6-7 Scatter Plots and Equations of Lines 6-7 1. Plan Objectives 1 2 To write an equation for a trend line and use it to make predictions To write an equation for a line of best fit and use it to make predictions Check Skills You’ll Need • To write an equation for a Use the data in each table to draw a scatter plot. 1–2. See back of book. trend line and use it to make predictions 1. x • To write the equation for a line of best fit and use it to make predictions x y 2 1 21 3 8 2 3 15 12 9 25 4 5 9 7 . . . And Why 2 3 1 2 To use a trend line to make a prediction, as in Example 1 4 5 1 Writing an Equation for a Trend Line In Chapter 1 you used scatter plots to determine how two sets of data are related. You can now write an equation for a trend line. More Math Background: p. 306D 1 See p. 306E for a list of the resources that support this lesson. Length and Wingspan of Hawks Type of Hawk WingLength span (in.) (in.) Cooper’s 21 36 Crane 21 41 Gray 18 38 Harris’s 24 46 Roadside 16 31 PowerPoint Bell Ringer Practice Check Skills You’ll Need For intervention, direct students to: Mean, Median, Mode, and Range Lesson 1-6: Example 4 Extra Skills and Word Problem Practice, Ch. 1 Broadwinged 19 39 Shorttailed 17 35 Swanson’s 19 46 SOURCE: Birds of North America EXAMPLE Trend Line Birds Make a scatter plot of the data at the left. Draw a trend line and write its equation. Use the equation to predict the wingspan of a hawk that is 28 in. long. Step 1 Make a scatter plot and draw a trend line. Estimate two points on the line. Length and Wingspan of Hawks 40 y - y1 = m(x - x1) Use point-slope form. y - 30 = 95 (x - 14) Substitute 95 for m and (14, 30) for (x1, y1). y - 30 = 95(28 - 14) Substitute 28 for x. y - 30 = 95(14) Simplify within the parentheses. 32 28 14 18 22 26 Length (in.) y - 30 = 25.2 y = 55.2 Multiply. Add 30 to each side. The wingspan of a hawk 28 in. long is about 55 in. Chapter 6 Linear Equations and Their Graphs Special Needs Below Level L1 Some students may have difficulty plotting points accurately on a grid. Have them work with a partner to make sure each point is correctly positioned. Then have them discuss the position of trend lines. 350 y 2y 9 2 30 m 5 x2 2 x1 5 39 19 2 14 5 5 2 1 Step 3 Predict the wingspan of a hawk that is 28 in. long. 36 Two points on the trend line are (14, 30) and (19, 39). 350 Step 2 Write an equation of the trend line. 44 Wingspan (in.) Lesson Planning and Resources y Lesson 1-6 New Vocabulary • line of best fit • correlation coefficient Math Background Lines of best fit can be used to determine whether slopes for two sets of data are approximately equal, indicating a similarity in the relationships. 2. 1 Examples Trend Line Line of Best Fit GO for Help What You’ll Learn learning style: visual L2 To better understand a correlation coefficient, draw and discuss scatter plots that show positive and negative correlations with varying correlation coefficients. learning style: visual Quick Check 1 Graph the data below and draw a trend line. Find an equation for the trend line. Estimate the number of Calories in a fast-food that has 14g of fat. See back of book. Calories and Fat in Selected Fast-Food Meals Calories Guided Instruction 6 7 10 19 20 27 36 276 260 220 388 430 550 633 Fat (g) 2. Teach PowerPoint Additional Examples 2 1 Writing an Equation for a Line of Best Fit The trend line that shows the relationship between two sets of data most accurately is called the line of best fit. A graphing calculator computes the equation of a line of best fit using a method called linear regression. The graphing calculator also gives you the correlation coefficient r, which tells you how closely the equation models the data. 1 0 negative correlation no correlation Miles 1 EXAMPLE positive correlation Line of Best Fit Recreation Use a graphing calculator to find the equation of the line of best fit for the data at the right. What is the correlation coefficient to three decimal places? For: Correlation Activity Use: Interactive Textbook, 6-7 Recreation Expenditures Year 1993 340 Step 1 Use the EDIT feature of the screen on your graphing calculator. Let 93 correspond to 1993 and 100 correspond to 2000. Enter the data for years and then the data for expenditures. 