Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA Realising Synergies A Knowledge Report prepared by The 1st Energy Global Investment Promotion Meet & Expo (RE-INVEST 2015) is being organised with the intent of providing a platform to the global investment community to connect with stakeholders in India. The central theme of the Meet is to further the growth of Renewable Energy '(RE)' and energy efficiency in the country. The Summit has been inaugurated by Shri Narendra Modi, Hon'ble Prime Minister of India, on February 15, 2015 and addressed by high level dignitaries at Vigyan Bhawan, New Delhi and are being followed by interactive and high quality Plenary & Breakout Sessions and Exhibition at The Ashok Hotel, New Delhi on February 16-17, 2015. More than 200 Global investors from various countries, international financial institutions, bilateral and multilateral financial institutions along with Indian Banks, non-banking financial companies (NBFCs), State Governments, PSUs concerned, renewable power developers and manufacturers, state renewable energy nodal agencies and other related stakeholders are expected to participate in RE-INVEST. Objective of RE-INVEST The investment Meet is designed to showcase India as an investment destination for Renewable Energy and encourage investors for setting up projects and manufacturing facilities of Renewable Energy equipment & products in India. The Expo will be a global platform for mutual dialogues and interactions between captains of Indian industry, high-level dignitaries and policymakers from State and Central Governments. It will be an ideal an opportunity for manufacturers, promoters and developers to showcase India's manufacturing capabilities and latest technologies which will provide valuable insights to domestic and foreign investors into the potential areas of investment in the Indian Renewable Energy sector and the policy environment and investment potential of leading States as excellent destination for generating energy from Renewable sources. Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies 01 Executive Summary This paper has four distinct sections with the intention of providing an Indian financial institution perspective on Renewable Energy (RE) investments in India; it will also look at the various human, technological and natural resources present in India which are important ingredients for creating synergy for increasing investments into the Indian RE sector. The first three sections point towards the factors which are already present in the Indian economy which can be mapped towards creating positive impact for RE investments in India; the final section provides insights from various countries on financially successful RE models and the collaborations that exist between India and the discussed countries in the RE space. Section Abstracts ü Readiness of the Indian Banking Sector for the required RE growth: this section focuses on the readiness with respect to financial resource availability and innovations in financial models which are required to bring about the substantial increase in investments for RE in India and the readiness of the financial institutions to build capacity to understand RE as a resource for power generation, which can then help reduce risk and make financial models and cash flows more robust. o Finance: The Indian banking sector has been a critical support pillar for all the economic development that the country has witnessed. A major part of all the financing for any sector comes in form of debt financing from the banks, as corporate debt market is yet to take its footholds in India. At the same time banks are the keeper of public funds and have been regulated with various caps on their industry exposures and Priority Sector Lending (PSL) norms for directing finances to the right sectors of the economy. According to an estimate total investment required to fund 100 GW solar target by 2022 will be in the tune of INR 6 Lakh Crore (~ USD 100 bn). According to IBA-FICCI-BCG (2011) study the Indian banking sector will grow to USD 28,500 bn by 2025 from an asset size of USD 1,350 bn in 2010, which will entail a new asset creation of more USD 25,000 bn. Going by the above estimates, only solar will require for ~0.5% of the new asset creation. Therefore, it is need of the hour to explore other financing mechanisms like dedicated RE bonds or creating special provisions for RE in PSL and creating depth in the corporate bond markets to make resources available for the large scale RE implementation. 02 Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies o Indian banking sector is responding by building capacity in-house and externally to understand RE as a resource. This is in addition to Government and institutional initiatives to mainstream RE as a resource for power. One important requirement will be, better and more accurate forecasting of wind and sunlight availability at specific sites. This will lead to better RE utilization, and therefore more predictable cash flows, which will make lending decisions easier. India is bestowed with great scientists who can run accurate regional climate models, which can become important inputs to making RE financial models more robust and hence more bankable. ü Rooftop Solar Plans: Rooftop solar requires a special mention as it can not only be used to bridge the grid availability gap at the last mile but also to convert electricity consumers to 'prosumers'. This in turn will require special provisions for development of inverter technologies which can manage generation, storage and feedback to the grid for the micro power houses. The grid should accordingly upgrade itself to accept power from these micro sources. ü Factors for RE utilization: Storage Systems, Storage Solutions (including Electric Vehicles) and Smart Grids; Micro Storage Systems and Storage Devices (considering 40 GW from Rooftop is planned). This section provides insights on the following aspects: o Storage Systems, Storage Solutions and Smart Grids – for each of these, there are specific policies and are being synchronized at the national policy level o Given that 40 GW is planned from roof-top solar, this section will have case studies and business models which can work for the roof-top solar space integrated with storage systems, solutions and smart homes o Case studies on a viable decentralized model and an off grid model ü Business models from different countries: This section has cases from Germany and USA; the collaborations India has with these countries to create synergies in knowledge, technology and human capital In India the Sanskrit word for Industry is 'Shilpa'; and interestingly 'Shilpa' also means Art. To some extent, transition to Renewable Energy needs the synergy from both Industry and Art, something not new to India. Table of Contents Introduction 05 Section I: Readiness of Indian Banking Sector for the required Renewable Energy growth 07 a. Readiness with respect to availability of finance and financial mechanisms 08 b. Readiness with respect to Renewable Energy as a resource 10 Section II: Rooftop Solar Plans 17 Section III: Factor for RE utilization: Storage Systems, Storage Solutions and Smart Grids 23 a. Storage Systems, Storage Solutions and Smart Grids 24 b. Policy dimensions in Storage Systems, Storage Solutions and Smart Grids 25 c. Rooftop solar model integrated with storage systems, solutions and smart homes 27 d. Case studies on a viable decentralized model and an off grid model 28 Section IV: Business models from different countries 31 Conclusion 36 Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies 05 Introduction India needs Renewable Energy (RE) for energy security; reducing dependency on energy imports; increasing opportunities in green economy and green employment; fighting climate change; strengthening local economies; and finally providing social justice. In some essence, India needs an energy transition towards Renewable Energy. Renewable Energy will need natural resources, sunlight, wind, biomass, et al – all of which is present in India abundantly. To bring these resources to become energy there will be a need for many talented people, capable of thinking on the ground, and looking for gainful employment – again, another aspect which India is blessed with too. Building the ecosystem for RE, starting from homes with roof top solar, to villages and communities with smart mini grids and large RE parks for power to the grid – this is the work which needs to be done. India has great scientists, information technology professionals, managers who are amazingly adaptive, thinking on the ground - they manage and implement projects with quick turn-around periods in complex environments. India is also a young nation, with a substantial part of the employable population below the age of 35 – something known to macroeconomists as the demographic dividend. The environment is conducive to bring the resource pool, talent pool, and the market need for power access together to the table and realize the investment potential of the Indian RE sector. This knowledge report provides insights into how that can be possible. Section I: Readiness of Indian Banking Sector for the required RE growth 08 Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies Section I: Readiness of Indian Banking Sector for the required RE growth This section focuses