POST-CRIMEA NUCLEAR DETERRENCE AND ASSURANCE
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Books
Nuclear Matters Handbook 2016, Office of the Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Nuclear
Matters, http://www.acq.osd.mil/ncbdp/nm/NMHB/index.htm.
Cimbala, Stephen J., The New Nuclear Disorder: Challenges to Deterrence and Strategy, Ashgate
Publishing Company, 2015.
Deaile, Mel and Al Mauroni, Strategic Deterrence Research Papers: Academic Year 2016, US Air Force
Center for Unconventional Weapons Studies, Maxwell AFB, 2016,
http://cuws.au.af.mil/assets/strategic-deterrence-ay16-student-papers.pdf.
Heginbotham, Eric, Michael Chase, Jacob Hiem, Bonny Lin, Mark R. Cozad, Lyle J. Morris, Christopher
P. Twomey, Forrest E. Morgan, Michael Nixon, Cristina L. Garafola, Samuel K. Berkowitz,
China’s Evolving Nuclear Deterrent: Major Drivers and Issues for the United States, Rand
Corporation, RR-1628-AF, 2017, http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1628.html.
Larsen, Jeffrey A. and Kerry M. Kartchner, On Limited Nuclear War in the 21st Century, Stanford
University Press, 2014.
Lowther, Adam B., and Stephen J. Cimbala, Defending the Arsenal: Why America’s Nuclear
Modernization Still Matters, Routledge, September 15, 2016.
Moore, Rebecca R. and Damon Coletta, editors, NATO’s Return to Europe: Engaging Ukraine, Russia,
and Beyond, Georgetown University Press, 2017.
Narang, Vipin, Nuclear Strategy in the Modern Era: Regional Powers and International Conflict,
Princeton University Press, 2014.
Roberts, Brad, The Case for U.S. Nuclear Weapons in the 21st Century, Stanford University Press, 2016.
von Hlatky, Stefanie and Andreas Wenger, eds., The Future of Extended Deterrence: The United States,
NATO, and Beyond, Georgetown University Press, September 2015.
Studies
“U.S. Nuclear Weapons Capability,” The Heritage Foundation, 2016 Index of U.S. Military Strength,
https://s3.amazonaws.com/ims2016/PDF/2016_Index_of_US_Military_Strength_ASSESSMENT_MILITARY_NUCLEAR.pdf
http://index.heritage.org/military/2016/assessments/us-military-power/us-nuclear-weapons/.
Adamsky, Dmitry, “Cross-Domain Coercion: The Current Russian Art of Strategy,” Ifri,
Proliferation Papers, No. 54, November 2015,
http://www.ifri.org/sites/default/files/atoms/files/pp54adamsky.pdf.
Babbage, Ross, “Countering China’s Adventurism in the South China Sea: Strategy and Options for
the Trump Administration,” Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, 2016,
https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/3241531/Countering-China-s-Adventurism-in-theSouth.pdf.
Brustlein, Corentin, “Conventionalizing Deterrence? U.S. Prompt Strike Programs and Their
Limits,” Ifri, Proliferation Papers No. 52, January 2015,
http://www.ifri.org/sites/default/files/atoms/files/pp52brustlein.pdf.
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Cunningham, Fiona S. and M. Taylor Fravel, “Assuring Assured Retaliation: China’s Nuclear Posture
and U.S.-China Strategic Stability,” International Security, Vol. 40, No. 2, Fall 2015,
http://www.belfercenter.org/sites/default/files/files/publication/ISEC_a_00215Cunningham_proof3.pdf.
Dunn, Lewis A., “Redefining the U.S. Agenda for Nuclear Disarmament: Analysis and Reflections,”
Livermore Papers No. 1, LLNL-TR-701463, October 2016,
https://cgsr.llnl.gov/content/assets/docs/CGSR_Document_LLNL-TR-701463_103116.pdf
Hersman, Rebecca, Clark Murdock, and Shanelle Van, “The Evolving U.S. Nuclear Narrative:
Communicating the Rationale for the Role and Value of U.S. Nuclear Weapons, 1989 to
Today,” Center for Strategic and International Studies, 2016, https://csisprod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/publication/Evolving-US-Nuclear-Narrative.pdf.
Juarez, Anthony, “Remixing the ‘Appropriate Mix:’ Reassessing NATO’s Deterrence and Defense
Posture in the Face of New Threats,” Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Center for
Global Security Research, LLNL-TR-699505, July 2016,
https://cgsr.llnl.gov/content/assets/docs/Reassessing_the_mix_Juarez.pdf.
Kibaroglu, Mustafa, “Between Allies and Rivals: Turkey, Nuclear Weapons and BMD,” Ifri,
Proliferation Papers, No. 49, 2014,
http://www.ifri.org/sites/default/files/atoms/files/pp49kibaroglu.pdf.
