Wellington CBD 1 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 TABLE OF CONTENTS ECONOMY How fast has Wellington CBD's economy grown? What is the industrial structure of Wellington CBD's economy? Which broad industries made the largest contribution to economic growth? Which detailed industries made the largest contribution to economic growth? In which industries does Wellington CBD have a comparative advantage? How diversified is Wellington CBD's economy? EMPLOYMENT How fast has employment grown in Wellington CBD? What is the industrial structure of employment in Wellington CBD? Which are the largest employing industries in Wellington CBD? Which industries have created the most jobs? PRODUCTIVITY What are the most productive industries in Wellington CBD BUSINESS GROWTH How fast did the number of business units grow in Wellington CBD? WORKFORCE AND SKILLS How do skill levels in Wellington CBD compare with New Zealand? What is the occupational structure of employment in Wellington CBD? Employment in knowledge intensive industries in Wellington CBD What are the top knowledge intensive industries in Wellington CBD? Which qualifications are in demand in Wellington CBD? TECHNICAL NOTES 2 2 3 7 8 10 12 13 13 15 16 18 21 23 24 24 26 26 27 29 30 31 33 2 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 ECONOMY The New Zealand economy grew by 3.6% over the year to March 2015. This rate of growth was the fastest in a decade, although there were signs by early 2015 that growth was starting to slow. The construction industry made the biggest contribution to growth, with value-added lifting by 10.9% in the March 2015 year. Growth was underpinned by rebuilding activity in Christchurch and increasing residential construction in Auckland, but many other regions also recorded a lift in activity. The agriculture, forestry, and fishing industry expanded by 8.1% despite a decline in forestry and logging activity. Agriculture’s growth partly reflected the tail end of the dairy price boom in 2013/14, although other areas of agriculture such as sheep and beef farming and horticulture also performed strongly. Many service-based industries recorded healthy growth in the March 2015 year, reflecting good business and consumer confidence conditions. The fastest growth was recorded by accommodation and food services (8.0%) and retail trade (5.1%), with activity in both industries also boosted by increased tourist numbers and spending. How fast has Wellington CBD's economy grown? This section measures economic performance in Wellington CBD during the year to March 2015 and previous years. All GDP estimates are measured in constant 2010 prices. GDP in Wellington CBD measured $14,112m in the year to March 2015, up 3.8% from a year earlier. New Zealand's GDP increased by 3.6% over the same period. Economic growth in Wellington CBD averaged 2.2%pa over the last 10 years compared with an average of 1.9%pa in the national economy. Growth in Wellington CBD reached a high of 6.0% in 2007 and a low of -0.8% in 2012. Wellington CBD accounted for 6.4% of national GDP in 2015. Figure 1: GDP growth (year to Mar 2015) 4% 3.8% 3.6% 3% 2% 1% 0% Wellington CBD New Zealand Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Figure 2: Annual average GDP growth (2000-2015) Wellington CBD New Zealand 7.5% 5% 2.5% 0% 2009 Wellington CBD 1.6% 4.0% 2.6% 0.3% 2.5% 1.7% 6.0% 5.2% New Zealand 3.5% 4.8% 4.6% 3.5% 3.4% 2.8% 2.5% 2.7% 20 15 2008 20 14 20 10 2007 20 13 20 09 2006 20 12 20 08 2005 20 06 2004 20 05 2003 20 04 2002 20 03 2001 Change 20 02 20 07 20 11 -2.5% 20 01 3 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% -0.8% 0.9% 3.5% 3.8% -1.6% -0.5% 1.4% 2.3% 2.3% 2.8% 3.6% Figure 3: GDP growth over various time periods Wellington CBD New Zealand 4% 3.8% 3.6% 3% 3.6% 3.2% 2.2% 2% 1.9% 2.2% 2.5% 1% 0% 2014-2015 2013-2015 2005-2015 2000-2015 What is the industrial structure of Wellington CBD's economy? This section describes the structure of the economy in terms of the broad sectors: primary, secondary, tertiary and quaternary. The primary sector makes direct use of natural resources. It extracts or harvests products from the earth. The secondary sector produces manufactured and other processed goods. The tertiary sector includes the lower value-adding service industries while the quaternary sector includes the higher value-adding, knowledge-based service industries. A full definition of the sectors is given in the technical appendix. 4 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Figure 4: Share of total GDP (2015) Wellington CBD Primary Secondary 0.8% 7.8% 7.8% Tertiary 19.1% 16.0% Quarternary New Zealand 28.3% 63.4% 31.3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Primary industries accounted for the smallest proportion in Wellington CBD: 0.8% compared with 7.8% in the national economy. Secondary industries accounted for 7.8% compared with 19.1% in the national economy. Tertiary industries accounted for 16.0% compared with 28.3% in the national economy. Quarternary industries accounted for the largest proportion of GDP (63.4%) in Wellington CBD, which is higher than in the national economy (31.3%). Table 1: GDP by 1-digit industry (2015) Wellington CBD Industry Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing Mining Manufacturing Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services Construction Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Accommodation and Food Services Transport, Postal and Warehousing Information Media and Telecommunications Financial and Insurance Services Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services Professional, Scientific and Technical Services Administrative and Support Services Public Administration and Safety Education and Training Health Care and Social Assistance Arts and Recreation Services Other Services Owner-Occupied Property Operation Unallocated Total New Zealand Level Share of total Level Share of total $7.01m $99.3m $484m 0.0% 0.7% 3.4% $13,391m $3,766m $22,360m 6.1% 1.7% 10.2% $568m $42.7m $242m $208m $210m $282m $1,321m $2,309m $456m $2,146m $322m $2,688m $205m $271m $297m $244m $674m $1,036m $14,112m 4.0% 0.3% 1.7% 1.5% 1.5% 2.0% 9.4% 16.4% 3.2% 15.2% 2.3% 19.0% 1.5% 1.9% 2.1% 1.7% 4.8% 7.3% 100% $6,436m $13,239m $11,551m $10,056m $4,503m $8,993m $6,891m $12,887m $15,641m $16,858m $4,503m $9,410m $9,338m $13,433m $3,065m $3,884m $13,200m $16,124m $219,529m 2.9% 6.0% 5.3% 4.6% 2.1% 4.1% 3.1% 5.9% 7.1% 7.7% 2.1% 4.3% 4.3% 6.1% 1.4% 1.8% 6.0% 7.3% 100% 5 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Among broad industries Public Administration and Safety was the largest in Wellington CBD in 2015 accounting for 19.0% of total. The second largest was Financial and Insurance Services (16.4%) followed by Professional, Scientific and Technical Services (15.2%) Figure 5: Share of total GDP (2015) 17.2% Public Administration and Saf ety Financial and Insurance Serv ices Prof essional, Scientif ic and Technical Serv ices Inf ormation Media and Telecommunications Unallocated Owner-Occupied Property Operation Electricity , Gas, Water and Waste Serv ices Manuf acturing Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Serv ices All others 19% 4% 16.4% 4.8% 7.3% 9.4% 15.2% The table on the following page shows 54 industries ranked according to their contribution to GDP. These industry categories are used by Statistics New Zealand in the national accounts. They are a mix of various levels of industries on the ANZSIC-06 classification. Further information about the industrial classification is given in the Technical Notes at the end of the document. Among detailed industries Central Gov Admin, Defence & Safety was the largest in Wellington CBD in 2015 accounting for 18.6% of total. The second largest was Professional, Scientific & Tech Services (15.2%) followed by Finance (11.9%) 6 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Table 2: GDP by 54 industries (2015) Wellington CBD Industry Horticulture & Fruit Growing Sheep, Beef Cattle & Grain Farming Dairy Cattle Farming Poultry, Deer & Other Livestock