Some scholars believe that such historical reconfiguration is the only legitimate form of CR, but “miracle counterfactuals violate our understanding of what is plausible or even possible.”95 Nevertheless, researchers in the field of international relations contend that removing this type of events from the equation may detract from the value of the analytical exercise. They illustrate the cogency of this argument by highlighting the challenges involved in evaluating the relative advantages of court-contested versus mediated divorces in terms of the financial implications of each method of settlement for women. To fruitfully pursue this project, a systematic comparison needs to be undertaken in political units. Take many states in America, for example, that encourage or discourage mediation in equivalent samples of divorced couples. Practical difficulties emerge, however, if the objective is to establish whether making divorce less easy to secure is more likely to preserve families intact, as asserted by conservative commentators, because legislation to progressively lift the bar to divorce has been contemplated without being implemented due to formidable obstacles. Genuinely strict divorce laws are wholly unrealistic and ending divorce altogether is even more improbable.96 Still, these far-fetched, miracle-like, scenarios may play a useful role in the assessment process, as evidenced, inter alia, by the unfeasible thought experiments conducted by economists “who raise or lower prices of commodities well beyond any realistic market expectations to test consumer preferences.”97 In addition to underscoring the merits of CR as a tool of empirical inquiry, international relationists have also demonstrated that it enhances the information processing and judgmental skills of those who rely on the procedure, borrowing from psychology for this 94 Id., 565. 95 Id. 96 Id., 566–67. 97 Id., 567. 2017 Counterfactual Reasoning and International Law 77 purpose. Notably, they have systematically drawn attention to the well-documented certainty with hindsight bias, which manifests itself when outcome knowledge impedes understanding of the past by hindering recall of what individuals were previously unsure was expected to materialize. Thus, “[e]vents deemed improbable by experts (for example, peace between Egypt and Israel, and end of the Cold War) are often considered ‘overdetermined’ and all but inevitable after they have occurred.”98 By reconstructing the chain of events that seems to have culminated in a particular outcome, we appear to become less open to contemplating alternative patterns and results. This constitutes a failure to acknowledge the uncertainty that confronted actors and the idea that they could have made different choices that might have produced different outcomes. There is evidence to suggest that CR may prove instrumental in offsetting this ingrained tendency, rendering is a valuable investigative technique: Counterfactuals can combat the deeply rooted human propensity to see the future as more contingent than the past, reveal contradictions in our belief systems and highlight double standards in our moral judgements. Counterfactuals are an essential ingredient of scholarship. They help determine the research questions we deem important and the answers we find to them. They are also necessary to evaluate the political, economic, and moral benefits of real-world outcomes. These evaluations in turn help drive future research.99 International relations literature abounds with illuminating and productive applications of CR. The United States’ involvement in the 1950–53 Korean War is an especially noteworthy illustration of a multifaceted, “what-if”-style of exploration.100 It is commonly thought that forceful engagement in Korea was the first test of the Truman administration’s policy of “containment,” and, in the invasion of the north by south that ensued in 1950, its first failure.101 This strategy was not entirely new. Rather, it was an extension of Roosevelt’s grand design to “accommodate post-war American security concerns, open the colonies to American commerce and tutelage, and corral communist and anti-colonial revolution.”102 Truman’s decision to occupy the southern part of the Korean peninsula in autumn of 1945, 98 Id., 559. 99 Id., 557–58. 100 See Hawthorn, supra note 18, at 81–122. 101 Id., 83. 102 Id. 78 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 and his articulation of a broader posture that subsequently became known as the “Truman doctrine” in 1947, was a logical by-product of this policy stance.103 A similar inference might be drawn regarding the unwillingness of the United States to countenance a Soviet proposal to form a provisional government to administer the whole peninsula under a joint trusteeship until Korea was believed to be ready for self-rule. An official at the State Department opined in 1949 that it would be plausible to contend that “without the presence of the Soviet army, and under a four power ‘trusteeship,’ where there would always have been three votes to one, the result might have been as in France and Italy.”104 The validity of this assessment has been challenged, but some historians have embraced it, arguing that events were not preordained. They postulated that “[t]he United States need not have occupied [S]outh Korea, and [its] occupation need not have led to two opposed [S]tates and war.”105 Invoking CR, and coupling it with elaborate data mining, Hawthorn, a scholar in the field of international relations has produced a picture that, while inevitably open to conflicting readings, largely accords with this evaluation.106 The issue could be stretched to encompass a wide of array of scenarios, but he has realistically opted to confine it to the question outlined above, namely, “whether the United States could have decided not to occupy the southern part of the country in 1945, and once it did, whether it could have acted in such a way as to avoid the eventual division.”107 His empirically underpinned answer has been that “in August 1945, the United States could have tried to pre-empt an excessive intrusion into the space between itself and the Soviet Union after 1945; that consistently with this, it could have acknowledged that Korea stood to the Soviet Union as Greece, Italy, France, and Japan stood to Britain and the United States; that it could have accepted the advice of its chiefs of staff and the commanders in the Pacific; and that it could have decided not to occupy southern Korea.”108 By the same token, “[t]he president and the Departments of State and War could have arrived at a less anxious interpretation of Soviet intentions, accepted their military limitations, and concentrated on the exclusive occupation of Japan.”109 Still, “the United States did enter Korea.”110 103 Id. 104 Id. 105 Id., 84. 106 Id., 81–122. 107 Id., 107. 108 Id., 112–13. 109 Id., 113. 2017 Counterfactual Reasoning and International Law 79 This leaves unresolved the issue of subsequent choices and their ramifications. Interestingly, in this respect, the researcher has displayed greater ambiguity than otherwise, suggesting that, once in Korea, the Americans room for maneuver was materially circumscribed. Specifically, they could have not pursued a different course of action unless they had been willing to reconsider their rationale for being in Korea in the first place. This would have entailed willingness and ability to radically rethink “their conception of what they were and why more generally they were doing what they were doing in the world.”111 The reason is that, at this crucial historical juncture, “they had created a set of circumstances from which they, as they had come to define themselves, could not retreat.”112 The reconstruction of events does not end here because “the question of what the Americans could have done does lead naturally to the question of whether they were right in what they did.”113 And, ineluctably, “this also is a matter of counterfactual analysis.”114 D. Potential Pathway to Methodologically Richer International Legal Inquiry Despite its acceptable conceptual underpinnings and proliferation of relevant case studies in a number of neighboring disciplines demonstrating its effectiveness as a tool for seeking theoretical and policy illumination, unlike international relationists, scholars in the field of law, and particularly those concerned with its international dimension, have exhibited virtually no favorable disposition toward and no active interest in CR. With few notable exceptions, this remains virgin territory, possibly ripe for systematic and sustained exploration. It would be inappropriate to imply, however, that in a domain characterized by a distinct lack of methodological awareness and momentum, CR ought emphatically to be singled out and should determinately be promoted as a top-priority area. To date, merely one comprehensive article (Mitchell, 2004) has been published on the useful role that CR might play in general legal research. The impetus for Mitchell’s article emanated from the 2001 collapse of the Enron Corporation. The author was struck by the 110 Id. 111 Id., 121. 112 Id. 113 Id., 121–22. 114 Id., 121. 80 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 outpouring of scholarship on the subject, its scope and diversity and, at the same time, its rather inconclusive nature. A myriad of explanations have liberally been offered for Enron’s abrupt demise, without being clear or compelling,115 which prompted the following observation: “[W]e may ask . . . whether these Enron autopsies truly help us understand when business and regulatory failures are likely to occur and how we might be able to prevent them in the future.”116 Dissatisfied with the ongoing stress on quantity rather than quality, and the analytical and policy consequences of this misdirected and unfruitful effort, Mitchell suggested that it might be desirable to shift tack and, instead of furnishing additional views on the legal lessons of Enron, focus on the process of learning those lessons. 117 This involves taking concrete steps to fathom how causal stories are fashioned to account for pivotal events such as Enron’s unraveling and how those stories are relied upon to produce policy recommendations. In stories of that type, equivalent to single-observation case studies, the teller depicts a pattern showing why an event has occurred and then employs this explicit or implicit causal model to formulate prescriptions for law reform.118 Proceeding along that line of explanation is not without attractions, not least of which are adherence to tradition, clarity, and communication in a manner harmonious with readers’ cognitive maps. Those are valuable features in an enterprise where successful implementation hinges on delivering the right form, as well as high-quality substance.119Nevertheless, “the methodological problems associated with the story telling approach are so severe that many social scientists avoid this approach if at all possible.”120 Social scientists assert that causal stories provide, at best, “innocently misleading portraits of the causes of behavior and, at worst, unavoidably partial stories biased by the writer’s pre-existing beliefs and values.”121 The story telling explanatory mode, as observed in the Enron case, possesses diverse ramifications that extend well beyond this particular episode, including deep into the 115 See Mitchell, supra note 18, at 1519–520. 116 Id. 117 See id., 1521. 118 See id. 119 See id., 1521–522. 120 Id., 1522. 121 Id. 2017 Counterfactual Reasoning and International Law 81 policy sphere. Insofar as policy is concerned, it is noteworthy that, in the manifold accounts of this flagrant corporate self-destruction, the teller virtually always converts her specific explanation for the isolated occurrence into an explanation for a broad set of potential events, which then assumes the form of a prediction for future corporate and regulatory failures. In other words, the teller shifts from a singular to a general causal account, with possibly considerable strategic consequences—one that merits close attention on the part of high-level actors in the policy arena.122 This practice leaves much to be desired because in the process: [T]he specific explanation becomes endowed with law-like properties, and the causal relation posited for the Enron matter is presumed to hold in other corporate settings as well. This occurs with little or no demonstration of the applicability of this explanation for other events occurring under different circumstances. Although many scholars widely apply the conclusions they draw from Enron, they do so with little more than bald assertions or limited anecdotal evidence to support their generalizations. For the scholar inclined to make policy recommendations, this inductive leap must occur because, while singular causal stories about specific events are of great interest to trial judges, juries and the parties involved in a particular lawsuit, they are of little interest to the lawmaker, who enact laws with behavioral implications beyond the specific case in mind. Unless the causal explanation extends beyond Enron to provide a more general explanation of how certain behaviors and corporate and regulatory failures are related, then specific explanations for Enron provide little insight for lawmakers. Stated differently, if Enron is an aberration or the product of unique forces unlikely to be seen again, then why bother with “sweeping legal reforms.” The focus should instead be placed on criminal punishment, civil liability, and reparations for the players in the Enron case alone.123 As these methodological “malpractices” illustrate, the story tellers engaged in corporate failure post-mortems, such the one in that particular instance, that commonly follow a two-track approach: First, a singular causal story is told to account for the specific factors responsible for the collapse of a certain corporate entity. Second, a more general causal story about market distortions, inappropriate company actions, regulatory oversight, or professional wrongdoing is derived from the first story. By hastily progressing from the 122 Id., 1538–539. 123 Id., 1540–542. 82 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 specific to the general level, however, the story tellers typically overlook alternative credible explanations of corporate demise—scarcely ever systematically resorting to CR— and thus expose their stories to criticism on grounds of internal validity. Moreover, to the extent that their projections beyond the circumstances surrounding the unraveling of one firm rest on shaky foundations, the external validity of their inferences may be in doubt.124 A key step in the process of developing strategies to minimize threats to internal and external validity, particularly the latter, is to abandon the single-observation case studies in favor of multiple-observation ones.125 Yet, this clearly is not a practical course to pursue in all circumstances. In the international law context, for instance, the option seldom presents itself. The second step thus entails the adoption of adequate criteria to enhance the robustness of CR. Interestingly, those proposed by a domestically-oriented legal researcher, predominantly concerned with business regulation, are essentially borrowed from the international relations literature. These criteria include transparency,126 counterfactuality of the proposed antecedent,127 consideration of competing hypotheses,128 theoretical and statistical reasonableness of the proposed causal chain,129 co-tenability and counterfactual minimalism,130 and projectibility.131 A second notable input into CR discourse in the general law space, or rather in the law and economics segment thereof, is primarily theoretical nature, with no salient methodological components and offering no visible demonstration effects. 132 On balance, Hulsmann’s contribution to economics may have been greater than to law, but it is worth briefly highlighting because the responses to it may have had cross-disciplinary ramifications. The basic proposition has been that most economic laws are counterfactual in nature and do not have to be qualified by invoking the ceteris paribus or an “all other things being equal” condition.133 This claim, amounting to an ambitious attempt to redefine economic science, 124 Id., 1542–543. 125 Id., 1543–587. 126 Id., 1589–591. 127 Id., 1591–592. 128 Id., 1592–593. 129 Id., 1593–595. 130 Id., 1595–600. 131 Id., 1600–601. 132 See generally Hulsmann, supra note 18. 133 Id. 2017 Counterfactual Reasoning and International Law 83 has elicited illuminating reactions, the potentially most constructive being that ceteris paribus elements may fruitfully be incorporated into CR.134 The third, and thus far last, significant addition to the general law literature featuring CR stands out for its policy relevance rather than methodological refinement.135 Robertson has systematically addressed the European Commission’s 2001 guidelines regarding the applicability of article 101 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union (EU) to horizontal co-operation agreements (Guidelines), designed to serve as a framework for assessing “pure” information exchanges between competitors—that is, those that do not underpin other forms of anti-competitive behavior, such as the type seen in cartel-like settings. Besides codifying the Court of Justice of the EU’s (CJEU) case law, the Guidelines also introduce a more subtle—and grounded in economic logic—element into the evaluation of information sharing agreements.136 The key purpose of the Guidelines is to encourage variants of information sharing that bolster efficiency—by resolving information asymmetries, facilitating benchmarking, enabling faster delivery of perishable products, countering unstable demand, and reducing consumers’ search costs as well as augmenting their choices—while at the same time discouraging firms from resorting to information exchanges that erode competition. Consistent with the Commission’s overall strategy of pursuing an increasingly economicsbased approach in dealing with competitive forces, or lack thereof, the Guidelines limit competitive restriction by object to very specific cases, with the preponderance of information exchanges judged in terms of their effects.137 The careful and thorough, exclusively CR-inspired, dissection of the Guidelines and the CJEU’s leading cases on information exchanges has shed ample light on crucial policy issues, such as the degree to which the Guidelines purely restate the case law, the soundness of the underlying economic logic, and the likely evolution of information exchanges under the regulatory regime embodied in the Guidelines.138 While this is a governance milieu characterized by intellectual experimentation and innovation, when 134 See generally Mateusz Machaj, In Counterfactuals We Are All Dead, 15 Q. J. AUSTRIAN ECON. 443 (2012). 135 See generally Robertson, supra note 18. 136 Id., 459–60. 137 Id., 460–61. 138 Id., 485–88. 84 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 coupled with sequential learning and steady accumulation of knowledge, it is not devoid of complexity and uncertainty. The fact that CR has proved a highly valuable—indeed, as indicated, the sole—analytical vehicle in such intricate and fluid circumstances attests to its utility as an instrument for generating action-oriented strategic, tactical, and operational insights. International legal scholars have lagged behind their general law counterparts, especially those in the administrative realm, in evincing awareness of the possibilities furnished by CR as a tool of empirical inquiry. Importantly, they have underscored that international legal ratiocination is rife with CR, notably when it is related to causation, responsibility, and damages. This is an inevitable reflection of the distinct logic brought to bear on situational complexity and ambiguity in problem solving contexts. The corollary is that “counterfactuals play important roles in assessing the effectiveness of international law, of its institutions, and concrete decisions—would Nigeria have ceded Bakassi to Cameron had it not been for the judgement of the ICJ?”139 The proposition may be extended further and rendered more specific. International legal researchers have pinpointed three advantages that may be gained from the incorporation of CR into the international law investigative agenda: First, considering how the overall legal direction and particular actions could have been different “frees the mind from the spell of necessity.”140 Second, CR may underpin causal statements and assessments pertaining to the significance of certain factors. This is achieved in a manner that ensures greater historical authenticity than is attained by invoking grand theories organized around systematic variables.141 Third, CR may serve as a lubricant for human creativity and fulfill a crucial function in the process because, “[w]hile there are so many thinks blatantly amiss in international society, [it is] remarkably difficult to imagine alternative reality.”142 Besides such broad-based reassertions of the substantial overlap between CR and structure of international legal arguments, and restatement of the general benefits of engaging in the former, virtually no attempts have been made to firmly place CR in the international law conceptual and empirical space. Relevant and effective studies have been conducted in the fields of international humanitarian law—in relation to the responsibility to protect143—and international labor law—with reference to international labor 139 Venzke, supra note 18, at 1 (emphasis added). 140 Id. 141 Id. 142 See id.; see also Mattheis, supra note 18, at 632–35. 143 See generally Pattison, supra note 18. 2017 Counterfactual Reasoning and International Law 85 standards.144 They have been carried out, however, respectively, by an international relationist or political scientist and an applied social researcher rather than by international legal scholars. Nor can they be said to constitute forays into international law territory in the pure sense of the term, which is understandable given the professional background and analytical disposition of the authors. Well-delineated and problem-focused international legal inquiry is not altogether devoid of CR elements. A wide-ranging exploration of the democratic deficit that stems from the deficiencies of global governance through international law in the wake of the partial collapse of the Westphalian political settlement is a case in point. Wheatley has elegantly recycled the notion that the legal norms regulating economic, political, and social activities are no longer the sole prerogative of domestic, democratically anchored processes because international governance regimes increasingly claim the right to shape the normative circumstances of citizens of democratic States, apparently without any meaningful linkage to the idea of democratic legitimacy.145 He has further elaborated that no meta-narratives have surfaced to properly account for the adjusted allocation of political authority, or to provide a compelling justification for the resulting deficit in the practice of domestic democracy. This has prompted him to examine three concrete strategic options: (1) jettisoning the project of democracy beyond the state; (2) finding other legitimacy pillars—for example, delegation of “sovereign powers,” welfare promoting impacts of global governance “for the people,” and high-quality governance by experts/those “who know better”; and (3) democratizing global governance by embracing democratic principles and institutional mechanisms—such as the introduction of ex ante popular controls such as referendums prior to the imposition of significant international legal obligations or allowing the ex post facto rejection of international law norms in conformity with the expressed will of the people.146 After outlining the three overarching scenarios—a fourth one is derived from the three— the writer has proceeded to devote the core of his article to a consideration of the applicability of the idea of deliberative (“democratic”) legitimacy in this intricate and multifaceted context. That notion emanates from the belief that, in the absence of “objective truths” that inevitably pave the way for the “right policy,” “political truths 144 See generally Thomann, supra note 18. 145 See generally Wheatley, supra note 18. 146 See id., 526. 86 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 ([specifically] contingent, contestable positions) can be established only through acts of communicative reason in which all those subject to a regulatory regime (or their representatives) agree, through reasoned discussions, the scope and content of regulatory norms.”147 This framework, tentatively designed for various communities within the state, has loosely been extended to the inter-state level, to encompass processes that “lead to the adoption of international law norms (a form of ‘deliberative diplomacy’) and to the ‘legislative’ activities of non-[s]tate (‘non-sovereign’) actors.”148 Clearly, this type of expansive intellectual journey, entailing the juxtaposition of present configurations with a broad array of alternative futures, requires recourse to nonmainstream investigative vehicles such as CR and scenario construction. Even in this ambitious and open-ended scholarly international legal project, however, CR is mostly employed implicitly rather than explicitly, and is relegated to the periphery. Instead, it should be propelled into the foreground, where it belongs, given the nature of the subject and its methodological ramifications. CR and the thinking pervading international law may share common characteristics, but this is yet to be convincingly shown in practice. E. Source of Ample Demonstration Effects One international legal issue—with salient economic, political, and social dimensions—that figuratively cries for a CR-style treatment concerns the implementation of the Sino-British Joint Declaration Regarding the Future of Hong Kong—formally known as the “Joint Declaration of the Government of the Government of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and the Government of the People’s Republic of China on the Question of Hong Kong” and informally referred to as the Joint Declaration. The territory has never exercised sovereign powers and, since decolonization in 1997, has functioned as a Special Administrative Region (HKSAR) of the PRC. Its population is estimated to be slightly in excess of seven million; at mid-2014 Hong Kong’s population consisted of 7.24 million residents, of whom 7.03 million were classified as Usual Residents and 0.22 million as Mobile Residents.149 The sub-national status and moderate population size, coupled with its near-static nature, may suggest that the fate of the Joint Declaration is not a matter of great international importance. This would not be an appropriate inference to draw. The aspirations and well-being of seven million people are by no means a trivial question. Otherwise, thousands of local 147 Id. 148 Id., 527. 149 See Hong Kong: The Facts, www.gov.hk/en/about/abouthk/factsheets/docs/population.pdf (last visited Mar. 31, 2016). 2017 Counterfactual Reasoning and International Law 87 residents would not have taken to the streets, embarked on intense protest, and paralyzed key parts of a normally business-driven and orderly conurbation, for a period extending from late September 2014 to mid-December 2014. Residents rose to action because of the perception that they were being denied political rights enshrined in the Joint Declaration150 and the Basic Law,151 the mini constitution, or domestic legal instrument, embodying its vision and principles in more elaborate and specific form.152 While the physical manifestations of large-scale dissent have subsided, the underlying causes that triggered them and the profound sense of alienation that they have mirrored continue to prevail, raising the prospect of further massive eruption and system-wide instability. Moreover, Hong Kong should not be looked at in isolation. The territory has always been embedded in an extensive network, performing economic functions akin to those of a bridge and a transmission belt. Over time, this role has expanded enormously, both quantitatively and qualitatively. This growth trajectory markedly steepened during and after the Korean War, but Hong Kong had displayed a pronounced outward orientation serving as a vibrant international linking pin, on one scale or another, with ineluctable pauses engendered by armed conflict, from the establishment of British colonial rule until it entered the phase of accelerated industrialization in the 1950s. Throughout that period, it had operated as a China-centered entrepot, predominantly sustained by foreign trade activities.153 Rather paradoxically, the outbreak of Korean War and the dislocation that had ensued, expected to sever Hong Kong’s external links, instead solidified them by setting the stage for one of its most remarkable structural transformations. The United Nations embargo imposed on the PRC, which had sided with the Communist North, had indeed deprived Hong Kong of its time-honored role as the Mainland’s entrepot. Its exports foundered at a time when it confronted the enormous challenge of meeting the needs of a population whose size nearly quadrupled, from 600,000 in 1945 to 2.3 million in 1950, as a result of the massive influx of refugees escaping the wave of chaos unleashed by the Chinese 150 See generally RODA MUSHKAT, ONE COUNTRY, TWO INTERNATIONAL LEGAL PERSONALITIES: THE CASE OF HONG KONG (Hong Kong Univ. Press 1997). 151 See generally YASH GHAI, HONG KONG’S NEW CONSTITUTIONAL ORDER: THE RESUMPTION OF CHINESE SOVEREIGNTY AND THE BASIC LAW (Hong Kong Univ. Press 2d ed. 1999). 152 See generally Michael Davis, Hong Kong’s Umbrella Movement: Beijing’s Broken Promises, 26 J. DEMOCRACY 101 (2015); Victoria T.B. Hui, Hong Kong’s Umbrella Movement: The Protests and Beyond, 26 J. DEMOCRACY 111 (2015). 153 See ALEXANDER J. YOUNGSON, HONG KONG: ECONOMIC GROWTH AND POLICY 3–4 (Oxford Univ. Press 1982); KUI-WAI LI, THE HONG KONG ECONOMY: R ECOVERY AND RESTRUCTURING 1–4 (McGraw Hill Educ. 2006). 88 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 Communist Party (CCP), which had prevailed in 1949 over its Kuomintang (KMT)/Nationalist foe in a civil war that waged intermittently from 1927 to 1937, lost its intensity following the 1937 Japanese invasion, and then vigorously resumed in 1946.154 Notwithstanding the dire outlook, Hong Kong’s response to the threat had been to ingeniously turn it into an opportunity. Specifically, the territory had nimbly proceeded to relinquish its entrepot status and to swiftly reinvent itself as an international center for labor-intensive manufacturing. In the process, it had creatively mobilized the vast inflow of flight capital from the Mainland, the fast expanding pool of labor—containing a substantial number of businesspeople/entrepreneurs, professionals, intellectuals, and unskilled but highly motivated workers from Guangdong Province and Shanghai—and the web of external economic relations/relationship capital furnished by Hong Kong’s trading houses with their elaborate contacts throughout the globe. The prospect of a severe slump had thus been supplanted by a pattern evincing astounding growth stretching over two decades, and even greater global exposure than previously.155 The next phase of structurally induced further international entrenchment, equally dramatic and fast-paced, yet less trying because it has been precipitated by opportunity rather than threat, has materialized in the wake of the opening up of the Chinese economy in the late 1970s. That event enabled Hong Kong to move its increasingly costly manufacturing base across the border, where key factors of production, notably labor and land, have been far more competitively priced. The shift of labor-intensive manufacturing processes and lower value-added activities to mainland China has given rise to far-reaching and rapid deindustrialization, without, however, leading to a hollowing out of the entire economic structure. This is because high value-added producer services continued to take place in Hong Kong.156 This sweeping structural realignment fundamentally repositioned Hong Kong in the Greater China space, which also encompasses Taiwan, albeit controversially from a political perspective. Specifically, the territory has been transformed in the course of the geographical and sectoral readjustment into a vital pivot of the so-called “China Circle.” This informal but tightly interconnected economic entity consists of three concentric layers: Greater Hong Kong—or the Hong Kong-Guangdong Province domain—constitutes the nucleus of this expanding spatial configuration. Greater Southeast China (GSC)—which stretches over Hong Kong, Taiwan, and the southeast coastal provinces of the Mainland 154See Zhigang Tao & Y.C. Richard Wong, Hong Kong: From Entrepot to Manufacturing and then Producer Services, in URBAN TRANSFORMATION IN CHINA 236 (Aimin Chen, Gordon G. Liu & Kevin H. Zhang eds., 2004). 155 Id., 235–39. 156 Id., 239–48. 2017 Counterfactual Reasoning and International Law 89 (Guangdong, Fujian, Jiangsu, Shanghai, and Zhejiang)—is deemed to be the inner layer. Greater China, or the Chinese Economic Area, is regarded as the outer layer.157 This prominence in the Greater China space is a form of decisive regionalization, without, however, fully reflecting the extent of Hong Kong’s internationalization as a large-scale center for cross-border intermediation and provider of producer services. The Chinese connection stands out and is readily quantifiable, but the territory has evolved in the past three-and-a-half decades or so into one of the world’s few all-inclusive “capitals of capital,”158 leveraging its position as both the gateway to China and the heart of the Chinese diaspora.159 Problematic divergences from the letter and spirit of the Joint Declaration, as well as the Basic Law, may thus reverberate beyond Hong Kong, generating negative network externalities160 costly for a host of regional and international players. Exploration of such divergences leads to the realm of compliance, defined as “a state of conformity or identity between an actor’s behavior and a specified rule.”161 It does not entail an examination of the underlying motives, which may be instrumental rather than normatively shaped, because compliance “is agnostic about causality.”162 Nor does it need to be confined to the strictly legal sphere because adherence to standards is a multifaceted issue.163 By the same token, the impact of law is not limited to compliance as “legal rules may change [s]tate behavior even when [s]tates fail to comply.”164 Still, “most theories of 157 See YU-WING SUNG, HONG KONG AND SOUTH CHINA: THE ECONOMIC SYNERGY 1–2 (City Univ. Hong Kong Press 1991); YU-WING SUNG, THE EMERGENCE OF GREATER CHINA: THE ECONOMIC INTEGRATION OF MAINLAND CHINA, TAIWAN, AND HONG KONG (Palgrave Macmillan 2005) 9–10. See also Y.Y. KUEH, PAX SINICA: GEOPOLITICS AND E CONOMICS OF CHINA’S ASCENDANCE (Hong Kong Univ. Press 2012). 158 See generally YOUSSEF CASSIS, CAPITALS OF CAPITAL: THE RISE AND FALL OF INTERNATIONAL CENTERS, 1780–2009 (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2d ed. 2010). 159 See generally DAVID R. MEYER, HONG KONG AS A GLOBAL METROPOLIS (Cambridge Univ. Press 2000); STEPHEN CHIU AND TAI-LOK LUI, HONG KONG: BECOMING A CHINESE GLOBAL CITY (Routledge 2009). 160 See generally PAUL OMEROD, POSITIVE LINKING: HOW NETWORKS CAN REVOLUTIONIZE THE WORLD (Faber & Faber 2012). 161 Kal Raustiala & Anne-Marie Slaughter, International Law, International Relations, and Compliance, in HANDBOOK Beth A. Simmons eds., 2009). OF INTERNATIONAL R ELATIONS 539 (Walter Carlsneas, Thomas Risse & 162 Id. 163 Id. 164 Id. 90 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 compliance with international law are at bottom theories of the behavioral influence of legal rules.”165 A fine distinction is commonly drawn, in this context, between conformity to international law and its implementation and effectiveness. The former of these two supplementary concepts is equated with “the process of putting international commitments into practice: the passage of legislation, creation of institutions (both domestic and international), and enforcement of rules.”166 It is viewed as a crucial step toward compliance, but not as an inevitable one, because adherence to international law may occur whether or not it takes place, without any concrete initiative by a government or other relevant authorities.167 In contrast, effectiveness refers to the impact of a rule on international legal behavior, with judgment exercised in light of the standards that it sets. 168 Again, the linkage between compliance and effectiveness is not watertight. Rules may conceivably be inherently effective yet fail to elicit conformity. Similarly, assiduous compliance may be indicative of overly lax standards.169 Such nuanced distinctions are analytically valuable, but this Article observes international law as liberally identified with constructive implementation, geared toward maximizing positive impact, because otherwise compliance may be given an excessively mechanistic interpretation. Seeking notional clarity is a fruitful pursuit, even if little is to be gained from excessive differentiation, but it is not always an entirely productive one. By contrast, the static nature of most international legal theories concerned with rule-following in the global arena may be regarded as analytically inadequate. The shortcoming stems from the tendency to scrutinize compliance at a point in time, overlooking progress, or lack thereof, over time. There are modest exceptions to the norm, such as constructivism, which loosely traces the development of state identity and its behavioral consequences,170 and 165 Id. 166 Id. 167 Id. 168 Id. 169 Id. 170 See generally JUTTA BRUNNEE & STEPHEN J. TOOPE, Constructivism and International Law in Dunoff and Pollack, supra note 13; Benedict Kingsbury, Indigenous Peoples in International Law: A Constructivist Approach to the Asia Controversy, 92 AM. J. INT’L L. 414 (1998); Jutta Brunnee & Stephen Toope, International Law and Constructivism: Elements of an Interactional Theory of International Law, 39 COLUMBIA J. TRANSNAT’L L. 19 (2000); Jutta Brunnee, Enforcement Mechanisms in International Law and International Environmental Law, in ENSURING COMPLIANCE WITH MULTILATERAL ENVIRONMENTAL AGREEMENTS: A DIALOGUE BETWEEN PRACTITIONERS AND ACADEMIA 1 (Ulrich Beyerlin, PeterTobias Stoll, & Rudiger Wolfrum eds., 2006); Asher Alkoby, Theories of Compliance with International Law and the Challenge of Cultural Difference, 4 J. INT’L L. & INT’L REL. 151 (2008); Harlan G. Cohen, Can International Law Work? 2017 Counterfactual Reasoning and International Law 91 transnational legal process theory (TLPT), which broadly focuses on the (favorable) implications for compliance of State participation in international governance regimes.171 Such dynamic conceptualizations, however, are few and far between, and those available may be said to lack sufficient coherence and precision.172 It remains an open question whether they provide a thoroughly viable framework for multiyear tracking of Chinese adherence to the letter and spirit of the Joint Declaration and the Basic Law. Interestingly, China has served as fertile ground for the application of the selectively timesensitive paradigms. Constructivists have thus highlighted the crystallization during the post-1978 reform era of Chinese identity as a “responsible power” and the positive ramifications this process has had for compliance on the trade, arms control, environmental protection, and human rights fronts.173 By the same token, proponents of TLPT have marshalled partial evidence in support of the proposition that involvement in international governance regimes in similar domains has been a beneficial—from a Western perspective—experience because it has entailed socialization-induced normative learning that, for all intents and purposes, has helped to turn China into a status quooriented nation from a “rogue”-like one.174 This should bode well for Chinese conformity with the letter and spirit of the Joint Declaration and the Basic Law, in addition to serving as a theoretical benchmark for systematically monitoring relevant conditions and trends. A Constructivist Expansion, 27 BERKELEY J. INT’L L. 636 (2009); G ERRY NAGTZAAMI, THE MAKING OF INTERNATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL TREATIES: NEOLIBERAL AND CONSTRUCTIVIST ANALYSES OF NORMATIVE EVOLUTION (Edward Elgar ed., 2009); JUTTA BRUNNEE & STEPHEN J. TOOPE, LEGITIMACY AND LEGALITY IN INTERNATIONAL LAW: AN INTERACTIONAL ACCOUNT (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2010); ADRIANA SINCLAIR, INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS THEORY AND INTERNATIONAL LAW: A CRITICAL APPROACH (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2010); RYAN GOODMAN & DEREK JINKS, SOCIALIZING STATES: PROMOTING HUMAN RIGHTS THROUGH INTERNATIONAL LAW (Oxford Univ. Press, 2013). 171 See generally Harold H. Koh, Transnational Legal Process, 75 NEB . L. REV. 181 (1996); Harold H. Koh, Why Do Nations Obey International Law? 106 YALE L. J. 2599 (1997); Harold H. Koh, How Is International Law Enforced, 74 IND. J. L. 1397 (1999); ANNE-MARIE SLAUGHTER, A NEW WORLD ORDER (Princeton Univ. Press, 2004). 172 See generally Roda Mushkat, Conceptions of Identity and Identity Economics: A Chinese-Based Explorations, 4 INT’L J. PUB. L. & POL’Y 245 (2014). 173 See generally GERALD CHAN, CHINA’S COMPLIANCE IN GLOBAL AFFAIRS: TRADE, ARMS CONTROL, ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION, HUMAN RIGHTS (World Scientific Publishing 2006). 174 See generally ANN E. KENT, CHINA, THE UNITED NATIONS AND HUMAN RIGHTS: THE LIMITS OF COMPLIANCE (Univ. Penn. Press 1999); ANNE E. KENT, BEYOND COMPLIANCE: CHINA, INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS, AND GLOBAL SECURITY (Stanford Univ. Press, 2007); ALASTAIR I. JOHNSTON, SOCIAL STATES: CHINA IN INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS (Princeton Univ. Press 2008); Chen Dingding, China’s Participation in the International Human Rights Regime: A State Identity Perspective, 2 CHINESE J. INT’L POL. 399 (2009). 92 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 Yet, in the two decades since decolonization, international legal researchers have found virtually no scope for invoking, in that context, constructivist and TLPT-style explanations, as well as offering corresponding prognostic insights and prescriptions. This in all likelihood stems from the fact that States have multiple identities that may not be readily reconciled, may not be firmly established, may not be meaningfully delineated, and may not withstand extraneous—specifically, non-identity-related—pressures.175 Similarly, the explanatory power of TLPT appears to be rather limited when it is brought to bear on China’s attitudes, including the behavioral component, toward international law.176 Notably, instrumental learning is prevalent and so is non-learning, non-linear learning, uneven learning and, particularly, incremental, or slow-paced learning, that may prove dysfunctional—if it leads to policy outcomes out of sync with economic, social, and political realities.177 In a recent empirically rich and rigorous study of Chinese legal compliance in the trade and human rights realms, the author has demonstrated that the process may vary from one issue-area to another—in particular, trade and human rights may display different patterns—because of its contingent nature and, crucially, that State learning may be far from comprehensive in nature—that is, assume the shape of “selective adaptation”—due to a host of deep-rooted and situation-specific influences. The appropriate inference to draw seems to be that the dissection of China’s adherence to the letter and spirit of the Joint Declaration and the Basic Law should not exclusively center on a single event, but instead be an ongoing process. This process should occur without being rigidly guided by any preconceptions—constructivist, those of the TLPT variety, or any others—derived from unidirectional paradigmatic sources. Hong Kong and the Mainland have historically moved along structurally and functionally different paths and, while the gap has been narrowing, it continues to be sizeable. The former has traditionally operated as a heavily “marketized” entity, governed by the rule of law, inching toward democracy in one form or another, and providing sound channels for 175 See generally Mushkat, supra note 172. 176 See generally Roda Mushkat, Economic Development, Environmental Preservation, and International Policy Learning in China: Venturing beyond Transnational Legal Process Theory, in RETHINKING LAW AND DEVELOPMENT: THE CHINESE EXPERIENCE 187 (Gunaghua Yu ed., 2013); Roda Mushkat, Non-Democratic State Learning of Universal Human Rights: Reconfiguring Chinese Patterns, 27 TEMPLE INT’L & COMP. L. J. 63 (2013); Miron Mushkat & Roda Mushkat, The Political Economy of Constitutional Incrementalism in Hong Kong, 9 NORTHWESTERN INTERDISC. L. R EV. (forthcoming in 2017). 177 See generally PITMAN B. POTTER, ASSESSING TREATY PERFORMANCE IN CHINA: TRADE AND HUMAN RIGHTS (UBC Press 2014). 2017 Counterfactual Reasoning and International Law 93 the expression of a wide range of voices.178 The latter, by contrast, has persistently subscribed to state capitalism (socialism during the 1949–78 revolutionary era), rule by law (previously rule of man), one-party dominance, and tight control over socio-political activity.179 The architects of the Joint Declaration and the Basic Law have constructed a legal façade to minimize intrusions from the centralized, top-down driven system into the decentralized, steered in a bottom-up manner one by introducing mechanisms to preserve and enhance—through progressive democratic reform—Hong Kong’s pre-1997 institutional environment, as well as expand and boost its capacity for self-government.180 The commendable and pragmatic vision, embodied in the seemingly ingenious but potentially unworkable “one country, two systems” formula, is asymmetrically configured at the international level because the signatories do not have the same rights and obligations.181 Moreover, there are no procedures for adjudication and enforcement,182 although this objective may presumably be achieved indirectly, at the domestic level, via the Basic Law.183 To complicate matters, the Joint Declaration and the Basic Law are inevitably open to conflicting interpretations. Be that it may, this does not preclude the possibility of fruitfully engaging in serious discourse regarding compliance, both in relation to specific acts and the implementation—as indicated, broadly defined—process as a whole. In both respects, there is a basis for arguing that the vision, both abstract and concrete, codified in international legal and constitutional documents designed to ensure Hong Kong’s prosperity and stability, the twin goals that it purports to mirror, has not fully been realized, particularly insofar as civil and political rights are concerned. For instance, dubious attempts have been made by the local government, acting at the behest of its central counterpart in Beijing—a “principal” whom serves as an “agent” to introduce draconian 178 See generally NORMAN J. MINERS, The Government and Politics of Hong Kong (Oxford Univ. Press, 5th ed. 1998); MA NGOK, POLITICAL DEVELOPMENT IN HONG KONG: STATE, POLITICAL SOCIETY AND CIVIL SOCIETY (Hong Kong Univ. Press 2007). 179 See generally KENNETH LIEBERTHAL, GOVERNING CHINA: FROM REVOLUTION THROUGH REFORM (W.W. Norton, 2d ed. 2004); TONY SAICH , GOVERNANCE AND POLITICS OF CHINA (Palgrave Macmillan, 3d ed. 2011). 180 See generally Mushkat, supra note 150; Ghai, supra note 151. 181 See generally C.L. Lim, Britain’s “Treaty Rights” in Hong Kong, 151 Q. L. REV. 348 (2015). 182 See generally Mushkat, supra note 150. 183 See generally Mushkat, supra note 151. 94 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 national security legislation184 and “patriotic” education in the territory.185 More importantly, the breadth, depth, and pace of democratization have consistently fallen short of legitimate expectations.186 This has coincided with a sustained pursuit of multifaceted strategies to “mainlandize” the Hong Kong governance regime. There is evidence to suggest that these efforts have met with considerable, albeit not necessarily unqualified, success, as reflected in symptoms of “political decay” in the territory. To state it more precisely, the “HKSAR is [currently] characterized by a more personal style of governance; a chaotic implementation of public policies; an increasingly politicized judiciary whose decisions have been . . . challenged by Beijing and its supporters in Hong Kong; endangered civil liberties including academic freedom; an amalgamation of political labeling and mobilization; a failure of political institutions to absorb public pressure and demands; and a governmental insensitivity to public opinion.”187 The halting progress toward full-fledged democracy—in all probability due to CCP’s desire to maximize political leverage in Hong Kong and its penchant for tinkering, rather than tackling problems head-on, in order to minimize risks and facilitate error-correction188—has left the HKSAR with a fragmented and malfunctioning governance regime. The chief executive (CE), at the epicenter of the system, and the primary political lever relied upon by the CCP in the territory, continues to be nominated by a committee whose composition is heavily shaped by the powers that be in Beijing.189 The officeholder is alienated from the 184 See generally Miron Mushkat & Roda Mushkat, The Political Economy of the Constitutional Conflict in Hong Kong, 11 TILBURG FOREIGN L. REV. 756 (2004); NATIONAL SECURITY AND FUNDAMENTAL FREEDOMS: HONG KONG’S ARTICLE 23 UNDER SCRUTINY (Fu Hualing, Carole J. Petersen, & Simon N.M Young eds., 2005); Roda Mushkat, The Intricacies of Implementing International Law: a Juxtaposition of Theories with the Actualities of the Sino-British Declaration Regarding the Future of Hong Kong, 31 CHINESE (TAIWAN) Y.B. OF INT’L L. & AFF. 1 (2014). 185 See generally Mushkat; GREGORY FAIRBROTHER, TOWARD CRITICAL PATRIOTISM: STUDENT RESISTANCE TO POLITICAL EDUCATION IN HONG KONG AND CHINA (Hong Kong Univ. Press 2003); Chitat Chan, Young Activists and the AntiPatriotic Education Movement in Hong Kong; Some Insights from Twitter, 12 J. CITIZENSHIP, SOC. & ECON. EDUC. 148 (2013); Tracy Lau, State Formation and Education in Hong Kong: Pro-Beijing Schools and National Education, 53 ASIAN SURV. 728 (2013). 186 See generally Davis, supra note 150; Hui, supra note 150. 187 See SONNY S.H. LO , GOVERNING HONG KONG: L EGITIMACY, COMMUNICATION, AND POLITICAL DECAY 13 (Nova Science 2002). See also SONNY S.H. LO, THE DYNAMICS OF BEIJING-HONG RELATIONS: A MODEL FOR TAIWAN? (Hong Kong Univ. Press, 2008); Peter T.Y. Cheung, Who Is Influencing Whom? Exploring the Influence of Hong Kong on Politics and Governance in China, 51 ASIAN SURV. 713 (2011). 188 See generally Mushkat & Mushkat, supra note 176. 189 Id. 2017 Counterfactual Reasoning and International Law 95 community-at-large and enjoys no legitimacy at the grassroots level. Functional constituencies, arbitrarily and haphazardly constructed, and acting as another source of selective political leverage for the CCP in Hong Kong, represent special interests in the seriously fractured Legislative Council (LEGCO), alongside directly-elected members. The two segments do not cooperate harmoniously. The CE dominates LEGCO in theory but is severely handicapped in practice. Recurring policy paralysis and widespread disaffection are the upshot.190 A proposal was put forward a decade ago,191 and refined recently,192 to overhaul the political edifice in line with the spirit and letter of the Joint Declaration and Basic Law. It is consistent with Hong Kong’s status as a global metropolis and expectations on the demand side—specifically, those of the public. It should not provoke an adverse CCP reaction and thus can be said to meet the criterion of “political viability.”193 The scheme is forwardlooking, but it should not disrupt historical continuity. It has several attractive features and implementation should not pose an undue challenge—satisfying pertinent criteria such as “technical feasibility,” “economic and financial possibility,” and “administrative operability.”194 The crux of the proposal is to embrace bicameralism, with a directly-elected lower house, and an upper house consisting of functional constituency representatives elected in an equitable and transparent fashion.195 The allocation of responsibilities to each body should be grounded in sound logic, but be skewed in favor of the lower house. LEGCO members should nominate candidates for the CE position, subject to proper threshold requirements, which should be extended to the proliferating political parties, in order to reduce legislative disarray. Internal functional constituency and political party structures and decision-making procedures should be democratized.196 As may be inferred, the scheme constitutes an 190 Id. 191 See generally Miron Mushkat & Roda Mushkat, Conversationalism, Constitutional Economics, and Bicameralism: Strategies for Political Reform in Hong Kong, 1 ASIAN J. POL. SCI. 23 (2005). 192 See generally Mushkat and Mushkat, supra note 174. 193 See CARL V. PATTON & DAVID S. SAWICKI, BASIC METHODS OF POLICY ANALYSIS AND PLANNING 214–18 (Prentice-Hall, 2d ed. 1993). 194 Id., 208–10, 210–14, 218–19. 195 See generally Mushkat & Mushkat, supra note 176. 196 Id. 96 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 attempt to recapture the apparently lost spirit of the Joint Declaration and the Basic Law, and at the same time build a cohesive governance regime that is capable of garnering the support of all key stakeholders, whose perceptions of institutional effectiveness and fairness currently are poles apart. The fine details of the proposal are of less interest here than the fact that the authors have liberally employed CR, in conjunction with scenario construction, in an effort to demonstrate that the scheme, if adopted, would have tangibly contributed to Hong Kong’s prosperity and stability, helping to avert the late 2014 breakdown of public order. The contention is not merely founded on compelling reasoning but is sustained by a rich set of theoretical models and empirical findings. 197 The exercise could productively be repeated with respect to virtually every significant policy step, or a series of steps, carrying international and constitutional ramifications that might have been taken in Hong Kong in the past two decades or so. This lends further substance to the argument in this Article that, despite being mostly overlooked by students of international law, CR merits a place on their modest methodological agenda.198 F. Conclusion The narrowing of the gap between the international legal and international relations scholarly foci and practical pursuits has spawned a sizeable literature at the intersection of the two neighboring academic disciplines. Ample insights have been generated regarding processes, such as compliance and enforcement, whose adequate understanding requires access to tools that have been the preserve of social scientists. This has, however, predominantly been a conceptually-driven evolution. The methodological side of the picture has thus far been accorded little systematic attention. Some potentially useful analytical vehicles such as CR have been, for all intents and purposes, simply disregarded. Elsewhere, a more constructive posture has been observed. Psychologists and historians, the former quantitatively and the latter qualitatively, have been particularly inclined to resort to CR in their quest for unraveling the complexities of human behavior and political evolution. Researchers in the field of international relations have displayed a similar disposition. Indeed, they have led as well as have followed. Perhaps their most notable input in this regard has been in the form of a cluster of criteria that need to be satisfied in order to place CR on a satisfactory scientific, or quasi-scientific, footing. That qualifies as a 197 198 Id. Another apt and detailed illustration may be found in Vinod K. Aggarwal and Jonathan T. Chow, The Perils of Consensus: How ASEAN’s Meta-Regime Undermines Economic and Environmental Cooperation, 17 REV. INT’L POL. ECON. 262 (2010). 