Forest Ecology and Management 154 (2001) 105±115 The impact of logging intensity on ®eld-layer vegetation in Swedish boreal forests Johan Bergstedt*, Per Milberg Department of Biology-IFM, LinkoÈping University, SE-581 83 LinkoÈping, Sweden Received 6 December 1999; received in revised form 13 June 2000; accepted 26 September 2000 Abstract The relationship between logging intensity and changes in ground cover vegetation was studied in 16 species and groups of species recorded at 10- or 11-year intervals in mature conifer-dominated forests. The 789 plots located in northern and central Sweden had been surveyed by the National Forest Inventory and the National Survey of Forest Soil and Vegetation. Thirtyseven percent of the plots had been subjected to a thinning or clear-cutting between the inventories. A principal components analysis showed that, of the variables considered, logging intensity had the highest explanatory power regarding change in ground cover vegetation between the inventories (the other variables were sum of temperatures, age of stand, timber volume, percentage Pinus sylvestris and site productivity). A multivariate direct gradient analysis technique (Redundancy analysis) showed that the logging intensity signi®cantly affected the change in cover. This analysis also ranked the species in their responsiveness to logging. Epilobium angustifolium, narrow-leaved grasses and broad-leaved grasses, increased most with logging intensity. The response was not linear and only detectable at high logging intensities (>80%). In contrast, Vaccinium myrtillus seemed to decrease linearly with increased logging intensity. There was several years time-lag in the response to logging of E. angustifolium, V. myrtillus and narrow-leaved grasses. Several species and groups of species seemed unaffected by the logging. In sample plots unaffected by logging the cover of most species decreased. # 2001 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. Keywords: Clear cut; Community; Cutting; Multivariate analysis; Sweden; Thinning 1. Introduction The composition of the ground vegetation in a forest is, to a large extent, shaped by the density and composition of the tree layer. Temperature and light are among the most important environmental variables that are governed by the tree stratum (BraÊkenhielm and Persson, 1980; Foster, 1985; Brumelis and Carleton, 1989; Nygaard and édegaard, * Corresponding author. Tel.: 46-1328-1332; fax: 46-1328-2611. E-mail address: [email protected] (J. Bergstedt). 1999). Consequently, changes in the tree layer are likely to lead to the changes in the ground vegetation. More speci®cally, a reduction in the tree canopy can lead to the death of some individuals, to the establishment from seeds, and to a shift in competitiveness among the species because of the increase in soil moisture, nutrients, light and temperature during the growth season (Foster, 1985; Zobel, 1993). Although the effect of clear-cutting, thinning and selective felling on ground vegetation in boreal forests has been studied (e.g. Brumelis and Carleton, 1989; Nieppola, 1992; Hannerz and HaÊnell, 1997; BraÊkenhielm and Liu, 1998), we are not aware of any study exploring 0378-1127/01/$ ± see front matter # 2001 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. PII: S 0 3 7 8 - 1 1 2 7 ( 0 0 ) 0 0 6 4 2 - 3 106 J. Bergstedt, P. Milberg / Forest Ecology and Management 154 (2001) 105±115 several intensities of logging. In recent years, forestry practices in Sweden have started to change because of the Forestry Act of 1994 (Skogsstyrelsen, 1994) and because of in¯uence from the certi®cation of Swedish forest companies by the Forest Stewardship Council (FSC; http://www.fsc-sweden.org/). These changes are likely to lead to larger areas being subjected to logging that is more intense than today's thinning but not as intense as a complete clear-cut. Therefore it is of interest to quantify the changes in ground-cover vegetation in response to the logging intensity. In the present study, we investigated the response of the ®eld-layer vegetation in boreal coniferous forest to logging of varying intensities. Data originated from 789 sample plots where the vegetation had been recorded with 10- or 11-year intervals. More speci®cally, we tested whether logging intensity affects the changes in cover of ®eld-layer ¯ora between the two inventories. If this was so, we wanted to describe the responses of individual species to logging intensity. Finally, we expected a time lag in the response to the logging. 