Farming Forestry & Logging Fishing & Aquaculture Agric Support Services & Hunting Mining Meat & Meat Product Manufacturing Seafood Processing Dairy Product Manufacturing Fruit, Cereal & Other Food Product Manu Beverage & Tobacco Product Manu Textile, Leather, Clothing, Footwear Manu Wood Product Manufacturing Pulp & Paper Product Manufacturing Printing Petroleum & Coal Product Manufacturing Basic Chemical & Chemical Product Manu Polymer Product & Rubber Product Manu Non-Metallic Mineral Product Manu Primary Metal & Metal Product Manu Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing Transport Equipment Manufacturing Machinery & Other Equipment Manu Furniture & Other Manufacturing Electricity & Gas Supply Water, Sewerage & Waste Services Building Construction Heavy & Civil Engineering Construction Construction Services Wholesale Trade Motor Vehicle, Parts & Fuel Retailing Supermarket & Specialised Food Retailing Other Store & Non Store Retailing Accommodation & Food Services Road Transport Rail, Water, Air & Other Transport Postal, Courier & Warehousing Services Information Media Services Telecomms, Internet & Library Services Finance Insurance & Superannuation Funds Auxiliary Finance & Insurance Services Rental & Hiring Services Property Operators & Real Estate Services Professional, Scientific & Tech Services Administrative & Support Services Local Government Administration Central Gov Admin, Defence & Safety Education & Training Health Care & Social Assistance Arts & Recreation Services Other Services Owner-Occupied Property Operation Unallocated Total Level $0.00m $0.00m $0.00m $0.00m $0.00m $6.55m $0.46m $99.3m $0.00m $0.00m $0.24m $36.4m $11.0m $3.80m $5.00m $0.00m $31.4m $359m $7.41m $1.14m $1.65m $0.86m $0.46m $12.9m $5.56m $6.91m $568m $0.00m $16.1m $2.38m $24.2m $242m $15.5m $49.9m $142m $210m $12.1m $140m $130m $265m $1,056m $1,675m $395m $239m $36.5m $420m $2,146m $322m $69.3m $2,619m $205m $271m $297m $244m $674m $1,036m $14,112m Share of total 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 4.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 1.7% 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 1.5% 0.1% 1.0% 0.9% 1.9% 7.5% 11.9% 2.8% 1.7% 0.3% 3.0% 15.2% 2.3% 0.5% 18.6% 1.5% 1.9% 2.1% 1.7% 4.8% 7.3% 100% New Zealand Level $1,199m $2,901m $5,756m $334m $1,430m $316m $1,455m $3,766m $1,767m $415m $1,228m $1,991m $1,924m $611m $1,341m $689m $649m $1,079m $1,285m $1,299m $1,068m $621m $1,885m $1,071m $2,804m $632m $5,390m $1,046m $2,656m $3,926m $6,657m $11,551m $1,438m $2,909m $5,709m $4,503m $3,087m $1,888m $4,018m $1,925m $4,966m $8,480m $2,441m $1,966m $2,531m $13,110m $16,858m $4,503m $1,121m $8,289m $9,338m $13,433m $3,065m $3,884m $13,200m $16,124m $219,529m Share of total 0.5% 1.3% 2.6% 0.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.9% 0.5% 1.3% 0.3% 2.5% 0.5% 1.2% 1.8% 3.0% 5.3% 0.7% 1.3% 2.6% 2.1% 1.4% 0.9% 1.8% 0.9% 2.3% 3.9% 1.1% 0.9% 1.2% 6.0% 7.7% 2.1% 0.5% 3.8% 4.3% 6.1% 1.4% 1.8% 6.0% 7.3% 100% 7 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Which broad industries made the largest contribution to economic growth? Although an industry may be growing rapidly, if it is small relative to a region's total economy its contribution to overall GDP growth may also be small. This section therefore investigates which broad industries made the largest contribution to the overall growth of Wellington CBD's economy taking into account their relative sizes. Financial and Insurance Services made the largest contribution to overall growth in Wellington CBD between 2014 and 2015. The industry grew by 6.2% over the year and contributed 0.99 percentage points to the district's total growth of 3.8%. The next largest contributor was public administration and safety (0.80 percentage points) followed by electricity, gas, water and waste services (0.70 percentage points). The largest detractor from growth over the year was Manufacturing which declined by 4.2% and contributed -0.15 percentage points to the total growth of 3.8%. Transport, Postal and Warehousing (0.13 percentage points) was the next largest detractor. Table 3: 1-digit industries ranked by % point contribution to GDP growth 2014 2015 % point contribution to growth Annual Growth Financial and Insurance Services Public Administration and Safety Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services 2,174.6 2,579.8 473.1 2,308.9 2,688.3 568.2 1.0% 0.8% 0.7% 6.2% 4.2% 20.1% Professional, Scientific and Technical Services Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services Mining Administrative and Support Services 2,092.2 426.6 70.2 298.9 2,145.8 456.3 99.3 321.7 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 2.6% 7.0% 41.6% 7.6% Health Care and Social Assistance Accommodation and Food Services Information Media and Telecommunications Construction 249.6 190.9 1,318.5 41.3 271.5 210.2 1,320.6 42.7 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 10.1% 0.2% 3.2% Education and Training Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing Retail Trade Arts and Recreation Services Other Services Wholesale Trade Transport, Postal and Warehousing Manufacturing Owner-Occupied Property Operation Unallocated Total 204.7 7.3 208.0 297.2 247.0 248.7 300.3 504.7 670.6 996.5 13,601 205.4 7.0 207.7 296.8 244.5 241.5 282.0 483.7 673.5 1,036.4 14,112 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.1% -0.1% -0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 3.8% 0.3% -3.4% -0.2% -0.2% -1.0% -2.9% -6.1% -4.2% 0.4% 4.0% 3.8% Industry 8 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Which detailed industries made the largest contribution to economic growth? The following table shows a ranking of the detailed industries by their contribution to economic growth over the past year. Finance made the largest contribution to overall growth in Wellington CBD between 2014 and 2015. The industry grew by 9.4% over the year and contributed 1.05 percentage points to the district's total growth of 3.8%. The next largest contributor was central gov admin, defence & safety (0.78 percentage points) followed by electricity & gas supply (0.70 percentage points). The largest detractor from growth over the year was Petroleum & Coal Product Manufacturing which declined by 7.1% and contributed -0.20 percentage points to the total growth of 3.8%. Rail, Water, Air & Other Transport (-0.06 percentage points) was the next largest detractor. 9 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Table 4: 54 industries ranked by percentage point contribution to growth Industry Finance Central Gov Admin, Defence & Safety Electricity & Gas Supply Professional, Scientific & Tech Services Property Operators & Real Estate Services Mining Administrative & Support Services Health Care & Social Assistance Accommodation & Food Services Information Media Services Beverage & Tobacco Product Manu Transport Equipment Manufacturing Supermarket & Specialised Food Retailing Local Government Administration Printing Education & Training Heavy & Civil Engineering Construction Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing Motor Vehicle, Parts & Fuel Retailing Construction Services Fishing & Aquaculture Building Construction Primary Metal & Metal Product Manu Fruit, Cereal & Other Food Product Manu Non-Metallic Mineral Product Manu Polymer Product & Rubber Product Manu Textile, Leather, Clothing, Footwear Manu Wood Product Manufacturing Horticulture & Fruit Growing Sheep, Beef Cattle & Grain Farming Dairy Cattle Farming Poultry, Deer & Other Livestock Farming Forestry & Logging Meat & Meat Product Manufacturing Seafood Processing Pulp & Paper Product Manufacturing Dairy Product Manufacturing Machinery & Other Equipment Manu Arts & Recreation Services Basic Chemical & Chemical Product Manu Agric Support Services & Hunting Water, Sewerage & Waste Services Other Services Auxiliary Finance & Insurance Services Furniture & Other Manufacturing Other Store & Non Store Retailing Rental & Hiring Services Postal, Courier & Warehousing Services Road Transport Telecomms, Internet & Library Services Insurance & Superannuation Funds Wholesale Trade Rail, Water, Air & Other Transport Petroleum & Coal Product Manufacturing Owner-Occupied Property Operation Unallocated Total 2014 2015 1,531.3 2,512.3 472.4 2,092.2 386.8 70.2 298.9 249.6 190.9 256.4 6.8 9.6 47.4 67.5 29.8 204.7 1.7 0.0 15.0 23.8 6.2 15.8 0.6 36.2 1.5 1.1 3.7 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.8 297.2 7.9 1.0 0.7 247.0 241.5 10.0 145.5 39.8 134.4 18.4 1,062.1 401.8 248.7 147.5 386.5 670.6 996.5 13,601 1,674.8 2,618.9 568.2 2,145.8 419.8 99.3 321.7 271.5 210.2 264.8 11.0 12.9 49.9 69.3 31.4 205.4 2.4 0.5 15.5 24.2 6.5 16.1 0.9 36.4 1.6 1.1 3.8 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.6 296.8 7.4 0.5 0.0 244.5 238.9 6.9 142.4 36.5 129.9 12.1 1,055.8 395.2 241.5 140.0 359.0 673.5 1,036.4 14,112 % point contribution to Annual Growth growth 1.1% 9.4% 0.8% 4.2% 0.7% 20.3% 0.4% 2.6% 0.2% 8.5% 0.2% 41.6% 0.2% 7.6% 0.2% 8.8% 0.1% 10.1% 0.1% 3.3% 0.0% 60.8% 0.0% 33.9% 0.0% 5.1% 0.0% 2.7% 0.0% 5.