CGPR Monthly

January 2015
CGPR
Volume 26 Number 8
November 2010
GasPriceReporter
Canadian
Inside this month...
January market round-up
Canadian domestic gas markets
Alberta spot gas...........................................................2, 3
• Alb. 1-month spot gas at Empress = $3.6022/GJ (-60¢)
• January Empress-AECO Market Differential =0.4126$/GJ
The January AECO/N.I.T. near month 7A index is
$3.1896/GJ, down -75¢ from December. Same day
spot prices averaged $3.0517/GJ at AECO and
$3.1393/GJ at Empress for December.
Alberta one-year gas..................................................2, 3
Bids & offers for Nov/2015 one-year fixed-price deals
averaged $3.2921/GJ and $3.4051/GJ at AECO/NIT and
Empress respectively.
Empress-AECO NIT differential..............................3, 11
The average Empress-AECO/NIT one-month market
differential for January was 0.4126$/GJ up from
0.2577$/GJ for December.
• Daily AECO/NIT 2A index for December = $3.0406/GJ (-69¢)
• Alberta one year gas at Empress = $3.4051/GJ (-20¢)
• Station 2 one-month spot gas = $2.2719/GJ (-136¢)
• October Alberta Gas Reference Price = $3.58/GJ (-7¢)
• Henry Hub spot price = $3.1890/MMBtu (-110¢)
• U.S. avg. 30-day spot price = $3.15/MMBtu (-119¢)
• December NGX Alberta Market Price = $3.6220/GJ (-8¢)
Export spot gas markets..............................................9
Export price changes at the major export points were:
-119¢ at Malin, -151¢ at Ventura, -152¢ at Chicago,
-153¢ at Emerson, -154¢ at Niagara, -155¢ at Dawn
and +100¢ at Iroquois.
Market outlook
The outlook for daily Alberta spot gas is for prices at
around $2.75-$2.90. One-month prices are expected
to be around the $2.85/GJ range for February gas.
One-year prices are assessed to be $3.30/GJ for
November, 2015 gas. U.S. spot prices are expected to
be in the US$3.00/MMBtu range amid relatively small
storage withdrawals and weak seasonal demand.
U.S. spot gas and futures market............................10
The January Henry Hub futures contract last day
settlement price was $3.189/MMBtu. Spot prices fell 119¢ to an average of $3.15/MMBtu.
Prices appearing herein are based on transactions conducted over
the December 1-31 period. Date of publication is January 2, 2015
UPDATES, CHANGES, ADDITIONS
Tables/Charts
CGPR is now displaying the AB-NIT near-month trading information on a
daily basis for the month on p. 4.
Daily Gas Prices at AECO C & N.I.T & Forward Prices.............................2
Canadian Natural Gas Supply Prices.....................................................3
AB-NIT Near-Month Price Summary....................................................4
Canadian Natural Gas Burner-Tip Prices..............................................4
Canadian Natural Gas Wacogs.............................................................4
Provincial Utility Gas Prices & Distribution Rates..................................5
Domestic & Export Pipeline Tariffs........................................ .............5
Canadian Gas Storage Survey...............................................................6
U.S. Natural Gas Storage Survey...........................................................6
Alberta Natural Gas Reference Price.....................................................6
Export and U.S. Spot Gas Prices...........................................................7
Natural Gas Price Forecast...................................................................8
Canadian Export Prices .......................................................................9
Daily Gas Prices at Empress.................................................................9
U.S. Spot and Futures Prices .............................................................10
NYMEX/Empress Differentials............................................................10
Canadian Natural Gas Derivative Prices..............................................10
Monthly Canadian/U.S. Gas Price Summary........................................11
Canadian and U.S. Spot Gas Price Differentials...................................12
Monthly Natural Gas Price Index Summary.........................................13
Monthly AECO Prices and Dawn Basis ................................................13
Monthly Weather Forecast..................................................................14
NGX Station #2 Daily Spot Gas Price Index.........................................15
Daily Gas Prices at Station 2..............................................................15
Daily Gas Prices at TEP......................................................................15
Daily Gas Price Indices ...............................................................16, 17
Terms for Use of Canadian Gas Price Reporter Data………….….........18
AECO/NIT One-Month Spot Price Index Analysis ..........................Insert
AECO/NIT Daily Spot Price Index Analysis .....................................Insert
Also, in the Monthly Natural Gas Price Index Summary Table on p 13,
the Niagara location has been discontinued and the Enbridge CDA
location has been added.
The Canadian Gas Price Reporter is published monthly by Canadian
Enerdata Ltd., Suite 201, 86 Ringwood Dr., Stouffville, Ontario, Canada
L4A 1C3, Tel (905) 642-8167, Fax (905) 642-5287,
E-mail: [email protected], Website: www.enerdata.com.
© 2014 Canadian Enerdata Ltd. For single User only. Distribution and/or
reproduction, in whole or in part, by any means, including electronically,
e-mail, photocopiers and facsimile machines, is forbidden.
Publisher/Editor: Richard Zarzeczny
Annual Subscription Rate: (Canadian orders add GST, HST)
Canadian Gas Price Reporter Monthly and Daily - $1525
The information contained in this report is obtained from sources considered to be
reliable. However, the information contained herein cannot be guaranteed with
respect to its accuracy or completeness. Canadian Enerdata Ltd. assumes no
responsibility for either the direct or indirect use of the information contained
herein.
1
January 2015
CGPR
Volume 26 Number 8
AECO Same Day and One Month Forward Prices
Alberta spot gas into Nova (C$/GJ)
Current
Last
Last
Month
Month
Year
2.95
3.71
3.43
6.00!
5.00!
4.00!
3.00!
2.00!
1.00!
Ja! Fe! Mr! Ap! Ma! Ju! Jl! Au! Se! Oc! No! De! Ja!
AECO One Month Spot Forward Prices
Month
C$/GJ
US$/MMBtu
Feb-15
2.88
2.63
Mar-15
2.89
2.65
Apr-15
2.76
2.60
May-15
2.76
2.60
Jun-15
2.86
2.70
Jul-15
3.28
2.97
Aug-15
3.06
2.77
Sep-15
2.95
2.67
Oct-15
2.99
2.70
Nov-15
3.12
2.82
Dec-15
3.33
3.01
Jan-16
3.63
3.27
Feb-16
3.69
3.33
Mar-16
3.46
3.12
Apr-16
3.43
3.09
May-16
3.63
3.27
Jun-16
3.73
3.36
Jul-16
4.01
3.61
Aug-16
3.96
3.57
Sep-16
3.75
3.38
Oct-16
3.65
3.28
Nov-16
3.80
3.43
Dec-16
4.08
3.68
Jan-17
4.60
4.10
Source: Canadian Enerdata Ltd.
NGX AB-NIT Same Day Index #
Month
Volume
Number of
December 2014
(TJ/d)
Transactions Low
Monday
1
1913.7
251.0
Tuesday
2
1126.4
159.0
Wednesday
3
1179.5
167.0
Thursday
4
1050.1
141.0
Friday
5
477.7
72.0
Weekend#
1175.2
156.0
Saturday
6
262.8
71.0
Sunday
7
133.6
26.0
Monday
8
1470.1
179.0
Tuesday
9
917.1
135.0
Wednesday
10
995.5
139.0
Thursday
11
1451.8
209.0
Friday
12
402.0
64.0
Weekend#
1438.7
182.0
Saturday
13
674.0
112.0
Sunday
14
132.0
27.0
Monday
15
887.9
136.0
Tuesday
16
1121.0
159.0
Wednesday
17
1293.9
156.0
Thursday
18
1030.1
158.0
Friday
19
697.5
84.0
Weekend#
1773.7
204.0
Saturday
20
498.4
94.0
Sunday
21
340.0
73.0
Monday
22
1718.8
234.0
Tuesday
23
1039.2
148.0
Wednesday
24
613.1
94.0
Weekend#
1273.5
142.0
Thursday @
25
85.5
24.0
Friday @
26
139.5
28.0
Saturday
27
332.8
45.0
Sunday
28
290.0
49.0
Monday
29
1505.0
181.0
Tuesday
30
1208.3
157.0
Wednesday
31
603.1
87.0
Weekend#
1140.5
130.0
1. Tot./Wtd. Avg.**
1A. Arithmetic Avg.**
2. Tot./Wtd. Avg.^
2A. Arithmetic Avg. ^
3. Tot./Wtd. Avg.^^
3A. Arithmetic Avg. ^^
4. Tot./Wtd. Avg.^*
4A. Arithmetic Avg.^*
5. Tot./Wtd. Avg.^**
5A. Arithmetic Avg. ^**
3.5600
3.3750
3.2800
3.1350
3.1000
3.1000
3.3800
3.1800
3.0750
3.0400
3.0850
3.0600
3.1400
3.1400
3.3900
3.2000
3.1700
3.1300
3.1950
3.2200
2.8550
2.8500
2.4500
2.6300
2.4600
2.5900
2.5300
2.5800
2.5000
2.6075
2.7100
2.7600
2.8400
2.8100
2.5400
2.5500
Price ($/GJ)
High
3.8500
3.5000
3.4400
3.2200
3.3900
3.3700
3.5150
3.2900
3.1200
3.1350
3.1300
3.1450
3.2700
3.2450
3.6000
3.2700
3.2900
3.2250
3.2500
3.3200
3.0700
3.1000
2.7500
2.8250
2.7750
2.7400
2.6750
2.7000
2.7000
2.7000
2.8600
2.9500
3.0200
2.9100
2.7400
2.7200
32392.0
4473.0
2.4500
3.8500
25590.4
3659.0
2.4500
3.8500
28900.3
3837.0
2.4600
3.8500
36571.0
4762.0
2.4600
3.8500
40579.2
5175.0
2.4600
3.8500
Avg.*
3.6669
3.4336
3.3415
3.1932
3.2324
3.1642
3.4689
3.2067
3.0969
3.0730
3.1026
3.0863
3.1737
3.1619
3.4877
3.2286
3.2460
3.1638
3.2197
3.2765
3.0021
2.9967
2.6375
2.7304
2.5759
2.6735
2.6094
2.6255
2.6424
2.6615
2.7984
2.8511
2.8589
2.8555
2.6654
2.6659
Avg. Price
US$/MMBtu
3.4103
3.1778
3.1035
2.9624
2.9854
2.9224
3.2039
2.9617
2.8482
2.8385
2.8508
2.8228
2.9018
2.8910
3.1888
2.9519
2.9446
2.8713
2.9210
2.9816
2.7236
2.7187
2.3929
2.4771
2.3342
2.4261
2.3687
2.3834
2.3987
2.4160
2.5403
2.5881
2.5931
2.5973
2.4241
2.4245
3.0517
3.0243
3.0826
3.0406
3.0633
3.0598
3.0272
3.0224
3.0201
3.0202
2.7919
2.7652
2.8221
2.7809
2.8035
2.8001
2.7683
2.7640
2.7613
2.7620
* Weighted average price. Note: Weekend# = NGX 'F3' (Fri, Sat, Sun) instrument. On Long Weekends with a Holiday Monday,
F4' (Fri, Sat, Sun & Mon) instrument will be used ** Includes Weekend# deals.
^ Excludes Weekend# deals. ^^ Includes Weekend# deals and excludes Saturday, Sunday and non-trading day deals determined by NGX.
^*Does not include day deals done during the weekend or on non-trading day deals determined by NGX that fall in conjunction with the weekend,
the #Weekend number is used instead as a proxy for each of the weekend days and statutory holidays.
^**Does not include day deals done on Friday and during the weekend or on non-trading day deals determined by NGX
that fall in conjunction with the weekend, the #Weekend number is used instead as a proxy for each of these days.
@Denotes non-trading day determined by NGX. See applicable "Canadian Enerdata Notification"
# Name change effective November 1, 2007. Previously titled Daily Spot Gas Price at AECO C & Nova Inventory Transfer
2
January 2015
CGPR
Volume 26 Number 8
Canadian Natural Gas Supply Prices
Survey period for January prices
was the entire month of December
January
Low
$/GJ
High
Avg
December
Low
$/Mcf
High
Avg
Low
$/GJ
High
Alberta
Wellhead
Direct (One-Year)*
2.45 - 2.99
2.7523
2.58 - 3.15
2.9038
2.95 - 3.15
Spot (One Month)
2.11 - 3.18
2.6511
2.22 - 3.36
2.7970
3.14 - 3.79
Gath./Proc.
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.32
0.32
0.32
0.30
0.30
Field (Plant Gate)
Direct (One-Year)*
2.75 - 3.29
3.0523
2.90 - 3.47
3.2203
3.25 - 3.45
Spot (One Month)
2.41 - 3.48
2.9511
2.54 - 3.67
3.1135
3.44 - 4.09
NGX AB-NIT Month Ahead Index**
2.64 - 3.73
3.1896
2.79 - 3.93
3.3652
3.67 - 4.33
NGX AB-NIT Bidweek Index**
2.64 - 3.02
2.8517
2.79 - 3.18
3.0087
3.69 - 3.98
TCPL Alberta (ex-Alberta)
Interruptible
0.430
0.430
0.453
0.453
0.411
Firm (100% LF)
0.385
0.385
0.407
0.407
0.365
Border (Empress)
Direct (One-Year)*
Firm (100% LF)
3.13 - 3.58
3.4051
3.31 - 3.77
3.5925
3.50 - 3.71
Interruptible (IT-2)
3.13 - 3.58
3.4051
3.31 - 3.77
3.5925
3.50 - 3.71
Month Average Spot (One Month)**
Firm (100% LF)
2.89 - 4.31
3.6022
3.05 - 4.54
3.8006
3.81 - 5.03
Interruptible (IT-2)
2.89 - 4.31
3.6022
3.05 - 4.54
3.8006
3.81 - 5.03
"Bid-Week" Average Spot (One Month)**
Firm (100% LF)
2.89 - 3.49
3.1773
3.05 - 3.68
3.3522
3.93 - 4.68
Interruptible (IT-2)
2.89 - 3.49
3.1773
3.05 - 3.68
3.3522
3.93 - 4.68
Empress-AECO/NIT Market Differential***
One-Month Spot
0.25 - 0.58
0.4126
0.26 - 0.61
0.4353
0.14 - 0.70
Bidweek Spot
0.25 - 0.47
0.3255
0.26 - 0.50
0.3435
0.24 - 0.70
Saskatchewan
Field (One-Year Direct)
2.93 - 3.38
3.2065
3.10 - 3.56
3.3830
3.33 - 3.54
TransGas Firm
0.20
0.20
0.21
0.21
0.17
TransGas Interruptible
0.24
0.24
0.25
0.25
0.21
Border
Firm
3.13 - 3.58
3.4051
3.31 - 3.77
3.5925
3.50 - 3.71
Interruptible
3.18 - 3.62
3.4472
3.35 - 3.82
3.6370
3.54 - 3.74
British Columbia
Wellhead
One-Month Spot
1.57 - 2.62
1.7219
1.65 - 2.76
1.8167
2.88 - 3.35
Direct (1-Yr to Industrials)
2.98 - 3.53
3.2921
3.15 - 3.73
3.4733
3.48 - 3.68
Gath/Proc. (Westcoast)
0.55
0.55
0.58
0.58
0.55
Pipeline (Westcoast)
Firm
to BC Gas Inland
0.24
0.24
0.26
0.26
0.21
to BC Gas Lower Mainland, Export
0.09
0.09
0.10
0.10
0.10
Interruptible
to BC Gas Inland
0.27
0.27
0.28
0.28
0.21
to BC Gas Lower Mainland, Export
0.10
0.10
0.11
0.11
0.10
Delivered
One-Month Spot
Firm
to BC Gas Inland
2.36 - 3.41
2.5168
2.49 - 3.60
2.6553
3.64
4.11
to BC Gas Lower Mainland, Export
2.21 - 3.26
2.3651
2.33 - 3.44
2.4953
3.53
4.00
Interruptible
to BC Gas Inland
2.30 - 3.44
2.5411
2.42 - 3.63
2.6810
3.61 - 4.11
to BC Gas Lower Mainland, Export
2.45 - 3.27
2.3743
2.58 - 3.45
2.5051
3.76 - 4.00
Direct (One-Year)
Firm
Inland to Industrials
3.78 - 4.33
4.0522
3.99 - 4.57
4.2753
4.24 - 4.44
Lower Mainland to Industrials
3.63 - 4.18
3.9005
3.83 - 4.41
4.1153
4.13 - 4.33
Interruptible
Inland to Industrials
3.71 - 4.35
4.0320
3.92 - 4.59
4.2540
4.21 - 4.44
Lower Mainland to Industrials
3.86 - 4.18
4.0236
4.07 - 4.42
4.2451
4.36 - 4.33
Spot Gas at Station 2 (Month)
2.12 - 3.17
2.2719
2.23 - 3.34
2.3970
3.43 - 3.90
Spot Gas at Station 2 (Bidweek)
2.12 - 2.20
2.1565
2.23 - 2.32
2.2752
3.43 - 3.62
Source: Natural Gas Exchange for NGX AB-NIT Month Ahead Index and NGX AB-NIT Bidweek Index, and CGPR industry survey.
Note: For explanation of pipeline tolls, see p. 5.
* Based on bids/offers for Nov/2015-Oct/2016.
**Names changed effective Nov. 1, 2007. Replaces AECO "C" & N.I.T. One-Month Spot and AECO "C" & N.I.T. "Bid-Week" Spot, respectively.
"Bidweek" is defined as the last five Natural Gas Exchange (NGX) Near Month trading days of the month.
*** Daily average of the market value of the transportation for one-month spot gas between AECO/NIT and Empress. These values
are then averaged for each day and then over the month and over bidweek to arrive at the respective Empress-AECO/NIT Market Differential.
Survey Notes:
1. NGX AB-NIT Month Ahead January One-Month spot price survey volume was 2221.1 TJ/d. Bidweek volume was 583.6 TJ/d.
2. Beginning December, 2000, the Empress one-month and bidweek spot prices are calculated as the sum of the AECO/N.I.T.
one-month & bidweek spot prices plus the Empress-AECO/N.I.T. one-month spot & bidweek transport differentials respectively.
3. Station 2 One-Month spot price survey volume for January was 82.3 TJ/d based on 28 transactions and 4 reporting companies.
Bidweek volume was 70.3 TJ/d based on 22 transactions and 4 reporting companies.