2017 Counterfactual Reasoning and International Law 97 meaningful methodological contribution, readily embraced by scholars across the disciplinary spectrum. Legal inquiry has not been completely oblivious to the possibilities that CR offers, both theoretically and as a research technique. They have been acknowledged in general, as well as in specific areas such as administrative law or regulatory policy. The recognition has been coupled with fruitful applications, albeit on a modest scale. In comparison, the international law proverbial methodological chest is empty or nearly so, notwithstanding the fact that international legal reasoning bears close parallels to CR. There is sufficient evidence, including that extracted from a noteworthy and sensitive Greater China source, to suggest that this state of affairs leaves much to be desired. Palpable gains may be realized if the oversight is rectified. 98 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 Articles Article 13(2) TEU: Institutional Balance, Sincere Co-Operation, and Non-Domination During Lawmaking? By David Yuratich* Abstract This Article assesses the extent to which Article 13(2) TEU supports a republican reading of the EU’s institutional structure. This question has arisen in light of the move towards more intergovernmental forms of economic governance following the Eurozone Crisis. Dawson and de Witte and Bellamy have critiqued this mutation through theory-driven readings the institutional balance clause of Article 13(2) TEU, arguing that it establishes a norm of nondomination between EU institutions that has been undermined by increased intergovernmentalism. This Article considers whether the institutional balance case law supports their reading. It finds that institutional balance’s dominant role is not normative: It protects pre-existing institutional competences. It does carry a normative side when used as a general principle of EU law to support arguments about increasing the European Parliament’s legislative contributions, but this is not an independent head of claim. A better legal support for the presence of a non-domination in Article 13(2) lies within its second clause, the principle of sincere co-operation. Ultimately, the case law around both clauses of Article 13(2) TEU means that the provision is best understood as having a tripartite structure providing a constitutional basis for non-domination during lawmaking. * Lecturer in Law, Royal Holloway University of London. Email: [email protected]. I would like to thank Professors Chris Hilson, Panos Koutrakos, and Danny Nicol, and anonymous referees, for their comments on earlier drafts, and Dr. Theodore Konstantinides for his encouragement. An early version of this paper was presented at the ECPR European Union Standing Group’s 7th Pan-European Conference on the European Union, Leiden University, 2014. 100 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 A. Introduction The Eurozone crisis’s impact on EU constitutional law has been subject to searching examination. Tuori and Tuori frame it within the historical processes of EU constitutionalization, reminding us that the EU’s development has not solely been driven by economic imperatives. At different times, led by Treaty change and jurisprudence, the EU has pursued economic, juridical, political, security, and social goals.1 Tuori and Tuori’s view is that the economic constitution has generally been a pacemaker, not a dictator; it “defined the space”2 within which other constitutional objects were and are pursued. To conceive of EU constitutionalization solely in terms of economic integration obscures the broader goals within various legal and political instruments governing the EU’s legal order. 3 Their contribution is timely because, as they point out, the Eurozone crisis has led a constitutional mutation—economics has become more than a pacemaker. Anxieties have emerged that, instead of defining the space within which EU law operates, responses to the Eurozone crisis overruled and re-configured the democratic and political norms necessary for the legitimacy of the EU’s constitutional order. 4 This reconfiguration is manifest in criticism of increased intergovernmentalism. It is frequently charged that key decisions are now taken by Member State and EU executives with very limited, or no, input from the European and national parliaments, and this goes against the democratic principles within the EU Treaties.5 The lack of European Parliament (EP) power in the economic realm is particularly problematic because the EU’s democratic development has broadly, although not exclusively, centered on its empowerment; the EP has transformed from an advisory body into a directly-elected one with significant powers.6 The EP’s diminishing role within Eurozone governance has, according to these views, undermined the developing democratic constitution. These criticisms are often premised on the notion that the proper division and maintenance of institutional power, and the balance between competing constitutional 1 KAARLO TUORI & KLAUS TUORI, THE EUROZONE CRISIS: A CONSTITUTIONAL ANALYSIS 4–5 (2014). 2 Id. at 9. 3 Id. at 16. 4 Id. at 205. See generally Eduardo Chiti & Pedro Gustavo Teixeira, The Constitutional Implications of the European Responses to the Financial and Debt Crisis, 50 COMMON MKT. L. REV. 683 (2013); Ben Crum, Saving the Eurozone at the Cost of Democracy?, 51 J. COMMON MAR. STUD. 614 (2013). 5 6 See generally Chiti and Teixeira, supra note 4. See generally Manfred Kohler, European Governance and the European Parliament: From Talking Shop to Legislative Powerhouse, 52 J. COMMON MKT. STUD. 600, 601–02 (2014); Andreas Føllesdal & Simon Hix, Why There Is a Democratic Deficit in the EU: A Response to Majone and Moravcsik, 44 J. COMMON MKT. STUD. 533 (2006). 2017 Article 13(2) TEU and Lawmaking 101 objectives, has been usurped. Article 13(2) TEU, which states that “[e]ach institution shall act within the limits of the powers conferred on it in the Treaties, and in conformity with the procedures, conditions and objectives set out in them,” is often cited in support of these arguments. This has renewed studies of whether the institutional balance carries a normative potential. In addition to protecting existing institutional competences, can it found arguments about what those competences ought to be? Investigations of this question primarily adopt a theoretical approach providing a normative reading that is broadly in line with a key tenet of republican political theory. These readings suggest that institutional balance can prescribe a more equal relationship among the EU’s legislative institutions—the Commission, Council, and EP—that is premised upon non-domination.7 This Article contributes to these debates by engaging in a juridical analysis of how far institutional balance assists in conceptualizing this aspect of EU democracy. Investigating the case law allows an assessment of these theoretical positions against the legal meaning of institutional balance. This methodology also serves as a reminder that the CJEU has developed significant constitutional and democratic principles that have enriched the EU’s legal legitimacy.8 Since the onset of the Eurozone crisis, as Scicluna notes, its constitutionalising role has been overshadowed by political integration.9 The court has gone “from vanguard of European integration to laggard”10 in the Eurozone context; its role as an integrator and a developer of constitutional values has been reduced to rubberstamping political agreements. Studying the case law on institutional balance helps kick against this tendency by articulating an underpinning part of the court’s ongoing attempts to develop EU democracy. Although this question has arisen in the context of the Eurozone crisis, it is not this author’s purpose to analyze in depth the implications that our understanding of institutional balance has for the Eurozone crisis response because it is well-established that the balance has been undermined. Rather, the aim is more limited. This Article builds on those critiques by considering how far institutional balance, viewed through its case law, can help normatively theorize EU democracy. 7 See infra, Section C. 8 See generally Koen Lenaerts, The Principle of Democracy in the Case Law of the European Court of Justice, 62 INT’L & COMP. L. Q. 271 (2013); Daniel Halberstam, The Bride of Messina: Constitutionalism and Democracy in Europe, 30 EUR. L. R EV. 775, 784 (2005); G. Federico Mancini & David T. Keeling, Democracy and the European Court of Justice, 57 MOD L. REV. 175 (1994). This process is not uncontroversial—see generally Thomas Horsley, Reflections on the Role of the Court of Justice as the “Motor” of European Integration: Legal Limits to Judicial Lawmaking, 50 COMMON MKT. L. REV. 931 (2013). 9 Nicole Scicluna, Politicization Without Democratization: How the Eurozone Crisis is Transforming EU Law and Politics, 12 INT’L. J. CONSTIT. L. 545, 562–56 (2014). 10 Id. at 563. 102 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 It is submitted that institutional balance only supports republican-type conceptualizations of EU democracy to a limited extent. Its dominant juridical role is to protect pre-existing institutional competences. That said, when executed as a general principle of EU law to support other arguments, it carries an expectation that the EP has a fuller legislative contribution, in line with the need to involve EU citizens alongside Member States and the Commission in a non-dominating legislative process. While enlightening, this is probably not justiciable. Instead, it is more fruitful to use the principle of sincere co-operation—also found in Article 13(2) TEU—as a legal support for these normative political readings of institutional balance. In contrast to institutional balance, sincere co-operation has clearly been used to protect a constructive legislative dialogue between EU institutions.11 This is of greater use to EU democracy analysis, and, in particular, to republican readings of its institutional architecture. Article 13(2) TEU is therefore best understood as having a tripartite structure providing a constitutional basis for non-domination during lawmaking. The institutional balance clause protects competences and helps support decisions that improve legislative participation, and sincere co-operation enforces a constructive dialogue. The Article is structured as follows: Section B explains in brief why intergovernmental critiques of the Eurozone crisis response have arisen. Section C builds upon this by exploring how institutional balance and republican ideas of non-domination have been used in such critiques, and how they relate to one another to provide a normative understanding of EU lawmaking. Sections D–F respectively examine the case law on institutional balance and sincere co-operation, presenting the tripartite reading of Article 13(2) TEU and institutional balance. Section G concludes. B. The Eurozone Crisis and Intergovernmentalism Interest in institutional balance and in its relationship to non-domination has reawakened because intergovernmentalism has characterized the EU’s various responses to the Eurozone crisis. 12 Economic decision-making has slipped away from the Community Method, diminishing the EP’s input and prioritizing the role of Member State governments and supranational EU institutions, particularly the Commission and European Council.13 This change has been referred to as a mutation; economic constitutionalism has pushed 11 See infra, Section F. 12 Tuori & Tuori, supra note 1, at 216–21; Chiti & Teixeira, supra note 4, at 688. For earlier discussions, see generally Thomas Christiansen, The European Union After the Lisbon Treaty: An Elusive ‘Institutional Balance’?, in EU LAW AFTER LISBON (Andrea Biondi, Piet Eeckhout & Stefanie Ripley eds., 2012); Jean-Paul Jacqué, The Principle of Institutional Balance, 41 COMMON MKT. L. REV. 383 (2004). 13 Chiti & Teixeira, supra note 4, at 686. 2017 Article 13(2) TEU and Lawmaking 103 out competing constitutional objectives and legitimating factors, undermining, in particular, Article 10 TEU’s commitment to representative democracy and the institutional roles protected by Article 13(2) TEU.14 Questions arise around whether the correct balance of power between EU institutions has been maintained, and, as explained below, these are typically answered in the negative. The intergovernmental mutation is clearest under the European Stability Mechanism 2012 (ESM). Designed to provide financial assistance to Eurozone states, it operates within public international law, not EU law. The EP is not involved in its operation and played no part in its negotiation.15 Although Pringle16 held that its creation was permitted by the TFEU, the ESM is not subject to the Treaty provisions about accountability and transparency.17 The absence of direct EP input is particularly problematic because it could have been avoided. The European Central Bank and the Commission were conscripted to the ESM’s cause, given roles in assessing, negotiating, and monitoring financial assistance. One argument in Pringle challenged this conscription on the grounds that Article 13(2) TEU forbade EU organs from taking on new tasks. This argument was unsuccessful; it was held that these roles were continuations of their existing tasks under the EU Treaties. 18 This reasoning would allow the Parliament to be involved, so long as it was performing tasks to which it was entitled, which would include representing EU citizens. Indeed, Scicluna notes that Parliament unsuccessfully proposed that, because the ESM requires that Member State financial assistance is subject to strict conditionality, the rules on conditionality should be adopted as a normal EU Regulation using co-decision.19 This would allow the EP, and EU citizens, to have a direct say over bailouts. This did not happen. Instead, the ESM excluded the EU’s only directly-representative institution from the financial assistance 14 Tuori & Tuori, supra note 1, at 205; Agustín José Menéndez, Editorial: A European Union in Constitutional Mutation?, 20 EUR. L. J. 127 (2014). 15 Koen Lenaerts, EMU and the EU’s Constitutional Framework, 39 EUR. L. REV. 753, 763 (2014). 16 Case C-370/12, Thomas Pringle v. Government of Ireland, (Nov. 27, 2012), http://curia.europa.eu/juris/document/document.jsf?text=&docid=130381&pageIndex=0&doclang=en&mode=lst &dir=&occ=first&part=1&cid=164236 [hereinafter Pringle]. 17 Lenaerts, supra note 14, at 757. 18 Pringle, supra note 15, at 158–59. See generally Vestert Borger, The ESM and the European Court’s Predicament in Pringle, 14 GERMAN L. J. 113 (2013); Pieter-Augustijn Van Mallegham, Pringle: A Paradigm Shift in the European Union’s Monetary Constitution, 14 GERMAN L. J. 141 (2013); Jonathan Tomkin, Contradiction, Circumvention, and Conceptual Gymnastics: The Impact of the Adoption of the ESM Treaty on the State of European Democracy, 14 G ERMAN L. J. 169 (2013). 19 Scicluna, supra note 9, at 561. 104 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 process and thus undermined the balance of voices and interests that had previously characterized EU governance.20 Similar problems arose with the 2012 Treaty on Economic Stability, Coordination, and Governance (the Fiscal Compact) and the two sets of regulations and directives referred to as the “Six-pack” and the “Two-pack.”21 Unlike the ESM, these are explicitly linked to the other EU Treaties; the packs are primary EU law, and the Fiscal Compact, through its Article 2, must be interpreted according to EU Treaty norms.22 Subsequently, the intergovernmental critiques are quieter because each instrument must take effect subject to the EU Treaties and its norms on representative democracy. The EP participates under an economic dialogue.23 Under the Six-pack, the EP may the ask the President of the Council, Commission, European Council, or Eurogroup to discuss relevant measures they have taken, for example, those concerning violations of budgetary objectives by Member States.24 Under the Two-pack, the Council and Commission must also keep the Parliament informed on the implementation of its powers. The Fiscal Compact provides that the EP’s President may be invited to Euro Summit meetings and requires a report of such meetings to be sent to the Parliament for discussion.25 The Two-pack also allows for the Parliament to veto delegated Commission acts concerning Member State budgetary surveillance.26 Nonetheless, both Crum and Fasone raise significant questions about the democratic utility of the economic dialogue and maintain an intergovernmental critique. They argue that the Parliament lacks decision-taking powers, that its right to be informed comes too late to be influential, and that, even if coordinated with national parliaments, there is no significant Parliamentary control, review, or amendment of proposed executive actions.27 Economic dialogue provisions instead speak generally about a discussion—often after the event— rather than granting the Parliament any real influence. 20 Chiti & Teixeira, supra note 4, at 689. 21 For details of these instruments, see EUR. COMM., THE EU’S ECONOMIC GOVERNANCE EXPLAINED (2014), http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_MEMO-13-979_en.htm. 22 Lenaerts, supra note 14, at 757. 23 Cristina Fasone, European Economic Governance and Parliamentary Representation: What Place for the European Parliament?, 20 EUR. L.J. 164, 175–76 (2013). 24 Id. at 176 25 Id. at 176–81. 26 Id. at 181. 27 Id. at 184; Crum, supra note 4, at 622. 2017 Article 13(2) TEU and Lawmaking 105 C. Institutional Balance, the Eurozone Crisis, and Republicanism The reduced levels of EP involvement in Eurozone governance connect the critiques of intergovernmentalism with the institutional balance. Dawson and de Witte demonstrate this in their argument that the EU is properly characterized by a constitutional balance of interests that seeks to legitimize and stabilize the polity by embedding pluralism and dialogue within it.28 This framework should create conditions for democratic legitimacy because it allows the EU’s constituencies—the Member States, the EU’s interest as a supranational body, and EU citizens—to seek self-determination.29 Constitutional balance is divided into three distinct types of balance: (1) substantive, where the division of competences balances national sovereignty with EU matters; (2) spatial, where similar levels of representation are granted to small and large states; and (3) institutional, relating to how institutions interact with one another and voice the interests they represent.30 For this Article’s purposes, the key point is that their model uses institutional balance to visualise EU lawmaking and thus an aspect of its democracy. The requirement that “[e]ach institution shall act within the limits of the powers conferred on it in the Treaties” ensures that the legislative institutions can play their mandated legislative and representative roles. The Community Method has, since the Treaty of Lisbon, been dominated by the ordinary legislative procedure. This method requires the Parliament and Council to agree on a Commission proposal before it becomes law, generally striking a balance between the voices represented in each institution. Article 13(2) TEU grants legal protection to this process and helps embed a constructive dialogue among these three institutions and their constituencies. Dawson and de Witte argue that consequently the Community Method ought to enable a form of pluralism: By incorporating a wide range of diverse interests within the legislative process, by making these interests mutually interdependent in the generation of norms and by creating multiple forums through which the citizen’s interests can be articulated . . . the Union ensures that citizens have authorship over the norms that bind them.31 28 Mark Dawson & Floris de Witte, Constitutional Balance in the EU After the Euro-Crisis, 76 MOD. L. REV. 817, 817– 18 (2013). 29 Id. at 819–20. 30 Id. at 822. 31 Id. at 829. 106 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 Lenaerts and Verhoeven make similar comments about the institutional balance. They argue that it dictates a co-operative legislative process: “[It] shape[s] institutions and the interactions between them in such a manner that each interest and constituency present in the Union is duly represented and co-operates with others in the frame of an institutionalized debate geared towards the formulation of the common good.”32 Once institutional balance is understood in this way, concerns about the increased intergovernmentalism bypassing the traditional Community Method become more than constitutional complaints about the division of powers; they are democratic worries. Embedded in those worries is a suggestion that institutional balance is not just about protecting institutional competences; it also guards or prescribes a system in which different legitimating constituencies may engage in a pluralistic and co-operative dialogue about the content of legislation.33 Intergovernmentalism, especially in light of the EP’s reduced role, thus undermines the EU’s democratic constitution in the name of economic constitutionalism. The relationship between pluralistic dialogue and the institutional balance has, before and after the Eurozone crisis, been subject to examination from a republican or republicantype perspective.34 Republicanism, in contrast to liberal theories which emphasize freedom as non-interference and seek to constrain government via individual rights protection, places more normative emphasis on democratic representation and debate. Republican theorists typically judge the democratic nature of a polity on how effectively those in power are regulated and restricted by transparent and accountable processes of political contestation.35 It is not that liberalism does not support representative decisionmaking—most conceptions of democracy do36—but that the republican prioritization of representative politics is motivated by a distinct conception of freedom defined as nondomination. Pettit analogizes this conception to the relationship between a slave and a benevolent master. If the master never interferes with the slave’s life, there is noninterference. Nevertheless, domination remains because the master still has the capacity to arbitrarily interfere with the slave’s choices and interests regardless of the slave’s opinions.37 Hence, republican freedom supposes that citizens are free insofar as they do 32 Koen Lenaerts & Amaryllis Verhoeven, Institutional Balance as a Guarantee for Democracy in EU Governance, in GOOD GOVERNANCE IN EUROPE’S INTEGRATED MARKET 47 (Christian Joerges & Renaud Dehousse eds., 2002). 33 Dawson & de Witte, supra note 28, at 842–43. 34 See generally Dmitris N. Chryssochoou, The European Synarchy: New Discourses on Sovereignty, 1 GÖTTINGEN J. INT’L. L. 115 (2009). 35 Richard Bellamy, “An Ever Closer Union Between the Peoples of Europe”: Republican Intergovernmentalism and Democratic Representation Within the EU, 35 J. EUR. INTEGRATION 499, 500 (2013). 36 See generally David Held, Models of Democracy (2008). 37 Phillip Pettit, Republicanism: A Theory of Freedom and Government 22 (1997). 2017 Article 13(2) TEU and Lawmaking 107 not experience arbitrary and non-deliberative interference.38 Although there are other features and controversies within republican thought, this point broadly unites all conceptions.39 If a party can arbitrarily interfere in people’s lives, this removes individual freedom, and, when replicated on the state or polity level, this interference becomes undemocratic; it suppresses the ability of citizens to achieve self-determination and negotiate common goods. One solution to the problem of domination is through constitutional design. Lawmaking institutions ought to be made representative of the constituency and provide an apparatus for effective and inclusive public reasoning and contestation, treating citizens with equal concern and respect.40 Through a process of representative deliberation that includes public and reason-based argument and counterargument, common premises will arise that gain the preference of a majority without arbitrarily imposing it on the dissenting minority.41 Because institutional balance delineates lawmaking roles and competences to institutions tasked with representing legitimating interests, its potential to regulate their interactions has been identified as a source of republican contestation between the EU’s constituencies. Craig was among the first to suggest that institutional balance provides the basis for a dialogue aimed at achieving the common good.42 He argued that “the resulting schema serves both to satisfy the demands for participation in the legislative process by these differing interests, and also that this allocation of power can help to foster the passage of legislation which is designed to achieve the general good of the Community.”43 As read by Bellamy and Castiglione, the implication is that a republican approach to governance based on a “politics of compromise”44 can provide a form of EU democracy 38 Phillip Pettit, Legitimate International Institutions: A Neo-Republican Perspective, in THE PHILOSOPHY OF INTERNATIONAL LAW 140 (Samantha Besson & John Tasioulas eds., 2010). 39 These encompass issues such as whether non-domination requires or demands a highly participatory citizenry and the extent to which it can or should be secured through judicial review. See generally Samantha Besson & José Luis Martí, Law and Republicanism: Mapping The Issues, in LEGAL R EPUBLICANISM: NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL PERSPECTIVES (Samantha Besson & José Luis Martí eds., 2010). 40 Id. at 21–22; Pettit, supra note 37, at 145–50. 41 Pettit, supra note 37, at 150. 42 Paul Craig, Democracy and Rule-Making Within the EC: An Empirical and Normative Assessment, 3 EUR. L. J. 105, 114–16 (1997). 43 44 Id. at 118. Richard Bellamy & Dario Castiglione, Democracy, Sovereignty and the Constitution of the European Union: The Republican Alternative to Liberalism, in THE EUROPEAN UNION AND ITS ORDER: THE LEGAL THEORY OF EUROPEAN INTEGRATION 187 (Andrew Scott & Zenon Bankowski eds., 2000). 108 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 that is not reliant on the existence of a demos. Bellamy has since developed a normative republican model for the EU that envisages it as “an international association of democratic states.”45 Bellamy’s starting point is that just as there must be non-domination within states, it is also necessary that there is non-domination between them.46 Inter-state interactions, such as those required from EU membership, may limit the ability of a state to secure non-domination among its citizens because the range of domestic policy choices may be constrained by, or subjected to the dominant influence of, other states and legal obligations.47 The Eurozone crisis provides an example: The Fiscal Compact, Six-Pack and Two-Pack boil down to constitutionalizing a creditor-debtor relationship where the creditor states dominate the debtor, as seen particularly with the crisis in Greece.48 To ward off this problem, Bellamy argues that interactions between states should be subject to the same non-domination a republican would expect national citizens to enjoy.49 This way, republican ideals may be pursued between states as well as within them, with attendant benefits for the democratic legitimacy of the global, or here European, order.50 Part of his model prescribes that international organizations must be under the shared control of their Member States, each accountable to its citizens. For Bellamy, the Council and the EP are the key EU institutions here. In the Council, the elected ministers, therefore the governments, of Member States bargain together and are each accountable to their national parliaments. Consequently, national executives exercise direct contestation over the decisions that affect their states, and they are themselves contested by their national electorates.51 The representation of national citizens is buttressed by their direct representation through the EP, particularly within the EU’s processes of lawmaking and scrutiny.52 Institutional balance may be of assistance here in two ways. First, it can protect the competences of each institution; and second, it may promote non-domination and dialogue between them. If this is borne out by the case law, Bellamy’s republican model of the EU will gain stronger legal-constitutional support. The potential for institutional balance to secure a form of republican intergovernmentalism can be further seen in Dawson and de Witte's constitutional balance; their observations that there is an 45 Bellamy, supra note 35, at 507. 46 See also Federico Fabbrini, States’ Equality vs States’ Power: the Euro-Crisis, Inter-State Relations and the Paradox of Domination, 17 CAMBRIDGE Y.B. EUR. L. STUD. 3 (2015). 47 Bellamy, supra note 35, at 505. 48 Id. at 513. 49 Id. at 507. 50 Id. at 507. 51 Id. at 508. 52 Id. at 509–10. 2017 Article 13(2) TEU and Lawmaking 109 internalized pluralism is conceptually similar to arguments that the EU’s constitutional system is properly based upon non-domination. Institutional balance can regulate the design of the legislative process and its representation of affected interests. The theoretical perspective in the above accounts does not establish why as, a matter of law, Article 13(2) TEU’s statement that each institution “shall act within the limits of the powers conferred on it in the Treaties” can have the effect of promoting republican intergovernmentalism. On its face, Article 13(2) TEU reads as simply protecting the powers each institution has already been granted. If an institution has not been given a particular power, institutional balance may be of limited use when there is a perceived or actual need to expand its competence. Indeed, this has contributed to the intergovernmental Eurozone crisis response—the institutional balance did not provide any constitutional obligation as to how new competences should be divided.53 Pringle highlights this problem. The litigated question in Pringle was whether the Commission and Central Bank could have roles under the ESM; it did not engage with whether they should. The constitutional legitimacy of the EP’s exclusion from the ESM could not be considered. This seems inconsistent with approaches to the institutional balance that state it can require representative institutions to engage in the mutual generation of law. Perhaps as a result, the accounts that identify a normative democratic side to institutional balance are articulated from an explicitly or implicitly republican-type position, emphasizing dialogue and non-domination. They use a normative theoretical approach, rather than a legal analysis of Article 13(2) TEU, to strengthen their arguments that institutional balance does or should constitutionalize legislative dialogue. The extent to which institutional balance can support these positions would be enhanced if the case law indicates that it has the capacity to suggest what each institution’s powers ought to be. It will be argued that the Pringle approach is only representative of one side of the institutional balance case law. There is evidence that, as a general principle of law, one can identify non-domination within institutional balance. This aspect is, however, rarely justiciable; it informs the court’s reasoning but is not an independent head of claim. Stronger legal support for the republican position arises when Article 13(2) TEU is read in its totality to include its sincere co-operation clause as well as institutional balance. Sincere co-operation is a justiciable provision closely related to institutional balance, and it can more effectively enforce a republican conversation. 53 Id. at 835. 110 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 D. Interest Representation Before examining the case law on Article 13(2) TEU, it is necessary to show that the CJEU’s approach to institutional balance conceptually aligns with the premise that it can facilitate non-domination between constituencies. Underpinning the theoretical arguments is the notion that three constituencies need to be represented within the EU’s lawmaking process for it to be democratically legitimate—the supranational EU interest, Member States, and EU citizens. They are primarily identified with the Commission, Council, and EP, with national parliaments providing secondary representation. Articles 10 and 17 TEU enshrine a similar position. The former claims that the EU is based on representative democracy, stating that EU citizens are represented in the EP and Member States in the Council, whereas the latter notes that the Commission promotes the EU’s general interest.54 Notably, these provisions are silent on how to create pluralism between these interests. To assess the accuracy of the claims that Article 13(2) can provoke dialogue and non-domination between those interests, the case law must be considered. This starting point—three constituencies must be represented in EU decision-making—is indeed shared by case law, seminally Van Gend en Loos.55 As is well known, it held that: “The Community constitutes a new legal order of international law for the benefit of which the states have limited their sovereign rights, albeit within limited fields and the subjects of which comprise not only member states but also their nationals.”56 This did more than pave the way for the creation of direct effect. Chalmers and Barroso recognize that it was a statement about the nature of the EU project. It made clear that the EU was a “community beyond the state”57—more than a mere international organization. The judgment describes a political space whose “subjects come together to realize and contribute to common purposes tied to the legal and administrative order of the Union.”58 Those subjects are the legitimating constituencies of the EU, those for whom the project exists. As the quotation from the case makes clear, they are those in charge of seeking the EU’s overall community interest (this is the ‘benefit’ for which sovereign rights have been restricted), the elected Member States, and the nationals of those states who would later become EU citizens.59 This basic position enables, on a conceptual level, the court’s case 54 Consolidated Version of the Treaty on European Union of May 9, 2008, arts. 10, 17, 2008 O.J. (C. 115) 13. 55 Case 26/62, NV Algemene Transport-en Expeditie Onderneming van Gend & Loos v Netherlands Inland Revenue Administration, 1963 E.C.R. 1. 56 Id. at 12. 57 Damian Chalmers & Luis Barroso, What Van Gend en Loos Stands For, 12 INT’L J. CONSTIT. L. 105, 108 (2014). 58 Id. at 121. 59 Id. at 120. 2017 Article 13(2) TEU and Lawmaking 111 law on institutional balance to sit alongside the theories maintaining that Article 13(2) TEU can establish a dialogue between those affecting and affected by EU activity. This argument would be limited if it was only supported by Van Gend en Loos. At the time of that decision there was no elected EP, and so the Court’s statement only covers EU citizens insofar as they are indirectly represented by their national governments in the Council. Importantly, introducing direct elections to the EP 1979 enabled the CJEU to expand its depiction of how citizens ought to be represented. In Isoglucose,60 the court made clear that the EP represented a vital part of EU democracy and its future: “[The EP] reflects at Community level the fundamental democratic principle that the peoples should take part in the exercise of power through the intermediary of a representative assembly.”61 The case itself was simple, concerning a clear breach of the Treaties where the Council failed to consult the EP on a legislative proposal. Therefore, it is striking that the CJEU articulated a wider and non-dispositive democratic principle in its decision. The statement identifies the EP’s input as necessary for the EU’s democratic legitimacy, making explicit what was implicit in Van Gend en Loos: the EP, as well as national parliaments, could act as the peoples’ interlocutor. This is underscored by the CFI judgment in Martinez,62 later upheld by the CJEU in Front National.63 At issue in both cases was the EP’s decision, pursuant to its rules of procedure, to dissolve a political grouping because its members had no political affinities. In Martinez, the CFI stated that political groupings in the Parliament must genuinely share common political objectives so that they may better reflect and advocate for the diverse interests of the EU citizenry and promote “the joint expression of political wills and the emergence of compromises.”64 There are two levels to this decision, underscoring that the CJEU understands the EP’s democratic role within the institutional balance to be representing EU citizens: First, it foregrounds future objectives of pan-European representation. The EP is seen as a forum in which truly “European” political sentiments should be identified and built upon through the formation of likeminded political groupings. Considering the second-order nature of EP elections, the second level is far more immediate. Put simply, it is that the EP must, daily, represent EU citizens, and it is undesirable for MEPs to act in a way that frustrates this objective. Even if representation comes from second-order elections, Bellamy points out that that the EP does represent a range of national political opinions. This range of representation creates 60 Case 179/80, Roquette Frères v. Council, 1982 E.C.R. 3623. 61 Id. at para. 33. 62 Case T-222/99, Martinez v European Parliament, 2001 E.C.R. II-2823. 63 Case C-486/01 P, Front National v. European Parliament, 2004 E.C.R. I-6289. 64 Id. at para. 146. 112 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 the space for contestation and non-domination in the EU decision-making process.65 Protecting the EP’s legislative input through institutional balance can allow for immediate contestation and facilitate long-term political integration among EU citizens. This judicial assessment of the interests represented by the EP, and by the Commission and Council, is conceptually aligned with the republican arguments that institutional balance can be used to promote self-determining communities based on non-domination and contestatory politics.66 It is worth mentioning that national parliaments are increasingly involved in EU governance, for example through the subsidiarity early warning system. Their increasing role may provide further sources of contestation beyond providing agentprincipal accountability for national executives in the Council. This is not the focus of this piece, which is to uncover how far non-domination inhabits the case law in Article 13(2) TEU, which only refers to a balance between EU institutions. Any assessment of whether institutional balance, or an alternative route, can provoke ties between national parliaments and European institutions that in turn promote non-domination, requires more attention that this article is able to provide.67 For current purposes, having shown that the CJEU understands EU lawmaking to be based on the effective interaction of bodies representing key constituencies, an examination of the case law surrounding Article 13(2) TEU will commence. E. The Case Law of Institutional Balance I. Protecting Competences On one level, the case law on institutional balance does not bear deep similarities to republicanism. The concept is typically used to delineate the boundaries within which each EU institution may act.68 Advocate General Maduro summarizes the common position thus: “Legislative procedures laid down by the Treaties establish the extent to which each institution is to be associated with the taking of decisions and thus establishes an institutional balance.”69 On this view, EU bodies cannot trespass onto another’s powers or 65 Bellamy, supra note 35, at 509. 66 See generally Besson & Martí, supra note 38. 67 For present links, see generally Richard Bellamy & Sandra Kröger, Domesticating the Democratic Deficit? The Role of National Parliaments and Parties in the EU’s System of Governance, 67 PARLIAMENTARY AFF. 37 (2014); ADAM CYGAN, ACCOUNTABILITY, PARLIAMENTARISM, AND TRANSPARENCY IN THE EU (2013). 68 69 Gerard Conway, Recovering a Separation of Powers in the European Union, 17 EUR. L. J. 304, 320–21 (2011). Opinion of Advocate General Maduro at para. 31, Case C-133/06, Parliament v Council (Sept. 27, 2007), http://curia.europa.eu/juris/document/document.jsf?text=&docid=63513&pageIndex=0&doclang=EN&mode=lst &dir=&occ=first&part=1&cid=331243. 2017 Article 13(2) TEU and Lawmaking 113 exceed their own.70 This only shapes the democratic contribution of the institutions to the extent that this is a by-product of ensuring that their competences are respected.71 As noted earlier, Pringle is an example of this ultra vires approach. It used Article 13(2) TEU to determine whether the Commission and European Central Bank’s roles under the ESM were within their legal remit. This was also evident in Council v. Commission (MFA).72 That case concerned whether the Commission could withdraw a proposal for a framework regulation on granting micro-financial assistance to third countries. The proposal was withdrawn because the Council and EP wanted to approve each grant of assistance via the ordinary legislative procedure, replacing the Commission’s proposed mechanism of using delegated legislation. The Commission argued that the use of the ordinary legislative procedure would have distorted the original proposal and was not desirable. It was not disputed that under Article 17(1) TEU, the Commission had the right of legislative initiative and may withdraw its proposals in certain circumstances. The issue was instead whether this right still applied when a proposal had been passed onto the EP and the Council, thus beginning its passage through the EU legislature. The CJEU confirmed the meaning of institutional balance: Under Article 13(2) TEU, each EU institution is to act within the limits of the powers conferred on it in the Treaties, and in conformity with the procedures, conditions and objectives set out in them. That provision reflects the principle of institutional balance, characteristic of the institutional structure of the European Union . . . each of the institutions must exercise its powers with due regard for the powers of the other institutions.73 This quotation recognizes that the EU’s institutional structure is based on a division of powers and roles. The Court held that the Commission’s withdrawal of the proposal was in keeping with its powers. Because the Commission is tasked with seeking the general interest of the EU, legislative proposals can be withdrawn if it believes they are no longer pursuant to this objective. This interpretation of institutional balance as a competence divider is widespread. It is even evident in cases where Article 13(2) TEU is not explicitly 70 Case 149/85, Roger Wybot v Edgar Faure, 1986 E.C.R. 2391, para. 23. 71 Bart Driessen, Interinstitutional Conventions and Institutional Balance, 33 EUR. L. REV. 550, 560 (2008). 72 Case C-409/13, Council v Commission (Apr. 14, 2015), http://curia.europa.eu/juris/document/document.jsf?text=&docid=163659&pageIndex=0&doclang=en&mode=lst &dir=&occ=first&part=1&cid=331361 [hereinafter MFA]. 73 Id. at para. 64. 114 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 cited, using institutional balance as shorthand for a division of powers. For example, the Council did this in Council v. Parliament (EU Budget).74 Here, it argued that an institutional balance within Article 314(9) TFEU was breached because the EU budget was authorized not through a joint legislative act but through the signature of the EP’s President. This argument failed; it was clear that the EP had followed the correct procedures and acted intra vires. The budget is jointly agreed, but it is not jointly authorized. The republican-type approaches to institutional balance require more than this, because they contain expectations about how institutional roles ought to be exercised. On these approaches, institutional balance suggests non-dominating dialogue between the EU institutions and their constituencies. The competence-based approach only supports this by ensuring that one institution does not take powers away from another and by protecting competences that are already aligned to republican ideals. The EU Budget case is an example of this. Had the Council’s argument been successful, it would have been because the Parliament unlawfully abridged the Council’s mandated input and created a state of domination in the budget approval procedure. Although this speaks to the republican view that there should not be arbitrary interference in decision-making, it passes no comment on what influence each institution ought to have beyond the letter of the Treaties. The case supports the idea that institutional balance protects a dialogue if one is already required, but it cannot necessarily maneuver one into place. Importantly, the EU Budget case saw the Council found a separate argument on the sincere cooperation clause of Article 13(2) TEU. It argued that that the EP had not properly cooperated with it by refusing to agree that the President of the Council should also sign the budget into law. This argument was rejected because the budget had in fact been mutually agreed upon, and, because the law was clear that the President of the Council did not need to formally authorize the budget, the EP’s President had executed his duties under the Treaties in good faith. Despite failing, this ground of argument highlights a significant difference between Article 13(2) TEU’s two clauses of institutional balance and sincere co-operation. Institutional balance is predominantly about competences, whereas sincere co-operation is about interactions between institutions. It is therefore better-suited to securing nondomination. This difference is discussed further in Section F. II. Institutional Balance’s Potential as a General Principle of Law Nonetheless, one element of the case law on institutional balance does suggest a normative republican side. MFA, despite predominantly being an example of the ultra vires approach, is illustrative. After holding that the Commission remained within its 74 Case C-77/11, Council v Parliament (Sept. 17, 2013), http://curia.europa.eu/juris/document/document.jsf?text=&docid=141561&pageIndex=0&doclang=en&mode=lst &dir=&occ=first&part=1&cid=331613. 2017 Article 13(2) TEU and Lawmaking 115 competences to withdraw its proposal, the court discussed the boundaries of the power to withdraw. It concluded that the power must not be used like a veto, because the Commission has not been granted that right. Exercising legislative withdrawal is only compatible with Article 13(2) TEU if accompanied by reasons contestable by the other legislative institutions and amenable to judicial review. This is because institutional balance imperatively attaches conditions to the exercise of legislative prerogatives. A veto would breach the institutional balance upon which the lawmaking process is based because it excludes other constituencies, especially the Council and EP, from exercising influence and ownership over EU law.75 This suggests that the way in which interests are represented during lawmaking can be partially regulated by the institutional balance, and this might help promote non-domination. The concept can provide some sort of normative statement about the operation of the lawmaking process and EU democracy. The relationship between the institutional balance and the shape of EU democracy mainly operates at the level of general principles of EU law. In this context, institutional balance generally helps support judicial reasoning on the proper scope of institutional powers rather than acting as an independent head of claim. As Chamon explains, this is because often there will be specific Treaty provisions setting out the limits of a disputed power; resolving such conflicts does not necessarily require reference to the broader principle of institutional balance.76 It is when the Treaties do not provide clear guidance that institutional balance may influence the Court’s reasoning as to the proper scope of institutional powers.77 In such situations, the case law suggests that, as a general principle of EU law, institutional balance carries a normative edge beyond its usual role as a delineator of competences. This invites a broadly republican reading. This position is supported by the complementary assessments of De Witte and Tridimas. De Witte refers to institutional balance as an “institutional principle”78 that reinforces, but cannot redraw, inter-institutional relations. Tridimas classifies it as a general principle that “underlie[s] the constitutional structure of the Community and define[s] the Community legal edifice.”79 The CJEU agrees, reiterating in MFA that it is “characteristic of the institutional structure of the European Union.”80 This gap-filling role in informing legal arguments is not 75 MFA, supra note 72, at paras. 75–76. 76 Merijn Chamon, The Institutional Balance, an Ill-Fated Principle of EU Law?, 21 EUR. P. L. 371, 386 (2015). 77 Id. 78 Bruno de Witte, Institutional Principles: A Special Category of General Principles of EU Law, in GENERAL PRINCIPLES Joakim Nergelius eds., 2000). OF EUROPEAN COMMUNITY LAW 158 (Ulf Bernitz & 79 Takis Tridimas, THE GENERAL PRINCIPLES OF EU LAW 4 (3d ed. 2006). 80 MFA, supra note 72, at para. 64. 116 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 unimportant; it does influence the EU’s constitutional order. Adopting Tridimas’ analysis of general principles of EU law, this occurs in two ways: First, it provides an underpinning grammar of EU democracy by mapping the “constitutional standards underlying the Community legal order.”81 Second, and closely related, it helps the Court interpret the Treaties, either by filling gaps in the text or by forming part of “judicial policy . . . what the court perceives to be its function, what it considers to be the underpinnings of the legal system, how it prioritizes its rules”82 that colors its interpretative technique.83 In this sense institutional balance is a valuable constitutional idea underlying the Treaties, capable of articulation and enforcement by the EU’s constitutional court. The next section shows that in some circumstances institutional balance is used to support the reasoning in cases that maximise the legislative role of the EP and thereby encourage non-domination. Overall though, this aspect of institutional balance is limited because it is not independently justiciable. It does, however, indicate that there is more to Article 13(2) TEU in its totality than competence delineation. The normative promise of institutional balance is, as argued in Section F, executable through the sincere co-operation clause of Article 13(2) TEU. Ultimately it is this combined reading which best supports the republican-type interpretations of the EU’s constitutional structure put forward by Bellamy and Dawson and de Witte. III. Institutional Balance Shaping Competences The interface between institutional balance and the normative functioning of EU democracy is most famously evident in Chernobyl.84 The CJEU held that the EP could sue to defend its legislative prerogatives under Article 173 EC, even though this was on a literal reading not allowed because Article 173 EC did not grant the EP locus standi.85 The Commission would ordinarily bring such a case on the Parliament’s behalf, but here this would be contradictory because the Parliament wished to challenge the Commission’s choice of legal basis for a regulation. The chosen legal base excluded the EP from the legislative process. The Court reasoned that if the Parliament could not protect its prerogatives in these circumstances, it would be at odds with “maintenance and observance of the institutional balance”86 because it was unable to fulfil or defend its 81 Tridimas, supra note 79, at 19. 82 Id. at 52. 83 Id. at 53. 84 Case C-70/88, Parliament v Council, 1990 E.C.R. I-2041. 85 Id. at para. 12. 86 Id. at para. 26. 2017 Article 13(2) TEU and Lawmaking 117 institutional role. Institutional balance demanded that Parliament be able to effectively protect its prerogatives, which included representing EU citizens within the legislative process. This informed the decision to grant standing on a teleological reading of Article 173 EC. The court held that, because the Parliament had an indirect way to protect its prerogatives in court, it would be unconstitutional to prevent it doing so directly when the usual route was not viable. This captures the utility of institutional balance as a general principle of law that can help rationalize decisions promoting non-domination. De Witte suggests that Chernobyl is an outlier: Institutional balance was particularly influential in a rare and unrepeated situation where it was necessary to vindicate the EP’s procedural rights in the face of a clear lacuna.87 Other decisions, which are discussed below, further show that institutional balance can support the promotion of dialogue between institutions and the interests they represent.88 Because the EP’s legislative input has historically been weaker than the Council and Commission, these cases primarily see the Parliament’s input maximized within the constraints of the Treaty provisions. Institutional balance informs their reasoning. The cases suggest that it is inhabited by a republican principle, albeit one that is not an independent head of claim. The relevant cases concern the consultation legislative procedure. Consultation, whereby the Council must ask the Parliament’s opinion before promulgating law, was, for many years, the main lawmaking method in the EU. Although it has mostly been surpassed by other legislative procedures, its case law remains relevant for two reasons: First, consultation remains a special legislative procedure, particularly used in external relations law. The cases to be discussed are directly relevant to these situations. Second, these cases articulate the way that non-domination can underpin the general principle of institutional balance. Given that institutional balance is a general principle of EU law, this point is not confined to a particular procedural context; it should have a wider constitutional significance and be applicable in any context where there is an arguable breach of institutional competences. The reason this arises in the consultation context and not elsewhere is because dialogue does not generally need to feature in case law concerning other legislative processes. For example, the ordinary legislative procedure requires conciliation if the Parliament and Council cannot agree on a legislative draft. It therefore requires non-dominating dialogue. Similarly, the consent procedure, often used during the conclusion of international agreements, gives the EP a veto. Although this does not necessarily influence the content of what it assents to or rejects, it provides for political 87 88 De Witte, supra note 78, at 151–52. Case 817/79, Roger Buyl v Commission, 1982 E.C.R. 245 [hereinafter Buyl]; Case C-65/90, Parliament v Council, 1992 E.C.R. I-4593 [hereinafter Cabotage I]; Case C-388/92, Parliament v Council, 1994 E.C.R. I-2067 [hereinafter Cabotage II]; Case C-392/95, Parliament v Council, 1997 E.C.R. I-3213 [hereinafter Visas]. 