on the readiness with respect to financial resource availability and innovations in financial models which are required to bring about the substantial increase in investments for RE in India and the readiness of the financial institutions to build capacity to understand RE as a resource for power generation, which can then help reduce risk and make financial models and cash flows more robust. Availability of Finance and Financial Mechanisms The Indian banking sector has been a critical support pillar for all the economic development that the country has witnessed. A major part of all the financing for any sector comes in form of debt financing from the banks, as corporate debt market is yet to take its footholds in India. At the same time banks are the keeper of public funds and have been regulated with various caps on their industry exposures and Priority Sector Lending (PSL) norms for directing finances to the right sectors of the economy. According to an estimate total investment required to fund 100 GW solar target by 2022 will be in the tune of INR 6 Lakh Crore (~ USD 100 bn). According to IBA-FICCI-BCG (2011) study the Indian banking sector will grow to USD 28,500 bn by 2025 from an asset size of USD 1,350 bn in 2010, which will entail a new asset creation of more USD 25,000 bn. Going by the above estimates, only solar will require for ~0.5% of the new asset creation. Therefore, it is need of the hour to explore other financing mechanisms like dedicated RE bonds or creating special provisions for RE in PSL and creating depth in the corporate bond markets to make resources available for the large scale RE implementation. The current Renewable Energy Financing New technology has traditionally seen definite financing transitions from a niche usage to mainstream usage, with financing going from Private Equity (PE) to debt financing. It has been well documented that the mass scale adoption of any technology has to be supported by large scale debt financing. Funding in RE has come from various sources in India, with wind taking the first lead with 21.1 GW (Make in India, 2014) of installed capacity where banks have come up in a big way. The initial impetus for financing came from the tax incentives and accelerated depreciations being integrated in financial models to make the projects viable. The first wind projects have already come to their near closures, showing the actual viability of RE projects. Wind also saw huge participation from across sectors which adopted it for tax incentives and carbon mitigations. Practically same kind of policy scenario is present now for Solar projects also(MNRE Circular, 2014). Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies 09 The RE Ecosystem Today RE forms 13% of the installed capacity and is expected to become nearly 35% by 2022. This would need an ecosystem to support the targeted approximately 160 GW (100 GW Solar, 60 GW wind) of cumulative capacity of RE by 2022. At the same time, e xtensive Research & Development (R&D) is required for Solar RE technologies that are still evolving and need to be funded to bring the costs down for panels, climate mapping of various regions to reduce climate risks on production and more ef f icient and cheaper storage technologies. The 100 GW of solar Photo Voltaic (PV) installation will also require 1600 km2 of panels (Bridge to India, 2014) to be produced along with Smart grids and intelligent micro-equipments to support the power evacuation and large storage facilities for effective utilization. The solar power produced will also create an ecosystem of new products and services which will be utilizing the renewable power for new and innovative usage for e.g. Solar water pumps for remote locations. This system will then need to be supported with skilled professionals who could provide the support in the form of scientists (for R &D), engineers (for new product development), and technicians (for repair and maintenance). According to an estimate, the finding required for delivering 100 GW of Solar power installations will be INR 6 lakh crores till 2022 Funding will be required not only for the installation of approximately 160 GW RE capacity but also for the ecosystem which would make the real impact in terms of carbon reduction and social up-liftment. According to an estimate, the funding required for delivering 100 GW of Solar power installations will be INR 6 lakh crores (~ USD 100 bn) till 2022. The requirement for other renewable sources and the support ecosystem could well be in the multiples of this amount. For e.g. Power Grid corporation is planning to invest INR 1 Lakh Crore for grid up-gradations by 2017 (Power grid, 2014). Providing finance of this scale though debt will put a huge amount of pressure on the Indian banking system. According to an estimate only solar will require for ~0.5% of the new asset creation. But to achieve the above assets size of USD 28,500 bn, the flags have already been raised where only PSU banks will need an equity infusion of more than INR 9 lakh crores(KPMG, 2013) by FY21 in next and government will have to pump in more than INR 4 lakh crores to retain its shareholdings. 10 Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies Renewable Energy as a resource Indian banking sector is responding by building capacity in-house and externally to understand RE as a resource. This is in addition to Government and institutional initiatives to mainstream RE as a resource for power. One important requirement will be, better and more accurate forecasting of wind and sunlight availability at specific sites. This will lead to better RE utilization, and therefore more predictable cash flows, which will make lending decisions easier. India is bestowed with great scientists who can run accurate regional climate models, which can become important inputs to making RE financial models more robust and hence more bankable. Knowledge is increasingly becoming a key part of financial institutions. Renewable Energy is very local in nature, and therefore in terms of knowledge there are two requirements from a financial institution or investment perspective: ü Innovative Financial Mechanisms ü Availability of relevant scientists and engineers Exhibit 1.1: Framework for Energy Transitions Renewable Energy (RE) in many ways is a call for energy transition. For us to use RE effectively such that everyone (given that there are multiple stakeholders involved in the energy space) understands this - a Multi-Level Perspective (MLP) is important. A simplified understanding of MLP is given in Figure 1.1. The MLP stems from evolutionary economics and sociology of technology (Geels, 2002). Energy transitions are in a way socio-technical phenomenon where both public and private finance play important roles. For simplicity, let us consider (the following is an interpretation): Niches as pilots on RE being supplied to a grid, or small decentralized projects of RE in villages or localities. Patchwork of regimes is a situation where a considerable part of power demand whether decentralized or not comes from RE sources; not yet a full transition. Landscape is a situation where a full RE transition has happened; where policy, people, science, financial mechanisms and so on – all have made a successful energy transition possible Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies 11 Figure 1.1 Increasing structuration of activities in local practices Landscape Patchwork of regimes Niches (novelty) Source: Geels, 2002, p 1261; multiple levels of nested hierarchy Innovative Financial Mechanisms Historically, energy transitions took place when the existing energy source was getting depleted or increasingly very scarce. However, it has been shown that financial innovations have always been one of the most critical pivots in energy transitions, and these innovations were surprisingly very local in nature. Therefore the financial innovations which will be required for India will need to be local too (see Exhibit 1.2; Pathania and Bose, 2014). Exhibit 1.2: Role of Finance in Energy Transitions; What does it mean for India? The objective of this exhibit is to critically appreciate the role of finance in energy transitions which policy makers, investors, sustainability/renewable energy specialists and other stakeholders should consider while formulating financial aspects of sustainable energy policy and making sustainable energy investment decisions. 