May 16, 2016 Via Federal eRulemaking Portal: http://www.regulations.gov Public Comments Processing Attn: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service MS: BPHC 5275 Leesburg Pike Falls Church, VA 22041-3803 Re: Safari Club International Comments in Response for Request for Information on Status Review of Petition to Reclassify African Elephants from Threatened to Endangered Status: 81 Fed. Reg. 14058, 14062 (March 16, 2016); FWS-HQ-ES-2016-0010 Dear U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service: Safari Club International (SCI) is strongly opposed to the uplisting of all or any portion of the African elephant species (Loxodonta africana) from threatened to endangered status. The timing of the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service’s (Service) decision-making is irrational and the available scientific data does not support any elevation in the listing status of the African elephant. As African elephants are not in danger of extinction in all or a significant portion of their range, they cannot qualify for endangered status. Safari Club International SCI, a nonprofit IRC § 501(c)(4) corporation, has over 50,000 members worldwide, including many who hunt elephants in Africa and import their legally hunted elephants into the United States. SCI’s missions include the conservation of wildlife, protection of the hunter, and education of the public concerning hunting and its use as a conservation tool. Through their hunting of elephants in Africa, SCI members participate in the conservation of African elephants by generating revenue for elephant management and conservation. Their hunting supports hunting concessions that create jobs, protect elephants against poaching and that provide income to local communities. Hunting gives local communities a reason to conserve elephants and protect them from poachers. The hunting of elephants raises the value of the species for local residents who may otherwise seek to destroy elephants as nuisance animals. SCI is engaged in litigation against the Service to challenge the importation bans that the Service has imposed against the importation of legally-hunted elephants from Zimbabwe and Tanzania. SCI pursues this litigation because of the serious harm the importation bans are having on the SCI Comments on African Elephant Status Review May 16, 2016 Page 2 of 7 elephants in these countries. The bans discourage U.S. hunters from traveling to these countries and from generating revenue that is essential to the continued conservation of elephants and the fight against poaching. The Timing of the Service’s Efforts to Engage in Any Rulemaking Concerning the Uplisting of Elephants is Irrational For the two petitions that prompted the status review announced by the Service on March 16, 2016, the Service did not make its “may be warranted” determination within 90 days. The Service received one of these petitions on February 12, 2015 and the second petition on June 10, 2015. More than a year has passed since the Service’s receipt of the former and close to a year since its receipt of the latter. For the petition submitted on February 12, 2015, the Service violated the statutorily imposed deadline to issue one of the 12-month determinations (not warranted, warranted but precluded, or proposed rule) within one year of receiving a petition upon which it makes a “may be warranted.” 16 U.S.C. § 1533 (b)(3)(B). Despite the fact that it is too late for the Service to avoid violating their Endangered Species Act (ESA) deadlines, the Service appears to be moving forward with a listing determination at a time when doing so makes little sense. The Service chose to engage in the listing process just when multiple major scientific sources are about to release potentially important updates on information crucial to the question of the population and conservation status of African elephants. The Great Elephant Census, the first pan-African survey since the 1970s, is currently underway, and the survey flights are expected to be completed this year, with the final data soon to follow. http://www.greatelephantcensus.com/ In addition, on January 31, 2016, the IUCN finished collecting data for its 2016 Elephant Status Report – the first to be published since 2007. http://www.elephantdatabase.org/add-data. That data has yet to be published. Instead of waiting for the publication of the extremely relevant and imminently available data, the Service appears to be purposely engaging in decision-making before the data is available. The Service’s haste in moving forward gives the appearance that the Service wishes to avoid incorporating these important resources into its listing analysis. By choosing to engage in this rulemaking now, as opposed to a year from now when the most recent and most comprehensive elephant population surveys and analyses will be available, the Service appears to be determined to make listing decisions that rely on data that the Service itself characterizes as out of date. Curiously, at a time when the Service refuses