1994 369 1995 402 1996 430 1997 457 Step 2 Use the CALC feature in the screen. Find the equation for the line of best fit. 1998 489 1999 527 2000 574 slope y-intercept correlation coefficient SOURCE: Statistical Abstract of the United States. Go to www.PHSchool.com for a data update. Web Code: atg-9041 PHSchool.com For: Graphing calculator procedures Web Code: ate-2122 The equation for the line of best fit is y = 32.33x - 2671.67 for values of a and b rounded to the nearest hundredth. The correlation coefficient is about 0.996. Lesson 6-7 Scatter Plots and Equations of Lines Advanced Learners English Language Learners L4 Make several scatter plots with different correlation coefficients. Students match each scatter plot with its corresponding correlation coefficient. learning style: visual 2 EXAMPLE 10 14 18 22 46 71 78 107 Graphing Calculator Hint Point out that the equation of the line of best fit will be in the form y = ax + b or y = a + bx. The coefficient of x is always the slope and the constant is always the y-intercept. PowerPoint Dollars (billions) LinReg y axb a 32.33333333 b 2671.666667 r2 .9929145373 r .9964509708 5 Time (min) 27 When the data points cluster around a line, there is a strong correlation between the line and the data. So the nearer r is to 1 or -1, the more closely the data cluster around the line of best fit. In later chapters, you will learn how to find non-linear models which may better describe some data. 2 1 Make a scatter plot to represent the data. Draw a trend line and write an equation for the trend line. Use the equation to predict the time needed to travel 32 miles on a bicycle. See back of book. Speed on a Bicycle Trip 351 ELL For Exercises 6-11, help students understand the term correlation by pointing out that it contains the word relation. The correlation coefficient tells you how closely related the equation and the data are. learning style: verbal Additional Examples 2 Use a graphing calculator to find the equation of the line of best fit for the data below. What is the correlation coefficient? U.S. Crime Rate See back (per 100,000 inhabitants) of book. Year No. of Crimes 1995 5275.9 1996 5086.6 1997 4930.0 1998 4619.3 1999 4266.8 [Source: Crime in the United States, 1999, FBI, Uniform Crime Reports] Resources • Daily Notetaking Guide 6-7 L3 • Daily Notetaking Guide 6-7— L1 Adapted Instruction Closure Ask: What is the difference between a trend line and a line of best fit? A trend line is an approximation for a line of best fit. 351 3. Practice Quick Check 2 Find the equation of the line of best fit. Let 95 correspond to 1995 and 103 correspond to 2003. What is the correlation coefficient to three decimal places? Assignment Guide 1 A B 1-6, 12-13, 15, 19 2000 7-11, 14, 16-18 20 21-23 24-35 EXERCISES 2002 2003 For more exercises, see Extra Skill and Word Problem Practice. Practice and Problem Solving Homework Quick Check To check students’ understanding of key skills and concepts, go over Exercises 4, 10, 12, 15, 16. A Practice by Example Example 1 Error Prevention! GO for Help Exercise 1–5 Some students may 1–6. Trend lines may vary. Samples Find an equation of a reasonable trend line for each scatter plot. are given. 1. 2. Animal Longevity Cable TV (page 350) expect their trend lines to be exactly like those of their neighbors. Remind them that a trend line is not precise. Thus, their lines and equations may differ slightly. and Gestation 65 Gestation (days) Test Prep Mixed Review 2001 y ≠ 0.52x – 43.99; 0.990 60 55 50 3. 