118 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 contestation because there must be an agreed course of action.89 When these processes are discussed in litigation, it is usually in the context of legal base case law, where it is argued that the Commission has chosen to base legislation upon the incorrect legal basis and subsequently that the wrong legislative procedure has been used.90 Buyl v Commission91 was one of the first cases connecting institutional balance, consultation, and republican ideas. Commission officials challenged the legality of a regulation that reduced their remuneration. One of their arguments was that the Parliament was improperly consulted because the final draft of the regulation was so different to the one on which it originally opined that its views ought to be re-canvassed. In response, the CJEU explained that consultation and democracy were connected to institutional balance. Consultation “enables the Parliament effectively to participate in the Community’s legislative process, [and] is an essential feature of the institutional balance which the Treaties seek to achieve.”92 Buyl’s complaint was ultimately dismissed because the post-consultation changes were small and methodological, rather than substantive, alterations about how remuneration was to be calculated.93 Nonetheless, the case seeded an expectation that the EP’s views should be properly considered, and adopted if appropriate, during consultation. This expectation germinated in Cabotage I,94 which articulated a principle of reconsultation. If a proposal has substantially changed following the initial Parliamentary consultation, and those changes were not confined to those requested, the Council must ask for a second opinion.95 In Cabotage I and Cabotage II96 the Council had not done this, so subsequently the relevant Regulations were annulled. The implication is that if the EP’s opinion must be heard on a legislative proposal, this is more than a box-ticking exercise. There is an expectation of Parliamentary influence on consecutive drafts. Although this 89 See generally Cristina Eckes, How the European Parliament’s Participation in International Relations Affects the Deep Tissue of the EU’s Power Structures, 12 INT’L J. CONSTIT. L. 904 (2014). 90 These processes have typically been litigated upon. See generally Kieran St. Clair Bradley, Powers and Procedures in the EU Constitution: Legal Bases and the Court, in THE EVOLUTION OF EU LAW 85 (Paul Craig & Gráinne de Búrca eds., 2011). 91 Buyl, supra note 88. 92 Id. at para. 16. 93 Id. at paras. 23–24. 94 Cabotage I, supra note 88. 95 Id. at para. 16. 96 Cabotage II, supra note 88. 2017 Article 13(2) TEU and Lawmaking 119 expectation is ultimately based on the definition of consultation, that definition is itself informed by the institutional balance. Re-consultation reflects a need to protect the democratic spirit of the Parliament’s legislative prerogatives. It is not just about protecting existing institutional powers. Advocate General Darmon’s Opinion in Cabotage II made clear that Cabotage I adopted re-consultation even though it was “not provided for by the Treaty.”97 Although neither Cabotage judgment explicitly referred to institutional balance, Darmon identifies that the institutional balance was at stake in both cases. He argued that: “The Court [has] stressed the importance of the parliamentary consultation procedure for the institutional balance of the community . . . restriction on the re-consultation requirement would result in excluding the Parliament from the legislative procedure.”98 In his view the CJEU had been and should be motivated by Isoglucose’s recognition that the EP’s representation of EU citizens was an essential part of the EU’s institutional balance. This moved the court beyond a need to protect the EP’s bare competences and into upholding the democratic reasoning behind them.99 In the specific circumstances of Cabotage II, he was at one with the final judgment in his assessment that the changes to the legislation were so substantial that they demanded re-consultation of the EP.100 The general principle of institutional balance thus informed a purposive reading of the Treaties that emphasised the need to improve the EP’s legislative position and protect nondomination between key constituencies. The link between Parliamentary participation and re-consultation was more clearly evident in Parliament v Council (Visas),101 which explicitly referred to institutional balance. Here the EP successfully argued that it was not properly consulted when the Council made significant changes to a legislative draft after its initial consultation without remanding it to re-consultation. Advocate General Fennelly’s Opinion summarized the relevant law: Where the Treaty provides for consultation, the Parliament is entitled to express its views both on the original proposal and again in the event of substantial amendment . . . . As the Court has put it, “consultation . . . [of the Parliament] is likely to affect the substance of the measure adopted.” To 97Opinion of Advocate General Darmon, at para. 17 in Cabotage II (Mar. 16, 1994), http://curia.europa.eu/juris/showPdf.jsf?text=&docid=98665&pageIndex=0&doclang=en&mode=lst&dir=&occ=fi rst&part=1&cid=334142. 98 Id. at paras. 17–19. 99 Id. 100 Id. at para. 59; Cabotage II, supra note 88, at para. 15. 101 Visas, supra note 88. 120 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 dispense with consultation because of an a priori view that the attitude of the Parliament was known and was unacceptable to the Council presupposes closed minds and rigid postures on the part of both institutions and denies the usefulness of the process of consultation.102 This interpretation sees consultation as designed to create an engaged and constructive— that is, non-dominating—dialogue that bears resemblance to republican thought. This encourages effective legislative input from each representative organ and their constituencies. Both sides receive fuller consideration and can influence the content of the promulgated law rather than being treated to a box-ticking exercise. The Court’s judgment in Visas concurred and explicitly related this to institutional balance, making apparent that the concept provides a framework for how EU democracy should operate. In response to the Council’s unsuccessful defense that, because it was aware of Parliament’s wishes, reconsultation was unnecessary, the CJEU confirmed the re-consultation law and noted: Proper consultation . . . constitutes one of the means enabling it [the EP] to play an effective role in the legislative process of the Community; to accept the Council's argument would result in seriously undermining that essential participation in the maintenance of the institutional balance intended by the Treaty and would amount to disregarding the influence that due consultation of the Parliament can have on adoption of the measure in question.103 Letting the Council avoid re-consultation because it felt it was sufficiently aware of the EP’s wishes would prevent dialogue between the two institutions and the interests they represent. EU citizens would be unable to influence the content of legislation, and Member State executives would dominate. Although this reasoning took place in the context of the consultation procedure, it has a wider significance. It suggests that the institutional balance, as a general principle of EU law, can be understood as more than a division of powers. It supported the argument that the EP has to be involved in a non-dominating method of dialogic lawmaking. This lends some legal weight to the republican approaches to institutional balance, shining light on how the concept can motivate, explicitly or implicitly, the promotion of inter-institutional dialogue. There are limitations to this analysis, however. Most obviously, Section E.I showed that when institutional balance is directly relied upon as a head of claim, it is usually as part of an argument that there has been ultra vires action. The ‘general principles of law’ reading 102 Opinion of Advocate General Fennelly, at para. 23 in Visas (Mar. 20, 1997), http://curia.europa.eu/juris/showPdf.jsf?text=&docid=100707&pageIndex=0&doclang=en&mode=lst&dir=&occ=f irst&part=1&cid=334514. 103 Visas, supra note 88, at para. 22. 2017 Article 13(2) TEU and Lawmaking 121 outlined in Sections E.II and D.III suggests that it can carry a normative edge, but this is usually limited to informing or filling in gaps of other arguments. It also seems only to have arisen in the context of consultation, making it difficult to test the hypothesis that as a general principle of law it ought to operate beyond that specific situation. This also makes it difficult to argue that the case law interpreting and utilizing the statement that each institution “shall act within the limits of the powers conferred on it in the Treaties” supports the models that see it as a potential wellspring of non-domination. If one seeks juridical support for those positions, one must look elsewhere. It was earlier noted that sincere co-operation between institutions is the second clause of Article 13(2) TEU and is sometimes cited, for example in EU Budget, alongside the institutional balance in an attempt to dictate how institutions should behave. It is now submitted that instead of focusing on institutional balance as a progenitor of non-domination, the case law suggests that Article 13(2) TEU in its totality, or sincere co-operation alone, provides a firmer support for the argument that republican norms inhabit the EU’s institutional architecture. F. Sincere Co-Operation Sincere cooperation under Article 13(2) TEU requires that “the institutions shall practice mutual sincere co-operation.” As will be shown, this has been decisive in arguments concerning the proper interaction of legislative institutions. It gives effect to the nondominating principles identified within the institutional balance case law. Consequently, Article 13(2) TEU as a whole, rather than just the institutional balance clause, should be drawn upon to support republican readings of the law governing the EU’s legislative process. Interestingly, Bellamy’s republican intergovernmentalism does not refer to sincere cooperation within Article 13(2) TEU but instead uses its presence in Article 4(3) TEU as an example of the EU’s commitment to non-domination. This provision relates to cooperation between Member States. It states that “pursuant to the principle of sincere cooperation, the Union and the Member States shall, in full mutual respect, assist each other in carrying out tasks which flow from the Treaties.” According to Bellamy, this is part of Article 4’s broader commitment to respect the competences of Member States and their internal democratic preferences alongside the pursuit of common EU goals. This analysis is in line with Dawson and de Witte’s argument that the EU has a constitutional balance of interests.104 Given that a central pillar of both models stresses the need for representative EU institutions to interact as equals, it is interesting that neither mentions Article 13(2) TEU, which adapts this inter-state obligation into an inter-institutional one. In the context 104 Dawson & de Witte, supra note 28, at 508. 122 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 of Article 4(3) TEU (then Article 10 EC), Commission v Sweden105 held that sincere cooperation requires “Member States to facilitate the achievement of the Community’s tasks and to abstain from any measure which could jeopardize the attainment of the objectives of the Treaty.”106 Here, the relevant objectives were the effectiveness of external action and the unity of the EU’s international representation. In this way, the general principle of sincere cooperation supports the pursuit of wider Treaty objectives.107 The same goes for Article 13(2) TEU.108 The CJEU’s interpretation of inter-institutional cooperation seems to provide for effective participation of representative institutions during lawmaking, so long as the principles of non-domination between legitimating constituencies, identified in Sections D and E above, and now enshrined in Article 10 TEU, are followed. The ECJ connected democracy, the institutional balance, and sincere co-operation in Parliament v Council (UNCTAD).109 It held that “inter-institutional dialogue, on which the consultation procedure in particular is based, is subject to the same mutual duties of sincere cooperation as those which govern relations between Member States and the Community institutions.”110 Here, the court first makes an explicit reference to the need for dialogue during consulation. As noted in Visas, this is dormant within institutional balance.111 The CJEU extended this point in MFA, holding that “sincere cooperation . . . . pursuant to Article 13(2) TEU, must govern relations between EU institutions in the context of the ordinary legislative procedure.”112 The CJEU has stressed that this duty applies to the execution of any institutional role.113 Sincere co-operation is a more direct vehicle for shaping a constructive dialogue between legislative institutions than the institutional 105 Case C-246/07, Commission v Sweden, 2010 E.C.R. I-3317. 106 Id. at para. 69. 107 See generally Daniele Davison-Vecchione, Beyond The Forms of Faith: Pacta Sunt Servanda and Loyalty, 16 GERMAN L. J. 1163 (2015); Andres Delgado Casteleiro & Joris Larik, The Duty To Remain Silent: Limitless Loyalty in EU External Relations?, 36 EUR. L. REV. 524 (2011). 108 Christophe Hillion, A Powerless Court? The European Court of Justice and the Common Foreign and Security Policy, in THE EUROPEAN COURT OF Justice AND EXTERNAL RELATIONS LAW: CONSTITUTIONAL CHALLENGES 68 (Marise Cremona & Anne Thies eds., 2014). 109 Case C-65/93, Parliament v Council, 1995 ECR I-643 [hereinafter UNCTAD]. 110 Id. at para. 23. 111 Visas, supra note 88, at para. 22. 112 MFA, supra note 72, at para. 83. 113 Case C-48/14, Parliament v Council, at para. 57–58 (Feb. 12, 2015), http://curia.europa.eu/juris/document/document.jsf?text=&docid=162261&pageIndex=0&doclang=en&mode=lst &dir=&occ=first&part=1&cid=335377. 2017 Article 13(2) TEU and Lawmaking 123 balance. Whereas institutional balance primarily safeguards the granted powers of representative institutions, sincere co-operation dictates how those powers should be utilized. Taken together, Article 13(2) TEU in its totality can both promote and protect nondomination. MFA and UNCTAD provide good examples of how sincere co-operation protects one institution and its constituencies from dominating another during the lawmaking process. In MFA, the CJEU held that the Commission had fulfilled the requirement of sincere cooperation. Prior to its contested legislative withdrawal, the Commission had attempted to reconcile the dispute among it, the Council, and Parliament, and only acted when it was apparent that they would not accept the model of confirming micro-financial assistance through delegated legislation.114 There had not been any domination; attempts were made to come to a mutually acceptable decision. UNCTAD is a less straightforward case. That case concerned the legality of a regulation modifying the EU’s generalized tariff preferences. The EP unsuccessfully argued that the Council had not correctly followed the consultation procedure, and failed because it had breached the duty of sincere cooperation. It failed to respond in time to the Council’s request for an opinion, which was made on 22 October 1992 with a view to adopting the Regulation by 1 January 1993. Failure to adopt by that date would apparently harm exports to non-EU states.115 Parliament twice delayed its plenary debate and postponed it to January 1993. Because of the need to adopt the proposal before 1993, however, the Council passed the Regulation in December 1992 without waiting for the delayed opinion. The Council’s apparent failure to consult the Parliament was due to the Parliament’s lack of co-operation. The Council was not culpable: Parliament failed to discharge its obligation to cooperate sincerely with the Council . . . [accordingly the EP] is not entitled to complain of the Council's failure to await its opinion . . . consultation was not complied with because of the Parliament's failure to discharge its obligation to cooperate sincerely with the Council.116 It may be argued that if the Court truly prized the Parliament’s contribution, it would have required consultation. Advocate General Tesauro took this view. He noted that consultation and re-consultation are prominent constitutional concepts because 114 MFA, supra note 72, at paras. 101–05. 115 UNCTAD, supra note 109, at para. 14. 116 Id. at paras. 27–28. 124 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 institutional balance demands the Parliament has effective legislative participation; letting the Council proceed alone would undermine this.117 This argument is broadly in line with the reading of institutional balance offered in Section 3 above; the EP’s legislative competences must be protected. The CJEU’s different approach to the case suggests that sincere co-operation is the dominant provision in Article 13(2)’s wider non-dominating paradigm. Institutional balance has a republican aspect as a general principle of law that informs judicial reasoning, but its overall role is to safeguard existing powers that may or may not keep with non-domination. In contrast, it seems that sincere cooperation requires a non-dominating dialogue, or an attempt at one, between institutions. UNCTAD held that the EP’s prevarication meant it was not committed to a constructive debate. It could not justifiably argue that it had been arbitrarily excluded from the legislative dialogue, because it had several opportunities to contribute; rather, it had forfeited its rights. This suggests that democratic legitimacy is not based on Parliamentary contribution per se; it flows from non-domination during lawmaking between various representative institutions. This is aligned with the theoretical analyses of the institutional balance and suggests that they can be strengthened by an additional focus on sincere co-operation. G. Conclusion As a general principle of law underpinning inter-institutional relationships, the institutional balance is significant for understanding the EU’s democratic constitution. The reading presented in this article took its cue from the fact that intergovernmental critiques of the Eurozone crisis have renewed study of the idea that institutional balance should require a non-dominating dialogue between key EU constituencies. The main analyses of this argument, offered by Dawson and de Witte and Bellamy, come from a normative theoretical perspective. The case law on Article 13(2) TEU does not entirely support their positions. Institutional balance is primarily used to protect existing institutional competences that may or may not be aligned with democratic principles of nondomination. It has been used as a general principle of law to support arguments that seek to maximize existing institutional competences, but this serves a gap-filling function at best. If Article 13(2) TEU is read in its totality to encompass both institutional balance and sincere co-operation, however, the law provides a stronger support for the republican conceptualizations of EU democracy. Sincere co-operation requires institutions to interact in a way that reduces their ability to exert dominance over one another. A tripartite view of Article 13(2) TEU can both protect and further a normative republican reading of the EU’s institutional structure; institutional balance protects existing competences and suggests that it should pursue non-domination, while sincere co-operation can ensure that 117 Opinion of Advocate General Tesauro, at paras. 18–20 in UNCTAD (Dec. 13, 1994), http://curia.europa.eu/juris/showPdf.jsf?text=&docid=98895&pageIndex=0&doclang=en&mode=lst&dir=&occ=fi rst&part=1&cid=336647. 2017 Article 13(2) TEU and Lawmaking 125 non-domination takes place. In uncovering this, it has also been shown that the CJEU has developed an understanding of democracy based upon the need to involve three constituencies as fully as possible within lawmaking. It is indeed unfortunate that this democratic constitutional architecture has been undermined by the Eurozone crisis response. One wider implication of this Article may be noted. It has been argued that nondomination is an appropriate lens through which to understand inter-institutional lawmaking relationships. This first raises questions about how far non-domination, and republicanism more widely, has permeated the EU’s democratic constitution beyond Article 13(2) TEU. Further assessments of constitutional principles of EU law from a republican perspective would help determine the extent to which republicanism is a useful tool through which to analyze EU democracy. 126 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 Articles Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry: A Legal Analysis of the Procedures of Goldstone’s Gaza Inquiry By Michael Nesbitt Abstract Throughout its history, the United Nations has resorted to large-scale ad hoc Commissions of Inquiry (UN COIs) to investigate serious international incidents. These UN COIs have often been highly political affairs, though their tasks and goals—including most recently investigating reports of war crimes or crimes against humanity the world over—are distinctly legal in nature. The result has been a focus on both the politics of such UN COIs—including most prominently whether their mandates or their Commissioners are biased—and on the merit of their legal-criminal findings. Yet it is the processes and procedures of UN COIs, and particularly their commitment to transparent due process, that are best able to form a bulwark against both political and legal attacks. Thus, it is their processes and procedures that should be the focus of much legal-academic work; unfortunately, to date this has not tended to be the case. By analyzing perhaps the most well-known and controversial recent UN COI, the 2009 United Nations Fact Finding Mission on the Gaza Conflict, and focusing on its due process and procedures rather than its politics or its correct application of international criminal or human rights law, this paper seeks to remedy this oversight. It seeks to identify the legal and procedural shortcomings—the failures of due process—of a wellresourced, well-staffed political inquiry to offer a representative example of how UN COIs tend to fall short, why they must be considered legal undertakings, and how future UN COIs might remedy these common shortcomings by focusing on the legality of their procedures. Dr. Michael Nesbitt, Assistant Professor of Law at the University of Calgary, Faculty of Law, and Fellow with the Centre for Military, Security and Strategic Studies. I would like to thank Professor David Dyzenhaus, my SJD supervisor, for his numerous comments on previous versions of this paper. Thanks are also owing to Professors Jutta Brunnée and Kerry Rittich for their close reading of (several) previous drafts and for their thoughtful and incisive comments. Finally, thanks to the anonymous peer reviewers of this article and the wonderful editorial staff at the German Law Journal for all of their edits and suggestions. All mistakes are, of course, solely those of the author. 128 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 A. Introduction In the past 30-years, the world has seen a massive proliferation of large-scale human rights fact-finding missions, particularly ad hoc United Nations (UN) Commissions of Inquiry (COIs or Commissions).1 Recently, the UN has turned to large-scale ad hoc COIs to investigate many of the most serious modern conflicts, including those in the former Yugoslavia,2 Rwanda,3 Darfur,4 Gaza5 and elsewhere.6 International courts delegate some of their factfinding duties to such Commissions and rely upon the names listed in COI reports or the evidence collected.7 Nation states rely upon the information contained in such reports to 1 Philip Alston has noted that, “[o]ver the past decade, international monitoring has become almost a standard recommendation by human rights groups.” Philip Alston & William Abresch, Can Human Rights Monitoring Halt Abuses in Sri Lanka?, 31 FLETCHER F. WORLD AFF. 21, 22 (2007). 2 U.N. Secretary-General, The Final Report of the Commission of Experts Established Pursuant to Security Council Resolution 780, U.N. Doc. S/1994/674 (May 27, 1994). 3 U.N. Secretary-General, Report of the Independent Inquiry into the Actions of the United Nations during the 1994 Genocide in Rwanda, U.N. SCOR, U.N. Doc. S/1999/1257 (Dec. 15, 1999). 4 Report of the International Commission of Inquiry on Darfur to the United Nations Secretary-General Pursuant to Security Council Resolution 1564 of 18 September 2004, U.N. Doc. S/RES/1564 (Jan. 25, 2005). 5 U.N. GAOR, Human Rights in Palestine and Other Occupied Arab Territories: Report of the United Nations FactFinding Mission on the Gaza Conflict, U.N. Doc. A/HRC/12/48 (Sept. 25, 2009) [hereinafter Goldstone Report]; See also U.N. Hum. Rts. Council, Report of the Detailed Findings of the Independent Commission of Inquiry Established Pursuant to Human Rights Council Resolution S-21/1, U.N. Doc. A/HRC/29/CRP.4 (June 24, 2015) [hereinafter Gaza 2015 Inquiry]. 6 U.N. Office of the High Commissioner, Human Rights Council, Report of the Mapping Exercise Documenting the Most Serious Violations of Human Rights and International Humanitarian Law Committed within the Territory of the Democratic Republic of the Congo between March 1992 and June 2003 (Aug. 2010) [hereinafter DRC Mapping Exercise]; Report of the International Commission of Inquiry Mandated to Establish the Facts and Circumstances of the Events of 28 September 2009 in Guinea, U.N. Doc. S/2009/693 (Dec. 18, 2009) [hereinafter Guinea COI]; Report of the independent international commission of inquiry on the Syrian Arab Republic, U.N. Doc. A/HRC/S-17/2/Add.1 (Nov. 23, 2011), http://www2.ohchr.org/english/bodies/hrcouncil/specialsession/17/docs/A-HRC-S-17-2-Add1.pdf [hereinafter Syria COI]. 7 See, e.g., Simone Halink, All Things Considered: How the International Court of Justice Delegated its FactAssessment to the United Nations in the Armed Activities Case, 40 N.Y.U. J. INT’L L. & POL. 13 (2008); see also Ruth Teitelbaum, Recent Fact-Finding Developments at the International Court of Justice, 6 LAW & PRAC. INT’L CTS. & TRIBUNALS 119 (2007); Christopher M. Rassi, Lessons Learned from the Iraqi High Tribunal: The Need for an International Independent Investigation, 39 CASE W. RES. J. INT’L L. 215 (2006). The reports of UN fact-finding missions, COIs, and of truth commissions have been used extensively as of late in both international court and tribunal decisions. See Michael P Scharf, The Case for a Permanent International Truth Commission, 7 DUKE J. COMP . & INT’L L. 375, 380 (1997). See also Velasquez Rodriquez Case, Judgment of July 29, 1988, Inter-Am. Ct. H.R. (ser. C) No. 4 (1988); Anguelova v. Bulgaria, App. No. 38361/97, 2002-IV Eur. Ct. H.R. (2002). See generally RICHARD MAY & MARIEKE WIERDA, INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL EVIDENCE 345 (2003); M. Cherif Bassiouni, The United Nations Commission of Experts Established Pursuant to Security Council Resolution 780 (1992), 88 AM. J. INT’L L. 784 (1994). 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 129 issue travel bans on identified political and/or military leaders, to freeze assets, or to levy sanctions against implicated parties.8 Such inquiries are deemed to be vital to criminal accountability measures, transitional justice reforms of all kinds, and the political and economic development of many countries in the aftermath of systemic human rights abuses. However, despite the importance and increasingly broad and demanding mandates of ad hoc UN COIs, there is relatively little detailed legal research that analyzes their processes and procedures.9 This is a particularly troublesome oversight because the procedures of a COI can make or break the endeavor. It is also troublesome because media and public discussions, as we shall see, focus largely on UN COI processes while legal academic research tends to give such issues short shrift in favor of a focus on the substantive law—criminal or human rights—as applied by the COIs.10 There is, in other words, a disconnect between much of the media and social commentary on UN COIs and the legal analysis. The literature concerning international relations and international law needs to remedy this disconnect— ideally by focusing from a legal due process perspective on the procedures of UN COIs. This paper is an effort to start to bridge this gap. It will proceed by way of a case study of one of the most complex, controversial, and heavily criticized UN COIs in recent memory: United Nations Fact Finding Mission on the Gaza Conflict 11 (hereafter referred to as “the Gaza COI” when speaking of the particular Commission, and “the Goldstone Report” when referring to the actual report produced by the COI). This paper will proceed in the following manner. First, the present article will provide an explanation of why the Gaza COI is particularly salient and generalizable. Second, an overview of both the establishment of the Gaza COI and of the issuance of the Goldstone Report will be provided, followed by a brief 8 Given the inability of most states to conduct independent fact-finding missions, such decisions will invariably be based at least in part on the reports of other organizations, foremost among them UN reports. See generally Halink, supra note 7, at 26–27. Halink notes that the International Court of Justice has “attribute[d] greater weight to UN materials than to other secondary evidence such as NGO reports and press statements,” and “virtually conclusive,” as compared to the evidence offered by both Parties. 9 For a call for greater study of UN COIs, see M. Cherif Bassiouni, Appraising UN Justice-Related Fact-Finding Missions, 5 WASH. U. J. L. & POL’Y 35, 41 (2001). As an example of an author who has started to do some of this work, though has tended to evaluate COIs from a purely practical rather than legal perspective, see generally Theo Boutruche, Credible Fact-Finding and Allegations of International Humanitarian Law Violations: Challenges in Theory and Practice, 16 J. CONFLICT & SECURITY STUD. 1 (2011). Boutruche also maintains a blog on the topic; see generally Theo Boutruche, THE ART OF FACTS: A L EGAL BLOG AND FACT-FINDING AND ARMED CONFLICT, www.theartoffacts.org. By contrast, a good example is the extensive legal review that truth commissions have received. See, e.g., MARK FREEMAN, TRUTH COMMISSIONS AND PROCEDURAL FAIRNESS (2006); PRISCILLA HAYNER, UNSPEAKABLE TRUTHS: FACING THE CHALLENGE OF TRUTH COMMISSIONS (2002). 10 See, e.g., Abraham Bell, A Critique of the Goldstone Report and Its Treatment of International Humanitarian Law (Mar. 30, 2010) available at http://ssrn.com/abstract=1581533. For a good example of this dynamic in the context of the Gaza COI, see ADAM HOROWITZ, LIZZY RATNER, & PHILIP WEISS, THE GOLDSTONE REPORT: THE LEGACY OF THE LANDMARK INVESTIGATION OF THE GAZA CONFLICT (2011). 11 Goldstone Report, supra note 5. 130 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 discussion of the response to the report by Israel, Palestinian Authorities, and Hamas. Third, it will discuss the idea of bias—both real and perceived—from a legal perspective. Bias will be discussed initially as it relates to the Gaza COI’s original mandate and then with respect to the choice of commissioners and as it relates to the scope of the investigation and choice of incidents to investigate. Finally, this chapter will conclude with an analysis of two particularly important due process issues: (1) the methods and rules that the Gaza COI adopted as they relate to the gathering and corroboration of evidence; and, (2) the language of, and standard of proof adopted by, the Gaza COI. My goal is to identify clearly and in detail many of the problems inherent in the processes and procedures of contemporary ad hoc UN COIs, and suggest that, by looking at UN COIs through even the most simplified of legal lenses, we might start to see ways for future COIs to remedy some common shortcomings. B. Why Study the Goldstone COI? The Gaza COI is arguably the paradigmatic case with respect to contemporary, large-scale ad hoc UN COIs. Like none before or arguably since, it encompassed all the hopes and objectives that the UN expects modern COIs to fulfill. However, due to the highly charged political environment in which it operated, the Gaza COI also clearly communicates the weaknesses of the large-scale UN COI including the failure to engage meaningfully with due process and the manifestation of bias that results from resorting to ad hoc procedures the interpretation of which fail to draw on legal foundations. The Gaza COI had a similar mandate, criteria, and ultimate result as other contemporary ad hoc UN COIs. Like so many of its contemporaries, the Gaza COI was dubbed a post-conflict initiative, though a return to conflict was eminently foreseeable. The initiative was intended to address human rights and humanitarian law abuses on a large scale by assigning responsibility for wrongs committed, just as countless UN COIs had done before;12 however, the Gaza COI also represented the culmination of a series of trends in international law and fact-finding toward holistic transitional justice inquiries—that is, inquiries which try to address all (or many) of the multifarious elements of transitional justice.13 In the Gaza COI we can truly see an attempt to do virtually everything that transitional justice has evolved to include: to provide a history, a forum for telling tales perhaps to promote reconciliation, a broad contextual analysis of history and socio-economic factors that contributed to the violence, of both human rights abuses and assurances that impunity will not reign and criminal charges should follow. 12 13 See sources, supra notes 2–6. This would include, inter alia: promoting accountability for criminal wrongs; providing recommendations on institutional and legal reforms and/or reparations programs; providing an historical narrative of the conflict upon which to build a shared collective memory or “truth” about the past; and, offering a forum for witnesses to air their grievances, express their views and wishes and discuss their experiences. 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 131 Moreover, the Gaza COI provides perhaps the best—and most discussed—recent example of a contemporary ad hoc UN COI that was marred by powerful criticism related to a list of common procedural concerns often associated with large-scale UN COIs, thereby making it ripe for a procedural analysis.14 In this regard, it is also the ‘hard case’ in that it operated within the context of the Israel-Palestinian dispute and, as a result, garnered a lot of attention and criticism from all sides. As such, it makes the issues and controversies confronted by such investigations more noteworthy than perhaps any other modern UN COI. Further, like so many previous UN COIs, while the criticism of the Gaza COI relates to both the substantive law as applied by the COI as well as the COI’s procedural shortcomings, the legal-academic analysis that followed tended to focus on the substance of the COI’s report— that is, the law as applied by the COI—while public criticism centered in significant part upon the procedures of the COI.15 With this in mind, this paper fills a gap not merely by focusing in more detail upon law as it applies to the processes of one particularly controversial UN COI, but it also links more closely the legal-academic discussion to that of the general public. Finally, the Gaza COI is relevant not just at the macro level, concerning the future of UN COIs more broadly, but also at the micro level, concerning the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. In the summer of 2014 the world witnessed a repeat of the violence in Gaza, which led to another—albeit less ambitious and well-scrutinized—UN COI report in 2015, called the “Independent International Commission of Inquiry Established Pursuant to Human Rights Council Resolution S-21/1.”16 In light of the long history of UN inquiries relating to Israel and Gaza, in addition to the seemingly interminable conflict in the region, it is safe and indisputably sad to say that there will undoubtedly be more UN COIs into subsequent conflicts. I. The Goldstone Report: History and Context As most now know, a conflict has existed in the Middle East since at least 1947—almost a year before Israel declared its independence as a state on 15 May 1948—which centered 14 Looking at past UN COIs, one can see that UN they have been generally and consistently been criticized by academic and non-academic commentators alike with regard to: their biased mandates (partiality); the clarity of their mandate and purpose (transparency and consistency/clarity); a disproportionate focus on a particular country, region or conflict (a lack of representative participation, partiality); the selection of biased commissioners (partiality and independence); inflammatory language used in reports (partiality) and shifting standards of proof (transparency of rules and operating procedures); a misguided or biased review of the facts (partiality); the lack of clarity in or promulgation of their rules and methods of operation (transparency); the quality of their evidence used to indict and the quality, quantity and use of corroborating evidence (fairness, partiality, transparency of processes and rules of evidence); and, their approach to balancing interests in protecting witnesses while also provi ding full and prompt disclosure of legal findings to individuals and/or states concerned. 15 For but a small example, see Bell and Horowitz, et. al., supra note 10. 16 Gaza 2015 Inquiry, supra note 5. 132 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 upon Israel and the Palestinian Occupied Territories. A recapitulation of the causes and consequences of the Israeli-Palestinian/Arab conflict is well beyond the scope of this article.17 Suffice it to say that as of about November 2008, yet another nominal truce, this one having existed since June 2008 between Israel and Hamas—the elected political power in the Gaza Strip at the time—had come to a de facto end. The truce broke down after a series of rockets were launched from Gaza into Israel, after incursions by Israel into Gaza territory, and after the solidifying of an Israeli blockade that was supposed to be eased by the terms of the truce. By 27 December 2008, Israel unilaterally decided that the conflict had escalated to the point where, from its perspective, a large-scale military intervention was the only way to exercise its right to defend its civilian population against terrorism and the firing of rockets from Gaza territory into Israel, although Israel’s military campaign itself had been prepared in advance of this date.18 War was once again cast upon the region. Between 27 December 2008 and 17 January 2009, Israel conducted Operation Cast Lead—Israel’s codename for the military intervention—against Hamas in the Gaza Strip. Media coverage of the conflict was intense; in particular, the military conduct of all parties evoked strong negative reactions internationally. During the conflict Hamas—at the time not only the elected political party in Gaza, but also a terrorist group as designated by the European Union, United States, and Canada—was criticized in the international press for sending rockets into Israeli towns,19 targeting civilians (or at the very least failing to differentiate between civilians and combatants), and for its militants’ dressing in civilian clothing while launching attacks within 17 For an accessible though lengthy review of the context and conflict, see MARK TESSLER, A HISTORY OF THE ISRAELIPALESTINIAN CONFLICT (2009). 18 For an article arguing why Israel did not have to “break the truce” and intervene militarily in order to protect its civilian population, see Henry Stiegman, Discrediting Goldstone, Delegitimizing Israel, in THE GOLDSTONE R EPORT: THE LEGACY OF THE LANDMARK INVESTIGATION OF THE GAZA CONFLICT 390 (Horowitz, Ratner, & Weiss, eds. 2011). Stiegman asserts: [Hamas] offered to extend the truce, but on condition that Israel end its blockade. Israel refused. It could have met its obligation to protect its citizens by agreeing to ease the blockade, but it didn’t even try. It cannot be said, therefore, that Israel launched its assault to protect its citizens from rockets. It did so to protect the continuation of its strangulation of Gaza’s population. For an explanation of Israel’s reasons for the intervention, see Rory McCarthy, Our goals are near, says Israeli PM as Gaza fighting intensifies, THE GUARDIAN (Jan. 11, 2009); Rory McCarthy, Israel criticized after “shocking” discovery of exhausted children, THE GUARDIAN (Jan. 8, 2009); and Clancy Chassay, Cut to pieces: The Palestinian family drinking tea in their courtyard, THE GUARDIAN (Mar. 23, 2009). The Guardian subsequently maintained an online section devoted to its investigations of claims of abuse and criminality—see the Guardian’s “war crimes investigation” page online: http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/series/gaza-war-crimes-investigation. 19 See, e.g., Rockets from Gaza: Harm to Civilians from Palestinian Armed Groups’ Rocket Attacks, HUMAN RIGHTS WATCH (Aug. 6, 2009) www.hrw.org/en/reports/2009/08/06/rockets-gaza-0. 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 133 populated areas.20 Reports of an Israeli bombing of a UN school21 and attacks on civilians who were waving white flags,22 the use of civilians as human shields,23 the targeting of civilian infrastructure,24 as well as the use of white phosphorous on civilians25 resulted in criticism of Israel.26 Those outside of Israel/Gaza were deeply divided as to what had really happened and whether it was legally justifiable under the laws of war. This factual uncertainty played a major role in the international debate concerning how or whether the international community should respond to the conflict. In the end, with a perceived need for an independent, impartial inquiry into the conflict, the Human Rights Council acceded to its increasingly reflexive response in such situations: an ad hoc UN COI.27 Thus, Resolution S9/1 was brought forward by the Human Rights Council on 12 January 2009 to consider “the grave violations of human rights in the Occupied Territory, particularly due to the recent Israeli military attacks against the occupied Gaza Strip.”28 The wording of this initial resolution created an initial problem for the Gaza COI that would subsequently be established: The resolution presupposed the “grave violations” of human rights and focused on Israeli actions without reference to Hamas. The original mandate similarly presupposed the outcome. It stated that the Human Rights Council was: to dispatch an urgent, independent fact-finding mission, to be appointed by the President of the Council, to investigate all violations of international human rights law and international humanitarian law by the occupying Power, Israel, against the Palestinian people throughout the Occupied Palestinian Territory, 20 Azmi Keshawi, Martin Fletcher, & Sheera Frenkel, Gaza’s tunnels, traps and martyrs: the Hamas strategy to defeat Israel, THE TIMES (Jan. 12, 2009). Political violence was also seen as prevalent with respect to Hamas. See generally Under Cover of War: Hamas Political Violence in Gaza, HUMAN RIGHTS WATCH (Apr. 19, 2009), https://www.hrw.org/sites/default/files/reports/iopt0409webwcover.pdf. 21 Rain of Fire: Israel’s Unlawful Use of White Phosphorus in Gaza, HUMAN RIGHTS WATCH ch. IV (Mar. 25, 2009). 22 For an overview of the issue, see White Flag Deaths: Killings of Palestinian Civilians during Operation Cast Lead, HUMAN RIGHTS WATCH (Aug. 13, 2009). 23 Clancy Chassay & Julian Border, Guardian Investigation Uncovers Evidence of Alleged Israeli War Crimes in Gaza, THE GUARDIAN (Mar. 24, 2009), www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/mar/23/israel-gaza-war-crimes-guardian/. 24 Id. 25 See generally Rain of Fire, supra note 21. 26 For an example of an article offering such criticism, see McCarthy, Our goals are near, supra note 18. 27 For example, Israel denied the use of white phosphorus in inhabited areas and the bombing of the UN school, while Hamas denied the use of human shields. 28 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, at 37 ¶ 131. 134 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 particularly in the occupied Gaza Strip, due to the current aggression, and calls upon Israel not to obstruct the process of investigation and to fully cooperate with the mission . . . . 29 Clearly the mandate was one-sided as it focused only on violations by the aggressor Israel. As a result, first Mary Robinson, former UN High Commissioner for Human Rights,30 and then Justice Goldstone rejected the mandate and offers to head the Gaza COI. Israel continues to present the mandate of the Gaza COI as biased because it treats this formulation as the “formal mandate” of the COI, despite the subsequent amendment to the mandate as requested by the eventual chief commissioner, Justice Richard Goldstone (as discussed below).31 Of note, the 2015 Gaza COI was better, though it was couched within a Human Rights Council Resolution that presupposes the conclusions for which the COI was established to seek.32 Historically, the fact that only the founding Resolution and not also the mandate pre-supposed a specific conclusion is better than to be expected when it comes 29 Human Rights Council Res. S-9/1, 9th U.N. Doc. A/HRC/S-9/L.1 (Jan. 9, 2009). [Emphasis added.] 30 See Letter of Ambassador Aharon Leshno-Yaar, Permanent Representative of Israel to the U.N. Human Rights Council (July 6, 2009) in Goldstone Report, supra note 5 [hereinafter Letter of Ambassador Aharon Leshno-Yaar]. 31 Israel Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Initial Response to Report of the Fact Finding Mission on Gaza Established Pursuant to Resolution S-9/1 of the Human Rights Council 3–4, ¶¶ 10–13 (Sept. 24, 2009) [hereinafter Initial Israeli Response to Gaza COI]. 32 See, e.g., Human Rights Council Res. S-21/1, U.N. Doc. A/HRC/RES/S-21/1 ¶ 2 (July 24, 2014) [hereinafter Res. S21/1]: Condemns in the strongest terms the widespread, systematic and gross violations of international human rights and fundamental freedoms arising from the Israeli military operations” which have involved disproportionate and indiscriminate attacks, including aerial bombardment of civilian areas, the targeting of civilians and civilian properties in collective punishment contrary to international law . . . . The Resolution does also condemn the killing of two Israeli civilians though the language is much more limited and, in any event, presupposing conclusions on both sides hardly vitiates bias. 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 135 to UN COIs into Israeli actions33 and, all too often, UN COIs more generally,34 which have tended to exhibit strong signs of bias.35 In the context of the Goldstone Inquiry, Goldstone managed to mitigate the mandate problem to a degree. Before the beginning of the COI’s investigations, sixteen experienced investigators and judges wrote to an open letter presented to UN Secretary-General Ban Kimoon. The open letter canned for Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon open a full investigation into the alleged abuses.36 Specifically, the letter called for “a prompt, independent and impartial investigation” of “serious violations of international humanitarian law committed by all parties to the conflict,” which would “provide recommendations as to the appropriate prosecution of those responsible for gross violations of international law.”37 Eventually, after a meeting with Goldstone and an agreed amendment to the mandate,38 the President of the 33 See, e.g., Human Rights Council, U.N. Doc. A/HRC/3/2 (Nov. 23, 2006). Resolution S-2/1, which gave the COI its mandate, was entitled, The grave situation of human rights in Lebanon caused by Israeli military operations. In addition to pre-determining causation, Resolution S-2/1 pre-determined the COI’s outcome by, “[c]ondemning Israeli military operations in Lebanon, which constitute gross and systematic human rights violations of the Lebanese people”. See Res. S-2/1, supra note 32, at Annex I. For another recent example of a U.N. HRC COI dealing with Israel, see The Human Rights Inquiry Commission to Investigate Violations of Human Rights and Humanitarian Law in the Occupied Palestinian Territories after 28 September 2000, U.N. Doc. E/CN.4/2001/121 (Mar. 16, 2001), established pursuant to Commission on Human Rights Res. S-5/1, (Oct. 19, 2000), later endorsed by the Economic and Social Council decision 2000/311 (Nov. 22, 2000). See also Report of the Secretary-General Prepared Pursuant to General Assembly Resolution ES-10/10 on Illegal Israeli Actions in Occupied East Jerusalem and the Rest of the Occupied Palestinian Territory, U.N. Doc. A/ES-10/L14 (Aug. 1, 2002). After issuing his report, Goldstone himself stated: “I had hoped that our inquiry into all aspects of the Gaza conflict would begin a new era of even-handedness at the UN Human Rights Council, whose history of bias against Israel cannot be doubted.” Richard Goldstone, Reconsidering the Goldstone Report on Israel and War Crimes, WASHINGTON POST (Apr. 2, 2011) [hereinafter Goldstone Recantation]. 34 As but one commentator stated: Many UN reports, “were not in general dressed up in the restrained language of traditional diplomacy, and the reader cannot feel confident that a complete and balanced picture has been presented.” See Sydney D. Bailey, UN Fact-Finding and Human Rights Complaints 48 INT’L. AFF. 250, 258 (1972). 35 Res. S-21/1, supra note 32, at ¶ 13. At least in this case the decisive paragraph (13), the Resolution is neutral as to whom the COI should focus on and whom is guilty, though it does presuppose that there were “crimes perpetrated.” 36 The open letter was published in newspapers and on Amnesty International’s website in March 2009. See Gaza Investigators Call for War Crimes Inquiry, AMNESTY INTERNATIONAL (Mar. 16, 2009). Those signing the letter included Justice Goldstone, Hina Jilani, Desmond Travers—each of the eventual COI—as well as notables such as Alex Boraine, Archbishop Desmond Tutu, Mary Robinson, William A Schabas, and Antonio Cassese. 37 Id. 38 In Letter of Justice Goldstone to the Israeli Permanent Representative to the U.N. Human Rights Council, Ambassador Aharon Leshno-Yaar (Apr. 8, 2009) [hereinafter Goldstone Letter to Israeli Ambassador] at Annex II to the Goldstone Report, supra note 5, Goldstone stated: I wished personally to assure you that prior to considering the invitation to lead the Mission, I satisfied myself that it would be given unbiased and even-handed terms of reference. In particular, it seemed to me that it was crucial, in order to assess the military actions 136 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 Human Rights Council was able to negotiate the passing of a resolution establishing the Gaza COI on 3 April 2009. The understanding was that the mandate would thereafter read that the COI was: to investigate all violations of international human rights law and international humanitarian law that might have been committed at any time in the context of the military operations that were conducted in Gaza during the period from 27 December 2008 and 18 January 2009, whether before, during, or after.39 Formally, however, the mandate was never amended by way of a subsequent Human Rights Council resolution. So, while the above wording made its way into the Gaza COI’s final report and was taken to be the applicable mandate by the Commissioners, Resolution S-9/1 technically stands as the UN document calling for the establishment of the inquiry—thereby establishing the foundation for claims of bias with regard to the formal mandate of the Gaza COI. While the Israeli presence in Gaza formally ended on 18 January 2009, it was not until 4 May 2009 that the Gaza COI first convened in Geneva.40 Given the delay, the Gaza COI, “agreed to be bound by a short time frame (about three months) to complete its work and report to the Council at the earliest opportunity.”41 As has become standard practice for such UN COIs, a secretariat providing logistical and research support was established by the Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR) to aid the work of the Commissioners.42 conducted by Israel, and in particular to investigate the effects on Israeli citizens of the rocket attacks that emanated from Gaza . . . . As a completely independent body, the Mission will now be determining its own terms of reference. I would hope that I could consult with the Government of Israel and take into account its views with regard to the terms of reference. Your advice in this regard would be much appreciated. [Emphasis added.] 39 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 1, at 13. See also Goldstone Letter to Israeli Ambassador, supra note 38, where Goldstone reiterated his intention to proceed “independently and impartially.” [Emphasis added.] 40 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 5, at 13. 41 Id. ¶ 134, at 37. To give a sense for how short a time-frame this is, contrast to the two to three years that many truth commissions are given to investigate and report, or even longer for an international court to prosecute but one case. 42 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 3, at 3. 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 137 The 452-page Goldstone Report produced by the Gaza COI, entitled “Human Rights in Palestine and Other Occupied Arab Territories: Report of the United Nations Fact-Finding Mission on the Gaza Conflict,” was released on 25 September 2009.43 With respect to Operation Cast Lead, the Goldstone Report found that between 1387 and 1417 Palestinians were killed during the twenty-two day military operation.44 By contrast, Gaza authorities reported 1444 fatalities, and the Government of Israel reported 1166.45 The Government of Israel indicated that there were also four Israeli fatalities in southern Israel— three civilians and one soldier—killed by rocket and mortar attacks, and an additional nine Israeli soldiers killed during the fighting, four of whom were killed by friendly fire. 46 Of the Goldstone Report’s twenty-one chapters on substantive violations of international law (excluding the Goldstone Report’s analysis of the subsequent judicial responses by all parties), sixteen address Israeli actions, four concern abuses by “Palestinian armed groups,” and one explains allegations against the Palestinian Authority. The Goldstone Report concluded that serious violations of international human rights and humanitarian law were committed by both Israel and by Palestinian armed groups, and actions taken by both sides were found to amount to war crimes and, in a very few instances, possibly to crimes against humanity. For its part, Israel was found, inter alia, to have: intentionally targeted civilians and civilian objects, in some cases with the intention of spreading terror among the civilian population; committed grave breaches of the Fourth Geneva Convention, including willful killing and extensive destruction of property not justified by military necessity; violated the right of Gaza’s population to maintain an adequate standard of living, including access to adequate and safe food, water, and housing; denied freedom of movement to Palestinians living in the Gaza Strip and West Bank; denied the right to enter and leave their own territory, and limited their access to an effective remedy, which it was said could amount to persecution, a crime against humanity.47 The core violations stemmed from investigations into thirty-six incidents.48 43 Id. 44 Id. ¶ 30, at 17. 45 Id. 46 Id. ¶¶ 30–31, at 17. 47 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, at 413–19. 48 As is evident, these core incidents related primarily to allegations of indiscriminate or disproportionate Israeli attacks on civilians. However, there are certainly other claims made, including in relation to the repression of dissent in Israel (Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ch. XXV) and abusive detentions (Goldstone Report, supra note 5, at ch. XIV, XV and XXI). 