National Tax Journal Vol 49 no. 2 (June 1996) pp. 193-213 TAXES AND CORPORATE CHARITY TAXES AND CORPORATE CHARITY: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM MICROLEVEL PANEL DATA JAMES R. BOATSMAN SANJAY GUPTA * * & Abstract - This paper explores the relation between corporate contributions and tax rates to examine whether corporate philanthropy is motivated by profit maximization or managers’ utility maximization, the two basic models of corporate giving that exist in the literature. No relation between contributions and tax rate is consistent with profit maximization, whereas either a positive or negative relation is consistent with investment in contributions beyond the profit-maximizing level. The empirical analysis is based on firmspecific longitudinal data on contributions and estimated marginal tax rates for a five-year period spanning the Tax Reform Act of 1986 (TRA86). The results are consistent with managers’ utility maximization being an important motive for corporate contributions, but contributions beyond the profitmaximizing level are limited by a binding minimum profit constraint. In addition, the results indicate that the income elasticity of corporate contributions is low, ranging from 0.04 to 0.17 depending on how income is defined. These estimates are much lower than reported previously with aggregated data and firm-specific cross-sectional data. INTRODUCTION Contributions to charity by U.S. corporations grew significantly during the 1980s, both in absolute and relative terms. The level of giving increased from $2.4 billion in 1980 to $4.5 billion in 1985 to over $6 billion by the end of the decade.1 Although much smaller in magnitude than contributions by individuals, corporate charity represents about 14 percent of all nonreligious giving (Clotfelter, 1985). More importantly, when expressed as a percentage of net income, corporations currently give approximately two percent of their pretax income, which is double the roughly constant rate at which they gave from the 1950s through the 1970s and twice the rate of individuals’ nonreligious giving (Clotfelter, 1985; IRS, 1988). * School of Accountancy, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85387-3606. 193 National Tax Journal Vol 49 no. 2 (June 1996) pp. 193-213 NATIONAL TAX JOURNAL VOL. XLIX NO. 2 The income tax deduction for corporate charitable contributions is controversial.2 The controversy stems in large part from the long-standing debate over the propriety of corporate charity (Clotfelter, 1985; Navarro, 1988a). Conservatives have argued that the deduction subsidizes a flagrant abuse of shareholder property. Corporate contributions are said to be undertaken more to stroke the egos of managers than to generate profit for shareholders. In short, contributions are merely another form of perquisite in which utilitymaximizing managers have an incentive to overinvest. Liberals, on the other hand, were not only responsible for making the deduction legal but have staunchly supported maintaining and liberalizing this deduction on the grounds that corporations have a social responsibility to give to charity. Interestingly, both camps implicitly assume that corporate philanthropy is motivated by reasons other than profit maximization. The purpose of this study is to provide new evidence on the role of taxes in influencing corporate charitable behavior by (1) using firm-specific longitudinal data for a sample of 212 firms over five years spanning the Tax Reform Act of 1986 (TRA86) and (2) using an estimate of each firm’s marginal tax rate based on a technology described by Shevlin (1990). A secondary purpose of this study is to provide new estimates of the income elasticity of corporate contributions from firmspecific longitudinal data. The approach in this study differs from and has some advantages over the previous research. First, we use firmlevel data. Most prior studies used IRStabulated data, which are based on federal corporate income tax returns and are aggregated by size of corporate assets and by major industrial groups. As Navarro (1988a) points out, aggregated data are not amenable to controlling firm-specific determinants of giving. Moreover, aggregation obscures within-group variation in marginal tax rates.3 Second, we use panel data for a five-year period beginning in 1984—a period spanning the rate changes introduced by TRA86. All prior research used pre-1986 data—when corporate tax rate schedules were essentially flat within years and fixed over time. Accordingly, little of the cross-sectional variation in average tax rate observed in prior studies is attributable to variation in marginal rate. Rather, the observed cross-sectional variation in average rate is due largely to variation in base. As Slemrod and Shobe (1990) note, panel data are particularly suited to analyzing behavioral responses to taxation if the data span statutory rate changes, since such data exhibit rate changes that are independent of income changes. In addition, panel data estimation techniques can control for unobserved Previous theoretical work offers competing explanations of corporate charitable giving—a profit maximization model and a manager’s utility maximization model (Clotfelter, 1985; Navarro, 1988a). As explained in the following section, the two models differ in the role of federal tax policy in determining the level of corporate giving. The profit maximization model predicts no relation between the corporate tax rate and the level of giving. In contrast, the utility maximization model predicts either a positive or negative relation, depending on whether contributions are limited by a binding minimum profit constraint. Previous empirical work examining the motivations for corporate giving provides mixed evidence on the effect of tax rate. The previous work is limited in a number of ways, especially in the type of data used and the proxy measure of tax rate. 194 National Tax Journal Vol 49 no. 2 (June 1996) pp. 193-213 TAXES AND CORPORATE CHARITY variables correlated with included variables. Finally, all known prior studies use average tax rates, although there is little disagreement that marginal tax rate is the appropriate metric. In contrast, we use firm- and time-specific estimates of marginal rate. can reduce other operating, capital, or regulatory and governmental costs (Navarro, 1988a). Choice of role is arbitrary and does not qualitatively affect predictions. For simplicity, we confine our discussion to a demand-stimulating role. The firm’s saleable output is a function of contributions and other factors of production; but marginal dollars of contributions stimulate demand at a decreasing rate, such that a profit-maximizing level of contributions exists. The profit-maximizing level of contributions is independent of marginal tax rate in such a scenario. Taxes affect the level of maximum profits but not the amount of giving at 2 which the maximum occurs. The intuition here is that, since investments in both contributions and other factors 2 production are fully deductible, of marginal tax rate has no effect on the optimal investment mix. Whatever mix is optimal before taxes is also optimal after taxes.4 The paper proceeds as follows. The theoretical models of corporate philanthropy and the results of previous research are discussed in the next section. The empirical procedures including the panel data estimation techniques and the data used in this study are discussed in the third section. The results are presented in the fourth section and a summary and conclusions are presented in the final section. THEORY AND PREVIOUS RESEARCH Models of Corporate Philanthropy and the Role of Tax Rates Corporate philanthropy can be modeled as a profit maximization problem or as a utility maximization problem. Formal developments can be found in Clotfelter (1985) and Navarro (1988a). Essential elements of these models are described below. The independence of contributions and tax rate in the case of a rate increase is depicted in panel A of Figure 1. As tax rate increases, the profits/contributions frontier shifts downward. However, the profit-maximizing level of contributions is unaffected by the shift. To facilitate comparability with the other panels in Figure 1, horizontal indifference curves are depicted with tangencies at the maxima of the profits/contributions frontiers. The horizontal nature of the indifference curves reflects the fact that contributions generate management utility only through their influence on profits; i.e., contributions generate no utility in their own right. 