Transaction banking in the age of disruption – are we sleeping through a revolution? last 8-9 years since the global financial crisis. The question for us as we go into 2017 is: are we responding sufficiently to the disruptions to make sure that we will be sound, relevant and competitive in the future? To answer this question, it would be worthwhile to first look at the current landscape to see why transaction banking needs to act swiftly and collectively; second, we should identify the factors that are driving us to rethink our business model; and finally, we should explore how to stay competitive and avoid sleeping through the revolution. Lisa Robins, head of Global Transaction Banking, Asia at Deutsche Bank provides a modern day metaphor of the Rip Van Winkle story to describe an industry facing unprecedented change. “O ur modern economy is littered with stories about incumbent firms that saw their fortunes reversed when they were caught unprepared for disruption caused by technology and the changing demands of the marketplace. Examples include Kodak, which missed opportunities with digital photography and traditional The current landscape in transaction banking entertainment channels, which were In the current landscape, we continue to uprooted by streaming media. meet clients’ needs through our core pilThe banking industry is now lars of transaction banking: trade finance, in the spotlight around this same securities services and cash management. narrative. With all the disruption These pillars have performed well thanks that has occurred since the finanto the rise of intra-Asian trade and cial crisis, people are questioning Asian companies’ use of trade finance, whether banks have moved fast the increasing emphasis on efficient enough to imagine the future cash management to place companies and accommodate how our cliin a better position to mitigate risk ents want financial services to be and generate more working capital delivered. internally and the increasing capital The disruption of the busimarket flows into Asia, prompting ness models of incumbent inRobins: Transaction banks have the advantage to investors and issuers to increasingly dustries reminds me of the story address the entire value chain require core securities services from of Rip Van Winkle. This classic trusted counterparties. short story, set around the time of We continue to adapt and innovate to meet clients’ the American Revolution, is about a man who falls into a needs through initiatives such as TARGET2-Securities, deep sleep after wandering into the mountains. He awakSWIFT’s global payments innovation (gpi) initiative and ens 20 years later and returns to the village to discover the Cross-border Inter-bank Payments System (CIPS) in that everything has drastically changed. The village has China. But equally, the industry has come to realize that grown much larger, new houses have replaced old ones, legacy systems are a big barrier to banking innovation and a Yankee hotel occupies the spot where an old Dutch and the potential to exploit big data analytics. inn previously stood; a portrait of George Washington The current landscape is also dynamic with new Finhas replaced one of King George III. The people are difTech entrants, regional banks and global providers that ferent, too. Rip is now an alien in a place where he was force transaction banks to rethink their business and oponce well known. The moral of the story is that change erating models. The number of multinational companies is inevitable and that there is a huge price to pay if you (MNCs) doing business in Asia and dealing with Asian try to evade it. banks for their business in the region has grown. Today, What does this story have to do with transaction Asia Pacific banks’ share of total international claims banking? It has been over 20 years since the key pillars of on the emerging APAC region rose from 31% in 2007 the industry really took off. During that time, the industo 57% in 2014. Banks’ settlement fees stand to be furtry has changed dramatically even if we can condense the ther eroded by the risk of third-party mobile payment timeline of the Rip Van Winkle metaphor down to the NOVEMBER 2016 38 pushing their costs up and preventing them from innovating, we cannot allow this to deter us from innovating. But there is a difference between opportunities in product-led innovation versus investment into innovation to develop new competencies. FinTech has presented a competitive threat to Forces of change banks, but it is encouraging to see that the narrative To be sustainable, transaction banks need to earn a deis shifting towards how banks and FinTechs can work cent return from their role in credit intermediation – together. The FinTech industry has achieved rapid suchistorically the business model has been very dependent cess but generally it is still operating at the margins of on interest rate margins. However, a prolonged period banking. There are several bottlenecks that the indusof low growth and low interest rates is dampening banks’ try now faces; profitability. Europe, for example, has adopted a nega• Translating success in specific niche pockets into tive interest rate policy. In this environment, the induswider success in wholesale banking try can no longer rely on these margins. It needs to sim• Heightened regulatory oversight is taking shape. This plify, standardise and take out costs. has been driven by a realization that some FinTech The evolving regulatory landscape is also challenginnovations (e.g. payments, virtual currencies) might ing profitability. Banking regulation such as Basel III lead to the circumvention of tax, capital controls, makes it expensive for banks to hold non-operational sanctions, AML & KYC checks, etc. Many FinTech short-term cash, and expensive to interact with other companies have been established within the regulatory large financial institutions due to concern about interframework of their home market and have found it connected risks. Basel IV is currently being formulated challenging to scale their service across borders where and is likely to trigger more capital-raising, to increase regulations differ. the costs of long-established trade finance products like • Financial institution connectivity is needed to allow ECA and others. FinTech innovations to grow beyond their niche. EsResponding to these factors quickly is not easy. Trapecially in relation to the development of new payditional transaction banks are constrained by legacy inment rails, such as digital currencies and distributed frastructure and organisational imperatives. These conledger technology, as well as initiatives by central straints and challenges are impacting our ability to adapt banks to adopt real-time payment systems. to change. Meanwhile, agile new entrants continue to On the other hand, transaction banks have the adnibble away at the margins. vantage of being able to address the entire value chain While we might be perceived to be unresponsive, at a time when many corporates would like to see cash, those challenges are in fact limiting the speed in which trade, working capital and FX services provided in a howe act. Here I would argue that, unlike Rip Van Winkle, listic fashion. we have not been sleeping through the change. Instead, While FinTechs have the advantage of being small we have been slow to act. We have been hitting the proand nimble, we have the advantage of scale and scope – verbial snooze button on the wake-up call to change together we can work to build a new paradigm. These because the weight of the legacy that prevents us from need to be combined if they are to deliver technologileaping out of bed. cal offerings that meet changing customer expectations. Faced with these challenges we can either act or asFor both parties, a partnership should liberate them to sume things stay the same. While we accept that things focus on their core competencies. cannot stay the same, it is important to realise that no To return to my Rip Van Winkle metaphor, we are bank is alone in this. The current landscape and the legnot guilty of sleeping through acy issues are impacting every the revolution, but we may transaction bank. have been a little too liberal For more information, please contact: with the snooze button in the How do transaction banks avoid past. That said, we still have a sleeping through the revolution? critical role to play as part of The change is bedding down the change and we cannot go on the entire financial services through it alone. Let’s not asindustry and no one player, sume that this revolution we be it a bank or a FinTech, can [email protected] are living through has only face it alone. While the current one inevitable outcome.” landscape increasing for banks, platforms such as AliPay, signalling that other areas of a bank’s overall revenue mix will be challenged as these players venture into money market funds, lending and other areas of banking services. NOVEMBER 2016 39
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