12 Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies It can be noted that while renewable energy is the most important part of what constitutes the entire set of sustainable energy, however this set will also include smart grids, electric vehicles, energy efficient industry, smart buildings and so on. The fact that proper utilization of renewable energy is dependent on various other issues, including people and culture, is something that should be kept in mind while creating strategies to increase investments in Renewable Energy. Given the complexity, it can be said that in essence, financing sustainable energy means financing an energy transition. This exhibit starts with a background on previous energy transitions, and the role of finance in them. There is also a short note on recent investment flows into renewable energy. Thereafter, we come to the two examples of innovations in finance. Previous Energy Transitions: The Role of Finance Let us first look at the energy transition to the 'steam engine' during the Industrial Revolution. In this case it will be essential to note that a marked large-scale shift in the sources of energy and their utilization took place in Britain between 1550 and 1700, with a conscious shift in place from wood to coal for industrial purposes. This was spurred by an energy crisis at that time arising due to the shortage of wood consequent to deforestation. What marks this period of transition right through the Industrial Revolution are the repeated examples of the use of private finance to spur this change and a form of investment into intellectual property. In 1712, Thomas Newcomen started work on the first workable steam engine, and he was financed by an organized secret community of Baptists from Dartmouth, set up by Reverend John Havel, whose financial works can be considered to mirror a bank. Similarly, by 1768, James Watt's steam engine, a massive improvement over the original engine, had a private investor, John Roebuck, financing it. In 1769, once the patent was registered, Matthew Boulton, earlier approached with a franchise offer, in turn offered to set up a factory in Birmingham for manufacturing these engines. Boulton was member of the Lunar Society like Watt, whose aim was to spread scientific knowledge for general good. These cases highlight a form of investment via ownership of the intellectual property. It should be noted that there was also some support from macro-economics and policy aspects too - like John Locke's '1689 Treatise of Government', which had vastly explained what intellectual property means; or the emergence of double entry book keeping lowering transaction cost while maintaining processes for scrutiny and accountability. It was during the Industrial Revolution that the establishment of the double entry bookkeeping system of accounting in tracking joint stock company finances really took root, as exemplified in 1772 by Josiah Wedgwood's pottery business leading to the rise of cost accounting. Oil exploration and refining was another area that was spurred entirely by private finance, with a similar coincidence of policy, macro-economic factors and banking and accounting principles driving the growth. By 1850, major accounting firms of today like PriceWaterhouseCoopers and Deloitte had been set up. Accounting as a profession had gained root. In the United States, the Civil War led to an increase in tariffs for financing the War. These remained high after the War as a result of the prevalent political climate combined with specific duties and falling import duties. In fact, high tariffs and protectionist policies were common in the major economies like United States and Germany, and have a positive correlation to the economic growth seen in them. Parallel to this event, an energy crisis was brewing in the United States, which in the 1850s faced a shortage of whale oil. A depleted whale population was forcing ships sailing from places like New Bedford and Nantucket, Massachusetts, to travel farther to catch fewer whales, prompting scientists to look for other sources of light. Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies 13 Around the same time, the consistent research of Dr. Abraham Gesner, a medicine man, into geology, culminated into the development of the first successful oil refinery business to produce kerosene for lighting purposes following the registry of patents to the same, simultaneously matched by the enterprises of Drake and Bissell. The subsequent booming of the petroleum refining industry of the1870s saw changes taking place in the manner in which commodity transaction took place. Formal oil exchanges were set up for the first time in Titusville, Pennsylvania, the home of oil production in United States, and the sales were conducted in three manners – spot, regular and futures, with the combined forces asserting the price of the commodity in question – crude oil. Another good example of innovation binging private investment was the continuous stress on improved productivity by John Rockefeller Jr. in the business. Rockefeller was an accountant by training, and so it was important for him to improve productivity at whatever cost. Rockefeller engaged in self-insurance against fires while striving to improve safety standards, helping him to save millions of dollars in what was otherwise a dangerous business. He had a team of chemists who always looked at improving the refining process, and his company, unlike its competitors, sold a wide range of petroleum products besides kerosene. By the end of the nineteenth century, the oil industry faced a new challenge – electricity. Edison's invention of the light bulb and the subsequent development of electricity for lighting severely threatened the industry. However, a simultaneous change was taking place in the sector of transportation. While personal automobiles were already in use as a vehicle of luxury and in the taxis, Henry Ford in his quest to build cheap, sturdy cars developed and launched the Model T in 1908. Moreover, even as the transition towards electricity for lighting happened, he diversified his business towards fuel for motor vehicles at the same time that Henry Ford launched the first Model T vehicle. Thus we see that at the point of inflexion of all the previous energy transitions there were great innovations in finance. For the transition to renewable energy as well it should not be any different, therefore it will be pertinent to show what kind of investment flows into RE are there at present. Global Renewable Energy Investments At a global level, renewable energy investments have had a very interesting growth story as the figure 1.2. suggests The figures are for new investments in renewable energy. Projected growth in renewable energy investments is also noteworthy (refer Table 1.1 and Figure 1.2). 14 Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies Table 1.1: Six years of clean energy investment in India (USD) 2015 $10.0bn+ 2014 $7.9bn 2013 $7.0bn 2012 $7.8bn 2011 $13.1bn 2010 $9.3bn Source: http://about.bnef.com/press-releases/india-clean-energy-investments-bounce-back-set-breach-10bn-mark-2015/ Figure 1.2: Global new investment in clean energy in USD billion. -7% 16% -9% 17% $99bn 32% $113bn $79bn 0.5% $126bn 17% $52bn 36% 46% 46% $26bn $19bn $13bn $28bn $23bn 2004 2005 $39bn $31bn $86bn $65bn $69bn $41bn $63bn $50bn $90bn $91bn 2008 2009 $59bn $124bn $53bn 2006 2007 EMEA $71bn $68bn $44bn $75bn $154bn AMER $132bn 2010 2011 $78bn $109bn 2012 $74bn $78bn 2013 2014 APAC Note: Total include estimates for undisclosed deals. Includes corporate and government R&D, adn spending for digital energy and energy storage projects (not reported in quarterly statistics). socurce: Bloomberg New Energy Finance (Source: Bloomberg New Energy Financehttp://about.bnef.com/presentations/clean-energy-investment-q4-2014-fact-pack /content/uploads/sites/4/2015/01/Q4-investment-fact-pack.pdf) What does it mean for India? With respect to a transition to renewable energy in India, therefore, there is clearly a need for creative financial instruments, implying significant leap in innovative thought. Moreover, a great deal of such innovation will be systems dependent; that is, the innovation will have to come from various stakeholders, and all their respective innovations will need to synergize to make the transition to renewable energy possible. Two such game-changing innovations in finance, may already be present – 'financial gradients' (Bose, 2011) and 'real options' (Dixit and Pindyck 1995). It is these two innovations which might help many economies, including India, in transitioning toward sustainable energy. 'Financial gradients' is a method to study various sources of finance. It can be noticed that sustainability projects including renewable energy have sources of finance other than debt and equity. Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies 15 While the interaction of debt and equity is well researched in corporate finance, the interaction of other sources like pure public finance and grants and their interaction with other forms of finance were not well researched. 'Financial gradients' can help us assess the financial flows into a renewable energy project; they can also help formulate financial ratios which are used by investors and financial stakeholders around the world to gauge the performance of the company or a project; further this method can help structure public–private partnerships which have become integral to develop infrastructure in various parts of the world. (refer case study 3.2) 'Real options' is a method of valuation which includes the various choices that a project has. A traditional method of valuation might disregard the choices and undervalue a project which has a sufficient amount of flexibility. This method of valuation is perhaps particularly important for renewable energy projects which have a good amount of flexibility and various kinds of choice sets which when taken into account make renewable energy worthy investments. Therefore, the need of the hour is having new sources of debt finance which can essentially be channelized from different private sources and PPP models to fund the same. The corporate debt market, which is still in a nascent phase in India, requires the depth with real time trading platforms and market makers. This will allow foreign debt funding to come directly to the sector. Sector specific bonds like RE bonds or Green bonds can be used to generate resources. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announcements in line with the Union Budget 2014 are steps in the right direction to increase bank finance towards sectors like infrastructure and housing (RBI circular, 2014). Availability of scientists and engineers India has recently completed a very successful mission to Mars, and earlier to the Moon, and was applauded and appreciated for it the world over. India also has a rich pool of scientists, a very important aspect in RE. RE is an in-firm source of energy, unlike traditional sources. The Plant Load Factor (PLF) or the Capacity Utilization Factor (CUF) is strikingly different in RE sources than traditional sources; the supply chain is also different. RE sources like wind and solar will need very good weather forecasting, for which Regional Climate Models (RCMs) are being developed in India across various research institutes. The data from the RCMs can help understand the supply of energy both in terms of time and quantity. The demand management side of energy will also be better as less energy will be wasted. All this will lead to better and more robust financial models and provide better cash flows and more investments. Renewable Energy, as a resource, needs to be understood at a very local level. Availability of engineers is very important too. Decentralized smart grids or even Smart Mini Grids (SMGs) will need technicians on the ground. Smart Grids of all types will need Information Technology professionals too. India's demographic dividend and an enormous pool of engineers are critical for a transition to cleaner energies. The Government is already training thousands in the young population for this task. India has professionals who have shown, on several occasions, flexibility and adaptability on the ground for project implementation; it also has qualified information technology professionals and a young population – all qualities which will be very important for better RE utilization. Section II: Rooftop Solar Plans 18 Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies Section II: Rooftop Solar Plans Rooftop solar requires a special mention as it can not only be used to bridge the grid availability gap at the last mile but also to convert electricity consumers to 'prosumers'. This in turn will require special provisions for development of inverter technologies which can manage generation, storage and feedback to the grid for the micro power houses. The grid should accordingly upgrade itself to accept power from these micro sources. India suffers from dual challenges of availability of power as well as availability of grid across the length and breadth of the country. While many areas do not have access to any kid of power, there is a big population which suffers from power shortages. The national grid has itself not been very successful in delivering power 1 efficiently with Transmission & Distribution (T & D) losses consistently being above 20% . Rooftop Solar has been rightly targeted by the National Solar Mission to provide 40% of the total solar installed capacity of 100 GW by 2022. The same can be used to achieve triple objectives in energy security 1) Provide alternate source to the Grid power 2) Bridge the gap for power availability 3) Provide access to power in remote locations. Apart from meeting other social and environment objectives of 1) climate change mitigation 2) job creation and 3) social upliftment. The triple objective for energy security will need synergies among the various national missions to achieve its target (Refer Table 2.1). 1 http://indiaenergy.gov.in/demand_tdloss.php Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies 19 Table 2.1: Synergies to achieve energy security target through Rooftop solar Objective Provide alternate source to grid power Advantage a. Reduces loads on grids for supply of peak demands b. Large roof tops can become a net producer of electricity Roadblocks Next steps a. Grid Parity(Bridge to India, 2014) for solar not yet achieved for domestic consumers a. Work in line with the California model (California case study 4.1) b. Grid not yet ready to buy power from the net producers b. Upgradation of grids and power exchanges at locality level (Smart Grids Incentives) c. Equipment upgrades required to create micro power exchanges at household level d. Availability of per capita rooftop area is low because of high population concentration areas Bridge the gap for power availability a. Reduces loads on grids for supplying higher demands b. Increases productivity by reducing power outages Provide access to power in remote locations a. Huge power storage and inverter requirements b. Mass level technicians required to provide local repair and maintenance network c. Requirement of retail finance for equipment purchases / upgrades a. Reduces demands a. Marketing / supply for grid expansion channels for solar equipment b. Highest rooftop / land available per b. Huge power storage and capita inverter requirements c. New business opportunities due to availability of power c. Mass level technicians required to provide local repair and maintenance network d. Agglomerations can be sources of power to local utilities d. Requirement of retail finance for equipment purchase /upgrades Source: Yes Bank Analysis a. Creation of technicians through ITIs (Mission for skill development) b. Storage systems have to ramped up (Storage Incentives) c. New products offered by Banks which incorporate prevalent subsidies (PMJDY) a. Creation of technicians through ITIs, which in turn would create pool of local service providers (Mission for skill development) b. Storage systems have to be ramped up (Storage Incentives) c. New products offered by Banks which incorporates prevalent subsidies (PMJDY) d. Micro Smart Grids to create agglomerations of localized power sources (Smart Grids Incentives) 20 Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies To achieve the objectives discussed in the table 2.1, it is essential to draw synergies from different schemes of the Government like Pradhan Mantri Jan-Dhan Yojana (PMJDY), National Skill Development Mission, and supporting the same with taking Smart Grids and Storage systems in a mission mode. The synergies created can create a baseline for business to create opportunities for economic growth in the large market spaces created. A case in point is the Gandhinagar model for roof-tops where the roofs are being lent out to renewable power companies who could sell the power to the grid at preferential rates and solve the perennial problem of land availability at the points of consumption(refer Case Study 2.1). The system provides an excellent example for companies to adopt to the local conditions and create new profitable models. There might be some potential drawback in the current system (Bridge to India, 2014), but they provide a very important takeaway for any system i.e. Gross Metering (the rent of the renewable energy and payment for household consumption are metered and billed separately at different rates). The Gross Metering System as against Net Metering System (Refer case study 4.1) can be customized based on the incentives like the Renewable Purchase obligations (RPOs) or Preferential Tarrifs etc and can also be implemented on a standalone micro smart grids in remote locations, where the difference can provide the economic incentive to maintain the grid. Case Study 2.1: Gandhinagar (Solar) Photovoltaic Roof-top Programme The program was launched by the Government of Gujarat in Aug 2010 to create a PPP model for roof-top solar program across the city of Gandhinagar, Gujarat on a pilot basis. The basic aim was to create Green power as well as to involve local population as producers of solar power. In this model, the rooftops of house owners are leased out by Project developers (Azure Power and SunEdison) who, in turn, will set up solar panels on the roof of the house owners and pay them a rent of INR 3 / Unit. At the same time, Government buildings are also given to the Project developers to set up similar solar installation. Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) for 25 years are signed between the home owners and Project developers and the Grid for streamlining the revenues. The overall structure is shown below. GEDA (Nodal Agency) IFC & Consultants (Transaction Str. Advisor) GPCL (Implementing Agency) GERMI (Project Str., Bid Process) GoG (For Govt, Approval) ect ion Proj mentat e l Imp ment e Agre ) A I (P Selection through RFP GERC (For Regulatroy Approval) 2 MW Govt. Rooftops 0.5 MW Private Rooftops 2 MW Govt. Rooftops 0.5 MW Private Rooftops Green incentive 2.5MW 2.5MW Screening & Selection Approvals GOG/EPD (Project Proponent) Azure Sun Energy (Capacity: 2.5 MW) SPV by SunEdison (Capacity: 2.5MW) PPA, based on GERC solar tariff Torrent Power Ltd. (off-taker) Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies 21 For the home owners, however, a Gross Metering System is adopted where he gets paid for the energy generated from the rooftop but has to pay the power distributor for the consumption inside the house. Photovoltaic Modules (Approx. 