3
Avg
$/Mcf
High
Low
Avg
3.0427
3.4056
0.30
3.11 - 3.32
3.31 - 4.00
0.32
0.32
3.2102
3.5931
0.32
3.3427
3.7056
3.9419
3.8464
3.42
3.63
3.87
3.89
3.63
4.31
4.57
4.19
3.5267
3.9097
4.1590
4.0581
0.433
0.385
0.433
0.385
-
0.411
0.365
3.6006
3.6006
3.70 - 3.91
3.70 - 3.91
3.7988
3.7988
4.1996
4.1996
4.02 - 5.31
4.02 - 5.31
4.4309
4.4309
4.2143
4.2143
4.15 - 4.93
4.15 - 4.93
4.4464
4.4464
0.2577
0.3680
0.14 - 0.74
0.25 - 0.74
0.2719
0.3882
3.4302
0.17
0.21
3.52 - 3.73
0.18
0.22
3.6190
0.18
0.22
3.6006
3.6367
3.70 - 3.91
3.73 - 3.95
3.7988
3.8369
3.0839
3.5746
0.55
3.03 - 3.53
3.67 - 3.88
0.58
3.2537
3.7714
0.58
0.21
0.10
0.22
0.11
0.22
0.11
0.21
0.10
0.22
0.11
0.22
0.11
3.8439
3.7339
3.84 - 4.34
3.72 - 4.22
4.0555
3.9395
3.8439
3.7339
3.80 - 4.34
3.96 - 4.22
4.0555
3.9395
4.3375
4.2275
4.47 - 4.68
4.35 - 4.57
4.5763
4.4602
4.3225
4.3425
3.6339
3.5508
4.44
4.60
3.61
3.61
4.5604
4.5816
3.8340
3.7463
-
4.68
4.57
4.11
3.82
January 2015
CGPR
Volume 26 Number 8
AB-NIT Near Month Summary
Canadian Gas Utility Wacogs
NGX$AB'NIT$Near$Month$Daily$Trading$Summary
Price&(C$/GJ)
Day
Trades Vol&(GJ)
Low
High
01FDecF14
30
99,300
$3.6300
$3.7250
02FDecF14
42
143,500 $3.5400
$3.6400
03FDecF14
28
97,700
$3.4350
$3.5125
04FDecF14
44
203,600 $3.2900
$3.4050
05FDecF14
35
106,300 $3.3350
$3.4775
08FDecF14
15
58,700
$3.2300
$3.2925
09FDecF14
27
87,700
$3.2500
$3.3000
10FDecF14
14
38,500
$3.2950
$3.3500
11FDecF14
14
42,200
$3.2500
$3.3850
12FDecF14
25
119,000 $3.3500
$3.4400
15FDecF14
26
105,400 $3.3300
$3.4600
16FDecF14
35
131,000 $3.2275
$3.2900
17FDecF14
26
56,200
$3.2750
$3.3400
18FDecF14
19
49,500
$3.2950
$3.4200
19FDecF14
38
101,400 $3.0900
$3.1700
22FDecF14
32
98,700
$2.7300
$2.9250
23FDecF14
29
98,800
$2.8200
$2.9000
24FDecF14
34
101,400 $2.7000
$2.8300
26FDecF14
3
21,000
$2.7350
$2.7450
29FDecF14
34
174,500 $2.8500
$3.0150
30FDecF14
50
205,400 $2.8300
$2.9200
31FDecF14
24
81,300
$2.6400
$2.7550
Average
$3.6898
$3.5794
$3.4603
$3.3359
$3.4040
$3.2498
$3.2677
$3.3242
$3.2976
$3.3866
$3.4015
$3.2637
$3.3046
$3.3759
$3.1204
$2.8024
$2.8511
$2.7663
$2.7400
$2.9266
$2.8908
$2.7277
Jan'15
Avg&Price
US$/MMBtu
$3.4316
$3.3127
$3.2138
$3.0948
$3.1439
$2.9888
$3.0184
$3.0544
$3.0161
$3.0964
$3.0856
$2.9620
$2.9981
$3.0720
$2.8310
$2.5395
$2.5872
$2.5112
$2.4873
$2.6545
$2.6294
$2.4807
Weighted$Avg
Arithmetic$Avg
$3.1896
$3.1894
$2.9664
$2.9186
624
624
2,221,100 $2.6400
2,221,100 $2.6400
$3.7250
$3.7250
Canadian Gas Utility Wacogs ($/GJ)
Enbridge Gas Distribution - Jan - Mar 2015*
¢/m3
$/GJ
14.7363
6.3467
21.0830
6.0577
27.1407
3.9099
1.6839
5.5938
1.6072
7.2010
Western Buy/Sell Prices
Average Alberta Border price
Compressor Fuel Charge
3.7410
0.1540
Ontario Buy/Sell Prices
Transportation Tolls
Landed Cost
1.8210
5.7160
Price of Natural Gas
Gas Cost Adjustment
Effective WACOG
Transportation to Enbridge
City-Gate Price
Union Gas Ltd. WACOG Jan 2015*
FT
Centra Gas Manitoba WACOG**
Nov-14
3.7288
Oct-14
3.7352
Jan-15
3.5700
Dec-14
3.7700
Gaz Metro WACOG**
* Updated quarterly
** Updated monthly
Domestic Natural Gas Burner-Tip Prices
Province/City
Service
British Columbia
Vancouver
Firm
Interruptible
Prince George
Firm
Interruptible^
Alberta
Calgary
Firm
Interruptible
Edmonton
Firm
Interruptible^
Saskatchewan
Regina
Firm
Interruptible
Manitoba
Winnipeg
Firm
Interruptible
Brandon
Firm
Interruptible
Ontario
Sudbury
Firm
Interruptible
Toronto
Firm
Interruptible
Sarnia
Firm
Interruptible
Quebec
Montreal
Firm
Interruptible
Spot Gas
Citygate
Price ($/GJ)
Alberta Spot Gas
$/GJ
$/Mcf
Low High
Low High
Alberta. Direct Sales Gas*
$/GJ
$/Mcf
Low High
Low High
Saskatchewan Direct Sales Gas
$/GJ
$/Mcf
Low High
Low High
Utility System Gas**
$/GJ
$/Mcf
Low High
Low High
2.52
2.54
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
5.27
5.40
5.86
5.75
5.53 6.15
5.67 6.04
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
7.95 8.08
7.84 8.02
8.35 8.48
8.23 8.42
2.37
2.37
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
5.43
5.36
6.02
6.05
5.70 6.32
5.63 6.35
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
7.94 8.06
7.83 8.01
8.34 8.47
8.22 8.41
3.39
3.42
3.44
4.59
n/a n/a
3.61 4.82
n/a n/a
3.80
4.39
n/a n/a
3.99 4.61
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
4.37 4.38
n/a n/a
4.59 4.60
n/a n/a
3.39
3.42
3.69
3.72
4.84
4.86
3.87 5.08
3.90 5.11
4.05
4.08
4.63
4.66
4.25 4.86
4.28 4.89
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
4.60 4.61
n/a n/a
4.83 4.84
n/a n/a
3.95
4.41
4.41
5.92
n/a n/a
4.63 6.22
n/a n/a
4.67
5.14
n/a n/a
4.90 5.40
n/a n/a
4.09
4.56
n/a n/a
4.29 4.79
n/a n/a
6.09 6.18
n/a n/a
6.09 6.18
n/a n/a
4.27
5.17
4.22
4.20
5.74
5.72
4.43 6.02
4.41 6.00
4.48
4.46
4.96
4.94
4.71 5.21
4.69 5.18
4.27
4.25
4.75
4.73
4.49 4.98
4.46 4.96
5.78 7.20
5.54 5.75
6.06 7.56
5.82 5.75
4.27
5.17
4.22
4.20
5.74
5.72
4.43 6.02
4.41 6.00
4.48
4.46
4.96
4.94
4.71 5.21
4.69 5.18
4.27
4.25
4.75
4.73
4.49 4.98
4.46 4.96
5.78 7.20
5.54 5.75
6.06 7.56
5.82 5.75
5.17
7.30
5.13
6.48
6.64
8.02
5.38 6.97
6.81 8.42
5.39
6.74
5.86
7.24
5.66 6.15
7.08 7.61
5.17
6.53
5.65
7.03
5.43 5.93
6.86 7.38
5.91 6.84
5.62 5.88
6.21 7.18
5.90 6.17
5.45
7.95
7.03
7.21
8.55
8.72
7.38 8.97
7.57 9.16
7.29
7.47
7.77
7.94
7.66 8.16
7.84 8.34
7.08
7.26
7.33
7.73
7.43 7.70
7.62 8.12
5.98 6.40
5.84 6.26
6.28 6.72
6.13 6.57
5.45
7.95
5.44
5.87
7.36
7.80
5.71 7.73
6.16 8.19
5.70
6.13
6.58
7.03
5.98 6.91
6.43 7.38
5.48
5.92
6.37
6.81
5.76 6.69
6.21 7.15
5.82 6.51
5.73 5.88
6.11 6.83
6.02 6.17
5.45
7.95
7.90
8.61
11.12
10.74
8.29 11.67
9.04 11.28
8.16
8.87
10.34
9.96
8.57 10.85
9.31 10.46
7.95
8.66
10.12
9.75
11.66 13.25
12.00 12.59
12.24 13.91
12.60 13.21
* For British Columbia, this is B.C. direct sales gas.
** Low represents prices for monthly consumption of 88000 GJ, high represents prices for monthly consumption of 5000 GJ, except for
Sudbury interruptible and Sarnia interruptible which are for 88000GJ/m only.
^ Interruptible service on pipeline, firm service on distributor.
Note: All prices include 5% Federal Goods and Services Tax where applicable. Ontario prices include 13%.
4
8.34 10.63
9.09 10.23
January 2015
CGPR
Volume 26 Number 8
Notes…
Provincial Gas Utility Burner-Tip Prices and Distribution Rates
Region/
Major City
Utility/Service
500 GJ/Month
Low
High
Low
$/GJ
Gaz Métro
Firm Service
Interruptible Service
Firm T-Service
Interruptible T-Service
Montreal
Enbridge Gas Distribution
Firm Service
Interruptible Service
Firm T-Service
Interruptible T-Service
Toronto
Union Gas North
Firm Service
Interruptible Service
Firm T-Service
Interruptible T-Service
Sudbury
Union Gas South
Firm Service
Interruptible Service
Firm T-Service
Interruptible T-Service
Sarnia
Centra Gas Manitoba
Firm Service
Interruptible Service
Firm T-Service
Interruptible T-Service
Manitoba
SaskEnergy
Firm Service
Interruptible Service
Firm T-Service
Interruptible T-Service
Saskatchewan
ATCO Gas South
Firm Service
Interruptible Service
Firm T-Service
Interruptible T-Service
Calgary
ATCO Gas North
Firm Service
Interruptible Service
Firm T-Service
Interruptible T-Service
Edmonton
B.C. Gas (L. Mainland)
Firm Service
Interruptible Service
Firm T-Service
Interruptible T-Service
Vancouver
B.C. Gas (Inland)
Firm Service
Interruptible Service
Firm T-Service
Interruptible T-Service
Interior B.C.
High
$/Mcf
Low
5000 GJ/Month
High
Low
High
$/GJ
$/Mcf
Low
88000 GJ/Month
High
Low
High
$/GJ
$/Mcf
15.08
NA
6.06
NA
15.83
NA
6.36
NA
13.25
12.59
4.23
3.56
13.91
13.21
4.44
3.73
11.66
12.00
2.64
2.98
12.24
12.60
2.77
3.13
7.31
NA
3.01
NA
7.68
NA
3.16
NA
6.40
6.26
2.27
2.03
6.72
6.57
2.38
2.14
5.98
5.84
1.83
1.67
6.28
6.13
1.92
1.76
7.46
NA
1.83
NA
7.83
NA
1.92
NA
6.84
NA
1.20
NA
7.18
NA
1.26
NA
5.91
5.62
0.33
1.32
6.76
NA
1.19
NA
7.10
NA
1.25
NA
6.51
NA
0.72
0.80
6.83
NA
0.76
0.84
5.82
5.73
0.34
0.42
8.65
na
1.23
NA
9.08
NA
1.23
NA
7.20
5.75
1.02
0.45
7.56
5.75
1.07
0.47
5.78
5.54
0.39
0.25
6.06
5.82
0.41
0.26
7.48
NA
1.97
NA
7.85
NA
2.07
NA
6.18
NA
0.93
NA
6.18
NA
0.98
NA
6.09
na
0.89
NA
6.09
na
0.93
NA
5.34
NA
NA
NA
5.61
NA
NA
NA
4.38
NA
0.62
NA
4.60
NA
0.65
NA
4.37
NA
0.61
NA
4.59
NA
0.64
NA
5.95
NA
NA
NA
6.25
NA
NA
NA
4.61
NA
0.85
NA
4.84
NA
0.89
NA
4.60
NA
0.84
NA
4.83
NA
0.88
NA
9.26
NA
NA
NA
9.73
NA
NA
NA
8.08
8.02
1.44
1.39
8.48
8.42
1.52
1.46
7.95
7.84
1.30
1.19
8.35
8.23
1.36
1.25
9.25
9.79
NA
NA
9.71
NA
NA
NA
8.06
8.01
1.44
1.39
8.47
8.41
1.52
1.46
7.94
7.83
1.30
1.19
8.34
8.22
1.36
1.25
-
0.00
1.20
-
1.26
-
5.88
-
1.34
-
5.88
-
0.81
6.21
5.90
0.34
1.39
6.11
6.02
0.36
0.44
-
6.17
-
1.41
-
6.17
-
0.85
Note: Rates include applicable G.S.T. or H.S.T.
Domestic and Export Pipeline Transportation Tariffs
$/GJ
TransCanada, Empress, AB to:
Saskatchewan
Firm STFT Min. Tolls (100% LF)
IT Bid Floor (110% LF Firm)
Manitoba
Firm STFT Min. Tolls (100% LF)
IT Bid Floor (110% LF Firm)
Ontario
Western
Firm STFT Min. Tolls (100% LF)
IT Bid Floor (110% LF Firm)
Northern
Firm STFT Min. Tolls (100% LF)
IT Bid Floor (110% LF Firm)
Eastern (S. Ont. & Que.)
Firm STFT Min. Tolls (100% LF)
IT Bid Floor (110% LF Firm)
Export
Emerson 2, MB
Firm STFT Min. Tolls (100% LF)
IT Bid Floor (110% LF Firm)
Niagara Falls, ON
Firm STFT Min. Tolls (100% LF)
IT Bid Floor (110% LF Firm)
Dawn, ON
Firm STFT Min. Tolls (100% LF)
IT Bid Floor (110% LF Firm)
Iroquois, ON
Firm STFT Min. Tolls (100% LF)
IT Bid Floor (110% LF Firm)
TransGas (Sask.)
Short-Term Firm Recpt & Del.
Interruptible to TEP Rcpt & Deli.
$/Mcf
0.344
0.808
0.363
0.852
0.669
1.572
0.706
1.658
1.043
2.450
1.100
2.585
1.572
3.695
1.659
3.898
1.851
4.350
1.953
4.590
0.681
1.600
0.718
1.688
1.862
4.376
1.965
4.617
1.681
3.950
1.773
4.168
1.922
4.517
2.028
4.766
0.199
0.241
0.210
0.254
$/GJ
TransCanada Foothills
Kingsgate Firm Service
Monchy Firm Service
Kingsgate Interruptible Service
Monchy Interruptible Service
0.086
0.098
0.094
0.107
Westcoast Energy South
Firm Commodity Toll
PNG Delivery
0.093
Inland
0.245
Huntingdon
0.411
Interruptible Commodity Toll
PNG Delivery
0.102
Inland
0.269
Huntingdon
0.452
Westcoast Energy North
Firm Short Haul
0.098
Interruptible
0.137
TransCanada Alberta (Nova)
Firm Receipt/Delivery (3 yr. Term)
FT-R Average Receipt Price
0.200
Del. to Empress/McNeill Border
0.385
Interruptible Receipt/Delivery
FT-D Average Receipt Price
0.226
Del. to Empress/McNeill Border
0.430
Alliance Pipeline Canada (U.S.)*
Firm 100% Load Factor Rate
0.974
0.58
Interruptible Rate
0.844
0.50
Trans Quebec Maritimes
Firm (100% LF)
0.498
Interruptible
0.548
* U.S. rates in US$/MMBtu and US$/Mcf, respectively.
5
Notes…
$/Mcf
0.090
0.103
0.099
0.112
0.098
0.258
0.434
0.108
0.284
0.477
0.104
0.145
0.214
0.412
0.242
0.459
1.028
0.890
0.525
0.578
Gaz Métro
Based Rate D1-Rates effective Jan 1, 2010.
Enbridge Gas Distribution
Rates effective October 1, 2010 -500 GJ/M
firm & firm T-service based on rate 6.
5000 GJ/M firm and firm T-service based
on rate 110 assuming a 50% load factor.
5000 GJ/M interr. and interr. T-service
based on rate 145.
88000 GJ/M firm and firm T-service based
on rate 115 assuming a 85% load factor.
88000 GJ/M interr. and interr. T-service
based on rate 170.
Union Gas North
Rates effective from Jul. 1, 2010. -88000
firm serv. assumes 85% load factor. 500
and 5000 GJ/M firm and T-serv. based
on Rate 10. 88000 GJ/M firm & T-serv.
based on Rate 20. Interr. & T-serv. based
on Rate 25 II. Rates 10, 20 and 25 for
northern region. Range reflects min/max.
supply charges. T-serv. rates exclude
storage and load bal.
Union Gas South
Rates effective from Jul. 1, 2010 -500 &
5000 GJ/M firm serv based on rate M2.
88000 GJ/M firm service based on rate M4.
Rate M5A interr. service and T-serv.
depends on no. of days of contract
demand. T-1 interr. service reflects neg.
range. All T-serv. rates exclude storage,
withdrawal and injection costs. Rates
assume 12 month contract.
Centra Gas Manitoba Inc.
Rates effective Jun. 1, 2010. 500 GJ/M firm
based on SGS rate. 5000 GJ/M firm based
on LGS rate. 88000 GJ/M firm and firm Tservice based on HVF rate.
SaskEnergy
Rates effective from July 1, 2010. 5000
GJ/M firm and 88000 GJ/M firm and
interruptible rates are negotiable.
ATCO Gas North & South.
Rates effective Sep. 1, 2010. Current
Commodity Charge is $3.580/GJ. 88000
case assumes 85% load factor. 500 GJ/M
firm based on Low Use Delivery Service.
5000 and 88000 GJ/M firm based on High
Use Delivery Service.
Terasen Gas
Rates effective Jul. 1, 2010. Rates are
based on General Firm Service (Rate 5),
General Interruptible Service (Rate 7), Firm
Transportation (Rate R5 and Interruptible
Transportation (Rate R7).
Source: CGPR survey.
0.53
0.48
TransCanada Mainline:
Firm rates at 100% LF.Approved 2015
Rates, Jan 1/15. No GST included.
Westcoast (Spectra) Energy:
Tolls effective Jan. 1, 2015. Firm
rates at 100% LF. Rates do not
include raw gas transmission &
treatment charges.
TransCanada Alberta:
Interim tolls Jan 1, 2015.
TransCanada Foothills:
Tolls effective Jan. 1, 2015. Tolls
exclude shipper fuel, GST.
TransGas: Rates effective Jan. 1,
2015. Includes all taxes.
TQM: Transportation charge from
Saint-Lazare to Trois Rivieres.
Alliance Pipeline: Rates effective Jan.
1, 2015.
Source: CGPR survey.
January 2015
CGPR
Volume 26 Number 8
U.S. Estimated Working Gas in Storage, Week Ending December 26, 2014
Producing Region (1)
Consuming Region East(2)
Consuming Region West(3)
Total U.S.
This Week Last Week Difference
26-Dec-14 19-Dec-14
Bcf
1099
1096
3
1660
1689
-29
461
461
0
3220
3246
-26
Last Year
Bcf
1063
1511
414
2988
Difference
Bcf
36
149
47
232
Difference
(%)
3.4%
9.9%
11.4%
7.8%
5- Year Avg.
Bcf
1126
1722
453
3301
Difference
Bcf
-27
-62
8
-81
Difference
(%)
-2.4%
-3.6%
1.8%
-2.5%
Source: Energy Information Administration,
(1) Includes Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, New Mexico, Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi.
(2) All states east of the Mississippi River except Mississippi, plus Iowa, Nebraska and Missouri.
(3) All states west of the Mississippi River except the Producing Region and Iowa, Nebraska and Missouri.
