REVIEW & THEORETICAL EXAM BY EXAMPLE Sorana D. Bolboacă OUTLINE OUTLINE About theoretical exam About the final mark About the second theoretical assignment Topics on theoretical exam Example of theoretical exam 2 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 ABOUT THEORETICAL EXAM 3 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 ABOUT THEORETICAL EXAM 4 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 ABOUT THEORETICAL EXAM 5 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 ABOUT THEORETICAL EXAM 6 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 EXAM SCHEDULING 3rd February 2017: 9.00 a.m. Be at the location in time (8.30 a.m.) Have with you the student card and an ID card / passport A hand calculator will be useful (you will not be allow to use your phone) At the end of the exam each student let the answer sheet to the commission and sign for attendance 7 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 Maximum of 30% of the questions could be with one correct answer (10 out of 35). Marked with and asterisk: “*” There are no questions with 5 correct answers (could be 2 / 3 / 4) The correct answer is given as filling the circle (blackening) with black pen / pencils 8 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 Correct answers: will be published at the discipline at 2 p.m. To pass the exam: The mark for theoretical exam ≥ 5 The mark for practical exam ≥ 5 9 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 THEORETICAL MARK Mark for theoretical exam (written mark): (the sum of points)/(no. of possible points)*9+1 10 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 Theoretical Exam 1. question with one correct answer: 2. questions with 2 correct answers: 5 concordances = 1 point < 5 conc. = 0 points 5 concordances = 1 point 4 concordances = 0.8 point < 4 conc. = 0 points 3. questions ≥ 3 correct answers: 5 concordances = 1 point 4 concordances = 0.8 point 3 concordances = 0.3 point < 3 concordances = 0 points 11 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 FINAL MARK Theoretical mark: = 1 + 9/35 * (sum of points) pass if is > 5 without rounding Practical mark = 1 + 9 pass if is > 5 without rounding Final mark = 0.3 * practical mark + 0.7*theoretical mark + bonus(max 3*0.2) + rounding if necessary 12 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 LECTURES AND PRACTICAL ACTIVITY EVALUATION University: https://eval.umfcluj.ro/ When? Until January 22, 2017 13 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 Information: storage – upload – download & operation (binary: memories, optical disc, etc. vs. decimal: HDD, memory stick, etc.) Descriptive statistics: statistical series & graphical representation & calculation of centrality parameters, coefficient of variation (+ interpretation) & recognition of normal distribution Probabilities: operations and probabilities & calculation of conditional probabilities & conditional probabilities for diagnosis (Se, Sp, PPV, NPV) and risk factors (RR, OR + interpretation) & construction of contingency table based on a given scenario Probability distributions: problems Confidence intervals: calculation for mean, difference between two means, frequency and difference between frequencies + interpretation Statistical tests: statistical hypotheses & computation of the test statistic & computation of degrees of freedom & interpretation of Z-test, t-test for independent samples (independent samples choose based on the results of variance tests – Levene or Barlett), paired t-test, statistical hypotheses & interpretation for test of normality, ANOVA, Mann-Whitney, Wilcoxon, Kruskal-Wallis Correlation and regression analysis: choosing the proper correlation coefficient (Pearson vs. Spearman), interpretation of correlation coefficient (Colton rules and statistical test of significance) ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 14 16-Jan-2017 Second Theoretical Assignment Min = 6 Max = 35 Participation 140% 130% 125% 120% 120% 100% 120% 110% 100% 100% 90% Participation 83% 82% 82% 80% 80% 82% 80% 80% 70% 64% 60% 50% 40% 36% 40% 20% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Group no 15 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 Second Theoretical Assignment 16 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 17 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 REVIEW & SUBJECTS BY EXAMPLE 18 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 19 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 21% correct answers A study was conducted to measure the effect of mother alcohol consumption upon the birth weight of a baby. The following variables were measured for each woman included in the study: alcohol consumption status (yes/no), baby birth weight (g), and APGAR score. The scales of these variables are: A. nominal, interval, ordinal B. nominal, ratio, ratio C. ordinal, ratio, interval D. nominal, ratio, nominal E. nominal, ratio, ordinal 20 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 21% CORRECT ANSWERS The arithmetic mean of total of decayed, missing and filled teeth on a sample of children who attended to community dental surgery was of 1.71 with a standard deviation of 1.64 (sample size of 34). The 95% confidence interval (Zα = 1.96) associated to mean is: a) 0.2813 b) 1.4287 - 1.9913 c) 1.1587 - 2.2613 d) 0.0700 - 3.3500 e) Could not be calculated based on provided data mean = 1.71 stdev = 1.64 n=34 1.71±1.96*1.64/sqrt(34) = 1.71±0.5513 21 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 A physician wants to known if the number of male oesophageal cancer patients diagnosed with multiple primary tumours differs from the proportion of female oesophageal cancer patients with the same diagnosis. A random sample of 60 male and 40 female oesophageal cancer patients was selected and the numbers with multiple primary tumours in each sample were recorded. Forty men and ten women with multiple primary tumours were identified. The calculated value of test statistic is: Χ2 16.67 0.65 0.72 14.04 None is correct (40-30)2/30 Obs MPT+ MPT- Total M 40 20 60 F 10 30 40 Total 50 50 100 (20-30)2/30 = + + (10-20)2/20 + (30-20)2/20 = 16.67 11% CORRECT ANSWERS Exp MPT+ MPT- Total M 30 30 60 F 20 20 40 Total 50 50 100 22 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 57% correct answers Which of the following is a conclusion of carrying out a given statistical test of hypothesis at a 5% significance level? A. H0 is more likely to be rejected than if the investigator had chosen a level of significance of 5% B. The probability of accepting H0 when it is false is 0.01 C. The probability of accepting H0 when it is false is 0.05 D. The probability of rejecting H0 when it is true is 0.01 E. The probability of observing a statistically significant result is 0.1 23 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 REVIEW & SUBJECTS BY EXAMPLE 24 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 REVIEW & SUBJECTS BY EXAMPLE 25 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 REVIEW & SUBJECTS BY EXAMPLE 26 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 REVIEW & SUBJECTS BY EXAMPLE 27 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 REVIEW & SUBJECTS BY EXAMPLE 135±2.579*20/sqrt(169) = 135±3.97 = [131-139] 28 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 REVIEW & SUBJECTS BY EXAMPLE Reoccurrence Non-Reoccurrence Total A =160-106=54 106 160 B =120-104 = 16 104 120 Total 280 29 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 REVIEW & SUBJECTS BY EXAMPLE 30 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 REVIEW & SUBJECTS BY EXAMPLE OC+ M+ 45 M- 30 Total 75 OC- Total 120 195 31 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 REVIEW & SUBJECTS BY EXAMPLE 32 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 REVIEW & SUBJECTS BY EXAMPLE Reoccurrence Non-Reoccurrence Total A =160-106=54 106 160 B =120-104 = 16 104 120 Total =54/160=0.3375 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 280 33 16-Jan-2017 REVIEW & SUBJECTS BY EXAMPLE Group 1: mean =140, stdev=36 Group 2: mean = 168, stdev = 36, n=81 Z = (168-140)/(36/sqrt(81)) = 7 34 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017 ‘These things will become clear to you,’ said the old man gently, ‘at least,’ he added with slight doubt in his voice, ‘clearer than they are at the moment.’ Douglas Adams ‘Today’s truths become errors tomorrow.’ Ursula K. Le Guin 35 ©2017 - Sorana D. BOLBOACĂ 16-Jan-2017
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