200 4. NBA Players Points per Game 400 10 20 30 40 Longevity (years) y – 100 ≠ 15.71(x – 5) ’92 ’94 ’96 ’98 Year y – 52.5 ≠ 2(x – 91) Exercise 2 Ask students if these data have a strong correlation or a weak correlation. 600 0 ’90 0 Memory Test Response Speed (s) C Challenge Subscribers (millions) 2 A B 22 20 18 80 60 40 20 16 0 GPS Guided Problem Solving L4 L1 Adapted Practice Practice Name Class L3 Date Practice 6-6 Scatter Plots and Equations of Lines Decide whether the data in each scatter plot follow a linear pattern. If they do, find the equation of a trend line. 1. 2. y 7 6 20 15 10 5 21 4 3 x O 3. y 2 1O 4321 1 x 2 3 4 5 6 y 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 O x 7654321 1 1 Use a graphing calculator to find the equation of the line of best fit for the following data. Find the value of the correlation coefficient r and determine if there is a strong correlation between the data. 4. x y x y 1 7 1 6 2 5 2 15 4 8 15 50 3 -1 3 -5 8 3 18 14 4 3 4 1 13 10 21 28 5 -5 5 -2 19 13 24 36 5. 6. x y 1 7. 5 x y 12 28 5. Revenue (billions of dollars) L2 Reteaching 10.0 x y 1 17 2 20 3 22 4 26 5 28 6 31 Year U.S. Union Membership (millions) 1988 17.00 1989 16.96 1990 16.74 1991 16.57 1992 16.39 1993 9. x y 1 18 2 20 3 24 4 30 5 28 6 33 11. U.S. Year Unemployment Rate (%) 1988 5.5 1989 5.3 1990 5.6 1991 6.8 1992 7.5 16.60 1993 6.9 1994 16.75 1994 6.1 1995 16.36 1995 5.6 1996 16.27 1996 5.4 1997 16.11 1997 4.9 1998 16.21 1998 4.5 Source: World Almanac 2000, p. 154. 352 10. Source: World Almanac 2000, p. 145. 8.0 7.0 y – 7.5 ≠ 0.06(x – 280) © Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8. Attendance and Revenue at U.S. Theme Parks 9.0 270 290 310 330 Attendance (millions) Draw a scatter plot. Write the equation of the trend line. 352 70 5 72 74 76 y – 85 ≠ –15.25(x – 1) Games Played y – 16.4 ≠ 0.64(x – 69.9) 5. Graph the data in the table below for the attendance and revenue at theme parks. Find an equation for a trend line of the data. See left. 0 L3 Enrichment 1 2 3 4 Study Time (min) Year 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Attendance (millions) 280 290 300 300 309 317 319 324 322 Revenue (billions of dollars) 7.4 7.9 8.4 8.7 9.1 9.6 9.6 9.9 10.3 SOURCE: International Association of Amusement Parks and Attractions. Go to www.PHSchool.com for a data update. Web Code: atg-9041 Chapter 6 Linear Equations and Their Graphs Average Annual Precipitation (in.) 6. 58 6. Graph the data for the average July temperature and the annual precipitation of the cities in the table below. Find an equation for the line of best fit of the data. Estimate the average rainfall for a city with average July temperature of 758 F. y 54 Precipitation and Temperature in Selected Eastern Cities 50 42 38 x O 72 76 80 84 Average July Temperature (ⴗF) y ≠ 1.6x – 80; 40 in. Exercise 7 Longitudes and latitudes make up a coordinate system used in designating the location of places on the surface of Earth. Latitude gives location north or south of the equator. It is expressed by angle measurements ranging from 0° at the equator to 90° at the poles. Average July Temperature (ºF) Average Annual Precipitation (in.) New York 76.4 42.82 Baltimore 76.8 41.84 Atlanta 78.6 48.61 Exercise 11 The r-value rounds to Jacksonville 81.3 52.76 Washington, D.C. 78.9 39.00 1,000 since its value is 0.999808967. Boston 73.5 43.81 Miami 82.5 57.55 City 46 Connection to Geography SOURCE: Time Almanac Graphing Calculator Use a graphing calculator to find the equation of the line of best fit for the data. Find the value of the correlation coefficient r to three decimal places. Example 2 (page 351) 7. Average Temperatures in Northern Latitudes Latitude (º