ECONOMY - Challenges of a changing Economy Overview: Change is a constant in the modern world. A huge topic. So, in order to prevent us holding up our hands in horror and thinking this is too big to grasp, this topic will focus on the last 300 years in Wales to give a perspective of the massive changes that have happened, and led to where we are. By using a familiar area, students can debate the underlying resources, challenges and opportunities and think about a Wales of the future. Learning objectives: Outline the history of key industries in Wales (which is a good proxy for generalised global industrial development, certainly in the West) Outline the changing patterns of employment and think about the political implications of this Investigate the unique selling points for a small nation state and critically evaluate them, in a UK, European and global context. LESSON Introduction Activity 1 can best be used here. Ask the plenary group to raise their hand of they have one of more parent / adult at home who works in - farming / agriculture? - industry (making things) ? - building and construction? - education (school / university)? - health services ? - local government / Welsh Govt. (not above) ? - in energy / renewables industry ? - are unemployed /under-employed (that is working less hours than they would want to)? - in retail (shops, online, market) ? - in hotels / food / drink industry ? (And others, dependent on your area.) 1 Activity 2 (optional, can be used later in the lesson) Break the group into smaller groups and spend 5 -10-15 minutes (dependent on your time available) with the students discussing what they know about their grandparents’ generation and if there has been a change. Ask them to consider the industries / employment areas in Wales going back further generations. HISTORY 1) Pre 1800 a) Economic development in Wales was said to be restricted by i) its peripheral location, ii) predominantly upland topography, iii) poor communications and iv) sparse population. Has this changed? b) One of the most advanced was in the small coastal ports (with the south trading largely with Bristol and the north with Liverpool, but also Ireland and even US). The other major source of external trading were the drovers, who drove sheep / cattle from Mid Wales along the Drovers roads for sale / slaughter (to English Midlands and London's Smithfield Market) from the 14th century onwards. The drovers established the first banks in Wales, such as "Banc Y Ddafad Ddu" in Aberystwyth (1810) and then Tregaron. c) From mid-18th century, the exploitation of rich mineral deposits began and the English entrepreneurs and financiers arrived to fund the industrialisation. The ‘sparse population’ and ‘poor communications’ facilitated a colonialization of Wales (in much the same was as England dominated African countries, and the sub-continent). The changes in technology (e.g. iron smelting by coke) pushed an increased demand for metals and coal, both present in Wales in large resource banks. This demand and exploitation at home allowed Great Britain to become a major international player, with shipping (transport), business and energy being key measures of success (as they still are). 2 2) 1800 + PORTS (a) CARDIFF Following the development of the coal found in the Cynon and Rhondda valleys and the Merthyr area, South Wales : • • • • • needed a sea connection to the Bristol Channel 1794, the Glamorganshire Canal was completed, linking Cardiff with Merthyr 1798 a basin was built, connecting the canal to the sea by the 1830s, Cardiff became the biggest iron-exporting port, shipping almost half of British overseas iron exports between 1840 and 1870, the volume of coal exports increased from 44,350 tonnes to 2.219 million tonnes (b) SWANSEA Originally a small fishing harbour 1800s – an increased industrial output (copper, zinc, iron and tinplate) Developments of big steamships (replacing smaller sailing vessels) Swansea Harbour Trust (SHT) commissioned the construction of the Prince of Wales Dock in 1881-2 Increased trade to and from North Devon (vegetables/coal), Cornwall (tin, tungsten) and coastal France, Spain and Portugal. (c) ABERYSTWYTH Originally a small fishing port but Mid 1700s onwards – was the key port for registration of ships (of more than 15 tons) 1800s onwards - Aberystwyth registered ships from Pembrokeshire up to Harlech and became one of the three major Welsh trading ports 1800 - 1850 imported coal, limestone and foodstuffs; exported lead ore, slates and fish The port of Aberystwyth gradually declined over the second half of the 19th century and ceased exporting material in the early 20th century, pre WWI. 3 3) SLATE - Smaller industry than coal, BUT the world's largest supplier in the 19th century 1890s - there were dozens of quarries, ca. 15,000 men - largely in North and MidWales Despite explosive growth in the early 1900s this stopped during WWI By the 1920s, it was apparent that Wales was facing economic difficulties, and the slate industry collapsed. 4) COAL - Late 1700s - the beginnings of a canal and rail network transports coal easily - New technology – steam engines (pumping and winding) & rail - The cities of south Wales expanded - large docks / ports particularly Cardiff, Swansea and Newport - 1840 the canal and rail network enabled 4.5 m tons of coal to be produced o 2.25m went to the steel industry, o 1m to the domestic market and other industries o the rest for export. - 1855 8.8m tons were produced, with 2.6m exports - 1875 16.5m tons were produced, 4.3 m exports - 1913 57m tons of coal, by 232,000 men in 620 mines - 1920 Peak employment 271,000 (post war development and redeployment) - 1927+ Recession / depression – move to other energy (oil and gas), and overseas imports - 1936 Employment down to 140,000 men - Steady decline over 20th century 4 ABERYSTWYTH AS EXAMPLE (students can be encouraged to investigate other areas) Population 1811 Population 2011 2,264 12,250 House of Commons Report (to expand the town boundaries) “The Commerce of the Port is principally in Lead Ore, Pig Lead, Oak-bark; Corn and Butter, Coal and Culm are imported from the North and South of Wales; Groceries, Shop-goods and American Timber (direct); and as there is no Market Town within 18 miles, it supplies an extensive rural District.” TOURISM - not just a modern day industry, and with similar problems … House of Commons reports EXTORTION IN ABERYSTWYTH LODGING-HOUSES “ …. that some