Do Franchises in the UK Fail or Perform Poorly for the Same Reasons as Non-Franchised Businesses in the UK? Abstract Research into franchise failure in the UK has tended to rely on surveys that have concentrated on commercial reasons for failure. It is difficult to identify failed franchisees and the research usually conflates them with non-franchised business failures. This study questioned the validity of the reasons given for failures and explored the causes of poor performance and failure of UK franchises from the perspective of the franchisee. A qualitative case study approach is used with three franchisees in order to obtain an intensive insight that conveys a more holistic understanding of the complex psychological influences at work in each unique case. Although it is not possible to demonstrate that the results are universally applicable, this research finds that franchisees are particularly susceptible to psychological influences that negatively affect their performance and also that there are disadvantageous commercial factors unique to franchising which have an adverse bearing upon the success of franchisees in the UK. 1 This article summarises the study undertaken by Keith Marriott as part of his MBA dissertation which attempted to answer the following questions: 1. Are there different commercial risks facing independently owned enterprises and franchises? 2. Are the reasons for failure given by franchisees accurate? 3. Are there psychological causes of poor performance or failure affecting franchisees? 4. Are there any cultural or legal factors adversely affecting franchisees in particular? This research explored whether the reasons given for failure or poor performance in franchises are accurate and if actual causes are different from those of other enterprise start-ups, or if there are reasons that affect franchisees more. To do this various commercial and psychological factors were examined. This study undertook a multiple-case study (Yin, 2003) or a collective case study (Merriam, 1998; Stake, 1995) using 3 case studies. Case study A involves a previously successful independent businessman, who has bought a franchise in a well known (within the industry) and relatively well-established franchised business, which is performing badly. Case study B involves an ex-employee of a globally branded Franchise company who bought a franchise from the company he worked for. His franchise never made a profit and is now closed. Case study C involves a previously very successful corporate entrepreneur who bought a franchise in a little known, relatively new company. His franchise never made a profit and is now closed. All 3 franchises appeared ‘normal’ to the franchisees and the public; they were not trading in unusual conditions or selling unusual products and were located in reasonable locations that would be assumed to give a good chance of success. 2 Franchisors will not supply details of failed franchises, in case it degrades the value of their offering to potential franchisees; indeed, in one of the case-studies, the Franchisor hid the fact from new franchisees that all previous franchises had failed. It became apparent through research and the case studies that the use of punitive non-disclosure agreements by Franchisors is also commonplace. It is therefore difficult to survey the ex-owners of failed franchises – they are not identified and, they would often be frightened (as in two of the case- studies) of the consequences of talking to a researcher. However it is very apparent that there are high numbers of failed franchises as websites have been built by discontent ex-franchisees to air their grievances. Ansoff’s work (1957) exploring the levels of risk involved in growth strategies was used to assess the risk involved in becoming a franchisee from a commercial and personal aspect. Whereas Independently owned business start-ups are often created by people with a lot of experience in their business area, franchisees buy an ‘off the shelf’ company in a market they often have no previous experience of and this dissertation examined whether psychological factors such as dispositional optimism and motivated reasoning and escalation theory play a part in the success or failure of franchisees. When the lists of reasons for failure in business generally are compiled they are often arrived at through simple quantative surveys which give rise to data reliability problems This dissertation used qualitative analysis of case studies of ex-franchisees and a current franchisee to explore whether the reasons given for failure have been distorted by choice supportive memory distortion , cognitive dissonance, leading to external self-justification and attribution biases (amongst other psychological biases) and whether these effects are prevalent amongst franchisees, who have the opportunity to blame the franchisor for the poor performance of their business. The researcher suspaected that franchisees are persuaded by the BFA, the trickledown effect of glamorous and entirely positive advertising from super brands like McDonalds, banks and ‘collective intelligence’ that theirs’ is a safe investment because they are buying a tried and tested formula (and support) guaranteed to bring a good return on their 3 investment. For this reason the part played by ‘group think’, both in the initial