Canadian Enerdata Gas Storage Survey* (Bcf)
This Week Last Week
Diff.
26-Dec-14 19-Dec-14
(Bcf)
% Chg
East
221.9
224.0
-2.07
-0.93%
West
307.8
310.4
-2.66
-0.86%
Total
529.7
534.5
-4.73
-0.88%
% Full
82.43
62.84
69.79
Maximum Same Wk Capacity
% Full
Capacity Last Year Last Year Last Year
269.2
148.2
255.7
57.95
489.8
365.6
487.0
75.08
759.0
513.8
742.7
69.18
Source: Canadian Enerdata Ltd.
*Working gas in storage including LNG, Canadian operators of storage and Canadian companies
contracting storage in the U.S and Canada.
EMPRESS/NYMEX DIFFERENTIAL
ALBERTA NATURAL GAS REFERENCE PRICE ($/GJ)
US$/MMBtu
NYMEX
NIT Purchase
Intra-Alta
Marketing
Price Before Pipeline Fuel/
Price
Transport (1) Allowance (2) Pipeline Fact. Loss Factor (3)
Oct-11
Nov-11
Dec-11
Jan-12
Feb-12
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12
Sep-12
Oct-12
Nov-12
Dec-12
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
3.355
3.175
3.099
2.740
2.306
1.995
1.801
1.742
1.922
2.088
2.224
2.110
2.541
3.091
3.171
2.957
2.893
3.058
3.350
3.442
3.361
2.972
2.560
2.352
2.713
3.285
3.450
3.841
5.456
5.145
4.436
4.438
4.389
4.201
3.845
3.861
3.795
3.705
3.622
0.152
0.152
0.152
0.150
0.150
0.150
0.150
0.149
0.149
0.149
0.149
0.149
0.149
0.149
0.149
0.164
0.164
0.164
0.163
0.164
0.164
0.164
0.164
0.180
0.180
0.180
0.181
0.181
0.181
0.180
0.180
0.180
0.180
0.179
0.179
0.179
0.180
0.180
0.180
-
3.203
3.023
2.947
2.590
2.156
1.845
1.651
1.593
1.773
1.939
2.075
1.961
2.392
2.942
3.022
2.793
2.729
2.894
3.187
3.278
3.197
2.808
2.396
2.172
2.533
3.105
3.269
3.660
5.275
4.965
4.256
4.258
4.209
4.022
3.666
3.682
3.615
3.525
3.442
0.990
0.991
0.990
0.990
0.990
0.991
0.988
0.992
0.989
0.989
0.990
0.987
0.988
0.987
0.986
0.988
0.987
0.986
0.986
0.989
0.991
0.990
0.990
0.987
0.985
0.985
0.984
0.986
0.986
0.988
0.990
0.989
0.991
0.990
0.990
0.990
0.989
0.990
0.990
REFERENCE
PRICE(4)
3.171
2.990
2.918
2.564
2.134
1.828
1.631
1.580
1.753
1.918
2.054
1.936
2.363
2.904
2.980
2.759
2.694
2.853
3.142
3.242
3.168
2.780
2.372
2.144
2.495
3.058
3.217
3.609
5.201
4.905
4.213
4.211
4.171
3.982
3.629
3.645
3.575
3.490
3.408
The Alberta Natural Gas Reference Price is a monthly weighted average field price for Alberta gas delivered for consumption
in or exported from Alberta, reduced by transportation and marketing allowances, and adjusted for pipeline fuel/loss.
As of Jan 2011, it is the Nova Inventory Transfer (NIT) Purchase Price defined as the Alberta Market Price (AMP) from NGX).
(1) The Intra-Alberta Transportation deduction is the monthly NOVA cost of service divided by total NOVA receipt quantities.
As of Jan 2011, this is the NOVA (TCPL Allberta) 3-yr. firm service receipt rate for royalty locations.
(2) The Marketing Allowance deduction is a weighted average rate determined by the Dept of Energy. Eliminated Jan 2011.
(3) The Pipeline Fuel/Loss Factor is NOVA's ratio of net receipts after fuel and losses to total receipts.
(4) The price for the two most recent months are preliminary and subject to adjustments.
6
Close
EMPRESS DIFFERENTIAL
3.58
-0.79
3.43
-0.43
3.22
-0.54
2.95
-0.54
2.93
-0.43
2.59
-0.49
2.11
-0.57
1.90
-0.55
1.45
-0.74
1.50
-0.54
2.02
-0.41
2.06
-0.71
2.41
-0.60
2.31
-0.32
2.31
-0.32
3.08
-0.39
3.28
-0.41
2.95
-0.40
2.97
-0.25
2.91
-0.51
3.24
-0.74
3.26
0.07
3.41
-0.73
2.97
-0.74
2.57
-0.89
2.25
-1.32
2.43
-1.06
3.24
-0.25
3.24
-0.58
3.76
-0.65
4.16
-1.40
5.51
0.65
4.67
0.09
4.39
-0.41
4.28
-0.34
4.31
-0.09
3.61
-0.20
3.68
-0.27
3.57
-0.41
3.42
-0.31
3.86
-0.42
3.26
0.07
Aug-11
Aug
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan-12
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan-13
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan-14
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan-15
Average
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
4.37
3.86
3.76
3.52
3.36
3.08
2.68
2.45
2.19
2.04
2.43
2.77
3.01
2.63
2.63
3.47
3.70
3.35
3.23
3.43
3.98
3.19
4.15
3.71
3.46
3.57
3.50
3.50
3.82
4.41
5.56
4.86
4.58
4.80
4.62
4.40
3.81
3.96
3.98
3.73
4.28
3.19
6.14
8.62
7.23
6.86
9.03
3.99
4.39
4.04
2.76
5.35
7.15
6.27
6.22
7.90
3.62
3.90
3.52
2.25
-0.78
-1.46
-0.96
-0.64
-1.09
-0.36
-0.50
-0.49
-0.50
2013
2014
2015YTD
3.62
4.41
3.19
2.95
4.10
3.26
-0.67
-0.31
0.07
January 2015
Canadian Export and U.S. Spot Gas Prices
CGPR
Volume 26 Number 8
Canadian Natural Gas*
Canada/U.S.
Border Export
Point
Huntingdon,
Sumas, WA
Kingsgate/East
Kingsgate, BC/
Eastport, ID
Kingsgate, BC/
Eastport, ID
United States Natural Gas*
Border Price
Curr.
Low
High
Avg.
Pipeline
Corridor
Pipeline
Rates^
Min. Max
Delivered Price
Curr.
Low
High
Avg.
Last
Avg.
3.14
3.05
3.40
3.05
3.24
3.05
4.68
4.24
Northwest
PGT/Northwest
0.08 0.28
0.21 0.41
3.32
3.36
3.68
3.46
3.50
3.41
3.05
3.05
3.05
4.24
PGT
0.18 0.42
3.35
3.47
3.41
2.78
2.78
2.78
4.10
PGTNorthwestEl Paso
0.13 0.13
0.08 0.28
0.27 0.27
3.36
3.36
3.36
4.60
Northern BorderNorthern Natural
Great Lakes
Viking
0.33
0.35
0.07
0.05
0.33
0.35
0.07
0.05
4.01
0.07
0.05
4.01
3.63
3.62
4.01
3.61
3.60
5.52
5.15
5.13
Northern Border
Northern BorderNorthern Natural
Viking
VikingANR
Great Lakes
0.33
0.33
0.35
0.05
0.05
0.04
0.19
0.33
0.33
0.35
0.05
0.05
0.28
0.19
3.66
3.66
3.66
5.17
4.01
0.05
4.01
3.62
4.01
3.60
5.52
5.13
0.21
0.19
3.90
3.76
2.05
3.74
5.35
5.27
Northern Border- 0.33
Northern Natural- 0.35
ANR
0.04
Viking0.05
ANR
0.04
Great Lakes0.19
ANR
0.04
Alliance Pipeline 0.63
0.33
0.35
0.28
0.05
0.28
0.19
0.28
0.63
3.33
4.84
Monchy, SK/
3.33
Port of Morgan,
Emerson, MB/
Noyes, MN
3.33
3.57
3.55
5.08
Monchy, SK/
3.33
Port of Morgan,
3.33
3.33
4.84
Emerson, MB/
Noyes, MN
3.57
3.55
5.08
Monchy, SK/
3.33
Port of Morgan,
3.33
3.33
4.84
Emerson, MB/
Noyes, MN
3.57
3.55
5.08
Alliance, BC/AB 3.05
3.05
3.05
4.58
Iroquois, ON
Niagara Falls,
Sable Island
Niagara Falls,
8.19
8.19
8.19
2.74
3.30
3.21
4.94
4.94
4.94
2.74
3.30
3.21
7.19
4.75
4.74
4.75
2.89
4.31
3.60
4.20
Empress,
Last
Avg.
Delivered Price Pipeline
Curr. Last Rates^
Low High Avg. Avg. Min. Max
Pacific
Northwest
3.27 3.40 3.32 4.54 0.08 0.28
(WA, OR)
Northern
4.63 California (Bord) 3.35 3.36 3.36 4.61 0.46 0.46
4.94
4.63
4.17
4.28
4.22
5.73
0.21
3.90
2.05
5.35
0.35
3.68
4.04
3.68
2.19
3.68
5.49
5.20
0.22
0.22
1.45
0.26
8.41
2.96
6.29
3.00
8.41
3.52
6.39
3.56
8.41
3.24
6.34
3.47
7.35
4.89
6.14
5.00
TransCanada
1.93
Foothills to
0.10
Northern Border- 0.33
Northern Natural- 0.35
ANR to MichCon
St. Clair to Union 0.04
TCPL to Emerson- 0.71
Viking to ANR- 0.05
ANR to MichCon
St. Clair to Union 0.04
1.93
0.11
0.33
0.35
4.82
6.23
5.53
6.12
0.28
0.71
0.05
3.91
5.47
4.69
5.49
0.28
3.76
5.38
4.57
5.38
Pipeline
Corridor
Northwest
Supply Price
Supply Basin
Curr. Last
Low High Avg. Avg.
San Juan
3.09 3.12 3.09 4.31 (Rockies)
El Paso/PITCO
3.04 3.05 3.04 4.30
San Juan
(Rockies)
Southern
California
(Border)
3.29 3.32 3.29 4.50 0.20 0.20
3.20 3.21 3.21 4.46 0.16 0.16
3.29 3.34 3.32 4.55 0.27 0.27
Kern River
El Paso
El Paso
3.09 3.12 3.09 4.31
3.04 3.05 3.04 4.30
3.02 3.07 3.05 4.28
San Juan
(Rockies)
Texas
Upper Plains
(ND, SD, MN)
3.45 3.56 3.54 4.56 0.49 0.49
Northern Natural
2.96 3.07 3.05 4.07
Anadarko
(TX, OK)
3.45 3.56 3.54 4.56 0.49 0.49
Northern Natural
2.96 3.07 3.05 4.07
Anadarko
(TX, OK)
3.14 3.32 3.18 4.50 0.02 0.23
3.34 3.42 3.40 4.57 0.32 0.32
ANR
Panhandle
3.02 3.09 3.06 4.34
3.02 3.09 3.07 4.25
Northern NaturalANR
ANR
Panhandle
NGPL
Trunkline
ANR
TennesseeMidwestern
NGPL
2.96 3.07 3.05 4.07
Upper Midwest
Iowa
Wisconsin
Wisconsin
Wisconsin/
Michigan
Michigan
Lower Midwest
0.49 0.49
(IL, IN)
3.61 3.84 3.73 4.78 0.04 0.28
0.22
0.22
1.35
0.26
Iroquois
Tennessee
M&NE/Portland
Tennessee
Demand
Region
3.18
3.51
3.20
3.44
3.27
New England
Southern
Ontario
3.28
3.56
3.33
3.45
3.33
4.56
4.74
4.36
4.54
4.43
0.04
0.49
0.23
0.31
0.04
0.26
3.30 3.41 3.36 4.41 0.09
3.19 3.39 3.33 4.45 0.23
New York/
New Jersey
3.37
3.58
3.40
3.49
3.39
0.28
0.49
0.32
0.31
0.28
0.26
0.09
0.32
3.56 3.67 3.65 4.67 0.60 0.60
3.21 3.24 3.22 4.68 0.12 0.12
3.56 3.67 3.65 4.67 0.60 0.60
Tennessee
CNG
Tennessee
3.94 4.00 3.95 5.03 0.45 0.45 Trunkline/Panhandle
ANR to MichCon to
3.60 3.73 3.67 4.75 0.04 0.28 St. Clair to Union Gas
4.07 4.14 4.11 5.19 0.60 0.60
Tennessee
ANR to MichCon to
3.50 3.71 3.60 4.89 0.04 0.28 St. Clair to Union Gas
3.02
3.02
2.97
3.13
3.11
2.96
3.09
3.09
3.08
3.18
3.11
3.07
3.06
3.07
3.06
3.14
3.11
3.05
4.34
4.25
4.08
4.23 Louisiana
4.21 Gulf Coast
4.07 S. Texas
2.96 3.07 3.05 4.17
2.96 3.07 3.05 4.07 S. Texas
3.09 3.12 3.10 4.57 Appalachia
2.96 3.07 3.05 4.07 S. Texas
3.13 3.18 3.14 4.23
Louisiana
Gulf Coast
3.11 3.11 3.11 4.21
3.10 3.16 3.12 4.23
Anadarko
3.02 3.09 3.06 4.34
* All gas prices and pipeline rates are in U.S. $/MMBtu except for Southern Ontario where Canadian gas prices and pipeline rates and the delivered price of U.S. gas are in C$/GJ.
^ Interruptible transportation rates including all relative surcharges, such as GRI, ACA and Take-or-Pay surcharges, and fuel costs. In some cases, discount rates are used.
Source: Enerdata price survey and pipeline contacts.
7
Anadarko
(TX, OK)
January 2015
CGPR
Volume 26 Number 8
NATURAL GAS PRICE FORECAST
C$/GJ
Year
Actual
2013
2014
2015
2016
Annual
Average
Percent
Change
Trading
Month
Near Month
Bidweek
AECO (C$/GJ)
Daily 2A
Daily 4A
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2.88
2.92
3.28
3.49
3.44
3.07
2.59
2.35
2.45
3.31
3.20
3.66
4.23
5.64
4.47
4.49
4.35
4.38
3.80
3.83
3.87
3.59
3.94
3.19
2.88
2.89
2.76
2.76
2.86
3.28
3.06
2.95
2.99
3.12
3.33
3.63
3.69
3.46
3.43
3.63
3.73
4.01
3.96
3.75
3.65
3.80
4.08
4.60
2.87
3.01
3.39
3.49
3.48
2.99
2.49
2.41
2.50
3.30
3.40
3.74
4.63
5.92
4.53
4.60
4.41
4.29
3.69
3.86
3.93
3.47
3.85
2.85
2.88
2.89
2.76
2.76
2.86
3.28
3.06
2.95
2.99
3.12
3.33
3.63
3.69
3.46
3.43
3.63
3.73
4.01
3.96
3.75
3.65
3.80
4.08
4.60
2.91
2.91
3.26
3.52
3.41
3.13
2.67
2.25
2.05
3.08
3.23
3.69
4.06
6.98
5.03
4.53
4.34
4.47
3.90
3.74
3.78
3.49
3.73
3.04
2.85
2.82
2.71
2.69
2.77
3.15
3.02
2.89
2.92
3.03
3.22
3.50
3.60
3.41
3.35
3.52
3.63
3.88
3.88
3.70
3.58
3.70
3.95
4.43
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2.28
3.05
4.15
3.04
3.82
2.29
3.09
4.17
3.04
3.82
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
33.8
35.8
-26.7
25.5
35.2
34.9
-27.0
25.5
US$/MMBtu
Daily 5A
Empress
One Month
Spectra
Sation 2
Dawn
Emerson
Niagara
Export Points
Iroquois
Parkway
Huntingdon
Chicago
Henry Hub
Spot
2.89
2.92
3.29
3.50
3.40
3.12
2.65
2.26
2.00
3.11
3.25
3.69
4.06
7.16
5.01
4.52
4.34
4.47
3.90
3.76
3.78
3.50
3.73
3.02
2.86
2.82
2.71
2.69
2.77
3.14
3.02
2.89
2.92
3.03
3.22
3.50
3.60
3.42
3.35
3.52
3.63
3.88
3.88
3.70
3.58
3.70
3.95
4.42
2.89
2.92
3.29
3.50
3.40
3.12
2.65
2.26
1.99
3.11
3.25
3.69
4.06
7.17
5.01
4.52
4.34
4.47
3.90
3.76
3.78
3.49
3.73
3.02
2.86
2.82
2.71
2.69
2.77
3.14
3.02
2.89
2.92
3.03
3.22
3.50
3.60
3.42
3.35
3.52
3.63
3.88
3.88
3.70
3.58
3.70
3.95
4.42
2.83
2.85
3.13
3.40
3.36
2.97
2.51
2.26
2.39
3.22
3.26
3.81
4.41
5.81
4.92
4.57
4.43
4.40
3.74
3.81
3.81
3.67
4.20
3.60
3.13
3.14
3.01
3.01
3.11
3.39
3.16
3.05
3.10
3.23
3.43
3.73
3.80
3.56
3.53
3.73
3.83
4.11
4.07
3.86
3.75
3.91
4.18
4.70
2.76
2.81
3.21
3.31
3.55
2.91
2.58
2.55
2.49
3.33
3.31
3.67
4.39
5.57
4.26
4.30
4.18
4.08
3.41
3.57
3.53
3.18
3.55
2.16
2.57
2.61
2.50
2.49
2.57
2.92
2.76
2.66
2.69
2.80
2.97
3.22
3.30
3.11
3.07
3.23
3.33
3.56
3.53
3.36
3.26
3.39
3.62
4.06
3.49
3.80
4.33
4.52
4.54
4.06
3.98
4.07
3.80
3.79
3.99
4.88
7.93
11.88
5.32
4.96
4.86
4.66
3.95
4.08
4.11
3.96
5.06
3.51
3.17
3.12
3.06
3.08
3.10
3.37
3.18
3.12
3.19
3.32
3.50
3.71
3.85
3.54
3.48
3.70
3.84
4.16
4.14
3.96
3.89
4.07
4.32
4.72
3.53
3.61
4.00
4.19
4.20
3.79
3.71
3.76
3.62
3.70
3.96
4.76
5.96
10.20
5.11
4.79
4.54
4.52
3.88
4.03
4.06
3.88
5.08
3.55
2.84
2.79
2.77
2.78
2.87
3.13
2.95
2.86
2.91
3.04
3.22
3.45
3.55
3.30
3.25
3.45
3.57
3.84
3.82
3.64
3.55
3.71
3.96
4.36
3.54
3.85
4.23
4.34
4.44
3.96
3.88
3.91
3.70
3.69
3.89
4.78
7.82
11.78
5.21
4.86
4.76
4.56
3.85
3.66
3.72
3.65
6.11
6.02
3.22
3.16
3.11
3.12
3.14
3.42
3.23
3.16
3.23
3.37
3.55
3.77
3.91
3.59
3.53
3.75
3.90
4.23
4.20
4.02
3.95
4.13
4.39
4.79
5.45
4.86
4.91
4.94
4.94
4.20
4.07
4.08
3.86
4.27
6.89
8.53
12.60
11.34
6.08
4.92
4.90
4.56
3.82
3.56
3.58
4.10
7.19
8.19
7.39
7.27
7.15
7.18
7.23
7.87
7.42
7.27
7.43
7.75
8.16
8.66
8.98
8.25
8.12
8.63
8.97
9.71
9.65
9.24
9.07
9.49
10.08
11.00
3.80
3.86
4.37
4.55
4.55
4.09
4.00
4.08
3.82
3.86
4.11
5.02
8.05
12.06
5.32
4.93
4.84
4.64
3.92
4.07
4.11
4.05
5.14
3.58
3.18
3.13
3.08
3.09
3.11
3.39
3.19
3.13
3.20
3.34
3.52
3.73
3.87
3.55
3.50
3.72
3.87
4.19
4.16
3.98
3.91
4.09
4.35
4.75
3.57
3.47
3.93
3.92
3.93
3.47
3.25
3.19
3.18
4.28
4.35
4.89
5.19
5.86
4.38
4.53
4.29
4.36
3.69
3.85
3.90
3.62
4.68
3.24
3.85
3.91
3.87
3.85
3.98
4.34
4.09
3.94
3.99
4.15
4.40
4.77
4.88
4.60
4.54
4.78
4.92
5.26
5.22
4.97
4.82
5.00
5.35
5.93
3.47
3.57
4.17
4.34
4.22
3.75
3.55
3.68
3.65
3.71
3.90
4.82
8.41
11.70
5.09
4.86
4.69
4.59
3.91
4.02
4.10
3.80
5.21
3.69
3.11
2.98
2.97
2.99
3.09
3.36
3.19
3.12
3.18
3.32
3.50
3.72
3.87
3.57
3.49
3.71
3.86
4.18
4.18
4.00
3.92
4.09
4.36
4.76
3.33
3.31
3.81
4.17
4.07
3.83
3.62
3.43
3.62
3.68
3.65
4.24
4.71
6.00
4.90
4.66
4.58
4.59
4.05
3.91
3.92
3.78
4.12
3.53
2.97
2.86
2.85
2.87
2.96
3.22
3.05
2.98
3.05
3.18
3.35
3.57
3.70
3.41
3.34
3.55
3.70
4.01
4.00
3.83
3.75
3.92
4.17
4.56
2.27
3.01
4.26
2.96
3.72
2.26
3.01
4.27
2.96
3.72
2.26
3.01
4.27
2.97
3.72
2.20
3.00
4.28
3.21
3.92
2.26
3.04
3.85
2.73
3.40
3.13
4.10
5.36
3.25
3.97
2.93
3.90
4.97
2.97
3.67
3.17
4.02
5.50
3.29
4.04
3.65
5.08
6.24
7.57
9.27
3.20
4.18
5.39
3.26
4.00
2.79
3.79
4.30
4.10
5.02
2.91
3.90
5.34
3.22
4.00
2.77
3.73
4.40
3.08
3.83
32.7
41.5
-30.4
25.5
32.8
42.0
-30.6
25.5
32.8
42.0
-30.6
25.5
36.5
42.7
-25.1
22.2
34.3
26.6
-29.1
24.6
31.0
30.5
-39.4
22.4
33.3
27.3
-40.2
23.4
26.9
36.9
-40.1
22.5
39.2
22.7
21.4
22.4
30.5
29.1
-39.5
22.6
35.8
13.5
-4.6
22.5
34.0
36.8
-39.8
24.4
34.6
17.9
-30.0
24.5
Source: Canadian Energy Trends Monthly, Canadian Enerdata Ltd.