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 39.7% 0.0% 0.0% 2.8% 0.0% 1.6% 0.0% 5.5% 0.0% 1.7% 0.0% 43.5% 0.0% 0.6% 0.0% 6.5% 0.0% 7.0% 0.0% 1.7% 0.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.5% 0.0% -3.3% 0.0% -0.2% 0.0% -6.2% 0.0% -56.3% 0.0% -100.0% 0.0% -1.0% 0.0% -1.1% 0.0% -31.0% 0.0% -2.2% 0.0% -8.3% 0.0% -3.3% 0.0% -33.9% 0.0% -0.6% 0.0% -1.6% -0.1% -2.9% -0.1% -5.1% -0.2% -7.1% 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% 4.0% 3.8% 3.8% 10 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 In which industries does Wellington CBD have a comparative advantage? A high concentration of certain industries in a region may be indicative of that region having a comparative advantage in those industries. This may be due to its natural endowments, location, skills of its labour force or other reasons. The location quotient indicates in which industries a region has comparative advantage. A region has a location quotient larger (smaller) than one when the share of that industry in the regional economy is greater (less) than the share of the same industry in the national economy. The following table shows a ranking of 54 industries by their location quotients. The industries in which Wellington CBD has the largest comparative advantages are Petroleum & Coal Product Manufacturing (location quotient = 5.2), Central Gov Admin, Defence & Safety (4.9), and Telecomms, Internet & Library Services (3.3). 11 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Table 5: Location Quotient 2015 Industry Petroleum & Coal Product Manufacturing Central Gov Admin, Defence & Safety Telecomms, Internet & Library Services Finance Insurance & Superannuation Funds Information Media Services Professional, Scientific & Tech Services Auxiliary Finance & Insurance Services Electricity & Gas Supply Arts & Recreation Services Rail, Water, Air & Other Transport Administrative & Support Services Other Services Local Government Administration Printing Accommodation & Food Services Postal, Courier & Warehousing Services Property Operators & Real Estate Services Mining Other Store & Non Store Retailing Education & Training Wholesale Trade Fishing & Aquaculture Health Care & Social Assistance Fruit, Cereal & Other Food Product Manu Supermarket & Specialised Food Retailing Rental & Hiring Services Transport Equipment Manufacturing Furniture & Other Manufacturing Motor Vehicle, Parts & Fuel Retailing Textile, Leather, Clothing, Footwear Manu Building Construction Basic Chemical & Chemical Product Manu Beverage & Tobacco Product Manu Road Transport Wood Product Manufacturing Construction Services Machinery & Other Equipment Manu Non-Metallic Mineral Product Manu Primary Metal & Metal Product Manu Polymer Product & Rubber Product Manu Heavy & Civil Engineering Construction Agric Support Services & Hunting Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing Dairy Product Manufacturing Horticulture & Fruit Growing Sheep, Beef Cattle & Grain Farming Dairy Cattle Farming Poultry, Deer & Other Livestock Farming Forestry & Logging Meat & Meat Product Manufacturing Seafood Processing Pulp & Paper Product Manufacturing Water, Sewerage & Waste Services Wellington CBD Location Quotient 5.2 4.9 3.3 3.1 2.5 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Share of total GDP 2.5% 18.6% 7.5% 11.9% 2.8% 1.9% 15.2% 1.7% 4.0% 2.1% 1.0% 2.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2% 1.5% 0.9% 3.0% 0.7% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 0.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% New Zealand Share of total GDP 0.5% 3.8% 2.3% 3.9% 1.1% 0.9% 7.7% 0.9% 2.5% 1.4% 0.9% 2.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.3% 2.1% 1.8% 6.0% 1.7% 2.6% 4.3% 5.3% 0.1% 6.1% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 0.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.9% 1.4% 0.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 1.3% 2.6% 0.2% 0.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 How diversified is Wellington CBD's economy? The more concentrated a region's economy is in a few industries the more vulnerable it is to adverse events such as climatic conditions and commodity price fluctuations. This section presents the HerfindahlHirschman Index (HHI) which measures the level of diversification of Wellington CBD's economy. An index of 0 represents a diversified economy with economic activity evenly spread across all industries. The higher the index the more concentrated economic activity is in a few industries. The HHI Index for New Zealand is measured as the average HHI across all 66 territorial authorities. Wellington CBD had a standardised HHI of 92.7 in 2015. Since 2000 Wellington CBD's HHI has increased from 68.3 indicating a decrease in industrial diversity. During the same period New Zealand's economy has become more diversified with the HHI decreasing from 60.5 to 56.1. Figure 6: HHI Index in Wellington CBD and New Zealand (2000 - 2015) Wellington CBD New Zealand 100 80 60 20 15 20 14 20 13 20 12 20 11 20 10 20 09 20 08 20 07 20 06 20 05 20 04 20 03 20 02 20 01 40 20 00 12 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Wellington CBD 68.3 New Zealand 60.5 67.6 61.4 65.4 57.8 66.3 57.0 64.9 57.1 67.6 55.4 73.0 55.6 76.6 53.4 77.5 50.9 85.8 55.5 85.0 58.3 85.1 56.5 83.3 57.5 88.8 56.7 91.9 57.2 92.7 56.1 13 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 EMPLOYMENT How fast has employment grown in Wellington CBD? Employment growth provides new opportunities for the region's population to earn income and contribute to the region's economy. This section contrasts Wellington CBD's recent performance in creating jobs with other regions in the country. Figure 7: Employment growth (year to Mar 2015) 3% 2.4% 2% 2.1% 1% 0% Wellington CBD New Zealand Total employment in Wellington CBD averaged 107,223 in the year to March 2015, up 2.1% from a year earlier. Employment in New Zealand increased by 2.4% over the same period. Employment growth in Wellington CBD averaged 1.5%pa over the last 10 years compared with 1.1%pa in the national economy. Employment growth in Wellington CBD reached a high of 4.1% in 2005 and a low of -1.7% in 2011. Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Figure 8: Annual average employment growth Wellington CBD New Zealand 5% 2.5% 0% -2.5% 20 13 20 12 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Wellington CBD 1.0% 2.5% 1.2% -1.0% 4.1% 3.1% 2.1% 3.7% 1.1% -0.5% -1.7% 1.5% 1.3% 2.5% 2.1% New Zealand 3.0% 2.6% 3.5% 3.4% 2.3% 2.2% 2.0% 0.6% -2.4% 0.4% 1.1% 1.1% 1.7% 2.4% 2.3% 20 06 20 15 2007 20 14 20 10 2006 20 08 2005 20 07 2004 20 05 2003 20 04 2002 20 03 2001 Change 20 02 20 09 20 11 -5% 20 01 14 Figure 9: Employment growth over various time periods Wellington CBD New Zealand 3% 2% 2.1% 2.4% 2.3% 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.7% 1.1% 1% 0% 2014-2015 2013-2015 2005-2015 2000-2015 15 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 What is the industrial structure of employment in Wellington CBD? This section describes the structure of the labour market in terms of the primary, secondary, tertiary and quaternary categories and the industries that fall within these categories. The primary sector makes direct use of natural resources. It extracts or harvests products from the earth. The secondary sector produces manufactured and other processed goods. The tertiary sector produces manufactured and other processed goods. The tertiary sector includes the lower value-adding service industries while the quaternary sector includes the higher value-adding, knowledge-based service industries. A list of industries making up the quaternary sector is given in the technical appendix. Figure 10: Employment by broad sector (2015) Wellington CBD Primary Secondary 0.3% 6.5% 2.6% New Zealand 19.1% 29.7% Tertiary Quarternary 37.7% 67.4% 36.7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Primary accounted for 0.3% in Wellington CBD compared with 6.5% in New Zealand. Secondary accounted for 2.6% in Wellington CBD compared with 19.1% in New Zealand. Tertiary accounted for 29.7% in Wellington CBD compared with 37.7% in New Zealand. Quarternary industries accounted for the largest proportion of employment (67.4%) in Wellington CBD, which is higher than in New Zealand (36.7%). 16 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Which are the largest employing industries in Wellington CBD? This section identifies the broad industries that make the largest contribution to employment in Wellington CBD. Table 6: 1-digit industries ranked by size of employment (2015) Wellington CBD Industry New Zealand Level Share of total Level Share of total 51.8 0.0% 142,316.8 6.2% Mining Manufacturing 304.9 1,217.2 0.3% 1.1% 6,038.8 226,233.8 0.3% 9.9% Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services Construction Wholesale Trade 733.8 807.7 2,251.3 0.7% 0.8% 2.1% 14,639.8 196,429.3 116,251.8 0.6% 8.6% 5.1% Retail Trade Accommodation and Food Services 4,694.4 6,785.5 4.4% 6.3% 211,917.8 144,228.3 9.3% 6.3% Transport, Postal and Warehousing 2,669.0 2.5% 95,694.0 4.2% Information Media and Telecommunications 5,926.2 5.5% 41,521.3 1.8% Financial and Insurance Services Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services 10,024.2 1,336.9 9.3% 1.2% 63,154.3 53,429.5 2.8% 2.3% Professional, Scientific and Technical Services Administrative and Support Services Public Administration and Safety 24,489.8 7,037.0 23,591.7 22.8% 6.6% 22.0% 215,311.5 111,813.8 109,860.3 9.4% 4.9% 4.8% 4,161.9 4,045.8 3,007.4 4,086.3 3.9% 3.8% 2.8% 3.8% 181,387.5 227,549.3 42,518.8 86,670.8 7.9% 9.9% 1.9% 3.8% 107,222.9 100% 2,286,966.8 100% Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing Education and Training Health Care and Social Assistance Arts and Recreation Services Other Services Total Among broad industries Professional, Scientific and Technical Services was the largest in Wellington CBD in 2015 accounting for 22.8% of total. The second largest was Public Administration and Safety (22.0%) followed by Financial and Insurance Services (9.3%) The table on the following page shows the 50 detailed industries among the approximately 500 7-digit ANZSIC industry categories which employ the highest number of people in Wellington CBD. Professional, Scientific and Technical Services was the largest 7-digit industry in Wellington CBD in 2015 employing 24,490 persons and accounting for 22.8% of total employment in the district. By contrast this industry accounted for 9.4% of total employment in New Zealand. The second largest employing industries were public administration and safety (23,592) followed by financial and insurance services (10,024). 17 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Table 7: 50 largest employing 7-digit ANZSIC industries (2015) Wellington CBD Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 Industry Scientific Research Services Central Government Administration Employment Placement and Recruitment Services Accommodation Central Banking Preschool Education Automotive Electrical Services Hospitals (except Psychiatric Hospitals) Wired Telecommunications Network Operation Furniture Retailing Museum Operation Newspaper Publishing Wool Wholesaling Financial Asset Broking Services Life Insurance Rail Freight Transport Supermarket and Grocery Stores Residential Property Operators Postal Services State Government Administration Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation Land Development and Subdivision House Construction Fruit and Vegetable Processing Printing Coal Mining Car Retailing Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuels Manufacturing Passenger Car Rental and Hiring Road Freight Transport Motor Vehicle Manufacturing Wooden Furniture and Upholstered Seat Manufacturing Wool Scouring Log Sawmilling Longline and Rack (Offshore) Aquaculture Photographic, Optical and Ophthalmic Equipment Manufacturing Industrial Gases Manufacturing Soft Drink, Cordial and Syrup Manufacturing Road and Bridge Construction Hunting and Trapping Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing Polymer Film and Sheet Packaging Material Manufacturing Iron Smelting and Steel Manufacturing Iron and Steel Forging Milk and Cream Processing Nursery Production (Under Cover) Nursery Production (Outdoors) Turf Growing Floriculture Production (Under Cover) Floriculture Production (Outdoors) All other industries total Total Jobs 24,490 22,647 7,037 6,785 6,431 4,162 4,086 4,046 3,239 3,179 3,007 2,688 2,251 1,930 1,663 1,359 1,224 1,161 1,148 945 734 439 347 331 319 305 291 178 176 162 106 74 48 42 42 40 29 25 22 10 9 7 4 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 107,223 % of total 22.8% 21.1% 6.6% 6.3% 6.0% 3.9% 3.8% 3.8% 3.0% 3.0% 2.8% 2.5% 2.1% 1.8% 1.6% 1.3% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100% New Zealand % of total 0.4% 1.3% 0.5% 1.3% 0.0% 1.1% 0.1% 2.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 2.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 1.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 82.5% 100% 18 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Which industries have created the most jobs? The section investigates which industries have created and lost the most number of jobs in Wellington CBD. The employment numbers differ from those published in Business Demography by Statistics New Zealand. The reasons for these differences are explained in the technical appendix. Table 8: 1-digit industries ranked by number of jobs created Change Annual Growth 23,592 785 3.4% 7,037 24,490 466 427 7.1% 1.8% 6,422 9,667 6,785 10,024 364 357 5.7% 3.7% 3,762 4,046 284 7.6% 593 238 734 305 141 67 23.7% 28.1% Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services Education and Training 1,273 4,108 1,337 4,162 64 54 5.0% 1.3% Manufacturing Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing 1,206 61 1,217 52 11 -9 0.9% -15.0% Construction Arts and Recreation Services 828 3,040 808 3,007 -20 -33 -2.4% -1.1% Other Services Wholesale Trade 4,120 2,335 4,086 2,251 -34 -83 -0.8% -3.6% 4,841 2,860 6,218 105,012 4,694 2,669 5,926 107,223 -146 -191 -291 2,211 -3.0% -6.7% -4.7% 2.1% Industry 2014 2015 Public Administration and Safety 22,806 Administrative and Support Services Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 6,572 24,063 Accommodation and Food Services Financial and Insurance Services Health Care and Social Assistance Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services Mining Retail Trade Transport, Postal and Warehousing Information Media and Telecommunications Total Public Administration and Safety made the largest contribution to employment growth in Wellington CBD between 2014 and 2015 with the industry adding 785 jobs. The next largest contributor was Administrative and Support Services (466 jobs) followed by Professional, Scientific and Technical Services (427 jobs). The largest detractor from growth over the year was Information Media and Telecommunications in which employment declined by 291. The table on the next page shows the 50 industries (out of a total of approximately 500 industries of the ANZSIC 2006 industry classification1) that created the most number of jobs over the past year. Table 15 shows the 50 detailed industries that made the lowest contribution to job creation over the same period. Central Government Administration was the largest creator of jobs in Wellington CBD between 2014 and 2015 generating an additional 792 positions. This was followed by Central Banking, which added 469 jobs over the same period. Wired Telecommunications Network Operation was the largest detractor of jobs in Wellington CBD between 2014 and 2015 losting 199 positions. This was followed by Furniture Retailing, which lost 168 jobs over the same period. 