2. Materials and methods 2.1. The data In 1983 the National Forest Inventory (NFI) of Sweden started to establish permanent plots with an aim to revisit them at 5-year intervals. Parallel to this, the plots were also subjected to a soil and vegetation inventory by the National Survey of Forest Soils and Vegetation (NSFV). Both inventories have been conducted by the Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences. The main objective was to re®ne the Swedish system for estimating site productivity by means of easily assessed variables including vegetation, slope, soil type and soil moisture (HaÈgglund and Lundmark, 1981). Statistically the inventory is a strati®ed systematic clustered sampling with repeated measurements. For logistic reasons the sample plots are located along the sides of a quadrat that corresponds to one day's work by an inventory team. A quadrat contains one sample plot at each corner of the quadrat and one in the middle of each side, i.e. eight in total per cluster (Lindroth, 1995). The sample plots are circular with a radius of 10 or 20 m for the forest variables. Vegetation is surveyed in a 100 m2 plot, i.e. a circular plot with a radius of 5.64 m. All plots have the same centre. The sample plots used in this study were established between 1983 and 1987. NFI revisited the plots for the ®rst time in 1988±1990, but lack of funding precluded vegetation or soil inventories. In 1993, the vegetation and soil inventories were resumed, but funding limited the investigation to only half of the plots each year. The sample plots were thus revisited in 1993±1998 for the second vegetation and soil inventory. The interval between the inventories was 10 or 11 years. The second inventory had environmental monitoring as an additional object, which meant that more species were recorded in more detail (Odell and StaÊhl, 1998). The data are compiled by the NSFV and kept in a public database. 2.2. Inclusion criteria We decided to concentrate on the boreal coniferous forests of northern and central Sweden, a vast but still relatively homogeneous area (Kempe et al., 1992). More precisely, we included plots from the `southern boreal' and `middle boreal' regions (Anon., 1977). Both regions are dominated by P. sylvestris L. and Picea abies (L.) H. Karst., but the `southern boreal' has a small amount of nemoral broad-leaved tree species lacking further north. For several reasons, we decided to increase the homogeneity of the vegetation under consideration. First, to exclude plots where forestry is not conducted, we eliminated plots not classi®ed as ``productive forests''. Second, we excluded stands with more than 15% of the standing timber being of deciduous tree species at the ®rst inventory, since logging strategies in such stands might be selectively removing deciduous trees. Third, we excluded young stands, i.e. plots where trees had a mean diameter at breast height less than 100 mm at the ®rst inventory (excluding maturity classes C1±D2, according to the Field instruction for the NFI; Anon., 1983±1998), because these would not normally be subjected to logging. Fourth, since different logging strategies are often used on dry and wet soils compared with intermediate types, we excluded plots that had been classi®ed as ``dry'' or ``moist'' or that were on organogenic soils (Karltun et al., 1996). J. Bergstedt, P. Milberg / Forest Ecology and Management 154 (2001) 105±115 Since the sample plots are permanent and the sample design is systematic, some sample plots were divided by different kinds of boundaries among the land use classes, stand maturity classes and moisture classes. All such plots were excluded. We also excluded a few cases where two different logging operations had taken place between the inventories and one particular case where logging had not been recorded, although some trees had been removed. These inclusion criteria lead to 789 sample plots from 541 clusters being selected for the present study (Fig. 1). 2.3. Vegetation The objective of the NFSV was originally to improve the system for classi®cation of forests according to site productivity, which is re¯ected in the species and groups of species subjected to the inventory. After excluding species that were present on less than 10 occasions under the two Fig. 1. Locations of the 541 clusters of sample plots in central and northern Sweden. 