N) Temp. (ºF) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 79.2 80.1 77.5 68.7 57.4 42.4 30.0 12.7 1.0 y ≠ –1.06x ± 92.31.; –0.970 Retail Department Store Sales (billions of dollars) 8. Year 1980 Sales 86 1985 1990 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 126 217 231 261 166 245 279 SOURCE: Statistical Abstract of the United States. Go to www.PHSchool.com for an update. Web Code: atg-9041 y ≠ 10.60x – 772.66; 0.991 9. Olympic 5000-Meter Men’s Gold Medal Speed Skating Times Year 1980 1984 1988 1992 1994 1998 2002 Time (seconds) 422 432 404 395 382 420 402 SOURCE: International Skating Union y ≠ –1.63x ± 556.76; –0.725 10. Average Male Lung Power Respiration (breaths/min) Real-World Heart Rate (beats/min) Connection The 500-meter men’s speed skating race has been an Olympic event since 1924. 50 30 25 20 18 16 14 200 150 140 130 120 110 100 y ≠ 2.64x ± 70.51; 0.990 SOURCE: Encyclopeadia Britannica Wind Chill Temperature for 15 mi/h Wind 11. Air Temp. (ºF) 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Wind-Chill Temp. (ºF) 16 9 2 5 11 18 25 31 y ≠ 1.35x – 31.42; 1.000 Lesson 6-7 Scatter Plots and Equations of Lines 353 353 Connection to Geometry B Exercise 12 The circumference of a circle divided by its diameter equals p. pages 352–356 12a. Apply Your Skills 12c. Answers may vary. Sample: The slope is the approximate ratio of the circumference to the diameter. Exercises y 28 14 Population Growth O 2 13a. Female (millions) 144 6 10 x y 1790 140 136 128 x 122 126 130 134 138 Male (millions) b. Answers may vary. Sample: y ≠ 0.939x ± 13.8 d. Answers may vary. Sample: No, the year is too far in the future. 14a. Check students’ work. b. 1 Today More than 2 persons per square mile 15. Answers may vary. Sample: Pos. slope; as temp. increases, more students are absent. Stopping Distance (ft) 1 20a. y y≠ 4.82x – 29.65 132 66 O Cylinder Tops Diameter (cm) 16 32 x Speed (mi/h) 16a. y ≠ 0.61x ± 35.31 b. Answers may vary. Sample: No; small set of data with weak correlation 3 3 Circumference (cm) 9.3 9.5 5 6 8 16 18.8 25 8 9.5 10 10 12 25.6 29.5 31.5 30.9 39.5 a. Graph the data. See margin. b. Find the equation of a trend line. y ≠ 3.25x – 1 c. What does the slope of the equation mean? See left. d. Find the diameter of a cylinder with a circumference of 45 cm. about 14 cm 13a–b. See margin. 13. Population Use the data at the right. Estimated Population of the United States (thousands) a. Graph the data for the male and female populations of the United States. Year Male Female b. Find the equation of a trend line. 1991 122,956 129,197 c. Use your equation to predict the number of females if the number of males were to 1992 124,424 130,606 increase to 150,000,000. 154,650,000 1993 125,788 131,995 d. Critical Thinking Would it be reasonable to predict the population in 2025 from these data? Explain. See margin. 1860 132 O 12. Geometry Students measured the diameters and circumferences of the tops of GPS a variety of cylinders. Below is the data that they collected. 14. a. Open-Ended Make a table of data for a linear function. Use a graphing calculator to find the equation of the line of best fit. b. What is the correlation coefficient for your linear data? a–b. See margin. 15. Writing What kind of trend line do you think data for the following comparison would be likely to show? Explain. See left. temperature and the number of students absent from school 1994 127,049 133,278 1995 128,294 134,510 1996 129,504 135,724 1997 130,783 137,001 1998 132,030 138,218 1999 133,277 139,414 2000 138,054 143,368 SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau. Go to www.PHSchool.com for a data update. Web Code: atg-9041 16. Graphing Calculator A school collected data on math and science grades of nine randomly selected students. Student 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Math 76 89 84 79 94 71 79 91 84 Science 82 94 89 89 94 84 68 89 84 a. Use a graphing calculator to find the equation of the line of best fit for the data. a–b. See left. b. Critical Thinking Should the equation for the line of best fit be used to predict grades? Explain. 