8
January 2015
CGPR
Volume 26 Number 8
Canadian Export Price Indices
January 2015
Total
Volume
(MMBtu/d)
Prices (US$/MMBtu)
January
January
December
High
Index*
Index*
Number
January
Export Point
of Deals
Low
N. BORDER/N. NATURAL/NGPL/ALLIANCE
Ventura
0.0
0
3.660
3.660
3.660
Chicago^^
10.0
1
3.689
3.689
3.689
Alliance Delivered^
0.0
0
3.679
3.679
3.679
PACIFIC GAS TRANSMISSION
ABC^
0.0
0
2.700
2.700
2.700
Kingsgate^
0.0
0
3.050
3.050
3.050
Stanfield^
0.0
0
3.120
3.120
3.120
Malin
10.0
2
3.170
3.170
3.170
PG&E Citygate
2.5
1
3.440
3.440
3.440
KERN RIVER PIPELINE
Kern River Stn. (SoCal)
0.0
0
3.340
3.340
3.340
Kern River Stn. (PG&E)
0.0
0
3.053
3.053
3.053
TRANSCANADA PIPELINES
Emerson^^
3.5
3
3.539
3.569
3.548
Parkway^^
4.8
2
3.200
3.689
3.583
Dawn Bidweek^^
323.4
119
3.140
3.589
3.510
Dawn Month^^*
1559.0
472
3.140
3.849
3.670
Iroquois^^
0.2
1
8.189
8.189
8.189
Niagara^
0.0
0
2.740
3.299
3.210
WESTCOAST/NORTHWEST PIPELINE
Huntingdon#
213.8
57
3.140
3.400
3.245
TENNESSEE/PORTLAND PIPELINE
Dracut^
0.0
0
6.190
6.190
6.190
* Weighted (by volume) average prices of trades done during bidweek (last 5 U.S. trading days of the month).
**To obtain Monchy price, net back Ventura price quote. A firm Northern Border rate of 33¢ (includes fuel charge) is used.
Source: Canadian Enerdata Ltd. survey.
^ No actual deals reported. Prices based on bids and offers.
^^ Indicates that reported "basis" and/or "transport" transactions were included in the calculation of the index.
^^* Based on trades over the entire month.
# Formerly Sumas/Huntingdon.
NGX$ALBERTA$MARKET$PRICE*$
Volume
Price
December'2014
TJ
Billion'Btu
C$/GJ
US$/MMBtu
1
16171
15327
3.9033
3.6303
2
15795
14971
3.8146
3.5303
3
15618
14803
3.7708
3.5021
4
15566
14754
3.7300
3.4603
5
16208
15363
3.6974
3.4150
6
16117
15276
3.6995
3.4170
7
16075
15236
3.6919
3.4100
8
16304
15453
3.6736
3.3785
9
16278
15428
3.6621
3.3827
10
16288
15438
3.6682
3.3706
11
16972
16086
3.6516
3.3400
12
17133
16239
3.6676
3.3532
13
17577
16660
3.6718
3.3573
14
17141
16247
3.6727
3.3581
15
16239
15392
3.7197
3.3742
16
16582
15717
3.7031
3.3608
17
17265
16364
3.6854
3.3436
18
17480
16568
3.6908
3.3586
19
18260
17307
3.6116
3.2767
20
18248
17296
3.5790
3.2471
21
18272
17319
3.5790
3.2471
22
17928
16992
3.5160
3.1861
23
17507
16593
3.5129
3.1876
24
18523
17557
3.4588
3.1397
25
18142
17195
3.4780
3.1571
26
18325
17368
3.4715
3.1511
27
18572
17603
3.4652
3.1455
28
18577
17608
3.4670
3.1471
29
18109
17164
3.5289
3.2008
30
18363
17405
3.5325
3.2132
31
18726
17749
3.4820
3.1667
Total/Avg
534362
506477
3.6220
3.3098
Source:'Natural'Gas'Exchange.
*'The'NGX'Alberta'Market'Price'is'a'volume'weighted'average
of'transacted'prices'for'all'physically'delivered'natural'gas'in'a'
calendar'month'at'the'Alberta'ABVNIT'market'centre.'
Prices'are'preliminary.'A'final'index'price'is'calculated'in'C$/GJ
when'all'physical'deliveries'have'been'completed'for'the'specified'
month'(delivery'month).'
Daily Spot Gas Price at Empress
Month
December 2014
Low
Monday
1
3.7000
Tuesday
2
3.5450
Wednesday
3
3.4400
Thursday
4
3.2900
Friday
5
3.2500
Weekend#
3.2600
Saturday
6
3.5400
Sunday
7
3.3400
Monday
8
3.2350
Tuesday
9
3.2150
Wednesday
10
3.2750
Thursday
11
3.2300
Friday
12
3.3125
Weekend#
3.3025
Saturday
13
3.5525
Sunday
14
3.3625
Monday
15
3.3325
Tuesday
16
3.3000
Wednesday
17
3.3700
Thursday
18
3.3925
Friday
19
3.0325
Weekend#
3.0400
Saturday
20
2.6400
Sunday
21
2.8200
Monday
22
2.6500
Tuesday
23
2.7600
Wednesday
24
2.6900
Weekend#
2.7000
Thursday @
25
2.6200
Friday @
26
2.7275
Saturday
27
2.8300
Sunday
28
2.8800
Monday
29
2.9600
Tuesday
30
2.9800
Wednesday
31
2.7100
1. Tot./Wtd. Avg.**
1A. Arithmetic Avg.**
2. Tot./Wtd. Avg.^
2A. Arithmetic Avg. ^
3. Tot./Wtd. Avg.^^
3A. Arithmetic Avg. ^^
Price ($/GJ)
High
4.1500
3.7150
3.6400
3.4125
3.5675
3.5700
3.7150
3.4900
3.3200
3.3450
3.4100
3.3475
3.4700
3.4450
3.8000
3.4700
3.4900
3.4250
3.4500
3.5100
3.2650
3.3600
3.0100
3.0850
3.0350
2.9500
2.8650
2.8800
2.8800
2.8800
3.0400
3.1300
3.2000
3.1300
2.9400
2.6200
4.1500
2.6200
4.1500
2.6500
4.1500
Diff.
5.170
5.212
5.202
-1.510
-1.523
-1.523
3.890
4.240
4.310
4.360
4.760
-1.190
-1.190
-1.190
-1.190
-1.320
4.657
4.370
-1.317
-1.317
5.082
5.138
5.061
4.955
7.186
4.748
-1.534
-1.556
-1.551
-1.285
1.003
-1.538
4.682
-1.437
5.990
0.200
Avg.*
3.8681
3.6297
3.5228
3.3648
3.3982
3.3333
3.6380
3.3758
3.2660
3.2566
3.3109
3.2753
3.3637
3.3502
3.6760
3.4169
3.4343
3.3556
3.4100
3.4617
3.1884
3.2071
2.8479
2.9408
2.7863
2.8651
2.7860
2.7961
2.8130
2.8321
2.9690
3.0217
3.0295
3.0535
2.8463
3.1393
3.2197
3.2708
3.2259
3.1330
3.2464
Avg. Price
US$/MMBtu
3.5975
3.3593
3.2719
3.1216
3.1386
3.0786
3.3600
3.1179
3.0037
3.0081
3.0422
2.9957
3.0755
3.0631
3.3610
3.1241
3.1154
3.0454
3.0937
3.1501
2.8927
2.9096
2.5837
2.6680
2.5249
2.5999
2.5290
2.5382
2.5536
2.5709
2.6952
2.7430
2.7479
2.7774
2.5886
2.8724
2.9442
2.9943
2.9502
2.8675
2.9707
* Weighted average price. Weekend# are deals done on Friday for Friday, Saturday and Sunday.
** Includes Weekend# deals. ^ Excludes Weekend# deals. ^^ Includes Weekend deals and excludes
Saturday, Sunday and statutory holiday. Note: Weekend deals include Fridays, Saturday, Sunday and
Statutory holiday Monday. Source: Daily Spot Gas Price at Empress are "NGX AB-NIT Same Day
Index" prices plus "NGX AB-NIT - TCPL-Empress Transport Day Ahead Index" prices.
9
January 2015
CGPR
Volume 26 Number 8
U.S. spot gas and futures market report
U.S. Market Commentary
The NYMEX February contract fell 20.5¢ to settle at $2.889/MMBtu Wednesday but is trading up 7.7¢ this morning. The February WTI crude oil contract is trading at $52.74/bbl this morning, down 53¢. Last year at this time, the February gas contract settled at $4.321/MMBtu. Natural gas futures prices dropped after U.S. storage again fell much less than expected last week. Working gas in storage was 3,220 Bcf as of Friday, December 26, according to EIA estimates, for a net decline of 26 Bcf from the previous week. Analysts surveyed by First Enercast Financial were expecting a decline of 47 Bcf. The 26 Bcf decrease compares with last year’s 108 Bcf drop and the 5-­‐year average decrease of 114 Bcf. Stocks are 232 Bcf higher than last year at this time and 81 Bcf below the 5-­‐year average of 3,301 Bcf. U.S. average spot (US$/MMBtu)
Current
Last
Last
Month
Month
Year
3.15
4.34
4.39
5.80!
4.80!
3.80!
2.80!
1.80!
Ja! Fe! Mr! Ap! Ma! Ju! Jl! Au! Se! Oc! No! De! Ja!
NYMEX Futures (US$/MMBtu)
Current
Ist Forward 2nd Forward
Month
Month
Month
4!
3.75!
3.5!
3.25!
3!
2.75!
2.5!
2.25!
1!
2!
3!
4!
5!
6!
7!
8!
9!
10! 11! 12! 13!
Canadian Natural Gas Derivative Prices
Fixed Floating Swap Price
C$/GJ
AECO
Feb15
Mar15
Feb15-Oct15 RGY
Feb15-Mar15 RWB
Bid
Offer
Bid
2.615
2.578
2.560
2.596
2.635
2.598
2.580
2.616
2.915
2.738
2.704
2.826
December 31, 2014
NYMEX Differential
US$/MMBtu
Empress
Offer
2.935
2.758
2.724
2.846
Prices are for indication purposes only.
Source: Canadian Enerdata survey
10
AECO
Empress
Offer
Bid
Offer
Bid
-0.493
-0.534
-0.610
-0.513
-0.511
-0.552
-0.628
-0.531
-0.220
-0.388
-0.480
-0.304
-0.238
-0.406
-0.498
-0.322
January 2015
CGPR
Volume 26 Number 8
Monthly Canadian and U.S. natural gas price summary
Month
Ja14
Canada/U.S. Exchange Rate (1)
0.9405
U.S. Natural Gas Prices
Spot Price (2)
C$/GJ
4.43
US$/MMBtu
4.39
Nymex Futures Prices US$/MMBtu (3)
Henry Hub Close
4.4070
Henry Hub Close (C$/GJ)
4.4682
Henry Hub 3-Day Average Close
4.4187
Henry Hub Average Close (Spot Month)
4.2380
Canadian Export Gas Prices
Spot (Interruptible) Price (4)
C$/GJ
6.84
US$/MMBtu
6.79
Long-Term (Firm) Price (5)
C$/GJ
4.85
US$/MMBtu
4.81
Export Price at St. Stephens, NB (5A)
C$/GJ
24.93
US$/MMBtu
24.74
Canadian Domestic Gas Prices
Alberta Gas Reference Price (6)
C$/GJ
3.61
US$/MMBtu
3.58
NGX Alberta Market Price (6A)
C$/GJ
3.84
US$/MMBtu
3.81
Alberta Spot Price - Empress (7)
C$/GJ
3.8050
US$/MMBtu
3.7756
NGX AB-NIT Month Ahead Index (7A)
C$/GJ
3.6599
US$/MMBtu
3.6316
NGX AB-NIT Bidweek Index (7A1)
C$/GJ
3.7393
US$/MMBtu
3.7104
Alberta Daily Spot Price Averages (7A2) De13
NGX AB-NIT Same Day Index (2A)
C$/GJ
3.6904
US$/MMBtu
3.6586
NGX AB-NIT Same Day Index (4A)
C$/GJ
3.6888
US$/MMBtu
3.6572
NGX AB-NIT Same Day Index (5A)
C$/GJ
3.6879
US$/MMBtu
3.6563
Alberta, B.C., Saskatchewan Prices
Ja14
Empress-AECO C/N.I.T. Market Diff. (7AA)
C$/GJ
0.1451
US$/MMBtu
0.1440
B.C. Spot Price - Station 2 Month (7B)
C$/GJ
3.6571
US$/MMBtu
3.6289
B.C. Spot Price - Station 2 Bidweek (7C)
C$/GJ
3.6665
US$/MMBtu
3.6382
Alberta One-Year Price (8)
C$/GJ
3.5841
US$/MMBtu
3.5564
AECO/NIT One-Year Price (8A)
C$/GJ
3.5810
US$/MMBtu
3.5534
Saskatchewan Provincial Gas Price (PGP) (9)
C$/GJ
3.71
C$/m3
140.16
Aggregator NetBack Gas Prices (10 (11) No13
PanAlberta Netback Price (12)
C$/GJ
na
US$/MMBtu
na
ProGas Netback Price (13)
C$/GJ
2.9471
US$/MMBtu
2.9775
Weighted Average Netback Price (14)
C$/GJ
2.9471
US$/MMBtu
2.9775
Footnotes are on p. 12.