107 inventories, 16 species and groups of species were considered: Narrow-leaved grasses Ð grasses with folded and thread-like leaves. In the boreal forest this group is dominated by Deschampsia flexuosa (L.) Trin. with the occasional presence of Festuca ovina L. and Nardus stricta L. `Broad-leaved grasses' Ð all grasses that are not `narrow-leaved grasses'; dominated by Calamagrostis spp. and Deschampsia cespitosa (L.) P. Beauv. with some Agrostis capillaris L., Melica nutans L. and Poa spp. `Carex-Luzula' Ð species of these genera found in dry or mesic habitats; dominated by Luzula pilosa (L.) Willd., L. campestris (L.) DC., L. multiflora (Ehrh.) Lej., Carex digitata L. and C. pallescens L. `Herbs' Ð 27 species and one group of species, tall-grown ferns (mainly Dryopteris filix-mas (L.) Schott and Athyrium filix-femina (L.) Roth). The most common of the 27 species are Geranium sylvaticum L., Filipendula ulmaria (L.) Maxim., Rumex acetosa L. and Cirsium palustre (L.) Scop. in decreasing order of abundance (Odell and Drakenberg, 1991). `Equisetum sylvaticum L., Carex globularis L. and Menyanthes trifoliata L.' Ð grouped together because previous studies have shown them to indicate similar site productivity. `Andromeda polifolia L. and Vaccinium oxycoccus L.' Ð grouped together because previous studies have shown them to indicate similar site productivity. `Calluna vulgaris' Ð consists of Calluna vulgaris (L.) Hull and Erica tetralix L. but the latter species is very rare in the geographic area considered here. The other species used in the present analysis were Empetrum spp., Epilobium angustifolium L., Ledum palustre L., Pteridium aquilinum (L.) Kuhn, Rubus chamaemorus L., Vaccinium myrtillus L. V. uliginosum L., V. vitis-idaea L. and the family Lycopodiaceae. The long interval between the inventories, the yearly weather variations and the problem of reinventing the plots at the same time of the year can cause vegetation cover data variations other than the actual changes in species' abundance. Therefore, according to the ®eld instructions, the vegetation cover is 108 J. Bergstedt, P. Milberg / Forest Ecology and Management 154 (2001) 105±115 estimated as the maximum cover during the veget ation season. This overcomes part of the problem, as indicated by the analysis where exclusion of those plots visited very early and very late in the season caused no apparent shifts in the data (Odell and StaÊhl, 1998). Before each ®eld season, and once during the season, crews met to cross-calibrate their cover estimates. The vegetation survey was made for a representative area of the sample plot by excluding areas that had been subject to disturbance such as soil scari®cation and walking paths. Parts of the sample area that differed in other aspects such as rock outcrops, stumps, heaps of slash residues, etc., were also omitted from the vegetation inventory. The methods for the vegetation survey differed in 1980s and 1990s and more species were identi®ed and records were made on a more detailed scale in the 1990s. The vegetation cover estimates in the 1990s, which were made on a 100-point scale (0.1, 1, 2, 3,. . .,100 m2), were transformed to the classes 0.1, 1, 3, 6, 9, 12, 15, 20, 25, 30, 40, 50, 60, 80 and 100 m2 that were used in the 1980s. All values were then transformed to percent vegetation cover with the following formula: PC V 100 A (1) where PC is the percent vegetation cover, V the vegetation cover in square metres and A the representative area. In the present study, we used the difference in vegetation cover between the two inventories, i.e. the percent cover at the second inventory minus that of the ®rst. 2.4. Other variables Numerous variables have been recorded by the NFI and NSFV and some of these were used in the present analyses either directly or indirectly to calculate new variables. Apart from the variables listed in Table 1, we used `time since logging' and `logging intensity'. The time was calculated from two occasions on which forest inventories had been performed, i.e. 5 and 10± 11 years after establishing the plots. On each occasion in the ®eld, the time from logging was estimated and placed in four classes; ongoing growth season (season 0), previous season (season 1), season 2 (seasons 3±5). A season is the time between two subsequent shoot growth episodes. This is more easily determined in the ®eld than the particular year trees were felled. The intensity of logging (I) was calculated from the data collected on two of the three forest inventories (0, 5 and 10±11 years from establishment) and was expressed as percent felled volume per standing volume before logging. This was calculated as I Vp Gu tt Va Ga tf 100 Vp Gu tt (2) where Vp is the volume at the inventory prior to logging, Va the volume at the inventory after logging, Gu the growth per year between the inventory prior to logging and logging, Ga the growth per year between the logging and the inventory after logging, tt the seasons between the inventory prior to logging and after logging, and tf the seasons between logging and the inventory after logging In some cases, this formula calculated negative `logging intensity' values. This was an artefact because of the problem of determining the time of Table 1 Description of environmental variables recorded and used in the present study Variable Description `Age' `Percent P. sylvestris' `Site productivity' Age of the stand Volume P. sylvestris per total tree volume Productivity was estimated according to HaÈgglund and Lundmark (1981), i.e. from easily assessed variables like vegetation composition, slope, soil type and moisture. According to this system, one value each is calculated for P. sylvestris and P. abies; the higher of the two was used Sum of temperature 5 C; calculated for each cluster of plots from climatological data, height above sea level and latitude Stem volume of all the trees 1.3 m hight `Temperature sum' `Volume' J. Bergstedt, P. Milberg / Forest Ecology and Management 154 (2001) 105±115 109 logging. Furthermore, the formula used to calculate the volume and growth per year can amplify possible small mismeasurements. 