to make a positive enhancement finding for the importation of elephants sport-hunted in Zimbabwe, allegedly in great part due to the age of the data upon which the Service believes Zimbabwe manages its elephant hunting program, the Service itself seems determined to make crucial elephant listing decisions on data of similar quality. Such action is irrational and hypocritical. While the Service might rationalize that it will gain access to these updated sources of information as it continues through the status review process, that solution does not rectify the problem imposed on interested members of the public, who lack the recent data to review and Safari Club International - Washington DC Office 501 2nd Street, NE, Washington, DC 20002 • Phone 202 543 8733 • Fax 202 543 1205 • www.safariclub.org SCI Comments on African Elephant Status Review May 16, 2016 Page 3 of 7 inform their comments on this status review. The Service’s decision to move forward while the release of the information is imminent strikes two blows to those who wish to participate in the public component of the rulemaking process: 1) the inability to use the data to make their comments because the final Great Elephant Census data and IUCN Status Report are not presently available; and 2) the likelihood that the Service will obtain that data and rely on it only after the public has already weighed in on the status review. African Elephants Do Not Qualify as Endangered To qualify as “endangered,” a species must presently be in danger of extinction throughout all or a significant portion of its range. 16 U.S.C. § 1532(6). As the Service has further explained in a recent threatened final rule: The Service has further determined that the phrase “in danger of extinction” can be most simply expressed as meaning that a species is “on the brink of extinction in the wild.” See December 22, 2011, Memorandum from Acting FWS Director Dan Ashe Re: Determination of Threatened Status for Polar Bears [hereinafter the “Polar Bear Memo”]. In at least one type of situation, where a species still has relatively widespread distribution, but has nevertheless suffered ongoing major reductions in numbers, range, or both as a result of factors that have not been abated, the Service acknowledges that no distinct determination exists between “endangered” and “threatened.” In such cases: Whether a species . . . is ultimately an endangered species or a threatened species depends on the specific life history and ecology of the species, the nature of the threats, and population numbers and trends. Even species that have suffered fairly substantial declines in numbers or range are sometimes listed as threatened rather than endangered (Polar Bear Memo, p. 6). Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Threatened Species Status for the Northern Long-Eared Bat With 4(d) Rule, 80 Fed. Reg. 17974, 18020 (April 2, 2015). The best data currently available to the Service demonstrates that neither the species as a whole, nor any significant portion of the species range meets the criteria for an endangered listing. The data currently available to the Service includes the 2013 IUCN Elephant Database Report. Even if it relies on this soon to be outdated source, the Service must still acknowledge that the African elephant population includes 401,732 elephants that the IUCN classifies as “definite,” 71,736 “probable,” 98,895 “possible,” and 62,429 “speculative.” (Note that the four classifications apply to the nature of the survey methods used to count the elephants.) The 2013 IUCN Elephant Database Report explains that several elephant populations not only have not declined, but have grown since 2007. “Elephant populations appear to have increased in South Africa, Namibia and Uganda since the African Elephant Status Report 2007. Id. Safari Club International - Washington DC Office 501 2nd Street, NE, Washington, DC 20002 • Phone 202 543 8733 • Fax 202 543 1205 • www.safariclub.org SCI Comments on African Elephant Status Review May 16, 2016 Page 4 of 7 Southern Africa is the location of almost 70% of the elephants on the continent that the 2013 IUCN Elephant Database classifies as definite. According to that database, the elephant population in Southern Africa experienced only a modest decline between 2007 and 2013 from 297,487 to 278,520. Consequently, the portion of the species’ range that includes the largest population shows significant stability. Even if the Service considers only those elephants in the IUCN’s “definite” category, there would be no support for a finding that the African elephant species is endangered throughout its range. To list African elephants as endangered, the Service would have to determine that a population of over 400,000 elephants, with some populations stable and others increasing in size, is at the “brink of extinction.” SCI is unaware of any other circumstance where the Service has determined that a wide ranging species with a population of over 400,000 animals is “on the brink of extinction.” Regardless of population