1 Dendrochronology, Forestry, Environment and Smart Specialisation in Mozambique Connection with European Smart Specialisation (S3) and Cluster Business Modelling suggested for milestoning future planning Mauri Timonen Hannu Herva Tapio Timonen Rovaniemi, October 5, 2016 http://lustiag.pp.fi/data/pdf/Dendrochronology_in_Mozambique.pdf 2 Contents Foreword ................................................................................................................................. 4 1. Introduction......................................................................................................................... 5 1.1. The concept of Dendrochronology .................................................................................... 5 1.2. Why is Dendrochronology important in Mozambique? ...................................................... 5 2. Dendrochronology course................................................................................................... 7 3. Laboratory equipment and activities .................................................................................. 7 4. Training activities ............................................................................................................... 8 5. Conclusion .......................................................................................................................... 9 6. Roadmap to Smart Future!.................................................................................................. 9 Cover page: Forecas Dendro Course in 2013: fieldwork day and core sampling. 3 Summary/abstract This paper is basically a technical document that reports about the Dendrochronology Course held 13-17 May, 2013 in Maputo, Mozambique. The first section introduces Dendrochronology as a science, the next section is devoted to the course activities and the third section summarises some of our teaching experience. Separately from the previous contents, the fourth section is devoted to future planning of Finnish and Mozambican Dendrochronology. We name it ” a Roadmap for Smarter Future”. The words “Roadmap” and “Smart” are very popular words in the European policy and administration. We, however, want to use these words connected to R&D (Research and Development) and to business modelling. We wish to adopt something about this thinking and bring it to Finnish and Mozambican Dendrochronology so that there would be a closer connection to cooperate or communicate with the Smart Specialisation Platform (S3). The European Secretariat for Cluster Analysis (ESCA) and the European Cluster Observatory. Why especially these connections? Following Moedas’ statement, we think it is now good time to convert some of our scientific output and skills into products, services – and jobs. This tendency will probably be permanent in the coming years. As we are in the very beginning in this process, we can get help from the ESCA-driven platform called Emerging Industries. If things advance successfully, Dendrochronology based business applications may contribute to a betterresourced future also in the basic science. That’s what is already happening in many Middle-European clusters. Rovaniemi , October 5, 2016 Mauri Timonen Hannu Herva Tapio Timonen 4 1. Introduction 1.1. The concept of Dendrochronology Dendrochronology (The Science of Tree Rings1) is the dating and study of annual rings in trees. The word comes from these roots2: - ology chronos - dendros : the study of; : time: more specifically, events and pro cesses in the past and : using trees; more specifically, the growth rings of trees. Dendrochronologist (Tree Ring Scientist) is an expert who uses tree rings to answer questions about the natural world and the place of humans in its functioning. Dendrochronology is an interdisciplinary science. Its theory and techniques can be applied to many disciplines, such as ecology, archaeology, climatology, geomorphology, glaciology, hydrology, fire history and entomology3. Dendrochronology supports the following joint objectives: - - placing the present in proper historical context, better understanding of current environmental processes and conditions and better understanding of future environmental issues. Trees grow each year new cells, arranged in concentric circles (Figure 1). The number of cells e.g. in Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) during one growing season varies from less than 10 to over 50 depending on climatic conditions (cool/warm). Annual growth rings are the result of these cells4. Trees in temperate and colder climates typically grow one new tree ring every year. The age of a tree can theoretically be determined by counting the number of rings present at the birth point. But that’s not always the case: sometimes, particularly in the years of drought, one or more annual rings may be missing. If