3. Results 2.5. Data analyses 3.1.1. Ranking of environmental variables The eigenvalues of the two ®rst principal components in the initial PCA were 0.100 and 0.079. The results clearly showed that logging intensity was the variable that explained most of the ®rst principal component (PC), while inter-set correlations with the second PC were low (Table 2). An initial principal components analysis (PCA) of the data on change in cover was conducted with the CANOCO 4 software (ter Braak and Smilauer, 1998; default options except `centering/standardization by species'). PCA is an indirect gradient method where the samples are arranged according to species data. The ordination scores were then correlated with the environmental data as a way to rank the explanatory power of the environmental variables. We used a direct gradient analysis technique for the remaining analyses, where samples are directly related to measured environmental variables. The species' change in cover was expected to increase or decrease with logging intensity; thus redundancy analysis (RDA) was chosen because it assumes linear responses of species to environmental gradients. The data were subjected to RDA with the CANOCO 4 software using default options. The statistical signi®cance of the ordination was evaluated with a Monte Carlo test with 2000 permutations (reduced model). The analysis consisted of three steps (Hallgren et al., 1999), all calculated using certain environmental variables (see Table 1) as covariables (hence eliminating the variation that they can explain). First, 10% of the data was randomly picked and used in an exploratory phase to decide on, e.g. type of analysis, transformations and possible exclusion of samples or species. Second, the remaining 90% was used to test the hypothesis under consideration. We kept these two steps separate to prevent a circularity from occurring when the ``data-diving'' needed to make the decision on the type of analysis and data formatting is done with the same data that is used for testing a hypothesis (Hallgren et al., 1999). Third, a full analysis (100% of the data) was done to retrieve ordination scores for species based on the maximum amount of information available. To test for a potential time-lag in the response to logging, we plotted change in cover of selected species as a function of logging intensity and time period from logging. This was done using the 294 plots that had been subjected to logging between the inventories. 3.1. Community responses to logging 3.1.2. Testing if logging intensity affects change in cover The RDA performed on the 90% subsample was calculated with `temperature sum', `volume', `age', `site productivity' and `percent P. sylvestris' as covariables and `logging intensity' as the only environmental variable. Although this resulted in a relatively low eigenvalue (0.026) of the ®rst ordination axis, i.e. the logging intensity axis, the Monte Carlo test clearly showed that logging intensity signi®cantly affected the change in ground vegetation (P < 0:005). 3.2. Species responses to logging intensity The RDA conducted on the full data set resulted in a ranking of the species and groups of species according to their responses to logging intensity (Table 3). One species and three groups of species had high positive scores (>0.1), E. angustifolium, `narrowleaved grasses', `E. sylvaticum, M. trifoliata and C. globularis' and `broad-leaved grasses'. The species and groups of species all increased when logging inten sity was above 80% (Figs. 2 and 3). They seemed Table 2 Inter-set correlations between environmental variables and principal components (PC). The PCA was conducted with change in cover between two inventories (10±11 years) for 16 species and groups of species Environmental variable Logging intensity Age Volume Site productivity Temperature sum Percent P. sylvestris PC1 0.483 0.172 0.283 0.048 0.029 0.258 PC2 0.015 0.007 0.116 0.143 0.016 0.114 110 J. Bergstedt, P. Milberg / Forest Ecology and Management 154 (2001) 105±115 Table 3 Ranking of the species and groups of species by scores from an RDA performed on change in cover