evaluation of the idea of buying a franchise and in the decisions made when being inducted with other franchisees was examined as a possible reason for the poor performance of franchisees. “Clearly, making an investment in a well-established franchise opportunity with a sound trading record that has passed the membership accreditation of the British Franchise Association reduces the risks of the investor.” Richard Holden, Head of Franchising, Lloyds TSB Business (2009) However it might be worth noting here that the BFA, which claims on its website that “each [member] is vetted against a strict code of business practice,” gave Associate Member status to 24 Self-Video, a UK franchise criticised by Labour M.P., Brian Donohoe, who told Parliament that victims of 24 Self Video franchises had lost around £2million (Hansard, 22 May 2007). The following map illustrates the problem of the enormous number of possible psychological influences that could be investigated in the literature. Availability Cascade Source Confusion Neglect of Probability Prospect Theory Sunk Cost fallacy Illusion of Truth Effect Escalation Theory Cognitive Dissonance False Memory Motivated Reasoning Attribution Theory Crypomnesia Wishful Thinking Confirmation bias Outcome bias Locus of Control Conflict Theory Group Think Self-Justification Dispositional Optimism Choice supportive memory distortion Authority Bias Positivity Effect Egocentric bias Heuristics Selective Perception Hindsight Bias Von Restorff Effect Biased Pre-decision Processing Post-purchase Rationalisation Figure 4. Some of the psychological factors that could be could be examined for their effect on the performance or the reasons given for the standard of performance. 4 By examining a range of possible psychological influences the study found that many psychological effects are at play in determining the success of franchises. In fact the psychological influences discussed selected themselves. It became apparent after the participant interviews, which factors had been very influential and those are the main subjects of examination. Methodology A qualitative case study approach, employing semi-structured interviews and triangulation by observation and the examination of financial and other commercial artefacts was used. Literature Review Hypothesis Data Collection Concurrent Analysis Progressive Focusing Interviews Lit. Map Subject Artefacts Triangulation Observation Reselection of Theories Interpretation using Literature Figure 5. Research Methodology. This study meets the criteria for grounded theory as objectivity is primarily “in the framing of the research problem and the willingness of the researchers to pursue that problem where the data and their hunches may lead” (Vidich and Stanford, 2003, p. 58). 5 Conclusions Although it is not possible to generalise from such a small qualitative study, from the evidence produced it is the conclusion of this research that: 1. This research found that the franchises in these case studies performed badly for specific reasons not affecting independently owned businesses, these included deception through inability to do due diligence; poor marketing support and differing franchisor/franchisee aims amongst others, which should be a strong argument for new legislation to protect franchisees. The idea of franchising as a safe bet is incorrect; from the franchisee perspective they were situated in Ansoff’s (1957) riskiest ‘diversification quadrant’ – new products, new markets – and without the core competencies required to succeed (Jobber, 2006). Of course this should have been mitigated by the franchisor’s experience and training. However in all three cases the expected support was not received from the franchisor. 2. It is apparent from the contradictory assertions in the individual case-studies that the real reasons for failure are not always proffered and that therefore simple surveys of exfranchisees requesting the reason for business failure may not be reliable. How franchisees perceive the cause of failure is important (Rogoff et al, 2004), all of the participants showed attribution biases and Choice-supportive memory distortion. Many of the behaviours exhibited in the theories examined in this study allow positive illusions that promote wellbeing (Taylor & Brown, 1988) and may therefore be psychologically beneficial to the individual, but not economically beneficial for the wider community and, as Mather, Shafir and Johnson (2000) pointed out in their study of choice supportive memory distortion, it may also lead to people not learning from their mistakes; certainly this is the case in two of the case studies, because they still believe they made the right choices. Not only will this distort reporting of the real reasons for poor performance or failure, thus not warning potential franchisees of the real risks, but it may lead the same people to make the same mistake again and advise others to do the same. This should persuade any interested party to consider sceptically the causes of business failure that some groups publicise. Awareness of these common biases in accounting for poor performance or failure would benefit all stakeholders. 