Li Bin and Tong Zhao, editors, “Understanding Chinese Nuclear Thinking,” Carnegie Endowment for
International Peace, 2016,
http://carnegieendowment.org/files/ChineseNuclearThinking_Final.pdf.
Lieber, Keir A., and Daryl G. Press, “Preventing Escalation during Conventional Wars,” Project on
Advanced Systems and Concepts for Countering WMD (PASCC), PASCC Report Number 2015XXX, February 2015, http://calhoun.nps.edu/handle/10945/48612.
Lyon, Rod, “Special Report: A shifting Asian nuclear order,” Australian Strategic Policy Institute
(ASPI), September 2016, https://www.aspi.org.au/publications/a-shifting-asian-nuclearorder/SR93_Asian-nukes.pdf.
Manning, Robert A., “The Future of US Extended Deterrence in Asia to 2025,” Atlantic Council,
October 6, 2015, http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/publications/reports/the-future-of-us-extendeddeterrence-in-asia-to-2025.
Markey, Michael, “Extended Deterrence and Japan: How Much is Enough?” Lawrence Livermore
National Laboratory, Center for Global Security Research, LLNL-MI-682364, 2015,
https://cgsr.llnl.gov/content/assets/docs/Japan.pdf.
Montgomery, Evan Braden, “Extended Deterrence in the Second Nuclear Age: Geopolitics,
Proliferation, and the Future of U.S. Security Commitments,” Center for Strategic and
Budgetary Assessments (CSBA), 2016, http://csbaonline.org/uploads/documents/CSBA6183ExtendedDeterrence_PRINT.pdf.
Murdock, Clark, Thomas Karako, Ian Williams, and Michael Dyer, “Thinking the Unthinkable in a
Highly Proliferated World,” Center for Strategic and International Studies, 2016, https://csisprod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fspublic/publication/160725_Murdock_ThinkingAboutUnthinkable_Web.pdf.
Payne, Keith B. and John S. Foster Jr., “Nuclear Force Accountability for Deterrence and Assurance:
A Prudent Alternative to Minimum Deterrence,” Comparative Strategy, Vol. 34, Iss.3, 2015,
http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/01495933.2015.1050292?needAccess=true .
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Payne, Keith, “Nuclear Force Adaptability for Deterrence and Assurance: A Prudent Alternative to
Minimum Deterrence,” National Institute for Public Policy Series on U.S. Strategic Goals and
Force Requirements, 2014, http://www.nipp.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/MD-II-for-web.pdf.
Podvig, Pavel, and Javier Serrat, “Lock them Up: Zero-deployed Non-strategic Nuclear Weapons in
Europe,” United Nations Institute for disarmament Research (UNDIE), 2017,
http://www.unidir.org/files/publications/pdfs/lock-them-up-zero-deployed-non-strategic-nuclearweapons-in-europe-en-675.pdf.
Rinehart, Ian E., Steven A. Hildreth, and Susan V. Lawrence, “Ballistic Missile Defense in the AsiaPacific Region: Cooperation and Opposition,” CRS, R43116, April 3, 2015,
https://fas.org/sgp/crs/nuke/R43116.pdf.
Roberts, Brad, “On the Strategic Value of Ballistic Missile Defense,” Ifri, Proliferation Papers, No. 50,
June 2014, http://www.ifri.org/sites/default/files/atoms/files/pp50roberts.pdf.
Smith, Shane, “Implications for US Extended Deterrence and Assurance in East Asia,” US-Korea
Institute at SAIS, North Korea’s Nuclear Futures Series, November 2015,
http://uskoreainstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/NKNF-Smith-Extended-DeterrenceAssurance.pdf.
Swaine, Michael D., “Creating a Stable Asia: An Agenda for a U.S.-China Balance of Power,”
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2016,
http://carnegieendowment.org/files/CEIP_Swaine_U.S.-Asia_Final.pdf.
Thomas-Noone, Brendan, “Tactical nuclear weapons in the modern nuclear era,” Lowry Institute for
International Policy, September 2016, https://www.lowyinstitute.org/publications/tacticalnuclear-weapons-modern-nuclear-era.
Warden, John K., “North Korea’s Nuclear Posture: An Evolving Challenge for U.S. Deterrence,”
Ifri, Proliferation Papers, No. 58, March 2017, http://www.ifri.org/en/publications/etudes-delifri/proliferation-papers/north-koreas-nuclear-posture-evolving-challenge-us.
Woolf, Amy F., “U.S. Strategic Nuclear Forces: Background, Developments, and Issues,” CRS,
RL33640, February 10, 2017, https://fas.org/sgp/crs/nuke/RL33640.pdf.
Woolf, Amy F., “Nonstrategic Nuclear Weapons,” CRS, RL32572, February 21, 2017,
https://fas.org/sgp/crs/nuke/RL32572.pdf.