1 - 100 kWp) Grid-tied inverter Meter 2: Solar Electricity Generation Meter 1: Conventional Electricity Consumption Transformer Grid However, from an implementation standpoint it is more prudent to push for providing access at remote locations, as it will serve multiple purposes of : 1. Maximum economic and social gains at the ground level in the remotest locations a. Value of power available is more than providing power alternatives at lower costs b. Network of support network creates job opportunities at local levels c. Social benefits of power availability 2. The Grid can be upgraded with one Micro Smart Grid at a time integrated linearly to create a network of Smart Grid enabling the concept of 'Prosumers' 3. Creation of a truly decentralized power generation and consumption to reduce loads on the National Grid Section III: Factor for RE utilization 24 Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies Section III: Factor for RE utilization RE as a resource can pave the way for self reliance, which in turn will be important for the Make in India initiative too once the synergies have been realized. In India the Sanskrit word for Industry is Shilpa; and interestingly Shilpa also means Art. One nuance of this is – that the non-agricultural production sector has always been innovative; capable of utilizing local resources efficiently and this is precisely what is needed. India is capable of making its own Feldheims (Refer Case study 3.1) (Feldheim - a village in Germany with 100 per cent RE as a source for energy). Storage Systems, Storage Solutions and Smart Grids Various sources of storage systems available (CEEW, 2013) point out that technologies for storage from micro to larger are available and have been tested internationally. These technologies can be adopted based on the need of our grid and home solution. The critical thing however is the technical expertise which is required to adopt these technologies to the local conditions. Table 3.1: Various energy storage technologies Energy Storage System Typical Application Scale / Example Pumped Storage Hydro (PSH) Large energy storage from gridconnected sources at times of low demand 1MW - 1000 MW (Bath County Pumped Storage Station, USA - 3000 MW) Compressed Air Energy Storage (CAES) Large energy storage from grid-connected sources 1mw - 300MW (Gaines, TX, USA- 2MW) Superconducting Magnetic Energy Storage (SMES) Grid stabilisation and frequency control 1MWH - 200 MWh Flywheels Grid energy storage, motive power, large scale UPS services (labs, etc) 3kWh - 5MWh Capacitors and Super Capacitors UPS for short intemuptions in conjunction with other batteries Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies 25 Energy Storage System Typical Application Scale / Example Batteries Lead Acid Automobiles, household backup, industrial backup and grid storage Varying sizes with the possibility to increase voltage supplied (2 V cells) Nickel-cadmium Portable electronics, power tools, emergency lighting grid energy, storage Varying sizes with the possibility to increase voltage supplied (2 V cells) Sodium -sulphur RE stabilization, ancillary services 250kWh - 300MWh (Rokkasho, Japan -34MW)1 Lithium-ion Portable devices, power tools, electric vehicles Varying sizes with the possibility to increase voltage supplied (2V cells) Flow Batteries UPS, peak shaving, load balancing 1 kWh - 10 MWh • Zinc-bromide • Vanadium redox batteries Source: CEEW, 2013 An IESA (2013) report estimates that by 2020, the energy storage systems in renewable energy applications will have a market potential of 6000 MW, with more than 2000 MW in the off-grid renewable energy market. The above estimate was basis 20 GW Solar and 30 GW wind capacity which will grow multifold with the new targets of total 160 GW RE(Solar & Wind). A major part of the above requirement will come from the smoothening requirements of the in-firm sources like wind and solar at the generation points. Sudden variation in sunshine, wind speed or water flow makes batteries used with renewable energy systems to charge in an unpredictable manner. This makes batteries to work on partial charge for few days at a stretch, leading to frequent deep discharge or lack of charge. Therefore, choosing the appropriate storage technology for a renewable project requires a balance of desirable attributes associated with an efficient storage system. Policy dimensions in Storage Systems, Storage Solutions and Smart Grids Storage systems and smart grids are an essential part of the proposed mix of power generation heavily inclined towards in-firm sources like Solar and Wind. In fact, international case studies affirm the fact that RE with correct technology to even out production from various sources of power and storage may not require the baseload to come from very firm sources like coal and nuclear (Edelweiss, 2014). These cases suggest that working with the ecosystem is important along with the generation side of RE. 26 Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies The same is reflected from the National Action Plan for Climate Change (NAPCC) subsidy schemes where Solar with storage commands higher capital subsidies (additional INR 60 - 80 / Wp) (MNRE circular, 2014). While this will motivate the home and institutional rooftop buyers to go for storage supported projects, it will in turn reduce demand volatility at the grid for grid connected consumers. The storage systems are also important from off-grid installations perspective where consumers can become self sufficient in power without the grid. The scheme should however encourage specific better storage technologies which are better not only from a cost perspective but also from other considerations like long life and environment consciousness. The Government has also initiated research and development of newer storage technologies at IIT Bombay under National Center for Photovoltaic Research and Education (NCPRE) center. The energy storage theme has specific objective to develop Lithium-ion batteries for integrated application for solar cells. However, the research has to be pushed with product development and commercialization in line with the national mission to push effective development of the RE ecosystem. The Power Grid Corporation of India has already started a pilot project on smart grids in Puducherry and plans to expand the application of such technologies across India in 12th and 13th plan. It has also evolved a plan to integrate upcoming renewable capacity through knowledge initiatives like the 'green Energy Corridor Report'. It plans to invest a total of INR 1 Lakh Crore of capital investment during the 12th plan. However, there is an urgent need to go smart on all grids possible and will require a much larger investment. Alignment to existing programs and drawing synergies will be the key not only to pool resources but also to proceed in a coherent manner. Table 3.2 : Key Policy initiatives Initiatives Objective Weblinks Smart Grids India Smart Grid Task Force To provide policy direction towards adoption of Smart Grid technologies in India http://indiasmartgrid.org/e n/isgtf/Pages/AboutUs.aspx India Smart Grid Knowledge Portal To create repository of knowledge resources http://indiasmartgrid.org/e n/Pages/Index.aspx India Smart Grid Forum To create pilots on smart Grids Already 14 pilots under consideration http://indiasmartgrid.org/e n/Pages/Index.aspx Restructured Accelerated Power Development & Reforms Programme (R APDRP) To create basic infrastructure of grids and converting existing grids into smart grids http://www.apdrp.gov.in/ Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies 27 Initiatives Objective Weblinks Smart Grids Green Energy Corridor To study renewable energy grid integration for RE excess states http://www.powergridindia. com/_layouts/PowerGrid/Us er/PressRelease.aspx?PRId= 2&LangID=&PId=277 Storage Solutions National Solar Mission Additional INR 60-80 / Wp subsidy for panels with storage http://www.mnre.gov.in/sol ar- mission/jnnsm/ introduction-2/ India Energy Storage Association To provide policy direction towards adoption of storage technologies in India http://indiaesa.info/ National Center for Photovoltaic Research and Education (NCPRE) Research and development of new storage technologies http://www.ncpre.iitb.ac.in /pages/goals_solar_pv_syst ems_modules.html Source: GOI websites, YBL Analysis Rooftop solar model integrated with storage systems, solutions and smart homes The solar solutions for household and rooftop can range from micro emergency lamps which can be charged during the day and used by the night to small companies which provide basic electricity to complete villages. What enables these solutions is the storage systems which can charge and discharge with the available solar cycles and complement the availability of light during the night. The various case studies of inclusion (MNRE, 2012) of RE to provide power have been most effective at locations where grid power is not available or is only available few hours a day. The households are paying heavy per unit costs for the convenience of power and generating business benefits like study of children, extra working hours for revenue generating activities (pulse grinding, sewing etc) as well as mobile phone charging. Some of these models have also been making the mobile towers in remote locations diesel free. Some of these solutions also have a micro smart grid installed which has enabled them to manage different power sources and sinks providing power all round the year. However, on a grid connected system the storage at grid levels form the most important conduit to store peak power availability and use the same during demand peaks. Rooftop installations form one of the most important component (40 GW) of India's target under the National Solar Mission. These installations will need to be connected to either a storage system or a smart grid to be effectively utilized. Therefore the need of the hour is the business models which can be used by the local entrepreneurs to align with the Government incentives and public need for power to get economic benefit. The Gandhinagar model (refer case study 2.1) depends a lot on Government incentives for buying power from the companies. The same can be refined and utilized for standalone off-grid models as well. In the California model (refer case study 4.1), the grid / electricity distributer itself draws excess power from rooftops and pays the household for the excess power after net metering. Another example that has been discussed is the third party solar installers who take benefit of the scale, RECs and industrial benefits from the Government to provide power to households using their own rooftops. 