N a t i o n a l B a n k o f P o l a n d Department of Statistics Information about the quarterly balance of payments on a transaction basis The National Bank of Poland (NBP) for the first time presents the quarterly balance of payments on a transaction basis. Up to now this balance of payments has been presented exclusively on annual basis. Preparing of quarterly balance of payments is a fulfilment of standards in the field of balance of payments statistics that oblige European Union countries. Data presented contain time period from 1st q 2000 to 3rd q 2003. The balance of payments is a statistical statement that systematically summarizes, for a specific time period, the economic transactions of the Polish economy with the rest of the world. The system for the quarterly balance of payments on a transactions basis incorporates data from banking statistics, with data derived from surveys of enterprises and other entities in goods, services, income, FDI, trade credits and loans. It also includes transactions on accounts held by Polish residents with banks abroad. The transactions in cash through bureaux de change of banks (recorded as unclassified transactions in the balance of payments on a cash basis) are reclassified for appropriate b.o.p. items, i.e. goods, travel and workers’ remittances. Essential differences between data sources for balance of payments on a transaction basis and for balance of payments on a cash basis regard goods and services (travel) items. The data source for goods in a balance of payments on transaction basis are SAD customs documents, whereas in a balance of payments on a cash basis data come from payments settled via the Polish banking system. The Institute of Tourism estimates are the basis for compiling the travel item in the balance of payments on a transaction basis. As the balance of payments on a transaction basis is a data source for calculation of some aggregates (net export) in a system of national accounts, estimation of these aggregates have been made jointly by the NBP and the Central Statistical Office. Detailed information on the divergence in data sources between balance of payments on transaction basis and balance of payments on cash basis are presented in the enclosed table. An analysis of the published data indicates that the differences between balance of payments on cash basis and balance of payments on transaction basis are greatest in the case of current account. The reasons for that are: existence of the unclassified current account transactions item in the balance of payments on a cash basis and differing data sources for those items. The presented charts show detailed information on development of balance of payments items. Contact persons: Anna Włostowska (+ 48 22) 653 1226, Jacek Kocerka (+48 22) 653 1820. € million current account 1 500 1 000 500 0 -500 -1 000 -1 500 -2 000 -2 500 -3 000 -3 500 -4 000 I II III IV I II 2000 III IV I II 2001 transaction basis III IV I 2002 cash basis II 2003 difference goods net 2 000 1 000 € million 0 -1 000 -2 000 -3 000 -4 000 -5 000 I II III 2000 IV I II III IV I 2001 transaction basis II III IV 2002 cash basis -2- difference I II 2003 exports 14 000 12 000 € million 10 000 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 000 0 I II III IV I II 2000 III IV I II 2001 III IV I 2002 transaction basis cash basis II 2003 difference imports 16 000 € million 14 000 12 000 10 000 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 000 0 I II III IV I II 2000 III IV I II 2001 transaction basis III IV I 2002 cash basis II 2003 difference € million services net 1 200 1 000 800 600 400 200 0 -200 -400 -600 -800 I II III 2000 IV I II III IV I 2001 transaction basis II III IV 2002 cash basis -3- difference I II 2003 services credit 3 500 3 000 € million 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 500 0 I II III IV I 2000 II III IV I II 2001 III IV I 2002 transaction basis cash basis II 2003 difference services debit 3 500 3 000 € million 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 500 0 I II III IV