between two inventories (10± 11 years) with `age', `percent P. sylvestris', `site productivity', `temperature sum' and `volume' as covariables, where axis 1 represents logging intensity Species E. angustifolium `Narrow-leaved grasses' E. sylvaticum, C. globularis and M. trifoliata `Broad-leaved grasses' Carex-Luzula P. aquilinum Empetrum spp. R. chamaemorus V. uliginosum C. vulgaris Lycopodiaceae L. palustre `Herbs' V. vitis-idaea A. polifolia and V. oxycoccus V. myrtillus Ordination axis 1 0.383 0.334 0.131 0.126 0.087 0.084 0.045 0.045 0.038 0.031 0.030 0.023 0.0070 0.010 0.066 0.139 indifferent to low logging intensities, with the exception of `broad-leaved grasses' where a slight decrease could be detected. In sample plots not subjected to logging, E. angustifolium seemed stable in abundance while the others decreased. One species, V. myrtillus, had a large negative score (< 0:1) and its response to logging seemed to be negative and linear. There was also a decrease in cover in plots unaffected by logging. The dynamics of cover change in V. myrtillus was dramatic when compared with other species (Fig. 3). The other species and groups of species tended to be more or less unaffected by logging and had scores between 0.1 and ±0.1 (Table 3). On sample plots unaffected by logging between the inventories, many species decreased (exceptions were Lycopodiaceae, E. angustifolium, P. aquilinum and the group with A. polifolia and V. oxycoccus). 3.3. Time lag in the response The three species with the most extreme ordination scores in the RDA (Table 3) were used to illustrate the potential time lag in response to logging. In all three species, the response was unclear after 0±2 seasons, apparent after 3±6 seasons and most profound after 7± 11 seasons (Fig. 4). 4. Discussion This study was performed on a survey materials collected by numerous persons from vast areas where the sample plots have been subjected to various management methods and natural events. This contributes a lot of variation in the data, but it also gives an idea of the overall situation in a large geographical area. Considering that these factors add to the variability, it is perhaps surprising that the results were so clear and interpretable. The main problems seem to have been that the actual management methods and timing of them has to be determined by person in the ®eld (re¯ected by the negative `logging intensity' in Figs. 2±4), and the fact that species in some cases had been lumped in groups. For example, `herbs' consisted of a high number of species that potentially might respond differently to logging and succession. The ®nding in the initial PCA, that logging intensity was the variable with the highest explanatory power regarding the change in vegetation, is not surprising. Logging was the only drastic event occurring in the sample plots while other variables had not changed at all or, as for the timber volume and age of the stand, just slowly increased. The RDA clearly con®rmed that logging intensity signi®cantly affected the change in vegetation. It is worth noting that the large number of sample plots (789) used in the present study actually enabled us to draw reasonable conclusions also about the lack of a response, at least for species that were fairly abundant. 4.1. Response to high intensities of logging It is important to note that the vegetation inventory was performed on the `representative area', i.e. the area of the sample plot that was unaffected by disturbances such as soil scari®cation, tractor tracks or heaps of logging residues. Hence, our study does not re¯ect the vegetation dynamics in gaps in the ®eld layer vegetation that are created accidentally or intentionally by scari®cation to facilitate tree seedling establishment (IngeloÈg, 1974; Hannerz and HaÊnell, 1993; Halpern and Spies, 1995). In such gaps, several euphemeral species, e.g. Galeopsis spp. and Senecio spp., can ¯ourish for a couple of years (Dyrness, 1973; Hintikka, 1987) and gaps can also be important for the J. Bergstedt, P. Milberg / Forest Ecology and Management 154 (2001) 105±115 111 Fig. 2. Changes in cover of species and groups of species plotted against logging intensity. Cover change calculated as percent cover at the second inventory minus the percent cover at the ®rst. The logging intensity was calculated from the data on timber volume before and after logging, annual growth and seasons from logging. The formula sometimes leads to negative logging intensities because of the problem of determining the time of logging and calculating annual growth. establishment of new long-lived individuals of the other species. `Narrow-leaved grasses' and E. angustifolium had the highest positive values in the RDA ranking (Table 3) and showed a similar response to high logging intensities, both