28 Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies The completely off-grid solutions can be a better starting point as business benefits generated are higher. Therefore, the community is more conducive to payments of such services leading to business returns from the establishments as discussed in the various case studies compiled by MNRE. However, for the grid connected solutions to work, it is essential to have grid parity or below for a business case for the renewable power generation from the rooftop. Case studies on a Viable Decentralized Model and an Off Grid Model A case study on decentralized model Case Study 3.1: Case on Feldheim, a village in Germany 100% Renewable Energy Goal Achieved: 100% Renewable Electricity and Heat with Local Resources Location: Community of Feldheim in the City of Treuenbrietzen, Germany Summary: The village of Feldheim, located in the town of Treuinbrietzen in eastern Germany's state of Brandenburg, supplies power and heat for its 145 inhabitants with entirely local renewable resources. Electricity is produced by modern wind farms and a photovoltaic solar energy park built on a former military base. A next generation accumulator is planned for a next stage of development to help balance the fluctuating wind supply. Heat is made by a biogas plant fueled by wood chips. Financing of the Renewable Energy for Feldheim came from a pooled effort by the local energy consumers, the municipality, the local utility and additional support by regional Government and EU funds. The effort has paid off. The town has zero unemployment, compared to 30% unemployment in other villages in the area, with most residents working for the town's renewable energy sector. Feldheim cites energy security, a positive image, stable energy prices, and protecting future generations from environmental damage as other positives that they are gaining from their 100% renewable energy choices. Feldheim has zero unemployment compared with roughly 30 percent in other villages in the economically depressed state of Brandenburg, which views investments in renewables as a ticket for a brighter future Source: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/12/29/feldheim-germany-renewable_n_1173992.html?ir=India A Case study on Off-Grid RE An off-grid case using renewable energy for energy access solutions in rural India a business model is depicted below. Case Study 3.2: Off-grid energy access business models using solar energy As said before Financial Gradients is a method to study various sources of finance. It can be noticed that sustainability projects including RE projects have sources of finance other than debt and equity. While the interaction of debt and equity is well researched in corporate finance, the interaction of other sources like pure public finance and grants and their interaction with other forms of finance were not well researched. Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies 29 Given that financial gradients address the relationship between public and private (or, investment grade and non-investment grade), this will be a good tool to structure public–private partnerships which have become integral to develop infrastructure, especially for sustainability. Table 3.3: Financial Gradients matrix, adapted from Bose (2011), Bose et al. (2012) Category Definition Accountability Monitoring cost Motivation Pure grant Funds given as a part of philanthropic activity or partly with an intention to claim tax exemption Negligible Highest Philanthropy Research grant Funds given with a research objective and a tangible outcome is expected (a report a product etc.: in certain instances this can be considered as seed financing or equity as well) Low High Innovation Public finance Government funds with fiscal objectives Medium High Social dividend Loans Funds provided by a bank with a ToR similar to retail lending High Low Long-term Equity User/community / entrepreneur contribution towards the project hardware cost Highest Lowest Efficiency The above table gives a snap shot of the nature and sources of finance available for projects related to sustainability. As discussed earlier, given the kind of uncertainties that prevail in sustainability, including RE projects, a diffused financial mechanism which is dynamic, and multiple sources of finance would offer a good mechanism to mitigate risks, and offer flexibility that is required. The importance of the financial ratios/gradients method is that the financial risk adjustment is dynamic and not static; this aspect is particularly important from a sustainability/RE project management point of view and the other problems like duration, performance linked payments can be better addressed if the nature of legal contract was made more dynamic and Financial Gradients addresses that need. Analysis of Financial Flows The pie charts help us understand the financial trends observed in the nature of funds received by an energy access program using solar energy. (source: Bose 2011) From the pie charts it can be seen that there is a movement from a pure grant based method of financing into a more community or private equity based method of financing. This equity driven model will get further impetus when there are more lines of business, like provisions charging for mobile telephony in addition to charging solar lanterns, are attached to the core model. There are various possibilities of increasing lines of businesses; however the charts below for the first three years are purely for solar lanterns as the only line of business. 30 Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies Grant 91% Year 2008-09 Service revenue 2% Year 2009-10 Grant: 91 % Research Grant: 7% Service Revenue: 2% Research grant7% 2008 - 09 Grant: 81% Research Grant: 4% Subsidy: 14% Equity: 1 % Service Revenue: 0% Grant: 81% Service Revenue: 0% Subsidy: 14% Research Grant: 4% Equity: 1 % 200 - 10 Year 2010-11 Grant: 66 % Research Grant: 11% Equity: 6% Subsidy: 9% Public expenditure: 7% Service Revenue: 1% Grant: 66 % Service Revenue: 1% Public expenditure: 7% Subsidy: 9% Research Grant: 11% Equity: 6% 200 - 10 It can be seen from the above diagrams, that in the first year of the program, there was no equity component. it rises to 1% in the second year and then to 7% in the third year. We also see that the pure grant component is decreasing rapidly from an ominous 91% in the first year to 84% in the second and a far more viable 65% in the third year. Now if we add the research grant to pure equity, we find that the equity component is doing very well, from a 7% in the first year to 16% in the second year and finally a very promising 27% in the third year. Overall the non-grant finances have risen fast from 9% to 16% and then to 35% in the final year. We should remember that this strong performance in building a sustainable financial model was built with only one line of business; the charging stations have the potential to stand alone as a viable business without any grant component in the future when more lines of businesses are included. The above is a simple manifestation of how financial ratio/gradient analysis can track the health of these new 'niche' projects, thus increasing the pace of the required energy transition to renewable sources. Section IV: Business models from different countries 32 Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies Section IV: Business models from different countries This section will have cases from Germany and USA; the collaborations India has with these countries to create synergies in knowledge, technology and human capital. Germany and India: A Constructive Collaboration Like India, Germany needs RE for energy security, reducing dependency on energy imports, increasing opportunities in green economy and green employment, fighting climate change, strengthening local economies, and finally providing social justice. Germany can help India in providing insights on policy frameworks for energy transitions and RE technology. Exhibit 4.1: Learning from a household electricity bill from Germany Acknowledgement: Ms. Annika Styczynski (Freie Universität Berlin) for sharing an