1 Consider first a scenario in which managers maximize profits. For corporate philanthropy to exist in such a scenario, there must be some relation 1 between charitable giving and profits, either through increased revenues or decreased costs. Giving might, for example, stimulate demand for the firm’s output by improving the company’s public image (Schwartz, 1968). Alternatively, giving might reduce costs such as those for labor by creating a more appealing environment for the firm’s employees who are in turn willing to work for lower wages (Clotfelter, 1985). Similarly, corporate contributions A competing explanation of corporate philanthropy can be developed from Williamson’s (1967) model of managerial discretionary behavior. In this model, 195 National Tax Journal Vol 49 no. 2 (June 1996) pp. 193-213 NATIONAL TAX JOURNAL VOL. XLIX NO. 2 FIGURE 1. Effects of Rate Increases on Equilibrium Levels of Contributions Panel A Effects of Rate Increase on Profit-Maximizing Level of Contributions 3 Panel B Effects of Rate Increase on Utility-Maximizing Level of Contributions 196 National Tax Journal Vol 49 no. 2 (June 1996) pp. 193-213 TAXES AND CORPORATE CHARITY Panel C Effects of Rate Increase with Binding Profit Constraint separation of ownership and control leads utility-maximizing managers to shirk their responsibility of maximizing firm value by diverting discretionary profits to utility-generating perquisites. Discretionary profits are profits beyond some minimum level demanded by shareholders. Corporate contributions can be viewed as a perquisite financed with discretionary profits. As in the profit-maximizing model, marginal dollars of contributions eventually reduce after-tax profit. But these marginal dollars continue to add utility. Ultimately, however, the utility added is not sufficient to overcome the utility sacrificed from diminished profit, hence, a utility-maximizing level of contributions in excess of the profit-maximizing level. This scenario is portrayed in panel B of Figure 1. Note that the managers’ indifference curves are convex in recognition of both contributions and profits as utility function arguments. Further, the horizontal line intersecting the profits/contributions frontier represents the minimum profit level demanded by shareholders. Panel B of Figure 1 also depicts the impact of a tax rate change on contributions in this scenario. This impact can be decomposed into income and substitution effects as follows. Consider an increase in marginal rates from 30 to 40 percent. The increase leads to a negative income effect owing to the reduction in discretionary profits available to finance contributions. In addition, the increase in tax rate alters the trade-off between contributions and profits. Before the increase, the decision to make a marginal dollar contribution involves trading the utility of one dollar of contributions for the utility of $0.70 of discretionary profits. After the increase, 197 National Tax Journal Vol 49 no. 2 (June 1996) pp. 193-213 NATIONAL TAX JOURNAL VOL. XLIX NO. 2 the decision involves trading the utility of one dollar of contributions for the utility of $0.60 of discretionary profits. This leads to a positive substitution effect, i.e., a change in the rate at which contributions are substituted for profits. Williamson (1967, Appendix 4-A) provides an analysis of the negative income and positive substitution effects and argues that the positive substitution effect should dominate the negative income effect such that the relation between contributions and marginal tax rate is positive, as depicted in panel B of Figure 1.5 C of Figure 1) would appear as vertical lines. Under this assumption, managers’ utility is always maximized at a corner solution, i.e., where the profits/contributions frontier crosses the non-negative profit constraint. As tax rate increases, the profits/contributions frontier falls and the prechange level of contributions violates the constraint. Accordingly, contributions decline in response to the rate increase. As in the scenario depicted in panel C of Figure 1, it is the presence of the binding profit constraint that leads to this result.6 Summarizing to this point, no relation between contributions and tax rate is consistent with profit maximization. Either a positive or negative relation is consistent with investment in contributions beyond the profit-maximizing level. The sign depends on whether the over consumption of contributions is disciplined by a binding minimum profit constraint. A positive sign is consistent with absence of a binding constraint. On the other hand, a negative sign is consistent with a binding constraint. A positive relation between tax rate and contributions obtains only if the minimum profit constraint is not binding, i.e., the equilibrium is attained above the minimum profit level, as in panel B of Figure 1. If, however, the minimum profit constraint is binding, i.e., managers’ perquisite consumption is not unbridled, an increase in tax rate leads to a decrease in contributions. Such a scenario is depicted in panel C of Figure 1. The intuition underlying this result is that management consumes perquisites up to the point at which discretionary profits are exhausted; and in a high tax regime, discretionary profits are exhausted earlier than in a low tax regime. Accordingly, the relation between tax rate and contributions is negative. Previous Research on the Specific Determinants of Corporate Giving Although thus far we have focused exclusively on the role of taxes, corporate charitable behavior clearly is affected by other factors as well. In this section, we discuss these potential determinants of giving and the results of prior studies that have examined them. We begin with a discussion of tax rates. Next, we discuss some nontax determinants of corporate giving. Navarro (1988a) offers an alternative formulation of the manager’s decision problem that also predicts a negative relation between tax rate and contributions. His formulation excludes discretionary profits from the manager’s utility function. The idea is that discretionary profits do not generate utility in their own right but rather are only a vehicle by which management finances preferred consumption; i.e., managers’ indifference curves (if portrayed in panel Tax Rates Most prior studies examining the effect of tax policy on corporate giving include a price of contributions, i.e., the complement of tax rate, as a regressor. 