The Point Published by Institute of Economic Affairs (IEA) Issue No. 2 • March, 2014 INDEX OF ECONOMIC FREEDOM: Kenya’s Perfomance By Stephen Jairo E conomic growth is an important aspect for any country around the globe, and which yields positive benefits to the country - especially to the citizens. Economic freedom can be defined as the freedom to prosper, without intervention from a government or economic authority, and where individuals are free to secure and protect their human resources, labor and private property. The Heritage Foundation defines economic freedom as the condition where individuals can act with autonomy while in pursuit of their economic livelihood and greater prosperity. The key ingredients of economic freedom are personal choice, voluntary exchange, freedom to compete in markets, and protection of person and property. There are three fundamental principles that underpin economic freedom; the idea as well as the policy recommendations that emanate thereof. These are;- empowerment of individuals, non-discrimination, and open competition. Developed by the Heritage Foundation 20 years ago, the index of economic freedom measures ten areas of economic freedom grouped into four broad categories or pillars of economic freedom, on a scale of 0 (Least Free) to 100 (Most Free). These pillars are; i) ii) iii) iv) Rule of Law Government Size Regulatory Efficiency Open Markets Each of these pillars is comprised of sub-components which are discussed below. I Rule of Law Under the Rule of Law, two economic freedoms are looked into: a) Property Rights: Secure property rights give citizens the confidence to undertake entrepreneurial activity, save their income, and make long-term plans, knowing that their income, savings, and property (both real and intellectual) are safe from unfair expropriation or theft. The protection of private property requires a judicial system that is corruption free, independent, transparent and effective, while also delivering services equitably and without discrimination. The higher the protection of private property, the higher the score on property rights and vice-versa. http://www.businessdictionary.com/definition/economic-freedom.html#ixzz2trRMsGWk http://www.econlib.org/library/Enc/EconomicFreedom.html 3 http://www.heritage.org/index/about 1 2 b) Freedom from corruption: Corruption erodes economic freedom by introducing insecurity and uncertainty into economic relationships, and can take forms such as bribery, extortion, nepotism, patronage, cronyism, embezzlement and graft. To guard against this, there is need for transparency and openness in the various processes. Monetary Freedom: This combines measures of price stability and assessment of price controls. Monetary freedom requires a stable currency and prices in the market being determined by market forces. This is influenced by the monetary policy of the government. II Trade Freedoms: This reflects an economy’s openness to the flow of goods and services as affected by the presence or absence of tariff and non-tariff barriers that affect trade in general; exports and imports. Government Size Fiscal Freedom: This is a measure of the tax burden imposed by the government, and includes direct and corporate taxes as a percent of GDP. Government Spending: This considers the level of government expenditures, including consumption and transfers, as a percentage of GDP. III Regulatory efficiency Business Freedom: This is a measure of the overall efficiency of the government in regulation of the businesses in terms of difficulty in starting, operating and closing. it looks at an individual right to establish and run an enterprise without undue interference from the state. It uses 10 factors based on data from World banks doing business study that are weighted equally. Labor Freedom: This measures an individuals’ ability to work as much as they want, and wherever they want, as well as the ability of firms to hire and fire workforce as is necessary. Open Markets Investment Freedom: is a measure of the freedom to invest. All countries have varied restrictions as to the levels of investments allowed from external investors; investments leads to creation of a variety of opportunities including job creation and an improvement in economic activities. Financial Freedom: Availability of fully functional, sound and updated financial systems ensures that individuals have diversified options in terms of savings, access to credit, payment options, as well as options for investment. This measure looks at these in terms of banking efficiency and independence from government control and interference. Measures of the Index The index of economic freedom has a methodology that scores the sub-components in each pillar as discussed in the matrix below: Pillar Component Score Methodology Rule of Law Property Rights Countries are graded on a scale of 0 to 100, where Zero means that private property is outlawed, and all property belongs to the state. A score of 50 means the court system is highly inefficient, and delays are so long that result to non-use of the judicial system, while a score of 100 means that private property is guaranteed by the government, justice system is up and running and is corruption free. Freedom from Corruption Is based on Transparency International’s Corruption Perception Index (CPI) which measures level of perceived corruption in 176 countries. The scale for scoring government spending is non-linear, meaning that government spending is close to zero is lightly penalized, while levels of government spending that exceed 30 percent of GDP lead to much worse scores in a quadratic fashion (for example, doubling spending yields four times less freedom ). Only extraordinary large levels of government spending - for example, over 58 percent of GDP - receive a score of zero. Government Size Government Spending Fiscal Freedom 2 IV Is composed of