6 3. This research finds that the causes of failure have psychological not commercial roots; in all 3 cases the businesses would have been commercial failures – but they should never have been purchased; the myopia discussed in Escalation theory (Drummond, 1997) was apparent and all of the experienced businessmen went ahead and signed the franchise agreement and in some cases continued to try and make it work for too long. The literature on dispositional optimism is particularly relevant e.g. De Meza and Southey (1996), and the study by Hmieleski & Baron (2009) is enlightening: “In addition, there is some indication....that the negative relationship between entrepreneurs’ optimism and the performance of their new ventures is strongest when entrepreneurs are high in previous business founding experience and lead their firms in dynamic environments”. This is quite counter intuitive, but more acceptable after a little consideration. It was the case that all of our interviewees were very experienced and yet far too optimistic. This certainly needs to be communicated and more widely understood as a potential pitfall not least because it may lead to a further problem; an experienced businessman whose franchise fails is likely to suffer more cognitive dissonance and be more susceptible to attribution biases than an inexperienced businessman. 4. The evidence found in this study shows that the participants had been influenced by the belief of their peers that franchising is a safe bet and the ubiquity of positive messages put out about franchising by the BFA, the banks, the franchise industry. This is concerning as no organisation counterbalances these entirely positive messages and McKimmie, et al (2009) state that “recent work has established that groups can reduce dissonance by providing consonant cognitions, normative support, or an opportunity to diffuse responsibility for counter attitudinal behaviour.” (p103). Franchising is not a specifically regulated business activity in Britain and new franchisees are not protected by consumer law. Although it is being tested in the courts now, so far UK franchisors using ‘standard’ franchise contracts, which include single agreement and no reliance clauses, have been legally almost unassailable by discontented franchisees. MPs have called for specific franchising legislation to give more protection to franchisees. This 7 would have helped in two of the case studies where full disclosure of the historic performance of all of the franchisees, would have dissuaded them from buying their franchises. On 22 May 2007, Parliamentary hearings were held to consider petitions initiated by ex-franchisees who had lost their investments calling for specific governmental regulation of franchising. This call was dismissed by Margaret Hodge, who suggested that legislation would dissuade franchisees from doing proper due diligence, seemingly not understanding the point made by participant C that the kind of secrecy the current laws allow the franchisors prevents proper due diligence. Suggestions for Future Research The franchising industry is very important to the UK economy, but there is little academic attention paid to it and a more comprehensive study to understand the extent of the problem is needed. The numbers are important; if it could be shown that franchises generally failed at a higher rate; perhaps because of the franchisees’ lack of experience in their new market as would be predicted by Ansoff (1957), then there would be a strong case for better selection and education of franchisees. Finding the real failure rate could have wide significance; if failure is high and due to systemic problems, research might lead to better awareness amongst potential purchasers of the associated risks of franchising, if this caused a drop in demand, the purchase price of franchises could drop, making them more accessible or forcing less robust models out of the market. It is apparent that the real reasons why franchises fail are not always given and that further research is needed to find out what they. It has been argued that excessive optimism is a primary reason why so many new businesses fail (Gartner, 2005). Further research specifically amongst franchisees is needed. It was beyond the scope of this study to investigate the relationship between the ‘myopia’ identified by Drummond (2007) and biased pre-decision processing, but it is the opinion of the researcher that it is an area worthy of further research. 8 Recommended Action Including Future Legislation New legislation is needed – at least equivalent of USA UFOC. Current legislation is being tested in the courts but many in the UK would be surprised that franchisees are offered more protection in China. The BFA needs to be changed. Its role was misunderstood by our interviewees, one of whom feels bitterly let down by it. Two franchisees have recently been appointed to the BFA board but it remains to be seen how independent or vigilant they are. Franchises with many complaints against them are still being given membership. Government and quasi official bodies and banks should be made aware of the particular risks to franchised businesses (including the lack of disclosure from franchisors in the UK) and encouraged to publicise them and also dissuaded from using inaccurate lists. The creation of a British Franchisee Assoc. prepared to lobby for a change in the legislation, could address many of the issues raised in this study 9
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