198 National Tax Journal Vol 49 no. 2 (June 1996) pp. 193-213 TAXES AND CORPORATE CHARITY A significant and positive relation between contributions and tax rates has been observed with aggregate timeseries data (Schwartz, 1968; Nelson, 1970; Levy and Shatto, 1978; Clotfelter, 1985). However, the results of survey studies are different. Based on interviews with executives of 229 large companies, McElroy and Siegfried (1986) report that over 90 percent of their respondents considered tax incentives to have little or no relevance to the contributions decision.7 In Navarro’s (1988a) regression results using firm-specific cross-sectional data, the coefficient on tax rate is negative but insignificant at conventional levels. Nontax Determinants of Corporate Giving Besides tax rates, income is the other variable included most often in empirical studies of corporate charity. Its inclusion is important for several reasons. First, determining the magnitude of income elasticity of corporate contributions can shed light on their responsiveness to various economic phenomena (e.g., business cycles), which in turn has significant policy implications for both the philanthropic sector and the federal government (Navarro, 1988b). However, there is little consensus in the literature on this issue, with income elasticity estimates varying considerably across studies and even within some studies. Second, income can be viewed as a proxy for both company scale (size) and capacity to make gifts, both important motives to control for in a model of corporate giving. Finally, the expected correlation between income and tax rates warrants its inclusion to avoid a potential omitted variables bias. The models described earlier predict relations between contributions and marginal tax rates. However, all the above studies use average tax rates.8 Perhaps this reflects a belief that marginal and average rates are approximately equal for corporate taxpayers. Shevlin (1990), however, points out that the asymmetric tax treatment of gains and losses can result in marginal rates quite different from average rates. He defines marginal rate as the present value of cash paid to (or received from) a taxing authority associated with an incremental dollar of current taxable income. Thus, the current marginal rate depends on taxable income in prior and future years. Apart from tax rate and income, prior studies have examined various other potential determinants of corporate giving.9 For convenience, these variables may be classified as germane to the profit maximization model, the utility maximization model, and other factors influencing corporate giving. The profit maximization model predicts that firms make contributions only to increase revenues or decrease costs. Variables used to capture the revenueincreasing effects of contributions include advertising, extent of public contact, and industry structure. Using a public perceptions rationale, it has been argued that contributions serve a purpose akin to advertising, i.e., as a marketing tool. Thus, attributes of a firm that determine its propensity to Shevlin (1990) outlines and illustrates a simulation procedure for estimating expected marginal tax rates (see the third section for a brief description). He documents significant deviations between expected marginal rates and the top statutory rate. Thus, neither an average rate nor the top statutory rate is particularly satisfactory as a proxy for the tax rate which potentially influences corporate investment decisions. 199 National Tax Journal Vol 49 no. 2 (June 1996) pp. 193-213 NATIONAL TAX JOURNAL VOL. XLIX NO. 2 advertise, such as a positive company profile and higher product awareness, should also cause the same firms to contribute more than others. Hence, a positive relation between advertising expenses and corporate contributions is hypothesized, and the evidence is generally consistent with this hypothesis (Schwartz, 1968; Levy and Shatto, 1978; Maddox and Siegfried, 1980; Navarro, 1988a).10 Along the same lines, firms in industries with a high level of contact with the public (e.g., banking, insurance, retail trade, and food products) are likely to contribute more than firms that sell to industrial and commercial interests. Evidence is generally consistent with this argument (e.g., Frey, Keim, and Meiners, 1982; Burt, 1983; Clotfelter, 1985), although the argument is not supported by Galaskiewicz’s (1985) case study of publicly held companies based in the Minneapolis–St. Paul area. With regard to industry structure, it is frequently argued that the more competitive the industry in which the firm operates, the less the firm will give to charity. Murray (1991) contends that greater competition places more pressure on managers to adopt a short-term view of expenditures, which rules out extensive contributions.11 The evidence on industry structure is mixed. Some studies find that contributions fall as industry concentration rises (Johnson, 1966; Bennett and Johnson, 1980), whereas others find a positive relation (Pittman, 1976; Maddox and Siegfried, 1980; Navarro, 1988a). life in those communities, which in turn may attract a higher quality labor force or make the existing labor force work for lower wages. The improved quality of life may result in other cost savings to the firm, such as lower insurance costs due to reduced vandalism. Cost savings may also be achieved via lower regulatory and governmental costs. Because most of the cost reductions come via lower labor costs, however, prior research has included labor intensity as an explanatory variable. Results are mixed. Navarro (1988a) finds a positive relation, but Galaskiewicz (1985) finds no association. On the other hand, empirical utility maximization models usually include only tax rate as a regressor. To our knowledge, only Navarro (1988a) has used additional variables to test this explanation. Among them is the debtequity ratio. Following Jensen and Meckling (1976), Navarro argues that the suboptimal use of leverage represents an agency cost imposed by utilitymaximizing managers on shareholders. Accordingly, he posits a negative relation between the debt-equity ratio and corporate giving. He also includes a dummy variable for whether the firm is owner controlled or manager controlled under the argument that, if contributions are a discretionary preferred expenditure, manager-controlled firms are more likely to contribute. Last, he includes dividend changes, with the expectation that an increase (decrease) in dividends will be associated with a loosening (tightening) of shareholder constraints on perquisite consumption. Evidence regarding the effects of leverage and dividend changes is consistent with expectations. In some cases, the marginal costs of contributions may reduce the marginal costs of operation by more than the amount contributed. For example, labor costs may be reduced when firms make contributions in communities in which they are based.12 The impact of these contributions is to improve the quality of Some prior research has also examined the effect of nonmarket pressures on corporate giving. In a number of major 200 National Tax Journal Vol 49 no. 2 (June 1996) pp. 193-213 TAXES AND CORPORATE CHARITY metropolitan cities in the United States, business leaders committed to philanthropy have formalized these pressures through “tithing clubs.”13 Membership in these clubs requires the firm to pledge a certain percentage of its net income (typically, two to five percent) to charity. Though membership is not mandatory in order to do business in cities with tithing clubs, firms failing to join risk negative publicity and possible backlash from their customers. Whereas Navarro (1988a) finds evidence of a strong positive relation between giving and the presence of tithing clubs in cities where the firm is headquartered, Freeman (1991) finds mixed results for the tithing club variable.14 Even where no formal or organized pressure mechanisms exist, there is evidence that corporate giving is positively impacted by the influence of peer group comparisons (e.g., Harris and Klepper, 1976; McElroy and Siegfried, 1986). Specifically, corporate giving appears to be highly correlated with the CEO’s own giving and the affiliation of the firm’s CEO and other top executives and directors