Laboratory for Paleoclimatology and Climatology North American Subgroup: Human-Environment Interactions Over the Past 13ka Michelle A. Chaput1, Bjoern Kriesche2, Matthew Betts3, Andrew Martindale4, Rafal Kulik5, Volker Schmidt2 and Konrad Gajewski1 1Laboratory for Paleoclimatology and Climatology, Department of Geography, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada K1N 6N5 2Institute of Stochastics, Ulm University, D-89069 Ulm, Germany; 3Canadian Museum of History, Gatineau, QC, Canada K1A 0M8 4Department of Anthropology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada V6T 1Z1; 5Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada K1N 6N5 Introduction These results are part of an ongoing research program documenting past paleodemographic change in North America for the past 13ka. They form the first step toward being able to understand continental-scale human impacts on the North American ecosystem during the Holocene. North American Radiocarbon Data The Canadian Archaeological Radiocarbon Database (CARD) contains 30k culturally-significant radiocarbon dates from which we inferred past population density at 500-year intervals from 13 to 0.5 ka BP using kernel density estimation. The underlying assumption of this approach is that a greater number of dates is indicative of a higher population density when sampling bias, and taphonomic and calibration effects, are accounted for. Our results provide the very first continental-scale spatiotemporal estimates of past demographic growth following the colonization of the Americas. c b Changes in population density (a) based on the spatial (b) and temporal (c) distribution of archaeological radiocarbon dates in the CARD (Chaput et al., 2015, PNAS). a Global Radiocarbon Data The CARD is now evolving into a global radiocarbon database thanks to submissions from researchers from around the world and currently contains > 44k dates, although many more dates exist worldwide that have yet to be entered. These data are crucial to the study of past human-environment interactions at regional to global scales and can be used to validate modelled estimates of human land use and land cover change. d The CARD is freely available to researchers at http://www.canadianarchaeology.ca/. Humans and the Environment The global distribution (d) of published radiocarbon dates (updated from Chaput and Gajewski, 2015, Anthropocene). Quercus 9750 BP Quercus 11250 – 11750 BP We are currently performing a statistical comparison of our population density estimates with spatiallycontinuous vegetation abundance maps we created using pollen data from the Neotoma Paleoecology Database. Using spatial cross-correlation methods, we have found high correlations between changes in population density and the vegetation abundance of specific taxa known to be used by Paleoamericans including Castanea and Quercus. Correlations with taxa such as Picea and Pinus are expectedly low, as these taxa did not directly provide ecosystem services to humans in the past. e f Population 850 – 1350 BP References Chaput, M.A., and Gajewski, K. 2015. Radiocarbon Dates as Estimates of Ancient Human Population Size. Anthropocene, in press. Chaput, M.A., Kriesche, B., Betts, M., Martindale, A., Kulik, R., Schmidt, V. and Gajewski, K. 2015. Spatiotemporal Distribution of Holocene Populations in North America. PNAS 112(39): 12127-12132. Please contact M. Chaput ([email protected] ) with questions. We would like to acknowledge funding from the Ontario Graduate Scholarship, the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada , the Canadian Association of Palynologists and the German Academic Exchange Service. h g By creating spatially-continuous maps of vegetation abundance through time (e) from pollen time series we can compare maps of vegetation change (f) to population change (g) and obtain cross-correlation estimates (h).
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