the growing season is interrupted, a tree may grow a second false ring. Tropical trees often lack annual rings. The majority of the tree species in Mozambique don’t produce annual rings. This means that just a few species, such as Millettia stuhlmannii (Panga Panga, 1 2 http://web.utk.edu/~grissino/ http://ltrr.arizona.edu/about/treerings More here: http://web.utk.edu/~grissino/principles.htm 4 https://www.thefor estacademy.com/tr eeknowledge/annual-growth-rings/#.V8 _-eJiLRaQ 3 Figure 1. The main elements of tree growth are height growth, diameter growth and volume growth. The tree rings form during a growing season as a result of accumulating cell layers. Closer study of cells inside a growing season helps understanding the whole growth process. Jambirre) can be used for dendrochronological studies. Crossdating is a method for identifying the tree rings of the same calendar year from multiple trees (Figure 2). This approach makes it possible to identify the missing and false rings. As a result of this approach, the tree rings can be assigned properly at the right calendar year position. To obtain an average age-related growth curve for a single stand or for a particular region, a method called standardisation is needed to remove the age-related growth trend and the other disturbing effects (Figure 3, upper graph). In this process, a number of closely matching individual tree ring chronologies are combined into one averaged growth-age curve (standardisation model). The final step is to compare the observed ringwidths to the corresponding values of the averaged growth model. As the proportional values (tree ring indices) are arranged by calendar year, the series of annual index averages is called a master chronology (Figure 4). 1.2. Why is Dendrochronology important in Mozambique? Until fairly recently, comparatively few dendrochronological studies have been carried out in tropical regions (Remane & Therrell 2015). As there was no earlier local Mozambican tree ring research at all, Ivan Abdul Dulá Remane deserves the honour to be a pioneer in Mozambican Dendrochronology. He studied in the UEM (Forest 5 Figure 2. Crossdating is a method of locating the tree rings of the same calendar year in each sample. Cold summers appear as small tree rings in the timberline pine in Finnish Lapland. Draught has similar effect on the tree rings of some species in Mozambique. The thin tree rings form unique barcode like patterns that help finding the corresponding calendar years from samples trees. engineering) and in Graduate school Southern Illinois University Carbondale (Department of Geography and Environmental Resources), where he finished his Degree of Master of Science in August 2013. Africa, a network of chronologies throughout Southern Africa can be developed. Remane’s chronologies are also useful for reconstructing pre-instrumental rainfall variability in His studies (Remane 2013, Remane & Therrell 2015) represent, for the first time in Mozambique, exact dendroclimatic and dendroecology analyses focusing on growth dynamics and sustainable management of forests. Remane developed tree ring width chronologies for two tropical hardwood species: Millettia stuhlmannii (Panga Panga) and Vitex payos (Chocolate berry). He studied the history of climate variability by analysing signs of seasonal droughts found in tree rings. His results showed that the tree rings of Panga Panga correlate positively with monthly and seasonal precipitation: rainfall during December and February explains about 43% of the chronology variability. This climate-growth relationship increases knowledge about climate change impacts on ecology. As these two species and other closely related species are widely distributed in Mozambique and adjacent areas in southern and eastern Figure 3. These graphs demonstrate the principle of standardisation based on one sample. As the tree ring indices are arranged by calendar year, the result is a master chronology. 6 Figure 4. This is an example of the result of a dendrochronological study in Eastern Finland. The figure shows 11-year FFTsmoothed temperature variations for the last millennium. In Mozambique a similar figure might be one day (as enough treering and other proxy data sets available) telling e.g. about seasonal precipitation variations and and its possibly cyclic character. Mozambique. This provides important information to a country that, considering economic development, is strongly dependent on rainfall. Panga Panga is one of the most important timber species in Mozambique. Ranked as a first class commercial timber in Mozambique, it is frequently harvested in an unsustainable way. Sustainable management of the species is needed for the continued utilization of this resource. It is expected that the results of chronology building and dendrochronological analyses will increase knowledge on long-term climatic and environmental variability. This information gives to politicians useful information for developing forest ecosystems towards more sustainable management. 