19 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Table 9: The 50 seven-digit industries that created the most jobs between 2014 and 2015 Jobs Rank Industry 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 Central Government Administration Central Banking Employment Placement and Recruitment Services Scientific Research Services Accommodation Hospitals (except Psychiatric Hospitals) Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation Residential Property Operators Coal Mining Preschool Education Motor Vehicle Manufacturing Supermarket and Grocery Stores Printing Fruit and Vegetable Processing Soft Drink, Cordial and Syrup Manufacturing Road and Bridge Construction Longline and Rack (Offshore) Aquaculture Iron and Steel Forging Wool Scouring Iron Smelting and Steel Manufacturing Polymer Film and Sheet Packaging Material Manufacturing Milk and Cream Processing Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing Log Sawmilling Car Retailing Industrial Gases Manufacturing Photographic, Optical and Ophthalmic Equipment Manufacturing State Government Administration House Construction Hunting and Trapping Land Development and Subdivision Passenger Car Rental and Hiring Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuels Manufacturing Museum Operation Automotive Electrical Services Wooden Furniture and Upholstered Seat Manufacturing Postal Services Financial Asset Broking Services Life Insurance Rail Freight Transport Road Freight Transport Wool Wholesaling Newspaper Publishing Furniture Retailing Wired Telecommunications Network Operation All other industries Total 2014 2015 21,854 5,962 6,572 24,063 6,422 3,762 590 1,080 238 4,108 79 1,201 304 319 14 16 37 0 47 3 6 1 9 42 292 31 42 952 358 24 453 193 202 3,040 4,120 108 1,182 1,985 1,720 1,434 244 2,335 2,780 3,348 3,438 3 105,012 22,647 6,431 7,037 24,490 6,785 4,046 734 1,161 305 4,162 106 1,224 319 331 25 22 42 4 48 4 7 2 9 42 291 29 40 945 347 10 439 176 178 3,007 4,086 74 1,148 1,930 1,663 1,359 162 2,251 2,688 3,179 3,239 0 107,223 Change 2014 2015 792 469 466 427 364 284 144 81 67 54 27 22 16 13 10 5 5 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -2 -7 -11 -14 -14 -18 -24 -33 -34 -34 -34 -55 -57 -75 -82 -83 -92 -168 -199 -3 2,211 % of total 2015 21.1% 6.0% 6.6% 22.8% 6.3% 3.8% 0.7% 1.1% 0.3% 3.9% 0.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 2.8% 3.8% 0.1% 1.1% 1.8% 1.6% 1.3% 0.2% 2.1% 2.5% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 100% 20 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Table 10: The 50 seven-digit industries that lost the most jobs between 2014 and 2015 Jobs Rank Industry 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 Wired Telecommunications Network Operation Furniture Retailing Newspaper Publishing Wool Wholesaling Road Freight Transport Rail Freight Transport Life Insurance Financial Asset Broking Services Postal Services Wooden Furniture and Upholstered Seat Manufacturing Automotive Electrical Services Museum Operation Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuels Manufacturing Passenger Car Rental and Hiring Land Development and Subdivision Hunting and Trapping House Construction State Government Administration Photographic, Optical and Ophthalmic Equipment Manufacturing Industrial Gases Manufacturing Car Retailing Log Sawmilling Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing Milk and Cream Processing Polymer Film and Sheet Packaging Material Manufacturing Iron Smelting and Steel Manufacturing Wool Scouring Iron and Steel Forging Longline and Rack (Offshore) Aquaculture Road and Bridge Construction Soft Drink, Cordial and Syrup Manufacturing Fruit and Vegetable Processing Printing Supermarket and Grocery Stores Motor Vehicle Manufacturing Preschool Education Coal Mining Residential Property Operators Fossil Fuel Electricity Generation Hospitals (except Psychiatric Hospitals) Accommodation Scientific Research Services Employment Placement and Recruitment Services Central Banking Central Government Administration All other industries Total 2014 2015 3,438 3,348 2,780 2,335 244 1,434 1,720 1,985 1,182 108 4,120 3,040 202 193 453 24 358 952 42 31 292 42 9 1 6 3 47 0 37 16 14 319 304 1,201 79 4,108 238 1,080 590 3,762 6,422 24,063 6,572 5,962 21,854 3 105,012 3,239 3,179 2,688 2,251 162 1,359 1,663 1,930 1,148 74 4,086 3,007 178 176 439 10 347 945 40 29 291 42 9 2 7 4 48 4 42 22 25 331 319 1,224 106 4,162 305 1,161 734 4,046 6,785 24,490 7,037 6,431 22,647 0 107,223 Change 2014 2015 -199 -168 -92 -83 -82 -75 -57 -55 -34 -34 -34 -33 -24 -18 -14 -14 -11 -7 -2 -2 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 5 5 10 13 16 22 27 54 67 81 144 284 364 427 466 469 792 -3 2,211 % of total 2015 3.0% 3.0% 2.5% 2.1% 0.2% 1.3% 1.6% 1.8% 1.1% 0.1% 3.8% 2.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 1.1% 0.1% 3.9% 0.3% 1.1% 0.7% 3.8% 6.3% 22.8% 6.6% 6.0% 21.1% 0.0% 100% 21 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 PRODUCTIVITY Productivity is a way of describing the efficiency of production. In this section, we investigate GDP per employee to determine how much economic activity is generated on average by each employee. When looking at this indicator, one needs to consider that labour is only one input into production. As a result, a comparison of a region's labour productivity growth to its own history or to other districts, implicitly assumes that each worker has the same access to machinery, technology, and land. This section describes Wellington CBD's productivity level during the year to March 2015 and previous years. Productivity is measured by GDP per employee (in constant 2010 prices). Figure 11: Productivity 2015 150k $131,612 100k $95,991 50k 0k Wellington CBD New Zealand GDP per employee in Wellington CBD measured $131,612 in the year to March 2015, which was 37% higher than in New Zealand. Productivity in Wellington CBD increased by 1.6% from a year earlier compared with an increase of 1.2% in New Zealand). Productivity growth in Wellington CBD averaged 0.7%pa over the last ten years compared with an average of 0.8%pa in New Zealand. Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Figure 12: Productivity growth Wellington CBD New Zealand 5% 2.5% 0% -2.5% 1.2% -1.5% -1.3% 3.