with specific charities (e.g., Yankelovich, Skelly, and White, 1982). require survey data (e.g., the personal beliefs and involvement of top executives in philanthropic work). The extent of any resulting omitted variables problem is likely to be minimal for two reasons. First, some of these variables (e.g., presence of tithing clubs and personal beliefs and involvement of top executives in philanthropic work) are likely to be uncorrelated with tax rate. Second, the other variables (e.g., industry structure, extent of public contact, and manager/owner control) that could be correlated with tax rate are likely to remain relatively constant over short time periods,15 in which case their effects can be accounted for by panel data estimation procedures discussed in the next section. EMPIRICAL PROCEDURES Data and Variable Definitions As described above, our primary analysis contemplates firm-specific, longitudinal data on individual company giving, marginal tax rate, and income. We obtained data on firm-level corporate contributions from Public Management Institute’s (PMI) Corporate 500: The Directory of Corporate Philanthropy for various years. Based on an annual survey of large U.S. corporations, the directories include reports on the 500 corporations that are “most active” in philanthropy.16,17 These data are compiled from extensive research of published information including annual reports, proxy statements, and contributions program publications, as well as direct contact with company executives. For corporations with foundations, data are also obtained from IRS Forms 990PF. For public utilities, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Form 1 reports are examined. The data compiled from the various sources are then sent to the individual corporations for verification. Although the above is not a comprehensive review of the literature on the determinants of corporate giving, it is representative of the type of variables used frequently to explain why corporations give to charity. While the primary variables of interest in this study are tax rates and income, we include in supplemental analysis some of the above variables (e.g., advertising, labor intensity, and debt-equity ratio) that are motivated by both the profit maximization and the utility maximization models of corporate giving and that are observable and available in archival data for our sample firms. However, we do not include some of the other variables that are either not observable or that 201 National Tax Journal Vol 49 no. 2 (June 1996) pp. 193-213 NATIONAL TAX JOURNAL VOL. XLIX NO. 2 Although the Corporate 500 directory provides one of the most complete data sets on individual firms’ annual contributions over time, it is by no means perfect. For example, the same firms do not appear every year, making it difficult to perform longitudinal analyses. We made diligent efforts on our own to obtain the missing data by contacting firms directly. In cases in which marginal rate is uncertain and therefore is characterized as an expectation, the procedure simulates multiple sequences of future taxable income and computes a present value of incremental taxes for each sequence. Estimated marginal rate is the expected value of the resulting present values. A random walk with drift process is assumed as the taxable income generator, and the firm-specific drift parameter and process variance are estimated using historical data. Estimates of each firm’s marginal tax rate were obtained using Compustat data and a simulation procedure discussed by Shevlin (1990). The procedure estimates the present value of incremental taxes owing to a one dollar increase in current taxable income. Consider a firm with a current loss and no carryforward from a prior year. For such a firm, an incremental dollar of current taxable income (loss reduction) reduces the refund of prior taxes by the loss year’s statutory rate. Thus, the current marginal rate is the loss year’s statutory rate. Not so for a firm with a carryforward from a prior year and either current positive taxable income or a net operating loss. In such cases, the present value of incremental taxes associated with an incremental dollar of current taxable income (or loss reduction) depends on when the carryforward is ultimately realized. Since the timing of future taxable income is uncertain, marginal rate is also uncertain and is characterized in terms of an expected value. The marginal rate is uncertain even for a firm with positive current income and no carryforward from a prior year, because there is some probability that such a firm will have a net operating loss during the forthcoming three years, rendering the current year one to which a loss can be carried back. Accordingly, there is some probability that an incremental dollar of current taxable income will increase the present value of future tax payments by less than the current statutory rate. Following Navarro (1988a, 1988b), income was measured as pretax income and obtained from Compustat. To test the sensitivity of the income elasticity estimates, we also used other definitions of income (e.g., cash flow from operations). As mentioned before, for supplementary analysis, we also obtained data from Compustat on other explanatory variables that were suggested primarily by Navarro (1988a). These variables (with definitions in parentheses) were advertising intensity (ratio of advertising expenses to sales); labor intensity (ratio of labor and related expenses to cost of goods sold); debt-equity ratio; change in dividends; and return on assets (ratio of pretax income to total assets). As discussed briefly before and described more fully by Navarro, both advertising and labor intensity surrogate for profit maximization motives, whereas the debt-equity ratio and change in dividends capture managerial discretion motives. Return on assets was included following Clotfelter’s (1985) expectation that more profitable firms contribute more. Sample Firms and Descriptive Statistics We had complete data on contributions, tax rates, and income for 212 firms for each of the five years 1984–88, result202 National Tax Journal Vol 49 no. 2 (June 1996) pp. 193-213 TAXES AND CORPORATE CHARITY ing in 1,060 firm-year observations.18 Descriptive statistics relating to contributions, marginal tax rate, and income appear in the three panels of Table 1. Panel A relates to all 1,060 firm years, panel B relates to only the 109 firm years in which income is negative, and panel C relates to firm years not involving negative income. As expected given our data source, the sample firms are large: panel A shows that average income is about $694 million and the average contribution is over $6 million annually. The sample firms’ average marginal tax rate is 35.3 percent and ranges from zero to the 46 percent maximum statutory rate during the study period. TABLE 1 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS OF CONTRIBUTIONS, NATURAL LOGARITHM OF CONTRIBUTIONS, INCOME, AND MARGINAL TAX RATE (FOR 212 SAMPLE FIRMS FOR THE FIVE-YEAR PERIOD 1984–88) Panel A: All Firm Years (n = 1,060) Variable Mean Std. Dev. Skewness Minimum Maximum CONT LCONT INCOME RATE 6.120 0.960 693.890 0.353 14.367 1.191 2086.200 0.112 7.849 0.434 –6.772 –1.321 0.051 –2.976 –43,100.000 0.000 189.200 5.243 15,100.000 0.460 Maximum Panel B: Firm Years Involving Net Operating Losses (n = 109) Variable Mean Std. Dev. Skewness Minimum CONT LCONT INCOME RATE 4.679 0.941 –989.680 0.210 6.754 1.025 4,249.100 0.194 3.085 0.643 –9.084 0.272 0.507 –0.679 –43,100.000 0.000 36.500 3.597 –0.556 0.460 Panel C: Firm Years Not Involving Net Operating Losses (n = 951) Variable Mean Std. Dev. Skewness CONT LCONT INCOME RATE 6.286 0.962 886.850 0.369 14.988 1.209 1561.000 0.084 7.648 0.416 5.304 –0.788 Minimum 0.051 –2.976 0.080 0.083 Maximum 189.200 5.243 15,100.000 0.460 Panel D: Year-by-Year Means (Standard Deviations in Parentheses) of Variables for Firms Not Involving Net Operating Losses (Total Firm Years = 951) 1984 (n = 195) 1985 (n = 180) CONT 5.221 (13.483) 6.466 (17.300) 6.505 (17.301) 6.576 (14.470) 6.685 (13.242) LCONT 0.772 0.951 1.018 1.035 1.036 823.829 (1535.080) 909.302 (1821.310) 809.681 (1217.490) 846.360 (1387.880) 1045.960 (1775.720) 0.400 (0.077) 0.403 (0.077) 0.397 (0.081) 0.345 (0.076) 0.303 (0.058) Variable INCOME RATE 1986 (n = 184) where CONT = total charitable contributions (in millions of dollars), LCONT = natural logarithm of CONT, INCOME = pretax income (in millions of dollars), and RATE = marginal tax rate based on Shevlin’s (1990) estimation procedure. 