TheWorldofaDeveloper:MovinganIdeatoReality ThisinformationisprovidedbyGrowSmartMaineasaresultoffeedbackfromthepublic attheJune2016Forum:GrowthinPortland:CanPublicProcessHelpBridgethe Divide? Whatmakesadevelopertick?Howdotheychooseprojectsandneighborhoods?What isthebestwayforthepublictooffersuggestions?Whatmakesa“good”development? And,behindthecurtain,howdothefinanceswork? ThesewereallquestionsaskedbytheattendeesatGrowSmartMaine’s2016forumon GrowthinPortland.Itisourhopethattheanswerstothesequestionsthiswillleadto moreeffectiveconversationsbetweenthepublicanddevelopers,andultimately,to developmentsthatcreatemorelivableandenjoyableneighborhoodsalloverMaine. Whatmakesadevelopertick?Obviously,differentthingsfordifferentpeople,butall wanttocreateaprojecttheycanbeproudof.Formany,innovationandcontributingto theneighborhoodinsomewayiskey.Thiscanmeananythingfrommakingastatement withanestheticallypleasingbuilding,tocreatingmuch-neededaffordablehousing,to buildingaspacethatbuildscommunityandmakestheneighborhoodlivelier.A developerisabusinessperson,andthisistheirlivelihood,sotheprojectneedstopayoff intheend.Butthisisnottheonlymeasureofsuccess. Whatistheroleofadeveloper?Adeveloperisthepersonwhohasthevision,findsthe site,workswiththeneighborhoodtoadaptthedesignandthecityortowntofollowor adapttherules,findsthefinancing,andhiresthebuildingcrew.Oftenthedeveloper alsorentsorsellsthefinishedproduct.Thedeveloperisthefirstonein,andthelastone out.Thedeveloperalsotakesthefinancialrisk,usuallymakingmoney,sometimes breakingeven,occasionallylosingmoney.Adeveloperneedstohave20%ofexpertise inabout20differentareasandknowhowtoassembleateamtotieitalltogether. Step1:Findingasite.Everydeveloperhastensitesthey’dlovetogettheirhandson, duetolocation,theexistingbuilding,orlocalamenities(somecombinationofutilities, sidewalks,stores,parks,trails,views).Forexample,adevelopergetsacallonasitethat isupforsale.Firststep,takeaquicklookatGoogleMaps.Sayit’sinaneighborhood thatisofinterest…thedeveloperthinksit’supandcoming,italreadyhasgood amenities,orperhapsthedeveloperjustseespossibilitiesthatnooneelsehasyetseen. Thedeveloper’sfirststepistoinvestigate.Importantitemstoconsiderinclude: • Land:isitinafloodzone?Arethereanywaterissues? GrowSmartMaine:KeepingMaine…Maine|growsmartmaine.org 1 • • • • • • • • SoilandEnvironmentalissues:Whatwastherebeforeorwhatisthere now?Istherelikelytobecontamination?Istherelikelytobeledge (blastingexpense)orclay/sand(theexpenseofdrivingpilesforstability). Neighborhood:Howdoesthepublicfeelaboutthesitebeingdeveloped? Whatconcernsdotheyhavethatwillaffecttheuse,lookornumberof unitsinthedevelopment.Aretheyconcernedaboutheight,traffic, gentrification?Howcantheseconcernsbealleviated? ZoningandRegulation:Willazonechangebeneeded?Howdifferent fromthezoningthatiscurrentlyinplace?Ifso,howlikelyisthe municipalitytograntone? Title:Iseverythinginplace,orwillaninvestmentneedtobemadeto legallyclearthetitlebeforeaclosing. TaxCredits:Isitahistoricbuildingorneighborhoodsothattaxcredits couldbeused?Doesitmakesensetodoso? Placemaking:Whatistheneighborhoodlike?Couldthedevelopmentadd toitandmakeitbetter?What’sinitfortheneighborhood?Thisisa criticalcomponenttosuccess. Amenities:Isnaturalgasavailable?Ispublictransportationnearby?Bike paths?Whatotheramenitiesalreadyherecouldaffectmarketabilityof theunits?Whatcouldthisdevelopmentdotoincreasetheoverall attractivenessoftheneighborhood? Marketfeasibility:Canwerentorselltheseunitsformorethanthecost ofconstruction?Ifwebuildit,willtheycome? Step2:ToTakethePlunge…orNot.Nowit’stimetomoveoutofthe“backofthe napkin”stage.Thedeveloperwillbeabletoanswersomeoftheabovequestionswith existinginformationandacertainlevelofintuition,buttofindoutenoughtoseriously crunchnumbers,expertsneedtobebroughtin.Theselikelyincludeanarchitect, environmentalengineerstoassessthesoil–becausethataffectsconstructioncosts– perhapsalawyer.Thisprocesswilltakeseveralweeks.Itgenerallycostsabout$20,000 justtokickthetires,sotospeak.Itisduringthisphasewhenasetofbasiccostnumbers aredeveloped: • Costofland • Costofpreconstruction/softcosts(taxes,fees) • Costofconstruction(actualbuilding) • Costofloan(interestcostandfeesoverthelifeoftheproject) • Stabilizationcosts(keepingtheprojectfundedduringthetimeittakestobefully soldorrented) Theseareallbalancedagainst: • Potentialincome(Estimatedrentorsaleprice) Duringthistimeperiod,thedevelopershouldbemeetingwiththeneighborhoodto takeintoaccountconcernsandideas,andadaptthebuildingasneeded.Hereisalso GrowSmartMaine:KeepingMaine…Maine|growsmartmaine.org 2 wheredeveloperstakeagoodhardlookatwhatcouldgowrong:whatcouldcostmore, takelonger,oraffecttherentalorsalesmarketbythetimethebuildingiscompleted. Onceallthisispulledtogether,thedevelopermakesadecision.Willtheprojectpayoff? Doesitfitintohis/hervision?Shouldhe/shemoveahead? Step3:MovingtoPre-Construction.Iftheleapistaken,thenthenextstepsaretogeta designandplanonpaperandstartputtingbidsouttocontractors.Detailed geotechnicalworkmaybeneeded.Thedeveloperwillnowbegintocontactbanksabout thisspecificproject.Untilthebidscomein,conversationswithbanksarebynecessity somewhatpreliminary.Typically,adevelopertalkstomorethanonebank,because gettingagoodrateandaslongaguaranteeontherateaspossibleiskeytosuccess. (Fiveyears?Eightyears?Tenyears?)Bidsoftencomeinhigherthanexpected,soonce theyarrive,thereisusuallyaperiodofwhatiscalledvalueengineering,orfindingplaces toreduceconstructioncoststhatdon’treducetheoverallvalueoftheproject.Thisstep cantakesometime. Finally,oncetheconstructionbidsandothercontractorbidsaresolid,thebankdealis firmedup(includinganappraisalthatishighenoughtowarranttheloan)anyneeded zoningchangesareapproved,theneighborhoodisreasonablyhappywiththeproject, andnolawsuitsareinsight,thedeveloperwillusuallystepbackandtakeonefinallook atthenumbers.Ifthingslooktight,he/shecanassessthemarket:haverentsorsales pricesmoved?Nowthatclosingisimminent,wherearerates?Andfinally,adjusting thosenumbers,whereisthereturn?Isitstillsufficienttomoveahead?Iftheansweris yes,thedevelopermovesaheadtobuytheland,hiretheconstructionteamandbreak ground. Step4:Construction.Anyonewhohaseverbuiltahouse,garageormaybeevenashed knowsthatnothingevergoesaccordingtoplan.Butnotgoingaccordingtoplanispart oflifeforanyoneinthebuildingbusiness.Fromadeveloper’sperspective,havingthe buildingreadytoliveinbyAprilorAugust–whenpeopleinMainetendtomove–isa goal.Sincethatgoalisoftennotmet(seenoteonstabilizationcostabove),thisisone morevariable.Otherchallenges,especiallyinSouthernMaine,arelackofavailable workerswhentheyareneeded.Again,theseareallstandardissuesinthebuilding trades,notparticularforadeveloper. NeighborhoodInteraction:Gooddevelopersinteractwithaneighborhoodearlyand often.(SeeGrowSmartMaine’sNeighborhoodMeetingsThatBuildSupportforYour Project.)Asaresidentwhocaresabouttheneighborhood,itisyourresponsibilityto attendthesemeetingsandtalkwiththedeveloperearly,beforetoomuchisinvested. Suggestionsthatcouldhaveeasilybeenadoptedearlyintheprocessaremuchless likelytobeimplementedtowardstheend.It’suptoyoutotalkaboutyourvisionforthe neighborhoodandbeapartoftheprocess.Yourneighborhoodwillbenefit–andsowill you! GrowSmartMaine:KeepingMaine…Maine|growsmartmaine.org 3 SAMPLEConstructionCostAnalysis (numbersforillustrationpurposesonly–donotrepresentrealcosts) OriginalEstimate: Costofland,preconstruction,building Costofloan Estimatedstabilizationcosts $5million Revisions: Architectchangestoinitialdesign +.2million Geotechnicalanalysis:needtodrivepiles +1million Newtotal 6.2million ActualBidCost: $7.5million ValueEngineering -$4million Newtotal $6.9million Developerthenevaluatesnewsquarefootcostandassessesanyrevisionstooriginal assumptionsonrentorsalecost,debtservice,andlengthofneedforstabilizationcost. Cananyofthesebeadjustedtomakethenumberswork?Thisisthepointatwhichthe developermustmakethefinaldecisiontobuildornottobuild. ManythankstoEthanBoxer-MacomberofAnewDevelopment,andJonathanCulleyof RedfernProperties,whosepresentationattheDecemberMEREDAmeetingprovided backgroundforthisdocument.AnyerrorsaretheresponsibilityofGrowSmartMaine. GrowSmartMaine:KeepingMaine…Maine|growsmartmaine.org 4
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