2. Dendrochronology course Our purpose to arrange a Dendrochronology course in Mozambique was technical, educational and practical. The technical part was to establish a scanner-based tree ring analysis environment for the joint use of IIAM and FAEF-UEM. The educational part was to introduce some important methods of Dendrochronology. The practical part was to train the course participants working with Dendrochronological tree-ring material. The following topics were included in the course program: - 3. Laboratory equipment and activities We prefer a scanner based tree ring measurement system instead of a microscope-based system5 (Figure 5). One important argument speaking on behalf of the scanner-based system is its excellent documentation of measurements, which makes it possible to re-measure a sample or view the results later on. In this kind of system, the user can manually, using a mouse, adjust the exact position of any tree ring boundary that was first created automatically by the software. One of the great advantages of this kind of system is the possibility to choose a new measurement sector, just in a few moments, from another location of the disk. It is also possible to choose a new measurement position in cases, where some rings would be missing on the measurement line. Surely a microscope-based system has better resolution, which is crucial in the case of measuring very thin tree rings (less than 0.01 mm). But those cases are quite rare and may appear in hard conditions, e.g. at tree line or in some growth disturbance events. Anyway, the both measuring systems have their share in a well-equipped tree ring laboratory. Introduction to Dendrochronology; Tree ring analysis as a part of growth and yield studies; Climate connections of tree rings; Sampling design and fieldwork; Laboratory facilities: equipment and software; Data storage and tree ring analysis; Documenting and scientific reporting Personal training The joint laptop of the laboratory was loaded with useful dendrochronological material supporting the participants’ self-learning targets. 5 http://www.cybis.se/forfun/dendro/buy_SW REG/Treering%20lab%20in%20Mozambique3.pdf 7 Figure 5. This tree ring analysis system, developed by Cybis Elektronik & Data AB, uses scanned disk or core images for measurements and chronology building. Closer description here. 4. Training activities We had only five course days for teaching and training in the field and the lab, which forced us to prioritize some activities. Anyway, every course participant got familiar with all the planned training activities: theory, sampling planning, fieldwork, laboratory work and tree ring analysis. The only problem appeared with the new A3scanner that was available not until the last course day. We, however, were able to extend the course up to Saturday noon, which solved the problem partly. The fieldwork was done in a plantation of Michafutene, a village in the Marracuene District, Maputo Province (Figure 6). The group sampled both cores and disks (Figure 6). Increment borers were used to extract 5 mm thick cores from living trees and snags. The disks were smoothed6 (Figure 7), scanned and finally measured. Figure 8 demonstrates the difference in preparing sample disks for measuring. It also suggests that tree ring analyses need a lot of time and careful concentration on each phase of the process. Figure 6. The sampled forest is located in Michafutene, Marracuene District, Maputo Province. The sampled species were Ambligonocarpus andogensis (discs) and Panga Panga (cores). Eunice Catarina Sitoe from UEM-FAEF coring a Panga Panga tree. 6 More about sampling and sample preparation: http://www.jove.com/video/52337/a-technicalperspective-modern-tree-ring-resear ch-how-to-overcome 8 5. Conclusion The recent activity in establishing permanent sampling plots (PSP) in Mozambique means also focusing on growth and yield studies. It is important that these studies will continue on a permanent basis, because not until after many years of regular monitoring more thorough conclusions benefiting the development of Mozambican species-rich forests are possible. In the meantime, there is a shortcut for quicker results: Dendrochronology is a very useful complement to PSP. Collecting and analysing dendrochronological data provides a simple and smart way of finding answers to many of the questions open so far. Generalising a bit Remane’s and Therrell’s (2015) conclusions, dendrochronological findings allow better understanding of the species’ growth dynamics and ecology, their responses to climate variability in the past and potentially to future climate change. Thus it is expected that Dendrochronology will contribute to a more sustainable management of forest ecosystems in Mozambique. Figure 6. This disk collection was sampled from the same tree at 2 m height intervals. 