YTD Average
Annual Averages
Fe14
0.9029
Mr14
0.9016
Ap14
0.9069
Ma14
0.9120
Ju14
0.9179
Jl14
0.9375
Au14
0.9158
Se14
0.9153
Oc14
0.8952
No14
0.8834
De14
0.8815
Ja15
0.8527
2015
0.8527
2014
0.9405
2014
0.9092
2013
0.9723
2012
1.0021
2011
1.0157
2010
0.9679
2009
0.8736
2008
0.9558
2007
0.9312
2006
0.8849
2005
0.8232
5.73
5.46
5.65
5.37
4.74
4.53
4.86
4.68
4.64
4.49
4.44
4.40
3.89
3.76
4.08
3.94
4.15
3.92
3.86
3.60
4.66
4.34
3.50
3.15
3.50
3.15
4.43
4.39
4.59
4.41
3.52
3.61
2.60
2.74
3.73
4.00
4.23
4.32
4.01
3.69
8.19
8.26
6.53
6.42
7.11
6.64
9.31
8.09
5.5570
5.8717
5.1457
4.4908
4.8550
5.1157
5.1320
5.2067
4.5840
4.8040
4.4657
4.4984
4.7950
5.0143
4.7157
4.5708
4.6190
4.7575
4.5097
4.5616
4.4000
4.4652
4.4960
4.6048
3.8080
3.9164
3.7787
4.0812
3.9570
4.0847
3.9350
3.8764
3.9840
4.2156
3.9553
3.9129
3.7280
3.9349
3.6460
3.8261
4.2820
4.5703
4.2330
4.1954
3.1890
3.5159
3.0753
3.6204
3.1890
3.5159
3.0753
3.6204
4.4070
4.4682
4.4187
4.2380
4.4147
4.6015
4.3693
4.3386
3.6524
3.5640
3.6664
3.6542
2.7893
4.0416
4.3925
3.9862
9.0348
6.8603
7.2263
8.6157
2.8025
2.8070
4.0739
4.1193
4.4193
4.4898
4.0338
4.2121
8.9479
9.0208
6.9185
7.1288
7.2608
7.5389
8.5526
8.4165
8.94
8.52
8.01
7.62
4.65
4.45
4.45
4.28
4.44
4.30
4.05
4.01
3.74
3.61
3.83
3.70
3.72
3.51
3.52
3.28
4.86
4.52
3.86
3.47
3.86
3.47
6.84
6.79
5.09
4.88
3.34
3.43
2.40
2.54
3.58
3.83
3.98
4.07
4.03
3.71
8.22
8.29
6.57
6.45
6.90
6.44
8.88
7.72
5.04
4.80
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
4.95
4.78
4.35
4.49
na
na
4.21
4.32
3.60
3.80
4.62
4.95
4.42
4.51
4.29
3.95
7.50
7.57
6.63
6.51
6.86
6.41
8.44
7.33
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
24.93
24.11
-
na
na
3.61
3.70
2.89
3.06
4.63
4.96
4.81
4.92
4.70
4.33
9.82
9.90
5.21
4.96
4.91
4.67
4.22
4.03
4.17
4.02
4.17
4.04
3.98
3.94
3.63
3.51
3.65
3.52
3.58
3.38
3.49
3.26
3.41
3.17
4.00
3.85
2.83
2.90
na
na
2.83
2.90
2.14
2.26
3.28
3.53
3.57
3.65
3.65
3.36
7.47
7.54
5.89
5.78
6.23
5.82
6.99
6.08
5.46
5.20
5.15
4.90
4.44
4.24
4.44
4.27
4.39
4.25
4.20
4.16
3.8447
3.7148
3.8607
3.7283
3.7949
3.5842
3.7051
3.4533
3.6220
3.3686
4.2280
4.0670
3.0326
3.1108
na
na
3.03
3.11
2.31
2.44
3.47
3.73
4.4017
4.1931
5.8080
5.5248
4.9180
4.7057
4.5742
4.4013
4.4281
4.2883
4.3774
4.3298
3.7437
3.6172
3.8061
3.6755
3.8088
3.5974
3.6663
3.4171
4.1996
3.9058
3.6022
3.2407
3.6022
3.2407
3.8050
3.7756
4.2947
4.1198
2.9173
2.9925
2.1687
2.2929
3.2794
3.5143
3.8211
3.9023
3.9643
3.6537
7.8035
7.8695
6.3737
6.2620
6.7338
6.2870
8.1840
7.1081
4.2266
4.0263
5.6386
5.3637
4.4675
4.2746
4.4905
4.3208
4.3454
4.2082
4.3751
4.3275
3.7968
3.6685
3.8310
3.6996
3.8674
3.6527
3.5913
3.3472
3.9419
3.6661
3.1896
2.8695
3.1896
2.8695
3.6599
3.6316
4.1860
4.0155
2.9965
3.0738
2.2752
2.4055
3.4837
3.7332
3.9132
3.9963
3.9220
3.6148
7.7042
7.7693
6.2646
6.1548
6.6215
6.1822
8.0390
6.9822
4.6301
4.4107
Ja14
5.9237
5.6349
Fe14
4.5295
4.3340
Mr14
4.5971
4.4234
Ap14
4.4059
4.2668
Ma14
4.2885
4.2418
Ju14
3.6902
3.5655
Jl14
3.8582
3.7258
Au14
3.9268
3.7088
Se14
3.4659
3.2303
Oc14
3.8464
3.5773
No14
2.8552
2.5687
De14
2.8552
2.5687
3.7393
3.7104
4.2418
4.0690
3.0206
3.0985
2.2651
2.3948
3.4801
3.7294
3.8749
3.9572
3.8183
3.5192
7.7202
7.7855
6.1397
6.0321
6.4448
6.0171
8.0668
7.0063
4.0572
3.9194
6.9772
6.6544
5.0347
4.7840
4.5278
4.3460
4.3411
4.2034
4.4662
4.3515
3.9022
3.8368
3.7379
3.6095
3.7807
3.6228
3.4939
3.2872
3.7324
3.4770
3.0406
2.7809
4.2577
4.0727
3.0098
3.0827
na
na
3.0098
3.0827
2.2671
2.3945
3.4386
3.6751
3.7936
3.8808
3.7644
3.4821
7.7277
7.7566
6.1040
5.9447
6.1727
5.7321
4.0554
3.9172
7.1580
6.8275
5.0120
4.7624
4.5192
4.3377
4.3432
4.2052
4.4728
4.3580
3.9018
3.8366
3.7567
3.6277
3.7804
3.6226
3.4900
3.2835
3.7257
3.4783
3.0224
2.7640
4.2698
4.0851
3.0086
3.0813
na
na
3.0086
3.0813
2.2641
2.3911
3.4298
3.6656
3.7963
3.8835
3.7478
3.4662
7.7148
7.7433
6.1132
5.9541
6.1927
5.7506
4.0582
3.9199
Fe14
7.1862
6.8546
Mr14
5.0071
4.7578
Ap14
4.5183
4.3368
Ma14
4.3429
4.2049
Ju14
4.4711
4.3563
Jl14
3.9005
3.8353
Au14
3.7567
3.6276
Se14
3.7799
3.6221
Oc14
3.4847
3.2785
No14
3.7277
3.4802
De14
3.0202
2.7620
Ja15
4.2711
4.0863
3.0084
3.0811
na
na
3.0084
3.0811
2.2624
2.3893
3.4029
3.6636
3.7944
3.8816
3.7452
3.4637
7.7133
7.7419
6.1122
5.9531
6.1910
5.7490
0.1751
0.1694
0.4505
0.0837
0.0827
0.0023
-0.0531 -0.0249 -0.0586
0.0750
0.2577
0.4126
0.4126
0.1451
0.1087
-0.0792 -0.1065 -0.2043 -0.0921
0.0423
0.0994
0.1091
0.1123
0.1668
0.1611
0.4311
0.0805
0.0801
0.0023
-0.0513 -0.0240 -0.0553
0.0699
0.2397
0.3712
0.3712
0.1440
0.1043
-0.0812 -0.1126 -0.2189 -0.0940
0.0389
0.1002
0.1071
0.1048
0.1259
4.2284
4.0280
5.4987
5.2306
4.2574
4.0736
4.3030
4.1404
4.1664
4.0349
4.0787
4.0343
3.4081
3.2930
3.5712
3.4487
3.5346
3.3384
3.1878
2.9711
3.6339
3.3796
2.2719
2.0439
2.2719
2.0439
3.6571
3.6289
3.9604
3.7991
2.9604
3.0368
2.2429
2.3714
3.1898
3.4183
3.7271
3.8062
3.8410
3.5401
7.6954
7.7605
6.0781
5.9716
6.1555
5.7471
7.8023
6.7766
4.3850
4.1772
5.5436
5.2733
4.2574
4.0736
4.3031
4.1405
4.1774
4.0455
4.0787
4.0343
3.4071
3.2920
3.5712
3.4487
3.5329
3.3368
3.1832
2.9669
3.5508
3.3024
2.1565
1.9401
2.1565
1.9401
3.6665
3.6382
3.9714
3.8096
2.9652
3.0417
2.2376
2.3658
3.1897
3.4182
3.7757
3.8559
na
na
3.7180
3.5418
3.9970
3.8021
4.1540
3.9746
4.2727
4.1113
4.1516
4.0206
4.1145
4.0697
3.7288
3.6029
3.7160
3.5885
3.7353
3.5279
3.4755
3.2393
3.6006
3.3487
3.4051
3.0634
3.4051
3.0634
3.5841
3.5564
3.8540
3.6970
3.4126
3.5007
2.8833
3.0484
3.6726
3.9357
4.6696
4.7687
5.9480
5.4820
8.3450
8.4155
7.6227
7.4891
8.6248
8.0524
8.5084
7.3899
3.7079
3.5322
3.9769
3.7830
4.1190
3.9412
4.2394
4.0792
4.1286
3.9983
4.1129
4.0681
3.7571
3.6302
3.7585
3.6296
3.7526
3.5443
3.4109
3.1790
3.5746
3.3245
3.2921
2.9617
3.2921
2.9617
3.5810
3.5534
3.8433
3.6867
3.4367
3.5253
3.0352
3.2090
3.8195
4.0931
4.7048
4.8047
5.8640
5.4046
8.2394
8.3091
7.5161
7.3844
8.4969
7.9331
8.3644
7.2648
5.32
200.99
De13
5.38
203.26
Ja14
4.38
165.48
Fe14
4.33
163.59
Mr14
4.28
161.70
Ap14
4.10
154.90
Ma14
3.68
139.03
Ju14
3.71
140.16
Jl14
3.65
137.90
Au14
3.53
133.36
Se14
3.94
148.73
Oc14
3.19
120.34
No14
3.19
120.34
3.71
140.16
4.17
157.44
2.90
109.69
2.14
80.72
3.32
125.48
3.68
138.92
3.58
135.21
7.3915
####
5.6601
####
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
-
-
-
-
2.5481
2.6788
3.5560
3.8118
3.8475
3.7784
4.0035
3.5570
7.3047
7.7440
6.1191
5.7058
6.7851
6.3010
7.2234
6.2466
3.4034
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
-
2.9471
-
2.4424
1.7846
3.2082
3.8068
4.0148
7.5110
6.2721
6.8745
7.4575
3.3768
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
-
2.9775
-
2.5486
1.8762
3.4390
3.7385
3.5670
7.9626
5.8485
6.3841
6.4491
3.4034
3.3768
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
-
2.9471
2.9775
-
2.4317
2.5374
2.3663
2.4878
3.4540
3.7025
3.8341
3.7653
3.9993
3.5532
7.5281
7.9808
6.2296
5.8088
6.8130
6.3270
7.4388
6.4329
11
0.1450
January 2015
CGPR
Volume 26 Number 8
Footnotes to Monthly Canadian and U.S. natural gas prices table p. 11
(1) Mid-market noon day rate for first business day of the month from Bank of Canada. (2) Numerical average of prices reported by Canadian Enerdata Ltd. (3) Closing price of the near month
contract. Henry Hub Close (C$/GJ) is calculated by converting the Henry Hub Close to C$/GJ using the US$/C$ noon day Bank of Canada rate of the day of close and dividing by 1.055056. 3-Day
Avg. Close is the average of the last 3 trading days of the near month contract. Average Close is the average of the near month contract when it was the prompt month. (4) Average Alberta
border price from National Energy Board (to October), Canadian Gas Price Reporter survey (November-pres). (5) Average Alberta border price for Alberta gas from National Energy Board. (5A)
Weighted average border price for gas exported at St. Stephen's, New Brunswick from National Energy Board. (6) Average field price for all Alberta gas sales from Alberta Dep't. of Energy. Most
recent 2 months are Canadian Enerdata Ltd. estimates. (6A) The NGX Alberta Market Price is a volume close weighted average of transacted prices for all physically delivered natural gas in a
calendar month at the Alberta AB-NIT market centre. (7) Weighted average Alberta border Empress price from Canadian Gas Price Reporter survey. Effective December, 2000, this is calculated as
Item 7A plus Item 7AA. (7A) Name change effective November 1, 2007. Previously titled, Alberta Spot Price - AECO C/N.I.T. (7A). See p. 13. Weighted average price of Month Ahead AB-NIT
trades done on NGX during the previous month. (7A1) Name change effective Nov. 1, 2007. Previously titled, Alberta Bidweek Spot Price - AECO C/N.I.T. (7A1). See p. 13. Weighted average price
of Month Ahead AB-NIT trades done on NGX during Bidweek, defined as the last 5 Canadian business days of the month. (7A2) Names changed effective Nov. 1, 2007. See p. 13 for previous
names. Arithmetic averages of the NGX Same-Day daily gas price for the month. (7AA) Enerdata surveys market participants for a daily average of the market value of the transportation for onemonth spot gas between AECO/NIT and Empress. These values are then averaged for each day and then over the month to arrive at the respective Empress-AECO/NIT Market Differential. (7B)
Weighted average (of transactions done during the previous month) one-month spot price at Station 2 on the Spectra Energy system in B.C. from CGPR survey. Station 2 One-Month spot price
survey volume for January was 82.3 TJ/d based on 28 transactions and 5 reporting companies. (7C) Weighted average (of transactions done during Bidweek defined as the last 5 Canadian
business days of the month) one-month spot price at Station 2 on the Spectra Energy system in B.C. from CGPR survey. Bidweek volume was 70.3 TJ/d based on 22 transactions and 5 reporting
companies. (8) Average Alberta border (Empress) price for Alberta 12-month Nov/2014 gas from CGPR survey. (8A) Average AECO/NIT price for Alberta 12-month Nov/2014 gas. (9) Average
Price into TCPL from Canadian Gas Price Reporter survey. (10) (11) Cargill prices are no longer available as of January 2009. (12) PanAlberta NIT/Field Delivery Price after fees. (13) ProGas
Netback Price. No longer available as of Jan. 2012. (14) Weighted average Cargill (when available), Pan-Alberta, ProGas NIT equivalent netback price.
Note: As of February, 1999, the conversion rate of 1.055056 (instead of 1.0546) is used to convert $/GJ to $/MMBtu.
Basis Differentials for One-Month Spot Gas
US$/MMBtu
AECO
Empress
NYMEX HH avg NYMEX HH 3-day
AECO
2.870
-0.371
-0.751
Empress
0.371
3.241
-0.380
NYMEX HH Average Close
0.751
0.380
NYMEX HH 3-day Avg. Close
0.206
Sumas
Kingsgate
January 2015
Sumas
Kingsgate
Ventura
Emerson
Niagara
Iroquois
Dawn
-0.206
-0.375
-0.180
-0.790
-0.678
-0.340
-5.319
-0.641
-0.244
-0.275
0.165
-0.004
0.191
-0.419
-0.307
0.031
-4.948
-0.269
0.127
0.096
3.620
0.545
0.376
0.570
-0.040
0.073
0.410
-4.569
0.110
0.506
0.475
-0.165
-0.545
3.075
-0.169
0.025
-0.585
-0.472
-0.135
-5.114
-0.435
-0.039
-0.070
0.375
0.004
-0.376
0.169
3.245
0.195
-0.415
-0.303
0.035
-4.944
-0.266
0.131
0.100
0.180
-0.191
-0.570
-0.025
-0.195
3.050
-0.610
-0.498
-0.160
-5.139
-0.460
-0.064
-0.095
Ventura
0.790
0.419
0.040
0.585
0.415
0.610
3.660
0.112
0.450
-4.529
0.150
0.546
0.515
Emerson
0.678
0.307
-0.073
0.472
0.303
0.498
-0.112
3.548
0.338
-4.641
0.037
0.434
0.403
Niagara
0.340
-0.031
-0.410
0.135
-0.035
0.160
-0.450
-0.338
3.210
-4.979
-0.300
0.096
0.065
Iroquois
5.319
4.948
4.569
5.114
4.944
5.139
4.529
4.641
4.979
8.189
4.679
5.075
5.044
Dawn
0.641
0.269
-0.110
0.435
0.266
0.460
-0.150
-0.037
0.300
-4.679
3.510
0.396
0.365
U.S. Gulf Coast
0.244
-0.127
-0.506
0.039
-0.131
0.064
-0.546
-0.434
-0.096
-5.075
-0.396
3.114
-0.031
U.S. Average
0.275
-0.096
-0.475
0.070
-0.100
0.095
-0.515
-0.403
-0.065
-5.044
-0.365
0.031
3.145
C$/GJ
AECO
Empress
Sumas
Kingsgate
Ventura
Emerson
Niagara
Iroquois
Dawn
AECO
3.190
-0.413
-0.835
-0.229
-0.417
-0.201
-0.879
-0.754
-0.378
-5.913
-0.712
-0.272
-0.306
Empress
0.413
3.602
-0.422
0.184
-0.004
0.212
-0.466
-0.341
0.034
-5.500
-0.299
0.141
0.106
NYMEX HH Average Close
0.835
0.422
4.024
0.606
0.418
0.634
-0.044
0.081
0.456
-5.078
0.123
0.563
0.528
NYMEX HH 3-day Avg. Close
0.229
-0.184
-0.606
3.418
-0.188
0.028
-0.650
-0.525
-0.150
-5.684
-0.483
-0.043
-0.077
Sumas
0.417
0.004
-0.418
0.188
3.606
0.216
-0.462
-0.337
0.038
-5.496
-0.295
0.145
0.111
Kingsgate
0.201
-0.212
-0.634
-0.028
-0.216
3.390
-0.678
-0.553
-0.178
-5.712
-0.512
-0.071
-0.106
Ventura
0.879
0.466
0.044
0.650
0.462
0.678
4.068
0.125
0.500
-5.034
0.167
0.607
0.572
Emerson
0.754
0.341
-0.081
0.525
0.337
0.553
-0.125
3.943
0.375
-5.159
0.042
0.482
0.447
Niagara
0.378
-0.034
-0.456
0.150
-0.038
0.178
-0.500
-0.375
3.568
-5.534
-0.334
0.107
0.072
Iroquois
5.913
5.500
5.078
5.684
5.496
5.712
5.034
5.159
5.534
9.102
5.201
5.641
5.607
Dawn
0.712
0.299
-0.123
0.483
0.295
0.512
-0.167
-0.042
0.334
-5.201
3.902
0.440
0.406
U.S. Gulf Coast
0.272
-0.141
-0.563
0.043
-0.145
0.071
-0.607
-0.482
-0.107
-5.641
-0.440
3.461
-0.034
U.S. Average
0.306
-0.106
-0.528
0.077
-0.111
0.106
-0.572
-0.447
-0.072
-5.607
-0.406
0.034
3.496
NYMEX HH avg NYMEX HH 3-day
12
Gulf Coast U.S. Average
Gulf Coast U.S. Average
January 2015
CGPR
Volume 26 Number 8
Monthly Natural Gas Price Index Summary, January 2014
One-Month Spot Gas Price Indices
Volume
Alberta (C$/GJ)
AECO One Month (7A)
Trades
January 2015
Low
High
Index
Last
Chg.
TJ
U.S. Del. to Pipeline (Avg.)
Volume
Trades
Low
High
Index
Last
Chg.
266.8
44
2.96
3.69
3.12
4.30
-1.18
2221.1
624
2.6400
3.7250
3.1896
3.9419
-0.75
AECO Bidweek
583.6
145
2.6400
3.0150
2.8517
3.8464
-0.99
Houston Ship Channel
0.0
0
2.96
3.07
3.05
4.30
-1.25
Border (Empress)
210.8
97
2.8900
4.3050
3.6022
4.1996
-0.60
Northern Natural
6.3
2
2.96
3.07
3.05
4.07
-1.02
Border-AECO Differential
210.8
97
0.2500
0.5800
0.4126
0.2577
0.15
Tennessee Zone 0
0.0
0
2.96
3.07
3.05
4.07
-1.02
NGPL-STX
0.0
0
2.96
3.07
3.05
4.17
-1.12
B.C. (C$/GJ)
Station 2 (Month)
Station 2 (Bidweek)
Export (US$/MMBtu)
Texas, Oklahoma
TJ
82.3
28
2.1150
3.1700
2.2719
3.6339
-1.36
South Louisiana
70.3
22
2.1150
2.2025
2.1565
3.5508
-1.39
ANR Southeast
25.0
2
3.11
3.11
3.11
4.21
-1.10
Columbia Gulf
25.2
4
3.11
3.13
3.11
4.21
-1.10
0.0
0
3.18
3.19
3.19
4.29
-1.10
MMBtu
N. Border, N. Natural
Henry Hub
Ventura
0.0
0
3.6600
3.6600
3.6600
5.1700
-1.51
Tennessee Zone 1
19.0
4
3.10
3.16
3.12
4.23
-1.12
Chicago
10.0
1
3.6890
3.6890
3.6890
5.2122
-1.52
Transco 65
10.0
1
3.16
3.16
3.16
4.28
-1.12
Trunkline
2.4
2
3.13
3.18
3.14
4.23
-1.09
0.0
0
3.11
3.16
3.12
4.21
-1.09
10.0
1
3.16
3.16
3.16
4.22
-1.06
Pacific Gas Transmission
ABC
0.0
0
2.7000
2.7000
2.7000
3.8900
-1.19
Tetco E. LA
Kingsgate
0.0
0
3.0500
3.0500
3.0500
4.2400
-1.19
Texas Gas
Stanfield
0.0
0
3.1200
3.1200
3.1200
4.3100
-1.19
Malin
Rockies/California/Appalachia
10.0
2
3.1700
3.1700
3.1700
4.3600
-1.19
Northwest Rocky Mountain
11.0
2
3.09
3.12
3.09
4.31
-1.21
PG&E Citygate
2.5
1
3.4400
3.4400
3.4400
4.7600
-1.32
El Paso Keystone
26.0
4
3.02
3.07
3.05
4.28
-1.23
Kern River Stn. (SoCal)
0.0
0
3.3400
3.3400
3.3400
4.6567
-1.32
El Paso San Juan
15.0
2
3.04
3.05
3.04
4.30
-1.25
Kern River Stn. (PG&E)
0.0
0
3.0533
3.0533
3.0533
4.3700
-1.32
El Paso-Topock
0.0
0
3.09
3.10
3.09
4.35
-1.25
California Border-SoCal
0.0
0
3.34
3.34
3.34
4.66
-1.32
Columbia
6.9
3
3.09
3.12
3.10
4.57
-1.47
TransCanada Pipelines
Emerson
3.5
3
3.5390
3.5690
3.5476
5.0820
-1.53
Parkway
4.8
2
3.2000
3.6890
3.5828
5.1384
-1.56
Dawn
323.4
119
3.1400
3.5890
3.5102
5.0608
-1.55
Iroquois
0.2
1
8.1890
8.1890
8.1890
7.1862
1.00
Enbridge CDA
0.3
1
5.6400
6.0890
6.0220
6.1084
-0.09
Midcontinent
ANR Southwest
Westcoast Pipeline
Huntingdon
213.8
57
3.1400
3.4000
3.2445
4.6818
-1.44
Into Tennessee Pipeline at
Dracut
0.0
0
3.02
3.09
3.06
4.34
-1.28
Chicago Citygate
10.0
1
3.69
3.69
3.69
5.21
-1.52
Northern - Demarcation
40.0
6
3.47
3.49
3.49
4.79
-1.30
Panhandle
45.0
7
3.02
3.09
3.07
4.25
-1.18
NGPL Midcont
15.0
3
2.98
3.02
3.00
4.22
-1.22
Prices above are in US$/MMBtu and Volume is in MMBtu
0.0
0
6.1900
6.1900
6.1900
5.9900
0.20
Source: Canadian Enerdata Ltd. price survey.