declines, a species cannot be listed as endangered without an imminent extinction risk. It is even questionable whether at least some African elephant populations should remain listed as threatened. The formal declaration of the Kavango-Zambezi Trans-Frontier Conservation Area (KAZA TFCA) by a treaty signed in 2011 provides significant strategies to ensure the continued growth and protection of a major portion of the Southern African elephant population. KAZA secures habitat and movement corridors for that largest population of African elephants among five countries: Angola, Botswana, Namibia, Zambia and Zimbabwe. The area involved is larger than Germany and Austria combined, and is home to over 200,000 of the Southern Africa population of elephants, which have (theoretical, but increasingly actual) freedom to move among those five countries. http://www.kavangozambezi.org/publications-protocolsThe ineligibility of African elephants for endangered status becomes even more apparent if the Service factors in recently released data from the Great Elephant Census. Although the Census’ final results are not yet available, information about individual country populations has already appeared in several sources. While the Census noted declines in some populations, other very significant populations remain stable or have increased. Zimbabwe’s elephant population, about which the Service expressed such great concern that the Service chose to ban the importation of all legally sport hunted elephants into the United States, has changed very little in the last decade and a half. The Great Elephant Census reports that Zimbabwe’s population declined only 6% since 2001. While not all of Zimbabwe’s elephant populations are faring equally, Zimbabwe’s overall elephant population has not suffered the decline that prompted the Service to ban importation. Largest Wildlife Census in History Makes Waves in Conservation, Wildlife Watch, National Geographic, Paul Steyn, January 4, 2016. http://news.nationalgeographic.com/2016/01/160104-great-elephant-census-vulcan-paul-allenelephants-conservation/. Moreover, the movement of elephants through the KAZA TFCA makes it likely that the “decline” of Zimbabwe’s elephants by 6% over the past 15 years may not indicate a real decline in southern Africa’s elephant population at all, but rather the movement of elephants out of an over-populated area into areas of lower density within the same large Safari Club International - Washington DC Office 501 2nd Street, NE, Washington, DC 20002 • Phone 202 543 8733 • Fax 202 543 1205 • www.safariclub.org SCI Comments on African Elephant Status Review May 16, 2016 Page 5 of 7 ecosystem. This movement of elephants could also mean that individual national surveys of elephants are increasingly less significant, as elephants move between the countries of KAZA. Other Southern African elephant populations similarly demonstrate how African elephants do not qualify for endangered status. For example, Botswana, whose elephant population is the largest on the African continent, has also maintained stable population numbers – estimated in 2014 at 129,939. Id. Namibia’s population grew by more than 70 percent, between 2002 and 2013, from some 9,600 to more than 16,000 elephants. Homegrown African Solutions to Elephant Poaching, National Geographic, A Voice for Elephants, October 25, 2015. http://voices.nationalgeographic.com/2015/10/25/african-seeds-of-hope-amid-the-poachingcrisis/. While the preliminary data from the Great Elephant Census does not reveal only positive news, it shows stability and increases in several key elephant populations. By considering this data, the Service cannot possibly reach the conclusion that the African elephant species is currently in danger of imminent extinction throughout its range. African Elephants Are Not Endangered in a Significant Portion of Their Range A species also qualifies for endangered status if it is in danger of extinction in a significant portion of its range. African elephants do not meet this standard. Before considering the status of particular portions of the species’ range, the Service must first decide whether those portions qualify as significant. The IUCN divided the range of African elephants into four portions: Central Africa, Eastern Africa, Southern Africa and Western Africa. As of 2013, almost 70% of the elephants surveyed by techniques for which the IUCN identified elephant population numbers as definite were located in Southern Africa (278,000 out of 401,650). The 2013 IUCN Elephant Database identified only 12,332 (definite) in Central Africa, and 7,543 (definite) in West Africa. The same database identified the population in Eastern Africa as 89,860 (definite). To determine whether a portion of a species range qualifies as “significant,” the Service evaluates whether the species would, without that portion, qualify as endangered or threatened. 