138 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 Palestinian armed groups were said to have committed indiscriminate attacks against Israeli citizens and violated the principle of distinction as between civilians and combatants by virtue of launching rocket and mortar attacks into civilian areas. This course of action was said to amount to war crimes and possibly a broader crime against humanity. Palestinian armed groups were also criticized for failing to distinguish themselves consistently from the civilian population in an adequate manner and for having unnecessarily exposed civilians to danger by launching mortar and rocket attacks from sites close to civilian buildings. However, in neither case was there sufficient evidence for the Goldstone Report to claim a violation of international law. Moreover, no evidence was said to have been uncovered with regard to the use by Palestinian armed groups of civilians as human shields, or with respect to the armed groups’ use of hospitals or ambulances for combat purposes.49 The Goldstone Report concluded that neither side to the conflict conducted credible investigations into alleged criminal violations committed during the 22-day offensive. The Report also recommended that its findings be made available to the UN Security Council, and that a committee of experts be established to monitor domestic proceedings related to violations of international human rights and humanitarian law and report back on any investigations carried out domestically. Referral to the ICC or national courts on the basis of universal jurisdiction over the prosecution of serious international crimes was also recommended in the event that the parties failed to carry out credible investigations and prosecutions. After the Report’s release in September 2009, the Human Rights Council subsequently endorsed the Goldstone Report on 16 October 2009 in a resolution that also condemned Israel but made no mention of Hamas or Palestinian armed groups:50 49 50 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, at 419–22. Press Release, United Nations, Human Rights Council Endorses Recommendations in Report of Fact-Finding Mission Led by Justice Goldstone and Calls for their Implementation (Oct. 16, 2009). See also Human Rights Council Res. A/HRC/S-12/L.1 (Oct. 14, 2009). This endorsement took place after some significant procedural and political wrangling. The resolution to endorse the Goldstone Report was initially delayed on 2 October 2009 when the Palestinian delegation dropped its support for the Goldstone Report, purportedly under heavy political from, inter alia, the United States. See Rory McCarthy, UN Delays Action on Gaza War Report, THE GUARDIAN (Oct. 2, 2009). However, on 11 October 2009, President of the Palestinian Authority, Mahmoud Abbas, called on the Human Rights Council to hold a special session to debate the Goldstone Report, which was then held on 15 November 2009. 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 139 Deeply concerned at the actions by Israel undermining the sanctity and inviolability of religious sites in the Occupied Palestinian Territory including East Jerusalem . . . (1) Strongly condemns all policies and measures taken by Israel, the occupying Power, including those limiting access of Palestinians to their properties and holy sites particularly in Occupied East Jerusalem, on the basis of national origin, religion, sex, age or any other discriminatory ground, which are in grave violation of the Palestinian People's civil, political, economic, social and cultural rights[.]51 Unsurprisingly, Western nations voted against the resolution.52 Nevertheless, the Human Rights Council requested periodic updates on the implementation of the Goldstone Report’s recommendations, and suggested that the UN General Assembly consider the findings and recommendations. Despite protests by both Israel and the United States, the UN General Assembly adopted a non-binding resolution whereby it endorsed the Goldstone Report53 and called for credible follow-up investigations.54 The General Assembly also requested that the UN SecretaryGeneral send the Goldstone Report to the Security Council for its consideration.55 Additionally, Navi Pillay, the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights, said that she concurred with the recommendations of the Goldstone Report and, in particular, supported its plea for “urgent action to counter impunity.”56 Similarly, UN Secretary-General 51 See Human Rights Council Res. A/HRC/RES/S-12/L.1, id. Emphasis in original. 52 The final vote was 25 in favor, 5 opposed, with 11 abstentions. Five nations also declined to vote by being absent, including the United Kingdom and France. Id. 53 See Press Release, General Assembly, By Recorded Vote, General Assembly Urges Israel, Palestinians to Conduct Credible, Independent Investigations into Alleged War Crimes in Gaza, U.N. Press Release GA/10883 (Nov. 5, 2009) [hereinafter Press Release GA/10883]; see also American Society of International Law, International Law in Brief, United Nations General Assembly Resolution on the 2008 Gaza Conflict” ( Nov. 14 2009). The Resolution was adopted by a recorded vote of 114 in favor, 18 against, and 44 abstentions. Notable votes against the res olution included Australia, Canada, Germany, Israel, Italy, Netherlands, and the United States. Many European Union countries abstained. 54 The majority of supporters of the resolution were “developing” countries. Canada’s speaker “said his delegation had voted against the resolution because it was concerned about the imbalanced nature of the Goldstone Report . . . . ” In addition to Canada, Australia, the Czech Republic, Germany Hungary, Israel, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Slovakia, and the United States, among others, voted against the resolutions. Notable abstentions included Denmark, Austria, Japan, New Zealand, Norway, Republic of Korea, Russian Federation, Spain, Sweden and the United Kingdom. See G.A. Res. 64/254, (Feb. 26, 2010) (requesting an update on the steps taken to implement the Goldstone Report). 55 Id. 56 Sharon Otterman, UN Rights Official Backs Gaza Report, NEW YORK TIMES (Oct. 16, 2009). 140 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 Ban Ki-Moon urged credible and immediate follow-up investigations by both sides of the dispute, as did American, British, and French UN representatives.57 Given the political and legal backdrop to the Goldstone Report and the controversial nature of the issues at hand, it is perhaps unsurprising that the release of the Report evoked strong, often emotional, reactions worldwide. Virtually all aspects of the Goldstone Report—from the choice of commissioners, to the scope of the inquiry, to the legal and factual findings— have been criticized, some commentators more sympathetic than others.58 In addition to newspapers, bloggers, and academics, non-governmental organizations (NGOs) and governments also weighed in on the merits and demerits of the Goldstone Report, including, 57 Allies Push Israel for Gaza Probe, http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/8308367.stm. BBC NEWS (Oct. 15, 2009), 58 One critique generally viewed as particularly thoughtful was Moshe Halbertal, The Goldstone Illusion: What the UN report gets wrong about Gaza—and War, THE NEW REPUBLIC (Nov. 6, 2009), www.tnr.com/print/article/world/the-goldstone-illusion [hereinafter Halbertal, The Goldstone Illusion]. Alan Dershowitz, a persistent critic of the Human Rights Council and those who criticize Israel, stated that the Goldstone Report: is much worse than most of its detractors (and supporters) believe. It is far more accusatory of Israel, far less balanced in its criticism of Hamas, far less honest in its evaluation of the evidence, far less responsible in drawing its conclusions, far more biased against Israeli than Palestinian witnesses, and far more willing to draw adverse inferences of intentionality from Israeli conduct and statements than from comparable Palestinian conduct and statements. See Alan Dershowitz, The Case Against the Goldstone Report: A Study in Evidentiary Bias, Harvard Public Law Working Paper No. 10-26, at 1, available at http://ssrn.com/abstract=1542897. 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 141 respectively, Amnesty International,59 Human Rights Watch,60 the United States House of Representatives61 and State Department,62 and the European Parliament.63 II. Follow-up Reactions to the Goldstone Report: Israel, Hamas and the Palestinian Authority From the Gaza COI’s inception, Israel refused to cooperate with the Commission or grant it access to Israeli territory, claiming in justification that the “grossly politicized” Human Rights Council resolution constituting the Gaza COI was biased and one-sided.64 Israel noted that the original resolution (S-9/1) determined, “at the outset that Israel has perpetrated grave violations of human rights” and implied that Israel, “deliberately targeted civilians and medical facilities, and systematically destroyed the cultural heritage of the Palestinian people.”65 The Israeli government’s concern was that the legal basis of the Gaza COI, regardless of Goldstone’s assurances about using a revised understanding of its terms, was biased. 59 Amnesty International supported the Goldstone Report’s findings and argued that the UN should ensure that its recommendations are implemented because they offered, “the best hope for justice and accountability.” See UN Must Ensure Goldstone Inquiry Recommendations are Implemented, AMNESTY INTERNATIONAL (Sept. 15, 2009). Amnesty International further noted that, “[t]he report’s findings are consistent with those of Amnesty International’s own field investigation into the 22-day conflict . . . . ” Id. 60 Human Rights Watch noted that the Goldstone Report’s findings “closely correspond[ed]” to its findings and those of “other independent groups [NGOs].” See UN: US, EU Undermine Justice for Gaza Conflict: Goldstone Report Offers Chance to End Impunity, H UMAN RIGHTS WATCH (Sept. 30, 2009), www.hrw.org/en/news/2009/09/30/un-useu-undermine-justice-gaza-conflict?. See also Letter to Prime Minister Haniya, HUMAN RIGHTS WATCH (Oct. 20, 2009), www.hrw.org/en/news/2009/10/20/letter-prime-minister-haniya?print; Letter to Ban Ki-moon on the General Assembly Resolution of Post-fact Finding Investigations in Gaza, HUMAN RIGHTS WATCH (Nov. 23, 2009), www.hrw.org/en/news/2009/11/23/letter-ban-ki-moon-general-assembly-resolution-post-fact-findinginvestigations-gaza?; Israel/Gaza: Implement Goldstone Recommendations on Gaza, HUMAN RIGHTS WATCH (Sept. 16, 2009), http://www.hrw.org/en/news/2009/09/16/israelgaza-implement-goldstone-recommendations-gaza. 61 H.R. Res. 867, 111th Cong. (2009) [hereinafter H.R. Res. 867]. 62 The United States Department of State officially condemned the Goldstone Report as “deeply flawed” and disagreed with both its methodology and many of its recommendations. Statement by Michael Posner, UN Assistant Secretary of State for Democracy, U.S. State Dep’t (Sept. 2009), http://geneva.usmission.gov/2009/09/29/gazaconflict [Posner State Department Response]. See also U.S. State Dep’t, 2009 Human Rights Report: Israel and the Occupied Territories (Mar. 11, 2010), www.state.gov/g/drl/rls/hrrpt/2009/nea/136070.htm. 63 Despite being divided, with many European Union (EU) countries voting against the UN General Assembly and Human Rights Council resolutions on the Goldstone Report, outside the UN context the EU parliament nevertheless offered its (non-binding) endorsement of the Goldstone Report by majority vote. See Leigh Phillips, Despite Heavy Lobbying, EU Parliament Endorses Goldstone Report, EU OBSERVER (Mar. 10, 2010), http://euobserver.com/24/29650?pring=1. The vote in the parliament was 335-287. 64 Letter of Ambassador Aharon Leshno-Yaar, supra note 30. 65 Id. 142 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 In a pre-emptive move against the Goldstone Report, in July 2009, Israel released its own 157-page report entitled “The Operation in Gaza: Factual and Legal Aspects,” which addressed many of the controversial incidents, the applicable legal framework, and offered its own context for Operation Cast Lead.66 This report concluded that the operation was “a necessary and a proportionate response to Hamas’ attacks,” directed solely against military objectives.67 Israel also prepared an initial 32-point response to the Goldstone Report on 24 September 2009.68 This response claimed that the Gaza COI was “instigated as part of a political campaign, [representing] a political assault directed against Israel . . . . ”69 Israel’s response also asserted that the Goldstone Report “repeatedly adopts evidentiary double standards, attributing credibility to every anti-Israel allegation, and invariably dismissing evidence that indicates any wrongdoing by Hamas.”70 Moreover, the Israel response posited that the Goldstone Report was “highly judicial in nature, reaching conclusive judicial determinations of guilt”71 and that the Report went “far beyond its mandate as a fact-finding mission, making legal and judicial determinations of criminal wrongdoing, even in the absence of crucial information.”72 Israel’s updated response came in the form of a report delivered to the UN in January of 2010. In this response, Israel focused primarily on its follow-up investigations and claimed that 150 incidents had been or were being investigated, 36 of which were referred for criminal investigation.73 The January 2010 response revealed only one criminal conviction of an Israeli soldier in relation to the war: The soldier was jailed for seven and a half months for stealing a credit card from a Palestinian home.74 Israel also chose to review four incidents detailed by the Goldstone Report,75 and has maintained a governmental website dedicated 66 Israel Ministry of Foreign Affairs, The Operation in Gaza: Factual and Legal Aspects (July 2009). See also Israel Ministry of Foreign Affairs, FAQ: The Operation in Gaza—Factual and Legal Aspects (Aug. 16, 2009). 67 Id., The Operation in Gaza: Factual and Legal Aspects, at 1. 68 Initial Israeli Response to Gaza COI, supra note 31. 69 Id., ¶ 1, at 1. 70 Id., ¶ 4, at 2. 71 Id., ¶ 23, at 17. 72 Id., ¶ 5, at 2. 73 Israel Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Gaza Operation Investigations: An Update (Jan. 29, 2010) [hereinafter Israeli Investigations Update]. 74 See Rory McCarthy, Israel Denies Gaza War Crimes in Report to UN, THE GUARDIAN (Jan. 31, 2010). 75 Israeli Investigations Update, supra note 73, at 36–45. 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 143 to responding to the Goldstone Report and updating Israeli governmental responses and other subsequent actions.76 Subsequent to Israel’s report of January 2010, Israel continued to investigate its actions.77 However, on 10 April 2010 Human Rights Watch issued a report stating that investigations by both Israel and Hamas since the issuance of the Goldstone Report had fallen far short of international legal standards.78 Shortly thereafter, Israel’s government issued a second response on 19 July 2010 to the Goldstone Report—Israel’s third report overall—which focused on the follow-up actions of the government and military, some of which had come after the issuance of the Human Rights Watch Report.79 In a September 2010 report to the Human Rights Council, a UN Committee of Independent Experts—created to monitor any follow-up investigations80 and headed by eminent international jurist Christian Tomuschat— responded to all three Israeli reports. The Committee of Independent Experts report found that Israel had failed to investigate credibly at least some of the crimes committed during 76 See generally Israeli Ministry of Foreign Affairs, http://www.mfa.gov.il/gazafacts. 77 See Israeli Ministry of Foreign Affairs, IDF Military Advocate General Indicts Soldiers for Incidents During Operation Cast Lead (July 6, 2010), http://www.mfa.gov.il/MFA/Government/Communiques/2010/Military_Advocate_General_indicts_IDF_soldiers_ Operation_Cast_Lead_6_Jul_2010.htm; Israeli Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Military Prosecution Indicts Two IDF Staff Sergeants for Unauthorized Conduct During Operation Cast Lead (Mar. 11, 2010), http://www.mfa.gov.il/MFA/Government/Communiques/2010/Military_Prosecution_indicts_sergeants_Operatio n_Cast_Lead_11-Mar-2010.htm. See, for example, the BBC News reported in 10 March 2010 that the “Israeli military has charged two of its soldiers with endangering the life of a Palestinian boy during Israel’s offensive . . . . ” Israel Charges of Human Shield, BBC NEWS (Mar. 12, 2010); see also Israeli Sniper Faces Gaza Manslaughter Charges, BBC NEWS (July 6, 2010), http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/world/middle_east/10526541.stm; Isabel Kershner, Indictments in Gaza War Are Announced, NEW YORK TIMES (July 6, 2010). See also Israeli Soldier Shot Two Women as They Waved a White Flag, THE TELEGRAPH (July 6, 2010), http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/middleeast/israel/7875702/Israeli-soldier-shot-two-women-asthey-waved-white-flag.html 78 See Turning a Blind Eye: Impunity for Laws-of-War Violations During the Gaza War, HUMAN RIGHTS WATCH (Apr. 10, 2010), http://www.hrw.org/node/89575. 79 See Israel Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Gaza Operation Investigations: Second Update, (July 2010) http://www.mfa.gov.il/NR/rdonlyres/1483B296-7439-4217-933C-653CD19CE859/0/GazaUpdateJuly2010.pdf [hereinafter Israeli Second Updated Response]. 80 See Follow-up to the Report of the United Nations Independent International Fact-Finding Mission on the Gaza Conflict, Human Rights Council Res. A/HRC/RES/13/9, art. 9 (Apr. 14, 2010): Decides, in the context of the follow-up to the report of the Independent International FactFinding Mission, to establish a committee of independent experts in international humanitarian and human rights laws to monitor and assess any domestic, legal or other proceedings undertaken by both the Government of Israel and the Palestinian side, in the light of General Assembly resolution 64/254, including the independence, effectiveness, genuineness of these investigations and their conformity with international standards . . . . [Emphasis in original.] 144 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 the Gaza offensive. However, the Committee’s report did note a number of positive procedural developments implemented by Israel—such as the nomination of a humanitarian officer for all fighting battalions—that have come about in response to the Goldstone Report.81 It should be noted that the Committee of Independent Experts relied on publicly available information (primarily the three Israeli reports issued in response to the Goldstone Report) because the government of Israel was unwilling to cooperate with the Committee. This lack of cooperation led the Human Rights Council Committee to find that its bases of information [on Israeli investigations] [were] insufficient for a definitive assessment. Consequently, the Committee is not in a position to establish whether the investigations carried out by Israel met international standards of independence, impartiality, thoroughness, effectiveness and promptness.82 At the same time, the Committee of Independent Experts report also concluded that Israel had failed to investigate credibly at least several incidents, focusing on only a few relatively low-ranking officials and ignoring those responsible for planning the war; the report thus concluded that the impartiality of the investigative processes could be put into question as a result.83 The Committee of Independent Experts’ founding mandate was renewed subsequent to the September 2010 report and new commissioners were appointed.84 The second Committee of Independent Experts report was issued on 18 March 2011. 85 This time, the report noted that Israel had “dedicated significant resources to investigate over 400 allegations of operations misconduct in Gaza reported by the [Goldstone Report] and others,”86 including 52 criminal investigations.87 The March 2011 report noted that much was left to be done in terms of continued investigations; that investigations had proceeded at a very slow pace, which could undermine investigated efforts; but that “[g]iven the scale of this undertaking, 81 Human Rights Council Res. 15/50, ¶¶ 42–43, 46 (Sept. 21, 2010), http://www2.ohchr.org/english/bodies/hrcouncil/docs/15session/A.HRC.15.50_AEV.pdf. The report also noted examples of “serious attempt[s] on the part of Israeli investigators to explain what happened . . . . ” Id. at ¶ 46. 82 H.R.C. Res. 15/50, supra note 81, ¶¶ 44–50. 83 Id. 84 Human Rights Council Res. 15/6, U.N. Doc. A/HRC/RES/15/6 (Oct. 6, 2010). New commissioners were appointed because the previous commissioners had other obligations that prevented them from continuing in the position. 85 Human Rights Council Res. 16/21, U.N. Doc. A/HRC/16/21 (Mar. 18, 2011). 86 Id. at ¶ 77. 87 Id. at ¶ 24. 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 145 it is unsurprising that in 2011, much remains to be accomplished.”88 However, it was again reiterated that, “there is no indication that Israel has opened investigations into the actions of those who designed, planned, ordered and oversaw Operation Cast Lead.”89 Moreover, it was clear that not all incidents mentioned in the Goldstone Report had been investigated and that the number of criminal convictions remained very low. According to an op-ed by Justice Goldstone in the Washington Post, this second Committee of Independent Experts report caused Goldstone to “reconsider” his own report,90 a development which was accompanied by Israel seeking the retraction of the Goldstone Report at the UN.91 What Goldstone actually said was that, had Israel cooperated with the Gaza COI and provided him with the information that Israel had since made available in internal investigations and prosecutions, some of that evidence “probably would have influenced [the COI’s] findings about intentionality and war crimes.”92 Goldstone’s assertion seemed to apply only to a reconsideration of one incident (of the thirty-six investigated) that spoke in part to one broad charge leveled against Israel by the Goldstone Report – the charge that Israel had a high level plan to target intentionally civilians – although he seemed to imply that as a general matter he no longer believed that Israel had a high-level plan to target civilians. His basis for such an about-face was ambiguous.93 The three other Gaza COI commissioners, in contrast, made clear that they did not share his view and that subsequent revelations had changed little.94 88 Id. at ¶ 77. 89 Id. at ¶ 79. 90 Goldstone Recantation, supra note 33. 91 Israel Seeks Retraction of Damaging UN Report, THE GLOBE AND MAIL (3 April, 2011). See also Judge Goldstone to Visit Israel, Says Minister, THE GUARDIAN (Apr. 5, 2011). 92 Goldstone Recantation, supra note 33. Goldstone seemed to be speaking in particular about one notorious case where he found that Israel appeared to intentionally target civilians, though he seemed to generalize at times by stating that there was not an intentional policy of targeting civilians in general. In his “recanting” of this, he stated: “While the investigations published by the Israeli military and recognized in the UN committee’s report have established the validity of some incidents that we investigated in cases involving individual soldiers, they also indicate that civilians were not intentionally targeted as a matter of policy.” He then uses as the example the shelling of the al-Simouni home. 93 For a discussion of how bizarre Goldstone’s reconsideration may have seemed, see Roger Cohen, The Goldstone Chronicles, NEW YORK TIMES (Apr. 7, 2011); John Dugard, Where Now for the Goldstone Report, NEW STATESMAN BLOG (Apr. 6, 2011). 94 See Hina Jilani, Christine Chinkin & Desmond Travers, Goldstone Report: Statement Issued by Members of UN Mission on Gaza War, THE GUARDIAN (Apr. 14, 2011); Ed Pilkington & Conal Urquhart, Goldstone’s Gaza Report Stands, UN Insists, THE G UARDIAN (Apr. 5, 2011). See also Member of UN Fact Finding Mission on Gaza Conflict Insists Report Stands Unchanged, MIDDLE EAST MONITOR (Apr. 4, 2011). 146 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 In contrast to Israel, Hamas initially saw the Goldstone Report as a vindication of its position, though it continued to deny the charges against it95 and has since exhibited little interest in investigating alleged wrongdoings that took place during the war or holding those responsible accountable for its actions. Hamas did release a report in response to the Goldstone Report—though it did not initially submit it to the UN—and rejected the Goldstone Report’s charges of war crimes.96 The Human Rights Watch Report on the postGaza invasion investigations of Israel and Hamas found once again that Hamas made no credible attempts to investigate and/or prosecute, as did the first of the Committee of Independent Experts reports, which had noted that two “investigative” reports had been submitted to the Committee, though one was not really an investigation at all.97 The second Committee of Independent Experts report noted that some “efforts” had been made with respect to criminal investigations into human rights violations, although no investigations had commenced into the launching of rockets and mortars into Israeli territory.98 The Palestinian Authorities in the West Bank established a high-level, four-member commission to investigate the Goldstone Report’s findings.99 The first Committee of Independent Experts report also reviewed the Palestinian Authorities’ high-level commission’s report and found “that the [Palestinian Authority’s] Independent Investigation Commission undertook independent and impartial investigations in a comprehensive 95 See Ezzedeen Al-Qassam Brigades, UN Report Clear Proof of Israel’s War Crimes (Sept. 16, 2009), www.gassam.ps/news-1840-UN_report_clear_proofs_of_Israels_war_crimes.html. Hamas initially rejected some of the findings—those related to its actions, of course—but evidently determined it was better to promote worldwide acceptance of the Goldstone Report. 96 UN Receives Goldstone Responses, BBC NEWS (Jan. 29, 2010), http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/pr/fr//2/hi/middle_east/8487301.stm. See “Case of applying recommendations of the United Nations Fact-Finding Mission report in relation to the Israeli aggression against Gaza (December 2008 to January 2009)”, prepared by the Government Committee for Follow-up to the Implementation of the United Nations Fact-Finding Mission Report of the de facto Gaza authorities 97 Turning a Blind Eye, supra note 78, at 6. The report stated: In Gaza, Hamas has taken no meaningful steps to investigate and punish those who violated the laws of war. After rejecting criticism of its conduct during the war, Hamas established a commission headed by the Gaza Minister of Justice to look at the allegations in the Goldstone report. In January 2010 it released the commission’s findings that Hamas’s armed wing…and other Palestinian armed groups had fired rockets only at Israeli military targets, and civilian casualties from those attacks were mistakes, due to the weapons’ technological limitations. The claim ignores the fact that the rockets fired into Israel that did not land in open terrain mostly struck in civilian populated areas…far from any legitimate military target . . . . 98 99 H.R.C. Res. 15/50, supra note 81, ¶¶ 88–90. See Report of the Palestinian Independent Investigation Commission Established Pursuant to the Goldstone Report, U.N. Doc. A/64/890 (Aug. 2010). 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 147 manner that squarely addressed the allegations in the [Goldstone] report.”100 However, the same Human Rights Council Committee of Independent Experts report also noted that, “it is unclear to what extent [the Palestinian Authority’s Independent Investigation Commission’s] report will lead to criminal investigations and prosecutions,”101 and that “investigations are only the first step to achieving accountability . . . and that the prosecution of perpetrators . . . should follow promptly.”102 The second Committee of Independent Experts report detailed a number of subsequent institutional advancements, including the creation of a Palestinian Constitutional Court, the transfer of cases from military to civilian jurisdiction, and the appointment of a General Prosecutor to conduct investigations.103 However, the second Committee of Independent Experts report again noted that the “criminal accountability mechanisms have not yet been duly activated in relation to any of the allegations of serious violations in the [Goldstone Report].”104 Let us now delve a little more deeply into some of the criticisms of the Goldstone COI, proceeding in general in the temporal order in which such criticisms were raised. C. Bias and the Law I. Bias and the Original Mandate As noted, the original mandate for what was to become the Gaza COI was undoubtedly onesided as against Israel. The mandate focused only on Israeli actions, and presupposed their criminality. Justice Goldstone managed to change the language and the focus of the inquiry to ensure that all sides would be investigated, but criticism remained that the “official” mandate was biased. Justice Goldstone and his fellow commissioners clearly were governed, at least in practice, by the updated mandate and viewed it as the Gaza COI’s legally constituting instrument.105 But Israel managed to bring the credibility of the mandate—and thus the credibility of the Goldstone Report and its findings—into question by focusing on the original, biased mandate rather than the revised version. The United States House of Representatives apparently concurred with Israel’s assessment and, in a non-binding resolution, noted inter alia that Gaza COI’s original mandate was biased and asserted that 100 H.R.C. Res. 15/50, supra note 81, ¶ 70. 101 Id. at ¶ 73. 102 Id. at ¶ 5. 103 H.R.C. Res. 16/21, supra note 85, ¶¶ 84–97. 104 H.R.C. Res. 16/21, supra note 85, at ¶ 87. 105 See supra note 38 and accompanying text. 148 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 this original mandate remained applicable to the Gaza COI, having never formally been overturned by a subsequent Human Rights Council resolution.106 For Israel and the United States House of Representatives, the argument that the mandate was biased could be added to a laundry list of other procedural concerns, which were then used to impugn the credibility of the Goldstone Report’s findings. At least some of the subsequent debate was therefore redirected from an analysis of human rights abuses to a discussion of the biased mandate. Israel’s reaction to the Goldstone Report was not merely a spurious attempt to distract from its substance by disingenuously locating bias in the very foundation of the inquiry; rather, Israel’s reaction to the original so-called biased mandate should be seen in context. This context includes the specific complaints as regards the Commission on Human Rights, and now the Human Rights Council, long viewed as focusing disproportionately on Israel, as well as the perception of those reports, COI’s and fact-finding missions that came before the Gaza COI.107 Based on Israel’s history with the Human Rights Council and its COIs, for Israel it came 106 H.R. Res. 867. 107 The United States statement noted, inter alia, that between the creation of the Human Rights Council in 2006 and the issuance of the Goldstone Report, “[the Human Rights Council] ha[d] passed 20 resolutions on Israel, more than the number of resolutions for all 191 other UN members combined. The Council also ha[d] held 11 special sessions, 5 focused exclusively on Israel.” See Posner State Department Response, supra note 62. The US is not the only one to assert that the UN has a long history of focusing disproportionately on Israel, or at least on the IsraeliPalestinian conflict, with primarily Middle Eastern and African nations forcing the issue. From the General Assembly to the UN’s various human rights reporting instruments, historically no conflict is or has been more scrutinized. Many observers have noted the statistics related to the majority focus on Israel as opposed to other situations. See Theodoor van Boven, Fact-Finding in the Field of Human Rights, 3 ISR. Y.B. HUM. R TS. 93, 116 (1973): “It is no doubt true that the active and close concern of the United Nations for human rights and fundamental freedoms is almost exclusively concentrated on Southern Africa and the Middle East; the prevailing political climate in the United Nations is certainly the reason for this.” For a more recent example with respect to the Human Rights Council (i.e. since April 2006) is the Freedom House Report, The UN Human Rights Council Report Card: 2007–2009, (Sept. 10, 2009), http://www.freedomhouse.org/sites/default/files/inline_images/UNHRC%20Council%20Report%2020072009.pdf. The report states: The Council’s performance with regard to special sessions remains disappointing in terms of addressing urgent human rights issues, but has decidedly improved since the first year of the Council, when three of the first four special sessions focused on Israel. Of the seven special sessions held since June 2007, two focused on Israel and the other five focused on Burma, the world food crisis, the Democratic Republic of Congo, the economic and financial crisis, and Sri Lanka. Id. at 8. The report also had the following to say: Israel remained the target of an inordinate number of both condemnatory resolutions and special sessions. Israel was the target of 10 out of 18 condemnatory resolutions passed during the period of this report (and 19 out of 31 since the first session of the Council), the language of which is consistently one-sided, assigning sole responsibility to Israel for the violations of human rights in the Occupied Palestinian Territories. Israel was also the target of three of the 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 149 as no surprise that the intention behind calling for an inquiry was to criticize Israel in particular. Whatever subsequent actions were taken would have to overcome the fact that history seemed to be repeating itself and, once again, Israel was the focus of condemnation and inquiry where other parties to the conflict—namely Hamas—were not explicitly named. Given such a history and the intention of the Human Rights Council in calling for the inquiry to perpetuate the history, little independence or impartiality could be expected from Israel’s perspective. According to Israel, the legitimacy of the Gaza COI was wholly undermined; merely changing the wording of the mandate did not change the intention of Human Rights Council members who first called for the inquiry.108 Of course, Justice Goldstone was neither a representative of a member-state of the Human Rights Council that called for the inquiry, nor was he responsible for the original mandate. In actuality, he condemned it. So the counter-argument goes that Goldstone, and the other members of the Gaza COI, were not tainted by this institutional bias. The impartiality of the commissioners as well as their independence from the “tainted” Human Rights Council was therefore vital to ensuring the legitimacy of the report. In this regard, the Gaza COI experienced difficulties from the very beginning because it was not so clear that the other members of the Gaza COI were indeed untainted by the perception of bias—the very thing that the Gaza COI relied upon to prove its independence from the original mandate. The obvious conclusion is that an unbiased mandate is critical to the legitimacy of a UN COI and thus the credibility of its ultimate report. However, the history and credibility of the institution creating the mandate can also affect the perceived legitimacy of the UN COI, and thus the credibility of its report. II. Bias, Impartiality, and the Gaza COI’s Commissioners As has historically been the case with UN COIs, criticisms of the Goldstone Report related to its findings and in particular to the reliability, credibility, and impartiality of the Goldstone Report as reflected by its operating principles and procedures. These working principles and procedures, in turn, depend upon and are inter-connected with the purpose ultimately assigned to a UN COI. One of the first concerns raised with regard to the Gaza COI was related to the extent to which the COI should be viewed as a legal undertaking: To what extent did the Goldstone COI have a legal-judicial purpose and follow legal procedures as a result? Now, the disputed—and shifting interpretations of—the legality of the Gaza COI four first special sessions called by the Council and was the target of two of the seven special sessions that took place during this reporting period. Id. at 9. See also Freedom House, The UN Human Rights Council Report Card 2009–2010, 2 (Sept. 15, 2010), http://www.freedomhouse.org/sites/default/files/inline_images/UNHRC%20Report%202009-2010.pdf. 108 See, e.g., Initial Israeli Response to Gaza COI, supra note 31. 150 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 caused several additional problems, including allegations of potential bias of the commissioners themselves. Like many other COIs, both national and international, the Gaza COI was led by a strong personality who had an extensive background in both international law and human rights law: The President of the Human Rights Council appointed Justice Richard Goldstone lead commissioner of the Gaza COI. Goldstone was inarguable well-qualified for the position, as he is a former judge of the Constitutional Court of South Africa; he chaired the Goldstone Commission into the illegal activities of the apartheid state; he is a former chief prosecutor at the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia; and, Justice Goldstone is a professor of law. Three other members were also appointed to the Gaza COI, including Ms. Hina Jilani,109 Colonel Desmond Travers,110 and Professor Christine Chinkin, whose addition was particularly controversial. Christine Chinkin is a professor of international law and has had previous experience as a member of the UN Human Rights Council’s high-level fact-finding mission to Beit Hanoun (2008).111 She was thus naturally considered an expert in international law and fact-finding, and considered to be someone with experience in the region. However, while a professor of international law at the London School of Economics and before the Gaza COI had started work, she was a signatory to a public letter on the Gaza conflict. The letter was also signed by over two dozen prominent academics who all agreed that “the rocket attacks on Israel by Hamas [did] not amount to an armed attack entitling Israel to rely on self-defense.”112 The title of the public letter has also drawn criticism: “Israel’s Bombardment of Gaza is Not Self-Defense—It’s a War Crime.”113 The letter posited that “the blockade of humanitarian relief, the destruction of civilian infrastructure, and [the prevention of] access to basic necessities such as food and fuel, are [all] prima facie war crimes.”114 As a result of this letter numerous commentators, including the Government of 109 At the time, she was an Advocate of the Supreme Court of Pakistan, and had formerly been a Special Representative of the Secretary-General on the situation of human rights defenders. She was also a member of the International Commission of Inquiry on Darfur in 2004. 110 Colonel Travers is a former Officer in Ireland’s Defense Forces as well as a member of the Board of Directors of the Institute for International Criminal Investigations. Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶¶ 2, 132. 111 See Human Rights Council, Human Rights Situation in Palestine and Other Occupied Arab Territories: Report of the High-level Fact-finding Mission to Beit Hanoun Established under Council Resolution S-3/1, U.N. Doc. A/HRC/9/26 (Sept. 1, 2008). 112 Christine Chinkin, et. al., Israel’s Bombardment of Gaza Is Not Self-defense—It’s a War Crime, SUNDAY TIMES at 16 (Jan. 11, 2009). 113 Id. 114 Id. 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 151 Israel and the United States House of Representatives,115 questioned professor Chinkin’s impartiality as a commissioner.116 Rarely is it noted, however, that the letter also condemns “the firing of rockets by Hamas into Israel and suicide bombings which [were] also contrary to international humanitarian law and are war crimes.”117 Perhaps the fact that Professor Chinkin seemed to have pre-determined prima facie criminality on both sides, as opposed to only with respect to one party, is a non sequitur in that the concern, seen in its best light, was really with respect to Chinkin having predetermined criminality. Whether she had prejudged one or both sides was of lesser significance. In any event, it has been argued that her appointment created a suspicion of bias. As a result, there were several requests that she recuse herself from the Gaza COI, including a direct, formal petition by UN Watch (a pro-Israeli NGO) to Justice Goldstone that she be disqualified.118 Arguably a judge on a domestic COI would have been disqualified in similar circumstances; however, in rejecting the petition to disqualify Professor Chinkin, Justice Goldstone stated that bias did not apply as it would in a court or administrative law setting because the Gaza COI was neither “judicial” nor even “quasi-judicial” in nature:119 “Ours wasn’t an investigation, it was a fact-finding mission . . . . We made that clear . . . [i]f this was a court of law, there would have been nothing proven.”120 Goldstone recommended that independent criminal investigations and, if necessary, prosecutions be undertaken either by the parties to the conflict, the International Criminal Court, or by way of the exercise of universal jurisdiction because he viewed the COI as a factfinding mission, rather than a criminal or legal undertaking.121 This is to say that Justice Goldstone saw his role as purely investigatory, whereby the issues are brought into the 115 See generally H.R. Res. 867, supra note 61. 116 See Letter of Ambassador Aharon Leshno-Yaar, supra note 30. See also Initial Israeli Response to COI, supra note 31, ¶ 17. 117 Chinkin, et. al., supra note 112. 118 See U.N. Watch, Request to Disqualify Prof. Christine Chinkin from UN Fact Finding Mission on the Gaza Conflict, (Aug. 20, 2009). 119 U.N. Watch, UN Goldstone Inquiry Rejects ‘so-called’ Petition of UN Watch; Denies Mission is Quasi-judicial, (Aug. 30, 2009), http://blog.unwatch.org/?p=451. See also Justice Goldstone’s talk at Brandeis University, available at http://www.brandeis.edu/now/2009/november/gazaforumcoverage.html; and Goldstone Walks a Fine Line in an Ancient War Zone, B USINESS DAY (Apr. 8, 2009), www.businessday.co.za/articles/Content.aspx?id-77618. See also Gal Beckerman, Goldstone: ‘If This Was a Court of Law, There Would Have Been Nothing Proven’, JEWISH DAILY FORWARD (Oct. 16, 2009), www.forward.com/articles/116269. 120 See Beckerman, supra note 119. 121 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 1968. 152 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 public domain and the legal and criminal work are left to be accomplished by courts of law.122 Subsequent to the Gaza COI, Justice Goldstone has described the purpose of UN COIs as offering a “roadmap” for future prosecutors (and presumably others) to use to aid in deciding on what incidents or types of offences might usefully be investigated.123 Under this understanding, it would seem that criminal courts could not rely on the Goldstone Report’s findings.124 In this regard, Alan Dershowitz has stated, “[i]f [Chinkin’s] bias would have been a ground for judicial disqualification, then surely her conclusions should not be credited by quasi-judicial bodies, such as the International Criminal Court, the Human Rights Council, and other governmental and non-governmental bodies.”125 However, Goldstone’s assertion in rejecting the petition to disqualify Chinkin that the Gaza COI was completely non-judicial in nature seems difficult to reconcile with his other assertion that the Gaza COI itself was necessarily impartial and independent.126 In reviewing Israel’s duty to investigate allegations of serious violations of international law, the Goldstone Report explicitly stated that inquiries were required to observe “the universal principles of independence, effectiveness, promptness and impartially (sic).”127 Elsewhere in the Goldstone Report, it was made clear that the Gaza COI was itself bound by what was called “international investigative standards developed by the UN.”128 However, it is unclear 122 Goldstone has asserted since the report that: “Some have charged that the process we followed did not live up to judicial standards. To be clear: Our mission was in no way a judicial or even quasi-judicial proceeding. We did not investigate criminal conduct on the part of any individual in Israel, Gaza or the West Bank.” Goldstone Recantation, supra note 33. 123 Goldstone subsequently addressed the purpose of large-scale UN COIs, such as that in Gaza, in an interview: When he began working [as chief prosecutor of the ICTY], Goldstone was presented with a report commissioned by the U.N. Security Council based on what he said was a fact-finding mission similar to…Gaza. “We couldn’t use that report as evidence at all,” Goldstone said. “But it was a useful roadmap for our investigators, for me as chief prosecutor, to decide where we should investigate. And that’s the purpose of this sort of report.” [Emphasis added]. See Gal Beckerman, supra note 119. 124 Id. 125 Dershowitz, supra note 58, at 5. 126 According to Goldstone, in the Executive Summary of the Goldstone COI, published by the European Human Rights Law Review, “the Mission adhered to an impartial and independent analysis of the parties’ compliance with their obligations under general international law, the Charter of the United Nations, international humanitarian law, international human rights law and international criminal law.” Goldstone, et. al., Report on UN Fact Finding Mission on the Gaza Conflict, 2 EUR. HUM. RTS. L. REV. 125, 125 (2010). 127 128 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 1814. Id. at ¶¶ 158, 161: “The methods adopted to gather and verify information and reach conclusions were for the most part guided by best practice methodology in the context of United Nations investigations.” 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 153 what independence and impartiality might mean—and how these principles should be interpreted—if legal or quasi-legal standards are removed from the equation so that, for example, the appearance of bias does not affect the COI’s independence or impartiality. As the first follow-up to the Goldstone Report by the Human Rights Council Committee of Independent Experts stated with regard to its review of the investigations into their own conduct during the 22-day conflict by Israel and Hamas: impartiality refers to the question of whether an investigator is or is likely to be biased. The [UN] Human Rights Committee has stated that “judges must not harbor preconceptions about the matter put before them, and that they must not act in ways that promote the interests of one of the parties”. Similar considerations apply to investigators.129 In any event, it is a choice whether or not we treat such COIs as legal responses to mass atrocities or, rather, design them as simply something akin to a human rights fact-finding mission of the sort that a NGO might conduct. The latter approach would support Goldstone’s assertion that the Gaza COI was neither judicial nor quasi-judicial,130 in that he seems to assert that no or very limited formal legal rules apply, at least as concerns issues of bias or the choice of commissioners. However, such a position is inapposite with the reality of what contemporary UN COIs do, how they are designed, and what is needed from them. Law is inextricably linked to COI processes. Ad hoc UN COIs are legally constituted through formal resolutions, conduct administrative-legal inquiries akin to COIs in domestic settings. The COIs also apply interpretations of international laws, make pronouncements on criminal guilt or the possibility thereof, and their findings result in—or are intended to support—legal consequences, such as being used by legal bodies such as courts to found legal actions. Thus, it is hard to see how impartiality and independence can both be required by universal principles but not subject to either a judicial or quasi-judicial legal interpretation. Law is infused throughout the UN COI and legality must necessarily play a role in the interpretation of independence and impartiality in this case, particularly with respect to issues of real or perceived bias. Moreover, the effectiveness and legitimacy of UN COIs depend on their ability to produce impartial, independent reports for political bodies that could not likely do so themselves. A review of the perceptions of UN COI commissioners, reports, academic commentators, as well as the ever-increasing set of applicable rules and guidelines reveals that the legitimacy of UN COIs is inexorably linked to their ability to complete their fact-finding task not just in a thorough fashion, but in an open, impartial, reliable and independent manner. 129 130 H.R.C. Res. 15/50, supra note 81, ¶ 23 [Emphasis added.] Goldstone reiterated his assertion that the Gaza COI was not to live up to judicial standards: “Some have charged that the process we followed did not live up to judicial standards. To be clear: Our mission was in no way a judicial or even quasi-judicial proceeding.” [Emphasis added.] Goldstone Recantation, supra note 33. 154 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 Theoretically, because of the impartiality and independence of UN COIs, their factual findings and recommendations can be relied upon in a way that the findings, assertions, and recommendations of UN political organs cannot. Regardless of whether or not a particular UN COI perceives itself to be “extra-“ or “quasi-judicial”—or something else entirely—and regardless of a particular purpose ascribed to a UN COI, its benefits derive from the fact that it is able to act, to a greater or lesser degree, “legally”, even in otherwise highly political contexts. In other words, the benefit of UN COIs has always been their ability to bring legal legitimacy—the sort that follows from transparent efforts for reasoned objectivity—to political conflicts. The parallels between Justice Goldstone’s assertions in 2009 and the more recent 2015 Gaza inquiry are striking. Before being appointed as chairman of the commission of investigation, Professor William Schabas called for the indictment of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, asserting that there was prima facie evidence of Israeli disproportionality in its attacks on Gaza—tantamount to saying war crimes were prima facie committed (prima facie being arguably as far as a COI could go in its findings). 131 Israel’s response to the appointment, as it had been to Chinkin’s appointment in 2007, was to assert that Schabas was “a vocally biased critic of Israel,” meaning that Israel would not get “a fair hearing” from the UN commission.132 In a series of events very similar to what had transpired years earlier with Professor Chinkin, Schabas was called upon by Israel and others (including Canada) to step down for the perception of bias, something he eventually reluctantly did.133 Tellingly, in his resignation letter to the UN, Professor Schabas stated: “In early August 2014, when I was asked if I would accept a nomination to the Commission of Inquiry, I was not requested to provide any details on any of my past statements and other activities concerning Palestine and Israel.”134 The point here is not to take a position on whether Professors Schabas or Chinkin were biased in a meaningful sense. Rather, the idea is that bias and the perception thereof matter with respect to UN COIs and particularly their commissioners; the investigations and ultimate reports need to be credible and reliable if they are to have any hope of making an 131 Israel Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Behind the Headlines: The Human Rights Council Commission of Inquiry on Gaza, (Sept. 7, 2014), http://mfa.gov.il/MFA/ForeignPolicy/Issues/Pages/The-Human-Rights-Council-commission-ofinquiry-on-Gaza.aspx. See also Irwin Cotler, The Fatal Flaws of the Schabas Inquiry, THE JERUSALEM POST (Sept. 11, 2014), http://www.jpost.com/Opinion/The-fatal-flaws-of-the-Schabas-Inquiry-375139. 132 Behind the Headlines, supra note 131. 133 See United Nations Human Rights Office of the High Commissioner, Press Statement on the Resignation of the Chairperson of the Commission of Inquiry on the 2014 Gaza Conflict, (Feb. 3, 2015), http://www.ohchr.org/EN/NewsEvents/Pages/DisplayNews.aspx?NewsID=15535&LangID=E. The final report was due on March 23 of that year, though because of the resignation it was released on 29 June 2015. 134 William Schabas, Letter to HE Joachim Rücker President, (Feb. 2, 2015), http://blog.unwatch.org/wpcontent/uploads/r%C3%BCcker.schabas.2.2.15.resignation-letter.pdf. 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 155 impact. When a commissioner is viewed as biased, particularly by one of the parties to whom the report is arguably targeted, the COI’s report loses its legitimacy and thus its effectiveness. The lesson was not learned after the Gaza COI and one can only hope that, moving forward, UN COIs will take greater note of their “judicial” or “quasi-judicial” nature, to use Justice Goldstone’s terms, when it comes to the appearance of impartiality of the commissioners. In order to gain insight into what constitutes prejudice in the context of ad hoc UN COIs and their commissioners, the most obvious improvement to be made is that questions of bias should be confronted directly, first by the UN body constituting the COI and then, if necessary, by the commission itself. Allegations of bias supported by documentation must not be dismissed as inapplicable or as allegations to be confronted only in courtrooms – as though non-courtroom bodies are not also legal in meaningful ways. Decisions must be viewed as fair and impartial in the context; the COI cannot have it both ways. It cannot on the one hand promote criminal accountability135 by claiming the same legitimacy, reliability and credibility that domestic-level COIs (for example, Canadian, British or Australian COIs) generally claim, and then, on the other hand, act non-judicially and avoid these tricky legal and procedural processes and principles in favor of those utilized by some other non-legal fact-finding missions (NGOs for example).136 It is insufficient to simply dismiss claims of bias when the perception of bias is at issue. With respect to the same conflict, we have now seen twice the negative consequences that conduce to COI reports where claims of bias are not taken with the seriously that they deserve. When the issue is raised, some legal analysis is required before a commissioner who has made her views known and taken a public position on a particular issue of direct relevance to the COI is determined to be suitable or unsuitable for the post of commissioner. The often outraged response to Professor Chinkin’s appointment as a commissioner to the Gaza COI (and Professor Schabas’ appointment to a subsequent Gaza UN COI) demonstrates that perhaps the more polarized the conflict confronted by UN COIs, the greater the necessity for fidelity to the legal principles of independence and impartiality. A commitment to these principles would likely have required the recusal of Professor Chinkin from the Gaza COI, just as Professor Schabas eventually stepped aside in the more recent Gaza COI of 2015. 