Woolf, Amy F., “Russian Compliance with the Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty:
Background and Issues for Congress,” CRS, R43832, March 15, 2017,
https://fas.org/sgp/crs/nuke/R43832.pdf.
PASCC Studies and Dialogues
Colby, Elbridge, and Burgess Laird, “Managing Escalation and Limiting War to Achieve National
Objectives in a Conflict in the Western Pacific,” PASCC Study, August, 2016,
http://calhoun.nps.edu/handle/10945/49800.
Cossa, Ralph A., “US-China Strategic Nuclear Relations: Time to Move to Track-1 Dialogue,”
PASCC Dialogue conference report, February 2015, https://calhoun.nps.edu/handle/10945/46431.
Einhorn, Robert, “The Strategic Chain: China, India, Pakistan, and the United States,” Brookings
Institution, Arms Control and Non-Proliferation Series, Paper 14, March 2017,
https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/acnpi_201703_strategic_chain.pdf.
Glosny, Michael, “U.S.-China Strategic Dialogue, Phase VIII Report,” PASCC Dialogue conference
report, December 2014, http://calhoun.nps.edu/handle/10945/44733.
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Glosserman, Brad, “Struggling with the Gray Zone: Trilateral Cooperation to Strengthen
Deterrence in Northeast Asia; A Conference Report from the US-ROK-Japan Trilateral
Strategic Dialogue,” October 2015, http://calhoun.nps.edu/handle/10945/49185.
Kelleher, Catherine, “Missile Defense, Extended Deterrence, and Nonproliferation in the 21st
Century,” PASCC study, July 2016, http://calhoun.nps.edu/handle/10945/50379.
Knopf, Jeffrey, Anne Harrington, and Miles Pomper, “Real-World Nuclear Decision Making: Using
Behavioral Economics Insights to Adjust Nonproliferation and Deterrence Policies to
Predictable Deviations from Rationality,” PASCC Study, January 2016,
http://www.nonproliferation.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/160112_behavioral-economicsand-nuclear-weapons.pdf.
Lieber, Keir A., and Daryl G. Press, “Preventing Escalation During Conventional Wars,” Project on
Advanced Systems and Concepts for Countering WMD (PASCC), February 2015,
http://calhoun.nps.edu/handle/10945/48612.
Perkovich, George, “Implications of Indian Tactical Nuclear Weapons for South Asia Deterrence,”
PASCC Study, 2015.
Samp, Lisa Sawyer, Jeffrey Rathke, and Anthony Bell, “Perspectives on Security and Strategic
Stability: A Track 2 Dialogue with the Baltic States and Poland,” Center for Strategic and
International Studies, ISBN: 978-1-4422-7960-5, 2016, https://csis-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fspublic/publication/161007_Samp_PerspectivesSecurity_Web.pdf.
Wit, Joel, “North Korea’s Nuclear Futures: Implications for Peace and Security, Project Final
Report,” PASCC Study, June 2016, https://calhoun.nps.edu/handle/10945/49702.
Dialogue/Workshop Summary Reports
“The Future of Nonproliferation in a Changed and Changing Security Environment: A Workshop
Summary,” LLNL-TR-702060, July 2016,
https://cgsr.llnl.gov/content/assets/docs/Nonproliferation_Workshop_Summary_2016.pdf
Bernstein, Paul, “Countering Russia’s Strategy for Regional Coercion and War,” LLNL-PROC686179, March 2016,
https://cgsr.llnl.gov/content/assets/docs/Countering_Russia_Strategy_for_Regional_Coercion_an
d_War.pdf.
Bernstein, Paul and Debbie Y. Ball, “Putin’s Russia and U.S. Defense Strategy,” LLNL-PROC678215, August, 2015, https://cgsr.llnl.gov/content/assets/docs/RussiaWorkshopReport.pdf.
Juarez, Anthony, “Strategic Weapons in the 21st Century: Deterrence and Assurance in a Changed
and Changing World,” LLNL-TR-683218, March 2016,
https://cgsr.llnl.gov/content/assets/docs/SW_21_2016_Summary_Report.pdf.
Juarez, Anthony, “2015 Cross-Domain Deterrence Seminar: Summary Report,” LLNL-TR-682064,
November, 2015, https://cgsr.llnl.gov/content/assets/docs/CDD_Seminar_2015_Report.pdf.
Roberts, Brad, David Santoro, Tristan Volpe, and John Warden, “Thinking Globally about U.S.
Extended Deterrence,” LLNL rept. LLNL-TR-681012, November 2015,
https://cgsr.llnl.gov/content/assets/docs/Roberts_Extended_Deterrence_Key_Takeaways.pdf.
Tobey, William, “Summary of Workshop—The Future of Nonproliferation in a Changed and
Changing Security Environment,” LLNL-MI-701200, July 2016,
https://cgsr.llnl.gov/content/assets/docs/The_Future_of_Nonproliferation_in_a_Changed_and_Ch
anging_Security_Environment.pdf.
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