Note: If Volume=0.0, then no actual trades were reported at the location and prices reported are based on market assessments made by Enerdata.
AECO Monthly Prices
Month
Jan 2015
Feb 2015
Mar 2015
Apr 2015
May 2015
# Trades Volume (TJ)
624
2221.1
99
326.9
108
300.4
52
124.3
2
4.2
Low
2.640
2.700
2.675
2.600
2.650
December 2014 Trading
Price (C$/GJ)
High
Average
3.725
3.1896
3.710
3.1272
3.600
3.2131
3.270
2.9996
3.100
2.7571
Low
0.320
0.200
0.205
0.120
0.085
December 2014 Trading
Price (US$/MMBtu)
High
Average
0.660
0.4914
0.630
0.4807
0.530
0.4123
0.265
0.1932
0.195
0.1362
Low
2.115
2.120
December 2014 Trading
Price (C$/GJ)
High
Average
3.170
2.2719
2.205
2.1720
Dawn Monthly Basis
Month
Jan 2015
Feb 2015
Mar 2015
Apr 2015
May 2015
# Trades Vol (MMBtu)
469
1525.7
261
684.4
183
525.8
10
47.5
17
100.0
Station 2 Monthly Prices
Month
Jan 2015
Feb 2015
# Trades Volume (TJ)
28
82.3
6
20.5
13
January 2015
CGPR
Volume 26 Number 8
Weather Outlook
Canadian Natural Gas Option Prices
AECO/NIT
C$/GJ
Jan'15-Mar'15'
Apr'15-Oct'15
Nov'15-Mar'16'
Swap
2.785
2.540
3.055
Calls
ATM Strike Price OTM Strike
2.785
0.115
3.285
2.540
0.300
3.040
3.055
0.410
3.555
Price
0.050
0.140
0.240
ATM Strike
2.785
2.540
3.055
For more information please contact CIBC at:
Ryan Burgis (403) 221-5054, Jim Thompson (403) 221-2427 or Geoff Graae (403) 221-1287
14
Price
0.330
0.300
0.410
Puts
OTM Strike
2.285
2.040
2.555
Price
0.080
0.100
0.185
January 2015
CGPR
NGX Spectra Station #2 Day Ahead Index
December 2014
Volume
Number of
Clearing Date
(TJ)
Transactions
Wkd Mon
167.20
44
Tuesday
2
118.00
24
Wednesday
3
219.50
48
Thursday
4
94.60
26
Friday
5
112.20
29
Wkd Sat-Mon
341.40
32
Tuesday
9
211.90
45
Wednesday
10
198.10
52
Thursday
11
233.70
44
Friday
12
189.00
40
Wkd Sat-Mon
685.50
53
Tuesday
16
245.90
59
Wednesday
17
387.60
82
Thursday
18
282.30
65
Friday
19
224.10
69
Wkd Sat-Mon
477.90
50
Tuesday
23
390.60
84
Wednesday
24
229.70
52
Wkd Thur-Mon
1098.50
66
Tuesday
30
136.20
35
Wednesday
31
130.40
40
Total/Avg.
6174.3
1039
Volume 26 Number 8
Low
3.4800
3.3900
3.2400
3.1000
2.9000
2.8000
2.7500
2.7300
2.7950
2.7500
2.8250
2.4600
0.9500
1.2500
1.9500
2.2000
1.0700
1.1000
0.5500
1.4000
1.5600
Price (C$/GJ)
High
3.6800
3.6050
3.3000
3.1600
2.9500
2.9300
2.8000
2.8000
2.8500
2.8500
2.8950
2.9200
2.6000
2.2500
2.3500
2.4600
1.6000
1.7000
1.6500
1.9000
2.4300
Average
3.6002
3.4986
3.2623
3.1489
2.9347
2.8300
2.7792
2.7615
2.8210
2.8102
2.8556
2.7965
1.5975
1.7442
2.2443
2.3317
1.1662
1.4318
1.3212
1.6374
2.0007
Avg. Price
US$/MMBtu
3.3806
3.2538
3.0192
2.9246
2.7226
2.6138
2.5560
2.5508
2.5921
2.5703
2.6109
2.5368
1.4498
1.5824
2.0423
2.1154
1.0568
1.2993
1.1993
1.4852
1.8198
0.5500
3.6800
2.3514
2.1567
WKD Deals done on Friday to cover Saturday, Sunday and Monday and any statutory holidays
that fall in conjunction with the weekend. @Denotes statutory holiday.
Source: Natural Gas Exchange
Daily Spot Gas Price at TransGas Energy Pool (TEP)
Month
Price ($/GJ)
December 2014
Low
High
Avg.*
Monday
1
3.6600 4.0000
3.7972
Tuesday
2
3.6000 3.7590
3.6749
Wednesday
3
3.5000 3.6800
3.5784
Thursday
4
3.3950 3.5250
3.4722
Friday
5
3.3800 3.7400
3.5455
Weekend#
3.3800 3.7200
3.4773
Saturday
6
3.6600 3.8650
3.7820
Sunday
7
3.4600 3.6400
3.5198
Monday
8
3.3600 3.4200
3.3885
Tuesday
9
3.3150 3.4450
3.3556
Wednesday
10
3.3550 3.4250
3.3916
Thursday
11
3.3000 3.4200
3.3360
Friday
12
3.3600 3.5325
3.4195
Weekend#
3.3600 3.5075
3.4077
Saturday
13
3.6100 3.8625
3.7335
Sunday
14
3.4200 3.5325
3.4744
Monday
15
3.3200 3.5100
3.4362
Tuesday
16
3.2200 3.3750
3.2805
Wednesday
17
3.2950 3.4000
3.3491
Thursday
18
3.2900 3.3950
3.3496
Friday
19
2.9450 3.2200
3.1097
Weekend#
2.9400 3.2500
3.1043
Saturday
20
2.5400 2.9000
2.7451
Sunday
21
2.7200 2.9750
2.8380
Monday
22
2.6300 3.1250
2.7855
Tuesday
23
2.8500 3.0800
2.9952
Wednesday
24
2.8300 2.9750
2.9094
Weekend#
2.8800 3.0000
2.9255
Thursday @
25
2.8000 3.0000
2.9424
Friday @
26
2.9075 3.0000
2.9615
Saturday
27
3.0100 3.1600
3.0984
Sunday
28
3.0600 3.2500
3.1511
Monday
29
3.0900 3.2900
3.1225
Tuesday
30
3.0600 3.2400
3.1635
Wednesday
31
2.7900 2.9900
2.9154
2.8000 2.9700
2.9159
5. Tot./Wtd. Avg.^**
5A. Arithmetic Avg. ^**
2.6300
4.0000
3.3452
3.2577
Daily Spot Gas Price at Station 2, B.C.
Month
Volume
Number of
December 2014
(TJ)
Transactions
55
Weekend#
257.9
39
Tuesday
2
190.4
55
Wednesday
3
276.5
34
Thursday
4
158.3
37
Friday
5
173.4
47
Weekend#
466.7
Saturday
6
Sunday
7
56
Tuesday
9
303.0
67
Wednesday
10
285.3
56
Thursday
11
315.9
54
Friday
12
277.7
63
Weekend#
756.2
Saturday
13
Sunday
14
70
Tuesday
16
304.6
95
Wednesday
17
475.0
84
Thursday
18
368.7
90
Friday
19
320.8
61
Weekend#
529.8
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
95
Tuesday
23
468.1
63
Wednesday
24
279.0
Thursday
25
Friday
26
77
Weekend#
1,169.0
Saturday
27
Sunday
28
47
Tuesday
30
196.8
45
Wednesday
31
154.1
1. Tot./Wtd. Avg.**
1A. Arithmetic Avg.**
2. Tot./Wtd. Avg.^
2A. Arithmetic Avg. ^
3. Tot./Wtd. Avg.^^
3A. Arithmetic Avg. ^^
Avg. Price
US$/MMBtu
3.5315
3.4011
3.3235
3.2212
3.2746
3.2116
3.4930
3.2508
3.1164
3.0996
3.1164
3.0512
3.1265
3.1157
3.4136
3.1767
3.1171
2.9772
3.0384
3.0481
2.8212
2.8163
2.4905
2.5747
2.5242
2.7180
2.6411
2.6557
2.6710
2.6884
2.8126
2.8605
2.8322
2.8774
2.6514
2.6519
3.0667
2.9792
* Weighted average price. #Deals done on Friday for Friday, Saturday and Sunday.
^**Does not include day deals done on Friday, Saturday, Sunday and statutory holiday
as the weekend # deal is used as a proxy for those days. @ Denotes a holiday.
Avg.*
3.7008
3.6108
3.3155
3.2715
3.0684
2.9974
Avg. Price
US$/MMBtu
3.4751
3.3582
3.0685
3.0384
2.8466
2.7684
2.750
2.730
2.795
2.750
2.825
3.898
3.975
3.985
3.858
3.973
2.8619
2.8787
2.9205
2.9171
2.8772
2.6320
2.6591
2.6835
2.6680
2.6307
2.460
0.950
1.250
1.950
2.200
3.950
3.833
3.938
3.965
3.668
2.9118
1.6879
1.8969
2.3064
2.4011
2.6414
1.5319
1.7209
2.0988
2.1784
1.166
1.432
3.128
3.075
1.2443
1.5323
1.1276
1.3905
1.321
3.105
1.3373
1.2139
1.400
1.560
3.468
2.430
1.8617
1.9346
1.6887
1.7596
7726.7
1290.0
0.950
4.713
4547.2
987.0
0.950
2.430
7726.7
1290.0
0.950
4.713
2.3607
2.5492
2.3919
2.5138
2.3607
2.5492
2.1634
2.3419
2.1916
2.3071
2.1634
2.3419
^^ Includes Weekend deals and excludes Saturday, Sunday and statutory US holiday Friday or Monday deals.
Note: Weekend deals include Fridays, Saturday, Sunday and statutory holiday Monday. @Denotes non-trading day.
Source: Canadian Enerdata survey. Exchange rate from Bank of Canada (noon day rate).
@Denotes non-trading day determined by NGX. See applicable "Canadian Enerdata Notification"
800!
700!
600!
500!
400!
300!
200!
100!
0!
January'2015,'Month'Volume'&'Prices''
(AECO/NIT)'
4.00!
3.50!
3.00!
2.50!
2.00!
1.50!
1.00!
0.50!
0.00!
week1!
week2!
week3!
week4!
Series1!
Date
Day
Day
Day
Day
Day
1-7
8-14
15-21
22-28
29-31
Month
Bidweek
week5!
Series2!
January AECO/NIT Survey
Volume (TJ/Day)
650.4
346.1
443.5
319.9
461.2
2221.1
661.4
Avg. Price
(C$/GJ)
3.4735
3.3155
3.2814
2.6220
2.8756
3.1896
2.8552
AECO/NIT Market Differential
January 2015 C$/GJ
Date
Day
Day
Day
Day
Day
1-7
8-14
15-21
22-28
29-31
Month
Bidweek
Low
0.3100
0.3500
0.4500
0.3300
0.2500
High
0.3750
0.4700
0.5800
0.4050
0.4700
Avg. Price
0.1007
0.0082
0.0698
0.3782
0.2939
0.2500
0.2500
0.5800
0.4700
0.4126
0.3255
High
Avg. Price
(C$/GJ)
3.6022
3.1807
January Empress Survey
Low
Month
15
Price ($/GJ)
High
4.713
4.350
4.108
3.900
3.770
3.828
* Weighted average price. #Deals done on Friday for the Weekend. ** Includes Weekend# deals. ^ Excludes Weekend# deals.
Daily Spot Gas Price at TransGas Energy Pool (TEP) = "NGX Phys, ID, 5a (CA/GJ) TEP" Same Bid-week
Day prices + "NGX AB-NIT Same Day Index". Vol and # of transactions are taken from
Low
3.480
3.390
3.240
3.100
2.900
2.800
2.8900
2.8900
4.3050
3.4850
January 2015
CGPR
Volume 26 Number 8
Next Day Gas Price Indices at AB-NIT, Dawn, Empress Transport, Sumas and Niagara
NGX AB-NIT Day Ahead Index
December 2014
Volume
Clearing Date
(TJ)
Wkd Mon
1929.90
Tuesday
2
1823.10
Wednesday
3
1748.80
Thursday
4
1433.80
Friday
5
1120.50
Wkd Sat-Mon
4139.10
Tuesday
9
1580.90
Wednesday
10
1586.60
Thursday
11
1330.90
Friday
12
1529.10
Wkd Sat-Mon
4437.60
Tuesday
16
1291.70
Wednesday
17
1559.60
Thursday
18
1663.90
Friday
19
1706.90
Wkd Sat-Mon
5350.80
Tuesday
23
1627.30
Wednesday
24
1399.10
Wkd Thur-Mon
7702.00
Tuesday
30
1862.80
Wednesday
31
1686.90
Total/Avg.
48511.3
Number of
Transactions
172
204
219
138
121
211
150
190
134
177
201
159
157
155
188
230
192
139
172
222
143
Low
3.9350
3.5700
3.4000
3.2900
3.1400
3.0975
3.0700
3.0500
3.0800
3.0850
3.1075
3.1900
3.1200
3.1650
3.2500
2.9100
2.5500
2.6000
2.5900
2.8000
2.8300
Price (C$/GJ)
High
4.0100
3.7000
3.4800
3.3650
3.2300
3.3600
3.1200
3.1200
3.1200
3.1500
3.1850
3.3000
3.2200
3.2450
3.3000
3.1100
2.7600
2.7500
2.7000
2.9000
2.9400
Average
3.9753
3.6392
3.4456
3.3396
3.2038
3.1466
3.1056
3.0685
3.1140
3.1144
3.1645
3.2635
3.1561
3.2195
3.2770
3.0389
2.6260
2.6433
2.6600
2.8417
2.8710
Avg. Price
US$/MMBtu
3.7328
3.3846
3.1889
3.1017
2.9722
2.9062
2.8562
2.8344
2.8613
2.8485
2.8933
2.9604
2.8643
2.9209
2.9820
2.7570
2.3796
2.3987
2.4147
2.5775
2.6114
3674
2.5500
4.0100
3.0727
2.8135
Daily Spot Price at Sumas
Month
Volume
December, 2014 MMBtu
Weekend #
130.0
2
228.1
3
235.6
4
122.3
5
217.1
Weekend #
537.9
9
191.1
10
280.1
11
208.2
12
221.7
Weekend #
357.7
16
203.0
17
247.6
18
161.8
19
239.7
Weekend #
579.6
23
275.5
24
196.1
Weekend #
451.2
30
219.7
31
291.0
WKD Deals done on Friday to cover Saturday, Sunday and Monday and any statutory holidays
that fall in conjunction with the weekend. @Denotes statutory holiday.
Source: Natural Gas Exchange
NGX Union-Dawn Spot Day Ahead Index
December 2014
Volume
Number of
Clearing Date
(BBtu)
Transactions
Wkd Mon
642.30
126
Tuesday
2
901.70
173
Wednesday
3
981.00
161
Thursday
4
907.20
161
Friday
5
914.60
160
Wkd Sat-Mon
2720.70
152
Tuesday
9
605.90
122
Wednesday
10
875.20
144
Thursday
11
858.10
144
Friday
12
825.10
137
Wkd Sat-Mon
2490.30
144
Tuesday
16
765.90
134
Wednesday
17
627.50
115
Thursday
18
525.50
110
Friday
19
712.30
145
Wkd Sat-Mon
2306.40
140
Tuesday
23
743.10
133
Wednesday
24
1118.30
172
Wkd Thur-Mon
4548.50
149
Tuesday
30
726.40
107
Wednesday
31
693.40
115
Low
4.7000
4.2200
4.0400
3.8300
3.7700
3.6400
3.7700
3.8900
3.9250
3.8725
3.8500
3.9400
3.8225
3.9150
3.9500
3.6200
3.0700
3.0200
2.8900
3.3500
3.3200
Price (US$/MMBtu)
High
Average
4.8300
4.7442
4.4300
4.2894
4.1500
4.0909
4.0500
3.8926
3.8900
3.7930
4.0900
3.7639
4.0000
3.8436
4.0100
3.9649
4.0250
3.9912
3.9200
3.8964
4.0900
3.9128
4.0250
3.9900
3.8725
3.8536
3.9700
3.9420
4.0500
3.9916
3.8300
3.6999
3.3300
3.1449
3.1400
3.0786
3.1525
2.9932
3.5100
3.4820
3.5000
3.4000
Avg. Price
C$/GJ
5.0524
4.6120
4.4203
4.1912
4.0887
4.0751
4.1793
4.2924
4.3436
4.2600
4.2797
4.3986
4.2460
4.3449
4.3864
4.0781
3.4705
3.3927
3.2975
3.8389
3.7379
Total/Avg.
25489.4
2944
2.8900
4.8300
3.6931
WKD Deals done on Friday to cover Saturday, Sunday and Monday and any statutory holidays
that fall in conjunction with the weekend. @Denotes statutory holiday.