135 The Goldstone Report ends with: “[t]he Mission is of the view that the prosecution of persons responsible for serious violations of international humanitarian law would contribute to ending such violations, to the protection of civilians and to the restoration and maintenance of peace.” See Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 1966. Goldstone himself has since repeated that this was the primary purpose of the COI. See Richard Goldstone, Justice in Gaza, NEW YORK TIMES (Sept. 17, 2009), www.nytimes.com/2009/09/17/opinion/17goldstone.html. 136 Indeed, many good NGOs will adopt legal or quasi-legal standards with respect to impartiality in order to ensure the legitimacy and reliability of their reports. For without credibility, neither NGO nor UN inquiries are of much value (except, perhaps, as unreliable political tools). Thus, though I distinguish here between NGO COIs and UN COIs, there is no reason why an NGO inquiry could not be seen as legalistic, nor is there any reason why it will or should not exhibit a fidelity to legality. 156 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 A commitment to legality, however, also surely requires a commitment to independence, and in the case of UN COIs, it is important that commissioners not be subject to arbitrary dismissal. Rules as to discharging a commissioner are necessary, easy to promulgate, and there are numerous options available. Unfortunately none of these options are binding upon UN COIs. For example, though the ideal outcome would be for a commissioner to recuse herself in situations in which she is unable to be impartial and independent, the dismissal of a commissioner by unanimous vote of the other commissioners is one possible option. In terms of determining with precision what is required for a commissioner to maintain impartiality and independence, reference to the specific mandate, the purpose, and overarching goals of the UN COI will be necessary. Legal decisions of this nature are very fact specific: What legality might require—that is, what it means to be impartial and the degree to which one must be impartial—depends upon the position of the commissioner, the investigation, and some understanding of the parties’ concerns. This does not mean, however, that the mandate and purpose of the COI have to be so specific that they speak directly to the issue of bias; such a specific mandate could be impractical and unwarranted. But it does mean that the applicable law must be clear and accessible so that interpretations of what constitutes prejudice and independence can be reasonably evaluated and, if necessary, critiqued. In other words, had either of the Gaza COI’s mandates been more transparent with respect to their goals and the means by which those goals might be achieved by a Commission, we would likely have a better understanding of the appropriate standards of impartiality and independence in that particular situation. Generally, it might be said that the more formal and criminal-esque the investigation, the greater fidelity future large-scale UN COIs should evince with respect to due process of law and impartiality. III. Bias and the Scope of the Gaza COI’s Investigation The Human Rights Council did not strictly circumscribe the temporal and geographic confines of the Gaza COI in its mandate. It was thus left to the Gaza COI’s commissioners to determine the scope of the inquiry.137 This gap—left by the Human Rights Council—created a pair of problems. First, the Gaza COI invited claims of bias by broadening the temporal scope of its investigation beyond the 22-day conflict and by offering its own perception of the relevant history to the conflict. In so doing the Gaza COI exposed itself to claims that it harbored historical biases, which could be said to permeate the Goldstone Report and influence its subsequent legal analysis.138 In this way, some of the substantive legal and 137 Truth Commissions, or even international courts, generally circumscribe the timeline that is to be considered. 138 Moshe Halbertal, for example, has stated with respect to the historical review conducted by the Goldstone Report: The honest reader of these sections cannot avoid the impression that their objective is to prepare a general indictment of Israel as a predatory state that is geared toward violating human rights all the time. It will naturally follow from such a premise that the Gaza operation 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 157 factual analyses of the Gaza COI was side-tracked by discussions of the Goldstone Report’s arguably less relevant and less important historical narrative. Second, the Gaza COI could be seen as biased for broadening the geographic scope of the investigation to include the West Bank, an area that was not part of the military conflict at the time. The Gaza COI saw its mandate as extending, at least in part, well beyond the scope of the 22-day conflict. In justifying the inclusion of an historical narrative to lead-off the Goldstone Report, the report asserted that “[a] review of the historical, political and military developments between the Six-Day War in 1967 and the announcement of the ‘period of calm’ . . . in June 2008, and of Israeli policies towards the Occupied Palestinian Territory is necessary to consider and understand the events that fall more directly within the scope of the Mission’s mandate.”139 The Goldstone Report’s subsequent historical analysis might generally be broken into three important sections found in chapters II and III.140 First, chapter II, part A, of the Goldstone Report provided about six pages on the history of the conflict between Israel and Palestine, dating back to the Six-Day War of June 1967 when the West Bank, including East Jerusalem as well as the Gaza Strip, were first captured by Israel.141 However, it is not clear how much of this historical narrative is directly relevant or necessary to understanding “the events that fall more directly within the scope of the . . . mandate,” which presumably includes the military activities that occurred during Operation Cast Lead and ultimately led to allegations of war crimes, crimes against humanity, and other serious human rights violations. For example, the Goldstone Report deigns to note little of the events between 1967 and 1977, other than the fact that “’[m]ilitary orders’ were used to rule the civil affairs of the Palestinian population” in the West Bank and Gaza Strip during this time, and that all of Jerusalem was annexed to the capital of Israel in 1980—an action was yet another instance of Israel’s general wicked behaviour [sic]. These long sections are the weakest, the most biased, and the most outrageous in this long document. They are nothing if not political. See Halbertal, supra note 58. 139 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶¶ 176–97. 140 Although there are certainly other chapters in the Goldstone Report that provide historical background, these other chapters tend to be issue-centric in that they are focused on the relationship between specific policies or issues, such as the Israeli blockade of the Gaza Strip, and the subsequent military activity, rather than on offering a more broad, general historical contextualization of the conflict. Foremost among these other sections might be chapter XVII on “The Impact of the Blockade and of the Military Operations on the People of Gaza and their Human Rights.” Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶¶ 1217–335. In general, these issue specific resorts to history provide more of the type of information and context that is necessary to understand the scope of the alleged human rights abuses found in the Goldstone Report than the broader historical contextualization offers. 141 Id. at ¶¶ 177–97. 158 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 condemned by the UN.142 This essentially brings us to 1977 when, as the Goldstone Report notes, the Likud Party was elected in Israel and the expropriation of Palestinian land was accelerated through the development of settlements, which, in turn, led to “growing tension and violence.”143 Temporally, the next event mentioned is the 1987 Palestinian intifada, which was neither contextualized nor explained in depth other than to say that it was “forcefully repressed by the Israeli security forces but lasted until 1993 . . . . ”144 The Oslo Accords are also briefly discussed, though little history or context is provided before it is mentioned that “[a] second popular uprising erupted in September 2000, after the then opposition leader Ariel Sharon conducted a controversial visit to the Temple Mount/al-Haram al-Sharif in Jerusalem. This second intifada set off an unprecedented cycle of violence.”145 The Goldstone Report’s discussion of the violence that followed the second intifada is the first time in the historical review that one gets a sense of what it was like to live in the region at the time, or how much animosity and death had become a part of day-to-day life. Even then, the most relevant context is expressed simply by noting the number of deaths caused by suicide bombings or military conflict.146 Otherwise, the Goldstone Report simply notes several major newsworthy events that took place in the 2000s, such as the construction of the “separation Wall,”147 and the 2002 “road map to peace” proposed by the United States, European Union, Russia and the UN.148 In fact, pre-2004, most of the information provided by the Goldstone is piecemeal, highly selective, and provides little context or detailed analysis that would help those unfamiliar with the dispute in attempting to understand the conflict in any meaningful way. This trend does change slightly when the Goldstone Report offered its discussion of the “disengagement plan”, which took place in 2004 and provided for the “unilateral removal from the Gaza Strip of Israeli security forces”, though Israel maintained its control over borders, telecommunications, water, electricity, and several other aspects of day-to-day life.149 Hamas is then mentioned for the first time,150 though subsequent violence against 142 Id. at ¶ 177. 143 Id. at ¶ 178. 144 Id. 145 Id. at ¶ 180. 146 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶¶ 181–83. 147 Id. at ¶ 185. 148 Id. at ¶ 186. 149 Id. at ¶ 187. 150 Id. at ¶ 188. 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 159 Israel is associated with other groups like the al-Qassam Brigades or Israel as against Hamas. The Goldstone Report then makes note of Israel’s imposition of economic sanctions on the Hamas-led Palestinian Authority, but no mention is made of why Israel thought this necessary. Rather, the general focus of the report’s discussion of the period between 2004 and 2006 seems to be on Hamas’ split from the Palestinian Authority and Fatah, as well as its subsequent democratic election. Finally, part A of chapter II of the Goldstone Reports concludes by mentioning several “Israeli military operations in Gaza and the West Bank” which occurred prior Operation Cast Lead,151 and then by detailing the post-2006 violence between Israel and “Palestinian militants,” reverting again to a form that basically lists several events and the number of deaths. Second, in chapter II, part B, the Goldstone Report offered an historical overview of Israel’s “pattern of policies and conduct relevant to the Occupied Palestinian Territory”152 and a discussion of the “relevant political and administrative structures in the Gaza Strip and West Bank” which contributed to the conflict.153 This discussion focused primarily on the settlements and the separation Wall built by Israel, the demolition of Palestinian homes and the evacuation of Palestinians, the Israeli policy of “closure,” (which closes off certain areas and restricts the movement of goods and people) and, finally, various Israeli laws that treat differently Palestinians and “persons of Jewish race or descendency”—and provide benefits to the latter people.154 Third, chapter III of the Goldstone Report considered the events occurring between the “ceasefire” of 19 June 2008 and the commencement of military operations on 27 December 2008, and included a discussion of the right to self-determination and of various human rights, humanitarian and international criminal laws as they apply to the law of occupation.155 Though there are a few hints of how the movement of goods and services into Gaza were restricted during this period, and the consequent economic and humanitarian impact, much of chapter III is nevertheless concerned with documenting the various violent acts perpetrated by all parties after the ceasefire and the number killed by this violence. Lists of events and tallies of the number of people killed stands in place of historical or contextual analysis. The Goldstone Report’s review of all of these particular facts that took place before the 27 December 2008 date—articulated by the Gaza COI’s mandate as the day the hostilities 151 Id. at ¶¶ 193–4. 152 Id. at ¶¶ 198–209. 153 Id. at ¶¶ 210–22. 154 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 206. 155 Id. at ¶¶ 223–310. 160 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 commenced—was necessarily bound to be a controversial exercise. In offering a thoughtful critique of the Goldstone Report, Moshe Halbertal argued: The [C]ommission should not have dealt with the context leading to the war; it should have concentrated on its mandate, which concerned only the Gaza operation. By setting its findings about the Gaza war in a greatly distorted description of the larger historical context, it makes it difficult for Israelis—even of the left, where I include myself—to take its findings seriously.156 The historical context to which Halbertal is referring, in addition to the causes and instigations of the conflict between Israel and Palestinians, has been in dispute since at least 1947. Historical overviews by their very nature tend to provide an ideal terrain for locating partiality, particularly where the incentive exists for one or all of the subjects of the historical overview to find bias wherever it might exist. But the problem was not merely that the historical overview could be controverted; rather, the problem, according to Halbertal, was that the articulation of any perceived historical inaccuracies could taint the entirety of the Goldstone Report with allegations of bias and thus affect the credibility of all of its findings, especially those of specific violations of international law. In offering the historical overview, certain choices were made by the Report’s authors in terms of what period to use to commence the story, and what events to focus on. One can be sympathetic to the commissioners here in terms of the choices made. The Goldstone Report began its historical review with the Six Day war of 1967, which makes sense as a starting point given that the war marked the time when the Gaza Strip and West Bank, the geographical foci of the investigation, came under Israeli authority. But the “relationship” did not necessarily begin at this time. One could have gone back to 1947 or to the 1949 Armistice demarcation where the “Green Line” was drawn between Israel and the Gaza Strip, administered until 1967 by Egypt, and the West Bank, administered during that same period by Jordan. By one account, the events that took place after the 2005 Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip represent all the history that is “necessary” to understand the political and legal backdrop to Operation Cast Lead: “Operation Cast Lead cannot be understood, either legally or politically, in a historical vacuum. Thus, Section III [of the article] will sketch the necessary backdrop to the recent fighting, beginning with Israel’s 2005 withdrawal of troops and settlers from the Gaza Strip . . . . ”157 Note also that both the Goldstone Report and the above account strongly assert the need for an historical review in order to understand the legal context, but do not directly justify 156 See Halbertal, supra note 58. 157 George E. Bisharat, et. al., Israel’s Invasion of Gaza in International Law, 38 DENV. J. INT’L L. & POL’Y 41, 45 (2009). 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 161 this assertion – historical reviews of armed conflicts have become such an entrenched part of modern human rights fact-finding and the transitional justice movement that it is no longer necessary to justify resort to them. But this presumption should not stand. The assertion that an historical inquiry is necessary in order to understand the legal context of any conflict is contingent upon additional, largely unstated, presumptions, including the precise legal context one is analyzing. For example, it is hard to see how an historical context dating back 40-years is necessary to determine whether the use of white phosphorus in the vicinity of a school during Operation Cast Lead amounted to a war crime; here, the context of the deployment of the weapon could be a consideration, but surely whether or not the use of white phosphorus in that context amounts to a war crime does not depend upon the historic process of establishing settlements in the West Bank, or indeed on anything beyond the timeframe of the 22-day conflict.158 In terms of the specific problems that resulted from the broad historicizing undertaken in the Goldstone Report, the choice of which historical events to include and which to exclude led to a great deal of controversy and criticism. For example, the Goldstone Report’s focus on the annexation of Jerusalem and the establishment of settlements in the 1970s and 1980s was not met with any similar focus on the formation of the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO).159 Indeed, the PLO was first mentioned as the leaders of a “widespread popular uprising—the intifada” which was “forcefully repressed by the Israeli security forces,” while the settlements were described as having “continued unabated to this day.”160 It is worth noting here, however, that the Goldstone Report did make special note of the fact that, according to Israel, “154 suicide bomb attacks against Israeli civilians and military personnel took place between 1993 and 2007,”161 and that “[t]he firing of rockets and mortars from Gaza into Israel began in 2001” with Israel reporting that “as many as 3,455 rockets and 3,742 mortar shells were fired into Israel from Gaza until mid-June 2008.”162 158 This is not to say that the historical context is not relevant in the case of the Gaza COI or any other UN COI, only that the extent of its relevance and what time-frame is relevant are contextual decisions to be made contingent on other factors. The relevance of any history must be maintained by reference to what precisely that history is legally and politically relevant to demonstrating. Thus, the extent of the historical inquiry will necessarily depend on at least: (1) the extent to which the inquiry is about providing political, as opposed to legal, context in order to, for example, understand the broader dispute and potential solutions thereto; and, (2) the determination made as to the scope of the applicable law—meaning that if the COI is limited to considerations of war crimes then historical context may play a smaller role, while a COI that considers the purported breach of social and economic rights may need to resort to some greater degree to historical context in order to situate those breaches. 159 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶¶ 177–78. 160 Id. at ¶ 178. 161 Id. at ¶ 182. 162 Id. at ¶¶ 183, 185, 201–03. The language used in such historical narratives can also be used to support claims of bias. For example, the Goldstone Report refers to the construction of the “Wall” starting in June 2002, which the Israelis prefer to call a barrier or fence. At the same time, there is no discussion of the controversy surrounding the purposes and actions of Hamas. As Halbertal notes, “[i]n the supposed context that the report analyzes, there is no 162 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 Perhaps more damning from the Israeli perspective is chapter II, part B, concerning “Israel’s pattern of policies and conduct relevant to the Occupied Palestinian Territory,” which goes into detail about Israel’s breach of the Geneva Conventions (particularly as concerns the Occupied Territory),163 its building of settlements164 and destruction of Palestinian-owned edifices,165 and on the policy of “closure” described as “closures of entire areas and restrictions on the movement for goods and people on the basis of alleged security threats to Israel.”166 No equivalent section concerning the PLO, Fatah, Hamas, or the Palestinian Authority’s “policies and conduct relevant to the situation in Gaza [or in Israel]” is included in the Goldstone Report. Yet, to Israel, years of terrorist conduct and “asymmetrical warfare” are certainly relevant to the evaluation of, for example, Hamas’ denials to the Gaza COI that it engaged in various forms of non-traditional and criminal methods of warfare during the 22-day conflict. Of course, this being history, it might also be said that the Goldstone Report’s historical review benefitted Israel in some ways by omitting certain salient discussions. For example, despite Israel’s justifications for Operation Cast Lead, Henry Stiegman has argued that, after an initial breach of the ceasefire, Hamas: offered to extend the truce, but on condition that Israel end its blockade. Israel refused. It could have met its obligation to protect its citizens by agreeing to ease the blockade, but it didn’t even try. It cannot be said, therefore, that Israel launched its assault to protect its citizens from rockets.167 It should also be noted that a relatively brief historical inquiry was sufficient to attract a high level of criticism. In the context of the Goldstone Report as a whole, the historical inquiry was highly circumscribed and, as is evident from the above overview of the relevant historical sections, did not purport to be comprehensive. Fewer than twenty pages were primarily devoted to an historical overview and, for the most part, discussion was restricted to the immediate past because the commissioners decided, “to focus primarily on events, mention of Hamas’s role and its ideology as reflected in its extraordinary charter, which calls for the destruction of Israel and the genocidal killing of Jews.” See Halbertal, supra note 58, at 355. 163 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶¶ 198, 206. 164 Id. at ¶¶ 198–99. 165 Id. at ¶ 200. 166 Id. at ¶ 204. 167 See Stiegman, supra note 18, at 390. 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 163 actions or circumstances occurring since 19 June 2008, when a ceasefire was agreed between the Government of Israel and Hamas.”168 On the one hand, it seems that due to the indeterminacy of the mandate, decisions were made by the commissioners as to the contents of the report that exposed them (and, by extension, their findings and recommendations) to claims of bias in light of the extraordinarily heightened controversy that surrounds the history of the region. On the other hand, perhaps the commissioners and the Goldstone Report would have been subject to such scrutiny and controversy regardless of the mandate; certainly it was the case that a relatively short historical review resulted in a great deal of controversy. Either way, it is pertinent to ask whether this level of historicizing is in fact necessary for a UN COI such as this one and to what extent historical reviews can or do contribute to controversy and detract from COIs’ fact-finding.169 For its part, after offering an historical background to the conflict, the Gaza COI noted that its mandate was not primarily historical but, to repeat, was “to focus primarily on events, actions or circumstances that had occurred since 19 June 2008, when a ceasefire was agreed between the Government of Israel and Hamas.”170 If this is accurate and the Gaza COI was not about a transitional justice-inspired search for some broader, historical truth, then it would seem that the commissioners unnecessarily exposed themselves and the Goldstone Report to conflict and allegations of bias, thereby detracting from their legal work and findings. The commissioners were themselves directly implicated in the purported bias not only because they provided the historical overview, but also because they thought it necessary to provide such an overview in the first place. Had the mandate explicitly required such an overview, the commissioners could have at the very least claimed that it was not their decision as to whether or not they considered the controversial history. In future inquiries, if such historical background is necessary, perhaps it is better to explicitly address this issue at the outset of the COI and to specify the temporal scope of the inquiry clearly and openly in the mandate so that the commissioners are not negatively associated with potential allegations of bias relating to the temporal scope of the investigation. The appropriateness of the approach taken by the Gaza COI depends upon one’s understanding of the general purposes of such large-scale COIs and of what specific purpose(s) the Gaza COI might realistically be able to achieve, which will also influence the appropriate scope of the COI and what legal violations should be considered. Publicly, as represented by NGO and media reports from the time around Operation Cast Lead, the 168 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, at ¶¶ 12, 153, 223. 169 A distinction might be drawn here between a war crimes COI and a truth commission. For a discussion of the distinction between COIs and truth commissions. See generally HAYNER, supra note 9; and FREEMAN, supra note 9. 170 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, at ¶¶ 12, 153, 223. 164 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 primary main-stream concern regarding the conflict was about the conduct of the parties during Operation Cast Lead, with the larger ongoing conflict looming in the background. While it may have been that the military actions were seen as the final straw, as the culmination of a long series of events that produced the need for a consideration of the modern policies and practices of all parties starting at some prescribed period decades ago, it is unclear whether such historicizing is what was desired or needed by the large-scale Gaza COI. It is even less clear whether the Gaza COI, constituted as it was without the involvement of the parties, was capable of effectively undertaking such an historical task. The Goldstone Report acknowledged this limitation when it noted that the Report focused primarily on post-19 June 2008 events, despite the “broad mandate”: “[W]hile the Gaza events must be seen in the context of the overall conflict and situation in the Occupied Palestinian Territory, in view of the limited time and resources available, it would be beyond its abilities to focus on conduct or actions that took place long before the military operation of DecemberJanuary.”171 Moreover, as was noted above, the geographic scope of the Gaza COI was also left open to interpretation. As a result, the Gaza COI did not limit itself to an investigation solely of the Gaza Strip, but considered that its mandate required that it extend its inquiry beyond Gaza to “include restrictions on human rights and fundamental freedoms related to the strategies and actions of Israel in the context of its military operations.”172 According to the Goldstone Report, “[d]evelopments in Gaza and the West Bank are closely interrelated [and] an analysis of both is necessary to reach an informed understanding of and to report on issues within the Mission’s mandate.”173 Specifically, the Gaza COI considered as relevant the Israeli strategies related to the West Bank (including east Jerusalem), which included detention of Palestinians in Israeli prisons, violations of the right to free movement, and restrictions upon freedom of assembly and expression by the Palestinian Authority. A more precise mandate would have assured greater clarity with respect to the scope of the investigation and whether it was to include the West Bank, which is geographically separated from the Gaza Strip by Israel and which was not invaded during the December 2008–January 2009 military incursion. Geographically expanding the scope of the inquiry brings into question whether the Gaza COI process was only or primarily about the 22-day military offensive and the crimes committed during that time–whether it was about accountability and ending impunity in the context of military conflict–or whether the Gaza COI was part of a larger transitional justice- 171 Id. at ¶ 153. Further, the COI also took “into consideration matters occurring after the end of military operations that constitute continuing human rights and international humanitarian law violations related to or as a consequence of the military operations, up to 31 July 2009”. Id. at ¶¶ 12, 153. 172 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 1373. 173 Id. at ¶ 1374. 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 165 inspired project to contextualize and historicize the situation and elaborate a more comprehensive picture of both the historical conflict and the breaches of international human rights and humanitarian law.174 Either way, the approach taken by the Gaza COI and the international community led to deeper Israeli disengagement from and consternation towards the Gaza COI and, perhaps, the Middle East peace process.175 IV. Bias and the Choice of Incidents to Investigate The Gaza COI invited further claims of bias by focusing only on select incidents it deemed as representative of patterns of abuse without providing much justification for the selection of said incidents. According to the Goldstone Report, relevant incidents “committed in the context of the . . . military operations” were considered, including a review of “restrictions on human rights and fundamental freedoms relating to Israel’s strategies and actions . . . .”176 While the Goldstone Report did “not purport to be exhaustive in documenting the very high number of relevant incidents that occurred in the period covered by the Mission’s mandate . . . the Mission consider[ed] that the report [was] illustrative of the main patterns of violations.”177 However, the Goldstone Report did not explain how the incidents reviewed within the Report were determined to be “illustrative” of a broader pattern of conduct, or how it chose as between incidents of a similar “type”.178 Furthermore, the Gaza COI did not explain how it ensured that the incidents that it chose to investigate that otherwise seemed to be illustrative of a general pattern of behavior would be representative in terms of the ultimate legal findings (i.e., in terms of whether or not a criminal wrong was likely committed). So, for example, while two incidents might look similar–they both involve an attack on a 174 One important purpose of truth commissions is to create a shared sense of history, community and belonging, to provide a history that can be relied upon as a source for understanding and for confronting problems that are better understood in their historical context. A corollary to this objective is to create a shared (though potentially disputed) understanding of the history that has plagued the nation or region and offer a cathartic outlet for the dispute, which flows from knowing the truth and dealing with the past, which it is said allows the nation to move productively toward its future. Arguable, the political and social circumstances that obtain in the Middle East at this time are not conducive to accomplishing such an objective. In any event, it was unclear that this was indeed the objective. 175 As was noted, Israel did not grant access to the West Bank. See, e.g., Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 1376. 176 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 14. 177 Id. at para. 16. 178 So, for example, the Goldstone Report notes that the “Israeli Government alleges that ‘Hamas abused the protection accorded to places of worship, making a practice of storing weapons in mosques’”. But then the report only notes the investigation of one Mosque, investigated seemingly because it was attacked by Israel, and notes that “the Mission was not able to investigate the allegation of the use of mosques generally by Palestinian groups for forming weapons.” No explanation is given as to why one of the most serious and prevalent of Israeli accusations was not further investigated. See Goldstone Report, supra note 9 at paras. 464–65. 166 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 hospital, for example–one incident may have resulted by accident while the other resulted from a criminal intent to harm civilians. As concerns these two incidents, one might well be “illustrative” of the other in terms of appearances, but the criminal findings cannot necessarily be generalized from one to the other. For the purposes of a UN COI, it is necessary that the incidents chosen not only fit a pattern of behavior, but also that they are likely to offer generalizable findings; it is not clear if or how this was done in the Goldstone Report. By contrast, Human Rights Watch generally notes in its reports how the incidents investigated came to the organization’s attention and how the incidents were subsequently chosen to be included in a specific report, as it did with respect to its investigations into Operation Cast Lead.179 As a result of the uncertainty surrounding how the Gaza COI chose the incidents to investigate that it did, hardline critics such as Dershowitz were able reasonably to ask why the use of the Shifa hospital, which Israel contends served as a main base of Hamas’ military operations, was not investigated as a possible war crime while investigations took place regarding other hospitals.180 Or how the Gaza COI was unable to conclude whether mosques were used for military purposes when it only investigated one mosque alleged by Israel to be used by Hamas for such purposes?181 Such criticism is enhanced by the fact that, unlike the Goldstone Report, Human Rights Watch did in fact find that “[d]uring the IDF offensive in Gaza, Hamas and other Palestinian armed groups used civilian structures to engage Israeli forces and to store arms . . . . They also booby-trapped and dug tunnels under civilian structures.”182 In other words, the Goldstone Report’s selectivity may have caused it to come to findings contrary to those of Human Rights Watch. It appears that the incidents involving hospitals and mosques that were investigated by the Gaza COI were selected for inclusion in the Goldstone Report because Israel—rather than Palestinian forces—was responsible for the bombings. As such, the Gaza COI was able to “double up” by investigating incidents where allegedly crimes were committed by both sides. However, this does not explain why other mosques or hospitals claimed by Israel to hold Palestinian arms or armed combatants were not also investigated. Thus, the Gaza COI’s approach to choosing which incidents to investigate combined with the Commission’s failure to explain transparently how this process took place gave Israel ammunition to condemn the Goldstone Report for its “political”—that is, its biased and/or arbitrary—selection of incidents,183 and to label the Report as contrary to the preponderance of evidence as 179 Rain of Fire, supra note 21, at 6. 180 Dershowitz, supra note 58, at 39. 181 Id. (citing the Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 465). 182 See I Lost Everything, HUMAN RIGHTS WATCH 5 (May 13, 2010), http://www.hrw.org/en/node/90317/section/1. 183 See, e.g., Initial Israeli Response to Gaza COI, supra note 31, ¶ 18. 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 167 established by other sources such as third-party news reports and the aforementioned Human Rights Watch findings. Israel's concern to the Gaza COI’s choice of incidents was that the Gaza COI seemed to be making the type of discretionary decisions commonly associated with the administrative state, meaning the type of decisions that are based upon discretionary determinations of what would be the most efficacious approach to investigating. This discretionary approach can be contrasted with the type of decision-making ordinarily associated with law or legality, specifically, where the decision-makers act with reference to clear, transparent rules and/or principles with the intention of offering a fair, impartial and fully reasoned legal solution. Israel's argument supposes that discretionary decisions are necessarily political and thus rely on the biases of the decision-makers (commissioners); to Israel, in the context of a war crimes inquiry, the exercise of such discretion without reference to rules or offering justificatory explanations for its actions undermines the legitimacy of the Gaza COI's process and the quality of its findings. Moreover, such criticisms speak to the useful purpose that UN COIs might play. Given the short timeframe allotted to the Gaza COI to complete its mission—and indeed to most UN COIs to complete their missions—as well as the mandate requiring the “urgent dispatch” of the Gaza COI and most other UN COIs, some selection will be necessary in terms of including analysis of some incidents and excluding others. Presumably this explains why the Gaza COI investigated incidents that might speak to legal wrongs committed by both sides in the case of the hospital and mosque investigations. The time and resources do not exist to investigate all allegations of abuse in such situations and thus UN COIs cannot, in similar situations, hope to offer a comprehensive historical overview of a conflict or displace other transitional justice tools that might offer a greater opportunity for witnesses and victims to tell their stories. Acknowledging the need to choose between incidents and that the effort was made to provide a picture of the pattern of abuses that occurred is a good first step toward ensuring a fair, transparent process. However, providing a precise explanation as to the process behind such decision-making promotes clarity and transparency, and, by extension, the overall appearance of the decision-making process seems considerably less political. Furthermore, the process of debating rules—in this case with respect to the selection of incidents— leads to better outcomes. An open debate and articulation of the rules of operation requires an engagement with the standards, principles that might be applied, and any available alternatives, a process which tends to require that reasoned argument determine the chosen standard. 168 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 D. Due Process Considerations in Relation to the Goldstone Report Criticism of the Goldstone Report extended beyond issues of bias and into issues of due process as well. Indeed, it should go without saying that fundamental to determining whether any UN COI report is viewed as legitimate (impartial, credible and reliable) is how it deals with issues of due process. Unfortunately, UN COIs have long been criticized for their general failure to meet sufficient standards of due process.184 Two sections of the Goldstone Report—those relating to evidence-gathering and the corroboration of evidence—are particularly relevant to the discussion of due process and legitimacy of UN COI reports, and these sections also indicate where some of these problems lie and how they might be overcome in the future. I. Evidence-Gathering and Corroboration of Evidence The Gaza COI viewed its approach to information-gathering as “inclusive”185 and based on “international investigative standards developed by the United Nations.”186 These methods of information gathering included: (a) a review of reports from different sources; (b) interviews with victims, witnesses and other persons having relevant information; (c) site visits to specific locations in Gaza where incidents had occurred; (d) the analysis of video and photographic images, including satellite imagery; (e) the review of medical reports about injuries to victims; (f) the forensic analysis of weapons and ammunition remnants collected at incident sites; (g) meetings with a variety of interlocutors; (h) invitations to provide information relating to the Mission’s investigation requirements; (i) the wide circulation of a public call for written submissions; [and] (j) public hearings in Gaza and in Geneva.187 Three field visits were conducted between the end of May and the beginning of July 2009— two to the Gaza Strip and one to Amman. These visits included investigations of thirty-six incident sites in the Gaza Strip.188 In addition, several members of the Gaza COI’s secretariat 184 See, e.g., Thomas M. Franck & H. Scott Fairley, Procedural Due Process in Human Rights Fact-Finding by International Agencies, 74 AM. J. INT’L L. 408 (1980). 185 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, at 15, ¶ 18. 186 Id. at ¶ 158. See also Goldstone Report, ¶ 161 (“The methods adopted to gather and verify information and reach conclusions were for the most part guided by best practice methodology developed in the context of United Nations investigations.”). 187 Id. at ¶ 18. 188 Id. at ¶¶ 21, 139, 159(b). 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 169 staff were present in Gaza during that same timeframe to conduct additional field investigations.189 A total of 188 individual interviews were conducted,190 primarily in person, when possible, or alternatively by telephone.191 The Gaza COI also met with a number of civil society organizations (including women’s organizations, NGOs, bar associations) in addition to meeting with military analysts, journalists, UN representatives, the Head of the United Nations Board of Inquiry into incidents in Gaza, and diplomatic representatives.192 A call for submissions was also sent to “all interested persons and organizations”193 and “notes verbales” were sent to “all United Nations organs and bodies and Member States of the United Nations.”194 The two public hearings held by the Gaza COI took place over two days in Geneva during June and July 2009.195 The Gaza COI reviewed over 300 reports, submissions, and other documents, 30 videos, and 1,200 photographs.196 The Goldstone Report noted that the purpose of the public hearings “was to enable victims, witnesses and experts from all sides to the conflict to speak directly to as many people as possible in the region as well as in the international community.”197 The hearings were broadcast live, and priority was given to victims and other “affected” communities.198 The content of the hearings included the discovery of facts in addition to “legal and military matters.”199 In terms of the Goldstone Report itself, in theory primary (otherwise termed “first-hand” or “direct”) evidence was given priority to establish the Commission’s findings: “In establishing its findings, the Mission sought to rely primarily and whenever possible on information it gathered first-hand.”200 Secondary evidence gathered by those other than the Gaza COI 189 Id. at ¶¶ 5, 133, 139. 190 Id. at ¶¶ 19; 159(b). 191 Id. at ¶ 159(b). 192 For a complete list see Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 137. 193 Id. at ¶¶ 6; 140. 194 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 140. 195 Id. at ¶¶ 7, 141. 196 Id. at ¶¶ 19, 160. The 300-plus reports amounted to over 10,000 pages according to the Goldstone Report. 197 Id. at ¶ 22. 198 Id. 199 Id. 200 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶¶ 23, 168. 170 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 team, including media and interest group reports and affidavits, was used in the Goldstone Report, in theory at least, “primarily as corroboration.”201 Accessing primary evidence was often difficult for the Gaza COI. As has been noted, Israel did not cooperate with the Gaza COI202 and, “[b]y refusing to cooperate with the Mission, the Government of Israel prevented it from meeting Israeli Government officials, but also from travelling to Israel to meet Israeli victims and to the West Bank to meet Palestinian Authority representatives and Palestinian victims.”203 Consequently, “denial of access to Israel and the West Bank resulted in the decision to hold hearings of participants from Israel and the West Bank in Geneva.”204 The Palestinian Authority and the Permanent Observer Mission of Palestine to the United Nations did offer cooperation and support,205 and access to the Gaza Strip was granted by Egypt.206 Still, representatives of the implicated Palestinian armed groups were not agreeable to meeting.207 The Gaza COI submitted “comprehensive lists of questions to the Government of Israel, the Palestinian Authority and the Gaza authorities in advance of completing its analysis and findings”, but did not receive a reply from Israel.208 No note is made of whether an opportunity to respond to the Gaza COI’s specific findings was given to the parties before the final version of the Goldstone Report was released to the public. Thus, despite the extensive research undertaken by the Gaza COI and its attempts to access relevant information and to acknowledge the interests of a variety of interested groups by way of interviews or site inspections, there was nevertheless an issue with accessing information that might have been provided at the state level, namely by Israel. Despite the fact that Israel chose not to participate or make its people available for interviews or its territory available for inspection, one criticism of the Goldstone Report was that: “The testimonies in the Goldstone Report are Palestinian testimonies . . . . This commission that describes its mission as fact-finding treats the missing Israeli testimonies as if they are Israel’s problem, rather than a methodological and empirical shortcoming in the 201 Id. 202 Id. at ¶¶ 8, 20. 203 Id. at ¶ 20. 204 Id. at ¶ 22. 205 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶¶ 9, 145. 206 Id. at ¶ 144. 207 Id. at ¶ 441. 208 Id. at ¶ 26. 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 171 report itself.”209 As Sydney D. Bailey noted with regard to the totality of the first 25-years of UN human rights fact-finding: “The vicious circle is familiar. UN bodies are not granted facilities for impartial fact-finding. As a consequence, their reports are one-sided. The onesided nature of UN reports is then given as a reason for denying UN bodies the facilities for performing the tasks entrusted to them.”210 Thirty-five years after Bailey first noted this “vicious circle”, it appears that it continues to go round. When UN COIs are denied territorial access, the respective COI reports will necessarily be less comprehensive. By extension, the nation that has refused territorial access may be expected to attempt to impugn the credibility and reliability of the respective report. Depending upon what the UN COI is attempting to prove, the uncooperative state might even have a legitimate reason for doing so—although, of course the uncooperative nation contributed to the situation. In any event, with regard to the information it was able to receive, the Goldstone Report asserted that its “final conclusions on the reliability of the information received were based on its own assessment of the credibility and reliability of the witnesses it met” in addition to, “verifying the sources and methodology used in the reports and documents” received, and “cross-referencing” received information.211 In evaluating the probity and reliability of the evidence, the Gaza COI considered “the demeanour of witnesses, the plausibility of their accounts and the consistency of these accounts with the circumstances observed by it and with other testimonies.”212 It also attempted, insofar as possible, “to speak with the authors of the documents in order to ascertain the methodologies used and to clarify any doubts or problems.”213 This approach raises long-standing and in many ways still unanswered questions regarding what COIs should or could use as corroborating material, and how much verification or crossreferencing is necessary. The Goldstone Report did not go far in shedding light on how the corroboration and verification of information received by UN COIs was properly and effectively achieved. Instead, the Goldstone Report simply noted that, “the [secondary material] it reviewed and to which it refers are credible and based on sound methodologies.”214 What makes a sound methodology, however, is not explicated to allow others to scrutinize the veracity of this claim. Virtually all of the reports and secondary sources produced by NGOs and the press that were mentioned in the Goldstone Report were 209 See generally Halbertal, supra note 58. 210 Bailey, supra note 34, at 266. 211 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 24. 212 Id. at ¶ 170. 213 Id. 214 Id. at ¶ 1378. 172 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 found by Gaza COI to be fully credible and reliable.215 Astonishingly, the Goldstone Report also reached the same conclusion regarding everyone the Commission interviewed as a witness and whose testimony was included in the final report. Thus, one might reasonably ask whether the Gaza COI only selected the reliable reports and witnesses for inclusion and whether it excluded information that the Commission found to be unreliable—or rather whether it was leaving out reports that offered assertions contrary to the Goldstone Report’s findings? Moreover, many (perhaps most) of the statistics and documentation contained in the Goldstone Report are traced to a single source—either a report or an interview with a witness.216 Although the Goldstone Report asserted that secondary materials were used mostly to corroborate primary (first-hand) evidence, chapter VII, for example, is one of several chapters that rely on a great variety of the secondary materials to substantiate findings of fact, usually in the absence of direct evidence. These secondary materials came from other UN bodies, such as the Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, as well as from the Israeli humanitarian NGO B’Tselem and various press releases, though some information also came from other NGO reports and sources. In the chapters that focus on the West Bank (chapters XX-XXIII), most factual assertions that were supported by secondary materials referred to only one external report, or possibly, in fewer circumstances, two; rarely were more than two sources cited to substantiate a factual assertion, and generally multiple sources meant reference to multiple press stories—that is, to multiple unverified secondary sources. This is, of course, explained by the fact that the Gaza COI was not able to visit the West Bank.217 But, again, one must then question whether it was worth extending the geographic scope of the Gaza COI if it lessened the overall quality and veracity of the findings and enabled the Goldstone Report’s detractors to question the evidentiary standards of the findings based, at least in part, on its peripheral review of events in the West Bank. Human Rights Watch generally looks for three independent witnesses to corroborate its findings of fact.218 The UN’s Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Mapping Exercise—a UN COI by another name—required at least two independent sources to corroborate each of 215 The one exception being that the Palestinian armed groups’ websites were found unreliable in that they exaggerated the commission of their own crimes or their “successes” as against Israel. In other words, the exception is not a third party report, but a finding that one of the parties to the dispute was unreliable in its admissions that it had committed a crime. Id. at ¶ 458. 216 See, e.g., Goldstone Report, supra note 5, n.257–64. 217 Chapter VIII of the Goldstone Report also relied on secondary sources to a greater extent than elsewhere in the report because it could not find first-hand witnesses to interview in many cases. Id. at ¶ 141. 218 See, e.g., Rain of Fire, supra note 21, at 6. 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 173 the over 600 violent incidents listed with at least one being a primary source.219 The DRC’s report stated, “[i]ncidents not corroborated by a second independent source have not been included in this report, even in cases where the information came from a reliable source. Such incidents are, however, recorded in the database.”220 In contrast, it is unclear what level of corroboration was required by the Gaza COI, both in terms of how much corroboration, and if it mattered whether it was primary evidence like witness testimony or a secondary report. This is not to say that further corroboration was required to make the information communicated in the Goldstone Report reliable, or that it was practicably possible to maintain a higher standard; rather, the Goldstone Report did not consistently make clear its standards for verifying the reliability of evidence received. In general these concerns represent a problem that is broader than just the issues raised by the Gaza COI’s practices. There is a need in the academic literature for a discussion of what is possible, typical, or ideal in terms of human rights fact-finding in such circumstances. For example, Diane Orentlicher notes that, “[t]ypically . . . careful NGOs do not cite press accounts unless their research staff have reason to credit the report.”221 It would seem, then, that UN COIs should follow a similar rule, or at least engage in a discussion of why or why not such a standard was followed. Other relevant questions were not even posed by the Goldstone Report, let alone answered directly or implicitly, including: Is there a necessary difference between UN reports and other reports in terms of credibility? Should the UN COI be prepared to defend a report upon which it relies should questions arise, or should it take the proactive step of identifying in its report why secondary materials explicitly relied upon by the COI were found to be credible? Answers to these questions would not only help assess the credibility of future reports, but also possibly help determine the scope of the inquiry. Such questions are particularly salient in the context of large-scale UN COI reports because such reports are widely circulated and read in the halls of international power. If foreign offices or other international bodies are relying upon UN COI reports to support sanctions regimes or initiate possible criminal investigations, it should be asked to what extent these foreign offices or other bodies are relying on the commissioners of UN COI reports to have already verified the secondary materials used to substantiate findings. If foreign offices are 219 The DRC’s report states: “each reported incident had to be corroborated by at least one independent source in addition to the primary source in order to confirm its authenticity.” See DRC Mapping Exercise, supra note 6, ¶¶ 117, 10. Further, the Panel of Experts in Angola required direct evidence were it to name a responsible political official of wrongdoing (violation of sanctions) and corroborating evidence by at least two sources for it to be deemed credible. See Luciana T. Ricart, Due Process of Law in the Fact-Finding Work of the Security Council’s Panels of Experts: An Analysis in Terms of Global Administrative Law, 4 Inst. Int’l L. & Just. Emerging Scholars Paper 8 (2008), http://www.iilj.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/Ricart-Due-Process-of-Law-in-the-Fact-Finding-work-ofthe-Security-Council%E2%80%99s-Panels-of-Experts-2008.pdf. 220 221 DRC Mapping Exercise, supra note 6, ¶ 106. D. Orentlicher, Bearing Witness: The Art and Science of Human Rights Fact-Finding, 3 HARV. HUM. RTS. J. 83, 130 (1990). 