203 1987 (n = 200) 1988 (n = 192) National Tax Journal Vol 49 no. 2 (June 1996) pp. 193-213 NATIONAL TAX JOURNAL VOL. XLIX NO. 2 million) are only slightly higher.21 Note that the distribution of contributions is very right skewed (skewness coefficient of 7.65 millions in panel C). Also note that a natural logarithm transformation produces a contributions variable that is considerably more symmetric (skewness coefficient of 0.42 million). Accordingly, we used the natural logarithm of contributions as the dependent variable in the regression analysis. Panel D reports the data in panel C disaggregated by year. Consistent with expectations, marginal rate declines in postTRA86 years. Moreover, the decline is not accompanied by a corresponding decline in income. Even among our sample of large firms, approximately 10 percent of the firm years involve a net operating loss. As shown in panel B, the average income in loss years is negative $990 million. Despite losses, contributions average only slightly less than the amount for all firm years. Marginal tax rate averages 21 percent in loss years and ranges from zero to the 46 percent maximum statutory rate. Recall that the three models of the relation between contributions and taxes are single-period models that contemplate positive income. As such, they are not particularly appealing for loss years. Consider, for example, the scenario in which contributions and marginal tax rates are negatively related. It seems implausible that firms would increase contributions when marginal tax rates are low due to a net operating loss. In addition, our procedure for estimating marginal rates is not well suited to net operating loss firms with carryforwards. Recall that our marginal rate estimate for such firms obtains from simulated sequences of future taxable income. Unless the variance of the assumed random walk process is large, simulated future values following a net operating loss tend also to be net operating losses. Such a prolonged sequence of net operating losses is not very realistic.19 Accordingly, in panel C, we present descriptive statistics for only the 951 remaining firm years that do not involve a net operating loss and use these observations to estimate our regression models (discussed below).20 Panel Data Estimation Procedures for Linear Models22 It is well known that a simple pooled cross-sectional time-series model relating, say, corporate contributions to a vector of explanatory variables and estimated using ordinary least squares (OLS) will not provide consistent parameter estimates if unobserved firmspecific characteristics have a unique but constant impact on giving. In that case, the simple pooled model suffers from an omitted variables bias. A fixed-effects model (FEM) overcomes this problem by accounting for individual firm heterogeneity via firm-specific constants (intercepts) in the model. These constants capture the effects of unobserved firm characteristics that vary by firm but are relatively stable over time for a given firm. However, an important limitation of the FEM is that it produces estimates that are conditional or sample-specific, and thus inferences from the FEM are not generalizable to observations outside the sample. This shortcoming can be overcome by a random-effects model (REM), which views the individual-specific characteristic as a normally distributed random variable. As would be expected, both the average income ($887 million) and the average marginal tax rate (36.9 percent) are much higher for the positive income observations than for the full sample, whereas average contributions ($6.29 204 National Tax Journal Vol 49 no. 2 (June 1996) pp. 193-213 TAXES AND CORPORATE CHARITY Although inferences from the REM are generalizable to observations outside the sample, the REM has its own limitations. The most significant limitation is that the REM assumes that the individual-specific effects are uncorrelated with the regressors, which is often hard to justify. As discussed in the next section, we estimate all three models: the simple-pooled OLS, the FEM, and the REM. first with an evaluation of the model specification and then discuss the results for the explanatory variables. The test statistics indicate that both the FEM and the REM outperform the simple-pooled model—the χ2 statistic associated with the likelihood ratio test of the equality of the FEM and the simple-pooled model is 2,164.7 and the χ2 statistic associated with the Lagrange multiplier test of the equivalence of the REM and the simple-pooled model is 1,081.2, which are both significant at α < 0.0001.23 Further, the Hausman χ2 statistic that tests whether individual specific effects are correlated with the regressors is 95.1 (significant at α < 0.0001), which implies that the FEM is RESULTS Results of simple-pooled, FEM, and REM regressions of the natural logarithm of contributions on marginal tax rates and the natural logarithm of income appear in the three panels of Table 2. We begin TABLE 2 RESULTS OF SIMPLE-POOLED, FIXED-EFFECTS, AND RANDOM-EFFECTS REGRESSIONS OF THE NATURAL LOGARITHM OF CORPORATE CONTRIBUTIONS ON MARGINAL TAX RATE AND THE NATURAL LOGARITHM OF INCOME (n = 951 FIRM YEARS) Panel A: Simple-Pooled Regression Estimates Variable RATE Ln (INCOME) CONSTANT Coefficient Std. Error t-ratio Prob. value –2.216 0.579 –1.739 0.391 0.027 0.196 –5.663 21.587 –8.855 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 F-statistic (2,948) = 233.666. Adjusted r2 = 0.329. Panel B: Fixed-Effects Regression Estimates Variable RATE Ln (INCOME) Coefficient Std. Error t-ratio Prob. value –1.032 0.091 0.224 0.022 –4.599 4.417 <0.0001 <0.0001 Std. Error t-ratio Prob. value 0.217 0.020 0.109 –6.003 8.201 10.889 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 F-statistic (213,737) = 46.852. Adjusted r2 = 0.911. Panel C: Random-Effects Regression Estimates Variable RATE Ln (INCOME) CONSTANT Coefficient –1.303 0.167 1.190 r2 = 0.163 where RATE = marginal tax rate based on Shevlin’s (1990) estimation procedure, and Ln (INCOME) = natural logarithm of pretax income. 205 National Tax Journal Vol 49 no. 2 (June 1996) pp. 193-213 NATIONAL TAX JOURNAL VOL. XLIX NO. 2 the superior specification relative to the REM. Hence, in the subsequent discussion, we focus exclusively on the results of the FEM reported in panel B of Table 2. Turning to the results for income, we find that the coefficient estimate is statistically significant and positive; i.e., increases in income are associated with an increase in contributions. Given our use of a double logarithmic regression model, the parameter estimate of income is interpretable as its elasticity. As shown in panel B of Table 2, elasticity is a low 0.09. To test the sensitivity of the elasticity estimates to the definition of income used, we re-estimated the regression models with three other measures of income: after-tax book income, pretax cash flow, and after-tax cash flow; the estimated income elasticities were 0.04, 0.17, and 0.13, respectively. 