Source: Natural Gas Exchange
NGX AB-NIT/TCPL-Empress Transport Day Ahead Index
December 2014
Volume
Number of
Price (C$/GJ)
Clearing Date
(TJ)
Transactions
Low
High
Wkd Mon
218.40
51
0.1400
0.3000
Tuesday
2
247.10
52
0.1700
0.2150
Wednesday
3
262.50
57
0.1600
0.2000
Thursday
4
246.90
49
0.1550
0.1925
Friday
5
274.50
53
0.1500
0.1775
Wkd Sat-Mon
761.40
50
0.1600
0.2000
Tuesday
9
262.60
47
0.1750
0.2100
Wednesday
##
219.70
46
0.1900
0.2800
Thursday
##
255.10
44
0.1700
0.2025
Friday
##
215.00
38
0.1725
0.2000
Wkd Sat-Mon
818.40
55
0.1625
0.2000
Tuesday
##
269.00
55
0.1700
0.2000
Wednesday
##
233.50
45
0.1750
0.2000
Thursday
##
234.60
46
0.1725
0.1900
Friday
##
271.00
55
0.1775
0.1950
Wkd Sat-Mon
687.90
52
0.1900
0.2600
Tuesday
##
280.00
56
0.1700
0.2100
Wednesday
##
244.80
52
0.1600
0.1900
Wkd Thur-Mon
1373.00
55
0.1200
0.1800
Tuesday
##
302.70
61
0.1700
0.2200
Wednesday
##
311.00
61
0.1700
0.2000
Total/Avg.
7989.1
1080
0.1200
0.3000
Tot./Wtd Avg.*
Arithmetic Avg.*
Tot./Wtd. Avg.^
Arithmetic Avg.^
Avg. Price
US$/MMBtu
0.1889
0.1824
0.1678
0.1594
0.1538
0.1562
0.1689
0.1924
0.1737
0.1738
0.1722
0.1740
0.1727
0.1680
0.1695
0.1909
0.1736
0.1603
0.1549
0.1796
0.1645
0.1853
0.1695
Price (US$/MMBtu)
Low
High
Avg.*
4.155
4.450
4.3137
4.150
4.500
4.3573
3.680
4.100
3.9929
3.590
3.750
3.6889
3.410
3.450
3.4383
3.240
3.390
3.2688
3.260
3.500
3.3152
3.300
3.390
3.3271
3.050
3.600
3.3083
3.310
3.620
3.3387
3.350
3.540
3.3932
3.500
3.605
3.5493
3.500
3.650
3.5580
3.500
3.650
3.6245
3.450
3.540
3.4992
3.090
3.420
3.1235
2.700
3.060
2.7566
2.750
2.820
2.7570
2.550
2.930
2.8337
3.000
3.900
3.5915
3.070
3.570
3.4264
5,595
777
2.550
4.500
3,539
621
2.700
4.500
3.3711
3.4506
3.4589
3.4706
Avg. Price
C$/GJ
4.5939
4.6851
4.3143
3.9718
3.7062
3.5392
3.6047
3.6019
3.6005
3.6504
3.7112
3.9126
3.9204
3.9951
3.8454
3.4429
3.0420
3.0382
3.1216
3.9597
3.7670
3.6814
3.7631
3.7770
3.7885
#Deals done for the weekend
*Includes weekend deals
^Excludes weekend deals
@Denotes holiday
Source: PriceLine Daily published by Canadian Enerdata Ltd.
Daily Spot Price at Niagara
Month
Volume # of
December, 2014 MMBtu Trans
Weekend # ✖
0.00
0
2✖
0.00
0
3✖
0.00
0
4✖
0.00
0
5✖
0.00
0
Weekend # ✖
0.00
0
9✖
0.00
0
10 ✖
0.00
0
11 ✖
0.00
0
12 ✖
0.00
0
Weekend # ✖
0.00
0
16 ✖
0.00
0
17 ✖
0.00
0
18 ✖
0.00
0
19 ✖
0.00
0
Weekend # ✖
0.00
0
23 ✖
0.00
0
24 ✖
0.00
0
Weekend # ✖
0.00
0
30 ✖
0.00
0
31 ✖
0.00
0
4.0336
Average
0.2012
0.1961
0.1813
0.1716
0.1658
0.1691
0.1836
0.2083
0.1890
0.1900
0.1883
0.1918
0.1903
0.1852
0.1863
0.2104
0.1916
0.1766
0.1706
0.1980
0.1809
# of
Trans
21
41
45
26
32
40
36
48
43
37
31
40
43
31
36
38
45
32
26
38
48
Price (US$/MMBtu)
Low
High
Avg.*
4.300
4.430
4.3442
3.820
4.030
3.8894
3.640
3.750
3.6909
3.430
3.650
3.4926
3.370
3.490
3.3930
3.240
3.690
3.3639
3.370
3.600
3.4436
3.490
3.610
3.5649
3.525
3.625
3.5912
3.473
3.520
3.4964
3.450
3.690
3.5128
3.540
3.625
3.5900
3.423
3.473
3.4536
3.515
3.570
3.5420
3.550
3.650
3.5916
3.220
3.430
3.2999
2.670
2.930
2.7449
2.620
2.740
2.6786
2.490
2.753
2.5932
2.950
3.110
3.0820
2.920
3.100
3.0000
Tot./Wtd Avg.*
0
0
2.490
4.430
Arithmetic Avg.*
Tot./Wtd. Avg.^
0
0
2.620
4.030
Arithmetic Avg.^
✖Settlement prices used where 0 trades
#Deals done for the weekend
*Includes weekend deals
^Excludes weekend deals
@Denotes holiday
Source: PriceLine Daily published by Canadian Enerdata Ltd.
WKD Deals done on Friday to cover Saturday, Sunday and Monday and any statutory holidays
that fall in conjunction with the weekend. @Denotes statutory holiday.
Source: Natural Gas Exchange
16
3.3980
3.3980
3.3903
3.3903
Avg. Price
C$/GJ
4.6264
4.1820
3.9880
3.7605
3.6574
3.6422
3.7443
3.8594
3.9084
3.8228
3.8420
3.9575
3.8054
3.9041
3.9469
3.6373
3.0291
2.9518
2.8567
3.3979
3.2983
3.7056
3.7056
3.7008
3.7008
January 2015
CGPR
Volume 26 Number 8
Next Day Gas Price Indices at Enbridge CDA, Iroquois, Emerson, St. Clair and Parkway
NGX Enbridge CDA Daily Spot Gas Price Index
December 2014
Volume
Number of
Clearing Date
(MM)
Transactions
Wkd Mon
7.50
4
Tuesday
2
10.80
8
Wednesday
3
11.40
6
Thursday
4
8.30
6
Friday
5
22.10
11
Wkd Sat-Mon
37.50
5
Tuesday
9
32.30
13
Wednesday
10
15.30
10
Thursday
11
26.90
11
Friday
12
12.30
6
Wkd Sat-Mon
36.30
5
Tuesday
16
11.10
4
Wednesday
17
7.50
3
Thursday
18
11.30
6
Friday
19
17.90
9
Wkd Sat-Mon
52.50
9
Tuesday
23
14.00
8
Wednesday
24
9.60
6
Wkd Thur-Mon
33.50
4
Tuesday
30
34.60
20
Wednesday
31
12.30
7
Low
4.7425
4.2300
4.0425
3.8350
3.8000
3.6750
3.8000
3.9700
4.0350
3.9725
3.9100
3.9800
3.8525
3.9500
3.9750
3.6600
3.0700
3.0200
2.8900
3.5500
3.3400
Total/Avg.
2.8900
425.0
161
Price (USD$/MM)
High
Average
4.8775
4.7890
4.4800
4.3221
4.1900
4.1127
4.0900
3.9298
3.9400
3.8349
4.1500
3.8057
4.1000
3.9014
4.1900
4.0753
4.2150
4.1244
4.0900
4.0168
4.2100
3.9845
4.1250
4.0347
3.9125
3.8902
4.0200
3.9842
4.1300
4.0308
3.9500
3.7547
3.3800
3.1832
3.1800
3.0863
3.2025
2.9999
3.9600
3.8319
3.6000
3.4682
4.8775
3.7500
Avg. Price
C$/GJ
5.1001
4.6471
4.4438
4.2313
4.1338
4.1204
4.2421
4.4119
4.4885
4.3916
4.3582
4.4479
4.2864
4.3915
4.4294
4.1385
3.5128
3.4012
3.3048
4.2247
3.8128
4.0959
NGX St.Clair Daily Spot Gas Price Index
December 2014
Volume
Number of
Clearing Date
(MM)
Transactions
Wkd Mon
26.70
4
Tuesday
2
56.40
10
Wednesday
3
66.00
6
Thursday
4
95.90
17
Friday
5
127.80
19
Wkd Sat-Mon
482.70
20
Tuesday
9
116.30
17
Wednesday
10
172.00
22
Thursday
11
103.90
13
Friday
12
199.30
31
Wkd Sat-Mon
555.00
30
Tuesday
16
155.10
23
Wednesday
17
45.90
9
Thursday
18
93.30
15
Friday
19
77.00
16
Wkd Sat-Mon
474.00
22
Tuesday
23
67.80
13
Wednesday
24
93.60
12
Wkd Thur-Mon
77.00
3
Tuesday
30
38.90
6
Wednesday
31
1.40
1
Low
4.7200
4.2400
4.0575
3.8500
3.7950
3.6600
3.7950
3.9100
3.9600
3.9225
3.8800
3.9400
3.8500
3.9425
3.9800
3.6200
3.0900
3.0400
2.9100
3.3300
3.3200
Total/Avg.
2.9100
3126.0
309
Price (USD$/MM)
High
Average
4.8600
4.7700
4.4650
4.3164
4.1700
4.1106
4.0900
3.9195
3.9225
3.8214
4.1200
3.7903
4.0300
3.8713
4.0550
3.9955
4.1050
4.0546
3.9900
3.9550
4.1400
3.9563
4.1050
4.0304
3.9125
3.8871
4.0050
3.9736
4.0850
4.0237
3.8650
3.7310
3.3575
3.1702
3.1675
3.1033
3.1825
3.0210
3.5450
3.4921
3.5000
3.4000
4.8600
3.7236
Avg. Price
C$/GJ
5.0799
4.6410
4.4416
4.2202
4.1193
4.1037
4.2094
4.3255
4.4126
4.3240
4.3273
4.4431
4.2830
4.3798
4.4216
4.1124
3.4985
3.4199
3.3281
3.8500
3.7379
4.0670
WKD Deals done on Friday to cover Saturday, Sunday and Monday and any statutory holidays
that fall in conjunction with the weekend. @Denotes statutory holiday.
WKD Deals done on Friday to cover Saturday, Sunday and Monday and any statutory holidays
that fall in conjunction with the weekend. @Denotes statutory holiday.
Source: Natural Gas Exchange (The Volume and # of Trans are from the transport price; high, low and W/A are
calculated using NGX Union-Dawn Day Ahead Index + NGX Phys, Spr (Us/MM), Union Dawn/TCPL-ENBRG
CDA Day Ahead Price)
Source: Natural Gas Exchange (The Volume and # of Trans are from the transport price; high, low and W/A are
calculated using NGX Union-Dawn Day Ahead Index + NGX TCPL-St.Clair/Union-Dawn Transport Day Ahead Price)
NGX Iroquois Daily Spot Gas Price Index
December 2014
Volume
Number of
Clearing Date
(MM)
Transactions
Wkd Mon
0.00
0
Tuesday
2
0.00
0
Wednesday
3
0.00
0
Thursday
4
0.00
0
Friday
5
0.00
0
Wkd Sat-Mon
0.00
0
Tuesday
9
0.00
0
Wednesday
10
0.00
0
Thursday
11
0.00
0
Friday
12
0.00
0
Wkd Sat-Mon
0.00
0
Tuesday
16
0.00
0
Wednesday
17
0.00
0
Thursday
18
0.00
0
Friday
19
0.00
0
Wkd Sat-Mon
0.00
0
Tuesday
23
0.00
0
Wednesday
24
0.00
0
Wkd Thur-Mon
0.00
0
Tuesday
30
0.00
0
Wednesday
31
0.00
0
Low
5.7000
6.4700
5.2900
5.0800
5.0200
4.8900
4.7700
4.8900
4.9250
4.8725
4.8500
4.9400
4.8225
4.9150
4.9500
4.6200
4.0700
3.7700
3.6400
4.0525
3.6300
NGX Parkway Daily Spot Gas Price Index
December 2014
Volume
Number of
Clearing Date
(MM)
Transactions
Wkd Mon
41.10
13
Tuesday
2
44.60
14
Wednesday
3
53.80
15
Thursday
4
39.40
14
Friday
5
35.10
16
Wkd Sat-Mon
155.10
19
Tuesday
9
32.40
12
Wednesday
10
50.90
17
Thursday
11
40.40
13
Friday
12
46.40
11
Wkd Sat-Mon
113.10
14
Tuesday
16
44.40
13
Wednesday
17
51.10
16
Thursday
18
33.00
9
Friday
19
37.30
12
Wkd Sat-Mon
87.60
11
Tuesday
23
43.30
15
Wednesday
24
44.60
13
Wkd Thur-Mon
182.50
11
Tuesday
30
31.30
11
Wednesday
31
52.90
18
Low
4.7100
4.2300
4.0425
3.8500
3.7950
3.6750
3.8050
3.9250
3.9700
3.8925
3.9000
3.9500
3.8325
3.9500
3.9800
3.6600
3.0700
2.9700
2.8900
3.3800
3.3350
Total/Avg.
3.6300
Total/Avg.
2.8900
0.0
0
Price (USD$/MM)
High
Average
5.8300
5.7442
6.6800
6.5394
5.4000
5.3409
5.3000
5.1426
5.1400
5.0430
5.3400
5.0139
5.0000
4.8436
5.0100
4.9649
5.0250
4.9912
4.9200
4.8964
5.0900
4.9128
5.0250
4.9900
4.8725
4.8536
4.9700
4.9420
5.0500
4.9916
4.8300
4.6999
4.3300
4.1449
3.8900
3.8286
3.9025
3.7432
4.2125
4.1845
3.8100
3.7100
6.6800
4.7015
Avg. Price
C$/GJ
6.1174
7.0312
5.7709
5.5371
5.4361
5.4285
5.2666
5.3750
5.4318
5.3533
5.3735
5.5010
5.3479
5.4472
5.4853
5.1803
4.5741
4.2192
4.1237
4.6134
4.0787
5.1339
1260.3
287
Price (USD$/MM)
High
Average
4.8700
4.7707
4.4850
4.3139
4.1800
4.1035
4.0900
3.9220
3.9300
3.8260
4.1350
3.8027
4.0400
3.8791
4.0700
4.0105
4.0900
4.0491
3.9900
3.9520
4.1500
3.9704
4.0850
4.0263
3.9175
3.8853
4.0100
3.9799
4.0900
4.0263
3.8900
3.7460
3.3900
3.1762
3.1600
3.0862
3.2125
2.9993
3.6100
3.5693
3.5800
3.4619
4.8700
3.7288
Avg. Price
C$/GJ
5.0806
4.6383
4.4339
4.2229
4.1242
4.1172
4.2179
4.3418
4.4066
4.3207
4.3427
4.4386
4.2810
4.3867
4.4245
4.1289
3.5051
3.4011
3.3042
3.9352
3.8059
4.0727
WKD Deals done on Friday to cover Saturday, Sunday and Monday and any statutory holidays
that fall in conjunction with the weekend. @Denotes statutory holiday. Settlement prices are used where 0 trades.
Source: Natural Gas Exchange (The Volume and # of Trans are from the transport price; high, low and W/A are
calculated using NGX Union-Dawn Day Ahead Index + NGX TCPL Iroquois/Dawn Transport Day Ahead Price)
WKD Deals done on Friday to cover Saturday, Sunday and Monday and any statutory holidays
that fall in conjunction with the weekend. @Denotes statutory holiday.
Source: Natural Gas Exchange. (The Volume and # of Trans are from the transport price; high, low and W/A are
calculated using NGX Union-Dawn Day Ahead Index + NGX Union-Dawn/Parkway Transport Day Ahead Price)
NGX Emerson Spot Price Index
December 2014
Volume
Number of
Clearing Date
(BBtu)
Transactions
Wkd Mon
218.90
46
Tuesday
2
182.70
47
Wednesday
3
187.80
44
Thursday
4
207.00
50
Friday
5
187.60
46
Wkd Sat-Mon
595.50
42
Tuesday
9
215.00
45
Wednesday
10
217.60
54
Thursday
11
168.50
43
Friday
12
180.30
44
Wkd Sat-Mon
524.10
41
Tuesday
16
187.30
41
Wednesday
17
185.30
39
Thursday
18
222.90
48
Friday
19
164.90
45
Wkd Sat-Mon
549.30
42
Tuesday
23
140.40
36
Wednesday
24
210.60
49
Wkd Thur-Mon
994.00
46
Tuesday
30
247.20
57
Wednesday
31
201.10
44
Price (US$/MMBtu)
Low
High
Average
4.5500
4.6200
4.6003
4.1050
4.2000
4.1657
3.9200
3.9800
3.9568
3.7300
3.8400
3.7618
3.6550
3.8500
3.6747
3.5600
3.7300
3.6583
3.6200
3.8000
3.7080
3.7700
3.8800
3.8451
3.7500
3.9100
3.8559
3.6600
3.7600
3.7317
3.6800
3.8250
3.7357
3.8100
4.0000
3.8570
3.7000
3.7700
3.7324
3.7800
3.8500
3.8331
3.8500
3.8800
3.8634
3.5200
3.6400
3.5771
2.9600
3.2000
3.0371
2.9200
3.0000
2.9731
2.8250
3.0550
2.9229
3.3500
4.0000
3.6052
3.2350
3.4425
3.4213
NGX 4a (CA/GJ) APC-CREC Day Ahead Index
December 2014
Volume
Number of
Clearing Date
(MM)
Transactions
Wkd Mon
159.30
37
Tuesday
2
171.20
43
Wednesday
3
210.60
47
Thursday
4
156.10
38
Friday
5
154.10
35
Wkd Sat-Mon
519.30
39
Tuesday
9
177.90
47
Wednesday
10
123.30
33
Thursday
11
150.30
38
Friday
12
118.90
34
Wkd Sat-Mon
414.30
36
Tuesday
16
141.50
46
Wednesday
17
124.60
35
Thursday
18
206.30
57
Friday
19
158.80
48
Wkd Sat-Mon
489.90
49
Tuesday
23
213.80
46
Wednesday
24
199.40
53
Wkd Thur-Mon
768.50
43
Tuesday
30
194.30
42
Wednesday
31
166.00
44
Low
-0.3355
-0.1500
-0.1650
-0.1900
-0.2600
-0.3000
-0.3100
-0.3200
-0.2900
-0.3500
-0.3600
-1.0500
-2.0000
-2.0000
-1.1500
-0.7800
-2.2500
-2.0000
-2.5000
-1.7000
-1.3500
Total/Avg.
2.8250
Total/Avg.
-2.5000
5988.0
949
4.6200
3.5855
Avg. Price
C$/GJ
4.8992
4.4790
4.2754
4.0504
3.9612
3.9608
4.0318
4.1627
4.1963
4.0799
4.0860
4.2520
4.1125
4.2249
4.2455
3.9427
3.3516
3.2764
3.2200
3.9747
3.7613
3.9162
WKD Deals done on Friday to cover Saturday, Sunday and Monday and any statutory holidays
that fall in conjunction with the weekend. @Denotes statutory holiday.