three quantitative factors; • The top marginal tax rate on individual income • The top marginal tax rate on corporate income, and • The total tax burden as a percentage of GDP . These three are scored equally, meaning each accounts for one third of this components’ score. Evidence-based policy pace-setting Regulatory Efficiency Open Markets Business Freedom Is derived from various measures including ease of starting, operating and closing a business. The score uses 10 factors equally measured using World Bank’s “Doing Business Report”. The higher the score, the freer the business environment. Labour Freedom This uses 6 quantitative factors on the basis of World Bank’s “Doing Business Report”. These are converted to a scale of 0 to 100 with a higher score meaning a better environment. Monetary Freedom Trade Freedom Is based on the weighted average inflation rate and price controls for the recent years Scoring this component is based on two inputs; Trade weighted average tariff and Non-tariff barriers Investment Freedom This indicator measures a variety of restrictions that are imposed on investment Financial Freedom This component of the index evaluates an economy’s financial freedom by looking at 5 broad areas which are considered to assess an economy’s overall performamce. Global Outlook and Canada with scores of 81.6, 81.2, and 80.2 respectively. The 2014 Index of Economic Freedom was carried out in 186 countries spread over six regions; 1. Asia-Pacific – 2. Europe – 3. Middle East/North Africa – 4. North America – 5. South & Central America / Caribbean countries 6. Sub-Saharan Africa – 43 countries 45 countries 18 countries 3 countries 29countries 48 Countries Each of 178 countries graded in the 2014 Index is classified as “free” (i.e. combined scores of 80 or higher); “mostly free” (70 - 79.9); “moderately free” (60 - 69.9); “mostly unfree” (50 - 59.9); or “repressed” (under 50). There are positive economic freedom advancements worldwide despite the challenging economic and political environments being experienced. The global average economic freedom score has reached 60.3, the highest ever recorded in the 20-year history of the Index. World economic freedom has improved by 0.7 basis points from last year and 2.7 points from 1995. Much of the momentum towards greater freedom that had been lost during the past five years has been regained and according to the index, the world score has improved in virtually all the areas that are measured. Of the 178 economies numerically graded in the 2014 Index (8 countries have no scores in some measures), six have earned the designation of “free” with scores above 80. These are Hong Kong in first position with a score of 90.1, closely followed by Singapore with a score of 89.4, and Australia which is in third position with a score of 82.0. The fourth, fifth, and sixth positions are held by Switzerland, New Zealand, The next 28 countries, with scores between 70 and 80, are categorized as “mostly free.” The only Sub-Saharan African countries in this category are Mauritius, with a score of 76.5, and Botswana with a score of 72. The largest portion of the countries graded (117 economies), have freedom scores between 50 and 70. Of these, 56 economies are considered “moderately free” (scores of 60–70), and 61 are “mostly unfree” (scores of 50–60). Twenty-seven countries are categorized as “repressed” economies with scores below 50. Kenya’s Performance For the years 2009 to 2014, there have been improvements and decline in terms of the overall score on the economic freedom index. For the year 2014, Kenya is ranked at position 111 among the 186 countries which have been listed, and is position 17 in sub-Saharan Africa with a score of 57.1. This score is an improvement by 1.2 basis points from the year 2013’s score of 55.9. However, in comparison to the previous years’ scores, this performance is still low, especially when compared to a score of 58.7 in the year 2009, which had also declined from a high score of 59.3 in 2008. It is worth noting that this index score denotes the fact that economic freedom in Kenya is on the growth path, having declined to a low score of 55.9 in 2013. This is illustrated in figure 1 next page. Evidence-based policy pace-setting 3 Figure 1: Trend of Kenya’s score on the Index of Economic Freedom, 2009-2014 A country’s fiscal freedom is indeed one aspect that cannot be overlooked. Sound financial control systems are key to prosperity in any country. In this regard, there has not been much change in the score for this indicator, having declined to 77.7 in 2011 from 78.1 in 2010. The score for 2014 is 78. These trends are shown in figure 2 below Figure 2: Trend of Kenya’s Index of Economic Freedom, Government Size (2009 – 2014) Within the East African Community, Kenya is ranked at position 4 after Rwanda, Uganda, and Tanzania, with scores of 64.4, 59.9, and 57.8 respectively. Burundi is number 5 with a score of 51.4. The following is a look at the performance on each indicator for Kenya. It is important to note that various factors have contributed to the overall score and changes on this index. Rule of Law Table 1: Trend of Kenya’s Index of Economic Freedom, Rule of Law (2009 – 2014) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Property Rights 30 30 30 30 30 30 Freedom from Corruption 21 21 22 21 22 21 The Rule of Law looks at the two indicators as in Table 1 above. Of these, property rights has maintained its performance score for the years outlined herein, whereas the score for freedom from corruption has fluctuated between 21 and 22 during the same period. According to the scoring method, the more certain the legal protection of property, the higher the country’s score. On the other hand, rampant widespread corruption has seen Kenya being placed at position 136 of the 177 countries surveyed, with a score of 26 on a scale of 1 to 100, where 0 is highly