I 2000 II III IV I 2001 II III IV 2002 transaction basis cash basis I II 2003 difference income net 400 € million 200 0 -200 -400 -600 -800 -1 000 -1 200 I II III 2000 IV I II III IV I 2001 transaction basis II III IV 2002 cash basis -4- difference I II 2003 current transfers net 1 200 € million 1 000 800 600 400 200 0 I II III IV I 2000 II III IV I 2001 II III IV 2002 transaction basis cash basis I II 2003 difference € million financial account 6 000 5 000 4 000 3 000 2 000 1 000 0 -1 000 -2 000 -3 000 I II III IV I 2000 II III IV I 2001 II III IV I 2002 transaction basis cash basis II 2003 difference foreign direct investment in Poland 7 000 € million 6 000 5 000 4 000 3 000 2 000 1 000 0 -1 000 I II III 2000 IV I II III IV I 2001 transaction basis II III IV 2002 cash basis -5- difference I II 2003 € million portfolio investment liabilities 3 500 3 000 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 500 0 -500 -1 000 -1 500 I II III IV I 2000 II III IV I 2001 II III IV I 2002 transaction basis cash basis II 2003 difference € million other investments liabilities 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 500 0 -500 -1 000 -1 500 -2 000 I II III 2000 IV I II III IV I 2001 transaction basis II III IV 2002 cash basis -6- difference I II 2003 Comparison of data sources in balance of payments on a cash basis and balance of payments on transaction basis. Balance of payments item Goods Balance of payments on a cash basis payments settled via Polish banking system Services payments settled via Polish banking system Income payments settled via Polish banking system Current transfers payments settled via Polish banking system payments settled via Polish banking system payments settled via Foreign direct investment abroad Polish banking system Capital account Balance of payments on a transaction basis customs statistics from SAD documents, shuttle trade estimates (goods not covered by custom statistics including reclassification of unclassified current account transactions) transport costs corrections payments settled via Polish banking system services settled via compensation of dues and obligations services settled by enterprises join in capital groups (netting) services settled through accounts held with banks abroad the Institute of Tourism estimates for travel services payments settled via Polish banking system interests on accounts held with banks abroad capitalised and delayed interests on loans payments settled via Polish banking system custom statistics transfers (taxes) paid through accounts at banks abroad reclassification of unclassified current account transactions payments settled via Polish banking system payments settled via Polish banking system survey on loans extended and received from Polish direct investors payments settled via payments settled via Polish banking system Foreign direct Polish banking system survey on loans extended and received from investment in Polish direct investment enterprises Poland payments settled via payments settled via Polish banking system Portfolio acquisition and disposal of securities settled investment – assets Polish banking system through accounts held with banks abroad adjustments based on the stock data payments settled via payments settled via Polish banking system Portfolio Polish banking system acquisition and disposal of securities settled investment – through accounts held with banks abroad liabilities adjustments based on the stock data Item does not exist in survey on trade credits extended and received Trade credits the balance of payments by Polish enterprises on a cash basis -7- Balance of payments item Loans Balance of payments on a cash basis payments settled via Polish banking system Currency and deposits payments settled via Polish banking system Other assets and liabilities Financial derivatives payments settled via Polish banking system payments settled via Polish banking system Reserve assets payments settled via Polish banking system Balance of payments on a transaction basis payments settled via Polish banking system