actual electricity bill for households in Germany, and highlighting insights on its implications. Strommix der E.ON Energie Deutschland GmbH auf Basis der Daten von 2012 Der Strom wurde aus diesen Energiequllen erzeugt: Von E.ON Energie Deutschland fur die Kundenbelieferung beschafft Zum Vergleich der Durchschnitt in Deutschland Erneuerbare Energien (Renewable energy), 27.6% gefördert nach dem EEG Sonstige Erneuerbare Energien 5,5% Erdgas 6,9% Ernuerbare Energien (Renewable energy), 20,8% gefördert nach dem EEG Sonstige Erneuerbare Energien 3.5% Erdgas 9,8% Kohle 32,5% Sonstige fossile Energieträger 6,3% Kernenergie 21,2% Kohle 45,6% Sonstige fossile Energieträger 3,2% Kernenergic 17,1% Mit diesem Strommix werden unsere Kunden beliefert: Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies 33 E.ON-Oköstromproudukte* Übrige E.ON-Produkte (Residualmix) Erneuerbare Energien, 29,4% gefördert nach dem EEG Sosntige Erneuerbare Energien 1.8% Erdgas 7,1% Erneuerbare Energien , 29,4% gefördert nach dem EEG Sonstige Erneuerbare Energien 70,6% Kohle 33,4% Sonstige fossile Energietrager 6,5% Kernenergie 21,8% *Wird die vertraglich vereinbarte Strommenge nur anteiling aus emeuerbaren Energiequellen erzeugt und in das Stromntez der allgemeinen Versorgung eingespeist, so besteht dieser Anteil zu 100% aus dem Strommix unserer OkoStrom-Produkte; für diesen Anteil entstehen weder CO2-Emissionen noch radioaktiver Abfall. Aus der Stromerzerugung ergeben sich diese Umweltauswirkungen CO2-Emmissionen Radioaktive Abfall E.ON Energie Deutschland GmbH 489 g/kWh E.ON Energie Deutschland Gmbh 0,0006 g/kWh Durchschnitt Deutschland 522 g/kWh Durchschnitt Deutschland 0,0005 g/kWh E.ON Okostromprodukte o g/kWh E.ON okostromprodukte* o g/kWh Ubrige E.ON-Produkte (Residualmix) 504 g/kWh Ubrige E.ON-Produkte (Residulmix) 0,000 g/kWh6 Implications: In Germany (something which is on the anvil in India) consumers can choose their electricity supplier; in this case the consumer has chosen a supplier who supplies power out of RE sources more than the legally required mandate. In Germany, people choose such suppliers on priority. The snapshots of the electricity bill show the sources of power in percentages in the pie chart. The legal requirement for RE in the energy mix is roughly 20%, however this company sources around 27% of its power from RE sources. This shows when the grids are smart, consumers can proactively make sustainable choices. In this case the consumer has chosen a company which supplies power from RE sources much more than what is legally required. With its 'Energiewende' (German for energy transition), Germany has become the model country in the renewable energy space. Germany has created more than 380,000 new jobs, built up the world's leading g r e e n t e c h n o l o g y s e c t o r, a n d h a s r e d u c e d i t s d e p e n d e n c y o n f o s s i l f u e l i m p o r t s . (http://energytransition.de/) This year India is the partner country at the 'Hannover Messe' in Germany, considered as one of the most important industry trade fairs in the world, showing the growing relevance of India and the co-operation that exists between Germany and India not only at policy levels but also at industry levels. "India is an emerging economic giant which is going to open up enormous sales potential for our German and international exhibitors at HANNOVER MESSE" Dr. Jochen Köckler, member of the Deutsche Messe Managing Board (2015). On the official front, the one noteworthy feature is the Indo-German Energy Forum (IGEF). The IGEF is a highlevel bilateral dialogue between decision-makers in Government and Industry under the leadership of the German Federal Ministry of Economic Affairs and Energy (BMWi) and the Indian Ministry of Power (MoP) which meets yearly at the secretary level. 34 Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies On a working level on RE, Germany's Federal Ministry of Environment (BMBU) and India's Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE) meet regularly. Due to the importance of the Green Energy Corridors a specific subgroup has been established to deal with particular issues of large scale renewable energy integration into the Indian grid. A Forum secretariat, under the name of IGEF Support Office, is jointly operated by GIZ, KFW and Indias Bureau of Energy Efficiency BEE. The Support Office, operational in New Delhi and Berlin, provides liaison services for all stakeholders. Possible Areas of collaboration given below for Renewable Energy: ü Storage technologies; Hydrogen and fuel cells ü Smart grids/grid management; Cable technology/management ü Power supply/UPS systems/switching systems ü Energy management/capacitors ü Environmental engineering & resource efficiency ü Transformers and electric filters ü Switching systems/technology; Casings; Testing and measuring equipment ü Power/signal converters; Power electronics, relays ü Decentralized energy supply; Smart Grids; Super Conducting solutions USA and India: An Affirmative Collaboration The United States and India have pledged to enhance our cooperation in the area of climate and energy. The United States has welcomed India's intention to increase the share of renewable energy in electricity generation, consistent with its intended goal to increase India's solar capacity to 100 GW by 2022. The two countries already have a robust program of cooperation, including the U.S.-India Partnership to Advance Clean Energy (PACE) umbrella program, expansion of policy dialogues and technical work on clean energy and low greenhouse gas emissions technologies is on the anvil. Case study 4.1: Go Solar California The California Solar Initiative took the plunge to go all out solar for rooftops by providing various incentives to home owners in 2007. The initiative saw many firsts with a total target for California state set at 1,949 MW by 2016. It today boasts of total of 245,000+ projects and 2,300 MW + of capacity installed. The project also created 36,000 jobs by 2010. The key takeaways from the scheme were clear procedures and the support personnel created locally to take the procedures for the home owners literally making it a turnkey for them. And the net-metering system to feed in extra energy created by the household back to the grid. This enabling environment actually saw the projects grow steadily quarter over quarter. However the case has actually seen business models develop around the incentives provided by the program and offer a lot to learn from them 1. The net metering is actually allowing the households to become net producers of power enabling truly decentralized production. The state added 258.3 megawatts of residential and commercial Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies 35 rooftops during the first half of 2013, and 57.2 megawatts of those didn't receive incentives from the California Solar Initiative. This, in turn, has seen installations being taken up without any subsidies making the business case of solar installation at the granular level (Forbes, 2013). Although, net-metering is having its toll on the grid, making it financially unviable to sustain, a new system is being conceptualized towards a gross metering concept. 2. The falling prices of solar equipment and different incentives given to the business to install solar has actually changed the mix of roof top owners towards non homeowners. Residential solar PV capacity installed in California Solar Initiative program nameplate capacity (megawattsDC) 60 Installed Capacity (MW) owned by homeowner: 50 Yes NO 40 30 20 10 2007 2008 2009 2011 2012 Qtr2 Qtr1 Qtr4 Qtr3 Qtr1 Qtr2 Qtr4 Qtr3 Qtr2 Qtr1 Qtr3 2010 Qtr4 Qtr2 Qtr1 Qtr4 Qtr3 Qtr2 Qtr1 Qtr4 Qtr3 Qtr2 Qtr1 Qtr4 Qtr3 Qtr1 Qtr2 0 2013 Third party ownership models are taking the center stage and home owners are essentially leasing out their roofs to these third party owners who in turn subsidize the electricity being consumed by the household. The homeowner comfortably enjoys low cost electricity without paying for cost and maintenance for the PV. The solar leasing company also receives long term returns from the installation in form of the electricity consumption and can achieve the various RECs and scale benefits which individual house owners could not get (EIA, 2013). 36 Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies Conclusion The narrative of RE has a multitude of dimensions. To give insights to these dimensions this report has included snapshots of an actual electricity bill from Germany – and how it promotes better RE utilization; it also tells us about the role of finance in previous energy transitions and its implications for India; or how a village in Germany has become 100% RE for power generation; or how villages in India are finding investment grade solutions to finance solar power. For RE to be utilized effectively and attain its objectives – the RE ecosystem and more importantly the interdependency amongst the stakeholders has to be understood by all: firms and industries, investors, financial institutions, policymakers, civil society, engineers and researchers. There is also a need to build the pieces together with the support of the society and give access to power for the most deprived section of the society. Viable business models and debt financing will have to take the driver's seat to achieve the India's RE dreams. This report also tells us that India - with its engineers, Information Technology professionals, scientists, quick thinking managers - has the social, cultural and human capital to make the transition to RE possible. And make India an ideal place to invest in RE. Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies 37 References (All websites and web-links accessed in January 2015) Bose, A. (2011). Climate Finance and Financial Gradients: perspectives and methods. International Journal of Regulation and Governance, 11(2), 57-76. Bose, A., Ramji, A., Singh, J., & Dholakia, D. (2012). A case study for sustainable development action using financial gradients. Energy Policy, 47, 79-86. Bridge to India, 2014: Beehives or elephants? How should India drive its solar transformation? CEEW, 2013: Energy Storage for Off-Grid Renewables in India: Understanding options and challenges for entrepreneurs Dixit, A. K., and R. S. Pindyck. 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Geels, F.W., 2005:The Dynamics of Transitions inSocio-technical Systems: A Multi-levelAnalysis of the Transition Pathway fromHorse-drawn Carriages to Automobiles(1860 – 1930), Technology Analysis & Strategic Management. 17 (4) 445 –476 IBA-FICCI-BCG, 2011: Being Five Star in Productivity Roadmap for Excellence in Indian Banking http://www.bcgindia.com/documents/file157356.pdf Edelweiss, 2014: Renewable Energy : The Green Catalyst; http://www.edelresearch.com/common/ShowCategoryLoggedOut.aspx?id=1053# EIA, 2013: http://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.cfm?id=12991 Forbes, 2013: http://www.forbes.com/sites/uciliawang/2013/09/12/report-how-solar-remains-attractivewithout-key-incentives-in-california/ IESA, 2013: Energy Storage in India: Market Overview; http://indiaesa.info/index.php/newsdetails?newsid=21 KPMG, 2013: Indian Banking – The engine for sustaining India's growth agenda http://www.kpmg.com/IN/en/IssuesAndInsights/ArticlesPublications/Documents/KPMG_ICC_Indian_Banki ng_The_engine_for_sustaining_Indias_growth_agenda.pdf Make in India: http://www.makeinindia.com/sector/renewable-energy/ 38 Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies MNRE, 2012: emPOWERing rural India the RE way inspiring success stories; http://mnre.gov.in/filemanager/UserFiles/compendium.pdf MNRE circular, 2014: http://mnre.gov.in/file-manager/UserFiles/CFA-offgrid-decentralised-solarapplications-programme-2014-15.pdf NCPRE (2015): http://www.ncpre.iitb.ac.in/pages/goals_solar_pv_systems_modules.html Nef, J. U.m 1977: Early energy crisis and its consequences. Sci. Am.;(United States), 237, 140-150 O'Rourke, K. H.,2000: Tariffs and Growth in the Late 19th Century, The Economic Journal, 110(April) 456-483 Pathania, R., & Bose, A. (2014). An analysis of the role of finance in energy transitions. Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment, 4(3), 266-271. Power Grid (a2015): http://www.powergridindia.com/_layouts/PowerGrid/User/MediaCoverage.aspx?MCId=76&LangID=english& PId=160 Power grid (b2015): http://www.powergridindia.com/_layouts/PowerGrid/User/ContentPage.aspx?PId=154&LangID=english RBI circular (Jul 15, 2014): RBI/2014-15/127, DBOD.BP.BC.No.25/08.12.014/2014-15 The Solar Alliance, 2011: http://gov.ca.gov/docs/ec/pb1.pdf Verbong, G. P., & Geels, F. W. (2010). Exploring sustainability transitions in the electricity sector with sociotechnical pathways. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 77(8), 1214-1221. Yergin, Daniel, 1991: The Prize: The epic quest for oil, money and power 1991, SIMON AND SCHUSTER ISBN 0671-50248-4 Weblinks: For Gujarat case: http://www.egujarat.net/gg/gandhinagar_solar_rooftop.html http://www.pace-d.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/20140709-1-Case-Study-Gandhinagar-PV-RooftopProgramme.pdf Skill development mission: http://www.skilldevelopment.gov.in/skill-landscape-in-india http://pib.nic.in/newsite/erelease.aspx?relid=64862 For cases and exhibits from Germany: Case on Feldheim - http://www.go100percent.org/cms/index.php?id=70&tx_ttnews%5Btt_news%5D=129 http://www.hannovermesse.de/en/exhibition/partner-country/ http://www.india.diplo.de/Vertretung/indien/en/12__Climate__Development__Cooperation/Energy/Energ y__Cooperation.html For cases and exhibits from USA: http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2015/01/25/fact-sheet-us-and-india-climate-and-cleanenergy-cooperation http://www.gosolarcalifornia.ca.gov/csi/ http://www.gosolarcalifornia.ca.gov/ Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies 39 About YES BANK YES BANK, India's fourth largest private sector Bank, is the outcome of the professional and entrepreneurial commitment, vision and strategy of its Founder, Rana Kapoor, and his top management team, to establish a high quality, customer centric, service driven, private Indian Bank catering to the Future Businesses of India. YES BANK has adopted international best practices, the highest standards of service quality and operational excellence and offers comprehensive banking and financial solutions to all its valued customers. YES BANK has a knowledge driven approach to banking and a superior customer experience for its retail, corporate and emerging corporate banking clients. YES BANK is steadily evolving its organizational character as the 'Professionals' Bank of India with the uncompromising Vision of “Building the Best Quality Bank of the World in India by 2020!” Since inception, YES BANK has received significant national and global recognitions and accolades including the “Global Performance Excellence Award - 2014” in the Services Category by Asia Pacific Quality Organization in Chicago. YES BANK has been declared as “World Class Organization” (top category award) amongst 11 other organizations around the world and is the only Indian bank to win this prestigious global award. TITLE Increasing Renewable Energy Investments in INDIA - Realising Synergies YEAR February, 2015 AUTHORS COPYRIGHT Lead Author: Arnab Bose (Responsible Banking, YES BANK) Co-Author: Himanshu Shekhar (Responsible Banking, YES BANK) No part of this publication may be reproduced in any form by photo, photoprint, microfilm or any other means without the written permission of YES BANK Ltd. This report is the publication of YES BANK Limited (“YES BANK”) and so YES BANK has editorial control over the content, including opinions, advice, statements, services, offers etc. that is represented in this report. However, YES BANK will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by the reader’s reliance on information obtained through this report. This report may contain third party contents and thirdparty resources. YES BANK takes no responsibility for third party content, advertisements or third party applications that are printed on or through this report, nor does it take any responsibility for the goods or services provided by its advertisers or for any error, omission, deletion, defect, theft or destruction or unauthorized access to, or alteration of, any user communication. Further, YES BANK does not assume any responsibility or liability for any loss or damage, including personal injury or death, resulting from use of this report or from any content for communications or materials available on this report. The contents are provided for your reference only. DISCLAIMER The reader/ buyer understands that except for the information, products and services clearly identified as being supplied by YES BANK, it does not operate, control or endorse any information, products, or services appearing in the report in any way. All other information, products and services offered through the report are offered by third parties, which are not affiliated in any manner to YES BANK. The reader/ buyer hereby disclaims and waives any right and/ or claim, they may have against YES BANK with respect to third party products and services. All materials provided in the report is provided on “As is” basis and YES BANK makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, including, but not limited to, warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, title or non – infringement. As to documents, content, graphics published in the report, YES BANK makes no representation or warranty that the contents of such documents, articles are free from error or suitable for any purpose; nor that the implementation of such contents will not infringe any third party patents, copyrights, trademarks or other rights. In no event shall YES BANK or its content providers be liable for any damages whatsoever, whether direct, indirect, special, consequential and/or incidental, including without limitation, damages arising from loss of data or information, loss of profits, business interruption, or arising from the access and/or use or inability to access and/or use content and/or any service available in this report, even if YES BANK is advised of the possibility of such loss. YES BANK Ltd. Registered and Head Office 9th Floor, Nehru Centre, Dr. Annie Besant Road, Worli, Mumbai - 400 018 Tel Fax CONTACTS : +91 22 6669 9000 : +91 22 2497 4088 Northern Regional Office 48, Nyaya Marg, Chanakyapuri, New Delhi – 110 021 Tel : +91 11 6656 9000 Email : [email protected] Website : www.yesbank.in NOTES NOTES Corporate and Registered Office: Nehru Centre, 9th Floor, Discovery of India, Dr. A.B. Road, Worli, Mumbai 400018 www.yesbank.in
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