® The Allstate Corporation Bernstein 2015 Strategic Decisions Conference Thomas J. Wilson: Chairman and Chief Executive Officer May 28, 2015 Forward-Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Information This presentation contains forward-looking statements and information. Additional information on factors that could cause results to differ materially from those projected in this presentation is available in the 2014 Form 10-K, in our most recent earnings release, and at the end of these slides. These materials are available on our website, allstateinvestors.com, under the “Quarterly Investor Info” link. This presentation also contains some non-GAAP measures. You can find the reconciliation of those measures to GAAP measures within our most recent earnings release and investor supplement. These materials are available on our website, allstateinvestors.com, under the “Quarterly Investor Info” link. 1 Bernstein 2015 Strategic Decisions Conference: May 28, 2015 Allstate is an Attractive Investment Opportunity Celebrating 20 Years as an Independent Public Company Competitively differentiated strategy based on: • Customer segmentation • Analytics-based decision making • Advanced technology Attractive returns generated from insurance and investments Auto, homeowners, other personal lines, life insurance, and workplace benefits Over 75,000 Allstate employees, exclusive agency owners, financial specialists and licensed sales producers Total shareholders’ equity has more than doubled Total shareholder return of 625% vs. S&P 500 465% More than $36 billion in cash returned to common shareholders Investment grade fixed income and performance-based equity portfolio Growth through focused customer value propositions and expansion of product and geographic footprint Proactive risk and capital management Long history of cash returns to shareholders 2 Bernstein 2015 Strategic Decisions Conference: May 28, 2015 Deliver the Best Value to Each Customer Segment by Offering Unique Products and Services at a Competitive Price Brand Neutral Brand Neutral, Local Advice Brand Neutral, Self-Directed Simplified… comprehensive protection Confidence… broad coverage Makes insurance easier Personal connection through my agent Option to purchase brands from multiple companies Multiple products in addition to auto Easy and simple processes Local Advice and Assistance SelfServe Brand Sensitive, Local Advice Brand Sensitive, Self-Directed Always treats me with respect… values my relationship Agency knows me… smart about all the risks in my life Best use my hard-earned money… protect what matters most to me Helps me when bad things happen …delivers in a way that fits my life and helps me make smart choices …informative and intuitive tools so I can make smart choices I am able to save time and money I am able to recover quickly… access to information, technology and people Brand Sensitive 3 Bernstein 2015 Strategic Decisions Conference: May 28, 2015 Personal Lines Unit Growth With Attractive Returns The Allstate Brand is driving profitable growth • Allstate Brand auto policy growth is broad-based • Allstate brand homeowners beginning to grow modestly at acceptable returns Auto profitability managed by microsegmentation, broad-based analytics and local execution Allstate Brand Auto & Homeowners Policy in Force Trends (Home #M) 9 (Auto #M) 20.5 8 19.5 7 6 18.5 5 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Auto 2012 2013 2014 Q1 15 Homeowners Allstate Brand Auto Combined Ratio1 (CR) 100 90 80 2007 (1) Allstate 2008 2009 2010 Brand Auto results prior to 2011 and Allstate Brand Homeowners results prior to 2008 are not adjusted for DAC accounting change adopted in 2012 Bernstein 2015 Strategic Decisions Conference: May 28, 2015 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1 15 4 Allstate Brand Homeowners a Competitive Advantage Homeowners underlying combined ratio reduced to cover catastrophe losses • Rate increases • Underwriting sophistication • Reduced size of business by 2 million policies from its peak in 2006 • House & Home policy Allstate Brand Homeowners Combined Ratio x-Catastrophes1 (CR) 80 75 70 65 60 55 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1 15 Allstate Brand Homeowners Combined Ratio1 (CR) 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 2007 (1) Allstate 2008 2009 2010 Brand Auto results prior to 2011 and Allstate Brand Homeowners results prior to 2008 are not adjusted for DAC accounting change adopted in 2012 Bernstein 2015 Strategic Decisions Conference: May 28, 2015 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1 15 5 Create Profitable Growth Using a Local and National Focus Allstate Brand 14 local Market Operating Committees + Canada • Develop and execute local strategies to drive profitable growth • Capabilities include sales, agency support, claims, finance, field product, marketing, corporate relations, and human resources Market Operating Committees focus on local market dynamics within their states to manage profitable growth Allstate Brand Regional Offices • Local market intelligence to identify growth and profit opportunities, and competitor strategies • Approximately 650 rate filings across Allstate Brand product lines in 2014 • Support 130 local claims offices and 850+ drive-in claim locations with national catastrophe response team and centralized process design, technology and analytics • Technology and analytics enhances agency placement and early warning loss trends • Work across regional boundaries and with corporate partners to identify, analyze and respond to emerging trends and issues 6 Bernstein 2015 Strategic Decisions Conference: May 28, 2015 Investing in Sustainable Value Creation Expanding Allstate Exclusive Agency platform • Underpenetrated markets • Leveraging technology and analytics to increase advisory capacity Growing market share • Geographic and product expansion • Investing in