174 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 taking the UN COI reports at face value and not offering deeper scrutiny into their findings or the sources supporting their findings (which is likely the case based on this author’s discussions with diplomats in Canada and elsewhere), this presents an opportunity to inform foreign offices that they should be giving greater scrutiny to secondary materials used to buttress UN COI conclusions. Alternatively, the UN COI reports themselves should provide an explanation as to why, in particular, the secondary materials used to make findings or corroborate evidence are credible and reliable. The tendency in the Goldstone Report was to assert that the various sources of evidence that it relied upon were “credible and reliable” without fully explaining what these terms might mean or how they were to be contextually interpreted. Instead, generally the Goldstone Report either simply asserted reliability and credibility, or explained that the Commission relied on its understanding of applicable UN standards to guide it in making its determinations. Yet these UN standards are not consistently identified or—at least— not pinpointed in the Goldstone Report. It follows that little discussion or argument is available extrapolating how rules and principles found in UN standards were interpreted in the context at hand to make determinations regarding the inclusion or exclusion of evidence. It is hard to imagine any report viewed through a legal lens—such as the lens of an administrative lawyer—that would fail to clearly identify the standards upon which its decisions rest and grapple with how to apply those standards to the context at hand. Finally, the Goldstone Report failed to explain several other issues with respect to the integrity of the evidence used to substantiate its findings, including: did the process of verifying forensic or other evidence involve scientific testing that might be scrutinized? How many commissioners had to concur to come to a legal finding? And finally, were records kept of the processes used and information gathered? Answers to such questions are necessary before one can gauge the reliability and credibility of a UN COI report. The Goldstone Report should have provided these answers, as should future UN COIs. Once again, if UN COIs are to be viewed as legal endeavors—as being infused with and legitimized by adherence to basic legal principles—the Commissions should, at the very least, provide a reminder of the benefit of offering transparent justifications for its findings and the evidentiary bases upon which these findings rested. II. Language, Precision and the Standard of Proof While no formal standard of proof was identified by the Goldstone Report and the informational verification and cross-referencing processes were not explained, the Gaza COI did explain that it did not “pretend to reach the standard of proof applicable in criminal trials,”222 and that, instead, the aforementioned processes of verification and cross222 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶¶ 25, 172. Goldstone has also “emphasized that his conclusion that war crimes had been committed was always intended as conditional.” See also Beckerman, supra note 119. 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 175 examination were used to establish a “sufficient” level of credibility and reliability.223 The Darfur COI established the standard of “reasonable suspicion,”224 which is now often used by UN COIs including the 2010 DRC COI Mapping Exercise,225 the 2011 Syrian COI,226 and the 2015 Gaza COI.227 Interestingly, Goldstone Report commissioner Hina Jilani also served as a commissioner on the Darfur COI, but has not explained why she supported the application of two different standards at the two COIs. The phrase “reasonable suspicion” as used by the Darfur COI has at least two advantages over “sufficiently credible and reliable” as used by the Goldstone Commission. First, because the reasonable suspicion standard now has a history of use in UN COIs, it can be more readily understood and interpreted by reference to past practice. It is understood as a term of art employed by UN COIs to signal a tentative finding of fact. Second, the Darfur COI’s approach to the standard of proof is qualified by the term “suspicion,” which is necessarily tentative. In contrast, a “sufficient” level of reliability and credibility begs several questions, including what it is sufficient for, and how one knows when evidence has become “sufficiently” credible and reliable.228 Moreover, the Goldstone Report did not clarify any of the shortcomings inherent in the terminology employed. As a result, the lack of specificity as to what constitutes “sufficient” in the Goldstone Report, and the lack of subsequent engagement with how the term was being interpreted, could be seen as problematic, particularly given the fact that the Gaza COI purported to make legal findings on international human rights and more specifically humanitarian and criminal law, and that it recommended criminal investigations. Also problematic is the fact that although the Goldstone Report claimed that it did not use a “beyond a reasonable doubt” standard of proof, the language of the Goldstone Report 223 See generally Beckerman, supra note 119. See also Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 171. 224 Note also that it may be seen to be taken from NATO military parlance. This has its advantages and disadvantages, but it suggests that military personnel – often associated with UN war crimes COIs at various levels and to various degrees—not only understand the standard of proof, at least at some level, but also do not relate it to a criminal standard as used by courts of law. 225 See DRC Mapping Exercise, supra note 6, ¶ 7 (“The level of evidence required was naturally lesser than would be expected from a case brought before a criminal court. The question was therefore not one of being satisfied beyond [a] reasonable doubt that a violation was committed but rather of reasonably suspecting that the incident did occur.” [Emphasis added.]) See also DRC Mapping Exercise, supra note 6, ¶ 101. 226 See Syria COI, supra note 6, ¶ 5. See generally U.N. Doc. S/RES/1564, supra note 4. 227 Gaza 2015 COI, supra note 5, ¶ 19. Helpfully, the COI went on to explain this in a little more detail: “This means that the commission, on the basis of reliable and consistent information, was satisfied that a reasonable and ordinarily prudent person would have reason to believe that such an incident or pattern of conduct had occurred.” 228 In this way it raises the question: When did the available evidence become sufficient to prove the case? When it was sufficient! 176 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 often tells a different story: “In many cases . . . acts entailing individual criminal responsibility have been committed. In all of these cases the Mission has found that there is sufficient information to establish the objective elements of the crimes in question.”229 The Goldstone Report’s tendency to imply that its findings were definitive was particularly true with respect to its recapitulation of the inquiry’s legal findings, found in the concluding chapter XXX.230 To take but one example: “The [Israeli] operations were in furtherance of an overall policy aimed at punishing the Gaza population for its resilience and for its apparent support for Hamas, and possibly with the intent of forcing a change in such support. The Mission considers this position to be firmly based in fact . . . . ”231 The Report of an Expert Meeting on the Gaza COI, organized by Chatham House, noted that had the Goldstone Report’s conclusions been “presented as prima facie findings rather than final conclusions, the Report would have been stronger.”232 The language of the Goldstone Report muddies the standard of proof in other ways. The Gaza COI made no hard findings relating to many of the crimes purportedly perpetrated by Hamas. Even on the most obvious of Hamas’ alleged crimes, the Goldstone Report often used tentative and noncommittal language such as “were” Hamas to, for example, launch rockets and mortars at the population of southern Israel, this action “would” constitute a war crime as a failure to distinguish between military targets and civilians.233 Such semantics have caused some confusion amongst scholars given the Commission’s uneven application of such language in the Goldstone Report. As some commentators have noted, Israel was found to “have” committed certain crimes, whereas Hamas “would” be responsible.234 The 229 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶¶ 25, 172. [Emphasis Added.] “Statements by political and military leaders prior to and during the military operations in Gaza leave little doubt that disproportionate destruction and violence against civilians were part of a deliberate policy.” Id. at ¶ 1215. As but one example, the mens rea of recklessness was met in regard to the Israeli shelling of the UNRWA field office due to the fact that shelling continued after the Israeli forces were made aware of the existence of the compound, the hazardous (explosive material) contained in it. Id. at ¶ 594. The mens rea was not associated with any particular individual. 230 Id. at ¶¶ 1919, 1921–23, 1927–29, 1930. 231 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 1884. [Emphasis added.] 232 Report of an Expert Meeting which Assessed Procedural Criticisms made of the UN Fact-Finding Mission on the Gaza Conflict (The Goldstone Report), CHATHAM HOUSE 13 (Nov. 27, 2009), www.chatham house.org.uk/files/15572_il271109summary.pdf [hereinafter Chatham House Report]. 233 234 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 496. Note that the Gaza COI did find Hamas responsible for further breaches of international law. For example, with respect to its targeting of Fatah affiliates, the Goldstone Report states that Hamas committed “serious violations of human rights”, in particular with respect to article 3 (right to life, liberty and security of the person), article 5 (freedom from torture and cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment or punishment), article 9 (no one shall be subjected to arbitrary arrest or detention), articles 10 and 11 (right to fair and impartial legal proceedings), and article 19 (regarding freedom of opinion and expression) of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights. Id. at ¶ 1372. 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 177 difference, generally, is the findings of fact upon which the legal analyses are based. With respect to many purported crimes by Hamas, the Gaza COI was unable to make a factual determination as to intent and thus had to speculate regarding the law. The same was not generally true with respect to Israel.235 Moreover, there are certainly instances where the Goldstone Report found that, “Israel would be responsible under international law” for acts that were actually found to have happened.236 However, the previous quote above is obscured in the Goldstone Report by the fact that a mere paragraph later, the Goldstone Report states that, “the direct targeting and arbitrary killing of Palestinian civilians is a violation by the Israeli armed forces of the right to life as provided in article 6 of the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights.”237 It is also the case that unequivocal language was generally used with respect to purported Israeli violations,238 while equivocations were generally used when describing Hamas’ purported violations. The Report of an Expert Meeting on Gaza organized by Chatham House said that: “The criticisms of Hamas in the Report are tentative, for example[,] in relation to the protection of civilians, while the language employed regarding alleged Israeli violations is stronger and more condemnatory.”239 It was not always clear why there was a difference in tenor as between the findings, or why some facts seemed to support strong findings and others tentative conclusions. For example, the findings of legal violations against Israel in chapter IX (concerning Israeli obligations to protect civilians) are based on the same type of press reports and other secondary reports as various other findings with respect to Hamas in chapter VIII on Hamas’ obligations to protect civilians where the Gaza COI was unable to come to a legal conclusion.240 So, one 235 Why this was the case is another question. This of course created its own set of problems. It has been asserted that intent was regularly imputed to Israeli operations, but was not similarly—and under similar circumstances— imputed to Palestinian actions. More shall be offered on this argument below. 236 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶¶ 814, 815, 1173–75. Both the equivocal and certain are used in a particularly confusing manner in paragraph 1175 (“The Mission considers that the severe beatings, constant humiliating and degrading treatment and detention in foul conditions allegedly suffered by individuals in the Gaza Strip . . . would constitute torture, and a grave breach under article 147 of the Fourth Geneva Convention . . . . Such violations also constitute war crimes.” [Emphasis added.] 237 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 816. There are numerous examples of such contradictions throughout the Goldstone Report, including sometimes in the same paragraph. See, e.g., ¶ 1587. In one convoluted paragraph, it was said that ill-treatment during arrest and detention by Hamas, “raise[d] concerns and warrant[ed] proper investigation,” while arrests and detentions of political affiliations were “legally unacceptable” and “would violate the right not to be arbitrarily detained.” [Emphasis added.] 238 Id. at ¶ 595. 239 Chatham House Report, supra note 232, at 13. 240 In similar wording to the sections on Israel, where first-hand accounts were difficult to gather, in Chapter VIII the Goldstone Report states: “To gather first-hand information on the matter, the Mission requested a meeting with representatives of armed groups. However, the groups were not agreeable to such a meeting. The Mission, 178 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 might reasonably ask why the language is more equivocal in chapter VIII (Hamas) than that in chapter IX (Israel) when analyzing the same legal obligation (the protection of civilians) with resort to similar second-hand accounts.241 This harkens back to the discussion about corroboration of evidence in the Goldstone Report: What was it about the secondary reports, or the crimes, or the findings of fact that enabled the Gaza COI to make determinative conclusions in some chapters based primarily on secondary material, but not, for example, in section VIII with respect to Hamas?242 A further example relates to the Goldstone Report’s imputation of criminal intent as it pertained to certain actors—particularly Israeli actors—who were said by the Goldstone Report to be intentionally “targeting” civilians as a matter of high-level policy. In the Goldstone Report, the mens rea of intention is generally spoken of in unequivocally certain terms, at least as it relates to Israel.243 For example: “The Mission finds that the attack on the abd al-Dayem family condolence tents constitutes an intentional attack against the civilian population and civilian objects, willful killing and the willful infliction of suffering.”244 consequently, had little option but to rely upon indirect sources to a greater extent than for other parts of its investigation.” [Emphasis added.] Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 441. 241 Id. at ¶¶ 449–52. See particularly para 452: In view of the information communicated to it and the material it was able to review, the Mission believes that there are indications that Palestinian armed groups launched rockets from urban areas. In those instances in which Palestinian armed groups did indeed fire rockets or mortars from urban areas the question remains whether this was done with the specific intent of shielding the combatants from counter-attack. The Mission has not been able to obtain any direct evidence on this question; nor do reports from other observers provide a clear answer. [Emphasis added.] The Goldstone Report then cites the International Crisis Group as finding from separate interviews that the intent was there and was not there, respectively (see ¶ 453). Why the Goldstone Report did not indicate that sometimes the intent seemed present and others not, is not addressed. Of course, to make out the crime, one instance of intent is sufficient. 242 See, e.g., Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 1581 (“Reports that the Palestinian Authority interfered with the work of journalists and the media give rise to the concern that the right to freedom of opinion and expression has been interfered with.” [Emphasis added]). 243 Id. at ¶¶ 894, 389, 778. See also ¶ 1890 (“[The outcome and modalities] were also to a large degree aimed at destroying or incapacitating civilian property and the means of subsistence of the civilian population.”); and ¶ 1891 (“It is clear from evidence gathered by the Mission that the destruction of food supply installations, water sanitation systems, concrete factories and residential houses was the result of a deliberate and systematic policy by the Israeli armed forces.” [Emphasis added]). Compare this with the mens rea of recklessness, which is often accompanied by equivocating language such as “it appears.” There are some cases, however, where the certainty of the language appears higher (see id. at ¶¶ 594, 838, 1433). For example: “The Mission finds that the Israeli armed forces were systematically reckless in determining to use white phosphorous in built-up areas and in particular in and around areas of particular importance to civilian health and safety.” [Emphasis added.] Id. at ¶ 894. 244 Id. at ¶¶ 883–84. [Emphasis added.] 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 179 Moreover, in some cases intention is drawn purely from the circumstances of the case at hand: “The fact that [Muhammad Hekmat Abu Halima and Matar Abu Halima] were hit in the chest and the abdomen, respectively, indicates that the intention was to kill them.”245 As but another example, the Gaza COI found that an Israeli attack on a Palestinian prison was intentional because Israel stated that 99% of its strikes were accurate and Israel did not offer an alternative explanation as to why the complex was bombed.246 This last example in particular is reminiscent of a criticism of the Goldstone Report that we saw earlier, which asserted that the Goldstone Report did not treat the absence of Israeli testimony as a methodological shortcoming of the Goldstone Report itself. Rather, at least with respect to the intentional targeting of civilians, the Goldstone Report treated the lack of Israeli cooperation as, at worst, leading to a reverse onus situation whereby it was incumbent on Israel to justify its military actions lest they necessarily be found both intentional and sufficient to amount to international crimes, or, at best, as giving rise to a shifting burden of proof. Once facts were found by the Report, the burden then shifted to Israel to justify its actions. The absence of Israeli cooperation and testimony—or, in the alternative, at least a commission-appointed advocate for Israel247—meant that, whether by shifting burden or reverse onus, invariably there would be no defense offered. The Gaza COI then had two options: (1) it could make a presumptive finding against Israel, treating Israel as responsible for not mounting a defense; or, (2) it could treat the absence of evidence as to intention as a methodological shortcoming of the Goldstone Report and make tentative findings of fact that “might” or “could” amount to war crimes and crimes against humanity for intentionally targeting civilians. In either case, it would have been incumbent on the Gaza COI to gather enough circumstantial and other evidence so as to be reasonably justified in generalizing from specific incidents to broader claims about high-level, intentional policy, specifically, that crimes took place on such a widespread and systematic scale that they could not but have been the result of an intentional, high-level policy. As previously discussed, the latter approach was generally not followed,248 and, to a degree, it came back to haunt the Gaza COI. In particular, the problem with the former approach (1) 245 Id. at ¶ 800. 246 Id. at ¶ 370. The result that seems to be implied is that if fighting takes place in a city—as it usually does today— then any bombing in that city will be a crime so long as the bombing party does not offer an explanation. In modern warfare, this is tantamount to saying that so long as one does not participate in a UN COI, one will be found guil ty of war crimes. 247 Unlike judges in common law systems, UN COI commissioners have not traditionally had the assistance of prosecution and defense attorneys—though such attorneys are often present to aid commissioners in domestic common law COIs, for example in Canada and the UK. UN COI commissioners are therefore responsible for making the case, which includes acting as prosecution, defense and judge. 248 Before continuing it should be noted that this was not always the case; at times, the Gaza COI did indeed resort to option (2) above. In other words, the Goldstone Report did at times treat the lack of information and territorial 180 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 was laid bare by Justice Goldstone’s controversial recantation—or, in his words, “reconsideration”—of the Goldstone Report, in which he claimed that, had he had the information available to him that Israel made public subsequent to the publication of the Goldstone Report, certain findings of the Goldstone Report would likely have been influenced, particularly with respect to the policy of intentionally targeting civilians (chapter XI).249 Some observers interpreted this statement as an admission that the Goldstone Report was erroneous in its findings, at least as they concern the intentional targeting of civilians by Israel. Now, it is unclear that this is even what Goldstone was suggesting, though the larger point is that there need not even have been a debate had the language in the Goldstone Report been more tentative—had it consistently chosen the second, latter approach described above. Let us discuss Goldstone’s reconsideration in slightly more detail in order to illustrate this point. The Goldstone Report investigated “[eleven] incidents in which serious allegations of direct attacks with lethal outcome were made against civilians” and found that, “[t]here appears to have been no justifiable military objective pursued in any of them.”250 The Goldstone Report went on to explain “that, on the basis of the facts it was able to ascertain, in none of the cases reviewed were there any grounds which could have reasonably induced the Israeli armed forces to assume that the civilians attacked were in fact taking a direct part in the hostilities . . . . ”251 As a result, the Goldstone Report found that “the Israeli armed forces [had] violated the prohibition under customary international law . . . that the civilian population as such will not be the object of attacks.”252 A high standard of proof appears to access as a methodological shortcoming. As but one example, with respect to the death of Muhammad Hajji, killed in his living room by errant fire during the military invasion, the Goldstone Report stated: On the basis of the information before it, the Mission can neither make a statement as to what type of weapon killed him, nor as to whether he was the intended target of a direct attack. The circumstances of his death suggest, however, that he was killed by fire from the Israeli armed forces while at home in a room with his children.” [Emphasis added.] Goldstone Report, supra note 5, at ¶ 753. However, more than anything the fact that the Goldstone Report sometimes opted for option (2) highlighted the extent to which it did not always do so. 249 His strongest statement was: “If I had known then what I know now, the Goldstone Report would have been a different document.” See Goldstone Recantation, supra note 33. 250 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 705. [Emphasis added.] 251 Id. at ¶ 811. [Emphasis added.] 252 Id. at ¶ 812. [Emphasis added.] In a slightly less clear finding shortly thereafter, the Goldstone Report states: “From the facts ascertained, the Mission finds that the conduct of the Israeli armed forces in these cases would constitute grave breaches of the Fourth Geneva Convention in respect of willful killings and willfully causing great suffering to protected persons and as such give rise to individual criminal responsibility.” [Emphasis added.] Id. at ¶ 816. 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 181 have been met in finding that there existed an intention to target civilians. However, on the facts presented in the Goldstone Report there is little direct evidence of a high-level intention to target civilians and there are certainly instances where it appears that civilians were intentionally not targeted. The Goldstone Report’s case seems to rest on circumstantial evidence in eleven isolated cases coupled with a lack of evidence demonstrating that what took place was not intentional – a clear instantiation of the first approach. Goldstone’s reconsideration of the finding that Israel intentionally targeted civilians then cited only one of the eleven incidents investigated by the Gaza COI, that of the bombing of the al-Samouni family. The al-Samouni neighborhood of South Gaza (Zeytoun)—given its name by its primary inhabitants, the al-Samouni family—saw shooting on the night of 3-4 January 2009, though witnesses denied seeing Palestinian fighters in the area.253 By 4 January many members of the extended al-Samouni family had been told by Israeli soldiers to gather in the home of Wa-el; several attempts to evacuate the family members were made on 4 January, including by the International Committee of the Red Cross, but no such efforts were successful.254 On the morning of 5 January, five members of the family exited the house to gather firewood and saw Israeli soldiers stationed on the roofs of nearby homes. At that time, a “projectile struck next to the five men,” killing two. Within five minutes, “two or three more projectiles had struck the house directly.”255 Wa-el and another member of the extended family, Saleh al-Samouni, testified at a Gaza COI public hearing that the missiles were launched from Apache helicopters.256 According to the Goldstone Report, twenty-one members of the al-Simouni family were killed by the missile strikes; nineteen other members of the family were also injured in the incident.257 The home of Wa-el alSamouni, a mosque, and most other homes in the area were eventually demolished.258 The Goldstone Report also made the following factual finding in supporting its conclusion that this was a deliberate attack against civilians: the fact that a first projectile struck next to the five men soon after they had left the house (at a time at which there was no combat in the area) and two or three projectiles struck the house after the survivors had retreated into the house, indicates that the weaponry used allowed a high 253 Id. at ¶ 708. 254 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶¶ 717–22. 255 Id. at ¶ 714. 256 Id. 257 Id. at ¶¶ 706–35 (see specifically ¶ 715). 258 Id. at ¶ 722. 182 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 degree of precision with a short response time and that the five men and then the house were the intended targets of the attack.259 In his reconsideration, Justice Goldstone stated that the information that subsequently came to light through Israeli internal investigations and “recognized in the U.N. [second Independent] committee’s report . . . indicate[d] that civilians were not intentionally targeted as a matter of policy”, though the second Committee of Independent Experts report recognized no such thing: the report did imply that the al-Samouni bombing was the result of a mistaken interpretation of a drone image,260 as Justice Goldstone specifically claimed in his reconsideration. However, the report also “reiterate[d] the conclusion of its previous report that there [was] no indication that Israel [had] opened investigations into the actions of those who designed, planned, ordered[,] and oversaw Operation Cast Lead.”261 Had the Goldstone Report (and perhaps Justice Goldstone’s reconsideration) been clearer in explaining its standard of proof, better engaged with this standard of proof, and utilized more tentative language, its findings would have been more precise and compelling and therefore less amenable to attack. For example, the Goldstone Report could have used tentative language such that “should” an Israeli court or another criminal court investigate these incidents it “would” be incumbent upon Israel to explain how these events were not a result of intent, recklessness, or negligence, lest it be found guilty of attacking civilians. If the Report had consistently used tentative language to clearly signify that each finding was not, in fact, final, then the evidence that Justice Goldstone later claimed to be exculpatory would not have made any difference to the validity of the Goldstone Report.262 In other words, the Goldstone Report would nevertheless have been correct in asserting the need to investigate the relevant incidents, and that it was possible that they might amount to crimes. No reconsideration would have been necessary.263 259 Id. at ¶ 730. 260 H.R.C. Res. 15/6, supra note 85, ¶ 27. 261 H.R.C. Res. 15/6, supra note 85, ¶ 79. 262 It must be said that Justice Goldstone’s reading of the Human Rights Council Committee of Independent Experts report finds exculpatory evidence in this regard that is otherwise hard to see. Put another way, it is hard to find evidence in the Report of an intentional high-level policy to target civilians based on the facts found in the Goldstone Report. At the same time, it is likewise hard to find evidence that there was not an intentional policy in the Committee of Independent Experts report reviewing subsequent Israeli investigations. 263 In part, this seems to be what the other three Gaza COI commissioners were asserting in their response to Goldstone’s reconsideration. See Hina Jilani, Christine Chinkin & Desmond Travers, Goldstone Report: Statement Issued by Members of UN Mission on Gaza War, THE GUARDIAN (Apr. 14, 2011) (“The mission and the report are part of a truth-seeking process that could lead to effective judicial processes. Like all reports of similar missions of the UN, it provided the basis for parties to conduct investigations for gathering of evidence, as required by international law, and, if so warranted, prosecution of individuals who ordered, planned or carried out international crimes.”) 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 183 Human Rights Watch reports264 and both of the reports released by the Human Rights Council Committees of Independent Experts repeatedly used equivocal language when discussing conclusions that were influenced by the dearth of available information caused by a lack of Israeli cooperation. In contrast to the Goldstone Report, such language was consistently maintained both in the substantive analyses and conclusions of the reports. This is all to say that it is important for UN COIs to be particularly vigilant with respect to criminal intent. Mens rea attaches to a specific person (or persons): An individual person forms the requisite mens rea, be it recklessness, negligence, or intent. Without consideration of a person’s purpose, circumstances, and individual action, it is difficult to see how a mens rea can be found to exist with any high degree of certainty; the language and standard of proof of the UN COI report must reflect these circumstances. When intention is found with certainty, or the appearance thereof, then the finding can be proven wrong with certainty, which Justice Goldstone seems to have admitted happened in one case.265 Human Rights Watch highlights yet another problem with regard to the Goldstone Report’s findings regarding Israel’s purportedly intentional high-level policy to target civilians: In his [Washington Post] article, [Justice] Goldstone backed away from a particularly controversial charge in the report—the allegation that Israel had an apparent high-level policy to target civilians. He now says that information from Israeli investigations indicates “that civilians were not intentionally targeted as a matter of policy.” [Justice] Goldstone was right to make that amendment. Human Rights Watch also investigated some of the cases in which Israeli troops fired at and killed Palestinian civilians . . . . Deeply troubling as these cases were, they were too isolated for us to conclude that the misconduct of individual soldiers reflected a wider policy decision to target civilians.266 This statement speaks to the tendency in the Goldstone Report to make (or appear to make) general conclusions as to policy—and on the mens rea of intent—based on the investigation of isolated or specific events without explaining how such incidents are generalizable or reflect a broader pattern or policy, as was discussed earlier in this article. If an incident appears to evince an intention to target civilians, then that would also appear to be an 264 See, e.g., White Flag Deaths, supra note 22. 265 Again, from the publicly available information at the time of Goldstone’s reconsideration, the result is not so clear. 266 Kenneth Roth, Gaza: The Stain Remains on Israel’s War Record: Richard Goldstone’s Partial Retraction of His Own Report Doesn’t Excuse the Conduct of Israel’s War in Gaza, THE G UARDIAN (Apr. 5, 2011). [Emphasis added.] 184 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 isolated crime. But that isolated crime does not necessarily speak to whether a general, highlevel policy to target civilians existed; further justification or documentation is needed, and this justification should also include an explanation of situations that might tend to demonstrate the absence of a high-level policy. Justice Goldstone seemed to make a similar mistake in generalizing from a specific incident in his reconsideration. If the al-Simouni case was proven to be the result of “an Israeli commander’s erroneous interpretation of a drone image,” as Justice Goldstone’s reconsideration claims and the second Committee of Independent Experts report seems to suggest,267 and not the result of a high-level policy. This still does not speak to the other ten cases investigated by the Goldstone Report or disprove, more generally, the existence a high-level policy to target civilians. None of this is to claim that the Goldstone Report was biased or, as a whole, a poor report, at least relative to other international inquiries. It is simply to note that the implications for UN COIs regarding standard of proof and the consistency and precision of the language used with respect to crimes are not simply legal—relating to an objective legal standard or legal discussions of bias—but also social whereby the legitimacy and credibility of the report depends on the perceived impartiality of the COI’s work. The language used by such UN COI reports and the precision and consistency of the language very much matters; and other important examples exist in the Goldstone Report to drive home this point. One such interesting and particularly stark example of the Goldstone Report’s inconsistency in its language and applicable standard of proof is exposed with respect to crimes against humanity as analyzed in the Goldstone Report. For example, with regard to the crime of persecution as it relates to the Israeli blockade of goods into the Gaza Strip, the Goldstone Report concludes: “From the facts available to [the Commission], the Mission is of the view that some of the actions of the Government of Israel might justify a competent court finding that crimes against humanity have been committed.”268 Interestingly, the Gaza COI is very precise in its language here and intentionally equivocates in its finding. It is not that persecution has been committed, or has on the facts found been committed, or even that the Gaza COI believes on the facts the crime has been committed—all variants of the usual nomenclature used throughout the Goldstone Report. Rather, here the facts might justify another body coming to a legal conclusion. We must ask what the difference is between might and the usual finding, which is simply that a violation occurred. Is there less certainty here, or is it the complexity of the charge that led to the greater equivocation? Arguably, the Gaza COI was reluctant to take a strong position on the crime of persecution because the finding relates in this rare case to a crime against humanity as opposed to a war crime or human rights violation. In other words, this finding is different from the majority of others. However, it is not immediately clear why this distinction between crimes against 267 H.R.C. Res. 16/21, supra note 85, ¶ 8. 268 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 1335. [Emphasis added.] 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 185 humanity on the one hand and war crimes or human rights abuses on the other would lead to a difference in language or legal certainty. The Goldstone Report’s equivocation is on the legal side, not the factual side of things. So, if the facts are equally conclusive as between crimes, why the need to equivocate with regard to the law as it relates to crimes against humanity and not war crimes? Whatever the reason, the Goldstone Report consistently equivocates with regard to the few purported crimes against humanity,269 unlike the majority of the time where it is unequivocal with regard to its findings that war crimes have, in fact, been committed. It is also interesting that, in this case and for the only time in the Goldstone Report, the report equivocates with respect to whether a court would make out the legal elements of the crime. But a court did not have to come to a conclusion on the crime of persecution, not yet at least. Rather, the Goldstone Report had been tasked with coming to this conclusion, and it refused to do so. The Goldstone Report seems to be particularly hesitant here about coming to a legal conclusion, instead making it clear that criminality is a decision for a court to make, and the outcome is yet to be decided. This is the only reminder in the substantive chapters of the Goldstone Report that a court has not yet rendered a verdict. Compounding the problem relating to the standard of proof is the fact that many chapters in the Goldstone Report have different sections for “factual analysis”, “legal analysis”, and, finally, “conclusions”. The “conclusions” are generally where conclusions are drawn about legal violations in relation to the factual analysis, as tends to be the case in common law court judgments. The legal analysis is, in theory, where one would find an analysis of the applicable law, perhaps how it was or could be applied. However, rarely is a comprehensive analysis—or anything approaching this standard—of the law offered. The Chatham House Report of an Expert Meeting on the Goldstone Report, mentioned above, has asserted that, because the rules of international humanitarian law are difficult to interpret from the facts, [a] commission should tease out these legal issues and should make its view clear on the interpretation it favours. The Goldstone Report does not set out in detail its interpretation of the law in order to determine which facts are relevant to determine whether a target is legitimate or not. It did not need to express a definite view in the way that a court should, but 269 Id. at ¶ 1691: From the facts available, the Mission finds that the rocket and mortars attacks, launched by Palestinian armed groups in Gaza, have caused terror in the affected communities of southern Israel and in Israel as a whole . . . . This indicates the commission of an indiscriminate attack on the civilian population of southern Israel, a war crime, and may amount to crimes against humanity. [Emphasis added.] 186 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 merely needed to record that different interpretations exist on a given point, and indicate the facts which would be relevant to a tribunal.270 A good example is the Goldstone Report’s chapter on rocket and mortar attacks on Israel (XXIV). The legal analysis and conclusions section offer no definitive conclusions and amounts, essentially, to a page of noting the applicable law without an analysis of how that particular law is to be interpreted. As is common throughout the document, the Goldstone Report notes that the duty to protect and respect civilians forms part of customary international law, though it neither sources this legal conclusion nor explicates what “protect and respect” might mean in the specific context.271 The subsequent “findings” section in Chapter XXIV (this is the only chapter with a “findings” section) takes note of the facts that amount to breaches of international law. However, these facts are not explicitly associated with any specific legal requirements found in international law documents. In other words, the “findings” are somehow different than “conclusions,” but do no more than implicitly draw upon the legal analysis rather than explicitly tie the facts to provisions of law.272 Associating the findings with specific breaches of provisions within international human rights and humanitarian law, and sourcing the interpretations of these provisions, would not only be useful; it would go a long way to helping third parties fully understand and debate the Goldstone Report’s findings (and the credibility of the legal findings).273 A perfunctory review of the law, while potentially in keeping with the practice of many factfinding missions, does not conduce to basic requirements of legality in the context of UN COIs—or most COIs that engage the law, whether national or international. Clarity and reasoned justifications are clearly necessary. Furthermore, those implicated by the findings are, as autonomous agents, deserving of open, detailed explanations of how the legal findings were made, how the law was applied, and what facts were relied upon to finalize the decision. It might also be added that instantiating a “culture of justification”— whereby it becomes the culture with respect to COIs to rationally defend all decisions—not only encourages such behavior in future UN COI reports, but also promotes the development of a standard practice as to how the law and various rules are to be applied and interpreted in various UN COI contexts. This, in turn, will make the applicable rules more transparent and more familiar to those to whom the rules may apply in the future. Future UN COI reports 270 See generally, Chatham House Report, supra note 232. 271 Goldstone Report, supra note 5, ¶ 1683. Another example is the Goldstone Report’s reference to the prohibition of indiscriminate attacks in Article 51(4) of Additional Protocol I to the Geneva Conventions, without a corresponding explanation of what indiscriminate might mean in the context, and how it can and has been interpreted in international law. 272 One salient exception to this proposition is the section of the Report on Accountability and Judicial Remedies. See, e.g, Goldstone Report, supra note 5, at 388–90. 273 Id. at ¶ 1950. Note that the conclusions do no better in amalgamating the legal and factual findings with the relevant provisions of international law. 2017 Due Process in UN Commissions of Inquiry 187 will be better, and its reasoning stronger, with a more comprehensive review of the law in relation to the facts. E. Conclusion Operating in the context of a highly controversial and politicized dispute, the Gaza COI was subjected to harsh criticism but also lauded for completing a difficult task. While both the criticism and praise may have been heightened given the highly political context of the dispute, the targets for criticism were fairly typical in the context of UN COIs. In particular, the Gaza COI was criticized for: being the product of the Human Rights Council, an institution with a history of focusing disproportionately on Israel and, arguably, establishing biased inquiries; its biased mandate and commissioner(s); its indeterminate mandate as exemplified by the mandate’s failure to circumscribe strictly the temporal and geographic scope of the inquiry; its failure to articulate the method utilized to determine which incidents to investigate; its methods of gathering and corroborating evidence and its failure to articulate transparently the rules that governed this process; and for various due process issues including the definitiveness of its conclusions and language particularly pertaining to Israel as well as the seemingly inconsistent application of its hazy standard of proof. The Goldstone Report provides fertile ground for analyzing how many of these issues might be addressed simply by learning from past mistakes and taking care to be precise in language, engage with problems, and justify the ultimate decisions taken. In order to execute these tasks well UN COIs must recognize the role that law plays in the work of such bodies; not just in that they make legal findings with reference to international human rights and humanitarian law, but also that their processes are “quasi-judicial” in nature, that they depend for their legitimization and success on the credibility and reliability that attends legal processes that evince transparency, their accountability, and overarching notions of fairness. For UN COIs procedure is substance, and good law in one does not come without good legal practice in the other. 188 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 Developments Freedom of Speech for Public Officials vs. the Political Parties’ Right to Equal Opportunity: The German Constitutional Court’s Recent Rulings Involving the NPD and the AfD By Thomas Kliegel Abstract Public Officials are bound by the fundamental rights when they are acting in their political function. Acting as such they cannot, in general, claim the freedom of speech for themselves as normal citizens do. If they give statements regarding other political parties they have to abide by the principle of neutrality. Statements that could be understood as negative will be – especially if they are made during the election process – a violation of the right of political parties to equal opportunity, which is an indispensable element of the free and open process of forming popular opinion. The delineation of whether a public official is appearing as such, as a “party politician” or “private individual” can, however, be difficult and it is the obligation of the public official to leave no doubt about the role he is exercising. Different from any other public official the Federal President needs not comply with the principle of neutrality. He has a broad margin of assessment and only transgresses his legal boundaries if he violates the integrative task of his office in an arbitrary manner. Dr. iur., Judge at the District Court (Landgericht) in Essen, Germany. From 2013-2016 the author was a Judicial Clerk to Justice Peter Müller of the German Federal Constitutional Court. Justice Müller was the reporting Justice in 2 BvE 2/14 and 2 BvQ 39/15. This article reflects the author’s personal opinions. The author expresses his gratitude to Dr. Andrew Cannon, Deputy Chief Magistrate, Magistrates Court of South Australia, and Dipl.-Jur. Christopher Hunt, for their very helpful remarks. 190 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 A. Introduction The Second Senate of the German Constitutional Court in two judgments - delivered on 10 June 2014 and 16 December 2014 - rejected applications of the National Democratic Party (Nationaldemokratische Partei Deutschlands [NPD]) against Federal President Joachim Gauck and the Federal Minister for Family, Senior Citizens, Women and Youth Manuela Schwesig because of negative statements they made during electoral campaigns concerning the NPD.1 On 10 June 2014,2 the Court held that within the boundaries of the Constitution and the laws the Federal President is generally free to decide how to perform the representational functions and integrative tasks connected to his office, as long as he does not take sides in an arbitrary manner. On 16 December 2014,3 the Court then held that the standards applying to statements made by the Federal President regarding political parties as well as to judicial review of such statements are not transferable to statements made by members of the Federal Government. Unlike the Federal President, members of the Federal Government must ensure, when participating in political competition, that they do not use the means and possibilities of their office, because if they do, they are bound by the principle of neutrality. With these two judgments Karlsruhe laid down the general principles applying to statements by public officials and drew a clear distinction between the Federal President and members of the Federal Government. However, these principles as well as the distinction leave room for interpretation and have been intensively discussed by legal scholarship. Besides, one must not forget that these judgments were delivered, while the party-ban proceedings against the NPD were still pending. The first application of the general principles was not long in coming: On 7 November 2015,4 the Second Senate granted a preliminary injunction in favor of the party “Alternative for Germany” (Alternative für Deutschland [AfD]) and against the Federal Minister for Education and Research Johanna Wanka because of a negative press release on the homepage of the Ministry regarding an upcoming assembly of the AfD. 1 The author has provided more extensive analysis of these court rulings in German. See Thomas Kliegel, Äußerungsbefugnisse von Amtsträgern gegenüber politischen Parteien, in LINIEN DER RECHTSPRECHUNG DES BUNDESVERFASSUNGSGERICHTS 413 (Scheffczyk & Wolter eds., 2016). 2 Federal President Case, 136 BverfGE 323 (2014) [hereinafter Federal President Case]. 3 Schwesig Case, 138 BVerfGE 102 (2014) [hereinafter Schwesig Case]. 4 Wanka Case, BVerfG -2 BvQ 39/15, November 7, 2015, available at http://www.bverfg.de/SharedDocs/Entscheidungen/DE/2015/11/qs20151107_2bvq003915.html [hereinafter Wanka Case]. 2017 Freedom of Speech vs. Parties’ Right to Equal Opportunity 191 The following note starts with describing the basis and the development of the principles laid down by the Court (Section B.). This introductory part is followed by a brief résumé of the facts of the three recent cases (Federal President, Minister Schwesig, and Minister Wanka) in Section C and a short summary of the judgments and the preliminary injunction in Section D. The focus is laid on Section E. in which the critique and impact of the decision on the law will be described and valuated. The note closes with a short conclusion (Section F.). B. Origin and Development of the Principles It was the first time in history the German Constitutional Court was called upon to decide on the constitutionality of (oral) statements made by public officials that may have harmed the political parties’ right to equal opportunity. The question of political parties’ right to equal opportunity in the face of other barriers or burdens had, however, already been the subject of several decisions by the Court. One fundamental decision in this line of cases was the 1977 judgment on public relations of the Federal Government before elections to the Bundestag (Federal Parliament).5 Revisiting that important decision lays an important foundation for the discussion of the Court’s more recent cases. I. The 1977 Judgment on Public Relations of the Federal Government During the federal electoral campaign of 1976 the German Press and Information Office and the publications divisions of several federal ministries distributed millions of leaflets, pamphlets, and brochures disclosing the records of and the benefits conferred by various governmental agencies. Although some of these publications were informational, many advanced the cause of the SPD-FDP coalition government. In addition, funds allocated to the publications divisions of various agencies were used to take out advertisements in prominent magazines and newspapers, listing the accomplishments of the incumbent government. In Organstreit6 proceedings, the opposition party CDU challenged these publications and expenditures. 5 See, e.g., DONALD P. KOMMERS, THE CONSTITUTIONAL JURISPRUDENCE OF THE FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY 177 (2d ed. 1997). 6 An application to the Federal Constitutional Court may be filed if supreme federal organs, or actors that are equivalent to such organs, disagree on their respective rights and obligations under the Basic Law. This type of proceeding is necessary because the organs have no authority over each other. Organstreit proceedings make it possible for constitutional organs to judicially scrutinize each other’s actions; thus, Organstreit proceedings protect political decision-making by enforcing the separation of powers. 192 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 The Court held that elections can confer democratic legitimation in the sense of Article 20(2)7 of the Grundgesetz (Basic Law or Constitution) only if they are free.8 Not only must the actual act of casting the ballot remain free of coercion and undue pressure as stipulated by Article 38(1)9 of the Basic Law, but the voters must be able to form and express their opinions freely and openly.10 The Court explained that the formation of the popular will takes place through the act of voting, rising from the people to the constitutional organs, and not vice versa. The decisions of the majority can be regarded as the opinion of all only if the majority emerges in the free and open process of forming popular opinion. The Court further insisted that, during the decision-making process the majority must bear in mind the common good, particularly the rights and interests of the minority, whose chances of becoming a majority must neither be taken away nor curtailed.11 The Court also concluded that the guarantee of equal opportunity in the competition for votes is an indispensable element of the free and open process of forming popular opinion. In a modern parliamentary democracy, this process requires the existence of political 7 Article 20 of the German Basic Law [Constitutional Principles - Right of Resistance] (1) The Federal Republic of Germany is a democratic and social federal state. (2) All state authority is derived from the people. It shall be exercised by the people through elections and other votes and through specific legislative, executive and judicial bodies. (3) The legislature shall be bound by the constitutional order, the executive and the judiciary by law and justice. (4) All Germans shall have the right to resist any person seeking to abolish this constitutional order, if no other remedy is available. 8 Public Service Case, 44 BVERFGE 125, 139 (1977). 9 Article 38 of the German Basic Law [Elections] (1) Members of the German Bundestag shall be elected in general, direct, free, equal and secret elections. They shall be representatives of the whole people, not bound by orders or instructions, and responsible only to their conscience. (2) Any person who has attained the age of eighteen shall be entitled to vote; any person who has attained the age of majority may be elected. (3) Details shall be regulated by a federal law. 10 Party Finance I Case, 20 BV ERFGE 56, 97 (1966). 11 Public Service Case, 44 BVERFGE 125, 139 (1977). 