17. Graphing Calculator Use a graphing calculator to find the equation of the line of best fit for the data below. Predict sales of greeting cards in the year 2010. Greeting Card Sales Year 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Sales (billions) $4.2 $4.6 $5.0 $5.3 SOURCE: Greeting Card Association y ≠ 0.37x – 28.66; $12.04 billion 354 354 Chapter 6 Linear Equations and Their Graphs $5.6 $5.9 $6.3 $6.8 $7.3 $7.5 GO nline Homework Help Visit: PHSchool.com Web Code: ate-0607 18. a. Data Collection Find two sets of data that you could display in a scatter plot, such as the number of boys and girls in each class in your school, or the population and the number of airports in some states. Then graph the data. b. Find the equation of a trend line. c. Use the equation to predict another value that could be on your scatter plot. d. What is the correlation coefficient? a–d. Check students’ work. 4. Assess & Reteach PowerPoint Lesson Quiz 19. Another way you can find a line of best fit is the median-median method. The graph below shows how this method works. The points in red indicate the original data. y 8 y y 8 Line between Median points first and last 6 median points 6 6 4 4 4 2 2 2 0 2 4 6 Divide the data into three groups of equal size. x 8 0 2 4 6 Find and plot the median points, (x-median, y-median). x 8 Line of best fit 0 2 4 x 8 6 Challenge 20c. The speed is much faster than those speeds used to find the equation of a trend line. Find the line parallel to the line between the first and last median points and 13 of the way to the middle median point. 20. a. Make a scatter plot of the data below. Then find the equation of the line of best fit. See margin. Car Stopping Distances Speed (mi/h) 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Stopping Distances (ft) 27 44 63 85 109 136 164 196 71.1 80.8 86.8 93.3 99.0 [Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Reports. From Statistical Abstract of the United States, 2000] a. Estimate two coordinates on the purple line in the graph at the right above. Find the equation of the line of best fit. (2, 3) and (6, 6); y ≠ 0.75x ± 1.5 b. Graphing Calculator You can use a graphing calculator to find the line of best fit with the median-median method. Below are the coordinates of the points graphed in red. Use the EDIT feature of the screen on your graphing calculator. Use the Med-Med feature to find a line of best fit. y ≠ 0.75x ± 1.21 (1, 2), (1, 3), (2, 3), (2, 4), (3, 2), (3, 3), (4, 3), (5, 1), (6, 6), (7, 9), (8, 8), (8, 7) C (millions) 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 b. Use your equation to predict the stopping distance at 90 mi/h. 404 ft c. Critical Thinking The actual stopping distance at 90 mi/h is close to 584 ft. Why do you think this is not close to your prediction? See left. 1. Graph the data in a scatter plot. Draw a trend line. Household (millions) 8 Number of Households in the U.S. Year Households 100 95 90 85 80 75 70 O y '75 '80 '85 '90 '95 '00 Year 2. Write an equation for the trend line. y – 86.8 ≠ 1.3(x – 85) 3. Predict the number of households in the U.S. in 2005. (Use 105 for x.) about 112.8 million households 4. Use a calculator to find the line of best fit for the data. y ≠ 1.366x – 29.91 5. What is the correlation coefficient? 