survey on loans extended and received by Polish enterprises payments settled via Polish banking system transactions settled through accounts held with banks abroad payments settled via Polish banking system survey on capital and interests arrears payments settled via Polish banking system transactions settled through accounts held with banks abroad or netting payments settled via Polish banking system -8- Balance of payments on transaction basis 2000 I Quarter A. Current Account II Quarter 2001 III Quarter IV Quarter I Quarter II Quarter ECU/EUR mn 2003 2002 III Quarter IV Quarter I Quarter II Quarter III Quarter IV Quarter I Quarter II Quarter -2 907 -2 952 -2 039 -2 898 -1 492 -2 428 -522 -1 552 -1 797 -1 800 -684 -1 123 -1 616 -948 Balance on Goods Goods: exports f.o.b. Goods: imports f.o.b. -3 148 8 621 11 769 -3 751 9 168 12 919 -2 973 10 037 13 010 -3 455 11 196 14 651 -2 161 10 995 13 156 -2 455 11 490 13 945 -1 770 11 822 13 592 -2 171 12 230 14 401 -2 064 11 173 13 237 -2 123 12 449 14 572 -1 442 12 613 14 055 -2 072 13 103 15 175 -1 505 12 128 13 633 -1 109 13 010 14 119 Balance on Services Services: Credit Services: Debit 35 2 115 2 080 484 2 907 2 423 571 3 057 2 486 450 3 232 2 782 65 2 147 2 082 291 2 620 2 329 361 3 046 2 685 189 3 100 2 911 -61 2 103 2 164 224 2 581 2 357 204 2 767 2 563 486 3 092 2 606 -262 1 870 2 132 191 2 334 2 143 Balance on Income Income: Credit Income: Debit -283 532 815 -329 610 939 -293 573 866 -702 733 1 435 42 923 881 -977 696 1 673 -217 653 870 -425 651 1 076 -310 477 787 -695 446 1 141 -427 609 1 036 -560 521 1 081 -602 458 1 060 -849 477 1 326 489 637 148 644 805 161 656 829 173 809 1 010 201 562 790 228 713 932 219 1 104 1 330 226 855 1 127 272 638 886 248 794 1 018 224 981 1 219 238 1 023 1 268 245 753 984 231 819 1 064 245 -21 8 -6 58 -3 -5 4 88 -20 16 20 -23 -16 -9 12 33 23 15 14 20 72 14 4 7 11 16 11 7 99 11 4 24 22 6 22 2 1 24 27 43 3 12 2 701 1 819 1 887 4 955 2 845 1 441 735 -1 527 2 751 858 2 588 1 199 2 172 1 282 -10 1 918 -3 1 309 10 1 165 -15 5 942 52 1 246 18 1 017 25 842 2 3 267 35 1 253 6 893 -155 860 -114 1 365 -127 1 206 -29 774 3 -6 9 -112 -5 -107 45 -9 54 -34 -6 -28 260 1 259 -97 -59 -38 -97 0 -97 -24 -18 -6 -70 -23 -47 -448 -129 -319 -318 -115 -203 -372 -16 -356 7 121 -114 -120 145 -265 Portfolio investment liabilities Equity securities Debt securities 2 808 318 2 490 330 -74 404 622 193 429 -51 47 -98 2 298 -85 2 383 -993 -15 -978 69 48 21 -276 -287 11 1 737 -193 1 930 809 -182 991 858 -254 1 112 -288 41 -329 2 920 -13 2 933 -787 39 -826 Other investment assets Monetary authorities Central and local government MFI (excluding Central Bank) Other sectors -850 1 17 -657 -211 -529 0 -14 -160 -355 545 1 -42 547 39 -3 484 0 -17 -3 116 -351 -1 647 1 -23 -908 -717 72 0 -8 -17 97 -92 0 -5 40 -127 -2 828 0 -4 -2 881 57 -255 0 -11 339 -583 -152 0 -10 322 -464 1 996 0 -13 2 139 -130 289 0 -5 410 -116 -2 232 0 -5 -945 -1 282 765 0 -1 1 143 -377 Other investment liabilities Monetary authorities Central and local government MFI (excluding Central Bank) Other sectors -1 185 -1 183 -252 -269 519 649 -288 39 153 745 -94 -4 -71 -77 58 2 070 56 -15 -323 2 352 790 -67 -157 5 1 009 967 -113 -229 398 911 585 147 -177 91 524 -1 598 166 -2 839 -168 1 243 855 -113 -39 413 594 37 -285 -308 -198 828 -732 -32 -535 4 -169 329 -81 342 -735 803 605 336 -822 320 771 948 94 82 44 728 17 175 -406 527 -154 457 -597 -70 -804 -287 79 -10 -207 -269 -347 913 171 -539 -4 405 -81 1 553 -279 233 -789 -474 242 -191 -574 -212 13 1 576 1 346 -587 136 -1 438 655 -693 1 135 -421 782 134 574 212 -13 -1 576 -1 346 587 -136 1 438 -655 693 -1 135 421 -782 -134 Balance on Current Transfers Current transfers: Credit Current transfers: Debit B. Capital Account Capital account: Credit Capital account: Debit C. Financial Account Direct investment abroad Direct investment in Poland Portfolio investment assets Equity securities Debt securities Financial derivatives D. Net errors and omissions Overall Balance E. Official Reserve Assets -9-
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