2017 Freedom of Speech vs. Parties’ Right to Equal Opportunity 193 parties, which are granted a constitutional status by the Basic Law in Article 21 12. This provision guarantees their free formation and the participation in forming the popular will. It also lays down rules to secure their equal rights and chances in the competition for votes.13 Those principles apply to the process of the election itself, as well as the preparation for the election. The right of political parties to participate in the formation of popular opinion is violated when state institutions or agencies intervene in the electoral campaign in favor or to the detriment of a political party.14 Such an intervention violates the principle of neutrality of the state and the integrity of forming the popular will through elections and other votes. State organs can have a strong effect on the formation of popular will and public opinion and by their conduct influence voters’ decisions. Because of this ability they must not use their official capacity to try to influence the formation of the popular will by employing additional special measures before or during elections in order to secure or gain power over these organs. They are constitutionally barred from identifying themselves, as state organs, with political parties during electoral campaigns and from supporting or opposing political parties with public funds. This applies in particular to attempts to influence the decision of voters through advertising. Organs of the state must serve everyone and remain neutral in electoral campaigns. This obligation of neutrality applies to all parties, as long as the Federal Constitutional Court has not declared them unconstitutional. Of course, this does not prevent a member of the Federal Government bureaucracy from entering the electoral campaign on behalf of a political party in a non-official capacity. Based on these principles the Court proceeded to invalidate the public relations measures taken by the government during the 1976 federal electoral campaign. The Court concluded 12 Article 21 of the German Basic Law [Political parties] (1) Political parties shall participate in the formation of the political will of the people. They may be freely established. Their internal organisation must conform to democratic principles. They must publicly account for their assets and for the sources and use of their funds. (2) Parties that, by reason of their aims or the behaviour of their adherents, seek to undermine or abolish the free democratic basic order or to endanger the existence of the Federal Republic of Germany shall be unconstitutional. The Federal Constitutional Court shall rule on the question of unconstitutionality. (3) Details shall be regulated by federal laws. 13 Public Service Case, 44 BVERFGE 125, 139 (1977). 14 Id. at 143-144. 194 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 that the publications and expenditures contravened the idea of democracy (Article 2015), violated the principle of equality among political parties (Article 2116), and contravened the principle of free and equal elections (Article 3817). II. Development of the New Principles Taking this judgment as the basis, the Court developed (new) standards for statements by public officials that concern political parties. In the first judgment on the statement by the Federal President, the Court granted the President a wide margin regarding his public statements and justified it with his special representative and integrative role in the German democracy. However, the judgment was delivered, while some public officials in Germany tried to make a point against right-wing or even extremist parties using harsh, sometimes offensive language. Especially the NPD filed applications to the constitutional and administrative courts of the German states (Länder), where the party most often lost.18 The courts’ standards, though, still awaited clarification. Furthermore, some of the courts made reference to the standards of the judgment of the Second Senate regarding the Federal President, but did not sufficiently take into account that those standards might not apply to other public officials.19 So when the NPD filed its application against Minister Schwesig the Constitutional Court used this opportunity to clarify the standards concerning statements made by public officials on political parties and - most important - drew a clear distinction between the Federal President and members of the Federal Government. The standards of the judgment on Schwesig were confirmed in the preliminary injunction against Minister Wanka. 15 See supra note 7. 16 See supra note 12. 17 See supra note 9. 18 See, e.g., Verfassungsgerichtshof Rheinland-Pfalz, NEUE ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR VERWALTUNGSRECHT RECHTSPRECHUNGSREPORT 665 (2014); Thüringer Verfassungsgerichtshof, Judgment on December 3, 2014 – VerfGH 2/14 –, juris; Saarländischer Verfassungsgerichtshof, Judgment on July 8, 2014 - Lv 5/14 - BeckRS 2014, 53505; Verwaltungsgerichtshof Kassel, Court Order on November 24, 2014 - 8 A 1605/14 - BeckRS 2015, 42621; Verwaltungsgerichtshof Kassel, NEUE ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR VERWALTUNGSRECHT RECHTSPRECHUNGS-REPORT 815 (2013). See also, Kliegel, supra note 1, at 420-423. 19 See, e.g., Saarländischer Verfassungsgerichtshof, supra note 18. Although the court recognized the difference between the Federal President and holders of government office, it cited the judgment of the Second Senate and drew difficult comparisons. 2017 Freedom of Speech vs. Parties’ Right to Equal Opportunity 195 C. Facts of the Three Recent Cases: Federal President, Minister Schwesig, and Minister Wanka I. Statement by the Federal President (Case 2 BvE 4/13)20 In August, 2013, the Federal President took part in a discussion with several hundred vocational school students between the ages of 18 and 25 in a school in Berlin-Kreuzberg.21 During the event—which had the motto “22 September 2013 – Your Vote Counts!”—the President emphasized the importance of free elections for democracy and encouraged the students to become involved in social and political activities. In response to a student’s question the President addressed certain incidents related to protests that members and supporters of the far-right National Democratic Party of Germany (Nationaldemokratische Partei Deutschlands – NPD) had launched against an asylum accommodation center in Berlin-Hellersdorf. The press coverage of the discussion quoted the President as having said the following: “We need citizens who take to the streets and show the nutcases their limits. All of you are called upon to do so;” and “I am proud to be the President of a country in which citizens defend their democracy.” The NPD argued in an Organstreit22 complaint filed before the Constitutional Court that this statement violated its right to equal participation laid down in Article 21(1)23 and Article 38(1)24 of the Basic Law.25 II. Statement of Minister Schwesig (Case 2 BvE 2/14)26 In June, 2014, Manuela Schwesig – the Federal Minister for Family, Senior Citizens, Women and Youth – took part in the opening of the “Summer Academy for Democracy, Cultural 20 See Federal President Case, at 324–27. 21 The facts are set out in the judgment. See Federal President Case, at 324–27. 22 See supra note 6. 23 See supra note 12. 24 See supra note 9. 25 See supra note 21. 26 See Schwesig Case, at 103–07. 196 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 Openness and Tolerance” in Weimar during the run-up to the 2014 elections in the federal state of Thuringa. On the sidelines of the event Minister Schwesig gave an interview to a regional newspaper concerning different topics, including the fight against right-wing extremism.27 Asked how one should deal with motions filed by the NPD – in the event that the far-right party were to obtain seats in the legislature – Schwesig said: “But I will support the Thuringian campaign to ensure that such a situation does not even arise. It must be the top priority to prevent the NPD from winning seats in the legislature.”28 Context and other information added to the interview referred to Schwesig’s public office and to the fact that she is a member of the Social Democratic Party of Germany (Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – SPD). The NPD argued in an Organstreit29 complaint filed before the Constitutional Court that this statement violated its right to equal participation laid down in Article 21(1)30 of the Basic Law. III. Statement of Minister Wanka (Case 2 BvQ 39/15)31 The right-wing political party Alternative for Germany (Alternative für Deutschland – AfD) announced an assembly in Berlin to be held on November 7, 2015. The event’s motto was “Red card for Merkel - Asylum has limits.”32 Days before the assembly was to take place, on November 4, 2015, Johanna Wanka – the Federal Minister for Education and Research – published a press release on the homepage of the Ministry containing the following statement: “Red card for the AfD. Johanna Wanka on the planned assembly of the AfD: ʻThe red card should be shown to the AfD and not the Chancellor. Björn Höcke and other speakers of the party aid and abet radicalism in society. Such actions award unacceptable support to right-wing extremists who openly incite to racial hatred.ʻ”33 27 Gerlinde Sommer, Schwesig: "Ziel muss sein, dass die NPD nicht in den Landtag kommt", THÜRINGISCHE LANDESZEITUNG , June 25, 2014, available at http://www.tlz.de/web/zgt/politik/detail/-/specific/Schwesig-Zielmuss-sein-dass-die-NPD-nicht-in-den-Landtag-kommt-1783547207. 28 See Sommer, supra note 27. 29 See supra note 6. 30 See supra note 12. 31 See Wanka Case, at paras. 1–5. 32 Id. 33 Id. 2017 Freedom of Speech vs. Parties’ Right to Equal Opportunity 197 The AfD argued in a motion for provisional measures filed before the Constitutional Court that this statement violated two constitutional guarantees: its right to equal participation laid down in Article 21(1)34 of the Basic Law; and its freedom of assembly under Art. 8 of the Basic Law. The AfD demanded the removal of the statement from the Ministry’s homepage. D. Summary of the Judgments and the Preliminary Injunction I. 2 BvE 4/13 (Federal President)35 The Second Senate of the Constitutional Court held that the statements made by the Federal President were not objectionable under constitutional law and, therefore, did not violate the NPD’s right to equal opportunity for political parties. 1. General Principles The first and most prominent justification the Second Senate offered for its judgment is the special constitutional function the Basic Law ascribes to the Federal President: The President represents the state and the people of the Federal Republic of Germany both externally and internally and is called upon to embody the unity of the state. The Court explained that the holder of the office of Federal President is generally free to decide how to give specific shape to the representational functions and integrative tasks connected with the office.36 If an important task of the Federal President consists in making the unity of the polity visible by his appearances in public, and to further that unity via the authority of this office, then he must have a broad margin of assessment in this respect. The Federal President can only live up to the expectations connected to the office, the Court reasoned, if he can respond to developments in society and to general policy challenges according to his assessment. In so doing the President is free to choose the topics and to decide what form of communication is adequate in the given context.37 For these reasons the Court concluded that the Federal President does not require statutory authorization, beyond the authority to make public 34 See supra note 12. 35 See Federal President Case, at 330–38. 36 Id. 37 Id. at 332. 198 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 statements that is inherent in his office, when he refers to groups or persons while pointing out undesirable developments or warns of dangers in society.38 The Court acknowledged, however, that the Federal President's actions are limited by the Constitution and the law.39 These limits include the President’s duty to respect a number of constitutional rights, such as the political parties' right to equal opportunity under Article 21(1)40 of the Basic Law and, insofar as equal opportunity in elections is concerned, Article 21(1) in conjunction with Article 38(1)41 or Article 28(1)42 of the Basic Law. With this in mind the Court conceded that, Presidential statements containing negative judgments regarding a political party’s aims and activities could have a negative effect on the party’s equality of opportunity in political competition.43 Yet, even with these constitutional limits in mind, the Court insisted that its ability to police the realm of Presidential statements must also be limited. The Court concluded that when reviewing statements by the Federal President that affect the political parties' equality of opportunity, it must take into account the fact that it is exclusively for the Federal President 38 Id. 39 Id. at 333. 40 See supra note 12. 41 See supra note 9. 42 Article 28 of the German Basic Law [Land constitutions – Autonomy of municipalities] (1) The constitutional order in the Länder must con form to the principles of a republican, democratic and social state governed by the rule of law, within the meaning of this Basic Law. In each Land, county and municipality the people shall be represented by a body chosen in general, direct, free, equal and secret elections. In county and municipal elections, persons who possess citizenship in any member state of the European Community are also eligible to vote and to be elected in accord with European Community law. In municipalities a local assembly may take the place of an elected body. (2) Municipalities must be guaranteed the right to regulate all local affairs on their own responsibility, within the limits prescribed by the laws. Within the limits of their functions designated by a law, associations of municipalities shall also have the right of self-government according to the laws. The guarantee of self-government shall extend to the bases of financial autonomy; these bases shall include the right of municipalities to a source of tax revenues based up on economic ability and the right to establish the rates at which these sources shall be taxed. (3) The Federation shall guarantee that the constitutional order of the Länder conforms to the basic rights and to the provisions of paragraphs (1) and (2) of this Article. 43 See Federal President Case, at 333. 2017 Freedom of Speech vs. Parties’ Right to Equal Opportunity 199 to decide how to perform the functions and integrative tasks connected to the office.44 The extent to which the Federal President respects the concept of a "neutral Federal President" cannot be subject to judicial review, neither as an abstract matter nor in concrete cases. But the Court accepted that it would contradict the principle of the rule of law if political parties, whose right to equal opportunity is an essential element of the democratic basic order, had no legal protection vis-à-vis the Federal President.45 Faced with this constitutional dilemma the Court concluded that it is both necessary and sufficient to judicially review the Federal President's negative remarks about a political party to determine whether he made them in a way that clearly neglects the integrative task of his office, and thus in an arbitrary manner.46 2. Application of the Principles to the Case Applying this standard and giving the President’s statements an objective interpretation, the Court concluded that the references to resisting the NPD did not demonstrate support for or approval of violent protests against the applicant.47 At the beginning of his remarks, the Court emphasized, the Federal President explicitly pointed out that even tearing off posters was unacceptable.48 This convinced the Court that there could be no doubt about his clear disapproval of violent conflicts with the applicant. Additionally, the Court found it significant that, in reference to the constitutional concerns raised by the NPD, the President referred to the importance of the freedom of expression and assembly and called for full participation in the political struggle of opinions. The Court explained that the President has the authority to issue these statements.49 The President’s use of the term “nutcases” (Spinner) in the specific context, the Court explained, was also unobjectionable under constitutional law. With this term, the President made a negative judgment about the applicant and its members and supporters. If considered in isolation and out of context, the Court conceded, the term might be regarded as defamatory and could indicate an objectionable discrimination against the persons 44 Id. at 336. 45 Id. 46 Id. 47 Id. at 336–37. 48 Id. at 337. 49 Id. 200 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 against whom the statement was directed. Here, however, from the Court found that the term was less offensive when considered in the context of the overall style of the President’s statements, throughout which he used the term “nutcases” and terms such as “ideologists” and “fanatics” to refer to people who have not learned the lessons of history and who, unimpressed by the dreadful consequences of National Socialism, hold nationalist and antidemocratic opinions.50 The Court reasoned that the exaggeration contained in the term “nutcases” was intended to make clear to the participants in the discussion that the persons thus labeled would never change; it was also meant to emphasize that they hoped in vain to succeed with their ideology if the citizens “show them their limits.” Building on the lessons to be learned from the tyrannical rule of National Socialism, the Court concluded that the President was merely calling for the involvement of citizens against political views that pose threats to the free and democratic basic order. In so doing, the President was merely identifying a way of dealing with these views that conforms to the Basic Law. For all of these reasons the Court held that the President did not cross the boundaries regarding negative remarks about political parties set by the Constitution.51 II. 2 BvE 2/14 (Minister Schwesig)52 1. General Principles On the basis of the Court’s 1977 decision (described above) and the decision concerning the Federal President, the Court again emphasized that the right of political parties to equal participation in the political process is violated if state organs seek to influence the political process by favouring or disfavouring individual parties. But the standards the Court applied to statements made by the Federal President are not applicable to members of the Federal Government because they are directly derived from the particular role the Basic Law assigns to the Federal President.53 As opposed to the Federal Government and its members, the Federal President does not participate directly in the contest with other political parties and he does not possess comparable means to influence public opinion. Due to the Federal Government’s status under the Constitution and to its powers and functions, public statements by its members must be reviewed by a different standard. The Court reasoned that the Federal Government exercises functions of governing the state, which include the power to maintain public relations. This function encompasses, inter alia, 50 Id. 51 Id. at 338. 52 See Schwesig Case, at 108–24. 53 Id., at 111–13. 2017 Freedom of Speech vs. Parties’ Right to Equal Opportunity 201 the power to present and explain the government’s policies as well as to inform the public about questions of general interest - even outside of its own political actions. In exercising these functions, the Court explained, the Federal Government is bound by the fundamental rights as well as by law and order (Articles 1(3)54 and 20(3)55 of the Basic Law). This fact alone bars the government from engaging in what, in a different context, would be judged as “vile criticism” in the meaning of §§ 185 et seq. of the Penal Code.56 This aspect notwithstanding, the Court insisted that Federal Government is obliged to respect the political parties’ right to equal participation that is secured by the first sentence of Article 21(1)57 of the Basic Law as well as the resulting principle of neutrality.58 Since the Government’s agenda reflects the positions of the parties of which it is composed, and since the public associates its actions with these parties, public perception of such actions influences the governing parties’ chances of success in the political contest. This fact is part of the free democracy envisaged by the Basic Law and must be accepted as such.59 The Court insisted, however, that the Federal Government must refrain from any actions that are apt to influence the political contest and are not part of its official functions. 60 The Constitution bars the government from identifying with any political party and from using the possibilities and state assets at its disposal to aid or hinder any party in its work.61 The Court insisted that the same standards apply to individual members of the Federal 54 Article 1 of the German Basic Law [Human dignity – Human rights – Legally binding force of basic rights] (1) Human dignity shall be inviolable. To respect and protect it shall be the duty of all state authority. (2) The German people therefore acknowledge inviolable and inalienable human rights as the basis of every community, of peace and of justice in the world. (3) The following basic rights shall bind the legislature, the executive and the judiciary as directly applicable law. 55 56 See supra note 7. See English version of the German Penal Code under https://www.gesetze-im- internet.de/englisch_stgb/. 57 See supra note 12. 58 See Schwesig Case, at 114. 59 Id., at 115. 60 Id. 61 Id. 202 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 Government.62 The Court acknowledged that this standard constitutes a fine-line because government ministers and other high-ranking officials cannot be barred from participating in political competition outside their official capacity. Such a limitation would create the opposite problem and constitute an unjustified form of discrimination on the governing parties.63 The Court nevertheless affirmed that those in government office who participate in political competition must ensure that in doing so they do not make use of the means and possibilities of their office.64 Of course it is impossible to strictly place actions of government members in the categories of “Federal Minister,” “party politician,” or “private individual.” Public perception, too, views holders of government office both as Federal Ministers and as members of their party. The role to which any particular statements belong, must be established on a case-by-case basis. Statements will usually fall into the field of “Federal Minister” if they make express references to the government office or if they exclusively concern actions of the respective ministry. The same goes for statements that are made through official channels such as press releases or the official homepage of the public authority. A statement’s context may also warrant subtler classification: e.g. using state insignia or public funds or making the statement on the ministry’s premises. The same applies to statements made in the context of government events or events in which the minister participated exclusively in his or her official capacity. Participating in party events like conventions etc., however, qualifies as mere participation in the political contest.65 The Court concluded that events of general political discussion (such as talk shows, discussions, and interviews) must be examined in a differentiated manner: Holders of government office may participate in any one event both in their official capacity and as private individuals or members of their party.66 Limiting holders of government office to official statements would violate the parties’ right to equal participation. But statements that make specific use of the office’s authority must comply with the principle of neutrality. The question of whether the principle of neutrality applies and whether it has been respected, is subject to complete judicial review by the Federal Constitutional Court.67 62 Id., at 116–17. 63 Id., at 117. 64 Id., at 117–19. 65 Id. at 119. 66 Id., at 119–20. 67 Id., at 120–21. 2017 Freedom of Speech vs. Parties’ Right to Equal Opportunity 203 2. Application of the Principles to the Case Applying these standards, the Court held that the challenged statement did not violate the NPD’s right to equal participation under Article 21(1)68 of the Basic Law. Minister Schwesig’s statements, the Court concluded, constituted a mere act of participation in the political contest and were not subject to the principle of neutrality under the first sentence of Article 21(1) of the Basic Law. If the NPD wishes to counter such statements, the Court explained, the party must do so using the means of political competition. III. 2 BvQ 39/15 (Minister Wanka)69 Referring to the Court’s 1977 decision and the two judgments discussed above, the Court repeated that a violation of the right of political parties to equal participation in the political competition occurs when holders of government office make use of the means and opportunities associated with their office in the political struggle of opinions. It is especially problematic that these resources are not available to other political competitors.70 The Court held that the press release published by Minister Wanka appeared on the ministry’s homepage without any link to the assigned tasks of the ministerial office. The fact that the press release did not refer to the ministerial office was not enough to avoid constitutional problems in this case. The Court expressed concern about the fact that the Minister used official resources by spreading the statement over the ministerial homepage. Of course, these are resources that are available to her only because of her government office and that are not available to political competitors. For these reasons the Court could not exclude the possibility of a violation of the AfD´s right to equal participation in the political competition.71 The Court also could not exclude the possibility of a violation of the basic right of freedom of assembly secured by Article 8(1)72 of the Basic Law, because the Minister voiced her 68 See supra note 12. 69 See Wanka Case, at paras. 6–15. 70 Id., at para. 9. 71 Id., at para. 10. 72 Article 8 of the German Basic Law [Freedom of assembly]. (1) All Germans shall have the right to assemble peacefully and unarmed without prior notification or permission. 204 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 opposition against the assembly of the AfD explicitly. The Court concluded that the press release could therefore be understood as an official demand for boycott.73 Against this background and after balancing the consequences the Court granted the requested provisional measures. If the preliminary injunction were not issued but the substantive Organstreit74 were later to be successful, the Court explained, then the rights of the AfD would be severely violated. If the preliminary injunction were issued but the Organstreit were unsuccessful, then the Minister would not be prevented from repeating the uttered opinion.75 E. Critique and Impact of the Decision on the Law76 I. The Person Making the Statement In these three recent judgements, the Second Senate drew a very clear distinction between, on the one hand, statements77 made by the Federal President and, on the other hand, statements by holders of government office (or other public officials)78 concerning political parties. This fundamental distinction was justified by reference to the different (2) In the case of outdoor assemblies, this right may be restricted by or pursuant to a law. 73 See Wanka Case, at para. 12. 74 See supra note 6. 75 See Wanka Case, at para. 15. 76 See, e.g., Kliegel, supra note 1, at 424–37. 77 This case-law of the Second Senate affects, of course, written as well as oral statements. Differently Mandelartz, Informations- und Öffentlichkeitsarbeit der Bundesregierung, DIE Ö FFENTLICHE VERWALTUNG 326, 328 (2015), who draws an unnecessary distinction at this point. 78 This case-law of the Second Senate is not limited to holders of government office. All public officials with an important office and the ability to make public statements that could influence the decision of voters, are bound by the established rules. That counts, of course, for mayors if they make negative statements concerning political parties. See Verwaltungsgericht Düsseldorf, Court Order on January 9, 2015 - 1 L 54/15 -, BeckRS 2015, 40408; Oberverwaltungsgericht Münster, Court Order on January 12, 2015 - 15 B 45/15 -, BeckRS 2015, 40521); Barczak, Die parteipolitische Äußerungsbefugnis von Amtsträgern, NEUE ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR VERWALTUNGSRECHT 1014, 1019 (2015). Putzer points out correctly that the constitutional situation changes when the mayor refers to non-party organizations. This is neither a question of Article 21 nor of Article 38 of the Basic Law, but might be a violation of the freedom of speech and the freedom of assembly of the affected organization. Putzer, Verfassungsrechtliche Grenzen der Äußerungsbefugnisse staatlicher Organe und Amtsträger, DIE ÖFFENTLICHE VERWALTUNG 417, 424-5 (2015). See also Barczak, supra, at 1019. 2017 Freedom of Speech vs. Parties’ Right to Equal Opportunity 205 constitutional functions the Basic Law assigns to the Federal President and holders of government office: The Federal President has a broad margin of assessment when it comes to such statements. This deference is amplified by the limited judicial oversight the Constitutional Court will exercise in these cases. The boundaries of the President’s freedom will be transgressed only if the statement contains (criminal) defamation or violates the integrative task of his office in an arbitrary manner.79 Apart from this, the President’s statements need not comply with the principle of neutrality. It is his personal decision, one that is not judicially reviewable, to determine the extent to which he adapts the role model of a “neutral Federal President.”80 Even the use of a usually defamatory term like “nutcases” (Spinner) can be justified, the Court held, if the Federal President has good reasons for using it. In the case of the NPD, the Court explained, the President had the good reason that he was combating those who deny the dreadful consequences of National Socialism. For obvious reasons this is a particularly important concern in Germany.81 In other cases, however, the use of such a term could be a violation of the party´s right to equal opportunity.82 Those who occupy government offices, on the other hand, do not benefit from a margin of assessment when they make use of the means and possibilities of their office in order to issue negative comments regarding (other) political parties. In exceptional cases a negative statement of a member of Government concerning a political party can be justified due to governmental responsibilities to provide information, e.g. the Minister of the Interior can inform the public about a political party’s unconstitutional activities in the yearly report of the intelligence services.83 However, the constitutionality of (negative) statements by public 79 Putzer is critical concerning this broad margin, which “will hardly ever be violated in the constitutional reality.” See Putzer, supra note 78, at 421. Barczak disagreed and would limit the broad margin of the Federal President to statements referring to parties or organizations that identify themselves with the NSDAP. See Barczak, supra note 78, at 1020. 80 See Federal President Case, at 336. Barczak affirmed this position. See Barczak, supra note 78, at 1020. Tanneberger and Nemeczek were critical. See Tanneberger/Nemeczek, Anmerkung zu Schwesig, NEUE ZEITSCHRIFT FÜR VERWALTUNGSRECHT 215 (2015). 81 See the disputable Wunsiedel Case of the First Senate of the Constitutional Court, which permits (criminal) restrictions of the freedom of speech for statements glorifying the National Socialism. Wunsiedel Case, 124 BVerfGE 300 (2009); critical also Barczak, supra note 78, at 1020 (with further references). 82 See also Barczak, supra note 78, at 1020. 83 See Putzer, supra note 78, at 423; Barczak, supra note 78, at 1016–17. 206 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 officials concerning political parties is usually not a question of permissible governmental information activity, but rather of the function or position the speaker is using while making the statement.84 Holders of government office have therefore generally to refrain from making negative statements concerning political parties if they make specific use of the authority or the resources of their government office. By doing so nevertheless, they violate the principle of neutrality. Moreover, the question of a violation of the principle of neutrality is – in contrast to the Federal President – subject to complete judicial review by the Constitutional Court. The reason for that is the Federal President’s different role. The Court held that the President does not participate directly in the contest with other political parties and does not possess comparable means to influence public opinion. The Government, by comparison, is composed of members of political parties. Their actions as public officials always influence public opinion, so they must refrain from actions influencing the public opinion that are not part of their public office if they do not make it clear that they are acting outside of their official capacity. The distinction between the President and the government has been criticized.85 One could also reverse its assumptions and hold that the actions by the Federal President as a neutral figurehead of the country have much more impact on the people than actions by holders of government office, who belong - obviously and discernible - to a certain party.86 Thus, one could also advocate the theory that because public opinion is more easily influenced by statements made by the Federal President, he should refrain from negative statements concerning political parties. Furthermore, some scholars argue that it is doubtful whether the distinction is really a question of resources.87 After all, the Federal President also has a reasonable budget at his disposal, and he does not necessarily need it to attract the voters’ attention. 84 Barczak views this differently. See Barczak, supra note 78, at 1016-18. Mandelartz complains that the Court did not clarify whether the statement of Minister Schwesig was made within her competences as Minister for Family, Senior Citizens, Women and Youth. See Mandelartz, supra note 77, at 327. This criticism is quite surprising because no Federal Minister can intervene like this in the electoral campaign of one of the states (Länder) using the means of his or her office because of his/her competences. This would surely be the case for the Federal Minister for Family, Senior Citizens, Women and Youth. It seems obvious that the statement would have been a violation of the party’s right to equal opportunities if Schwesig had used the specific authority of her office. 85 See Putzer, supra note 78, at 421; Tanneberger & Nemeczek, supra note 80, at 215. 86 See Putzer, supra note 78, at 422–23; Tanneberger & Nemeczek, supra note 80, at 215. 87 See Tanneberger & Nemeczek, supra note 80, at 215. 2017 Freedom of Speech vs. Parties’ Right to Equal Opportunity 207 In the end, however, the argumentation of the Second Senate is consistent and convincing.88 The Federal President is not part of the fight for votes, does not participate in electoral campaigns, and operates as a neutral figurehead. Even if the Court could have been stricter regarding his very wide margin of assessment,89 the standards concerning statements made by public officials are undoubtedly necessary limits to their freedom of speech, which they can still exercise in electoral campaigns and in circumstances in which they do not make use of the authority or resources of the office they hold. To illustrate this argument one has only to imagine the Chancellor making public statements in television one week before the federal elections concerning other political parties in a negative way, or even suggesting that the public refrain from voting for a certain party, all while sitting in her office with the insignia of her power in the background, having been introduced as Chancellor of the Federal Republic of Germany. In those circumstances, it would be very clear that the parties’ right to equal opportunity is violated. In fact, it is very similar to the case the Court decided in 1977, concerning the production and publishing of informational material in favour of the governing parties. That does not mean that the Chancellor cannot participate in the struggle for votes and in electoral campaigns. Obviously, she can, for example, appear in the federal convention of her party and make negative statements concerning other political parties. In this case, she is clearly participating in the political competition outside of her official capacity. That is important because the right to equal opportunity also prohibits putting the governing parties at a disadvantage for the mere fact that they are governing the country. II. The Circumstances of the Statement The delineation of whether the holder of government office is appearing as a “public official,” as “party politician,” or “private individual” (the distinction of the latter is not relevant for the principle of neutrality) can, of course, be much more difficult than in the given example and sometimes even impossible. Yet it is a necessary delineation90 that has to be made on a case-by-case basis:91 88 See, e g., Barczak, supra note 78, at 1017, 1020. 89 See Putzer, supra note 78, at 421; Barczak, supra note 78, at 1020 (arguing for limits on the wide margin of the Federal President - too strictly - to statements referring parties or organizations that identify themselves with the NSDAP). 90 See Barczak, supra note 78, at 1016. Tanneberger and Nemeczek have a different view. See Tanneberger & Nemeczek, supra note 80, at 216 (criticizing Barczak’s “all-or-nothing-solution”). But the separation of the different roles as far as possible is the exact purpose of the judgment. 91 Schwesig Case, at 118. 208 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 Delineation of some statements is easy. For example, statements that make express reference to the government office concerning actions of the ministry, using official channels (such as ministerial publications, press releases, or the homepage of the ministry). In these cases, the office-holder makes specific use of the authority and/or the resources of his or her office. The circumstances of a statement can also indicate that the means and possibilities of the office are being used, for example, for a statement made on the premises of the ministry, the use of state insignia, or using the ministry’s financial resources. It might be possible to clarify that a public official is acting as “party politician,” such as when he or she makes an appearance or a speech at a party’s convention, appears at a party’s event during an electoral campaign, makes a statement on the premises of the head office of the party, or makes a statement with an unambiguous reference to the speaker’s party function. The same goes for statements with a clear reference to the private life of the office-holder. As the Schwesig judgment demonstrates, however, it can be very difficult to classify statements made during events that are neither official nor party nor private appointments. Contrary to opinions in legal scholarship,92 even if a classification of a statement is not possible, a legal solution is available, due to a simple rule of doubt. Such events, which can be talk shows, discussions, or interviews, are mixed events that must be classified depending on the content of the discussion. While one sentence can be strictly official, the other sentence may refer to the private opinion of the public official, and the next question may refer to the person as a party official.93 It is also common that in events like this the person is introduced as both holder of government office and with a reference to his or her status in a political party. In those cases, the public official is responsible for the public perception of his or her statement. If the topic changes from private or party content to official content, he or she has to make clear that he or she is talking as a party politician or private individual, especially when he or she is attacking a political party. It is very important to bear in mind that in such cases public officials are not given the benefit of the doubt.94 Thus, if a negative statement concerning a political party cannot be clearly assigned to the public or party/private function of an office-holder, then it has to be 92 See Putzer, supra note 78, at 423; Tanneberger & Nemeczek, supra note 80, at 216; Krüper, Anmerkung, JURISTENZEITUNG 414, 417 (2015); Mandelartz, supra note 77, at 329. 93 Mandelartz disagrees. See Mandelartz, supra note 77, at 329 (speaking of an artificial separation of one statement, but does not offer a practical solution). 94 Barczak disagrees. See Barczak, supra note 78, at 1016. See also Putzer, supra note 78, at 423. Tanneberger & Nemeczek appear to say that the holder of government office should not be given the benefit of the doubt, which is, in fact, already the case. The reason for rejecting the application was not that Minister Schwesig has been given the benefit of the doubt but that there was no doubt about the role she used when making the statement. See Tanneberger & Nemeczek, supra note 80, at 216. 2017 Freedom of Speech vs. Parties’ Right to Equal Opportunity 209 gathered that he or she is acting as a public official using the authority of his or her office and, therefore, is violating the principle of neutrality. Critical opinions in legal scholarship tend to overlook this crucial point and merely speak of the impossibility to differentiate.95 The rule is simple: When a holder of government office harshly criticizes a political party and leaves the objective debate on a certain topic,96 then he or she has to be aware of the role he or she plays in this moment. If, due to the nature of the event, this role is not clear, then it is his or her obligation to clarify what role he or she is exercising at the time. Thus, every office-holder can still objectively debate political issues with other parties’ politicians without having to be afraid of violating their right to equal opportunity. This goes especially for debates in parliament where the office-holder usually speaks about his or her area of responsibility and where he or she can confront the opposition with factual matters. Of course, in this setting the opposition can reply and defend themselves or attack the speaker in the same arena.97 The office-holder may even criticize another party in a way that is harsh, discriminating, and biased. In such cases, which he or she should be able to notice without difficulties, the officeholder has to be sure of the role he or she is exercising. This role is usually evident. The past year shows that the distinction appears to work in practice without greater difficulty. The Constitutional Court had to deal with only one case of a possible violation of a party’s right to equal opportunity due to a negative statement of office-holder (the Wanka Case – which contains some factual differences). But it should also be clear that not every use of the means and possibilities of the office signifies that the statement is made in the function of an office-holder. The mere use of the official car, a ministry’s driver, or of the official mobile phone does not necessarily imply that the public official is acting in his or her official function. In a difficult and time consuming job it is simply not possible and cannot be expected that the public official changes “his or her entire gear” just for one statement. Therefore, it was not a problem in terms of using the resources of the public office when Minister Schwesig was taken in her official car to the 95 See Krüper, supra note 92, at 417; Putzer, supra note 78, at 423. Contrary to this opinion the legal certainty for holders of government office is not a great issue because it is their decision where and when to attack other political parties in a disparaging way. 96 It is important to mention that an objective debate on a political topic between politicians is not the subjectmatter of the legal question discussed in this article. The statement must always in some way be subjective and evidently take one side and thereby transgress the boundaries of the usual political debate. 97 This is misunderstood by Tanneberger & Nemeczek, who hold the opinion that real debate is no longer possible in Parliament. See Tanneberger & Nemeczek, supra note 80, at 216. 210 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 event in Thuringa. Firstly, it was an official appointment and the interview was just a side event.98 The Minister probably would not have given the interview, at least not in Weimar, had she not been there for the official event. Secondly, a Minister of the Federal Republic of Germany can use his or her official car for private appointments, too; it is, so to speak, part of the job description.99 III. The Timing of the Statement The preliminary injunction the Constitutional Court granted the AfD against Minister Wanka was almost a typical case, taking into account the Schwesig judgment. As this judgment emphasizes, it is a clear indicator of acting in the public function if the office-holder uses official channels – particularly the ministry’s homepage – for his or her (negative) statement. The objection of Minister Wanka that her press release concerning the assembly of the AfD made no reference to her governmental office appears rather weak in this context. A press release of the minister on the homepage of the ministry does not need any reference to the minister’s office in order to represent an official statement of the minister. It is even doubtful whether the minister was allowed to make an express private statement in form of a press release on the homepage of the ministry. A minister is definitely not allowed to publish statements of his political party as ministerial press releases. A new legal point is made in this decision because the statement of Minister Wanka was not made in the preparation of an election or during an electoral campaign, but in the context of a (ordinary) public assembly of a political party. Therefore, it is not a combination of Article 21(1)100 and Article 38(1)101 of the Basic Law that was jeopardized here. Instead it was a combination of Article 21(1) and Article 8102 of the Basic Law (the freedom of assembly). That also demonstrates that the case-law of the Second Senate concerning negative statements made by office-holders regarding other political parties is not restricted to statements made during the election process or before, in electoral campaigns.103 In fact, the principle of neutrality is violated by every negative statement an office-holder makes regarding another political party, if he or she uses means in the political competition that 98 Mandelartz disagrees. See Mandelartz, supra note 77, at 328–29 (combining unnecessarily the two separate events into one). 99 See Barczak, supra note 78, at 1016. 100 See supra note 12. 101 See supra note 9. 102 See supra note 72. 103 See Wanka Case, para. 9. See also Barczak, supra note 78, at 1019. But see Putzer, supra note 78, at 423. 2017 Freedom of Speech vs. Parties’ Right to Equal Opportunity 211 are only available due to his or her office and that are not available to political competitors.104 The gravity of the violation of the principle of neutrality and the necessary level of justification rise with the proximity of elections (or a public assembly),105 which is not a matter of a certain time frame but of a case-by-case decision,106 taking into account the direct reference to such elections (or the assembly) and, of course, the wording and the extent of the recourse to public resources. The intensity of the Court’s review changes according to the changes in these circumstances. E. Conclusion In two judgments and one preliminary injunction the Second Senate of the Constitutional Court has laid down the principles applicable to public officials when they make negative statements regarding other political parties. The Federal President possesses a broad margin of assessment, which he abuses only if he violates the integrative task of his office in an arbitrary manner. Government office-holders, to the contrary, have to abide by the principle of neutrality, which does not allow them to make negative statements regarding other political parties in their political function. This is always the case when they make specific use of the authority or the resources of their office. The principle of neutrality becomes stricter when the statement refers to upcoming elections or assemblies of the party that is being attacked. The public official has to ensure that the role he or she is using while making the statement is not misinterpreted by the public. He or she is not given the benefit of doubt. Any statement made in his or her official capacity that could be understood as negative will be a violation of the principle of neutrality and the right of political parties to equal opportunity. Lastly, it has to be pointed out that the fact that the attacked political party is a right-wing extremist party is of no legal importance whatsoever. There is no “good cause” that justifies a violation of political parties’ right to equal opportunity, even if it concerns an allegedly “unconstitutional” party. The Basic Law provides for party ban proceedings to declare a political party unconstitutional. As long as a party is not prohibited by the Constitutional Court, it enjoys the same rights as every other party. Article 21(2)107 of the Basic Law, which 104 See Wanka Case, para. 9. 105 That goes for written statements as well as for oral statements. But see Mandelartz, supra note 77, at 327. 106 See Barczak, supra note 78, at 1019 (favoring a period of three months before any election, during which time the “rule of the utmost reserve” applies for holders of government office when referring to other political parties). 107 See supra note 12. 212 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 contains the requirements for a party’s prohibition, is an exception to the rule laid down in Article 21(1)108, which guarantees the freedom of political parties and their right to equal opportunities.109 Even pending party ban proceedings against the NPD do not allow violations of the party’s right to equal opportunity before a judgment banning the party is issued by the Court.110 This is a core principle of German democracy that is of great importance because - unlike in other democracies - the Basic Law already provides for the possibility to ban a party from the political competition. Any misuse of this ultima ratio of the parliamentarian democracy must be prevented. 108 See supra note 12. 109 See Henke, Art. 21, in BONNER KOMMENTAR ZUM GRUNDGESETZ para. 346 (1991). See also the recent judgment of the Constitutional Court rejecting the application to prohibit the NPD BVerfG -- 2 BvB 1/13, January 17, 2017, para. 524, http://www.bundesverfassungsgericht.de/SharedDocs/Entscheidungen/DE/2017/01/bs20170117_2bvb000113.h tml [hereinafter Prohibition Case] with an English press release available at http://www.bundesverfassungsgericht.de/SharedDocs/Pressemitteilungen/EN/2017/bvg17-004.html. 110 See Prohibition case, at para. 526. Developments Saving Face? The German Federal Constitutional Court Decides Gauweiler By Asteris Pliakos and Georgios Anagnostaras * Abstract The German Federal Constitutional Court has issued its long-awaited judgment in the Gauweiler Case. The Court ruled that the policy decision on the Outright Monetary Transactions programme (OMT programme) does not manifestly exceed the competences attributed to the European Central Bank (ECB) and does not manifestly violate the prohibition of monetary financing of the budget, if interpreted in accordance with the preliminary ruling of the European Court of Justice (Court). This article surveys the Court’s decision and offers a critical commentary on this important case. * Asteris Pliakos, Professor of European Union Law at the Athens University of Economics and Business and Director of the Scientific Committee of the Hellenic Parliament. Georgios Anagnostaras, Legal Advisor at the Hellenic Radio and Television Council and Teaching Associate at the Hellenic Open University. This paper was funded by ELKE/AUEB and it was coordinated and managed by the Special Research Account of the Athens University of Economics and Business. All views expressed are personal. 214 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 A. Introduction The policy decision on the Outright Monetary Transactions programme (OMT programme) does not manifestly exceed the competences attributed to the European Central Bank (ECB) and does not manifestly violate the prohibition of monetary financing of the budget, if interpreted in accordance with the preliminary ruling of the European Court of Justice (Court). This is the essence of the long awaited judgment of the German Federal Constitutional Court (FCC) in Gauweiler, which rejected the constitutional complaints against the validity of the OMT programme.1 The facts of the case are well known and equally well documented. The legal proceedings before the FCC concerned the legality of the OMT programme announced by the ECB.2 This programme authorizes the European System of Central Banks (ESCB) to purchase on the secondary market government bonds of the Member States of the euro area, if and so long as these states participate in a reform programme agreed upon with the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) or the European Stability Mechanism (ESM). Although the ECB has not yet implemented this programme, a number of citizens and a fraction of the Bundestag instituted legal proceedings against it before the German FCC. The applicants argued that the programme exceeded the legal mandate of the ECB and violated the prohibition of monetary financing of the Member States pursuant to the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union (TFEU). The applicants maintained that these violations of the TFEU contravened the constitutional principle of democracy and impaired the national constitutional identity. In a historic move, the FCC decided to stay the judicial proceedings and to make its first ever preliminary reference to the Court.3 However, the FCC clearly indicated in its reference that it intended to consider the OMT programme as ultra vires unless the Court gives it a restrictive interpretation that would confirm its supportive nature with regard to the economic policies in the EU and would not undermine the conditionality 1 Bundesverfassungsgericht [BVERFG] [Federal Constitutional Court], 2 BvR 2728/13, 2 BvR 2729/13, 2 BvR 2730/13, 2 BvR 2731/13, 2 BvE 13/13, June 21, 2016, http://www.bundesverfassungsgericht.de/SharedDocs/Entscheidungen/DE/2016/06/rs20160621_2bvr2728 13.html [hereinafter Gauweiler]. For a detailed press release of this judgment in English, see Press Release, Bundesverfassungsgericht, Constitutional Complaints and Organstreit Proceedings Against the OMT Programme of the European Central Bank Unsuccessful (June 21, 2016), http://www.bundesverfassungsgericht.de/SharedDocs/Pressemitteilungen/EN/2016/bvg16-034.html. 2 The technical features of the programme were announced in a press release available online. See Press Release, European Central Bank, Technical Features of Outright Monetary Transactions (Sept. 6, 2012), http://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2012/html/pr120906_1.en.html. 3 Bundesverfassungsgericht [BVERFG] [Federal Constitutional Court], 2 BvR 2728/13, 2 BvR 2729/13, 2 BvR 2730/13, 2 BvR 2731/13, 2 BvE 13/13, Jan. 14 2014, http://www.bundesverfassungsgericht.de/SharedDocs/Entscheidungen/EN/2014/01/rs20140114_2bvr2728 13en.html [hereinafter Gauweiler Reference]. For more on this case see Mattias Wendel, Exceeding Judicial Competence in the Name of Democracy: The German Federal Constitutional Court’s OMT Reference, 10 EUR. CONST. L. REV. 263 (2014); Ingolf Pernice, A Difficult Partnership Between Courts: The First Preliminary Reference by the German Federal Constitutional Court to the CJEU, 21 MAASTRICHT J. EUR. & COMP. L. 3 (2014); see also Special Issue - The OMT Decision of the German Federal Constitutional Court, 15 GERMAN L.J. 108–382 (2014). 