25 The FEM fits the data well—the adjusted r2 is 0.911, which is consistent with our expectation of the importance of effects that vary across firms but are constant over time. The likelihood ratio χ2 statistic associated with the test of the equivalence of the FEM model and a simple ANOVA model with only fixed effects is 35.2 (α < 0.0001), implying an incremental role of marginal tax rate and income in explaining contributions. This is confirmed by two-tailed tests of the hypotheses that the coefficients of marginal tax rate and income are nonzero (α < 0.0001). Our income elasticity estimate is similar only to Levy and Shatto’s (1978) estimate of 0.03, but is lower than most other studies, in which estimates have varied from 0.44 using aggregated cross-sectional data (Schwartz, 1968), to 0.54 using aggregated time-series data (e.g., Clotfelter, 1985), to 0.85 using firm-level cross-sectional data (Navarro, 1988b). There are several factors that may bear on the diversity of these estimates. First is the type of data used. Clotfelter contends that among estimates based on aggregated data, the cross-sectional estimates are more dependable because of the greater income variability. However, firm-level data may generate more precise estimates than aggregated data and arguably panel data estimates are likely to be more reliable than cross-sectional estimates for the reasons mentioned earlier. Second, Navarro suggests that the reliability of estimates may also depend on the choice of regressors in the model. Levy and Shatto’s low estimate has been criticized on the grounds that their model included dividends and income, which are highly correlated with each other (Bennett and The coefficient estimate of marginal tax rate is negative and significant at (α < 0.01). This result differs from the positive relation between contributions and tax rates found in the prior studies using aggregate time-series data (Schwartz, 1968; Nelson, 1970; Levy and Shatto, 1978; Clotfelter, 1985) and from the nonsignificance of the tax rate variable in Navarro’s (1988a) study using firm-specific cross-sectional data. This result has important implications. First, the significance of tax rate is inconsistent with the view that corporate managers engage in charitable giving solely because giving affects firm profits through enhanced revenues or reduced costs. Rather, the significance of tax rate suggests that corporate contributions are a source of management utility in their own right; i.e., contributions are a form of perquisite in which utilitymaximizing managers overinvest. Second, the negative sign of the tax rate coefficient suggests that contributions beyond the profit-maximizing level are limited by a binding minimum profit constraint.24 206 National Tax Journal Vol 49 no. 2 (June 1996) pp. 193-213 TAXES AND CORPORATE CHARITY Johnson, 1980). However, our observed correlation between dividends and income is only 0.20. ing our prior finding of a negative relation, we nonetheless estimated a model with a one-year-ahead rate because our data span a period during which statutory tax rates were changing in an anticipated way (widespread publicity was given to rate reduction as being one of the central features of the TRA86). To evaluate the robustness of the above results, we re-estimated the effect of tax rate on contributions including NOL firm years. The sign and significance of tax rate were qualitatively unchanged. We also estimated a two-way FEM with time- and firm-specific effects. It did not outperform the one-way FEM. As before, the model specification tests revealed that both the FEM and the REM significantly outperformed the simple-pooled model and that the FEM was the superior specification relative to the REM. As shown in the first two columns of Table 3, despite the inclusion of the one-year-ahead tax rate, the contemporaneous tax rate remains significant and negative as before. Although the one-year-ahead rate is significant and negative in the FEM specification, it is not significant in the REM. Supplementary Analysis We estimated two additional sets of regression models. One set included the one-year-ahead tax rate as an additional regressor. The second set included advertising intensity, labor intensity, debt-equity ratio, change in dividends, and return on assets (in addition to the one-year-ahead tax rate) as additional regressors. Results of the analyses are summarized in Table 3. Note that the inclusion of the one-year-ahead tax rate causes a reduction in the sample size because the last year of the panel (1988) is unusable. The last two columns of Table 3 present the results of regression models estimated with the addition of advertising intensity, labor intensity, debt-equity ratio, change in dividends, and return on assets as regressors. Again, the model specification tests reveal that the FEM fits the data best. In the FEM results, the coefficients of the tax rate and one-year-ahead tax rate variables are negative as before, but their significance levels are diminished. To further examine this result, we performed an incremental F-test of whether these additional variables provide any incremental explanatory power to the FEM model beyond that provided by the model including only tax rate, the oneyear-ahead tax rate, and income as regressors. As shown in Table 3, the adjusted r2 increases from 0.907 to 0.908 for the larger model; but this increase is not statistically significant at any reasonable level. This result is Motivation for including the one-yearahead tax rate stems primarily from studies examining the price elasticities of contributions by individual taxpayers (e.g., Broman, 1989; Barrett, 1991) and from an attempt to capture dynamic aspects of the contribution decision.26 However, unlike individual taxpayers for whom not all expenditures are tax deductible, essentially all corporate expenditures are deductible. One scenario in which a known tax rate decrease might influence a corporation’s current giving is when a prepayment of contributions can be made without diminishing future benefits. However, in such a scenario, the relation between current tax rate and current contributions should be positive. Notwithstand207 National Tax Journal Vol 49 no. 2 (June 1996) pp. 193-213 NATIONAL TAX JOURNAL VOL. XLIX NO. 2 TABLE 3 COEFFICIENT ESTIMATES FROM FIXED-EFFECTS AND RANDOM-EFFECTS REGRESSION MODELS OF CORPORATE CONTRIBUTIONS (n = 759 FIRM YEARS; t-STATISTICS IN PARENTHESES) Dependent Variable: Natural Logarithm of Corporate Contributions Variable FEM REM FEM REM RATE –0.757 (–2.02) –1.732 (–5.09) –0.590 (–1.537) –1.628 (–4.76) RATE[+1] –0.407 (–2.12) –0.099 (–0.54) –0.375 (–1.92) –0.064 (–0.34) Ln (INCOME) 0.064 (2.03) 0.208 (7.70) 0.073 (2.23) 0.225 (8.07) ADVER — — — — 13.636 (2.86) 5.219 (3.01) LABOR — — — — 0.038 (0.15) 0.354 (1.92) DERATIO — — — — –0.43 × 10–6 (–0.05) 0.84 × 10–5 (1.09) ROA — — — — –0.49 × 10–2 (–1.18) –0.57 × 10–2 (–1.48) DDIVSH — — — — –0.011 (–1.18) –0.016 (–1.51) CONSTANT — — 0.370 (2.24) — — 0.144 (0.83) R-squared 0.907 0.196 0.908 0.232 where RATE = marginal tax rate based on Shevlin’s (1990) estimation procedure, RATE[+1] = one-year-ahead marginal tax rate (RATEt+1), Ln (INCOME) = natural logarithm of pretax income, ADVER = advertisement expenses/sales, LABOR = labor and other expenses/cost of goods sold, DERATIO = debt-equity ratio, ROA = return on assets (income/total assets), and DDIVSH = change in dividends per share. consistent with our earlier arguments that these firm-specific characteristics are unlikely to vary much over short periods of time, and hence their effects would be accounted for by the FEM. Econometrically, including these variables in the FEM is akin to the addition of irrelevant explanatory variables in a regression