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2% 1.1% 0.6% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1.5% 0.2% 1.3% 2.0% -2.3% -0.4% 1.0% 1.6% 0.5% -2.2% 1.9% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 1.2% 20 15 1.4% 0.5% 0.4% 2008 20 14 1.5% New Zealand 20 13 Wellington CBD 0.5% 20 12 2007 20 11 2006 20 10 2005 20 09 20 08 2004 20 07 20 06 2003 20 04 2002 20 03 2001 Change 20 02 20 05 -5% 20 01 22 23 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 What are the most productive industries in Wellington CBD This section ranks industries according to their level of GDP per employee in Wellington CBD. The level of GDP per employee may differ between industries because of the skill levels of workers and their inherent efficiency, as well as due to different amounts of machinery, technology, and land being used as production inputs. Table 17 below ranks broad industries by GDP per employee in Wellington CBD and shows the corresponding GDP per employee in the national economy. Since the capital intensity of industries is often a significant explainer of productivity we also show the capital intensity of each industry in the table. Capital intensity is measured as the share of GDP which is attributable to capital. Industries with a high proportion are thus highly capital intensive. Table 11: 1-digit industries ranked by productivity (2015) Productivity Industry Capital intensity Wellington CBD New Zealand New Zealand Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services 774,307 439,625 0.81 Manufacturing Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services 397,375 341,295 98,836 292,741 0.38 0.83 Mining Financial and Insurance Services 325,828 230,333 623,639 204,056 0.81 0.48 Information Media and Telecommunications Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing Public Administration and Safety Wholesale Trade Transport, Postal and Warehousing 222,840 135,200 113,950 107,283 105,657 165,963 94,093 85,654 99,362 93,977 0.56 0.58 0.18 0.38 0.42 Arts and Recreation Services Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 98,680 87,620 72,086 78,296 0.45 0.20 Health Care and Social Assistance Other Services Construction Education and Training Administrative and Support Services 67,102 59,831 52,825 49,343 45,709 59,033 44,813 67,398 51,481 40,272 0.12 0.26 0.22 0.24 0.18 Retail Trade Accommodation and Food Services 44,243 30,980 47,452 31,221 0.26 0.33 131,612 95,991 Total 24 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 BUSINESS GROWTH How fast did the number of business units grow in Wellington CBD? Growth in the number of business units is an indicator of entrepreneurial activity. It indicates an environment in which entrepreneurs are prepared to take risks to start new ventures. This section contrasts Wellington CBD's recent performance in business unit growth with other regions in the country. Figure 13: Business unit growth (year to Mar 2015) 2% 1.8% 1% 0% -0.8% -1% Wellington CBD New Zealand A total of 8,641 business units were recorded in Wellington CBD in 2015, down 0.8% from a year earlier. The number of business units in New Zealand increased by 1.8% over the same period. Growth in the number of business units in Wellington CBD averaged -0.3%pa over the past 10 years compared with 1.2%pa in the national economy. Business unit growth in Wellington CBD varied from a high of 1.9% in 2006 to a low of -2.8% in 2001. Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Figure 14: Annual average business unit growth Wellington CBD New Zealand 10% 5% 0% 2015 -0.6% 1.2% 1.4% 1.4% 1.9% -0.7% 1.7% -0.4% -2.1% -1.4% -1.0% -0.7% 0.6% -0.8% 1.4% 3.6% 6.8% 4.6% 3.4% 2.1% 2.1% 0.6% -1.4% -0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 3.3% 1.8% 20 15 2013 2014 20 09 2012 20 08 2011 20 07 2010 20 06 2009 20 05 2007 2008 20 04 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 20 03 20 14 -0.5% 20 13 New Zealand 20 12 Wellington CBD -2.8% 20 11 2001 20 10 Change 20 02 -5% 20 01 25 26 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 WORKFORCE AND SKILLS How do skill levels in Wellington CBD compare with New Zealand? A region that can offer high skilled jobs can generally offer a higher standard of living to its residents. It is also has a better chance of retaining its residents and attracting new skills. This section contrasts the skill levels required by jobs in Wellington CBD with those required in the national economy. The broad skill categories used are defined in the technical section at the end of the report. Table 12: Employment by broad skill level 2015 Wellington CBD Skill level New Zealand Jobs % of total Jobs % of total High 52,796 49.2% 867,660 37.9% MediumHigh Medium 12,787 8,705 11.9% 8.1% 249,854 288,208 10.9% 12.6% 31,989 107,223 29.8% 100% 881,245 2,286,967 38.5% 100% Low Total Approximately 49% of Wellington CBD's workforce was employed in highly skilled occupations in 2015. This is higher than in New Zealand (38%). Approximately 30% of Wellington CBD's workforce was employed in low-skilled occupations in 2015. This is lower than in New Zealand 39%. Figure 15: Employment by broad skill level, 2015 Wellington CBD New Zealand High 49.2% 37.9% 11.9% 10.9% 8.1% 12.6% MediumHigh Medium 29.8% Low 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 38.5% 35% 40% 45% 50% 27 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 What is the occupational structure of employment in Wellington CBD? This section describes the types of occupations that are employed in Wellington CBD. The following graph shows the distribution of employment across broad occupational categories (1-digit occupations). Professionals accounted for the largest share of employment (38%) in Wellington CBD, which is higher than New Zealand (23%). Clerical and administrative workers accounted for the second largest share of employment (19%) in Wellington CBD, which is higher than New Zealand (12%). Machinery operators and drivers accounted for the lowest share of employment (19%) in Wellington CBD, which is higher than New Zealand (12%). Figure 16: Employment by broad occupation, 2015 Wellington CBD New Zealand Managers Prof essionals Technicians and trades workers Community and personal serv ice workers Clerical and administrativ e workers Sales workers Machinery operators and driv ers Labourers 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 28 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Table 13: Employment by 2-digit occupation (2015) Wellington CBD Occupation New Zealand Employment % of total Employment % of total 12,834 12.0% 114,021 5.0% Specialist Managers 8,798 8.2% 190,475 8.3% Legal, Social & Welfare Professionals 6,997 6.5% 48,968 2.1% Design, Engineering, Science Professionals General Clerical Workers 6,285 5,306 5.9% 4.9% 71,967 52,443 3.1% 2.3% Education Professionals Hospitality, Retail & Service Managers Health Professionals 5,263 4,052 3,889 4.9% 3.8% 3.6% 134,298 82,840 89,989 5.9% 3.6% 3.9% Chief Execs, General Managers, Legislators Engineering, ICT & Science Technicians 3,848 3,827 3.6% 3.6% 86,178 42,616 3.8% 1.9% Numerical Clerks ICT Professionals 3,773 3,675 3.5% 3.4% 44,156 49,585 1.9% 2.2% Sales Representatives & Agents Office Managers & Program Administrators Other Clerical & Administrative Workers 3,476 3,331 2,713 3.2% 3.1% 2.5% 69,207 63,342 38,553 3.0% 2.8% 1.7% Automotive & Engineering Trades Workers 2,574 2.4% 57,955 2.5% Sales Assistants & Salespersons Carers & Aides Inquiry Clerks & Receptionists 2,395 2,084 2,043 2.2% 1.9% 1.9% 114,161 75,131 35,262 5.0% 3.3% 1.5% Cleaners & Laundry Workers Other Labourers Personal Assistants & Secretaries Clerical & Office Support Workers Arts & Media Professionals 2,017 1,946 1,729 1,610 1,377 1.9% 1.8% 1.6% 1.5% 1.3% 48,032 61,971 21,539 17,954 20,282 2.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% Sales Support Workers Hospitality Workers Road & Rail Drivers Sports & Personal Service Workers 986 936 896 879 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 26,136 43,707 49,340 34,871 1.1% 1.9% 2.2% 1.5% Other Technicians & Trades Workers Food Trades Workers Machine & Stationary Plant Operators Storepersons Farm, Forestry & Garden Workers Factory Process Workers Health & Welfare Support Workers Electrotech & Telecoms Trades Workers Construction & Mining Labourers Construction Trades Workers Skilled Animal & Horticultural Workers Protective Service Workers Farmers & Farm Managers 761 601 581 559 527 512 484 426 410 399 359 339 292 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 34,370 36,078 32,069 21,072 51,025 45,106 21,911 27,140 21,565 51,880 23,435 31,034 67,024 1.5% 1.6% 1.4% 0.9% 2.2% 2.0% 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 2.3% 1.0% 1.4% 2.9% 250 241 107,223 0.2% 0.2% 100% 20,585 17,690 2,286,967 0.9% 0.8% 100% Business, HR & Marketing Professionals Mobile Plant Operators Food Preparation Assistants Total employment Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Employment in knowledge intensive industries in Wellington CBD Knowledge intensive industries are those in which the generation and exploitation of knowledge play the predominant part in the creation of wealth. These sectors represent an increasing share of the New Zealand economy's output and