expanding only when >80% of the standing timber had been removed (Fig. 3). They are opportunistic species that increase after ®res (Dyrness, 1973; Schimmel and GranstroÈm, 1996) and fertilizer application (Kellner, 1993) and are well-known examples of species increasing after clear-cuts (SjoÈrs, 1971; IngeloÈg, 1974; Corns and La Roi, 1976; Kielland-Lund, 1981; Zobel, 1989; Nieppola, 1992; Hannerz and HaÊnell, 1997). However, the fact that they only responded to very high logging intensities has not been shown previously. The reason for this non-linear response to tree removal is unclear. The direct environmental changes due to logging involves mainly more light reaching the ground, higher summer temperatures, increased availability of soil nutrients and a rise in the groundwater table (Brumelis and Carleton, 1989; Hannerz and HaÊnell, 1997). Of these variables, it is possible that only light increases linearly with logging intensity (cf. Martens et al., 2000) while the other variables might increase exponentially. The group with E. sylvaticum, C. globularis and M. trifoliata was constructed because the three species were considered to indicate similar site productivity conditions. It is nevertheless an ecologically heterogeneous group whose species might respond differently to logging intensity. In the present analyses, the group was probably not represented by the wetland species M. trifoliata since moist plots were excluded. Of the remaining two species, C. globularis is considered as a pioneer species (KellomaÈki and VaÈisaÈnen, 1991) which ®ts the response pattern in Fig. 3, i.e. large increase at high logging intensities. 112 J. Bergstedt, P. Milberg / Forest Ecology and Management 154 (2001) 105±115 Fig. 3. Changes in the cover of species and groups of species plotted against logging intensity. Cover change was calculated as percent cover at the second inventory minus the percent cover at the ®rst. The logging intensity was calculated from data on timber volume before and after logging, annual growth and seasons from logging. The formula sometimes leads to negative logging intensities because of the problem of determining the time of logging and calculating annual growth. V. myrtillus decreased more than 100% in two plots (not indicated). In contrast, C. vulgaris showed a slight decrease in cover at high logging intensities (Fig. 3) and has previously been reported to die off immediately in response to logging (BraÊkenhielm and Persson, 1980). Some of the species in Figs. 2 and 3 (A. polifolia/V. oxycoccus, L. palustre R. chamaemorus and V. uliginosum) are most common in moist or wet areas (Odell and Drakenberg, 1991) and their cover in the mesic forests types included in our study was low. Consequently, the absolute changes in cover was small. These species as well as several others (Figs. 2 and 3) seemed more or less unaffected by high logging intensities and most notable was the very abundant V. vitis-idaea (Fig. 3). What will happen in Swedish boreal forests if most logging operations will leave more trees? First of all, we predict a less pronounced vegetation dynamic after logging, i.e. the post-harvest phase will be less dominated by species like grasses and E. angustifolium. Second, only one species (V. myrtillus) clearly decreased in response to a clear cut, but reducing the amount of complete clear cuts in the landscape is still not likely to have much effect on this species since it was also negatively affected by intermediate logging intensities. Third, for a full appreciation of the impact of logging, we need information on individual species as well as on the less abundant forest species.1 4.2. Response to low and intermediate intensities of logging In a study spanning a long time interval silvicultural thinning could not explain changes in cover 1 The present analysis only considered 16 species and groups of species. J. Bergstedt, P. Milberg / Forest Ecology and Management 154 (2001) 105±115 113 Fig. 4. Changes in the cover of `narrow-leaved grasses', E. angustifolium and V. myrtillus after three different time periods from logging (0±2 seasons, 3±6 seasons and 7±11 seasons). Cover change was calculated as percent cover at the second inventory minus the percent cover at the ®rst. The logging intensity was calculated from data on the timber volume before and after logging, annual growth and seasons from logging. The formula sometimes leads to negative logging intensities because of the problem of determining the time of logging and calculating annual growth. (Nieppola, 1992). Our study, which spanned a shorter time interval and included many more samples, con®rmed that intermediate intensities of cuts had little effect on the cover of individual species (Figs. 2 and 3). The only exception was V. myrtillus (see Section 4.4). 