6. Roadmap to Smart Future! A modern tree-ring laboratory is like a factory: it processes raw material (tree-rings) and outputs processed data, reports and services. To make it all working, there is a need for skilled personnel, sufficient laboratory and storage space, highquality equipment, technical and statistical software, and a good documentation system. In order to gain maximum performance, dendrochronological facilities should be built from a combination of common scientific knowhow, innovative thinking and connections. This means e.g. active networking, participating in international conferences and projects and close laboratory cooperation. To do it even better, Mozambican Dendrochronology needs a Roadmap. We in Finland planned our first Dendrochronology Roadmap7 in 1994, and were also successful to implement it. A systematic plan to develop Finnish Dendrochronology and its infrastructure, improve personal skills and increase international collaboration finally, 12 years later in the 7th Conference on Dendrochronology in Beijing, resulted a very important milestone: Finland was elected to host the next event in 2010: the 8th Conference on Dendrochronology. This was a signature confirming our successful Roadmap project. 7 http://lustiag.pp.fi/LUST95C4.PDF Figure 7. The disks were smoothed using a 60, 120 and 240 Grit Sand Paper. More about sanding: http://www.rmtrr.org/basics.html#preparation Figure 8. The disk sample of Ambligonocarpus andogensis on the left was collected in the Michafutene forest. The photo of a Panga Panga cross-section on the right was picked from Remane’s (2013) paper, p. 57. This is a good demonstration of how hard or easy is to identify tree ring boundaries. 9 Now we are planning the Second Roadmap Project for Finnish Dendrochronology. We plan to create it in cooperation with the European Secretariat for Cluster Analysis (ESCA) and S3 Platform. We believe that our most productive dendrochronological future opens by combining research & development (R&D) and business resources and consulting their expertise. We plan to build our roadmap based on a modified Business Model Canvas (Osterwalder & Pigneur 2010). We would like to call it here a roadmap model canvas, because the smart questioning structure of the model makes it possible to create any kind of plans, not only business plans. The contents of the canvas was compiled by adding the chapter subtitles in pp. 20—41 to the main scheme on page 44. We suggest something similar to be planned in Mozambican Dendrochronology. It will be challenging but also rewarding. It is also good to keep in mind that doing things together with experienced research organisations, such us Luke, makes things happen much easier, quicker and more goal-directed way. 10 Selected references Chamba, E., Manhica, A., Bila, J., Secretario, E., Timoteo, P.V.,Bonomar, M., Silo, E.C., Timonen, M. & Herva, H. 2014. The Potential of Dendrochronology For Tree Growth And Yield Studies In Mozambique. Poster presentation. http://lustiag.pp.fi/data/moz/wd2014_poster_v4a.pdf Lämmer-Gamp, T., Meier zu Köcker, G. & Nerger, M. 2014. Cluster Collaboration and Business Support Tools to Facilitate Entrepreneurship, Cross-sectoral Collaboration and Growth. European Cluster Observatory Report. http://www.clusterplattform.at/fileadmin/user_upload/clusterbibliothek/Cluster-collaboration-and-businesssupport-tools.pdf Osterwalder, A. & Pigneur, Y. 2010. Business Model Generation. 283 pp. Homepage: http://www.businessmodelgeneration.com/. Separately: Business Model Canvas (pp.12─46) Osterwalder, A., Pigneur, Y., Bernarda, G. & Smith, A. 2014. Value Proposition Design. 290 pp. John Wiley & Sons Inc. Homepage: http://www.strategyzer.com Remane, I.A.D. & Therrell, M.D. Dendrochronological potential of Millettia stuhlmannii in Mozambique Trees (2015) 29: 729. doi:10.1007/s00468-014-1150-7. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/277883896_Dendrochronological_potential_of_Millettia_stuhlmannii_ in_Mozambique Remane, I. A. D. 2013. Analysis of annual growth patterns of millettia stuhlmannii, in Mozambique. Master of Science Thesis. Southern Illinois University Carbondale, Department of Geography and Environmental Resources. http://cola.siu.edu/geography/_common/documents/papers/remane Timonen, M. & Herva, H. 2014. Some highlights telling about the Dendrochronology Course 10-14.6.2013. http://lustiag.pp.fi/data/moz/mozambiquetreeringlab.pdf Ketels, C. & Protsiv, S. 2014. European Cluster Panorama 2014. Center for Strategy and Competitiveness. Stockholm School of Economics. European Cluster Observatory Report. Prepared 11 12
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