model (i.e., ignoring the restriction that those coefficients are zero). As is well known, the consequence of this specification error is that regression coefficients of the relevant variables are unbiased but inefficient (e.g., Kmenta, 1986). In any event, note that the coefficients of these variables are generally similar to the smaller FEM presented in the first two columns of Table 3. Summary and Conclusions In summary, an empirical model that describes corporate giving in terms of a firm-specific fixed effect and an effect due to marginal tax rate and income is well specified. The existence of the marginal tax rate effect is inconsistent with a profit-maximizing level of contributions and consistent with giving 208 National Tax Journal Vol 49 no. 2 (June 1996) pp. 193-213 TAXES AND CORPORATE CHARITY beyond the profit-maximizing level. Moreover, the negative relation between giving and marginal tax rate is consistent with a scenario in which managers are subject to some market discipline. The result suggests that corporate charity is not greatly impacted by variations in business cycles and that nonprofit organizations are not as vulnerable during recessionary times as previously considered (Navarro, 1988b). The sustained level of giving during the late-1980s, regarded by some as the beginning of a recessionary period, reinforces the above finding. The negative empirical relation between giving and marginal tax rate also has a tax policy implication. It transforms any debate about additional limitations on the deductibility of corporate contributions into a debate about monitoring costs. Shareholder tolerance of contributions beyond the profit-maximizing level presumably arises as a result of costs of monitoring managers’ behavior. Arguments favoring substitution of a statutory constraint for a market-based constraint would seemingly turn on whether the costs of enforcing the market-based constraint are “too high.” The results of this study are subject to at least two caveats. First, use of panel data raises the possibility of attrition bias in that only surviving firms are included in the sample. However, given that our sample consists of large firms, the extent and severity of this problem is unclear. Second, our analysis indicates support for the FEM, inferences from which typically are not generalizable outside the sample. However, the sample used in this study consists of large firms that were most active in philanthropy, and the evidence suggests that such firms do most of the giving in the United States. Furthermore, the inferences are unchanged based on the more generalizable REM. Thus, the model limitations may be of little practical importance. The empirical result also has indirect implications for other forms of perquisites and speaks in favor of more extensive disclosure of managerial compensation in reports to shareholders, a matter of considerable controversy currently. For example, the tax reform proposals recently enacted include a limitation on deductibility of excess executive compensation. Similarly, the Securities and Exchange Commission mandated more expansive reporting in proxy statements to facilitate more informed shareholder assessments of executive compensation. Further, the Financial Accounting Standards Board recently promulgated a standard requiring pro forma disclosure of net income as if the fair value of stockbased compensation were recognized as expense, despite vigorous opposition by some members of the Business Roundtable (Cowan, 1992). ENDNOTES 1 The result that corporate contributions are relatively inelastic has important implications for the philanthropic sector. 209 This paper has benefited greatly from the detailed comments of two reviewers, Joe Anthony, Terry Shevlin, Roxanne Spindle, Chuck Swenson, Gary Weber, Ph.D. seminar participants at the University of Waterloo (Alan Macnaughton and Gordon Richardson, Supervisors), and the suggestions of participants in the School of Accountancy Workshop at Arizona State University, particularly Hal Reneau and Larry Grasso. Finally, the capable research assistance of Carol Johnson is gratefully acknowledged. All remaining errors are, of course, ours. An earlier version of this paper was presented at the 1994 Annual Meeting of the American Accounting Association. See American Association of Fund-Raising Counsel’s AAFRC Trust of Philanthropy’s publications (various years) and as recently quoted in the Wall Street Journal (November 26, 1993, p. A1). National Tax Journal Vol 49 no. 2 (June 1996) pp. 193-213 NATIONAL TAX JOURNAL VOL. XLIX NO. 2 2 Corporate contributions have been deductible for tax purposes since 1936. However, the deduction was subject to two major limitations. First, the deduction was disallowed (and was illegal per se) if the contributions did not yield a “direct benefit” in terms of increased profit to the corporation. This direct benefit doctrine applied until as late as 1953. Second, the deductions were limited to five percent of net income before contributions and several other items. The Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 raised this limit to ten percent [IRC § 170(b)(2)]. The deduction of contributions as a trade or business expense continues to remain specifically prohibited under IRC § 162(b). See Fremont-Smith (1972) for a historical perspective on the deduction and Clotfelter (1985) for other details on the tax treatment of corporate contributions. 3 The IRS data generally are available in the Statistics of Income series. To overcome the problems caused by aggregation, some studies have used data from the Source Book of Statistics of Income, which provides a two-way classification of firms by industry and size (e.g., Johnson, 1968; McElroy and Siegfried, 1985). Although this classification scheme reduces the level of aggregation and allows for greater variation within industries in estimating the profits/contributions relationship, the problems with aggregation remain. 4 This is unlike the case involving individual taxpayers, for whom not all expenditures are deductible. In such a case, the tax rate affects the feasible trade-off between contributions and nondeductible expenditures and, hence, their optimal mix. The assumption that corporate contributions are fully deductible for tax purposes is reasonable, since the current ten percent of net income ceiling on deductibility is seldom reached. 5 Proof can be obtained via appropriate restrictions on either the manager’s utility function or the relation between profits and contributions. See Williamson (1967, Appendix 4-A) and Clotfelter (1985). 6 We thank an anonymous reviewer for significantly enhancing our understanding and the intuition underlying the negative relation between contributions and tax rates. This reviewer also suggested one other scenario in which such a relation can obtain. It is possible for the negative income effect to outweigh the positive substitution effect at lower levels of profits that would result with a tax rate increase. The intuition here is that, at these lower profit levels, managers may be less willing to trade-off profits for contributions, resulting in a large negative net effect. Thus, a negative relation between tax rates and contributions can exist even in the absence of a binding profit constraint, a possibility mentioned by Williamson (1967). 7 Similarly, based on interviews with CEOs of major U.S. corporations, Yankelovich, Skelly, and White (1982) report that nearly half of their respondents stated that taxes have no effect on giving decisions. An additional 36 percent stated that taxes have “some” effect. 