individuals have injured the growing prosperity and reputation of the town by this most hateful and ruinous system.” (c 1840) 1881 town report “….. Aberystwyth is a fashionable sea-side resort, containing a population of 6664, and capable of accommodating 7000 visitors” (REPORT upon the Proposed Municipal Boundary of the Borough of Aberystwyth, House of Commons papers 1837, Volume 26) “…. within the last few years it has grown into considerable reputation as a Watering Place, and is the resort of numerous families and occasional visitors, during the season, from all parts of England. It is calculated that in the months of August, September and October upwards of 1,500 persons come to reside in the Town, and that the casual visitors during that period amount to several thousands.” (OLD COLLEGE) The Castle Hotel - opened April 1865 (Gothic Revival architect John Pollard Seddon) 1860s - rapid expansion of Aber in anticipation of the arrival of the railway The Castle Hotel was built in just one year to provide superior accommodation for “people in the higher ranks” Shortly before its completion, the developer behind the project went bankrupt. Purchased by subscriptions from the people of Wales for a University College for working people to study. 5 5) Changing times During the ‘boom’ period (start of the 20th century), Wales STILL HAD a narrow economic base dependent on the labour intensive exploitation of natural resources (coal, slate, some steel). In the early 1930s, unemployment in the South Wales Valleys (coal dependent) rose to huge proportions e.g. to 59% in Merthyr and 76% in Pontypridd. And this was despite 400,000 people leaving the region between 1921 and 1939 (mass valley depopulation); those that left were probably the ‘brightest and best’ : a ‘brain drain’ as we would now say. The steel and tinplate industries were concentrated in a smaller number of larger sites (Port Talbot, Llanwern) – and of necessity began employing less people. Number of coal pits in South Wales shrank 1953 115 pits 1981 34 pits producing almost 21 million tons producing 7.7 million tons. Pembrokeshire and Swansea Bay – saw the start of the petrochemical industry, with new light industry attracted to locations throughout Wales (with favourable Local Rates / taxation advantages). But these were either small scale or largely foreign 'branch factory' operations (with low-wages, low-skills). Or both. 6) Recent The early 1980s - another recession with the same patterns: - a bigger impact in Wales than in other parts of the UK - between 1979 and 1982, Wales lost 130,000 jobs and the employment rate fell to 62% - recovery started later in Wales, recovered much more slowly - structural changes left a legacy of high unemployment amongst older men, especially in the Valleys. 2008 and the collapse of banks, a new recession These same patterns were repeated again 6 e.g. 2012 - 2013 Employment rate (aged 16-64) Wales 2013 69.3% 2012 68.7% UK 71.6% 71.2% Claimant count (of economically active) 2013 4.9% 2012 5.4% 4.2% 4.7% Economic inactivity (aged 16-64) 2013 24.7% 2012 24.9% 22.3% 22.5% Recent business / employment patterns The Welsh Governments estimates employment in businesses in 2012 as (as opposed to self-employed, sole traders, etc). 1,017,500 By business size: Micro (0-9) Small (10-49) Medium (50-249) Large (250+) 33.3% 14.6% 12.5% 39.5% (largest growth area 2003-12) Business size shows huge variation by sector e.g. In Agriculture 92% of all business are “Micro” In manufacturing production 52% of business are classified as “Large” Of all Welsh business, approximately 1/3 are owned by non-UK companies (and these are mostly in the Large category – indeed MOST of the Large category). ACTIVITY 3 Small Group activities – discuss and make notes on: (1) Reconsider the first section, on the economic limitations in Wales. Has this changed over the last 300 years? (i) its peripheral location, (ii) predominantly upland topography, (iii) poor communications and (iv) sparse population. 7 Perhaps think about how the definitions have changed e.g. ‘peripheral’ in 1800 probably meant from London / the industrial north of England; now, this might be peripheral in terms of “the Chinese powerhouse”, or the BRIC nations. What about the other three limitations? (2) Do the statistics above (size of business, ownership of business) make Wales vulnerable? Or is this a sign of flexibility? 7) Future In the past Wales has found solutions to other challenging times. These have improved our wealth and health. But these changes have been dependent on innovation, research and capital investment (and not usually from within Wales). This has meant that in the recessions of 2008, 1970s, 1930s, and before, the changes in industry and employment have not been under the control of the Welsh. The flight of capital and population has left deep seated problems. IF we need High Tech, innovative, nimble and flexible businesses and enterprise to make Wales a success, consider how YOU (the future) would do this. ACTIVTY 4 IF we need High Tech, innovative, nimble and flexible businesses and enterprise to make Wales a success, consider how you would do this. What sort of industries? What do they need to establish & thrive? How can you ‘sell’ Wales? What is distinctive about Wales? Its USPs? This can be a short activity based on discussions, but could be developed into research and presentations to form a serious preparation for the Assessment element of the Global Citizenship Challenge. 8 REFERENCES Welsh Government (2014) ‘Workplace employment by industry’ [online] Available at: http://gov.wales/statistics-and-research/work-place-employment-industry/?lang=en BBC (2012) ‘Drovers in Wales’ [online] Available at: http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/ wales/entries/d0214007-fead-3c68-b8cb-f4ac7b78ad3d Office for National Statistics (2013) ‘2011 Census Analysis, 170 Years of Industry’ [online] Available at: http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/census/2011-census-analysis/170-yearsofindustry/index.html Welsh Government (2014) ‘The Welsh Workforce – Employment in Wales’ [online] Available at: http://www.assembly.wales/research%20documents/rn14-020%20the%20 welsh%20workforce%20%E2%80%93%20employment%20in%20wales/rn14-020.pdf Museum Collections (2013) ‘Aberystwyth and Tregaron Bank’ [online] Available at: http://pilgrim.ceredigion.gov.uk/index.cfm?articleid=3358 9
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