employment, and will most likely be the source of the future productivity growth. An industry is defined as knowledge-intensive if it meets two criteria: at least 25 per cent of the workforce is qualified to degree level and at least 30 per cent of the workforce is in professional, managerial and scientific and technical occupations. Further details of the definition are providing in the technical notes at the end of the report. This section describes employment in knowledge intensive industries in Wellington CBD. Table 14: Employment in knowledge intensive industries (2015) Employment in KI industries 2015 KI employment as share of total employment 2015 Annual growth in KI employment 2015 Annual average grwoth in KI employment 2005-2015 74,667 729,001 70% 32% 2.8% 2.3% 2.2% 1.7% Wellington CBD New Zealand During 2015, there were 74,667 jobs in Wellington CBD's knowledge intensive industries. At 70% of total employment, this was higher than in New Zealand (32%). During the year March 2015, growth in employment in knowledge intensive industries was 2.8%, compared with a change of 2.3% in New Zealand. Figure 17: Employment in knowledge intensive industries Wellington CBD New Zealand (RHS) 20 15 20 14 20 13 20 12 20 11 20 10 20 09 20 08 500k 20 07 50k 20 06 600k 20 05 60k 20 04 700k 20 03 70k 20 02 800k 20 01 80k 20 00 29 30 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 What are the top knowledge intensive industries in Wellington CBD? Table 15: Top 30 knowledge intensive industries in Wellington CBD, 2015 Wellington CBD Rank 1 2 Industry New Zealand Employment % of total employment Employment % of total employment 24,490 22,647 23% 21% 8,191 29,832 0.4% 1.3% 7,037 6.6% 12,449 0.5% 6,431 4,046 6.0% 3.8% 325 67,127 0.01% 2.9% 4 5 Scientific Research Services Central Government Administration Employment Placement and Recruitment Services Central Banking Hospitals (except Psychiatric Hospitals) 6 7 Wired Telecommunications Network Operation Museum Operation 3,239 3,007 3.0% 2.8% 7,077 2,490 0.3% 0.1% 8 9 Financial Asset Broking Services Life Insurance Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuels Manufacturing 1,930 1,663 1.8% 1.6% 1,053 2,803 0.05% 0.1% 178 0.2% 623 0.03% 3 10 31 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Which qualifications are in demand in Wellington CBD? This section examines the types of qualifications, in terms of NZQA level and field of study, that are in demand in Wellington CBD. The demand for qualifications is derived from our estimates of the demand for occupations by using assumptions about the types of qualifications which are ideally required for each occupation. Thus our estimates do not describe the educational profile of the region’s workforce but rather the type of qualifications that are ideally required in the region. Further details are provided in the technical notes at the end. Table 16: Employment by level of qualification and field of study in Wellington CBD Certificate (level 1-3) Certificate (level 4) Diploma (level 5-6) Degree (level 7+) Number Natural and Physical Sciences 1,618 194 1,691 6,394 9,896 Information Technology Engineering and Related Technologies 1,323 3,959 132 3,940 520 2,023 2,533 5,234 4,507 15,156 Architecture and Building Agriculture, Environmental and Related Studies 1,233 1,314 869 364 551 454 1,143 1,475 3,796 3,606 2,285 1,799 8,818 4,827 2,222 1,965 31,362 362 222 1,526 889 340 583 9,422 956 536 2,998 1,559 620 551 12,458 5,900 5,255 11,548 10,206 2,741 606 53,036 9,503 7,813 24,889 17,481 5,924 3,705 106,278 % of total Natural and Physical Sciences 1.5% 0.2% 1.6% 6.0% 9.3% Information Technology Engineering and Related Technologies Architecture and Building 1.2% 3.7% 1.2% 0.1% 3.7% 0.8% 0.5% 1.9% 0.5% 2.4% 4.9% 1.1% 4.2% 14.3% 3.6% Agriculture, Environmental and Related Studies Health Education Management and Commerce 1.2% 2.1% 1.7% 8.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.9% 0.5% 2.8% 1.4% 5.6% 4.9% 10.9% 3.4% 8.9% 7.4% 23.4% 4.5% 2.1% 1.8% 29.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.5% 8.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.5% 11.7% 9.6% 2.6% 0.6% 49.9% 16.4% 5.6% 3.5% 100% Field of study Health Education Management and Commerce Society and Culture Creative Arts Food, Hospitality and Personal Services Totals Society and Culture Creative Arts Food, Hospitality and Personal Services Totals Total The greatest demand in Wellington CBD in 2015 was for qualifications at the level of Degree (level 7+). Approximately 50% of all positions in Wellington CBD required this level of qualification. By field of study, the highest demand was for Management and Commerce. Approximately 23% of all positions in Wellington CBD required this field of study. 32 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Table 17: Change in employment by level of qualification and field of study in Wellington CBD 2005 2015 Field of study Absolute change Natural and Physical Sciences Certificate (level 1-3) Certificate (level 4) Diploma (level 5-6) Degree (level 7+) Total -7 -14 -123 1,252 1,108 -41 40 -7 -352 71 97 963 1,570 986 1,355 Architecture and Building Agriculture, Environmental and Related Studies 25 -105 -190 -79 128 19 303 163 266 -2 Health Education Management and Commerce -104 49 -252 -38 -10 26 155 125 689 1,584 1,576 3,031 1,597 1,739 3,495 Information Technology Engineering and Related Technologies Society and Culture Creative Arts Food, Hospitality and Personal Services Totals annual average % change Natural and Physical Sciences 10 32 336 3,081 3,459 -29 -86 -500 -8 17 -624 90 48 1,636 613 157 14,294 666 137 14,805 0.0% -0.7% -0.7% 2.2% 1.2% Information Technology Engineering and Related Technologies Architecture and Building -0.3% 0.1% 0.2% -0.5% -0.9% -2.0% 1.5% 0.5% 2.7% 4.9% 3.6% 3.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.7% Agriculture, Environmental and Related Studies Health Education Management and Commerce -0.8% -0.4% 0.3% -0.3% -2.0% -1.0% -0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 1.8% 2.7% 2.6% 1.2% 3.2% 3.6% 3.1% 0.0% 1.9% 2.5% 1.5% Society and Culture Creative Arts Food, Hospitality and Personal Services Totals 0.0% -0.1% -0.4% -0.2% 0.4% -0.2% 0.3% -0.6% 2.5% 1.6% 0.9% 1.4% 3.7% 2.6% 3.1% 3.2% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 100% The number of positions in Wellington CBD requring a Degree (level 7+) increased by 14,294 between 2005 and 2015, ranking it as the qualification level with the largest absolute increase in demand. By field of study, Management and Commerce experienced the highest increase in demand between 2005 and 2015. The number of positions requiring this field of study increased by 3,495 over the 10 year period. 33 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 TECHNICAL NOTES Time period This economic profile reports on March years (eg. 2015 refers to the 12 months to March 2015) for all indicators except population (June year), dairy sector statistics (May year), and government social service expenditure and beneficiary data (June years). Gross Domestic Product Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the value economic units add to their inputs. It should not be confused with revenue or turnover. A company’s value adding is broadly equivalent to its sales revenue less the cost of materials (eg steel for making motor cars) and services (eg telecommunications) purchased from other firms. Total GDP is calculated by summing the value added to all goods and services for final consumption – i.e. it does not include the value added to goods and services used as intermediate inputs for the production of other goods as this would result in double counting. As a result, GDP estimates should not be confused with revenue/turnover/gross output. In this profile Gross Domestic Product for each region and territorial authority (TA) is estimated by Infometrics. A top down approach breaks national production-based GDP (published by Statistics New Zealand) down to territorial authority level by applying TA shares to the national total. Each TA’s share