Source: Natural Gas Exchange
5018.4
890
Price (C$/GJ)
High
Average
-0.2750
-0.3003
-0.0200
-0.0636
-0.0500
-0.0770
-0.1200
-0.1435
-0.2000
-0.2254
-0.2550
-0.2792
-0.2800
-0.2972
-0.2500
-0.2985
-0.2550
-0.2693
-0.2800
-0.3088
-0.3050
-0.3368
-0.3800
-0.7830
-0.5000
-0.9349
-1.4500
-1.7149
-0.8900
-0.9817
-0.6000
-0.6975
-0.8000
-1.7265
-1.0500
-1.6566
-1.0000
-1.6686
-1.0500
-1.5936
-0.4000
-0.7442
-0.0200
-0.7872
WKD Deals done on Friday to cover Saturday, Sunday and Monday and any statutory holidays
that fall in conjunction with the weekend. @Denotes statutory holiday.
Source: Natural Gas Exchange
17
Avg. Price
US$/MMBtu
-0.2820
-0.0592
-0.0713
-0.1333
-0.2091
-0.2579
-0.2733
-0.2757
-0.2474
-0.2824
-0.3079
-0.7103
-0.8485
-1.5558
-0.8933
-0.6328
-1.5645
-1.5033
-1.5147
-1.4454
-0.6769
-0.7162
January 2015
CGPR
Volume 26 Number 8
NGX Proprietary Data without Enerdata/NGX prior written consent.
TERMS FOR USE OF
CANADIAN GAS PRICE REPORTER DATA
4. Use of the CGPR and NGX Proprietary Data: You acknowledge that
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(“ENERDATA”, “US” or “WE”) PERMITS YOU TO USE CANADIAN GAS PRICE
REPORTER MONTHLY, WEEKLY & DAILY (“CGPR”) DATA, AS DEFINED
BELOW, AND CONTAINED HEREIN.
Please read these Terms carefully. You are deemed to have read and
accepted the Terms and the restrictions governing the use of the CGPR
Data. We may change these Terms at any time.
1. CGPR Data: For the purpose of these Terms, “CGPR Data” shall mean
all informa- tion and data pertaining to natural gas prices and price
indices and Canadian natural gas storage volumes and capacity displayed
on the Enerdata Website and contained in the CGPR PDFs E-Mails, Excel
Files and Text Files, including, without limitation, high-low prices,
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NGX Proprietary Data: All of the data including Volume (MMcf and GJ),
Number of Transactions and the Low, High and Average prices, expressed
in $/GJ, $/Mcf, and US$/MMBtu or any substitution therefore and all
other indices that are generated from these prices as displayed on the
Website and reported in the CGPR for: Page 2 - NGX AB-NIT Same Day
Index Table and Indices (formerly Daily Spot Gas Price at AECO C & Nova
Inventory Transfer Table)
NGX AB-NIT Same Day Index (1A)
NGX AB-NIT Same Day Index (2A)
NGX AB-NIT Same Day Index (3A)
NGX AB-NIT Same Day Index (4A)
NGX AB-NIT Same Day Index (5A)
You understand and agree that Enerdata has licensed some of the rights
granted to you by this agreement from NGX and that NGX is a third party
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THE CGPR DATA AND PROPRIETARY DATA ARE HEREBY EXCLUDED.
Page 3 - Canadian Natural Gas Supply Prices Table and Indices
NGX AB-NIT Month Ahead Index (7A) (formerly AECO “C” & N.I.T. One
Month Spot)
NGX AB-NIT Bidweek Index (formerly AECO “C” & N.I.T. “Bid-Week” Spot)
Page 11 - Monthly Canadian and U.S. Natural gas price summary Table
and Indices
NGX AB-NIT Month Ahead Index (7A) (formerly Alberta Spot Price – AECO
C/N.I.T. (7A))
NGX AB-NIT Bidweek Index (formerly Alberta Bidweek Spot Price – AECO
C/N.I.T. (7A1))
NGX AB-NIT Same Day Index (2A) (formerly Alberta Daily Spot Price –
AECO C/N.I.T. - 2A)
NGX AB-NIT Same Day Index (4A) (formerly Alberta Daily Spot Price –
AECO C/N.I.T. - 4A)
NGX AB-NIT Same Day Index (5A) (formerly Alberta Daily Spot Price –
AECO C/N.I.T. - 5A)
6. Liability: To the fullest extent permitted by law, Enerdata and NGX
exclude all liability for any direct or indirect losses, damages, costs or
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Enerdata or NGX have any liability for consequential or special damages.
Page 15 - NGX Spectra Station #2 Day Ahead Index Table (formerly NGX
Station #2 Daily Spot Price Index)
Page 16 NGX AB-NIT Day Ahead Index Table (formerly NGX Alberta Next
Day Price Index
NGX Union-Dawn Day Ahead Index Table (formerly NGX Union Dawn
Daily Spot Price Index
NGX AB-NIT/TCPL-Empress Transport Day Ahead Index Table (formerly
NGX Empress Transport Spot Day Price Index)
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Terms shall not affect, impair or invalidate the remainder of the Terms.
18
Prepared by NGX Inc.
December 2014
AB-NIT
Price Index Analysis
NGX AB-NIT Same Day Index 2A*
Date
$CDN/GJ
$US/MMBtu
December 2014
$3.0406
$2.7809
$2.7640
NGX AB-NIT Same Day Index 4A**
December 2014
$3.0224
NGX AB-NIT Same Day Index 5A**
December 2014
$3.0202
$2.7620
AB-NIT Month Ahead Index 7A
January2015
$3.1896
$2.8695
$2.8552
$2.5687
$CDN/$US
$US/$CDN
0.8527 $CDN/$US
1.1728 $US/$CDN
Bid Week
January 2, 2014 Bank of Canada Daily Noon Rate
*Excludes all Weekend# deals. ** Excludes individual Saturday, Sunday & Statutory Holiday deals that fall in conjunction with the weekend. The Weekend# number is used instead as a proxy for each of these days.
***Excludes individual Friday, Saturday, Sunday & Statutory Holiday deals that fall in conjunction with the weekend. The Weekend# number is used instead as a proxy for each of these days.
NGX AB-NIT Near-Month Index
At the close of trading on December 31, 2014,
the volume-weighted average of all trading
activity in the NGX M-Jan 15 (Month Ahead)
instrument at the Intra-Alberta Market Centre
during the month of November was $3.1896.
600,000
NGX Daily Indices : Near-Month Instrument Data
$4.00
500,000
Traded prices in the M-Jan 15 declined through-out the month. The lowest traded price during
the month was $2.6400/GJ (traded on December
31st), while the highest price was $3.7250/GJ
(traded on December 1st), a range of $1.085.
The chart to the right illustrates the change in
pricing throughout the month of December.
400,000
300,000
$3.00
200,000
$2.50
100,000
0
$2.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
Total Volume
Market Date – December 2014
Prepared by NGX Inc. | December 2014
Price (C$/GJ)
NGX AB-NIT Near-Month
Market Activity
Spot Day Volume Traded (GJ/Day)
$3.50
Analytical information with respect to other
NGX indices can be found on the NGX website
at http://www.ngx.com/.
Same Day to Near-Month Index
Comparison
Comparison Chart
$4.30
$4.25
$4.20
$4.15
$4.10
$4.05
$4.00
$3.95
$3.90
$3.85
$3.80
$3.75
$3.70
$3.65
$3.60
$3.55
$3.50
$3.45
$3.40
$3.35
$3.30
$3.25
$3.20
$3.15
$3.10
$3.05
$3.00
$2.95
$2.90
$2.85
$2.80
$2.75
$2.70
$2.65
$2.60
$2.55
$2.50
The AB-NIT Month Ahead Index for the month
of December 2014 was $3.9419 and is compared
to the November 2A Same Day Index in the
chart to the right:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
2A Price
NGX AB-NIT Near-Month
Participant Distribution
Alberta Market Price
November 7A
NGX Daily Indices : Near-Month Instrument Data
Trading Volume Distribution by Participant December 1-31, 2014
During the month of December, a total volume
of 2221.1 TJ was transacted in the M-Jan
15 instrument. The top firm contributed
approximately 28.96% of the traded volume
to the AB-NIT Month Ahead Index for January
2015. This is further illustrated in the chart to
the right:
#1
21%
#2
29%
2%
#3
#4
3%
#5
#6
January 2015 Price Index
Transaction Details
3%
#7
3%
A complete data sheet containing all of the
trades that comprise the January 2015 index is
available from NGX. The data sheet contains the
date/time, price and size of each trade. Please
#8
3%
13%
7%
#9
# 10
8%
8%
*Near Month Index Analysis table available on Page 4
of this PDF.
All Others
NGX AB-NIT Same-Day Index
NGX Daily Indices : Same-Day Instrument Data
At the close of trading on December 31, 2014,
the arithmetic-weighted average of ALL trading
activity in the NGX Same-Day instrument at the
Intra-Alberta Market Centre during the month
of November was $3.0406 CDN/GJ.
5,000,000
$4.00
4,500,000
4,000,000
$3.50
3,500,000
3,000,000
$3.00
2,500,000
2,000,000
$2.50
1,500,000
1,000,000
$2.00
500,000
0
$1.50
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Clearing Date – December 2014
Prepared by NGX Inc. | December 2014
9
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
Total Volume
Price (C$/GJ)
Traded prices in the Same-Day instrument
decreased throughout the month of November.
The lowest price of the month was $2.45/GJ
(traded on December 20th) while the highest
price of the month was $3.85/GJ (traded on
December 1st), a range of $1.40. The chart
on the right illustrates the changes in prices
throughout the month of December.
$4.50
5,500,000
Spot Day Volume Traded (GJ/Day)
NGX AB-NIT Same-Day
Market Activity
6,000,000
Cumulative Index Chart (12‐month Period)
Tracking the volatility of the
December 2014 Daily Index Price
$10.00
The volatility of the AB-NIT 2A index is tracked
in the chart to the right. This chart compares
the 2A weighted average with arithmetic mean
of the 2A price over the previous 365 days.
The standard deviations are in relation to the
arithmetic mean of the 2A price.
Feb 5, 2014
Weighted Avg: $24.82
$8.00
$6.00
$4.00
$2.00
$0.00
1/14
2/14
Weighted Avg
3/14
4/14
5/14
+3 SD
6/14
+2 SD
7/14
8/14
+1 SD
9/14
Mean
10/14
-1 SD
11/14
-2 SD
12/14
-3 SD
NGX Daily Indices : Same-Day Instrument Data
NGX AB-NIT Same-Day
Participant Distribution
Trading Volume Distribution by Participant December 1-31, 2014
9%
During the month of December, a total volume
of 25590.4 TJ was transacted in the SameDay instrument. The top firm contributed
approximately 9.07% of the traded volume to
the AB NIT Same Day Price Index for December
2014. This is further illustrated in the chart to
the right:
#1
8%
#2
#3
7%
#4
#5
48%
6%
#6
#7
5%
4%
* Same Day Index Analysis table available on Page 5 of
this PDF.
3% 3% 3%
High
4%
#8
#9
# 10
All Others
Candlestick Charts
Close
Open
Open
Close
Provide a method to graphically display detailed pricing trends over a time period.
Candlestick charts, as used in this document, depict volume, open price, high price, low
price, and settlement price data. The narrow bars are the body of the candles, and represent
the variance between open prices and settlement prices for each trading day at NGX. If the
market closed lower than it opened, the body is black. If the market closed higher than it
opened, the body is white. The thin line that makes up the wick of each candle is referred
to as the shadow. The shadow represents the variance between the high price and the low
price for each trading day at NGX.
Low
NGX Inc.
10th floor, 300-5th Avenue SW
Calgary, Alberta
Canada T2P 3C4
P: 403.974.1700 F: 403.974.1719 E: [email protected]
ngx.com
NGX – AB NIT Near-Month Price Index Analysis
Date
Settlement
01-Dec
02-Dec
03-Dec
04-Dec
05-Dec
06-Dec
07-Dec
08-Dec
09-Dec
10-Dec
11-Dec
12-Dec
13-Dec
14-Dec
15-Dec
16-Dec
17-Dec
18-Dec
19-Dec
20-Dec
21-Dec
22-Dec
23-Dec
24-Dec
25-Dec
26-Dec
27-Dec
28-Dec
29-Dec
30-Dec
31-Dec
3.700
3.568
3.480
3.308
3.465
3.465
3.465
3.228
3.283
3.350
3.250
3.420
3.420
3.420
3.343
3.233
3.345
3.283
3.103
3.103
3.103
2.813
2.880
2.753
2.753
2.743
2.743
2.743
3.003
2.840
2.635
Jan-15
Bid-Week
Bid Week is Highlighted
High
Low
Weighted
Average
(P)
Volume
(Q)
% of Total
Volume # Trades
3.7250
3.6400
3.5125
3.4050
3.4775
3.6300
3.5400
3.4350
3.2900
3.3350
3.6898
3.5794
3.4603
3.3359
3.4040
99.3
143.5
97.7
203.6
106.3
4.5%
6.5%
4.4%
9.2%
4.8%
30
42
28
44
35
3.2925
3.3000
3.3500
3.3850
3.4400
3.2300
3.2500
3.2950
3.2500
3.3500
3.2498
3.2677
3.3242
3.2976
3.3866
58.7
87.7
38.5
42.2
119.0
2.6%
3.9%
1.7%
1.9%
5.4%
15
27
14
14
25
3.4600
3.2900
3.3400
3.4200
3.1700
3.3300
3.2275
3.2750
3.2950
3.0900
3.4015
3.2637
3.3046
3.3759
3.1204
105.4
131.0
56.2
49.5
101.4
4.7%
5.9%
2.5%
2.2%
4.6%
26
35
26
19
38
2.9250
2.9000
2.8300
2.7300
2.8200
2.7000
2.8024
2.8511
2.7663
98.7
98.8
101.4
4.4%
4.4%
4.6%
32
29
34
2.7450
2.7350
2.7400
21.0
0.9%
3
3.0150
2.9200
2.7550
2.8500
2.8300
2.6400
2.9266
2.8908
2.7277
174.5
205.4
81.3
7.9%
9.2%
3.7%
34
50
24
3.7250
3.0150
2.6400
2.6400
$US Index
$US Bid-Week
3.1896
2.8552
2.8695
2.5687
2221.1
661.4
1.0000
35.3%
624.0
171.0
NGX – AB NIT Same-Day Price Index Analysis
Clearing Date
Monday, Dec 01 2014
Tuesday, Dec 02 2014
Wednesday, Dec 03 2014
Thursday, Dec 04 2014
Friday, Dec 05 2014
Weekend #
Saturday, Dec 06 2014
Sunday, Dec 07 2014
Monday, Dec 08 2014
Tuesday, Dec 09 2014
Wednesday, Dec 10 2014
Thursday, Dec 11 2014
Friday, Dec 12 2014
Weekend #
Saturday, Dec 13 2014
Sunday, Dec 14 2014
Monday, Dec 15 2014
Tuesday, Dec 16 2014
Wednesday, Dec 17 2014
Thursday, Dec 18 2014
Friday, Dec 19 2014
Weekend #
Saturday, Dec 20 2014
Sunday, Dec 21 2014
Monday, Dec 22 2014
Tuesday, Dec 23 2014
Wednesday, Dec 24 2014
Weekend #
Thursday, Dec 25 2014
Friday, Dec 26 2014
Saturday, Dec 27 2014
Sunday, Dec 28 2014
Monday, Dec 29 2014
Tuesday, Dec 30 2014
Wednesday, Dec 31 2014
Weekend #
1A
2A
4A
5A
Settle
3.6600
3.4300
3.3400
3.1350
3.3900
3.3400
3.4150
3.2100
3.0850
3.0700
3.0900
3.0700
3.2700
3.2100
3.4700
3.2000
3.5900
3.1800
3.2400
3.2000
2.9000
2.8750
2.5900
2.8000
3.7700
2.7000
2.6500
2.7000
2.7000
2.7000
3.8400
2.8000
3.0000
2.8050
2.5500
2.6700
High
3.8500
3.5000
3.4400
3.2200
3.3900
3.3700
3.5150
3.2900
3.1200
3.1350
3.1300
3.1450
3.2700
3.2450
3.6000
3.2700
3.2900
3.2250
3.2500
3.3200
3.0700
3.1000
2.7500
2.8250
2.7750
2.7400
2.6750
2.7000
2.7000
2.7000
2.8600
2.9500
3.0200
2.9100
2.7400
2.7200
Low
3.5600
3.3750
3.2800
3.1350
3.1000
3.1000
3.3800
3.1800
3.0750
3.0400
3.0850
3.0600
3.1400
3.1400
3.3900
3.2000
3.1700
3.1300
3.1950
3.2200
2.8550
2.8500
2.4500
2.6300
2.4600
2.5900
2.5300
2.5800
2.5000
2.6075
2.7100
2.7600
2.8400
2.8100
2.5400
2.5500
Weighted
Average
($CDN/GJ)
3.6669
3.4336
3.3415
3.1932
3.2324
3.1642
3.4689
3.2067
3.0969
3.0730
3.1026
3.0863
3.1737
3.1619
3.4877
3.2286
3.2460
3.1638
3.2197
3.2765
3.0021
2.9967
2.6375
2.7304
2.5759
2.6735
2.6094
2.6255
2.6424
2.6615
2.7984
2.8511
2.8589
2.8555
2.6654
2.6659
3.8500
3.8500
3.8500
3.8500
2.4500
2.4500
2.4600
2.4600
3.0243
3.0406
3.0224
3.0202
$CDN/$US
Exchange
Rate
0.8815
0.8772
0.8803
0.8793
0.8754
0.8754
0.8754
0.8754
0.8717
0.8755
0.8709
0.8669
0.8666
0.8666
0.8666
0.8666
0.8598
0.8602
0.8599
0.8625
0.8599
0.8599
0.8599
0.8599
0.8589
0.8601
0.8604
0.8604
0.8604
0.8604
0.8604
0.8604
0.8597
0.8621
0.8620
0.8620
Weighted
Average
(US$/MMBtu)
3.4103
3.1778
3.1035
2.9624
2.9854
2.9224
3.2039
2.9617
2.8482
2.8385
2.8508
2.8228
2.9018
2.8910
3.1888
2.9519
2.9446
2.8713
2.9210
2.9816
2.7236
2.7187
2.3929
2.4771
2.3342
2.4261
2.3687
2.3834
2.3987
2.4160
2.5403
2.5881
2.5931
2.5973
2.4241
2.4245
Volume
(GJ)
1913.7
1126.4
1179.5
1050.1
477.7
1175.2
262.8
133.6
1470.1
917.1
995.5
1451.8
402.0
1438.7
674.0
132.0
887.9
1121.0
1293.9
1030.1
697.5
1773.7
498.4
340.0
1718.8
1039.2
613.1
1273.5
85.5
139.5
332.8
290.0
1505.0
1208.3
603.1
1140.5
Volume
(MMBtu)
2019.06
1188.42
1244.44
1107.91
504.00
1239.90
277.27
140.96
1551.04
967.59
1050.31
1531.73
424.13
1517.91
711.11
139.27
936.78
1182.72
1365.14
1086.81
735.90
1871.35
525.84
358.72
1813.43
1096.41
646.85
1343.61
90.21
147.18
351.12
305.97
1587.86
1274.82
636.30
1203.29
# Trades
251
159
167
141
72
156
71
26
179
135
139
209
64
182
112
27
136
159
156
158
84
204
94
73
234
148
94
142
24
28
45
49
181
157
87
130
2.7652
2.7809
2.7640
2.7620
32392.0
25590.4
36571.0
40579.2
34175.4
26999.3
38584.5
42813.3
4473
3659
4762
5175