corrupt. The higher the levels of corruption in a county, the lower the economic freedom score. Regulatory Efficiency Regulatory efficiency is comprised of measures on business freedom, labor freedom, and monetary freedom. From Figure 3 below, business freedom has declined every year, since 2009 at 66.9 to 61.7 in 2012 and in 2014 scoring 55.8. Over the period in focus, business freedom has declined by a whopping 11.1 points. On the other hand, labor freedom experienced a sharp decline from a high of 63.3 in 2012 to 57.1 in 2013. However, this again shot up to a score of 64 in 2014. Figure 3: Trend of Kenya’s Index of Economic Freedom, Regulatory Efficiency (2009 – 2014) Government Size Government size is scored based on fiscal freedom and government spending. The trend from Figure 2 shows that in 2011, the rating was much worse off at 72.1 than it was in 2010 at 83.1, reducing by 11. In the following years, the score has declined to a score of 74.6 in 2014, although this is an increase from 2013 which scored 73.5. 4 Kenya has scored well in terms of monetary freedom which is highest amongst these three measures, albeit with notable fluctuations in the years focused at herein. Evidence-based policy pace-setting The highest score was realized in 2012 at 79.1, having moved positively in years 2010 and 2011 at 72.7 and 73.2 respectively. Three indicators recorded no change for the period 2013 to 2014. These are: property rights, investment freedom, and financial freedom. Open Markets As noted by the Heritage Foundation, economic freedom generates more opportunities and greater well-being for more people, no matter where they live. The Kenyan constitution promulgated in August 2010 seeks to enshrine a sense of accountability and good governance to both office holders and the population at large, in a bid to improve service delivery and accessibility. Table 2: Trend of Kenya’s Index of Economic Freedom, Open Markets (2009 – 2014) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Trade Freedom 71.8 67.9 72.8 66.7 66.7 72.8 Investment Freedom 50 45 50 50 50 50 Financial Freedom 50 50 50 50 50 50 Open markets performance on the overall has improved. It is comprised of 3 measures; Trade Freedom, Investment Freedom, and Financial Freedom. One important measure of the index is freedom from corruption, which in comparison to other measures scores the least. Trade freedom is the highest of the three, having an average of 69.7 basis points for the period 2009 to 2014. The score in 2011 and 2014 is the same at 72.8, and there was no change in the score for years 2012 and 2013 which maintained at 66.7. Overall, the index shows that there are areas in which the country has made great positive strides (6 of the indicators noted improvements), while there are yet others in which there are negative changes, and also, some in which no changes have been noted. However, it is important to note that there is marked improvement in trade freedom by 6.1 points. On the other hand, Investment freedom has neither declined nor improved for the period, maintaining its score at 50. It is therefore imperative that the policy makers look into ways of improving on the declining indicators’ scores, and also, putting in place measures to improve on the stagnant indicators. Kenya has a number of financial institutions that offer a variety of financial services to the different clients with varied requirements. Other than the decline to 45 in 2010 from 50 in 2009, the score for financial freedom has maintained, like for investment freedom, at 50. Inferences for Kenya There are positive points that can be noted from the index, which can be taken as key pointers to the areas that the government, the citizens as well as the business community needs to focus on. Of all the indicator scores as enumerated in Table 3 above, labor freedom is the most improved, earning 6.9 basis points from the previous score to 64, followed by trade freedom moving positively with 6.1 basis points to a score of 72.8 in 2014. On the other hand, the most declined indicator, business freedom, had a negative movement of 2.2 basis points, followed by freedom from corruption negatively moving by 1 basis point. Evidence-based policy pace-setting 5 Table 3: Most Improved/Declined Score on Indicators 2013 - 2014 Overall Score 2013 2014 Change Comments 55.9 30 22 77.5 73.5 58 57.1 57.1 30 21 78 74.6 55.8 64 1.2 0 -1 0.5 1.1 -2.2 6.9 Improved No Change Decline Improved Improved Decline Improved Monetary Freedom 73.8 74.9 1.1 Improved Trade Freedom Investment Freedom 66.7 72.8 6.1 Improved 50 50 0 No Change Financial Freedom 50 50 0 No Change Rule of Law Property Rights Freedom from Corruption Limited Government Fiscal Freedom Government Spending Regularatory Efficiency Business Freedom Labour Open Markets References http://www.heritage.org/index/ http://cpi.transparency.org/cpi2013/results/ 6 Evidence-based policy pace-setting The Point The Institute of Economic Affairs (IEA - Kenya is a Public Policy Think Tank and a civic forum that seeks to promote pluralism of ideas through open, active and informed public debates on key policy issues. The Institute provides research back-up to policy makers, including members of parliament through research and advocacy, and is independent of political parties, pressure groups, lobbies and any other partisan interests. The Point is a publication by the Regulation and competition Policy (RCP) Programme. ©2014 Institute of Economic Affairs ACK Garden House, 1st Ngong Avenue P.O. Box 53989 - 00200 Nairobi, Kenya. Tel:+254 - 020 - 2721262/2717402 Fax:+254 - 020 - 2716231 Email:[email protected] Website:www.ieakenya.or.ke Editor: Zilper Audi Board of Directors: 1. Charles Onyango - Obbo 2. Solomon Muturi 3. Anthony Mwithiga 4. Atsango Chesoni Design & Layout: Oscar Ochieng Evidence-based policy pace-setting 7
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