customer acquisition to grow segment market share and build brand Expanding In Business Markets • Innovative, broad solutions to protect the business, the business owner and the employees 230,000 local small business owners insured by Allstate 5 million dispatches in 2014 + 3 million policies through worksites $2 billion of brokered business Building connected customer platform • Expanding Allstate Drivewise® and Esurance DriveSense® • Allstate Roadside Services innovation 7 Bernstein 2015 Strategic Decisions Conference: May 28, 2015 Proactive Investment Approach Balances Risk and Return Source of Return Market Performance Market-Based Active • Largely investment-grade fixed income and passive equity • Predictable earnings profile • Highly diversified and lower cost mix Performance-Based Long-Term • Long-term idiosyncratic investments • Invest with best-in-class partners • Actively managed strategies • Takes advantage of short term market opportunities Performance–Based Opportunistic • Leverage investment expertise and research • Liquidity to distressed sellers / markets More Trading Activity Less Trading Activity Market-Based Core (~85%) Individual Asset Performance 8 Bernstein 2015 Strategic Decisions Conference: May 28, 2015 Allstate is an Attractive Investment Opportunity with Significant Growth Potential Competitively differentiated strategy based on: • Customer segmentation Total Cash Return per Common Share Common Dividends Common Share Repurchases • Analytics-based decision making • Advanced technology 10.7% 9.2% 6.3% 8.3% 5.2% Attractive returns Profitable growth 9.4% 2.9% 3.1% 2011 2012 (1) 7.9% 8.9% 3.5% 3.1% 1.5% 1.8% 2013 2014 0.4% Q1 2015 Total Shareholder Return Ending at 5/22/15 Proactive risk and capital management ALL Long history of excellent returns to shareholders S&P P&C S&P 500 149.1% 110.6% 117.2% 118.8% 77.4% 72.1% 17.9% 12.0% 14.6% 1 Year (1) There were five dividend payments in 2012 Bernstein 2015 Strategic Decisions Conference: May 28, 2015 3 Year 5 Year 9 Forward-Looking Statements Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” that anticipate results based on our estimates, assumptions and plans that are subject to uncertainty. These statements are made subject to the safe-harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forwardlooking statements do not relate strictly to historical or current facts and may be identified by their use of words like “plans,” “seeks,” “expects,” “will,” “should,” “anticipates,” “estimates,” “intends,” “believes,” “likely,” “targets” and other words with similar meanings. We believe these statements are based on reasonable estimates, assumptions and plans. However, if the estimates, assumptions or plans underlying the forward-looking statements prove inaccurate or if other risks or uncertainties arise, actual results could differ materially from those communicated in these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, the forward-looking statements include risks related to: (1) adverse changes in the nature and level of catastrophes and severe weather events; (2) impacts of catastrophe management strategy on premium growth; (3) regulatory changes, including limitations on rate increases and requirements to underwrite business and participate in loss sharing arrangements; (4) market convergence and regulatory changes on our risk segmentation and pricing; (5) the cyclical nature of the property and casualty business; (6) unexpected increases in the severity or frequency of claims; (7) reestimates of reserves for claims; (8) adverse legal determinations regarding discontinued product lines and other legal and regulatory actions; (9) changes in underwriting and actual experience; (10) the influence of changes in market interest rates on spread-based products; (11) changes in estimates of profitability on interest-sensitive life products; (12) reducing our concentration in spread-based business and exiting certain distribution channels; (13) changes in tax laws; (14) our ability to mitigate the capital impact associated with statutory reserving requirements; (15) compliance and operational issues relating to dispositions and acquisitions of businesses; (16) market risk and declines in credit quality relating to our investment portfolio; (17) our subjective determination of the fair value of our fixed income and equity securities and the amount of realized capital losses recorded for impairments of our investments; (18) competition in the insurance industry; (19) conditions in the global economy and capital markets; (20) losses from legal and regulatory actions; (21) restrictive regulation and regulatory reforms; (22) the availability of reinsurance at current levels and prices; (23) credit risk of our reinsurers; (24) a downgrade in our financial strength ratings; (25) the effect of adverse capital and credit market conditions; (26) failure in cyber or other information security systems; (27) the impact of a large scale pandemic, the threat of terrorism or military action; (28) possible impairments in the value of goodwill; (29) changes in accounting standards; (30) the realization of deferred tax assets; (31) restrictions on our subsidiaries’ ability to pay dividends; (32) restrictions under the terms of certain of our securities on our ability to pay dividends or repurchase our stock; (33) changing climate conditions; (34) loss of key vendor relationships or failure of a vendor to protect confidential information; and (35) failure to protect intellectual property. Additional information concerning these and other factors may be found in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the “Risk Factors” section in our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made, and we assume no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement. 10 Bernstein 2015 Strategic Decisions Conference: May 28, 2015
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