of industry output is based on the share of earnings measured in the Linked Employer Employee Data (LEED), which is, in turn, based on taxation data. This approach captures differences in productivity between TAs and changes in productivity over time. Our estimates are benchmarked on regional GDP published by Statistics New Zealand for the period 2007-2010. GDP is measured in constant 2010 prices . Prices In this profile, we present all GDP estimates in constant 2010 prices. GDP presented in constant prices is sometimes referred to as real GDP. By using constant prices we remove the distractionary effect of inflation. It enables us to meaningfully compare GDP from one year to the next. Industrial classification This profile uses industry categories from the 2006 Australia New Zealand Standard Industrial Classification (ANZSIC). The ANZSIC is a hierarchical classification with four levels, namely divisions (the broadest level also referred to as 1-digit categories), subdivisions (3-digit), groups (4-digit) and classes (7digit).There are approximately 500 7-digit industries. This profile also uses a grouping of 54 industries. These are the industries used by Statistics New Zealand in the national accounts. 34 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Unallocated Unallocated items include taxes levied on the purchaser rather than the producing industry (such as GST, import duties, and taxes on capital transactions), and items that cannot easily be allocated to a specific industry (such as the seasonal adjustment balancing item). A seasonal adjustment balancing item is necessary to ensure that the sum of all seasonally adjusted industries can be reconciled with total GDP. Broad economic sectors The primary sector extracts or harvests products from the earth and includes agriculture, forestry, fishing, and mining. The secondary sector produces manufactured and other processed goods and includes manufacturing, electricity, gas and water, and construction. The tertiary sector includes all service industries that are not knowledge intensive, such as retail trade, and food and accommodation services. The quaternary sector includes knowledge intensive service industries. ‘Other’ includes owner occupied property operation and unallocated activity. HHI Index Economic diversity is measured using the Herfindahl–Hirschman Index. It is calculated by squaring the share of each industry (at 54 industry level), and then summing the resulting numbers. The HHI number can theoretically range from close to zero (diversified economy) to 10,000 (concentrated economy).The HHI for New Zealand is calculated as the average for the 66 territorial authorities. Employment by industry Employment is measured as an average of the four quarters making up each year. The unit of measurement is filled jobs. Regional employment numbers are from Infometrics’ Regional Industry Employment Model (RIEM). The model draws heavily on quarterly and annual Linked Employer Employee Data (LEED) published by Statistics New Zealand. RIEM differs from data from Business Demography in that it is a quarterly series (BD is annual) and it includes both employees and self-employed, whereas BD only includes employees. Self-employment Self-employment rates are from Annual Linked Employer Employee Data (LEED). Employment by occupation Employment in each industry is converted to occupational employment using the relationship between industry and occupational employment observed in various Population Censuses. The Population Census measures the occupational composition of employment in each industry and how this changes over time. Occupations confirm to the categories used in the Australian New Zealand Standard Classification of Occupations (ANZSCO). 35 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Productivity Productivity measures the efficiency of production. In this profile, we measure productivity as GDP per employed person (ie. The amount of economic activity generated on average by each employee). One needs to be aware that labour is only one input into production. The output of each employee may differ across industries in a region due to differing access to machinery, technology, and land. Therefore, productivity comparisons should only be made in circumstances where it is reasonable to assume that capital intensity will be broadly the same – for example, when looking at productivity within an industry over a limited-time period, or when comparing productivity of a particular industry with that same industry in another region. Earnings Earnings data comes from the quarterly Linked Employer Employee Data published by Statistics New Zealand. LEED publishes the mean earnings of full quarter jobs for each quarter. Full quarter jobs may include full time and part time jobs. Earnings include overtime and lump sum payments. We sum the mean earnings for the four quarters making up the year to arrive at an estimate of average annual earnings. House prices House price levels (dollar value) are sourced from QVNZ. The house price levels used are average current values. An average current value is the average (mean) value of all developed residential properties in the area based on the latest house price index from QVNZ. It is not an average or median sales price, as both of those figures only measure what happens to have sold in the period. These average current values are affected by the underlying value of houses (including those not on the market) and are quality adjusted based on the growth in each house’s price between sales. Population The estimated resident population ois an estimate of all people who usually live in that area at a given date. Visitors from elsewhere in New Zealand or from overseas are excluded. The estimated resident population at 30 June 2013–14 is based on the 2013 census usually resident population count, updated for: net census undercount (based on the 2013 Post-enumeration Survey) residents temporarily overseas on census night births, deaths, and net migration between census night and the date of the estimate reconciliation with demographic estimates at ages 0–9 years. The estimated resident population is not directly comparable with the census usually resident population count because of these adjustments. The estimated resident population is sourced from Statistics New Zealand. Dependency ratio The dependency ratio is the number of under 15 year olds and over 65 year olds as a ratio of the rest of the population (working age). 36 Wellington CBD Annual Economic Profile 2015 Business Units Data on the number of businesses is sourced from the Business Demography statistics from Statistics New Zealand. Data published by Statistics New Zealand is confidentialised. Infometrics use a Bayesian imputation method to estimate values for confidentialised cells. Businesses are measured by geographic units, which represent a business location engaged in one, or predominantly one, kind of economic activity at a single physical site or base (eg. a factory, a farm, a shop, an office, etc). All non-trading or dormant enterprises, as well as enterprises outside of New Zealand, are excluded from business demography statistics. A significant number of enterprises are recorded as having zero employment. Enterprises in the zero employee count size category may have: working owners who don’t draw a wage from their business labour provided by other businesses or contractors business activity that requires no labour (eg. holding company). Only business units that are economically significant enterprises are included. To be regarded as economically significant they must meet at least one of the following criteria: annual expenses or sales subject to GST of more than $30,000 12-month rolling mean employee count of greater than three part of a group of enterprises registered for GST and involved in agriculture or forestry over $40,000 of income recorded in the IR10 annual tax return (this includes some units in residential property leasing and rental).
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