2017 The Constitutional Court’s Gauweiler Judgement 215 of the reform programmes. The FCC also specified in its preliminary request the particular requirements that had to be met in order to rule the contested bonds purchase programme as intra vires.4 The FCC clarified that it would revisit the alleged violation of the national constitutional identity on the basis of the answers given to its preliminary request.5 In its preliminary ruling, the Court confirmed the legality of the contested OMT programme on the basis of substantive arguments and the application of the principle of proportionality.6 It applied in this respect a teleological interpretation of the bonds purchase scheme that placed confidence in its announced objectives and the submissions of the ECB. The ruling stressed at the same time the wide margin of appreciation possessed by the ECB in the performance of its powers, suggesting that it is not in principle for the judicial institutions to substitute their own choices and assessments for those made by the ECB in the adoption and implementation of monetary policy. Seen against this background, the FCC attempts in its follow-up judgment to convince that it considers the bonds purchase programme as valid because the Court interpreted it in essence in the restrictive terms that the FCC had requested in its preliminary reference. It will nevertheless be argued that the converse is actually true and that the FCC was reluctantly obliged to accept the submissions of the ECB and the much more generous interpretation of the programme made by the Court in order to save face and to avoid an institutional conflict that it could no longer win. However, it will also be explained that this was ultimately a wise move on the part of the FCC that may well have been facilitated by the reconciliatory tone of the preliminary ruling of the Court and the indirect dialogue that has taken place recently between the two courts in the area of fundamental rights. 4 Gauweiler Reference at paras. 99–100. 5 Id. at paras. 102–03. 6 Case C-62/14, Gauweiler v. Deutscher Bundestag, (June 16, 2015), http://curia.europa.eu/ [hereinafter OMT Ruling]. For more on this case, see generally Paul Craig & Menelaos Markakis, Gauweiler and the Legality of Outright Monetary Transactions, 41 EUR. L. REV. 1 (2016); Georgios Anagnostaras, In ECB We Trust…The FCC We Dare! The OMT Preliminary Ruling, 40 EUR. L. REV. 744 (2015); Vestert Borger, Outright Monetary Transactions and the Stability Mandate of the ECB: Gauweiler, 53 COMMON MKT. L. REV. 139 (2016); Alicia Hinarejos, Gauweiler and the Outright Monetary Transactions Programme: The Mandate of the European Central Bank and the Changing Nature of Economic and Monetary Union, 11 EUR. CONST. L. REV. 563 (2015); Monica Claes & Jan-Herman Reestman, The Protection of National Constitutional Identity and the Limits of European Integration at the Occasion of the Gauweiler Case, 16 GERMAN L.J. 917 (2015); Heiko Sauer, Doubtful it Stood...: Competence and Power in European Monetary and Constitutional Law in the Aftermath of the CJEU’s OMT Judgment, 16 GERMAN L.J. 971 (2015); Federico Fabbrini, After the OMT Case: The Supremacy of EU Law as the Guarantee of the Equality of the Member States, 16 GERMAN L.J. 1003 (2015); Sven Simon, Direct Cooperation Has Begun: Some Remarks on the Judgment of the ECJ on the OMT Decision of the ECB in Response to the German Federal Constitutional Court’s First Request for a Preliminary Ruling, 16 GERMAN L.J. 1025 (2015); Special Issue - The European Court of Justice, the European Central Bank and the Supremacy of EU Law, 23 MAASTRICHT J. EUR. & COMP. L. 1 (2016). 216 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 B. The Arbitrary Reading of the Preliminary Ruling and the Criticism against the Court The judgment of the FCC centers on the argument that the preliminary ruling of the Court took up the issue of the almost unlimited potential of the OMT programme and imposed additional restrictive requirements that preclude its unrestrained extension, making it thus acceptable to consider it as a legally valid act.7 The FCC attempts in this respect to make a distinction between the adoption of the contested bonds purchase programme by the ECB and the conditions for its implementation, as specified in the preliminary ruling of the Court.8 The FCC suggests therefore that its judgment is totally consistent with the position that it expressed on the matter in its preliminary reference to the Court. Accordingly, the programme was ultra vires in its original form, but the additional compelling parameters set by the Court as concerns its implementation allow the FCC to conclude that the preliminary ruling has essentially performed the restrictive interpretation that it had required in its preliminary request.9 However, closer analysis attests that the FCC purposely misconstrues the content of the preliminary ruling in order to obscure the fact that the Court rejected in essence its request to impose additional restrictions on the bonds purchase programme. It is also apparent that the specific requirements set by the judgment for the participation of the Bundesbank in the implementation of the OMT programme result immediately from the press release of the programme and the explanations of the ECB. This suggests in turn that the FCC ultimately adheres to the position put forward by the Court that the announced programme already provides sufficient guarantees to be considered as valid. That being said, it will be explained that this reluctant adherence serves the judicial politics of the FCC and must not be interpreted as an indication that the two courts share the same views about the legal mandate of the ECB and the measure of the judicial review that can be exercised over the policy acts that it adopts in the performance of its powers. All of the above will now be examined in turn. I. Adoption versus Implementation: The Unconvincing Reasoning of the FCC According to the FCC, the Court went beyond the framework conditions of the programme indicated in its press release and specified additional compelling requirements stemming particularly from the principle of proportionality that set binding limits to the implementation of the programme.10 It is nevertheless submitted that the proportionality assessment of the programme made by the Court in the preliminary ruling was not at all intended to have the restrictive effect suggested by the FCC. Furthermore, there is nothing in the preliminary ruling to suggest that the Court made the implementation of the contested programme contingent on requirements 7 Gauweiler at paras. 195–96. 8 Id. at paras. 191, 197. 9 Id. at para. 190. 10 Id. at para. 177. 2017 The Constitutional Court’s Gauweiler Judgement 217 that were not already apparent from its announced conditions and the explanations provided by the ECB. Indeed, the preliminary ruling referred to the announced objectives of the programme and concluded that these confirmed its nature as a monetary policy measure.11 This already implied that the Court would follow the view of the ECB about the legality of the bonds purchase programme, contrary to the allegations of the referring FCC, which had claimed that the immediate objective of the contested scheme was to neutralize spreads of government bonds of selected Member States and to safeguard the composition of the euro currency area and that it therefore clearly fell outside the realm of monetary policy.12 This approach of the Court becomes even more apparent if one looks at the way the preliminary ruling examines the specific features of the programme and concludes that they constitute concrete evidence of the intention of the ECB to confine its interference within precise limits. Consider, for example, the selectivity of the programme. For the FCC, this indicated its nature as an economic policy measure since the exercise of monetary policy cannot be targeted at specific Member States of the euro area.13 By contrast, the preliminary ruling concluded that selectivity actually serves to concentrate the intervention of the ECB only on those parts of the Eurozone where monetary policy transmission is weakened. Selectivity thus prevents the scale of the programme from being needlessly increased. In other words, the Court accepted that selectivity constitutes an act of prudence on the part of the ECB.14 The same is the case as concerns the conditionality of the programme. The referring FCC considered that this confirmed the invalidity of the scheme, since it tied its implementation to the operation of the financial assistance measures and their economic policy requirements.15 The Court thought otherwise. It stressed that conditionality is essential in order to prevent that the implementation of the programme provides an incentive to the Member States concerned to cease carrying out the structural reforms necessary to improve their economic situation. Under this interpretation, conditionality serves the effectiveness of the reform programmes and the economic policies followed by the Member States. It also encourages the impetus of national governments to adopt a sound budgetary policy.16 A similar approach was followed as concerns the argument of the FCC that the contested programme violated the prohibition of monetary financing of the budget. The Court 11 OMT Ruling at paras. 47–49. 12 Gauweiler Reference at paras. 70–72. 13 Id. at para. 73. 14 OMT Ruling at paras. 55, 89. 15 Gauweiler Reference at paras. 74–78. 16 OMT Ruling at paras. 60–61. 218 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 once again paid attention to the specific features of the programme as announced in its press release and concluded that these effectively exclude the possibility that the programme would lessen the impetus of the Member States to follow a sound budgetary policy. It stressed in this respect that the programme provides for the purchase of government bonds only in so far as is necessary to safeguard the monetary policy transmission mechanism and the singleness of monetary policy and that those purchases will cease as soon as the above mentioned objectives are achieved. It also underlined that the programme is accompanied by a series of specific guarantees that are intended to confine its impact to the extent required in order to attain its monetary policy objectives. The Court made particular reference in this regard to the conditionality of the programme and to the fact that it is confined only to those Member States that have regained access to the bond market.17 Furthermore, in several parts of its preliminary ruling the Court relied explicitly on the explanations provided by the ECB in order to support the legality of the contested bonds purchase programme. Very illustrative in this respect is the way the Court established that the implementation of the announced programme would not have a practical effect equivalent to that of the purchase of government bonds on the primary market. The Court noted that the ECB had established sufficient safeguards that prevented the issuance of government bonds from being unduly affected by the certainty that those bonds would be eventually purchased by the ESCB on the secondary market. Indeed, the ECB had clarified that its Governing Council would be responsible to ascertain both the scope and the length of the intervention envisaged by the programme. It had also indicated that it intended to observe a minimum period between the issue of a security and its purchase on the secondary market and that it would not announce in advance its intention to proceed to bond purchases. The Court concluded that these safeguards limit the influence of the programme on the functioning of the market to an extent that is considered acceptable by the Treaties.18 It is apparent therefore that the preliminary ruling did not impose additional restrictions on the announced bonds purchase programme and placed confidence in the ECB to implement it in such a way that would respect the limits of its competences. This is also confirmed by the proportionality review of the scheme performed by the Court. The Court employed in this respect the same test that it applies in the exercise of its judicial review over the acts of the EU legislature. This so called “manifestly inappropriate test” aims to respect the complex policy choices that the EU legislature is often obliged to make in the exercise of its rule making powers. 19 Under this test, a violation of proportionality only exists if the act in question is evidently inappropriate in relation to 17 Id. at paras. 111–21. 18 Id. at paras. 105–08. 19 See Wolf Sauter, Proportionality in EU Law: A Balancing Act? (Tilburg L. & Econ. Ctr., Discussion Paper No. 2013-003), http://ssrn.com/abstract=2208467; see also Tor-Inge Harbo, The Function of the Proportionality Principle in EU Law, 16 EUR. L.J. 158 (2010). 2017 The Constitutional Court’s Gauweiler Judgement 219 the objectives pursued.20 Certainly, this is not to say that a legislative measure can never be considered invalid.21 However, the odds of successfully contesting the validity of legislative acts are rather slim so long as the contested measure is explicit as to the public interest objectives that it pursues and provides some concrete evidence that the EU legislature took into account methods of confining its interference within reasonable limits.22 The preliminary ruling testifies that similar considerations apply also as concerns the judicial review of the acts of the ECB. The Court stressed in this respect that the ECB is required in the performance of its powers to make choices of a technical nature and to undertake forecasts and complex assessments. As a result, it must be allowed a wide margin of appreciation.23 The Court examined then the appropriateness of the OMT programme, having regard to the information contained in its press release and the explanations provided by the ECB. It concluded that the information placed before it suggested that the analysis by the ECB of the economic situation of the euro area at the time of the announcement of the programme was not vitiated by a manifest error of assessment. The Court underlined that matters of economic policy were usually of a controversial nature and added that nothing more could be required by the ECB than to use its economic expertise and all the necessary technical means in order to carry out its analysis with due care and accuracy. Accordingly, the ECB could legitimately take the view that the programme announced in its press release was appropriate to restore the monetary policy transmission mechanism and to maintain price stability. 24 The Court concluded then that the contested programme was not going manifestly beyond what was necessary to achieve the objectives of monetary policy. Referring again to the press release of the ECB, it noted that this permitted the purchase of government bonds on the secondary market only within a confined framework. The Court reiterated that the programme is also restricted in volume since it concerns only a limited part of the government bonds issued by the Member States of the euro area. Consequently, the commitments that the ECB is liable to enter into are circumscribed and limited. In those circumstances, the ECB could legitimately adopt the programme 20 Case C-380/03, Germany v. Parliament and Council, (Dec. 12, 2006), http://curia.europa.eu/; see also Case C-343/09, Afton Chemical Ltd. v. Sec’y of State for Transp., (July 8, 2010), http://curia.europa.eu/. 21 See, e.g., Joined Cases C-293 & 594/12, Digital Rts. Ireland v. Minister for Comm. Marine & Nat., Kärntner Landesregierung,(Apr. 8, 2014), http://curia.europa.eu/. For more on this ruling, see generally Orla Lynskey, The Data Retention Directive is Incompatible with the Rights to Privacy and Data Protection and is Invalid in its Entirety: Digital Rights Ireland, 51 COMMON MKT. L. REV. 1789 (2014). See also Marie-Pierre Granger & Kristina Irion, The Court of Justice and the Data Retention Directive in Digital Rights Ireland, 39 EUR. L. REV. 835 (2014). 22 See, e.g., Case C-283/11, Sky Österreich GmbH v. Österreichischer Rundfunk, (Jan. 22, 2013), http://curia.europa.eu/. For more on this case, see generally Georgios Anagnostaras, Balancing Conflicting Fundamental Rights: The Sky Österreich Paradigm, 39 EUR. L. REV. 111 (2014; Wouter Hins, The Freedom to Conduct a Business and the Right to Receive Information for Free: Sky Österreich, 51 COMMON MKT. L. REV. 665 (2014). 23 OMT Ruling at para. 68. 24 Id. at paras. 72–81. 220 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 without setting a quantitative limit prior to its implementation. This was even more so since the imposition of such a limit could potentially reduce its effectiveness. 25 The above analysis clearly illustrates that the preliminary ruling of the Court accepted the legality of the bonds purchase programme at the time of its adoption, having regard to the specific restrictions and safeguards introduced by its announced conditions and also taking into account the wide margin of appreciation possessed by the ECB in the performance of its competences. Apparently then, the distinction that the FCC attempts to make between the adoption and the implementation of the programme is purely artificial and can only be explained as a pretext intended to facilitate the retreat of the court from the position that it had expressed in its preliminary reference as regards the ultra vires nature of the scheme. This becomes even more evident if one looks at the conditions that the FCC sets in order to allow the participation of the Bundesbank in the implementation of the OMT programme. II. The Conditions for Participating in the Implementation of the Programme: Hiding Retreat behind Verbalism According to the FCC, since the bonds purchase programme constitutes an ultra vires act if the framework conditions set by the Court are not met, the Bundesbank may only participate in its implementation if and to the extent that the following six conditions are satisfied.26 First, that bond purchases are not announced in advance. Second, that the volume of purchases is limited from the outset. Third, that there is a minimum period between the issue of government bonds and their purchase by the ESCB that is agreed upon from the outset. Fourth, that the ESCB purchases only government bonds of Member States that have bond market access enabling the funding of such bonds. Fifth, that purchased bonds are only in exceptional cases held until maturity. Sixth, that purchases are terminated and purchased bonds are remarketed should continuing the intervention becomes unnecessary. Compared to the conditions that it had set in its preliminary reference in order to regard the programme as valid, the FCC no longer requires that the possibility of a debt cut must be excluded.27 This certainly reflects the position put forward in the preliminary ruling that even if it were established that the contested programme could indeed expose the ECB to a significant risk of losses, this would in no way weaken the guarantees that are built into the programme in order to ensure that it does not reduce the impetus of the Member States to follow a sound budgetary policy. The Court added in this respect that those guarantees are also likely to reduce the risk of losses that the ECB is exposed to. It also noted in this regard that all central banks are inevitably exposed to similar risks in the performance of their powers. After all, the Treaties authorize the ECB to purchase government bonds on the secondary market even at the 25 Id. at paras. 82–92. 26 Gauweiler at para. 205. 27 Gauweiler Reference at para. 100. 2017 The Constitutional Court’s Gauweiler Judgement 221 risk of a debt cut decided upon by the other creditors of the Member State concerned without making this operation conditional on the acquisition of a privileged creditor status.28 Turning then to the new legality requirements set by the FCC in the light of the preliminary ruling of the Court, it is immediately apparent that three of them simply replicate the framework conditions indicated in the press release of the programme. 29 Indeed, the press release makes it clear that the scope of the announced programme only concerns Member States that have access to the bond purchase market and that transactions will be focused in particular on sovereign bonds with a short maturity between one and three years. It also clarifies that the Governing Council of the ECB will consider outright monetary transactions only to the extent that they are warranted from a monetary policy perspective and will immediately terminate them once their objectives have been achieved. The preliminary ruling has not altered the nature and the magnitude of the legal commitments voluntarily undertaken in this respect by the ECB. On the contrary, it has confirmed that they provide sufficient guarantees that the programme is properly circumscribed and that it could be legitimately adopted as a valid monetary policy measure.30 Furthermore, closer analysis reveals that both the prohibition on the prior announcement of bond purchases and the observance of a minimum period between the issue of a security on the primary market and its purchase by the ESCB were not imposed by the Court as additional requirements intended to remedy the alleged illegality of the announced programme. The preliminary ruling rather accepted in this respect the explanations of the ECB that its practical intervention under the OMT programme will be such as to cause the least possible interference with the operation of the primary bond market.31 By referring thus to the relevant passages of the preliminary ruling, the FCC accepts in essence the validity of the submissions of the ECB and its capacity to impose voluntary restraints on the exercise of its powers. This is certainly not the same as to suggest that the preliminary ruling introduced additional framework conditions as concerns the implementation of the contested bonds purchase programme. That leaves to examine the requirement that the volume of bond purchases must be limited from the outset. This was one of the conditions that the FCC had explicitly set in its preliminary reference in order to consider the contested programme as valid.32 However, its reiteration in the final judgment is very puzzling for two principal reasons. 28 OMT Ruling at paras. 123–26. 29 See Technical Features of Outright Monetary Transactions, supra note 2. 30 For limited coverage and short maturity period of purchased bonds, see OMT Ruling at paras. 86–87, 116– 19. For purchases linked to the attainment of the objectives of the programme, see id. at paras. 82, 112. 31 Id. at para. 106. 32 Gauweiler Reference at para. 100. 222 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 First, because the programme makes it clear that no prior quantitative limits are set on the size of outright monetary transactions.33 Second, because the Court confirmed in its preliminary ruling that the programme already contains sufficient guarantees that limit its volume to an acceptable extent without it being necessary to set a quantitative limit prior to its implementation that can potentially reduce its effectiveness.34 Could it be then that the FCC attempts to introduce an additional requirement to the implementation of the bonds purchase programme by reading arbitrarily into the preliminary ruling a restriction that is not actually there? However likely this may seem at first sight, such an interpretation of the judgment nevertheless is not correct.35 It is important in this respect to examine the reasoning employed by the FCC in order to reach the conclusion that the preliminary ruling requires the imposition of prior quantitative limits on the volume of bond purchases. In the key passage of its judgment the FCC argues that unlike the parameters resulting from the announced programme and the press release of the ECB, the Court rejected the unlimited extension of the OMT programme. According to the FCC, the preliminary ruling requires that the volume of future purchases must be specified in a binding manner in advance and must not go beyond what is necessary to restore the monetary policy transmission mechanism. It also requires that both the intention of the ECB to carry out bond purchases and the volume of the purchases envisaged cannot be announced in advance.36 It appears therefore that the FCC infers from the preliminary ruling that the volume of future purchases is specifically limited from the outset because the announced programme provides for the purchase of government bonds only in so far as is necessary to safeguard the policy transmission mechanism. However, it cannot be announced in advance when and to what extent the ECB will proceed to the acquisitions that are required in order to achieve the objectives of the scheme. Seen in this perspective, the requirement of a prior quantitative limit on the volume of purchases reproduces in essence the conditions that the outright monetary transactions carried out by the ECB must be restricted from the outset to what is proportionate to achieve the objectives pursued by that policy, and that they will be terminated as soon as the impaired policy transmission mechanism is restored. Consequently, the inclusion of this requirement in the judgment must be interpreted as a simple verbalism that serves the argument of the FCC that the preliminary ruling imposed additional restrictions on the implementation of the programme that allow to consider it as valid. Practically though, the ECB remains free to ascertain the volume of purchases necessary to restore its monetary policy 33 See Technical Features of Outright Monetary Transactions, supra note 2. 34 OMT Ruling at para. 88. 35 See, e.g., Lorenzo Pace, And Indeed It Was a (Failed) Nullification Crisis: The OMT Judgment of the German Federal Constitutional Court and the Winners and Losers of the Final Showdown in the OMT Case, SIDIBLOG (Italian Society of International Law) (Sept. 1, 2016), http://www.sidiblog.org/2016/09/01/and-indeed-it-wasa-failed-nullification-crisis-the-omt-judgment-of-the-german-federal-constitutional-court-and-the-winnersand-losers-of-the-final-showdown-in-the-omt-case/. 36 Gauweiler at para. 195. 2017 The Constitutional Court’s Gauweiler Judgement 223 transmission mechanism. It is also free to increase it at a later stage if it considers that its initial intervention on the secondary market failed to attain the pursued objectives of the programme. The conclusion therefore is that all the requirements that the FCC imposes for the participation of the Bundesbank in the implementation of the programme are not actually additional to those indicated in the original press release of the ECB but rather result immediately from the framework conditions of the announced scheme and the explanations provided by the ECB. Just like the artificial distinction made in the judgment between the adoption and the practical implementation of the bonds purchase programme, these conditions attempt to obscure the fact that the outcome of the preliminary ruling obliged the FCC to retreat from the position taken in the preliminary reference regarding the ultra vires nature of the contested scheme. It will now be explained that this retreat was in fact inevitable for the FCC and that its judgment cannot be interpreted as approving the legal methodology employed by the Court in the preliminary ruling and the conclusions that it reached about the measure and intensity of the judicial review of the policy decisions of the ECB. III. “Yes, But”: The Objections of the FCC against the Legal Reasoning of the Court Although the FCC applies in essence the preliminary ruling of the Court, it expresses at the same time serious objections against its legal reasoning and its interpretation of the mandate of the ECB. This criticism is basically twofold. First, the FCC accuses the Court of accepting uncritically the announced objectives of the programme and the explanations provided by the ECB in order to qualify the contested scheme as an instrument belonging to the field of monetary policy, overlooking completely the factual assumptions that contradict such a conclusion.37 Second, the FCC criticizes the Court for not providing a convincing answer to the issue that the independence of the ECB leads to a noticeable reduction of the democratic legitimacy of its actions and should therefore give rise to a restrictive interpretation as well as to a particularly strict judicial review of its mandate.38 The first criticism does not appear to be justified because in its preliminary reference, the FCC ignored completely the announced objectives of the programme and replaced them with its own understanding of the monthly bulletins of the ECB, reading into them arbitrarily an intention to reduce rising spreads of government bonds of selected Member States and to serve thus an economic policy objective. 39 The FCC arrived at this conclusion without even explaining the reasons why it contested the official motivation 37 Id. at paras. 182–86. 38 Id. at paras. 187–89. 39 ECB Monthly Bulletin September 2012, Eur. Cent. Bank, (Sept. 2012), https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/mobu/mb201209en.pdf; ECB Monthly Bulletin October 2012, Eur. Cent. Bank, (Oct. 2012), https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/mobu/mb201210en.pdf. 224 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 of the programme and without providing any convincing arguments in support of its claims.40 Furthermore, the FCC rejected the argument of the ECB that the extreme spreads on the government bonds of certain Member States were partly caused by an unfounded fear of a reversibility of the euro. It relied in this respect on the “convincing expertise of the Bundesbank”, without considering it necessary to corroborate its conclusions with additional authorities.41 It did not further explain why this particular interpretation of a single national bank should prevail over that of the majority opinion of the other national banks that participate in the Governing Council of the ECB. This raised in turn suspicions that the FCC was not actually motivated by objective legal reasoning but rather intended to give priority arbitrarily to the economic analysis of the Bundesbank over that of the ECB.42 Seen in this perspective, it seems at least ironic that the FCC now criticizes the Court for the way it established the facts of the case and ignored the indications that cast doubt on the classification of the programme as an act of monetary policy. Turning then to the second criticism voiced by the FCC, this seems to concern primarily the considerable margin of appreciation that the ECB possesses in the performance of its powers as recognized in the preliminary ruling. In fact, the FCC had clarified in its preliminary request that it considered necessary the exercise of a strict judicial review over the policy acts of the ECB. It had underlined in this respect that the independence of the ECB diverged from constitutional requirements regarding the democratic legitimacy of political decisions. The FCC had therefore held that the mandate of the ECB should be interpreted narrowly, in order to meet those requirements. 43 However, there are several observations that can be made in this respect. In the first place, this interpretation ignores the fact that the independence of the ECB is expressly embedded in the Treaties and is intended to protect it against external influences which would be likely to interfere with the performance of its powers.44 It is submitted though that the imposition of a rigorous judicial review over the acts of that institution is liable to circumvent the independence of the ECB in practice. It would oblige the ECB to operate under the constant threat that every single policy choice it makes may potentially be interpreted by the courts as a transgression of its powers. Hence, the refusal to recognize any leeway to the ECB in the performance of its 40 In this regard, see Alexander Thiele, Friendly or Unfriendly Act? The Historic Referral of the Constitutional Court to the ECJ Regarding the ECB’s OMT Program, 15 GERMAN L.J. 241, 256–57 (2014); Thomas Beukers, The Bundesverfassungsgericht Preliminary Reference on the OMT Program, 15 GERMAN L.J. 343, 347–49 (2014); Pernice, supra note 3, at 11–12. 41 Gauweiler Reference at para. 71. 42 To this end, see Carsten Gerner-Beurle, Esin Küçük & Edmund Schuster, Law Meets Economics in the Federal Constitutional Court, 15 GERMAN L.J. 281, 302 (2014). 43 Gauweiler Reference at paras. 58–60. 44 OMT Ruling at para. 40. German 2017 The Constitutional Court’s Gauweiler Judgement 225 competences practically amounts to the exercise of indirect control over it and compels it to adapt its course of action to the monetary policy views of the courts. This leads to a second point. In the performance of its powers, the ECB is called upon to make complex technical assessments of an economic nature. It cannot be seriously argued that courts possess comparable expertise to adjudicate economics.45 If they were to exercise a full judicial review over the acts of the ECB, they would normally need to rely on external economic expertise. This would turn their review into a matter of prioritization of one economic expertise over the other. Given the complexity of monetary economics, courts would rarely be in a position to explain convincingly the reasons for their choice. As already explained, this would ultimately raise suspicions about the objectivity of the judicial review carried out by that court. Furthermore, it is very contestable whether courts possess the necessary legitimacy to intervene extensively in areas that are considered to be politically sensitive. The monetary policy choices made by the ECB affect all Member States of the euro area and their reversal by the courts is likely to upset the stability of the common currency, imperiling the very existence of the euro zone. However, it should not be for the courts to undertake an essentially political role that could affect to such an extent the process of European integration.46 This would clearly overstep the limits of their mandate and the boundaries of their judicial competence. Arguably then, the choice made by the Court to extend the application of its classic “manifestly inappropriate test” to the acts of the ECB was indeed correct. Judicial control should be confined only to matters that the courts are objectively capable and politically legitimated to examine. Judges should not in principle substitute their own interpretation of monetary policy for that of the ECB. This is especially so since the ECB is much better equipped than any judicial body to specify the measures that are necessary in order to pursue the monetary policy objectives. Judicial intervention into the acts of the ECB should therefore take place only in exceptional circumstances if there is conclusive evidence that the measure manifestly exceeds the mandate of the ECB and is clearly inappropriate to attain its alleged monetary policy objectives. IV. Saving Face: The Escape of the FCC from its Own Game of Chicken The conclusion reached thus far is that the FCC is not particularly content with the answers given to its preliminary request but nevertheless proceeds reluctantly to the application of the ruling, pretending that the Court performed in essence the restrictive interpretation of the programme that it had required in its preliminary reference. The FCC chose therefore to interpret the ruling in a clearly erroneous manner in order to 45 See Matthias Goldmann, Adjudicating Economics? Central Bank Independence and the Appropriate Standard of Judicial Review, 15 GERMAN L.J. 266, 271–72 (2014). 46 See Franz Mayer, Rebels Without a Cause? A Critical Analysis of the German Constitutional Court’s OMT Reference, 15 GERMAN L.J. 111, 134–36 (2014). 226 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 avoid declaring it as ultra vires as one might have expected on the basis of the strong language it had used in its preliminary request. One possible explanation is that the FCC simply conceded to the binding nature of the ruling and respected its obligations under the preliminary reference procedure. After all, it expressly acknowledged in its judgment that the Court still remained within its mandate when finding that the programme is within the bounds of the respective competences of the ECB and does not violate the prohibition of monetary financing of the budget. 47 It is nevertheless submitted that in the same judgment the FCC reiterated emphatically its reserve competence to rule on the invalidity of EU law on the basis of ultra vires and constitutional identity grounds, contesting thus once again the exclusive prerogatives of the Court as the sole arbiter of the legality of EU acts.48 It is therefore unlikely that the FCC retreated from the legal positions expressed in its preliminary reference simply because it conceded unconditionally to the interpretative authority of the Court. A much more convincing explanation is that the FCC was eventually trapped into the peculiar game of chicken that it chose to play in order to oblige the Court to give a preliminary ruling that would introduce additional restrictions on the OMT programme.49 According to this interpretation, the FCC attempted to preconceive the outcome of its preliminary reference by imposing its own interpretation of the bonds purchase programme and by overtly warning with an ultra vires pronouncement in case of an unfavorable ruling. Arguably, the FCC assumed that the Court would eventually swerve away and accept its requirements in order to avoid collision. If that was indeed the intention of the FCC, there are two important considerations that it failed to take into account. From a legal point of view, the FCC overlooked the fact that the case could not easily meet the strict ultra vires conditions of its famous Honeywell case law.50 According to Honeywell, an act of the EU institutions can only be considered as ultra vires if there exists a manifest transgression of powers on the part of the institution concerned that leads to a structurally significant alteration in the arrangement of competences between the EU and its Member States.51 In its preliminary reference in Gauweiler, the FCC 47 Gauweiler at para. 176. 48 Id. at paras. 136–52. 49 See Mattias Kumm, Rebel Without a Good Cause: Karlsruhe’s Misguided Attempt to Draw the CJEU into a Game of Chicken and What the CJEU Might do About it, 15 GERMAN L.J. 203, 207 (2014); see also Mayer, supra note 46. 50 Bundesverfassungsgericht [BVERFG] [Federal Constitutional Court], 2 BvR 2661/06, July 6, 2010, http://www.bundesverfassungsgericht.de/SharedDocs/Entscheidungen/EN/2010/07/rs20100706_2bvr2661 06en.html [hereinafter Honeywell]. For more information on this case, see generally Asterios Pliakos & Georgios Anagnostaras, Who is the Ultimate Arbiter? The Battle over Judicial Supremacy in EU Law, 36 EUR. L. REV. 109 (2011); Mehrdad Payandeh, Constitutional Review of EU Law After Honeywell: Contextualising the Relationship Between the German Constitutional Court and the Court of Justice of the European EU, 48 COMMON MKT. L. REV. 9 (2011); Matthias Mahlmann, The Politics of Constitutional Identity and its Legal Frame— The Ultra Vires Decision of the German Federal Constitutional Court, 11 GERMAN L.J. 1407 (2010). 51 Honeywell at paras. 61–66. 2017 The Constitutional Court’s Gauweiler Judgement 227 seemed to suggest that any violation of the mandate of the ECB and any breach of the prohibition of the monetary financing of the budget constitutes a manifest and structurally significant transgression of powers on the part of the ECB.52 However, the existence of an ultra vires act cannot be examined in the abstract but only in relation to the specific circumstances of the case at issue. 53 Hence, the real question that the FCC had to ask in its final judgment was whether the specific bonds purchase programme could be interpreted as a manifest and structurally significant breach. 54 In the light of the response given to its preliminary request, this question could only be answered in the negative. Indeed, both the Court and all the national governments that intervened in the legal proceedings considered that the ECB could not be accused of overstepping its mandate as regards the adoption of the contested programme. Even if the FCC arrived at the opposite conclusion, it would still need to ascertain the manifest and structurally significant nature of the breach. This would be an extremely challenging venture, given that the establishment of a blatant infringement logically presupposes that there exists at least a wide consensus around the perpetration of the violation concerned. That was certainly not the case in the Gauweiler proceedings. The FCC also seems to have underestimated the political sensitivity of the case and the enormous economic repercussions that a potential ultra vires pronouncement could possibly entail. Indeed, such a ruling would not only nullify the contested bonds purchase programme. It would also compromise the ability of the ECB to perform its powers in an independent manner and to respond quickly and effectively to the impulses of the markets. This could ultimately lead to the revival of the euro zone crisis, adversely affecting the national economies of the Member States. That risk was clearly underlined in the minority opinions of two of the members of the FCC. For one of those members, the possibility that a few independent national judges might invoke the constitutional interpretation of the principle of democracy in order to make a judicial pronouncement with incalculable economic consequences appeared as an anomaly of questionable democratic character. 55 The democratically accountable political actors should be left free to choose the appropriate course of action against measures that they considered to be politically inadequate.56 Seen in this perspective, it is not all surprising that the FCC found itself perfectly isolated in the legal proceedings before the Court and that none of the eleven intervening governments shared its proposed interpretation of the programme. In this political environment, it was not at all easy for the FCC to arrive at an ultra vires ruling against the declared position of so many democratically elected national governments. This 52 Gauweiler Reference at paras. 36–43. 53 Honeywell at paras. 67–77. 54 See Jürgen Bast, Don’t Act Beyond Your Powers: The Perils and Pitfalls of the German Constitutional Court’s Ultra Vires Review, 15 GERMAN L.J. 167, 179–80 (2014); Thiele, supra note 40, at 254–55; Meyer, supra note 46, at 137–39. 55 Gauweiler Reference at para. 28 (Lübbe-Wolff, J., dissenting). 56 Gauweiler Reference at para. 23 (Gerhardt, J., dissenting). 228 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 would have been particularly ironic, given that its rejection of the bonds purchase programme was based on the principle of democracy. Ultimately then, the attempt of the FCC to adjudicate economics and to influence the outcome of its preliminary request produced an important boomerang effect against it. Trapped in its own game of chicken, the FCC chose therefore the only available escape route that allowed it to save face without risking a major institutional and economic crisis. It intentionally misread the ruling of the Court and saw in it an implicit confirmation of the restrictive requirements that it had set in its preliminary reference. At the same time, it imposed on the constitutional organs a continuous obligation to monitor the exercise by the EU institutions of their transferred powers and to actively promote respect for the European integration agenda using any legal and political means that they consider as necessary in order to pursue the revocation of EU acts that are not covered by that agenda.57 As concerns particularly the announced bonds purchase programme, this obligation practically means that the federal government and the parliament are required to closely monitor any future implementation of the scheme. The purpose of this compulsory scrutiny is not only to ascertain that the conditions for the participation of the Bundesbank in the programme are indeed met but also to examine whether there is a specific threat to the federal budget resulting in particular from the volume and the risk structure of the purchased bonds. 58 The implication is indeed clear. The responsibility to ensure the correct implementation of the programme is now in the court of the political institutions. The FCC will only intervene if these institutions patently fail to exercise their obligation in an appropriate manner.59 C. Facilitating Judicial Dialogue: Gauweiler and the Recent Fundamental Rights Case Law Although the judgment of the FCC can therefore be interpreted as a specious way of avoiding embarrassment, it is nevertheless submitted that its adoption may also have been facilitated by the rather conciliatory tone of the preliminary ruling of the Court. Indeed, the Court chose not to respond to the criticism voiced by its Advocate General against the self-proclaimed capacity of the FCC to exercise ultra vires and identity review control over the acts of the EU institutions.60 That certainly constituted a conscious political choice, intended to illustrate that the Court would give its ruling in a truly cooperative spirit regardless of the rather offensive language of the preliminary request. In the same vein, the ruling did not expressly criticize the conclusions arrived at by the FCC as to the nature of the contested programme and the need for its restrictive interpretation. It only explained the reasons why the scheme should be considered as a 57 Gauweiler at paras. 163–73. 58 Id. at para. 220. 59 Id. at para. 169. 60 Opinion of Advocate General Cruz Villalón at paras. 30–61, Case C-62/14, Gauweiler v. Deutscher Bundestag (Jan. 14, 2015), http://curia.europa.eu/. 2017 The Constitutional Court’s Gauweiler Judgement 229 valid act of monetary policy, on the basis of substantive arguments that purported to prove that the announced programme already provided sufficient safeguards. Rightly then, the preliminary ruling of the Court has been characterized as a model of judicial restraint.61 It is also interesting to note that only a couple of months before the follow up judgment of the FCC in Gauweiler, the Court gave an important preliminary ruling in Aranyosi and Căldăraru. That ruling could be interpreted as an indication that the Court takes particularly seriously the case law of the FCC and that it is not at all insensitive to the concerns that this court expresses about the application of EU law and its effect on the national constitutional requirements. 62 The case concerned the interpretation of the Framework Decision on the European Arrest Warrant.63 The crux of the preliminary questions asked by the referring national court was whether the competent judicial authorities of a Member State can refuse the surrender of a requested person on the basis of strong indications that her fundamental rights would be infringed as a result of a systemic flaw in the prison conditions of the issuing Member State, which gives rise to a real risk of inhuman treatment of the individuals concerned. Recalling its famous Melloni case law, the Court confirmed the exhaustive nature of the grounds for the non-execution of a European arrest warrant provided for by the EU legislature.64 It also stressed in this respect the importance of the principles of mutual confidence and mutual recognition for the creation and maintenance of the area of freedom, security and justice.65 At the same time though, it underlined the absolute nature of the prohibition of inhuman treatment and its close connection to respect for human dignity that constitutes one of the fundamental values of the EU and of its 61 See Thomas Beukers & Jan-Herman Reestman, Editorial, On Courts of Last Resort and Lenders of Last Resort, 11 EUR. CONST. L. REV. 227 (2015). 62 Joined Cases C-404 & 609/15 Aranyosi, Căldăraru v. Generalstaatsanwaltschaft Bremen, (Apr. 5, 2015), http://curia.europa.eu/ [hereinafter Aranyosi & Căldăraru]. For more on this case, see generally Georgios Anagnostaras, Mutual Confidence is not Blind Trust! Fundamental Rights Protection and the Execution of the European Arrest Warrant, 53 COMMON MKT. L. REV. 1675 (2016). 63 Council Framework Decision 2009/299/JHA of Feb. 26, 2009, Amending Framework Decisions 2002/584/JHA, 2005/214/JHA, 2006/783/JHA, 2008/909/JHA and 2008/947/JHA, Thereby Enhancing the Procedural Rights of Persons and Fostering the Application of the Principle of Mutual Recognition to Decisions Rendered in the Absence of the Person Concerned at the Trial, 2009 OJ (L 81) 24. 64 Case C-399/11, Melloni v. Ministerio Fiscal, (Feb. 26, 2013), http://curia.europa.eu/. This preliminary ruling gave rise to an abundance of academic literature. See generally Nik de Boer, Addressing Rights Divergences Under the Charter, 50 COMMON MKT. L. REV. 1083 (2013); Maartje de Visser, Dealing with Divergences in Fundamental Rights Standards, 20 MAASTRICHT J. 576 (2013); Asteris Pliakos & Georgios Anagnostaras, Fundamental Rights and the New Battle Over Legal and Judicial Supremacy: Lessons from Melloni, 35 Y.B. EUR. L. 97 (2015). 65 Aranyosi & Căldăraru, supra note 62, at paras. 75–81. 230 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 Member States.66 It concluded therefore that if the executing judicial authorities are in possession of objective and reliable evidence that prisoners in the issuing Member State face a real risk of inhuman treatment, they must postpone the enforcement of the European arrest warrant until they obtain supplementary information that allows them to rule out the existence of this risk as concerns the requested person at issue. 67 The recognition that the rights that are closely linked to human dignity must be considered as absolute irrespective of the conduct of the individual concerned seems to echo the position of the FCC, as evidenced in its Identity Review Order.68 In that case, the FCC clarified that the protection of fundamental rights can never fall below the minimum standard required by the essential core of these rights. It stressed to this end that the constitutional identity includes the protection of human dignity, as enshrined in the Basic Law.69 As a consequence, the principle of supremacy of EU law and the Melloni case law do not relieve national courts from their obligation to ensure that the right to human dignity – in that case in its manifestation as the principle of individual guilt – is protected in the context of surrender procedures based on the provisions of EU law.70 Apparently, there is not an immediate connection between the legal and factual background of Gauweiler and that of the legal proceedings in the Aranyosi and Căldăraru preliminary ruling. However, a possible interpretation of that latter ruling could be that the Court responded to the criticism raised by the FCC against the absolute understanding of the principle of supremacy expressed in Melloni. It therefore introduced a limited exception to the core principles of mutual confidence and mutual recognition in order to prevent the FCC and other national courts from doubting the equivalence of the EU standard of fundamental rights protection to the requirements of the national constitution. Seen in this perspective, Aranyosi and Căldăraru could very well be the outcome of an indirect judicial dialogue that took place in a particularly important and sensitive legal area that has been traditionally perceived as part of the core business of constitutional courts. In the same line of reasoning, the ruling provides evidence that the Court recognizes the special legal weight of the FCC and the lead role that it can play in the process of European integration. Coupled with the conciliatory 66 Id. at paras. 82–87. 67 Id. at paras. 88–104. 68 Bundesverfassungsgericht [BVERFG] [Federal Constitutional Court], 2 BvR 2735/14, Dec. 15, 2015, http://www.bundesverfassungsgericht.de/SharedDocs/Entscheidungen/DE/2015/12/rs20151215_2bvr2735 14.html [hereinafter Identity Review Order] (available in English at http://www.bundesverfassungsgericht.de/SharedDocs/Pressemitteilungen/EN/2016/bvg16-004.html). For more on this case, see generally Georgios Anagnostaras, Solange III? Fundamental Rights Protection Under National Identity Review, 42 EUR. L. REV. (forthcoming in April 2017); see also Julian Nowag, EU law, Constitutional Identity, and Human Dignity: A Toxic Mix?, 53 COMMON MKT. L. REV. 1141 (2016). 69 Id. at paras. 48–49. 70 Id. at paras. 76–83. 2017 The Constitutional Court’s Gauweiler Judgement 231 tone of the Gauweiler ruling, this acknowledgement may have had some positive impact on the final judgment of the FCC. D. Conclusions “Today is not a good day for democracy in Europe!” That was the first reaction of one of the main applicants in the Gauweiler proceedings to the rejection of his constitutional complaint by the FCC. According to his interpretation of the judgment, the FCC backed down in its first serious conflict with the Court and failed to effectively protect the European allocation of competences and the budgetary autonomy of the parliament as it had originally promised in its preliminary reference. 71 On the contrary, the European Commission expressed its satisfaction and read the judgment as a welcome confirmation in substance of the preliminary ruling of the Court.72 The judgment must also have come as a relief to the ECB. Although it is not likely that its OMT programme will ever be implemented in practice, this institution has already launched its long awaited Quantitative Easing programme which also provides for the purchase of government bonds on the secondary market.73 That being so, the outcome of the Gauweiler proceedings may also provide an indication as to the position that the FCC is likely to adopt in relation to the constitutional complaints that are currently pending before it against the new bonds purchase programme of the ECB.74 Beyond its apparent significance for the operation of the Eurozone and the mandate of the ECB, Gauweiler is also important for the institutional relations between the Court and the German FCC. Despite its pretextual reasoning and its criticism against the manner of judicial specification of the Treaty evidenced by the Court, the FCC eventually relied on the preliminary ruling and adopted its interpretation of the contested programme. The Court on its part testified its readiness not to pass up the opportunity to embark on a judicial dialogue with the referring FCC, regardless of the controversial circumstances of the preliminary reference. It is characteristic in this respect that the Court rejected the various inadmissibility objections that were raised by eight national governments and three EU institutions and examined the legality of a programme that had not been implemented yet.75 Furthermore, the remarkable restraint of its ruling is indicative of its intention to avoid any reference that could be considered as offensive 71 See Mehreen Kahn, ‘Not a Good Day for Democracy’ – German Critics Attack ECB Court Ruling, FIN. TIMES (June 21, 2016), http://www.ft.com/fastft/2016/06/21/critics-hit-out-at-German-ecb-bailout-ruling/. 72 European Commission Statement 16/2266, Commission statement on judgment of German Constitutional Court (June 21, 2016), http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_STATEMENT-16-2266_en.htm. 73 See Press Release, European Central Bank, ECB Announces Expanded Asset Purchase Programme (Jan. 22, 2015), https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2015/html/pr150122_1.en.html. Purchases were officially started in March 2015. See Getting the Machines Revving, ECONOMIST: FREE EXCHANGE (Mar. 9, 2015, 3:26 PM), http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2015/03/quantitative-easing-and-euro. 74 See Karin Matussek, ECB Faces Three Suits Over Quantitative Easing in Germany, BLOOMBERG (Nov. 10, 2015, 3:44 AM), https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-11-10/ecb-faces-three-suits-over-quantitativeeasing-in-german-court. 75 See OMT Ruling at paras. 18–33 232 German Law Journal Vol. 18 No. 01 by the FCC. Will this experience reinforce then the stimulus of that FCC to avail itself more regularly of the preliminary reference procedure? That still remains to be seen.
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