0.9943767027 Alternative Assessment Test Prep Multiple Choice 21. A horizontal line passes through (5, -2). Which other point does it also pass through? B A. (5, 2) B. (-5, -2) C. (-5, 2) D. (5, 0) 22. Which of the following equations has a graph that contains the ordered pairs (-3, 4) and (1, -4)? H F. x + 2y = 8 G. 2x - y = 4 H. 2x + y = -2 J. x - 2y = -6 lesson quiz, PHSchool.com, Web Code: ata-0607 Lesson 6-7 Scatter Plots and Equations of Lines Have students search for data that would be suitable for a scatter plot. Each student should graph the data, find a trend line, and then use a graphing calculator to find the line of best fit and the correlation coefficient. 355 355 Test Prep Extended Response Resources For additional practice with a variety of test item formats: • Standardized Test Prep, p. 369 • Test-Taking Strategies, p. 364 • Test-Taking Strategies with Transparencies Alternative Method 23. The table right shows the number of elderly in the United States from 1960 through 2000. a. Graph the data and draw a trend line. b. Write an equation for the trend line you drew. c. Predict the elderly population in the United States in 2005. Show your work. a–c. See margin. U.S. Elderly Population more than one way to solve a problem. For Exercise 22, you can substitute both points into each equation or use the two points to find an equation. Lesson 6-6 Lesson 4-4 30. x S 134 31. x R 5 32. x S –1 Checkpoint Quiz 2 Grab & Go • Checkpoint Quiz 2 1960 16.560 1970 19.980 1980 25.550 1990 31.235 2000 34.709 Mixed Review GO for Help Resources Elderly (millions) SOURCE: Statistical Abstract of the United States. Go to www.PHSchool.com for a data update. Web Code: atg-9041 Exercise 22 Many times there is Use this Checkpoint Quiz to check students’ understanding of the skills and concepts of Lessons 6-5 through 6-7. Year Write the equation for the line that is parallel to the given line and that passes through the given point. y – 4 ≠ –23 (x ± 1) y ± 3 ≠ 5(x – 2) 24. y = 5x + 1; (2,-3) 25. y = -x - 9; (0, 5) 26. 2x + 3y = 9; (-1, 4) y – 5 ≠ –x 1 27. y = -2x; (3, -4) 28. y = -2x + 3; (-2, -1) 29. y = 23x + 7; (-1, 2) 1 y ± 1 ≠ –2(x ± 2) y – 2 ≠ 23 (x ± 1) y ± 4 ≠ –2 (x – 3) Solve each inequality. 30–32. See left 30. 1 + 5x + 1 . x + 9 31. 7x + 3 , 2x + 28 32. 4x + 4 . 2 + 2x 33. 4x + 3 # 2x - 7 x K –5 34. -x + 5 , 3x - 1 x S 32 35. 2x . 7x - 3 - 4x xR3 Checkpoint Quiz 2 Lessons 6-5 through 6-7 1–3. See left. Write an equation for the line through the given point that has the given slope. 1. (3, 4); m = 2 14 1. y – 4 ≠ –14 (x – 3) 2. y ± 3 ≠ 18x 3. y ≠ –5 23. [4] a. Elderly (millions) pages 352–356 6. 3x + 2y = 1; (-2, 6) y – 6 ≠ –32 (x ± 2) Write an equation of the line that is perpendicular to the given line and that passes through the given point. Exercises 8. y = 23 x + 6; (-6, 2) y – 2 ≠ –32 (x ± 6) 9. Find the equation for a trend line for the data at the right. Answers may vary. Sample: y ≠ 5.33x ± 1.34 24 x 10. y ≠ –6.07x ± 62.71 70 90 Year (19–) b – c. Answers may vary. Samples: b. Let 1960 ≠ 60. Two points on line are (62, 18) and (90, 30). y ≠ 0.429x – 8.6 c. y ≠ 0.429(105) – 8.6; 36.4 million people 356 5. x + y = 3; (5, 4) y – 4 ≠ –(x – 5) 7. y = - 4x + 2; (0, 2) y – 2 ≠ 14 x 12 356 3. (-7, -5); m = 0 4. Write an equation for the line through the points (2, -6) and (-1, -4). y ± 6 ≠ –23 (x – 2) Write an equation of the line that is parallel to the given line and that passes through the given point. y O 2. (0, -3); m = 18 10. Graphing Calculator Use a graphing calculator to find the equation for the line of best fit for the data at the right. See left. Chapter 6 Linear Equations and Their Graphs [3] appropriate methods but one computational error [2] incorrect points used correctly OR points used incorrectly; function written appropriately, given previous results. [1] correct function, without work shown x 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 y 7 12 19 20 28 33 40 x 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 y 54 52 45 40 33 27 18
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