4.3. Vegetation change in sample plots not subjected to logging In sample plots not subjected to logging, most species decreased as would be expected when the tree canopy becomes denser (e.g. Nygaard and édegaard, 1999). The clear-cut opportunist E. angustifolium seemed to be indifferent to a closing canopy cover (Fig. 3). It is possible that its decrease from a postlogging abundance situation might already have taken place within a few decades from logging (i.e. well before the ®rst inventory). The family Lycopodiaceae and `Carex-Luzula' also seemed unaffected by the closing of the tree canopy (Fig. 2), which suggests that they are very persistent in the boreal forest. Their stability in response to both clear cut and succession makes them excellent candidates as the indicators of site productivity. The cover of species is otherwise dif®cult to use to predict productivity (Nieppola, 1993). 4.4. Vaccinium myrtillus V. myrtillus was the only species with a clear negative score in the RDA (Table 3), and exhibited very dramatic dynamics irrespective of logging intensity (Fig. 3). There seemed to be a general decrease with increasing logging intensity, but the variation was very large around a potential regression line. Although this species' sensitivity to clear cutting is well documented (IngeloÈg, 1974; Kardell, 1980; Atlegrim and SjoÈberg, 1996; Hannerz and HaÊnell, 1997), the large variability suggests interactions between logging and other parameters. This means that conclusions regarding the response of V. myrtillus from a single site (e.g. Atlegrim and SjoÈberg, 1996; Nygaard and édegaard, 1999) might have low generality. 114 J. Bergstedt, P. Milberg / Forest Ecology and Management 154 (2001) 105±115 V. myrtillus is deciduous and this can increase the dif®culty of estimating the cover as ``maximum cover under the vegetation season''. Furthermore, its cover might have been overestimated in logged plots, where it might be dif®cult to distinguish between dead lea¯ess branches and alive ones. It is also worth pointing out that V. myrtillus is the dominant species in the ®eld layer of the boreal forest in Sweden (Odell and Drakenberg, 1991). Thus, absolute changes in cover over time will appear profound and methodological problems, like observer differences in cover estimates, will result in large variability. Another explanation of the dynamics could be that its cover varies between years (LaÈhde and Nieppola, 1987). V. myrtillus is used by many animals, e.g. moose (Alces alces), roe deer (Capreolus capreolus), voles, capercaillie (Tetrao urogallus) and many insect species (Atlegrim and SjoÈberg, 1996) and their exploitation can vary over time and possibly cause interannual variations in cover. 4.5. Time-lag in response to logging A quick response to a logging can be expected if it concerns the dying off of individuals, and to be slow when an increase is at hand (dying can be instantaneous while individuals increase their biomass over time). The increase of E. angustifolium and `narrowleaved grasses' became most apparent after 3±6 seasons (Fig. 4), conforming to this model and to previous reports (Hannerz and HaÊnell, 1993, 1997). The decrease of V. myrtillus was not quick in the present study (Fig. 4), and it seemed that the reduction in cover continued over several years after a clear cut. This suggests a slow process of being out-competed by other species rather than instantly dying off as reported by BraÊkenhielm and Persson (1980) in a dry P. sylvestris forest. However, the interpretation of the present results is complicated by the problem of estimating the cover of V. myrtillus as ``maximum cover during the season''; dead or dying branches without leaves could have been taken for living ones and result in an overestimation of the actual cover. 4.6. Conclusions Our major ®ndings were (i) most species showed non-linear response to logging intensity, (ii) many species lacked a response to intermediate levels of logging, (iii) most species decreased in the absence of logging and (iv) that V. myrtillus exhibited large and puzzling variation. Acknowledgements We thank Gunnar Odell and Evert Carlsson (SLU) for various efforts and for providing us with excerpts from the database and Mike Palmer for commenting on the analyses and manuscript. This study would not have been possible without the devoted work by numerous persons in the ®eld during the last decades. References Anon., 1977. Naturgeogra®sk regionindelning av Norden. NU B 1977 34 ISBN 91 7052 339-8. Anon., 1983±1998. Instruktion foÈr faÈltarbetet vid Riksskogstaxeringen. Institutionen foÈr skoglig resurshushaÊllning och geomatik, SLU, UmeaÊ. (In Swedish; updated yearly). Atlegrim, O., SjoÈberg, K., 1996. 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