8 Nelson (1970) is perhaps an exception in that he attempts to estimate marginal tax rates for aggregated industry-level data. However, Clotfelter (1985) points out several weaknesses in Nelson’s tax rate measure, which simply results in the top statutory rate for most years and, in all cases, produces only one rate per year. Clotfelter makes elaborate efforts to overcome Nelson’s limitations by calculating marginal tax rates for mean incomes within each asset class by year and applying the corporate tax schedules to the tax bases in each class. Because Clotfelter also uses the same aggregated data, he recognizes that even his marginal rates “will tend to mask some variation in the actual marginal tax rates faced by individual corporations” (p. 208). Further, while acknowledging that “the correct measure of a company’s price is based on its marginal tax rate” (p. 211), he suggests that average tax rates may be more appropriate with aggregated data because “they may be a better measure of the average of marginal rates than the calculated marginal rate” (p. 213). 9 See Clotfelter (1985) and Murray (1991) for literature reviews. 10 Some maintain the sign on the coefficient of advertising is ambiguous, because contributions may serve either as a complement or as a substitute for advertising (Schwartz, 1968). However, Navarro (1988a, p. 78, footnote 25) contends that the coefficient sign cannot resolve the issue because “the concepts of gross substitutability and complementarity have to do with the cross-price elasticity, which the parameter estimate sheds no light on.” 11 Johnson (1966) presents a slightly different argument that distinguishes “rival” or oligopolistic firms from competitive and monopolistic ones. He contends that rival firms will give more to charity because their market share is likely to be more sensitive to public perception, whereas competitive firms cannot afford to and monopolistic firms have no need to influence public perception. 12 Survey data provide strong evidence that corporate giving tends to be concentrated in cities in which firms are headquartered and in other areas in which firms’ operations are located (McElroy and Siegfried, 1986; Yankelovich, Skelly, and White, 1982). 13 Cities with tithing clubs include Baltimore, Denver, Duluth, Jacksonville, Kansas City, Louisville, Minneapolis–St. Paul, Phoenix, Rochester, San Francisco, Seattle, Tuscaloosa, and St. Cloud (Navarro, 1988a; Freeman, 1991). 14 Freeman (1991, p. 20) notes that there may be a selectivity problem at work: “companies in cities 210 National Tax Journal Vol 49 no. 2 (June 1996) pp. 193-213 TAXES AND CORPORATE CHARITY where tithing clubs thrive give more than other companies, but for some latent reason that also underlies the formation of the clubs in the first instance.” 15 Navarro (1988b) also provides empirical support for this contention. Using firm-specific data, he regresses the log of contributions on the log of income to estimate the income elasticity of corporate contributions. He finds that the elasticity estimates are unchanged even with the inclusion of such variables as labor intensity and advertising expenses in the model. 16 Although not mentioned in the directory, one of the authors was told in a telephone interview with PMI that a firm had to contribute at least $0.5 million in order to be included in the directory. However, some companies were included even if they gave less than the minimum cut-off amount, provided they gave more in the other years included in the directory. 17 Limiting the initial sample to the population of large firms potentially results in a truncated sample. This causes OLS estimators to be biased and inconsistent and requires the use of truncated regression. However, truncation is not viewed to be a problem when studying corporate giving, because there is a preponderance of evidence that large corporations do most of the giving in the United States. For example, the largest 0.5 percent of all corporations account for over 75 percent of all corporate contributions (Clotfelter, 1985; IRS, 1988). Empirically, Navarro (1988a) found virtually identical results using OLS and truncated regression. 18 Data on advertising and labor expenses were missing for several of the firms. In the supplementary analysis that included these variables, they were coded zero to minimize loss of observations. 19 Of our sample of 212 firms, five had three consecutive loss years, one had four consecutive loss years, and none had five consecutive loss years. 20 This is also consistent with most of the prior research, which includes only firms with positive net income (Clotfelter, 1985). 21 Note that even for firm years with only positive income, the average marginal tax rate of 0.369 is less than the weighted average top statutory rate of 0.423 for the five years. This difference is statistically significant with the computed Zstatistic of 19.93 (α < 0.0001). This suggests that, even for large firms with positive taxable income, there is some nonzero probability of a loss in the future, which makes the use of the top statutory rate inappropriate as the marginal tax rate measure. As a further internal consistency check of our marginal rate estimation procedure, we examined descriptive statistics by year. As expected, the mean marginal rate for our sample declined in the post-TRA86 period. Specifically, the average marginal rates in the five years 1984–88 were 0.400, 0.403, 0.397, 0.345, and 0.303, respectively. Each of these sample averages is also significantly less (at α < 0.0001) than the top statutory rate in those years (0.46 in 1984–86, 0.40 in 1987, and 0.34 in 1988), further reinforcing the case against using the top statutory rate as the marginal rate. 22 See Chamberlain (1984) and Hsiao (1986) for reviews. 23 Various statistical tests have been proposed in the literature to evaluate the adequacy of the model specification (e.g., Kmenta, 1986; Greene, 1993). First, both the FEM and the REM can be compared with a simple-pooled model. The likelihood ratio test or an F-test allows a test of the null hypothesis of homogeneity of individual-specific effects (i.e., α1 = α2 = . . . = αn) to determine whether the FEM outperforms the simple-pooled model. Under the null, the simple-pooled model is the more efficient estimator. Similarly, the appropriateness of the REM relative to the simple-pooled model can be examined with the Breusch and Pagan Lagrange multiplier (LM) test. Large values of the LM test statistic (which is distributed as χ2) favor the REM. Next, the FEM and REM can be compared against each other using Hausman’s (1978) specification test, which formally tests whether the random effects are orthogonal to the regressors. Large values of the test statistic (which is also distributed as χ2) favor the FEM. 24 Alternatively, the negative sign can be interpreted as an indication that the income effect dominates the substitution effect. A dominant income effect might occur as the firm experiences adversity and is more hard pressed to satisfy its minimum profit constraint, but prior to the constraint becoming binding (Williamson, 1967). 25 After-tax cash flow is defined as pretax income plus depreciation and amortization minus taxes. To make the definition exogenous of the contribution decision, income is computed before contributions and taxes are calculated without the deduction for contributions. Although pretax income has been the definition of income used most frequently in previous studies, Clotfelter (1985) has argued that cash flow is a better measure of income available to management and a firm’s capacity to give, and that in any case after-tax quantities are preferable to before-tax quantities. As one might expect, the after-tax elasticity estimates are lower than their counterpart pretax estimates. 26 We thank an anonymous reviewer for suggesting this additional analysis. 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