79 Fed. Reg. 37578 (July 1, 2014). In other words, if the absence of that portion would cause the remainder of the species to be in danger of extinction, then that portion qualifies as “significant.” According to the best data available, the largest elephant population, living in Southern Africa, remains stable and in some areas shows evidence of increasing in size. Although this population might qualify as “significant” its status does not meet the criteria for “endangered” status and therefore there is no reason to conduct a significance analysis for the Southern Africa population. Neither the Central nor Western African portions of the species’ range qualify as significant because the complete loss of either of these populations would have little impact on whether the African elephant species as a whole is on the brink of extinction. Similarly, the Eastern African portion of the African elephant’s range would not qualify as significant. The Eastern Africa Safari Club International - Washington DC Office 501 2nd Street, NE, Washington, DC 20002 • Phone 202 543 8733 • Fax 202 543 1205 • www.safariclub.org SCI Comments on African Elephant Status Review May 16, 2016 Page 6 of 7 population, which according to the 2013 IUCN Elephant Database represented approximately 22.5% of the African elephant population, could disappear entirely, yet leave a population of over 310,000 elephants that are components of stable and in some cases increasing populations. Consequently, the fact that the Eastern Africa elephant population (which includes Tanzania) is not faring as well as populations in other portions of the species’ range, provides no reason to uplist the status of elephants. Nothing Positive Can Be Achieved Through Listing the African Elephant As Endangered Although the Service’s statutory obligation to list does not expressly require an assessment of whether listing will have any impact on the conservation status of the species, any analysis that fails to evaluate the listing’s efficacy would be irrational. Unlike other foreign species for which the Service has received uplisting petitions, the African elephant, as a threatened species, already is subject to the majority of the conditions associated with an endangered species. Consequently, an uplisting would not achieve any significant conservation benefit. In fact, to the extent an endangered listing further discouraged conservation through well-managed sport hunting, it would undermine the goals of the Act. For further evidence of the benefits of sport hunting to elephant conservation and anti-poaching efforts, the Service should refer to the administrative record in the cases of Safari Club International v. Jewell, 14-670 & 15-1026 (D.D.C.). The Service promulgated a special 4(d) Rule for elephants that imposes significant restrictions on the importation of legally-sport hunted elephants. For example, the Service already requires positive enhancement findings as a prerequisite to the importation of African elephants from all countries. The Service has recently proposed a permit requirement for the importation of all African elephants and a limitation on the number of elephants that any individual can import into the U.S. In addition, the African Elephant Conservation Act authorizes the Service to establish moratoria on the importation of raw and worked ivory. 16 U.S.C.§ 4222. Recently, the Service proposed modifications to its 4(d) rule to further restrict the importation and trade of ivory. The Service has taken numerous actions to limit the importation of sport-hunted elephants and impose restrictions on the importation and trade of ivory. Other than discouraging conservation through sport hunting, little can be achieved by uplisting of African elephants from threatened to endangered. The status review is an empty exercise that wastes the agency’s and the public’s resources. Conclusion The timing of this status review deprives the Service and the public of the benefit of important data needed for the Service’s consideration and the public’s analysis and comment. The status of elephants, based on the best available data, does not meet the criteria for endangered status. A reclassification will undermine the conservation of the species by range countries and will do nothing to enhance the Service’s ability to conserve the species. For these reasons, Safari Club International recommends that the Service find that the uplisting of the African elephant species as endangered is not warranted. Safari Club International - Washington DC Office 501 2nd Street, NE, Washington, DC 20002 • Phone 202 543 8733 • Fax 202 543 1205 • www.safariclub.org SCI Comments on African Elephant Status Review May 16, 2016 Page 7 of 7 We appreciate the opportunity to comment. Should you have any questions about this letter, please contact Anna M. Seidman, Director of Litigation, Safari Club International at [email protected]. Sincerely, Larry Higgins President, Safari Club International Safari Club International - Washington DC Office 501 2nd Street, NE, Washington, DC 20002 • Phone 202 543 8733 • Fax 202 543 1205 • www.safariclub.org
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